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There are two kinds
of people in the world, those that believe
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in technical analysis
and have over 50 lines on their charts
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and those that think technical analysis
is complete bogus.
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In this video, you're going to find out
which one you are.
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Welcome the whiteboard crypto, the number
one YouTube channel for crypto education.
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And here we explain topics
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of the cryptocurrency world
using analogies, stories and examples
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so that even your grandpa
can understand them.
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In this video,
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we are going to be explaining
what technical analysis
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is, how it can be useful,
and even some common patterns
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that you'll be able to identify yourself
by the end of this video.
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Also, about two months ago,
I stumbled upon a fantastic crypto creator
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who wasn't reaching many eyeballs,
even though his technical analysis
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content was the best that I'd ever seen.
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So I reached out to him,
and he's going to help with this video.
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If you're impressed by the end of it,
I'd really appreciate it.
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If you head over to his channel
and watch a video or two
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to see if you agree about his quality.
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Let's dig in.
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Technical analysis is one of the things
that is overused by people
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who know what it is and undervalued
by those who have never used it.
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When it comes to investing,
not just in cryptocurrency,
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the main steps to make a profit is to buy
something at the cheapest price possible,
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and then they sell it
at the most expensive price.
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Now, that's much easier said than done.
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Technical analysis is a great tool
to help make that possible.
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It's worth noting that technical analysis
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is not a holy grail
and will not make you wealthy overnight.
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It's not designed to do that.
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In fact, some traders
will even only make trades once a month,
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but it will give you a small edge
in the markets.
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Even a one person edge in
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something can be much greater
or more useful than you think.
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For example, casinos make millions of
dollars every single day around the world
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because they have a simple edge over
the people that are playing against.
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Sometimes that edge is less than 1%,
but over a long enough time
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period with a large enough volume,
that is all you need.
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In fact, Gold Medal athletes in the
Olympics win by less than 1% all the time.
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Now, before we get off topic
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and go down the rabbit hole,
I want to help you understand
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some of the most important concepts
when it comes to technical analysis
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and how you can use it to give you an edge
when it comes to investing
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in cryptocurrency.
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The first topic I want to cover
is something that doesn't
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even have to do with charts
or covering technical analysis.
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Instead, this concept is
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probably the most important one
to remember when you're investing.
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The most important question to ask
yourself is who controls the markets?
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Now, your first thought may be
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whales or institutions,
or maybe even big market movers.
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And while those are all great guesses,
the real answer
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is that the markets depend on
you and I and the millions
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of other people who are participating
in the market on a daily basis.
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All of these people control the markets.
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So what I'm trying to get at is
that people by nature are unpredictable.
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So therefore,
the markets are unpredictable.
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Some guy has a car accident
and he gets sued.
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And because of that lawsuit,
he has to liquidate all of his Etherium.
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Maybe there are some women out there
who just realize she's pregnant,
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and so she sells half of her chain link
so she can have some cushion money.
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Or maybe there's an XRP
whale that woke up one morning
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and they start dollar cost
averaging out of their XRP bags
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because they had a dream
that the whole thing was a scam.
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Now these things might sound funny,
but these things happen
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every day, every week, every year.
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You cannot predict the lawsuit,
the pregnancy or the dream,
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but they lead to tons of money
being moved in and out of the markets.
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There's a common misconception
about technical analysis, and many believe
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that if you can just find the right tool
or the right trading plan,
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then you can predict the future
and make millions.
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But the truth is, nobody knows the future.
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Your only goal with technical analysis
is to find a plan that works for you,
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define your personal edge in the market
and never let your emotions
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get the best of you.
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Technical
analysis is simply a tool to help you.
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Now that we've gotten the theory work
out of the way,
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let's actually dig in
to reading a candlestick.
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Now, candlesticks are a way to look at
price action within a specific timeframe.
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A candle is very confusing if you have no
idea what you're looking at,
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but I'm about to teach you everything
you need to know about a candlestick.
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Candlesticks turn for points of data
into a single image.
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first, you have the price
that the candle started at.
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Now this is actually depending on
whether the candle is green or red.
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These points will be different.
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For example, on a green candlestick,
the opening price
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is the bottom of the base
or the body of the candle .
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The other end of the body
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is where it actually closed,
on the other hand, for a red candlestick.
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The opposite is true.
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The opening is the top of the body
and the closing is the bottom of the body.
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So the color tells you
which one of these is the opening
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and which one is the closing.
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But the two points of the body
tell you where
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the crypto opened and closed
within that specific time frame.
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Now, this time frame could be one minute.
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It could be ten minutes an hour
or even a whole month.
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They're technically fractal in nature,
but we'll talk about that later on.
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So now that we've gotten the big body
parts of the candlestick out of the way,
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let's move on to the thin parts
of the candle and these are called wicks.
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Now these are evidence of where
the price went, but then recovered.
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So let's take a look at a green card.
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Candlestick, this candlestick
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tells us that the crypto opened here,
went all the way down here at one point
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and then came back up to here
at some point
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and then ended at this part of the body.
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That's how you read a candle. It's
that easy.
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I will say you may need to watch that
a couple of times, but all candles work
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this way, and once you know how
to read them, it all starts to make sense.
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Now, some candles
give you insight into the market.
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For example, a candlestick that looks like
this means the price went way up.
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Then came back way down.
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And that usually means that the buyers
were exhausted or in other terms.
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There were more sellers than buyers,
and that the price of whatever this asset
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is might drop in the future.
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Alternatively, a candle like
this is where the price went way down
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and then came up,
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and that usually means
the sellers were exhausted
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and that the price may go
up in the future.
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These are not always true,
but they give us good ideas
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about what's happening in the market.
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Now, moving on the rest of this video
includes topics
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that will be a little difficult
to explain with a whiteboard,
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so I'm going to go ahead and let Christian
give a whack of breaking them down.
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So right here
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I have a diagram basically breaking down
the three phases of the market.
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first, we have an uptrend,
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a downtrend and consolidation,
which is sideways movement.
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An easy way to think of it is
that an uptrend
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is a series of higher highs,
which are these and higher lows.
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And as you follow the arrows,
it looks like the market is going higher
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and we know the market can't go only up.
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There needs to be retracement in
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a downtrend is the same thing,
but in the opposite direction.
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So you have a series of lower lows and
lower highs, lower lows and lower highs.
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And that is what determines
a downturn in its simplest form.
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And a consolidation is
when price gets stuck in between
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two price points
and just continues to consolidate.
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Now to show you this
in a real data structure or real
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technical analysis chart,
we have bitcoin on the four hour chart,
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starting all the way
from the beginning of January
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ending to around July 20th.
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So you could do this on any timeframe
because everything is fractal,
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which we'll talk about later.
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So actually, try this out for you
to make it even more simple.
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So we have the market coming up,
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coming down a series of higher highs
and higher lows.
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And this is an uptrend
until we start to make lower
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lows and lower highs in the market
and then finally right in this area.
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The market consolidates in between the
price points at 36,000 and around 29,000.
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And the market just starts to go sideways.
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And then as we go on even
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farther to the right
side, we could see that the market starts
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to give us another uptrend
until it starts to give us a downturn.
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So the market goes through these
three phases over and over and over again.
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And as you scale down to lower timeframes,
they start to happen more frequently.
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And if you get to higher timeframes,
it is a lot slower.
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But the price movements are a lot larger.
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So I'm hoping that this really exemplifies
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how simple market structure can be
and how easy trading can be.
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Sometimes because really,
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there are only three directions
the market goes up, down and sideways.
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Now that we have a common understanding
about what candlesticks are
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and when you put them all together,
they kind of tell us a story of
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what's happening within the certain asset
that you're looking at.
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So for example,
we're looking at bitcoin, U.S.
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dollar and on here
we are currently on the weekly.
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So each one of these candlesticks
represents one week's
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worth of price action, telling us
where price has been over that week.
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Now, trends or trend lines
help us understand
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where we are in the market
and where we might be trending
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to whether that's a higher price
or lower price.
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Now there's a couple of really
important things to know with trend lines.
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And while they're very helpful
and they're very simple,
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there's a couple of key things
you need to understand about them.
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The first thing is
that they're very subjective.
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When I see a trend, you may not,
and when you see a trend,
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it may not be very obvious or evident
to other people.
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So trend lines are very subjective,
just like many other things
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when it comes to technical analysis, so
always keep that in the back of your head.
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The second thing
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that we need to understand is that a trend
line needs to have two touches.
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For example,
I have this trend line on the weekly
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that you could see
the first touch is back around here.
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The second touch connects to right here.
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And the third one is typically
where people are anticipating price
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to get to now, not to put too much weight
or time into trend lines.
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The last thing I want to go over
is that there's three main
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trend lines that I like to look into.
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The first one is the macro trend.
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When I'm talking about macro,
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I'm talking about where price is going on
a very long time scale.
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So for example, when we're looking
at the weekly, the monthly or the daily,
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as you could see the timeframe of this
starting from back here.
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This is a lot of price action.
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This is currently around 658 days
worth of data that we're looking in.
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So you can almost consider this
as the macro trend, right?
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What is the large scale of the market?
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But if we come down to shorter timeframes
like the four hour, one hour or anything
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below that,
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that's when we're looking at minor trends
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and this is actually something
that's happening right now.
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So we're starting this
trend all the way back from November 10th,
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and it's actually going to price action
to where we are on December 30th.
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So as you could see, we are currently
in a minor downtrend on bitcoin.
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But if we were to take a look
back at the weekly, you can tell
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that we are somewhat
in a pretty bullish state.
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So these are always good to consider
what timeframe you're on
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and what trend you're
in on that timeframe.
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Now, the last thing I want to get into
is a counter trend,
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and this might be kind of confusing,
but I'm going to make it very simple.
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Now what we're talking about a counter
trend.
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The first thing we have to identify is
what is our main trend?
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So we're looking at bitcoin right here.
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We're looking at price action
from the end of January,
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going all the way
to around the middle of April.
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Now you could pretty easily
tell that bitcoin was in an uptrend
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just by looking at price
and plotting this trend line right here.
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But a counter trend is the opposite trend
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against the bigger overall picture.
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So currently we're in an uptrend,
and the counter trend would be any time
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price is going down
against the main trend.
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And as you could see,
this only happens for a little bit
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and then we break out and continue
with the main trend.
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We go down for a little bit and breakout
with the main trend go down and breakout.
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Now an indication that this might be over
or that our main trend is getting broken
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is when it breaks below our main trend
line, as you could see by this white line.
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And that is indicating that
now we might be switching
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our trend line to the opposite direction.
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Now that you know what market structure is
and in what directions the market moves
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and in what phases,
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it is also important to understand
that the markets are fractal.
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A fractal is simply a never ending
pattern.
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It's a mathematical phenomenon,
and it's basically
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just a self
similar pattern across different skills.
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So let's hop into the charts
and I'll show you exactly what I mean.
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So as you can see right here,
we have a pattern of a large triangle
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that is made up of smaller triangles.
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And the deeper we look
into the actual triangles,
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as you could see right here,
it seems like it's a never ending pattern
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of bigger and smaller triangles,
and it just continues to zoom in.
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And then and you can actually
look this up on Google
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and get a better understanding of it.
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But basically, I have two Ethereum
USD charts pulled up for you.
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The first one is the four hour chart,
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and it dates from September 16th
to around October sixth.
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The next chart is the 15 minute chart,
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and this one dates from December 12th
to around December 16th.
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And you could verify that by the scale
down here and the numbers up here.
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So the first one we have
is the four hour chart.
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The first thing that happens
is that the market drops
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and then we have three
touches on a floor or a support.
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And then we have a big bullish
move off of that level.
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If we jump over to the 15 minute
timeframe, completely
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different time, completely different
scale of candlesticks.
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We have a move down.
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We have three touches into this support
or this floor
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and then we have a large reaction
to the upside.
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Now you can see that they're not perfect,
but the whole point of this
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is that you can go even down
to the one minute or the weekly chart
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and you can compare these together
and the market moves in similar ways.
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And we all know that the market is not
predictable, but it is not random either.
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So now that you know what fractals are
and that they're in the market, it's
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your turn to go up on the chart
and go find a couple.
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So if you made it this far, I just want to
thank you for bearing with me
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and my examples, and thank you
for not thinking that I'm too boring.
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Maybe you have, but you've made it
this far, so congratulations.
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But the last thing I want to share with
you are reversal zones and patterns.
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There's a saying that goes In order
to understand the future,
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we need to look at the past first.
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The markets may be unpredictable,
but they are not random.
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And with this knowledge,
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we can use it to our advantage
to understand what price might do next.
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So right here I have the entire 2021
bitcoin chart almost summarized
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for a lot of its massive uprisings
and downfalls.
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But as you can see back here in February,
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this massive uprising came
from a lot of institutional support.
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Companies like Tesla, MicroStrategy
and MasterCard
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were all publicly supporting bitcoin,
which made it rise.
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Then we had the summer FUD
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dating all the way back in May,
even starting back in April.
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And then at the bottom of it,
Grayscale announced
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00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:44,080
that they bought $1.5 billion of bitcoin,
which made it rise.
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And then China again
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banned cryptocurrency once again
around the middle end of September,
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00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:53,400
which made it drop, and then Bitcoin ETF
hype pumped it up again.
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00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,200
And then right here, our most recent rally
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00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:59,440
was our Santa Claus rally,
which takes in effect the last.
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Week of December
now, while all of these events are unique,
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these are massive
price points or movements in the markets,
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00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,600
as you could see, the market comes up
and comes down violently.
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Usually the market
kind of flows up and down.
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00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:14,880
It has an ebb and flow to it.
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00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,880
But when these massive fundamental
or news events
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hit the public, we could see
massive changes in the market.
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And what we can actually do is
we can map this out
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00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:27,960
all the way across,
and we can use these as levels
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00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:32,000
of future price reversal zones
and you could see if we map these out.
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It's no coincidence
that over and over and over again,
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when we see support or resistance
right here, we can see over here as well.
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And over here,
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00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:44,320
even though that this is not a one time
event this summer, FUD,
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you could see that
a lot of traders and investors
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00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:52,200
look at these levels because this is where
Price moved on a very large scale.
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00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:56,280
And if we continue to take out
all of these, you could see that it's
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no coincidence that these levels continue
to react into the future.
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So while something big might happen once
and it might not recreate itself
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00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:07,480
in the future,
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00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:12,000
those levels will be remembered by the
traders and investors in the future.
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So these are important things to remember.
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00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:18,480
And even if no big event happened,
but we hit an all time high
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00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:23,160
or a local low, those are important things
to remember for the future because
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00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:27,640
it's an indication that something similar
might happen again in the charts.
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00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,400
So that's the last thing
I want to leave you with.
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And just for fun.
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00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:31,960
Go ahead.
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00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:35,400
Go on to find some really important price
reversal zones.
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00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:39,320
Go ahead and see what happened in the past
and then what happened in
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00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:40,760
the future as well.
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00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:41,440
So I hope you guys
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00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:44,640
enjoyed everything in this video,
and I'll pass it back to Theodore.
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All right.
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00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:47,480
If you enjoy this video
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00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:51,240
and lessons about technical analysis,
I have a big ask for you.
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00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:52,840
Could you head over to Christian's channel
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00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,360
and watch one of his videos
and let me know what you think of them?
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00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,440
He's been growing like crazy,
and to be honest, he is my favorite
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00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:02,400
technical analysis YouTuber who doesn't
put shocked faces on his thumbnail
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00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,560
or just sprout off random
price predictions without any evidence.
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00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:08,480
Either way, we both want to thank you
for watching this video.
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00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:12,240
I really hope that you learn something,
and most of all, I hope to see you over
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00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:13,160
at Christian's channel.
31548
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