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like I was saying over here
right some people may not view
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00:26:26,988 --> 00:26:29,768
that as a swing pullback some
people may view that just as a
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00:26:07,388 --> 00:26:10,028
have the stats yeah I just
can't recommend enough that you
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Um but yeah keen to see what
you guys come up with. Um yeah
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and yeah I'll be really
interested to see what stats
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course we start to apply
multi-time frame analysis to
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00:26:32,328 --> 00:26:34,928
more aggressive. So there will
always be slight differences.
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because everyone will view
structures slightly differently
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00:26:19,868 --> 00:26:21,708
everyone's going to have
slightly different stats here
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do this but I'll stop ranting
now I'll let you get on with it
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00:26:05,188 --> 00:26:07,388
would have already done the
hard work and you will already
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ahead of time that price isn't
likely to pull back but you
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you get because of course
there's going to be you know
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a break of structure. Um you
know some people may be even
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on that so you have a really
good idea about that okay yeah
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apply liquidity concepts you
will then have such a great
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00:25:58,568 --> 00:26:02,548
understanding of you know when
you can see but and anticipate
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00:25:45,248 --> 00:25:47,728
structure do it just on one
time frame right I'd recommend
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and see what stats you get. So
yeah put some nice music on and
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00:25:53,208 --> 00:25:55,408
this we start to apply supply
and demand and we start to
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separate column where you're
purely just looking at the
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00:25:20,188 --> 00:25:22,948
hours spend structure have a
total number where you've
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00:25:14,708 --> 00:25:17,228
whatever and then you will
eventually come to a total
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the four hour time frame and
then again as we go through the
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00:26:12,348 --> 00:26:14,148
yeah and let me know how you
get on you know check your
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00:26:14,148 --> 00:26:16,148
charts into the community if
you want any feedback as well
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advanced right and then you can
start looking at minor brake
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structure and things like that
but I think that's a little bit
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did so I'll be just put you
know the tick beside the swing
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00:25:36,048 --> 00:25:38,608
and so on and so forth and then
if you want to be really
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overkill for now just
concentrate on your swing
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00:25:29,828 --> 00:25:32,808
first initial change right and
then you'll collect the stats
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00:24:49,568 --> 00:24:53,888
right so that swing low didn't
pull back to be fair that one
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00:25:25,428 --> 00:25:27,508
you can get a bit more advance
and you may want to have a
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00:25:07,868 --> 00:25:10,068
know what we're trying to call
stats on then you can quickly
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00:25:22,948 --> 00:25:25,428
collected and you know what
percentage in general and then
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00:25:10,068 --> 00:25:12,668
go back and see you can count
them all up right so you have
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00:25:01,668 --> 00:25:04,508
one should go there right so
that one doesn't pull back to
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00:25:17,228 --> 00:25:20,188
percentage okay so I would just
do it very simply for the four
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00:24:26,768 --> 00:24:31,108
and right maybe make it a
little bit bigger whatever save
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00:24:33,468 --> 00:24:36,108
didn't come back that case it
didn't this case it did so
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00:25:04,508 --> 00:25:07,868
the the the EQ's into the
discount so in terms of you
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00:25:12,668 --> 00:25:14,708
one column with all the ticks
or one column with all the Xs
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00:24:46,848 --> 00:24:49,568
you may want to put that in all
the places where it didn't
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00:24:38,228 --> 00:24:43,348
each swing low and then maybe
you you want to put like a
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00:24:56,288 --> 00:25:01,668
low just so you know exactly
what it's referring to so that
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00:24:31,108 --> 00:24:33,468
it down as a template and you
can go well in that case it
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00:24:43,348 --> 00:24:46,848
cross just make it nice and red
keep it pretty right and then
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00:24:36,108 --> 00:24:38,228
maybe you want to put like a
little tick there be beside
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00:24:24,208 --> 00:24:26,768
on and you can even you know
change that to green be nice
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00:24:21,328 --> 00:24:24,208
you want to use this icon here
right as each time you draw it
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00:24:18,688 --> 00:24:21,328
now or do it as you go along
and you know take a tick maybe
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00:24:13,008 --> 00:24:15,728
on a piece of paper right be a
bit old school is do this and
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00:24:11,168 --> 00:24:13,008
want to do it notion on a
spreadsheet or literally just
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00:24:08,808 --> 00:24:11,168
what I would do right however
you want to do it whether you
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00:23:50,908 --> 00:23:53,788
it and you have that percentage
figure staring back at you and
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00:24:15,728 --> 00:24:18,688
then you can either do it the
end like I'm going to show you
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00:24:05,768 --> 00:24:08,808
edge in your favor yeah and you
can trade with confidence so
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00:23:59,728 --> 00:24:02,768
everything that we've looked at
in trading an edge and then you
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00:23:56,108 --> 00:23:59,728
to take that long-term focus on
the law of large numbers right
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00:24:02,768 --> 00:24:05,768
can be the casino right rather
than the gambler you have the
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00:23:44,308 --> 00:23:46,908
doubts because you've done the
hard work now, you've collected
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00:23:53,788 --> 00:23:56,108
you can use that with
confidence and that helps you
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00:23:49,028 --> 00:23:50,908
can look at your trade plan
wherever you're going to record
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00:23:42,068 --> 00:23:44,308
sabotaging yourself and you
know, having those ifs and
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00:23:46,908 --> 00:23:49,028
that color data and you can
look at your spreadsheet, you
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00:23:38,468 --> 00:23:42,068
that highest probability of you
know, having success and not
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00:23:32,508 --> 00:23:35,628
going to run into but if you
have cold, hard, mechanical
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00:23:29,548 --> 00:23:32,508
capital, the more psychological
issues you are potentially
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00:23:35,628 --> 00:23:38,468
data to back that up, right?
You're going to give yourself
71
00:23:24,888 --> 00:23:29,548
910 whatever figures right The
higher you go with that account
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00:23:21,608 --> 00:23:24,888
to be a professional trader and
you want to trade 678 you know
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00:23:18,688 --> 00:23:21,608
wonders for your psychology
right because if your goal is
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00:23:16,088 --> 00:23:18,688
that move is going to continue
right so that is going to do
75
00:23:03,328 --> 00:23:05,648
know build that portfolio of
evidence then you're happy to
76
00:23:00,568 --> 00:23:03,328
maybe you want to see a bit few
more other things to to you
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00:22:57,308 --> 00:23:00,568
and rather than you waiting you
have than conviction you know
78
00:23:13,008 --> 00:23:16,088
will know with X percentage
probability you know how likely
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00:23:09,448 --> 00:23:13,008
data rather that be 2345 10
years, however much you do you
80
00:22:52,428 --> 00:22:54,948
looking to get long you can
know maybe at the start of
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00:23:05,648 --> 00:23:09,448
get in long here because you
know over X amount of years of
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00:22:54,948 --> 00:22:57,308
trends how often it does pull
back and how often it doesn't
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00:22:48,508 --> 00:22:52,428
market because if you're seeing
this move here right and you're
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00:22:41,668 --> 00:22:45,188
your dollar on the four hour
chart it does that X percentage
85
00:22:45,188 --> 00:22:48,508
amount of times then you have
so much confidence in the
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00:22:38,268 --> 00:22:41,668
premium prices in a bearish
trend and you know that okay on
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00:22:35,628 --> 00:22:38,268
bullish trend and how often
price will pull back up to the
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00:22:32,628 --> 00:22:35,628
often price will pull back to
the discounted prices in a
89
00:22:29,388 --> 00:22:32,628
hard work and you have the hard
cold data to back it up of how
90
00:22:27,248 --> 00:22:29,388
proved it to your mind right
you've gone in there on the
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00:22:21,328 --> 00:22:24,088
**** seriously right this is a
professional business collect
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00:22:24,088 --> 00:22:27,248
the data do the work and then
when you have that data you've
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00:22:04,688 --> 00:22:07,088
on the four hour chart probably
won't actually take you as long
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00:22:18,408 --> 00:22:21,328
as you know for your for your
future self right take this
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00:22:10,648 --> 00:22:12,368
going to be the pair that you
want to concentrate on or
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00:22:15,408 --> 00:22:18,408
hours put some music on enjoy
it see it as an investment as
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00:22:07,088 --> 00:22:10,648
as you think but you know
literally if your dollar's
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00:22:12,368 --> 00:22:15,408
whatever pair it is you know
it's only going to take a few
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00:22:01,848 --> 00:22:04,688
of data there not over just
under 10 years of data you know
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00:21:55,348 --> 00:21:58,868
data feed the four hour chart
goes all the way back to two
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00:21:48,788 --> 00:21:51,868
with your swing structure is go
further back collect as much
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00:21:51,868 --> 00:21:55,348
data as possible you know I
believe on on this Forex. com
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00:21:46,548 --> 00:21:48,788
what I would also recommend if
you haven't done so already
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00:21:58,868 --> 00:22:01,848
thousand and 13 right so you
can get you know over 10 years
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00:21:43,788 --> 00:21:46,548
should have marked on your
charts draw all of these on and
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00:21:41,588 --> 00:21:43,788
go back through the the swing
structure that hopefully you
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00:21:38,468 --> 00:21:41,588
can really kind of piece the
puzzles together so obviously
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00:21:35,388 --> 00:21:38,468
start to build on this more
with more concepts yeah and we
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00:21:33,308 --> 00:21:35,388
but it can be very very
powerful especially when we
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00:21:30,748 --> 00:21:33,308
yeah hopefully that's you know
it's a reasonably simple tool
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structure so now at this point
we can mark out the low to the
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00:21:24,408 --> 00:21:26,688
high to the low right and then
we can expect potentially price
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00:21:26,688 --> 00:21:30,748
to pull back up to those
premium prices again okay so
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00:21:15,328 --> 00:21:17,928
and so forth and of course
we'll be using multi-time frame
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00:21:17,928 --> 00:21:20,608
analysis as we go on and then
we get another break of
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00:21:13,328 --> 00:21:15,328
you can look at the
substructure breaks and so on
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00:21:09,848 --> 00:21:13,328
of character really until down
around here right but you know
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00:21:07,328 --> 00:21:09,848
get a minor break of structure
you know another kind of change
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00:21:04,208 --> 00:21:07,328
shorts to then take this to the
downside yeah and then we don't
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00:21:01,848 --> 00:21:04,208
you that's you know high enough
probability to still look for
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going to have to decide whether
or not that's still okay for
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low to do what to target the
four hour pull back back up
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the internal leg right we can
wait for price and then pull
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into premium prices right so
you can see it just misses it
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00:20:57,728 --> 00:20:59,808
by a few pips but again you
know this is where you're
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back into the discount of this
internal leg right this
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00:20:48,328 --> 00:20:51,408
internal structure then we can
look to buy that internal high
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00:20:36,968 --> 00:20:41,128
of character so then what can
we look to do we can then mark
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00:20:31,728 --> 00:20:34,608
minor break of structure right
because we break the high the
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minor high within that swing
leg so that gives us our change
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that is our high there price
then takes that it gives us our
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pullback how do we know that
four hour pullback is about to
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we get that we get the minor
low minor pullback we take the
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they don't care for price to
come all the way back up here
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minor low because we took a low
that means there must be a high
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high to the low right what can
we do we what do we expect
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from the low to the high right
and we can then look to
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after a four hour break of
structure we expect a four hour
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4 hour trend change so that
point we are bullish we draw
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in this case price ends up
going lower and we do get a
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expect we expect a four hour
pullback how can we anticipate
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flow starting to kick in and we
can look to target the EQ but
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right because we get that first
initial change of character
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prices or because there's so
much momentum actually you know
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and then we fall back down
again right almost there draw
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you know what sellers want to
step in right they they don't
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potentially take control and
then we do give it that initial
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technically make it right it it
came up to a decent area value
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to the discount prices there
for me personally and then in
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alright and then we get that
change of character to downside
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they're just stopping the
sellers from driving price any
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potentially short back down
into those discount prices
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from the low to the high up
into the premium prices and
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and then we start to kind of
fall a little bit more
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kick in we can look for a
change of character so where do
156
00:18:41,328 --> 00:18:43,528
you know maybe that's enough
for you to then look to want to
157
00:17:09,608 --> 00:17:12,768
into the premium what do we get
lower high forming in the
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the swing low there and we pull
back up into the premium prices
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you'll see sometimes we do and
sometimes we don't then we're
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in this next swing range here
of course we do pull back up to
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does pull back to to pass the
EQ or not okay so although I
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us more confirmation we look
for a change of character to
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right where buyers are going to
want to wait for those premium
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has to pull back a little bit
right buyers cannot generate
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adding these sort of layers of
you know analysis to help us
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to take shorts so where can we
target well let's say we got in
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00:17:40,808 --> 00:17:43,248
said it's not valid in terms of
that of course you can still
168
00:15:21,028 --> 00:15:23,308
could be looking for long term
here but it ends ends up
169
00:15:15,968 --> 00:15:21,028
come down to below the the the
EQ we are in discount prices we
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right collect the stats on this
do the hard work how often on
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so sub low is the most
aggressive but we get one there
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discount then we're then when
we are into the discount right
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right now we have our four hour
break of structure what do we
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high to the the swing sorry the
swing low to the swing high
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must have a minor high that is
where our minor high is so then
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we do try to sell off when we
get to the premium right and we
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remember we spoke about this
before is this substructure low
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sense to you so again we have
massive massive momentum here
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00:16:51,648 --> 00:16:54,488
prices of the internal leg but
also in the premium prices
180
00:16:38,348 --> 00:16:40,988
change of character to the
downside with that minor break
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00:16:48,888 --> 00:16:51,648
up to form that lower high
comes back into the premium
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00:19:34,668 --> 00:19:37,368
ups are right multiple in a row
you can those high lows
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00:15:35,828 --> 00:15:38,108
one we looked at here where we
got that first initial bullish
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are starting to run out of
steam and that's why we only
185
00:16:30,228 --> 00:16:33,588
because what happens price
pushes down now you have a bit
186
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get short and you're happy to
sell within the discount prices
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00:16:35,948 --> 00:16:38,348
we're in the premium prices of
the swing leg we've had a
188
00:12:32,288 --> 00:12:35,328
we look for price to come back
up yeah that's you know
189
00:12:42,968 --> 00:12:45,608
how often when we get that
first initial trend change
190
00:17:21,088 --> 00:17:24,848
week low right as a minimum
again and again and again just
191
00:18:12,028 --> 00:18:14,708
momentum that we are going to
get a steep enough pullback
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00:17:00,648 --> 00:17:03,328
potential you can be in the
long term bearish trend change
193
00:17:05,928 --> 00:17:09,608
starting to piece together new
swing range here again come up
194
00:19:10,188 --> 00:19:12,628
then we sell off then of course
in this case we do come up to
195
00:16:27,548 --> 00:16:30,228
premium versus discount on
those internal legs right
196
00:16:40,988 --> 00:16:43,388
of structure here so we've
moved down we don't just
197
00:17:45,288 --> 00:17:48,328
you're just going to have to
work out you know are you
198
00:19:12,628 --> 00:19:15,148
the premium prices don't
actually draw it on so it's to
199
00:14:28,868 --> 00:14:31,108
the upside right we look for
that break of structure so we
200
00:13:21,268 --> 00:13:24,108
that swing run is over and the
four hour pullback is kicking
201
00:12:56,008 --> 00:12:58,648
right or to the discount over
long and yeah and you and
202
00:16:09,408 --> 00:16:12,008
initial trend change right so
now the longer term trend is
203
00:16:58,328 --> 00:17:00,648
at a minimum target of the
swing low here with the
204
00:16:19,308 --> 00:16:22,068
be looking to sell for how do
we know now that the lower high
205
00:15:23,308 --> 00:15:26,548
turning into a bearish reversal
so we mark out the low to the
206
00:18:32,528 --> 00:18:35,728
enough demands right to push
price up higher and then we get
207
00:12:23,768 --> 00:12:25,848
this case of course we do come
back down to the discount
208
00:16:33,588 --> 00:16:35,948
more confidence that lower high
is going to form why because
209
00:17:12,768 --> 00:17:15,648
premium change the character to
the downside we can then mark
210
00:12:00,108 --> 00:12:02,948
the rest of these and yeah
we'll just kind of finish it
211
00:16:15,248 --> 00:16:19,308
up to the premium we get that
nice you know premium prices to
212
00:13:30,548 --> 00:13:33,148
here but even then we we barely
take it we just about wick it
213
00:15:49,808 --> 00:15:53,208
what we'd want to see then we
do get that first initial trend
214
00:17:15,648 --> 00:17:18,368
the internal leg what do we do
we pull back up into the
215
00:15:58,608 --> 00:16:01,288
it's quite later on in that
initial trend so you know
216
00:15:41,068 --> 00:15:43,868
first initial bearish trend
change here price didn't
217
00:16:24,868 --> 00:16:27,548
and we push down and now this
is when you can even use the
218
00:20:06,288 --> 00:20:10,328
full on reversal so now we are
bearish again we draw from the
219
00:13:33,148 --> 00:13:35,708
because all of these candles
here right they all break the
220
00:09:01,188 --> 00:09:05,908
then pull back to the to to the
discount or to the premium
221
00:19:58,288 --> 00:20:00,848
another one another one showing
you you know that bearish order
222
00:19:18,148 --> 00:19:22,428
don't know why I haven't got my
little circle on there we go so
223
00:15:53,208 --> 00:15:55,728
change again here but we do
come back this time right but
224
00:15:38,108 --> 00:15:41,068
trend change right price didn't
come back down then we got that
225
00:19:24,668 --> 00:19:26,948
try to go down but remember we
spoke about this this is when
226
00:14:34,588 --> 00:14:37,308
take a low right this low here
what does that mean it means we
227
00:18:59,688 --> 00:19:02,528
correctively now right pull
back up into the premium prices
228
00:18:51,048 --> 00:18:54,368
low to the swing high what do
we do pull back up into the
229
00:12:09,508 --> 00:12:14,548
move to the upside this time
just about miss it or do we
230
00:13:38,228 --> 00:13:40,948
nothing in this leg on the four
hour leg for price to break in
231
00:11:36,168 --> 00:11:38,088
maybe going through this and
you're going you know how
232
00:15:05,408 --> 00:15:08,768
pieces of the puzzle are slowly
coming together so in this case
233
00:18:35,728 --> 00:18:38,488
those trades short right so
when you see a lot of momentum
234
00:17:51,888 --> 00:17:54,628
going to be happy to sell a
discount there are going to be
235
00:09:15,848 --> 00:09:19,608
momentum at the start of the
new trend okay so now we are
236
00:19:31,348 --> 00:19:34,668
lower we then start to get
those internal it breaks the
237
00:19:56,128 --> 00:19:58,288
that first minor break of
structure we get another one
238
00:14:55,408 --> 00:14:58,608
starting but now we're
overlaying premium and discount
239
00:18:09,028 --> 00:18:12,028
theoretically what is the
likelihood with that amount of
240
00:13:55,168 --> 00:13:56,968
just the first one or
potentially the second
241
00:10:46,048 --> 00:10:49,188
back down to here but if you
see certain things and ticks
242
00:17:18,368 --> 00:17:21,088
premium of the internal leg we
look to get short target that
243
00:15:01,568 --> 00:15:05,408
good areas of value okay so you
can start to see now how these
244
00:14:23,908 --> 00:14:26,428
an indication that that high
low may have now formed to give
245
00:18:05,468 --> 00:18:09,028
and this we have to where you
have to kind of ask yourself
246
00:16:54,488 --> 00:16:58,328
right of the swing leg that's
now a high probability to look
247
00:14:43,828 --> 00:14:46,268
the same thing again and again
using those changes of
248
00:17:58,708 --> 00:18:02,748
out yourself and collect those
stats and see what makes most
249
00:17:34,408 --> 00:17:37,288
you know trying to count the
stats here right of whether it
250
00:15:26,548 --> 00:15:29,748
high and in this case right we
do we get that trend change now
251
00:15:32,988 --> 00:15:35,828
we do pull back up into the
premium so remember the first
252
00:16:12,008 --> 00:16:15,248
starting to end but in this
case we do actually pull back
253
00:18:46,368 --> 00:18:51,048
of this four hour leg right
then we are within the swing
254
00:16:45,908 --> 00:16:48,888
mark out the internal leg right
we wait for price to pull back
255
00:14:52,888 --> 00:14:55,408
when the pullback may be over
and the next swing run is
256
00:17:28,248 --> 00:17:31,688
right this time we don't quite
make it the EQ but not quite so
257
00:12:50,408 --> 00:12:53,168
you're a dollar right how often
on that first initial trend
258
00:17:43,248 --> 00:17:45,288
look to take these trades and
this is what I mean right
259
00:17:48,328 --> 00:17:51,888
going to be happy to sell in
those low prices right are you
260
00:18:54,368 --> 00:18:57,368
premium and then that is enough
for sellers to step in again
261
00:17:31,688 --> 00:17:34,408
technically not a valid
pullback to in terms of just
262
00:16:06,848 --> 00:16:09,408
get another couple breaks of
structure and then we get that
263
00:17:56,708 --> 00:17:58,708
reward okay so this is what
you're going to have to figure
264
00:15:29,748 --> 00:15:32,988
this is a case where it is the
first initial trend change but
265
00:15:47,028 --> 00:15:49,808
but not quite into the EQ and
premium right which is ideally
266
00:16:43,388 --> 00:16:45,908
want to jump in sell straight
away so what can we do we can
267
00:14:17,968 --> 00:14:20,548
potential higher low right we
know we're in good areas of
268
00:14:46,268 --> 00:14:50,568
character those internal breaks
of structure to signify when
269
00:15:08,768 --> 00:15:11,768
we don't come down to the EQ
right and we continue to go up
270
00:12:29,808 --> 00:12:32,288
bearish we might from the high
down to the low okay and then
271
00:16:22,068 --> 00:16:24,868
may be forming we get a change
of characters of downside right
272
00:11:57,308 --> 00:12:00,108
yeah really is so anyway let's
just kind of quickly go through
273
00:14:14,848 --> 00:14:17,968
we know that this is a good
time to start looking for that
274
00:12:53,168 --> 00:12:56,008
change does price pull back to
the premium if we're short
275
00:14:05,848 --> 00:14:08,848
because you expect it to get
run next target can be down
276
00:13:04,328 --> 00:13:07,768
the premium but it ends up
being another reversal as that
277
00:16:01,288 --> 00:16:04,608
that's probably why actually it
does pull back right because we
278
00:12:02,948 --> 00:12:06,548
off so in this case we do come
back to the DEQ we come down
279
00:14:58,608 --> 00:15:01,568
to give us that little extra
edge to show us where ER in
280
00:13:56,968 --> 00:13:59,968
substructure break that may be
enough for you to want to look
281
00:19:37,368 --> 00:19:39,808
starting to hold showing you
that the buyers are starting to
282
00:15:55,728 --> 00:15:58,608
if you're looking at kind of
the long term trend you know
283
00:14:20,548 --> 00:14:23,908
value for buyers to step in
what can we look for to give us
284
00:14:31,108 --> 00:14:34,588
have a minor pullback we then
take that minor low because we
285
00:13:27,268 --> 00:13:30,548
get a minor break of structure
really until potentially down
286
00:14:50,568 --> 00:14:52,888
the swing one is over and when
the pullback starting and then
287
00:13:07,768 --> 00:13:10,928
bearish for our trend is short
lived so now we can mark the
288
00:12:37,648 --> 00:12:40,048
that short we would want to try
and see if pricing come can
289
00:13:52,488 --> 00:13:55,168
and then we get another one
here potentially when you see
290
00:14:03,248 --> 00:14:05,848
short here first minimum target
can be that week low right
291
00:15:11,768 --> 00:15:15,968
and then here alright we do if
we can get it to draw on we do
292
00:12:06,548 --> 00:12:09,508
into discount prices and then
buy a step in to fuel that next
293
00:12:48,688 --> 00:12:50,408
the pair that you are
interested in so in this case
294
00:14:08,848 --> 00:14:11,448
towards the EQ of the range or
you know further down into the
295
00:11:48,388 --> 00:11:50,428
bit right and then we have to
look at the premium discounts
296
00:13:24,108 --> 00:13:27,268
in well we can look at internal
breaks of structure so we don't
297
00:12:40,048 --> 00:12:42,968
come up but remember what I
said you want to be looking at
298
00:08:01,368 --> 00:08:03,928
the upside and then we run that
high and we get a high high so
299
00:13:47,348 --> 00:13:49,988
right because we come down and
then we take out that low there
300
00:19:26,948 --> 00:19:29,308
buyers keep stepping in you can
see those big wicks right
301
00:13:35,708 --> 00:13:38,228
prior candles high so it's all
part of the up move so there's
302
00:14:40,348 --> 00:14:43,828
we take the high we pull back
in and then we go right so it's
303
00:13:40,948 --> 00:13:44,228
terms of minor breaks of
structure all we really get
304
00:11:33,848 --> 00:11:36,168
want to be thinking about just
yet is just because some of you
305
00:12:25,848 --> 00:12:29,808
prices but it ends up being a
full on reversal so now we are
306
00:12:35,328 --> 00:12:37,648
reasonably close it's not ideal
I you know we were looking for
307
00:17:54,628 --> 00:17:56,708
times plenty of times where if
you still get massive risk
308
00:18:26,328 --> 00:18:29,168
the trend is so strong they
want to get in short price only
309
00:17:03,328 --> 00:17:05,928
right so you can really see
hopefully now how this is all
310
00:07:37,268 --> 00:07:40,388
this and then you know we still
at this point purely just
311
00:09:48,088 --> 00:09:51,288
concepts and more tools that
are going to help you as well
312
00:06:39,708 --> 00:06:42,348
start to get that that pull
back down here so we can mark
313
00:10:52,228 --> 00:10:54,508
look at liquidity sweeps when
we look at where there is
314
00:11:05,268 --> 00:11:07,948
these other concepts we're
about to learn and that's okay
315
00:11:27,488 --> 00:11:30,168
getting a little bit ahead of
myself here and talking about
316
00:11:14,148 --> 00:11:16,108
know you have to take
everything as a whole and we're
317
00:10:19,208 --> 00:10:22,128
wrong with that in fact you
know I would advise that for a
318
00:11:07,948 --> 00:11:11,228
so now that has statch
probability enough in my favor
319
00:08:15,828 --> 00:08:18,388
cheap prices in the discount
but like I said payment
320
00:06:49,888 --> 00:06:52,528
the pullbacks kicking in and we
pull back up into the premium
321
00:10:02,448 --> 00:10:04,648
the discount if you're getting
long because you know like I
322
00:11:24,208 --> 00:11:27,488
favor as much as possible okay
so the reason why I'm kind of
323
00:12:14,548 --> 00:12:17,368
come to it yeah the EQ right
again not going to be picture
324
00:11:20,368 --> 00:11:24,208
tick to start to tip those
those probability scales in our
325
00:07:20,588 --> 00:07:23,668
be consistent then we are
within this swing range here
326
00:10:40,048 --> 00:10:43,528
in this case right we are
playing in this swing range
327
00:10:32,568 --> 00:10:36,808
and demand right that is
going to increase your or
328
00:07:32,388 --> 00:07:34,628
minor breaker structure there
had another minor break of
329
00:10:26,728 --> 00:10:29,688
highest strike rate okay but as
you go on you will you will
330
00:07:58,968 --> 00:08:01,368
probabilities we end up getting
another change of character to
331
00:08:55,188 --> 00:08:57,748
the momentum is very high.
Obviously buyers are stepping
332
00:06:47,888 --> 00:06:49,888
structure to the upside that
change of characters to show
333
00:07:08,648 --> 00:07:11,568
range so that swing highs all
the way up here all the way
334
00:10:49,188 --> 00:10:52,228
and boxes are ticked in your
trade pan that occur when we
335
00:09:56,568 --> 00:09:59,328
suddenly you'll see actually
you know it's not looking
336
00:12:17,368 --> 00:12:20,168
perfect but I would pretty much
count that as coming back down
337
00:07:16,988 --> 00:07:20,588
pack swing pull back that's
okay but again just remember to
338
00:11:50,428 --> 00:11:52,908
of multiple time frames that is
when it becomes very very
339
00:09:29,568 --> 00:09:32,448
buyers and that gives us the
fuel to then go up to the next
340
00:10:10,048 --> 00:10:12,528
some of you may only want to
trade pro trading for example
341
00:10:24,448 --> 00:10:26,728
going to give you your highest
possibility of having that that
342
00:09:41,928 --> 00:09:45,008
through the course and of
course through the course of as
343
00:09:10,428 --> 00:09:13,788
those new trends how often you
know is it likely that price is
344
00:10:57,068 --> 00:11:00,148
okay it's not ideal that I'll
be buying here like looking to
345
00:09:26,088 --> 00:09:29,568
leg right and then that it
comes down to cheap prices for
346
00:10:54,508 --> 00:10:57,068
supply and demand and you see
that happen then you can go
347
00:11:00,148 --> 00:11:02,228
buy here in the premium and it
could be a bit early and we
348
00:08:49,548 --> 00:08:52,588
things you may notice is that
the start of new trends right
349
00:07:45,528 --> 00:07:48,368
high will hold until it doesn't
so when prices in premium
350
00:10:22,128 --> 00:10:24,448
lot of you even when you're
starting out because that is
351
00:11:30,168 --> 00:11:33,848
other concepts that we haven't
looked at or or really we
352
00:11:40,568 --> 00:11:43,448
maybe doesn't pull back that
often but as we start to bring
353
00:09:39,568 --> 00:09:41,928
getting a little bit ahead of
myself here but as we go
354
00:11:43,448 --> 00:11:45,328
in those other things
especially when we look at
355
00:11:11,228 --> 00:11:14,148
to be happy buying in the
premium okay so that's why you
356
00:11:16,108 --> 00:11:20,368
always to build that portfolio
of evidence to start to tick
357
00:09:34,608 --> 00:09:39,568
EQ right now one one other kind
of thing I'll say is again
358
00:09:51,288 --> 00:09:56,568
to identify and you'll see what
is forming on price action then
359
00:09:32,448 --> 00:09:34,608
move now in this case you can
see we didn't come back to the
360
00:10:29,688 --> 00:10:32,568
learn concepts such as you know
liquidity concepts and supply
361
00:08:33,228 --> 00:08:36,668
commonalities am I seeing when
price is not pulling back
362
00:10:04,648 --> 00:10:06,768
was saying right it's going to
depend on each individual
363
00:10:06,768 --> 00:10:10,048
trader kind of how conservative
or aggressive you will be and
364
00:10:36,808 --> 00:10:40,048
increase the probability of
buying in the premium right so
365
00:11:38,088 --> 00:11:40,568
useful is this tool is it
really worth it you know it it
366
00:10:43,528 --> 00:10:46,048
right we mark out the EQ
ideally we want price to come
367
00:11:02,228 --> 00:11:05,268
could come down lower but
actually I've seen X Y and Z of
368
00:10:15,408 --> 00:10:19,208
down into the discount right
and as at absolutely nothing
369
00:09:19,608 --> 00:09:22,088
stuck within this new range
here and this time we can see
370
00:07:11,568 --> 00:07:14,068
down to the slow here for me
obviously a very very shallow
371
00:09:22,088 --> 00:09:26,088
right we did come you know back
into the the discount of the
372
00:08:12,628 --> 00:08:15,828
ideally we want to be buying
back down here right in the
373
00:08:46,348 --> 00:08:49,548
going to pull back that deep.
Now one of kind of the the
374
00:07:56,608 --> 00:07:58,968
can target this low right but
of course we're playing with
375
00:09:13,788 --> 00:09:15,848
going to pull back we're kind
of getting a lot of high
376
00:09:07,668 --> 00:09:10,428
want to take note of and record
you know that the start of
377
00:09:59,328 --> 00:10:02,448
likely now price will come back
to the premium sorry back to
378
00:08:42,668 --> 00:08:46,348
you can anticipate you know to
expect that price isn't
379
00:09:45,008 --> 00:09:48,088
we go through the course we are
going to learn you know more
380
00:10:12,528 --> 00:10:15,408
and some of you may only want
to look to buy when price comes
381
00:07:42,928 --> 00:07:45,528
forgetting everything else we
just assume that this lower
382
00:08:39,908 --> 00:08:42,668
the premium if it's bearish and
try and spot those things so
383
00:07:54,048 --> 00:07:56,608
swing trend what do we expect
we expect that potentially we
384
00:07:14,068 --> 00:07:16,988
pullback there some of you may
not classify that as a swing
385
00:08:57,748 --> 00:09:01,188
in because they really like
this area. How often does price
386
00:06:37,268 --> 00:06:39,708
back but anyway we get that
next bearish leg right now we
387
00:09:05,908 --> 00:09:07,668
right? And that may be
something that you know you
388
00:08:06,328 --> 00:08:09,248
for our swing pull back so in
this case we can then mark out
389
00:07:04,928 --> 00:07:08,648
low okay so let's speed this up
a little bit draw on our next
390
00:06:20,308 --> 00:06:22,588
you're always waiting for price
to come up into the premium
391
00:07:40,388 --> 00:07:42,928
looking at market structure and
one single time frame right
392
00:07:48,368 --> 00:07:51,528
prices of this 4 hour swing
range right then we get that
393
00:06:45,608 --> 00:06:47,888
that 4 hour break of structure
we get a minor break of
394
00:07:29,388 --> 00:07:32,388
this case right buyers keep
stepping back in we've had a
395
00:08:03,928 --> 00:08:06,328
then we are in the bullish
trend right and then we wait
396
00:07:34,628 --> 00:07:37,268
structure we are now in the
premium remember we spoke about
397
00:07:51,528 --> 00:07:54,048
bearish change of character
back in line with the overall
398
00:06:33,828 --> 00:06:37,268
know how likely it is and not
overall price is going to pull
399
00:06:58,848 --> 00:07:02,088
that is the lower high in place
we've mitigated the the premium
400
00:07:26,908 --> 00:07:29,388
premium so you can see set is
start to step in already but
401
00:11:52,908 --> 00:11:57,308
powerful and you'll see then
how useful but simple this tool
402
00:06:17,308 --> 00:06:20,308
start to collect data and get a
bit more experience because if
403
00:06:09,688 --> 00:06:12,168
make this a little bit more dim
because it's already annoying
404
00:07:23,668 --> 00:07:26,908
now of course at this point we
do pull back up into the
405
00:06:27,988 --> 00:06:31,548
aggressive or how conservative
you know you want to be but
406
00:06:55,648 --> 00:06:58,848
to the downside down here right
showing us that potentially the
407
00:06:25,188 --> 00:06:27,988
it's just going to be dependent
on each individual trader how
408
00:06:12,168 --> 00:06:17,308
me yeah see how often it will
pull back and then yeah we can
409
00:06:31,548 --> 00:06:33,828
this will just really give you
a good understanding of you
410
00:11:45,328 --> 00:11:48,388
multi time frame analysis as
well which will get into it a
411
00:04:13,048 --> 00:04:15,408
then how do we know when that
pullback is going to be over we
412
00:06:01,748 --> 00:06:04,368
only pull the pull back a
little bit and it will go so
413
00:06:52,528 --> 00:06:55,648
right then we start to get
changes of character again back
414
00:05:45,708 --> 00:05:49,228
to to just you know use it as a
spectrum of probabilities and
415
00:05:51,868 --> 00:05:54,228
is for us to be getting into
shorts but you're going to you
416
00:05:16,008 --> 00:05:19,648
to build you know a a more high
probability trade idea right
417
00:06:42,348 --> 00:06:45,608
out the new range that we are
within and as we can see after
418
00:07:02,088 --> 00:07:04,928
right the EQ and now we're
ready to go and run this week
419
00:08:18,388 --> 00:08:21,108
probabilities it's not always
going to work out the price is
420
00:06:22,588 --> 00:06:25,188
sometimes you're going to miss
moves and that's okay right
421
00:04:32,688 --> 00:04:35,468
introduced you know one more
concept which is of course
422
00:05:40,428 --> 00:05:42,468
always going to get those
picture perfect pullbacks to
423
00:08:52,588 --> 00:08:55,188
in this case where we have a
nice big impulsive move right
424
00:04:59,028 --> 00:05:01,788
quite tap it and misses it here
by a few pips but if you see
425
00:05:28,048 --> 00:05:31,328
swing high so we expect this
low to be taken and we get our
426
00:05:42,468 --> 00:05:45,708
the EQ or all the way into the
premium you kind of just have
427
00:05:04,528 --> 00:05:06,968
the leg right we pretty much
come back to fair value for
428
00:08:26,108 --> 00:08:28,708
and again this is something you
have to get experience with and
429
00:08:28,708 --> 00:08:33,228
test is that you want to be
asking yourselves you know what
430
00:04:39,148 --> 00:04:42,908
probability of when that
pullback may be over so when we
431
00:04:42,908 --> 00:04:45,268
see that you know the pullback
starting to kick in and we get
432
00:05:09,448 --> 00:05:13,208
the downside right now you have
that extra piece of confidence
433
00:08:09,248 --> 00:08:12,628
from the swing low to the swing
high and now because we are
434
00:04:47,548 --> 00:04:50,508
with a bit more confidence
where that swing low likely is
435
00:05:49,228 --> 00:05:51,868
obviously the higher up it goes
the you know the the better it
436
00:04:53,468 --> 00:04:56,628
discount tool right and now
what we can see price pretty
437
00:08:21,108 --> 00:08:26,108
going to come back that deep
now one thing you will notice
438
00:08:36,668 --> 00:08:39,908
anywhere to you know the the
the discount if it's bullish or
439
00:05:22,288 --> 00:05:25,408
now pro the 4 hour trend and we
can look to target that week
440
00:04:50,508 --> 00:04:53,468
right and then that's when we
can draw on our premium versus
441
00:05:01,788 --> 00:05:04,528
price coming up here it's
pretty much mitigated the EQ of
442
00:06:07,008 --> 00:06:09,688
does pull back see when it
doesn't pull back it's going to
443
00:04:26,888 --> 00:04:29,608
we're anticipating those swing
moves purely just looking at
444
00:03:56,428 --> 00:03:59,068
expect a pullback how do we
know when that pullback is
445
00:05:57,308 --> 00:05:59,428
will pull back to the EQ
sometimes it will pull heavily
446
00:05:06,968 --> 00:05:09,448
buyers and sellers we then get
our change of character back to
447
00:05:31,328 --> 00:05:35,188
break of structure so that's as
simple as it needs to be you
448
00:04:56,628 --> 00:04:59,028
much comes back up to the EQ
right of course it doesn't
449
00:04:15,408 --> 00:04:18,088
look for then another minor
break of structure to the
450
00:04:23,648 --> 00:04:26,888
that we get that next leg down
so that's what you know the way
451
00:05:37,348 --> 00:05:40,428
action is you know the market
is is imperfect right we're not
452
00:05:54,228 --> 00:05:57,308
know the whole point of this
exercise is to see sometimes it
453
00:06:04,368 --> 00:06:07,008
the whole point of this is to
collect data see how often it
454
00:05:35,188 --> 00:05:37,348
know one last point I kind of
make about this blue price
455
00:04:29,608 --> 00:04:32,688
basic market structure on one
time frame alone now we have
456
00:05:13,208 --> 00:05:16,008
that extra piece of evidence
and that you are now building
457
00:05:25,408 --> 00:05:28,048
low at a minimum right because
that low never took out the
458
00:05:59,428 --> 00:06:01,748
into the premium when you're
looking for shorts sometimes it
459
00:04:10,128 --> 00:04:13,048
the swing run may be over and
that pullback is kicking in and
460
00:04:06,088 --> 00:04:07,888
right to give us that minor
break of structure to the
461
00:05:19,648 --> 00:05:22,288
and then what we can do is
position ourselves short we're
462
00:04:18,088 --> 00:04:20,608
downside where we get that
change of character here and we
463
00:04:07,888 --> 00:04:10,128
upside which is what we get
here which then shows us that
464
00:03:26,448 --> 00:03:28,968
it the wrong way around but
essentially all I care about is
465
00:04:35,468 --> 00:04:39,148
premium versus discount just to
help us you know increase the
466
00:04:20,608 --> 00:04:23,648
then switch bearish right and
then that gives us that sign
467
00:03:59,068 --> 00:04:02,348
going to kick in when we're
purely just looking at market
468
00:03:10,688 --> 00:03:12,888
can see where we are within the
leg right whether we're in the
469
00:03:31,928 --> 00:03:35,868
swing high to the swing low so
anywhere above the EQ is always
470
00:03:46,028 --> 00:03:48,068
end up getting your colors
mixed up if you kind of had
471
00:03:02,268 --> 00:03:04,988
shift when you drag it across
so it doesn't move if you hold
472
00:03:53,748 --> 00:03:56,428
what do we expect after a four
hour break of structure we
473
00:02:49,188 --> 00:02:52,268
charts and you're flicking
through multiple time frames it
474
00:03:48,068 --> 00:03:51,108
those shades there so yeah
really simple tool right we're
475
00:03:35,868 --> 00:03:38,028
going to be the premium right
no matter whether it's bearish
476
00:04:45,268 --> 00:04:47,548
that change of character then
we can kind of start to mark
477
00:03:08,128 --> 00:03:10,688
so this whole time you can
focus on price action and you
478
00:03:15,328 --> 00:03:18,608
become a lot easier but for now
I keep it even more
479
00:04:02,348 --> 00:04:06,088
structure what we expect that
to be that change of character
480
00:02:54,548 --> 00:02:57,028
colors and shades everywhere so
I wouldn't really advise that
481
00:02:26,008 --> 00:02:28,168
you have them round right is
just kind of whatever makes
482
00:02:45,708 --> 00:02:49,188
to have more concepts and more
analysis tools drawn on your
483
00:03:51,108 --> 00:03:53,748
in the spares trend we get that
four hour break of structure
484
00:03:23,808 --> 00:03:26,448
about what colors sometimes you
can get you know end up drawing
485
00:02:57,028 --> 00:02:59,668
you kind of do that in the live
market so I would do something
486
00:03:04,988 --> 00:03:08,128
shift right and then just have
it drawn off to the side here
487
00:03:43,628 --> 00:03:46,028
that's the discount right so
that way you you know you don't
488
00:02:52,268 --> 00:02:54,548
can get very very confusing
when you have all of these
489
00:03:21,128 --> 00:03:23,808
range and essentially that way
you know I don't really care
490
00:02:11,728 --> 00:02:13,648
bearish right because we're
looking at these lower lows and
491
00:02:30,568 --> 00:02:33,448
which way you would draw it is
in the live market right
492
00:02:59,668 --> 00:03:02,268
like that or it can be even
better is you can just hold
493
00:03:28,968 --> 00:03:31,928
where is the EQ I know that
that's the 50% right from the
494
00:03:40,628 --> 00:03:43,628
higher the price that's the
premium the lower the price
495
00:02:35,408 --> 00:02:37,988
would just price was down here
and you're anticipating
496
00:03:12,888 --> 00:03:15,328
premium or the discount and
that way it just yeah it will
497
00:02:37,988 --> 00:02:40,108
potentially where price is
going to pull back is you can
498
00:03:18,608 --> 00:03:21,128
minimalizing that so I have it
I just have it the stages of
499
00:02:33,448 --> 00:02:35,408
imagine we don't have all of
the price action yet but you
500
00:03:38,028 --> 00:03:40,628
or bullish the top part is
always expensive right the
501
00:02:40,108 --> 00:02:42,788
just have it on the swing leg
right rather than having it
502
00:02:42,788 --> 00:02:45,708
drawn the whole way across
because you know as you start
503
00:02:21,048 --> 00:02:23,688
there's a few ways you can go
and do this in the live market
504
00:02:13,648 --> 00:02:17,768
low highs is you can draw it
from the high to the low and
505
00:02:28,168 --> 00:02:30,568
sense to you right but yeah the
way I was saying in terms of
506
00:02:23,688 --> 00:02:26,008
now ignore the colors here it
doesn't really matter which way
507
00:02:17,768 --> 00:02:21,048
then you can see where we have
the premium and discount now
508
00:02:08,688 --> 00:02:11,728
something looking like this
right so what we do when we are
509
00:01:43,848 --> 00:01:46,048
already have our swing points
so literally all we are
510
00:01:48,848 --> 00:01:54,368
between those swing points so
if you have that premium and
511
00:01:54,368 --> 00:01:57,928
discount tool saved you know
they briefly go over it in the
512
00:01:39,168 --> 00:01:41,608
quicker than having to actually
go through you know each bit of
513
00:01:46,048 --> 00:01:48,848
going to be doing is drawing
our premium discount right
514
00:01:29,908 --> 00:01:34,088
practice a for playing around
with premium and discount here
515
00:01:57,928 --> 00:01:59,688
the theory video but
essentially what you want to
516
00:01:59,688 --> 00:02:02,448
have if you haven't already is
have this fibre tracement tool
517
00:01:22,948 --> 00:01:26,108
it won't get you know kind of
overwhelming and confusing if
518
00:01:26,108 --> 00:01:29,908
that makes sense so yeah this
will kind of be our sort of
519
00:01:16,988 --> 00:01:19,868
want to keep it to a separate
one here so then when we go
520
00:01:34,088 --> 00:01:36,568
so what I'm going to do is just
go through you know the price
521
00:02:04,888 --> 00:02:08,688
toolbar and then yeah you
should be able to have
522
00:02:02,448 --> 00:02:04,888
which you can get over here and
save it down to your favorites
523
00:01:14,228 --> 00:01:16,988
discount yeah charts getting a
little bit messy so I just
524
00:01:05,588 --> 00:01:08,708
want us to do is to use our
initial right the one that we
525
00:01:02,508 --> 00:01:05,588
of the course and we start to
build on more concepts what I
526
00:01:08,708 --> 00:01:11,428
were first using this initial
layout to build on those
527
00:00:58,848 --> 00:01:02,508
get a little bit messy so we go
throughout throughout the rest
528
00:01:41,608 --> 00:01:43,848
price section and map out your
structure because now we
529
00:01:19,868 --> 00:01:22,948
back to our original one you
know we can build on this and
530
00:01:36,568 --> 00:01:39,168
section that we've done so far
this should be you know a lot
531
00:01:11,428 --> 00:01:14,228
concepts but just now whilst we
really dig into premium
532
00:00:45,408 --> 00:00:49,408
to have a separate chart save
down so it may take a little
533
00:00:42,608 --> 00:00:45,408
going to call it premium versus
discount just because we need
534
00:00:27,268 --> 00:00:31,768
solely for the premium discount
lesson is I want you to go
535
00:00:56,448 --> 00:00:58,848
drawing obviously the tools
across the charts and it can
536
00:00:40,648 --> 00:00:42,608
then you know call it whatever
you want in this case I'm just
537
00:00:22,308 --> 00:00:27,268
swing structure mark mapped out
now what I want you to do just
538
00:00:54,648 --> 00:00:56,448
discount whilst we do this
because we're going to be
539
00:00:49,408 --> 00:00:54,648
while to do that for just for
the purpose of premium versus
540
00:00:34,408 --> 00:00:37,728
just want you to make a copy so
what this essentially will do
541
00:00:37,728 --> 00:00:40,648
is just duplicate all of the
drawings that you have done and
542
00:00:31,768 --> 00:00:34,408
right hand corner to your
current save template and I
543
00:00:00,008 --> 00:00:05,348
Right okay hopefully you have
saved down this template right
544
00:00:13,468 --> 00:00:16,468
swing points on at a minimum
drawn on potentially you will
545
00:00:05,348 --> 00:00:10,708
you have drawn your annotations
on here from the previous basic
546
00:00:16,468 --> 00:00:18,748
still have your minor breaker
structure right and you change
547
00:26:42,248 --> 00:26:44,808
enjoy it.
548
00:00:10,708 --> 00:00:13,468
market structure walk through
and you have your four hour
549
00:00:18,748 --> 00:00:22,308
your characters as well but
ideally you have your four hour
52040
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