All language subtitles for 3. Excellent Crossover Rule For Decision Making

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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,390 --> 00:00:05,850 The crossover rule is a very well established rule for decision making, whether you want to buy or 2 00:00:05,850 --> 00:00:11,970 sell a particular security, and it involves moving averages and when they cross over things, so moving 3 00:00:11,970 --> 00:00:17,550 averages, you know, lend themselves to really easy to understand and apply this trading rule called 4 00:00:17,550 --> 00:00:18,570 the crossover rule. 5 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:24,240 So as prices move up and down, so does the moving average move up and down as well. 6 00:00:24,240 --> 00:00:25,650 And it takes a little bit behind it. 7 00:00:25,650 --> 00:00:29,970 But when they start crossing over, that means something's happening and we want to make decisions around 8 00:00:29,970 --> 00:00:31,560 what might be happening around that. 9 00:00:31,570 --> 00:00:36,510 So let's talk about the crossover rule and how we can use these moving averages to help us make better 10 00:00:36,510 --> 00:00:37,980 decisions as far as traders. 11 00:00:38,820 --> 00:00:42,010 And the Crosswell rule is actually very simple to understand. 12 00:00:42,330 --> 00:00:50,640 So basically, when you buy when a price crosses above the moving average, so we have our moving average 13 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:55,440 line price crosses above it, that shows that that's a buying opportunity. 14 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:59,520 Same thing with selling where the price is going below the moving average. 15 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:02,340 That's a sell a selling opportunity as far as that. 16 00:01:02,670 --> 00:01:05,150 So let's look at that on an actual chart and let's see. 17 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:06,410 Well, what does that really mean? 18 00:01:06,420 --> 00:01:09,120 But really kind of remember when you're buying and when you're selling. 19 00:01:09,660 --> 00:01:14,160 So if we look at the chart here, we can see where the moving average, the blue line happens to be 20 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:18,330 a 50 day moving average to when I happen to like you could select different time frames, of course, 21 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:25,230 and you can see where it crosses over the the price line, the line, the line price bar chart. 22 00:01:25,230 --> 00:01:27,480 Basically, you can see where it crosses over. 23 00:01:28,050 --> 00:01:33,060 And really what you're looking at is you're looking for how this interacting with the moving average. 24 00:01:33,070 --> 00:01:39,000 So when it crosses above the moving average line, that shows that the trend that things might be changing, 25 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:42,420 a trend might be continuing and the prices are going to continue to rise. 26 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:49,050 By the same token, when the price goes below the moving average line, then it's it's showing that 27 00:01:49,620 --> 00:01:55,560 it's going to maybe continue on that downtrend as far as getting know, prices either staying or going 28 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:56,000 lower. 29 00:01:56,430 --> 00:02:02,970 And as you can see and here in this example, so basically a simple rule would be and they don't stay 30 00:02:02,970 --> 00:02:04,530 there necessarily for long periods of time. 31 00:02:04,530 --> 00:02:05,250 Sometimes they do. 32 00:02:05,250 --> 00:02:06,290 Sometimes they don't. 33 00:02:06,300 --> 00:02:12,870 I mean, if you look at the lines to the left of the on the far left of the chart, you can see they're 34 00:02:12,870 --> 00:02:17,190 well above the blue line for quite some time before they crossed below. 35 00:02:17,190 --> 00:02:21,900 And then you would sell and then above and buy and and back and forth in kind of an up and down thing 36 00:02:21,900 --> 00:02:22,590 in the middle there. 37 00:02:23,130 --> 00:02:26,140 And then to the far right, you'd see where you'd buy back in again. 38 00:02:26,490 --> 00:02:32,020 So really, if you apply, the simple rule is if a cross is above the moving average line, I buy enough 39 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:32,670 across the board. 40 00:02:32,700 --> 00:02:35,710 Moving average line I sell is the idea behind it. 41 00:02:36,270 --> 00:02:40,890 Now, at this point, you might be thinking, yay, eureka, so simple. 42 00:02:41,250 --> 00:02:42,580 This is all I need to do. 43 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:43,560 This is perfect. 44 00:02:43,710 --> 00:02:46,850 I just kind of look at a line and what whether it's going above and below the line. 45 00:02:47,190 --> 00:02:48,780 OK, I'm glad you're happy. 46 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:49,770 That's really good. 47 00:02:50,250 --> 00:02:54,300 Nothing's perfect, unfortunately, as far as within the technical analysis world. 48 00:02:54,300 --> 00:02:57,630 So don't rely on just one indicator, but it's a good, strong indicator. 49 00:02:57,630 --> 00:02:58,500 So you can be happy. 50 00:02:58,710 --> 00:03:00,670 Just don't be too overjoyed to sign it. 51 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,590 So the crossover rule is really terrific. 52 00:03:03,610 --> 00:03:09,240 It's really going to stand as it's a really good, remarkably good predictor, a predictable indicator, 53 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:10,190 but it's not perfect. 54 00:03:10,470 --> 00:03:15,930 There are outliers and you have data points that pull things far off a trend lines and the more outliers 55 00:03:15,930 --> 00:03:20,970 you have know far ranges and prices, you know, the less accurate you're moving average might be because 56 00:03:20,970 --> 00:03:23,550 those outliers are impacting that moving average. 57 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:27,390 So you can give a false signal at times and give you a false signal of a breakout. 58 00:03:28,350 --> 00:03:32,100 But you can usually correct that quickly because you're moving average is going to come back down a 59 00:03:32,100 --> 00:03:32,730 little bit, too. 60 00:03:33,060 --> 00:03:36,510 You probably saw in that last chart where it looked like in the middle of there, where there's a lot 61 00:03:36,510 --> 00:03:40,740 of up and down going above and below the moving average line. 62 00:03:40,740 --> 00:03:42,750 There was a lot of by Salbi cell by cell. 63 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,030 And that's a that's a that's a challenge. 64 00:03:45,030 --> 00:03:47,190 And that's what's called a whipsaw, actually. 65 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:49,680 And you can get with a moving average. 66 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:54,880 And one of the downsides is get a lot of buy and sell signals with a frequent crossing period. 67 00:03:54,900 --> 00:03:59,160 You know, we're traders are trying to make up their mind to make you find a cell as a massive group. 68 00:03:59,340 --> 00:04:01,380 And you can get these frequent buy and sell things for. 69 00:04:01,380 --> 00:04:05,850 You're doing more, you know, trading activity which could potentially incur more costs as you keep 70 00:04:05,850 --> 00:04:06,570 buying and selling. 71 00:04:07,530 --> 00:04:08,910 And it can occur any time. 72 00:04:08,910 --> 00:04:15,450 But the most common time where you see a whipsaw is in what we call a sideways market. 73 00:04:15,450 --> 00:04:18,090 There's no definite uptrend, no definite downtrend. 74 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:20,330 It's kind of trending in this kind of narrow band. 75 00:04:20,370 --> 00:04:23,040 It's going above and below the line up frequently. 76 00:04:23,280 --> 00:04:28,680 And that's causing this whipsawing effect of buying and selling so it could lead to this frequent trading 77 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:29,330 around that. 78 00:04:29,910 --> 00:04:34,140 So we in the next I want to talk about whipsaws a little bit more on how to kind of overcome that a 79 00:04:34,140 --> 00:04:34,470 little bit. 80 00:04:34,470 --> 00:04:40,410 Understand that can be a part of the crossover rule, but still a very, very an excellent, very good 81 00:04:40,410 --> 00:04:43,530 rule as far as understanding when to buy and sell. 8295

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