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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,030 --> 00:00:00,810 All right, come on folks. 2 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:05,370 We're gonna be looking at the non-farm payroll, just observing, 3 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:06,570 uh, it won't be a long session. 4 00:00:06,570 --> 00:00:08,580 I'm going to only be here for about 15 minutes or so. 5 00:00:09,060 --> 00:00:09,300 Okay. 6 00:00:09,300 --> 00:00:13,530 Cables, um, below the buys of candles, I'm here to probably run it 7 00:00:13,530 --> 00:00:16,590 for these equal lows down in here. 8 00:00:17,130 --> 00:00:22,200 And dollar did go above the daily high of this candle here. 9 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:24,570 And we said, if we did that, it would probably make a run for the liquidity 10 00:00:24,570 --> 00:00:27,300 in here about the body of this candle. 11 00:00:28,695 --> 00:00:32,144 Uh, 156, I will probably see it. 12 00:00:32,144 --> 00:00:35,415 Maybe run up and grab that liquidity on non-farm payroll. 13 00:00:35,415 --> 00:00:36,225 Now non-prime payroll. 14 00:00:36,225 --> 00:00:36,885 We don't trade it. 15 00:00:36,945 --> 00:00:40,394 We're just looking at it, getting a feel for what they may end up 16 00:00:40,394 --> 00:00:41,595 doing for the rest of the month. 17 00:00:42,465 --> 00:00:44,504 It doesn't look so exciting when you're watching it on a daily chart. 18 00:00:44,535 --> 00:00:44,985 Now does it? 19 00:00:47,595 --> 00:00:47,775 Yeah. 20 00:00:47,775 --> 00:00:50,055 This on a five minute chart looks like the world's ending 21 00:00:50,715 --> 00:00:51,614 and it would be nice to see it. 22 00:00:51,614 --> 00:00:53,325 Just give up this whole entire attempt. 23 00:00:55,475 --> 00:00:58,685 And make that run for that this low out here in 98 90, we were 24 00:00:58,685 --> 00:01:00,905 looking for that'd be really nice. 25 00:01:05,085 --> 00:01:05,745 And no, I don't. 26 00:01:06,135 --> 00:01:10,275 I'm being asked to, uh, I weigh out the actual numbers. 27 00:01:10,485 --> 00:01:13,845 I don't have the capacity to, uh, to do that. 28 00:01:14,775 --> 00:01:18,195 Um, it looks like we all, yeah, we went bearish for a second here. 29 00:01:18,195 --> 00:01:20,145 Let's see if we get some acceleration on the downside. 30 00:01:21,495 --> 00:01:22,575 No large funds. 31 00:01:22,575 --> 00:01:22,935 Don't. 32 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:26,009 They don't participate in non-farm payroll. 33 00:01:26,009 --> 00:01:27,000 They have positions. 34 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,720 I'm sure of head of the non-farm payroll release. 35 00:01:30,990 --> 00:01:32,640 As sometimes I have in the past. 36 00:01:33,330 --> 00:01:36,630 What I like to do is I like to monitor what levels it reaches for. 37 00:01:36,690 --> 00:01:42,270 And I'm certainly willing to allow the market to tell me the collapse, the trade, 38 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:48,539 but usually my stops are not anywhere near non-farm payroll because you know, 39 00:01:48,539 --> 00:01:50,910 when it's coming and it's the first. 40 00:01:51,810 --> 00:01:54,690 But I like watching it because it usually sets up some sort of, 41 00:01:54,690 --> 00:01:57,030 uh, indication for the month. 42 00:01:57,750 --> 00:02:01,830 Usually what you see in the non-farm payroll, Elise, and the reactions thereof 43 00:02:02,700 --> 00:02:06,090 gives us a clue as to what they'll probably do for the rest of the month. 44 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,620 Not always, but it's general thumb and usually it's the opposite direction. 45 00:02:11,580 --> 00:02:11,780 Yeah. 46 00:02:11,780 --> 00:02:18,720 You guys getting the feeling that we're ramping up for a very volatile summer? 47 00:02:18,780 --> 00:02:19,200 I think. 48 00:02:20,950 --> 00:02:25,180 I think the U S isn't for a real rough way. 49 00:02:25,630 --> 00:02:29,440 I'll Shane dollar caught a second wind would be really nice to see it. 50 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:30,700 Just expand and hit that level. 51 00:02:30,700 --> 00:02:34,450 Just for general principles, like to be able to see that little hit for the week, 52 00:02:37,920 --> 00:02:42,970 a nice move on gold from this order block here, and like to see it expand 53 00:02:42,970 --> 00:02:44,980 up and hit that level right up here. 54 00:02:45,580 --> 00:02:46,510 1240 stills. 55 00:02:46,510 --> 00:02:48,760 That's still an objective as mentioned yesterday. 56 00:02:50,115 --> 00:02:52,545 Oh, is it looks like it wants to take out yesterday's high. 57 00:02:54,255 --> 00:02:59,685 If it does, it should immediately expand towards this level here. 58 00:03:02,955 --> 00:03:04,335 Cable still flat. 59 00:03:05,235 --> 00:03:06,495 Hasn't really done much at all. 60 00:03:06,645 --> 00:03:07,785 It's come off with it's low 61 00:03:11,205 --> 00:03:15,915 and dollar still not convincing one way or. 62 00:03:17,010 --> 00:03:22,530 Do I think Euro, do I think you're looking good at 1 0 8 70 today? 63 00:03:23,130 --> 00:03:23,910 Is that what you're asking? 64 00:03:24,510 --> 00:03:25,079 It's certainly. 65 00:03:25,140 --> 00:03:29,430 I mean, that's where I think it may want to reach for, I like the fact 66 00:03:29,430 --> 00:03:33,960 that we didn't give up much of the, uh, the range of this midway point 67 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:35,910 or this down candle rate in here. 68 00:03:37,500 --> 00:03:39,920 I mean, threshold kind of respected that and came off of that. 69 00:03:39,930 --> 00:03:41,280 So that's encouraging. 70 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:45,450 So hopefully we'll get some kind of a turn if it holds this WIC. 71 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:52,980 And we get a gap opening up on Sunday, trade back down a little bit in, uh, close 72 00:03:52,980 --> 00:03:54,720 it in real quick and then start to expand. 73 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:55,350 That'd be nice. 74 00:03:55,980 --> 00:03:58,250 And then obviously we would be reaching for that one week 70 75 00:03:58,270 --> 00:04:03,360 the level now, but as it is right now, it's not on payroll Friday. 76 00:04:04,350 --> 00:04:05,280 It's always a toss up. 77 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:10,320 I'm not really a really 100% sure what direction is going 78 00:04:12,870 --> 00:04:13,740 any other day of the month. 79 00:04:13,740 --> 00:04:14,490 I'm pretty confident. 80 00:04:16,935 --> 00:04:20,625 Inclination, it's going to move to one side of the market over the other. 81 00:04:20,954 --> 00:04:22,995 It's pretty, it's pretty easy to pick out where it's going 82 00:04:22,995 --> 00:04:26,085 to go then and what levels it's reaching for, but non-farm payroll. 83 00:04:26,085 --> 00:04:29,955 You just want to avoid that and not try to get so, uh, you know, 84 00:04:30,045 --> 00:04:33,795 insistent upon knowing what's going to happen in this state. 85 00:04:33,885 --> 00:04:38,025 I give up trying to do that on this one day of the month, I could 86 00:04:38,025 --> 00:04:42,974 care less, but it does help me get a feel for what the month may do. 87 00:04:46,005 --> 00:04:48,105 Dollar is trapped in a fractal. 88 00:04:53,534 --> 00:04:56,415 I'll give you a last five minutes of interaction. 89 00:04:57,945 --> 00:04:59,145 What's this candle over here. 90 00:05:00,165 --> 00:05:01,395 Bullish or bearish breaker. 91 00:05:04,795 --> 00:05:05,185 Okay. 92 00:05:05,844 --> 00:05:10,645 So understanding that and we're in relationship to the 93 00:05:12,235 --> 00:05:13,375 institutional reference points. 94 00:05:15,585 --> 00:05:20,905 Would this be, if we're down here prior to non-farm payroll, we look for that 95 00:05:20,905 --> 00:05:24,445 level to do what if prices down here? 96 00:05:29,805 --> 00:05:31,604 It could expand to a good, good answer. 97 00:05:31,604 --> 00:05:36,885 Brandon, once it gets here, we measure. 98 00:05:36,885 --> 00:05:41,825 If it has willingness to get through halfway point, also, 99 00:05:42,245 --> 00:05:43,145 we have all this right now. 100 00:05:45,369 --> 00:05:46,359 This down, move in here. 101 00:05:51,700 --> 00:05:54,760 Surprise expanded up into the breaker. 102 00:05:55,270 --> 00:05:57,250 Now is the breaker just this candle. 103 00:06:03,739 --> 00:06:05,059 It's the one where you report to right. 104 00:06:05,059 --> 00:06:06,109 Cause to downtown. 105 00:06:08,980 --> 00:06:11,560 Back to back at the entire order block. 106 00:06:12,280 --> 00:06:14,890 So we look at the midway point of that range from here to here. 107 00:06:15,159 --> 00:06:19,980 That's how far it can reach up into this fell short of that, to 108 00:06:19,990 --> 00:06:21,190 expand it up into the breaker. 109 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:22,810 What makes us a breaker? 110 00:06:22,840 --> 00:06:26,770 Because it was short-term high back here that rally through it, took the stuffs and 111 00:06:26,770 --> 00:06:28,330 then rejected them traded down through it. 112 00:06:31,219 --> 00:06:35,659 So when you look at price like this, this run runoff about this. 113 00:06:37,090 --> 00:06:43,330 What type of institutional swing point is this very good breaker 114 00:06:43,340 --> 00:06:45,640 swing takes the stops out. 115 00:06:46,030 --> 00:06:52,150 If this would have reversed with a lower high here in relationship 116 00:06:52,150 --> 00:06:54,190 to this one, what would that be? 117 00:06:56,310 --> 00:06:56,640 Failure. 118 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:57,000 Swing. 119 00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:57,630 Good Jake. 120 00:06:57,810 --> 00:06:58,110 Good job. 121 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:02,700 There's only two classifications for institutional swing points. 122 00:07:03,060 --> 00:07:05,490 These are the best because it comes back to the stops and. 123 00:07:07,500 --> 00:07:08,310 Highly unlikely. 124 00:07:08,310 --> 00:07:10,260 They don't want to come back to that level later on. 125 00:07:16,570 --> 00:07:22,120 So what we're looking at is we have price having a difficult time getting through 126 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:25,390 these two down candles here, and I'm looking at this candle as indecisive, 127 00:07:25,570 --> 00:07:27,130 basically the open and closed at the same. 128 00:07:27,700 --> 00:07:28,630 So you blend those two together. 129 00:07:29,460 --> 00:07:32,610 We're holding rate at that level here on the downside. 130 00:07:33,090 --> 00:07:35,280 And we're having trouble getting through the breaker here. 131 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:36,870 So we're stuck and it's Friday. 132 00:07:37,380 --> 00:07:41,760 So we probably gonna to just chop wood for the rest of the day, if you are a day 133 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:46,409 trader, and I'm saying this only because we're kind of like the casual today, 134 00:07:47,250 --> 00:07:49,080 nothing's really tradable on non-formal. 135 00:07:50,390 --> 00:07:53,700 It doesn't have any indications about swing trading. 136 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:55,409 It's completely isolated from that. 137 00:07:56,010 --> 00:07:58,380 So I'll just talk freely about some interesting things. 138 00:07:58,890 --> 00:08:03,690 The, when you have this on non-farm payroll Fridays, and the market has 139 00:08:03,929 --> 00:08:07,229 difficulty getting through an area where it would be buyers and whether 140 00:08:07,229 --> 00:08:11,400 it'd be sellers, it's struggling now, it's, it's not going to have, 141 00:08:11,909 --> 00:08:15,750 it was a great deal of probability, significant move, higher or lower. 142 00:08:16,845 --> 00:08:20,085 So, if you're looking at this environment right now and say you're a day trader 143 00:08:20,835 --> 00:08:25,605 or a scalper, this is where you move to the sidelines and you close the day 144 00:08:26,085 --> 00:08:27,705 and you're, and you're weak right now. 145 00:08:27,795 --> 00:08:28,755 Don't worry about anything. 146 00:08:30,465 --> 00:08:38,235 A fractal is basically a, well, we have a turning point in here. 147 00:08:40,515 --> 00:08:42,075 We have a turning point in here. 148 00:08:43,985 --> 00:08:45,065 We have a turning point in here. 149 00:08:46,655 --> 00:08:50,255 We have a turning point here and all these turning points. 150 00:08:50,255 --> 00:08:54,275 If you go down to a lower timeframe, they are reproduced 151 00:08:54,305 --> 00:08:56,345 just in a smaller form of itself. 152 00:08:57,515 --> 00:08:59,525 And basically when I look at a fractal on just looking at the 153 00:08:59,525 --> 00:09:01,925 turning points, it's not like it's a special pattern or anything. 154 00:09:04,084 --> 00:09:09,905 So yeah, it stuck in between the breaker here in a bullet or block 155 00:09:09,905 --> 00:09:12,545 and here, no willingness to move. 156 00:09:12,965 --> 00:09:13,954 We've already closed in the void. 157 00:09:14,834 --> 00:09:18,735 So where, where can it reach for, with a high degree of probability 158 00:09:19,875 --> 00:09:20,954 it's uncertain right now. 159 00:09:22,454 --> 00:09:23,265 So does that make sense? 160 00:09:23,265 --> 00:09:27,675 Why the market really doesn't have an ability to move outside the range 161 00:09:27,675 --> 00:09:28,785 it's already created for itself? 162 00:09:29,834 --> 00:09:30,675 Cause look what we have here. 163 00:09:30,675 --> 00:09:31,935 We have this low. 164 00:09:34,974 --> 00:09:35,334 Okay. 165 00:09:35,365 --> 00:09:40,855 This is, um, in continuation of the understanding of why or what a fractal is. 166 00:09:41,214 --> 00:09:41,844 We have this low. 167 00:09:43,185 --> 00:09:44,535 What was the wrestling below that low? 168 00:09:50,385 --> 00:09:51,615 So what did they do here? 169 00:09:55,715 --> 00:09:58,955 It took out the cell staffs and then rejected and went back up. 170 00:09:59,885 --> 00:10:03,485 They took out some bio stats about the short-term high, but now think just 171 00:10:03,485 --> 00:10:05,525 a little bit past this, to the left. 172 00:10:05,825 --> 00:10:06,485 We have this whole. 173 00:10:09,620 --> 00:10:13,070 We had one above this short-term high prior to this rung up here, what was 174 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:14,390 resting above the short-term high. 175 00:10:16,220 --> 00:10:18,620 So we have by stops taking out here. 176 00:10:19,670 --> 00:10:22,070 We have cell stops taken out here. 177 00:10:22,940 --> 00:10:25,490 So is the market balanced or imbalanced right now? 178 00:10:26,690 --> 00:10:27,260 Balanced? 179 00:10:27,470 --> 00:10:32,180 That means there's no imbalances right now where they have to quickly reach for 180 00:10:32,180 --> 00:10:33,890 the opposite side of the marketplace. 181 00:10:34,370 --> 00:10:36,380 Right now we're going into the weekend balanced. 182 00:10:37,890 --> 00:10:40,439 There's no indication that it wants to reach above here. 183 00:10:40,439 --> 00:10:42,959 Cause it's already taken the stops to the buyers are out. 184 00:10:43,410 --> 00:10:45,150 The sellers are out and now we're neutral. 185 00:10:45,599 --> 00:10:48,300 So they're going to wait for the weekend to build sentiment. 186 00:10:49,109 --> 00:10:51,959 So you just sent the simply sit on your hands and you don't do anything. 187 00:10:53,219 --> 00:10:54,000 Does that make sense? 188 00:10:55,680 --> 00:10:58,530 So our opportunities are always at the end of the range. 189 00:10:59,610 --> 00:11:00,030 Okay. 190 00:11:00,210 --> 00:11:01,680 Now let's go back for a moment. 191 00:11:01,680 --> 00:11:02,040 Let's go. 192 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:05,580 Let's assume for a moment that this was a little bit lower 193 00:11:05,580 --> 00:11:12,320 timeframe and this low hadn't been taken out yet to probabilities. 194 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:17,270 If we were up here prior to non-farm payroll would be what to reach for 195 00:11:17,510 --> 00:11:19,910 this high here or the low under here. 196 00:11:21,260 --> 00:11:23,150 Again, assuming none of this has happened yet. 197 00:11:23,330 --> 00:11:24,140 Like the chart would look like. 198 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:29,320 It would reach for the low, because it has already taken the 199 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:31,330 buyers out with the buy stops. 200 00:11:31,990 --> 00:11:34,540 So the sell side liquidity has been untapped. 201 00:11:34,630 --> 00:11:36,130 It's not been traded to yet. 202 00:11:36,820 --> 00:11:40,030 As soon as it does this, it's already taken the cell stops 203 00:11:40,030 --> 00:11:42,600 out and it starts to rally high. 204 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,610 If it takes this high out here and takes another realm by stops 205 00:11:45,610 --> 00:11:47,020 out like it does right there. 206 00:11:47,950 --> 00:11:49,990 And it's Friday and it's non-farm payroll. 207 00:11:50,849 --> 00:11:52,469 You've bounced out enough. 208 00:11:52,469 --> 00:11:54,300 There's no, there's no imbalance. 209 00:11:54,359 --> 00:11:58,589 You're back in the middle of what range this tie in this low. 210 00:11:59,550 --> 00:12:04,290 So you're at equilibrium with no real clear liquidity pools to reach for 211 00:12:04,290 --> 00:12:09,390 because both sides of the marketplace have been zapped that clear. 212 00:12:10,229 --> 00:12:11,250 Does that make it clear for you? 213 00:12:12,839 --> 00:12:15,930 And then you'll have this market struggled to hang around in here 214 00:12:16,140 --> 00:12:17,699 now day traders scalpers and. 215 00:12:18,495 --> 00:12:19,425 Yeah, not jobs. 216 00:12:19,425 --> 00:12:21,165 I'll be in here trying to capture every little thing. 217 00:12:21,165 --> 00:12:25,454 They see stochastics, all these Mac DS and all of those stuff. 218 00:12:25,485 --> 00:12:28,365 They'll be looking for some kind of signal, but the market's in a condition 219 00:12:28,365 --> 00:12:31,724 that really doesn't favor a move of any significance higher or lower. 220 00:12:33,015 --> 00:12:39,525 So when we look for trades, we're looking for the outer realm of specific ranges. 221 00:12:39,525 --> 00:12:41,805 Like, like we have a range high here. 222 00:12:42,105 --> 00:12:42,615 It took that. 223 00:12:43,365 --> 00:12:44,925 Whenever we say, oh, hi, taken out. 224 00:12:44,995 --> 00:12:49,365 We number one, we look for rejection or indications that wants to continue. 225 00:12:50,445 --> 00:12:54,285 We have a low here it's traded below that and then rejected. 226 00:12:54,645 --> 00:12:56,955 We have a low here it right below that and rejected. 227 00:12:57,285 --> 00:13:00,675 If it's rejecting this low and traits higher, what's it going to reach for? 228 00:13:00,675 --> 00:13:01,875 It's not going to reach for this high. 229 00:13:02,205 --> 00:13:03,255 It's going to reach for the stop. 230 00:13:04,735 --> 00:13:05,905 Worried about the short-term high. 231 00:13:06,415 --> 00:13:07,405 We've already done that. 232 00:13:07,405 --> 00:13:09,535 We closed in the range and we traded back into the breaker. 233 00:13:09,895 --> 00:13:11,005 There's nothing right now. 234 00:13:11,005 --> 00:13:13,225 It has to reach for before Friday's close. 235 00:13:14,095 --> 00:13:15,625 So you simply just move to the sideline. 236 00:13:16,435 --> 00:13:20,395 Now, since dollar is going to be held in a range, now it's trapped. 237 00:13:20,545 --> 00:13:22,195 That's what I mean by it's trapped by fractal. 238 00:13:22,555 --> 00:13:25,795 This swing point in this swing point has balanced out. 239 00:13:26,305 --> 00:13:27,985 No near-term open. 240 00:13:27,985 --> 00:13:32,125 Float is exist existing right now, except for the intraday high and intermediate. 241 00:13:33,285 --> 00:13:36,135 It's formed prior to non-farm payroll. 242 00:13:36,584 --> 00:13:38,985 And that's about the only boundaries that we'll probably reach for. 243 00:13:40,635 --> 00:13:43,454 And that's going to affect all the K uh, the pairs like cable. 244 00:13:44,925 --> 00:13:45,915 Take a look at your opinion. 245 00:13:47,714 --> 00:13:49,845 It certainly looks like it wants this buy side liquidity. 246 00:13:50,475 --> 00:13:54,615 We'll be watching it on Sunday and go still it's. 247 00:13:54,615 --> 00:13:57,915 Now it's flat to silver. 248 00:13:58,574 --> 00:14:01,214 As long as it holds this foolish or block out. 249 00:14:02,995 --> 00:14:05,185 So, yeah, there's, that's what we're looking at for today. 250 00:14:05,485 --> 00:14:09,895 Um, just want to toss something out there because there's nothing that we 251 00:14:09,895 --> 00:14:12,385 can discuss before we do the teachings. 252 00:14:12,475 --> 00:14:14,065 Um, and there's a third list out there. 253 00:14:14,065 --> 00:14:16,585 One more time, please send me your satisfaction. 254 00:14:17,610 --> 00:14:18,210 If you haven't done. 255 00:14:18,210 --> 00:14:20,190 So I need that today by midnight. 256 00:14:20,700 --> 00:14:24,360 Uh, if I don't have it, you will be disconnected and interrupted. 257 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:27,150 You won't be able to access to the forum or the teachings 258 00:14:27,330 --> 00:14:28,650 tomorrow night on Saturday. 259 00:14:29,430 --> 00:14:32,970 And if your payment hasn't processed, please make sure that also, because 260 00:14:32,970 --> 00:14:36,030 that will also interrupt your service, have yourself a pleasant weekend. 261 00:14:37,125 --> 00:14:40,455 Keep your eye on, uh, the newswires about the events. 262 00:14:40,455 --> 00:14:43,425 I'm sure it's just going to continuously get worse as we go 263 00:14:43,425 --> 00:14:47,715 along in this wonderful adventure of Trump land until I talk to you again. 264 00:14:48,855 --> 00:14:49,515 Good luck trading. 21533

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