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Okay folks.
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Welcome back June, 2017, I stayed
mentorship stock trading less than
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four valuation stock selections.
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okay.
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Folks mentioned this many times.
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Free teachings, uh, as one resource,
I think, as an investor, um, you
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should have this, you should have
this as part of your repertoire.
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You need to have it as
a resource, as a tool.
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I think it's valuable.
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Um, I don't have.
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Hi enough things to say about
investor's business daily.
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I've used it as a resource
since the late nineties.
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It's awesome.
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Awesome tool.
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It gives you, in my opinion, the
best fundamental slant on stocks than
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there than you can find anywhere else.
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I used to subscribe to the wall
street journal as a young trader.
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I felt a stilted, a little, uh, Stuffy,
I guess the word I was looking for and it
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just felt, um, you know, not friendly to
me as a, as a new trader, uh, investors
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business daily has always been presented
in a manner where it's easy to understand.
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It's very organized.
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Um, I like what they do.
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I've always liked what they'd
done with their resource.
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And they've always been on the cutting
edge as far as trying to crack the
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code in terms of, uh, real supply
and demand factors behind stocks.
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So if there's some means of
valuation from a fundamental
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standpoint, I believe that there are
fundamental reasons to buy stocks.
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Um, it doesn't mean that those
fundamentals are sound or that
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they're going to equate to future
profitability for the company.
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But if we're going to number crunch,
I think investors business daily
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is the number one resource in that.
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So everything I'm going to talk about
here, it's going to be highly dependent
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upon you knowing, or getting familiar with
investors, business daily newspaper, uh,
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that they have it in digital form now.
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And you can do a four week free trial.
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Um, they do ask for a credit
card, but, um, if you cancel
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before they won't charge you.
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But, uh, the point is, if you
wait until like the second.
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Week of September wait and it asks
for a four week trial subscription.
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Okay.
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So the second week of September,
I'm going to remind you all to, to
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subscribe to investor's business
daily with a free four week trial.
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And no, I'm not in business with them now.
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I'm not a salesman for them.
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I genuinely use their
service and I like it.
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00:03:01,545 --> 00:03:05,025
So part of this mentorship
was to learn what it is I use
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to come away with my analysis
concepts, and this is one of them.
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So, and I use it for currency stuff too.
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I use it for commodity stuff
as well, but when we get into
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a post mentorship stuff and.
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September October, whenever the divergence
occurs in the stock market that we're
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usually looking for for the seasonal low,
um, we'll be tracking that week by week.
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And when it comes to fruition, I'll
actually throw in a bonus teaching.
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Cause I promised you that I would do a
stock market analysis over the shoulder.
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So you guys can see what, how I do it.
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Breaking down the industry groups,
sectors, leadership, all that
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business, and using all the tools
that I use for my price action study.
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But.
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I say that because I'm going to go
over and kind of like in general terms
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of what I use investor's business
daily with, and like 80% of this
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teaching is basically what you learn
from reading William O'Neill's book,
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how to make money trading stocks.
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Um, to me, um, I can't say it
enough to simply read that book.
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Okay.
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It's a really, really good book.
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It's timely.
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Because the information is still
pertinent to today, but without
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using the investor's business daily
newspaper, it's kind of like, well,
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you know, it's just needed information.
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It's thanks for including it, Michael, but
I'm really not going to go that direction.
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I believe even if you don't trade stocks,
you should be looking at this resource.
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Uh, you don't have to
subscribe to it either.
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Um, if you can get to a new state.
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Where you live at locally?
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Um, before I actually became a
subscriber to their service, I used
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to go to the newsstand in one of the
local malls where I lived at, and
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I would go there on the weekends.
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I'd get the week weekend edition, which
had like all the bells and whistles
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and the complete stock breakdown and
all the, uh, the indicators they use
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for their, um, fundamental ratings.
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And I would literally pour
over this newspaper for hours
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on Saturday and I loved it.
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Absolutely loved it.
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And now it's digital, which it
makes it very easy to flip through
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and find what you're looking for.
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But truth be told I still get the weekly
printed edition because I like it.
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I'm a dinosaur.
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Um, you don't have to go that route,
but to save money, if you want to
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look at it that way, um, I guess.
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Go there and buy the newspaper you
once or twice a month, you know, then
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maybe, uh, that would be one way for
you to save some money because you
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don't need to see it all the time.
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I think once a month is sufficient
enough, especially if you're waiting
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for something, technically they'll
align as well, discuss here in this
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teaching, but I can't say it enough
investors necessarily absolutely.
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One of the best resources for.
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So we've learned about index stocks
and the Dow 30 NASDAQ 100 and SB 500.
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So you have a universe of 630 stocks
at your disposal as a index base.
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This teaching to me, talking about
valuation selections on growth
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stocks, and this is where the baby.
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Astronomical stock searches take place.
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Okay.
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It's going to be in this valuation format
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and obviously, um, I can't claim
ownership of this, but I do subscribe
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to the theory, uh, that William J.
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O'Neil uh, created and his acronym
he uses for it is canceling.
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And we'll break down each
one of these components.
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And I'll tell you how I segue in from this
information into how I use my price action
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analysis concepts, but the first portion,
all the way up to the letter, M primarily
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this portion of the acronym, that's
where I get my phone and on basis from.
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So when I view a stock on a
fundamental level, whether it being
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bullish or bearish, I'm using.
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Method of breaking down the
stock with these letters here,
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that we'll look at closer.
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And finally, the last one
here is the technical basis,
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which is my own input into it.
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I don't believe that William J on
Neal's, um, approach to timing the
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market was sufficient enough and
by my own analysis concepts and by.
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Uh, my SMP trading and such, I, I
adopted obviously the canceling method
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from the fundamental standpoint, but
I can time the market as we've seen
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in the market and the mentorship.
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And in prior to the mentorship, I can
time the market pretty good, uh, in
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regards to whether they're bullish
or bearish, and we know how to select
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certain times of the year to do that.
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So we have time.
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And we have seasonals and we
have fundamentals together.
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Wow.
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Do we have a dandy of a stock
picking analysis concept?
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So fundamentally speaking, the
first one in the acronym can
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slam is C and William J and old.
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Basically it's referring to current
earnings and you be looking for
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stocks with earnings growth of
at least 25% in the last report.
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And larger growth is even better,
but you're going to be also
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looking to see earnings accelerate
over the last three quarters.
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And for example, one quarters earnings
may be up 25% in the next quarter or
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50% in the most recent up 90% and say,
ideally, you want to see the increase, uh,
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building not just a steady growth Cedrus
enough, but you want to see an increasing.
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And the a and the acronym stands for
annual earnings and you want to see
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annual earnings growth of at least
25% each of the last three years.
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And you also find that the greatest
stocks over time, I've had the best
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margins in the industry group and
return on equities at least 17%.
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And there's some of these things are
going to go right over your head and
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without actually doing it with real
stock selections and going through the
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process, which you'll actually see me.
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In the fall.
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So just noted the folks that
are here at the end of this
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mentorships content delivery.
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During those three months, you'll actually
see me do this, uh, spend, I don't
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know how long it's going to take me.
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It's probably gonna be a long video or
long live session, but it'll, it'll be
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done on a Saturday and you'll see exactly
how I do it, but I'll break down all the
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things that's shown here and I'll show
you how you can get this information.
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Um, apart from investors, business
daily, for some of it, but other
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things you're going to have to.
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Solely on investor's business
daily, like annual earnings and
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quarterly earnings and stuff.
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That's kind of like
common knowledge stuff.
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He can pull that up on his
simple thing of bar chart or a
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MarketWatch, something like that.
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You can pull that
information relatively easy.
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Okay.
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The end of the acronym stands for
the new factor and the biggest
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canceling winners or stocks that are.
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Found to be selected by this
method always had something new.
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Okay.
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And it could be a new product.
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It could be a new service, new
leadership, new management, new price,
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high or new condition in the industry.
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And an important factor is
to look for newer companies.
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So studies have shown the greatest stock.
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Winners showed that 75% of them went
public within the last eight years.
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So this new economy, this new
growth that seen wide way of like,
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for instance, like social media.
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Okay.
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Facebook, for example, um, the company
came out with an IPO and I remember
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telling some of my friends that, uh,
you want to wait for it to trade down
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to around $20 a share and then buy it
and wait for it to go over a hundred
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dollars a share within about three days.
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Went to exactly to script.
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A lot of them bought it initially and
ended up paying a little bit more and sat
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through a little bit of a pullback on it.
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But it was a new company.
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It was a new IPO, but it was a fresh idea
was everybody wanted to be a part of it.
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And just at the time of this
recording now it's hit a new
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mile marker with several billion.
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Uh, users a month or on Facebook now I
don't personally have a Facebook anymore.
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I did have one, but the point
is you want to be looking for
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new horizon opportunities.
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And while there may not be new companies
coming on the scene, in terms of publicly
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traded stocks, they may be a company
that's coming out with a fresh idea or
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a new spin on something or revamping.
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So.
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Okay.
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And I'll give you an example like
apple, every time they do a new iPhone
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update and I'm looking forward to
the iPhone eight, this fall, the,
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uh, that always obviously generates
new, more interest in that particular
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stock or that, that, uh, company.
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So if we have a change in management,
a lot of times that will spur
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on a new interest in buying.
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So always look for things in new and.
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This portion of canceling is best
used for once you identify a stock
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that has strong current or earnings
annual earnings, you want to start
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looking in like a simple Google.
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The company lists that you build a
stock watch list of to have strong
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earnings, quarterly and annually.
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The next thing you want to
start looking through is the
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Google search on those stocks.
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See if there's anything new coming
up, if there's any, any kind of, uh,
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a new idea, a new spin on something,
something that was going to draw
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investors attention to it, because if
that's happening, it's also going to
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happen on an institutional level as well.
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And who has more money?
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Joe Schmo on the corner.
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That's John and shoes and puts
the money into an IRA or the folks
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that run these mutual funds or
work for an insurance company.
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So obviously the ladder.
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So anything new is going to be
beneficial to you in terms of seeing
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potentially new purchasing, more
appreciation in a share price, coupled
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with strong current earnings and annual.
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K the letter S in the acronym
standing forest apply in the man.
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00:14:05,815 --> 00:14:11,095
And no, we're not talking about supply
and demand as it relates to technicals.
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Right?
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00:14:11,965 --> 00:14:15,925
So one of the most basic economic
principles is the law of supply
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and demand, which is most
sharply demonstrated in stock.
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Mark.
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00:14:20,175 --> 00:14:23,775
Now I'm going to argue with
that, but we'll just go along
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with what they're saying here.
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The strong demand for a limited
supply of available shares will push
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a stock price up on the flip side.
230
00:14:32,925 --> 00:14:38,325
An oversupply of shares in weak demand
will cause the price to sag or decline.
231
00:14:40,349 --> 00:14:45,120
When are we looking for a stock
that obviously is well valued.
232
00:14:45,510 --> 00:14:47,130
It has to be above $20 a share.
233
00:14:47,130 --> 00:14:50,640
In my personal opinion, it has to be
a share price of over $20 a share.
234
00:14:51,359 --> 00:14:54,420
And it has to have a reasonable float.
235
00:14:54,479 --> 00:14:57,270
That means the outstanding number
of shares that could be purchased.
236
00:14:57,780 --> 00:15:00,479
And we'll, we'll talk more about
that when we actually do case study
237
00:15:00,599 --> 00:15:06,449
and literally I pick out the winners
is going to be for this fall, but,
238
00:15:06,930 --> 00:15:07,770
uh, you want to be looking at.
239
00:15:08,820 --> 00:15:16,680
The idea of buying a stock that
has a ton of float or open shares
240
00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,950
that can be purchased calm.
241
00:15:20,010 --> 00:15:25,710
We compare that with another stock that
has a lesser number of shares and float
242
00:15:26,130 --> 00:15:30,510
that could be purchased that has the
same type of conditions where it has
243
00:15:30,510 --> 00:15:32,910
strong earnings and annual earnings.
244
00:15:32,970 --> 00:15:34,080
And it has something new.
245
00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,000
A new product comes down,
maybe new management.
246
00:15:37,245 --> 00:15:43,125
And it has far less shares, which one
has more opportunity to go higher?
247
00:15:43,275 --> 00:15:47,355
Well, if smart money starts buying that
one with the lesser float or lesser
248
00:15:47,415 --> 00:15:51,495
outstanding shares, that one's going
to go up a lot more because it's going
249
00:15:51,495 --> 00:15:55,395
to be very easy for them to reprice
because of the supply and demand factor
250
00:15:55,575 --> 00:15:57,765
seen by investors pouring money into it.
251
00:16:02,105 --> 00:16:02,315
Okay.
252
00:16:02,315 --> 00:16:05,105
The L and the acronym can slim
stands for leader in laggard.
253
00:16:07,030 --> 00:16:07,210
All right.
254
00:16:07,210 --> 00:16:11,260
So true leaders of those companies shown
the best earnings growth, strongest
255
00:16:11,260 --> 00:16:15,700
sales and superior price performance,
and are in leading industry groups
256
00:16:17,890 --> 00:16:20,050
consider buying high and selling higher.
257
00:16:21,370 --> 00:16:25,180
That sounds like foolishness,
but we've learned that basically
258
00:16:25,180 --> 00:16:27,850
that's a little less, a low
resistance liquidity run, basically.
259
00:16:28,210 --> 00:16:28,420
Okay.
260
00:16:28,420 --> 00:16:32,680
We're already seeing price go
higher and we are comfortable with
261
00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:33,880
it because it's moved away from a.
262
00:16:34,965 --> 00:16:38,475
But Ray, and we know that going to
be reaching for buy-side liquidity.
263
00:16:39,585 --> 00:16:41,625
That's the general principle
in the stock market.
264
00:16:41,635 --> 00:16:45,735
You're going to be looking for these
leadership issues, not a laggard, a
265
00:16:45,795 --> 00:16:50,445
relative strength analysis is going
to help you with this, but we can
266
00:16:50,445 --> 00:16:53,175
be buying something that's already
been moving up and we're going to
267
00:16:53,175 --> 00:16:54,285
be selling it at a higher price.
268
00:16:56,740 --> 00:17:01,540
Now the results of their studies over at
William J O'Neill's company, investor's
269
00:17:01,540 --> 00:17:02,980
business daily is the greatest market.
270
00:17:02,980 --> 00:17:07,300
Winners revealed something quite
interesting that they strong got stronger.
271
00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:09,880
And that's the basis of how I use it.
272
00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:13,000
Relative strength analysis, because
we're ferreting out the ones
273
00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:14,740
that are leadership, so smart.
274
00:17:14,740 --> 00:17:15,640
Money's pouring money in.
275
00:17:17,385 --> 00:17:20,625
Chance starts going to go up, not
go up a little bit, the golf a lot.
276
00:17:21,285 --> 00:17:24,675
So the task for you as the astute
investors to locate these strong
277
00:17:24,675 --> 00:17:28,605
leading companies and to avoid the
week six sister or laggard performance.
278
00:17:34,090 --> 00:17:34,330
Okay.
279
00:17:34,330 --> 00:17:37,690
The I in the acronym canceling
stands for institutional sponsorship.
280
00:17:37,690 --> 00:17:38,920
And you hear me talk about that a lot?
281
00:17:39,310 --> 00:17:40,300
Uh, cause it's important.
282
00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,090
Uh, there's ways we can track it
for X there's ways we can check in
283
00:17:43,090 --> 00:17:47,530
the commodities, but the way that
you can track it in stocks is the
284
00:17:47,530 --> 00:17:49,210
participation of the mutual funds.
285
00:17:50,110 --> 00:17:54,129
So mutual funds, pension funds and
banks are the big players that drive the
286
00:17:54,129 --> 00:17:57,700
market and stocks and the account for
as much as 80% of all trading active.
287
00:17:58,755 --> 00:18:01,815
For a stock to be a top form and it
has to have institutional support
288
00:18:01,815 --> 00:18:06,765
to fuel its price moves suggesting
that you only buy stocks that have at
289
00:18:06,765 --> 00:18:11,655
least 10 mutual funds that is ideal
and have two to three quarters of
290
00:18:11,655 --> 00:18:13,425
increasing institutional sponsorship.
291
00:18:13,455 --> 00:18:13,755
Now.
292
00:18:14,655 --> 00:18:17,685
There are ways that you can go through
and dig out all this information,
293
00:18:17,685 --> 00:18:21,915
but I've found that it's much easier
to go through the ranking system
294
00:18:21,915 --> 00:18:24,104
that IBD uses in their newspaper.
295
00:18:24,104 --> 00:18:27,104
And this is one of those resource
resources to save a lot of time.
296
00:18:27,705 --> 00:18:31,635
You can just go right there in their,
their stock table and find all of
297
00:18:31,635 --> 00:18:33,284
the stocks that fit this criteria.
298
00:18:33,885 --> 00:18:36,254
And they also have a stock scanner
too, for you guys that like to do
299
00:18:36,254 --> 00:18:38,115
those types of things, you can put
it in the criteria you're looking
300
00:18:38,115 --> 00:18:40,215
for and all the ratings and stuff.
301
00:18:41,475 --> 00:18:44,655
And it will spit out all the stocks
that they follow that meet that
302
00:18:44,655 --> 00:18:46,185
criteria on a fundamental basis.
303
00:18:46,545 --> 00:18:51,345
And one of the institutional sponsorship
tabs they have in my opinion is awesome.
304
00:18:51,465 --> 00:18:56,055
And if you use it correctly at the
times of the year, when we look to
305
00:18:56,055 --> 00:18:59,745
be a buyer or leading into it can
find some real dandies in terms of
306
00:19:00,105 --> 00:19:02,835
strong leadership upside companies.
307
00:19:06,740 --> 00:19:10,700
And lastly, in our acronym
canceling it's the market direction.
308
00:19:11,390 --> 00:19:15,020
And studies show that three out of
four stocks follow the market trends.
309
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,750
So you're going to want to
be trading in sync with the
310
00:19:17,750 --> 00:19:19,130
market as I've always taught.
311
00:19:19,820 --> 00:19:23,960
And you should only be buying
stocks in a confirmed uptrend and
312
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:28,130
you look to protect your capital in
corrections, so market direction.
313
00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,850
Um, I don't subscribe to
anyone else's theory that.
314
00:19:32,625 --> 00:19:38,445
Um, I think the only thing that matters
for stocks in terms of things that's
315
00:19:38,445 --> 00:19:40,425
been around forever is Dow theory.
316
00:19:41,055 --> 00:19:46,335
Dow theory is all you'll ever need
in terms of technical analysis
317
00:19:46,335 --> 00:19:50,595
for stocks, to me, that coupled
with how I look at institutional
318
00:19:50,985 --> 00:19:55,965
sponsorship and institutional order
flow and premium and discount rate.
319
00:19:57,635 --> 00:19:59,254
Simple, simple, simple stuff.
320
00:19:59,825 --> 00:20:04,504
Applied with Dow theory as a
confirmation, looking at quarterly
321
00:20:04,504 --> 00:20:06,065
shifts and seasonal tendencies.
322
00:20:06,514 --> 00:20:08,195
That's how we timed the market.
323
00:20:08,705 --> 00:20:11,855
No one breaks down timing to
stock market down like I do.
324
00:20:12,335 --> 00:20:15,635
And that sounds rather arrogant
right now, but it's the truth.
325
00:20:16,295 --> 00:20:20,495
You've gone through most of the
mentorship here already, by the time of
326
00:20:20,495 --> 00:20:21,965
this recording, you're listening to it.
327
00:20:22,655 --> 00:20:24,745
You can see there's rather unique thing.
328
00:20:25,875 --> 00:20:28,965
I do about price and it's highly specific.
329
00:20:29,385 --> 00:20:32,235
It's, uh, it's about specific
times of the day and specific times
330
00:20:32,235 --> 00:20:38,685
of the week, days of the week,
debt are superior than others.
331
00:20:39,254 --> 00:20:43,665
There's periods of the year or calendar
months that are better than others.
332
00:20:43,695 --> 00:20:48,135
And there's certain quarters of the
year that are better than others in
333
00:20:48,135 --> 00:20:49,935
terms of bullishness for bearishness.
334
00:20:50,354 --> 00:20:51,264
So I.
335
00:20:52,395 --> 00:20:57,285
Spent a lot of time classifying how
I can in general terms, view the
336
00:20:57,285 --> 00:21:01,695
market in a cyclical nature where
it repeats itself very generically.
337
00:21:02,265 --> 00:21:04,245
And no one else has done that.
338
00:21:04,455 --> 00:21:06,855
They get, they get close to
it with a little bit of this
339
00:21:06,855 --> 00:21:07,575
and a little bit of that.
340
00:21:07,935 --> 00:21:13,395
But I came up through just about
everything that was around prior to a
341
00:21:13,725 --> 00:21:17,565
year, 2000 and I was in everything I did.
342
00:21:17,625 --> 00:21:20,985
Elliot Lee went, did all those
things that supposedly work.
343
00:21:21,885 --> 00:21:23,115
And I come away with.
344
00:21:23,730 --> 00:21:24,990
Most of it's nonsense.
345
00:21:25,020 --> 00:21:29,429
And some of it works sometimes, and that's
why they keep selling books and stuff.
346
00:21:29,460 --> 00:21:34,950
But we, the way I interpret price,
if we can look at things seasonally,
347
00:21:35,730 --> 00:21:40,530
for instance, if we know there's a
seasonal influence for stocks to rally
348
00:21:40,530 --> 00:21:44,399
a specific time of the year, doesn't
it make sense to start studying the
349
00:21:44,399 --> 00:21:48,389
market right before that maybe a month
before that season one in impact.
350
00:21:49,149 --> 00:21:52,360
And start looking for companies
that are already showing evidences
351
00:21:52,360 --> 00:21:56,260
that they're having strong earnings
and your earnings are increasing.
352
00:21:56,290 --> 00:21:58,629
They have a new product, new
management, something new about
353
00:21:58,629 --> 00:22:00,370
them, something drawing attention.
354
00:22:00,879 --> 00:22:05,740
And they have a, a reasonable
open float for shares that are
355
00:22:05,740 --> 00:22:07,689
existing, that can be purchased.
356
00:22:08,020 --> 00:22:11,439
And that way we can start tracking whether
or not mutual funds are pouring into it.
357
00:22:12,159 --> 00:22:17,445
And if it's a leadership stock and
it's industry, group and sector, Man,
358
00:22:17,445 --> 00:22:18,855
you got everything going for you.
359
00:22:19,695 --> 00:22:22,965
The only thing you need to know is when's
the stock market going to move as a whole.
360
00:22:23,775 --> 00:22:24,795
I've already taught you that.
361
00:22:25,275 --> 00:22:29,685
So by coupling that you actually
put IBD investors, business,
362
00:22:29,685 --> 00:22:33,495
dailies statistics on steroids,
363
00:22:38,435 --> 00:22:40,625
it takes us back to the
major market timing points.
364
00:22:41,595 --> 00:22:46,405
Every one of the months here gives
us our bias for bullish or bearish.
365
00:22:46,435 --> 00:22:53,355
This you as a trader for looking in the
buying and selling stocks, you want to
366
00:22:53,355 --> 00:22:59,835
be buying in the first portion of the
year, February to may and in selling
367
00:22:59,835 --> 00:23:05,415
stocks or looking to sell short stocks
from may going into the latter half
368
00:23:05,445 --> 00:23:08,385
of September, and then in October.
369
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:11,939
Going into the last day
of the trading year.
370
00:23:12,419 --> 00:23:14,580
You want to be looking
to be a buyer of stocks.
371
00:23:15,060 --> 00:23:21,360
So you have this basic rule of buying
stocks February to may selling stocks
372
00:23:21,389 --> 00:23:25,800
may to mid September, and then from
mid-September to the end of the
373
00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:27,870
year, you look to be buying stocks.
374
00:23:28,709 --> 00:23:30,120
That's all there is to this folks.
375
00:23:30,120 --> 00:23:30,439
It's very.
376
00:23:31,635 --> 00:23:33,375
Everyone creates all these things.
377
00:23:33,375 --> 00:23:37,215
These wave one and wave two and
correction, be in correction.
378
00:23:37,225 --> 00:23:39,075
See all that stuff is nonsense.
379
00:23:39,435 --> 00:23:40,245
It's ridiculous.
380
00:23:40,905 --> 00:23:46,095
You just simply look at where is the
seasonal tendencies for these large
381
00:23:46,485 --> 00:23:52,575
deep pocket investors, but we call
smart money when the smart money is
382
00:23:52,575 --> 00:23:56,205
looking to operate, whether a buyer or
seller, that's all we're trying to do.
383
00:23:56,685 --> 00:23:58,935
We understand seasonal influences are.
384
00:23:59,955 --> 00:24:00,975
They happen every year.
385
00:24:01,575 --> 00:24:06,255
And if we know when the stock market's
predisposed to go higher, we can go in
386
00:24:06,255 --> 00:24:10,395
and fundamentally filter out stocks that
are already showing leadership stocks
387
00:24:10,395 --> 00:24:12,075
that are failing to make lower lows.
388
00:24:12,105 --> 00:24:17,055
And times when we look into be a
buyer of stocks by default, you
389
00:24:17,055 --> 00:24:19,395
are going to see leadership issues.
390
00:24:20,565 --> 00:24:23,385
And if you have investors
business daily as a resource, you
391
00:24:23,385 --> 00:24:24,945
can use that column they have.
392
00:24:25,155 --> 00:24:28,065
And part of their smart ratings, the.
393
00:24:28,965 --> 00:24:33,975
Institutional sponsorship rating, and
you'll actually see me do it this fall.
394
00:24:33,975 --> 00:24:35,445
I actually go through the whole process.
395
00:24:35,785 --> 00:24:38,655
We'll be sorting through
like 7,500 stocks.
396
00:24:38,655 --> 00:24:39,225
It's crazy.
397
00:24:39,225 --> 00:24:40,185
I know, but you'll see.
398
00:24:40,365 --> 00:24:41,625
It doesn't take much work at all.
399
00:24:41,715 --> 00:24:42,585
Really, really easy.
400
00:24:42,825 --> 00:24:45,015
And I won't use the stock
scanner that's available.
401
00:24:45,225 --> 00:24:48,705
Like I have all that stuff as bells and
whistles, but I want to show you how I.
402
00:24:49,875 --> 00:24:51,794
Literally going through
all the stock tables.
403
00:24:52,125 --> 00:24:52,605
It's fun.
404
00:24:52,735 --> 00:24:55,004
I'm looking forward to, I
love doing it in the fall.
405
00:24:55,215 --> 00:24:57,814
It's one of those things I
like doing as a, as a pastime.
406
00:24:57,824 --> 00:25:04,574
Cause I used to do it years ago with a
high interest in being, participating
407
00:25:04,574 --> 00:25:06,794
in it and in, in great deal.
408
00:25:07,334 --> 00:25:11,534
But now, because I'm basically
a one trick pony with Forex,
409
00:25:11,985 --> 00:25:13,485
um, I've moved away from it.
410
00:25:13,725 --> 00:25:14,185
So I get.
411
00:25:15,045 --> 00:25:17,745
The wonderful privilege to be able
to do it in front of all of you.
412
00:25:18,075 --> 00:25:21,675
Whereas I generally don't do it in
front of anybody, but just go through
413
00:25:21,675 --> 00:25:26,475
the, uh, the analysis, make my, my
watch list and then finally whittle
414
00:25:26,475 --> 00:25:30,255
it down to what I believe is going
to be a strong leadership stock.
415
00:25:30,435 --> 00:25:33,855
And I watch it go into a year,
the end of the year, going
416
00:25:33,855 --> 00:25:34,845
into the first month or two.
417
00:25:34,845 --> 00:25:36,495
And, uh, the next year
418
00:25:39,975 --> 00:25:41,445
at the time of.
419
00:25:42,645 --> 00:25:44,325
That fall analysis.
420
00:25:44,325 --> 00:25:48,195
When we do that together, I'm
actually going to go through
421
00:25:48,645 --> 00:25:49,905
the darlings of the Dow.
422
00:25:50,355 --> 00:25:51,375
I'm going to do that one with you.
423
00:25:51,465 --> 00:25:53,115
It's all the same, that same Saturday.
424
00:25:53,115 --> 00:25:56,595
I'm going to do the darlings of the
Dao, the dogs, or the doubt, which
425
00:25:56,595 --> 00:25:58,935
is another stock selection concept.
426
00:25:58,935 --> 00:26:01,125
That was just, you can do a Google
search and figure out what that is.
427
00:26:01,575 --> 00:26:08,445
And I'm also going to do the,
uh, index stocks for the S and P.
428
00:26:09,300 --> 00:26:10,710
The Dow and the NASDAQ.
429
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:15,090
So you'll know all the strongest
index stocks, and I'm going to
430
00:26:15,090 --> 00:26:19,680
go through all of the investor's
business daily, fundamentally ranked
431
00:26:20,190 --> 00:26:24,240
stocks, and then I'll find the
ones that have the best technicals.
432
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:30,960
As I look at timing, the market looking
for index SMT against now that's one of
433
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:34,740
the things I've learned over the years,
looking at some of their stocks, they
434
00:26:34,740 --> 00:26:38,160
have a relative strength rating in there.
435
00:26:39,120 --> 00:26:40,410
Uh, IBD smart tabs.
436
00:26:40,980 --> 00:26:45,900
And that, to me, I thought they
were looking at how I look at price.
437
00:26:46,010 --> 00:26:48,480
You failing to make lower
lows, and then that's the buy.
438
00:26:48,810 --> 00:26:50,640
That's not, that's not what they're doing.
439
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:57,300
Um, but you're going to see sometimes
IVD will give you strong, fundamental
440
00:26:57,300 --> 00:27:02,040
ratings on certain stocks, but they
won't have the technical support.
441
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:02,100
It.
442
00:27:03,285 --> 00:27:06,225
So, what we were forcing
ourselves to do is fine.
443
00:27:06,225 --> 00:27:06,585
Yes.
444
00:27:06,615 --> 00:27:11,145
There is a fundamental basis for
this stock to do well because it's
445
00:27:11,145 --> 00:27:14,985
making money, but the stock may not
have enough attention drawn to it.
446
00:27:15,375 --> 00:27:19,665
So therefore you won't see
these investors pouring in on an
447
00:27:19,665 --> 00:27:23,235
institutional level because there's
nothing that's drawn attention to it.
448
00:27:23,295 --> 00:27:24,645
No new thing happened.
449
00:27:25,145 --> 00:27:26,565
Remember the end in canceling.
450
00:27:27,135 --> 00:27:29,835
So there's so many stocks
out there to be following.
451
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,030
It's like, you know, first
listened to my uncle.
452
00:27:33,030 --> 00:27:35,700
The first time he talked to me about
how he wants to be a stockbroker.
453
00:27:35,700 --> 00:27:37,320
He didn't want to have
to stop working at work.
454
00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:41,389
And then he's going to start trading
and yada, yada, yada, when he found
455
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:44,850
out how many stocks are really out
there and the whole business of being a
456
00:27:44,850 --> 00:27:48,389
stock broker was just basically selling
something like a used car salesman.
457
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,090
There was no valuation,
there was no analysis.
458
00:27:51,330 --> 00:27:53,010
They were just told, this
is what we're pitching.
459
00:27:53,790 --> 00:27:57,030
Well, that's not what people want.
460
00:27:57,060 --> 00:27:57,480
They want.
461
00:27:57,510 --> 00:27:58,290
They want to know.
462
00:27:59,325 --> 00:28:03,345
Stocks are most likely going to go up and
without large institutions pouring money
463
00:28:03,345 --> 00:28:04,935
into them, they're not going to go up.
464
00:28:05,325 --> 00:28:06,255
Not to any measure.
465
00:28:06,945 --> 00:28:10,785
And investors on an institutional basis
are not going to put large funds into
466
00:28:10,785 --> 00:28:12,825
something that aren't making money.
467
00:28:12,855 --> 00:28:14,895
So you have to have quarterly
earnings increasing.
468
00:28:15,165 --> 00:28:20,145
You have to have the annual numbers,
increasing something new, something fresh,
469
00:28:20,145 --> 00:28:21,795
something exciting about that company.
470
00:28:22,575 --> 00:28:25,515
It's gotta be a leadership in
its sector in its industry group.
471
00:28:26,065 --> 00:28:26,595
It's gotta be.
472
00:28:28,005 --> 00:28:33,195
Um, a short supply in terms of, uh,
number of shares, outstanding compared
473
00:28:33,195 --> 00:28:37,035
to like for instance, index stocks,
you know, when I taught you how to
474
00:28:37,035 --> 00:28:41,235
do index stocks, there's a reason for
that because some of you are older and
475
00:28:41,235 --> 00:28:45,285
not privileged to be as young as some
of you are now learning this stuff.
476
00:28:45,705 --> 00:28:49,365
So when you trade stocks, the
index stocks are far less about.
477
00:28:50,205 --> 00:28:51,465
That liquidity is awesome.
478
00:28:51,885 --> 00:28:54,735
And it's not going to see these
crazy whips all movements.
479
00:28:54,945 --> 00:29:00,315
They won't go up $5 and then crash
20 hours a next growth stocks.
480
00:29:00,315 --> 00:29:01,665
Like I'm teaching you here.
481
00:29:02,685 --> 00:29:07,785
They can have very, very explosive
growth on the upside, but they can
482
00:29:07,785 --> 00:29:09,405
also come down pretty quick too.
483
00:29:10,005 --> 00:29:15,105
So in a way, investors business
daily is a great front running tool
484
00:29:15,675 --> 00:29:18,045
where they it's like a pump and dump.
485
00:29:19,050 --> 00:29:22,440
But you're not investing
in holding for 20 years.
486
00:29:22,470 --> 00:29:23,280
That's not what we do.
487
00:29:24,270 --> 00:29:30,240
We look for runs to new highs and
when appreciates to a measure that's
488
00:29:30,300 --> 00:29:32,490
reasonable, which we'll actually go over.
489
00:29:32,910 --> 00:29:37,230
When I do the stock selections, Oxford
state, what my targets are on each
490
00:29:37,230 --> 00:29:42,090
one individually and William J Neil
talks about risking up to April.
491
00:29:43,365 --> 00:29:44,295
For each stock.
492
00:29:44,775 --> 00:29:47,205
Well, that's nonsense.
493
00:29:47,205 --> 00:29:48,225
You don't need to do that either.
494
00:29:48,375 --> 00:29:51,945
So you'll learn all the money
management rules actually by me
495
00:29:51,945 --> 00:29:53,385
actually doing it over my shoulder.
496
00:29:53,835 --> 00:30:00,495
But the stock selection process for
valuation on high growth stocks is
497
00:30:00,495 --> 00:30:02,115
basically the investor's business.
498
00:30:02,145 --> 00:30:06,405
Daily is canceling method, but me
blending in my technical analysis.
499
00:30:07,305 --> 00:30:09,375
Institutional order flow market structure.
500
00:30:09,765 --> 00:30:13,845
And now, as you've learned premium
and discount array, modeling that
501
00:30:14,385 --> 00:30:18,135
in using the divergence between the
three averages, when that occurs,
502
00:30:18,285 --> 00:30:19,485
you have blue ribbon results.
503
00:30:19,605 --> 00:30:23,445
So one of the things to look forward
to when we get done this, uh,
504
00:30:23,535 --> 00:30:27,615
complete mentorship is we'll sit
down in the fall when it's actually
505
00:30:27,615 --> 00:30:31,785
time to be buying stocks and I'll
go through the whole process.
506
00:30:32,925 --> 00:30:35,985
And I'll tell you why I'm doing
it, why it's important, why you
507
00:30:35,985 --> 00:30:37,125
shouldn't be doing this and that.
508
00:30:37,815 --> 00:30:42,345
And then you actually see me do the
pricing for the options that will do.
509
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:49,950
The fifth lesson on this week's content is
having use stock options and picking up.
510
00:30:50,340 --> 00:30:53,220
It's one thing to talk about it, but
they actually, they go through and pick
511
00:30:53,220 --> 00:30:57,270
them and then you can start tracking
how they appreciate some of them aren't
512
00:30:57,270 --> 00:30:58,410
going to do as well as the others.
513
00:30:59,070 --> 00:31:03,720
But you'll see how amazing you
can get really crazy returns.
514
00:31:04,830 --> 00:31:07,530
If you double, triple,
quadruple your money.
515
00:31:08,355 --> 00:31:08,774
Okay.
516
00:31:08,774 --> 00:31:12,945
With a call option that
costs you very little money.
517
00:31:13,814 --> 00:31:19,905
Who cares if the stock price only
goes up $8 or $10, who cares if
518
00:31:19,905 --> 00:31:23,985
you're seeing that much of a return,
that's what you're looking for.
519
00:31:24,314 --> 00:31:25,485
You're looking for velocity.
520
00:31:25,995 --> 00:31:29,625
You're not looking for this stocks
going up 20 hours or a hundred dollars.
521
00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:33,960
Because chances are, you're not
going to hold those stocks that long.
522
00:31:34,020 --> 00:31:36,419
Again, I don't believe in
the buying whole mentality.
523
00:31:36,990 --> 00:31:41,669
I believe in Dubai, hold it for
something for a premium that everybody
524
00:31:41,669 --> 00:31:44,399
else like it fall in love with
it and want to buy it from us and
525
00:31:44,399 --> 00:31:46,169
we'll sell it to them, you know?
526
00:31:46,169 --> 00:31:48,870
And there's going to be a lot of stocks
that if you look back over that time,
527
00:31:49,350 --> 00:31:51,629
there's many of them that went crazy when.
528
00:31:52,379 --> 00:31:54,270
Like Amazon is one of them in particular.
529
00:31:54,689 --> 00:31:59,429
Uh, totally everybody that, uh,
last year we'd see a $700 a share.
530
00:32:00,090 --> 00:32:04,740
Um, and I said, ultimately, it'll
go up to a thousand dollars a share.
531
00:32:05,189 --> 00:32:10,320
Uh, it had a nice wicked re uh,
reversal went down like $200 a share.
532
00:32:10,590 --> 00:32:13,080
And then from that point on, it
rallied all the up and, and this year
533
00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:14,370
we've hit a thousand dollars a share.
534
00:32:16,185 --> 00:32:19,485
There's going to be instances
where you see you potentially
535
00:32:19,485 --> 00:32:25,395
would have had a really long-term
hold, but who's making money here.
536
00:32:26,145 --> 00:32:30,165
The traders that buy and hold and
they keep their money tied up and they
537
00:32:30,165 --> 00:32:34,395
have to wait and see if these stale
markets push these stocks up higher,
538
00:32:35,595 --> 00:32:37,635
or the individuals that take the money.
539
00:32:37,965 --> 00:32:38,774
They invest in it.
540
00:32:38,774 --> 00:32:39,465
They swing, trade.
541
00:32:39,465 --> 00:32:42,855
These stocks, take the money out
and profit, and then reinvest
542
00:32:42,855 --> 00:32:44,235
those new profits into another.
543
00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:49,920
Obviously the second person that's doing
that is making far more than the investor.
544
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:54,750
So you need velocity and you need
to see something that's consistently
545
00:32:54,750 --> 00:32:56,970
done every single year, the same way.
546
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:58,770
And this is what I've mapped out for you.
547
00:32:58,770 --> 00:33:02,610
I've given you the seasonal
tendency to buy and sell programs.
548
00:33:02,610 --> 00:33:05,850
That's seen across the entire
12 month calendar for the stock.
549
00:33:06,855 --> 00:33:11,745
We know what we're looking for in terms of
the diversions between the three averages.
550
00:33:12,195 --> 00:33:15,945
We know what months specifically
are outlined for bullishness
551
00:33:16,085 --> 00:33:17,504
and, and bearishness.
552
00:33:18,165 --> 00:33:22,115
And if you only want to be by our stocks,
which is nothing wrong with that, you want
553
00:33:22,115 --> 00:33:24,645
me focusing on buying in February to may.
554
00:33:25,365 --> 00:33:29,835
And from the last half of September, in
the beginning of October, all the way to
555
00:33:29,835 --> 00:33:33,284
the last portion of the year, That's it.
556
00:33:33,615 --> 00:33:35,504
So that's why you have to
be as for a stock trader.
557
00:33:35,504 --> 00:33:36,375
That's all you do.
558
00:33:36,405 --> 00:33:39,975
There's no getting in your day
trading stocks, it's nonsense.
559
00:33:39,975 --> 00:33:40,725
It's foolishness.
560
00:33:41,985 --> 00:33:45,375
You want to be in there capturing
swing trades and stocks.
561
00:33:45,554 --> 00:33:46,034
That's it.
562
00:33:46,425 --> 00:33:50,324
You don't be doing anything other
than that, uh, to do anything less
563
00:33:50,324 --> 00:33:52,875
than that, you're gambling and.
564
00:33:54,450 --> 00:33:57,060
Think about well, who
makes these markets move?
565
00:33:57,330 --> 00:34:01,110
The stock price has to move
by institutional sponsorship.
566
00:34:02,190 --> 00:34:05,610
The moves are going to
be long and drawn out.
567
00:34:06,630 --> 00:34:13,320
So these mutual funds and large
pension funds and insurance companies
568
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:15,240
have pour money into these companies.
569
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:17,760
They're not going to just buy one time.
570
00:34:17,940 --> 00:34:21,000
They're going to keep flooding that stock
and keep buying and buying and buying
571
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:22,740
it and keep on investing more money.
572
00:34:23,429 --> 00:34:27,840
Every one of their investors funds
are going to be poured into this.
573
00:34:27,870 --> 00:34:29,280
And just like in Forex.
574
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:34,319
The smart money, the big money
can't take on their position.
575
00:34:34,350 --> 00:34:37,500
On the first time at that price,
they got to keep building it in.
576
00:34:37,859 --> 00:34:41,730
And if the stock is going to be
a mover and go higher, they will
577
00:34:41,730 --> 00:34:43,439
have to buy a higher prices.
578
00:34:43,500 --> 00:34:46,020
And that's going to just
propel the price of that share.
579
00:34:48,254 --> 00:34:51,975
So hopefully you found this
insightful, uh, the real lesson
580
00:34:51,975 --> 00:34:53,685
we'll be using this information.
581
00:34:53,685 --> 00:34:57,404
As I described it here over
live market conditions.
582
00:34:57,404 --> 00:35:01,935
This fall, where we actually wait for
the September to November time period,
583
00:35:01,935 --> 00:35:05,475
where we wait for the divergence
in the three major market averages,
584
00:35:05,865 --> 00:35:10,694
when they diverged bullishly and the
market straight down into a discount,
585
00:35:11,805 --> 00:35:13,484
then we can apply all these concepts.
586
00:35:14,325 --> 00:35:15,855
I'll actually have an
investor's business day.
587
00:35:16,725 --> 00:35:22,875
Uh, at the time, whatever that week
would be the most present and accurate
588
00:35:22,875 --> 00:35:25,455
current edition of IBD will be used.
589
00:35:25,455 --> 00:35:26,565
So you can see how it's done.
590
00:35:27,105 --> 00:35:30,015
And you'll see it's a little
bit of work, but it's fun.
591
00:35:30,015 --> 00:35:30,944
It's really, really fun.
592
00:35:31,035 --> 00:35:34,395
And it's nothing better than
sit back and watch all these
593
00:35:34,395 --> 00:35:35,685
companies if you've handpicked.
594
00:35:36,435 --> 00:35:41,085
And it just totally destroys all of these
fund managers out there that, oh yeah.
595
00:35:41,115 --> 00:35:42,435
I mean 18%.
596
00:35:42,464 --> 00:35:44,685
I mean, 25% of the year, man.
597
00:35:45,555 --> 00:35:48,345
You're going to see how some of these
stocks just blow that out of the water.
598
00:35:48,855 --> 00:35:53,715
And we'll have a sampling of
index and growth stocks to
599
00:35:53,715 --> 00:35:56,145
choose from until next lesson.
600
00:35:56,265 --> 00:35:57,825
I wish you good luck and good trading.
52588
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