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Welcome back folks.
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Okay.
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We're doing a review on overnight.
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Action.
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Take a look at the dollar index first.
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All right.
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So we've had our move above that
one-on-one 60 level as noted two days ago.
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And we came down to our order block
that said we would probably have.
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Oh, draw to this level and it might
be a short-term little bounce in it.
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I wasn't terribly
excited about this level.
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Um, it'll prove to me that, uh,
it wants to go higher from here.
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And so far, it's only been a really quiet
little bounce, which is expected, and we
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were expecting some measure of, of Paul's.
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If we get below this level again,
we're drawing our attention to the
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body, to these candles and therefore
the liquidity pool resting below.
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Okay.
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Now, before we go into any further
discussion, I want to remind you
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that throughout this week we were
mentioning how dollar index is most
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likely going to be stuck in a range
relative to its daily timeframe.
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And for the most part, we we've done that.
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Okay.
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Which is making trading for
lack of a better word, more
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difficult than it usually is.
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Okay.
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When the markets are in more white.
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Based ranges or if it's in a
trending environment, um, it
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makes it very easy to trade.
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The levels are more cleaned.
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The more discernible, uh, they're obvious
where they're going to react, that the
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more, uh, institutional sponsorship
is going to come to the marketplace.
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So, um, I'm very encouraged by the number
of emails I received in the last couple
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of days about how they have as members
of our community have dialed back.
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Frequency in terms of taking demo
trades or, or trying to engage the
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marketplace because of this observation.
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And they've seen the benefits of
knowing why I talk about it in such
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a way where it's not a green light
go pedal to the metal for board, you
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know, trying to get in there and try
to find a trade every single day.
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Um, I'm also encouraged by the
reception of the January contents.
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Yeah, we've bled over into February in
regards to using hard timeframe charts.
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And a lot of you have voiced your opinion
about how it was uncomfortable for you
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to go down to the lower timeframes.
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And that is a sign of maturity because
you're actually you using the information.
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Now that means you can see the value
of using these higher timeframe charts.
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You're going to keep that going forward
in your development as a career track.
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You're going to do, like I said, at
the Mo the bulk of your work is going
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to be on these hard timeframe charts.
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Cause it gives you all the
setups you're looking for.
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So I want to kind of like preface
this session today with that, and
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kind of like make that as a bookend
statement that, uh, while we have been.
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Blazing hot with the types of
moves that's been happening.
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Uh, but the levels are still being
drawn to these higher timeframe charts.
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There's still some measure of
prognostication available by them.
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There just, isn't a lot of barn
burner, so ups and that's what
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happens when you're in a consolidation
or range bound environment.
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You have to submit to that.
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You can't force it.
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You can't force a trade set up.
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You can't force an outcome.
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And a lot of you are communicating
that observation with me by email.
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And I'm very encouraged as a mentor.
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So I'm thankful in that regard, because
these are lessons that are hard to teach.
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They're very, very hard to communicate.
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I can show you examples and Harvey,
I got your email regarding, uh, you
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know, what is, uh, uh, a trending
market and a range-bound market.
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What does it look like?
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Um, it it's as simple as
this, you know, in a camp.
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Uh, consecutively higher highs or lower
lows and to stays in a defined range.
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And it keeps wanting to come
back to the middle of the range.
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That is the classic telltale sign
that is any range or training, trading
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arrangement, garment, or consolidation.
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And if you have that on a hard
timeframe chart, it forces you as
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you'll learn in the short term and
day trading models, it forces you to
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be a day trader or sit on your hands.
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And as some of you have indicated.
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And also some of you have learned
by using the January content.
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Some of you don't want to be day
traders and that's wonderful.
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It means that you've already
refined what type of trailer
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you don't want to be in that.
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And some of you, you're going to
spend a lot of time trying to force
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yourself to do one shot, one kill
setups when you're probably better
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swing traders or some of you are going
to be amazing scalpers or day traders.
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And you just, aren't going to be able
to do anything in a hard timeframe, but
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you'll use those timeframe levels to
work within the, uh, the lower timeframe.
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Uh, So going forward, you know, just be
mindful, you know, that you're learning a
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lot and while it may seem like you're not
getting a lot of details, And new Thora.
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I saw your email requesting a
rundown, like a top-down checklist.
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That's all part of every single model.
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So in your PDF notes, every
single month going forward, like
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this month is for swing trading.
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You'll have a checklist
that you do for everything.
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It sets up a swing trade.
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What constitutes.
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Um, a bullish idea, what constitutes
a bearish idea, and it gives
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you a step-by-step process.
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It's not a flow chart, but it gives
you deep processes from one thing to
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the next, what you should be doing, and
then what the question's going to be.
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Well, what's the different
between that and the PDF.
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The PDF walks you through every stage
and it gives you decision points.
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Whereas the process or checklist
that just gives you that.
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The, the, basically the, the outline, if
you will, of what you should be looking
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for from the beginning and in the end
and what she would decisions and in
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between that's given to you by the PDF.
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Okay.
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So that's all given to you in August,
but you'll certainly know exactly
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what you should be doing as a swing
trader at the end of this month.
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And then we'll have, there'll be
an incorporated in your notes.
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So if you have that same question, folks
just know that you're going to have
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a complete outline as to what you're
doing with the tools for swing trading.
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All right.
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So dollar, um, it is riding obviously,
um, it used to be, I hated this day,
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there was no trading, but now I'm
thankful that it's coming because
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it gives me an opportunity to rest.
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So, uh, I will be, um, counseling
you to go through your charts
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again and see the impact of how.
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The dollar being in this consolidation
has affected most of the payers.
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And it's been very difficult for
majority of the pairs to find
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some, some leg room to move.
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And you'll see also that it still
gives you trading opportunities, but
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it's going to be a lower timeframe.
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And since that's outside the scope of
our monthly content, okay, I have to
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resist going down a lower timeframe.
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This show you just held.
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The short-term and intraday trades
have been this, this week, but
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I'll leave that for your own study.
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You can do that one on Saturday,
one hour, just go through it.
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But don't 20, don't spend too much time
on it because you need to be focusing on
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the content that's being shared so far
and revisiting the things in January.
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All right.
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So the four hour, you can see, we had a
really nice reaction still at that level.
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It's a transpose this level
here at a 100 point 44.
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And move it over to our four hour chart.
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We said, we'd see a low of 100 point 40.
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And the low on that candle
comes in that 100 point 41.
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So I was off by one PIP.
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We said, we'd see a little bit of a
bounce, probably a Paul's in here.
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We've had that, nothing
terribly exciting on the upside.
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And we didn't see a
ferocious downslide either.
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So it's classic.
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We're back inside the middle of the range.
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Okay.
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Defined in here.
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If you look at the daily.
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Harvey.
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This is for you as well.
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The,
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the bodies of these candles in
here, you want to use the lowest.
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And the highest of the body right there.
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Okay.
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You can see how we're back at equilibrium.
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So you that's the 50 level
on the fed again, there's
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no magic about the 50 level.
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It's just, we use it to, to gauge
or measure where halfway point is.
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So we're basically all we did was we went
right back to the middle of the range.
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So there's nothing terribly
exciting about this environment.
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So you have to either
sit on your hands or.
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And we're not in day trading contents that
we have to stay on the sidelines and just
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wait for another hard timeframe of which
we treat you to, you know, which we have
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to see some movement away from this level.
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We're not trying to predict, we don't
know if it's going to go up higher and
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we don't know if it's going to go lower,
but we do have a sell side liquidity
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pool rate below these bodies, these
candles in the form of rejection block.
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So we could see the market most likely
want to draw to this level because
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it has the least resistance to.
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Much more, uh, ground needs to
be covered to get back above
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this high and above these candles
bodies versus what we see here.
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Okay.
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So we had a really nice rejection at a
level that would, if you didn't know what
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we're looking at here, in terms of our
timeframe levels, as I indicated, there's
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really nothing up here that would show
you, or, or reason to give you a, um,
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an idea to expect this type of center.
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But it's nice to see that happen.
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We know we had the one-on-one 60 level
there, and that's what I'm encouraged
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by, because a lot of you are seeing
the fruits of you studying this.
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I wish.
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Um, I'll probably have Cody do this.
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We'll go through all the emails.
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Okay.
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And I'll just cut out the one
statement where you're are.
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Like verbatim saying the same thing.
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I'm so glad you forced us to stay
on a daily timeframe in January.
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There is a plethora of you
I'm telling you there's.
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That was amazing to see that response
because I was telling my son, I said,
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look, we're probably going to lose
half of our membership this month
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because they're not going to be seeing
anything except for daily chart.
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But the ones that have gone through
the process of studying it and really
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just being sober-minded about it.
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You're the ones that are
seeing the fruits of it.
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Now you see it, you see the power of it,
you see the benefit of it, and that's
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exactly what you want us to trade it.
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You want very low energy
involved in your analysis.
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You don't want all this hyper
decision-making processes as if you have
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a lot of things to make a decision about.
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Logan said that, does it
compound to your ability to.
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So if you have more opportunities
to lose money, guess what that does.
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It makes you more likely okay.
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To be unsuccessful.
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So if we focus on only higher
timeframe levels, relative to a
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monthly, weekly, or a daily, it
reduces the number of decisions.
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It reduces the number of
opportunities and it's.
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Benefiting you, because it gives you
the levels that, which that has the
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highest probability of having a reaction,
because that's where institutions
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will step in either by, at a level
or some other level, or you'll know
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where they're trying to draw price too.
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So there's been a paradigm shift
for those that have really submitted
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to the study of just focusing on
these higher timeframe charts.
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You're just realizing there's
plenty of trades coming up.
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We have we're going into lower
timeframe so that we'll have
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something every single day.
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When we get to those, but right here,
we have to focus on what sets up those
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higher power, higher probability trades,
whether it be a short term trade or a day
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trade or swing trade, he has to give the
market the opportunity to get to these
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levels and set up the framework to, to
propel price higher to, uh, obviously.
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Or send it lower to an obvious level,
but right now, because of the condition
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and the market profile, and this is
nothing new, I'm not trying to, you know,
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pull some kind of shenanigans because
there's nothing I can trade right now.
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So I'm going to make up something, go
back to the trading plan development for.
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Pre tutorials.
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I talk about this.
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I talk about market profiling to where it
just makes it difficult to trade where you
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have to work within a small little range.
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And if you're in those tiny little ranges.
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Okay.
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00:12:38,595 --> 00:12:40,905
And if it's on a daily
chart, what does it indicate?
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Think for a moment, if the, if the
dollar index is consolidating on a
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daily timeframe, is that indicating.
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00:12:50,655 --> 00:12:54,825
Indications that the funds have a
directional bias and they're going to
227
00:12:54,825 --> 00:12:56,535
be dull piling in buying or selling.
228
00:12:57,675 --> 00:12:58,665
Absolutely not.
229
00:12:59,265 --> 00:13:02,745
They're on the sidelines, just like you
are being forced to be on the sidelines.
230
00:13:03,675 --> 00:13:05,505
It remembered number one in your notes.
231
00:13:05,535 --> 00:13:05,955
Right now.
232
00:13:05,985 --> 00:13:07,545
Remind yourself, write this out.
233
00:13:08,715 --> 00:13:15,135
Small money cannot push
price, smart money pushes.
234
00:13:16,410 --> 00:13:19,830
And we have to have the number one
key ingredient is displacement.
235
00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:21,780
It has to move.
236
00:13:22,230 --> 00:13:25,410
It has to show us that it wants
to go higher, or it wants to go
237
00:13:25,410 --> 00:13:28,590
lower without that we are neutral.
238
00:13:29,730 --> 00:13:31,170
And that is a winning position.
239
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:31,650
Every single.
240
00:13:33,030 --> 00:13:37,350
So if we have neutrality in the
marketplace in the form of consolidation
241
00:13:37,350 --> 00:13:41,600
or market profiling and arrange,
as we're indicated here in the
242
00:13:41,610 --> 00:13:45,630
daily timeframe, we mentioned this
beforehand, we didn't get terribly
243
00:13:45,630 --> 00:13:48,270
excited about 101 60 being violated.
244
00:13:48,270 --> 00:13:52,620
I said, you know, if it expands, it has to
go to this level and it has to be dynamic.
245
00:13:53,130 --> 00:13:55,620
Or if we trade back down, it's
probably going to go back to this
246
00:13:55,620 --> 00:13:59,580
range here and it's yes, it's an
older block, but more appropriate.
247
00:14:00,390 --> 00:14:02,970
Defined it's the equilibrium
price point as we just noted.
248
00:14:03,990 --> 00:14:07,620
So again, if it's giving indications
that it wants to go back to the middle
249
00:14:07,620 --> 00:14:13,110
of range, that is not indicative
of smart money pooling its funds
250
00:14:13,140 --> 00:14:16,560
into that, into that market or
into the marketplace as a whole.
251
00:14:18,660 --> 00:14:23,040
So if that is what you're seeing on
your daily timeframe, that's very.
252
00:14:23,954 --> 00:14:28,425
Crucial information to say, okay, I
can not be a swing trader right now.
253
00:14:28,814 --> 00:14:31,185
I have to either be a short
term trader or I have to be a
254
00:14:31,185 --> 00:14:32,594
day trader or I had to scalp.
255
00:14:33,375 --> 00:14:36,855
And if that doesn't fit your Mo your
model as a trader, guess what that does.
256
00:14:37,425 --> 00:14:42,405
It tells you when not to train that's
exactly what we were hoping you would
257
00:14:42,405 --> 00:14:44,324
learn from the content in January.
258
00:14:45,285 --> 00:14:50,594
So if you can't get a swing trade set up,
then you're obviously don't want nothing.
259
00:14:51,135 --> 00:14:51,615
You're waiting.
260
00:14:52,635 --> 00:14:55,214
And that's the part that's going to
make trading hard for you, because if
261
00:14:55,214 --> 00:15:00,105
you are going to be a swing trader,
you're going to be sitting on your
262
00:15:00,105 --> 00:15:04,064
hands a lot, gimme waiting because
they are not frequently set up.
263
00:15:04,905 --> 00:15:09,344
So if you lack patience, it's
going to either form it in you.
264
00:15:09,944 --> 00:15:13,694
Or it's going to force you down
into a lower timeframe model.
265
00:15:13,725 --> 00:15:16,064
Like a short-term trader one shot, one.
266
00:15:17,250 --> 00:15:18,690
And it's nothing there's
nothing wrong with.
267
00:15:18,690 --> 00:15:22,380
That is a lot of things that you're going
to see in the things that we talk about.
268
00:15:22,380 --> 00:15:25,740
The swing trading model they're
applicable to the short term, but there's
269
00:15:25,740 --> 00:15:28,800
some things in the short-term, they
just aren't in the swing trading mile
270
00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:30,300
because it's more time of day centers.
271
00:15:32,115 --> 00:15:33,585
So I believe her dad enough.
272
00:15:33,685 --> 00:15:35,564
So I just want to make
sure you understand it.
273
00:15:35,985 --> 00:15:38,985
Most of you on the right track, you're
doing very well and your development.
274
00:15:38,985 --> 00:15:40,755
And I don't need to tell you that
because you're telling me in your
275
00:15:40,755 --> 00:15:45,225
own emails, but for the few that
are just wondering or pondering, why
276
00:15:45,225 --> 00:15:47,324
is the market not performing well?
277
00:15:47,355 --> 00:15:48,675
Why is it hard to find setups?
278
00:15:49,155 --> 00:15:51,765
Because I forced your
perspective on swing trading.
279
00:15:53,055 --> 00:15:55,275
So don't be upset that
you're not seeing anything.
280
00:15:55,275 --> 00:15:58,365
That's exactly what you're supposed to
be feeling, because I there's nothing
281
00:15:58,365 --> 00:15:59,505
right now to get terribly excited.
282
00:16:00,865 --> 00:16:05,515
And this is the amount now remind,
remind yourself, remove ICT and the
283
00:16:05,515 --> 00:16:09,895
daily dialogues that we have, the
things that you're feeling right now.
284
00:16:10,135 --> 00:16:14,155
These are the observations that you should
be logging in your, in your journal and
285
00:16:14,155 --> 00:16:15,745
reminding yourself when you feel this.
286
00:16:15,745 --> 00:16:21,895
And you see this again, it's indicating
what there is no reason to be in here
287
00:16:21,895 --> 00:16:27,205
forcing a trade because the conditions
are not applicable for Twain or for swing
288
00:16:27,205 --> 00:16:28,975
trades, not in the form of high problems.
289
00:16:30,469 --> 00:16:34,550
So just be content with the fact
that you're on the right track.
290
00:16:34,969 --> 00:16:37,969
And you're trying to think outside
of the level of your understanding
291
00:16:37,969 --> 00:16:40,130
right now, because it's exactly
where it needs to be at.
292
00:16:40,849 --> 00:16:43,069
Don't try to think beyond
what I need to know.
293
00:16:43,069 --> 00:16:46,040
I need to anticipate this, or I
need to know what this needle.
294
00:16:47,060 --> 00:16:51,290
No, you don't do you need to focus
just on what levels are apparent on
295
00:16:51,290 --> 00:16:53,420
monthly, weekly, and daily, and that.
296
00:16:54,734 --> 00:16:56,415
You don't need to create anything new.
297
00:16:56,865 --> 00:17:01,094
You don't have to add to the things
that worry about and decide about if
298
00:17:01,094 --> 00:17:02,625
the levels aren't being traded to.
299
00:17:03,165 --> 00:17:06,464
And they're not showing displacement
and movement away dynamically.
300
00:17:06,794 --> 00:17:08,504
It's telling you everything
you need to know.
301
00:17:09,464 --> 00:17:10,395
It's quiet.
302
00:17:11,024 --> 00:17:13,095
The markets are in a
reserved consolidation.
303
00:17:13,095 --> 00:17:18,764
It's not performance that performing
an expansive and expansive type.
304
00:17:20,679 --> 00:17:22,089
So, I mean, do you have
to sit on your hands?
305
00:17:22,089 --> 00:17:24,189
Let's just swing trader and
there's nothing wrong with that.
306
00:17:24,399 --> 00:17:26,949
You're going to do a lot of
that as a swing trader, you're
307
00:17:26,949 --> 00:17:28,089
going to be waiting for setups.
308
00:17:28,270 --> 00:17:30,580
You're going to wait for
confirmation there's market
309
00:17:30,580 --> 00:17:33,040
movement participants coming in.
310
00:17:33,730 --> 00:17:34,360
That means smart.
311
00:17:34,360 --> 00:17:38,830
Money's really driving prices higher or
lower off of discernible clear levels
312
00:17:38,830 --> 00:17:40,449
on a monthly and weekly and daily basis.
313
00:17:42,379 --> 00:17:45,649
So just again, remind
yourself and your notes.
314
00:17:46,500 --> 00:17:49,439
We are an arrangement on
consolidation relative to the daily.
315
00:17:49,439 --> 00:17:56,909
And that is going to put the, the, the
snare, you know, around the other payers.
316
00:17:56,909 --> 00:18:00,120
It's going to create a very
difficult scenario for them to
317
00:18:00,120 --> 00:18:04,560
want to move in a dynamic way, one
way or the other higher or lower.
318
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:09,060
So it forces you down into
short-term trader or date.
319
00:18:09,900 --> 00:18:14,190
So if you're going to be more universal in
your approach to trading, and this is more
320
00:18:14,190 --> 00:18:19,260
or less the graduates, uh, view of trading
with my stuff where you can trade all
321
00:18:19,260 --> 00:18:24,420
levels of a timeframe, but I just don't
get terribly excited about, um, long-term
322
00:18:24,420 --> 00:18:29,700
trading and swing trading, unless it's
really set up to move dynamically and.
323
00:18:30,675 --> 00:18:35,534
You'll you'll see the benefits of
that, but when it's like this, okay.
324
00:18:35,655 --> 00:18:37,665
And you're going to be more
universal in your approach.
325
00:18:37,725 --> 00:18:40,395
This tells you exactly what model
of trading you should be doing.
326
00:18:40,784 --> 00:18:41,055
Okay.
327
00:18:41,055 --> 00:18:42,795
Well, it's not good for
long-term right now.
328
00:18:42,825 --> 00:18:44,145
It's not good for swing trading right now.
329
00:18:44,385 --> 00:18:47,115
So I'm going to move my model
down into short term trading,
330
00:18:47,595 --> 00:18:48,315
and then you'll be fine.
331
00:18:48,315 --> 00:18:48,825
You Excel?
332
00:18:49,034 --> 00:18:49,605
No problem.
333
00:18:50,325 --> 00:18:54,225
And then you also learned that in
short term trading, there's something
334
00:18:54,225 --> 00:18:57,764
every single week, regardless of
what profile you're trading in and
335
00:18:57,764 --> 00:18:58,725
in day trading, there's something.
336
00:18:59,655 --> 00:19:03,555
So, again, don't lose, don't
lose sight just because you're
337
00:19:03,555 --> 00:19:04,695
chomping at the big center.
338
00:19:04,755 --> 00:19:07,755
A few of you are really excited and
you want to get in here and you want to
339
00:19:07,755 --> 00:19:13,725
use these new tools and all that, but
don't exchange that for rushing in and
340
00:19:13,725 --> 00:19:17,595
trying to apply something when there's
no real conditions to use it right now.
341
00:19:18,315 --> 00:19:18,495
Okay.
342
00:19:18,495 --> 00:19:21,315
You have the tools, we just don't
have the conditions to apply it.
343
00:19:22,215 --> 00:19:24,495
But you do have the understanding
it's been given to you and shared
344
00:19:24,495 --> 00:19:28,335
with you in regards to why you should
not be trying to trade this model
345
00:19:28,755 --> 00:19:30,135
because of the given conditions.
346
00:19:30,135 --> 00:19:32,565
Right now, we're in a
range-bound consolidation.
347
00:19:33,015 --> 00:19:37,185
It can't expand out of this range
or therefore we can't expect it
348
00:19:37,185 --> 00:19:40,905
to swing more appropriately to
a higher level or lower level.
349
00:19:41,325 --> 00:19:44,475
So it's going right back to
equilibrium and it's staying in this
350
00:19:44,625 --> 00:19:46,095
little, small little consolidation.
351
00:19:46,875 --> 00:19:47,025
So.
352
00:19:48,149 --> 00:19:52,500
Keep that in your mind and don't try
to force something that's not there.
353
00:19:52,740 --> 00:19:56,850
If it's obvious, it's probably a
good deal, but it's pretty set up.
354
00:19:57,179 --> 00:20:02,070
If you have to ponder about it and wonder
is this, this is this that if you have to
355
00:20:02,070 --> 00:20:05,070
second guess yourself, it's probably not a
condition and you need to be training on.
356
00:20:09,629 --> 00:20:14,370
Alright, so that's enough about dollar
let's go over to the year or yeah.
357
00:20:16,860 --> 00:20:17,040
All right.
358
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:20,490
We mentioned that one or six 80
level, uh, in the form of a breaker
359
00:20:20,700 --> 00:20:22,710
that might put DePaul's on Europe.
360
00:20:23,580 --> 00:20:24,120
It has done.
361
00:20:24,120 --> 00:20:25,950
So we're consolidating still.
362
00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:34,470
And we may chop wood in here a little bit
between the level of 1 0 6 80 and 106 20.
363
00:20:35,430 --> 00:20:37,320
It might hang around in that range.
364
00:20:37,830 --> 00:20:39,420
There's more likely.
365
00:20:41,010 --> 00:20:47,820
Uh, scenario for this to trade up above
the bodies of these candles in here and
366
00:20:47,820 --> 00:20:52,560
trade into a little bit of this down move.
367
00:20:52,570 --> 00:20:55,350
I don't want to get terribly excited
because it's already traded off the
368
00:20:55,350 --> 00:21:02,340
low here, but it may want to run back
up into this bearish or block here.
369
00:21:02,399 --> 00:21:05,280
It may want to go back into that and
recapitalize that for it goes lower.
370
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:06,060
If it does go lower.
371
00:21:06,570 --> 00:21:08,729
So, I mean by that is this we could do.
372
00:21:11,784 --> 00:21:16,375
This, and I'm highlighting
this candle right here.
373
00:21:16,375 --> 00:21:18,175
So don't think I'm trying
to draw attention over here.
374
00:21:18,205 --> 00:21:20,815
I just want to make sure you can get that.
375
00:21:21,565 --> 00:21:22,225
You can see it.
376
00:21:26,095 --> 00:21:26,335
All right.
377
00:21:26,335 --> 00:21:29,455
So we have this last up
candle rate for the down move.
378
00:21:29,905 --> 00:21:33,115
Uh, we've had it, we traded below
it and came back up to it here.
379
00:21:33,805 --> 00:21:36,685
And then, so we had a
retrade to that order block.
380
00:21:37,470 --> 00:21:41,670
Two times and then moved away to, they may
want to come back up there and hit it one
381
00:21:41,670 --> 00:21:47,100
more time and add more selling and work
off that breaker a little bit more because
382
00:21:47,100 --> 00:21:52,500
we've, we broke this breaker right there.
383
00:21:52,980 --> 00:21:53,250
Okay.
384
00:21:53,250 --> 00:21:57,810
We came up to it here, here, and
then he needed to take some more off.
385
00:21:57,840 --> 00:21:59,100
And that may be what they're reaching for.
386
00:22:00,639 --> 00:22:05,530
So the next level of concern for your
dollar is one oh seven, ten one of
387
00:22:05,530 --> 00:22:09,820
seven, big figure one, a seven, 10
could spike the one who set in 20, but
388
00:22:09,820 --> 00:22:13,540
I wouldn't get too terribly excited
about anything more than that right now.
389
00:22:13,750 --> 00:22:17,020
Cause that would be the main threshold of
the last down candle rate for the up move.
390
00:22:17,020 --> 00:22:20,889
And again, we disregard this one
cause the WIC it's the Ronald stops.
391
00:22:21,430 --> 00:22:22,780
So this is the low.
392
00:22:23,805 --> 00:22:27,435
You want to go back to the heart
of the buy before this high taken
393
00:22:27,435 --> 00:22:28,965
out, which this down move here.
394
00:22:29,445 --> 00:22:31,755
This has a manipulation look through that.
395
00:22:32,115 --> 00:22:33,525
Focus on this down candle here.
396
00:22:33,915 --> 00:22:36,255
And that's, what's going to be
more important, not this WIC
397
00:22:36,705 --> 00:22:37,845
or this little body candle.
398
00:22:38,265 --> 00:22:42,285
It is overlapping relatively in the same
area, but this as a general rule of thumb,
399
00:22:42,315 --> 00:22:43,905
it, isn't going to do that all the time.
400
00:22:44,325 --> 00:22:47,505
It just, in this instance,
it's just an aberration.
401
00:22:47,505 --> 00:22:50,325
It's not really indicative of anything.
402
00:22:51,180 --> 00:22:54,390
Be mindful that this is the
manipulation taking out.
403
00:22:54,390 --> 00:22:58,200
The cell stops below here, but this
short-term high that was violated.
404
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,950
And then the new rejection and
breakdown of market structure that this
405
00:23:01,950 --> 00:23:04,050
down candle is the real focus point.
406
00:23:04,620 --> 00:23:04,920
Okay.
407
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:06,270
So just be mindful of that.
408
00:23:06,270 --> 00:23:09,780
And it's about mean thresholds
about that 1 0 7 20 level, this for
409
00:23:09,780 --> 00:23:13,500
sake of knowing and completeness,
this has put a fable in here and
410
00:23:13,500 --> 00:23:14,430
measure it and see what it really is.
411
00:23:15,825 --> 00:23:16,905
Yeah, 1 0 7 18.
412
00:23:16,905 --> 00:23:18,435
So basically it's one or seven 20.
413
00:23:18,525 --> 00:23:22,125
So we were only two pips off in
terms of rough eyeballing it.
414
00:23:22,845 --> 00:23:25,845
So it could split to 1 0
7 20 and still be okay.
415
00:23:25,875 --> 00:23:29,085
And then that's the level we need
to see if it gets above that and
416
00:23:29,085 --> 00:23:32,265
starts running, then it's probably
going to be bullish for Euro.
417
00:23:32,385 --> 00:23:37,515
And we'll look to see a run above
this candles close right here
418
00:23:37,515 --> 00:23:40,065
at a one to eight big figure.
419
00:23:40,975 --> 00:23:41,955
I don't see that here.
420
00:23:42,015 --> 00:23:43,935
I think that we're probably
going to be maintaining a range.
421
00:23:44,730 --> 00:23:47,250
Between what we've already
established at 1 0 6 80.
422
00:23:49,340 --> 00:23:57,830
And let's use that level here,
referencing that candles close to
423
00:23:57,830 --> 00:24:02,660
we'll probably trade sideways for a
few more days going into next week.
424
00:24:02,660 --> 00:24:06,680
And then what we see in terms
of directional response, that's
425
00:24:07,220 --> 00:24:08,420
going to be helpful to us.
426
00:24:09,210 --> 00:24:12,330
Um, indicating what the dollar
wants to do and your wants to do.
427
00:24:12,330 --> 00:24:14,220
I'm not really excited about Euro.
428
00:24:14,310 --> 00:24:15,840
I've been mentioning this for a while.
429
00:24:16,710 --> 00:24:17,640
I've been avoiding it.
430
00:24:18,180 --> 00:24:19,350
It's been really sloppy.
431
00:24:19,470 --> 00:24:24,030
And finally, now that's been
communicated into cable.
432
00:24:24,030 --> 00:24:29,610
So when we go to cable, this thing
has continued to be a heart attack.
433
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,790
I mean, it's it doesn't, it
doesn't know what it wants to do.
434
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:38,070
It's moving all over the place, um, on
a four hour break for those of you new.
435
00:24:39,075 --> 00:24:40,155
My short-term stuff.
436
00:24:40,185 --> 00:24:46,185
You can see some setups, but again, in
terms of swing trading, it's not there,
437
00:24:46,605 --> 00:24:51,195
but there's a lots of day trades and short
term trades in here that has happened.
438
00:24:51,195 --> 00:24:53,445
But I can't talk about those
because it's outside the scope
439
00:24:53,475 --> 00:24:54,765
of our focus for this month.
440
00:24:55,965 --> 00:24:58,875
But in terms of the daily timeframe,
I mean, look at this, we talked about
441
00:24:58,875 --> 00:25:02,455
that likelihood, this possibly moving
sideways, and it's been exactly to.
442
00:25:03,585 --> 00:25:07,395
Sloppy spiked up spike down, but
look at the bodies of the candles,
443
00:25:07,695 --> 00:25:09,615
basically consolidate all in a range.
444
00:25:09,915 --> 00:25:11,235
Now I've got excited this morning.
445
00:25:11,715 --> 00:25:13,725
I got up and I saw it expanding down here.
446
00:25:13,725 --> 00:25:17,265
And actually I was looking really at
the low and it was all gold face candle.
447
00:25:17,265 --> 00:25:19,815
I'm like, okay, now it's
probably going to move out of
448
00:25:19,815 --> 00:25:21,105
this range and that'll help us.
449
00:25:21,105 --> 00:25:22,095
Cause I don't care.
450
00:25:22,425 --> 00:25:25,665
And neither should you as a trader,
what direction it wants to move in.
451
00:25:27,090 --> 00:25:28,830
I'm not brand loyal on that.
452
00:25:29,010 --> 00:25:31,169
You know, pro bear pro bear bull.
453
00:25:31,469 --> 00:25:33,449
I don't care what side the
marketplace wants to trade on.
454
00:25:33,510 --> 00:25:34,439
I just needed to move.
455
00:25:35,129 --> 00:25:38,399
If it can't move them, you know,
we don't have an opportunity.
456
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:45,840
So if we continue to stay in this range,
that makes it difficult for cable.
457
00:25:46,110 --> 00:25:49,169
So we have to look
elsewhere and puts us in.
458
00:25:49,469 --> 00:25:52,199
Like I said, we were watching
the metals markets this week and
459
00:25:52,199 --> 00:25:54,000
we were watching all the dollar.
460
00:25:55,050 --> 00:25:55,530
So we have.
461
00:25:56,895 --> 00:26:01,395
Two times it traded down into this
high, here with a buys, these candles,
462
00:26:01,965 --> 00:26:05,955
we hit it here once we hit it here
in today, again, twice today, small
463
00:26:05,955 --> 00:26:11,925
little bounce, but again, we left equal
lows here and we also had the bodies
464
00:26:11,985 --> 00:26:13,965
on this low here that we watching.
465
00:26:13,965 --> 00:26:18,135
So we have the lower, the
two is the openness candle.
466
00:26:18,375 --> 00:26:19,935
That's 1 23 74.
467
00:26:20,415 --> 00:26:23,685
So we'll probably most likely
want to see it expand down into.
468
00:26:24,524 --> 00:26:25,995
Going into London clothes today.
469
00:26:26,385 --> 00:26:32,085
It may want to run down into that,
uh, this candles opening, and also
470
00:26:32,085 --> 00:26:33,855
clear out the closest left in place.
471
00:26:34,335 --> 00:26:38,054
Um, folks are looking at
this with trend line ideas.
472
00:26:38,415 --> 00:26:38,685
Okay.
473
00:26:38,685 --> 00:26:40,695
You can see a high, a
lower high, lower high.
474
00:26:41,145 --> 00:26:41,445
Okay.
475
00:26:41,475 --> 00:26:43,365
That's something I don't like.
476
00:26:44,085 --> 00:26:47,534
I don't like that because that to
me is what we talked about in the
477
00:26:47,534 --> 00:26:49,485
mentorship where we're in a range.
478
00:26:50,235 --> 00:26:51,389
Um, Yeah.
479
00:26:51,409 --> 00:26:55,139
If we see the breakdown on a dollar
index and say the dollar index makes
480
00:26:55,139 --> 00:26:56,760
a run for let's go back to that.
481
00:26:56,970 --> 00:26:58,830
It makes it run for these
sell side liquidity out here.
482
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:03,120
What that means for cable is they'll
probably want to come back up and crack
483
00:27:03,149 --> 00:27:05,639
through this suppose it bears trendline.
484
00:27:06,510 --> 00:27:09,020
So everyone's looking at this and
saying, okay, this isn't now the down.
485
00:27:10,155 --> 00:27:12,475
So if you draw a trendline on here
and I'll leave that to you and your
486
00:27:13,215 --> 00:27:16,395
platforms, because I don't like to
show a dial and trendlines, am I
487
00:27:16,395 --> 00:27:19,785
invariably going to have a screen
capture and put it on the internet?
488
00:27:19,965 --> 00:27:21,435
ICT does trig what turn lines?
489
00:27:21,465 --> 00:27:21,975
No, I don't.
490
00:27:22,275 --> 00:27:27,285
But the, the, uh, the level I think
here is being communicate to perfect.
491
00:27:28,470 --> 00:27:30,540
And I think they'll probably want to
come back up here and snap through
492
00:27:30,540 --> 00:27:33,990
that, just to break the backs of
those that want to be short sellers.
493
00:27:34,290 --> 00:27:35,970
And it could still go lower after that.
494
00:27:36,090 --> 00:27:39,240
You know, if the dollar comes down and
runs out those sales stops and then
495
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:45,660
goes a bullish from there, that would
be an indication for, um, uh, a rally
496
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:47,640
that needs to be faded for cable.
497
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:53,030
And we had small little runs on
liquidity above this short-term high.
498
00:27:53,050 --> 00:27:53,910
We had one in.
499
00:27:55,034 --> 00:28:00,254
Okay, but in terms of intermediate term
market structure, these highs, I'd like to
500
00:28:00,254 --> 00:28:04,605
see one of those get broken because it's
too, it's too uniform too, too neat and
501
00:28:04,605 --> 00:28:10,334
tidy inside of the larger consolidation,
which to me always is suspected.
502
00:28:10,485 --> 00:28:13,425
They'll probably want to come back up and
run that doesn't happen to happen today,
503
00:28:13,425 --> 00:28:14,895
but just be mindful of that next week.
504
00:28:14,925 --> 00:28:17,324
Just keep that in the car
to the potential scenario.
505
00:28:17,685 --> 00:28:20,564
And again, that's on the heels
of the going down into that
506
00:28:20,564 --> 00:28:22,304
sell side liquidity on dollar.
507
00:28:23,925 --> 00:28:27,375
On a daily chart, we just mentioned,
but intraday, we're looking for
508
00:28:27,375 --> 00:28:34,695
a move potentially to expand down
the low that, uh, 2375 level, and
509
00:28:34,695 --> 00:28:36,824
also wiping out these equal highs.
510
00:28:37,125 --> 00:28:40,905
So that's going to be the
scenario for the cable intraday
511
00:28:44,284 --> 00:28:45,905
dollar CAD, still in its range.
512
00:28:45,905 --> 00:28:49,715
As we indicated, I still wanted to see
that one 30 level it's been resisting.
513
00:28:50,625 --> 00:28:54,645
And we've had no real
upside and no real downside.
514
00:28:54,764 --> 00:28:56,055
It's still stuck in a range.
515
00:28:56,264 --> 00:29:01,905
And again, it's all really ugly price
action work in a clear discernible
516
00:29:01,905 --> 00:29:06,345
range, the body, the candles here, low
bodies of these candles highs we're
517
00:29:06,345 --> 00:29:09,885
inside the middle of that equilibrium
rate right here, mid pin point on that.
518
00:29:10,605 --> 00:29:15,254
So nothing is indicating higher or
lower for this pair because of that.
519
00:29:15,345 --> 00:29:16,545
We had to sit on hands and wait.
520
00:29:16,605 --> 00:29:18,585
We're waiting for displacement for bulls.
521
00:29:19,770 --> 00:29:21,480
You get above here bears.
522
00:29:21,659 --> 00:29:22,370
I'd like to see a trade.
523
00:29:22,370 --> 00:29:27,929
Now that we're here, I would be
inclined to take a long $1 CAD.
524
00:29:28,110 --> 00:29:33,149
If the dollar resumed its bullishness,
after taking out their cell stops on the
525
00:29:33,149 --> 00:29:41,730
daily, over here and us CAD takes out
the low here and it shows a willingness.
526
00:29:43,420 --> 00:29:45,630
It gets back above one 30 at
that level and gives us a bullet
527
00:29:45,630 --> 00:29:47,350
shorter black on four hour basis.
528
00:29:47,770 --> 00:29:50,380
The trade-off of which isn't here
because it hasn't gone below the low yet.
529
00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:53,740
That would be a scenario that
I would like to be a buyer of.
530
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:58,300
But in here, I don't want to do anything
because it's not showing any clues
531
00:29:58,300 --> 00:30:02,560
whatsoever that it wants to go higher or
lower with a high degree of probability.
532
00:30:03,370 --> 00:30:04,630
Oh, is he dollar?
533
00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:05,620
Okay.
534
00:30:05,620 --> 00:30:08,080
We had a 77 32 yesterday.
535
00:30:08,850 --> 00:30:13,379
The high, uh, we took out the high and
I said that if we didn't take out any of
536
00:30:13,379 --> 00:30:18,180
the sell side liquidity before running
through the 77 big figure, they're
537
00:30:18,180 --> 00:30:21,660
probably going to run it to 77 big
figure and then come back down and then
538
00:30:21,660 --> 00:30:27,510
reach for a more, a deeper retracement
to come back for the sell side stops.
539
00:30:28,905 --> 00:30:30,825
Indicated by this main threshold here.
540
00:30:31,335 --> 00:30:36,014
If we break through that, the mean
threshold at this gives way, it's
541
00:30:36,014 --> 00:30:40,995
going to be a straight shot running
for the stocks below here and more
542
00:30:40,995 --> 00:30:43,544
perfectly below the body of this candle.
543
00:30:43,544 --> 00:30:43,754
Right?
544
00:30:43,754 --> 00:30:47,055
Get to lowest of all the
bodies of, of candles in here.
545
00:30:47,055 --> 00:30:48,195
Forget the wicks for a second.
546
00:30:49,305 --> 00:30:52,034
When I say Southside liquidly, we're
referencing the bodies of the candles.
547
00:30:52,034 --> 00:30:55,215
First again, you use
that matrix for the PDR.
548
00:30:56,370 --> 00:30:59,400
This is the one before
the lowest of the low.
549
00:30:59,430 --> 00:30:59,640
Okay.
550
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:00,900
We have the bodies of the candles.
551
00:31:01,530 --> 00:31:01,710
Okay.
552
00:31:01,710 --> 00:31:05,640
So whenever I had the highlight on your
charts, you're doing that same breakdown
553
00:31:05,820 --> 00:31:12,300
on a PD array matrix where the lowest is
the old, low, or an old high that's the
554
00:31:12,300 --> 00:31:15,960
lowest for sell side or for discount.
555
00:31:17,550 --> 00:31:22,830
But we're going to look for a move to
sweet below the openness candle, right?
556
00:31:26,820 --> 00:31:28,290
76 20.
557
00:31:29,669 --> 00:31:33,929
So if it gets through to main threshold
of this down candle, which is what we
558
00:31:33,929 --> 00:31:38,280
highlighted yesterday, then if that's
the case, we'll see the market wants
559
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,440
to reach down potentially as low as.
560
00:31:44,360 --> 00:31:50,360
76 20 and then drop down into
that 75 90 to 75 95 level, which
561
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:53,330
we were looking for, which could
potentially be a swing trade idea.
562
00:31:53,690 --> 00:31:58,160
I'd like to see it trade down
there for a buy, but how we trade
563
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,000
here at this meeting threshold.
564
00:32:00,020 --> 00:32:00,290
Um,
565
00:32:03,615 --> 00:32:06,465
Interested to see, let's
what we see at this level.
566
00:32:06,465 --> 00:32:11,835
If we can find support here and we bounced
and start the rally again, then managed
567
00:32:11,835 --> 00:32:12,945
a lot strong than I thought it was.
568
00:32:13,335 --> 00:32:16,185
And it's just going to make
a run for that 77 45, 77 50.
569
00:32:16,665 --> 00:32:20,055
But given it's Friday,
it's profit taking this.
570
00:32:20,055 --> 00:32:21,855
Market's been really bullish, you know?
571
00:32:22,860 --> 00:32:24,810
It's it's about time for
it to give up something.
572
00:32:25,290 --> 00:32:28,590
And they're going to make a run back down
for the sell side of liquidity or stops.
573
00:32:29,010 --> 00:32:30,689
It means threshold is this level here.
574
00:32:30,810 --> 00:32:33,929
We know that yesterday, so we are only a
couple of pips away from that hitting it.
575
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,149
It's the obvious draw to price here.
576
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:39,570
If we break through that
convincingly again, all eyes go
577
00:32:39,570 --> 00:32:43,469
down to this level here, 76, 20,
and forget, going up for awhile.
578
00:32:44,270 --> 00:32:47,459
Look for this level will be taken out
as in the next downside objective.
579
00:32:50,330 --> 00:32:51,020
You're a pound.
580
00:32:51,050 --> 00:32:56,690
We said that, uh, since cable is being
held in consolidation, the trade is
581
00:32:56,690 --> 00:33:00,240
going to be in Euro pound, and you
can see the European has been rally
582
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,410
and we've come up and hit the bear
shorter block here, close in its range.
583
00:33:03,410 --> 00:33:05,480
All this void is now been closed.
584
00:33:05,900 --> 00:33:07,850
This would be done for the
objective for the week.
585
00:33:08,810 --> 00:33:11,570
I don't really have anything else to
say about this pair, because again,
586
00:33:11,570 --> 00:33:16,220
it's in line with what the cables
still in which causes consolidation.
587
00:33:17,700 --> 00:33:18,140
Gold.
588
00:33:18,150 --> 00:33:21,210
We're still looking for that,
uh, run above the high here.
589
00:33:21,210 --> 00:33:23,880
So we've already blown through
the bodies of the candles.
590
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:24,720
We've hit through that.
591
00:33:25,470 --> 00:33:33,560
The next target or objective is going
to be the high 1, 12 45 is called.
592
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,460
That was blow through
that as an objective.
593
00:33:35,910 --> 00:33:37,770
And we're still looking for 1250.
594
00:33:38,310 --> 00:33:40,350
That's the level I'd
like to see training to.
595
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:42,690
Um, it's.
596
00:33:43,830 --> 00:33:45,330
I have 1251 on here.
597
00:33:45,330 --> 00:33:48,870
So I guess it's probably anchored
to something, um, automatically, but
598
00:33:48,870 --> 00:33:52,920
I'm looking specifically for 1250
as a target, as upside objective.
599
00:33:52,980 --> 00:33:53,640
And at 3:00 AM.
600
00:33:53,650 --> 00:33:55,920
I didn't wanna touch that
because it was going to do that.
601
00:33:56,580 --> 00:33:58,470
So this throwaway horizontal line on
602
00:34:02,450 --> 00:34:06,590
that's, what we're looking for for
gold as an objective, it would also
603
00:34:06,590 --> 00:34:07,910
be one more run through this old.
604
00:34:09,389 --> 00:34:11,699
Really nice response off the
level we indicated this week.
605
00:34:11,699 --> 00:34:18,029
So we had a really, really nice, um,
gold play to study throughout this week.
606
00:34:18,299 --> 00:34:19,589
I still want to see the buy-side liquid.
607
00:34:19,589 --> 00:34:21,120
You get ran out before the close today.
608
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:22,679
It doesn't do that.
609
00:34:22,770 --> 00:34:23,489
I hardly broken.
610
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:27,839
I just want to see it happen just
for general principle, but again,
611
00:34:27,839 --> 00:34:31,139
we're still looking for 1250, nothing
indicating any bears this in here.
612
00:34:32,670 --> 00:34:35,790
Even if it's going to turtle super
false break above this high, I
613
00:34:35,790 --> 00:34:39,000
think it's certainly doable to get
to 12 50, 12 55 as an objective.
614
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:43,350
So if you are long, just be mindful,
take something off as soon as we get
615
00:34:43,409 --> 00:34:47,759
above this high and then look for 1250
and be content with taking it off there.
616
00:34:48,270 --> 00:34:50,909
If it's going to go hire a longer-term,
there are plea w plenty more
617
00:34:50,909 --> 00:34:54,000
opportunities to get in along don't need.
618
00:34:54,029 --> 00:34:56,850
Don't miss the opportunity to get
out with a really nice exit point.
619
00:34:58,410 --> 00:34:59,009
And so.
620
00:35:01,370 --> 00:35:04,940
This market is per, uh, perplexing.
621
00:35:05,270 --> 00:35:10,490
Cause it's w it's going higher, but
it's going a snail's pace, the case,
622
00:35:10,490 --> 00:35:12,800
very, very lethargic, uh, moving higher.
623
00:35:13,940 --> 00:35:16,790
And if you trade this
metal, it's very expensive.
624
00:35:16,790 --> 00:35:17,000
The whole.
625
00:35:17,865 --> 00:35:18,285
Okay.
626
00:35:18,315 --> 00:35:22,655
Even while it's going higher,
the, uh, the, the rollover can,
627
00:35:22,655 --> 00:35:24,375
can pretty much chop you up.
628
00:35:24,855 --> 00:35:26,355
And I think that's what they're
doing, even though it's been
629
00:35:26,355 --> 00:35:29,865
bullish, they're making people pay a
premium, the whole distinct higher.
630
00:35:30,375 --> 00:35:30,645
Okay.
631
00:35:30,645 --> 00:35:30,975
So.
632
00:35:31,965 --> 00:35:35,835
Yeah, you don't want to be trading
metals through your Forex broker.
633
00:35:36,075 --> 00:35:38,085
You want to be trading
it through like a Forex?
634
00:35:38,115 --> 00:35:40,275
Uh, I'm sorry, like a futures broker.
635
00:35:40,575 --> 00:35:42,705
You're actually trading
the futures contract.
636
00:35:43,035 --> 00:35:46,485
You don't have to pay, roll over or
anything like that, but when you're buying
637
00:35:46,665 --> 00:35:50,445
silver like this, you end up paying some
rollover fees that can be expensive or.
638
00:35:51,405 --> 00:35:55,545
And especially when they want
to be ignorant in my expression
639
00:35:55,875 --> 00:35:56,625
of what they're doing.
640
00:35:56,625 --> 00:36:00,134
I mean, yes, if they're taking a higher,
but if you look at all the transaction
641
00:36:00,134 --> 00:36:05,625
fees and rollovers in a market like this,
um, it trust me, it's, it's expensive
642
00:36:05,625 --> 00:36:09,615
and it eats and erodes a lot of your
profit that you would otherwise have from
643
00:36:09,615 --> 00:36:11,265
being long down here in late December.
644
00:36:11,985 --> 00:36:14,325
Do the math on that, uh, rollover fees.
645
00:36:14,654 --> 00:36:18,495
It would, he roads a lot and he
can be still right on the market.
646
00:36:18,765 --> 00:36:22,515
But in this, in this particular
market here sober the cost of owning
647
00:36:22,515 --> 00:36:25,095
it long can be pretty expensive.
648
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:28,640
But we're still looking for 1821 upside.
649
00:36:29,090 --> 00:36:32,360
Um, nothing in here indicating that
it's going to be weak or bears.
650
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:33,350
It still looks strong.
651
00:36:33,950 --> 00:36:37,070
So that's the object
objective here still 1820.
652
00:36:37,070 --> 00:36:40,190
And if we get continuation and run
through, I'd like to see some kind
653
00:36:40,190 --> 00:36:44,600
of level like, uh, exuberance, okay.
654
00:36:44,610 --> 00:36:49,640
Or capitulation where now everybody wants
to be a buyer and had something like this.
655
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:52,130
Maybe one or two days, like
this big candle here on the day.
656
00:36:52,964 --> 00:36:54,615
If we could have something
like that, that would be cool.
657
00:36:55,035 --> 00:36:56,685
That would be a nice
658
00:37:00,495 --> 00:37:02,325
element to this uptrend.
659
00:37:02,355 --> 00:37:04,814
That way it would be clearly
reaching for something.
660
00:37:04,814 --> 00:37:08,234
And then we would know where then, but
right now it's just slowly crawling
661
00:37:08,234 --> 00:37:11,504
up here and we've got to take every
institutional level at this point as
662
00:37:11,504 --> 00:37:16,995
the next objective, because there's
just no real aggression to get up.
663
00:37:17,205 --> 00:37:20,085
But even though it's still
making a stair-step climb.
664
00:37:21,770 --> 00:37:24,830
We have to just make our
objectives rural short-term.
665
00:37:24,890 --> 00:37:30,920
So in the next one, above 18, 20 would
be 1850 to 1880, then 19 and so on.
666
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:33,859
That's how we would continuously do
it unless we get some big blow off
667
00:37:33,859 --> 00:37:37,850
candles on a daily where it starts
to slicing through camp objectives.
668
00:37:39,470 --> 00:37:41,029
You know, there's no way for us to be.
669
00:37:42,029 --> 00:37:44,970
Really pinpoint accurate with this
one, you just got to keep holding
670
00:37:44,970 --> 00:37:46,259
on and see what it gives you.
671
00:37:46,770 --> 00:37:50,640
But again, it costs to do that because
when you buy the metal through a
672
00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:54,629
Forex broker, um, they beat you out
with the spread and the rollovers.
673
00:37:56,730 --> 00:37:59,520
And that's the business
for, uh, for today.
674
00:37:59,549 --> 00:38:05,120
I want to take a look one more time
at which one was that looking at here?
675
00:38:05,150 --> 00:38:09,740
Um, dollar and.
676
00:38:12,395 --> 00:38:12,965
People.
677
00:38:16,845 --> 00:38:20,175
Yeah, I wish there was something
I could really talk about and get
678
00:38:21,495 --> 00:38:25,065
dialed in on, but this doesn't
give me much to work with.
679
00:38:26,415 --> 00:38:30,495
And I think you would all
quickly agree to, it's been a
680
00:38:30,495 --> 00:38:31,965
little difficult this week with.
681
00:38:34,375 --> 00:38:39,625
Using the higher timeframes for this type
of pair, uh, cable average, Pam versus us
682
00:38:39,625 --> 00:38:42,505
dollar just can find its way out of this.
683
00:38:42,715 --> 00:38:43,915
Uh, this range.
684
00:38:45,445 --> 00:38:49,585
I would have really been excited
to see at least this low taken out.
685
00:38:50,185 --> 00:38:50,425
Okay.
686
00:38:50,425 --> 00:38:52,435
And then if we would have came
back to the levels we're at now,
687
00:38:52,705 --> 00:38:54,355
then I'd say, okay, it's obvious.
688
00:38:54,565 --> 00:38:56,155
We're going to make a run
for the buy-side liquidity.
689
00:38:56,725 --> 00:38:58,455
Like in other words, if we
would have taken this low out.
690
00:38:59,819 --> 00:38:59,980
Okay.
691
00:38:59,980 --> 00:39:02,460
Or even this low, if we would have
taken this low out and then came
692
00:39:02,460 --> 00:39:05,970
back to where we're at right now,
to me, I would see that as, okay.
693
00:39:05,970 --> 00:39:08,669
Now this idea of this
supposed trendline here.
694
00:39:09,240 --> 00:39:09,660
Okay.
695
00:39:10,109 --> 00:39:12,299
That would be violated with some measure.
696
00:39:12,660 --> 00:39:17,310
And it means we look for a move above
this high, above this high, and then maybe
697
00:39:17,310 --> 00:39:20,819
even trading all the way back up to here.
698
00:39:21,779 --> 00:39:21,960
Okay.
699
00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:22,830
So this candles.
700
00:39:24,425 --> 00:39:30,245
At 1 26 32, that could be what
gets sent up for upside objective.
701
00:39:30,275 --> 00:39:32,435
And maybe not even get up to the
levels we're looking for here.
702
00:39:32,435 --> 00:39:32,825
We're here.
703
00:39:32,915 --> 00:39:34,865
It may just get the clothes in this void.
704
00:39:36,605 --> 00:39:37,895
So that's what I'm looking for.
705
00:39:37,895 --> 00:39:43,145
If we get some kind of a breakdown on
dollar on its daily chart, if we make a
706
00:39:43,145 --> 00:39:47,045
run for the sell side liquidity down here
and maybe trade into this level, that
707
00:39:47,045 --> 00:39:48,515
would be the catalyst I would see for.
708
00:39:49,620 --> 00:39:52,919
Cable getting up here and closing
it all up to this candle's love.
709
00:39:52,919 --> 00:39:54,419
So I'm going to have that on my chart now.
710
00:39:55,140 --> 00:39:58,560
So that way, should we
see it come to fruition?
711
00:39:58,589 --> 00:39:59,459
We've had it noted.
712
00:40:00,479 --> 00:40:01,259
Highlight that chart for.
713
00:40:14,970 --> 00:40:19,290
So that would be an upside objective
and I'll have this noted, but some
714
00:40:20,700 --> 00:40:23,490
descriptors in our chart index today.
715
00:40:23,640 --> 00:40:26,100
But, uh, that could be
the upside objective.
716
00:40:26,339 --> 00:40:28,350
And again, that's 1 26 32.
717
00:40:28,500 --> 00:40:30,660
So basically 1 26 30, that
would be upside objective.
718
00:40:31,950 --> 00:40:35,850
Dollar index on a daily breakdown and make
a run for the sell side liquidity in here.
719
00:40:36,540 --> 00:40:41,279
I think that would propel cable all the
way up here and take us all the way up
720
00:40:41,279 --> 00:40:43,529
to 1 26 30 closing in that void here.
721
00:40:44,430 --> 00:40:47,339
But apart from that folks, I don't see
anything else to be concerned with.
722
00:40:47,940 --> 00:40:51,750
And I'm going to wish you will have a
very pleasant weekend and, uh, you will
723
00:40:51,750 --> 00:40:56,190
have your two session teachings for
this week online by 8:00 PM tonight.
724
00:40:57,089 --> 00:40:59,009
And I encourage you to go there.
725
00:41:00,500 --> 00:41:05,180
And take a lot of notes and compare
what you're learning this month with
726
00:41:05,180 --> 00:41:08,750
what you've arrived at in terms of
your understanding from January.
727
00:41:09,529 --> 00:41:12,950
And I promise you, you're going to have
a great deal of understanding this week
728
00:41:13,250 --> 00:41:16,220
about swing trading and how the markets
operate and how you frame setups.
729
00:41:16,850 --> 00:41:18,589
And until then I wish you
good luck and good trading.
64013
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