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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:11,190 --> 00:00:11,610 Okay folks. 2 00:00:11,610 --> 00:00:12,150 Welcome back. 3 00:00:12,150 --> 00:00:16,470 This is the first lesson of May, 2017 content from the ICT mentorship. 4 00:00:17,190 --> 00:00:19,890 This month, we're teaching the STT amplified day trading and scalping. 5 00:00:21,090 --> 00:00:24,150 This teaching is specifically dealing with the sentiment effect. 6 00:00:29,870 --> 00:00:30,110 Okay. 7 00:00:30,110 --> 00:00:35,990 What are buying or selling probabilities the highest well for day trades as we're 8 00:00:36,170 --> 00:00:40,400 specifically teaching in this month, the use of the agent range and the 9 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:42,710 opening price are key for day trades. 10 00:00:42,890 --> 00:00:47,660 As we're teaching in this month, the use of the agent range and opening price 11 00:00:47,660 --> 00:00:53,269 are key bear short days, or when you're looking to sell short, ideally, you're 12 00:00:53,269 --> 00:00:56,960 going to be looking for a move above the opening price and or the Asian range. 13 00:00:58,140 --> 00:01:01,050 When you're looking to go long on bullish days, ideally, you're gonna be 14 00:01:01,050 --> 00:01:04,349 looking to go long below the opening price and or the Asian range low. 15 00:01:06,060 --> 00:01:10,500 Now the market will have a short-term shift in sentiment and less informed 16 00:01:10,500 --> 00:01:14,520 traders will chase price on the impulse or the initial swing introduct. 17 00:01:15,060 --> 00:01:18,900 This is classically known from my teaching as the Judah swing, where 18 00:01:18,900 --> 00:01:22,380 the market goes into a projection or any state that's opposing the general 19 00:01:22,380 --> 00:01:24,390 direction of the close of that particular. 20 00:01:27,290 --> 00:01:31,910 Focusing on strict conditions like daily and or for our direction 21 00:01:31,970 --> 00:01:35,720 based on institutional order flow and combined into PD array matrix 22 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:37,130 for the next level objectives. 23 00:01:37,610 --> 00:01:39,920 This will provide you the highest probability setups. 24 00:01:42,670 --> 00:01:46,000 We wait for opposing market directions for high odds. 25 00:01:50,325 --> 00:01:54,135 Now, when we're looking at order flow, that's bearish on the example here in 26 00:01:54,135 --> 00:01:58,155 our chart on the left hand side, have order flow from an institutional basis 27 00:01:58,485 --> 00:02:01,485 on a daily or four hour is suggested to be embarrassed or going lower. 28 00:02:01,635 --> 00:02:06,165 What we're looking for primarily is a move above the Asian range high and 29 00:02:06,165 --> 00:02:11,355 away from that opening price smart money sells above the Asian range. 30 00:02:13,425 --> 00:02:16,935 When the institutional order flow is bullish on the daily end or four hour 31 00:02:16,935 --> 00:02:22,275 chart, smart money buys below the Asian range low and below that opening price. 32 00:02:22,635 --> 00:02:25,065 Now you're probably saying to yourself, well, what is the opening price 33 00:02:25,665 --> 00:02:30,585 it's going to be either Z or GMT is opening price early in the day. 34 00:02:31,845 --> 00:02:35,745 If it's been a consolidation, very close to that same area. 35 00:02:35,745 --> 00:02:40,065 In other words, if the range from the zero GMT hour, hasn't produced much 36 00:02:40,065 --> 00:02:41,145 of a range on the upside or down. 37 00:02:42,405 --> 00:02:44,415 You can still incorporate that opening price as well. 38 00:02:45,015 --> 00:02:47,415 But in this teaching, we're focusing primarily on the 39 00:02:47,415 --> 00:02:48,825 midnight candle in New York. 40 00:02:51,565 --> 00:02:56,395 Conversely, when institutional order flow is bearish on a daily and or a four 41 00:02:56,395 --> 00:03:01,945 hour chart, the market typically will go above the Asian range high, and that 42 00:03:01,945 --> 00:03:05,755 will many times suck in street money and they will be buying above that. 43 00:03:05,755 --> 00:03:09,535 When a breakout, when institutional order flow is bullish on a 44 00:03:09,535 --> 00:03:10,735 daily indoor four hour chart. 45 00:03:11,579 --> 00:03:14,490 The moves that go below the Asian range, many times trip, 46 00:03:14,550 --> 00:03:16,079 street money into selling short. 47 00:03:16,590 --> 00:03:18,000 It puts them in on the wrong side. 48 00:03:23,540 --> 00:03:23,810 Okay. 49 00:03:23,810 --> 00:03:26,810 By conditions, uh, for a proper up for long enough. 50 00:03:29,090 --> 00:03:32,780 Now what we're going to be referring to is if does suggestion based 51 00:03:32,810 --> 00:03:37,670 on the daily or minimum four hour discount array, it must be in play. 52 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:42,740 In other words, on a daily chart and or four hour chart price has recently 53 00:03:42,740 --> 00:03:48,290 respected or traded down into a discount PDRI and it's shown a willingness 54 00:03:48,290 --> 00:03:50,760 to support price, nor do we have. 55 00:03:50,990 --> 00:03:52,220 We had a reaction of some sort. 56 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:56,300 So if we see that on a daily and for hour and institutional order flow is bullish. 57 00:03:57,500 --> 00:04:01,940 We have a very high odds condition for a buy in a day trade. 58 00:04:04,459 --> 00:04:07,670 There's a sufficient range in pips between market price and opposing 59 00:04:07,670 --> 00:04:11,030 premium array found on the daily and or minimum four hour chart. 60 00:04:11,179 --> 00:04:12,200 What am I suggesting here? 61 00:04:13,310 --> 00:04:15,230 Is there enough of a range for you to profit? 62 00:04:15,859 --> 00:04:18,740 If you want to be a buyer today, based on the fact that we've traded 63 00:04:18,740 --> 00:04:23,990 down to a daily and our minimum four hour discount array, if we have done. 64 00:04:24,900 --> 00:04:30,900 The conditions are the stage is set for a potential buy or up-close day by itself. 65 00:04:30,900 --> 00:04:35,070 It doesn't mean much at all, but if there's a sufficient range between 66 00:04:35,099 --> 00:04:39,300 the current market price, when you're looking to take the trade and the 67 00:04:39,300 --> 00:04:43,080 opposing premium array that would be found on a daily and or four hour chart. 68 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:45,659 In other words, is it like 50, 60? 69 00:04:46,710 --> 00:04:49,200 That's a, that's a healthy range for a day trade. 70 00:04:49,950 --> 00:04:51,600 Anything less than 40 pips. 71 00:04:52,610 --> 00:04:53,490 It's a scalp. 72 00:04:53,580 --> 00:04:57,890 It can be done, but I like to see 50 to 60 pips perfectly from 73 00:04:57,890 --> 00:05:04,740 my own, from own tastes, price, declines under the opening price. 74 00:05:05,100 --> 00:05:09,420 And again, this is the midnight candle in New York and the Asian 75 00:05:09,420 --> 00:05:14,420 range low and ideally to the decline under the Asian range. 76 00:05:15,150 --> 00:05:18,570 We'll be to a logical discount array on a 15 minute timeframe. 77 00:05:21,700 --> 00:05:26,440 Typically place will not spend much time at the discount array on the 15 minute 78 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:32,200 chart, expect price to sharply trade higher away from the 15 minute discussion. 79 00:05:35,195 --> 00:05:38,945 The longer price stays or hovers near that 15 minute discount array. 80 00:05:39,575 --> 00:05:41,285 The odds drop off precipitously. 81 00:05:41,315 --> 00:05:44,705 We want to see immediate response because the banks won't keep that 82 00:05:44,705 --> 00:05:46,775 price level at a discount very long. 83 00:05:46,775 --> 00:05:52,055 If it's going to be good and short term sentiment will be most bearish at 84 00:05:52,055 --> 00:05:53,765 the time when we enter our long trades 85 00:05:57,015 --> 00:06:00,525 for sentiment purposes, I use a 10 period Williams percent. 86 00:06:01,940 --> 00:06:03,920 And I plot that on my 15 minute timeframe. 87 00:06:04,940 --> 00:06:08,570 As you can see in our chart here, it gives us a very clear discernible measure 88 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:13,070 of sentiment, but we don't look at the overbought oversold conditions that this 89 00:06:13,070 --> 00:06:16,100 indicator usually is over referred to. 90 00:06:16,550 --> 00:06:21,770 Um, the conditions really are, we're looking at price primarily, and if 91 00:06:21,770 --> 00:06:26,930 we get a sentiment confluence, as we see here, this gives us a higher 92 00:06:26,930 --> 00:06:29,270 odds that we probably are going to be on the right side of the March. 93 00:06:33,585 --> 00:06:36,585 Why did price go up as you saw throughout this week? 94 00:06:36,705 --> 00:06:40,095 I mentioned that we would probably see the weekly, low form on Thursdays 95 00:06:40,095 --> 00:06:44,625 New York session price came down, hit the sell stops on two basis. 96 00:06:44,895 --> 00:06:48,035 They hit the intraday stops on. 97 00:06:49,470 --> 00:06:52,650 New York open eight 30 employment number, but they did it 98 00:06:52,650 --> 00:06:54,150 before the numbers released. 99 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:57,120 And I mentioned during the live session at that day on Thursday, that 100 00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:59,880 that's not good and they're probably pricing in the low of the week. 101 00:07:00,270 --> 00:07:05,160 And it's also that sell stop discount PD array old, low on the daily chart, 102 00:07:05,820 --> 00:07:11,100 and it rallies up through to fair value gaps and it hit the gap resistance 103 00:07:11,580 --> 00:07:15,210 when the second upper most fair value gap stopping dead in its tracks. 104 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:23,260 So we had a draw on the daily chart up to a premium array in the form of two fair 105 00:07:23,260 --> 00:07:30,430 value gaps pricing off of the accumulation of those cell stops with the weekly 106 00:07:30,430 --> 00:07:33,370 template Thursdays low the week forming. 107 00:07:35,110 --> 00:07:40,390 And we see that subsequent price move again. 108 00:07:40,390 --> 00:07:43,360 That New York session Thursday, weekly, low was defined before the. 109 00:07:44,325 --> 00:07:48,375 So we're seeing something in this teaching that would otherwise be looked 110 00:07:48,375 --> 00:07:53,055 at as hindsight cherry picking, but we watched it unfold in life conditions, 111 00:07:59,005 --> 00:08:01,525 self conditions, proper setup for short entries. 112 00:08:03,235 --> 00:08:07,665 Again, it suggests a daily and or minimum for our premium array is in. 113 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,720 There is a sufficient range in pips between the market price and 114 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:17,560 opposing discount array found on the daily and or minimum four hour chart 115 00:08:21,090 --> 00:08:24,179 price rallies above the opening price in midnight, New York 116 00:08:24,180 --> 00:08:26,640 candle and the Asian range high. 117 00:08:29,020 --> 00:08:31,930 Ideally the rally above the Asian range high will be to a logical 118 00:08:31,930 --> 00:08:33,520 premium array on a 15 minute time. 119 00:08:36,710 --> 00:08:39,620 And typically price will not spend much time at the premium array. 120 00:08:39,620 --> 00:08:40,760 On the 15 minute timeframe. 121 00:08:43,750 --> 00:08:48,370 We expect price to sharply trade lower away from the 15 minute premium array. 122 00:08:50,530 --> 00:08:53,410 The longer price stays or hovers near the 15 minute premium array. 123 00:08:53,770 --> 00:08:59,770 The odds fall off precipitously short term sentiment will be the most bullish 124 00:08:59,830 --> 00:09:01,300 at the time when we enter our short. 125 00:09:05,850 --> 00:09:09,960 And it's example here using a 10 period Williams percent R for sentiment purposes. 126 00:09:10,860 --> 00:09:10,949 Okay. 127 00:09:12,410 --> 00:09:17,600 We can see at a time when the bear's water block was traded up into arrays, Asian 128 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:24,110 rains high, we had market sentiment, most bullish, and it created the two subsequent 129 00:09:24,710 --> 00:09:26,810 highs of the day in price and moved lower. 130 00:09:27,329 --> 00:09:28,790 This Paragon is the dollar store. 131 00:09:29,835 --> 00:09:31,665 This is in concert with our bears idea. 132 00:09:32,325 --> 00:09:36,045 After that gap was filled on the dollar index for this week's analysis, 133 00:09:36,615 --> 00:09:40,575 that's why this pair had such a significant move lower, and why this 134 00:09:40,575 --> 00:09:47,955 pair respected the outlines that we're giving you here for the teachings and 135 00:09:48,145 --> 00:09:49,825 it's daily chart for the dollar Swiss. 136 00:09:50,365 --> 00:09:56,305 We traded up to a rejection block on Thursday, Friday, we opened rallied above. 137 00:09:57,090 --> 00:10:01,680 The Asian range high and traded down to fill in the discount array, 138 00:10:01,950 --> 00:10:05,189 which is in this case, the fair value gap seen on the daily chart. 139 00:10:07,340 --> 00:10:11,060 And I shouldn't see here before Friday's close, the gap was filled. 140 00:10:11,180 --> 00:10:16,189 So when we're looking at day trades, notice that there's a specific 141 00:10:16,189 --> 00:10:18,050 criteria here that I like to know. 142 00:10:19,170 --> 00:10:24,060 Now every day there, isn't going to be a scenario that provides this as a entry. 143 00:10:24,390 --> 00:10:26,640 It won't give you an opportunity every single trading day. 144 00:10:26,700 --> 00:10:30,180 And that's the purpose day trading is not an everyday trading. 145 00:10:30,450 --> 00:10:30,690 Okay. 146 00:10:30,750 --> 00:10:34,590 I don't think there's any reason why every single sheet, every single trading day 147 00:10:34,590 --> 00:10:37,600 that you should be in here trying to find something unless you're practicing and 148 00:10:37,620 --> 00:10:42,000 looking for concepts to being reinforced in just looking at general price action. 149 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:46,140 I don't think you should be aware that. 150 00:10:47,055 --> 00:10:49,665 Well, that study is profitable. 151 00:10:50,415 --> 00:10:52,755 It doesn't equate to profitable everyday trading. 152 00:10:53,265 --> 00:10:53,505 Okay. 153 00:10:53,505 --> 00:10:58,425 So when we teach in this month, the 20 pips per day session, again, that's 154 00:10:58,425 --> 00:11:01,875 not an enticement for you to go in every single day, trying to look for 155 00:11:01,875 --> 00:11:05,775 20 pips, but there are going to be conditions that I teach that help you 156 00:11:05,775 --> 00:11:09,405 find 20 pips generally in something. 157 00:11:09,855 --> 00:11:11,495 But again, I don't want to. 158 00:11:13,255 --> 00:11:17,454 New build in this idea that you need to be a trade of holic because it's not a 159 00:11:17,454 --> 00:11:19,675 good, healthy, uh, lifestyle as a trader. 160 00:11:19,735 --> 00:11:25,675 It just it's, it's all in consuming your time and your energy and it 161 00:11:25,675 --> 00:11:28,045 doesn't bode well for long-term success. 162 00:11:28,045 --> 00:11:32,665 You ended up becoming a, you know, PIP drunk to basically 163 00:11:32,665 --> 00:11:33,745 what I call that years ago. 164 00:11:34,135 --> 00:11:35,665 And I actually fell victim to that. 165 00:11:35,814 --> 00:11:39,235 So I don't want to give those same. 166 00:11:40,425 --> 00:11:47,295 Poor characteristics as a trader to you, or even imply that you won't be 167 00:11:47,295 --> 00:11:49,395 subjected to the same thing you would be. 168 00:11:49,755 --> 00:11:52,335 If you go through that same process of trying to trade every single day, 169 00:11:52,905 --> 00:11:56,655 number one, the more you trade, the more likely you're going to get a loss, the 170 00:11:56,655 --> 00:11:58,455 faster that next loss is going to come. 171 00:11:59,085 --> 00:12:01,815 And if you're trying to trade every single day, chances are, you're probably 172 00:12:01,815 --> 00:12:05,145 going to build a false sense of your. 173 00:12:06,435 --> 00:12:10,125 And the worst thing that can happen is you get a series of good strings 174 00:12:10,155 --> 00:12:13,305 of wins and it makes you think that you're way better than you really are. 175 00:12:13,755 --> 00:12:16,365 And the market has a tendency to go into a dry spell. 176 00:12:17,115 --> 00:12:20,505 And what you might think is in the charts today may not be 177 00:12:20,505 --> 00:12:21,735 there tomorrow or the day after. 178 00:12:21,915 --> 00:12:25,365 So what we're looking for as outlined in this specific teaching, 179 00:12:25,905 --> 00:12:31,635 using sentiment and a rule-based idea about the agent range, this 180 00:12:31,635 --> 00:12:33,845 helps us ferret out the better. 181 00:12:34,860 --> 00:12:36,959 We won't get this condition every single trading day. 182 00:12:37,290 --> 00:12:41,610 But the days that we do those are the days that this highest probability 183 00:12:41,610 --> 00:12:45,540 for day trading are going to be in your favor until the next lesson. 184 00:12:45,660 --> 00:12:47,069 I wish you good luck and good trading. 17148

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