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opposite is true for shorter
time frame maturity bonds there
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yield curves in depth in the
next lesson. Anyways guys take
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that return therefore your
yield on that or your return is
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bonds and yields. Uh we're
going to be looking at the
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is less risk because you're
only waiting three months for
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a lot less anyways guys this
was just an introduction into
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yields that they're promised as
shown here and also the
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so how they compensated they're
compensated with the higher
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that is very low however if you
compare that to the 30 year
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yields to cover the effect of
the risk. So as you can see on
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diagrammatic chart at the
moment but the 30 years high
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involved in the 30 year bonds.
They're compensated with higher
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obviously we haven't got
numbers here because this is a
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time what happens interest rate
changes up and down and they
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that you're going to get so the
return you're going to get on
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maturity so the lowest you can
go is three months that yield
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that are involved in 30 year
yield 30 year bonds they're
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has the highest yield because
the people that the investors
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the chart the yields with I
mean the bonds with the lower
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fluctuate so this this
obviously isn't that attractive
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very over exposed for all all
of that time right and in that
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chart right here called the
yield curve. They've got the
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long term bonds like 30 years
is more risky. Now the reason
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the interest rate changes you
know over the course of the 30
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for that is because price
changes more over time due to
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years hence the reason that the
actual people that you know are
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going to be looking at these in
real depth. Um investing in
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yield on the Y axis, the
maturity on the X axis. So just
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as an introduction into the
next lesson where we're
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where we are in the expansion
cycle so not just the expansion
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you've obviously got the bond
price but the yield is
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particularly to us and also
economists and they use this
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do we mean by the yield curve
so as we've been explaining you
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thing is always refer back to
that and actually have it drawn
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up with the characteristics of
every sort of component so what
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future economic activity it can
be used to estimate when we are
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cycle but the market cycle that
we looked at previously and the
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fact here is that we can use
the bond yield curve to predict
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because the lower interest
rates and as a result due to
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the inverse correlation bond
prices increases. The important
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therefore the bond prices
decreases. Now in contrast for
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to promote economic activity
therefore bond yield decreases
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yield move inverse are
inversely correlated. So as a
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economy slows down. As a result
the Fed reduces interest rates
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inflation. As a result the bond
yield will increase and
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deflationary condition
inflation decreases and the
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rises. Interest rates are
expected to rise to slow down
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because that's what we're
trying to understand all the
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time. In an expansionary
condition inflation inflation
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that inflation. So that's what
the Fed will do to counteract
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bond goes up the yield goes
down. Now let's look at it in
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two conditions. Of course the
two that we always refer to
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Um so by now you probably
understand the bond and its
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concepts.
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that they do like us when we're
doing this the so-called smart
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looking at the chart work
because the thing with a lot of
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it comes to actual chart work
there's not much technical work
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fundamental economists they
look at a lot of data but when
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detail especially when it comes
to graphs as well actually
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economy as a whole and of
inflation in particular. This
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is the one thing that
economists really do look at in
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currency. Bond yields are
excellent indicators of the
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the impact of interest rates
and the potential strength of a
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know about bonds but there is
slightly more we can know about
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information to us as Forex
traders since we can understand
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bond yields which is arguably
the most important piece of
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causing economic growth. Now,
you understand what there is to
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since it is backed by the
government. When there is an
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attractive yield on the bond,
that interest rate paid back to
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the bond purchaser, this can
cause lots of investment and
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So as we know, bonds are used
as a relatively safe investment
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directional bias
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this fundamental knowledge to
understand okay where is our
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trading because at the end of
the day we want to use you know
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means for for for our actual
currency pairs that we're
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particularly DXY and from that
you can understand what it
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know the treasury market and
this had such a big effect on
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actual government because there
are government issued bonds you
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stocks for example bonds has a
direct correlation with the
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everything like that because
unlike other asset classes like
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the next few lessons where we
explore yield curves and
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probably one of the most
important lessons and obviously
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going to be looking at bonds
and yields in depth and this is
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So guys we're finally at the
point where we're actually
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care.
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