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Zulu
More than a month has passed since the announcement of mobilization in the Russian Federation,
and initial conclusions can be made.
The Kremlin has managed to mobilize several hundred thousand people during this time,
according to some estimates up to 500,000.
And mobilizing does not mean organizing: the equipment, unit cohesion, structuring and
other important elements that turn a crowd into a military unit are in a disgusting state.
Part of this mass of recruits was thrown immediately and without training to the southern and eastern
front in Ukraine, where they immediately began to die en masse.
The rest of the mass is at Russian military bases, but due to the lack of junior commanders,
there is no information yet on the creation of new army units or divisions.
Apparently, they will be used to permanently saturate the regular and already existing
units of the Russian Armed Forces.
There is a complete failure with junior commanders, there are none.
If the information about their withdrawal from the western bank of the Dnieper turns
out to be true, it is all done largely to save all these cadre contract servicemen,
paratroopers and other professional military from encirclement, defeat and death and to
use them as junior commanders for the mobilized masses.
These units fought grueling and difficult battles in the Kherson steppes for months
and gained real combat experience, they now know what to expect from the AFU, and they
understand a little bit about tactics.
If somewhere the Kremlin wants to get thousands of commanders for its mobilized, it is only
here.
I don't see any other possibilities.
To summarize, we can confidently say that they have people, but the structure, motivation,
understanding and skills are absent in principle.
The main problem of the RF Armed Forces remains in armaments, communication issues, and disgusting
logistics.
The situation is not getting any better, but only getting worse with each week of intense
fighting and constant Ukrainian onslaught.
They canโt mobilize planes and precision shells.
They do not grow on trees, and Iran and North Korea do not have them.
The Ukrainian army today is one of the best equipped and armed armies not only in Europe
but also in the world, according to a number of indicators.
It is important for the Ukrainian General Staff as oxygen to preserve as many live forces
as possible, not afraid to resort to the strategy "two steps back, one step forward" and squeeze
the maximum out of the long-range systems, grind the military infrastructure and live
forces of the Russian Armed Forces on the captured territories and not allow them to
restore control and combat readiness of the units.
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