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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:11:00,083 --> 00:11:03,963 the markups, live back testing and forward testing in the next 2 00:10:33,343 --> 00:10:36,343 successfully long term without having to risk your money on it 3 00:09:57,163 --> 00:10:00,443 effective. Well, what you could do is actually mark up a trade 4 00:10:10,523 --> 00:10:13,043 your account while you're testing but allow you to 5 00:10:22,263 --> 00:10:25,263 win or lose as you can see this is lost what it's going to do 6 00:10:15,563 --> 00:10:19,543 following these tested strategies work. You actually 7 00:09:40,403 --> 00:09:43,803 opportunity from this supply zone. And potentially this may 8 00:09:18,003 --> 00:09:21,163 at this example on Euro USD. We're looking for an hourly 9 00:09:26,923 --> 00:09:29,523 our plan, this is what we're looking for, happy days. But 10 00:09:06,623 --> 00:09:10,503 process of this very very soon. But let's talk about the final 11 00:09:23,563 --> 00:09:26,923 traded into. So this is our overall move, this fits in with 12 00:08:54,783 --> 00:08:58,143 what works, what doesn't, what can be changed, okay? Doing 13 00:08:52,023 --> 00:08:54,783 ways to build your confidence as a trader and actually see 14 00:08:31,043 --> 00:08:34,083 going to do is allow us to slowly scale through the price 15 00:08:27,883 --> 00:08:31,043 forward testing and actual live market trading but what it is 16 00:08:50,103 --> 00:08:52,023 and it's one of the most effective ways and efficient 17 00:08:18,443 --> 00:08:20,803 how we would feel throughout the trade now it's not going to 18 00:08:05,343 --> 00:08:08,223 Now what this allows us to do is first of all see whether or 19 00:11:03,963 --> 00:11:06,363 couple of videos. So hope you've enjoyed this and I'll 20 00:10:51,803 --> 00:10:55,003 trading account. So that is all for this video now. We're just 21 00:10:42,223 --> 00:10:45,383 this move on your real account to test it you would have just 22 00:10:48,063 --> 00:10:51,803 account if you keep taking test trades on your real live 23 00:10:39,103 --> 00:10:42,223 moves without taking real losses and if you had taken 24 00:10:00,443 --> 00:10:03,563 like so, target your area of interest for your buyers and 25 00:10:06,763 --> 00:10:10,523 this is going to do is keep a necessary stupid losses out of 26 00:10:03,563 --> 00:10:06,763 then actually let this play out but don't execute a move. What 27 00:09:38,123 --> 00:09:40,403 and we thought hm maybe we could actually get a sell 28 00:09:54,923 --> 00:09:57,163 that's in your plan yet and you just want to see if it's 29 00:09:52,603 --> 00:09:54,923 don't want to go in live because it's not something 30 00:09:29,523 --> 00:09:32,443 what we may have on the way into that is a short trade, 31 00:09:03,623 --> 00:09:06,623 ways to actually back test. So we're going to get all into the 32 00:09:14,843 --> 00:09:18,003 like this. Let's say then right now in the market we're looking 33 00:08:42,803 --> 00:08:47,183 of fear or out of you know fear of reversal. So all of these 34 00:08:39,683 --> 00:08:42,803 trade would we have gone ahead and close the trade there out 35 00:08:34,083 --> 00:08:36,643 and see okay when would we have moved our stock loss to break 36 00:08:13,823 --> 00:08:18,443 strategy to market successfully and it also allows us to see 37 00:08:08,223 --> 00:08:11,183 not we can apply our strategy to live markets because if you 38 00:10:30,783 --> 00:10:33,343 not you can actually bring these things into your strategy 39 00:10:45,383 --> 00:10:48,063 taken a really unnecessary loss which is going to hammer your 40 00:10:36,343 --> 00:10:39,103 this has been a clear example because as I said you can test 41 00:10:25,263 --> 00:10:27,983 is give you a good basis of how long things take to win how 42 00:10:57,163 --> 00:11:00,083 we're going to do now is start talking about the processes of 43 00:10:27,983 --> 00:10:30,783 long things take to lose and give you an idea of whether or 44 00:10:55,003 --> 00:10:57,163 going to shoot back over to the presentation and then what 45 00:09:34,963 --> 00:09:38,123 minute time frame while we were waiting for this trade to occur 46 00:09:45,923 --> 00:09:49,603 more often. These low time frame moves to sell into long 47 00:10:13,043 --> 00:10:15,563 actually see which trades played out and which trades 48 00:10:19,543 --> 00:10:22,263 get from this is the benefit of seeing how long things take to 49 00:09:49,603 --> 00:09:52,603 term buying moves. Maybe you want to test this idea but you 50 00:09:10,503 --> 00:09:14,843 type of back testing. Forward testing for sake is something 51 00:09:43,803 --> 00:09:45,923 be something you want to look to bring in to your trading 52 00:09:00,943 --> 00:09:03,623 the most effective, most efficient, and one of the best 53 00:09:32,443 --> 00:09:34,963 okay? So let's say for example, we were here on the three 54 00:09:21,163 --> 00:09:23,563 bullish move to occur from the demand zone that we've just 55 00:08:58,143 --> 00:09:00,943 this is going to set you miles ahead which is why I say it's 56 00:08:47,183 --> 00:08:50,103 things can be considered when we do this live back testing 57 00:08:20,803 --> 00:08:24,763 give us the emotional feeling and the mindset the additional 58 00:08:24,763 --> 00:08:27,883 stress and real emotional feeling that we get from the 59 00:08:36,643 --> 00:08:39,683 even when would we have changed you know anything about the 60 00:08:11,183 --> 00:08:13,823 can do this successfully you can almost certainly apply this 61 00:07:54,103 --> 00:07:56,343 and they actually just give you everything you need to see. So 62 00:07:40,143 --> 00:07:44,183 button on the bar replay tool see if our trade gets triggered 63 00:07:06,883 --> 00:07:11,443 structure then we have a supply zone at this point here which 64 00:06:39,263 --> 00:06:43,063 wherever we are. So we use this nice tool here as we can see we 65 00:06:20,143 --> 00:06:22,823 didn't have all of this experience. So this is how 66 00:06:11,523 --> 00:06:14,523 okay? A lot of things can come down to intuition if you have 67 00:06:07,883 --> 00:06:11,523 just building a real clear pinpoint eye for the markets, 68 00:06:00,563 --> 00:06:04,883 to actually be profitable or is the losing ratio too high. 69 00:05:57,243 --> 00:06:00,563 strategy work consistently and does it win enough of the time 70 00:05:28,263 --> 00:05:33,343 our trade so that is all four of our rules in play so as we 71 00:05:51,923 --> 00:05:54,563 going to know where's the best place to sell from or buy from 72 00:05:33,343 --> 00:05:35,863 can see sell limit on the bottom of the zone here 73 00:05:19,343 --> 00:05:22,383 if we scale back to the price back here we can see okay we 74 00:05:35,863 --> 00:05:38,743 targeting previous demand zone which would be this zone here 75 00:04:37,063 --> 00:04:39,783 the supply zone in the downtrend so the supply zone 76 00:04:44,023 --> 00:04:46,603 this move from this we can actually see where in the zone 77 00:04:32,543 --> 00:04:37,063 of structure so we can mark that out then we can see find 78 00:04:19,343 --> 00:04:23,863 the best case scenarios for this trade okay so if we scale 79 00:04:23,863 --> 00:04:26,663 back to here then let's have a look at this initial setup well 80 00:03:57,183 --> 00:04:00,063 mark up trades accordingly. This is our trading plan for 81 00:03:49,743 --> 00:03:53,903 for in the markets. What we do in a markup scenario is simply 82 00:04:00,063 --> 00:04:02,543 this example's sake. First of all we want to see a break of 83 00:03:40,983 --> 00:03:45,143 markups as I said is the first step in back testing and it's 84 00:03:29,003 --> 00:03:31,483 different benefits so what we're going to do now in the 85 00:03:04,923 --> 00:03:08,563 fit our rules. So what we can actually do is take a markup of 86 00:03:02,923 --> 00:03:04,923 We don't want to take it though because it doesn't completely 87 00:03:17,203 --> 00:03:20,043 find refinements to our rules and new rules that we can 88 00:02:22,903 --> 00:02:25,143 important as well. So we're going to cover those and I'm 89 00:02:56,483 --> 00:03:00,483 forward test. So we have a trade now for example and we 90 00:02:19,383 --> 00:02:22,903 to use the most overall to be fair. But the others are very 91 00:01:24,823 --> 00:01:28,423 do is give you a basis a starting point and actually 92 00:02:00,123 --> 00:02:04,183 replay tool to scale back to the start of September 2020 and 93 00:01:34,683 --> 00:01:38,763 the live testing. The second way to back test and probably 94 00:07:56,343 --> 00:07:59,183 you have the benefit of hindsight on your side. When we 95 00:08:01,823 --> 00:08:05,343 We're essentially trading live but using a past price data. 96 00:01:18,383 --> 00:01:21,943 executed in this way and so on okay so while markups don't 97 00:00:58,483 --> 00:01:02,003 entries would be for trades for example the bottom of a zone or 98 00:00:48,283 --> 00:00:51,643 for. So if we have a rule to sell from supply zones we go 99 00:00:51,643 --> 00:00:55,403 through and look for the best place in supply zones or how we 100 00:07:47,423 --> 00:07:50,263 the trade plays out. So as you can see the markups don't 101 00:00:39,643 --> 00:00:42,283 these are essentially the picture perfect setups that 102 00:00:25,543 --> 00:00:28,383 should take when you come to back testing. If you have your 103 00:07:28,183 --> 00:07:33,423 this zone and then what we can do now is size up the trade 104 00:07:15,223 --> 00:07:18,463 zone on the market we could go ahead and then put a sell emit 105 00:00:12,183 --> 00:00:16,903 one. So the three main ways to back test for me are first of 106 00:06:59,203 --> 00:07:03,203 the breaker structure supply zone sell limit target previous 107 00:06:17,743 --> 00:06:20,143 you're going to spot things that you wouldn't spot if you 108 00:06:04,883 --> 00:06:07,883 Things like this are going to come out the markups as well as 109 00:04:56,963 --> 00:05:01,083 supply zone and the sell limit of course all work very nicely 110 00:04:54,643 --> 00:04:56,963 two methods of the plan the break of structure and the 111 00:05:01,083 --> 00:05:03,723 so this is good to actually test our strategy and see it 112 00:04:46,603 --> 00:04:48,883 is the best place to sell from do we want to sell from the 113 00:07:59,183 --> 00:08:01,823 do these live back testing we don't have that hindsight. 114 00:07:20,943 --> 00:07:24,263 previous demand in the trend now this one leaves a lot of 115 00:04:05,743 --> 00:04:08,783 Then we want to set our sell limit at this supply zone and 116 00:07:11,443 --> 00:07:15,223 has broken that structure so we can ahead and plug this supply 117 00:07:18,463 --> 00:07:20,943 and then as we do for our targets we want to target 118 00:04:29,303 --> 00:04:32,543 we can see we are clearly in a downtrend so this is our break 119 00:03:34,523 --> 00:03:37,443 back testing in these three different ways here's a quick 120 00:07:33,423 --> 00:07:36,303 make a mark up of this before the trade plays out and then we 121 00:06:43,063 --> 00:06:45,643 scale back to somewhere in price normally the start of a 122 00:06:45,643 --> 00:06:48,603 week or a month and then we can actually scale price forward 123 00:03:23,003 --> 00:03:26,483 are important all of them will be used continually throughout 124 00:06:32,583 --> 00:06:36,343 of back testing we use a bar replay tool to scale back in 125 00:06:29,623 --> 00:06:32,583 of back testing. In this type of back testing the main type 126 00:03:00,483 --> 00:03:02,923 think it's going to you know take place over the next week. 127 00:02:48,403 --> 00:02:51,283 refinement to your trades but may be different and maybe out 128 00:05:22,383 --> 00:05:25,303 have a very clear demand zone around this point so what we 129 00:06:22,823 --> 00:06:25,703 markups work. We're going to go through the process in depth in 130 00:05:45,343 --> 00:05:48,363 is is not getting the market experience but learning the 131 00:02:27,823 --> 00:02:30,703 back testing method. Now the third and final method of back 132 00:02:34,523 --> 00:02:37,163 this is is actually when you identify possible trades in 133 00:05:38,743 --> 00:05:42,783 and then we see a 6 R trade using those rules in our 134 00:02:43,963 --> 00:02:46,043 usually when you're trading live you are going to enter 135 00:05:54,563 --> 00:05:57,243 in supply and demand zones. We're going to know does this 136 00:05:48,363 --> 00:05:51,923 best things to look for. So if we do enough of these, we're 137 00:02:04,183 --> 00:02:06,423 what that's actually going to do is let us trade through 138 00:04:02,543 --> 00:04:05,743 structure then we want to find a supply zone in a downtrend. 139 00:05:12,163 --> 00:05:15,683 the low point of the zone gives us a very nice trade so then 140 00:05:10,003 --> 00:05:12,163 would have missed the opportunity but selling from 141 00:04:11,903 --> 00:04:16,423 the trend back here for our targets now what we could then 142 00:04:16,423 --> 00:04:19,343 do is look for these rules to have been met and actually find 143 00:03:53,903 --> 00:03:57,183 scale back to price and then see how our rules play out and 144 00:01:41,243 --> 00:01:45,643 effective is live back testing. This is your standard back 145 00:01:52,203 --> 00:01:55,843 live market. So let's say we wanted to collect data on 146 00:01:28,423 --> 00:01:31,783 show you the best possible rules and the best way to tweak 147 00:01:14,343 --> 00:01:18,383 supply zones is this this rule is redundant this rule is best 148 00:01:21,943 --> 00:01:24,823 give you that live trading experience what they actually 149 00:03:26,483 --> 00:03:29,003 our trading on a day to day basis and they all have 150 00:03:47,383 --> 00:03:49,743 doing is giving you a clear image of what you need to look 151 00:03:37,443 --> 00:03:40,983 example of the markup process. Now when we're doing the 152 00:00:45,003 --> 00:00:48,283 that we learn to identify the best possible things to look 153 00:07:24,263 --> 00:07:28,183 open space to be filled so for this example we'll target into 154 00:07:50,263 --> 00:07:54,103 really give you a clear indication of market experience 155 00:00:28,383 --> 00:00:31,303 rules you have your strategy the first thing you should do 156 00:02:37,163 --> 00:02:40,643 current market prices so not past price data. Uh enough to 157 00:02:51,283 --> 00:02:53,803 of your rules and you don't want to take it live. But you 158 00:07:36,303 --> 00:07:40,143 can allow the trade to play out by actually using this forward 159 00:07:44,183 --> 00:07:47,423 in this instance have been triggered in and then see how 160 00:02:46,043 --> 00:02:48,403 trades but perhaps you see something that may be of 161 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,223 There are three different types of back testing that I carry 162 00:06:56,123 --> 00:06:59,203 were to use the same rules as we used in the previous example 163 00:03:11,523 --> 00:03:13,843 we're looking for and then come back in a few days and see how 164 00:06:36,343 --> 00:06:39,263 price and then we trade it as if we're trading live from 165 00:03:13,843 --> 00:03:17,203 the trade performed and from this what we can actually do is 166 00:00:21,303 --> 00:00:25,543 forward testing. Now markups are the very first step you 167 00:03:08,563 --> 00:03:11,523 that chart right now put our information in there on what is 168 00:06:25,703 --> 00:06:29,623 the next video but for now let's move on to the next type 169 00:07:03,203 --> 00:07:06,883 demand we could see here right first of all we have a breakup 170 00:06:48,603 --> 00:06:51,403 and trade it as if we're trading live by using the 171 00:02:06,423 --> 00:02:09,663 September 2020 without knowing what's going to happen next as 172 00:06:51,403 --> 00:06:56,123 button like this so for example then in this opportunity if we 173 00:06:14,523 --> 00:06:17,743 enough experience and you've seen the market enough times 174 00:02:12,943 --> 00:02:16,263 common, most popular and the most effective and efficient 175 00:05:42,783 --> 00:05:45,343 trading plan so really what we're doing here in the markups 176 00:02:30,703 --> 00:02:34,523 testing that I'm going to talk about is forward testing. What 177 00:05:15,683 --> 00:05:19,343 our fun rule was target demand zones in the previous trend so 178 00:05:03,723 --> 00:05:07,683 working nicely and it also gives us a lesson of okay in 179 00:05:25,303 --> 00:05:28,263 can do is mark this up and we can use this as a target for 180 00:02:09,663 --> 00:02:12,943 if we were trading a live market. So this is the most 181 00:05:07,683 --> 00:05:10,003 this example if we'd sold from the midpoint of the zone we 182 00:04:51,003 --> 00:04:54,643 zone well we can see from this in this example our original 183 00:04:39,783 --> 00:04:44,023 that broke the structure was indeed this one at the top of 184 00:04:48,883 --> 00:04:51,003 midpoint of the zone do we want to sell from the low of the 185 00:01:55,843 --> 00:02:00,123 September 20 20 for example. What we can do is use a bar 186 00:03:31,483 --> 00:03:34,523 next couple of videos is get familiar with this process of 187 00:01:45,643 --> 00:01:49,363 testing where we use a bar replay tool to trade through 188 00:04:26,663 --> 00:04:29,303 first of all we can see at this point a break of structure and 189 00:04:08,783 --> 00:04:11,903 then we want to use the demand zones in the previous trend so 190 00:03:45,143 --> 00:03:47,383 not really getting you the market experience but what it's 191 00:01:38,763 --> 00:01:41,243 the most important, probably the most efficient and 192 00:01:09,423 --> 00:01:14,343 span of 10 to 20 or 50 trades the best place to enter from 193 00:01:05,183 --> 00:01:09,423 if we do the markups we can actually see overall over say a 194 00:02:53,803 --> 00:02:56,483 do want to see how it reacts. What we can actually do is 195 00:02:25,143 --> 00:02:27,823 going to show you how they can benefit you on top of this live 196 00:00:55,403 --> 00:00:58,483 can refine those supply zones things like this where the best 197 00:02:40,643 --> 00:02:43,963 actually mark them up and track them with no live entry. Now 198 00:00:36,123 --> 00:00:39,643 price action and mark up the best case scenario trades. So 199 00:02:16,263 --> 00:02:19,383 market back testing method and it's the one that we're going 200 00:01:49,363 --> 00:01:52,203 previous price action and previous data as if it was a 201 00:00:31,303 --> 00:00:36,123 is start forming markups. To collect we run through previous 202 00:01:31,783 --> 00:01:34,683 your rules things like that before you actually get into 203 00:03:20,043 --> 00:03:23,003 implement into our trading so all of these methods of testing 204 00:01:02,003 --> 00:01:05,183 the midpoint of a zone or the top of a zone things like this 205 00:00:16,903 --> 00:00:21,303 all markups. Second of all live back testing and third of all 206 00:00:42,283 --> 00:00:45,003 follow the rules in our strategy. The idea of this is 207 00:00:06,823 --> 00:00:09,263 processes we're going to talk about what these different 208 00:00:09,263 --> 00:00:12,183 types of back testing are and how we complete each different 209 00:11:06,363 --> 00:11:08,944 see you there. 210 00:00:03,223 --> 00:00:06,823 out and they all have different uses. So before we get into the 19815

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