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opposite is true for shorter time frame maturity bonds there
yield curves in depth in the next lesson. Anyways guys take
that return therefore your yield on that or your return is
bonds and yields. Uh we're going to be looking at the
is less risk because you're only waiting three months for
a lot less anyways guys this was just an introduction into
yields that they're promised as shown here and also the
so how they compensated they're compensated with the higher
that is very low however if you compare that to the 30 year
yields to cover the effect of the risk. So as you can see on
diagrammatic chart at the moment but the 30 years high
involved in the 30 year bonds. They're compensated with higher
obviously we haven't got numbers here because this is a
time what happens interest rate changes up and down and they
that you're going to get so the return you're going to get on
maturity so the lowest you can go is three months that yield
that are involved in 30 year yield 30 year bonds they're
has the highest yield because the people that the investors
the chart the yields with I mean the bonds with the lower
fluctuate so this this obviously isn't that attractive
very over exposed for all all of that time right and in that
chart right here called the yield curve. They've got the
long term bonds like 30 years is more risky. Now the reason
the interest rate changes you know over the course of the 30
for that is because price changes more over time due to
years hence the reason that the actual people that you know are
going to be looking at these in real depth. Um investing in
yield on the Y axis, the maturity on the X axis. So just
as an introduction into the next lesson where we're
where we are in the expansion cycle so not just the expansion
you've obviously got the bond price but the yield is
particularly to us and also economists and they use this
do we mean by the yield curve so as we've been explaining you
thing is always refer back to that and actually have it drawn
up with the characteristics of every sort of component so what
future economic activity it can be used to estimate when we are
cycle but the market cycle that we looked at previously and the
fact here is that we can use the bond yield curve to predict
because the lower interest rates and as a result due to
the inverse correlation bond prices increases. The important
therefore the bond prices decreases. Now in contrast for
to promote economic activity therefore bond yield decreases
yield move inverse are inversely correlated. So as a
economy slows down. As a result the Fed reduces interest rates
inflation. As a result the bond yield will increase and
deflationary condition inflation decreases and the
rises. Interest rates are expected to rise to slow down
because that's what we're trying to understand all the
time. In an expansionary condition inflation inflation
that inflation. So that's what the Fed will do to counteract
bond goes up the yield goes down. Now let's look at it in
two conditions. Of course the two that we always refer to
Um so by now you probably understand the bond and its
concepts.
that they do like us when we're doing this the so-called smart
looking at the chart work because the thing with a lot of
it comes to actual chart work there's not much technical work
fundamental economists they look at a lot of data but when
detail especially when it comes to graphs as well actually
economy as a whole and of inflation in particular. This
is the one thing that economists really do look at in
currency. Bond yields are excellent indicators of the
the impact of interest rates and the potential strength of a
know about bonds but there is slightly more we can know about
information to us as Forex traders since we can understand
bond yields which is arguably the most important piece of
causing economic growth. Now, you understand what there is to
since it is backed by the government. When there is an
attractive yield on the bond, that interest rate paid back to
the bond purchaser, this can cause lots of investment and
So as we know, bonds are used as a relatively safe investment
directional bias
this fundamental knowledge to understand okay where is our
trading because at the end of the day we want to use you know
means for for for our actual currency pairs that we're
particularly DXY and from that you can understand what it
know the treasury market and this had such a big effect on
actual government because there are government issued bonds you
stocks for example bonds has a direct correlation with the
everything like that because unlike other asset classes like
the next few lessons where we explore yield curves and
probably one of the most important lessons and obviously
going to be looking at bonds and yields in depth and this is
So guys we're finally at the point where we're actually
care.
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