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Welcome back folks to lesson four
of the may, 2017 ICT mentorship, ICT
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amplified day trading and scalping.
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This teaching is trading in consolidate.
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okay.
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What's the secrets behind
trading consolidations?
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Well, the first thing you need to
understand is the focus on the daily
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and or for our order flow subordination.
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What is order flow telling you on
a daily basis on a daily chart, is
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price suggested to go higher based
on if the order flow or was it.
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Most likely going to go lower before our
chart is your last line of defense in
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terms of determining directional bias.
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You want to be trading in preferably
both the daily and four hour, both
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suggesting higher prices or lower
prices and looking for consolidations
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in price and a lower timeframe.
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So in other words, we could be
looking at a consolidation around
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an hourly chart or a 15 minute time.
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And that may be a build up of
new positions, or it could be a
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buildup of orders to then look for
a rejection, basically turtle soup.
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But when it comes to, uh, consolidations,
I want you to think in two camps,
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obviously what retail traders are
thinking, trying to do the opposite of
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that in your own trading and that of.
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Smartline he does with their trades.
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So retail traders, they're going
to be looking for breakouts to
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establish a directional bias.
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Uh, they have no insights as to
what the market may be telling them.
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They're looking for a cause and effect, if
it does this, then I'll understand that.
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Okay.
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But they're basically chasing after
price smart money will engineer or
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fade breakouts of a consolidation.
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Smart money is not trying to follow price.
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It's going to allow price to go to a
specific level when after, when, if the
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trades to a specific key level of price
or a quarterly reference point or a PDF.
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And it happens to me in agreement
with a breakout of a consolidation.
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Many times, you're going to see a
lot of institutional sponsorship on
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the move that fades that very thing.
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Retail trends.
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By the previous low and
sell the previous high.
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And this is in keeping with the traditions
of technical analysis or what is
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known as classical support resistance.
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Obviously we've seen many instances
where support and resistance aren't
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limited to just the actual old, low
and the old high, um, liquidity rests
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just above and old high or below.
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Which obviously brings us to smart
money's perspective by buying under an
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old, low and selling above an old high.
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When the markets are in consolidation,
understand that the consolidation
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itself is permitting the open float,
which is the up of orders above and
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below the current market action.
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So market price being what it is.
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If markets are trading in a
consolidation, that market price, you
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want to be looking above short-term
and below short-term for where the
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buy stocks and sell stocks would be.
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That's your open float.
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When the market moves in consolidations
in the long sideways consolidation,
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the longer that consolidation is, the
more orders are aligned to build up.
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Now, obviously as a day trader,
we're not going to expect a.
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Phase of consolidation.
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It can be rather brief, but inside
that consolidation, we have to
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understand what's being permitted.
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The orders are being allowed to stack
up in terms of breakout orders, in
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terms of trailed stop-loss orders,
stop orders, they would key up a entry.
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For instance, buying on a
stop for strength and selling
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on a stop for weakness.
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All those ideas overlap.
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And it creates a great deal
of near term open float.
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So in other words, the open interest
above the marketplace will start to
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concentrate the open inches below
the marketplace begin to concentrate,
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and you'll have a lot of liquidity
basically bracketing the market price.
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When we look at the daily and or for our
order flow, the subordination to the.
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In terms of price action when
consolidations occur, whatever
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the direction that daily or four
hour is, that's going to be the
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direction of the move outside
of the consolidation most often.
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So if price moves above the
consolidation, take out on OHI
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and daily and our four hour is.
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That's usually going to be
the best scenario work for
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trading in the consolidation.
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Now, if daily and four hour order
flow is bullish, any moves below
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the consolidation would be viewed
as smart money accumulating.
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The cell stops for move higher.
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If the daily or for our
order flow is bearish.
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Any move of other consolidation above
an old high is going to be viewed
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as smart money knocking out by stops
and accumulating short position.
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The opposite's going to be
seen with the retail crowd.
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They're going to be
basically chasing price,
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retail traders, chase, expansions
that originate from the equilibrium
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and smart money fades the expansions
that originate from the equilibrium.
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Now let me explain this
a little bit more clear.
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When the market is bearish on a daily
or four hour in terms of its order flow.
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This subordination factor is going to
be seen in the lower timeframe charts,
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where if there's a consolidation in
price starts to trade away from the
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equilibrium price point higher, if
it breaks a short term high in event,
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doing that many times, retail traders
are going to see that as something.
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Okay.
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And they're going to look for
expanses, usually ABCD type movements,
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smart money does not see that they
actually fade that and they're
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going to go the opposite direction.
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So any short-term high that's
broken and as price moves away
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from the equilibrium price point
or middle of the consolidation.
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They fade that as a short-term stock run
and then they send it to the opposite
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extreme of the consolidation and
just outside the consolidation range.
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Again, retail thinks in terms of old
high classic retail resistance, old,
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low classic retail support, we're more
focused on the equilibrium price point
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because we understand premium and
discount, not just simply what prices do.
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I don't know what high or low, because
we understand if it turned at an old
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high liquidity is going to be just below
that high for a bare, shorter block,
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or it's going to go above that high
for the liquidity resting above it in
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the form of buy stops, the equilibrium.
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We want to see price moving,
expanding away from that.
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Now, if we're looking for now,
the daily or four hour is bearish.
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Okay.
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In the order flow subordination.
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On a lower timeframe.
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We expect any consolidations, any
rally away from the equilibrium price
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point, it breaks a short-term high.
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We will be looking to sell short retail
is going to want to see that as a
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break in, um, Structure, if you will.
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Okay.
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Uh, for folks that want to trade
empowered, if they're going to see those
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types of things that would in their
minds indicate a ABCD correction to the
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upside, if daily or four hour order flow
is moving lower, as we understand it.
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And we see an expansion away from the
equilibrium price point or the middle
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of the range, and it breaks a short-term
high, that is our sell scenario.
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And we're looking for the opposite end or.
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The old, low or retail support that's,
what's going to be targeted next and then
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move the low that the opposite said for
what equilibrium is expanding downward.
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When the order flow on a
daily or four hour is bullish.
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If we see a short-term low it's broken.
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On an expansion away from equilibrium.
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We'll see that as a Ronald and by stops,
not a break Instructure for lower prices.
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We see that as a sweep, one cell stops
to accumulate new longs in, even on a run
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for the other end of the consolidation
or just outside of it for the liquidity,
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for the buy stops, pair that out.
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Okay.
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Some of the scenarios, conceptually,
it's just what it looks like.
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We have price moving away.
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From equilibrium all the way up
to the outside of a consolidation.
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So we're going to be referencing
old highs and old lows, whatever
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that defined range would be.
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We're just classically defining in
terms of support resistance here.
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Whenever you see price in a
consolidation, that's clearly
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definable in price rallies above.
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At consolidation when daily and or
for hour is bearish, retail traders
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are going to see this as a bullish
breakout, and they're gonna be
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wanting to buy that, that buying.
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If they're surging into marketplace
as a buyer that creates the perfect
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opportunity as counterparty to us
who mimics the smart traders smart.
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Money's going to be selling that breakout
when daily and or four hour is bear.
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So we want to see consolidations in
a rally outside of that consolidation
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to entice retail or less informed
traders to buy thinking they're buying
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strength when a higher timeframe
daily or four hour order flow is going
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to cause the lower timeframes to be
subordinate to those higher timeframes.
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So we're going to be doing the
same thing as a smart money.
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We're going to be selling
those breakouts in consolidate.
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When the daily or four hour is Bush
and the price breaks down below the
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consolidation, retail traders are going
to see that as a break in the structure.
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They're going to see that as weakness.
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Okay.
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And they're going to look
to sell short on weakness.
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So retail traders are trying to
sell that as a breakout entry for
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a short position, smart money.
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We'll see the opposite of that.
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If the daily or four hour.
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Seeing Bush order flow.
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When we see this break below and old
consolidation, we understand that that's
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accumulation of cell stops in the form
of pairing up their orders to go long.
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Now, inside of the range or the
consolidation when the daily or
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four hour order flow is bullish.
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What I like to anticipate is
traders seeing that old low, that
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showed a short term little bounce.
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When price trades back down to that
same equal load, they're going to be
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buying there and guess where they're
going to put their stop loss just
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below that previous short-term low.
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So when retail traders see this they're
trading the old low as classic support
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resistance theory doesn't work that
right there is what we anticipate seeing.
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And then when we get the.
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When price trades down below the previous
low outside of the consolidation, that's
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where we're looking to be a buyer and
we're buying up those cell stops when
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again, the daily indoor four hour is
in a bullish or a flow that creates
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our low risk high probability entry.
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Now, when we have these conditions,
we're looking for price to
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return back to equilibrium.
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We do not anticipate or
always hold for the opposite.
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End of the consolidation.
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We don't know.
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We have no idea if that's going to
occur with any validity, we just simply
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take the move back to the equilibrium
because price, wall and consolidations
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is always going to want to gravitate
back to the mean in equilibrium is the
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middle of what we deemed as Fairview.
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So always when we're in consolidations,
anticipate price, expanding away
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from the equilibrium price point
then outside of the consolidation.
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But meantime, it'll snap back up into the
middle of ranger, go back to equilibrium.
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If the daily or four hours bullish here,
even if we are going to bounce lower
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after he equilibrium, many times this
in itself will provide an opportunity
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to get long and have a tradable.
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Okay.
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The opposite here when the daily we're
four hours bearish and we see price
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trade back up to an old high, while
it's inside the consolidation again.
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Retail.
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Chair's going to see this as an
old high classic support resistance
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theory is going to be in operation.
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They're going to sell short right there
and you know what they're going to do
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with your stop there by stops are going
to be placed just above the previous
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height that was inside the consolidation.
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They have new understanding of order flow.
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They have no understanding of how
markets have, um, building up of
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liquidity around specific price levels,
and they have no appreciation for
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how that liquidity is sought after.
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So when retail traders see this as
their entry point, we're anticipating
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this and in the buildup of buy
stops just above that previous high.
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So when we.
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Wait for that exercise, patients
were looking for the consolidation
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breakout above a previous high.
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And when that happens, we're doing
the same thing by mimicking what smart
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money does by selling above scooping up.
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Those buy stops that retail
traders are less informed.
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00:14:32,325 --> 00:14:34,005
Traders are going to be placing
cause there's going to be a
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buildup of that buy-side liquidity.
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So when price trades up there.
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If they will permit an opportunity for
short sellers at the bank to pair up their
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shorts with obvious level of buy stops
that we resting above that previous high.
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Okay.
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When the daily or four hour order
flow is bearish and we see a price
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00:14:56,520 --> 00:15:01,020
move moving away from and higher away
from that equilibrium price point
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and it breaks a short-term high at
short-term highs, broken retail traders
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are going to see that as a break.
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00:15:08,910 --> 00:15:11,970
And they're going to look to buy going
along and then look for an ABC type
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formation and expect to see strength
in that particular market smart money.
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On the other hand, we see that as
a opportunity to sell away from
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the expansion, because again,
the subordination in the lower
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timeframe charts are going to have
to follow what's being dictated on
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the daily and or four-hour charts.
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So if it's bare shorter flood that
we're seeing on a daily and our.
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And we see a consolidation.
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We all have to identify where equilibrium
is and then look for short-term
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highs or just above equilibrium.
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And in a rally above that many
times, we're going to see this as
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the ideal entry point for shorts.
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Once that short-term highs broken,
that's an accumulation on buy stops.
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So if they're going to run the
buy stops in a daily or a four
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hour bearish environment, that's
where we look to go through.
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And we aim for the liquidity
resting below the previous low, that
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creates the consolidation support.
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We're going to pair up our buying to cover
our short with those individuals that
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have cell stops resting below an old low,
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all facilitated.
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Bye run on by stops from a short-term
high that was created just above the
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equilibrium price point that we used
to sell into those willing buyers.
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So what we're doing is we're pairing
orders, just like the smart money does at
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the bank level using institutional order
flow from a daily and or four hour chart.
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When the dealer four hour is bullish,
retail traders are going to see that.
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So.
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Opportunity in their mind, by
having the expansion lower, that
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breaks below it old short-term low.
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They're going to see that as a break in
support of breaking market structure.
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And they'll see that as selling
short on weakness, and they're gonna
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be looking for a continuation or
breakdown in that particular market.
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We anticipate this very thing and
by them doing that, we're going
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to fade that whole move that.
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It breaks that short-term low retail sees
that as an opportunity to sell short.
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And again, they're selling weakness.
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That's an opportunity for us
to fade that and do the very
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opposite smart money on their hand.
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When they see that short-term low
in a daily or four hour is bullish.
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What they see is a run on cell
stops that short-term low is going
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to be building up a liquidity pool.
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Self stops that would create immediate
injections of selling liquidity.
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Why would they want to
seek selling liquidity?
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Because they need to buy the market long.
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Their counterparty is gonna be
this run on that short term, low
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or expansion away from equilibrium
when daily or four hours bullish.
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What we're looking for is
this particular edition right
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here, where price comes down.
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Snap.
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Short-term sell-side liquidity.
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They use that sell side liquidity
to be counterparties, to buy long.
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When that occurs, they expect and
anticipate a move outside of the
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consolidation, the pair up their
orders with the buy stops that
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arresting above the old consolidation.
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So, what we do here is we do the
same things that the bank traders do.
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We anticipate it and we use the
generic price action characteristics
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that are inside of the consolidation
that retail traders don't think they
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don't think about price like this.
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They think about selling weakness
and buying strength, and they have no
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understanding of what fair value is
and how to use it with the equilibrium.
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So now when we look at price X.
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On the lower timeframes for day
trading and on higher timeframes as
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well, the daily or four hour order
flow, if it's bullish or bearish,
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are we respecting a bullish or block?
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Are we reaching up to a premium PD array?
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00:19:11,955 --> 00:19:13,965
That means we're going to be bullish.
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00:19:14,115 --> 00:19:16,605
That means the consolidations
that we're seeing here.
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00:19:16,784 --> 00:19:19,274
This is a pattern that we would
like to see for our day trades.
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00:19:19,965 --> 00:19:26,445
That short term low could be in
many cases, the Asian session.
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00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:33,210
Or it could be a previous day's low
and either one of those scenarios,
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we've created a wonderful opportunity
to get long as a day trade and
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everything I just said here could
be reversed for going short.
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00:19:42,660 --> 00:19:45,930
So I want you to think about when
markets go on consolidation, there's
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some very generic characteristics
that we'd look at, or at least I do
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00:19:49,140 --> 00:19:53,130
as a trader and it helps me build
an idea, but it all stems from the
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subordination that price is going to hold.
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00:19:56,580 --> 00:20:00,480
Relative to the daily and four hour
directional bias based on institutional
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00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:06,240
order flow by using what the PDA Ray
matrix would be suggesting is in play
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00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,940
right now of discount or premium market.
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We use our PDA matrix to determine
what those levels are reaching
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for and basically, and that's,
that's our directional bias.
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00:20:18,510 --> 00:20:22,785
So if we see that directional bias
arrived, From a daily chart or a
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00:20:22,785 --> 00:20:26,145
four hour chart, we have higher
timeframe, directional bias on
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00:20:26,145 --> 00:20:28,335
our side than any consolidation.
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We know what side we
need to be working on.
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00:20:30,825 --> 00:20:33,855
Any short-term load is
violated below the equilibrium.
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00:20:34,215 --> 00:20:35,385
We're gonna look to go long on that.
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00:20:35,775 --> 00:20:42,555
If it's bullish on the dealer for our,
any move below the old load or the
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00:20:42,555 --> 00:20:47,595
consolidation, we anticipate that as it
run on sell side liquidity, why they want
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00:20:47,595 --> 00:20:49,065
to run the sell stops because they want.
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00:20:50,205 --> 00:20:50,985
What they're buying.
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00:20:51,735 --> 00:20:55,034
So again, we have to focus primarily
on the daily and four-hour for day
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00:20:55,034 --> 00:21:01,155
trades that give us the high probability
directional plays, and also how to not get
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00:21:01,155 --> 00:21:05,024
beat up by cheating and consolidations and
working on one side of the marketplace and
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00:21:05,024 --> 00:21:06,645
seeking that liquidity like the banks do.
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00:21:07,395 --> 00:21:10,485
So until the next lesson, I wish
you good luck and good trading.
29186
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