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The autumn campaign ended with a convincing
victory for Ukraine and the winter campaign began.
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As one of the Kremlin propagandists gloomily said
«in general, not in our favor». Yes, not in yours.
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The good news: Kherson has been liberated.
Almost all of Kharkov region is liberated.
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Left bank under the fire control of the AFU,
reaching almost to the Crimean isthmus. The
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advance of Russian troops on the Donbas is minimal
- actually counts tens of meters. The Black Sea
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fleet of Rossi is almost inactive, hiding in
bases, partially relocated to Novorossiysk.
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He was unable to send reinforcements as the
Turkish side prevented the Pacific Fleet from
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crossing the straits. Arms deliveries to Ukraine
are going on, the aid does not stop, the army
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is saturated with Western weapons, the "Himars"
and their analogues alone are already 50 units.
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100 would have been much better,
but it's also very, very good.
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Ukrainian air defense shoots down more and more
Iranian "Shaheds" drones, the last flight of which
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was recorded two weeks ago. Most likely they
have temporarily run out on the Russian side.
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Despite the change of governments in Europe, the
trend does not change - to help until victory.
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The United States has already
transferred more than $21 billion in aid.
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This is military aid to
Israel in about five years.
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Volumes will grow, and however cynical this
may sound, it is profitable for the U.S. - the
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military-industrial complex is overflowing with
orders. Ukraine, too, has something to fight with.
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Russia's military "power" is completely nullified.
They have no prospect of winning (even locally).
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From the bad: Kherson is already under fire,
but this was quite predictable. Ukraine's
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infrastructure has been severely damaged, winter
has arrived and it will be hard. Especially in the
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frontline areas, where it is not always possible
to restore the infrastructure before new Russian
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missile or artillery arrivals. On the Bakhmut
direction, fighting is exceptionally heavy,
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the Russian army comes in waves, do not
have time to calm one, climb another.
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The tactics are terrible, but they work -
the Ukrainians' offensive first slowed down,
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and now it has stopped altogether.
The AFU also suffers losses, there
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are no such large-scale wars without them,
there are cases of psychological breakdowns,
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but this is common practice in any war. The
battles line of Severodonetsk-Bakhmut became
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the most legendary and crucial for this war,
but this is the theme for a separate video.
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It is difficult to say what will happen in winter,
but the AFU is in a better position. Things
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are much better with supplies, the allies are
actively supplying winter uniforms and equipment.
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Mobility is high, the ground will freeze up and
it will be possible to advance until spring,
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when the dirt roads will become impassable or
difficult to pass as a result of melting snow.
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Russians will have mass
illnesses and frostbite now.
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Let's see, things are going pretty well,
though not as fast as we would like. Further
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events will depend on the supply of allies, the
weather, and the Knights of the Winter Crusade.
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