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Okay folks.
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Welcome back.
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This is the first lesson of May,
2017 content from the ICT mentorship.
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This month, we're teaching the STT
amplified day trading and scalping.
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This teaching is specifically
dealing with the sentiment effect.
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Okay.
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What are buying or selling probabilities
the highest well for day trades as we're
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specifically teaching in this month,
the use of the agent range and the
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opening price are key for day trades.
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As we're teaching in this month, the
use of the agent range and opening price
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are key bear short days, or when you're
looking to sell short, ideally, you're
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going to be looking for a move above the
opening price and or the Asian range.
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When you're looking to go long on
bullish days, ideally, you're gonna be
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looking to go long below the opening
price and or the Asian range low.
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Now the market will have a short-term
shift in sentiment and less informed
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traders will chase price on the
impulse or the initial swing introduct.
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This is classically known from my
teaching as the Judah swing, where
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the market goes into a projection or
any state that's opposing the general
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direction of the close of that particular.
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Focusing on strict conditions like
daily and or for our direction
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based on institutional order flow
and combined into PD array matrix
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for the next level objectives.
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This will provide you the
highest probability setups.
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We wait for opposing market
directions for high odds.
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Now, when we're looking at order flow,
that's bearish on the example here in
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our chart on the left hand side, have
order flow from an institutional basis
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on a daily or four hour is suggested
to be embarrassed or going lower.
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What we're looking for primarily is
a move above the Asian range high and
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away from that opening price smart
money sells above the Asian range.
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When the institutional order flow is
bullish on the daily end or four hour
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chart, smart money buys below the Asian
range low and below that opening price.
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Now you're probably saying to yourself,
well, what is the opening price
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it's going to be either Z or GMT
is opening price early in the day.
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If it's been a consolidation,
very close to that same area.
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In other words, if the range from the
zero GMT hour, hasn't produced much
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of a range on the upside or down.
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You can still incorporate
that opening price as well.
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But in this teaching, we're
focusing primarily on the
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midnight candle in New York.
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Conversely, when institutional order
flow is bearish on a daily and or a four
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hour chart, the market typically will
go above the Asian range high, and that
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will many times suck in street money
and they will be buying above that.
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When a breakout, when institutional
order flow is bullish on a
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daily indoor four hour chart.
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The moves that go below the
Asian range, many times trip,
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street money into selling short.
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It puts them in on the wrong side.
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Okay.
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By conditions, uh, for a
proper up for long enough.
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Now what we're going to be referring
to is if does suggestion based
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on the daily or minimum four hour
discount array, it must be in play.
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In other words, on a daily chart and
or four hour chart price has recently
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respected or traded down into a discount
PDRI and it's shown a willingness
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to support price, nor do we have.
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We had a reaction of some sort.
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So if we see that on a daily and for hour
and institutional order flow is bullish.
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We have a very high odds condition
for a buy in a day trade.
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There's a sufficient range in pips
between market price and opposing
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premium array found on the daily
and or minimum four hour chart.
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What am I suggesting here?
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Is there enough of a
range for you to profit?
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If you want to be a buyer today,
based on the fact that we've traded
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down to a daily and our minimum four
hour discount array, if we have done.
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The conditions are the stage is set for a
potential buy or up-close day by itself.
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It doesn't mean much at all, but if
there's a sufficient range between
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the current market price, when you're
looking to take the trade and the
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opposing premium array that would be
found on a daily and or four hour chart.
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In other words, is it like 50, 60?
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That's a, that's a healthy
range for a day trade.
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Anything less than 40 pips.
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It's a scalp.
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It can be done, but I like to
see 50 to 60 pips perfectly from
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my own, from own tastes, price,
declines under the opening price.
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And again, this is the midnight
candle in New York and the Asian
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range low and ideally to the
decline under the Asian range.
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We'll be to a logical discount
array on a 15 minute timeframe.
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Typically place will not spend much time
at the discount array on the 15 minute
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chart, expect price to sharply trade
higher away from the 15 minute discussion.
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The longer price stays or hovers
near that 15 minute discount array.
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The odds drop off precipitously.
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We want to see immediate response
because the banks won't keep that
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price level at a discount very long.
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If it's going to be good and short
term sentiment will be most bearish at
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the time when we enter our long trades
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for sentiment purposes, I use
a 10 period Williams percent.
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And I plot that on my 15 minute timeframe.
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As you can see in our chart here, it
gives us a very clear discernible measure
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of sentiment, but we don't look at the
overbought oversold conditions that this
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indicator usually is over referred to.
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Um, the conditions really are, we're
looking at price primarily, and if
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we get a sentiment confluence, as
we see here, this gives us a higher
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odds that we probably are going to
be on the right side of the March.
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Why did price go up as you
saw throughout this week?
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I mentioned that we would probably
see the weekly, low form on Thursdays
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New York session price came down,
hit the sell stops on two basis.
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They hit the intraday stops on.
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New York open eight 30 employment
number, but they did it
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before the numbers released.
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And I mentioned during the live
session at that day on Thursday, that
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that's not good and they're probably
pricing in the low of the week.
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And it's also that sell stop discount
PD array old, low on the daily chart,
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and it rallies up through to fair value
gaps and it hit the gap resistance
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when the second upper most fair value
gap stopping dead in its tracks.
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So we had a draw on the daily chart up to
a premium array in the form of two fair
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value gaps pricing off of the accumulation
of those cell stops with the weekly
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template Thursdays low the week forming.
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And we see that subsequent
price move again.
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That New York session Thursday,
weekly, low was defined before the.
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So we're seeing something in this
teaching that would otherwise be looked
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at as hindsight cherry picking, but we
watched it unfold in life conditions,
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self conditions, proper
setup for short entries.
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Again, it suggests a daily and or
minimum for our premium array is in.
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There is a sufficient range in
pips between the market price and
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opposing discount array found on the
daily and or minimum four hour chart
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price rallies above the opening
price in midnight, New York
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candle and the Asian range high.
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Ideally the rally above the Asian
range high will be to a logical
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premium array on a 15 minute time.
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And typically price will not spend
much time at the premium array.
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On the 15 minute timeframe.
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We expect price to sharply trade lower
away from the 15 minute premium array.
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The longer price stays or hovers
near the 15 minute premium array.
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The odds fall off precipitously short
term sentiment will be the most bullish
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at the time when we enter our short.
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And it's example here using a 10 period
Williams percent R for sentiment purposes.
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Okay.
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We can see at a time when the bear's water
block was traded up into arrays, Asian
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rains high, we had market sentiment, most
bullish, and it created the two subsequent
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highs of the day in price and moved lower.
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This Paragon is the dollar store.
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This is in concert with our bears idea.
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After that gap was filled on the
dollar index for this week's analysis,
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that's why this pair had such a
significant move lower, and why this
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pair respected the outlines that we're
giving you here for the teachings and
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it's daily chart for the dollar Swiss.
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We traded up to a rejection block on
Thursday, Friday, we opened rallied above.
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The Asian range high and traded
down to fill in the discount array,
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which is in this case, the fair
value gap seen on the daily chart.
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And I shouldn't see here before
Friday's close, the gap was filled.
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So when we're looking at day trades,
notice that there's a specific
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criteria here that I like to know.
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Now every day there, isn't going to be a
scenario that provides this as a entry.
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It won't give you an opportunity
every single trading day.
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And that's the purpose day trading
is not an everyday trading.
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Okay.
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I don't think there's any reason why every
single sheet, every single trading day
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that you should be in here trying to find
something unless you're practicing and
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looking for concepts to being reinforced
in just looking at general price action.
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I don't think you should be aware that.
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Well, that study is profitable.
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It doesn't equate to
profitable everyday trading.
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Okay.
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So when we teach in this month, the
20 pips per day session, again, that's
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not an enticement for you to go in
every single day, trying to look for
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20 pips, but there are going to be
conditions that I teach that help you
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find 20 pips generally in something.
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But again, I don't want to.
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New build in this idea that you need to
be a trade of holic because it's not a
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good, healthy, uh, lifestyle as a trader.
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It just it's, it's all in consuming
your time and your energy and it
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doesn't bode well for long-term success.
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You ended up becoming a, you
know, PIP drunk to basically
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what I call that years ago.
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And I actually fell victim to that.
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So I don't want to give those same.
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Poor characteristics as a trader to
you, or even imply that you won't be
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subjected to the same thing you would be.
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If you go through that same process
of trying to trade every single day,
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number one, the more you trade, the more
likely you're going to get a loss, the
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faster that next loss is going to come.
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And if you're trying to trade every
single day, chances are, you're probably
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going to build a false sense of your.
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And the worst thing that can happen
is you get a series of good strings
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of wins and it makes you think that
you're way better than you really are.
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And the market has a tendency
to go into a dry spell.
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And what you might think is
in the charts today may not be
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there tomorrow or the day after.
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So what we're looking for as
outlined in this specific teaching,
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using sentiment and a rule-based
idea about the agent range, this
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helps us ferret out the better.
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We won't get this condition
every single trading day.
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But the days that we do those are the
days that this highest probability
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for day trading are going to be in
your favor until the next lesson.
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I wish you good luck and good trading.
17148
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