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Welcome back folks to the lesson,
six of the may, 2017 ICT mentorship.
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I think the amplify day trading
and scalping, this teaching
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is bread and butter bison.
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Okay.
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Bread and butter by setups daily
opportunities and scalping.
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Now, what you're gonna be focusing on
is consistent small price movements
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that can be harvested not every day, but
just about every day now in by programs.
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If they will perform one
of two price engine models.
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The first is accumulate
sell-side liquidity by repricing.
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Under an old low sell stops will
be triggered inducing counterparty
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sellers to pair long entries with
price will seek a higher short-term
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premium array to offset positions.
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So offset accumulation is
the first price engine model.
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The second is re cumulate fair value
in retracements lower at discount.
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Week-long holders will be
squeezed in the retracement lower.
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So, whereas anyone that's already long
when you see the retracement intraday,
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many traders are usually using way too
tight of a stop-loss and there'll be
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squeezed out and they'll be providing
short-term self held liquidity to
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pair up orders with, and price will
seek to expand higher to a short-term
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premium array to offset position.
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Alright, engineering cell side
liquidity offset accumulation.
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It will reprice the market below
in old, low to promote sell stops.
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That will be residing there
for current long holders.
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Now this is in essence, engineer's
sellers at a deep discount.
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The open float, which is the
existing orders that are actually
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in the marketplace above and
below the current market price.
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The open flow below that old low may
also have cell stops for breakout
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systems that wish to sell on weakness.
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This model is called offset accumulate.
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It's primary purpose is to offset
current long holders or induce
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more sellers at discount pricing.
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The model is seen frequently
in bullish market conditions.
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And while higher timeframe, institutional
order flow is suggesting higher prices.
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Typically offset accumulation models
unfold quickly, and you must learn to
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anticipate them at key lows, intraday.
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Alright, providing banks.
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Entry points or pricing
with re accumulation.
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If they will reprice the market lower to
a fair value price array to provide smart
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money discount pricing for long entries,
the market will be bullish from an
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institutional perspective and many times
unfolds after a recent sell stop rate.
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The retracement lower in price will
place pain on current long holders
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and tends to induce selling thus
providing Southside liquidity to
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pair smart money long history.
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This model was called green accumulation.
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It's primary purpose is to re accumulate
new long entries and, or induce
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more sellers at discount pricing.
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The model is seen frequently
in bullish market conditions.
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00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:43,049
And while higher timeframe, institutional
order flow is suggesting higher prices.
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Typically re accumulation models on full
quickly, and you must learn to anticipate
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them at key discount or raise in.
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Okay, realistic objectives.
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The trade duration.
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When we look for scalps are going to be
typically one to two hours or less many
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times, a lot less, but usually about
two hours is the maximum pips portrayed.
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Usually going to see a low end of 15 pips
to 30 pips on average timing, the market
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we're going to be using the five minutes.
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Now the frequency of setups per
week, you get as many as 15 or more.
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Yes.
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15 or more per day, you get
about two to three setups.
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Typically per session, you
generally get about one per session.
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That means.
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One in London, one in New York, one
in London close, and one in Asia,
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it doesn't mean you get one every
single session for every single pair.
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It just means if you look across a handful
of pairs, get a basket of four or five,
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you can watch and see that there's a
scalp usually setting up in one of these
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sessions in one of those pairs or another.
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00:04:58,905 --> 00:05:00,905
And there's going to be more
volatility in one pair over them.
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00:05:00,955 --> 00:05:04,905
So if you look at, for instance,
the majors across the dollar, if
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00:05:04,905 --> 00:05:08,115
you look at all those majors paired
with a dollar, if you look at.
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Major it London, obviously
London SU volatile.
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You'll get something there obviously,
but New York, the same thing, but
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usually London clothes and Asia both
will have, uh, something crop up in
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either one of those major, uh, crosses
with a dollar, but not all of them.
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Just one of them.
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No, your risk to reward typically is
going to be one to one, which isn't hot,
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but sometimes you can get a little bit
better than that, but generally if you're
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thinking scalping think one-to-one, and
that's about all you're going to get
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ideal risk per trade is a half percent
to 1% and 1% may be a little high,
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but as you start to get better at it,
you can start seeing more setups, you
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00:05:51,405 --> 00:05:53,865
know, obviously in graduates at a 1%,
but I wouldn't do anything more than.
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Now, this is the offset
accumulation model.
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Basically it's a stop run on cell stops,
the buy profile for offset accumulation.
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So in other words, it's engineering
cell side liquidity knocking out
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south stops to take it higher.
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And for re accumulation using
fair value or re accumulation by
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profile for the price engine model.
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This is what it is.
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It's typically the ethical trade.
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Alright, consistent small price movements
are going to be specific to kill zones.
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All scalping should be done
during ICT kill zones since the
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duration and style of trading.
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So short-term in nature.
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We need the most volatile times of the
trading day to ensure that we get a move.
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There are times when using
limit orders and entry may
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execute outside of kill zone.
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This tends to happen in London lunch.
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That means between 5:00 AM, New York
time to 7:00 AM, New York time or post
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New York open, basically around 10
o'clock and later in the afternoon.
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So it's best to be actively
following the market.
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If you're going to be scalping day.
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In other words, what am I saying?
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Try to do all your scalping
with market orders.
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You can get fancy if you want to with
limit orders, but my opinion is if
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you're going to be scalping, just
use market orders is get in there.
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Use market orders and use
limit orders for your.
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I gave you here a little, a little chart
for the major sessions, and you can
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see how the overlap with GMT time and
Eastern standard time, the Kilz zones
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aren't completely lined up with this.
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So you have to use the lesson
that I gave you in earlier months.
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We're actually give you the
specifics about what each
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00:07:38,910 --> 00:07:40,410
kills zone time start and end.
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All right.
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Up-close days or bullish days, and
we're gonna be revisiting the daily
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range here for completeness sake.
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When the market is poised to
trade higher, based on higher
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timeframe, institutional order flow.
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In essence, we expect the open to me
at, or near the low, the daily range.
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There can be a small decline
below the opening price.
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00:08:07,335 --> 00:08:09,525
And you're probably asking
yourself, well, Michael, which
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opening price you referring to?
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Remember?
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We look at both zero GMT open
at Asia's open, and we're
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looking at Midland New York.
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So higher timeframe,
institutional order flow.
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00:08:19,724 --> 00:08:24,615
That means that monthly, weekly, daily
four hour, we've done our analysis.
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We'd done all of our
directional bias studies.
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00:08:28,784 --> 00:08:32,294
We looked at the, if the data
ranges, where is the quarterly shift?
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Most.
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Is it looking to go higher and go lower?
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Or we recently trading off
of daily bullish discount.
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Rays, are we seeing bullish, shorter
blocks, support pricing bears,
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shorter blocks, breaking way.
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Are we coming down and filling
in liquidity voids and rallying,
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or are we filling in fair gaps?
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00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:54,480
And then rallying, what that's telling
you is institutional airflow is bullish.
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You don't need trend lines or
moving averages to do that.
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And you just need to
see what price is doing.
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How is it supporting.
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00:09:01,875 --> 00:09:06,344
Up candles up close candles, being
broken and down closed candles findings.
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For every time price comes down to it.
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That's institutional order flow.
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00:09:11,370 --> 00:09:13,880
So if you're looking at it on a higher
timeframe, monthly, weekly, daily,
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four hour, and you see those evidences
in price, and you did your PDA rate
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matrix and you see where those PDA
rays are, where's the one that you're
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most likely, most likely going to fit.
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See, facilitate a long entry.
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It's the next one?
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That price trades to, once you
get in there, obviously you're
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gonna be looking for something.
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The counterparty too.
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So that way it frames your trade.
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You have to have an entry point.
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You have to have number one, you
have to have a consensus of whether
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the market's bullshit bears and
we don't use anything except for
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institutional or flow to get that.
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That means we're looking at price action
that tell us what's what's occurring
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our old highs breaking, but Lowe's not
being broken or are those loads being
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00:09:54,975 --> 00:09:58,935
broken quickly and in price naps higher
right away, what that's showing you.
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00:09:59,939 --> 00:10:01,949
The price engine model
was re accumulation.
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They took it down to the cell
stops announcement going higher.
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These are all fingerprints
are hallmarks of IPTA showing
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institutional order flow is bullish
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London open post the initial lake higher
intraday then waits for New York open.
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00:10:21,689 --> 00:10:25,800
Typically you'll see that London
open swing, pretty volatile,
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pretty aggressive mood.
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One side.
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And usually it does about anywhere
between 40 and 60% of the daily range
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before we get to 5:00 AM, New York time.
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00:10:36,945 --> 00:10:39,645
And then there's a small period
between 5:00 AM and 7:00 AM,
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which is the London lunch.
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And usually you'll get some measure
of retracement or consolidation there.
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And then you have the New York open.
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So New York open sees a continuation
higher when we're bullish.
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And it usually tends to
expand up to 10:00 AM.
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New York time.
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Usually they'll start to consolidate
their, or create the high of the day.
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And we trace a little bit, or it
could be a complete market reversal.
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But in this case, what we're looking
for as bullish environments, where
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the higher timeframe institutional
or flows bullish, and we expecting a
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00:11:13,214 --> 00:11:18,714
big range day where we can get some
scalping done, probably should treat up
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into the five day average daily range.
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00:11:21,615 --> 00:11:23,235
Now that's a little
indicator I can give you.
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00:11:23,685 --> 00:11:26,715
It'll be attached to the forum
where you can download it.
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I'm not going to give it to you
until we do the bread and butter self
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setups so that we will have a complete
understanding what you gonna do with it.
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00:11:34,485 --> 00:11:37,215
Cause I'll give you the additional,
uh, instructions about that
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in the self set up teaching.
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00:11:43,055 --> 00:11:46,205
And once the five-year average
daily range has hit, and then we
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00:11:46,205 --> 00:11:48,005
go into London close time of day.
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00:11:48,765 --> 00:11:51,015
Usually the price we'll be posting
it's high, and then they'll
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00:11:51,015 --> 00:11:53,205
start retracing off of that high.
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00:11:53,535 --> 00:11:56,955
So between 10:00 AM and noon in New
York time, we expect the high, the
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00:11:56,955 --> 00:12:02,355
daily range to form and at, or above the
five day average daily range projected
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00:12:02,355 --> 00:12:07,545
high price will normally retrace lower
and close off of the high of the day.
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00:12:07,755 --> 00:12:10,155
Now normally does it mean every time?
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00:12:11,450 --> 00:12:11,870
Okay.
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00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:13,700
Some of the folks in our membership.
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00:12:13,850 --> 00:12:14,330
Okay.
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00:12:14,420 --> 00:12:20,210
Take a statement that is not
highly specific and rigorous
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00:12:20,210 --> 00:12:24,170
about its uh, um, context.
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00:12:24,290 --> 00:12:24,650
Okay.
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00:12:24,650 --> 00:12:29,150
It's a normal thing, but
doesn't mean it's a panacea.
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00:12:29,660 --> 00:12:29,990
Okay.
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00:12:29,990 --> 00:12:31,160
It's not a be all end.
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00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:31,310
All.
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00:12:31,310 --> 00:12:35,060
It's not a absolute price will normally.
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00:12:36,329 --> 00:12:38,670
Retrace lower and close
off the high of the day.
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00:12:39,569 --> 00:12:41,579
What am I suppose in there
without actually saying it?
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00:12:42,090 --> 00:12:42,900
It can go higher.
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00:12:43,680 --> 00:12:45,090
Sometimes it can go a lot higher.
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00:12:45,810 --> 00:12:49,770
So just be mindful that while
we understand the daily range is
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00:12:50,010 --> 00:12:55,530
typically formed like this on highly
explosive up moves 10 o'clock.
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00:12:55,530 --> 00:12:58,290
Isn't going to stop price 11
o'clock is going to stop price noon.
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00:12:58,290 --> 00:12:59,280
Isn't gonna stop price one.
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00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:00,270
O'clock isn't gonna stop rise.
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00:13:00,630 --> 00:13:02,589
It can rally all that to
bond close at 3:00 PM.
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00:13:07,350 --> 00:13:11,700
Alright, the London open when we
scalping the London session, there
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00:13:11,700 --> 00:13:12,990
were some details about that.
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00:13:14,939 --> 00:13:17,580
Obviously when the higher timeframe
institutional order flow is bullish,
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00:13:17,910 --> 00:13:21,030
we're going to be anticipating
the London session low of the day.
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00:13:21,030 --> 00:13:21,750
Formation.
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00:13:23,790 --> 00:13:28,920
The open ends, your GMT or 12:00 AM in New
York can see a protraction phase lowering.
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00:13:30,209 --> 00:13:34,949
This can be scout from the open or
just above it prior to the 1:00 AM.
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00:13:34,949 --> 00:13:35,729
New York time.
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00:13:36,150 --> 00:13:37,079
Now, what am I saying here?
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00:13:37,290 --> 00:13:40,319
You can look at price action on a bullish
day, and if you're gonna be scalping,
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00:13:40,329 --> 00:13:41,910
you're gotta be really nimble about this.
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00:13:41,910 --> 00:13:43,500
You've gotta know exactly
what you're looking for for
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00:13:43,500 --> 00:13:45,180
a discount or re no worries.
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00:13:45,180 --> 00:13:48,989
You gotta really be confident
that your convictions are.
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00:13:49,875 --> 00:13:54,255
So strong that you think that when price
drops down to create that Judas swing
232
00:13:55,245 --> 00:13:58,155
greeting the low of the day where you're
gonna be getting out at and where the
233
00:13:58,155 --> 00:14:01,635
opening is, if there's a large enough
range there, that can be scalped.
234
00:14:02,805 --> 00:14:08,565
I teach people not to try to do that, but
more appropriate would be to wait for the
235
00:14:08,565 --> 00:14:10,215
Jew to swing and then buy it down there.
236
00:14:10,515 --> 00:14:10,875
Okay.
237
00:14:10,875 --> 00:14:11,055
But.
238
00:14:12,375 --> 00:14:16,365
For scalping, some, some of you guys
are really excited about being nimble in
239
00:14:16,365 --> 00:14:17,985
and out both sides of the marketplace.
240
00:14:18,225 --> 00:14:20,865
Again, I'm not trying to promote
that idea, but I'm just giving
241
00:14:20,865 --> 00:14:25,635
you a complete array of tools and
guidelines that I came up through
242
00:14:25,635 --> 00:14:27,345
the market, using all these things.
243
00:14:27,345 --> 00:14:31,515
But I gravitated away from doing that
this highly specifically looking for
244
00:14:32,175 --> 00:14:35,564
that Judas swing down on days it's
bullish and I expect it to be up close.
245
00:14:35,985 --> 00:14:38,385
I'm trying to nail down that
low, get real close to that low.
246
00:14:42,170 --> 00:14:47,060
The classic London, Judas swing lower can
be scalp, even easier if you're looking at
247
00:14:47,060 --> 00:14:51,440
the midnight candle in New York, uh, that
moved, that drops down from that candle.
248
00:14:51,650 --> 00:14:54,380
That in my opinion is a little bit
easier to scout, even if you're going
249
00:14:54,380 --> 00:14:56,570
to be seeing a higher close on the day.
250
00:14:57,314 --> 00:14:59,685
But Asia's open debt can be a
little bit tricky because you
251
00:14:59,685 --> 00:15:02,175
could have a really tight Asian
range and it doesn't do anything.
252
00:15:03,824 --> 00:15:07,485
The market retraces between 5:00
AM and 7:00 AM New York time.
253
00:15:07,545 --> 00:15:09,795
And this can provide a long scalp entry.
254
00:15:11,025 --> 00:15:12,944
Once a discount array is hit.
255
00:15:13,905 --> 00:15:15,255
Now think about this remote.
256
00:15:16,695 --> 00:15:21,225
There's times when we looked at the price
and after the London kills zone closes.
257
00:15:21,435 --> 00:15:21,735
Okay.
258
00:15:21,735 --> 00:15:23,265
And there's that little
quiet period of time.
259
00:15:23,565 --> 00:15:23,865
Okay.
260
00:15:23,865 --> 00:15:27,945
Were Moroccans generally go quiet
and it's in consolidation and it's
261
00:15:27,945 --> 00:15:30,855
waiting for New York opened around
seven o'clock, six 30 in the morning,
262
00:15:31,185 --> 00:15:31,995
seven o'clock in the morning.
263
00:15:32,025 --> 00:15:35,715
New York time is the New
York session open for ICT.
264
00:15:36,045 --> 00:15:38,175
So what's going on in between that time?
265
00:15:38,175 --> 00:15:39,435
It's it's the London lunch.
266
00:15:41,074 --> 00:15:44,165
Just like in New York, sometimes
traders can work through lunch.
267
00:15:44,194 --> 00:15:45,964
They can say, well, the markets
are really hot right now.
268
00:15:45,995 --> 00:15:47,074
I'll eat lunch when I go home.
269
00:15:47,525 --> 00:15:53,615
So if the markets are really busy, many
times you can get a retracement into
270
00:15:53,615 --> 00:15:58,535
the London lunch that creates an early
entry and it moves before New York open
271
00:15:59,405 --> 00:16:00,574
and that's going to happen sometimes.
272
00:16:00,574 --> 00:16:04,805
And you can get mad and cuss at the screen
all you want, but sometimes you, if you're
273
00:16:04,805 --> 00:16:10,665
really singing very volatile, In London,
or it was quite early in London and in,
274
00:16:10,725 --> 00:16:15,135
towards the four 30 time period, when news
comes out, then it gets really active.
275
00:16:15,345 --> 00:16:20,595
Usually it'll cross over into London,
launching, you'll get maybe a small
276
00:16:20,595 --> 00:16:25,845
little, uh, 15 or 30 minute consolidation,
and then you get the retracement back
277
00:16:25,845 --> 00:16:31,815
into New York and then it runs, but not
always, but it's very, very infrequently.
278
00:16:31,935 --> 00:16:33,075
You'll see set ups that occur.
279
00:16:33,839 --> 00:16:37,605
Where the entry point would be really good
if you trading between 5:00 AM and 7:00
280
00:16:37,605 --> 00:16:41,880
AM, but it's better just to not even trade
that time period, don't even look at it
281
00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:46,890
and think that you have so having you the
expectation, there's a quiet period in the
282
00:16:46,890 --> 00:16:49,170
marketplace between 5:00 AM and 7:00 AM.
283
00:16:49,500 --> 00:16:53,339
Just keep that as a general rule of
thumb, but unless the London session is
284
00:16:53,339 --> 00:16:56,969
quiet in the beginning, and then it gets
really active after three o'clock or four
285
00:16:56,969 --> 00:17:01,470
o'clock, then you'll probably see a little
bit of bleed over in to post 5:00 AM.
286
00:17:01,470 --> 00:17:01,709
New York.
287
00:17:03,630 --> 00:17:06,930
Even after the initial Judas
entry point has passed.
288
00:17:07,170 --> 00:17:08,730
That means, in other words, you missed it.
289
00:17:08,790 --> 00:17:10,139
You couldn't get in when it drop down.
290
00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:15,839
Many of you are too afraid to get in
there because I say you want to be buying
291
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:19,500
on a Judas to swing down or below the
whipping price and don't chase price.
292
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:23,460
So some of you are holding fast to that
rule and, but you don't ever do any.
293
00:17:24,405 --> 00:17:25,454
But there's opportunities.
294
00:17:25,454 --> 00:17:28,665
If you use the five minute chart,
you can use a scalping technique
295
00:17:28,665 --> 00:17:29,715
that gets you in sync with it.
296
00:17:29,775 --> 00:17:32,535
Now, the reason why I didn't teach
it to you sooner, because it's
297
00:17:32,535 --> 00:17:36,014
scalping we're in that time period
where we can use these tools.
298
00:17:36,014 --> 00:17:40,004
Now, up until recently, we haven't
even looked at a five minute chart.
299
00:17:40,335 --> 00:17:44,385
You, we were always higher timeframe and
sticking to the rules of each parameter
300
00:17:44,565 --> 00:17:46,845
for each style trading and scalping.
301
00:17:46,875 --> 00:17:47,925
We look at a five minute chart.
302
00:17:48,375 --> 00:17:51,975
Now I'll comment on the
markets with a one minute.
303
00:17:53,010 --> 00:17:55,800
A few times before we closed this
month out, but generally five
304
00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:56,790
minutes when I'm working off of,
305
00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:04,000
okay, this is an example
of a London session scalp.
306
00:18:04,930 --> 00:18:05,170
Okay.
307
00:18:05,170 --> 00:18:07,990
You can see the price trades
back down for a fair value.
308
00:18:07,990 --> 00:18:13,210
Got for a recalculation fills in
the gap in the London open trades.
309
00:18:14,460 --> 00:18:19,470
EDRs hit in London open and it's a 30
PIP scout because a little bit more now,
310
00:18:19,500 --> 00:18:23,310
obviously, but that's all you would be
looking for for a scalp and it's over dog
311
00:18:27,070 --> 00:18:27,520
scalping.
312
00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:31,240
The New York session when London opened,
confirms institutional sponsorship on
313
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:35,800
the long side and post the daily low, we
expect to see New York open to continue
314
00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:42,370
higher unless a higher timeframe premium
array has been hit, enter date and or ADR.
315
00:18:45,655 --> 00:18:50,784
We look for intraday swings, higher to
determine discount range of raise to
316
00:18:50,784 --> 00:18:52,975
go long at, in the New York kill zone.
317
00:18:53,304 --> 00:18:56,004
Basically think prices got move higher.
318
00:18:56,064 --> 00:18:58,764
Then it starts to retrace
think optimal trade entry long.
319
00:18:59,034 --> 00:18:59,215
Okay.
320
00:18:59,215 --> 00:19:00,445
It's basically what I'm describing there.
321
00:19:01,105 --> 00:19:05,995
So you'd be looking for a discount
array, either a bullshitter block,
322
00:19:06,084 --> 00:19:07,524
a fair value gap or liquidity.
323
00:19:09,820 --> 00:19:14,200
Using the 8:20 AM, New York time
for CME Scoggin mercantile exchange.
324
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:20,800
That's when the commodity futures contract
start trading open to anticipate the New
325
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:26,440
York Judas swing to fade targets will be
the five day average daily range high.
326
00:19:26,470 --> 00:19:29,830
And the next higher timeframe
premium array filed on a
327
00:19:29,830 --> 00:19:31,600
four hour or 60 minute baby.
328
00:19:33,475 --> 00:19:39,325
If ADR high is reached prior to 10:00
AM, take 80% off of your position and
329
00:19:39,325 --> 00:19:42,775
leave a small portion on to capture
any range expansion that might feel.
330
00:19:43,405 --> 00:19:44,425
Let me rephrase that again.
331
00:19:45,265 --> 00:19:46,165
If you're long in new.
332
00:19:47,085 --> 00:19:47,415
Okay.
333
00:19:47,415 --> 00:19:53,085
And you have a move that's quietly
moving higher, but it goes up and hits
334
00:19:53,115 --> 00:19:56,175
the average daily range before 10:00 AM.
335
00:19:56,175 --> 00:19:58,785
That means it fulfill its
average daily range early.
336
00:19:59,175 --> 00:20:03,525
Usually London close creates the highly
highly day, but if it does it before 10:00
337
00:20:03,525 --> 00:20:07,905
AM still take 80% of the trade-off, but
leave a small portion on it because you
338
00:20:07,905 --> 00:20:11,955
may end up getting a rather large range
day and sometimes ADR can be doubled.
339
00:20:14,940 --> 00:20:17,730
Okay, so you can see an example
here of the New York opening trade.
340
00:20:18,120 --> 00:20:22,770
Very similar in a way we looked at the
London open price, comes down and fills
341
00:20:22,770 --> 00:20:27,360
in a fair value gap trades into or block,
and that Bluth in line with the CME
342
00:20:27,360 --> 00:20:30,600
open, the price drops down after that.
343
00:20:30,660 --> 00:20:32,670
That's the Judas waiting
for the New York session.
344
00:20:33,030 --> 00:20:36,000
So every session has a
projection of market state.
345
00:20:37,260 --> 00:20:39,960
If you're bullish in New
York, you look at for.
346
00:20:41,085 --> 00:20:45,195
And as you just swim, dropping down
after eight 20, if you're bullish in
347
00:20:45,195 --> 00:20:50,895
London, you're looking for New York,
midnight candle and price trading
348
00:20:50,895 --> 00:20:53,355
lower after that to be a buyer.
349
00:20:53,445 --> 00:20:56,024
And it probably should
expand higher in Asia.
350
00:20:56,564 --> 00:20:59,625
It's your GMT eight o'clock
in the evening in my time.
351
00:20:59,625 --> 00:21:03,855
Right now, if you look at that
session, you want to see a trade down.
352
00:21:05,235 --> 00:21:08,775
Right after, as you're GMT, it doesn't
go down very much that time of day
353
00:21:08,775 --> 00:21:12,735
though, but it can go down just
below a previous late session swing.
354
00:21:12,835 --> 00:21:16,965
Like we talked about in previous
lessons that is the Judas swing at zero
355
00:21:16,965 --> 00:21:20,355
GMT, or Asia's open at London close.
356
00:21:20,985 --> 00:21:22,425
It can happen, but it's the opposite.
357
00:21:22,425 --> 00:21:27,495
You're looking for the range to create a,
for a bullish day what's going to happen.
358
00:21:27,495 --> 00:21:27,765
Is this.
359
00:21:28,695 --> 00:21:31,995
Go up a little bit after
10 o'clock in the morning.
360
00:21:32,235 --> 00:21:35,864
So you'll have a line on your chart
vertically 10 o'clock, New York time, and
361
00:21:36,135 --> 00:21:38,834
the rally that takes place post 10:00 AM.
362
00:21:39,254 --> 00:21:41,895
That's the Judas swing or
projection, any state where it
363
00:21:41,895 --> 00:21:42,824
creates the high of the day.
364
00:21:43,754 --> 00:21:47,534
And then you'll be looking to sell
that if you're going to be a loving,
365
00:21:47,544 --> 00:21:53,114
close trader, which we'll talk about
next Kay, scalping, the London close.
366
00:21:54,524 --> 00:21:57,435
Uh, before I get into this,
I did a teaching, um, ways.
367
00:21:58,395 --> 00:22:05,355
I think it was in 2010, the, uh, train
the London clothes and really good.
368
00:22:05,355 --> 00:22:09,345
I gave us a lot of the rules I use
for my SMP training, because there
369
00:22:09,345 --> 00:22:13,245
was a lot of trades that you can take
trading spoos, which is S and P futures.
370
00:22:14,355 --> 00:22:18,585
The, uh, when you're trading day trading
the S and P you're, you're really
371
00:22:18,585 --> 00:22:20,145
trading two sessions the morning trend.
372
00:22:20,475 --> 00:22:23,865
Then you wait for a launch to
go sideways or retrace, and then
373
00:22:23,865 --> 00:22:24,915
you have an afternoon trend.
374
00:22:25,274 --> 00:22:25,635
Okay.
375
00:22:26,115 --> 00:22:26,745
Uh, usually.
376
00:22:27,675 --> 00:22:31,125
It's about 10 30 to 11 o'clock
in the morning, New York time.
377
00:22:31,815 --> 00:22:36,435
That's the, the end of the morning
session or the am trend for
378
00:22:36,435 --> 00:22:37,695
the, uh, for the spoos market.
379
00:22:38,595 --> 00:22:42,435
Um, usually traders go to lunch
between 11 o'clock and one o'clock.
380
00:22:42,795 --> 00:22:45,735
And at a little bit after one
o'clock you have a PM trend that
381
00:22:45,735 --> 00:22:47,205
goes into the close at four o'clock.
382
00:22:47,925 --> 00:22:53,534
But the characteristics that you see for
London close for four X is the same thing
383
00:22:53,895 --> 00:22:55,754
that Drake day traders do for S and P.
384
00:22:56,715 --> 00:23:00,105
So it's that time of day, uh, influence
where London traders are trade S
385
00:23:00,105 --> 00:23:04,185
and P they're going through, uh, you
know, they're going home to, so when
386
00:23:04,185 --> 00:23:07,725
the New York and London sessions
have moved in tandem, that means
387
00:23:07,725 --> 00:23:08,925
they've moved in the same direction.
388
00:23:09,405 --> 00:23:11,925
And the five day average daily
range high has been reached,
389
00:23:12,375 --> 00:23:15,225
and it is at least 10:30 AM.
390
00:23:15,435 --> 00:23:19,305
Now this is a little different as a
filter, 10:30 AM in New York time,
391
00:23:19,485 --> 00:23:21,035
expect the retracement off the days.
392
00:23:22,020 --> 00:23:24,540
Again, between 10:30 AM and 1:00 PM.
393
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:27,540
That's what you're looking for
for that setup for line clothes,
394
00:23:28,350 --> 00:23:31,350
ideally price should exceed the
five day average daily range high.
395
00:23:31,530 --> 00:23:35,970
It should be more than what you expected
to see in the five day average hourly
396
00:23:35,970 --> 00:23:39,510
rates, because then you have a really
Uber bought really stretched out range.
397
00:23:41,750 --> 00:23:46,490
Look for a five minute failure swing
at the high end, a bear's or block the
398
00:23:46,910 --> 00:23:49,790
entrance to basically what you're doing
is you're waiting for it to create a high
399
00:23:49,790 --> 00:23:53,240
you start to back off and it rally one
more time up it until the last up candle.
400
00:23:53,990 --> 00:23:59,210
And it has to occur between 10:30
AM and 1:00 PM going to risk
401
00:23:59,210 --> 00:24:00,650
10 pips above the day's high.
402
00:24:00,740 --> 00:24:05,090
And you're gonna target 20 to 30% of the
total daily range in a retracement lower.
403
00:24:05,330 --> 00:24:06,170
Then I'll show you what that looks like.
404
00:24:06,170 --> 00:24:06,260
What.
405
00:24:08,220 --> 00:24:12,300
Keep in mind, this trade can be very
difficult to see pan out some days
406
00:24:12,300 --> 00:24:15,930
as the range can and could expand far
more than the average daily range.
407
00:24:15,930 --> 00:24:20,730
High remember average daily
range is not a barrier.
408
00:24:20,790 --> 00:24:21,750
It's not a force field.
409
00:24:21,780 --> 00:24:23,040
It's not going to stop price.
410
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:26,580
All we're doing is getting a calculation
of what's the average expansion
411
00:24:26,580 --> 00:24:28,410
we've seen over the last five days.
412
00:24:29,370 --> 00:24:31,649
Well, if you're looking for a big move
on the upside, wouldn't you really
413
00:24:31,649 --> 00:24:33,480
expect it to go beyond average daily.
414
00:24:34,380 --> 00:24:37,530
And that's the problem we're
trying to buy in a preconceived
415
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:39,480
idea that the market should go up.
416
00:24:39,930 --> 00:24:43,800
So eventually, you know, if we take
everything off at five day average
417
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:47,790
daily range highs, when we're bullish,
you leave nothing on the capture.
418
00:24:47,790 --> 00:24:50,340
These double ADR days they can happen.
419
00:24:51,330 --> 00:24:53,510
So with that mind is understand.
420
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:57,720
Just because we have both New York
and London sessions moving in tandem
421
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,990
one direction doesn't mean that
there's going to be a retracement of
422
00:25:01,020 --> 00:25:02,550
any measure that you can trade short.
423
00:25:02,850 --> 00:25:04,920
That's why I don't trade
London clothes anymore.
424
00:25:05,010 --> 00:25:08,190
I used to do it a lot, but it
just fell out of favor with me.
425
00:25:08,190 --> 00:25:10,620
Cause I just didn't get enough
pips out of it or I'd get
426
00:25:10,620 --> 00:25:11,370
stopped out and you know what?
427
00:25:11,370 --> 00:25:12,600
Just keep on going against me.
428
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:16,740
So I teach it for completeness sake here
because I've done lessons in the past.
429
00:25:17,010 --> 00:25:20,130
But when we get an S and P it's a
little bit more favorable trade net,
430
00:25:23,085 --> 00:25:29,085
Ideally take one to one risk to reward
targets based on required, stop and
431
00:25:29,145 --> 00:25:31,034
try to get no more than 20 pips.
432
00:25:31,635 --> 00:25:32,085
Okay.
433
00:25:32,085 --> 00:25:36,345
And I mean that don't try to
get 65 pips or don't try to get
434
00:25:36,345 --> 00:25:38,264
a one shot, one kill haul one.
435
00:25:38,355 --> 00:25:38,925
Let me close.
436
00:25:38,925 --> 00:25:39,824
It just doesn't do it.
437
00:25:40,185 --> 00:25:43,274
Um, typically I should have
it in my notes here, but it
438
00:25:43,274 --> 00:25:44,985
should be about 15 to 20 pips.
439
00:25:45,105 --> 00:25:46,935
If you get 20 pips, be
thankful, move to aside.
440
00:25:49,145 --> 00:25:49,295
Okay.
441
00:25:49,295 --> 00:25:51,365
Here's an example of what
a London close looks like.
442
00:25:51,455 --> 00:25:56,615
It comes down in Dillon close time
period, and you would be buying it
443
00:25:56,615 --> 00:26:00,395
on a failure swing and you see here,
it actually went a little bit lower.
444
00:26:00,965 --> 00:26:03,455
And if your stop would have
been just below one or two pips,
445
00:26:03,455 --> 00:26:04,264
you would have get knocked out.
446
00:26:04,264 --> 00:26:11,465
But again, we're using a 10 pips
below the low and looking at the price
447
00:26:11,524 --> 00:26:15,635
on, let me have the price, but the
Fibonacci on this chart here, you can
448
00:26:15,635 --> 00:26:16,805
see that where it says London close.
449
00:26:17,805 --> 00:26:21,855
Objective, that's 30% on the fib 0.30.
450
00:26:22,365 --> 00:26:23,745
You just add that level
and you'll have that.
451
00:26:24,075 --> 00:26:25,725
And point 20 is the lower level.
452
00:26:25,725 --> 00:26:29,565
So in between these two lines,
that's usually where the market
453
00:26:29,565 --> 00:26:31,365
will reach up into on retracements.
454
00:26:31,425 --> 00:26:34,395
And that's a good rule of thumb
for day trading also, because if
455
00:26:34,395 --> 00:26:35,905
you haven't, uh, expectations.
456
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,000
And you know what the average
daily range high is going to be.
457
00:26:39,330 --> 00:26:44,670
You can use that projection from the
daily, low, or low and low and draw
458
00:26:44,670 --> 00:26:48,660
their faith all the up to an anchor
to a day average daily rates high
459
00:26:49,110 --> 00:26:50,520
well before price even gets there.
460
00:26:51,090 --> 00:26:55,470
And you can actually see using this
20 to 30 level on your fib, that's
461
00:26:55,470 --> 00:26:58,230
usually where the clothes is going
to be when the close date or it's
462
00:26:58,230 --> 00:26:59,100
going to close right on the high.
463
00:26:59,490 --> 00:27:03,330
But generally when it trades off
the high it'll it'll trade off the.
464
00:27:04,155 --> 00:27:07,455
And close in between the 20
and 30% levels on your fib.
465
00:27:07,815 --> 00:27:09,225
If you add them, I don't keep them there.
466
00:27:09,405 --> 00:27:10,575
I just know what 2030 looks like.
467
00:27:10,605 --> 00:27:14,505
Oh, my, my range is because I've been
doing it so long, but for a crutch
468
00:27:14,595 --> 00:27:18,195
while you're doing it and you learning,
it's a good idea to have it on your,
469
00:27:18,195 --> 00:27:19,755
uh, your Fibonacci that we can use it.
470
00:27:23,325 --> 00:27:26,355
K trading, the Asian
or scalping, the Asian.
471
00:27:29,340 --> 00:27:32,940
When the market is bullish, we can
enter long at, or just under the
472
00:27:32,940 --> 00:27:37,050
zero GMT opening price and expect
an expansion of 15 to 20 pips.
473
00:27:37,950 --> 00:27:42,060
And as I said, 15 to 20
higher as the agent ranges.
474
00:27:44,425 --> 00:27:47,185
Asian sessions can
traditionally be very narrow.
475
00:27:47,604 --> 00:27:50,935
And while this trade has proven
profitable in the past, nothing is
476
00:27:50,935 --> 00:27:53,274
repeating in terms of promised gain.
477
00:27:53,544 --> 00:27:55,885
So what was done in the past is
not indicative of the future.
478
00:27:56,304 --> 00:28:00,895
So like London close trades, we
are looking at the lowest volatile
479
00:28:00,895 --> 00:28:02,334
periods of the daily range for me.
480
00:28:03,300 --> 00:28:06,960
So while I'm talking about it here
for completeness sake and set way,
481
00:28:06,970 --> 00:28:10,830
I'm teaching you a well-versed
perspective on how daily ranges are
482
00:28:10,830 --> 00:28:16,230
formed and how IPTA engineers to daily
ranges using time of day, and the
483
00:28:16,230 --> 00:28:17,400
characteristics that go along with them.
484
00:28:18,555 --> 00:28:24,945
Asia's opening and London clothes are
the two smallest, tiny little windows
485
00:28:24,945 --> 00:28:29,505
of opportunity, and it doesn't pay out
enough in my opinion, to take on the risk.
486
00:28:29,535 --> 00:28:32,715
But if you just want to do observations
and study and you want to do some
487
00:28:32,745 --> 00:28:37,785
crunching of the numbers cab at me,
but just trust me if you're looking
488
00:28:37,785 --> 00:28:41,475
for more bang for your buck and your
study time and seeing movement in
489
00:28:41,475 --> 00:28:44,295
price, you won't be focusing on the
New York and the London session.
490
00:28:45,630 --> 00:28:48,870
I always aim for 15 and 20 pips
in the session, as the range can
491
00:28:48,870 --> 00:28:51,570
be limited on the basis that it
will be the Asian range formation.
492
00:28:51,900 --> 00:28:54,780
Remember typically we're looking
for a really tight, narrow
493
00:28:54,780 --> 00:28:56,040
range on the Asian range.
494
00:28:56,460 --> 00:29:00,990
So if we're looking to be a bullish buyer
of the day and you're trying to day trade,
495
00:29:01,260 --> 00:29:02,370
and we think it's going to go higher.
496
00:29:03,570 --> 00:29:03,900
Yeah.
497
00:29:03,900 --> 00:29:04,800
You can scout that.
498
00:29:05,070 --> 00:29:09,150
But what you're asking, actually
trying to do is demand that the
499
00:29:09,150 --> 00:29:12,090
Asian range pays you when you really
hope that it's going to be a small.
500
00:29:13,005 --> 00:29:15,765
So it's, there's a
confliction between the rules.
501
00:29:16,215 --> 00:29:20,715
So while you may sometimes get
lucky and you get the expansion in
502
00:29:20,715 --> 00:29:24,945
the Asian range and it gets like a
30 PIP or 35 PIP, uh, Asian range,
503
00:29:25,395 --> 00:29:26,535
you might get something out of it.
504
00:29:27,015 --> 00:29:29,085
My question to you is why
you're worried about it.
505
00:29:29,685 --> 00:29:31,425
Then you're probably asking,
well, why am I including it then?
506
00:29:32,025 --> 00:29:35,235
Because I'm going to get
questions about trade in Asia.
507
00:29:35,505 --> 00:29:37,725
I'm going to get questions about,
well, what about loving clothes?
508
00:29:37,725 --> 00:29:39,255
You used to do a teaching about that.
509
00:29:39,375 --> 00:29:39,615
Yeah.
510
00:29:39,795 --> 00:29:41,205
How many times have you
seen me train in London?
511
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:43,080
You don't see it in a lot.
512
00:29:43,590 --> 00:29:45,659
You don't see me doing it unless
it's a reversal time of day.
513
00:29:46,110 --> 00:29:49,379
If it's going to be reversal market
profile, then I'm all over London clothes.
514
00:29:49,949 --> 00:29:50,730
Same with Asia.
515
00:29:50,730 --> 00:29:54,090
If I think it's going to be trading
down to a level, that would be a high
516
00:29:54,090 --> 00:29:58,080
timeframe, uh, discount array, but
it didn't quite get down there in New
517
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:00,899
York and it's just hovering above it.
518
00:30:01,020 --> 00:30:03,959
I would look for Asia's opening
to facilitate that entry.
519
00:30:04,169 --> 00:30:06,990
And then that would be the low of
the day then, and start rallying up.
520
00:30:08,955 --> 00:30:11,535
Take full exits on scalps
in this time of day.
521
00:30:11,835 --> 00:30:16,335
In other words, don't leave portions
on and again, it's not optimal
522
00:30:16,335 --> 00:30:17,865
to expect a second leg and price.
523
00:30:18,285 --> 00:30:19,035
Avoid greed.
524
00:30:20,070 --> 00:30:23,370
And if you are fortunate to
get 20 pips be content in exit
525
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,080
Asia, is this a weird animal?
526
00:30:28,169 --> 00:30:29,460
And it's usually very quiet.
527
00:30:29,460 --> 00:30:35,250
So again, my more, our understanding
about AmTrust today is.
528
00:30:36,020 --> 00:30:39,500
We're forming the initial high
and low the day during this time.
529
00:30:39,890 --> 00:30:44,330
So again, you're really having to be
nimble and I know what's going to happen.
530
00:30:44,420 --> 00:30:46,760
You're going to get in here and start
monkeying around with this trade
531
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:48,680
and you're gonna see it shoot up.
532
00:30:48,710 --> 00:30:50,090
And it's got 27 pips.
533
00:30:51,050 --> 00:30:53,570
You didn't put a lemon odor in it, but
you all Alma automatically it shoots
534
00:30:53,570 --> 00:30:55,490
out 27 pips and you're in profit.
535
00:30:55,970 --> 00:30:56,870
What do you, think's going to happen?
536
00:30:57,770 --> 00:30:59,720
You're going to start thinking,
wow, this is the low of day.
537
00:30:59,990 --> 00:31:01,700
Um, I'm gonna, I'm going
to hold this thing.
538
00:31:02,180 --> 00:31:03,740
And in various.
539
00:31:05,485 --> 00:31:10,645
It won't be, it'll be a Judas Twain
later on after midnight though, lower.
540
00:31:10,794 --> 00:31:11,875
And it stops you out.
541
00:31:11,875 --> 00:31:13,105
And then what has it freaked you out?
542
00:31:13,465 --> 00:31:16,135
And you get mad and you miss the actual
mood he should've been looking for all
543
00:31:16,135 --> 00:31:20,875
along did means you to swing, dropping
down to be a buyer will net bullish day.
544
00:31:21,955 --> 00:31:24,835
So I've given you some rules.
545
00:31:24,835 --> 00:31:27,925
I've given you some context about
how I look at scalps, how the
546
00:31:27,925 --> 00:31:29,455
price engine models deliver price.
547
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:35,129
Offset accumulation and the re
accumulation models that take place for
548
00:31:35,129 --> 00:31:40,290
buying bank traders will look for these
opportunities to pair up their orders.
549
00:31:41,010 --> 00:31:44,160
And that's how we can do
the same thing on scalping.
550
00:31:44,700 --> 00:31:48,149
Even if we think that the market's
going to be quiet, many times you
551
00:31:48,149 --> 00:31:53,129
can get 15, 20 pips in a day, a
couple of times a week, and that's
552
00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:55,139
all that's necessary to do well.
553
00:31:55,170 --> 00:31:57,570
Remember we talked that
25 to 30 pips a week.
554
00:31:57,870 --> 00:31:58,470
Doubles your money.
555
00:31:59,475 --> 00:32:01,755
And we can actually start
doing that with scalping.
556
00:32:02,745 --> 00:32:04,395
And until next lesson,
I wish you good luck.
49373
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