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Welcome back folks.
Welcome back real quick, a short little New York session with y'all.
So we have dollar index retracing down into a level we've been
identifying from our top-down analysis, so we bullish or block.
Okay.
So we also have a smaller little one in here, but be mindful
of this entire range in here.
So I want to do that now, while we're looking at it.
Okay.
So we have an equilibrium price level down here.
So let's keep that noted.
That may be where it needs to reach down into if it's not going to.
Keep on going lower.
So it's just a small little, a retracement.
Before we break these equal highs.
You could see a tree down there.
This level here.
Let me put a little delineation on it.
Oh, very good.
So we're going to watch this level here.
It's inside of a weekly bullish or a block as well.
And then we have daily bullish projection block down in here with
these bodies, these camels as well.
So, um, if we get to this level and give some support and some bounce, if we get
back above the middle of this last off candle, if we hit this level here and
bounce up, trade through half of this up candles range, we will make a run for.
Levels on a dollar.
Otherwise we're going to be reaching down to this level and
maybe even sweeping below this low.
Okay.
So that's what I'm expecting for the dollar.
A Euro dollar.
We've had some nice movement on the upside.
We out here, um, 1 0 6 big figure is next level after 1 0 5 80.
Yeah.
Wasn't sure his chart was updating.
You're not looking at price.
It wasn't moving.
All right.
Yeah.
1 0 1 0 5 80.
If I'm not mistaken.
I think I did say one to five 80 was potentially way to reach up
into, but don't hold me on that one.
I want to say that I did, but if I didn't, I apologize, but I'm almost certain.
I said we might reach up into that, but we can still see one,
six, potentially a retreated.
Right.
If we get above one or six, then that makes this run on this low
and this blowout of the sell side liquidity, much more significant.
And then we make be making a run above this quasi railroad tracks
and reach out to this breaker.
We'd go back up to this down candle here.
Then we are now going to go higher.
So any, any return back to this down candles low, which comes in at one oh
six, we'll call it one of six fifty five and we get back to one or 6 55.
It's probably going to go back to 1 0 8, then maybe one to nine, maybe a little
bit ambitious on my part, but I'm just giving you some groundwork in case we are
in fact making a longer term low in here.
Cable in our box, liquidity drawing out here for awhile now.
Um, it's almost it today.
Um, we're looking for a run above the high of 1 25 20.
So that made me still in the cards for today.
Again, poor, low retail, looking for a bear.
So ideas on trend lines just can't do that kind of stuff, folks,
and expect it to be that easy.
It's got to add some things that we've heard market profiling.
We anticipated all this sloppiness in here and unless you're day trading this bad,
boy don't even touch it top of the day trading like, and scalps, like you're in
here for like a half an hour, 40 minutes.
And then.
Unless you're doing that, don't be in this pair cause it's going to hurt you.
So nothing's changed in that regard.
We will be looking for a move above 1 25 20 to take this class on liquidity.
Now it'd be interesting to see if we get above that level.
If we see major expansion from there, we will be looking for
rejection, uh, block on four hour up in here, which is not noted.
So let's do that here now.
I don't know if you guys in the states, you all know in the states, I'm sure.
Um, I've been singing silver and gold, um, for lives all morning, watching
silver and gold go up loving it.
All right.
So there's our level.
And I say that because I almost started singing while we're doing
the presentation and I don't want to be caught singing blot.
I am new singers for sure.
At 1 25 58.
So we could see it, punch it up to 1 25.
Um, if we get really, really good expanse in through here, and it may
not happen today, I'm not saying it's going to happen as an inter day
objective, but it could see that happen by Friday's close meeting Monday.
Um, that's assuming that we don't go up here and reject and then
completely, completely go back down inside the range, but it makes sense
for us to reach up into these levels.
And if it gets through a 1 25 55, 1 25 61, 25 80 is an upside on cable, uh,
below us at this, don't see anything to support any bearishness in here.
It's just got way too much structure underneath us.
It's tried so many times with these wigs and look at the
wigs above the marketplace.
Okay.
Very little short stout.
Um, nothing real extreme, except for this one here.
But many times it's tried to reach down, reach down, reach down, reach down, reach
down, and it just cannot find selling.
But when the pressure valve is released and the upsides permitted, it wants to go.
It wants to get out there.
And there's lots of reasons to get above these short-term highs because
that's where everyone's chilling.
Stop-loss is going to be all throughout these layered areas in here.
We've already destroyed the idea of the bears trendline in this consolidation.
So now where are they going to be looking for?
There's really nothing to frame bearish, trendlines or any kind of, um, you
monkey business with that type of stuff.
So it's all based on what liquidity, where the orders are.
It's going to expand to this area, which is logical above
this high, which is logical.
This is the one I said that they would probably target because of the trend line.
And again, just go back to your notes when we taught false trendlines,
uh, that's the reference point we would be looking for rating here.
So that's the reason why we're looking for this high bodies of
candles, essentially, which comes in at the open on this 1 25 30.
So once my five 30 is my personal initial objective.
Once we get above this.
So that's what I'm looking for.
And then if we get expansion 1 25, 55 and 1 25 60 upside, and then making a run
to 1 25 8, if we really exploded on the upside and the dollar CAD had a little
bit of market precision, if you will.
Uh, yesterday based on our levels we did when we did a top down analysis video.
And if you have not done the homework and yet once the video don't go in
there and listen, because I said this level in advance, and you want to
see it, trust me, it's still there.
It's not going to change, but a really, really nice sensitivity
at 1 30, 2 10, right to the pit.
Can't get any better than that.
And then we have a nice retracement lower.
Now we have the wants, the bodies and these candles in here.
And this is what I was referring to.
Um, as it relates to the similarities between dollar tad and pound dollar,
uh, they're stuck in writing.
And you got, gotta be really careful about anticipating breakouts.
I don't like to anticipate a breakout unless I know what
the longer-term trend is.
And for this pair, it just wasn't giving it to me in clear terms.
So you have to think like a scalper or day trader and don't
anticipate big major breakouts.
You just can't do it.
So we saw a price called by the buyers, these candles trading up into our
1 32, 10 level exactly to the pit.
And I'm right back inside the range.
The middle of the range is this low to this high we're read back at equilibrium.
So again, nothing has changed with this pair.
Our analysis has been spot on, do not try to get in here and try to swing for the
fences in the cable or in dollar cat pair.
It's just simply going to chop you up.
Now, this notation, I want to make a special reference to this because
I'm not sure I haven't checked the form, but I saw one of our members
post a question to me through my.
Through a direct message as a bullet point to everyone,
please do not send me anything.
Whether by tweet directly or a private message to my free Twitter account, don't
deal don't ever do that, please, because I won't make the mistake of answering
something through that in my haste of doing many things throughout the day.
And that is also, everything has to go through the mentorship either
comes through the Twitter account, ICT underscore I'm sorry, ICT underscore
mentorship, that, that Twitter handle, you can send the links to the form that
you're asking me a question, just tweet it to me, everyone around the world,
watching that feed the underscore.
And I see the underscore and mentorship and everyone's responses to me.
Everyone's reading that stuff.
Okay.
So when there's a question, they're all reading that same.
And if there's a high-five scenario or situation where, you know, this
level is aboard or block, and we're calling this, and I think this, what
you're doing is you're giving all that information out to everyone else.
So that's why I ask everyone to do the questions or comments
or observations in the forum.
And then if you want me to have special attention drawn to it, either
by question, or just like a high five moment, or just give me a nod, like yeah.
You way to go, that needs to come through a link that's directed
to the forum, but don't send that stuff to me through my free Twitter,
because I can't wait until fall.
Cause I'm getting rid of that free Twitter account and no one Twitter
account to have is this mentorship.
So that's the only way social media people can get a hold of me.
If you're not part of the mentorship, I'm just not going to see or pay
attention to you, but please don't send me anything through my free, uh, Twitter
account, as it relates to mentorship.
What the gentlemen or lady, I'm not sure, please.
Don't be offended by that.
Cause I don't know who you are.
Um, this, uh, the question was, is why didn't ICT use?
Um, let's go to, let's see you just one for hour.
Why didn't I use all these candles here?
Let me zoom in for you.
Why didn't I start the order blocking here.
Okay.
Prior to this mood here and why not use this mitigation block down here?
And the reason why is when we were doing the markups for dollar and
Euro dollar in the live session.
The other day, the point I was trying to draw as is, you're not trying to
inundate your chart with every possible thing that you can do, because if
you do that, then obviously you're going to have too many things to make
a decision on too much information.
It's information overload.
So what we like to do is we already see that as an old
high back here, it has a wick.
So there's a rejection block there.
That's why that's not noted because we have an old hockey
here and I'm referencing.
We were approaching that level.
I thought they were going to come back into this level and sleep into it.
And we also have an old world.
Why didn't I, why didn't I have it as an old low here?
Why didn't I do a mitigation blog?
Why don't I do this whole order block?
Because it's already overlapping in a very close area.
So what am I really referencing?
It prices down here prior to going up to this level at 1 30, 2 10, all
I'm concerned about is this high.
It's not that big of a WIC.
Plus if it's going to go to that wick, it's going to go
back to this mitigation block.
I don't care about all this because there's really no gap.
When this movement went lower.
This low, once it was broken from this candle's lower here, the last down candle.
Let me put the thing let's you can see it.
The low comes in at 1 30, 2 12.
Okay.
1 30, 2 12.
And then what's the candles high over here.
Once are you to 12?
There's an absence of.
There's no gap in here.
Okay.
This also 1 30, 2 12 with the low in this candle that starts to bear shorter block.
The low is 1 32 19.
We're only talking about what
12, seven pips seven pips is nothing.
That's not a big enough consideration for me in terms of a range to start
delineating distinctions between a mitigation block, a bare shorter block
and old high, or a projection block.
So experience spoke without me really making any reference to it.
And for that, I probably should apologize, but that's just what happens sometimes.
I mean, I assume because I'm killing it, that it should be obvious and sometimes
it's not effectively communicated, but I elected so we can talk about it.
Now.
I elected only the focus on this candle of old.
Okay, the WIC is there.
Yes, we have these equal highs in here.
So if it's going to go up, it's going to go up for this wick.
It's already going to blow out these equal highs.
Once it starts to trade higher, I'm only focusing on this because
there's an absence of any real range or gap to take us up to this level.
Here.
Am I thinking, is this because we allow a gray area in price action.
It doesn't have to move right to the PIP.
This, in my opinion was already acting on this as a bare shorter block, even
though it didn't trade to it, it didn't, it doesn't make any sense, Michael.
Sure.
It does because it's not going to be there's.
No absolutions so, because we saw rejection up here, something already, uh,
allow price to send it lower here already.
So if it's going to come back up, it's only going to need to go
above the bodies of these candles in here and more specifically
what we rounded to we round down.
So if the high was 1 30, 2.
What's the nearest zero level or five level 1 30, 2, 10.
That's what I roll it back to the algorithm is going to
seek that level, this to pivot expansion above that 10 level.
It's just the brokers, uh, you know, fluff, you, they get to build
own all that little extra movement at the, uh, inner bank level.
Okay.
We're focusing, focusing rather on the zero levels and the five levels.
That's what pushes price around.
They're not trying to reach for these oddball numbers.
So that was the catalyst for that.
And why didn't elect for these up candles, creating the bare shorter block.
For instance, let's say it like this.
If this high would have been lower and it stopped right about here, then I
would have absolutely had a level drawn empty bears or block and made a reference
of a rejection block at these candles.
But hadn't never, I'm sorry.
I have a, your weight attributed to the up candles because then it would be.
Idea that would draw, would have drove price down here, but because there's
an absence of any kind of real movement from this low and here basically
we've already hit this level once.
That's what I'm saying.
Okay.
So if we're going to go up there, rolling on golf there to clear
these bodies and get to a around level above a big figure, 1 32.
And that's why I drew that level.
And it's why it responded as you say here.
Okay.
So I hope that's made some sense as to why I didn't do that.
And it was a really good question, but in my shortcomings as a teacher, uh, I just
didn't, I didn't feel the need to have to draw any kind of special attention that
cause I thought it would be obvious, but please don't be offended if I assumed too
much by thinking that it should have been obvious, but hopefully this has been a
better example of explaining why I elected to not use this as a very or block and
not mention the mitigation block here at all, because this high had already
responded to the load it was seen here.
Okay.
All right.
So we're back in the middle of range for a dollar CAD.
So that's pretty much it.
We're going to have to wait and see what we get from this point
on, um, where we at Aussie dollar.
This thing is flirting with our 77 45 objective 77 50 level.
I'd like to see that hit, still can do it.
We got time in the day, could see expansion up here in, in, in tag it.
Um, I told you guys to watch this pair last night.
Um, we, we probably see it, uh, expand, uh, is doing it, but I'm
going to be really heartbroken if it doesn't give it to me today, it
has every reason to just expand up there and hit that level you be done,
right?
Here's what we're looking for.
Run above these candles bodies.
The highest of the two is the close on this candle, which is 77 45.
So we look for 77, 45 to 77 50 boom in the trade is over.
We'll move to the sidelines and wait and see what happens from there.
Could see some, uh, Good.
Some could see some rather significant retracement after that levels hit.
Uh, if we expand through, obviously we will look for the high on this candle at
77 78, which would push us right into 77 80, if it wants to get above the highs.
There's only two pips above that.
So those are two levels that we're watching for all the dollar, a Euro
pound now, because both cable and you're moving in sync, we're going
to have some consolidation in here.
closing our range and moved off the app.
I'm almost certain, I said 80, and I'm not checking the questions and
I hate to make a big deal about nothing, but for whatever reason, I
want to believe that it said 84 80.
But if I didn't, it is what it is.
All right.
Gold is the other one.
That's.
Messing around with me this morning.
I want to see 1250 hit a really, really, it was a break there almost hate it,
but we are biased by liquidity pool.
We identify we're waiting for that was our objective.
Initially, after this rundown to this level, we call 1 12, 17, 15, 12, 18 level.
Really nice run, really hard to get, uh, uh, disappointed in something like this.
I mean, for a metal, this is a nice little move and for basically
a hundred dollars for every full point or $10 for every little PIP.
If you want to look at it like that, uh, excellent, significant price movement.
I mean, you're looking at like $3,000 for every one that you're holding.
So that's not a battle, payday, silver, no words.
We're waiting for it to get to 1250 in case that wasn't obvious what I was
referring to because we already hit our.
First objective here, the buy-side liquidity pool equal highs price
has been drawn right to it real quick, quickly, right in here.
Now notice also that we had a big loop up on gold.
What was the commentary I'd said this week, as it relates to gold and silver
gold was being held in consolidation while the dollar was rallying, that
is a million dollar maker for you.
Okay.
Because if you're looking for intermarket analysis to support an
idea, again, it's not that markets have to move in perfect symmetry if
there's a breaking correlation, because everybody says there's no such thing
as correlation that it doesn't work.
It's not consistent.
No, it's absolutely consistent.
These need to know what you're looking at.
So the people that are outside of our mentorship, they think they know what
they're looking at in the free tutorials.
There is a linkage between when the dollar's going higher,
gold should be going lower when the dollar is going higher.
I'm hearing you say it again twice dollar up.
Dollar down gold up and why I feel dyslexic all of a sudden, it's
basically obvious it's opposite of this, but that way I'm having
a senior moment this morning.
I'm actually very giddy.
I, um, I had a really good session with my son before the live session.
We were explained some things and he had, um, an epiphany.
Let's put it that way.
So I'm really excited as a dad.
I'm also excited as it, as a teacher, um, that he saw that you
don't need much to do very well.
So it's probably sounding rather odd because who I am and him being
my son, he shouldn't have that, that, that, that type of epiphany
this late in the game, but he did.
So I'm kind of excited about that and getting, but if there is a link
between gold going up while the dollar goes down and the dollar goes higher
and gold going lower, if that is the true symmetry in the market, Okay.
That's occurring normally in a normalized market condition.
That's symmetrical.
That's what we would reasonably expect.
But if we see dollar strength, as we saw initially, uh, after
Monday's holiday, thank Holly.
On Tuesday, we saw the dollar rally and I made mentioned that we did not
see any significant selling in gold.
So if they're holding gold and consolidation, the observation was okay.
Now we're going to wait.
And if we get a retracement or lower prices and goal, I'm sorry, dollar.
That's going to be like rocket fuel for gold to go higher.
I think about that.
If you're looking for moves to have explosive tendencies, to be moving
directionally one sided, we already knew that this is like a powder keg.
It was waiting.
It wasn't, wasn't going lower when Val was going on.
So it's showing you what relative strength, not relative
strength, index, not indicators.
It's showing you that it cannot go lower.
It resists it.
It doesn't care what the dollar is doing.
So that means what the rallying in the dollar is suspect.
Otherwise gold should be bending the knee.
It's not, they can't hide this stuff from you folks that can't, it's impossible.
It's not going to stop working.
There's no reason to worry about me doing this mentorship and 800.
Are you going out and sharing it with everybody else in the world?
Okay.
And then suddenly everybody's going to say, Hey, look, this guy in
Baltimore gave his information out.
Now it's going to stop working because we have to change the thing.
No, because they're buying a lot or they're selling a lot.
And to manipulate certain things, they have to hold
other markets in consolidation.
That's manipulation.
That's the heart of it.
Any other crack in the correlation is when they are in sympathy.
I'm sorry.
And, and synchronicity and there's symmetry.
When the dynamics are high, there should be a lower, low in gold.
If it's not there, that's a crack and correlation.
You get smart money insight by doing that same thing that we do
with dollar index against it, uh, currencies like Euro dollar and pound
dollar, these ideas slowly over time.
When you start looking for things as a trade idea, when you see them, they
confirm or negate the probability.
So your trade painting out big, huge move in gold today.
Big, huge move.
I'm sure if you go on the unit and scour like, oh, gold, big
move and go, blah, blah, blah.
We talked about it beforehand.
We explained why it was going to go to the levels that we're seeing it reach for.
We talked about where the stops are here.
There's people trying to sell gold or gold.
It's a sucker rally.
It's this it's that well, is it because it couldn't go down.
We had a reaction exactly where we thought it was going to trade to 12, 17, 12, 18,
essentially by the 1220, where's it going?
We're reaching for 1245 to 1250.
Maybe even spread up to 1255 as an objective.
Boom.
You're seeing it unfold today to stripped as it should.
And it was based on intermarket analysis, the things that we taught you in last
month's teaching right here, true to form.
And your charts lie before the fact and unfolding silver,
this dirty dog.
I have been dancing around the house all morning, waiting for this
thing to hit this stupid 1820 level, because I was telling my wife, I
said, this thing's going to hit 1820.
And she was looking at like, here she's like, how do you know that?
Now mind you I've been married to this woman for a while.
And all she hears me talk about is.
Well, the markets, you know, anything else is the kids, but my mind gravitates to
this stuff all the time, because she'll ask me what's what are you thinking?
Well, obviously, you know what I'm thinking, I'm going to CT, I'm
thinking about Euro copper and bonds.
I'm thinking about the markets.
So even if we're out in the bank, we're having meals, or if we're watching
a children's event, like a stock, like my son, he's at soccer a lot.
And if I'm here and I go into a days, my son's at one end of the court and
I'm staring in the middle of the field.
She's like, what do you think about?
And I, you know, I don't want to admit to it right then and there,
but I'm thinking about when is when's this market going to hit this level?
Well, I kept jawboning 1820, you know, yesterday evening when she came
in the house and it's like, look, um, I want this level to be hit.
And because she asked me, what am I think I said, I want 1820 to be hit.
It's frustrating.
Now I want to get hit.
And I said, it should hit it.
It should hit it.
And I.
Sometimes get really hung up on a level like this, especially when I'm really
passionate about it, seeing it unfold and to see it go here this morning,
multiple times, going right to 1819, and just stopping short it's it's
maddening for me because I'm I'm OCD.
Obviously you guys knew that and if you don't know it, you certainly know it now,
but the, uh, the level, you know, to me, that drives me insane you to 1819, just
hit the 20 level and be done with it.
Okay.
Let me go into the weekend.
Happy.
Okay.
I'm not long in silver, so it's not like I'm trying to say I made money.
I just need this to unfold.
So I struggle with this as the person with OCD, once I know a level should make it
makes sense where it's to hit that level.
It needs to go there in my opinion.
Okay.
But if it goes to 19 and we retrace off this and never go
there, that will drive me nuts.
I'm willing to drive.
I'll drive myself insane all weekend with this.
So the struggle is real folks.
I mean, it's not like you, you folks are just are the only ones that have
these psychological barriers sometimes.
And I don't even have a trade on and I just need this level be hit.
I need it too.
Otherwise, I'm going to be, it's basically, I'm frustrated.
I just needed to be hit basically the, but it's nice to see this metal reacting
and doing the same thing we've expected to do in gold is happening also in silver.
So we're seeing explosive moves in the metals because of our
analysis being spot on with the movement, lower on the dollar index.
If we see that that's going to allow the upside expansion to be big.
Now, this is also gonna be talked about in lesson seven, but think
about what's going on here.
We have the market in very, very small ranges.
Now, for some of you that aren't aware of how I look at markets
in terms of a range contraction.
This may not look like small ranges.
Because you're looking at the Wix, look at these candles and imagine all the
highs and the lows and remove them, just look at the opens and the closes.
Think about that.
All of a sudden, now those ranges get really, really small.
That is a powder cake.
In other words, it's just a time bomb waiting to explode.
Now it doesn't give you a direction on premise.
It doesn't give you a bias.
Okay.
See at taunting me folks.
See it.
It's just taunting.
You go on to 18, 19.
Oh, it's driving me nuts.
Just get the hell up here and hit it already.
But you have no idea.
I've been dancing around the house, watching this stupid level that we hit.
So I can go on the weekend with a smile, but long and short,
it is when we look at price.
Okay.
You wouldn't be judging the bonds of the candles from the open, the close.
Okay.
We don't pay as much attention to the wicks unless we're looking at.
Okay.
So yes, the only time we really care about the, uh, the opens and, uh, I'm sorry, the
highs and the lows, but the bodies of the candles, that's the real meat of the move.
Okay.
That's the bulk of the volume.
So what's happening is, is they kept price consolidated around the $18 mark.
So if we disregard all the highs and the lows and just focus on these
little bodies, little body here, it's a small little body right in here.
This is a little bit larger body, but then look at overall,
there's relatively small ranges.
They get smaller and smaller and smaller.
And then finally with the movement of the dollar moving lower, that
releases the pressure valve on silver.
Now it can move higher, but is it going to creep higher?
Is it going to just fizzle on up slowly?
No, it's going to be able to release aggressively.
There's going to be dynamic price action.
That large displays.
It's going to be seen in a form of a big range like this.
When we start talking about day trades and short-term trades,
next month specifically, uh, next month is short term trading.
One shot, one, kill that type of thing that we'll be leaning on these concepts.
A lot that we're talking about in lesson seven of this month's
content, but as a preview, this is one of the things that we look at.
We look at the binds of the candles and we don't look at the wicks.
The wicks are not, that's not the mystery.
Okay.
The mystery is isn't okay.
Looking inside from the open to close, that's the real value of price.
Action.
What have we done since the opening?
I don't care what the range high extreme is and what the low extreme is.
I don't care about that because I teach that that's where all the manipulation
is and that's the seeking of liquidity.
The bulk of the volume is going to be seen at the open and the close.
That's it.
If you go back and look at your price action, and look at any timeframe, I
don't care if you look at it monthly, if you look at it weekly, daily, one
minute chart, I don't care regardless.
We just hit it.
Yay.
All right.
You have no idea, man.
It's time for a cigarette and I don't even smoke.
I'm telling you that to me is a release.
I'm okay.
Now I could go into the weekend.
Happy I'm can't wait to see my wife.
When she comes back home, I am going to be happy.
And she got in there right away.
She went there, did it, whatever.
It's a response.
Everything was like, whatever.
But anyway, 1820 it's in the books now.
Just want to make sure I see it in 1820.
It's done.
So we hit our level on silver real quick.
While we're looking at that.
What did gold to go up anymore?
Almost getting our almost at 1250.
I really want to see 1250 now, but I'm not that crazy about this level.
I'm okay.
Because this one's already hit my objective for the week.
So anyway, finishing the discussion about the ranges.
Universal approach to looking at a range contraction.
It doesn't matter what timeframe you look at and thoroughly good exercise.
You can actually go through it in your lunch break at work, and just
go through your smartphone, just pull up any kind of marketing.
You can do it on a stock.
You'd be doing bonds, currencies, commodities.
It doesn't make a difference.
Um, but when you start seeing markets go and consolidation, and if you
see these types of things like this, these wicks above and below, there's
a lot of wicks in here disregard that.
Okay.
Don't even pay attention to the highs and lows focus on the bodies of the candles.
Okay.
Or if you're looking at, um, open high, low, and close bars, which,
you know, to me, I like them.
I use candlesticks for teaching, but I look at Guggenheim, low,
close, all my personal charts.
I'm just used to seeing it that way.
I like it that way.
But for teaching, it just makes it easier to draw special attention.
It's easier for recordings too.
But if you go through all the timeframes and you break down right before the big.
Okay.
When we're in, these are big expansion in the ranges, the ranges between the open
and the close get really, really small.
Now I learned this concept.
They ugly from Larry Williams, big ranges.
He got large ranges and large ranges got small ranges.
So in other words, when you start seeing a range bound market that
gets smaller and smaller, smaller, and they get really small in terms
of how much movement they have.
He talks about the high in the world.
Larry Williams.
That's how I learned it in my observations is forget the high in the low.
Okay.
If it's Wix, if there's a lot of WIC or movement between the open
and the close, if it's an up candle.
Okay.
I don't care if it's got a WIC below the opening or a wick above the clothes.
I don't care about that.
I want to see what that upcoming.
Range was between it's open and it's closed.
That's what I'm looking for when I'm looking for about tele filter.
So when we look for indications that the market's really poised
to explode and go higher.
So what we look for is the body of the candle, not the Wix.
Okay.
And if these bodies start to shrink up, it gets smaller.
What you can actually end up doing is you anticipate when these big moves occur.
Now, thinking about this, I'm going to give you a little preview to lesson seven.
If you think that a swing trade is coming to fruition, okay, you think
a move is about to take place and you think the buying opportunities is upon
you and you break the by the marketplace or whatever that marketplace may be.
You're ready to buy it.
If you have the setup forming, and you think it's a, um, at a
PDA rate at this in a discount.
So you're buying a bull shore block, for instance.
Okay.
If you buy the order book, You can't anticipate the expansion
and the explosiveness in price, moving higher for you.
If you are seeing that small contraction in the ranges, in the tire, in a
timeframe right above the entry technique or a timeframe you're using,
for instance, I'll give an example if you're timing your bike on a four hour.
Okay.
And on your daily chart, the ranges have gotten smaller.
If that occurs now, we're again, we're not referring to the high and
the low we're referring to the bodies between the open and the close.
That's all we care about.
If that range starts consolidating, you get smaller on your timeframe
as it gets to that level of a buying opportunity, or if it hits a level and
it could have happened on a big range.
Okay.
It could have dropped down on the hard timeframe daily.
Then it hits that level.
Then it consolidates for.
Okay.
And all of a sudden you build that idea that it's probably
going to be a swing low for me.
It's going to go hire a swing trade on a buy-side.
Maybe for me, if that daily chart creates a small range, even though that
may have a higher WIC or lower wit in terms of, um, the daily chart, if that
body gets small and then you buy it at that lower timeframe for hour, you can
anticipate this type of event here.
What it's doing is it's getting, it's winding up really, really small.
We also know that if it's a high level sensitivity, um, price level, like if it's
really a good bullish or block, excuse me, or if it's, um, a really obvious level
where everyone should be buying on a hard timeframe, like with a monthly or a weekly
level, if it's a discount level like that, they don't stay at that price level.
Now it may return back to it at a later time to recapitalize the new,
new buys and more buying because of the long-term objective of
building in an equity base that has a larger buying average then price.
There was weekly and monthly, that was Kenny retreated to, but the
initial time it hits it, it doesn't stay there long because there's a
massive dog piling of orders that gets filled person that gets it.
And that's what we see that first initial impulse leg.
That's why we had that first top.
And that's why it's important to see that initial displacement.
And when it happens, if we see it, come back down to that level again, and
then on our higher timeframe and what the daily it's arranges get smaller
again, between the open and the close.
It's like a time bomb.
It's just getting ready to go off again.
And then all of a sudden when you buy it, you'll have immediate response.
You won't get in here and do something like this, where
you buying weights around.
You won't see that occur.
You'll see when you buy it, it's almost immediately in for day trading.
When you start seeing these things applied for that and stopping,
we get immediate feedback.
If we're right, we knew right away, if we're wrong, we'll know right away.
And when we start trading every single day, because the day trading
scalping, you're going to see I'm going to get in some trades.
As soon as I get in.
If I don't see what I'll need to say, I'm collapsing them.
And it may be for small loss or it may be for breakeven,
or it may be a minor one win.
And you're probably scratching your head.
Like, wait a minute, you're up two pips wide.
You get out there.
And all of a sudden the trade off it'll fail.
And then I'll have examples to show you why I did this and why I didn't do that.
But we use volatility filters like this to build in number
one, anticipatory price skills.
So we can anticipate when price is going to be moving big.
When there's going to be a big explosive price move.
Everybody wants to know.
Every, if we pulled up a universe of, I don't care who they are,
it could be any asset class.
You ask them what it is.
If they could be told, what is the number one thing you would love to learn?
If you could be consistent about what would it be?
It wouldn't be when's the buy.
That's what retail things, anybody that's been trading for a long time.
They don't, they don't need to know when is the right time to buy
or when's the right time to sell.
They've had issues where they'd done that before.
Otherwise they would've never done it.
Wouldn't have continued to check.
I try to trade.
They've made either by pure luck or something along
their understanding lined up.
And they had a favorable outcome.
A trade somehow in some form was profitable for them, whether it
be practice paper or live, they've seen it work once and all it takes
is the bug to bite you one time.
And you never, ever, ever getting away from.
You know, it's something you want to do.
And so therefore, now you've been bitten and you're in here, your
muscles learn how to do it, right.
But if you ask every single one of us, if we were all collectively pulled,
the question would be, what would you, if you could wish for one thing
to be taught to you and you could be consistent with, what would that be?
I guarantee you, it wouldn't be teaching how to time the market for a buyer sell.
That's not what they would say.
They would say, I wish I could pick the markets that we're going to move.
'cause that's what traders need.
We need volatility.
We need movement.
So if we already, we already have tools that tells us when the buying sell.
You know, if the retail world knew how to really see what smart money's
doing, their indicators would work for them, but they don't do anything to
get those indicators, to get them in.
The indicator works when it's the highest probable entry.
And then it never gives you another ideal entry after that.
If folks that were learning retail things like I did, I
reversed, engineered everything.
I looked at it and said, okay, I made money a lot in nine months
when I first started, it was just like, boom, boom, boom, everything.
I was buying made money.
When it became a bear market, I couldn't do anything.
Right.
And then when it started to go bullshit and I still don't know anything, right.
Because I was all screwed up because I lost money.
I didn't know what the hell I was doing long short of it is.
I said, okay, if I can be this consistently wrong,
somebody consistently, right.
This many times it has to be, I mean, just pure common sense tells you if I
can be wrong as many times initially.
Okay.
I was right for nine months.
Like almost gangbusters every single week I was making money, but.
That was all pure luck.
And I could tell you in maturity, that's what, you know, the story.
But when I was really, really trying, even when the market started
going bullish, it wasn't right.
I was looking at stupid things because I was allowing all other things outside
of what I should have been focusing on to influence my ideas in greed.
And then I was fearful of, well, maybe I might go into a tailspin again.
And then if I did take a loss, I got mad and I went back in with
revenge and try to go one more time.
So I'm going to risk 10% of my account now because I can't go home with a 3% loss.
Well, that was stupid.
When I started applying rules that forced me to focus on markets, to have
the highest probability of movement.
It needs to move.
Even Larry Williams, if you look at his stuff, it's almost like he's left.
Like he doesn't even pay attention to that anymore.
He's gotten so caught up in the teaching new gimmicks all the time he's left.
This is purest stuff, which is in his book, how I made a million dollars
trading commodities last year.
To me, that one, that's it.
That's all you need.
If you read that book, that's it don't pay anything else in terms
of, uh, what he teaches and I'm not trying to be disrespectful at all.
I, I, I certainly love what he's done for me as a trader.
And he started me on the right path, but I'm so glad that I really challenged
the things that I started seeing him do.
And I said, you know what?
I'm not going that direction with him.
I'm going to stay to what works.
And I could see how the, the community at large would be frothing at the mouth.
And it's kind of like the same thing.
I mean, look at the folks that are in the freestyle.
They can't wait for me to put another video up.
I could talk about something in hindsight and it through, you know, pop harms
and ticker tape parade stuff in a year.
It'd be crazy.
And it's not helping them, but they're all caught up in the frenzy
of, they feel like they're connected.
And that's how I was a fan boy with Larry Williams still.
And finally, when I matured and said, you know, what is this making me money?
If I'm learning how to do anything better with this new tool or not.
So what is it that I'm lacking?
So I cut myself off.
I didn't open up any more of my books.
2,600 books sat there, either my electronic or on my bookshelf.
I didn't touch anymore of them.
And I went right back into my journal and I said, okay, what were the things that
I was bitching about most in my losing trades or my missed opportunity trades?
I didn't see this big move coming.
Well, there's an opportunity there.
So if I can't see that coming, how can I fix that?
So I went back to what I knew.
Larry Williams said small ranges are the beginning point of a big move.
Okay.
That's obvious everyone.
Yeah.
And if you put it on the forum, like I did maybe.
Oh, it's obvious.
Well, no one talks about it.
And certainly if you look at their trays, they certainly aren't using it.
They're buying it after it had two days up big, big Rangers.
Now they'll buy it because they have confirmation.
No, no, no, no.
So what I did was I said, okay, I'm going to go on the charts and say, if I
think the market's going to go higher.
Okay.
That's all I'm going to limit it to.
I think it's going to go higher.
There's this, this decks, the stage.
Okay.
I want to be a buyer of that market just because I want to be a buyer.
Doesn't mean the market's going to go higher.
It's not going to bend its will.
I mean, I just need to my will.
I got to get in sync with it as a, as a market.
So when I went back and looked at all my losing trades or missed opportunities,
one of the classic telltale hallmark signs was that range contraction.
And I disregarded the Wix and I focused on the bodies.
Now, I don't know if Larry's.
The do you the high and the low, because he doesn't want to draw
everyone's attention to the same thing, because whether he wants to
move him out, he does have a little bit of a conspiracy conspiracy mindset.
Because if you look at his older stuff, it's like, I don't really want to teach
everything and I'm not, I don't want to do, I'll give you just enough where
you'll make some money, but you're not going to get everything from me.
Well, eventually he ran out of east and he had to come up with
new kinds of gimmicks and stuff.
And now it's all indicators this and indicator that, and it's
really, you twisted the data enough.
It's going to submit to anything.
And it, to me it's open high, low, and close.
That's it.
And if you disregard where the money manipulation is, it's
always at the extreme, in the WIC it's reaching for stops.
That's all that WIC is.
It's reached for a level of liquidity.
And since it couldn't sustain that level anymore, it retraces back
in enclosed is going to be either higher or lower in relative terms
to that expansion on that candle.
So the bulk of the move is between the open and the close.
And I could care less about the high and the low when it
comes to a volatility filters.
So as a homework in closing, I want you to go through your charts and I
don't care which asset class you use.
In fact, it's like, let's make this as a, a, a, a facet of this homework
assignment this weekend, uh, before, you know, it's just anytime before Monday.
Okay.
I'll, I'll go through my own and I'll pick out a stock.
I'm going to pick out a commodity.
I'm going to pick out a, uh, four X pair.
Okay.
So there's three things.
We're looking at a stock, we're looking at a commodity and
we're looking at four X pair.
Okay.
And I'm going to pick out a timeframe that shows this.
And how it was effective.
And I'm just going to find one and I'm not going to go looking for something.
Perfect.
I'm going to just go to the chart and it's obvious and you'll see it.
Same thing.
I want you all to have one of each asset class, one commodity
where you see it happen.
One stock in one FX pair.
And we'll talk about that on Monday session.
Um, and you'll see, you'll probably go through your charts and did you find
one, invariably, you're going to go, then you're gonna look around for more of them.
And once you see it, it's almost like, wow, that's what, yeah.
That's what everybody needs to know.
They need to know when's the market going to pop either go higher explosively
or drop exposure, explosively lower.
Okay.
It doesn't matter to me which direction, because I already got tools to tell
me what side of the marketplace I'm looking for, but I can be bullish
on the market forever dollar.
I'm still thinking it's going to 1 0 5.
We have all kinds of trading have to do between that.
And it may never get there.
But if I am bullish and I have all these things line up and the volatility
starts squeezing tight, man, that's like a loaded gun it's ready to go off.
And when you see that in the charts and your studies, okay, you believe
me, it will make a lot of sense.
The why these big moves happen and you probably, you know what,
let me ask you by show of hands.
Okay.
In the room with a number one.
How many times have you been caught off guard with a real explosive move?
Can you thought yourself, where did this come from?
How did this happen?
If you can remember that last time that happened, what would that pair was?
Or wherever that market was, go back and look at it with this idea.
And you'll see it.
It's there now.
I knew somebody was going to say, okay, well, that's great.
That's hindsight my uncle.
And it's, you know, here we are, again, you're doing hindsight stuff.
No, it's the hindsight.
It's how you figure out how the market's going to be moving.
And supposedly you already have the tools that lead you to whether the market
should be bullish or bearish as a whole.
Now we're applying volatility.
Filters tells us when the market should explosively move.
Now if we have in a checklist format, okay.
First thing we did, we sit down in front of our chart and this is
obviously an over-simplification, but if we sit down, if we sit down
in front of the charts and say, okay, gun to my head, what am I doing today?
Well, you have to figure out, is this a market to be traded?
In other words, are we caught in a range or are we trending?
We start with a hard timeframe and we break it down from that,
anything that's in a range bound.
We can't touch that market unless we're day Ching or scalping, we can't touch it.
So if the market's moving freely in.
Or left the range rather it's trending higher or lower.
We don't care.
We know that that's a favorable market to be trading it because
there's some displacement there's funds being poured into that.
Otherwise it would be stuck in a range too.
So we're from our primary focus is we're looking for markets
that are already on the move.
Once we have that, we know that that market is either moving
higher or lower right away.
We know that market is either a buy market or sell market.
It's done at market.
If we weren't done on homework, it's over now.
If we are bullish, relative that market, we go in and we
start looking for discount PDRs.
We look in the last 60 days, we'd look in the last 40 days.
And we look in the last 20 days, where are all the discount PD
erasing that in the last 20 days.
Okay.
Anything in the last 20 days, is there still anything active?
Is there a bullish or bought that has been traded to cause that's
probably where it's going to go to.
If it's already done everything in the last 20 days that
would meet termed bullish.
It's already went below an old low it's already traded down to a bull shore block.
It's already filled in a gap, the low price.
Okay.
Then you have to look back to the 40 day range, whatever that is.
Okay.
It's probably going to want to drop down to that.
If it doesn't you wait for price to go higher up.
Once it makes that new displacement impulse leg.
Now you have a new reference point and wait for it to pull back into a new future
20 day or 40 day or 60 day task forward.
Okay.
A new discount PDA rig that hasn't been traded to yet.
That's the one you buy.
When the volatility filter shrinks up.
When the range has get small, then you have what our timeframe
telling you the market's bullish.
It's on the move.
Funds are pouring into it.
You're waiting for price to get down to a discount PD array.
If it doesn't you wait for it to trade.
What is that telling you?
New buying is taking place.
Okay, great.
Wait, don't rush.
You wait, prices, pull back, come back into a fair value gap, avoid
false or block or trade below.
No low you buy it.
When the volatility filters shrinks up, you know, you have a tenant it's going
to blow up and you already knew the direction based on the hard timeframe.
You knew that the market's predisposed to go higher.
You're looking for everything in that checklist idea.
It's just that simple.
Now what makes it hard?
You're not going to want to wait.
You're going to force something in the chart that isn't there yet.
You're going to see the candle on a daily chart.
It's lower than the close, but it's not a clock in the morning
that candle hasn't closed yet.
You're already trying to get in before the fact.
Well, if I buy it now, this is where the stock would have been.
If this is the down candle and you're going to mess it up, you have to have.
You have to have rules.
And if you start breaking them for, if you add things and applying other
disciplines to what I'm going to teaching you don't complain to me.
If you're not getting the results that I'm telling you, you going to
get, you're going to have a timeline that you work with a checklist, the
exact things you're supposed to do, what you're not supposed to be doing.
And you do this step by step by step.
And it tells you when to do what you should be doing and
what to be looking for next.
You're not caught off guard.
You're not surprised you're not worrying about anything and there's no need
to be impatient because you should.
The patience comes from people not knowing what they should
be doing right now or next.
Think about, is that not true?
Impatience.
If you break it down into truest form, you are impatient and you
feel impatient because you aren't comfortable with what may happen.
If you don't feel confident it or be able to anticipate what is the most likely
outcome and the next movement in price, or what is it most likely going to do next?
If you don't understand that next step, that's where impatience comes,
because what happens is you see the market move and explosive right now.
Everybody wants to buy silver right now.
Everybody wants to buy silver.
Why?
Why would everybody right now on baby pips, want to buy silver?
It's moved, it's already moved, but it's already moved to a level.
We, we wanted it to get to this level.
Now everybody else has gone to war by it.
It's moved to a level.
We call from 16, it's moved $10,000, $10,000 for every one.
Lot that you held on this it's $10,000.
Everybody else wants to buy it.
Now, nobody expected that to go up.
Nobody thought it was gonna pop up.
I'm sure.
We probably seeing all kinds of Fibonacci stuff in here.
All kinds of supposedly head and shoulders, you know, all kinds of
crap in here that they could have justified why it was going to go lower
before they would see it go higher.
There's no reason for you to feel impatience at all.
Now you should be excited about the things you're gonna be learning, but
impatience is not permitted here.
If you're in this group and you're hearing my voice, you shouldn't be
impatient because you're learning what it is that you should be doing,
what it is you should be focusing on.
And the folks that are, I just need to know right now, and this doesn't
feel like it's it's jelling with me.
I don't know what it is.
I need to draw something together.
That's the whole mentorship.
That's the whole time.
Until we get the last day of September, that's it you'll have all those answers
done, but it's a process of going through all these things, everything,
every time you think you guys get it.
Oh, I got it.
Now I got clarity.
And all of a sudden, I give you one more piece of the puzzle and then
it's like, well, wait a minute.
I thought I had it.
And it unravels.
You want to know why?
Because you're trying to get to the end of the book without reading it.
There's a lot of chapters still that hasn't been covered yet when
you know all the storyline and you knew all the characters and the
plot, then you'll know exactly what that next chapter is going to be.
Like, then you'll know you can, then you can do a synopsis and say, Hey look,
you know, I know now what the whole storyline is about the marketplace.
I know how I can go.
And when you talk about a specific point in a, in a book that.
You can you know about where in that storyline that you can go to
that same time and say, Hey, look, read this portion of this story.
You tell me if you don't get that same feeling about it
because you've experienced it.
You know what the next chapter is going to talk about, and you can anticipate their
response to that book and that segment of the book, because you've done it.
I have done it.
I've read this book.
It's been worn out.
I knew it like the back of my hand.
You're now just sitting down for the first time and the characters
are being introduced to you.
Sometimes the character buildup is long and drawn out.
Sometimes it's dry.
Some of them aren't that interesting, but they all have their part in the story.
And if you don't at least pay attention to them, you're
going to miss the whole thing.
And it's going to go where you're tired.
You can't get the answers by going backwards.
You can't get the last chapter.
Trust me.
That's why I said, when you get the PDFs in August, you're going to see it.
Doesn't help you, unless you go through the entire meant or ship.
It means absolutely nothing.
And I could literally put them on the internet and it won't mean anything
to anyone that hasn't gone through.
The mentorship.
It's simple as that.
So anyway, um, I'm very, very pleased.
Now I can tell my wife,
the, uh, silver, uh, did in fact get my level.
So I'm thankful for that.
Um, we still be looking for 1250 for gold and 1255, and
that's still could happen today.
I like to see it hit it today, but nonetheless, if it doesn't, we've
already seen our objective here, man.
Um, I appreciate your patience today.
I've been like a kid on Christmas morning.
I get excited about this stuff.
And being 20 years into it.
And I'm really a cause my son saw something that, you know,
I've been trying to be in his head for a couple of years now.
So I'm going to close this one here now and we should all were good afternoon.
We went a little bit long-winded but it is what it is.
I got to be a carefree you fancy today.
So, well, I appreciate that last bit of business.
Go over one more pass through
lb hit our 25 20 rebel to the PIP.
Still might see some expansion through that and you're a dollar
it's still nice.
And firm on that one.
If nothing else I can need nothing else I need to talk about.
And here one more quick look at Aussie.
Wow.
Look at that.
So, so close.
Hi comes just one PIP short.
Now here's w this is what's going to happen.
Okay.
We have 77 45.
That's the level we're reaching for.
Okay.
I would not be surprised if it doesn't go higher and just stops right here.
Now, anyone else, anybody else that would be looking over our shoulders
and not really interested in learning what we're teaching here.
They would see that as if it never gets to that 77 45.
It's a failure.
You were wrong.
And that's how I used to look at it when I was developing as a trader.
But tell me how many people would have expected this pair to react
overnight last night and then reach for this level and just be short
by one PIP outside of our group.
Probably not that many, but we have a lot of things in cemetery together because
gold has been from it's been held it.
Wouldn't go down all the dollars.
Very closely linked to gold.
And it wasn't trying to go down either when the dollar index was rallying.
So we're seeing relative strength in what, all of the dollar in gold and in silver.
So when the dollar bent its knee and started going lower,
it's not surprising to us.
What we anticipate is saying to the very evening.
I told you last night, watch all the dollar.
I sent it in a tweet.
I didn't go into the video and say, Hey, look, you know, watch Aussie dollar boom.
Here we are.
We're one PIP short of the 77 45 level.
And if it doesn't get to 77 45, I'll let you argue and wrestle with whether
or not that's a failure or not.
But look at the range that was offered today.
Look at the directional bias.
Look at the explosiveness that it reached for it.
All those things were, were arrived at, by using the volatility filter.
We're talking about.
And because it's happening in dollar, we have that release now on these pairs
that we're not permitted to go lower.
Now they can go higher explosively.
And that's what we're seeing in our charts today.
All right guys.
Um, that's the business.
So, uh, I'm going to close.
It wish you all very pleasant afternoon, uh, tomorrow morning, um,
there will not be a live session, but there will be a prerecorded
teaching and it's going to be blessed.
It's going to be basically a blending.
I'm going to have a teaching and then the weekly recap at the end of that.
Okay.
So I'm going to teach you something in the video at two 30 it'll
post, and then there'll be a small, weekly recap at the end.
Okay.
So it'll just be one video for tomorrow.
And until then, I wish you good luck.
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