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In contrast to the opinions voiced in previous
videos, U.S. intelligence has its own analysis
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and timeline for a Ukrainian counterattack.
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U.S. intelligence believes that the Ukrainian
military has an opportunity to advance in
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the south and east of the country within the
next six weeks.
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U.S. intelligence believes a massive defeat
of Russian forces that would allow Ukraine
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to seize another huge swath of territory,
as in the Kharkiv region, is unlikely.
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But they estimate that individual Russian
units could break in the face of a sustained
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onslaught by the AFU, allowing Ukraine to
liberate towns in the Donbass and possibly
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de-occupy the city of Kherson.
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That is, intelligence forecasts are moderately
positive; it is always better to count on
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more while voicing lesser goals.
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The Ukrainian offensive may soon force Russian
forces in Kherson to retreat behind the Dnieper
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River, returning most of the city to Ukrainian
control.
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Also, some sources said that the AFU appears
ready to move forward and break the stalemate
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in Luhansk, where it may have the opportunity
to surround or break Russian defenses to the
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east.
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U.S. and Ukrainian officials are wary of making
accurate predictions, but note that fighting
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is likely to continue for several more months
but by the end of this year.
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According to British intelligence, the Russian
command has probably decided to leave the
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captured territories of the Kherson region
on the west bank of the Dnieper, which confirms
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my thoughts voiced in previous issues.
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According to the AFU General Staff, the occupiers
moved about 2,000 units of mobilized cannon
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fodder to the line of contact in the Kherson
region to make up for their losses.
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These are the recruits who in their lives
may not have even held a weapon in their hands,
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most of these "forced invaders" will be eliminated
or captured by AFU soldiers.
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That said, Russia, according to U.S. officials
and military analysts, has not yet lost the
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war.
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Officials urged never to underestimate the
enemy, as Russian dictator Vladimir Putin
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appears ready to continue the war.
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Losses among his own population and even more
so among Ukrainians do not interest him, like
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any dictator.
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He needs victory at any cost, especially now
that interesting processes are starting behind
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his back.
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"Washington knows everything that is going
on in the Kremlin, behind Putin's back they
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are actually starting to share power.
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Those who know that Putin is not eternal are
beginning to think about their own future.
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Data is coming in from these people as well,
which could not have happened 2-3 years ago.
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We get pretty good data, so what sometimes
gets into the press is trivial compared to
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what we know.
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But even what gets in the media comes from
reliable sources that we know about," said
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David Debatto, a U.S. military intelligence
special agent.
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