All language subtitles for The Over 1.5 Goals Trading Strategy - PERFECT for beginners (English_ASR)

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in this video I want to talk to you

about one of the simplest yet most

effective trading strategies you can use

and the trading strategies that's

actually perfect for beginning traders

out there now for those of you that are

veterans and the the football trading

markets or the sports trading markets I

ask you to keep an open mind for a

moment because what I'm going say you'll

probably sit there and think from the

outside I'll actually have heard about

this before and actually it doesn't work

or anything like that but you need to

wait until I get into it to understand

exactly why this strategy works then why

it's going to make you money in the long

run now the strategy I'm talking about

is the over 1.5 goal strategy and what

that ultimately means is that you're

going to be trading or betting backing

however you want to put it there they're

going to be over one-and-a-half goals in

a match now you might say don't think

one and a half cause that's strange how

can you get half a goal essentially what

we're saying is that they're going to be

two or more goals in a game now for

those of you as I said for you veterans

out there you'll probably sit there and

said to me well the problem with this

strategy from the outset is that if you

back this from the beginning of the game

actually there isn't really any value

there because you'll find that you have

that you'll be risking five to make one

for example so your risk the reward

ratio really doesn't add up it doesn't

make any sense but I'm not talking about

doing this from the outset what I'm

talking about doing this from is

actually looking from around the second

half so towards the end of the first

half and the beginning of the second

half because that's when the odds for

this particular strategy for that

particular market will rise to a point

of about roughly 1.8 to 2.0 or then even

go above there so that ultimately means

that on average you'll be risking one to

make one and with the structure of the

system being well into the 70% region

you can see why you'll be able to make

money in the long run now why do I want

to back the 1.5 goals market in the

second half you know what I want to do

is I don't like to just give you these

strategies and not give you the thinking

or the rationale behind I want you to

know exactly why it works and the reason

that this strategy works is that if you

look at all of the teams across the

the merger wa the majority of teams

across the majority of the league's

across the world you'll find that

typically they score the majority of

their goals in the second half of games

now that's not to say that they don't

score any goals in the first half but if

you look at some statistics websites out

there you'll find they're on average a

team will score let's say 4045 percent

of their goals in the first half and

I'll score 55 60 percent of their goals

in the second half so immediately we

have the statistics going for us now

remember we are looking at we are

traders here okay we're not better so

we're not saying that we're going that

there has to be two goals in a second

half all we're looking for is just one

goal because one goal will be enough to

give us a free trade or to give us an

amount of profit that we'll be happy

about walking away from the table and it

really depends on the type of trader you

are as to how you want to play this

strategy for me it depends when the goal

is scored as to wherever I'm willing to

wait for a second or whatever I want to

trade out for a profit but that's

something that you can play with and see

what works best for you all right but

what you need to know okay is that

ultimately as I just said the majority

of teams out there will score the the

majority of their their goals or can see

the majority of their goals in the

second half of games and if you think

about it logically it makes sense

because towards the the end of a game or

in certain in the second half of a game

you'll find that players begin to get

tired right there their minds go a

little bit they aren't is focus a tone

concentrate as much and that's where

you'll find gaps or a team is tipping

you know strong for an entire game but

they come to a point where you know

they're starting to get lapses in

concentration where they're not running

and chasing back as much as they as they

would have in the first half because

they don't have the energy to do it

that's where they get sweat will open up

and that's where goals will be scored so

not only do we have the statistics going

for us but we actually have the human

body itself helping to contribute

towards the success of the strategy

because as I said human beings will get

tired both mentally and physically

you know the more energy there that they

exert and that's where you will get

goals and that's where this the strategy

really comes into its own

so the strategy yourself what do you

looking for you looking for a game where

the score is iver nil nil or 1 nil

sometimes you can you can look at 1 1

but typically you don't really want any

higher than that because you'll find

that again across the majority of

leagues and and clubs out there that

they're average somewhere between 2 to 3

dollars again so if you've got a score

at halftime that's 2 1 or 2 2 or 3 2 or

something like that it's unlikely you're

going to get that many goals in the

second half just from a pure probability

perspective so we want games where as I

said there's nil nil nil 1 1 know

something like that

we want it to be a close game so we

don't want one team running away with it

so we're not really interested in to nil

score lines because ultimately again

what that will mean is that the the team

that's to know what can literally come

out and just park the bus and while the

other team may get to go often in times

it turns out that those goals come in a

little bit too late so they're coming

like the 80th minute and by that time we

won't be in a position where we can

trade out for a profit or get a

risk-free trade for for literally no no

well no loss risk-free the same

difference

but you know what I mean ok so we want a

a score line that's close at halftime

what we also want is we want to look at

the recent form of these teams and we

want to see that both teams

all right have score lines and I'm not

going to go into first half or second

half goals or anything like that

because we know as I've already said

that statistically there are more goals

scored and conceded in a second half

anyway but what you want to do in the

beginning when you're just kind of

starting out just go and look at the

form of the teams and look to see that

their last 6 to 8 games both home and

away so home for the home team and away

for the away team in both in all of

those or the majority of those games

they've scored two or more goals ok so

you don't want a team there is

consistent like sort of given the one

Nils no one's and things like that you

want get teams that will score two goals

or more or concede so basically combined

have two goals within a game because

then we know that we're in business and

we know that just going from a form

perspective and there's going to be

another goal in the second half now when

it comes to the trading part what you go

to want to do is answer your trade in

two parts and what I typically do is try

to wait a few minutes into the second

half before I answer my first trade and

the reason for that is that the odds can

jump quite significantly if a goal isn't

scored after the first five minutes of a

game of the second half now whilst a

goal can be scored and you just have to

scratch it and move on to the next one

oftentimes the first five minutes of the

second half will be a little bit of a

cagey affair and you won't get the goal

set so what I do is I wait for the first

few minutes as I said and I'll place

half of my stake around the 50th minute

mark if if a goal hasn't been scored in

those first five minutes of the second

half what I will then do is I'll wait

until the 65th minute mark was somewhere

around that time to put the other half

of my steak on now why do I do that

well basically as you know the the odds

rise as the game progresses so the you

know the likelihood of one-and-a-half

goals being scored 50 minutes is

obviously is it's more probable that

that's going to happen then it will at

the 65th minute now what we need to do

is we need to build our position so that

no matter when when or where the goal is

scored we will be in a position that we

can either cash out okay that's a profit

or we can lay the same the same market

for a risk free trade okay so we place

our first half around the 50th minute we

place the second half around the 65th

minute if a goal hasn't already been

scored okay as soon as a goal has been

scored we we have a decision to make we

either cash out of the whole position

for a profit and the earlier that that

goal has called the potentially the more

profit you'll have to be able to cash

out on but the longer time you'll have

for that second goal to be scored so

that's kind of like a moment when you

think should I take what I have here or

you know the goal score goal is scored

in the 52nd minute there will probably

be a second goal so let's kind of take

all of the liability out of the trade

and wait till the end of the game for

the for the second goal and as I said

it's completely up to you typically what

I do is if the goal is scored before I

get my second position on

I will take off all of the liability and

I wait until the end of the game to see

if another goal is scored or if I just

kind of trade outs for scratch if the

goal is scored after my second part of

the position is on then what I'll

probably do and what I typically do at

that moment is I just trade out of the

whole position because you know you're

in for your second half of the position

around the 65th minute

then from the 65th minute let's say you

wait five ten minutes for the next goal

to be scored you've only got another 15

minutes of the match for another goal to

be scored for the whole position to be

to be profitable and as we know one of

the great things about football trading

as opposed to betting or something like

that is that you don't have to be in the

trade the whole way through you don't

you don't need to do that you can

actually have the option to trade in and

out and that's what allows us to be much

more prosperous football traders and

people that typically just come to the

markets and they bet and they gamble all

right so let's have a very quick recap

we're looking at the over 1.5 goals

market or I should probably more

accurately accurately say the markets

that is 1.5 goals ahead of where we are

so if the score was one nil for example

we would be looking at the over 2.5

goals market if it was 1:1 we would be

looking at the over 3.5 goals market

okay so just a little bit of clarity

there so we're looking at the market

that is currently 1.5 goals ahead of

where we are all right once we find that

market we then wait for a few minutes

into the second half and we enter our

first parts of our position so we take

50% of our stake and we enter at that

moment in time if a goal is scored

before the 65th minute which is roughly

when we're going to put our second

position on then what you will do is you

will trade out of your liability all

right so you eliminate all of your

liability on that trade so let's say for

example you know you had bats at 50

pounds or hundred pounds you would then

lay a hundred pounds once the first goal

is scored and what that will ultimately

mean is that you'll be able to get out

of the trade for breakeven if another

goal isn't

but if another goal is scored then

you'll be able to maximize your profits

all right so that's what you do have the

first part of your steak if no skull is

scored by the 65th minute you'll then

add the second part of your steak okay

and you'll leave that so that's from a

65th minute you'll then leave that in

the market if no goal is scored by about

the 77th minute somewhere around that

time there if no goal is scored at all

then what you will do is you'll trade

out of your entire position for a loss

all right now I know you don't like that

I know you'll be saying well wait until

the 85th minute or something like that

but the fact of the matter is is if you

wait until the the 85th minute for a

goal to be scored or something like that

you end up in a position where even if

the goal scored was still heavily

underwater in your position and you're

kind of you're you're relying on a

second goal being scored in order for

you to be able to make that money and

oftentimes that won't happen so take

your loss all right just kind of be

smart about this take your loss and walk

away from the trade because as I said

this is a very very high strike rate

training system I've just given you here

so you're going to look to be right

probably 70% of the time what you'll

find is that your gets a number of

breakeven trades you'll get very very

few kind of trades that completely lose

you money and then you'll get a number

of trades that make you money right

that's typically the way that the

outcomes will be balanced but in the

long run you will be profitable okay but

you have to make sure that you look for

games where both teams have a reason

it's a v8 to go for another goal all

right so you don't want games that are

to know where the games already dead so

they have a reason to go for another

goal and looking at the form they have

the ability and they have the form to

confirm their more goals at you to come

within that second half of the game okay

so hope you like that strategy if you've

got any questions about so please feel

free to post underneath the video

otherwise take care and give the

strategy a go let me know how you go

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you