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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:07,759 i will never forget 2 00:00:07,759 --> 00:00:10,400 the day i learned about moving averages 3 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:12,400 i was watching a video online and the 4 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:14,400 guy was watching said that i needed to 5 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:15,120 buy 6 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,680 every time price hit the 20 period 7 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:19,039 moving average 8 00:00:19,039 --> 00:00:21,520 and for some reason i decided to blindly 9 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:23,039 trust this man that i had never met 10 00:00:23,039 --> 00:00:24,240 before in my life 11 00:00:24,240 --> 00:00:26,640 i took to my charts i placed the 20 12 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:28,400 period moving average on them 13 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:31,279 and i bought the next three times price 14 00:00:31,279 --> 00:00:33,680 hit that moving average 15 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:36,320 i was amazed because all three of those 16 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:37,200 trades won 17 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,200 i started thinking about the kind of car 18 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:40,800 i wanted i started thinking about 19 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:42,079 the kind of house i was gonna buy i 20 00:00:42,079 --> 00:00:44,239 started thinking about how easy it would 21 00:00:44,239 --> 00:00:45,280 be to retire 22 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:48,239 if i could just win three trades a day 23 00:00:48,239 --> 00:00:49,520 using this magic 24 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,719 20 period moving average 25 00:00:52,719 --> 00:00:55,760 and then tragedy struck 26 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,079 i ended up losing the next six trades in 27 00:00:58,079 --> 00:01:00,079 a row using the same exact moving 28 00:01:00,079 --> 00:01:01,600 average 29 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,799 now why is that why did this happen 30 00:01:04,799 --> 00:01:07,200 well the reason is because there is no 31 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:09,439 such thing as a magic moving average 32 00:01:09,439 --> 00:01:10,880 there's no such thing as a magic 33 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:12,479 indicator that's going to 34 00:01:12,479 --> 00:01:15,600 help you win 100 of your trades 35 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,080 but what i found out throughout learning 36 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:19,840 more about moving averages 37 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,640 and using them correctly is that if used 38 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:23,759 properly 39 00:01:23,759 --> 00:01:25,600 moving averages can create some 40 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:26,880 extremely 41 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:29,439 powerful trading opportunities and that 42 00:01:29,439 --> 00:01:31,040 is why in today's video i want to show 43 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:31,680 you one 44 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:34,479 what moving averages are two how you can 45 00:01:34,479 --> 00:01:36,240 use them to help you identify the trend 46 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:37,759 of any market 47 00:01:37,759 --> 00:01:40,640 three how you can use them as areas of 48 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:42,000 value to trade from 49 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,240 and how you can use them with confluence 50 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:45,920 of other technical factors 51 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,000 in order to create some extremely 52 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:50,479 profitable trading opportunities 53 00:01:50,479 --> 00:01:53,040 and as i normally do in my videos i'm 54 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:53,520 also 55 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:55,360 towards the end of the video going to be 56 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,680 showing you a profitable rules-based 57 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,000 strategy around moving averages that you 58 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:01,280 will hopefully 59 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,680 go back test and put into your own 60 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:04,799 trading plan 61 00:02:04,799 --> 00:02:07,439 those are extremely important steps and 62 00:02:07,439 --> 00:02:08,160 hopefully 63 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:10,318 this strategy can help you with your 64 00:02:10,318 --> 00:02:12,720 goal of becoming a consistently 65 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,040 profitable trader so if that sounds good 66 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:16,560 i need you to do two things for me 67 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:17,920 first off go ahead and click that like 68 00:02:17,920 --> 00:02:19,599 button to help out with the youtube 69 00:02:19,599 --> 00:02:20,160 algorithm 70 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:22,160 click subscribe if you are not already 71 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:23,920 if you are already subscribed 72 00:02:23,920 --> 00:02:25,760 then welcome back you know what's coming 73 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,080 let's go ahead and get into the video 74 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:31,360 so what is a moving average 75 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,599 well it's exactly what it sounds like it 76 00:02:33,599 --> 00:02:34,480 is the average 77 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:36,319 movement of price on a particular 78 00:02:36,319 --> 00:02:37,680 currency pair or 79 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:41,120 asset based on a certain number of 80 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,680 candles so for the example we have on 81 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:44,800 the screen now 82 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:46,239 the line that you see on the chart 83 00:02:46,239 --> 00:02:48,480 that's red is the moving average and it 84 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:49,440 is a 85 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:52,080 20 period moving average the reason is 86 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:53,760 20 periods is because we have 87 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:56,800 the length or look back period set to 20 88 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,840 we have the source set to close and 89 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:02,879 what this means is that the moving 90 00:03:02,879 --> 00:03:04,000 average itself is going 91 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,879 to look at the close of the last 20 92 00:03:06,879 --> 00:03:07,680 candles 93 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,239 red candles green candles does not 94 00:03:10,239 --> 00:03:10,720 matter 95 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:12,640 it's looking at the close of the last 20 96 00:03:12,640 --> 00:03:14,720 candles and it's going to add 97 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,360 all of them together once it adds all of 98 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:19,120 them together it's then going to divide 99 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:20,080 that number 100 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:23,280 by 20 to give us the average of price 101 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:24,400 and that is how 102 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,599 this line itself is plotted so 103 00:03:27,599 --> 00:03:29,920 to make this extremely easy what i'm 104 00:03:29,920 --> 00:03:30,799 going to do 105 00:03:30,799 --> 00:03:32,799 is change this to a five period moving 106 00:03:32,799 --> 00:03:33,920 average and we're going to do this 107 00:03:33,920 --> 00:03:35,200 calculation ourselves 108 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:37,360 so with a five period moving average you 109 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:38,560 can see that our current 110 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:42,640 indicator value is 1.21223 and the way 111 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:43,360 you can see that 112 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:45,599 is right here where it says m a that i'm 113 00:03:45,599 --> 00:03:46,560 pointing at now 114 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:48,959 so what i'm gonna do is calculate by 115 00:03:48,959 --> 00:03:49,840 adding 116 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:53,200 the last five candle closes each of 117 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:54,799 these is the close of one of the 118 00:03:54,799 --> 00:03:56,239 previous five candles 119 00:03:56,239 --> 00:03:58,000 and then i'm gonna divide that number by 120 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:00,319 five and this is the number we will see 121 00:04:00,319 --> 00:04:04,000 afterwards let's do that right now 122 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:06,000 so if we add all of those numbers 123 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,599 together we have 6.06114 and if we 124 00:04:09,599 --> 00:04:10,799 divide that 125 00:04:10,799 --> 00:04:13,920 by our five candles we end up with 126 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:15,760 nearly exactly 127 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:18,560 one point two one two two three yes we 128 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:19,040 have 129 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:21,600 two two eight here but the indicator 130 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:22,320 rounded it up 131 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,080 by one decimal point which is totally 132 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:25,360 fine and that 133 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,919 my friends is exactly how a moving 134 00:04:27,919 --> 00:04:30,000 average is calculated no matter what the 135 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:30,880 number is 136 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,840 so for our last example here if we had a 137 00:04:33,840 --> 00:04:35,600 50-day moving average here 138 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,479 what would the indicator be doing this 139 00:04:38,479 --> 00:04:39,840 indicator itself 140 00:04:39,840 --> 00:04:42,320 set to a 50 period length whatever you 141 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:43,040 want to call it 142 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:45,199 would look back at the last 50 candle 143 00:04:45,199 --> 00:04:46,160 closes 144 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,479 and then would divide that number by 50 145 00:04:48,479 --> 00:04:49,840 and that is exactly how 146 00:04:49,840 --> 00:04:51,600 you would get this line no matter what 147 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:53,680 the number is for your length that is 148 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:55,199 exactly how it's calculated 149 00:04:55,199 --> 00:04:58,400 so that is what a moving average is now 150 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:00,800 let's move on to how we can use moving 151 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:01,360 averages 152 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:03,600 to help us determine the trend of a 153 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:05,039 market and i'm going to share with you 154 00:05:05,039 --> 00:05:07,280 three different ways to do so right now 155 00:05:07,280 --> 00:05:09,039 let's head back over to the charts 156 00:05:09,039 --> 00:05:11,199 so there are three moving averages that 157 00:05:11,199 --> 00:05:12,960 i would suggest you use to identify 158 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:14,639 trend they are the 20 159 00:05:14,639 --> 00:05:16,720 period moving average the 50 period 160 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:18,960 moving average and the 200 period moving 161 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:20,000 average these are 162 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,960 the most popular and by far the best for 163 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:24,160 helping to determine 164 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:26,479 trend if you want to look for short-term 165 00:05:26,479 --> 00:05:28,400 trends using the 20-period moving 166 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:28,960 average 167 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:31,120 would be a viable option if you wanted 168 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:32,720 to look for medium-term trends 169 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:34,240 the 50-period moving average would be a 170 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:36,479 viable option and for long-term trends 171 00:05:36,479 --> 00:05:39,440 using the 200 moving average would be a 172 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:39,840 good 173 00:05:39,840 --> 00:05:42,320 option for that now you still must 174 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:44,960 understand the normal concepts of 175 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:47,440 trend that being that in order for a 176 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:48,960 market to be in trend we need to be 177 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:49,520 making 178 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:51,840 higher highs higher lows higher highs 179 00:05:51,840 --> 00:05:52,720 higher lows 180 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:54,479 higher highs and once that stops 181 00:05:54,479 --> 00:05:56,639 happening instead of a higher high 182 00:05:56,639 --> 00:05:58,960 or a higher low excuse me now we have a 183 00:05:58,960 --> 00:05:59,759 lower low 184 00:05:59,759 --> 00:06:01,919 so once this starts happening we are out 185 00:06:01,919 --> 00:06:02,800 of trend 186 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,120 whether we are above below beside a 187 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:06,960 moving average or not so it's extremely 188 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:07,600 important 189 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:09,759 that you understand that and don't go 190 00:06:09,759 --> 00:06:11,520 solely based on just a moving average 191 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:13,280 you need an understanding of trend 192 00:06:13,280 --> 00:06:16,319 itself as well but let's let's talk 193 00:06:16,319 --> 00:06:17,759 about short-term trends 194 00:06:17,759 --> 00:06:19,680 if you were looking for a short-term 195 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:21,840 type of trend you could say 196 00:06:21,840 --> 00:06:24,080 this is the first way of using the 197 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:25,520 moving average in order 198 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:27,520 to define trend you could say that i 199 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:29,440 only take short trades 200 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:32,800 when i see space between the 20 201 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:36,240 moving average and price and then 202 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:38,080 whenever the market is against the 203 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:39,600 moving average i take 204 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,960 no trades and when the market is 205 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:46,240 above with space i look for long trades 206 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:47,840 that is one way you could use moving 207 00:06:47,840 --> 00:06:49,280 averages to help define 208 00:06:49,280 --> 00:06:51,440 trend now something that helps a lot of 209 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:52,400 traders 210 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:56,000 in order to define this trend is to add 211 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:58,080 another moving average like the 50 212 00:06:58,080 --> 00:06:59,280 period moving average 213 00:06:59,280 --> 00:07:01,280 now why would you want to do that 214 00:07:01,280 --> 00:07:02,400 because with just 215 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:04,560 one moving average let's leave the 20 on 216 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:06,080 what you'll find yourself doing is 217 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:06,960 getting caught 218 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:09,440 in a lot of situations that look like 219 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:10,319 this 220 00:07:10,319 --> 00:07:13,360 a lot of consolidation if you are being 221 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,440 caught in this type of consolidation 222 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:17,840 then your trend trades are going to be 223 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:18,560 losing 224 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:20,800 during this entire time and that is why 225 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:21,919 some people opt 226 00:07:21,919 --> 00:07:25,440 to use two moving averages to keep you 227 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,319 out of some of this consolidation now 228 00:07:28,319 --> 00:07:30,639 the downside to this each of them comes 229 00:07:30,639 --> 00:07:32,880 with their upside and down to downside 230 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,120 and this second way of identifying trend 231 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:36,400 the downside to it 232 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:39,039 is that you will miss out sometimes on 233 00:07:39,039 --> 00:07:40,000 the initial 234 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,039 reversal in price and the third way 235 00:07:43,039 --> 00:07:46,000 of helping to identify trend using 236 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:47,120 moving averages 237 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:49,520 is with three moving averages now i 238 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:50,879 don't know that i would use the 200 239 00:07:50,879 --> 00:07:52,160 moving average for this 240 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,319 you could use whatever would be larger 241 00:07:54,319 --> 00:07:55,360 than a 50 242 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,919 or lower than a 20. the number really 243 00:07:57,919 --> 00:07:58,800 does not matter 244 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,440 so in this case i would probably do 245 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:02,000 something 246 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:05,120 like a non-period moving average and 247 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:06,400 at this point it's kind of 248 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,080 self-explanatory but what you would be 249 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:08,720 saying 250 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:12,639 is when the blue slash 251 00:08:12,639 --> 00:08:16,400 50 ma the 20 252 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:19,520 ma and the 9 253 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,879 ma all show me that they have space 254 00:08:22,879 --> 00:08:24,240 between them and are pointing to the 255 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:25,039 downside 256 00:08:25,039 --> 00:08:26,879 and are not touching and clustered up 257 00:08:26,879 --> 00:08:28,879 like this then i'm looking for short 258 00:08:28,879 --> 00:08:29,680 trades 259 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:32,719 and the opposite would be true once they 260 00:08:32,719 --> 00:08:34,240 fan out 261 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,360 to the upside like we have here all of 262 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:38,159 these ways are 263 00:08:38,159 --> 00:08:40,479 great in terms of creating objective 264 00:08:40,479 --> 00:08:41,200 rules 265 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:44,399 for a trading strategy i love moving 266 00:08:44,399 --> 00:08:46,560 averages for that reason they create 267 00:08:46,560 --> 00:08:48,480 completely objective rules that you 268 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:50,080 cannot mess up 269 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,480 even if you try there is no way you can 270 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:54,000 say that these three lines 271 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,560 are not fanned out there's no way that 272 00:08:56,560 --> 00:08:57,279 you can say 273 00:08:57,279 --> 00:08:59,760 they are fanned out in this situation 274 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:00,320 right here 275 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:01,680 when we have the black line or the 276 00:09:01,680 --> 00:09:04,160 non-moving average pulling below 277 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:06,399 the 20 moving average so it's a way of 278 00:09:06,399 --> 00:09:08,080 creating objective rules 279 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,800 in a trading strategy but that's all you 280 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:12,959 need to see moving averages as 281 00:09:12,959 --> 00:09:15,279 and so just as a quick recap you can 282 00:09:15,279 --> 00:09:16,000 either use 283 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,360 one moving average like the 50 or the 20 284 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:20,640 to determine trend 285 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:22,880 by saying that candles are below the 50 286 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:24,000 period moving average 287 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:26,560 i'm looking for short trades or you 288 00:09:26,560 --> 00:09:28,080 could use two moving averages like the 289 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:30,080 50 and the 20 and you could say when my 290 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:31,680 red line is clearly 291 00:09:31,680 --> 00:09:34,959 below my blue line or my 20 below the 50 292 00:09:34,959 --> 00:09:36,560 then i'm looking for short trades and 293 00:09:36,560 --> 00:09:38,000 that's the only time i'm looking for 294 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:38,800 short trades 295 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,360 vice versa for long trades or you could 296 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:42,880 go as far as to use three moving 297 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:43,920 averages and say 298 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,320 when i have space between all three to 299 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:47,279 the downside 300 00:09:47,279 --> 00:09:49,519 then i'm looking for short trades and 301 00:09:49,519 --> 00:09:50,480 the opposite 302 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:54,080 is true for the upside looking for 303 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,880 bullish trades when they fan out in this 304 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:57,360 way 305 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,120 and that's a couple of ways you can use 306 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:00,959 moving averages in order to help you 307 00:10:00,959 --> 00:10:02,480 determine the trend 308 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:04,000 of a market this is something that i've 309 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:05,920 used throughout my entire trading career 310 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,079 i still use moving averages to help me 311 00:10:08,079 --> 00:10:09,839 determine trend to this day 312 00:10:09,839 --> 00:10:11,040 and it's something i definitely would 313 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:13,040 suggest you trying to 314 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:14,720 implement into your trading as an 315 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:16,720 objective role in a trading 316 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:19,920 strategy so now let's move on to 317 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:23,120 how can we use moving averages as areas 318 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:24,160 of value 319 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,079 in order to trade from and how can we 320 00:10:26,079 --> 00:10:27,519 get other confluences 321 00:10:27,519 --> 00:10:29,600 from other technical factors that can 322 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:31,440 really make for some highly profitable 323 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:32,959 trading opportunities let's dive into 324 00:10:32,959 --> 00:10:34,800 the charts and talk about that now 325 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:36,800 so just as with trend in terms of using 326 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,200 moving averages for areas of value 327 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:42,560 i would absolutely stick to the 20 328 00:10:42,560 --> 00:10:46,240 the 50 and the 200 because these are the 329 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:47,680 most respected 330 00:10:47,680 --> 00:10:49,760 moving averages by traders around the 331 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:51,519 world so what you're going to see 332 00:10:51,519 --> 00:10:54,480 is a lot of movement in these areas and 333 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:55,519 the first way 334 00:10:55,519 --> 00:10:58,800 to identify a moving average as an area 335 00:10:58,800 --> 00:10:59,680 of value 336 00:10:59,680 --> 00:11:02,880 is just simply when the market is in a 337 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:03,440 heavy 338 00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:06,399 uptrend the 20 period moving average can 339 00:11:06,399 --> 00:11:07,839 act as support 340 00:11:07,839 --> 00:11:10,880 throughout that heavy uptrend until of 341 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:11,440 course 342 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:13,920 that trend ends which happens here and 343 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:15,120 that's why it's important 344 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:17,200 not to do what i did when i was talking 345 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:18,320 to you earlier in the video 346 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:19,839 and just start buying because the 347 00:11:19,839 --> 00:11:22,640 market's touching the 20 moving average 348 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:25,040 no you need a lot more 349 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,440 confluence and a lot of other factors 350 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:28,320 coming together 351 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:30,320 in order to make this into a profitable 352 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,000 strategy such as 353 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:35,360 entry reasons that make sense like 354 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:39,200 a hammer candle such as 355 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:40,079 other factors we're going to be 356 00:11:40,079 --> 00:11:41,760 discussing in just a second let's move 357 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:42,320 on now 358 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,480 and talk more about the 50 period moving 359 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,399 average so the 50 period moving average 360 00:11:46,399 --> 00:11:47,600 tends to hold up 361 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:51,360 as support in medium type of trends 362 00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:53,440 but yet again just like with the 20 363 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:55,360 period moving average when that medium 364 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:56,800 trend ends 365 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,920 the moving average fails and the 200 366 00:11:59,920 --> 00:12:01,519 moving average which actually acts as 367 00:12:01,519 --> 00:12:02,320 support 368 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:05,120 quite often happens as support for 369 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:06,399 long-term trends 370 00:12:06,399 --> 00:12:08,399 so this market had been going up for a 371 00:12:08,399 --> 00:12:10,000 while started to consolidate 372 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,160 and push down once it hit the 200 moving 373 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:14,000 average we saw a nice spike 374 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:17,040 to the upside one way to start looking 375 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:19,040 at moving averages as an objective rule 376 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:20,399 to a strategy would be 377 00:12:20,399 --> 00:12:22,160 to plot all three of these on your 378 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:25,760 screen and then say when 379 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,480 the moving averages fan out and align to 380 00:12:28,480 --> 00:12:29,279 the upside 381 00:12:29,279 --> 00:12:30,880 like they are right now we have space 382 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:32,320 between the 20 and the 50. 383 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:34,959 we have space between the 200 and the 50 384 00:12:34,959 --> 00:12:36,160 when i get 385 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,639 a touch of my 20 period moving average 386 00:12:38,639 --> 00:12:40,800 and let's say a close above candle like 387 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:41,680 this right here 388 00:12:41,680 --> 00:12:43,839 that's when i want to place a long trade 389 00:12:43,839 --> 00:12:45,839 now you're starting to add confluence 390 00:12:45,839 --> 00:12:48,000 with a nice entry reason and with 391 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:49,200 multiple 392 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:51,360 moving averages fanning out in order to 393 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:52,720 show you that this market 394 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:56,000 in fact is in an uptrend so you would 395 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:57,279 have to make your own rules for that 396 00:12:57,279 --> 00:12:58,639 that's not the strategy that i'm 397 00:12:58,639 --> 00:13:00,320 teaching today but i'm just trying to 398 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:02,079 give you an idea as to how you would 399 00:13:02,079 --> 00:13:03,760 start using moving averages 400 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,320 as an objective role in a strategy let's 401 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:08,800 see if we can get something else here 402 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:10,320 here we have another situation where we 403 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:12,160 have fanned out moving averages 404 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:14,560 and a nice hammer candle right here so 405 00:13:14,560 --> 00:13:15,360 there are 406 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:17,040 plenty of ways to do this your options 407 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:19,360 are unlimited and it's only 408 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:22,240 limited by your imagination in terms of 409 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:23,279 how you use 410 00:13:23,279 --> 00:13:24,959 these moving averages to make those 411 00:13:24,959 --> 00:13:27,360 objective rules for a strategy but now 412 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,839 let's talk about confluence so as i 413 00:13:29,839 --> 00:13:31,120 stated earlier 414 00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:33,279 using moving averages by themselves as 415 00:13:33,279 --> 00:13:34,800 an area of value 416 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,600 yes it can help you create a profitable 417 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:39,760 trading strategy but the more confluence 418 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,560 you add to moving averages the better 419 00:13:42,560 --> 00:13:44,639 off you're going to be the more accurate 420 00:13:44,639 --> 00:13:46,079 those trades are going to become 421 00:13:46,079 --> 00:13:47,839 and so what i'm going to do now is show 422 00:13:47,839 --> 00:13:49,440 you some of my favorite ways to add 423 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:51,199 confluence to moving averages 424 00:13:51,199 --> 00:13:52,720 in order to create some of the most 425 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:54,560 profitable trading opportunities 426 00:13:54,560 --> 00:13:56,240 possible and some of the most accurate 427 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:57,839 trading opportunities that you could 428 00:13:57,839 --> 00:13:58,480 possibly 429 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:01,440 get using let's dive into the charts and 430 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:02,800 talk about it 431 00:14:02,800 --> 00:14:04,800 this is how i like to add confluence 432 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:06,959 with moving averages and 433 00:14:06,959 --> 00:14:08,720 quite frankly one of my favorite ways to 434 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:10,160 trade using moving averages 435 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:13,360 is to do this i wait for the market to 436 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,040 touch the moving average at the time we 437 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:16,399 are looking at the chart 438 00:14:16,399 --> 00:14:19,680 right now this is the 200 439 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,560 period moving average once i touch the 440 00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:24,160 200 period moving average 441 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:25,600 and i'm gonna show you a live trade of 442 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:27,760 me actually doing this today i had three 443 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:29,360 trades doing this one loss 444 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:30,800 and two wins i'll show you in just a 445 00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:32,720 second but once we touch that moving 446 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:33,199 average 447 00:14:33,199 --> 00:14:34,880 i'm gonna put a horizontal line there 448 00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:36,480 and actually i'm gonna make this a zone 449 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:38,079 because support and resistance are not 450 00:14:38,079 --> 00:14:39,760 zones right but if i look 451 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:43,040 left from this zone that i have what do 452 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:44,880 you see 453 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:47,680 this is not only the market hitting an 454 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:48,480 area of 455 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:51,440 value because of the fact that we are at 456 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,360 the 200 period moving average 457 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,480 we also have that lining up 458 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,440 with previous major structure resistance 459 00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:00,399 and support 460 00:15:00,399 --> 00:15:02,160 so one of my favorite ways to add 461 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:03,519 confluence to 462 00:15:03,519 --> 00:15:06,800 moving averages is to say i will not 463 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:07,440 trade 464 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,000 the 200 period moving average unless 465 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:11,519 when the market hits the 200 period 466 00:15:11,519 --> 00:15:12,399 moving average 467 00:15:12,399 --> 00:15:15,519 it also lines up with structure looking 468 00:15:15,519 --> 00:15:18,880 left and then you i'm going to start 469 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:20,160 talking a little bit about the strategy 470 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:20,480 now 471 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:21,920 i'll go into full detail after i'd let 472 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:23,839 you take a look at those live trades but 473 00:15:23,839 --> 00:15:25,600 let's talk about the strategy a little 474 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:27,519 bit right now we know we're in an area 475 00:15:27,519 --> 00:15:28,959 of value because of the 200 moving 476 00:15:28,959 --> 00:15:29,440 average 477 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:30,800 we know we're in an area of value 478 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:33,199 because of this confluence 479 00:15:33,199 --> 00:15:36,000 with our previous level of resistance 480 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:38,399 that was support in the past as well 481 00:15:38,399 --> 00:15:41,040 now what i would be waiting on in this 482 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:42,959 specific case 483 00:15:42,959 --> 00:15:46,399 is a candlestick pattern 484 00:15:46,399 --> 00:15:49,680 or some type of selling pressure like we 485 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:50,800 just saw 486 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:52,480 right there in order to enter the market 487 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:54,320 so what i mean by selling pressure 488 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:55,920 well if you do not see the selling 489 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:57,519 pressure here then you got to go get 490 00:15:57,519 --> 00:15:58,639 yourself some glasses 491 00:15:58,639 --> 00:16:02,000 this is a long and large wick that came 492 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,399 out of our area sucked all the way back 493 00:16:04,399 --> 00:16:05,040 down 494 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:07,600 that to me is showing selling pressure 495 00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:09,279 that would be an entry candle when i say 496 00:16:09,279 --> 00:16:10,160 selling pressure 497 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:11,360 again i'm going to talk a little bit 498 00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:13,360 more about a rules based strategy 499 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:15,199 after i show you the live trades from 500 00:16:15,199 --> 00:16:17,040 today but you could set yourself up 501 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:18,639 something like this 502 00:16:18,639 --> 00:16:21,759 with a 1.41 reward to risk on that with 503 00:16:21,759 --> 00:16:23,440 our stop-loss above 504 00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:27,040 that wick and you can see what happens i 505 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:28,240 say 1.4 506 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,000 obviously pick and choose your targets 507 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,560 the way you would like to for me 1.4 is 508 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:33,680 my first target 509 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:36,079 then i manage the position on the way 510 00:16:36,079 --> 00:16:38,320 down and that is how i like to use 511 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:39,279 confluence 512 00:16:39,279 --> 00:16:41,519 with moving averages and structure 513 00:16:41,519 --> 00:16:43,440 levels in order to point out some of the 514 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:44,560 most powerful 515 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:46,880 trading opportunities that exist and 516 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:48,000 with that being said 517 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:49,279 what i'm going to do now is let you take 518 00:16:49,279 --> 00:16:51,680 a look at a couple of live trades i had 519 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:53,839 day trades earlier today using this 520 00:16:53,839 --> 00:16:54,720 exact 521 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:56,800 type of strategy and then we're going to 522 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:58,639 dive deep into an actual rules-based 523 00:16:58,639 --> 00:16:59,279 strategy 524 00:16:59,279 --> 00:17:02,160 you can come away from this video with a 525 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:03,440 way of trading 526 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,439 that is rules-based objective and that 527 00:17:05,439 --> 00:17:06,559 if done correctly 528 00:17:06,559 --> 00:17:08,959 can help you to gain an edge over the 529 00:17:08,959 --> 00:17:09,599 market 530 00:17:09,599 --> 00:17:10,959 so with that said take a look at these 531 00:17:10,959 --> 00:17:12,640 live trades i will be 532 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:14,959 right back so as we were just talking 533 00:17:14,959 --> 00:17:16,400 about another way i like to use this 534 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,240 type of confluence is with chart 535 00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:19,599 patterns so if you look on the screen 536 00:17:19,599 --> 00:17:22,319 you can see that we have a double bottom 537 00:17:22,319 --> 00:17:23,839 but what's different about this double 538 00:17:23,839 --> 00:17:24,640 bottom 539 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,599 well this double bottom is happening at 540 00:17:27,599 --> 00:17:29,520 the 50 period moving average so when you 541 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:30,240 have 542 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:33,200 an area of value you can combine this 543 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:33,840 price 544 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:36,480 pattern with it can really increase the 545 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,240 odds of this being a winning trade so 546 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:39,440 with that being the case this is a trade 547 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:40,559 we're also going to go ahead and take 548 00:17:40,559 --> 00:17:42,240 today chances are i'll probably end up 549 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:43,440 losing one of these but 550 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:45,360 i did want to give you guys examples of 551 00:17:45,360 --> 00:17:47,600 both of these in live trades let's go 552 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:48,240 ahead and risk 553 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:50,640 i might use 0.5 on this one just because 554 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,160 of the margin level 555 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:53,919 that it allows it only allows for a 25 556 00:17:53,919 --> 00:17:56,480 to 1. only canada swiss for owanda so 557 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:58,640 i'm going to use 0.5 so that i'm not 558 00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:00,559 super leveraged here 559 00:18:00,559 --> 00:18:03,600 and i'm ready to go so we are involved 560 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:05,440 in this trade and now what i want to do 561 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:06,799 is show you guys another trade that's 562 00:18:06,799 --> 00:18:08,559 actually on my radar right now 563 00:18:08,559 --> 00:18:10,799 using the same exact strategy so let's 564 00:18:10,799 --> 00:18:11,919 take a look at that 565 00:18:11,919 --> 00:18:14,960 live trade as well here we have another 566 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:15,760 example of 567 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:19,039 using a price pattern at an area value 568 00:18:19,039 --> 00:18:21,520 that area value being the moving average 569 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,280 so as we discussed our rules for this 570 00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:25,200 type of price pattern this is an example 571 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:27,200 going short and for this example we're 572 00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:28,559 looking at a double top so 573 00:18:28,559 --> 00:18:30,080 we have our first stop and the rule 574 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:32,160 would be on that second test of that 575 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:33,120 resistance level 576 00:18:33,120 --> 00:18:34,720 you would want to see that second test 577 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,120 at least touch the 50 period moving 578 00:18:37,120 --> 00:18:38,160 average and you don't want to see 579 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:38,799 candles 580 00:18:38,799 --> 00:18:41,120 with space above it this is just how you 581 00:18:41,120 --> 00:18:42,880 would make a rules-based system around 582 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:43,200 this 583 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,120 what i mean by space above it is you say 584 00:18:45,120 --> 00:18:46,480 you get a green candle that looks like 585 00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:47,039 this 586 00:18:47,039 --> 00:18:48,799 if there's nothing touching the 50 587 00:18:48,799 --> 00:18:50,240 moving average not even a wick 588 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:51,360 then you don't want to take that as a 589 00:18:51,360 --> 00:18:53,280 double top trade and expect the market 590 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:54,799 to head lower because that's telling you 591 00:18:54,799 --> 00:18:56,320 that we've made it above our area of 592 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:56,880 value 593 00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:58,799 but if candles are clustered around on 594 00:18:58,799 --> 00:19:00,400 that second top or 595 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:01,840 if a candle just touches with the wick 596 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:03,840 like we have here then that's a pretty 597 00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:05,039 good indication 598 00:19:05,039 --> 00:19:06,799 that we could see a fall out of this 599 00:19:06,799 --> 00:19:09,679 market and with that being the case 600 00:19:09,679 --> 00:19:11,760 let's see if i can get an entry here on 601 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:13,360 this trade as well 602 00:19:13,360 --> 00:19:15,039 and let's go with our stop loss which is 603 00:19:15,039 --> 00:19:16,960 going to be 604 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,000 about four pips above our stop above 605 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:22,480 this level over here 606 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:23,840 because we do have a pretty nice 607 00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:26,320 distance down to our level of support 608 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:28,240 if this market continues in this 609 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:31,039 downtrend so we're gonna look for 1.4 on 610 00:19:31,039 --> 00:19:32,080 initial targets 611 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,480 and there we go we are entered into this 612 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:35,919 trade i'll keep you guys updated as it 613 00:19:35,919 --> 00:19:36,799 plays out 614 00:19:36,799 --> 00:19:39,280 i am going to go ahead and close out our 615 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:41,360 euro yen position here we are 616 00:19:41,360 --> 00:19:43,280 at a nice level of support that i was 617 00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:44,799 looking at for targets and 618 00:19:44,799 --> 00:19:46,400 we are going to exit this position for 619 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:47,840 around a two to one 620 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:51,200 reward to risk ratio nice trade hey guys 621 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:52,240 i'm going to go ahead and jump out of 622 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,400 this canada swiss position it's 4 58 623 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:55,600 right now and the spread's starting to 624 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:56,000 go 625 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:57,520 up just a little hint if you are going 626 00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,200 to day trade make sure if you're on a 627 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:00,640 five minute chart that you're not 628 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:01,760 trading on a pair 629 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:03,919 that has a large spread at five o'clock 630 00:20:03,919 --> 00:20:05,679 p.m you will be stopped out by nothing 631 00:20:05,679 --> 00:20:07,440 more than the spread alone 632 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:08,640 so with that being the case i'm going to 633 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,799 close this position for a profit of a 634 00:20:10,799 --> 00:20:11,280 hundred 635 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:15,280 and ten dollars so in order to 636 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:18,640 turn a moving average into a reliable 637 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:21,919 rules-based strategy i use a process and 638 00:20:21,919 --> 00:20:23,280 a phrase i call 639 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:27,120 c e s t this stands for 640 00:20:27,120 --> 00:20:30,559 conditions entries 641 00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:33,520 stops and targets if you have all of 642 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:35,520 these as rules and a trading plan then 643 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,600 you will have a rules-based trading plan 644 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:39,360 that will be easy to follow so 645 00:20:39,360 --> 00:20:41,919 for conditions all this means is that 646 00:20:41,919 --> 00:20:44,000 these are the things we look for before 647 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:45,840 we look for an entry so in the case of 648 00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:48,320 the strategy you're learning right now 649 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:49,679 what are the conditions for this 650 00:20:49,679 --> 00:20:52,159 strategy simply put we are trading price 651 00:20:52,159 --> 00:20:53,840 action patterns like double bottoms and 652 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:54,880 double tops 653 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,960 that form at a moving average so 654 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:00,640 with that being the case the first thing 655 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,480 we're going to look for in our c 656 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:06,159 e s t is the conditions which are going 657 00:21:06,159 --> 00:21:06,720 to be 658 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,840 we want to see the market above the 50 659 00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:12,480 moving average this is for a buy trade 660 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:13,919 okay everything would be backwards for a 661 00:21:13,919 --> 00:21:15,679 sale trade before buy trade we want to 662 00:21:15,679 --> 00:21:17,520 see the market above the 50. 663 00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:19,919 the second condition we want to see is a 664 00:21:19,919 --> 00:21:20,799 double 665 00:21:20,799 --> 00:21:23,840 bottom now the third condition 666 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,640 is that that double bottom at least 667 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,039 touches the 50 period moving average 668 00:21:29,039 --> 00:21:30,880 with one of the bottoms whether that be 669 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:32,960 the first bottom or the second bottom is 670 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:35,039 irrelevant but we want the double bottom 671 00:21:35,039 --> 00:21:37,520 to at least touch the 50 period moving 672 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:38,080 average 673 00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:40,320 once all of those conditions are met we 674 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:41,919 are ready to work on the entry 675 00:21:41,919 --> 00:21:43,679 so those are all the conditions for our 676 00:21:43,679 --> 00:21:45,440 strategy that's what we need to see 677 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,600 before we can try to enter the market 678 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,360 before we can look for an actual entry 679 00:21:49,360 --> 00:21:50,080 reason 680 00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:52,240 and for me using price action patterns 681 00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:53,360 like double bottoms 682 00:21:53,360 --> 00:21:55,120 what i like to use for an entry is just 683 00:21:55,120 --> 00:21:56,880 a confirmation candle 684 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,799 in the case of a double bottom that 685 00:21:58,799 --> 00:22:00,159 would be a green candle 686 00:22:00,159 --> 00:22:02,159 so i'd be looking for a green candle and 687 00:22:02,159 --> 00:22:03,840 also i want that candle 688 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,880 to close above the 50 period 689 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,840 moving average so just a quick overview 690 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,120 we're looking for the market to be 691 00:22:11,120 --> 00:22:12,799 over the 50 period moving average we're 692 00:22:12,799 --> 00:22:14,240 looking for a double bottom we're 693 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:14,640 looking 694 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:16,880 for one of the bottoms of the double 695 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,080 bottom to touch 696 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,000 the 50 period moving average once that 697 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,080 happens we are looking for a green 698 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:24,480 candle and the entry candle itself 699 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:28,000 must close above the 50 period moving 700 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,880 average so all of our conditions and 701 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:32,159 entries are set 702 00:22:32,159 --> 00:22:34,880 at this point how easy does that make 703 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:35,919 trading no more 704 00:22:35,919 --> 00:22:37,440 confusion whenever you look at a chart 705 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,200 you're thinking to yourself man should i 706 00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:40,000 actually trade this 707 00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:41,919 or not we're at support i want to click 708 00:22:41,919 --> 00:22:43,440 the buy button should i do it 709 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,240 no at this point you wait for every 710 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:47,280 condition to be met 711 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:49,200 you ask yourself is the market above the 712 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:50,640 50 period moving average 713 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,640 the answer is yes awesome you ask 714 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:54,400 yourself did we just create a double 715 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:55,360 bottom we're going to talk about the 716 00:22:55,360 --> 00:22:55,840 rules 717 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:57,600 for a double bottom in a second you ask 718 00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:58,960 yourself though did we create a double 719 00:22:58,960 --> 00:22:59,840 bottom 720 00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:01,760 yes did one of the bottoms of that 721 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:03,919 double bottom touch the 50 period moving 722 00:23:03,919 --> 00:23:04,480 average 723 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:06,559 if the answer is yes you continue the 724 00:23:06,559 --> 00:23:08,400 process looking for entries 725 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,080 if you find the entry which is a green 726 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:11,840 candle you ask yourself 727 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,760 did this green candle close above the 50 728 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:14,880 period moving average 729 00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:16,240 if the answer to all of your questions 730 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:18,320 is yes you are now ready to 731 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:22,320 enter the market on a rules-based system 732 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:24,320 no more confusion at all this is 733 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,159 something that's so powerful and 734 00:23:26,159 --> 00:23:28,880 literally the reason and this is what 735 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:29,520 took me 736 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,760 from being an inconsistent losing trader 737 00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:33,600 to someone who is consistently 738 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:36,640 profitable is using the cest now you're 739 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:38,159 ready to get in the market after all 740 00:23:38,159 --> 00:23:39,679 your conditions and entry is met 741 00:23:39,679 --> 00:23:42,880 as long as you know the next two which 742 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:44,320 is stops 743 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,559 and targets now for stops and targets 744 00:23:46,559 --> 00:23:47,919 because i'm not gonna have a lot of time 745 00:23:47,919 --> 00:23:49,840 to dive deep into them in this video 746 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:51,200 what i'm going to do 747 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,559 is just do a very simple stop of one a 748 00:23:54,559 --> 00:23:58,240 t r below the swing 749 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:01,600 low and our target is going to be a 1.4 750 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,799 to 1 reward to risk profile based on 751 00:24:04,799 --> 00:24:06,640 that stop-loss atr for any of you that 752 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:07,679 do not know 753 00:24:07,679 --> 00:24:09,360 is the average true range what it does 754 00:24:09,360 --> 00:24:11,200 is measures the volatility of the market 755 00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,520 based on the last 14 candles i will put 756 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:14,720 a video i did 757 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:17,360 on the atr that explains it in full to 758 00:24:17,360 --> 00:24:18,159 the top right 759 00:24:18,159 --> 00:24:20,559 side of your screen but now that you 760 00:24:20,559 --> 00:24:22,400 know the conditions entry reason stops 761 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:23,200 and targets 762 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,200 we are using with today's strategy let's 763 00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,039 take a look at this canada swiss trade 764 00:24:27,039 --> 00:24:28,320 we had earlier 765 00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:29,919 let's ask ourselves the questions that 766 00:24:29,919 --> 00:24:31,440 are necessary first 767 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,440 is price above the 50 period moving 768 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,039 average yes it is 769 00:24:35,039 --> 00:24:37,039 first condition met do we have a double 770 00:24:37,039 --> 00:24:39,360 bottom well not yet here is the rules 771 00:24:39,360 --> 00:24:41,440 for my double bottoms all i do 772 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:44,720 very very simply is i place a box 773 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,279 on the lowest body of the first bottom 774 00:24:47,279 --> 00:24:49,039 and on the lowest wick of the first 775 00:24:49,039 --> 00:24:49,760 bottom 776 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:51,600 this box is considered my termination 777 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,120 point what i want to see 778 00:24:53,120 --> 00:24:55,039 is a candle at least touch this box with 779 00:24:55,039 --> 00:24:57,440 a wick the body of the candle can close 780 00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:58,559 in this box 781 00:24:58,559 --> 00:25:00,400 the wick of a candle can go below this 782 00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,000 box what i do not want to see 783 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,360 is a candle that closes below this box 784 00:25:05,360 --> 00:25:06,240 at that point 785 00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:07,840 it's signaling trend continuation to the 786 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:09,840 downside and i do not want to buy 787 00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:12,159 when i'm thinking trend continuation to 788 00:25:12,159 --> 00:25:14,960 the downside so let's take a look at how 789 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,400 this played out as we push down 790 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,720 do we have a double bottom now yes we do 791 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:22,159 we have the touch 792 00:25:22,159 --> 00:25:26,159 of our box that classifies as a double 793 00:25:26,159 --> 00:25:28,159 bottom for me what are we looking for 794 00:25:28,159 --> 00:25:29,919 now we have all of our conditions met 795 00:25:29,919 --> 00:25:30,320 right 796 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,159 we're above the 50 we have a double 797 00:25:32,159 --> 00:25:33,360 bottom the double bottom 798 00:25:33,360 --> 00:25:36,000 is touching the 50 period moving average 799 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:36,400 next 800 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:40,400 is our entry what is our entry a green 801 00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:43,520 candle that closes above the 50 period 802 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:44,480 moving average 803 00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:46,960 so let's see if that's something we get 804 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,520 during this trading opportunity 805 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:52,000 and guess what if it's not we don't 806 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:52,960 place the trade 807 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:54,960 that's how easy this is if we get what 808 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:56,000 we're looking for 809 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,000 in terms of the green candle that closes 810 00:25:58,000 --> 00:25:59,679 above the 50 moving average 811 00:25:59,679 --> 00:26:02,080 with all of our other conditions met 812 00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:03,360 then we place the trade 813 00:26:03,360 --> 00:26:05,919 and if we don't then we do not place the 814 00:26:05,919 --> 00:26:06,640 trade 815 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,279 super super easy is that a green candle 816 00:26:09,279 --> 00:26:10,720 pretty easy to recognize right 817 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,120 yes that is a green candle so at this 818 00:26:13,120 --> 00:26:13,840 point 819 00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,320 i would be entering the trade on the 820 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:17,840 close of that candle or the open of the 821 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:18,480 next one 822 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:19,840 they're normally the same thing in the 823 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:21,520 forex market but 824 00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:24,080 at that point what is our stops one atr 825 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:25,279 below the swing low 826 00:26:25,279 --> 00:26:26,640 of the double bottom right here's the 827 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,799 swing low of the double bottom atr 828 00:26:28,799 --> 00:26:31,520 at this candle is three pips so three 829 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:32,400 plus four 830 00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:35,520 is a seven pip stop loss 831 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,720 what is our target reward to risk and 832 00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,960 our trade is set up now 833 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:42,960 i want you to think again about how easy 834 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:44,559 this is once all your rules are met you 835 00:26:44,559 --> 00:26:45,520 just enter the trade 836 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:47,840 and how much easier trading is going to 837 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:49,279 be without just 838 00:26:49,279 --> 00:26:51,679 guessing every time you place a trade 839 00:26:51,679 --> 00:26:53,440 right how much easier is it going to be 840 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:54,559 to have rules 841 00:26:54,559 --> 00:26:56,400 like this conditions entries stops and 842 00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,320 targets every single time you place a 843 00:26:58,320 --> 00:26:59,279 trade let's see 844 00:26:59,279 --> 00:27:02,799 how this specific trade played out 845 00:27:02,799 --> 00:27:04,720 played around a bit near the entry and 846 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,799 eventually pushed up hitting targets 847 00:27:06,799 --> 00:27:08,400 again if this trade looks familiar it's 848 00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:10,559 because this is the trade we had earlier 849 00:27:10,559 --> 00:27:12,240 and i ended up exiting the trade 850 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,760 because it was 5 p.m for like 110 851 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:20,080 or so now this is all well and good but 852 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:21,760 one of the most important parts of 853 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:23,840 having these rules beyond 854 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:27,039 it helping you stay consistent to your 855 00:27:27,039 --> 00:27:28,080 plan 856 00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,880 is you using these rules to take them in 857 00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:32,399 historic data 858 00:27:32,399 --> 00:27:34,880 and test them and practice the strategy 859 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:36,960 this is a process called back testing 860 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,760 the rules you just got the cest we just 861 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:40,799 discussed 862 00:27:40,799 --> 00:27:43,279 can easily be written down on a piece of 863 00:27:43,279 --> 00:27:44,880 paper you can put that piece of paper 864 00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:46,080 beside your computer 865 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:47,919 beside your keyboard and you can go 866 00:27:47,919 --> 00:27:49,120 through historic data 867 00:27:49,120 --> 00:27:51,919 to pass 100 times that those rules were 868 00:27:51,919 --> 00:27:52,559 all met 869 00:27:52,559 --> 00:27:54,640 i'm talking conditions entries stops and 870 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:55,760 targets go through 871 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,000 a specific currency pair on a specific 872 00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:58,960 time frame 873 00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:00,720 let's say the canada swiss five-minute 874 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:02,240 chart whatever you want to go through 875 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:03,600 whatever your favorite pair and time 876 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:05,279 frame is and test 877 00:28:05,279 --> 00:28:08,240 those rules the last one time 100 times 878 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:09,760 that they happened on a chart 879 00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:12,960 out of those 100 times did this strategy 880 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:16,080 make a profit and if it did 881 00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,000 great that means it's likely to make a 882 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:19,520 profit in the future there is no 883 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:21,039 guarantees in forex but 884 00:28:21,039 --> 00:28:23,679 it's likely to and if it did not then 885 00:28:23,679 --> 00:28:25,120 that means it's likely not 886 00:28:25,120 --> 00:28:26,480 to make a profit in the future and you 887 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,039 have no need to continue trying to trade 888 00:28:29,039 --> 00:28:29,520 something 889 00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:31,120 that's not likely to give you an edge 890 00:28:31,120 --> 00:28:33,360 not likely to make you profit 891 00:28:33,360 --> 00:28:36,240 over time so the reasons we have all of 892 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:37,520 these rules in place 893 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,200 the conditions the entries the stops and 894 00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,120 targets is not just so we can stay 895 00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,200 consistent to the strategy because it's 896 00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:44,640 based around a set of rules 897 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,720 but it's also so we can take those rules 898 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:47,919 and test them 899 00:28:47,919 --> 00:28:50,000 to make sure that the strategy we're 900 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:51,600 trading does produce 901 00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,080 a profit over a long period of time so 902 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:55,200 now that i've talked about that and went 903 00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:56,559 on my little rant let's dive back into 904 00:28:56,559 --> 00:28:57,200 the charts 905 00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,200 and take a look at a bearish version of 906 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:00,960 the same exact strategy 907 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:02,640 all right so for a bearish version what 908 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,080 are we going to be looking for 909 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:05,520 the opposite of what we were just 910 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,279 looking at right we want to see that 911 00:29:07,279 --> 00:29:09,919 price is below the 50 moving average we 912 00:29:09,919 --> 00:29:11,600 want to see a double top this time 913 00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:13,039 instead of a double bottom 914 00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:16,080 we want to see that one of these 915 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,120 tops touches the 50 916 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:20,559 moving average as long as one of the 917 00:29:20,559 --> 00:29:22,320 tops touch the 50 moving average 918 00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:25,520 our third condition is met and then we 919 00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:26,720 start looking for entries 920 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:28,880 on a double top it's going to be a red 921 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:30,640 candle and that red candle needs to 922 00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:31,520 close 923 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,559 below the 50 moving 924 00:29:34,559 --> 00:29:37,120 average so let's see how that plays out 925 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:38,000 on our screen 926 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:39,919 right now do we have our first condition 927 00:29:39,919 --> 00:29:42,320 met is the market below the 50 moving 928 00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:42,880 average 929 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:44,880 yes of course it is very easy to tell 930 00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:46,640 that because we're below the blue line 931 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:50,559 next let's see if we get a double top 932 00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:52,799 there we have it a double top does that 933 00:29:52,799 --> 00:29:54,080 meet all of our rules so 934 00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:56,799 far it does because this double top 935 00:29:56,799 --> 00:29:58,480 similar to how the double bottom was 936 00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:00,880 the box just goes from the top of the 937 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:02,559 bodies of the first stop 938 00:30:02,559 --> 00:30:04,000 to the top of the wick and this is the 939 00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:05,760 same termination termination point 940 00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:07,520 we don't want to see a candle that 941 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:08,880 closes above 942 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:11,679 this termination point but we can have a 943 00:30:11,679 --> 00:30:12,240 wick 944 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:15,039 above it and we can have a body that 945 00:30:15,039 --> 00:30:15,760 closes 946 00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:17,679 inside of it so would that be the case 947 00:30:17,679 --> 00:30:19,200 let's push the market forward because 948 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,760 we only have two conditions met we have 949 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:23,360 a double top that's below 950 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,360 the 50 moving average but our third 951 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,080 condition is that the second top 952 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,320 must touch the 50 moving average which 953 00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:31,679 has not happened yet 954 00:30:31,679 --> 00:30:34,720 so let's continue and there we have it 955 00:30:34,720 --> 00:30:37,919 is this still following my rules 956 00:30:37,919 --> 00:30:39,679 for a double top we don't have a close 957 00:30:39,679 --> 00:30:41,520 above this line so yes it is 958 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:44,080 is this touching the 50 moving average 959 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:44,880 yes it is 960 00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:47,120 so right now we have all three of our 961 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:48,320 conditions met and we're looking for 962 00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:49,120 that entry 963 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,360 which is a red candle that closes below 964 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,760 the 50 moving average 965 00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:57,360 move forward my oh my would you look at 966 00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,519 that with that being the case do we have 967 00:30:59,519 --> 00:31:01,440 a moment where we can enter the market 968 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,159 based on this rules-based plan this 969 00:31:04,159 --> 00:31:05,279 objective plan 970 00:31:05,279 --> 00:31:07,120 that we've created so far in this video 971 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:08,960 yes we do we enter the market 972 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:10,399 we have a three pip stop-loss here as 973 00:31:10,399 --> 00:31:13,200 well and above our swing high which is 974 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:13,679 one 975 00:31:13,679 --> 00:31:14,880 i'm gonna do four so that's gonna be 976 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,440 about five pips 977 00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:19,760 actually four pips is fine and a 1.41 978 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,360 reward to risk ratio 979 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,320 right there we have it now let's see how 980 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:27,279 this specific trade plays out 981 00:31:27,279 --> 00:31:28,880 boom immediately pushing down and of 982 00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:30,720 course all trades will not immediately 983 00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,000 go to profit all trades won't 984 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,640 even win this is just a way of combining 985 00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:35,919 technical factors 986 00:31:35,919 --> 00:31:38,799 getting your confluence and then turning 987 00:31:38,799 --> 00:31:40,000 that confluence 988 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,240 into a rules-based trading plan that's 989 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:43,360 what i wanted to teach you 990 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:44,799 here at the end of this video is how to 991 00:31:44,799 --> 00:31:46,720 turn any technical confluence 992 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,200 like moving averages combined with price 993 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:50,320 action patterns 994 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:53,519 into a rules-based trading strategy 995 00:31:53,519 --> 00:31:55,120 you can actually implement you can go 996 00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:57,360 back test you can see if it'll work in 997 00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:58,320 your trading plan 998 00:31:58,320 --> 00:31:59,600 and then decide whether or not you would 999 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,159 like to and if this trade looks familiar 1000 00:32:02,159 --> 00:32:03,760 it is also because it's the euro yen 1001 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:05,919 trade we had where we took profits right 1002 00:32:05,919 --> 00:32:06,720 down here 1003 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:07,840 just because it was such a beautiful 1004 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:09,039 trade let's go ahead and let the market 1005 00:32:09,039 --> 00:32:09,840 run 1006 00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,159 there we go we had our targets at about 1007 00:32:12,159 --> 00:32:13,360 i think i ended up getting almost a 1008 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,039 three to one i think i said two to one 1009 00:32:15,039 --> 00:32:16,559 earlier in the video but i got almost a 1010 00:32:16,559 --> 00:32:18,399 three to one on this one and 1011 00:32:18,399 --> 00:32:20,000 with that being the case what i ended up 1012 00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:22,080 having was these were all about 1013 00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:26,080 a 500 risk so i had 500 1014 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:29,360 times three ish so 1500 on this trade i 1015 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:31,039 had a negative 500 1016 00:32:31,039 --> 00:32:33,760 on the aussie canada trade bring me to a 1017 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:34,480 thousand 1018 00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:37,679 plus i had the 110 dollar win because of 1019 00:32:37,679 --> 00:32:38,960 the 5 p.m 1020 00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:41,840 candle on the cat twist bringing my 1021 00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:43,360 grand total using this 1022 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:45,679 to a thousand one hundred and ten 1023 00:32:45,679 --> 00:32:47,120 dollars now that is not 1024 00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,120 again any guarantee i just wanted to add 1025 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:50,559 it up on the screen to show you the 1026 00:32:50,559 --> 00:32:51,279 power of 1027 00:32:51,279 --> 00:32:53,279 just winning two trades out of three and 1028 00:32:53,279 --> 00:32:55,360 having a decent reward to risk 1029 00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:58,159 ratio lastly we are going to take a look 1030 00:32:58,159 --> 00:33:00,720 at the losing trade 1031 00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:02,559 okay another bearish trade here so let's 1032 00:33:02,559 --> 00:33:05,039 count out what we need to do for 1033 00:33:05,039 --> 00:33:08,080 our c e s t 1034 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:10,080 what conditions do we need price below 1035 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:11,760 the 50 is that happening yes 1036 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,000 do we have a double top not yet so we 1037 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:15,360 would have to sit on our hands in this 1038 00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,039 case we're using replay mode so we can 1039 00:33:17,039 --> 00:33:18,640 just push the market forward which is 1040 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:20,240 very very easy now 1041 00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,880 until we get a double top do we have a 1042 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,039 double top now well if i put my box i 1043 00:33:25,039 --> 00:33:26,240 don't actually have to do this 1044 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:28,559 because i've been trading this type of 1045 00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:29,760 strategy for so long 1046 00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:31,760 but i'll put the box on here for those 1047 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,080 of you who need it and if i put that box 1048 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,640 on the previous high then you can see 1049 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:37,760 that yes 1050 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,559 we do have a double top does this double 1051 00:33:40,559 --> 00:33:41,200 top 1052 00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:43,760 touch my 50 period moving average yes it 1053 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:45,840 does with that being the case are all of 1054 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:47,919 my conditions met 1055 00:33:47,919 --> 00:33:50,320 yes they are so what i'm looking for now 1056 00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:52,080 that all my conditions are met 1057 00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:55,279 is a red candle that closes below the 50 1058 00:33:55,279 --> 00:33:57,840 period moving average let's check that 1059 00:33:57,840 --> 00:33:58,320 out 1060 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,120 a couple of candles later or one candle 1061 00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:03,279 later we end up getting that entry 1062 00:34:03,279 --> 00:34:06,320 let's go with a position as soon as that 1063 00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,239 entry happens our stop loss 1064 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:09,839 is going to be three pips above the 1065 00:34:09,839 --> 00:34:12,399 swing high four or actually that's about 1066 00:34:12,399 --> 00:34:15,119 five five plus three is going to be 1067 00:34:15,119 --> 00:34:15,839 eight 1068 00:34:15,839 --> 00:34:18,000 eight with a one point four to one risk 1069 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:20,800 reward looks something like this and 1070 00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:24,480 check out what happens 1071 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,079 well consolidation mostly and then 1072 00:34:28,079 --> 00:34:31,599 oh my steven this trade lost 1073 00:34:31,599 --> 00:34:33,839 yeah the trade lost guess what it 1074 00:34:33,839 --> 00:34:35,199 happens in trading 1075 00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:36,960 and i know it sucks it's not fun to deal 1076 00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:38,800 with trust me i didn't want to lose 1077 00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:41,839 500 but that's going to be a part of 1078 00:34:41,839 --> 00:34:43,199 trading and that's why 1079 00:34:43,199 --> 00:34:45,520 the third step in becoming a profitable 1080 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:46,960 trader is so important 1081 00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:48,560 actually it's the second step in my 1082 00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:50,000 triangle of trading success 1083 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:52,000 i'll put a screenshot of that somewhere 1084 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:53,839 and the second step is having a solid 1085 00:34:53,839 --> 00:34:55,040 risk management plan 1086 00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:56,480 these losses are going to happen no 1087 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,000 matter what kind of trading plan you 1088 00:34:58,000 --> 00:34:58,400 have 1089 00:34:58,400 --> 00:34:59,680 no matter what kind of guru you're 1090 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,760 following no matter what kind of trades 1091 00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:02,560 you're placing 1092 00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:05,040 you will have losses your job as a 1093 00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:06,720 professional trader treating as trading 1094 00:35:06,720 --> 00:35:07,760 like a business 1095 00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:10,960 is to make sure those losses do not 1096 00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:12,480 affect your emotions in a way 1097 00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,480 that you can no longer stay consistent 1098 00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:16,079 to a strategy that otherwise 1099 00:35:16,079 --> 00:35:17,520 would have made you money over a long 1100 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:19,119 period of time so 1101 00:35:19,119 --> 00:35:20,640 let's take this for example you take 1102 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,880 this strategy you go out in the aussie 1103 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,359 canada five-minute chart and you see 1104 00:35:25,359 --> 00:35:27,119 that out of the past 100 trades 1105 00:35:27,119 --> 00:35:30,240 it made money i just a relevant amount 1106 00:35:30,240 --> 00:35:31,440 let's say it made money 1107 00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:32,880 and it made enough money to where you 1108 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:34,960 want to put this into your trading plan 1109 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:35,920 so you do so 1110 00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:37,280 and now you're trading it with live 1111 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,200 money and then 1112 00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,119 the day comes that you need a little 1113 00:35:41,119 --> 00:35:42,880 extra money for gas you need some beer 1114 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:44,400 money you need whatever 1115 00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,560 the money is you need it for that's your 1116 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:47,520 business not mine 1117 00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:49,599 but you need money so you decide okay 1118 00:35:49,599 --> 00:35:51,920 well today instead of taking a normal 1119 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:54,000 one percent risk or maybe two percent 1120 00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:55,280 risk whatever you're used to 1121 00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:56,880 you decide you're going to risk 10 1122 00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:59,359 percent because you need extra money 1123 00:35:59,359 --> 00:36:01,520 and risking that 10 percent that trade 1124 00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:03,520 loses because it happens 1125 00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:06,880 right losses do occur and now 1126 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:10,079 you are sitting there 10 percent down 1127 00:36:10,079 --> 00:36:11,839 after one trade because you did not 1128 00:36:11,839 --> 00:36:13,760 stick to a risk management plan that was 1129 00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:14,320 solid 1130 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,320 even worse than that what if you risk 10 1131 00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:18,240 every single trade the strategy like 1132 00:36:18,240 --> 00:36:18,800 this 1133 00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,359 might have five losses in a row or more 1134 00:36:21,359 --> 00:36:23,280 five losses in a row 1135 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:25,119 risking ten percent per trade which is 1136 00:36:25,119 --> 00:36:26,560 what a lot of beginners do 1137 00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:28,079 because they're in that get rich quick 1138 00:36:28,079 --> 00:36:29,599 mindset and they're just ready 1139 00:36:29,599 --> 00:36:32,160 to make money and trust me i get it i 1140 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:33,760 came in in the same exact way 1141 00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:35,599 and it's not necessarily your fault 1142 00:36:35,599 --> 00:36:36,880 there's nothing wrong with wanting to 1143 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,000 make money 1144 00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:42,800 but forex is a market 1145 00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,839 that doesn't have sympathy 1146 00:36:45,839 --> 00:36:48,560 it will take every bit of the money you 1147 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:49,920 are willing to give it and if you're 1148 00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:50,720 sitting there 1149 00:36:50,720 --> 00:36:52,480 risking too much per trade then that is 1150 00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:54,400 you willing to give the market your 1151 00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:55,680 money and i don't want to see you doing 1152 00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:56,800 that so be sure 1153 00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:59,119 that you not only back test this to see 1154 00:36:59,119 --> 00:37:00,800 and ensure that it actually makes a 1155 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:01,440 profit 1156 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,560 over time but also that you have a 1157 00:37:04,560 --> 00:37:07,359 solid risk management plan inside of 1158 00:37:07,359 --> 00:37:08,560 your trading plan 1159 00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:10,480 so if that was interesting and you 1160 00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:12,560 enjoyed this video we do have some space 1161 00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:13,280 available 1162 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:14,800 in our more advanced content which is 1163 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:17,119 the eap training program that is linked 1164 00:37:17,119 --> 00:37:18,079 in the description 1165 00:37:18,079 --> 00:37:20,160 labeled eap training program in that 1166 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:22,000 program i show you every strategy 1167 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:25,040 that i personally use every single day i 1168 00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:25,760 also 1169 00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:27,119 am going to be coming at you with a 1170 00:37:27,119 --> 00:37:29,119 video every single monday of what i call 1171 00:37:29,119 --> 00:37:30,000 my best 1172 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,480 setups of the week and these are areas 1173 00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:34,000 in the market i'm paying attention to 1174 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:35,760 for possible trading opportunities and 1175 00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:37,119 using the strategies 1176 00:37:37,119 --> 00:37:40,000 you learn in the course at these areas 1177 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:40,720 in the market 1178 00:37:40,720 --> 00:37:42,320 so with that being the case you're set 1179 00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:43,760 up throughout the week because you have 1180 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:45,520 the strategies i'm using plus the areas 1181 00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:46,240 i'm looking at 1182 00:37:46,240 --> 00:37:48,720 to use those strategies in it also comes 1183 00:37:48,720 --> 00:37:50,400 with three to five email alerts per week 1184 00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,320 not meant as signals but meant to help 1185 00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:53,119 you understand 1186 00:37:53,119 --> 00:37:55,359 exactly how i am using the strategies 1187 00:37:55,359 --> 00:37:56,640 you're learning in 1188 00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:59,440 real markets and even beyond that this 1189 00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:00,960 program comes with what i call 1190 00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,119 priority email it is a mentor program 1191 00:38:03,119 --> 00:38:04,000 and this is 1192 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,960 your access to yours truly at any point 1193 00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:09,040 that you have questions it will be me 1194 00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:10,480 answering those trading related 1195 00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:12,880 questions for you last but not least the 1196 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:14,560 program comes with a 60 day money back 1197 00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:15,359 guarantee 1198 00:38:15,359 --> 00:38:17,280 if you for any reason feel as though you 1199 00:38:17,280 --> 00:38:19,119 did not get value out of the program 1200 00:38:19,119 --> 00:38:20,960 worth at least what you paid just shoot 1201 00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:22,480 us an email and my support team 1202 00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:24,720 will send you a full refund kind of a 1203 00:38:24,720 --> 00:38:26,000 risk-free offer there if you're 1204 00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:27,040 interested in some more advanced 1205 00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:28,160 training if not 1206 00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:30,400 totally fine not a big deal go ahead 1207 00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:32,000 make sure you smash that like button for 1208 00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:33,040 me because you stayed till the end of 1209 00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:33,599 the video 1210 00:38:33,599 --> 00:38:35,119 so obviously you liked it make sure you 1211 00:38:35,119 --> 00:38:36,560 go ahead and click that subscribe button 1212 00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:37,599 to be alerted about 1213 00:38:37,599 --> 00:38:39,920 more valuable content just like this we 1214 00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,000 come out with each and every week and i 1215 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:43,440 will talk to you 1216 00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,839 next time and hopefully by then you'll 1217 00:38:45,839 --> 00:38:47,200 have this in your trading plan and be 1218 00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:47,680 making 1219 00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:49,760 a hell of a lot of money i'll see y'all 1220 00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:52,480 later 80523

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