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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:00,714 -= Subtitle Created By TreeHH QQ1744114159 =- 2 00:00:38,752 --> 00:00:39,794 So I wanna sell my home 3 00:00:39,794 --> 00:00:41,880 and I put on the market for 300,000 dollars 4 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:42,922 It's a lovely home you have 5 00:00:44,758 --> 00:00:46,301 I'm the agent 6 00:00:47,802 --> 00:00:49,262 Alright so let me start over, that was my ... i'm sorry 7 00:00:51,723 --> 00:00:53,183 Alright I wanna sell my home 8 00:00:54,768 --> 00:00:57,020 I put on the market for 300,000 dollars 9 00:00:57,020 --> 00:01:00,231 I get an offer today for $290k 10 00:01:00,231 --> 00:01:02,317 The question is if I wait a week 11 00:01:02,317 --> 00:01:04,486 and get the offer for the full $300k 12 00:01:04,736 --> 00:01:06,988 Would I rather wait that week and get the full price? 13 00:01:06,988 --> 00:01:09,282 Or take the offer today for $290k 14 00:01:09,282 --> 00:01:10,617 Ah you want to take it now 15 00:01:10,617 --> 00:01:11,659 I'll be the real estate agent 16 00:01:11,659 --> 00:01:13,578 I'm telling you want to take it right now because 17 00:01:13,578 --> 00:01:17,332 because a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush... The market is starting to really soften up 18 00:01:17,332 --> 00:01:19,626 with these things you just can never tell 19 00:01:19,626 --> 00:01:22,837 If you get a good offer, I really think it's the right thing to take it 20 00:01:22,837 --> 00:01:26,257 And I'm not speaking out of self-interest cuz I'm the real estate agent 21 00:01:26,257 --> 00:01:28,343 and our interests are aligned 22 00:01:28,343 --> 00:01:29,386 cuz I'm getting a commission out of your sales 23 00:01:29,636 --> 00:01:31,429 I want you to get as much as you can for this house 24 00:01:31,429 --> 00:01:32,222 I really do 25 00:01:37,310 --> 00:01:38,937 When you think about the incentives 26 00:01:38,937 --> 00:01:40,438 that the current contract set up 27 00:01:40,438 --> 00:01:42,774 between the home seller and the agent 28 00:01:42,774 --> 00:01:45,110 representing them, they are not well alligned 29 00:01:45,110 --> 00:01:46,653 But can you ever prove that? 30 00:01:47,487 --> 00:01:51,074 Interestingly, if you look at the sales data on real estate agent own homes 31 00:01:51,074 --> 00:01:53,618 It's not their client's home when they sell their own homes 32 00:01:53,660 --> 00:01:56,746 They get more money than they sell the same home for their client 33 00:01:56,746 --> 00:01:59,040 Now why would that be? 34 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,794 What we find in the data is that agent hold out for better price 35 00:02:02,794 --> 00:02:04,754 and leave their own homes on the market for longer 36 00:02:04,754 --> 00:02:06,256 an average for 10 days longer 37 00:02:06,256 --> 00:02:08,091 But when it comes to your house 38 00:02:08,091 --> 00:02:10,844 The agent has the incentive to sell right away 39 00:02:10,885 --> 00:02:14,723 Why? Cuz sometimes that $10k into his or her pocket 40 00:02:14,723 --> 00:02:17,225 -Only $150 -I only get $150 41 00:02:17,225 --> 00:02:20,770 Because if you take that $10k that goes to him 42 00:02:20,770 --> 00:02:23,732 6 percent goes to commission but that gets wacked up 43 00:02:23,732 --> 00:02:25,817 Half goes to the buyer's real estate agent 44 00:02:25,817 --> 00:02:27,944 So I get half of that six percent 45 00:02:27,944 --> 00:02:30,488 But then I have to kick back half of that to my agency 46 00:02:30,488 --> 00:02:32,615 So I only get one and a half percents 47 00:02:32,615 --> 00:02:36,703 So really, in order for me to help him gets the extra $10k 48 00:02:36,703 --> 00:02:38,913 I personally only gets $150 49 00:02:38,913 --> 00:02:40,582 But I have to work for an extra week 50 00:02:40,915 --> 00:02:42,292 I have to buy all the marketing 51 00:02:42,292 --> 00:02:45,503 I could be off to another client trying to get another whole commission on another house 52 00:02:45,503 --> 00:02:48,965 So I have a strong incentive to say to him this is a great offer 53 00:02:48,965 --> 00:02:50,800 It's the best offer you can get 54 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:52,260 I really think you should take it 55 00:02:52,260 --> 00:02:56,348 So no matter what the real estate agency says 56 00:02:56,348 --> 00:02:57,724 I would rather wait a week 57 00:02:57,724 --> 00:03:00,352 and pick up the extra $10k 58 00:03:00,352 --> 00:03:01,811 The agent wouldn't 59 00:03:01,811 --> 00:03:03,855 It's not that real estate agents are bad 60 00:03:03,855 --> 00:03:07,692 It's just that they're human beings and human beings repsond to incentives 61 00:03:08,860 --> 00:03:09,903 If there's only one element 62 00:03:09,903 --> 00:03:13,490 that I say is that almost everything we do 63 00:03:13,490 --> 00:03:15,283 is the idea that incentives matter 64 00:03:15,325 --> 00:03:17,202 and if you can figure out what people's incentives are 65 00:03:17,202 --> 00:03:19,579 you have a good chance to guessing how they're gonna pay it 66 00:04:40,785 --> 00:04:44,831 New prents look at successful families and successful parents 67 00:04:44,831 --> 00:04:47,083 and they just want to copy them and so they try to do the things 68 00:04:47,083 --> 00:04:51,087 they think that they did to get their families so smart and good and whatever 69 00:04:51,087 --> 00:04:55,759 which is really just a ... can be a bad mistake of correlation cuase isolagi 70 00:04:55,759 --> 00:05:01,181 You're gonna take your kid to ... you know ... every mommy and me music class 71 00:05:01,181 --> 00:05:06,311 and you gonna take him to the museum and start looking at all the dreaken roman sculptures 72 00:05:06,311 --> 00:05:10,857 you probably already playing mozart in the worm to get the brain really stimulated 73 00:05:10,857 --> 00:05:13,943 and it turns out; that the best that we can tell 74 00:05:13,943 --> 00:05:17,781 from looking at data of actual parents and children along these dimensions 75 00:05:17,781 --> 00:05:19,532 that that stuffs don't really matters 76 00:05:19,532 --> 00:05:22,827 that it just dones't make your child...better 77 00:05:22,827 --> 00:05:26,748 so it might make you happier, might even make 'em happier, might also make 'em miserable 78 00:05:26,748 --> 00:05:29,793 but it turns out that those are not causo-elements 79 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,464 I always said you can teach a kid just as much as in a grocery store 80 00:05:34,464 --> 00:05:36,633 you can as in a museum, maybe more 81 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:40,679 My entire academic life 82 00:05:40,679 --> 00:05:44,891 has been devoted to figuring out tricky ways to get a cause-eality 83 00:05:44,891 --> 00:05:47,394 because the world just doesn't offer you a cause-eality 84 00:05:47,394 --> 00:05:49,229 okay, what you see in the world is correlation 85 00:05:49,270 --> 00:05:52,899 So what the world gives you is - things are moving together or they aren't 86 00:05:52,899 --> 00:05:55,110 But to be useful, you need to dive down 87 00:05:55,110 --> 00:05:58,196 be able to strip away what's causing what, what's not causing what 88 00:05:58,196 --> 00:05:59,739 The data we looked at 89 00:05:59,739 --> 00:06:03,284 suggests that, by the time you actually have a kid 90 00:06:03,284 --> 00:06:06,037 most of the choices that you make will make you a good parent 91 00:06:06,037 --> 00:06:07,205 you've already made them. 92 00:06:07,247 --> 00:06:09,958 So if you go to the bookstore and buy 10 parenting books, 93 00:06:09,958 --> 00:06:13,837 It's probably not really gonna help the kid that much 94 00:06:13,837 --> 00:06:16,047 But the fact is that you are the kind of person 95 00:06:16,047 --> 00:06:20,593 who as a parent cares enough to buy 10 parenting books even if you dont' read 'em. 96 00:06:20,593 --> 00:06:22,053 That probably means you are a pretty good parent 97 00:06:22,053 --> 00:06:25,390 Just don't think the books are gonna have a magic effect 98 00:06:46,369 --> 00:06:49,998 Ah parents, we wanna believe so much that everything we do 99 00:06:49,998 --> 00:06:52,334 is going to make a difference in our children's lives. 100 00:06:53,418 --> 00:06:56,629 What they eat, where they go to school, who they hang out with 101 00:06:56,629 --> 00:06:59,257 But before any of that takes place, 102 00:06:59,257 --> 00:07:03,178 parents are confronted wth the one single ominous decision 103 00:07:03,178 --> 00:07:06,848 that could shape the entirety of their children's future 104 00:07:06,848 --> 00:07:10,727 what is going to be their name?! 105 00:07:20,195 --> 00:07:23,782 These days, there's an entire industry devoted to naming your baby. 106 00:07:23,782 --> 00:07:26,117 And business is booming 107 00:07:26,868 --> 00:07:29,537 There's magazines, books, websites 108 00:07:29,579 --> 00:07:32,957 There's even high profile baby naming experts. 109 00:07:32,957 --> 00:07:35,085 I'm a baby name expert 110 00:07:35,085 --> 00:07:39,089 I study names, I ask the parents how they choose names for their children 111 00:07:39,089 --> 00:07:41,132 and I look at how names are changing, 112 00:07:41,132 --> 00:07:44,135 because baby names are changing today faster than ever before. 113 00:07:44,427 --> 00:07:48,640 Names are important, because they have a lot to do with your family, your heritage. 114 00:07:48,932 --> 00:07:52,227 Names represent huge, you know what I mean, street creditbility all of that. 115 00:07:52,644 --> 00:07:56,272 Names are definitely a big part of meeting someone 116 00:07:56,564 --> 00:07:59,317 A name can make you popular, and a legend. 117 00:07:59,776 --> 00:08:05,865 Without a name, u're nobody you've got to have a name. It tells your whole identity. 118 00:08:05,865 --> 00:08:08,201 But just how important can name really be? 119 00:08:09,077 --> 00:08:11,079 I mean, unless you're Rockefella or Gates 120 00:08:11,079 --> 00:08:12,122 Can your name have some sort of magical power over your entire destiny? 121 00:08:19,504 --> 00:08:21,965 Not convinced? What about the following stories? 122 00:08:21,965 --> 00:08:24,801 Once upon a time, there was a young mother who thought 123 00:08:24,801 --> 00:08:29,222 she was naming her daughter after her favorite actress on the Cosby show 124 00:08:29,264 --> 00:08:33,268 The smart and firery Tempestt Bledsoe 125 00:08:33,268 --> 00:08:35,687 This is the most humiliating moment of my entire life 126 00:08:35,687 --> 00:08:37,939 and there had been many 127 00:08:37,939 --> 00:08:40,817 But having never seen the way it was spelled 128 00:08:40,817 --> 00:08:44,362 The young mother mistakenly named her new born daughter 129 00:08:45,196 --> 00:08:46,573 Temptress 130 00:08:48,158 --> 00:08:50,702 Well, little Ms. Temptress didn't have an easy life growing up 131 00:08:51,619 --> 00:08:53,621 -I don't even know -What do you mean? 132 00:08:54,748 --> 00:08:57,584 As a teenager, she became sexually promiscuous 133 00:08:59,794 --> 00:09:01,713 Got into a whole bunch of trouble 134 00:09:01,713 --> 00:09:02,589 Back here you little shit 135 00:09:02,589 --> 00:09:04,507 That's right. I better not let me catch you 136 00:09:07,344 --> 00:09:08,970 And ended up in court 137 00:09:09,471 --> 00:09:10,388 All Rise! 138 00:09:11,097 --> 00:09:12,724 Leaving the judge to ask her mother 139 00:09:12,724 --> 00:09:17,645 Is young temptress just living up to the expectation of her name? 140 00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:20,815 Was that just one little misplaced 'T' and 'R' 141 00:09:20,815 --> 00:09:24,319 all that stood the life of ease and huxtable success, 142 00:09:24,319 --> 00:09:28,198 verses those long hard days in court ... and 'juvie' 143 00:09:34,204 --> 00:09:38,833 Harvard professor Dr. Roland Fryer was determined to find out just that 144 00:09:39,751 --> 00:09:41,711 What happened to Temptress has NOTHING 145 00:09:41,711 --> 00:09:45,423 to do with her name, has everything to do with where she grew up 146 00:09:45,423 --> 00:09:48,635 It turns out, Temptress grew up in a poor black neighborhood 147 00:09:48,635 --> 00:09:51,930 The kind of neighborhood Dr. Fryer has been studying for years 148 00:09:52,806 --> 00:09:56,101 As a world leading renowned economist and an leading expert on race in America 149 00:09:56,101 --> 00:09:58,645 Fryer has been long been interested in what he calls 150 00:09:58,645 --> 00:10:00,230 Cultural Segregation 151 00:10:00,230 --> 00:10:03,566 The gap between White Culture and Black Culture 152 00:10:04,109 --> 00:10:05,735 One embodiment of that culture is 153 00:10:05,735 --> 00:10:06,945 what you name your kid 154 00:10:06,945 --> 00:10:11,491 is probably one of the few cultural items that we can really measure 155 00:10:11,616 --> 00:10:12,158 precisely 156 00:10:12,158 --> 00:10:16,037 What we did was we looked at the effects of your kid's first name 157 00:10:16,037 --> 00:10:17,956 on their life outcomes 158 00:10:17,956 --> 00:10:22,877 Dr. Fryer analyzed the naming records of every baby born in the states of California 159 00:10:22,877 --> 00:10:24,295 over the last forty years 160 00:10:24,295 --> 00:10:27,298 and those names tell an unmistakable story 161 00:10:27,298 --> 00:10:31,261 African American parents are more likely than any other ethnic group 162 00:10:22,168 --> 00:10:33,221 to give their children unique names 163 00:10:33,847 --> 00:10:35,890 There is definitely a distinction between names ... 164 00:10:35,890 --> 00:10:37,851 ... for white people and names for black people 165 00:10:38,143 --> 00:10:42,689 Black names will be Molique, JAQuan, NayShan, Naheem 166 00:10:42,856 --> 00:10:48,069 -TaSha and Shamika -Shaniqua and NaShan and KayShan 167 00:10:48,319 --> 00:10:51,114 I know this girl, her name is "treasure", TREZURE 168 00:10:51,114 --> 00:10:53,742 struck me as typically that's more like an african american name 169 00:10:53,992 --> 00:10:59,622 I like the names that begin with SHA, like Shaheem, Shahee, Shamur 170 00:10:59,706 --> 00:11:00,915 Shakeem, ShaKoor 171 00:11:01,499 --> 00:11:03,126 You know - Oprah. It's popular 172 00:11:05,754 --> 00:11:06,254 It was actually in the fifties 173 00:11:06,254 --> 00:11:08,298 and the early sisties that we saw 174 00:11:08,298 --> 00:11:12,594 huge overlaps in the naming patterns of blacks and whites 175 00:11:12,594 --> 00:11:15,055 So people name their kids John and Michael 176 00:11:15,055 --> 00:11:16,097 and names like that 177 00:11:16,097 --> 00:11:21,436 And what you saw was around 19 ... in the 1968 or so 178 00:11:21,436 --> 00:11:23,313 kind of the black power movement actually 179 00:11:23,313 --> 00:11:25,482 you saw distinct biofabrication 180 00:11:25,774 --> 00:11:29,319 with black names getting more disctinctively black 181 00:11:29,319 --> 00:11:30,820 and a lot of them are islamic names 182 00:11:30,820 --> 00:11:33,782 Because the black power movement is about identity - who are we? 183 00:11:33,823 --> 00:11:35,784 Who are you? Are you part of us? 184 00:11:36,868 --> 00:11:40,413 It wasn't until the late 80s and 90s that we started to get 185 00:11:40,413 --> 00:11:44,000 you know, kind of the ... made up, concatenated names 186 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:45,043 that you see now 187 00:11:45,043 --> 00:11:49,464 This is generation today, they saw the change the whole name change concept 188 00:11:49,464 --> 00:11:54,010 they have names that are 30 letters long you know 189 00:11:54,636 --> 00:11:57,722 Everybody try to do something, um ... how do you say, unique 190 00:11:57,722 --> 00:12:00,600 they try to name their kids over something different you know 191 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:07,482 We had 228 unique versions of the name "Unique" 192 00:12:07,482 --> 00:12:09,067 Again, my favorite was ... 193 00:12:09,067 --> 00:12:11,069 UNEQQEE 194 00:12:11,069 --> 00:12:12,404 another one of my favorite was 195 00:12:12,404 --> 00:12:14,280 UNEEK 196 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:18,493 ah ... so there are a lot of people trying to be unique 197 00:12:18,493 --> 00:12:21,121 So what happened to all these uniquely named kids? 198 00:12:22,414 --> 00:12:24,541 Kids like poor little temptress 199 00:12:24,541 --> 00:12:28,336 I think it's not the name that's doing the damage to temptress 200 00:12:28,336 --> 00:12:30,922 It's that they grow up in the type of situation 201 00:12:30,922 --> 00:12:33,258 where someone would name their kids Temptress 202 00:12:33,258 --> 00:12:35,343 The person would actually names their kids that 203 00:12:35,343 --> 00:12:36,678 probably has a host of other issues 204 00:12:36,678 --> 00:12:39,514 that are influcing their kids' lifetime outcomes 205 00:12:39,514 --> 00:12:41,057 Not just the name itself 206 00:12:41,057 --> 00:12:42,350 What kinds of issues? 207 00:12:42,350 --> 00:12:45,103 Let's look at a boy with the most studied white name 208 00:12:45,478 --> 00:12:48,898 and a boy with the most studied african american name 209 00:12:48,898 --> 00:12:52,152 The person who gives their kid a distinctively biased name 210 00:12:52,152 --> 00:12:54,029 on average is more likely 211 00:12:54,029 --> 00:12:56,197 to live in poverty 212 00:12:56,197 --> 00:13:00,618 and to be kind of on the lower wrongs of the socio-economic ladder 213 00:13:00,618 --> 00:13:03,330 You see, this is where Jake lives 214 00:13:03,330 --> 00:13:05,999 and this is where Deshawn lives 215 00:13:08,168 --> 00:13:12,839 The schools are not functiong - the teachers in those shcools aren't the same quality 216 00:13:12,839 --> 00:13:14,466 as would be in Jake's neighborhood 217 00:13:14,466 --> 00:13:18,762 In those neighborhoods, 80% of the households are female headed only 218 00:13:18,762 --> 00:13:22,432 and what we found is that, names don't matter so much 219 00:13:22,432 --> 00:13:24,559 they type of mother you have, the type of family you have 220 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:25,602 the type of community you grow up in 221 00:13:25,602 --> 00:13:27,145 those things matter a lot 222 00:13:27,145 --> 00:13:29,356 but what they name you, just doesn't matter 223 00:13:29,356 --> 00:13:31,316 So name doesn't define your destiny? 224 00:13:33,693 --> 00:13:36,363 Maybe if you name someone destiny, I don't know 225 00:13:36,363 --> 00:13:41,910 But ... No. I mean your name doesn't define your desinty 226 00:13:43,328 --> 00:13:44,871 A name may not define your destiny 227 00:13:45,288 --> 00:13:47,582 But it can dictate the ways other people perceive you 228 00:13:48,625 --> 00:13:51,628 Meet Harvard professor Dr. Sendhil Mullainathan 229 00:13:51,628 --> 00:13:53,630 I'm very familiar with Roland Fryer's work 230 00:13:53,630 --> 00:13:56,216 We both worked on the impact of names 231 00:13:56,216 --> 00:13:58,510 I think Roland has emphasized that 232 00:13:58,510 --> 00:14:01,262 people who choose names that are very black are different 233 00:14:01,262 --> 00:14:03,932 from other people that choose names that are not very black 234 00:14:03,932 --> 00:14:06,601 whereas, we emphasize that holding everything else cosntant 235 00:14:06,601 --> 00:14:10,188 that people who end up with very black names are treated very differently 236 00:14:10,188 --> 00:14:13,441 We know that in the data African Americans earn a lot less 237 00:14:13,441 --> 00:14:15,610 We are interested in how much of that earning less 238 00:14:15,610 --> 00:14:17,612 is simply they find it harder to get a job 239 00:14:17,612 --> 00:14:22,075 are all African Americans treated very differently in the labor market than whites 240 00:14:22,075 --> 00:14:24,703 Dr. Mullaninathan conducted his own study 241 00:14:24,703 --> 00:14:26,705 This time in Boston and Chicago 242 00:14:26,705 --> 00:14:29,833 What we did is we made up 5,000 resumes 243 00:14:29,833 --> 00:14:33,003 Half of them we put an African American name, half of them we put a White name 244 00:14:33,003 --> 00:14:35,797 Otherwise, the resumes were the same. And we send them out 245 00:14:35,797 --> 00:14:38,842 And we said, which gets callback more? 246 00:14:38,842 --> 00:14:43,430 What we found was that the same resume when it had an African American name 247 00:14:43,430 --> 00:14:48,977 was about 33% less likely to get an interview than it had a white name 248 00:14:48,977 --> 00:14:52,647 It means that, if a White person searching for jobs for 10 weeks 249 00:14:52,647 --> 00:14:57,277 an equivalent skilled African American will search for 15 weeks 250 00:14:57,277 --> 00:14:59,821 and those are 5 long weeks if you were unemployed 251 00:15:00,780 --> 00:15:02,240 You can judge somebody by their names 252 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:03,742 It's not right, but people do it 253 00:15:03,783 --> 00:15:07,037 They assume that, just because your name is Monique 254 00:15:07,037 --> 00:15:09,789 or your name is LaVongue,or Shenanig, or that 255 00:15:09,789 --> 00:15:12,834 that you're African American and you are not qualified because 256 00:15:12,834 --> 00:15:15,962 your name has an ethnicity to it. 257 00:15:16,129 --> 00:15:19,758 One time, there was a girl name LaKeisha talked on the phone 258 00:15:19,758 --> 00:15:24,095 and I thought she was black but when I met her I was totally shocked that 259 00:15:24,095 --> 00:15:25,680 she was a white southern girl 260 00:15:26,014 --> 00:15:27,849 When I picture LaShandra, yea she's black 261 00:15:28,308 --> 00:15:32,062 The names we used in our studies were names like Lakisha, Jamal, Tyrone 262 00:15:32,687 --> 00:15:33,938 Based on the results, it raises a question 263 00:15:34,356 --> 00:15:37,150 I'm an African American parent, I'm thinking naming my child 264 00:15:37,150 --> 00:15:40,528 Tyrone sounds like a very good name, I might have a grand father named Tyrone 265 00:15:40,528 --> 00:15:42,197 Should I name my child Tyrone? 266 00:15:44,741 --> 00:15:49,120 Yes, name your kid Tyrone, you've made it harder for him in the labor market 267 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:52,165 On the other hand, should you give in to that? 268 00:15:52,165 --> 00:15:55,627 Should I give in to the prevailing norm, or should I express my individuality? 269 00:15:55,627 --> 00:15:57,212 as I want 270 00:15:58,463 --> 00:16:00,215 It's a bit of an ethical quandary 271 00:16:00,340 --> 00:16:03,802 My friend got a drug dealer named Tyrone and I assume it's a black guy 272 00:16:04,177 --> 00:16:07,430 Todd is a white name, Tyrone is a black name 273 00:16:07,722 --> 00:16:09,808 I mean that's sort of how it goes, right? 274 00:16:10,350 --> 00:16:12,227 You might choose a distinctively black name 275 00:16:12,227 --> 00:16:14,562 as a way to signal something about yourself 276 00:16:14,562 --> 00:16:16,523 and about your commitment to the black community 277 00:16:16,523 --> 00:16:21,027 and that's the way to show other African Americans look I am really black 278 00:16:21,027 --> 00:16:24,072 and I think there're distinctively black names already tell you 279 00:16:24,072 --> 00:16:28,326 that there's a cultrual divide at some core, visible, noticeable level 280 00:16:28,326 --> 00:16:31,037 and we see it sometimes in clothings, we see it in names 281 00:16:31,037 --> 00:16:34,791 and in fact that's true, there're quite a few distinctively white names 282 00:16:35,041 --> 00:16:38,253 names like Emily, Brandon, ... ah ... 283 00:16:38,253 --> 00:16:42,632 ... forgetting what those ... if you give me a minute I can count the others 284 00:16:42,757 --> 00:16:45,301 White names are like Sarah, Megan 285 00:16:45,510 --> 00:16:46,594 Mariah, Mary 286 00:16:46,761 --> 00:16:47,345 Billy 287 00:16:47,387 --> 00:16:48,805 Beckys, Johns 288 00:16:48,888 --> 00:16:49,806 Tadd 289 00:16:49,806 --> 00:16:50,849 Joe, Mike 290 00:16:50,849 --> 00:16:52,142 Ryan, Sam 291 00:16:52,267 --> 00:16:52,851 Chester 292 00:16:53,018 --> 00:16:55,437 My brother and I were talking about how we have white sounding names 293 00:16:55,437 --> 00:16:56,980 He's Abner, I'm Harper 294 00:16:57,105 --> 00:17:01,484 Stone, Stone Phillips, that's like perfectly sutited for a white guy 295 00:17:01,484 --> 00:17:03,403 that's the best white guy name you can have. 296 00:17:03,486 --> 00:17:07,282 We live in different cultures and your name is largely determined by your culture 297 00:17:07,282 --> 00:17:12,287 and the difference in the incident of LaKeysha among African Americans vs. white 298 00:17:12,287 --> 00:17:14,956 might be a good way to understand how truely there are 299 00:17:14,956 --> 00:17:18,043 different culutures African American inhabit and white inhabit 300 00:17:18,877 --> 00:17:21,713 Today, there is more evidence than ever that the cultures we come from 301 00:17:21,713 --> 00:17:23,548 influence the names we choose 302 00:17:23,548 --> 00:17:25,675 Just ask the baby naming expert 303 00:17:25,675 --> 00:17:26,760 More and more today, 304 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:30,597 you see parents choosing a namealmost as if launching a product 305 00:17:30,597 --> 00:17:33,141 that you're tryint to position a child 306 00:17:33,141 --> 00:17:36,394 for the best chance of success in the global market place 307 00:17:36,853 --> 00:17:39,064 So in an oversaturated market place 308 00:17:39,105 --> 00:17:41,232 which names garner the most attention? 309 00:17:41,232 --> 00:17:43,777 Are some names destined for the top self, 310 00:17:43,777 --> 00:17:45,862 while the others are headed for the bargain basement? 311 00:17:45,862 --> 00:17:48,573 Let's take a look at the two product lines 312 00:17:48,573 --> 00:17:52,327 Turns out, there is a such a thing as a knock off name 313 00:17:54,621 --> 00:17:58,208 The top 5 middle class white girls names from Fryer's studies are: 314 00:17:58,208 --> 00:18:00,085 (in order of popularity) 315 00:18:00,085 --> 00:18:05,090 Ashley, Lauren, Jessica, Emily and Sarah 316 00:18:05,090 --> 00:18:08,301 While the top 5 lower income white girls names are: 317 00:18:08,301 --> 00:18:13,306 Brittney, Samantha, Amanda, Jessica and Ashley 318 00:18:13,306 --> 00:18:15,809 So what happens to Ashleys?! 319 00:18:15,809 --> 00:18:18,728 She's fast loosing popularity in the middle class list 320 00:18:18,728 --> 00:18:21,898 But she's no.1 in the WalMart crowd 321 00:18:21,898 --> 00:18:25,151 As those wealthier folks see their names popping up everywhere 322 00:18:25,151 --> 00:18:28,196 they quickly discard them in favor of less merchandise 323 00:18:28,822 --> 00:18:29,948 And just like that, 324 00:18:29,948 --> 00:18:34,995 Today's high end Ashley, becomes tomorrow's low rent Trashley 325 00:18:37,497 --> 00:18:39,708 On the lower strung of the ladder, 326 00:18:39,708 --> 00:18:42,502 are the names that most signify lower class parents. 327 00:18:42,794 --> 00:18:47,007 Like Misty, Destiny, Bobbi, Brandy or Cyndi 328 00:18:47,549 --> 00:18:48,967 Now if you are over 40 329 00:18:48,967 --> 00:18:52,303 and actually remember a time these names did't belong up here on stage 330 00:18:52,429 --> 00:18:53,346 You're right! 331 00:18:53,346 --> 00:18:56,933 Years ago, these names wouldn't be caught dead in a place like this 332 00:18:58,309 --> 00:19:01,271 But the years have not been kind to a name like Bobbi 333 00:19:01,271 --> 00:19:05,025 And even though she once was at the top of the social-economic ladder 334 00:19:05,025 --> 00:19:08,528 Today, she's just clinging to her former glory 335 00:19:10,780 --> 00:19:13,199 Please don't name your kid Barbie or Bambi or 336 00:19:13,199 --> 00:19:17,620 anything like that, they might end up being a dancer one day because of it 337 00:19:17,620 --> 00:19:17,704 And if you do end up with a name that's bound for stripperdom 338 00:19:17,704 --> 00:19:22,167 at least you can change it 339 00:19:22,167 --> 00:19:24,544 I mean, hey, it works in Hollywood 340 00:19:24,919 --> 00:19:29,591 Think about it, would John Wayne has been as tough if his name is Marion Morrison? 341 00:19:30,216 --> 00:19:34,804 Would we think Marilyn Monroe as beautiful if her name was still Norma Jean? 342 00:19:35,347 --> 00:19:40,226 And would we think as Ice Cube rocking the crowd if his name is still O'Shea Jackson 343 00:19:42,145 --> 00:19:45,523 Actually, I always wanted to change my names to Max Powers 344 00:19:45,565 --> 00:19:50,779 cuz it seems like a name that everybody like once they hear that they're like 345 00:19:50,779 --> 00:19:52,280 this guy must be really cool 346 00:19:52,489 --> 00:19:55,533 I want to change my name when I was younger, I never liked it 347 00:19:56,284 --> 00:20:00,038 If my name was, um, Henry O'Barma 348 00:20:00,038 --> 00:20:01,456 You know what I mean? 349 00:20:01,456 --> 00:20:03,583 I think that would mean something to people 350 00:20:03,583 --> 00:20:05,669 and I would have more doors opened for me 351 00:20:05,877 --> 00:20:08,713 I did want to change it but now I'm sort of cool with it 352 00:20:08,713 --> 00:20:09,881 You just sort of like 353 00:20:09,881 --> 00:20:13,760 jumps on your back and rides along with you through life you know 354 00:20:14,302 --> 00:20:18,056 As much as you may hate your name, at least your dad isn't this guy 355 00:20:18,056 --> 00:20:19,391 Meet Robert Lane 356 00:20:19,391 --> 00:20:23,478 He has two sons. He named his first son Winner. 357 00:20:23,478 --> 00:20:27,982 3 years later, he named his next son Loser 358 00:20:29,067 --> 00:20:33,071 So Winner and Loser Lane set off in the world to claim their destinies 359 00:20:33,071 --> 00:20:33,947 And what happened? 360 00:20:33,947 --> 00:20:36,950 Well, Loser went to prep school on a scholarship 361 00:20:36,950 --> 00:20:40,453 Graduated from college, joined the NYPD 362 00:20:40,453 --> 00:20:43,540 and eventually became a detective. And then, a sergeant 363 00:20:43,540 --> 00:20:44,874 He goes by Lou now 364 00:20:45,083 --> 00:20:46,126 And his brother? 365 00:20:46,126 --> 00:20:46,960 Well, the most note worthy achievement of Winner Lane is 366 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:50,672 the sheer length of his criminal record 367 00:20:50,672 --> 00:20:53,174 Nearly 3 dozen arrests for burglary, 368 00:20:53,174 --> 00:20:56,344 domestic violence, trespassing and other mayhem 369 00:20:56,928 --> 00:20:59,556 Is there one name that you can give a kid that 370 00:20:59,556 --> 00:21:01,474 guaranteer that won't become screwed up? 371 00:21:03,935 --> 00:21:04,519 No 372 00:21:06,062 --> 00:21:09,190 Sorry, there's not one name that you can give a kid that 373 00:21:09,190 --> 00:21:10,859 guaranteer they won't become a screw up 374 00:21:10,900 --> 00:21:14,154 And there's not one name that you can give a kid that 375 00:21:14,154 --> 00:21:15,905 guaranteer they will become a success 376 00:21:15,905 --> 00:21:19,784 You know, it is a crab-shoot when it comes to names 377 00:21:19,784 --> 00:21:20,910 I don't think there's any name 378 00:21:20,910 --> 00:21:23,371 that can guaranteer success, at least none that we found 379 00:21:23,913 --> 00:21:24,873 The world is full of ... 380 00:21:24,873 --> 00:21:27,625 ... excellent people and terrible people with all sorts of names 381 00:21:27,625 --> 00:21:31,838 The vast majority of the reason people choose is left unexplained 382 00:21:31,838 --> 00:21:34,966 It's like, why did you choose your child's name? 383 00:21:35,633 --> 00:21:36,760 Sounded nice 384 00:21:38,011 --> 00:21:40,889 Who really knows what parents are thinking when they choose a name 385 00:21:40,889 --> 00:21:44,184 Maybe your parents went with something traditional 386 00:21:44,726 --> 00:21:46,394 Or something bohemian 387 00:21:47,145 --> 00:21:48,480 Something unique 388 00:21:49,272 --> 00:21:51,107 Or something perfectly trendy 389 00:21:52,525 --> 00:21:54,694 And maybe your parents didn't have the best taste 390 00:21:54,694 --> 00:21:56,780 and you can't stand your names 391 00:21:56,780 --> 00:21:59,282 Or maybe, they got it just right 392 00:21:59,741 --> 00:22:02,118 Actually, my name means intelligent hero 393 00:22:02,118 --> 00:22:05,497 So, that describes me to the fullest 394 00:22:05,789 --> 00:22:08,333 I was actually named after a horse . My dad is a horse trainer. 395 00:22:08,583 --> 00:22:11,836 My middle name is comfort, because an angel came down to comfort my mother 396 00:22:11,836 --> 00:22:13,838 and told her she's gonna have a daughter with dark hair 397 00:22:13,838 --> 00:22:16,007 and blue eyes who would be a great comfort to her 398 00:22:16,132 --> 00:22:19,761 The prophet Mohammed 399 00:22:19,969 --> 00:22:21,930 My name says that I'm named after my grand father 400 00:22:21,930 --> 00:22:24,182 who was named after his great grandfather 401 00:22:24,182 --> 00:22:25,517 that was it says 402 00:22:26,351 --> 00:22:29,813 In the end, most parents just want the best for their children 403 00:22:29,813 --> 00:22:33,692 and if they believe a particular name they give can give their kid the extra edge 404 00:22:34,150 --> 00:22:35,527 Then why not?! 405 00:22:36,194 --> 00:22:36,569 I mean who konws? 406 00:22:37,946 --> 00:22:39,239 It just might work 407 00:22:46,454 --> 00:22:47,539 CHEATING 408 00:22:47,539 --> 00:22:52,585 As W.C. Fields once said, "A thing worth having, is worth cheating for." 409 00:22:52,585 --> 00:22:54,838 Or as Mark Grace of the Chicago Cubs once said 410 00:22:54,838 --> 00:22:56,798 "If you ain't cheating, you aint trying." 411 00:22:58,717 --> 00:23:02,512 Everybody understands why a kid would want to cheat on SATs right? 412 00:23:02,512 --> 00:23:04,264 They have huge gains of ... 413 00:23:04,264 --> 00:23:09,019 get into Harvard and have a good life as a result of cheating on a test 414 00:23:09,019 --> 00:23:11,813 What's hard to think is why would a teacher cheat? 415 00:23:11,813 --> 00:23:12,897 for a kid on a test 416 00:23:12,897 --> 00:23:16,735 And, when you go to Chicago and goes back a few years ago 417 00:23:16,735 --> 00:23:19,487 We find that lots and lots of teachers were cheating 418 00:23:19,487 --> 00:23:20,530 Why would they cheat? 419 00:23:20,530 --> 00:23:22,741 Well, because there was tremendous pressures on the teachers 420 00:23:22,741 --> 00:23:27,203 to produce high test scores so their schools wouldn't get into troubles 421 00:23:29,706 --> 00:23:33,752 First of all, to a very expedient ... to go to the end of the test 422 00:23:33,752 --> 00:23:35,920 Cuz at the end of the test, a lot of the kids've left them blank 423 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:38,173 So instead of having to erase something and fill it back in, 424 00:23:38,173 --> 00:23:39,924 you can just fill in the answers 425 00:23:39,966 --> 00:23:41,551 It might look kind offunny 426 00:23:41,551 --> 00:23:43,970 cuz how often would kids take a test 427 00:23:43,970 --> 00:23:46,431 and they answered the first 20 questions, 428 00:23:46,431 --> 00:23:50,143 leave 17 questions blank, and then fill in the last 8 questions 429 00:23:50,143 --> 00:23:51,770 maybe be even a little funnier when 430 00:23:51,770 --> 00:23:54,522 they fill out the last 8 questions and they all all the questions right 431 00:23:54,522 --> 00:23:57,650 and those happens to be the hardest quesitons on the exam 432 00:23:57,650 --> 00:23:58,735 THE EVIDENCE 433 00:23:59,569 --> 00:23:59,778 When I got the data from this guy from public school 434 00:23:59,778 --> 00:24:06,618 I mean we are talking about millions and millions of answers 435 00:24:06,618 --> 00:24:09,537 thousands of kids, over years and years 436 00:24:09,537 --> 00:24:12,415 and I looked at the data, I couldn't see anything. 437 00:24:12,415 --> 00:24:13,833 How can you see anything?! 438 00:24:13,833 --> 00:24:17,712 If you can think like a teacher who cheats, and look again at the sea of data 439 00:24:17,712 --> 00:24:19,464 These patterns come to light 440 00:24:19,464 --> 00:24:24,177 Patterns, which are suttle. Burried under mounts and mounts of data 441 00:24:24,177 --> 00:24:27,222 When looked at through the varied length, suddenly 442 00:24:27,222 --> 00:24:30,058 It just as clear as day. And when you know what to look for 443 00:24:30,058 --> 00:24:32,602 You can't help but say it has to be cheating 444 00:24:32,602 --> 00:24:37,023 What he's really good at, is pretend he's a cheater 445 00:24:37,023 --> 00:24:39,901 a criminal, a thief, a cheat, all these things because 446 00:24:39,901 --> 00:24:43,196 cuz really he's not far from it; I mean if you really think about what an economist is 447 00:24:43,196 --> 00:24:46,950 the line between an economist and criminal is terribly thin 448 00:24:46,950 --> 00:24:49,160 -And what about journalists? -Um, no line 449 00:24:50,370 --> 00:24:53,581 Because he can put himself in the shoes of someone 450 00:24:53,581 --> 00:24:56,042 who would behave criminally or who's a cheater 451 00:24:56,042 --> 00:24:59,504 then you can back up the process and reverse engineer it 452 00:24:59,504 --> 00:25:00,922 And that's what you have to do. 453 00:25:00,922 --> 00:25:04,342 Because unless you are in the room with cheaters, it's really hard to catch them 454 00:25:05,385 --> 00:25:09,431 It's not that some people cheat at every second or some people never cheat 455 00:25:09,431 --> 00:25:11,558 We all cheat sometimes and others 456 00:25:11,558 --> 00:25:13,268 Everyone got their own moral encompass 457 00:25:13,268 --> 00:25:15,020 to determine what they'll do and what they won't do 458 00:26:37,977 --> 00:26:42,357 Economic tries to be a pure science in an impure world 459 00:26:42,357 --> 00:26:46,444 Economists imagine men and women are rational actors 460 00:26:46,444 --> 00:26:49,948 In a market place that hides nothing from buyers and sellers 461 00:26:51,700 --> 00:26:54,452 But what happens to market when people cheat? 462 00:26:55,370 --> 00:26:57,455 10 years I've been interested in cheating 463 00:26:57,455 --> 00:26:59,958 and I was in Washington DC 464 00:26:59,958 --> 00:27:02,419 I remember just seeing a little blur in the Washington Post 465 00:27:02,419 --> 00:27:06,089 that said there have been allegations of cheatings in Sumo Wrestling 466 00:27:06,756 --> 00:27:08,174 My view has always been, 467 00:27:08,174 --> 00:27:10,260 if some insiders come forward and say there's cheating, 468 00:27:10,301 --> 00:27:11,886 probably there's something to it 469 00:27:12,429 --> 00:27:17,392 If you had said, where is a sport where you would not find cheating 470 00:27:17,392 --> 00:27:22,605 I'd have said Sumo Wrestling, one's that got 2,000 years of history 471 00:27:22,605 --> 00:27:25,316 it's all about purification, ritual and honor 472 00:27:25,316 --> 00:27:26,860 It's located in a culture, 473 00:27:26,860 --> 00:27:31,239 which on all of the rankings of corruption across the country is really really low 474 00:27:33,325 --> 00:27:38,079 The ancient sport of Sumo Wrestling, is the essence of pure competition 475 00:27:38,079 --> 00:27:42,250 Two naked men, fighting in a sandpit 476 00:27:42,250 --> 00:27:46,129 Under the watchful eyes of a referee, dressed as a Shinto priest 477 00:27:47,964 --> 00:27:50,800 Shinto, means ways of the Gods 478 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:55,305 A religion that celebrates the purity and harmony of men and nature 479 00:27:57,432 --> 00:28:01,061 In Sumo, you do your ceremonial stuff 480 00:28:01,061 --> 00:28:03,688 One is the clapping of the hands 481 00:28:03,688 --> 00:28:06,524 as to awake the Gods 482 00:28:06,524 --> 00:28:10,945 Two is when we show our hands and flip our hands over and 483 00:28:10,945 --> 00:28:13,698 stuff to show that we have no conceal weapons 484 00:28:13,698 --> 00:28:16,993 You come here and you want to fight fair with your bare hands 485 00:28:16,993 --> 00:28:19,329 and to tell the Gods you're coming in with 486 00:28:19,329 --> 00:28:22,707 a fresh and clean might and heart vessel. 487 00:28:23,291 --> 00:28:28,838 The stomping of the feet in the Shinto religion is to stomp out evil spirits 488 00:28:28,838 --> 00:28:32,759 and throwing of the salt is purify 489 00:28:48,191 --> 00:28:51,861 I think purity is a good mask, 490 00:28:51,861 --> 00:28:56,157 for corruption, perhaps most so it discourages inquiry. 491 00:28:57,033 --> 00:29:02,038 It's true that Sumo might seem to be immune from corruption 492 00:29:02,038 --> 00:29:04,541 because of its purity, history, and so on 493 00:29:04,541 --> 00:29:06,751 On the other hands, the stakes are high 494 00:29:06,751 --> 00:29:12,298 When stakes are high, and when there's an incentive to cheat 495 00:29:12,298 --> 00:29:14,843 A small percentage of people always will 496 00:29:20,807 --> 00:29:23,059 Just as in medieval Japan 497 00:29:23,059 --> 00:29:26,146 The wrestlers, known as Rikshi or strong man 498 00:29:26,146 --> 00:29:28,148 spent years in apprenticeship 499 00:29:28,148 --> 00:29:33,069 Living together around the clock and training in stables or Biar 500 00:29:33,445 --> 00:29:38,158 Subject to strict moral and physical displine 501 00:29:38,158 --> 00:29:41,244 If you're a Sumo Wrestler in the top ranks 502 00:29:41,244 --> 00:29:43,038 Your life is very very good 503 00:29:43,038 --> 00:29:44,998 and you can live like a king 504 00:29:45,582 --> 00:29:48,335 Once you fall belows those ranks or never attained those ranks, 505 00:29:48,335 --> 00:29:50,003 your life is not very good at all 506 00:29:50,754 --> 00:29:53,089 So, it's a very steep pyramid, at the top life is great, 507 00:29:53,089 --> 00:29:56,343 and there's lots of people down below life is not so great 508 00:29:56,343 --> 00:29:57,552 But there are so many of them, 509 00:29:57,552 --> 00:30:00,597 because they're all aspired to get to the top obviously 510 00:30:02,307 --> 00:30:05,560 It's a battle 24/7, being a Sumo Wrestler 511 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:08,563 It's not just two big fat guy trying to ... 512 00:30:08,563 --> 00:30:11,232 ... to kill each other but it's a lot of work to be big 513 00:30:11,232 --> 00:30:13,193 and at the same time active 514 00:30:13,193 --> 00:30:15,570 6 major touraments a year 515 00:30:15,570 --> 00:30:17,322 you have to wrestle with injuries 516 00:30:17,322 --> 00:30:20,825 they throw you in a jungle and see how you can come out alive 517 00:30:26,164 --> 00:30:29,793 The objective of the game is to push your opponent outside of the ring 518 00:30:29,793 --> 00:30:31,419 or pushing him into the ring 519 00:30:34,130 --> 00:30:38,134 But how can you tell if a Sumo Wrestler is cheating? 520 00:30:38,134 --> 00:30:40,512 Is it a slip on purpose? 521 00:30:40,512 --> 00:30:43,056 Is the fall rigged? 522 00:30:43,056 --> 00:30:47,811 It's hard to tell unless you look at patterns over time 523 00:30:48,937 --> 00:30:53,066 People who are actively corrupted always try to cover their trails 524 00:30:53,066 --> 00:30:58,363 So corruption, by its nature is hard to identify, hard to prove 525 00:30:58,363 --> 00:31:00,281 Murders are really great, 526 00:31:00,281 --> 00:31:04,577 cuz almost always when someone is murdered, there's always a corsp 527 00:31:04,577 --> 00:31:07,414 You might say "How would you know someone's cheating?" 528 00:31:07,414 --> 00:31:09,207 and the answer is - look in the data 529 00:31:09,207 --> 00:31:10,875 I don't have to ever seen a sumo match 530 00:31:10,875 --> 00:31:12,585 I can look into data, I can look at it 531 00:31:12,585 --> 00:31:15,171 And I can tell you, with almost complete certainty, 532 00:31:15,171 --> 00:31:17,215 that there's rampage cheating going 533 00:31:21,511 --> 00:31:28,309 In professional Sumo touraments, the wrestler fights one bout per day for 15 days 534 00:31:28,309 --> 00:31:33,898 If you win 8 out of the 15 matches, you can move up in rank - half a slot 535 00:31:33,898 --> 00:31:38,653 The difference of half a rank can be maybe 5,000 dollars in paychecque a month 536 00:31:38,653 --> 00:31:41,614 The respects you get in the Sumo Association 537 00:31:41,614 --> 00:31:46,369 So when you talk about stuff like that, that 8 win is real critical 538 00:31:48,872 --> 00:31:52,500 A Rikshi entering a tourament final 15 match 539 00:31:52,500 --> 00:31:56,421 with a 7 and 7 record, has far more to gain from a victory 540 00:31:56,421 --> 00:32:00,091 than an opponent, say 8 and 6 has to loose 541 00:32:01,051 --> 00:32:05,055 If a wrestler has 8 wins under his belts, he's guaranteed to advance 542 00:32:06,056 --> 00:32:08,266 Even if he looses that last match 543 00:32:08,266 --> 00:32:11,770 So he could afford to take a fall 544 00:32:12,896 --> 00:32:17,275 In Japan, there's a term for match rigging - YAOCHO 545 00:32:17,275 --> 00:32:20,570 Many suspected that Sumo matches might be rigged 546 00:32:20,570 --> 00:32:26,451 But it's nearly impossible to prove, unless you look closely at the numbers 547 00:32:26,451 --> 00:32:30,330 2 wrestlers that I would expect to have an even match 548 00:32:30,330 --> 00:32:33,583 When 1 of them needs the eigth win and the other doesn't 549 00:32:33,583 --> 00:32:36,294 The one who needs it wins 75% at a time 550 00:32:36,294 --> 00:32:37,545 Rather than 50% a time 551 00:32:37,545 --> 00:32:39,547 That's a huge deviation 552 00:32:40,298 --> 00:32:44,135 I (8-6 wrestler) let you (7-7 wrestler) 553 00:32:44,135 --> 00:32:47,597 let you win this deciding match cuz you my friend 554 00:32:47,597 --> 00:32:49,391 gonna fall down the pyramid if you don't 555 00:32:49,391 --> 00:32:52,560 In return, the next time those 2 guys meet 556 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:56,564 Lo and Behold, the 8-6 wrestler almost always wins those matches 557 00:35:07,737 --> 00:35:13,743 "Honne" is Real Truth and "Tatemae" will be the surface of things, the faced 558 00:35:13,743 --> 00:35:17,080 They are unusually important in Japanese culture 559 00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:19,499 That's why the Japanese have given them names 560 00:35:19,499 --> 00:35:23,795 But being human, living in any society, I think we can all understand 561 00:35:23,795 --> 00:35:25,630 the concepts themselves 562 00:35:25,672 --> 00:35:30,677 That Tatemae's going to be a great spectacle of honest competition 563 00:35:30,677 --> 00:35:34,764 but in the surface of creating that pleasing faced 564 00:35:34,764 --> 00:35:39,060 the actual players are engaging in a form of corruption 565 00:35:40,895 --> 00:35:45,984 To have the "Honne" exposed produces discomfort 566 00:35:45,984 --> 00:35:48,320 When you think of the financial scandals 567 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:50,530 That have racked America recently 568 00:35:50,530 --> 00:35:54,159 A lot of people who were supposedly to be not just incredibly wise 569 00:35:54,159 --> 00:35:56,953 but incredibly honest, has been exposed as neither 570 00:35:58,079 --> 00:36:02,792 Those of us who have looked looked to the self-interest of lending institutions 571 00:36:02,792 --> 00:36:06,546 to protect shareholder's equity, myself especially, 572 00:36:06,546 --> 00:36:10,008 are in the state of shocked disbelief. 573 00:36:11,009 --> 00:36:15,597 That produces a kind of dissolution, in any society that formerly looked 574 00:36:15,597 --> 00:36:17,557 to those people or those institutions ... 575 00:36:17,557 --> 00:36:21,061 ... are somehow representatives of what's best in our society 576 00:36:21,061 --> 00:36:23,396 Sumo would be an example of that in Japan 577 00:36:25,190 --> 00:36:30,028 While I would not put the Bernie Madoff pre-arrest reputation, 578 00:36:30,028 --> 00:36:32,489 I wouldn't necessarily call that one of purity 579 00:36:32,489 --> 00:36:35,158 The way we would talk about Sumo Wrestling, 580 00:36:35,158 --> 00:36:37,369 or the way we might talk about the Catholic Cleregy 581 00:36:37,369 --> 00:36:40,372 The S.C.C. had an image of this guy - 582 00:36:40,372 --> 00:36:44,084 that was almost sacred saint in that he's running the exchange, 583 00:36:44,084 --> 00:36:45,126 he'd been a market maker. 584 00:36:45,126 --> 00:36:51,091 His reputation was so large that it discourages them 585 00:36:51,091 --> 00:36:54,302 from coming in with a bias toward corruption, 586 00:36:54,302 --> 00:36:56,388 and instead, they brought a bias against it. 587 00:36:58,848 --> 00:37:00,892 Mr. Madoff, what do you have to say for yourelf? 588 00:37:00,892 --> 00:37:03,603 What do you have to say to the public, your investors? 589 00:37:07,857 --> 00:37:11,111 The realm of high finance and the world of sumo 590 00:37:11,152 --> 00:37:14,280 both demonstrate the illusion of purity 591 00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:15,323 cannot only hide corruption, it can help to make it possible. 592 00:37:19,828 --> 00:37:23,707 In Sumo, when whistle blower step forward to expose corruption 593 00:37:23,707 --> 00:37:25,792 they were not treated kindly. 594 00:37:27,752 --> 00:37:33,174 In 1996, two summo vetrans, including a recently retired stable master, 595 00:37:33,174 --> 00:37:38,638 collaborated in a tell-all expos๏ฟฝ๏ฟฝ that was serialized in the Shukan Post 596 00:38:01,119 --> 00:38:05,081 The Sumo Association dismissed the allegation as lies, 597 00:38:05,165 --> 00:38:07,667 told by a revengeful stable master 598 00:38:07,667 --> 00:38:09,836 seeking to cash in on publicity. 599 00:38:11,296 --> 00:38:14,966 To defend their claims, the whistle blowers decided to hold a press conference. 600 00:38:15,300 --> 00:38:19,763 But two weeks before the press conference, both men died. 601 00:38:20,555 --> 00:38:23,725 In the same hospital, on the same day 602 00:38:24,893 --> 00:38:27,979 From the same ... myterious respitory illness. 603 00:39:06,518 --> 00:39:11,731 Yet no one questioned the way they died, there were no autopsies 604 00:39:12,023 --> 00:39:16,361 The police did not investigate the sudden and simultaneous deaths. 605 00:39:17,654 --> 00:39:20,740 "It's a very good hospital", a police spokesman told reporters. 606 00:39:21,408 --> 00:39:24,244 So, there were no grounds for suspecison. 607 00:39:49,060 --> 00:39:54,065 Concerns about the sport resurfaced when another mysterious death haunted Sumo 608 00:39:54,566 --> 00:39:57,569 This time it was a young "Rikichi" in training named Takashi Saito 609 00:39:58,403 --> 00:40:03,867 Whose corpse showed visible signs of assault and multilation. 610 00:40:58,588 --> 00:41:02,133 Hiromasa Saikawa took note of the death of the young wrestler 611 00:41:02,759 --> 00:41:05,345 Sakawa is one of the nation's most vocal critics 612 00:41:05,345 --> 00:41:07,514 of how murders are investigated in Japan. 613 00:41:08,598 --> 00:41:11,059 He quit his post on the Tokyo Police Force 614 00:41:11,101 --> 00:41:14,145 When the gap between the "Honne" (the hidden truth) 615 00:41:14,145 --> 00:41:19,484 and the "Tatemae" (the facet propriety) had grown too wide 616 00:41:37,585 --> 00:41:43,174 The job of any police force is to help keep crime at low enough levels 617 00:41:43,174 --> 00:41:44,217 so that society can properly function. 618 00:41:46,094 --> 00:41:50,473 The "Tatemae" of the police force is to be seen doing that 619 00:41:51,057 --> 00:41:56,062 If the police can tell society, we solved 96% of crimes, 620 00:41:56,062 --> 00:41:58,815 they have certainly fulfilled their "Tatemae" function. 621 00:41:58,732 --> 00:42:01,609 In comforting society, making society feel safe. 622 00:42:01,651 --> 00:42:04,529 But to achieve that level of "Tatemae" 623 00:42:04,529 --> 00:42:07,782 The police might select only cases for investigation 624 00:42:07,782 --> 00:42:11,119 that they think they have an extremely high chance of solving 625 00:43:24,109 --> 00:43:26,319 Despite clear evidence of brutality, 626 00:43:26,319 --> 00:43:29,990 the police declared that the young man died of natural causes. 627 00:43:30,407 --> 00:43:33,451 And the stable master quickly asked for the young boy's body, 628 00:43:33,451 --> 00:43:35,078 so it can be creamated. 629 00:43:35,829 --> 00:43:39,958 But the angry father of the young man insisted autopsy, 630 00:43:40,709 --> 00:43:43,670 which revealed that he has been burned with cigarettes; 631 00:43:43,670 --> 00:43:47,549 and beaten to death with beer bottles and baseball bats. 632 00:43:49,592 --> 00:43:52,929 The young boy has died at the hands of fellow wrestlers 633 00:43:52,929 --> 00:43:55,932 who're ordered by the stable master to punished the boy 634 00:43:55,932 --> 00:43:59,394 for trying to run away from the world of Sumo 635 00:44:21,333 --> 00:44:25,920 Sumo counter-criticism with lawsuit against Takeda and his magazine 636 00:44:26,504 --> 00:44:30,884 Juries ruled against Takeda in cases where he accused individuals of match rigging 637 00:44:31,509 --> 00:44:35,388 But Sumo had no defence against the revelation of violence. 638 00:44:41,519 --> 00:44:46,149 To defend its reputation, the Sumo Association shores up its image 639 00:44:46,733 --> 00:44:50,028 By building on notions of purity from Shinto 640 00:44:50,487 --> 00:44:54,532 that are essential to be what it means to be Japanese 641 00:44:55,492 --> 00:44:58,578 Publicly, it insists that Yaocho is a myth. 642 00:44:59,746 --> 00:45:03,041 I hope ... there was none of that going on 643 00:45:03,041 --> 00:45:04,876 in the bottom ranks. But 644 00:45:04,876 --> 00:45:08,963 where I was ... No. 645 00:45:27,899 --> 00:45:32,487 A retired Rikshi who wrote to Komosubi - the 4th highest ranked in Sumo. 646 00:45:33,321 --> 00:45:37,993 Keisuke Itai came forward, and publicly admitted to fixing many matches. 647 00:45:38,702 --> 00:45:42,455 And named names of others, who did the same. 648 00:47:35,026 --> 00:47:38,488 In Japanese media, there's a certain form of self-censorship 649 00:47:38,488 --> 00:47:40,156 giving interviews in japanese, 650 00:47:40,156 --> 00:47:43,326 the media will not quote me if I use the word "Daraku" 651 00:47:43,702 --> 00:47:44,828 which is corruption in japanese 652 00:47:44,828 --> 00:47:47,914 and they'll change it instead to something like "Konran" - confusion. 653 00:47:47,914 --> 00:47:51,042 We certainly have the very same thing in America today. 654 00:47:51,042 --> 00:47:54,754 The New York Times, for example, will not use the word TORTURE 655 00:47:54,754 --> 00:47:58,383 to describe anything that's been carried out by Americans ... 656 00:47:58,383 --> 00:48:01,720 ... operating in our prison system and the war on terror. 657 00:48:01,720 --> 00:48:06,266 However, if it's the Chinese who've done these things to an American airman, 658 00:48:06,266 --> 00:48:09,978 the NY Times has no compunctions about calling those things TORTURE 659 00:48:15,275 --> 00:48:17,902 The only way to combat corruption, to Steven Levitt, 660 00:48:17,902 --> 00:48:20,989 is to change rules to undo corruption incentives 661 00:48:21,406 --> 00:48:23,199 Unleash more investigative reporters 662 00:48:23,199 --> 00:48:25,952 and develop strong protections for whistle blowers. 663 00:48:26,745 --> 00:48:29,456 But that's easier said than done when cultural slogans 664 00:48:29,456 --> 00:48:34,419 in American and Japan that we are honest, straight-forward 665 00:48:34,419 --> 00:48:35,795 and fundamentally good. 666 00:48:36,838 --> 00:48:38,381 Those who expose corruption 667 00:48:38,381 --> 00:48:42,052 are challenging the very nature of who we imagine we're supposed to be 668 00:48:43,428 --> 00:48:45,555 The irony of our Sumo Wrestling 669 00:48:45,555 --> 00:48:49,309 was when it became public, the Sumo Wrestlers stopped cheating. 670 00:48:49,309 --> 00:48:51,895 and they're not for good, they actually stopped cheating for a year or two 671 00:48:51,895 --> 00:48:54,272 and once people stopped thinking about it, they went back to it. 672 00:48:54,272 --> 00:48:58,109 but that I think is the answer how you stopped cheating. Louis Brandeis 673 00:48:58,109 --> 00:48:59,152 said that sunlight was the best disinfantant. 674 00:49:03,865 --> 00:49:06,743 What keeps us from seeing corruptions are our illusions 675 00:49:06,743 --> 00:49:08,995 that our economy is a rational system. 676 00:49:08,995 --> 00:49:11,206 A free market, opened to all 677 00:49:11,206 --> 00:49:15,293 The fact is that rigging markets and matches is good business 678 00:49:15,752 --> 00:49:18,463 If the rigging is hidden from all but a few 679 00:49:19,297 --> 00:49:21,925 In Shinto, the mirror is an important symbol 680 00:49:21,925 --> 00:49:24,469 reflecting a sense of who we are 681 00:49:25,512 --> 00:49:28,348 In that mirror, the bad heart is a hidden heart 682 00:49:29,432 --> 00:49:31,518 The pure heart is the one that hides nothing 683 00:49:32,435 --> 00:49:35,480 Looking at the numbers and accept what they tell us 684 00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:38,692 is a way of wiping dust away from the mirror 685 00:49:47,450 --> 00:49:48,702 Hi there boys and girls 686 00:49:49,119 --> 00:49:50,662 this is Captain Kangaroo 687 00:49:50,787 --> 00:49:53,039 Say, I like you to meet a friend of mine 688 00:49:53,039 --> 00:49:55,667 say, you know it's a lot and lot of fun to have a pet 689 00:49:55,667 --> 00:49:58,086 that you can run, jump and play with, isn't it? 690 00:49:58,086 --> 00:50:01,756 But did you know there're kids that cannot run, jump and play? 691 00:50:02,257 --> 00:50:04,551 It's all because a thing called Polio 692 00:50:07,679 --> 00:50:09,931 When I think of bad historical assumptions about 693 00:50:09,931 --> 00:50:13,018 correlations and causeality, I think of Polio 100 years ago. 694 00:50:13,018 --> 00:50:16,980 When it was this horrible mystery that claiming a lot of lives 695 00:50:16,980 --> 00:50:19,524 And it was really scary cuz it mostly struck children. 696 00:50:20,025 --> 00:50:24,571 And there was a strong line of resarch that suggested ice-cream 697 00:50:24,571 --> 00:50:27,490 cause polio, that ice-cream consumption cause Polio. 698 00:50:28,742 --> 00:50:32,829 Here comes Mr. Softy, the soft ice-cream man. 699 00:50:37,625 --> 00:50:41,421 The reason that correlation was thought to be causal 700 00:50:41,421 --> 00:50:45,091 was that Polio spiked in the summer time 701 00:50:45,467 --> 00:50:48,345 For reasons, that weren't really understood, but it did. 702 00:50:48,345 --> 00:50:50,805 And ice-cream sales spiked in the summer time. 703 00:50:50,805 --> 00:50:53,975 So, these researchers're seeing that whenever a lot of ice-cream are being sold, 704 00:50:53,975 --> 00:50:55,935 and consumed, there was a lot more Polio. 705 00:50:56,144 --> 00:51:00,482 And that was literally the beginning of ice-cream prosecution 706 00:51:00,482 --> 00:51:03,318 to try to stomp out Polio. And it sounds rediculous, 707 00:51:03,318 --> 00:51:05,320 but you see it all the time now - 708 00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:08,657 people try to fight against or build up something that they're sure 709 00:51:08,657 --> 00:51:11,493 that's connected to something else, but turns out it just isn't. 710 00:51:21,628 --> 00:51:24,339 We have a crime problem that is not out of control 711 00:51:24,339 --> 00:51:26,383 -all over the country -I am pro-choice 712 00:51:27,926 --> 00:51:31,429 extremists bombed more than 30 clinics across the country 713 00:51:31,429 --> 00:51:33,014 People like you allows baby ... 714 00:51:40,063 --> 00:51:43,024 When I started studying crimes in the early 1990s, 715 00:51:43,024 --> 00:51:44,067 it was rough at its peak 716 00:51:44,067 --> 00:51:46,027 the highest it's ever been in the history of United States 717 00:51:46,069 --> 00:51:48,613 and all the experts expect it to go higher and higher 718 00:51:48,613 --> 00:51:50,031 The warnings are everywhere. 719 00:51:50,031 --> 00:51:53,451 But then, to everyone's surprise, something happened. 720 00:52:01,543 --> 00:52:03,503 I don't know, I guess you're right 721 00:52:04,045 --> 00:52:06,715 Supposed it'd be better off never been born at all. 722 00:52:06,715 --> 00:52:09,592 -What did you say? -I said, "I wish I have never been born." 723 00:52:10,093 --> 00:52:12,637 Homocide rate went up in half of the nation's cities 724 00:52:12,637 --> 00:52:15,306 (Christmas, 1989) 373 homocides last year 725 00:52:15,306 --> 00:52:18,685 up 65.7% over 1987 726 00:52:18,685 --> 00:52:20,687 Murder is a national problem - 727 00:52:20,687 --> 00:52:23,106 up an average 11% across the country. 728 00:52:23,982 --> 00:52:27,694 In Bucharest tonight, the post communist leader Nicolae Ceauseascu 729 00:52:27,694 --> 00:52:29,446 and his wife, had been executed. 730 00:52:29,446 --> 00:52:32,532 Pictures of the former communist dictator lying in state 731 00:52:32,657 --> 00:52:35,243 -excuted by the firing squad -Crime and violence are now 732 00:52:35,243 --> 00:52:37,329 ... the top concerns of many Americans. 733 00:52:37,329 --> 00:52:39,914 You've been given a great gift George. 734 00:52:39,914 --> 00:52:43,501 A chance to see what the world would be like without you. 735 00:52:49,507 --> 00:52:53,845 As the 1980s drew to a close, law enforcement experts predicted 736 00:52:53,845 --> 00:52:56,306 that the crime rate that has been preceeding decades 737 00:52:56,306 --> 00:52:57,891 would continue to rise. 738 00:52:58,892 --> 00:53:01,645 Would be the decade of the mega criminal 739 00:53:03,605 --> 00:53:07,859 There was only one problem ... it didn't happen. 740 00:53:08,693 --> 00:53:10,320 Across America, the crime rate is down. 741 00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:14,032 The FBI has some good news about crime, it's down. 742 00:53:14,032 --> 00:53:17,786 It's clear the numbers are dropping, what's not clear is why. 743 00:53:17,786 --> 00:53:20,163 What's behind this dramatic change? 744 00:53:20,163 --> 00:53:22,290 Primarily it's the Police, the police strategies. 745 00:53:22,290 --> 00:53:25,794 We've incarcerated our criminals and thus taken out the population. 746 00:53:25,794 --> 00:53:27,295 With those people, who did the crimes. 747 00:53:27,295 --> 00:53:31,841 Experts and officials lined up to offer explanations for the drop in crime 748 00:53:32,300 --> 00:53:34,803 Community police officers, better prevention 749 00:53:34,803 --> 00:53:38,223 Their explanation included more innovative policing, 750 00:53:38,223 --> 00:53:41,351 harsher criminal sentences, changes in the crack market, 751 00:53:41,393 --> 00:53:46,481 increase gun control, a strong economy, more police on the streets 752 00:53:47,691 --> 00:53:50,819 But economist Steven Levitt examined these explanations. 753 00:53:50,819 --> 00:53:53,029 Evaluated the most popular ones. 754 00:53:53,029 --> 00:53:54,906 When you looked at the data carefully, 755 00:53:54,906 --> 00:53:58,702 it's just not clear that they really have the impact people suspected. 756 00:53:58,743 --> 00:54:02,872 By ananlyzing the reasons most often cited by those in the press, 757 00:54:02,872 --> 00:54:05,750 Levitt was able to separate the more likely factors 758 00:54:05,750 --> 00:54:07,293 from the less likely ones 759 00:54:08,003 --> 00:54:11,047 The crime drop explanation most often cited 760 00:54:11,047 --> 00:54:13,174 was that innovative policing strategies 761 00:54:13,174 --> 00:54:15,218 had been introduced to some cities. 762 00:54:19,180 --> 00:54:23,059 NY City, for example, implementeded sweeping law enforcement changes 763 00:54:23,351 --> 00:54:26,062 from Police Chief Willam Bratton's ComStat System 764 00:54:26,062 --> 00:54:29,566 to Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's crack down on small street crime 765 00:54:29,566 --> 00:54:32,360 The reductions in crime that has been taken place in NY City 766 00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:33,611 are pretty close to miraculous 767 00:54:33,611 --> 00:54:37,115 NY City, had among the biggest declines in crime 768 00:54:37,115 --> 00:54:38,408 of any city in the country. 769 00:54:38,408 --> 00:54:40,452 So, there's an enormous amount of fan fair ... 770 00:54:40,452 --> 00:54:42,996 ... given to the strategies of Guliani and Bratton. 771 00:54:43,330 --> 00:54:44,706 But crime felt everywhere, 772 00:54:44,706 --> 00:54:47,834 it's hard to find any city in United States where crime didn't plunge. 773 00:54:47,834 --> 00:54:52,297 And also, crime was down 20-30% before Gulian ever took office. 774 00:54:52,297 --> 00:54:54,466 So, a number of things make me suspecious 775 00:54:54,466 --> 00:54:56,301 that it was really the Placing Strategies. 776 00:54:58,303 --> 00:55:00,597 The second reason most cited for the crime drop, 777 00:55:00,597 --> 00:55:03,808 was an increase in reliance on prisons. 778 00:55:04,017 --> 00:55:08,104 We've locked up a million more americans since the 1990s 779 00:55:08,188 --> 00:55:10,148 There are now 2 millions americans in prison, 780 00:55:10,148 --> 00:55:11,816 and that's got to reduce crime. 781 00:55:13,443 --> 00:55:16,571 Levitt recognizes that in prison more people will ... 782 00:55:16,571 --> 00:55:19,199 in short term, bring crime rate down. 783 00:55:19,199 --> 00:55:22,577 By my estimate, about 30% of the decline in crime 784 00:55:22,577 --> 00:55:25,288 can be attributed to the fact that we got very tough on crime 785 00:55:25,288 --> 00:55:27,540 in terms of locking up criminals. 786 00:55:28,375 --> 00:55:30,335 This is crack cocaine 787 00:55:31,127 --> 00:55:35,131 The 3rd explanation for the crime drop, most often cited in the press, 788 00:55:35,131 --> 00:55:36,841 were changes in the crack market. 789 00:55:36,841 --> 00:55:40,887 Now experets say, crack cocaine may finally be on the decline. 790 00:55:40,887 --> 00:55:44,307 The peak of the crack epidemics came in at the late 80s and the early 90s 791 00:55:46,393 --> 00:55:49,854 At that time, an enormous amount of the homocide in particular 792 00:55:49,854 --> 00:55:50,981 can be attributed to the crack. 793 00:55:50,981 --> 00:55:52,399 But for various reasons 794 00:55:52,399 --> 00:55:54,651 the amount of violence that has been associated with the crack trade 795 00:55:54,651 --> 00:55:55,735 really faded. 796 00:55:55,735 --> 00:55:57,070 That's not the move no more 797 00:55:57,070 --> 00:56:01,408 So that can explain 15% of the decline in crime. 798 00:56:01,783 --> 00:56:05,328 Other possible reasons for the crime drop examined by Levitt include: 799 00:56:05,328 --> 00:56:06,621 tougher gun laws. 800 00:56:06,621 --> 00:56:11,751 the 1990s economic boom and an increase in police nation wide. 801 00:56:12,419 --> 00:56:15,422 So Levitt did not entirely discount these 802 00:56:15,422 --> 00:56:18,049 He sees these only account for a small fraction 803 00:56:18,049 --> 00:56:19,676 of the overall crime drop 804 00:56:19,676 --> 00:56:21,970 There are millions factors that drive crime, 805 00:56:21,970 --> 00:56:25,181 but how do you determine the particular competition? 806 00:56:25,181 --> 00:56:28,018 Overall, what Levitt found from all these reasons 807 00:56:28,018 --> 00:56:33,023 was taken together, they only explain half of 1990s crime drop. 808 00:56:33,398 --> 00:56:35,817 The other half remained a mystery. 809 00:56:36,818 --> 00:56:37,986 So what happened? 810 00:56:38,903 --> 00:56:40,530 Well, let's remind 811 00:56:40,530 --> 00:56:44,284 to what many Americans may have seen as irrelevant incident 812 00:56:44,284 --> 00:56:45,618 in a far away place. 813 00:56:52,584 --> 00:56:55,295 When Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceausescu 814 00:56:55,295 --> 00:56:59,257 was executed by his own people on Christmas Day 1989, 815 00:56:59,257 --> 00:57:02,594 it marked the end of the brutal totalitarian rein 816 00:57:02,594 --> 00:57:04,763 that has lasted 24 years. 817 00:57:04,971 --> 00:57:09,559 In his earliest days, Ceausescu's Romania faces struggling economy 818 00:57:09,559 --> 00:57:12,312 and he sought to vastly increase the workforce. 819 00:57:13,730 --> 00:57:18,401 To achieve this, Ceausescu outlawed abortion in 1966. 820 00:57:18,401 --> 00:57:20,820 Agents known as the Montrose Police 821 00:57:20,820 --> 00:57:23,073 rounded up women to give pregnancy tests 822 00:57:23,073 --> 00:57:24,866 and attacks the infertiles. 823 00:57:25,825 --> 00:57:28,662 Across Romania, women were forced to have children 824 00:57:28,662 --> 00:57:31,956 and they could no longer choose whether it was right to do so. 825 00:57:33,124 --> 00:57:34,959 Romania's birthrate doubled. 826 00:57:34,959 --> 00:57:40,131 But more and more births across the country were, not surprisingly unwanted. 827 00:57:40,131 --> 00:57:42,133 And result in trouble up bringing. 828 00:57:42,926 --> 00:57:45,679 Of the infants forcibly born in the first year, 829 00:57:45,679 --> 00:57:49,265 more disenroll school, suffered more job performance, 830 00:57:49,265 --> 00:57:51,559 and with thus more likely to become criminals, 831 00:57:51,559 --> 00:57:53,395 than those born of the previous year. 832 00:57:53,395 --> 00:57:58,274 Even controlling for the aids, income, health and education of the mother 833 00:57:59,401 --> 00:58:02,362 But what do winds in Romania a long time ago, 834 00:58:02,362 --> 00:58:05,573 have to do with crimes in US in 1990s? 835 00:58:05,865 --> 00:58:09,869 According to Steven Levitt ... a lot. 836 00:58:14,833 --> 00:58:18,503 You've been given a great gift George, a chance to see 837 00:58:18,503 --> 00:58:20,672 what the world would be like without you. 838 00:58:22,257 --> 00:58:24,843 What I believe to be true and the evidence supports it, 839 00:58:24,843 --> 00:58:28,888 is a hypothesis which many people find jarring and disturbing. 840 00:58:28,888 --> 00:58:31,599 But nonetheless, I think it's probably right. 841 00:58:31,599 --> 00:58:36,521 Good evening, in a landmark ruling that Supreme Court today legalize abortions. 842 00:58:36,521 --> 00:58:40,692 In 1973, in a case called "Roe V. Wade" 843 00:58:40,692 --> 00:58:46,281 the Supreme Cort rules that abortion, which has been only legal in 5 US states, 844 00:58:46,281 --> 00:58:48,450 would now be legal nation wide. 845 00:58:48,700 --> 00:58:52,120 Precisely the opposiste of what happened in Romania, 846 00:58:53,413 --> 00:58:55,790 The legalized abortions in 1970s, 847 00:58:55,790 --> 00:58:58,960 was one of the prime reason why crime felt in the 1990s. 848 00:58:58,960 --> 00:59:03,798 Because the whole generation of unwanted children were never born, 849 00:59:03,798 --> 00:59:05,258 because of legalization of abortion. 850 00:59:05,258 --> 00:59:07,302 If you fast-forward 20 years 851 00:59:07,302 --> 00:59:10,638 to the point in time when they were going to be their peak crime ages, 852 00:59:10,638 --> 00:59:12,432 they simply weren't there to do the crime. 853 00:59:13,058 --> 00:59:16,645 You see George, you really had a wonderful life. 854 00:59:16,645 --> 00:59:20,857 Don't you see what a mistake it would be to ... throw it away? 855 00:59:21,733 --> 00:59:24,653 The trouble, of course, is that life isn't like the movies. 856 00:59:25,236 --> 00:59:28,365 For so many children who without "Roe V. Wade" 857 00:59:28,365 --> 00:59:30,617 would have been born in 1973, 858 00:59:30,617 --> 00:59:33,453 their lives might not have been a wonderful life 859 00:59:33,453 --> 00:59:37,957 that've been born in a loving family, in yesterday's small town America. 860 00:59:38,625 --> 00:59:41,544 Rather, they'd be a far harder road - 861 00:59:41,544 --> 00:59:44,839 been born into a potentially unwanted household 862 00:59:44,839 --> 00:59:48,677 in American's crumbling little cities, or forsaken heartland. 863 00:59:49,928 --> 00:59:54,516 Levitt's conclusion: "As much as half of the 1990s crime drop, 864 00:59:54,516 --> 00:59:57,978 was an unintended consequence of Roe V. Wade." 865 00:59:59,521 --> 01:00:01,564 The theory behind it was quite simple, 866 01:00:01,564 --> 01:00:04,693 Unwanted children, have been shown to be at high risk for crime. 867 01:00:04,693 --> 01:00:08,071 With legalized abortion, fewer unwanted children were born. 868 01:00:08,071 --> 01:00:12,033 Therefore, the theory would be that there'd be less crime in 15-20 years later. 869 01:00:12,033 --> 01:00:14,786 When those quahogs reach their peak crime ages 870 01:00:14,869 --> 01:00:18,707 And the data support that hypothesis,quite strongly. 871 01:00:19,374 --> 01:00:20,792 If you follow the data, 872 01:00:20,792 --> 01:00:25,005 there were 5 states that legalized abortions, 3 years before "Roe Vs. Wade" 873 01:00:25,005 --> 01:00:28,258 and about 15 years later, their crimes begins to fall, 874 01:00:28,258 --> 01:00:30,301 3 years before the rest of the country. 875 01:00:31,553 --> 01:00:34,556 Then if you look at states where abortion was not just legal, 876 01:00:34,597 --> 01:00:37,434 but is available to people who wanna get them ... 877 01:00:37,434 --> 01:00:40,103 ... 16, 17 years after "Roe Vs. Wade" 878 01:00:40,103 --> 01:00:41,730 you see a 30% difference 879 01:00:41,730 --> 01:00:45,233 between the states doing a lot of abortions and ones that are doing very few. 880 01:00:46,151 --> 01:00:49,946 Finally, all of the effect we see in a in a diverse in crime, 881 01:00:49,946 --> 01:00:53,283 all of that is concentrated among people under the age of 25. 882 01:00:53,283 --> 01:00:55,952 People young enough to have been exposed to legalized abortion. 883 01:00:55,952 --> 01:00:57,996 People older than 25, 884 01:00:58,038 --> 01:00:59,581 here's no difference whatsoever 885 01:00:59,581 --> 01:01:02,042 between the high abortion state and the low abortion states. 886 01:01:02,167 --> 01:01:04,294 And I think in some way that's the best evidence we have, 887 01:01:04,294 --> 01:01:08,840 that legalized abortions is responsible for a big chunk of the decline in crime. 888 01:01:09,466 --> 01:01:13,928 Levitt's controversal theory has provoked strong reactions among critics. 889 01:01:13,928 --> 01:01:19,017 Is he, for example, avocating abortions as a crime fighting tool. 890 01:01:19,267 --> 01:01:24,105 In no way, would I take this as advocacy in favor of legalized abortion. 891 01:01:24,689 --> 01:01:28,401 I don't think anyone's opinion about whether abortion should be legal or not 892 01:01:28,401 --> 01:01:30,654 should be affected by our result. 893 01:01:30,654 --> 01:01:32,697 Some of Levitt's critics suggested that 894 01:01:32,697 --> 01:01:36,951 his theory holds what might have been classed a racial implications. 895 01:01:38,453 --> 01:01:42,707 He argues though that raising class has nothing to do with the matter. 896 01:01:42,707 --> 01:01:45,460 That his theory targets no specific group, 897 01:01:45,460 --> 01:01:48,797 other than mothers-to-bes of all backgrounds. 898 01:01:48,797 --> 01:01:53,259 And since, as Levitt points out, women who're led to abort 899 01:01:53,259 --> 01:01:57,597 go on to become child bearers consistent with the general populations. 900 01:01:57,597 --> 01:02:00,850 Levitt's argument could thus be undertood to suggest that 901 01:02:00,850 --> 01:02:04,020 legalized abortion does not so much prevent birth, 902 01:02:04,020 --> 01:02:05,313 as delay it. 903 01:02:05,313 --> 01:02:09,025 This turns an unwanted birth by a too young mother, for example 904 01:02:09,025 --> 01:02:13,154 into a wanted birth by that mother when she feels more ready. 905 01:02:14,656 --> 01:02:18,827 So, if Levitt is not advocating abortion as a crime fighting tool, 906 01:02:18,827 --> 01:02:20,412 what is he advocating? 907 01:02:22,998 --> 01:02:27,711 Well, whether one is pro-life, pro-choice or somewhere in between 908 01:02:27,711 --> 01:02:31,423 there's a meaningful and today unpeached connection 909 01:02:31,423 --> 01:02:33,883 between giving women the right to choose 910 01:02:33,883 --> 01:02:35,343 and the reduction in crime. 911 01:03:18,219 --> 01:03:21,014 We started offin a normal interview post 912 01:03:21,014 --> 01:03:24,517 and now you're lying down, swinging a pillow aaround 913 01:03:24,809 --> 01:03:26,603 What ... What's going on here? 914 01:03:26,603 --> 01:03:29,981 If I give you a slice of juicy fruit, will you say whatever I want 915 01:03:30,607 --> 01:03:31,149 No 916 01:03:31,483 --> 01:03:32,233 No?! 917 01:03:33,068 --> 01:03:36,279 Wait, I heard that you'll do anything for a slice of juicy fruit 918 01:03:37,447 --> 01:03:39,032 No matter how smart you are, 919 01:03:39,658 --> 01:03:41,034 and I kind of think they're pretty smart, 920 01:03:41,034 --> 01:03:43,912 you come up with some incentive scheme that you think is a perfect one 921 01:03:43,912 --> 01:03:46,289 to enties the behavior you have in mind. 922 01:03:46,289 --> 01:03:49,584 And you send an army of people with nothing to do all day 923 01:03:49,584 --> 01:03:51,628 but to figure out how to beat this incentive scheme 924 01:03:51,628 --> 01:03:53,588 -and absolutely it'll be beaten -Well, tell me about ... 925 01:03:53,588 --> 01:03:55,006 ... about Amdanda 926 01:03:55,674 --> 01:03:56,675 This is a long story 927 01:03:56,675 --> 01:04:00,303 I'll give you an example, so 928 01:04:00,637 --> 01:04:03,098 We were trying to potty train Amanda 929 01:04:03,098 --> 01:04:07,769 and my wife went books and did all the things you're told to do 930 01:04:07,769 --> 01:04:09,270 Amanda had been potty trained 931 01:04:09,270 --> 01:04:12,482 and she just decided she wouldn't use the toilet ... anymore. 932 01:04:12,482 --> 01:04:15,527 And this went on for months, my wife was frusttrated. 933 01:04:15,527 --> 01:04:19,864 And I said, I'm an economist, I understand I'll take over. 934 01:04:19,864 --> 01:04:23,618 And I got right down on Amanda's level on my knees and I knew what ... 935 01:04:23,618 --> 01:04:25,662 she likes more than anything else, she's about 3 years old, were MMs. 936 01:04:26,705 --> 01:04:31,001 And I said,"If you go pee pee in the potty, I'll give you a bag of MMs." 937 01:04:31,710 --> 01:04:33,128 she said,"Right now?", I said "Yeah". 938 01:04:33,128 --> 01:04:36,464 said,"Ok"; and she hopped on the potty went, went to the bathroom 939 01:04:36,464 --> 01:04:39,843 I turned to my wife and said,"Let the economist handle it, you know." 940 01:04:42,762 --> 01:04:45,098 And indeed, for the next couple of days, it worked to perfection. 941 01:04:45,098 --> 01:04:47,100 And everytime she has to go bathroom, she announced it. 942 01:04:47,100 --> 01:04:49,811 She went to the bathroom, we gave her the MMs. 943 01:04:49,811 --> 01:04:51,271 Everything had gone great. 944 01:04:51,271 --> 01:04:53,857 But 3 days later, she said "I have to go to the bathroom" 945 01:04:54,232 --> 01:04:58,320 She went and took a lot of few drops, I gave her the MMs 946 01:04:58,320 --> 01:05:01,156 She got off, she said "I have to go again" 947 01:05:01,156 --> 01:05:02,741 She sat down the potty, 948 01:05:02,741 --> 01:05:04,659 taking a few more drops, I gave her the MMs. 949 01:05:04,659 --> 01:05:05,910 "Got to go again" 950 01:05:05,910 --> 01:05:09,914 Basically, in 3 days she's gone from someone with no blatter control 951 01:05:09,956 --> 01:05:17,339 to a pro that she can complete control the flow at a whimp 952 01:05:17,380 --> 01:05:21,468 And had a 3 year old had basically come up with 953 01:05:21,468 --> 01:05:23,386 a way to beat the incentive scheme I had developed ... 954 01:05:23,386 --> 01:05:26,640 ... within 3 days. In a million years I would never have imagined. 955 01:05:27,766 --> 01:05:31,936 If an economist can't trick a 3 year old for more than 3 days, 956 01:05:31,936 --> 01:05:36,983 What hope does an economist have tricking the whole country for even 3 hours? 957 01:05:38,068 --> 01:05:40,195 So, that's kind of the beauty of incentives 958 01:05:40,195 --> 01:05:43,448 You don't really know what works and government think 959 01:05:43,448 --> 01:05:46,868 they know what works and they spend a huge amount of resources 960 01:05:46,868 --> 01:05:48,787 establishing incentives 961 01:05:48,787 --> 01:05:51,331 and they gonna do all these things seem to make lots of sense 962 01:05:51,331 --> 01:05:54,542 it sounds really great and may work out well in some measure 963 01:05:54,542 --> 01:05:57,629 But they're gonna backfire in so many different ways 964 01:05:57,629 --> 01:05:59,547 That we can't predict yet. 965 01:05:59,547 --> 01:06:03,426 And people will claugh and people will cry. And that's what incentives are. 966 01:06:05,178 --> 01:06:13,979 CAN A 9TH GRADER BE BRIBED TO SUCCEED? 967 01:06:42,090 --> 01:06:46,177 ITE103 968 01:06:49,681 --> 01:06:50,974 What you guys putting in this? 969 01:06:51,766 --> 01:06:54,602 Get it right over there, you wanna do it right now. 970 01:06:54,769 --> 01:06:55,979 Right now you stupid ass. 971 01:06:56,855 --> 01:06:58,440 Clear! 972 01:07:00,025 --> 01:07:02,444 It's going 973 01:07:02,444 --> 01:07:03,653 That was nothing 974 01:07:04,779 --> 01:07:05,739 Make another one. 975 01:07:06,823 --> 01:07:09,242 I know I can do good in school but I don't 976 01:07:09,242 --> 01:07:12,078 I have a reputation of bad child 977 01:07:12,495 --> 01:07:15,999 Parents are way too uptight in kids' business, like ... 978 01:07:15,999 --> 01:07:18,877 Where you gonna go? What you doing? When are you coming home? 979 01:07:19,461 --> 01:07:23,381 It maybe like "Hey you have homework?" and I'll say "No" 980 01:07:23,381 --> 01:07:27,635 or "I forget my books, I'll do it in the morning." 981 01:07:28,511 --> 01:07:30,180 -That works? -Ah huh 982 01:07:30,597 --> 01:07:32,891 Gets them off my dick 983 01:07:34,142 --> 01:07:34,976 What's up? 984 01:07:35,894 --> 01:07:37,979 Hopefully, I'll mkae it to highschool if I fail 985 01:07:37,979 --> 01:07:41,316 I guess I'll try to get a GED through the millitary or something 986 01:07:41,816 --> 01:07:42,859 I have no clue 987 01:07:43,360 --> 01:07:48,531 ITE104 988 01:07:52,994 --> 01:07:56,373 In the modern economy, not graduating from highschool, 989 01:07:56,373 --> 01:07:58,875 is like an economic death sentence. 990 01:07:59,793 --> 01:08:01,336 When you talking about highschool kids, 991 01:08:01,336 --> 01:08:03,213 what matters to them is what happens today, 992 01:08:03,213 --> 01:08:05,715 a month from now or 6 months from now. 993 01:08:06,883 --> 01:08:09,719 You have a very forward looking mindset 994 01:08:11,596 --> 01:08:13,640 I think ... most kids are dull 995 01:08:14,224 --> 01:08:17,727 In designing incentives to help kids get through school, 996 01:08:17,769 --> 01:08:20,105 we've got to have that conundrum in mind 997 01:08:23,441 --> 01:08:28,029 The idea was for the University of Chicago to see if 998 01:08:28,029 --> 01:08:32,075 students could increase their test scores 999 01:08:32,075 --> 01:08:37,038 simply by giving them a financial ... incentive. 1000 01:08:38,164 --> 01:08:44,045 If it works for 1 student, then it's good enough for me because 1001 01:08:44,087 --> 01:08:46,923 we have no stake in it financially. 1002 01:08:46,923 --> 01:08:50,552 The University of Chicago is picking up the tab. 1003 01:08:50,552 --> 01:08:54,597 Why wouldn't we at least try it? 1004 01:08:54,597 --> 01:08:58,768 I'm thinking, it's going to work. 1005 01:08:59,436 --> 01:09:04,774 Opportunity - you'll always miss 100% of the shots you don't take. 1006 01:09:05,608 --> 01:09:08,028 And, that's my message to the students. 1007 01:09:08,028 --> 01:09:10,864 I don't need to put my degrees up on the wall, 1008 01:09:10,864 --> 01:09:12,741 I already have those. 1009 01:09:12,741 --> 01:09:14,284 I want them to get those. 1010 01:09:22,167 --> 01:09:24,169 How has it been starting a new school? 1011 01:09:24,878 --> 01:09:27,047 It's actually not that bad, I like it here 1012 01:09:27,047 --> 01:09:30,633 -Yea? -It's really easy -Oh the classes are really easy? -Oh, yea 1013 01:09:30,759 --> 01:09:34,679 Let's see, pull out your report card and see how you're doing right now. 1014 01:09:34,679 --> 01:09:36,806 -So, we can see your grades -Yea, not that good 1015 01:09:36,806 --> 01:09:39,225 Alright, so what do you need to improve on? 1016 01:09:39,601 --> 01:09:40,352 Everything 1017 01:09:40,602 --> 01:09:41,728 Ok, but you know I'm seeing grades go up a lot so ... 1018 01:09:43,813 --> 01:09:47,025 ... so you'd probaly wanna know what to get right, if you ... 1019 01:09:47,025 --> 01:09:49,277 do meet the monthly achievement standards?! 1020 01:09:49,277 --> 01:09:51,571 -Sure -Ok, so open up your folder 1021 01:09:53,657 --> 01:09:54,866 Fifty bucks? 1022 01:09:54,866 --> 01:09:58,495 Yea, you get the $50 every month as long as you keep your grades up 1023 01:09:58,495 --> 01:09:58,912 Alright 1024 01:09:59,204 --> 01:10:02,415 I think a lot of people here are gonna do their homeworks then 1025 01:10:02,415 --> 01:10:05,502 -Yea, what about you, why you? -$50 can buy a lot ...ah 1026 01:10:06,294 --> 01:10:10,048 -It can buy -You know, it can pay for my skateboards 1027 01:10:10,548 --> 01:10:15,929 So then I could get sponsored, get free clothse and stuffs. 1028 01:10:15,929 --> 01:10:17,389 Till I graduate 1029 01:10:32,028 --> 01:10:35,323 -How's school today, ok? -Amazing -Good 1030 01:10:38,284 --> 01:10:40,328 Kevin came home from school and says, "Mom ..." 1031 01:10:40,328 --> 01:10:42,789 " ... if I do really good, I can get paid for it." 1032 01:10:43,498 --> 01:10:45,125 Mom, I could really make money. 1033 01:10:45,583 --> 01:10:48,336 I'm like, "Fine, Kevin, go for it." 1034 01:10:48,336 --> 01:10:51,631 I said, "And I'll tell you what, you keep your grades up ..." 1035 01:10:52,590 --> 01:10:57,637 "you're gonna get the money, .... mom will double it." 1036 01:10:59,180 --> 01:11:01,725 Whatever they give you, mom will match it. 1037 01:11:01,725 --> 01:11:03,685 -Alright -Then you'll have double the money. 1038 01:11:03,685 --> 01:11:05,937 -If the grades go up -Right 1039 01:11:06,646 --> 01:11:09,733 A little bit of bribery? What parent doesn't do that?! 1040 01:11:09,983 --> 01:11:12,068 We all bribed our kids one way or another 1041 01:11:14,362 --> 01:11:19,034 -One, two, three, four,five -Bribery works for my kids 1042 01:11:19,451 --> 01:11:20,452 They love to be bribed 1043 01:11:20,452 --> 01:11:23,538 -Eight, nine, ten 1044 01:11:23,621 --> 01:11:26,541 For 50 cents, I can buy whatever I want in my household 1045 01:11:27,292 --> 01:11:30,045 Oh I forgot this dollar 1046 01:11:30,962 --> 01:11:34,424 The closest thing to figurig out habbits is that incentives matter 1047 01:11:34,591 --> 01:11:38,887 Not just financial incentives but social incentives and moral incentives. 1048 01:11:38,887 --> 01:11:40,722 Our goal was to figure out: 1049 01:11:40,722 --> 01:11:46,061 Can we cheaply and quickly move the needle at a school? 1050 01:11:46,061 --> 01:11:49,856 Can we get kids to achieve more as quickly as possible 1051 01:11:49,898 --> 01:11:51,524 with spending very little money. 1052 01:11:58,782 --> 01:12:01,076 There are 900 freshmen in our experiment, 1053 01:12:02,577 --> 01:12:04,829 At the end of every month, we hold a payout event 1054 01:12:04,829 --> 01:12:08,875 where all kids who got all Cs or above receive $50 in cash. 1055 01:12:10,043 --> 01:12:14,089 In addition, those who quality are also elegible for lottery, 1056 01:12:14,089 --> 01:12:16,257 where they can win $500. 1057 01:12:19,427 --> 01:12:20,428 To win the money, 1058 01:12:20,428 --> 01:12:23,723 They have to have no more than 1 unexcused absence 1059 01:12:23,723 --> 01:12:25,850 No all day suspensions 1060 01:12:25,850 --> 01:12:29,104 And all your grades at the end of the month have to be a C or higher 1061 01:12:31,690 --> 01:12:33,942 It's great to give them this financial reward, 1062 01:12:33,942 --> 01:12:36,778 but it's also about having a lot of fanfair around it 1063 01:12:37,362 --> 01:12:42,492 Giving them this big checque, sending them home in a Hummer limo. 1064 01:12:46,037 --> 01:12:48,415 You think, there's definitely a limo effect. 1065 01:12:53,628 --> 01:12:54,879 That is so cool 1066 01:12:54,879 --> 01:12:57,382 Are you serious?! They got to ride in it?! 1067 01:12:57,382 --> 01:12:59,426 Aw, that is so awsome! 1068 01:13:01,553 --> 01:13:08,143 Oh My God! This is awsome! 1069 01:13:09,311 --> 01:13:13,064 Oh yes, yes, you're getting straight As from me. 1070 01:13:13,064 --> 01:13:14,190 Yes! 1071 01:13:14,691 --> 01:13:16,651 There's lot of things I'd do for money I mean 1072 01:13:16,651 --> 01:13:18,945 I work all year round 1073 01:13:19,279 --> 01:13:22,240 Hi, I'm a representative of .... 1074 01:13:22,240 --> 01:13:24,743 we charge $3 for a walkway and $5 for a driveway 1075 01:13:24,743 --> 01:13:26,286 would you like to hire us for our services today? 1076 01:13:27,078 --> 01:13:28,913 Hook, line, and sinker 1077 01:13:29,706 --> 01:13:31,374 They say money doesn't buy happiness, 1078 01:13:31,374 --> 01:13:33,418 and I agree but I disagree. 1079 01:13:33,585 --> 01:13:34,669 Depends how you look at it, 1080 01:13:34,669 --> 01:13:36,254 Because when they say money cannot buy happiness, 1081 01:13:36,254 --> 01:13:38,840 they're saying materials things cannot make a person happy. 1082 01:13:38,840 --> 01:13:40,133 Wanna bet? 1083 01:13:45,180 --> 01:13:50,935 Okay, BPL083, unfortunate that person did not meet the standards this month 1084 01:13:50,977 --> 01:13:53,146 we cannot give them the money. 1085 01:13:53,355 --> 01:13:54,773 You know what you need to do next month, right? 1086 01:13:54,773 --> 01:13:58,860 -Yea -So you think you'll be meeting the standards next month? -Oh yea 1087 01:13:58,985 --> 01:14:01,488 -Alright -I took a look into the limo thing and I was like ... 1088 01:14:01,488 --> 01:14:03,323 Oh, you've seen the limosine outside? 1089 01:14:04,741 --> 01:14:06,951 It was awsome! 1090 01:14:06,951 --> 01:14:09,871 The lights, the way it was layed out ... 1091 01:14:11,331 --> 01:14:15,585 Take us home, Jekins ... it's gonna be so cool! 1092 01:14:16,002 --> 01:14:19,214 These are my halls! These are my halls! 1093 01:14:19,214 --> 01:14:21,383 Cuz I'm a King that's my last name. 1094 01:14:21,383 --> 01:14:23,093 The King~ 1095 01:14:26,846 --> 01:14:29,766 -5 or 7 of prime, so that's ... -Write it! 1096 01:14:33,353 --> 01:14:34,562 -Show your work 1097 01:14:34,980 --> 01:14:37,357 -5, you can't break down 5 because it is a prime number 1098 01:14:37,357 --> 01:14:40,360 Show your work ... I need you to ... do 1099 01:14:41,486 --> 01:14:44,656 -I'm gonna do 7 through 12 -No, I said 1 through 6 1100 01:14:46,199 --> 01:14:47,492 You don't get to pick 1101 01:14:49,953 --> 01:14:51,997 It's really important for me for him to finish school, 1102 01:14:51,997 --> 01:14:53,540 because I didn't. 1103 01:14:55,333 --> 01:14:58,003 He's very intelligent, he needs to focus. 1104 01:14:59,796 --> 01:15:01,464 They got to find something to get these kids 1105 01:15:01,464 --> 01:15:03,967 into going to school and get their grades up. 1106 01:15:14,394 --> 01:15:15,729 Hello? 1107 01:15:16,271 --> 01:15:20,900 Hi, my name is Eliah, I'm calling on behalf of the Chicago High School 1108 01:15:20,900 --> 01:15:22,485 Is Guela Lupaia available? 1109 01:15:22,485 --> 01:15:23,528 Is Hector available? 1110 01:15:23,528 --> 01:15:24,571 Is Mark available? 1111 01:15:24,571 --> 01:15:26,448 This is a message for Jessica Richardson, 1112 01:15:26,448 --> 01:15:30,076 wanted to congratulate her on meeting the monthly achievement this month 1113 01:15:30,076 --> 01:15:33,121 so she's eligible to win $500 1114 01:15:34,205 --> 01:15:37,542 And also, just let you know to have her keep an eye on her math and biology grades 1115 01:15:37,542 --> 01:15:39,169 cuz they're on a C right now. 1116 01:15:41,046 --> 01:15:44,215 Hi, this is Sally Sladoth from the University of Chicago, 1117 01:15:44,215 --> 01:15:45,342 Is Kevin Muncy there? 1118 01:15:47,010 --> 01:15:47,969 Hi this is Kevin 1119 01:15:47,969 --> 01:15:49,846 Hi Kevin, I'm looking at your grades, 1120 01:15:49,846 --> 01:15:51,431 and it looks like you need to bring some of them up, 1121 01:15:51,431 --> 01:15:53,933 are you doing something to work on bringing up your grades? 1122 01:15:53,933 --> 01:15:59,814 I'm not gonna lie, I haven't done every assignment, so far 1123 01:16:00,482 --> 01:16:01,775 So are you going to your teachers and 1124 01:16:01,775 --> 01:16:04,319 ask if you can make up the missing assignments? 1125 01:16:04,319 --> 01:16:07,113 Ah yeah, they're actually making a list for me right now. 1126 01:16:07,656 --> 01:16:10,075 -That's great, so you gonna try to make those up -Yea 1127 01:16:10,200 --> 01:16:12,494 Cuz the thing is if you can trun in missing assignments, 1128 01:16:12,494 --> 01:16:13,787 you can bring up the grade a lot. 1129 01:16:13,787 --> 01:16:17,165 because you go from having no credit for the assignment, 1130 01:16:17,165 --> 01:16:20,251 to getting some credit or even a lot of credit 1131 01:16:20,251 --> 01:16:23,421 -that'll make your grades bounce up a lot. -Yea 1132 01:16:24,464 --> 01:16:30,011 -So, you going to get the $50 for this month? 1133 01:16:30,512 --> 01:16:32,389 -Are you gonna be doing your best? -Yea 1134 01:16:32,389 --> 01:16:34,557 Alright, that's what I like to hear 1135 01:16:34,557 --> 01:16:37,727 -Alright, take care, have a good day. -Alright, you too, bye. -Bye 1136 01:16:40,730 --> 01:16:43,024 Huh, what? what? what? what? 1137 01:16:48,947 --> 01:16:50,156 Go duct tape him. 1138 01:16:51,866 --> 01:16:55,662 Little drawing over here, chromosomal #21, down syndrome are clear 1139 01:16:55,662 --> 01:16:58,039 So, if you have normal splitting, 1140 01:16:58,039 --> 01:17:00,208 this is what happens, we're making sperm here .... 1141 01:17:10,552 --> 01:17:14,389 -Mr. Garshorn, can you Tyler come help me? -Sure 1142 01:17:14,848 --> 01:17:17,392 You just wanna copy Lindsey's? 1143 01:17:19,352 --> 01:17:20,645 No, just tell her to come back here. 1144 01:17:21,855 --> 01:17:23,523 Lindsey 1145 01:17:24,107 --> 01:17:25,233 Do you have that? 1146 01:17:49,424 --> 01:17:51,468 Congratulations, you met the standards 1147 01:17:52,469 --> 01:17:53,887 Congratulations, you get the $50 this month. 1148 01:17:56,222 --> 01:17:59,309 -Unfortunately, you didn't meet the standards this month -Great 1149 01:18:02,270 --> 01:18:06,983 It's just on the grey category, you need to bring up these ... 1150 01:18:06,983 --> 01:18:09,653 grades to ... to be passing 1151 01:18:09,653 --> 01:18:13,031 So, let's take a look here ... Algebra you're passing that's good 1152 01:18:13,031 --> 01:18:15,825 So, what's going on in Biology and World History? 1153 01:18:15,825 --> 01:18:17,327 Are you missing assignments? 1154 01:18:18,328 --> 01:18:20,830 His history teacher said he should be in his honor class 1155 01:18:20,830 --> 01:18:24,125 but the simple fact that he's not doing the work, that's why he's not there. 1156 01:18:24,125 --> 01:18:25,126 Have to do the work. 1157 01:18:25,168 --> 01:18:28,797 The trouble between me and my mom is mostly about homework. 1158 01:18:28,797 --> 01:18:34,052 Because, the way it is with her she's always "When I was in school, ... " 1159 01:18:34,052 --> 01:18:35,720 ... we have homework everyday." 1160 01:18:35,720 --> 01:18:39,474 And I'm trying to get her to understand it's 21st century. 1161 01:18:39,474 --> 01:18:41,017 That was then and it is now. 1162 01:18:41,017 --> 01:18:47,857 Teachers are now more lenient, and no offence, care less ... 1163 01:18:51,569 --> 01:18:52,946 Ok, so what do we have? 1164 01:18:52,946 --> 01:18:54,948 I think the results are great this month, 1165 01:18:54,948 --> 01:18:57,117 where you see the control at 28, 1166 01:18:57,117 --> 01:19:00,245 then all the treatment at 36-38 1167 01:19:01,496 --> 01:19:02,789 So, that seems great to me, you know ... 1168 01:19:02,872 --> 01:19:05,834 When you go from 28-37, 1169 01:19:06,126 --> 01:19:07,836 -Right -I mean you're talking about ... 1170 01:19:08,169 --> 01:19:10,171 ... close to a 30% increase right? 1171 01:19:10,547 --> 01:19:13,675 So, seems like we are taking all the D kids to C 1172 01:19:13,675 --> 01:19:15,719 -and we're not doing anything for the E kids -Right 1173 01:19:16,594 --> 01:19:18,471 The question is the kids moved from D to C this year, 1174 01:19:18,471 --> 01:19:20,682 are they gonna have a better life? 1175 01:19:20,682 --> 01:19:24,477 -Right -I don't think we've the answer to that, overtime we'll find out ... 1176 01:19:24,477 --> 01:19:27,605 But I've definitely been surprised by how important ... 1177 01:19:27,605 --> 01:19:29,566 ... how well the parents groups are doing that ... 1178 01:19:29,566 --> 01:19:32,319 ... parents still make a difference in 9th grades it looks like. 1179 01:19:34,237 --> 01:19:35,989 Mom, I took a quiz on this book 1180 01:19:35,989 --> 01:19:39,159 the Maken TerryBerry book, I took a quiz on that 1181 01:19:39,159 --> 01:19:39,951 Did you read the book? 1182 01:19:39,951 --> 01:19:40,869 I read the book 1183 01:19:41,703 --> 01:19:42,037 Did you? 1184 01:19:42,037 --> 01:19:45,123 I read the book, I read the book, I read the book but I ... 1185 01:19:45,123 --> 01:19:46,541 -Did you READ the book? -Yes! 1186 01:19:46,541 --> 01:19:49,252 Cuz we have to search and read to find the answers 1187 01:19:49,252 --> 01:19:51,046 we have to read the book to find the answers 1188 01:19:51,046 --> 01:19:52,797 So, stop 1189 01:19:52,797 --> 01:19:56,509 Did you read the book or you just skim over the book? 1190 01:19:56,509 --> 01:19:59,512 ... to find the answer to the question that you were looking for? 1191 01:19:59,763 --> 01:20:01,556 Because, there's a difference 1192 01:20:01,556 --> 01:20:03,975 We read it as a class, but when we took the test ... 1193 01:20:03,975 --> 01:20:06,394 he gives out the page and we have to look for the answers. 1194 01:20:06,811 --> 01:20:08,813 Did you read the book without the class? 1195 01:20:08,813 --> 01:20:13,443 Did you read the book from cover to cover? 1196 01:20:13,943 --> 01:20:16,237 -Not from cover to cover -So, you didn't read the book 1197 01:20:16,237 --> 01:20:18,073 -We have ... -You didn't read the book! 1198 01:20:18,948 --> 01:20:21,534 -We didn't ... -You didn't read the book 1199 01:20:21,534 --> 01:20:23,995 You didn't read the book from cover to cover, 1200 01:20:23,995 --> 01:20:28,249 outside of class, with no help, no instructions from your teacher 1201 01:20:28,249 --> 01:20:30,752 along with your classmate, you didn't read the book 1202 01:20:30,752 --> 01:20:32,337 that's why you failed the test. 1203 01:20:47,435 --> 01:20:51,856 Look, I made a tattoo gun out of toothbrush 1204 01:20:51,856 --> 01:20:54,192 and I was giving myself a tattoo in class 1205 01:20:54,192 --> 01:20:56,611 -You have a tattoo? -I'm giving it to myself 1206 01:20:57,028 --> 01:20:59,280 I only did like a little bit 1207 01:20:59,280 --> 01:21:00,782 I got to do it a lot better 1208 01:21:01,825 --> 01:21:03,994 I can't let them see cuz I'll get into trouble, but ... 1209 01:21:03,994 --> 01:21:07,497 I made it out of toothbrush, and then just turn it on 1210 01:21:07,497 --> 01:21:09,916 I made it out of guitar string 1211 01:21:15,380 --> 01:21:19,259 I don't think I'll take money for giving up my social life 1212 01:21:19,759 --> 01:21:21,511 I wanna be the class clown 1213 01:21:22,679 --> 01:21:24,764 I'm doing better cuz I went up 6% to ... almost a D 1214 01:21:41,448 --> 01:21:42,866 He always likes to be the class clown, 1215 01:21:42,866 --> 01:21:46,911 always likes get the laughing; impressing everybody around him 1216 01:21:46,911 --> 01:21:49,080 That could be his incentive 1217 01:21:49,789 --> 01:21:50,790 But you'd think that ... 1218 01:21:50,790 --> 01:21:54,252 to impress everybody around you, your grade will be with that too. 1219 01:21:56,629 --> 01:21:59,549 He's got something in the mail that showed the list of all his grades 1220 01:21:59,549 --> 01:22:00,467 E,E,E,E,E ... 1221 01:22:00,467 --> 01:22:03,845 and I said, oh he's enjoying 9th grade he's doing it again, so ... 1222 01:22:03,970 --> 01:22:06,348 Now what I need to do, is ... 1223 01:22:06,348 --> 01:22:09,601 ... whenever he asks me for money now, he's not gonna get it. 1224 01:22:09,601 --> 01:22:10,810 End of story. 1225 01:22:10,810 --> 01:22:14,064 Yea. when the skateboard running out of wheels or getting bad ... 1226 01:22:14,064 --> 01:22:17,901 Well then, just grinding them down, or hit the books or soemthing 1227 01:22:38,797 --> 01:22:43,009 Urail, what does it mean to say a genotype is homozygous 1228 01:22:43,802 --> 01:22:48,264 -When all the "aline" are the same -When all of the Alios are the same 1229 01:22:52,352 --> 01:22:55,814 This is my last chance to win $500 1230 01:22:55,814 --> 01:22:59,859 I'm at the line, I'm splitting ... splitting a hair. 1231 01:23:04,864 --> 01:23:08,660 My brain's been going up and down. There's always something that'd distract me. 1232 01:23:10,078 --> 01:23:10,954 You know what I mean?! 1233 01:23:10,954 --> 01:23:15,250 What's distracting me was ... trying to be cool ... 1234 01:23:15,250 --> 01:23:18,628 ... trying to keep up with the Johnsons basically. 1235 01:23:23,216 --> 01:23:26,344 ITE103 1236 01:23:35,603 --> 01:23:38,356 Congratulations, you made the standard achivement for the last month. 1237 01:23:43,445 --> 01:23:47,741 So, here's your report card and the bracelet. 1238 01:23:47,741 --> 01:23:49,701 Here's the front and here's the back. 1239 01:23:51,411 --> 01:23:52,412 Congratulations 1240 01:23:53,872 --> 01:23:55,498 Great grades. 1241 01:24:18,605 --> 01:24:22,317 If I fail, I'm done, I'm dropping out. 1242 01:24:23,568 --> 01:24:30,700 Army, marines, coast guard, go to Iraq or something like that. I've no clue. 1243 01:24:47,217 --> 01:24:49,135 -Urail King -Yes! 1244 01:25:01,231 --> 01:25:04,317 Take us home, Jekins 1245 01:25:08,947 --> 01:25:10,949 What are the final results are like? 1246 01:25:10,949 --> 01:25:17,664 Our program is getting 35-50% more students to pass 9th grade. 1247 01:25:17,664 --> 01:25:20,959 5-7% boost in 9th grade passing rates. 1248 01:25:20,959 --> 01:25:23,545 We sure expect a lot higher rates than that. 1249 01:25:24,379 --> 01:25:26,589 We hope for a lot higher rates than that. 1250 01:25:26,589 --> 01:25:30,176 If we give them $50k ... to pass the 9th grade ... 1251 01:25:31,261 --> 01:25:32,971 what share do you think would pass? 1252 01:25:33,555 --> 01:25:35,974 Would we move 10% of the kids? 20% of the kids? 1253 01:25:36,850 --> 01:25:37,517 All of them? 1254 01:25:37,851 --> 01:25:38,727 I don't know 1255 01:25:39,144 --> 01:25:43,732 I think we need to, attack the problem at a ... much younger age ... 1256 01:25:43,732 --> 01:25:47,569 the dollar will be better spent during the earlier years 1257 01:25:49,404 --> 01:25:50,572 So what are we going to do next year? 1258 01:25:50,572 --> 01:25:52,991 What about preschool, did they find a preschool yet? 1259 01:25:52,991 --> 01:25:57,078 Yea, we've got a few perschools lined up and they seem excited. 1260 01:25:58,038 --> 01:25:59,331 So, we're talking about preschoolers ... 1261 01:25:59,331 --> 01:26:02,167 are we talking about taking parenting out of the hands of parents? 1262 01:26:02,167 --> 01:26:04,878 Or teaching the parents how to parent? Or both? 1263 01:26:04,878 --> 01:26:06,421 It's a little bit of both. 1264 01:26:07,339 --> 01:26:08,632 That could be fun. 1265 01:26:13,386 --> 01:26:15,639 The way I see it, learning is like a virus. 1266 01:26:15,639 --> 01:26:19,309 a virus that most adolesents don't want to catch ... 1267 01:26:19,309 --> 01:26:20,810 ... until later on in life. 1268 01:26:22,771 --> 01:26:24,105 Next year, I'm gonna be a sophomore. 1269 01:26:25,273 --> 01:26:29,110 I'm gonna tell you, I'm doing great and I'm getting As and Bs. 1270 01:26:30,487 --> 01:26:32,739 Next year when I'm gonna be a sophomore. 1271 01:26:34,324 --> 01:26:37,869 If not As and Bs then straight Bs ... or Bs and Cs. 1272 01:26:40,705 --> 01:26:43,708 Hey, that's difficult, that's not as easy as it looks. 1273 01:26:47,462 --> 01:26:49,130 I can promise you milk and cookies, but if ... 1274 01:26:49,130 --> 01:26:51,299 ... the oven is broken then you just gonna get milk. 1275 01:26:56,721 --> 01:26:57,931 ITE104 1276 01:26:58,640 --> 01:27:03,311 Our incentives, unlike everyone else's, are to be honest ... 1277 01:27:03,311 --> 01:27:08,566 If we build our reputation on, we're honest about this issue, and other issues .... 1278 01:27:08,566 --> 01:27:11,569 ... then people will believe us about everything. 1279 01:27:11,569 --> 01:27:14,948 The worst thing we could do, the only way we can ruin our reputation ... 1280 01:27:14,948 --> 01:27:17,075 ... is by starting to take sides and fights. 1281 01:27:17,617 --> 01:27:24,457 This peculiar beast, which actually has the right incentives, you just seek the truth. 1282 01:27:25,041 --> 01:27:26,543 And not have an agenda. 1283 01:27:26,960 --> 01:27:29,921 So, I don't think, anything we've ever written or thought is gonna save ... 1284 01:27:29,921 --> 01:27:34,092 any lives really, or ... make people better or smarter anyway. But ... 1285 01:27:34,092 --> 01:27:38,722 ... we kind of give people permission to challenge conventional wisdom sometimes ... 1286 01:27:39,097 --> 01:27:41,349 And ask a different kind of questions entirely ... 1287 01:27:41,349 --> 01:27:45,979 and a lot of times the sort of questions you ask his children, 1288 01:27:45,979 --> 01:27:49,357 and ah, people kind of chuckle at you. 1289 01:27:49,357 --> 01:27:51,359 But once in a while, they turn out to be rather good. 1290 01:27:51,359 --> 01:27:57,407 The problem is, as you get older, you ask them as adults in a meeting or friends, 1291 01:27:57,407 --> 01:28:01,077 they'll laugh at you hard and you stop entirely. 1292 01:28:01,077 --> 01:28:03,204 And we just kind of keep doing it. 1293 01:28:03,204 --> 01:28:07,042 We kind of say, what if this thing everybody think is so really isn't. 1294 01:28:07,751 --> 01:28:10,545 What if that didn't cause this, what if this cause it? 1295 01:28:11,087 --> 01:28:15,008 I think that's just need to be a lot more permission for people to think like that 1296 01:28:18,053 --> 01:28:19,596 Total bs, was't it? 1297 01:28:22,474 --> 01:28:23,933 -=End of movie=- 112946

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