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The Russian invaders will have a very difficult
time in winter in Ukraine, much like the Soviet
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army did during the invasion of Finland in 1939.
Back then, the bodies of Red Army soldiers were
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lying in the snow, soldiers were freezing in
the trenches, and tank engines were stalling.
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There could be outbreaks of disease in the ranks
of the Russian Armed Forces because Russian
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positions are completely disorganized, dirty, and
living among the garbage they themselves generate.
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Winter temperatures in Ukraine can drop
to -24 °F, the average temperature is
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-18 °F, and up to half a meter of
precipitation can fall during the day.
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Winter in Ukraine is much milder compared
to some regions of Russia, but still,
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for ill-equipped, inadequately trained
soldiers, winter warfare can be quite harsh.
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In cold conditions, not only do you move slower,
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you think slower, and the likelihood of
units scattering and fleeing increases.
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Although the Ukrainians face
the same weather conditions,
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the Ukrainian Armed Forces appear
better equipped and more motivated
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than the Russian Army, where many
have only recently been mobilized.
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The coming winter could be the darkest
period of the war for Putin and his army.
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In addition to the Ukrainian army, Russian troops,
who lack winter clothing, will also have to fight
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the environment. It is not only about the
cold, but also about potentially possible
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illnesses among the Russian military. A parallel
can be drawn with the Crimean War, during which,
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according to historians, there were four times
as many deaths from illness than from wounds.
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The Russian command simply wants to
trade "bodies for time" and test the
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West's resolve in their support of
the Ukrainians, and prolong the war.
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Added to all the difficulties
will be the freezing weather,
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which will make Russia's unleashed
war an exercise in survival.
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Russian recruits will arrive at the front
ill-equipped and without quality winter
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clothing. They will find themselves
in trenches flooded with icy water.
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It is one thing when you win, but if you lose,
the psychological effect will be terrible.
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