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-= Subtitle Created By TreeHH QQ1744114159 =-
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So I wanna sell my home
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and I put on the market for 300,000 dollars
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It's a lovely home you have
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I'm the agent
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Alright so let me start over, that was my ... i'm sorry
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Alright I wanna sell my home
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I put on the market for 300,000 dollars
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I get an offer today for $290k
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The question is if I wait a week
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and get the offer for the full $300k
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Would I rather wait that week and get the full price?
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Or take the offer today for $290k
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Ah you want to take it now
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I'll be the real estate agent
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I'm telling you want to take it right now because
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because a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush...
The market is starting to really soften up
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with these things you just can never tell
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If you get a good offer, I really think it's the right thing to take it
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And I'm not speaking out of self-interest cuz I'm the real estate agent
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and our interests are aligned
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cuz I'm getting a commission out of your sales
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I want you to get as much as you can for this house
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I really do
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When you think about the incentives
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that the current contract set up
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between the home seller and the agent
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representing them, they are not well alligned
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But can you ever prove that?
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Interestingly, if you look at the sales data on real estate agent own homes
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It's not their client's home when they sell their own homes
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They get more money than they sell the same home for their client
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Now why would that be?
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What we find in the data is that agent hold out for better price
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and leave their own homes on the market for longer
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an average for 10 days longer
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But when it comes to your house
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The agent has the incentive to sell right away
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Why? Cuz sometimes that $10k into his or her pocket
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-Only $150 -I only get $150
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Because if you take that $10k that goes to him
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6 percent goes to commission but that gets wacked up
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Half goes to the buyer's real estate agent
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So I get half of that six percent
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But then I have to kick back half of that to my agency
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So I only get one and a half percents
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So really, in order for me to help him gets the extra $10k
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I personally only gets $150
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But I have to work for an extra week
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I have to buy all the marketing
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I could be off to another client trying to get another
whole commission on another house
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So I have a strong incentive to say to him this is a great offer
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It's the best offer you can get
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I really think you should take it
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So no matter what the real estate agency says
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I would rather wait a week
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and pick up the extra $10k
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The agent wouldn't
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It's not that real estate agents are bad
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It's just that they're human beings and human beings repsond to incentives
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If there's only one element
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that I say is that almost everything we do
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is the idea that incentives matter
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and if you can figure out what people's incentives are
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you have a good chance to guessing how they're gonna pay it
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New prents look at successful families and successful parents
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and they just want to copy them and so they try to do the things
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they think that they did to get their families so smart
and good and whatever
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which is really just a ... can be a bad mistake of correlation cuase isolagi
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You're gonna take your kid to ... you know ... every mommy and me music class
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and you gonna take him to the museum
and start looking at all the dreaken roman sculptures
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you probably already playing mozart in the worm to get the brain really stimulated
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and it turns out; that the best that we can tell
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from looking at data of actual parents and children along these dimensions
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that that stuffs don't really matters
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that it just dones't make your child...better
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so it might make you happier, might even
make 'em happier, might also make 'em miserable
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but it turns out that those are not causo-elements
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I always said you can teach a kid just as much as in a grocery store
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you can as in a museum, maybe more
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My entire academic life
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has been devoted to figuring out tricky ways to get a cause-eality
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because the world just doesn't offer you a cause-eality
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okay, what you see in the world is correlation
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So what the world gives you is - things are moving together or they aren't
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But to be useful, you need to dive down
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be able to strip away what's causing what, what's not causing what
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The data we looked at
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suggests that, by the time you actually have a kid
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most of the choices that you make will make you a good parent
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you've already made them.
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So if you go to the bookstore and buy 10 parenting books,
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It's probably not really gonna help the kid that much
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But the fact is that you are the kind of person
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who as a parent cares enough to buy 10 parenting books even if you dont' read 'em.
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That probably means you are a pretty good parent
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Just don't think the books are gonna have a magic effect
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Ah parents, we wanna believe so much that everything we do
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is going to make a difference in our children's lives.
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What they eat, where they go to school, who they hang out with
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But before any of that takes place,
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parents are confronted wth the one single ominous decision
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that could shape the entirety of their children's future
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what is going to be their name?!
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These days, there's an entire industry devoted to naming your baby.
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And business is booming
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There's magazines, books, websites
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There's even high profile baby naming experts.
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I'm a baby name expert
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I study names, I ask the parents how they choose names for their children
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and I look at how names are changing,
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because baby names are changing today faster than ever before.
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Names are important, because they have a lot to do with your family, your heritage.
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Names represent huge, you know what I mean, street creditbility all of that.
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Names are definitely a big part of meeting someone
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A name can make you popular, and a legend.
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Without a name, u're nobody you've got to have a name. It tells your whole identity.
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But just how important can name really be?
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I mean, unless you're Rockefella or Gates
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Can your name have some sort of magical power over your entire destiny?
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Not convinced? What about the following stories?
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Once upon a time, there was a young mother who thought
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she was naming her daughter after her favorite actress on the Cosby show
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The smart and firery Tempestt Bledsoe
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This is the most humiliating moment of my entire life
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and there had been many
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But having never seen the way it was spelled
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The young mother mistakenly named her new born daughter
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Temptress
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Well, little Ms. Temptress didn't have an easy life growing up
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-I don't even know -What do you mean?
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As a teenager, she became sexually promiscuous
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Got into a whole bunch of trouble
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Back here you little shit
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That's right. I better not let me catch you
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And ended up in court
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All Rise!
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Leaving the judge to ask her mother
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Is young temptress just living up to the expectation of her name?
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Was that just one little misplaced 'T' and 'R'
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all that stood the life of ease and huxtable success,
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verses those long hard days in court ... and 'juvie'
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Harvard professor Dr. Roland Fryer was determined to find out just that
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What happened to Temptress has NOTHING
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to do with her name, has everything to do with where she grew up
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It turns out, Temptress grew up in a poor black neighborhood
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The kind of neighborhood Dr. Fryer has been studying for years
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As a world leading renowned economist and an leading expert on race in America
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Fryer has been long been interested in what he calls
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Cultural Segregation
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The gap between White Culture and Black Culture
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One embodiment of that culture is
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what you name your kid
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is probably one of the few cultural items that we can really measure
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precisely
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What we did was we looked at the effects of your kid's first name
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on their life outcomes
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Dr. Fryer analyzed the naming records of every baby born in the states of California
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over the last forty years
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and those names tell an unmistakable story
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African American parents are more likely than any other ethnic group
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to give their children unique names
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There is definitely a distinction between names ...
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... for white people and names for black people
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Black names will be Molique, JAQuan, NayShan, Naheem
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-TaSha and Shamika -Shaniqua and NaShan and KayShan
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I know this girl, her name is "treasure", TREZURE
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struck me as typically that's more like an african american name
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I like the names that begin with SHA, like Shaheem, Shahee, Shamur
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Shakeem, ShaKoor
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You know - Oprah. It's popular
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It was actually in the fifties
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and the early sisties that we saw
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huge overlaps in the naming patterns of blacks and whites
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So people name their kids John and Michael
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and names like that
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And what you saw was around 19 ... in the 1968 or so
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kind of the black power movement actually
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you saw distinct biofabrication
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with black names getting more disctinctively black
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and a lot of them are islamic names
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Because the black power movement is about identity - who are we?
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Who are you? Are you part of us?
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It wasn't until the late 80s and 90s that we started to get
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you know, kind of the ... made up, concatenated names
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that you see now
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This is generation today, they saw the change the whole name change concept
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they have names that are 30 letters long you know
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Everybody try to do something, um ... how do you say, unique
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they try to name their kids over something different you know
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We had 228 unique versions of the name "Unique"
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Again, my favorite was ...
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UNEQQEE
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another one of my favorite was
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UNEEK
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ah ... so there are a lot of people trying to be unique
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So what happened to all these uniquely named kids?
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Kids like poor little temptress
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I think it's not the name that's doing the damage to temptress
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It's that they grow up in the type of situation
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where someone would name their kids Temptress
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The person would actually names their kids that
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probably has a host of other issues
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that are influcing their kids' lifetime outcomes
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Not just the name itself
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What kinds of issues?
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Let's look at a boy with the most studied white name
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and a boy with the most studied african american name
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The person who gives their kid a distinctively biased name
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on average is more likely
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to live in poverty
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and to be kind of on the lower wrongs of the socio-economic ladder
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You see, this is where Jake lives
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and this is where Deshawn lives
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The schools are not functiong - the teachers in those shcools aren't the same quality
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as would be in Jake's neighborhood
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In those neighborhoods, 80% of the households are female headed only
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and what we found is that, names don't matter so much
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they type of mother you have, the type of family you have
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the type of community you grow up in
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those things matter a lot
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but what they name you, just doesn't matter
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So name doesn't define your destiny?
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Maybe if you name someone destiny, I don't know
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But ... No. I mean your name doesn't define your desinty
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A name may not define your destiny
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But it can dictate the ways other people perceive you
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Meet Harvard professor Dr. Sendhil Mullainathan
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I'm very familiar with Roland Fryer's work
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We both worked on the impact of names
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I think Roland has emphasized that
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people who choose names that are very black are different
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from other people that choose names that are not very black
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whereas, we emphasize that holding everything else cosntant
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that people who end up with very black names are treated very differently
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We know that in the data African Americans earn a lot less
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We are interested in how much of that earning less
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is simply they find it harder to get a job
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are all African Americans treated very differently in the labor market than whites
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Dr. Mullaninathan conducted his own study
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This time in Boston and Chicago
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What we did is we made up 5,000 resumes
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Half of them we put an African American name, half of them we put a White name
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Otherwise, the resumes were the same. And we send them out
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And we said, which gets callback more?
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What we found was that the same resume when it had an African American name
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was about 33% less likely to get an interview than it had a white name
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It means that, if a White person searching for jobs for 10 weeks
249
00:14:52,647 --> 00:14:57,277
an equivalent skilled African American will search for 15 weeks
250
00:14:57,277 --> 00:14:59,821
and those are 5 long weeks if you were unemployed
251
00:15:00,780 --> 00:15:02,240
You can judge somebody by their names
252
00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:03,742
It's not right, but people do it
253
00:15:03,783 --> 00:15:07,037
They assume that, just because your name is Monique
254
00:15:07,037 --> 00:15:09,789
or your name is LaVongue,or Shenanig, or that
255
00:15:09,789 --> 00:15:12,834
that you're African American and you are not qualified because
256
00:15:12,834 --> 00:15:15,962
your name has an ethnicity to it.
257
00:15:16,129 --> 00:15:19,758
One time, there was a girl name LaKeisha talked on the phone
258
00:15:19,758 --> 00:15:24,095
and I thought she was black but when I met her I was totally shocked that
259
00:15:24,095 --> 00:15:25,680
she was a white southern girl
260
00:15:26,014 --> 00:15:27,849
When I picture LaShandra, yea she's black
261
00:15:28,308 --> 00:15:32,062
The names we used in our studies were names like Lakisha, Jamal, Tyrone
262
00:15:32,687 --> 00:15:33,938
Based on the results, it raises a question
263
00:15:34,356 --> 00:15:37,150
I'm an African American parent, I'm thinking naming my child
264
00:15:37,150 --> 00:15:40,528
Tyrone sounds like a very good name, I might have a grand father named Tyrone
265
00:15:40,528 --> 00:15:42,197
Should I name my child Tyrone?
266
00:15:44,741 --> 00:15:49,120
Yes, name your kid Tyrone, you've made it harder for him in the labor market
267
00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:52,165
On the other hand, should you give in to that?
268
00:15:52,165 --> 00:15:55,627
Should I give in to the prevailing norm, or should I express my individuality?
269
00:15:55,627 --> 00:15:57,212
as I want
270
00:15:58,463 --> 00:16:00,215
It's a bit of an ethical quandary
271
00:16:00,340 --> 00:16:03,802
My friend got a drug dealer named Tyrone and I assume it's a black guy
272
00:16:04,177 --> 00:16:07,430
Todd is a white name, Tyrone is a black name
273
00:16:07,722 --> 00:16:09,808
I mean that's sort of how it goes, right?
274
00:16:10,350 --> 00:16:12,227
You might choose a distinctively black name
275
00:16:12,227 --> 00:16:14,562
as a way to signal something about yourself
276
00:16:14,562 --> 00:16:16,523
and about your commitment to the black community
277
00:16:16,523 --> 00:16:21,027
and that's the way to show other
African Americans look I am really black
278
00:16:21,027 --> 00:16:24,072
and I think there're distinctively black names already tell you
279
00:16:24,072 --> 00:16:28,326
that there's a cultrual divide at some core, visible, noticeable level
280
00:16:28,326 --> 00:16:31,037
and we see it sometimes in clothings, we see it in names
281
00:16:31,037 --> 00:16:34,791
and in fact that's true, there're quite a few distinctively white names
282
00:16:35,041 --> 00:16:38,253
names like Emily, Brandon, ... ah ...
283
00:16:38,253 --> 00:16:42,632
... forgetting what those ... if you give me a minute I can count the others
284
00:16:42,757 --> 00:16:45,301
White names are like Sarah, Megan
285
00:16:45,510 --> 00:16:46,594
Mariah, Mary
286
00:16:46,761 --> 00:16:47,345
Billy
287
00:16:47,387 --> 00:16:48,805
Beckys, Johns
288
00:16:48,888 --> 00:16:49,806
Tadd
289
00:16:49,806 --> 00:16:50,849
Joe, Mike
290
00:16:50,849 --> 00:16:52,142
Ryan, Sam
291
00:16:52,267 --> 00:16:52,851
Chester
292
00:16:53,018 --> 00:16:55,437
My brother and I were talking about how we have white sounding names
293
00:16:55,437 --> 00:16:56,980
He's Abner, I'm Harper
294
00:16:57,105 --> 00:17:01,484
Stone, Stone Phillips, that's like perfectly sutited for a white guy
295
00:17:01,484 --> 00:17:03,403
that's the best white guy name you can have.
296
00:17:03,486 --> 00:17:07,282
We live in different cultures and your name is largely determined by your culture
297
00:17:07,282 --> 00:17:12,287
and the difference in the incident of LaKeysha among African Americans vs. white
298
00:17:12,287 --> 00:17:14,956
might be a good way to understand how truely there are
299
00:17:14,956 --> 00:17:18,043
different culutures African American inhabit and white inhabit
300
00:17:18,877 --> 00:17:21,713
Today, there is more evidence than ever that the cultures we come from
301
00:17:21,713 --> 00:17:23,548
influence the names we choose
302
00:17:23,548 --> 00:17:25,675
Just ask the baby naming expert
303
00:17:25,675 --> 00:17:26,760
More and more today,
304
00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:30,597
you see parents choosing a namealmost as if launching a product
305
00:17:30,597 --> 00:17:33,141
that you're tryint to position a child
306
00:17:33,141 --> 00:17:36,394
for the best chance of success in the global market place
307
00:17:36,853 --> 00:17:39,064
So in an oversaturated market place
308
00:17:39,105 --> 00:17:41,232
which names garner the most attention?
309
00:17:41,232 --> 00:17:43,777
Are some names destined for the top self,
310
00:17:43,777 --> 00:17:45,862
while the others are headed for the bargain basement?
311
00:17:45,862 --> 00:17:48,573
Let's take a look at the two product lines
312
00:17:48,573 --> 00:17:52,327
Turns out, there is a such a thing as a knock off name
313
00:17:54,621 --> 00:17:58,208
The top 5 middle class white girls names from Fryer's studies are:
314
00:17:58,208 --> 00:18:00,085
(in order of popularity)
315
00:18:00,085 --> 00:18:05,090
Ashley, Lauren, Jessica, Emily and Sarah
316
00:18:05,090 --> 00:18:08,301
While the top 5 lower income white girls names are:
317
00:18:08,301 --> 00:18:13,306
Brittney, Samantha, Amanda, Jessica and Ashley
318
00:18:13,306 --> 00:18:15,809
So what happens to Ashleys?!
319
00:18:15,809 --> 00:18:18,728
She's fast loosing popularity in the middle class list
320
00:18:18,728 --> 00:18:21,898
But she's no.1 in the WalMart crowd
321
00:18:21,898 --> 00:18:25,151
As those wealthier folks see their names popping up everywhere
322
00:18:25,151 --> 00:18:28,196
they quickly discard them in favor of less merchandise
323
00:18:28,822 --> 00:18:29,948
And just like that,
324
00:18:29,948 --> 00:18:34,995
Today's high end Ashley, becomes tomorrow's low rent Trashley
325
00:18:37,497 --> 00:18:39,708
On the lower strung of the ladder,
326
00:18:39,708 --> 00:18:42,502
are the names that most signify lower class parents.
327
00:18:42,794 --> 00:18:47,007
Like Misty, Destiny, Bobbi, Brandy or Cyndi
328
00:18:47,549 --> 00:18:48,967
Now if you are over 40
329
00:18:48,967 --> 00:18:52,303
and actually remember a time these names did't belong up here on stage
330
00:18:52,429 --> 00:18:53,346
You're right!
331
00:18:53,346 --> 00:18:56,933
Years ago, these names wouldn't be caught dead in a place like this
332
00:18:58,309 --> 00:19:01,271
But the years have not been kind to a name like Bobbi
333
00:19:01,271 --> 00:19:05,025
And even though she once was at the top of the social-economic ladder
334
00:19:05,025 --> 00:19:08,528
Today, she's just clinging to her former glory
335
00:19:10,780 --> 00:19:13,199
Please don't name your kid Barbie or Bambi or
336
00:19:13,199 --> 00:19:17,620
anything like that, they might end up being a dancer one day because of it
337
00:19:17,620 --> 00:19:17,704
And if you do end up with a name that's bound for stripperdom
338
00:19:17,704 --> 00:19:22,167
at least you can change it
339
00:19:22,167 --> 00:19:24,544
I mean, hey, it works in Hollywood
340
00:19:24,919 --> 00:19:29,591
Think about it, would John Wayne has been as tough if his name is Marion Morrison?
341
00:19:30,216 --> 00:19:34,804
Would we think Marilyn Monroe as beautiful if her name was still Norma Jean?
342
00:19:35,347 --> 00:19:40,226
And would we think as Ice Cube rocking the crowd if his name is still O'Shea Jackson
343
00:19:42,145 --> 00:19:45,523
Actually, I always wanted to change my names to Max Powers
344
00:19:45,565 --> 00:19:50,779
cuz it seems like a name that everybody like once they hear that they're like
345
00:19:50,779 --> 00:19:52,280
this guy must be really cool
346
00:19:52,489 --> 00:19:55,533
I want to change my name when I was younger, I never liked it
347
00:19:56,284 --> 00:20:00,038
If my name was, um, Henry O'Barma
348
00:20:00,038 --> 00:20:01,456
You know what I mean?
349
00:20:01,456 --> 00:20:03,583
I think that would mean something to people
350
00:20:03,583 --> 00:20:05,669
and I would have more doors opened for me
351
00:20:05,877 --> 00:20:08,713
I did want to change it but now I'm sort of cool with it
352
00:20:08,713 --> 00:20:09,881
You just sort of like
353
00:20:09,881 --> 00:20:13,760
jumps on your back and rides along with you through life you know
354
00:20:14,302 --> 00:20:18,056
As much as you may hate your name, at least your dad isn't this guy
355
00:20:18,056 --> 00:20:19,391
Meet Robert Lane
356
00:20:19,391 --> 00:20:23,478
He has two sons. He named his first son Winner.
357
00:20:23,478 --> 00:20:27,982
3 years later, he named his next son Loser
358
00:20:29,067 --> 00:20:33,071
So Winner and Loser Lane set off in the world to claim their destinies
359
00:20:33,071 --> 00:20:33,947
And what happened?
360
00:20:33,947 --> 00:20:36,950
Well, Loser went to prep school on a scholarship
361
00:20:36,950 --> 00:20:40,453
Graduated from college, joined the NYPD
362
00:20:40,453 --> 00:20:43,540
and eventually became a detective. And then, a sergeant
363
00:20:43,540 --> 00:20:44,874
He goes by Lou now
364
00:20:45,083 --> 00:20:46,126
And his brother?
365
00:20:46,126 --> 00:20:46,960
Well, the most note worthy achievement of Winner Lane is
366
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:50,672
the sheer length of his criminal record
367
00:20:50,672 --> 00:20:53,174
Nearly 3 dozen arrests for burglary,
368
00:20:53,174 --> 00:20:56,344
domestic violence, trespassing and other mayhem
369
00:20:56,928 --> 00:20:59,556
Is there one name that you can give a kid that
370
00:20:59,556 --> 00:21:01,474
guaranteer that won't become screwed up?
371
00:21:03,935 --> 00:21:04,519
No
372
00:21:06,062 --> 00:21:09,190
Sorry, there's not one name that you can give a kid that
373
00:21:09,190 --> 00:21:10,859
guaranteer they won't become a screw up
374
00:21:10,900 --> 00:21:14,154
And there's not one name that you can give a kid that
375
00:21:14,154 --> 00:21:15,905
guaranteer they will become a success
376
00:21:15,905 --> 00:21:19,784
You know, it is a crab-shoot when it comes to names
377
00:21:19,784 --> 00:21:20,910
I don't think there's any name
378
00:21:20,910 --> 00:21:23,371
that can guaranteer success, at least none that we found
379
00:21:23,913 --> 00:21:24,873
The world is full of ...
380
00:21:24,873 --> 00:21:27,625
... excellent people and terrible people with all sorts of names
381
00:21:27,625 --> 00:21:31,838
The vast majority of the reason people choose is left unexplained
382
00:21:31,838 --> 00:21:34,966
It's like, why did you choose your child's name?
383
00:21:35,633 --> 00:21:36,760
Sounded nice
384
00:21:38,011 --> 00:21:40,889
Who really knows what parents are thinking when they choose a name
385
00:21:40,889 --> 00:21:44,184
Maybe your parents went with something traditional
386
00:21:44,726 --> 00:21:46,394
Or something bohemian
387
00:21:47,145 --> 00:21:48,480
Something unique
388
00:21:49,272 --> 00:21:51,107
Or something perfectly trendy
389
00:21:52,525 --> 00:21:54,694
And maybe your parents didn't have the best taste
390
00:21:54,694 --> 00:21:56,780
and you can't stand your names
391
00:21:56,780 --> 00:21:59,282
Or maybe, they got it just right
392
00:21:59,741 --> 00:22:02,118
Actually, my name means intelligent hero
393
00:22:02,118 --> 00:22:05,497
So, that describes me to the fullest
394
00:22:05,789 --> 00:22:08,333
I was actually named after a horse . My dad is a horse trainer.
395
00:22:08,583 --> 00:22:11,836
My middle name is comfort, because an angel came down to comfort my mother
396
00:22:11,836 --> 00:22:13,838
and told her she's gonna have a daughter with dark hair
397
00:22:13,838 --> 00:22:16,007
and blue eyes who would be a great comfort to her
398
00:22:16,132 --> 00:22:19,761
The prophet Mohammed
399
00:22:19,969 --> 00:22:21,930
My name says that I'm named after my grand father
400
00:22:21,930 --> 00:22:24,182
who was named after his great grandfather
401
00:22:24,182 --> 00:22:25,517
that was it says
402
00:22:26,351 --> 00:22:29,813
In the end, most parents just want the best for their children
403
00:22:29,813 --> 00:22:33,692
and if they believe a particular name they give can give their kid the extra edge
404
00:22:34,150 --> 00:22:35,527
Then why not?!
405
00:22:36,194 --> 00:22:36,569
I mean who konws?
406
00:22:37,946 --> 00:22:39,239
It just might work
407
00:22:46,454 --> 00:22:47,539
CHEATING
408
00:22:47,539 --> 00:22:52,585
As W.C. Fields once said, "A thing worth having,
is worth cheating for."
409
00:22:52,585 --> 00:22:54,838
Or as Mark Grace of the Chicago Cubs once said
410
00:22:54,838 --> 00:22:56,798
"If you ain't cheating, you aint trying."
411
00:22:58,717 --> 00:23:02,512
Everybody understands why a kid would want to cheat on SATs right?
412
00:23:02,512 --> 00:23:04,264
They have huge gains of ...
413
00:23:04,264 --> 00:23:09,019
get into Harvard and have a good life as a result of cheating on a test
414
00:23:09,019 --> 00:23:11,813
What's hard to think is why would a teacher cheat?
415
00:23:11,813 --> 00:23:12,897
for a kid on a test
416
00:23:12,897 --> 00:23:16,735
And, when you go to Chicago and goes back a few years ago
417
00:23:16,735 --> 00:23:19,487
We find that lots and lots of teachers were cheating
418
00:23:19,487 --> 00:23:20,530
Why would they cheat?
419
00:23:20,530 --> 00:23:22,741
Well, because there was tremendous pressures on the teachers
420
00:23:22,741 --> 00:23:27,203
to produce high test scores so their schools wouldn't get into troubles
421
00:23:29,706 --> 00:23:33,752
First of all, to a very expedient ... to go to the end of the test
422
00:23:33,752 --> 00:23:35,920
Cuz at the end of the test, a lot of the kids've left them blank
423
00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:38,173
So instead of having to erase something and fill it back in,
424
00:23:38,173 --> 00:23:39,924
you can just fill in the answers
425
00:23:39,966 --> 00:23:41,551
It might look kind offunny
426
00:23:41,551 --> 00:23:43,970
cuz how often would kids take a test
427
00:23:43,970 --> 00:23:46,431
and they answered the first 20 questions,
428
00:23:46,431 --> 00:23:50,143
leave 17 questions blank, and then fill in the last 8 questions
429
00:23:50,143 --> 00:23:51,770
maybe be even a little funnier when
430
00:23:51,770 --> 00:23:54,522
they fill out the last 8 questions and they all all the questions right
431
00:23:54,522 --> 00:23:57,650
and those happens to be the hardest quesitons on the exam
432
00:23:57,650 --> 00:23:58,735
THE EVIDENCE
433
00:23:59,569 --> 00:23:59,778
When I got the data from this guy from public school
434
00:23:59,778 --> 00:24:06,618
I mean we are talking about millions and millions of answers
435
00:24:06,618 --> 00:24:09,537
thousands of kids, over years and years
436
00:24:09,537 --> 00:24:12,415
and I looked at the data, I couldn't see anything.
437
00:24:12,415 --> 00:24:13,833
How can you see anything?!
438
00:24:13,833 --> 00:24:17,712
If you can think like a teacher who cheats, and look again at the sea of data
439
00:24:17,712 --> 00:24:19,464
These patterns come to light
440
00:24:19,464 --> 00:24:24,177
Patterns, which are suttle. Burried under mounts and mounts of data
441
00:24:24,177 --> 00:24:27,222
When looked at through the varied length, suddenly
442
00:24:27,222 --> 00:24:30,058
It just as clear as day. And when you know what to look for
443
00:24:30,058 --> 00:24:32,602
You can't help but say it has to be cheating
444
00:24:32,602 --> 00:24:37,023
What he's really good at, is pretend he's a cheater
445
00:24:37,023 --> 00:24:39,901
a criminal, a thief, a cheat, all these things because
446
00:24:39,901 --> 00:24:43,196
cuz really he's not far from it; I mean if you really think about what an economist is
447
00:24:43,196 --> 00:24:46,950
the line between an economist and criminal is terribly thin
448
00:24:46,950 --> 00:24:49,160
-And what about journalists? -Um, no line
449
00:24:50,370 --> 00:24:53,581
Because he can put himself in the shoes of someone
450
00:24:53,581 --> 00:24:56,042
who would behave criminally or who's a cheater
451
00:24:56,042 --> 00:24:59,504
then you can back up the process and reverse engineer it
452
00:24:59,504 --> 00:25:00,922
And that's what you have to do.
453
00:25:00,922 --> 00:25:04,342
Because unless you are in the room with cheaters, it's really hard to catch them
454
00:25:05,385 --> 00:25:09,431
It's not that some people cheat at every second or some people never cheat
455
00:25:09,431 --> 00:25:11,558
We all cheat sometimes and others
456
00:25:11,558 --> 00:25:13,268
Everyone got their own moral encompass
457
00:25:13,268 --> 00:25:15,020
to determine what they'll do and what they won't do
458
00:26:37,977 --> 00:26:42,357
Economic tries to be a pure science in an impure world
459
00:26:42,357 --> 00:26:46,444
Economists imagine men and women are rational actors
460
00:26:46,444 --> 00:26:49,948
In a market place that hides nothing from buyers and sellers
461
00:26:51,700 --> 00:26:54,452
But what happens to market when people cheat?
462
00:26:55,370 --> 00:26:57,455
10 years I've been interested in cheating
463
00:26:57,455 --> 00:26:59,958
and I was in Washington DC
464
00:26:59,958 --> 00:27:02,419
I remember just seeing a little blur in the Washington Post
465
00:27:02,419 --> 00:27:06,089
that said there have been allegations of cheatings in Sumo Wrestling
466
00:27:06,756 --> 00:27:08,174
My view has always been,
467
00:27:08,174 --> 00:27:10,260
if some insiders come forward and say there's cheating,
468
00:27:10,301 --> 00:27:11,886
probably there's something to it
469
00:27:12,429 --> 00:27:17,392
If you had said, where is a sport where you would not find cheating
470
00:27:17,392 --> 00:27:22,605
I'd have said Sumo Wrestling, one's that got 2,000 years of history
471
00:27:22,605 --> 00:27:25,316
it's all about purification, ritual and honor
472
00:27:25,316 --> 00:27:26,860
It's located in a culture,
473
00:27:26,860 --> 00:27:31,239
which on all of the rankings of corruption across the country is really really low
474
00:27:33,325 --> 00:27:38,079
The ancient sport of Sumo Wrestling, is the essence of pure competition
475
00:27:38,079 --> 00:27:42,250
Two naked men, fighting in a sandpit
476
00:27:42,250 --> 00:27:46,129
Under the watchful eyes of a referee, dressed as a Shinto priest
477
00:27:47,964 --> 00:27:50,800
Shinto, means ways of the Gods
478
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:55,305
A religion that celebrates the purity and harmony of men and nature
479
00:27:57,432 --> 00:28:01,061
In Sumo, you do your ceremonial stuff
480
00:28:01,061 --> 00:28:03,688
One is the clapping of the hands
481
00:28:03,688 --> 00:28:06,524
as to awake the Gods
482
00:28:06,524 --> 00:28:10,945
Two is when we show our hands and flip our hands over and
483
00:28:10,945 --> 00:28:13,698
stuff to show that we have no conceal weapons
484
00:28:13,698 --> 00:28:16,993
You come here and you want to fight fair with your bare hands
485
00:28:16,993 --> 00:28:19,329
and to tell the Gods you're coming in with
486
00:28:19,329 --> 00:28:22,707
a fresh and clean might and heart vessel.
487
00:28:23,291 --> 00:28:28,838
The stomping of the feet in the Shinto religion is to stomp out evil spirits
488
00:28:28,838 --> 00:28:32,759
and throwing of the salt is purify
489
00:28:48,191 --> 00:28:51,861
I think purity is a good mask,
490
00:28:51,861 --> 00:28:56,157
for corruption, perhaps most so it discourages inquiry.
491
00:28:57,033 --> 00:29:02,038
It's true that Sumo might seem to be immune from corruption
492
00:29:02,038 --> 00:29:04,541
because of its purity, history, and so on
493
00:29:04,541 --> 00:29:06,751
On the other hands, the stakes are high
494
00:29:06,751 --> 00:29:12,298
When stakes are high, and when there's an incentive to cheat
495
00:29:12,298 --> 00:29:14,843
A small percentage of people always will
496
00:29:20,807 --> 00:29:23,059
Just as in medieval Japan
497
00:29:23,059 --> 00:29:26,146
The wrestlers, known as Rikshi or strong man
498
00:29:26,146 --> 00:29:28,148
spent years in apprenticeship
499
00:29:28,148 --> 00:29:33,069
Living together around the clock and training in stables or Biar
500
00:29:33,445 --> 00:29:38,158
Subject to strict moral and physical displine
501
00:29:38,158 --> 00:29:41,244
If you're a Sumo Wrestler in the top ranks
502
00:29:41,244 --> 00:29:43,038
Your life is very very good
503
00:29:43,038 --> 00:29:44,998
and you can live like a king
504
00:29:45,582 --> 00:29:48,335
Once you fall belows those ranks or never attained those ranks,
505
00:29:48,335 --> 00:29:50,003
your life is not very good at all
506
00:29:50,754 --> 00:29:53,089
So, it's a very steep pyramid, at the top life is great,
507
00:29:53,089 --> 00:29:56,343
and there's lots of people down below life is not so great
508
00:29:56,343 --> 00:29:57,552
But there are so many of them,
509
00:29:57,552 --> 00:30:00,597
because they're all aspired to get to the top obviously
510
00:30:02,307 --> 00:30:05,560
It's a battle 24/7, being a Sumo Wrestler
511
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:08,563
It's not just two big fat guy trying to ...
512
00:30:08,563 --> 00:30:11,232
... to kill each other but it's a lot of work to be big
513
00:30:11,232 --> 00:30:13,193
and at the same time active
514
00:30:13,193 --> 00:30:15,570
6 major touraments a year
515
00:30:15,570 --> 00:30:17,322
you have to wrestle with injuries
516
00:30:17,322 --> 00:30:20,825
they throw you in a jungle and see how you can come out alive
517
00:30:26,164 --> 00:30:29,793
The objective of the game is to push your opponent outside of the ring
518
00:30:29,793 --> 00:30:31,419
or pushing him into the ring
519
00:30:34,130 --> 00:30:38,134
But how can you tell if a Sumo Wrestler is cheating?
520
00:30:38,134 --> 00:30:40,512
Is it a slip on purpose?
521
00:30:40,512 --> 00:30:43,056
Is the fall rigged?
522
00:30:43,056 --> 00:30:47,811
It's hard to tell unless you look at patterns over time
523
00:30:48,937 --> 00:30:53,066
People who are actively corrupted always try to cover their trails
524
00:30:53,066 --> 00:30:58,363
So corruption, by its nature is hard to identify, hard to prove
525
00:30:58,363 --> 00:31:00,281
Murders are really great,
526
00:31:00,281 --> 00:31:04,577
cuz almost always when someone is murdered, there's always a corsp
527
00:31:04,577 --> 00:31:07,414
You might say "How would you know someone's cheating?"
528
00:31:07,414 --> 00:31:09,207
and the answer is - look in the data
529
00:31:09,207 --> 00:31:10,875
I don't have to ever seen a sumo match
530
00:31:10,875 --> 00:31:12,585
I can look into data, I can look at it
531
00:31:12,585 --> 00:31:15,171
And I can tell you, with almost complete certainty,
532
00:31:15,171 --> 00:31:17,215
that there's rampage cheating going
533
00:31:21,511 --> 00:31:28,309
In professional Sumo touraments, the wrestler
fights one bout per day for 15 days
534
00:31:28,309 --> 00:31:33,898
If you win 8 out of the 15 matches, you can move up in rank - half a slot
535
00:31:33,898 --> 00:31:38,653
The difference of half a rank can be maybe 5,000 dollars in paychecque a month
536
00:31:38,653 --> 00:31:41,614
The respects you get in the Sumo Association
537
00:31:41,614 --> 00:31:46,369
So when you talk about stuff like that, that 8 win is real critical
538
00:31:48,872 --> 00:31:52,500
A Rikshi entering a tourament final 15 match
539
00:31:52,500 --> 00:31:56,421
with a 7 and 7 record, has far more to gain from a victory
540
00:31:56,421 --> 00:32:00,091
than an opponent, say 8 and 6 has to loose
541
00:32:01,051 --> 00:32:05,055
If a wrestler has 8 wins under his belts, he's guaranteed to advance
542
00:32:06,056 --> 00:32:08,266
Even if he looses that last match
543
00:32:08,266 --> 00:32:11,770
So he could afford to take a fall
544
00:32:12,896 --> 00:32:17,275
In Japan, there's a term for match rigging - YAOCHO
545
00:32:17,275 --> 00:32:20,570
Many suspected that Sumo matches might be rigged
546
00:32:20,570 --> 00:32:26,451
But it's nearly impossible to prove, unless you look closely at the numbers
547
00:32:26,451 --> 00:32:30,330
2 wrestlers that I would expect to have an even match
548
00:32:30,330 --> 00:32:33,583
When 1 of them needs the eigth win and the other doesn't
549
00:32:33,583 --> 00:32:36,294
The one who needs it wins 75% at a time
550
00:32:36,294 --> 00:32:37,545
Rather than 50% a time
551
00:32:37,545 --> 00:32:39,547
That's a huge deviation
552
00:32:40,298 --> 00:32:44,135
I (8-6 wrestler) let you (7-7 wrestler)
553
00:32:44,135 --> 00:32:47,597
let you win this deciding match cuz you my friend
554
00:32:47,597 --> 00:32:49,391
gonna fall down the pyramid if you don't
555
00:32:49,391 --> 00:32:52,560
In return, the next time those 2 guys meet
556
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:56,564
Lo and Behold, the 8-6 wrestler almost always wins those matches
557
00:35:07,737 --> 00:35:13,743
"Honne" is Real Truth and "Tatemae" will be the surface of things, the faced
558
00:35:13,743 --> 00:35:17,080
They are unusually important in Japanese culture
559
00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:19,499
That's why the Japanese have given them names
560
00:35:19,499 --> 00:35:23,795
But being human, living in any society, I think we can all understand
561
00:35:23,795 --> 00:35:25,630
the concepts themselves
562
00:35:25,672 --> 00:35:30,677
That Tatemae's going to be a great spectacle of honest competition
563
00:35:30,677 --> 00:35:34,764
but in the surface of creating that pleasing faced
564
00:35:34,764 --> 00:35:39,060
the actual players are engaging in a form of corruption
565
00:35:40,895 --> 00:35:45,984
To have the "Honne" exposed produces discomfort
566
00:35:45,984 --> 00:35:48,320
When you think of the financial scandals
567
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:50,530
That have racked America recently
568
00:35:50,530 --> 00:35:54,159
A lot of people who were supposedly to be not just incredibly wise
569
00:35:54,159 --> 00:35:56,953
but incredibly honest, has been exposed as neither
570
00:35:58,079 --> 00:36:02,792
Those of us who have looked looked to the self-interest of lending institutions
571
00:36:02,792 --> 00:36:06,546
to protect shareholder's equity, myself especially,
572
00:36:06,546 --> 00:36:10,008
are in the state of shocked disbelief.
573
00:36:11,009 --> 00:36:15,597
That produces a kind of dissolution, in any society that formerly looked
574
00:36:15,597 --> 00:36:17,557
to those people or those institutions ...
575
00:36:17,557 --> 00:36:21,061
... are somehow representatives of what's best in our society
576
00:36:21,061 --> 00:36:23,396
Sumo would be an example of that in Japan
577
00:36:25,190 --> 00:36:30,028
While I would not put the Bernie Madoff pre-arrest reputation,
578
00:36:30,028 --> 00:36:32,489
I wouldn't necessarily call that one of purity
579
00:36:32,489 --> 00:36:35,158
The way we would talk about Sumo Wrestling,
580
00:36:35,158 --> 00:36:37,369
or the way we might talk about the Catholic Cleregy
581
00:36:37,369 --> 00:36:40,372
The S.C.C. had an image of this guy -
582
00:36:40,372 --> 00:36:44,084
that was almost sacred saint in that he's running the exchange,
583
00:36:44,084 --> 00:36:45,126
he'd been a market maker.
584
00:36:45,126 --> 00:36:51,091
His reputation was so large that it discourages them
585
00:36:51,091 --> 00:36:54,302
from coming in with a bias toward corruption,
586
00:36:54,302 --> 00:36:56,388
and instead, they brought a bias against it.
587
00:36:58,848 --> 00:37:00,892
Mr. Madoff, what do you have to say for yourelf?
588
00:37:00,892 --> 00:37:03,603
What do you have to say to the public, your investors?
589
00:37:07,857 --> 00:37:11,111
The realm of high finance and the world of sumo
590
00:37:11,152 --> 00:37:14,280
both demonstrate the illusion of purity
591
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:15,323
cannot only hide corruption, it can help to make it possible.
592
00:37:19,828 --> 00:37:23,707
In Sumo, when whistle blower step forward to expose corruption
593
00:37:23,707 --> 00:37:25,792
they were not treated kindly.
594
00:37:27,752 --> 00:37:33,174
In 1996, two summo vetrans, including a recently retired stable master,
595
00:37:33,174 --> 00:37:38,638
collaborated in a tell-all expos๏ฟฝ๏ฟฝ that was serialized in the Shukan Post
596
00:38:01,119 --> 00:38:05,081
The Sumo Association dismissed the allegation as lies,
597
00:38:05,165 --> 00:38:07,667
told by a revengeful stable master
598
00:38:07,667 --> 00:38:09,836
seeking to cash in on publicity.
599
00:38:11,296 --> 00:38:14,966
To defend their claims, the whistle blowers decided to hold a press conference.
600
00:38:15,300 --> 00:38:19,763
But two weeks before the press conference, both men died.
601
00:38:20,555 --> 00:38:23,725
In the same hospital, on the same day
602
00:38:24,893 --> 00:38:27,979
From the same ... myterious respitory illness.
603
00:39:06,518 --> 00:39:11,731
Yet no one questioned the way they died, there were no autopsies
604
00:39:12,023 --> 00:39:16,361
The police did not investigate the sudden and simultaneous deaths.
605
00:39:17,654 --> 00:39:20,740
"It's a very good hospital", a police spokesman told reporters.
606
00:39:21,408 --> 00:39:24,244
So, there were no grounds for suspecison.
607
00:39:49,060 --> 00:39:54,065
Concerns about the sport resurfaced when another mysterious death haunted Sumo
608
00:39:54,566 --> 00:39:57,569
This time it was a young "Rikichi" in training named Takashi Saito
609
00:39:58,403 --> 00:40:03,867
Whose corpse showed visible signs of assault and multilation.
610
00:40:58,588 --> 00:41:02,133
Hiromasa Saikawa took note of the death of the young wrestler
611
00:41:02,759 --> 00:41:05,345
Sakawa is one of the nation's most vocal critics
612
00:41:05,345 --> 00:41:07,514
of how murders are investigated in Japan.
613
00:41:08,598 --> 00:41:11,059
He quit his post on the Tokyo Police Force
614
00:41:11,101 --> 00:41:14,145
When the gap between the "Honne" (the hidden truth)
615
00:41:14,145 --> 00:41:19,484
and the "Tatemae" (the facet propriety) had grown too wide
616
00:41:37,585 --> 00:41:43,174
The job of any police force is to help keep crime at low enough levels
617
00:41:43,174 --> 00:41:44,217
so that society can properly function.
618
00:41:46,094 --> 00:41:50,473
The "Tatemae" of the police force is to be seen doing that
619
00:41:51,057 --> 00:41:56,062
If the police can tell society, we solved 96% of crimes,
620
00:41:56,062 --> 00:41:58,815
they have certainly fulfilled their "Tatemae" function.
621
00:41:58,732 --> 00:42:01,609
In comforting society, making society feel safe.
622
00:42:01,651 --> 00:42:04,529
But to achieve that level of "Tatemae"
623
00:42:04,529 --> 00:42:07,782
The police might select only cases for investigation
624
00:42:07,782 --> 00:42:11,119
that they think they have an extremely high chance of solving
625
00:43:24,109 --> 00:43:26,319
Despite clear evidence of brutality,
626
00:43:26,319 --> 00:43:29,990
the police declared that the young man died of natural causes.
627
00:43:30,407 --> 00:43:33,451
And the stable master quickly asked for the young boy's body,
628
00:43:33,451 --> 00:43:35,078
so it can be creamated.
629
00:43:35,829 --> 00:43:39,958
But the angry father of the young man insisted autopsy,
630
00:43:40,709 --> 00:43:43,670
which revealed that he has been burned with cigarettes;
631
00:43:43,670 --> 00:43:47,549
and beaten to death with beer bottles and baseball bats.
632
00:43:49,592 --> 00:43:52,929
The young boy has died at the hands of fellow wrestlers
633
00:43:52,929 --> 00:43:55,932
who're ordered by the stable master to punished the boy
634
00:43:55,932 --> 00:43:59,394
for trying to run away from the world of Sumo
635
00:44:21,333 --> 00:44:25,920
Sumo counter-criticism with lawsuit against Takeda and his magazine
636
00:44:26,504 --> 00:44:30,884
Juries ruled against Takeda in cases where he accused individuals of match rigging
637
00:44:31,509 --> 00:44:35,388
But Sumo had no defence against the revelation of violence.
638
00:44:41,519 --> 00:44:46,149
To defend its reputation, the Sumo Association shores up its image
639
00:44:46,733 --> 00:44:50,028
By building on notions of purity from Shinto
640
00:44:50,487 --> 00:44:54,532
that are essential to be what it means to be Japanese
641
00:44:55,492 --> 00:44:58,578
Publicly, it insists that Yaocho is a myth.
642
00:44:59,746 --> 00:45:03,041
I hope ... there was none of that going on
643
00:45:03,041 --> 00:45:04,876
in the bottom ranks. But
644
00:45:04,876 --> 00:45:08,963
where I was ... No.
645
00:45:27,899 --> 00:45:32,487
A retired Rikshi who wrote to Komosubi - the 4th highest ranked in Sumo.
646
00:45:33,321 --> 00:45:37,993
Keisuke Itai came forward, and publicly admitted to fixing many matches.
647
00:45:38,702 --> 00:45:42,455
And named names of others, who did the same.
648
00:47:35,026 --> 00:47:38,488
In Japanese media, there's a certain form of self-censorship
649
00:47:38,488 --> 00:47:40,156
giving interviews in japanese,
650
00:47:40,156 --> 00:47:43,326
the media will not quote me if I use the word "Daraku"
651
00:47:43,702 --> 00:47:44,828
which is corruption in japanese
652
00:47:44,828 --> 00:47:47,914
and they'll change it instead to something like "Konran" - confusion.
653
00:47:47,914 --> 00:47:51,042
We certainly have the very same thing in America today.
654
00:47:51,042 --> 00:47:54,754
The New York Times, for example, will not use the word TORTURE
655
00:47:54,754 --> 00:47:58,383
to describe anything that's been carried out by Americans ...
656
00:47:58,383 --> 00:48:01,720
... operating in our prison system and the war on terror.
657
00:48:01,720 --> 00:48:06,266
However, if it's the Chinese who've done these things to an American airman,
658
00:48:06,266 --> 00:48:09,978
the NY Times has no compunctions about calling those things TORTURE
659
00:48:15,275 --> 00:48:17,902
The only way to combat corruption, to Steven Levitt,
660
00:48:17,902 --> 00:48:20,989
is to change rules to undo corruption incentives
661
00:48:21,406 --> 00:48:23,199
Unleash more investigative reporters
662
00:48:23,199 --> 00:48:25,952
and develop strong protections for whistle blowers.
663
00:48:26,745 --> 00:48:29,456
But that's easier said than done when cultural slogans
664
00:48:29,456 --> 00:48:34,419
in American and Japan that we are honest, straight-forward
665
00:48:34,419 --> 00:48:35,795
and fundamentally good.
666
00:48:36,838 --> 00:48:38,381
Those who expose corruption
667
00:48:38,381 --> 00:48:42,052
are challenging the very nature of who we imagine we're supposed to be
668
00:48:43,428 --> 00:48:45,555
The irony of our Sumo Wrestling
669
00:48:45,555 --> 00:48:49,309
was when it became public, the Sumo Wrestlers stopped cheating.
670
00:48:49,309 --> 00:48:51,895
and they're not for good, they actually stopped cheating for a year or two
671
00:48:51,895 --> 00:48:54,272
and once people stopped thinking about it, they went back to it.
672
00:48:54,272 --> 00:48:58,109
but that I think is the answer how you stopped cheating. Louis Brandeis
673
00:48:58,109 --> 00:48:59,152
said that sunlight was the best disinfantant.
674
00:49:03,865 --> 00:49:06,743
What keeps us from seeing corruptions are our illusions
675
00:49:06,743 --> 00:49:08,995
that our economy is a rational system.
676
00:49:08,995 --> 00:49:11,206
A free market, opened to all
677
00:49:11,206 --> 00:49:15,293
The fact is that rigging markets and matches is good business
678
00:49:15,752 --> 00:49:18,463
If the rigging is hidden from all but a few
679
00:49:19,297 --> 00:49:21,925
In Shinto, the mirror is an important symbol
680
00:49:21,925 --> 00:49:24,469
reflecting a sense of who we are
681
00:49:25,512 --> 00:49:28,348
In that mirror, the bad heart is a hidden heart
682
00:49:29,432 --> 00:49:31,518
The pure heart is the one that hides nothing
683
00:49:32,435 --> 00:49:35,480
Looking at the numbers and accept what they tell us
684
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:38,692
is a way of wiping dust away from the mirror
685
00:49:47,450 --> 00:49:48,702
Hi there boys and girls
686
00:49:49,119 --> 00:49:50,662
this is Captain Kangaroo
687
00:49:50,787 --> 00:49:53,039
Say, I like you to meet a friend of mine
688
00:49:53,039 --> 00:49:55,667
say, you know it's a lot and lot of fun to have a pet
689
00:49:55,667 --> 00:49:58,086
that you can run, jump and play with, isn't it?
690
00:49:58,086 --> 00:50:01,756
But did you know there're kids that cannot run, jump and play?
691
00:50:02,257 --> 00:50:04,551
It's all because a thing called Polio
692
00:50:07,679 --> 00:50:09,931
When I think of bad historical assumptions about
693
00:50:09,931 --> 00:50:13,018
correlations and causeality, I think of Polio 100 years ago.
694
00:50:13,018 --> 00:50:16,980
When it was this horrible mystery that claiming a lot of lives
695
00:50:16,980 --> 00:50:19,524
And it was really scary cuz it mostly struck children.
696
00:50:20,025 --> 00:50:24,571
And there was a strong line of resarch that suggested ice-cream
697
00:50:24,571 --> 00:50:27,490
cause polio, that ice-cream consumption cause Polio.
698
00:50:28,742 --> 00:50:32,829
Here comes Mr. Softy, the soft ice-cream man.
699
00:50:37,625 --> 00:50:41,421
The reason that correlation was thought to be causal
700
00:50:41,421 --> 00:50:45,091
was that Polio spiked in the summer time
701
00:50:45,467 --> 00:50:48,345
For reasons, that weren't really understood, but it did.
702
00:50:48,345 --> 00:50:50,805
And ice-cream sales spiked in the summer time.
703
00:50:50,805 --> 00:50:53,975
So, these researchers're seeing that whenever a lot of ice-cream are being sold,
704
00:50:53,975 --> 00:50:55,935
and consumed, there was a lot more Polio.
705
00:50:56,144 --> 00:51:00,482
And that was literally the beginning of ice-cream prosecution
706
00:51:00,482 --> 00:51:03,318
to try to stomp out Polio. And it sounds rediculous,
707
00:51:03,318 --> 00:51:05,320
but you see it all the time now -
708
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:08,657
people try to fight against or build up something that they're sure
709
00:51:08,657 --> 00:51:11,493
that's connected to something else, but turns out it just isn't.
710
00:51:21,628 --> 00:51:24,339
We have a crime problem that is not out of control
711
00:51:24,339 --> 00:51:26,383
-all over the country -I am pro-choice
712
00:51:27,926 --> 00:51:31,429
extremists bombed more than 30 clinics across the country
713
00:51:31,429 --> 00:51:33,014
People like you allows baby ...
714
00:51:40,063 --> 00:51:43,024
When I started studying crimes in the early 1990s,
715
00:51:43,024 --> 00:51:44,067
it was rough at its peak
716
00:51:44,067 --> 00:51:46,027
the highest it's ever been in the history of United States
717
00:51:46,069 --> 00:51:48,613
and all the experts expect it to go higher and higher
718
00:51:48,613 --> 00:51:50,031
The warnings are everywhere.
719
00:51:50,031 --> 00:51:53,451
But then, to everyone's surprise, something happened.
720
00:52:01,543 --> 00:52:03,503
I don't know, I guess you're right
721
00:52:04,045 --> 00:52:06,715
Supposed it'd be better off never been born at all.
722
00:52:06,715 --> 00:52:09,592
-What did you say? -I said, "I wish I have never been born."
723
00:52:10,093 --> 00:52:12,637
Homocide rate went up in half of the nation's cities
724
00:52:12,637 --> 00:52:15,306
(Christmas, 1989) 373 homocides last year
725
00:52:15,306 --> 00:52:18,685
up 65.7% over 1987
726
00:52:18,685 --> 00:52:20,687
Murder is a national problem -
727
00:52:20,687 --> 00:52:23,106
up an average 11% across the country.
728
00:52:23,982 --> 00:52:27,694
In Bucharest tonight, the post communist leader Nicolae Ceauseascu
729
00:52:27,694 --> 00:52:29,446
and his wife, had been executed.
730
00:52:29,446 --> 00:52:32,532
Pictures of the former communist dictator lying in state
731
00:52:32,657 --> 00:52:35,243
-excuted by the firing squad -Crime and violence are now
732
00:52:35,243 --> 00:52:37,329
... the top concerns of many Americans.
733
00:52:37,329 --> 00:52:39,914
You've been given a great gift George.
734
00:52:39,914 --> 00:52:43,501
A chance to see what the world would be like without you.
735
00:52:49,507 --> 00:52:53,845
As the 1980s drew to a close, law enforcement experts predicted
736
00:52:53,845 --> 00:52:56,306
that the crime rate that has been preceeding decades
737
00:52:56,306 --> 00:52:57,891
would continue to rise.
738
00:52:58,892 --> 00:53:01,645
Would be the decade of the mega criminal
739
00:53:03,605 --> 00:53:07,859
There was only one problem ... it didn't happen.
740
00:53:08,693 --> 00:53:10,320
Across America, the crime rate is down.
741
00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:14,032
The FBI has some good news about crime, it's down.
742
00:53:14,032 --> 00:53:17,786
It's clear the numbers are dropping, what's not clear is why.
743
00:53:17,786 --> 00:53:20,163
What's behind this dramatic change?
744
00:53:20,163 --> 00:53:22,290
Primarily it's the Police, the police strategies.
745
00:53:22,290 --> 00:53:25,794
We've incarcerated our criminals and thus taken out the population.
746
00:53:25,794 --> 00:53:27,295
With those people, who did the crimes.
747
00:53:27,295 --> 00:53:31,841
Experts and officials lined up to offer explanations for the drop in crime
748
00:53:32,300 --> 00:53:34,803
Community police officers, better prevention
749
00:53:34,803 --> 00:53:38,223
Their explanation included more innovative policing,
750
00:53:38,223 --> 00:53:41,351
harsher criminal sentences, changes in the crack market,
751
00:53:41,393 --> 00:53:46,481
increase gun control, a strong economy, more police on the streets
752
00:53:47,691 --> 00:53:50,819
But economist Steven Levitt examined these explanations.
753
00:53:50,819 --> 00:53:53,029
Evaluated the most popular ones.
754
00:53:53,029 --> 00:53:54,906
When you looked at the data carefully,
755
00:53:54,906 --> 00:53:58,702
it's just not clear that they really have the impact people suspected.
756
00:53:58,743 --> 00:54:02,872
By ananlyzing the reasons most often cited by those in the press,
757
00:54:02,872 --> 00:54:05,750
Levitt was able to separate the more likely factors
758
00:54:05,750 --> 00:54:07,293
from the less likely ones
759
00:54:08,003 --> 00:54:11,047
The crime drop explanation most often cited
760
00:54:11,047 --> 00:54:13,174
was that innovative policing strategies
761
00:54:13,174 --> 00:54:15,218
had been introduced to some cities.
762
00:54:19,180 --> 00:54:23,059
NY City, for example, implementeded sweeping law enforcement changes
763
00:54:23,351 --> 00:54:26,062
from Police Chief Willam Bratton's ComStat System
764
00:54:26,062 --> 00:54:29,566
to Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's crack down on small street crime
765
00:54:29,566 --> 00:54:32,360
The reductions in crime that has been taken place in NY City
766
00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:33,611
are pretty close to miraculous
767
00:54:33,611 --> 00:54:37,115
NY City, had among the biggest declines in crime
768
00:54:37,115 --> 00:54:38,408
of any city in the country.
769
00:54:38,408 --> 00:54:40,452
So, there's an enormous amount of fan fair ...
770
00:54:40,452 --> 00:54:42,996
... given to the strategies of Guliani and Bratton.
771
00:54:43,330 --> 00:54:44,706
But crime felt everywhere,
772
00:54:44,706 --> 00:54:47,834
it's hard to find any city in United States where crime didn't plunge.
773
00:54:47,834 --> 00:54:52,297
And also, crime was down 20-30% before Gulian ever took office.
774
00:54:52,297 --> 00:54:54,466
So, a number of things make me suspecious
775
00:54:54,466 --> 00:54:56,301
that it was really the Placing Strategies.
776
00:54:58,303 --> 00:55:00,597
The second reason most cited for the crime drop,
777
00:55:00,597 --> 00:55:03,808
was an increase in reliance on prisons.
778
00:55:04,017 --> 00:55:08,104
We've locked up a million more americans since the 1990s
779
00:55:08,188 --> 00:55:10,148
There are now 2 millions americans in prison,
780
00:55:10,148 --> 00:55:11,816
and that's got to reduce crime.
781
00:55:13,443 --> 00:55:16,571
Levitt recognizes that in prison more people will ...
782
00:55:16,571 --> 00:55:19,199
in short term, bring crime rate down.
783
00:55:19,199 --> 00:55:22,577
By my estimate, about 30% of the decline in crime
784
00:55:22,577 --> 00:55:25,288
can be attributed to the fact that we got very tough on crime
785
00:55:25,288 --> 00:55:27,540
in terms of locking up criminals.
786
00:55:28,375 --> 00:55:30,335
This is crack cocaine
787
00:55:31,127 --> 00:55:35,131
The 3rd explanation for the crime drop, most often cited in the press,
788
00:55:35,131 --> 00:55:36,841
were changes in the crack market.
789
00:55:36,841 --> 00:55:40,887
Now experets say, crack cocaine may finally be on the decline.
790
00:55:40,887 --> 00:55:44,307
The peak of the crack epidemics came in at the late 80s and the early 90s
791
00:55:46,393 --> 00:55:49,854
At that time, an enormous amount of the homocide in particular
792
00:55:49,854 --> 00:55:50,981
can be attributed to the crack.
793
00:55:50,981 --> 00:55:52,399
But for various reasons
794
00:55:52,399 --> 00:55:54,651
the amount of violence that has been associated with the crack trade
795
00:55:54,651 --> 00:55:55,735
really faded.
796
00:55:55,735 --> 00:55:57,070
That's not the move no more
797
00:55:57,070 --> 00:56:01,408
So that can explain 15% of the decline in crime.
798
00:56:01,783 --> 00:56:05,328
Other possible reasons for the crime drop examined by Levitt include:
799
00:56:05,328 --> 00:56:06,621
tougher gun laws.
800
00:56:06,621 --> 00:56:11,751
the 1990s economic boom and an increase in police nation wide.
801
00:56:12,419 --> 00:56:15,422
So Levitt did not entirely discount these
802
00:56:15,422 --> 00:56:18,049
He sees these only account for a small fraction
803
00:56:18,049 --> 00:56:19,676
of the overall crime drop
804
00:56:19,676 --> 00:56:21,970
There are millions factors that drive crime,
805
00:56:21,970 --> 00:56:25,181
but how do you determine the particular competition?
806
00:56:25,181 --> 00:56:28,018
Overall, what Levitt found from all these reasons
807
00:56:28,018 --> 00:56:33,023
was taken together, they only explain half of 1990s crime drop.
808
00:56:33,398 --> 00:56:35,817
The other half remained a mystery.
809
00:56:36,818 --> 00:56:37,986
So what happened?
810
00:56:38,903 --> 00:56:40,530
Well, let's remind
811
00:56:40,530 --> 00:56:44,284
to what many Americans may have seen as irrelevant incident
812
00:56:44,284 --> 00:56:45,618
in a far away place.
813
00:56:52,584 --> 00:56:55,295
When Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceausescu
814
00:56:55,295 --> 00:56:59,257
was executed by his own people on Christmas Day 1989,
815
00:56:59,257 --> 00:57:02,594
it marked the end of the brutal totalitarian rein
816
00:57:02,594 --> 00:57:04,763
that has lasted 24 years.
817
00:57:04,971 --> 00:57:09,559
In his earliest days, Ceausescu's Romania faces struggling economy
818
00:57:09,559 --> 00:57:12,312
and he sought to vastly increase the workforce.
819
00:57:13,730 --> 00:57:18,401
To achieve this, Ceausescu outlawed abortion in 1966.
820
00:57:18,401 --> 00:57:20,820
Agents known as the Montrose Police
821
00:57:20,820 --> 00:57:23,073
rounded up women to give pregnancy tests
822
00:57:23,073 --> 00:57:24,866
and attacks the infertiles.
823
00:57:25,825 --> 00:57:28,662
Across Romania, women were forced to have children
824
00:57:28,662 --> 00:57:31,956
and they could no longer choose whether it was right to do so.
825
00:57:33,124 --> 00:57:34,959
Romania's birthrate doubled.
826
00:57:34,959 --> 00:57:40,131
But more and more births across the country were, not surprisingly unwanted.
827
00:57:40,131 --> 00:57:42,133
And result in trouble up bringing.
828
00:57:42,926 --> 00:57:45,679
Of the infants forcibly born in the first year,
829
00:57:45,679 --> 00:57:49,265
more disenroll school, suffered more job performance,
830
00:57:49,265 --> 00:57:51,559
and with thus more likely to become criminals,
831
00:57:51,559 --> 00:57:53,395
than those born of the previous year.
832
00:57:53,395 --> 00:57:58,274
Even controlling for the aids, income, health and education of the mother
833
00:57:59,401 --> 00:58:02,362
But what do winds in Romania a long time ago,
834
00:58:02,362 --> 00:58:05,573
have to do with crimes in US in 1990s?
835
00:58:05,865 --> 00:58:09,869
According to Steven Levitt ... a lot.
836
00:58:14,833 --> 00:58:18,503
You've been given a great gift George, a chance to see
837
00:58:18,503 --> 00:58:20,672
what the world would be like without you.
838
00:58:22,257 --> 00:58:24,843
What I believe to be true and the evidence supports it,
839
00:58:24,843 --> 00:58:28,888
is a hypothesis which many people find jarring and disturbing.
840
00:58:28,888 --> 00:58:31,599
But nonetheless, I think it's probably right.
841
00:58:31,599 --> 00:58:36,521
Good evening, in a landmark ruling that Supreme Court today legalize abortions.
842
00:58:36,521 --> 00:58:40,692
In 1973, in a case called "Roe V. Wade"
843
00:58:40,692 --> 00:58:46,281
the Supreme Cort rules that abortion, which has been only legal in 5 US states,
844
00:58:46,281 --> 00:58:48,450
would now be legal nation wide.
845
00:58:48,700 --> 00:58:52,120
Precisely the opposiste of what happened in Romania,
846
00:58:53,413 --> 00:58:55,790
The legalized abortions in 1970s,
847
00:58:55,790 --> 00:58:58,960
was one of the prime reason why crime felt in the 1990s.
848
00:58:58,960 --> 00:59:03,798
Because the whole generation of unwanted children were never born,
849
00:59:03,798 --> 00:59:05,258
because of legalization of abortion.
850
00:59:05,258 --> 00:59:07,302
If you fast-forward 20 years
851
00:59:07,302 --> 00:59:10,638
to the point in time when they were going to be their peak crime ages,
852
00:59:10,638 --> 00:59:12,432
they simply weren't there to do the crime.
853
00:59:13,058 --> 00:59:16,645
You see George, you really had a wonderful life.
854
00:59:16,645 --> 00:59:20,857
Don't you see what a mistake it would be to ... throw it away?
855
00:59:21,733 --> 00:59:24,653
The trouble, of course, is that life isn't like the movies.
856
00:59:25,236 --> 00:59:28,365
For so many children who without "Roe V. Wade"
857
00:59:28,365 --> 00:59:30,617
would have been born in 1973,
858
00:59:30,617 --> 00:59:33,453
their lives might not have been a wonderful life
859
00:59:33,453 --> 00:59:37,957
that've been born in a loving family, in yesterday's small town America.
860
00:59:38,625 --> 00:59:41,544
Rather, they'd be a far harder road -
861
00:59:41,544 --> 00:59:44,839
been born into a potentially unwanted household
862
00:59:44,839 --> 00:59:48,677
in American's crumbling little cities, or forsaken heartland.
863
00:59:49,928 --> 00:59:54,516
Levitt's conclusion: "As much as half of the 1990s crime drop,
864
00:59:54,516 --> 00:59:57,978
was an unintended consequence of Roe V. Wade."
865
00:59:59,521 --> 01:00:01,564
The theory behind it was quite simple,
866
01:00:01,564 --> 01:00:04,693
Unwanted children, have been shown to be at high risk for crime.
867
01:00:04,693 --> 01:00:08,071
With legalized abortion, fewer unwanted children were born.
868
01:00:08,071 --> 01:00:12,033
Therefore, the theory would be that there'd be less crime in 15-20 years later.
869
01:00:12,033 --> 01:00:14,786
When those quahogs reach their peak crime ages
870
01:00:14,869 --> 01:00:18,707
And the data support that hypothesis,quite strongly.
871
01:00:19,374 --> 01:00:20,792
If you follow the data,
872
01:00:20,792 --> 01:00:25,005
there were 5 states that legalized abortions, 3 years before "Roe Vs. Wade"
873
01:00:25,005 --> 01:00:28,258
and about 15 years later, their crimes begins to fall,
874
01:00:28,258 --> 01:00:30,301
3 years before the rest of the country.
875
01:00:31,553 --> 01:00:34,556
Then if you look at states where abortion was not just legal,
876
01:00:34,597 --> 01:00:37,434
but is available to people who wanna get them ...
877
01:00:37,434 --> 01:00:40,103
... 16, 17 years after "Roe Vs. Wade"
878
01:00:40,103 --> 01:00:41,730
you see a 30% difference
879
01:00:41,730 --> 01:00:45,233
between the states doing a lot of abortions and ones that are doing very few.
880
01:00:46,151 --> 01:00:49,946
Finally, all of the effect we see in a in a diverse in crime,
881
01:00:49,946 --> 01:00:53,283
all of that is concentrated among people under the age of 25.
882
01:00:53,283 --> 01:00:55,952
People young enough to have been exposed to legalized abortion.
883
01:00:55,952 --> 01:00:57,996
People older than 25,
884
01:00:58,038 --> 01:00:59,581
here's no difference whatsoever
885
01:00:59,581 --> 01:01:02,042
between the high abortion state and the low abortion states.
886
01:01:02,167 --> 01:01:04,294
And I think in some way that's the best evidence we have,
887
01:01:04,294 --> 01:01:08,840
that legalized abortions is responsible for a big chunk of the decline in crime.
888
01:01:09,466 --> 01:01:13,928
Levitt's controversal theory has provoked strong reactions among critics.
889
01:01:13,928 --> 01:01:19,017
Is he, for example, avocating abortions as a crime fighting tool.
890
01:01:19,267 --> 01:01:24,105
In no way, would I take this as advocacy in favor of legalized abortion.
891
01:01:24,689 --> 01:01:28,401
I don't think anyone's opinion about whether abortion should be legal or not
892
01:01:28,401 --> 01:01:30,654
should be affected by our result.
893
01:01:30,654 --> 01:01:32,697
Some of Levitt's critics suggested that
894
01:01:32,697 --> 01:01:36,951
his theory holds what might have been classed a racial implications.
895
01:01:38,453 --> 01:01:42,707
He argues though that raising class has nothing to do with the matter.
896
01:01:42,707 --> 01:01:45,460
That his theory targets no specific group,
897
01:01:45,460 --> 01:01:48,797
other than mothers-to-bes of all backgrounds.
898
01:01:48,797 --> 01:01:53,259
And since, as Levitt points out, women who're led to abort
899
01:01:53,259 --> 01:01:57,597
go on to become child bearers consistent
with the general populations.
900
01:01:57,597 --> 01:02:00,850
Levitt's argument could thus be undertood to suggest that
901
01:02:00,850 --> 01:02:04,020
legalized abortion does not so much prevent birth,
902
01:02:04,020 --> 01:02:05,313
as delay it.
903
01:02:05,313 --> 01:02:09,025
This turns an unwanted birth by a too young mother, for example
904
01:02:09,025 --> 01:02:13,154
into a wanted birth by that mother
when she feels more ready.
905
01:02:14,656 --> 01:02:18,827
So, if Levitt is not advocating abortion as a crime fighting tool,
906
01:02:18,827 --> 01:02:20,412
what is he advocating?
907
01:02:22,998 --> 01:02:27,711
Well, whether one is pro-life, pro-choice or somewhere in between
908
01:02:27,711 --> 01:02:31,423
there's a meaningful and today unpeached connection
909
01:02:31,423 --> 01:02:33,883
between giving women the right to choose
910
01:02:33,883 --> 01:02:35,343
and the reduction in crime.
911
01:03:18,219 --> 01:03:21,014
We started offin a normal interview post
912
01:03:21,014 --> 01:03:24,517
and now you're lying down, swinging a pillow aaround
913
01:03:24,809 --> 01:03:26,603
What ... What's going on here?
914
01:03:26,603 --> 01:03:29,981
If I give you a slice of juicy fruit, will you say whatever I want
915
01:03:30,607 --> 01:03:31,149
No
916
01:03:31,483 --> 01:03:32,233
No?!
917
01:03:33,068 --> 01:03:36,279
Wait, I heard that you'll do anything for a slice of juicy fruit
918
01:03:37,447 --> 01:03:39,032
No matter how smart you are,
919
01:03:39,658 --> 01:03:41,034
and I kind of think they're pretty smart,
920
01:03:41,034 --> 01:03:43,912
you come up with some incentive scheme that you think is a perfect one
921
01:03:43,912 --> 01:03:46,289
to enties the behavior you have in mind.
922
01:03:46,289 --> 01:03:49,584
And you send an army of people with nothing to do all day
923
01:03:49,584 --> 01:03:51,628
but to figure out how to beat this incentive scheme
924
01:03:51,628 --> 01:03:53,588
-and absolutely it'll be beaten -Well, tell me about ...
925
01:03:53,588 --> 01:03:55,006
... about Amdanda
926
01:03:55,674 --> 01:03:56,675
This is a long story
927
01:03:56,675 --> 01:04:00,303
I'll give you an example, so
928
01:04:00,637 --> 01:04:03,098
We were trying to potty train Amanda
929
01:04:03,098 --> 01:04:07,769
and my wife went books and did all the things you're told to do
930
01:04:07,769 --> 01:04:09,270
Amanda had been potty trained
931
01:04:09,270 --> 01:04:12,482
and she just decided she wouldn't use the toilet ... anymore.
932
01:04:12,482 --> 01:04:15,527
And this went on for months, my wife was frusttrated.
933
01:04:15,527 --> 01:04:19,864
And I said, I'm an economist, I understand I'll take over.
934
01:04:19,864 --> 01:04:23,618
And I got right down on Amanda's level on my knees and I knew what ...
935
01:04:23,618 --> 01:04:25,662
she likes more than anything else, she's about 3 years old, were MMs.
936
01:04:26,705 --> 01:04:31,001
And I said,"If you go pee pee in the potty, I'll give you a bag of MMs."
937
01:04:31,710 --> 01:04:33,128
she said,"Right now?", I said "Yeah".
938
01:04:33,128 --> 01:04:36,464
said,"Ok"; and she hopped on the potty went, went to the bathroom
939
01:04:36,464 --> 01:04:39,843
I turned to my wife and said,"Let the economist handle it, you know."
940
01:04:42,762 --> 01:04:45,098
And indeed, for the next couple of days, it worked to perfection.
941
01:04:45,098 --> 01:04:47,100
And everytime she has to go bathroom, she announced it.
942
01:04:47,100 --> 01:04:49,811
She went to the bathroom, we gave her the MMs.
943
01:04:49,811 --> 01:04:51,271
Everything had gone great.
944
01:04:51,271 --> 01:04:53,857
But 3 days later, she said "I have to go to the bathroom"
945
01:04:54,232 --> 01:04:58,320
She went and took a lot of few drops, I gave her the MMs
946
01:04:58,320 --> 01:05:01,156
She got off, she said "I have to go again"
947
01:05:01,156 --> 01:05:02,741
She sat down the potty,
948
01:05:02,741 --> 01:05:04,659
taking a few more drops, I gave her the MMs.
949
01:05:04,659 --> 01:05:05,910
"Got to go again"
950
01:05:05,910 --> 01:05:09,914
Basically, in 3 days she's gone from someone with no blatter control
951
01:05:09,956 --> 01:05:17,339
to a pro that she can complete control the flow at a whimp
952
01:05:17,380 --> 01:05:21,468
And had a 3 year old had basically come up with
953
01:05:21,468 --> 01:05:23,386
a way to beat the incentive scheme I had developed ...
954
01:05:23,386 --> 01:05:26,640
... within 3 days. In a million years I would never have imagined.
955
01:05:27,766 --> 01:05:31,936
If an economist can't trick a 3 year old for more than 3 days,
956
01:05:31,936 --> 01:05:36,983
What hope does an economist have tricking the whole country for even 3 hours?
957
01:05:38,068 --> 01:05:40,195
So, that's kind of the beauty of incentives
958
01:05:40,195 --> 01:05:43,448
You don't really know what works and government think
959
01:05:43,448 --> 01:05:46,868
they know what works and they spend a huge amount of resources
960
01:05:46,868 --> 01:05:48,787
establishing incentives
961
01:05:48,787 --> 01:05:51,331
and they gonna do all these things seem to make lots of sense
962
01:05:51,331 --> 01:05:54,542
it sounds really great and may work out well in some measure
963
01:05:54,542 --> 01:05:57,629
But they're gonna backfire in so many different ways
964
01:05:57,629 --> 01:05:59,547
That we can't predict yet.
965
01:05:59,547 --> 01:06:03,426
And people will claugh and people will cry. And that's what incentives are.
966
01:06:05,178 --> 01:06:13,979
CAN A 9TH GRADER BE BRIBED TO SUCCEED?
967
01:06:42,090 --> 01:06:46,177
ITE103
968
01:06:49,681 --> 01:06:50,974
What you guys putting in this?
969
01:06:51,766 --> 01:06:54,602
Get it right over there, you wanna do it right now.
970
01:06:54,769 --> 01:06:55,979
Right now you stupid ass.
971
01:06:56,855 --> 01:06:58,440
Clear!
972
01:07:00,025 --> 01:07:02,444
It's going
973
01:07:02,444 --> 01:07:03,653
That was nothing
974
01:07:04,779 --> 01:07:05,739
Make another one.
975
01:07:06,823 --> 01:07:09,242
I know I can do good in school but I don't
976
01:07:09,242 --> 01:07:12,078
I have a reputation of bad child
977
01:07:12,495 --> 01:07:15,999
Parents are way too uptight in kids' business, like ...
978
01:07:15,999 --> 01:07:18,877
Where you gonna go? What you doing? When are you coming home?
979
01:07:19,461 --> 01:07:23,381
It maybe like "Hey you have homework?" and I'll say "No"
980
01:07:23,381 --> 01:07:27,635
or "I forget my books, I'll do it in the morning."
981
01:07:28,511 --> 01:07:30,180
-That works? -Ah huh
982
01:07:30,597 --> 01:07:32,891
Gets them off my dick
983
01:07:34,142 --> 01:07:34,976
What's up?
984
01:07:35,894 --> 01:07:37,979
Hopefully, I'll mkae it to highschool if I fail
985
01:07:37,979 --> 01:07:41,316
I guess I'll try to get a GED through the millitary or something
986
01:07:41,816 --> 01:07:42,859
I have no clue
987
01:07:43,360 --> 01:07:48,531
ITE104
988
01:07:52,994 --> 01:07:56,373
In the modern economy, not graduating from highschool,
989
01:07:56,373 --> 01:07:58,875
is like an economic death sentence.
990
01:07:59,793 --> 01:08:01,336
When you talking about highschool kids,
991
01:08:01,336 --> 01:08:03,213
what matters to them is what happens today,
992
01:08:03,213 --> 01:08:05,715
a month from now or 6 months from now.
993
01:08:06,883 --> 01:08:09,719
You have a very forward looking mindset
994
01:08:11,596 --> 01:08:13,640
I think ... most kids are dull
995
01:08:14,224 --> 01:08:17,727
In designing incentives to help kids get through school,
996
01:08:17,769 --> 01:08:20,105
we've got to have that conundrum in mind
997
01:08:23,441 --> 01:08:28,029
The idea was for the University of Chicago to see if
998
01:08:28,029 --> 01:08:32,075
students could increase their test scores
999
01:08:32,075 --> 01:08:37,038
simply by giving them a financial ... incentive.
1000
01:08:38,164 --> 01:08:44,045
If it works for 1 student, then it's good enough for me because
1001
01:08:44,087 --> 01:08:46,923
we have no stake in it financially.
1002
01:08:46,923 --> 01:08:50,552
The University of Chicago is picking up the tab.
1003
01:08:50,552 --> 01:08:54,597
Why wouldn't we at least try it?
1004
01:08:54,597 --> 01:08:58,768
I'm thinking, it's going to work.
1005
01:08:59,436 --> 01:09:04,774
Opportunity - you'll always miss 100% of the shots you don't take.
1006
01:09:05,608 --> 01:09:08,028
And, that's my message to the students.
1007
01:09:08,028 --> 01:09:10,864
I don't need to put my degrees up on the wall,
1008
01:09:10,864 --> 01:09:12,741
I already have those.
1009
01:09:12,741 --> 01:09:14,284
I want them to get those.
1010
01:09:22,167 --> 01:09:24,169
How has it been starting a new school?
1011
01:09:24,878 --> 01:09:27,047
It's actually not that bad, I like it here
1012
01:09:27,047 --> 01:09:30,633
-Yea? -It's really easy -Oh the classes are really easy? -Oh, yea
1013
01:09:30,759 --> 01:09:34,679
Let's see, pull out your report card and see how you're doing right now.
1014
01:09:34,679 --> 01:09:36,806
-So, we can see your grades -Yea, not that good
1015
01:09:36,806 --> 01:09:39,225
Alright, so what do you need to improve on?
1016
01:09:39,601 --> 01:09:40,352
Everything
1017
01:09:40,602 --> 01:09:41,728
Ok, but you know I'm seeing grades go up a lot so ...
1018
01:09:43,813 --> 01:09:47,025
... so you'd probaly wanna know what to get right, if you ...
1019
01:09:47,025 --> 01:09:49,277
do meet the monthly achievement standards?!
1020
01:09:49,277 --> 01:09:51,571
-Sure -Ok, so open up your folder
1021
01:09:53,657 --> 01:09:54,866
Fifty bucks?
1022
01:09:54,866 --> 01:09:58,495
Yea, you get the $50 every month as long as you keep your grades up
1023
01:09:58,495 --> 01:09:58,912
Alright
1024
01:09:59,204 --> 01:10:02,415
I think a lot of people here are gonna do their homeworks then
1025
01:10:02,415 --> 01:10:05,502
-Yea, what about you, why you? -$50 can buy a lot ...ah
1026
01:10:06,294 --> 01:10:10,048
-It can buy -You know, it can pay for my skateboards
1027
01:10:10,548 --> 01:10:15,929
So then I could get sponsored, get free clothse and stuffs.
1028
01:10:15,929 --> 01:10:17,389
Till I graduate
1029
01:10:32,028 --> 01:10:35,323
-How's school today, ok? -Amazing -Good
1030
01:10:38,284 --> 01:10:40,328
Kevin came home from school and says, "Mom ..."
1031
01:10:40,328 --> 01:10:42,789
" ... if I do really good, I can get paid for it."
1032
01:10:43,498 --> 01:10:45,125
Mom, I could really make money.
1033
01:10:45,583 --> 01:10:48,336
I'm like, "Fine, Kevin, go for it."
1034
01:10:48,336 --> 01:10:51,631
I said, "And I'll tell you what, you keep your grades up ..."
1035
01:10:52,590 --> 01:10:57,637
"you're gonna get the money, .... mom will double it."
1036
01:10:59,180 --> 01:11:01,725
Whatever they give you, mom will match it.
1037
01:11:01,725 --> 01:11:03,685
-Alright -Then you'll have double the money.
1038
01:11:03,685 --> 01:11:05,937
-If the grades go up -Right
1039
01:11:06,646 --> 01:11:09,733
A little bit of bribery? What parent doesn't do that?!
1040
01:11:09,983 --> 01:11:12,068
We all bribed our kids one way or another
1041
01:11:14,362 --> 01:11:19,034
-One, two, three, four,five -Bribery works for my kids
1042
01:11:19,451 --> 01:11:20,452
They love to be bribed
1043
01:11:20,452 --> 01:11:23,538
-Eight, nine, ten
1044
01:11:23,621 --> 01:11:26,541
For 50 cents, I can buy whatever I want in my household
1045
01:11:27,292 --> 01:11:30,045
Oh I forgot this dollar
1046
01:11:30,962 --> 01:11:34,424
The closest thing to figurig out habbits is that incentives matter
1047
01:11:34,591 --> 01:11:38,887
Not just financial incentives but social incentives and moral incentives.
1048
01:11:38,887 --> 01:11:40,722
Our goal was to figure out:
1049
01:11:40,722 --> 01:11:46,061
Can we cheaply and quickly move the needle at a school?
1050
01:11:46,061 --> 01:11:49,856
Can we get kids to achieve more as quickly as possible
1051
01:11:49,898 --> 01:11:51,524
with spending very little money.
1052
01:11:58,782 --> 01:12:01,076
There are 900 freshmen in our experiment,
1053
01:12:02,577 --> 01:12:04,829
At the end of every month, we hold a payout event
1054
01:12:04,829 --> 01:12:08,875
where all kids who got all Cs or above receive $50 in cash.
1055
01:12:10,043 --> 01:12:14,089
In addition, those who quality are also elegible for lottery,
1056
01:12:14,089 --> 01:12:16,257
where they can win $500.
1057
01:12:19,427 --> 01:12:20,428
To win the money,
1058
01:12:20,428 --> 01:12:23,723
They have to have no more than 1 unexcused absence
1059
01:12:23,723 --> 01:12:25,850
No all day suspensions
1060
01:12:25,850 --> 01:12:29,104
And all your grades at the end of the month have to be a C or higher
1061
01:12:31,690 --> 01:12:33,942
It's great to give them this financial reward,
1062
01:12:33,942 --> 01:12:36,778
but it's also about having a lot of fanfair around it
1063
01:12:37,362 --> 01:12:42,492
Giving them this big checque, sending them home in a Hummer limo.
1064
01:12:46,037 --> 01:12:48,415
You think, there's definitely a limo effect.
1065
01:12:53,628 --> 01:12:54,879
That is so cool
1066
01:12:54,879 --> 01:12:57,382
Are you serious?! They got to ride in it?!
1067
01:12:57,382 --> 01:12:59,426
Aw, that is so awsome!
1068
01:13:01,553 --> 01:13:08,143
Oh My God! This is awsome!
1069
01:13:09,311 --> 01:13:13,064
Oh yes, yes, you're getting straight As from me.
1070
01:13:13,064 --> 01:13:14,190
Yes!
1071
01:13:14,691 --> 01:13:16,651
There's lot of things I'd do for money I mean
1072
01:13:16,651 --> 01:13:18,945
I work all year round
1073
01:13:19,279 --> 01:13:22,240
Hi, I'm a representative of ....
1074
01:13:22,240 --> 01:13:24,743
we charge $3 for a walkway and $5 for a driveway
1075
01:13:24,743 --> 01:13:26,286
would you like to hire us for our services today?
1076
01:13:27,078 --> 01:13:28,913
Hook, line, and sinker
1077
01:13:29,706 --> 01:13:31,374
They say money doesn't buy happiness,
1078
01:13:31,374 --> 01:13:33,418
and I agree but I disagree.
1079
01:13:33,585 --> 01:13:34,669
Depends how you look at it,
1080
01:13:34,669 --> 01:13:36,254
Because when they say money cannot buy happiness,
1081
01:13:36,254 --> 01:13:38,840
they're saying materials things cannot make a person happy.
1082
01:13:38,840 --> 01:13:40,133
Wanna bet?
1083
01:13:45,180 --> 01:13:50,935
Okay, BPL083, unfortunate that person did not meet the standards this month
1084
01:13:50,977 --> 01:13:53,146
we cannot give them the money.
1085
01:13:53,355 --> 01:13:54,773
You know what you need to do next month, right?
1086
01:13:54,773 --> 01:13:58,860
-Yea -So you think you'll be meeting the standards next month? -Oh yea
1087
01:13:58,985 --> 01:14:01,488
-Alright -I took a look into the limo thing and I was like ...
1088
01:14:01,488 --> 01:14:03,323
Oh, you've seen the limosine outside?
1089
01:14:04,741 --> 01:14:06,951
It was awsome!
1090
01:14:06,951 --> 01:14:09,871
The lights, the way it was layed out ...
1091
01:14:11,331 --> 01:14:15,585
Take us home, Jekins ... it's gonna be so cool!
1092
01:14:16,002 --> 01:14:19,214
These are my halls! These are my halls!
1093
01:14:19,214 --> 01:14:21,383
Cuz I'm a King that's my last name.
1094
01:14:21,383 --> 01:14:23,093
The King~
1095
01:14:26,846 --> 01:14:29,766
-5 or 7 of prime, so that's ... -Write it!
1096
01:14:33,353 --> 01:14:34,562
-Show your work
1097
01:14:34,980 --> 01:14:37,357
-5, you can't break down 5 because it is a prime number
1098
01:14:37,357 --> 01:14:40,360
Show your work ... I need you to ... do
1099
01:14:41,486 --> 01:14:44,656
-I'm gonna do 7 through 12 -No, I said 1 through 6
1100
01:14:46,199 --> 01:14:47,492
You don't get to pick
1101
01:14:49,953 --> 01:14:51,997
It's really important for me for him to finish school,
1102
01:14:51,997 --> 01:14:53,540
because I didn't.
1103
01:14:55,333 --> 01:14:58,003
He's very intelligent, he needs to focus.
1104
01:14:59,796 --> 01:15:01,464
They got to find something to get these kids
1105
01:15:01,464 --> 01:15:03,967
into going to school and get their grades up.
1106
01:15:14,394 --> 01:15:15,729
Hello?
1107
01:15:16,271 --> 01:15:20,900
Hi, my name is Eliah, I'm calling on behalf of the Chicago High School
1108
01:15:20,900 --> 01:15:22,485
Is Guela Lupaia available?
1109
01:15:22,485 --> 01:15:23,528
Is Hector available?
1110
01:15:23,528 --> 01:15:24,571
Is Mark available?
1111
01:15:24,571 --> 01:15:26,448
This is a message for Jessica Richardson,
1112
01:15:26,448 --> 01:15:30,076
wanted to congratulate her on meeting
the monthly achievement this month
1113
01:15:30,076 --> 01:15:33,121
so she's eligible to win $500
1114
01:15:34,205 --> 01:15:37,542
And also, just let you know to have her keep an eye on her
math and biology grades
1115
01:15:37,542 --> 01:15:39,169
cuz they're on a C right now.
1116
01:15:41,046 --> 01:15:44,215
Hi, this is Sally Sladoth from the University of Chicago,
1117
01:15:44,215 --> 01:15:45,342
Is Kevin Muncy there?
1118
01:15:47,010 --> 01:15:47,969
Hi this is Kevin
1119
01:15:47,969 --> 01:15:49,846
Hi Kevin, I'm looking at your grades,
1120
01:15:49,846 --> 01:15:51,431
and it looks like you need to bring some of them up,
1121
01:15:51,431 --> 01:15:53,933
are you doing something to work on bringing up your grades?
1122
01:15:53,933 --> 01:15:59,814
I'm not gonna lie, I haven't done every assignment, so far
1123
01:16:00,482 --> 01:16:01,775
So are you going to your teachers and
1124
01:16:01,775 --> 01:16:04,319
ask if you can make up the missing assignments?
1125
01:16:04,319 --> 01:16:07,113
Ah yeah, they're actually making a list for me right now.
1126
01:16:07,656 --> 01:16:10,075
-That's great, so you gonna try to make those up -Yea
1127
01:16:10,200 --> 01:16:12,494
Cuz the thing is if you can trun in missing assignments,
1128
01:16:12,494 --> 01:16:13,787
you can bring up the grade a lot.
1129
01:16:13,787 --> 01:16:17,165
because you go from having no credit for the assignment,
1130
01:16:17,165 --> 01:16:20,251
to getting some credit or even a lot of credit
1131
01:16:20,251 --> 01:16:23,421
-that'll make your grades bounce up a lot. -Yea
1132
01:16:24,464 --> 01:16:30,011
-So, you going to get the $50 for this month?
1133
01:16:30,512 --> 01:16:32,389
-Are you gonna be doing your best? -Yea
1134
01:16:32,389 --> 01:16:34,557
Alright, that's what I like to hear
1135
01:16:34,557 --> 01:16:37,727
-Alright, take care, have a good day. -Alright, you too, bye. -Bye
1136
01:16:40,730 --> 01:16:43,024
Huh, what? what? what? what?
1137
01:16:48,947 --> 01:16:50,156
Go duct tape him.
1138
01:16:51,866 --> 01:16:55,662
Little drawing over here, chromosomal #21, down syndrome are clear
1139
01:16:55,662 --> 01:16:58,039
So, if you have normal splitting,
1140
01:16:58,039 --> 01:17:00,208
this is what happens, we're making sperm here ....
1141
01:17:10,552 --> 01:17:14,389
-Mr. Garshorn, can you Tyler come help me? -Sure
1142
01:17:14,848 --> 01:17:17,392
You just wanna copy Lindsey's?
1143
01:17:19,352 --> 01:17:20,645
No, just tell her to come back here.
1144
01:17:21,855 --> 01:17:23,523
Lindsey
1145
01:17:24,107 --> 01:17:25,233
Do you have that?
1146
01:17:49,424 --> 01:17:51,468
Congratulations, you met the standards
1147
01:17:52,469 --> 01:17:53,887
Congratulations, you get the $50 this month.
1148
01:17:56,222 --> 01:17:59,309
-Unfortunately, you didn't meet the standards this month -Great
1149
01:18:02,270 --> 01:18:06,983
It's just on the grey category, you need to bring up these ...
1150
01:18:06,983 --> 01:18:09,653
grades to ... to be passing
1151
01:18:09,653 --> 01:18:13,031
So, let's take a look here ... Algebra you're passing that's good
1152
01:18:13,031 --> 01:18:15,825
So, what's going on in Biology and World History?
1153
01:18:15,825 --> 01:18:17,327
Are you missing assignments?
1154
01:18:18,328 --> 01:18:20,830
His history teacher said he should be in his honor class
1155
01:18:20,830 --> 01:18:24,125
but the simple fact that he's not doing the work,
that's why he's not there.
1156
01:18:24,125 --> 01:18:25,126
Have to do the work.
1157
01:18:25,168 --> 01:18:28,797
The trouble between me and my mom is mostly about homework.
1158
01:18:28,797 --> 01:18:34,052
Because, the way it is with her she's always "When I was in school, ... "
1159
01:18:34,052 --> 01:18:35,720
... we have homework everyday."
1160
01:18:35,720 --> 01:18:39,474
And I'm trying to get her to understand it's 21st century.
1161
01:18:39,474 --> 01:18:41,017
That was then and it is now.
1162
01:18:41,017 --> 01:18:47,857
Teachers are now more lenient, and no offence, care less ...
1163
01:18:51,569 --> 01:18:52,946
Ok, so what do we have?
1164
01:18:52,946 --> 01:18:54,948
I think the results are great this month,
1165
01:18:54,948 --> 01:18:57,117
where you see the control at 28,
1166
01:18:57,117 --> 01:19:00,245
then all the treatment at 36-38
1167
01:19:01,496 --> 01:19:02,789
So, that seems great to me, you know ...
1168
01:19:02,872 --> 01:19:05,834
When you go from 28-37,
1169
01:19:06,126 --> 01:19:07,836
-Right -I mean you're talking about ...
1170
01:19:08,169 --> 01:19:10,171
... close to a 30% increase right?
1171
01:19:10,547 --> 01:19:13,675
So, seems like we are taking all the D kids to C
1172
01:19:13,675 --> 01:19:15,719
-and we're not doing anything for the E kids -Right
1173
01:19:16,594 --> 01:19:18,471
The question is the kids moved from D to C this year,
1174
01:19:18,471 --> 01:19:20,682
are they gonna have a better life?
1175
01:19:20,682 --> 01:19:24,477
-Right -I don't think we've the answer to that, overtime we'll find out ...
1176
01:19:24,477 --> 01:19:27,605
But I've definitely been surprised by how important ...
1177
01:19:27,605 --> 01:19:29,566
... how well the parents groups are doing that ...
1178
01:19:29,566 --> 01:19:32,319
... parents still make a difference in 9th grades it looks like.
1179
01:19:34,237 --> 01:19:35,989
Mom, I took a quiz on this book
1180
01:19:35,989 --> 01:19:39,159
the Maken TerryBerry book, I took a quiz on that
1181
01:19:39,159 --> 01:19:39,951
Did you read the book?
1182
01:19:39,951 --> 01:19:40,869
I read the book
1183
01:19:41,703 --> 01:19:42,037
Did you?
1184
01:19:42,037 --> 01:19:45,123
I read the book, I read the book, I read the book but I ...
1185
01:19:45,123 --> 01:19:46,541
-Did you READ the book? -Yes!
1186
01:19:46,541 --> 01:19:49,252
Cuz we have to search and read to find the answers
1187
01:19:49,252 --> 01:19:51,046
we have to read the book to find the answers
1188
01:19:51,046 --> 01:19:52,797
So, stop
1189
01:19:52,797 --> 01:19:56,509
Did you read the book or you just skim over the book?
1190
01:19:56,509 --> 01:19:59,512
... to find the answer to the question that you were looking for?
1191
01:19:59,763 --> 01:20:01,556
Because, there's a difference
1192
01:20:01,556 --> 01:20:03,975
We read it as a class, but when we took the test ...
1193
01:20:03,975 --> 01:20:06,394
he gives out the page and we have to look for the answers.
1194
01:20:06,811 --> 01:20:08,813
Did you read the book without the class?
1195
01:20:08,813 --> 01:20:13,443
Did you read the book from cover to cover?
1196
01:20:13,943 --> 01:20:16,237
-Not from cover to cover -So, you didn't read the book
1197
01:20:16,237 --> 01:20:18,073
-We have ... -You didn't read the book!
1198
01:20:18,948 --> 01:20:21,534
-We didn't ... -You didn't read the book
1199
01:20:21,534 --> 01:20:23,995
You didn't read the book from cover to cover,
1200
01:20:23,995 --> 01:20:28,249
outside of class, with no help, no instructions from your teacher
1201
01:20:28,249 --> 01:20:30,752
along with your classmate, you didn't read the book
1202
01:20:30,752 --> 01:20:32,337
that's why you failed the test.
1203
01:20:47,435 --> 01:20:51,856
Look, I made a tattoo gun out of toothbrush
1204
01:20:51,856 --> 01:20:54,192
and I was giving myself a tattoo in class
1205
01:20:54,192 --> 01:20:56,611
-You have a tattoo? -I'm giving it to myself
1206
01:20:57,028 --> 01:20:59,280
I only did like a little bit
1207
01:20:59,280 --> 01:21:00,782
I got to do it a lot better
1208
01:21:01,825 --> 01:21:03,994
I can't let them see cuz I'll get into trouble, but ...
1209
01:21:03,994 --> 01:21:07,497
I made it out of toothbrush, and then just turn it on
1210
01:21:07,497 --> 01:21:09,916
I made it out of guitar string
1211
01:21:15,380 --> 01:21:19,259
I don't think I'll take money for giving up my social life
1212
01:21:19,759 --> 01:21:21,511
I wanna be the class clown
1213
01:21:22,679 --> 01:21:24,764
I'm doing better cuz I went up 6% to ... almost a D
1214
01:21:41,448 --> 01:21:42,866
He always likes to be the class clown,
1215
01:21:42,866 --> 01:21:46,911
always likes get the laughing; impressing everybody around him
1216
01:21:46,911 --> 01:21:49,080
That could be his incentive
1217
01:21:49,789 --> 01:21:50,790
But you'd think that ...
1218
01:21:50,790 --> 01:21:54,252
to impress everybody around you, your grade will be with that too.
1219
01:21:56,629 --> 01:21:59,549
He's got something in the mail that showed the list of all his grades
1220
01:21:59,549 --> 01:22:00,467
E,E,E,E,E ...
1221
01:22:00,467 --> 01:22:03,845
and I said, oh he's enjoying 9th grade he's doing it again, so ...
1222
01:22:03,970 --> 01:22:06,348
Now what I need to do, is ...
1223
01:22:06,348 --> 01:22:09,601
... whenever he asks me for money now, he's not gonna get it.
1224
01:22:09,601 --> 01:22:10,810
End of story.
1225
01:22:10,810 --> 01:22:14,064
Yea. when the skateboard running out of wheels or getting bad ...
1226
01:22:14,064 --> 01:22:17,901
Well then, just grinding them down, or hit the books or soemthing
1227
01:22:38,797 --> 01:22:43,009
Urail, what does it mean to say a genotype is homozygous
1228
01:22:43,802 --> 01:22:48,264
-When all the "aline" are the same -When all of the Alios are the same
1229
01:22:52,352 --> 01:22:55,814
This is my last chance to win $500
1230
01:22:55,814 --> 01:22:59,859
I'm at the line, I'm splitting ... splitting a hair.
1231
01:23:04,864 --> 01:23:08,660
My brain's been going up and down. There's always something that'd distract me.
1232
01:23:10,078 --> 01:23:10,954
You know what I mean?!
1233
01:23:10,954 --> 01:23:15,250
What's distracting me was ... trying to be cool ...
1234
01:23:15,250 --> 01:23:18,628
... trying to keep up with the Johnsons basically.
1235
01:23:23,216 --> 01:23:26,344
ITE103
1236
01:23:35,603 --> 01:23:38,356
Congratulations, you made the standard achivement for the last month.
1237
01:23:43,445 --> 01:23:47,741
So, here's your report card and the bracelet.
1238
01:23:47,741 --> 01:23:49,701
Here's the front and here's the back.
1239
01:23:51,411 --> 01:23:52,412
Congratulations
1240
01:23:53,872 --> 01:23:55,498
Great grades.
1241
01:24:18,605 --> 01:24:22,317
If I fail, I'm done, I'm dropping out.
1242
01:24:23,568 --> 01:24:30,700
Army, marines, coast guard, go to Iraq or something like that. I've no clue.
1243
01:24:47,217 --> 01:24:49,135
-Urail King -Yes!
1244
01:25:01,231 --> 01:25:04,317
Take us home, Jekins
1245
01:25:08,947 --> 01:25:10,949
What are the final results are like?
1246
01:25:10,949 --> 01:25:17,664
Our program is getting 35-50% more students to pass 9th grade.
1247
01:25:17,664 --> 01:25:20,959
5-7% boost in 9th grade passing rates.
1248
01:25:20,959 --> 01:25:23,545
We sure expect a lot higher rates than that.
1249
01:25:24,379 --> 01:25:26,589
We hope for a lot higher rates than that.
1250
01:25:26,589 --> 01:25:30,176
If we give them $50k ... to pass the 9th grade ...
1251
01:25:31,261 --> 01:25:32,971
what share do you think would pass?
1252
01:25:33,555 --> 01:25:35,974
Would we move 10% of the kids? 20% of the kids?
1253
01:25:36,850 --> 01:25:37,517
All of them?
1254
01:25:37,851 --> 01:25:38,727
I don't know
1255
01:25:39,144 --> 01:25:43,732
I think we need to, attack the problem at a ... much younger age ...
1256
01:25:43,732 --> 01:25:47,569
the dollar will be better spent during the earlier years
1257
01:25:49,404 --> 01:25:50,572
So what are we going to do next year?
1258
01:25:50,572 --> 01:25:52,991
What about preschool, did they find a preschool yet?
1259
01:25:52,991 --> 01:25:57,078
Yea, we've got a few perschools lined up and they seem excited.
1260
01:25:58,038 --> 01:25:59,331
So, we're talking about preschoolers ...
1261
01:25:59,331 --> 01:26:02,167
are we talking about taking parenting out of the hands of parents?
1262
01:26:02,167 --> 01:26:04,878
Or teaching the parents how to parent? Or both?
1263
01:26:04,878 --> 01:26:06,421
It's a little bit of both.
1264
01:26:07,339 --> 01:26:08,632
That could be fun.
1265
01:26:13,386 --> 01:26:15,639
The way I see it, learning is like a virus.
1266
01:26:15,639 --> 01:26:19,309
a virus that most adolesents don't want to catch ...
1267
01:26:19,309 --> 01:26:20,810
... until later on in life.
1268
01:26:22,771 --> 01:26:24,105
Next year, I'm gonna be a sophomore.
1269
01:26:25,273 --> 01:26:29,110
I'm gonna tell you, I'm doing great and I'm getting As and Bs.
1270
01:26:30,487 --> 01:26:32,739
Next year when I'm gonna be a sophomore.
1271
01:26:34,324 --> 01:26:37,869
If not As and Bs then straight Bs ... or Bs and Cs.
1272
01:26:40,705 --> 01:26:43,708
Hey, that's difficult, that's not as easy as it looks.
1273
01:26:47,462 --> 01:26:49,130
I can promise you milk and cookies, but if ...
1274
01:26:49,130 --> 01:26:51,299
... the oven is broken then you just gonna get milk.
1275
01:26:56,721 --> 01:26:57,931
ITE104
1276
01:26:58,640 --> 01:27:03,311
Our incentives, unlike everyone else's, are to be honest ...
1277
01:27:03,311 --> 01:27:08,566
If we build our reputation on, we're honest about this issue, and other issues ....
1278
01:27:08,566 --> 01:27:11,569
... then people will believe us about everything.
1279
01:27:11,569 --> 01:27:14,948
The worst thing we could do, the only way we can ruin our reputation ...
1280
01:27:14,948 --> 01:27:17,075
... is by starting to take sides and fights.
1281
01:27:17,617 --> 01:27:24,457
This peculiar beast, which actually has the right incentives, you just seek the truth.
1282
01:27:25,041 --> 01:27:26,543
And not have an agenda.
1283
01:27:26,960 --> 01:27:29,921
So, I don't think, anything we've ever written or thought is gonna save ...
1284
01:27:29,921 --> 01:27:34,092
any lives really, or ... make people better or smarter anyway. But ...
1285
01:27:34,092 --> 01:27:38,722
... we kind of give people permission to challenge conventional wisdom sometimes ...
1286
01:27:39,097 --> 01:27:41,349
And ask a different kind of questions entirely ...
1287
01:27:41,349 --> 01:27:45,979
and a lot of times the sort of questions you ask his children,
1288
01:27:45,979 --> 01:27:49,357
and ah, people kind of chuckle at you.
1289
01:27:49,357 --> 01:27:51,359
But once in a while, they turn out to be rather good.
1290
01:27:51,359 --> 01:27:57,407
The problem is, as you get older, you ask them as adults in a meeting or friends,
1291
01:27:57,407 --> 01:28:01,077
they'll laugh at you hard and you stop entirely.
1292
01:28:01,077 --> 01:28:03,204
And we just kind of keep doing it.
1293
01:28:03,204 --> 01:28:07,042
We kind of say, what if this thing everybody think is so really isn't.
1294
01:28:07,751 --> 01:28:10,545
What if that didn't cause this, what if this cause it?
1295
01:28:11,087 --> 01:28:15,008
I think that's just need to be a lot more permission for people to think like that
1296
01:28:18,053 --> 01:28:19,596
Total bs, was't it?
1297
01:28:22,474 --> 01:28:23,933
-=End of movie=-
112946
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