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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:08:35,463 --> 00:08:39,263 you would look at the September contract I believe these renew 2 00:08:27,383 --> 00:08:30,223 year so the way futures contracts work is they have 3 00:10:39,623 --> 00:10:43,223 certain commodities that are relevant to the economies. So 4 00:09:23,743 --> 00:09:25,823 well they're the type of indicators that you've got in 5 00:11:16,563 --> 00:11:19,323 money, but in particular as well when it comes to 6 00:11:09,563 --> 00:11:13,523 general economy and how this impacts our currency pairs. So 7 00:03:57,123 --> 00:04:01,323 you need to there's not a direct correlation every single 8 00:05:38,423 --> 00:05:43,343 especially of course you've got the other ones such as Saudi 9 00:10:08,083 --> 00:10:10,443 for example with gold and DXY you're not going to see an 10 00:10:47,103 --> 00:10:52,863 through dairy you'd look for the dairy chart on here. In 11 00:11:19,323 --> 00:11:22,963 commodities, understanding supply and demand. Um 12 00:12:09,883 --> 00:12:13,803 aware of the main correlations. So yeah guys take care and I'll 13 00:11:26,683 --> 00:11:31,683 there might be certain types of the year where oil and petrol 14 00:04:16,123 --> 00:04:19,483 of interest and they're both correlated then we can expect 15 00:10:59,143 --> 00:11:03,023 understanding different asset class correlations. Now my 16 00:05:47,543 --> 00:05:51,143 don't trade these currency pairs I mainly look at USD CAD 17 00:11:31,683 --> 00:11:35,023 and all these kind of commodities they not be in high 18 00:11:49,303 --> 00:11:52,263 relation is. So obviously moving back looking at stock 19 00:05:11,003 --> 00:05:16,683 oil which is WTI US oil and then UK oil Brent UK oil. Uh 20 00:06:54,343 --> 00:06:59,023 mainly drives the US oil market then that also leads into the 21 00:07:32,963 --> 00:07:37,203 the the economies may be quite similar in their monetary 22 00:09:18,903 --> 00:09:23,743 open interest as well you can look at COT data for this as 23 00:10:33,823 --> 00:10:36,583 can I use bar chart. com for? Pretty much everything that 24 00:04:54,923 --> 00:04:58,323 risk on periods while it decouples and becomes inversely 25 00:03:03,543 --> 00:03:06,303 use of course you know you you've got gold and jewellery 26 00:02:51,503 --> 00:02:55,623 gold gold moves and actually understand its price patterns 27 00:11:41,783 --> 00:11:45,183 comes to different asset classes. So always understand 28 00:08:19,343 --> 00:08:23,703 have gold or yellow silver platinum everything like that 29 00:11:56,863 --> 00:12:00,823 we'd always look at is the impact on US dollar and then 30 00:10:18,863 --> 00:10:22,063 fundamental plan. So if you're looking at the fundamentals of 31 00:11:52,263 --> 00:11:56,863 markets, the bond markets and then the main correlation that 32 00:09:49,263 --> 00:09:54,363 currencies and no iron ore exports and how that impacts 33 00:11:22,963 --> 00:11:26,683 seasonality also comes into play over here as well. So 34 00:12:04,223 --> 00:12:09,883 hope this was very informative. Obviously take notes but be 35 00:10:24,543 --> 00:10:29,543 going to be looking at as well. And that can be explored 36 00:08:47,403 --> 00:08:50,163 relevant one that you want to be looking for obviously link 37 00:11:38,623 --> 00:11:41,783 everything is related in the markets especially when when it 38 00:11:13,523 --> 00:11:16,563 it's more about the movement of investment, the movement of 39 00:09:10,043 --> 00:09:14,183 frames and do do your analysis on there as we've explore 40 00:04:01,323 --> 00:04:04,843 time as you may expect however we just use it as an extra 41 00:06:02,363 --> 00:06:06,363 directional bias of both of them you're going to understand 42 00:12:00,823 --> 00:12:04,223 how that impacts other pairs for example. So yeah guys I 43 00:09:03,683 --> 00:09:06,923 bottom right there once you have the chart you open it up 44 00:11:45,183 --> 00:11:49,303 the fundamentals and keep them on point. Understand what their 45 00:05:01,203 --> 00:05:04,763 was meant to be in the last last presentation right there 46 00:10:55,743 --> 00:10:59,143 learnt in the past two videos and be prepared when 47 00:06:20,483 --> 00:06:25,683 fundamentals of oil so you need to look at OPEC so pretty much 48 00:10:52,863 --> 00:10:55,743 general you should stick to the main correlations that we've 49 00:06:40,583 --> 00:06:45,023 increases obviously you need to look at supply and demand 50 00:07:21,283 --> 00:07:24,963 of people's most favorite pairs because of this reason now 51 00:06:11,123 --> 00:06:16,283 lead into any trades that you need to understand for USD CAD 52 00:06:06,363 --> 00:06:11,123 what impact US oil has on CXY for example and then that could 53 00:11:35,023 --> 00:11:38,623 demand. Therefore what you going to expect for price. Now 54 00:07:52,663 --> 00:07:56,863 traders actually trade the commodity by itself. A lot of 55 00:10:22,063 --> 00:10:24,543 Australia, this is one of the main things that you're 56 00:11:06,483 --> 00:11:09,563 classes is to simply improve our understanding of the 57 00:11:03,023 --> 00:11:06,483 takeaway message. The whole reason we look at other asset 58 00:10:43,223 --> 00:10:47,103 for example New Zealand if there increase in exports 59 00:09:59,523 --> 00:10:03,043 it's iron ore and gold now having looked at a chart for it 60 00:07:56,863 --> 00:07:59,183 them will trade futures contracts. It's slightly 61 00:10:36,583 --> 00:10:39,623 we've just explored. Uh personally I'm only looking for 62 00:10:29,543 --> 00:10:33,823 through here if you're looking for a chart as well. So what 63 00:09:37,663 --> 00:09:43,903 everything like that before we move on to the last lesson I'd 64 00:09:25,823 --> 00:09:29,023 there so that's a good thing about Barchart. com not only 65 00:09:06,923 --> 00:09:10,043 fully and then that's when you can go on the different time 66 00:08:30,223 --> 00:08:35,463 expiration dates so if we're in September of 2021 for example 67 00:10:14,363 --> 00:10:18,863 however it's something that you must incorporate into your 68 00:07:12,483 --> 00:07:16,163 understand the fundamentals of DXY for example you're going to 69 00:10:03,043 --> 00:10:08,083 because you're not going to see an exact correlation as I said 70 00:10:10,443 --> 00:10:14,363 exact correlation there same thing with iron ore as well 71 00:07:02,903 --> 00:07:07,803 their economy USDCAD of course has an inverse correlation with 72 00:08:43,743 --> 00:08:47,403 commodity that looking at then once you click on that on the 73 00:07:37,203 --> 00:07:40,323 policies and everything this is the differentiating factor. You 74 00:09:01,043 --> 00:09:03,683 full size so you're going to get all this information at the 75 00:09:32,223 --> 00:09:37,663 it for FX pairs and understand the open interest lines and 76 00:07:24,963 --> 00:07:28,483 whether they look at fundamentals or not in the 77 00:07:42,683 --> 00:07:48,383 moving. So if you're trying to look for any more commodity 78 00:09:54,363 --> 00:09:59,523 currencies so it's one of the main exports of Australia so 79 00:06:45,023 --> 00:06:50,943 factors usually start to see drop it a drop in in price for 80 00:08:05,983 --> 00:08:09,343 website called bar chart. com. Then at the top of it you've 81 00:08:52,723 --> 00:08:56,643 future's contracts the relevant ones are going to be the ones 82 00:06:59,023 --> 00:07:02,903 direction of the CXY because it's such a large export of 83 00:09:43,903 --> 00:09:49,263 like to also explore a bit about the eye and awe 84 00:07:16,163 --> 00:07:21,283 have a clear understanding of USDAD and this is USDCAD is one 85 00:05:08,003 --> 00:05:11,003 oil. So you've got two different types. You've got US 86 00:03:06,303 --> 00:03:09,543 and everything like that. But it's main use is as a source of 87 00:07:48,383 --> 00:07:52,663 pairs or futures contracts we call it because this is how 88 00:08:12,463 --> 00:08:17,143 there. Then when you click that click the commodity that you 89 00:08:17,143 --> 00:08:19,343 want to look at so it's going to have a range it might 90 00:07:28,483 --> 00:07:32,963 technical strategy it moves quite a lot you know although 91 00:06:35,023 --> 00:06:40,583 can expect that the price of oil will drop because as supply 92 00:07:40,323 --> 00:07:42,683 can actually understand how it's moving and why it's 93 00:06:16,283 --> 00:06:20,483 when it comes to understanding US oil you need to look at the 94 00:05:56,303 --> 00:05:59,943 on a lower time frame maybe that kind of confirmation but 95 00:07:07,803 --> 00:07:12,483 these so if you can understand the fundamentals of oil and 96 00:08:56,643 --> 00:09:01,043 that are traded at the time then you open up the chart in 97 00:09:14,183 --> 00:09:18,903 previously or as I'm going to explore you start to look at 98 00:05:25,403 --> 00:05:30,383 see. The the main correlations with that is of course you've 99 00:07:59,183 --> 00:08:03,183 different from what we trade in Forex. Um but yeah if you're 100 00:08:23,703 --> 00:08:27,383 you click on that then you get the relevant contract month and 101 00:06:25,683 --> 00:06:31,383 they're like the Fed of of oil they look at supply and demand 102 00:04:28,043 --> 00:04:33,723 DXY is the understanding of investment and where people put 103 00:08:03,183 --> 00:08:05,983 wanting to search them up what you do is you go on this 104 00:06:31,383 --> 00:06:35,023 of it so of course when they increase supply for example you 105 00:04:45,123 --> 00:04:50,403 Now for oil so gold obviously provides diversification in the 106 00:06:50,943 --> 00:06:54,343 example and obviously vice versa so that's one thing that 107 00:05:20,483 --> 00:05:25,403 call it sweeter than the US oil or the WTI that we start to 108 00:04:33,723 --> 00:04:37,683 their money are they put it in is it a risk on or risk off 109 00:08:50,163 --> 00:08:52,723 that up to the time that you're in right now because the 110 00:04:22,923 --> 00:04:28,043 DXY as well now the main correlation between XAU USD and 111 00:04:58,323 --> 00:05:01,203 correlated during periods of stress. That point right there 112 00:03:52,403 --> 00:03:57,123 the directional bias now don't take this as gospel you know 113 00:05:35,543 --> 00:05:38,423 oil so in this case we're going to be looking at CAD 114 00:04:12,363 --> 00:04:16,123 point of interest and AED USD enter higher time frame point 115 00:04:19,483 --> 00:04:22,923 some kind of movement in the same direction same thing for 116 00:04:50,403 --> 00:04:54,923 portfolio and it's correlated with the stock market during 117 00:04:37,683 --> 00:04:40,763 environment and what does that entail obviously look back to 118 00:04:40,763 --> 00:04:45,123 our first lesson where we looked at risk on and risk off 119 00:05:51,143 --> 00:05:56,303 and start to look at that so as again you're not going to see 120 00:05:43,343 --> 00:05:47,543 Arabia and Russia but personally I don't trade I 121 00:09:29,023 --> 00:09:32,223 can you use it for commodity pairs but you can also look at 122 00:05:30,383 --> 00:05:35,543 got to look at the the economies that export a lot of 123 00:05:16,683 --> 00:05:20,483 just different types of oil. I believe Brent oil is a bit they 124 00:08:39,263 --> 00:08:43,743 every few months or every month it just depends on the type of 125 00:02:27,083 --> 00:02:30,683 so in terms of gold this is one of the most heavily traded 126 00:04:04,843 --> 00:04:12,363 confirmation so if for example we gold enter higher time frame 127 00:08:09,343 --> 00:08:12,463 got the commodity pull down bar. So you click that right 128 00:05:04,763 --> 00:05:08,003 as you can obviously realize however now we're looking at 129 00:03:48,603 --> 00:03:52,403 movements however they are going to be quite similar in 130 00:02:05,743 --> 00:02:10,043 United States it do quite a lot of goods but especially when it 131 00:05:59,943 --> 00:06:02,363 on the high time frames and understanding that the 132 00:03:30,183 --> 00:03:34,743 XAU and UST. As you get that on the downturn you start to see 133 00:02:58,983 --> 00:03:03,543 that you must be aware of in fundamentals. It's mainly its 134 00:03:17,703 --> 00:03:21,503 you go to see certain types of investments that happen and one 135 00:03:45,363 --> 00:03:48,603 of that bias of course you're not going to get the same exact 136 00:03:41,803 --> 00:03:45,363 usually you'd start to see some kind of similarities in terms 137 00:02:18,723 --> 00:02:21,443 here that we look at and of course you've gotten to 138 00:03:21,503 --> 00:03:25,463 of them in particular is gold. So what you're going to see is 139 00:03:09,543 --> 00:03:13,943 investment as and as a hedge against inflation. So as we 140 00:03:25,463 --> 00:03:30,183 these types of correlations. As gold in this example you get 141 00:03:13,943 --> 00:03:17,703 understand when there's high inflation around the world you 142 00:03:34,743 --> 00:03:41,803 DXY buying up. Then if you compare gold and also AED USD 143 00:02:55,623 --> 00:02:58,983 and everything like that. So gold is an essential commodity 144 00:02:35,923 --> 00:02:41,083 know you know you can get a 200 pit move in impossibly 10 145 00:02:21,443 --> 00:02:27,083 understand the main the main ones from each sort of ex water 146 00:02:30,683 --> 00:02:35,923 commodities in the world it moves very very quickly as we 147 00:02:41,083 --> 00:02:44,043 minutes, whereas you might not get a 200 pit move in a whole 148 00:02:48,383 --> 00:02:51,503 you've got to be you know quite experienced to understand how 149 00:02:02,063 --> 00:02:05,743 Saudi Arabia of course you know it's all about the oil and the 150 00:01:49,663 --> 00:01:53,343 Dairy National Index or something like that that we 151 00:02:44,043 --> 00:02:48,383 week on Euro USD for example so that is very volatile and 152 00:02:10,043 --> 00:02:14,843 comes to technological goods but of course they import quite 153 00:02:14,843 --> 00:02:18,723 a lot as well so I would say it's more these markets right 154 00:01:31,083 --> 00:01:38,303 when it comes to Canada we look at their oil in particular when 155 00:01:38,303 --> 00:01:42,263 it comes to Australia you look at iron ore and gold New 156 00:01:53,343 --> 00:02:02,063 look at for Russia it's natural gas and their oil products 157 00:01:42,263 --> 00:01:49,663 Zealand is the dairy products which is the dairy New Zealand 158 00:01:07,803 --> 00:01:12,843 exporters when you have a look at some of the main exporters 159 00:01:20,963 --> 00:01:26,803 which is ZA are on the currency pair they do a lot of gold 160 00:01:03,623 --> 00:01:07,803 few others that we're going to be looking at. So the main 161 00:01:12,843 --> 00:01:16,763 in the world and especially when you know you can actually 162 00:01:26,803 --> 00:01:31,083 diamonds platinum and a few others but particularly gold 163 00:01:16,763 --> 00:01:20,963 trade them pairs these are the ones we look at so South Africa 164 00:00:59,823 --> 00:01:03,623 prominent with the the Australian market and with a 165 00:00:55,463 --> 00:00:59,823 natural gas and then iron oil. Now iron oil is particularly 166 00:00:51,703 --> 00:00:55,463 It's the one from the UK. Then you've got gold and silver, 167 00:00:48,343 --> 00:00:51,703 Oil which is Brent Oil is just a different version of the oil. 168 00:00:24,863 --> 00:00:28,663 currency's endogenous factors. So what that means is the 169 00:00:44,423 --> 00:00:48,343 and the main commodities that we look at is crude oil, Brent 170 00:00:39,903 --> 00:00:44,423 all Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Japan and United States 171 00:00:28,663 --> 00:00:32,023 domestic sort of workings and what's going on inside their 172 00:00:22,143 --> 00:00:24,863 this can give us an insight into the fundamentals of a 173 00:00:35,463 --> 00:00:39,903 comparing commodities and certain economies is first of 174 00:00:32,023 --> 00:00:35,463 economy. The main countries that we look at in terms of 175 00:00:15,983 --> 00:00:19,023 commodity rich countries that export a lot have a large 176 00:00:19,023 --> 00:00:22,143 amount of confluence with certain commodity pairs. Now 177 00:00:12,783 --> 00:00:15,983 what markets are affected by commodities? Generally 178 00:00:01,223 --> 00:00:04,723 Yes, hello everyone. Welcome to the next video. So in this one 179 00:00:07,403 --> 00:00:12,783 correlations which is commodities and currencies. So 180 00:00:04,723 --> 00:00:07,403 we're going to be looking at the next asset class 181 00:12:13,803 --> 00:12:16,683 see you in the next video. 16959

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