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Good afternoon folks.
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Welcome back.
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This is a daily review for Monday,
February 6th, 2017, because of the
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action we solve for dollar index.
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Uh, we seen price stay inside of the range
defined by 100 point 30 and 99 50 level.
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I saw a little bit of an upside again,
noticing all the wicks in here, not
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having any continuation on the upside.
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So it'll be interesting to
see if we see some soft.
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Tomorrow dollar still looking
for that sell side liquidity
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down here at a 98 90 level.
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So nothing's changed in that regard.
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We have to punch up into this
buy-side liquidity to change gears
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on dollar until that happens.
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We're still looking for
this level down here,
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Euro dollar, uh, we saw price get
back a little bit again, took out.
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Yes.
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Uh, last Friday's low and price
has to stay above this level of.
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For the balls.
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Otherwise we're looking for them run down
to the sell side, liquidity below here.
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And the buy-side liquidity still
remains as an upside objective at 1 0
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8 70 to 1 0 8 80 institutional level.
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I've got a question in regards
to what are we looking at?
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When we look at the, the range is 20
days back, 40 days back and 60 days
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back, the first thing you want to
look at, where are we at in 20 days?
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Okay.
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We have this little area down
here where stops will be residing.
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We blow the bodies of the candles
in the form of a rejection block.
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Price has not come down to that.
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Okay.
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And we're looking for clues
as to what side of the
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marketplace they're reaching for.
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We're winding up for another price line.
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I don't know if it's going to you
rebel from here and go higher.
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I would like to see it, do that
because that's what we're looking
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for in terms of barest dollar.
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But if we lose this level
here, we immediately go back to
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this level here looking for a
breakdown to potentially this low.
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So that would give us a near-term
objective in the 40 day.
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Look back.
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These same levels still are the
most recent areas at which sell
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side liquidity or sell stocks.
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We don't have any voids in the 20
and 40 day, and we don't have any
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bullets or blocks to be considered.
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Cause we've already treated into
this one here at this level, and
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we've already seen price react here.
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And we're also working basically
the mean threshold of this one here.
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We whipped through it
today, but then gave back.
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So I'm hoping that we'll see
some rejection and go higher and
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reach for the buy-side liquidity.
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Mother's candle's high.
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And in 60 days, same thing, the stocks
would be below these loads down here.
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And again, About here.
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So all we're doing is looking
at where the liquidity would
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be for the last 20, 40, and 60.
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And by shading, the areas like this,
it keeps your focus on the most recent
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one that we, the content contend with.
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And then the next one out intermediate
term and longer term for the 60 day.
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Look back period.
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Uh, we saw a tree down to the bodies of
these candles here, right to the PIP.
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We saw the market trade down to its
closing price here 1 24 24, which is what
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we have noted price came down and hit
that to the PIP, whether it's low of 1
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24, 24 rejected their sell side, liquidity
rests just below these equal wicks.
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Uh, so it's, it'll be interesting
to see what we do here.
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Um, it may stay in a
consolidation and allow.
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Euro dollar the rally, or if we lose this
here, we have to go back and start looking
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at these bodies here for the cell stops.
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And then on the downside from that
level, um, it could WIC down through
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here and then reject and go higher.
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That's another scenario
that we had to watch.
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So that had to be monitored on an intraday
basis, which is kind of like outside
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the scope of this month's discussion.
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But nonetheless, um, if we do see
upside resuming, we're looking
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for the buy-side liquidity resting
about these candles bodies up here.
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Dollar CAD.
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We saw a price rally all the up into
the candles close here is at 1 30, 1 36.
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And today's high come in
at 1 30, 1 36, exactly.
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Where we had mapped out.
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You can see that's the case here.
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It went right to it, to the PIP.
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You see it traded right to it.
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Let me zoom in a little bit for you.
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Right.
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Here's the high trades rate two at
1 30, 1 36, and this candles close
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1 30, 1 36 or eight to the PIP.
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So we, uh, we didn't get above it.
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We went right to this level, but we
come back off that level a little bit.
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So it'll be interesting to see as well,
like tomorrow, what we see for the dollar.
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I'd like to see this one.
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Uh, Reject here and trade down and turn
into like a doji of some sort, not to
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that trade to doji pattern about like
to see it just completely turned into
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a wick and go down here and punch this,
uh, 29 35 level, if we do not get that.
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And if it was all we were doing was
coming down below these equal lows, as
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we indicated last week, uh, we will be
looking for price to treat all up into
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this candles opening, which is 1 30, 2 63.
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And again, that would be an.
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Line with a reversal of sorts for the
dollar index and the higher prices for it.
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Aussie dollar prices moved a little
bit lower off of this high in here.
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I still think we're going to
punch up and grab the liquidity
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above that 77 45 to 77 60 level.
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I think it's possibly going to be
reaching for it could be a 77 80.
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So we'll see what, uh, what this pair
wants to do, uh, on the downside.
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I think we'll find some support and.
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75 91.
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So at that level,
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we'll have that level noted as well.
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And we'll take this one off.
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So that's the downside, a support
level we would expect to see also
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lines up with two down counselor,
which would be a ball shorter blocks.
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So it could cook, could trade down to
that 75 90 level and then resume higher.
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Longer-term I'm going to weekly basis.
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Uh, it does have some by stops a
little bit higher than where we're at.
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Euro pound, uh, still stuck in the range.
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I think that we'll probably see a
punch up into clearing out these
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bodies and run that liquidity out.
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Uh, we came down into this down candles.
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High comes in at 85, 94, and
a low today came in at 85 92.
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So it went to pips below into
this down candle and showed
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a little bit of rejection.
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So it might be favorable for another.
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Press hire.
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Um, we'll see.
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I like the idea of this little gap
in here filling, cause we only had an
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exhaustion gap up and traded lower.
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So we would be looking for price.
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Don't want to trade back into this
and we had this weeks ago, but it just
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simply never came back to this area yet.
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So we're going to have it now
added back into our charts.
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So we might come up in that area here and
fill that in a little bit and ongoing.
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Gold has just recently, as we're
at the time of this recording has
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traded into the area we called for a
couple of weeks ago for a gold bowls,
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1230 to 50 being this candles high
right here, and an aloneness candle
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here, 1 12 40, that was framing the.
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Fair value gap in here where we
expect to see price, to be balanced
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out and deliver price on the upside.
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So we're looking for 1240, still as
a upside objective for gold, a nice
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little rally for that silver we're
looking for 1800 X marks the spot.
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Basically, we're looking
for upside objectives there.
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And that's it for, uh, today's markets.
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The, uh, tomorrow session
will be at 9:30 AM.
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It will be about a 45 minute presentation.
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It's going to be on the Kiwi
dollar, uh, homework assignment.
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I gave you in one of the lessons.
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So we're going to be
specifically dealing with that.
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Began promptly at 9:30 AM.
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Usually I wait a couple minutes,
but I'm going to get done tomorrow.
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I have an appointment to meet
someone at 11 o'clock, so I'm
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gonna make sure I get done.
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So be aware of that and I will
greet you all then tomorrow.
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Uh, tomorrow's live session
recording is underneath this link
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and you can subscribe and re uh,
register that session for tomorrow.
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Again at 9:30 AM Eastern standard time,
about 45 minutes duration until then
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I wish you good luck and good trading.
13006
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