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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:11,020 --> 00:00:11,170 Good. 2 00:00:11,170 --> 00:00:11,740 Any folks. 3 00:00:12,370 --> 00:00:12,520 Okay. 4 00:00:12,520 --> 00:00:18,250 We're going to be doing a quick review of this past week is the dollar index. 5 00:00:18,250 --> 00:00:19,210 This is the daily chart. 6 00:00:19,810 --> 00:00:22,690 And again, while we go through January content, we will primarily 7 00:00:22,690 --> 00:00:24,430 only be referring to daily charts. 8 00:00:25,990 --> 00:00:29,170 We had a fair value gap that we were identifying here between. 9 00:00:30,820 --> 00:00:36,400 And this candle here, price with deliberately upside traded down south 10 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,400 side delivery was offered, but there was a gap in between this candle 11 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:40,600 is high and this candle is low. 12 00:00:41,110 --> 00:00:45,730 So no buy-side delivery was offered until this candle here hit it perfectly. 13 00:00:45,730 --> 00:00:49,330 You can not get any better than that in terms of precision, the low 14 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:59,010 comes in at 1 0 2 95 and the high comes in on this candle at 1 0 2 95. 15 00:01:00,270 --> 00:01:03,510 And we are looking for the move down into these wicks. 16 00:01:03,510 --> 00:01:04,890 That will be a move below. 17 00:01:04,890 --> 00:01:06,660 These bodies for rejection block. 18 00:01:07,470 --> 00:01:15,440 South side delivery was offered to the PIP, this wick here to this WIC here. 19 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:21,170 So we had the weekly range identified before the fact that we had an 20 00:01:21,170 --> 00:01:25,160 expansion either way we would have been looking for the next level on 21 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:26,900 the open float of one, the 3 81. 22 00:01:27,855 --> 00:01:32,295 And then the cell side down here, but, uh, we mentioned that price may still 23 00:01:32,295 --> 00:01:33,975 in fact, stay in and consolidation. 24 00:01:34,005 --> 00:01:36,405 We're going into the inauguration next week. 25 00:01:36,405 --> 00:01:41,175 So we'll be looking for probably much of the same thing until we get to, uh, 26 00:01:41,685 --> 00:01:49,275 having a final resolution to Obama's presidency ending let's cross our fingers 27 00:01:50,325 --> 00:01:54,225 and Donald Trump, obviously coming in to make a showing of some kind. 28 00:01:55,785 --> 00:01:58,215 So we have the range that we can arrange, identify that we're here 29 00:01:58,815 --> 00:02:03,405 really nice opportunity to see price being delivered efficiently and 30 00:02:04,155 --> 00:02:06,435 precise, going over to the Euro dollar. 31 00:02:07,035 --> 00:02:09,285 Uh, we were expecting similar things that occur here. 32 00:02:09,315 --> 00:02:13,155 Um, the buy-side delivery was only offered to this point here, leaving 33 00:02:13,155 --> 00:02:18,255 this shaded area of this down, move on this candle exposed still it's 34 00:02:18,255 --> 00:02:19,415 only been offered on the sell side. 35 00:02:19,425 --> 00:02:22,785 In other words, price has only been going down in between this range. 36 00:02:24,285 --> 00:02:28,575 So the remaining portion of the upside still has room to close in 37 00:02:28,575 --> 00:02:30,585 at 25 pips, as it's indicated here. 38 00:02:31,485 --> 00:02:35,895 And the low, the, uh, the week was just five pips, short of closing in this fair 39 00:02:35,895 --> 00:02:40,335 value gap where the sell side delivery would have been expected to fill in. 40 00:02:40,335 --> 00:02:41,445 It was only five pips away. 41 00:02:42,195 --> 00:02:44,325 Um, so again, the weekly range here. 42 00:02:46,380 --> 00:02:48,870 And you're probably wondering, well, what's the significance of all this. 43 00:02:49,260 --> 00:02:50,550 This is going to help you. 44 00:02:50,550 --> 00:02:54,150 When we get into the one shot, one kill short-term trades, uh, 45 00:02:54,150 --> 00:02:56,970 where we can identify the weekly, high and low before the fact 46 00:02:57,270 --> 00:02:58,650 where they most likely will occur. 47 00:02:59,250 --> 00:03:03,180 So you saw an example of that this week, while there was no trading, uh, the 48 00:03:03,180 --> 00:03:08,190 analysis concepts that I'm teaching you help get you to the end, resolve a known. 49 00:03:09,269 --> 00:03:12,030 The weekly range should be, because if you don't know that and you can't 50 00:03:12,090 --> 00:03:16,019 effectively inefficiently trade, the one shot, one kill setups, cable, 51 00:03:16,380 --> 00:03:19,230 um, lack luster consolidating week. 52 00:03:19,500 --> 00:03:23,130 Uh, we did see it price trade down below these equal lows. 53 00:03:23,130 --> 00:03:25,019 I was expecting to go down below this low here. 54 00:03:25,019 --> 00:03:25,709 It didn't do that. 55 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:28,200 Um, and we traded right back in the middle of the range, the 56 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:29,670 middle range of the weekly hot. 57 00:03:30,465 --> 00:03:34,424 And the weekly low, all the buyers of the candles clustering around everything's 58 00:03:34,424 --> 00:03:37,695 back into a state of indecision. 59 00:03:38,204 --> 00:03:43,875 So personally I would have rather seen it trade lower because that way, if 60 00:03:43,875 --> 00:03:46,185 we were consolidating here, I would expect it to start making a run for the 61 00:03:46,185 --> 00:03:48,255 buy-side liquidity, Southside liquidity. 62 00:03:48,255 --> 00:03:50,174 Still rest below this, this low, over here. 63 00:03:51,015 --> 00:03:53,265 And more specifically Ballou this WIC. 64 00:03:53,535 --> 00:03:56,925 Um, I think if we do trade back down there one more time and we get back 65 00:03:56,925 --> 00:03:59,805 to the levels for treating a here, we will be making a run for the buy-side 66 00:03:59,805 --> 00:04:05,835 liquidity and potentially even making a run back up into this fractal high. 67 00:04:06,675 --> 00:04:12,945 So it's largely depends on what we see as a result again, after January 20th, 68 00:04:12,975 --> 00:04:17,850 my personal opinion, I think we're going to see something, um, Some tomfoolery 69 00:04:18,030 --> 00:04:19,920 or some shenanigans, if you will. 70 00:04:20,550 --> 00:04:24,090 Um, and it's going to cost some market activity this week and I hope I'm wrong, 71 00:04:24,420 --> 00:04:30,060 but, uh, I think they're going to pull some funny business this week and if it 72 00:04:30,060 --> 00:04:32,930 doesn't happen, then hopefully that'll be the big relief and the markets 73 00:04:32,930 --> 00:04:34,830 will start moving around dollar CAD. 74 00:04:35,910 --> 00:04:38,610 Um, it's all price trade down below the wicks and the bodies 75 00:04:38,610 --> 00:04:39,960 of the candles this week. 76 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:41,760 And we traded down below these equals. 77 00:04:42,780 --> 00:04:46,799 And here sell-side liquidity has been taken here and then price quickly rejected 78 00:04:46,799 --> 00:04:50,159 back in the range, um, on the upside. 79 00:04:50,190 --> 00:04:51,180 Should we see some movement? 80 00:04:51,180 --> 00:04:52,440 We have a fair value gap up here. 81 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:55,530 Price has been delivered on the sell side all through here. 82 00:04:56,250 --> 00:04:59,250 No buy-side delivery at all since breaking this low. 83 00:04:59,909 --> 00:05:02,729 So only down candles have passed through the shaded area. 84 00:05:02,770 --> 00:05:07,890 We would expect to see price move back up, and then at 1 33 65 range, 85 00:05:08,490 --> 00:05:11,280 and then potentially even go up and a little bit more into the. 86 00:05:12,195 --> 00:05:17,835 If we see some bullshit, that would be a breaker, mean threshold of the breaker. 87 00:05:17,835 --> 00:05:19,905 So we could see a 1 3300. 88 00:05:20,835 --> 00:05:23,955 Uh, 1 30, 3 80 in that range as an upside, should we see dollar 89 00:05:23,955 --> 00:05:25,725 CAD, uh, start to move higher? 90 00:05:26,205 --> 00:05:29,655 Um, there is a mitigation block that we would expect to see some measure 91 00:05:29,655 --> 00:05:31,965 of resistance at, should it happen? 92 00:05:32,535 --> 00:05:36,195 Um, we would be watching this up candle as short-term support in 93 00:05:36,195 --> 00:05:39,225 that scenario, but right now it's just the forecasting and something. 94 00:05:39,225 --> 00:05:41,115 That's having your notes right now. 95 00:05:41,145 --> 00:05:42,825 Again, everything is still up in the air. 96 00:05:42,825 --> 00:05:46,215 It could literally go either direction based on the dollar index 97 00:05:46,245 --> 00:05:49,595 and where all the other currencies thus far, your, a dollar in Caleb. 98 00:05:50,845 --> 00:05:54,745 For the Aussie dollar, we saw the market trade higher up closing this gap. 99 00:05:55,405 --> 00:05:59,965 We traded all the way above the buyers of these candles and it still looks like we 100 00:05:59,965 --> 00:06:03,175 got 75, 25 by sat liquidity in the cards. 101 00:06:03,205 --> 00:06:08,035 So we may see that happen to be blown out on Sundays opening or Monday's trading. 102 00:06:09,085 --> 00:06:13,225 You can see all the, uh, the details here, uh, down candle, which is 103 00:06:13,225 --> 00:06:16,585 supportive of old down candle on the south side of the curve. 104 00:06:17,155 --> 00:06:18,465 Then we had price come down and hit that. 105 00:06:19,395 --> 00:06:23,505 Down Canada, which is a bullet sort of block this candle here, validated 106 00:06:23,505 --> 00:06:27,885 this down Canada as a bull, shorter block price traded down into it here. 107 00:06:28,095 --> 00:06:28,875 And then one more time. 108 00:06:28,875 --> 00:06:33,375 And here with the wick and price explodes on the outside, this equilibrium reference 109 00:06:33,375 --> 00:06:36,825 point is referenced on this down candle. 110 00:06:36,825 --> 00:06:38,595 I'm using the body open. 111 00:06:38,625 --> 00:06:41,445 The close 50% of that range is the mean threshold. 112 00:06:41,445 --> 00:06:42,195 That's what it's hitting here. 113 00:06:43,155 --> 00:06:44,775 During an area of consolidation. 114 00:06:44,775 --> 00:06:47,745 You want to look for that in your, in your studies, it'd be price action 115 00:06:48,255 --> 00:06:53,145 and expansion away from that obvious logical area is the buy-side above here 116 00:06:53,145 --> 00:06:54,435 in going back a little bit further. 117 00:06:55,034 --> 00:06:57,164 Uh, we have a short term highest, still think is suspect. 118 00:06:57,164 --> 00:06:58,815 So it may want to take that out as well. 119 00:06:59,715 --> 00:07:02,745 And that's what I see for Aussie, uh, that does have a little 120 00:07:02,745 --> 00:07:03,705 bit with directional play. 121 00:07:03,765 --> 00:07:06,585 The only one that thus far in a Europe panel. 122 00:07:07,950 --> 00:07:09,660 Uh, we were at a premium market. 123 00:07:09,780 --> 00:07:12,690 Uh, last week we traded to it a little bit of a fair value gap. 124 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:14,430 Price has only been delivered on the downside here. 125 00:07:14,580 --> 00:07:17,220 So I think we're going to probably see some green candles or moving 126 00:07:17,220 --> 00:07:18,900 up into that level around 0.8. 127 00:07:20,219 --> 00:07:21,870 80 or thereabouts. 128 00:07:22,110 --> 00:07:25,680 And if we continue to roll through, and if I'm accurate in my assumptions 129 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:28,980 here that the market maker by profiles in play, we have consolidation 130 00:07:29,310 --> 00:07:33,510 breakdown, smart round reversal, or risk by accumulation re accumulation. 131 00:07:33,510 --> 00:07:37,469 And then we should see price trade above that 90, 40 level or distribution 132 00:07:37,469 --> 00:07:40,500 cycle above device, liquidity, arresting both these equal highs. 133 00:07:40,500 --> 00:07:43,290 And you see these wicks here, but we forget about those. 134 00:07:43,290 --> 00:07:45,180 And we're focusing primarily on the, on the buys. 135 00:07:45,180 --> 00:07:45,780 The two handles. 136 00:07:47,570 --> 00:07:49,849 So it's a little bit of sit on your hands and wait still. 137 00:07:49,849 --> 00:07:51,500 And we got one more week to get through folks. 138 00:07:51,530 --> 00:07:55,340 And once that's done, we'll be back to a little bit more liquid trading 139 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,669 and hopefully we'll have a lot more prognostication as a result of that. 140 00:07:59,060 --> 00:08:01,489 And until next week, I wish you good luck and good trading. 12558

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