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The war may end by the summer of 2023,Ā
but in the meantime the situation is notĀ Ā
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changing so actively. Kirill Budanov, the headĀ
of Ukrainian intelligence, made this prediction:
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"Gradually we will move forward, they willĀ
lose occupied territories. Somewhere theyĀ Ā
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will continue to strike with theirĀ
Iranian Shahid drones and a smallerĀ Ā
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number of missiles, because RussiaĀ
does not have so many of them left."
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In his opinion, the fighting will subsideĀ
a bit in the winter because of the weather:
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"It makes sense, too, because there will beĀ
physical and geographic problems in the winter,Ā Ā
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as they say. We are still waiting for such aĀ
winter, more or less warm, so the ground willĀ Ā
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be viscous, and in principle already now wheeledĀ
vehicles on the battlefield almost don't work,Ā Ā
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only tracked ones. It will only become moreĀ
complicated with the beginning of heavy rains.
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The rains are somewhat slowing down theĀ
advance of the defenders in Luhansk Region,Ā Ā
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but the Defense Forces continue to advance.Ā Ā
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Ukrainians will soon receive good news from theĀ
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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At the moment the enemy is graduallyĀ
leaving the right bank of the DnieperĀ Ā
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and trying to concentrate forces on theĀ
left bank. This is not as active as theĀ Ā
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counteroffensive in the Liman direction,Ā
but the enemies are retreating every day.
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The other day the British Defense MinistryĀ
published intelligence indicating that theĀ Ā
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Russian command is seriously considering a planĀ
for a large-scale withdrawal of troops from theĀ Ā
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Kherson region. The enemy's main problem is theĀ
lack of full-fledged crossings over the DnieperĀ Ā
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River, which were destroyed as a resultĀ
of strikes by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
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The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue toĀ
push back the front line in the KhersonĀ Ā
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direction. At the same time, the enemyĀ
is entrenched in defensive lines on theĀ Ā
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left bank of the Dnieper, where itĀ
is trying to concentrate its forces.
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The Russian army continues to evacuateĀ
from the right bank of the Dnieper,Ā Ā
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but this is not happening as quickly as they wouldĀ
like, as the bridges over the river are destroyed.Ā Ā
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The enemy wants to retreat faster, but there areĀ
no bridges. Consequently, it can be said thatĀ Ā
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the Russian military is leaving the right bank,Ā
concentrating on the defense of the left bank.
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They only use alternative crossingsĀ
and cannot use full-fledged bridges.Ā Ā
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The Russian military continuesĀ
informational blackmail, spreadingĀ Ā
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rumors that the AFU is allegedly planningĀ
to hit Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant.Ā Ā
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In fact, the occupiers themselves mined theĀ
critically important facility, firing allĀ Ā
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personnel before doing so. How this situationĀ
will end, I suppose we will know very soon.
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