Original subtitles

"Avdeevka and Bakhmut".

Quite a lot has already been said about how important these cities are to the occupants,

which they have not been able to capture for more than six months of the offensive operation.

The Russian forces concentrated units in the direction of Bakhmut

and Avdeevka that outnumbered the AFU.

These were units of the First and Second Army Corps, the "Wagner Group" and the "League",

the "Redoubt" and the Battalion tactical group 336th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade...

As a result, virtually all of these and other units have suffered casualties to

date at the level of loss of combat effectiveness. That is to say,

the goal set has not been achieved and the human and technical resources have been depleted.

In my opinion, the Avdeevka and Bakhmut locations will go down in military history, in textbooks on

tactics and strategy, as not just demonstratively, but demonstratively impeccably organized in

terms of defense. After all, the defense of these locations is maintained for more than six months.

But it is important to understand something else.

The resource of Russian troops spent on these locations could have been used in

other areas, where its presence would have been disadvantageous for the AFU, to put it mildly.

And so, this resource is routinely ground, stuck at Avdeevka and Bakhmut

in the grinder from which there will be no way out for the Russians until the APU in

this location in a counteroffensive.That way they will at least have a chance to escape.

But in the near future we cannot talk about such a change in the actions of the AFU in

these locations. There are other, more priority areas with forming conditions.

Although, the situation on the front is changing unpredictably.

"Svatove".

Full fire control of the R-66 route from Svatove to Kreminna significantly

complicates the life of the Russian occupants. We can directly say that

a section of this logistic artery is not available to them for safe and free use.

In turn, I would not consider Swatove and Kreminna in a single bundle. I refer

more to the combined location of the Rubizhne-Sievierodonetsk-Lysychansk,

which can be released through Bilogorovka. But not now.

Not now, but after Svatovo, where, with a certain caution,

but I can talk about the first signs of the forming operational encirclement.

I emphasize, to avoid misunderstanding, only signs so far, not the formed operational encirclement.

And this is very encouraging, because Svatove may well repeat the story of Izyum or Liman,

around which when the encirclement began to form, it hastened the escape of the occupants.

But with Svatove, things can be more spectacular.

First of all, the Russian forces will have to flee from this small town all the way to Starobilsk,

because they will not be able to be fixed on the whole section of the P-07, with the exception of

Mostki, but in the case of a cascading collapse of the defense, even those will not save them.

In addition, pressure will form from the north and the issue with the above-mentioned combination

Kremennaia-Rubezhnoye-Severodonetsk-Lisichansk will be solved many times faster than before.

Therefore, Svatovo is the key to the liberation of most of Luhansk Oblast.

And most importantly, the conditions for this process are taking more and more shape every day.