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According to British intelligence, the number
of Russians leaving the country to avoid President
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Vladimir Putin's mobilization for the war
in Ukraine is probably greater than the original
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invasion force.
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The U.K. Ministry of Defense released this
estimate, writing that there has been a "significant
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exodus of Russians trying to evade the draft."
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"While the exact numbers are unclear, they
likely exceed the size of the entire invasion
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force deployed by Russia in February 2022,"
the report said.
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Since Putin announced a call for 300,000 reservists
on September 21, a massive flight to neighboring
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countries has begun, many Russians have been
trying to evade being sent to the front line.
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In March, Putin promised not to introduce
conscription, which helped distractRussian
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civilians from the realities of the invasion
of Ukraine.
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This was abruptly interrupted by the announcement
of mobilization last week.
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Associated Press reported that at least 200,000
Russians have fled to Georgia, Kazakhstan
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and Finland, not counting other countries.
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Bloomberg, citing data from the European Union,
Georgia and Kazakhstan, confirms these figures
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.
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These estimates exceed what the U.S. estimates
of 190,000 invasion forces that had concentrated
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on the border with Ukraine shortly before
the invasion.
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Plane tickets to countries that have friendly
visa agreements with Russia were sold out
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almost immediately after Putin's announcement,
and seats on private planes cost as much as
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$27,000.
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Among those trying to leave Russia, too many
are wealthy and well-educated.
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Wealthy Russians began fleeing long before
this statement.
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By mid-March, some 15,000 Russian millionaires
had left the country, according to New World
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Wealth, an analytical company.
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According to the ministry, the situation is
likely to exacerbate the country's economic
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problems and the "brain drain" effect.
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More will run, less will take up arms, but
it would be better if they turned on those
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who are the enemy.
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Towards the Kremlin.
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