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In the last 2 days the Russian side has lost
1600 fighters and now there is active information
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that from the right bank of the Kherson region
the occupants have started to take artillery
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to the left bank.
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This says a lot.
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This says a lot.
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The artillery of the Russian army always depended
on how successful they could advance or defend.
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No artillery support, no Russian army as such.
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On the Kherson direction, both sides have
parity in the number of barrels and projectiles
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fired, but the availability of high-precision
ammunition gives the Ukrainians an advantage
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in range and accuracy.
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The Russian army has serious problems in this
direction and they have already realized it.
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Having a head start even at five kilometers
of range is a significant advantage, the Russian
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artillery will not be able to do anything,
but to hit areas senselessly.
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Excalibur has a much greater advantage and
the accuracy of the projectile is simply phenomenal.
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For 40 km, you can hit a freestanding armoured
vehicle directly.
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In turn, I have repeatedly voiced the problems
that have arisen recently in the Russian army
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with equipment, especially with artillery.
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The shortage of ammunition, the shortage of
towed and self-propelled artillery and the
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catastrophic deterioration of barrels leads
to the fact that the most ordinary howitzer
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is becoming rare and worth its weight in gold.
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That is, the evacuation of artillery to the
left bank indicates that they do not intend
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to seriously hold the right bank, but they
can simulate holding it by slightly delaying
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the counterattack by the Ukrainian side.
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On the other hand, the deployment of artillery
on the left bank and strikes on the right
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bank will have very doubtful effect for the
Russians, because practically the entire left
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bank is shot through by the AFU.
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After the liberation of the right bank rockets
in some cases will cover even the location
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of Armenian.
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And this is the territory of Crimea.
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Therefore, we draw two main conclusions.
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First - in the near future the right bank
issue will be resolved.
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The second is the left bank of Russia is not
a refuge, but a place where they will temporarily
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tolerate.
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Tolerate until they escape to temporarily
occupied Crimea, where, again, will be tolerated.
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The Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine
predicts that the operation to dismiss Kherson
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is likely to last until the end of November.
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Budanov, the head of intelligence, believes
that the most trained and combat-ready Russian
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units are now in the city.
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"Most of them are airborne troops, Russian
special forces and marines, that is, combat-ready
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units that Russia has.
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These units make up the skeleton of the grouping,
which is also reinforced by mobilized troops."
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