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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:05:14,563 --> 00:05:17,963 opposite is true for shorter time frame maturity bonds there 2 00:05:32,823 --> 00:05:35,863 yield curves in depth in the next lesson. Anyways guys take 3 00:05:20,923 --> 00:05:24,963 that return therefore your yield on that or your return is 4 00:05:30,103 --> 00:05:32,823 bonds and yields. Uh we're going to be looking at the 5 00:05:17,963 --> 00:05:20,923 is less risk because you're only waiting three months for 6 00:05:24,963 --> 00:05:30,103 a lot less anyways guys this was just an introduction into 7 00:05:09,603 --> 00:05:14,563 yields that they're promised as shown here and also the 8 00:05:05,803 --> 00:05:09,603 so how they compensated they're compensated with the higher 9 00:04:33,463 --> 00:04:37,463 that is very low however if you compare that to the 30 year 10 00:04:15,963 --> 00:04:19,203 yields to cover the effect of the risk. So as you can see on 11 00:04:40,143 --> 00:04:46,103 diagrammatic chart at the moment but the 30 years high 12 00:04:12,123 --> 00:04:15,963 involved in the 30 year bonds. They're compensated with higher 13 00:04:37,463 --> 00:04:40,143 obviously we haven't got numbers here because this is a 14 00:04:58,483 --> 00:05:01,523 time what happens interest rate changes up and down and they 15 00:04:31,023 --> 00:04:33,463 that you're going to get so the return you're going to get on 16 00:04:27,023 --> 00:04:31,023 maturity so the lowest you can go is three months that yield 17 00:04:50,383 --> 00:04:54,143 that are involved in 30 year yield 30 year bonds they're 18 00:04:46,103 --> 00:04:50,383 has the highest yield because the people that the investors 19 00:04:19,203 --> 00:04:27,023 the chart the yields with I mean the bonds with the lower 20 00:05:01,523 --> 00:05:05,803 fluctuate so this this obviously isn't that attractive 21 00:04:54,143 --> 00:04:58,483 very over exposed for all all of that time right and in that 22 00:03:41,403 --> 00:03:43,363 chart right here called the yield curve. They've got the 23 00:03:54,603 --> 00:03:58,443 long term bonds like 30 years is more risky. Now the reason 24 00:04:01,883 --> 00:04:05,843 the interest rate changes you know over the course of the 30 25 00:03:58,443 --> 00:04:01,883 for that is because price changes more over time due to 26 00:04:05,843 --> 00:04:12,123 years hence the reason that the actual people that you know are 27 00:03:51,163 --> 00:03:54,603 going to be looking at these in real depth. Um investing in 28 00:03:43,363 --> 00:03:48,163 yield on the Y axis, the maturity on the X axis. So just 29 00:03:48,163 --> 00:03:51,163 as an introduction into the next lesson where we're 30 00:03:10,763 --> 00:03:15,483 where we are in the expansion cycle so not just the expansion 31 00:03:32,403 --> 00:03:35,363 you've obviously got the bond price but the yield is 32 00:03:35,363 --> 00:03:41,403 particularly to us and also economists and they use this 33 00:03:27,203 --> 00:03:32,403 do we mean by the yield curve so as we've been explaining you 34 00:03:19,243 --> 00:03:21,963 thing is always refer back to that and actually have it drawn 35 00:03:21,963 --> 00:03:27,203 up with the characteristics of every sort of component so what 36 00:03:05,603 --> 00:03:10,763 future economic activity it can be used to estimate when we are 37 00:03:15,483 --> 00:03:19,243 cycle but the market cycle that we looked at previously and the 38 00:03:02,283 --> 00:03:05,603 fact here is that we can use the bond yield curve to predict 39 00:02:54,603 --> 00:02:58,123 because the lower interest rates and as a result due to 40 00:02:58,123 --> 00:03:02,283 the inverse correlation bond prices increases. The important 41 00:02:36,003 --> 00:02:40,083 therefore the bond prices decreases. Now in contrast for 42 00:02:49,523 --> 00:02:54,603 to promote economic activity therefore bond yield decreases 43 00:02:04,603 --> 00:02:08,483 yield move inverse are inversely correlated. So as a 44 00:02:43,763 --> 00:02:49,523 economy slows down. As a result the Fed reduces interest rates 45 00:02:31,763 --> 00:02:36,003 inflation. As a result the bond yield will increase and 46 00:02:40,083 --> 00:02:43,763 deflationary condition inflation decreases and the 47 00:02:23,403 --> 00:02:27,923 rises. Interest rates are expected to rise to slow down 48 00:02:16,163 --> 00:02:18,603 because that's what we're trying to understand all the 49 00:02:18,603 --> 00:02:23,403 time. In an expansionary condition inflation inflation 50 00:02:27,923 --> 00:02:31,763 that inflation. So that's what the Fed will do to counteract 51 00:02:08,483 --> 00:02:12,323 bond goes up the yield goes down. Now let's look at it in 52 00:02:12,323 --> 00:02:16,163 two conditions. Of course the two that we always refer to 53 00:02:00,423 --> 00:02:04,603 Um so by now you probably understand the bond and its 54 00:01:57,343 --> 00:01:59,823 concepts. 55 00:01:53,923 --> 00:01:57,343 that they do like us when we're doing this the so-called smart 56 00:01:42,763 --> 00:01:45,923 looking at the chart work because the thing with a lot of 57 00:01:50,963 --> 00:01:53,923 it comes to actual chart work there's not much technical work 58 00:01:45,923 --> 00:01:50,963 fundamental economists they look at a lot of data but when 59 00:01:38,123 --> 00:01:42,763 detail especially when it comes to graphs as well actually 60 00:01:29,763 --> 00:01:34,323 economy as a whole and of inflation in particular. This 61 00:01:34,323 --> 00:01:38,123 is the one thing that economists really do look at in 62 00:01:26,043 --> 00:01:29,763 currency. Bond yields are excellent indicators of the 63 00:01:22,403 --> 00:01:26,043 the impact of interest rates and the potential strength of a 64 00:01:13,123 --> 00:01:15,763 know about bonds but there is slightly more we can know about 65 00:01:19,043 --> 00:01:22,403 information to us as Forex traders since we can understand 66 00:01:15,763 --> 00:01:19,043 bond yields which is arguably the most important piece of 67 00:01:09,123 --> 00:01:13,123 causing economic growth. Now, you understand what there is to 68 00:00:58,763 --> 00:01:01,523 since it is backed by the government. When there is an 69 00:01:01,523 --> 00:01:04,763 attractive yield on the bond, that interest rate paid back to 70 00:01:04,763 --> 00:01:09,123 the bond purchaser, this can cause lots of investment and 71 00:00:54,383 --> 00:00:58,763 So as we know, bonds are used as a relatively safe investment 72 00:00:49,923 --> 00:00:52,843 directional bias 73 00:00:45,483 --> 00:00:49,923 this fundamental knowledge to understand okay where is our 74 00:00:42,963 --> 00:00:45,483 trading because at the end of the day we want to use you know 75 00:00:38,283 --> 00:00:42,963 means for for for our actual currency pairs that we're 76 00:00:34,263 --> 00:00:38,283 particularly DXY and from that you can understand what it 77 00:00:29,103 --> 00:00:34,263 know the treasury market and this had such a big effect on 78 00:00:25,463 --> 00:00:29,103 actual government because there are government issued bonds you 79 00:00:22,183 --> 00:00:25,463 stocks for example bonds has a direct correlation with the 80 00:00:16,943 --> 00:00:22,183 everything like that because unlike other asset classes like 81 00:00:13,823 --> 00:00:16,943 the next few lessons where we explore yield curves and 82 00:00:10,783 --> 00:00:13,823 probably one of the most important lessons and obviously 83 00:00:07,183 --> 00:00:10,783 going to be looking at bonds and yields in depth and this is 84 00:00:03,803 --> 00:00:07,183 So guys we're finally at the point where we're actually 85 00:05:35,863 --> 00:05:38,063 care. 7812

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