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Okay folks.
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Welcome back.
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This is our final discussion
this month of June, 2017 content
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regarding commodities and futures.
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But I have to remind you one more time
to take a look at the disclaimer here.
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It's very important.
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And as a reminder, I'm not a CTA
non-licensed commodity trade advisor.
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Everything that we discuss here should
be viewed in light of a paper trade.
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All right.
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June, 2017, ICT mentorship, ICT
index trading concepts, less
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than five index trade setups.
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Okay.
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So I gave you the range, projections
and objectives lesson in lesson
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four, and I'm going to amplify those
four trade setups for instance.
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And as you're going to see here, it's
rather simplistic, which is exactly
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what you should be looking for.
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We're looking for setups.
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If you ever complicated, obviously
you're going to have a million
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questions and never come to the
end result of understanding.
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So the first one we're gonna
look at is two sessions up close.
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And when we look for the am trend
three turned down to a discount array.
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What we're actually looking for is we're
looking for index SMT divergence on the.
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They're not going to be comparing the lows
from the London session into the 9:30 AM.
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The am session is usually going
to reach up into a expansion move.
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It can be a higher timeframe
PDA, but generally you want to
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be holding out for time of day.
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10 30 to 11 o'clock in the morning.
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Typically, as we understand it in Forex
as the London close, but we want to be
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holding on to it with the idea that it's
going to expand going into the lunch hour.
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00:01:56,805 --> 00:02:01,635
Now, when we get into the lunch
hour, it can go and consolidation.
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00:02:02,175 --> 00:02:05,835
And again, we can be looking for
a retracement back down below the
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00:02:05,835 --> 00:02:11,115
lows formed in lunch, or we can
be returning back to a Fairview.
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00:02:11,910 --> 00:02:20,460
GAF or bullish or block seen inside of
the lunch hour at the lows that's formed
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in the lunch hour and the low that
forms immediately after one o'clock New
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00:02:25,470 --> 00:02:31,440
York time, those loads are going to be
compared against the two other averages.
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00:02:31,890 --> 00:02:35,670
So when we look at the S and P
we're looking to Dow and the NASDAQ,
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and we're going to be comparing
lows at these specific prices.
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There's no ambiguity here.
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It's highly specific.
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We're going to be looking
for the NSC, the diverged.
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00:02:49,244 --> 00:02:53,954
One of them doesn't have to be the E-mini
S and P if the NASDAQ fails to go lower,
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that in itself supports the idea that
the S and P should rally and go higher.
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00:03:01,394 --> 00:03:04,394
And again, as we go into the later
portions of the day, going into the club,
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We're going to be relying on time of day,
as well as we did with the am session.
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00:03:09,270 --> 00:03:13,080
Now w when, I mean, relying
on time of day, we have to do
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what we can to hold for time.
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Do you remember the days gone
to expand as we close to the
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closing price or closing out?
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We want to get the maximum route
days daily range in our favor.
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00:03:27,690 --> 00:03:31,980
So if we're long or trying to get
long in am or the PM session, it's
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most beneficial when we're holding
for the maximum potential rains
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that could fulfill any daily candle.
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00:03:38,100 --> 00:03:43,829
So if we're looking at the E-mini
S and P and we see bullishness on
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their way and we're long, and it's
only two o'clock in the afternoon,
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we've seen some handles in our favor.
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Or in other words, paper, profit.
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Don't be aggressive about trying to
take this profits off the table because
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00:03:59,025 --> 00:04:05,775
you want to allow the time of day to
come to a higher level of delivery
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00:04:05,775 --> 00:04:09,765
on price, which obviously will lend
well to you getting a higher profit.
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00:04:10,335 --> 00:04:14,355
The more you hold towards the
close, the more opportunity there
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00:04:14,355 --> 00:04:15,885
is for you to make more of a range.
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00:04:18,209 --> 00:04:23,610
The am session and the PM session highs
initially are going to be most likely a
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00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:28,380
15 minute or a 60 minute PD right now,
since we're looking at a two session up
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00:04:28,380 --> 00:04:34,920
close, both the am session and PM session
PD array is going to be a premium array.
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00:04:35,670 --> 00:04:39,510
Now, again, it could be a 15
minute premium array or a 60
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00:04:39,510 --> 00:04:45,030
minute premium array, but you're
aiming for that for both sessions.
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00:04:46,770 --> 00:04:51,180
If you notice how I have the diagram
on the PM session, going into the
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00:04:51,180 --> 00:04:52,800
close, it could be two stages.
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00:04:53,340 --> 00:04:58,500
It could fall short of a
15 or 60 minute PDA, right.
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And start to retrace.
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00:05:01,590 --> 00:05:04,650
Look for an additional ramp up
that last hour, going into the
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00:05:04,650 --> 00:05:08,640
close until it reaches the 15 or
60 minute PD rate or premium array.
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00:05:12,180 --> 00:05:13,860
Okay, we're looking at the
two session down close.
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00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,580
Again, in the morning when we see
price return to premium array.
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00:05:20,420 --> 00:05:24,050
At that moment, we're gonna
be comparing the other two
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00:05:24,050 --> 00:05:26,090
indices, the NASDAQ and the Dow.
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00:05:26,840 --> 00:05:33,710
And we're going to be comparing the
highs for index SMT, again from London
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00:05:33,710 --> 00:05:36,950
into the nine 30 opening equities.
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And we're going to be holding.
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00:05:40,650 --> 00:05:45,120
Till 10 30 to 11 o'clock in the
morning, or relying on time of day
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to get the maximum amount of range.
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As we get close to 11 o'clock, there's
more likelihood of a consolidation or
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Paul's going into the lunch hour at noon.
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00:05:56,820 --> 00:06:00,750
And during the lunch, we're
going to be looking at the highs
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00:06:01,650 --> 00:06:05,370
comparable with the NASDAQ and.
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00:06:06,930 --> 00:06:09,000
Dow futures against the S and P.
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00:06:09,930 --> 00:06:13,890
And again, this can be a return
back to a fair value gap or a
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00:06:13,890 --> 00:06:17,730
bare shorter block or closing of
liquidity void, and then go lower.
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00:06:17,849 --> 00:06:23,610
Or you can run the lunch high
for by stops and the reject.
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00:06:23,969 --> 00:06:29,670
But you're looking at the highs during
the lunch hour, and you're looking at
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the high that forms post New York line.
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00:06:34,085 --> 00:06:37,325
When that happens and it forms,
there's always going to be some
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00:06:37,325 --> 00:06:39,725
measure of a short-term high that
forms immediately after the lunch.
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00:06:40,325 --> 00:06:43,985
And if you're looking for a two
session down close profile to unfold,
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00:06:44,375 --> 00:06:47,645
projecting that daily range, we're
going to be looking for weakness
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00:06:47,945 --> 00:06:50,645
immediately after the lunch hour closes.
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00:06:51,365 --> 00:06:55,145
So from one o'clock in the afternoon,
New York time, we're immediately
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00:06:55,145 --> 00:06:59,195
going to be hunting and stalking
the E-mini S and P S short-term.
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00:07:00,525 --> 00:07:02,265
So price was rallying up.
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00:07:02,745 --> 00:07:08,555
We're going to be looking for reasons
to suspect a fair value play for returns
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to fair value for selling short and
a bear shorter block for your value
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gap or liquidity void, or a run above
or a move above the New York launch
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in the PM session.
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Again, we have to rely on time of day.
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00:07:26,475 --> 00:07:31,545
Don't just take a couple of handles
a profit hold onto it, head towards
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00:07:31,545 --> 00:07:34,575
the close, at least try to hold
onto it till 3:00 PM bond close.
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00:07:35,235 --> 00:07:40,785
And if you can do all that, you can
to hold onto it into four o'clock.
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00:07:40,785 --> 00:07:41,985
It's ideal to do that.
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00:07:44,875 --> 00:07:47,155
The am session and the PM session.
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00:07:47,895 --> 00:07:51,465
Intraday lows again are going
to be many times lined up with
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00:07:51,465 --> 00:07:53,925
a 15 to 60 minute PD array.
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00:07:53,955 --> 00:07:58,395
And since we're looking at two session
down close projected range, it's
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00:07:58,395 --> 00:08:05,415
going to be a 15 to 60 minute discount
for right now and the PM session.
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00:08:06,165 --> 00:08:12,675
Again, that many times can happen as
a two-stage short-term rally where
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00:08:12,825 --> 00:08:13,995
early profit it will be taking.
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00:08:15,060 --> 00:08:20,760
If it does not do that, short-term
bounce at a logical 15 or 60 minute
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00:08:21,090 --> 00:08:26,520
discount array hold for it to break
another leg, lower going into the close.
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00:08:26,520 --> 00:08:31,440
And then that later point at which it
trades lower many times we'll trade into
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00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,020
that 15 or 60 minute discount array.
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00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:37,380
All right.
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We're looking at the am.
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Rally PM.
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00:08:39,030 --> 00:08:40,860
Reversal projected rain.
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00:08:42,355 --> 00:08:45,505
In the am session, we're gonna
be looking at the three averages,
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00:08:46,285 --> 00:08:48,115
NASDAQ Dow against the S and P.
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00:08:48,895 --> 00:08:52,645
And we're gonna be comparing
the index SMT on the lows.
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00:08:52,855 --> 00:08:54,325
So we're gonna be
looking for a divergence.
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00:08:54,955 --> 00:08:56,305
One of them will fail to go lower.
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00:08:56,665 --> 00:09:00,415
That will signal at the time
to be a buyer of E-mini S and
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00:09:00,415 --> 00:09:01,585
P for the New York session.
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00:09:05,325 --> 00:09:08,145
And we're going to be relying
on time of day holding.
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00:09:09,075 --> 00:09:13,635
Until we get to very close to 11
o'clock or just past 11 o'clock
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00:09:13,635 --> 00:09:15,375
as we get into the lunch hour.
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00:09:15,945 --> 00:09:19,905
And again, ahead of noon, many times
we'll see a little bit of a profit taking
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00:09:19,935 --> 00:09:25,875
retracement, and then the afternoon
we're going to be looking for a rally to
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sell into, and we're going to hold that.
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Until we get to time of day and price.
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So we have to refer back to that
discount or write in the am session
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00:09:37,755 --> 00:09:38,985
that caused the initial rally.
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00:09:39,974 --> 00:09:43,964
And if it blends well with a hard
timeframe discount rate, obviously
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00:09:43,964 --> 00:09:48,645
we expect a short-term bounce, maybe
back into consolidation or resuming
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higher to take out the daily high.
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00:09:50,985 --> 00:09:59,265
But if the daily am session discount rate
is not a hard timeframe, discounted rate.
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We'll look for continuation
on a downside and take out the
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00:10:03,015 --> 00:10:06,375
intraday low in the afternoon.
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00:10:06,795 --> 00:10:14,925
That high is going to be a 15 to 60
minute premium PDRI in the am session.
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00:10:14,985 --> 00:10:19,815
In this case, it creates a lower high than
that, which is formed in the PM session.
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00:10:21,105 --> 00:10:26,685
If that short-term high forms before
lunch, if it's below a 15 minute or a 60
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00:10:26,685 --> 00:10:32,245
minutes, Premium array, then we're going
to be anticipating before it even happens.
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00:10:32,725 --> 00:10:38,305
The initial move outside of the
London lunch around one o'clock in
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00:10:38,305 --> 00:10:42,295
the afternoon, New York time, then it
will rally up to the 15 or 60 minute
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premium array and then anticipate a
higher timeframe market reversal to
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fall as indicated in this diagram.
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Now know what you're thinking?
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15.
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00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:55,890
Higher timeframe and neither is the
60 minutes, but we're going to be
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00:10:55,890 --> 00:11:04,349
looking for a overlap or a nested
premium array vaccine on the 15 or
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00:11:04,349 --> 00:11:07,530
60 minutes and daily or four hour.
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00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:13,560
So the higher timeframe confluence with
nested ideas of premium array would be
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00:11:13,560 --> 00:11:16,530
our catalyst for this PM session reversal.
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00:11:20,010 --> 00:11:20,880
I am declined PM.
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00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:21,209
Reverse.
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00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:27,400
In the morning, we're gonna be looking
for the index S and T diversions on
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00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:31,840
the highs going from London session
into the 9:30 AM equities opening.
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00:11:32,980 --> 00:11:34,810
One of them bears them.
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00:11:34,810 --> 00:11:39,460
One of those three indices will
be bearish divergence, indicating
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00:11:39,490 --> 00:11:41,410
a New York am session decline.
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00:11:41,980 --> 00:11:45,520
We're going to be holding again
for very minimum, 10:30 AM.
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00:11:46,965 --> 00:11:51,195
And closer to 11 o'clock at 11 o'clock
and to the paint, some measure of
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00:11:51,195 --> 00:11:55,395
consolidation or retracement going
into the lunch hour and the PM session.
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00:11:56,505 --> 00:12:01,515
We anticipate a run on the daily, low,
or the low teen in the lunch hour.
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00:12:02,115 --> 00:12:07,065
Now, again, we hold on to, to the
later portion of the day, at least
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00:12:07,605 --> 00:12:11,235
try to aim for holding till three
o'clock bond, close New York time,
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00:12:11,265 --> 00:12:14,865
if at all possible, if it gets to.
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00:12:16,405 --> 00:12:20,275
The premium rate is saw price
decline from the am session.
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00:12:21,204 --> 00:12:23,814
We could see price resume in go lower.
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00:12:23,964 --> 00:12:31,135
Or if that am session premium array is
not a hard timeframe, premium array.
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00:12:31,714 --> 00:12:34,795
We can anticipate further upside
in the intraday high being
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00:12:34,795 --> 00:12:39,074
taken out in this diagram.
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00:12:39,225 --> 00:12:43,365
The am session low is suggesting the.
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00:12:44,475 --> 00:12:52,605
Low forms above a 15 or 60 minute PD
IRA, and therefore a lower, low could
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00:12:52,605 --> 00:12:58,365
be expected in the afternoon trading
down into 15 minute or 60 minute PD IRA.
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00:12:58,725 --> 00:13:05,595
And that would cause our again, reason
to justify a nested discount array.
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00:13:05,895 --> 00:13:07,785
So if that discount array.
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00:13:09,095 --> 00:13:13,564
In the afternoon forms at a 15
or 16 minute discount array.
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00:13:13,595 --> 00:13:18,635
And it is also a nested hard timeframe
for our daily discount array.
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00:13:19,145 --> 00:13:22,324
That further bolsters the idea
that this is going to be a market
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00:13:22,355 --> 00:13:25,355
reversal in the afternoon, and
we can trade it accordingly.
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00:13:28,465 --> 00:13:30,235
Consolidation am decline PM.
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00:13:30,235 --> 00:13:30,564
Rally.
191
00:13:32,430 --> 00:13:37,260
Again, initially when the market makes
a attempt to rally up into a premium
192
00:13:37,260 --> 00:13:41,320
array, we're gonna be looking at the
indices to diverged barely at the highs
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00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:47,520
com comparable, and we're gonna be
holding for again, ideally around 10 30
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00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:51,840
to 11 o'clock in the morning, New York
time, then anticipating after 11 o'clock
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00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,870
some measure of consolidation through
retracement higher going into the lunch.
196
00:13:57,204 --> 00:14:02,035
Then we will become comparing the
SMT diversions that should form
197
00:14:02,064 --> 00:14:06,415
at the lows comparable across the
NASDAQ Dow and E-mini futures.
198
00:14:08,435 --> 00:14:12,995
And looking for time of day to support
the idea of an expansion on the upside.
199
00:14:14,464 --> 00:14:17,944
If it's consolidation, we don't expect
that to go all the way into the close.
200
00:14:18,515 --> 00:14:22,954
In other words, it's going to
be an early short-term high-def
201
00:14:22,954 --> 00:14:24,495
forums that will be later on.
202
00:14:25,829 --> 00:14:27,930
Uh, decline seeing going into the close.
203
00:14:28,469 --> 00:14:30,390
So we're not gonna be holding
for the rest of the day.
204
00:14:30,839 --> 00:14:32,339
We're gonna be relying on time of day.
205
00:14:32,339 --> 00:14:35,069
So generally around two o'clock
in the afternoon, it creates that
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00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:37,469
comparable high and the PM session.
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00:14:39,060 --> 00:14:43,979
The am session low is many times
a 15 or 60 minute discount PDRs.
208
00:14:45,599 --> 00:14:50,729
And the afternoon again is also a 1560
minute PD array or discount array.
209
00:14:53,350 --> 00:15:02,050
The afternoon low could run just non low,
or it can run the intraday low formed
210
00:15:02,050 --> 00:15:06,490
an am session again, as a reminder, how
you determine which one it's going to
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00:15:06,490 --> 00:15:12,010
be is if the am session bounces into
the lunch off of a hard timeframe,
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00:15:12,850 --> 00:15:18,040
nested level, that's also seen on a 15
or a 60 minute discount array, then we
213
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:19,510
don't expect the intraday low to be.
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00:15:20,685 --> 00:15:27,854
In the afternoon session, but if
that am session low is forming above
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00:15:27,885 --> 00:15:30,074
a higher timeframe discount array.
216
00:15:30,255 --> 00:15:35,385
Then we would anticipate a lower run
on the intraday, low in the PM session.
217
00:15:35,474 --> 00:15:40,574
And then the rally or increase in price.
218
00:15:40,604 --> 00:15:46,214
After that sell stock run
has been seen the afternoon.
219
00:15:46,454 --> 00:15:48,015
Hi is going to be seen with.
220
00:15:49,604 --> 00:15:51,675
A 15 or 60 minute PD array.
221
00:15:53,655 --> 00:15:58,334
And we would anticipate not further
upside, but a retracement and gravitation
222
00:15:58,334 --> 00:16:04,244
back to the equilibrium price point of
the day, basically back to the middle
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consolidation am rally PM decline.
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In the morning, we're gonna be comparing
the index SMT diversions at the
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Lowe's comparably against the Dow and
NASDAQ with the S and P me and Minnie.
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And we're gonna be holding for
minimum of 10 30 to 11 o'clock in the
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morning, New York time at 11 o'clock.
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We would anticipate some
measure of consolidation and or
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retracement down into the luncheon.
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After one o'clock is seen in New York,
we would anticipate some measure of a
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rally again, and we would be comparing
S and T diversions at the highs
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comparably across the three averages.
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And we would be holding for again
around two o'clock minimum, looking
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for a run into the short-term lows,
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the am session.
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We'll be a 15 or 16 minute
PDA rate or premium array.
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The afternoon will be a 15
minute or 60 minute PD array.
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Now the afternoon can run the lunch hour.
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Hi for bicycle.
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If the am session high forms at a higher
timeframe for our daily premium array.
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If the am session does not form the
short-term high, going into the lunch
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at a higher timeframe, four hour or
daily premium array, we would anticipate
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00:17:31,335 --> 00:17:36,525
the rally after the New York lunch to
run the intraday high up into a four
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hour or daily PDRs or premium array.
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And then the client.
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00:17:42,195 --> 00:17:47,565
So it's a very simple measure of what's
causing the high to form an am session.
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If it falls short of a premium rate,
it's seen on a four hour daily,
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chances are, it's probably going
to rally again, harder to reach
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for that level endemic or reversal.
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Yeah.
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00:18:00,225 --> 00:18:03,135
Afternoon low again, reaching
into the two o'clock hour.
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Cause many times it's going to be a
15 minute to 60 minute discount or.
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All right.
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So just as an example, just to show
you what it looks like again, give
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you an example of a consolidation.
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Am rally PM decline.
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That's what was seen today at the time
of this recording and show you here.
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As an example, look at the most
furthest down or chart on the bottom.
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It's the doubt.
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00:18:32,825 --> 00:18:39,845
And we can see going into the am session
of June, 2017 on the 23rd Friday, we
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00:18:39,845 --> 00:18:46,945
can see that the low failed to go lower
into the am session for the NASDAQ.
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We can see very easily.
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00:18:48,625 --> 00:18:51,415
And obviously that the
NASDAQ was able to go.
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00:18:53,340 --> 00:18:55,740
And the S and P was able to go lower.
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00:18:56,070 --> 00:19:00,650
So the Dow was able to buck that trend
indicating there was strong buyers
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00:19:00,650 --> 00:19:06,660
stepping in and the S and P rally as
a result, then we went into the lunch
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00:19:06,660 --> 00:19:12,870
hour and then immediately after the
lunch hour at 12 to one o'clock in
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00:19:12,870 --> 00:19:18,640
New York time that begins RPN trend or
afternoon session for the equities or.
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00:19:20,169 --> 00:19:25,510
And again, at the bottom, we can see
that the Dow from the high formed
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00:19:25,510 --> 00:19:30,820
in lunch made a lower high, wasn't
unable to rally above it and the PM
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00:19:30,820 --> 00:19:36,120
session and went lower in an Aztec.
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00:19:36,120 --> 00:19:40,590
In the middle chart, we can see that
the NASDAQ made a higher high than
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00:19:40,590 --> 00:19:42,389
that, which was seen in the lunch hour.
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00:19:45,919 --> 00:19:48,429
And the S and P was unable to make a hire.
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00:19:49,410 --> 00:19:57,000
That was seen in the lunch hour and price
trades down as a result and back into the
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00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,160
equilibrium or the middle of the range.
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00:19:59,490 --> 00:20:06,660
Notice in the S and P that during
the am session, that rally traded all
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00:20:06,660 --> 00:20:10,890
the way up into an old premium array.
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00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:12,270
See the old high back here.
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00:20:14,429 --> 00:20:19,500
So blending these ideas, you can
see how using the 15, 16 minute PDA
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00:20:19,500 --> 00:20:23,879
Ray as objectives and targets, and
also to frame the context of what
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00:20:23,879 --> 00:20:25,590
makes these intraday swings occur.
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00:20:25,889 --> 00:20:26,639
When looking at the essence.
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00:20:28,065 --> 00:20:32,775
So when we get into the August content,
I give you the top-down analysis PDF.
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00:20:32,955 --> 00:20:35,175
It gives you like a
flow chart perspective.
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00:20:35,955 --> 00:20:40,755
I'll walk you through the scenarios
that leads to these specific projected
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00:20:40,755 --> 00:20:43,635
ranges and how the trade them a
quarterly and a trading plan format.
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00:20:45,525 --> 00:20:51,495
Until I talk to you again, next week,
we talk about the stock trading doing
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00:20:51,495 --> 00:20:56,265
short-term trading and swing trading
with stocks on a month by month basis.
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00:20:57,585 --> 00:21:03,015
And that will complete the delivery of
June, 2017 content and the next month
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00:21:03,015 --> 00:21:06,795
in July, where be looking at mega trades
across all the asset classes as well.
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00:21:07,455 --> 00:21:09,585
And until then, I wish you
good luck and good trading.
26476
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