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Okay.
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Yesterday, we went through a
brief overview of what's going
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to be covered on the 2017 content
for each medium of trading.
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And I want you to go into this
weekend before you go into
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the videos on Friday night.
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I know some of you are
going to be like Christmas.
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You're going to go in
there and dig it into it.
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Do this exercise first, because if
you don't listen to me and you jump
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ahead and he didn't, he didn't pay
attention to this teaching today.
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It's a homework.
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It's very important that you do
this because if you don't do this,
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you will not get the intended
delivery of the aha moment.
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That's good waiting for you.
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And the two teachings this weekend.
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If we understand that there are major
players in the marketplace, if they're
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going to be players in this currency
markets that are going to be players
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in the stock market, the commodity
market futures, indices, all that.
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There's going to be telltale signs
that they are at play they're in
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there engaging the marketplace.
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And I want you to start looking for
those telltale signs on a macro level,
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because once you understand this on a
macro level, it is easy to transpose
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that idea down into the lower timeframes.
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The problem you're seeing with
your trading and your inconsistency
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is you're trying to look for the
fingerprints on the lower timeframes.
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And it's going to be very hard to
see that unless it's time specific.
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The element of smart money, they leave
their fingerprints on the higher timeframe
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charts, because they're like elephants.
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They leave big prodding footsteps,
wherever they go, and you can't escape
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it on these higher timeframe charts.
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So in your notepad today, I want
you to write the top of your page,
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that smart money leaves their
fingerprint on higher timeframe charts.
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And it's up to you to focus on that
because they're in there telling
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you to the direction of what
they're doing with their money.
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So smart money is buying aggressively
for showing signs of buying.
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They don't buy for short-term
little movements in the marketplace.
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They buy with the expectation
of intermediate term prices.
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Now intermediate term price
moves are longer than one day.
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They're longer than a week.
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There are months, several weeks
to several months in duration.
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So if we're looking at higher timeframe
charts, it's at our advantage to
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think like the smart money players
do, they are not moving size and
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positions that are enormous in the
marketplace for short-term fluctuations.
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They can't efficiently move in
and in the markets that way.
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So when we are looking at lower timeframe,
intraday charts, it takes a great deal
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of understanding of what's going on on
these hard timeframes, which will give
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you the confidence for the daily bias that
some of you are still concerned about.
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It'll give you the direction you should be
primarily looking for, even though there's
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trades on intraday charts, on both sides
of the marketplace, the folks that beat up
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the idea that you should not have a bias.
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Okay.
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It's they, they, they hang their hat
on the fact that they've been lucky in
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the past, being able to short ambush.
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And while I've readily admitted
that sometimes it has to happen.
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Even in my own trading, I've
been profitable doing that.
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My maturity as a trader has led me
to believing that the ideal solution
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to all of the things that all traders
should eventually come into contact
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with, with adversities and pitfalls
is simply understand what these hard
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timeframe charts are telling us and
what direction we should be trading in.
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So I'm going to give you an
example of what you should
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be going through your charts.
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I'm going to give you ideas.
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Okay.
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I want you to, to kind of dig
into the material yourself.
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We only got until tomorrow evening,
and you're gonna have both,
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both of the teaching sessions.
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I want you to be thinking about it.
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I want you to go into your charts
and spend some time today and
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tomorrow and not look for trades.
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Don't look for trades.
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Cause right now, if you're looking
for trades, if you're chomping
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at the bit, when are we going
to look at the charts again?
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When we're going to go with the markets
right now, if you do that, you know,
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it's not going to be a good idea.
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This time of day, this time of year
still has a great deal of uncertainty.
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Right now this, every January
they call it a January effect.
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If you'd look at what typically takes
place at the beginning of every year,
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there's usually a big sentiment idea built
in either this an extreme bullishness
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or it's an extreme embarrassment.
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It can move into January and the
February, um, that timeframe can lag
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a little bit, but generally around
the first of the year, it usually
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sets the tone for an opposite effect.
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Okay.
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Um, and this is not an idea,
but it was unique to me.
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I learned this actually from listening
to one of, um, Larry Williams.
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He did a real short kind of like
a, he was a keynote speaker.
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He w he wasn't even the, the, the
major draw, but he did a short little
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discussion on the fact that, uh, in the
beginning of the year, January tends to
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create a extreme, like a sentiment idea.
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That would be a contrarian play prince.
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I'll give you an example.
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Um, if you're looking at the stock
market right now, equities are well,
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they're going to be hitting 20,000 there.
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It's making new highs.
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It's, it's doing everything.
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You know, that every, every bowl
dreams up, but it's doing it
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at the beginning of the year.
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And it's dealing at a time when we're
getting a new president in office.
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And a whole lot of backroom deals
are going on as one supposedly
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leaves the office and one's coming.
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So all these ideas tend to
create an extreme incentive.
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So usually that's signs of capitulation.
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That means that's probably near it.
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You blow off type move.
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I personally believe the next
drive up in equities is probably
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going to tap this thing.
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And we're probably going to
see it start coming down.
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Now, I don't mean that it's going
to be, uh, end of stock trading,
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but I do suspect we're going to
have a very dramatic decline.
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Let's say it like that.
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Uh, you can label that crash.
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You can label that, uh, Armageddon,
whatever you want to call it.
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I just personally that, you know, we're
going to probably see that, uh, this month
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and it's probably going to bleed into,
you know, a number of months for 2017.
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So if we see that there is evidence
in the past and you can go back
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forever, as long as you can get market
data, uh, there is a element to the
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beginning of the year, generally
setting up a really good time to trade
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where you have the sentiment extreme.
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In the form of if it's overly
bullish going into the beginning of
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the year, generally we have a very
sizable retracement or correction
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in sometimes in altogether reversal.
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And then in Melbourne, where there's
markets that have been making moves lower
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in women primary, downtrends usually at
the beginning of the year, there's usually
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a really significant bounce or altogether
or reversal look and see higher prices.
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Now it's not limited to the stock market.
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It's it's the element of this
teaching today is I want you to think
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about the fact that not just the
stock market alone, but all asset
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classes have a, uh, connection.
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Equities are in fact,
connected to currencies.
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Commodities are connected to currencies.
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Um, the bond market's
connected to everything.
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All the interest rate
markets are connected.
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Uh, the, the effects of one
country's interest rate market
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has another effect on other times.
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A lot of people don't realize that, but
the U S bond market has a great deal
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to do with the European bond market.
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Okay.
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There there's telltale signs that if
they're smart money entities out there,
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they don't just think, well, I'm only
going to Patriot my own currency.
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I'm only going to invest in
my own, uh, equity market.
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I'm only going to invest in
my own interest rate market.
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I'm only going to invest in this.
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I'm only going to be one, one
sided about the way I do things.
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Smart money is just like
anyone else they're greedy.
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They want to make money.
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So they're going to put their
money in allocations that have
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the best odds of having a return.
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That's why you have international
investors, people that are
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outside of our country.
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They invest in stocks
that are strong us equity.
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So they think about it.
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China.
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They invested in our, our debt,
not so much now, but they were once
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the largest holder of our debt.
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So.
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If you look at the grand scheme of things,
you have to start there and it will
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be able to be reduced down to a lower
timeframe on any and all asset classes.
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That'll give you the context of what
you should be doing in your own trading.
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If you want high arch trading, if
you want high probability trading,
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it has to come in the form of
what the smart money is doing.
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You cannot arrive at that.
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Looking at 15 minute timeframes, you
can't even arrive at an hourly chart.
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The only thing you're seeing is the
confirmations or indications that
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the higher timeframe levels and
direction that they have already
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started positioning themselves in.
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That's the only time we take action,
we've already seen evidence that
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they have positioned themselves on
a higher timeframe basis on one side
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of the marketplace then, and only
then do the lower timeframes matter.
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That's it?
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That's, that's a big point right there.
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If you haven't made, made that
notation in your notepad again, listen.
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The lower timeframes are only significant.
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And these levels are only significant
when they are in alignment with a higher
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timeframe, monthly, weekly, and daily.
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If you do not see any characteristics
in the higher timeframe charts,
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that section that would suggest to
you that smart money's that play
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on one side of the marketplace.
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And those are the, are they buying?
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Are they accumulating positions?
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If they are then only then
do bullets or box do ideas of
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looking for sell stock runs, okay.
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Or pulling back into a fair value range
that closing a gap or retracement for a
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bullish, optimal trade entry, all these
types of things then, and only then do
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they matter if you don't think about the
higher timeframe charts like this, you
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are going to miss every single explosive.
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It's going to evade you every single
time, because you're going to be looking
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at these lower timeframes thinking.
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That's where the money's at.
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And it's not.
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I'm tying to tell you that this
month, this is the money shot.
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You're looking for, where these things
occur, how to get ready for them.
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Prepare for them.
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It's in this whole entire month
here because without this month,
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nothing has any context whatsoever.
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When I talk about day trading,
you'll, you'll blow it.
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You'll lose money.
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As soon as you start trading life
funds, you're going to lose money.
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If you don't use the information
that's in this month, I'm
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guaranteeing and I'm promising you.
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You will lose your money.
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If you do not apply, what's
being taught to you in January.
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So don't think that, okay.
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I learned what I've learned in January.
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We covered everything in January.
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So I'm going to forget about that.
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Just give me the next video,
Michael, give me the next teaching.
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Cause I'm going to trade with that stuff.
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It all hinges on what
you're learning here.
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All right.
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So we have a major market from
a institutional advantage.
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That's what we're focusing on today.
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Now in the first slide we talked about
yesterday and was just on the screen.
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Now I mentioned chart layouts and tools.
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So what are they, what are we
going to be doing to fared out
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and institutional vantage point?
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00:11:54,975 --> 00:11:58,095
When I say institutional vantage
point, I'm teaching you this
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month, how all large institutional
players view the marketplace.
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They don't look at Fibonacci.
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You don't look across over.
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So moving averages down, do
any of those types of things.
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Okay.
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They look at the data points that
I'm going to give you in January.
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It's not a ton of thing.
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It's absolutely very binary.
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It's simple stuff.
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It's very, very simple, but it's
going to require you to think, and
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00:12:23,564 --> 00:12:24,795
it's going to require you to study.
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00:12:25,214 --> 00:12:29,025
It's not going to be simply open
up a chart, look for down candle.
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I'm going to buy if it touches that no,
it's not going to be that easy folks.
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It's just not that easy.
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You need to be looking at things to
judge whether or not, if there are
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characteristic and telltale signs
that the smart money entities are
232
00:12:41,415 --> 00:12:45,045
in fact, engaging the marketplace
on the buy side or the sell side.
233
00:12:45,824 --> 00:12:47,685
Because when you see these
elements, that's going to
234
00:12:47,685 --> 00:12:49,395
be taught to you in January.
235
00:12:49,395 --> 00:12:54,555
There's going to be a very strong
odds that you'll be able to
236
00:12:54,555 --> 00:12:56,175
determine what side of the open.
237
00:12:57,360 --> 00:12:58,410
The market's going to reach for it.
238
00:12:58,410 --> 00:12:59,400
And now what is open float?
239
00:12:59,430 --> 00:13:00,600
Here's a notepad moment.
240
00:13:00,630 --> 00:13:00,990
Okay.
241
00:13:01,470 --> 00:13:07,439
Open float is the existing open interest
above or below current market action.
242
00:13:07,650 --> 00:13:12,390
So if we are trading at a level and we
see signs that they are accumulating
243
00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:16,080
or looking to be a buyer, they're
buying up a specific asset class,
244
00:13:17,220 --> 00:13:22,260
we know that the open float is
going to make a run on the buy-side.
245
00:13:23,180 --> 00:13:27,630
In other words, above the highest,
most recently that's been made so that
246
00:13:27,630 --> 00:13:30,720
buy-side liquidity above the marketplace.
247
00:13:31,110 --> 00:13:31,380
Okay.
248
00:13:31,380 --> 00:13:35,189
For those that are short, they're going
to make a run on that side of that market.
249
00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:40,230
And if we've been trading at a particular
level currently, and we see signs
250
00:13:40,230 --> 00:13:43,620
that they are distributing, okay,
there's evidence that they're heavily
251
00:13:43,620 --> 00:13:45,660
distributing a specific asset class.
252
00:13:46,350 --> 00:13:49,830
When we see that we will have now a
strong indication that they're gonna
253
00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:51,030
be looking for the sell side liquidity.
254
00:13:51,130 --> 00:13:53,790
So the open float they're going to
target the sell side of the market.
255
00:13:55,180 --> 00:14:00,040
Now, if you can do the work on these
timeframes and sit on your hands and
256
00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:03,490
stop in such a rush to get into these
intraday charts and start trading.
257
00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:04,270
Okay.
258
00:14:04,660 --> 00:14:07,900
I'm telling you a lot of the things that
you're worrying about and the things
259
00:14:07,900 --> 00:14:14,590
that you're impatient about, they will
be answered with this content, but it
260
00:14:14,590 --> 00:14:19,720
takes number one, trust that what I'm
teaching you is the stuff that matters.
261
00:14:20,199 --> 00:14:23,590
Once you start seeing it and you
go on through the charts, you'll
262
00:14:23,590 --> 00:14:27,640
know there's a lot of time that you
should not be doing anything at all.
263
00:14:28,329 --> 00:14:30,610
If you're going to be only trading
in high probability setups.
264
00:14:31,390 --> 00:14:35,650
Now, is there less probability setups
that still could be taken with less risk
265
00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:37,660
just to be engaging in the marketplace?
266
00:14:37,810 --> 00:14:38,980
Yes, there are.
267
00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:43,210
But my question has always been, why
are you worrying about those setups
268
00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:47,410
when it's just so much easier to wait
for the things that get in the line
269
00:14:47,620 --> 00:14:50,380
that allow you to high-probability
setups with the lowest amount of.
270
00:14:52,135 --> 00:14:53,454
That's what you should be aiming for.
271
00:14:53,814 --> 00:14:57,954
Think about a smart money's not in there
every single day, piling money in there
272
00:14:57,954 --> 00:15:00,875
doing more scaling in and scaling out.
273
00:15:00,895 --> 00:15:02,755
And they do anything of new positions.
274
00:15:03,385 --> 00:15:07,464
There isn't that many new positions
occurring when a hard time chart,
275
00:15:08,155 --> 00:15:11,694
because the elephant has to work
in net higher timeframe realm.
276
00:15:12,535 --> 00:15:16,795
They cannot facilitate their
trades in short-term fluctuations.
277
00:15:17,964 --> 00:15:20,635
So if we know that we're going
to have institutional sponsorship
278
00:15:20,635 --> 00:15:23,275
behind the moves, that means they're
not going to move a little bit.
279
00:15:23,275 --> 00:15:24,805
They're going to move a great deal.
280
00:15:24,954 --> 00:15:26,425
You're going to have a lot more magnitude.
281
00:15:26,604 --> 00:15:27,714
They're going to move more in pips.
282
00:15:27,714 --> 00:15:30,895
They're gonna have more time to allow
you to get in sync with that move.
283
00:15:31,974 --> 00:15:35,125
That's the importance of having this
hard timeframe perspective, and it
284
00:15:35,125 --> 00:15:36,925
starts by having a view at the monthly.
285
00:15:38,734 --> 00:15:41,895
I don't care what asset class you're going
to be talking about in your own trading.
286
00:15:42,155 --> 00:15:44,944
You may be here with the expectation
that, yeah, you're going to learn how to
287
00:15:44,944 --> 00:15:48,935
trade Forex, but you're going to probably
learn at the end of this teaching entire
288
00:15:48,935 --> 00:15:52,474
mentorship, you're going to, you know
what, I'm probably going to be a commodity
289
00:15:52,474 --> 00:15:57,005
trader or I'm going to be a bond trader
or I'm going to trade the indices.
290
00:15:57,005 --> 00:15:58,984
I understand that now it
makes perfect sense to me.
291
00:15:59,015 --> 00:15:59,645
What's going on?
292
00:16:00,665 --> 00:16:05,435
Don't let me anytime during this
mentorship, teach you to think about
293
00:16:05,435 --> 00:16:07,385
any one being better than the other.
294
00:16:08,375 --> 00:16:09,454
It's the same stuff.
295
00:16:10,714 --> 00:16:14,405
The same thing that smart money does
when they accumulate or distribute.
296
00:16:14,765 --> 00:16:15,665
That's the same thing.
297
00:16:15,665 --> 00:16:19,685
In all asset classes, there's only,
there's small, subtle nuances that
298
00:16:19,685 --> 00:16:22,474
go into specific asset classes.
299
00:16:22,474 --> 00:16:25,025
Like for instance, currencies,
they have certain things
300
00:16:25,025 --> 00:16:26,045
that you have to be aware of.
301
00:16:26,255 --> 00:16:27,305
And bonds have certain things.
302
00:16:27,305 --> 00:16:28,805
You have to be aware of stocks.
303
00:16:28,805 --> 00:16:33,275
They have opens and closes the sessions
end and you have to restart and they
304
00:16:33,275 --> 00:16:35,015
can create gaps in the stock price.
305
00:16:36,935 --> 00:16:40,265
All these little subtle nuances
are covered, but everything
306
00:16:40,295 --> 00:16:41,435
generally is the same.
307
00:16:41,735 --> 00:16:46,625
So if we start with a macro view with
a monthly chart, you're going to be
308
00:16:46,625 --> 00:16:50,945
able to pull out a lot of information
that you don't think of right now.
309
00:16:51,814 --> 00:16:53,255
And I'll ask you a question rhetorically.
310
00:16:53,255 --> 00:16:57,785
I'm not asking you to respond in
the live session, but rhetorically.
311
00:16:57,785 --> 00:16:58,595
I'm asking you this.
312
00:16:58,595 --> 00:17:02,255
How many times in the last 10
trades, whether it be demo or
313
00:17:02,255 --> 00:17:06,545
live, have you consulted with
the monthly chart is telling you
314
00:17:09,575 --> 00:17:11,494
how many times have you
consulted the weekly chart?
315
00:17:13,675 --> 00:17:15,655
Chances are probably very little of you.
316
00:17:17,425 --> 00:17:22,405
Those two timeframes, right there
is exactly where all of the large
317
00:17:22,405 --> 00:17:26,815
funds are indicating what side of
the marketplace they're working and
318
00:17:26,815 --> 00:17:28,105
you'll know where they're stopping.
319
00:17:29,345 --> 00:17:31,805
And if you know where their stops
are, you know, where the central
320
00:17:31,805 --> 00:17:35,105
bank is going to make their runs
against that because that's the
321
00:17:35,105 --> 00:17:36,845
only liquidity they can work with.
322
00:17:38,225 --> 00:17:38,765
Think about it.
323
00:17:39,725 --> 00:17:42,245
They can't work with us in a retail realm.
324
00:17:42,635 --> 00:17:47,465
We're not even in the same playing field,
but everyone teaches it's them against
325
00:17:47,465 --> 00:17:49,655
us when it's really not them against us.
326
00:17:50,195 --> 00:17:53,285
It's the banks against the large players.
327
00:17:53,585 --> 00:17:54,755
That's the real game.
328
00:17:54,935 --> 00:17:56,345
We're spectators in that.
329
00:17:56,885 --> 00:17:59,975
And we can be a part of it
from a side bet standpoint.
330
00:18:01,445 --> 00:18:04,745
So if we're looking at these hard
playing Frank charts, we're looking
331
00:18:04,745 --> 00:18:10,175
for clues and evidences that there are
major movements by these smart money
332
00:18:10,175 --> 00:18:17,585
players then, and only then do we refine
these ideas into a daily timeframe?
333
00:18:17,825 --> 00:18:22,565
So the daily chart is going to give
us the executable levels that we
334
00:18:22,565 --> 00:18:24,005
should be looking for our entries on.
335
00:18:24,455 --> 00:18:27,545
That means if you're a day trader
those levels are on your daily.
336
00:18:28,425 --> 00:18:33,885
If you're a scalper there on your
daily chart, if you are a swing trader,
337
00:18:34,274 --> 00:18:38,264
those position levels for execution
and entry are on your daily chart.
338
00:18:40,455 --> 00:18:44,834
You're looking for that all to occur
on a five minute chart, one minute
339
00:18:44,834 --> 00:18:47,445
chart, 30 minute chart, an hourly chart.
340
00:18:48,314 --> 00:18:53,625
They can be used to refine and reduce
risk, but the general setup isn't
341
00:18:53,625 --> 00:18:55,875
that it's sound on the daily chart.
342
00:18:56,804 --> 00:19:01,754
Everything you're looking for is on that
daily timeframe because the banks are
343
00:19:01,754 --> 00:19:06,855
referring to that daily highs and lows
inter week highs and lows last week's
344
00:19:06,855 --> 00:19:09,314
high and low, monthly, high, and low.
345
00:19:10,245 --> 00:19:14,084
The last three months, high and low
what's the six month high and low,
346
00:19:15,074 --> 00:19:16,844
the last 12 months, high and low.
347
00:19:17,594 --> 00:19:19,695
Then you go into
multi-year highs and lows.
348
00:19:21,465 --> 00:19:25,245
All those levels are going to be
what the institutions worry about.
349
00:19:26,070 --> 00:19:31,230
Getting new positions on or off the
funds because they are predominantly
350
00:19:31,230 --> 00:19:32,760
trend following in nature.
351
00:19:33,210 --> 00:19:36,600
They're going to be looking for
ways to get in sync with a longterm
352
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:38,550
up move or longterm down move.
353
00:19:38,850 --> 00:19:42,210
They do not have an interest in
trading and consolidate range markets.
354
00:19:42,510 --> 00:19:43,800
So now what does that indicate?
355
00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:47,370
Think about this now, this
is a new pat moment folks.
356
00:19:47,370 --> 00:19:50,460
If you're for often a distance
that we're doing laundry right
357
00:19:50,460 --> 00:19:52,620
now, and you need to be paying
attention because this is important.
358
00:19:53,220 --> 00:19:57,630
If we know that there are elements
to smart money getting involved,
359
00:19:59,070 --> 00:20:04,860
what telltale signs will we see
that gets us into an idea that
360
00:20:04,860 --> 00:20:05,910
they're bullish or bearish?
361
00:20:08,220 --> 00:20:13,560
Well, you learn it by going over
your charts for a least a year, you
362
00:20:13,570 --> 00:20:18,270
got to have at least a full year's
worth of data on your daily chart.
363
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:25,365
If you look at your daily chart
over a full 12 month, I want you
364
00:20:25,365 --> 00:20:31,815
to die, dissect that full year of
delivery of data on a daily chart
365
00:20:32,295 --> 00:20:34,215
in three to four month increments.
366
00:20:34,274 --> 00:20:36,465
Now here's, it's up to you to do this.
367
00:20:37,004 --> 00:20:38,055
And I cycled back and forth.
368
00:20:38,055 --> 00:20:43,784
When I do this type of analysis, as you'll
see in the teachings this weekend, the 12
369
00:20:43,784 --> 00:20:48,764
months intervals, obviously you can have
four, three months or three, four months.
370
00:20:50,145 --> 00:20:53,805
It doesn't work exactly like every three
months, it goes up and makes it high.
371
00:20:53,805 --> 00:20:56,504
And every three months it
goes down, it makes it low.
372
00:20:56,504 --> 00:20:59,024
It doesn't work like that, but
it doesn't not do that at all.
373
00:21:00,045 --> 00:21:04,545
But if you divide what has happened
over the last three months or
374
00:21:04,545 --> 00:21:07,935
the last four months, so it's a
range of three to four months.
375
00:21:08,985 --> 00:21:10,965
You do that over the whole calendar year.
376
00:21:11,685 --> 00:21:14,355
If you do this number
one, you're going to.
377
00:21:15,419 --> 00:21:16,889
Divide the marketplace.
378
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:17,639
Okay.
379
00:21:17,639 --> 00:21:19,379
In study points and reference points.
380
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:21,659
And I want you to do this as homework.
381
00:21:21,659 --> 00:21:23,639
I'm gonna actually give you
homework in the next slide.
382
00:21:23,669 --> 00:21:25,590
It tells you what I'm wanting you to do.
383
00:21:25,810 --> 00:21:26,060
That way.
384
00:21:26,060 --> 00:21:28,830
We can compare notes when I'm
delivering the content in the
385
00:21:28,830 --> 00:21:30,209
two, uh, teaching sessions.
386
00:21:30,419 --> 00:21:33,520
You see if you saw these types of
things that I'm talking about in the
387
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:38,850
teachings, but you want to look at
price and what are you looking at?
388
00:21:39,149 --> 00:21:39,449
Okay.
389
00:21:39,449 --> 00:21:40,800
Well, think about it like this.
390
00:21:40,980 --> 00:21:42,360
Um, look at the dollar index.
391
00:21:42,360 --> 00:21:42,750
This one.
392
00:21:43,709 --> 00:21:43,980
Okay.
393
00:21:44,010 --> 00:21:45,689
Or it could be the stock market.
394
00:21:46,620 --> 00:21:46,770
Okay.
395
00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:50,129
You can, uh, it could be
anything in particular.
396
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,070
It doesn't have to be a, um, an entity.
397
00:21:53,129 --> 00:21:54,540
It could be a specific currency.
398
00:21:54,780 --> 00:21:56,219
It could be a specific stock.
399
00:21:57,090 --> 00:22:01,169
It doesn't have to be in, just think
about this as a broad brush idea, because
400
00:22:01,169 --> 00:22:03,149
it's a macro institutional vantage point.
401
00:22:03,870 --> 00:22:05,459
It's the same thing.
402
00:22:06,179 --> 00:22:09,719
No matter what you're trading,
if it's tradable and you can make
403
00:22:09,719 --> 00:22:11,639
money on it and you can speculate.
404
00:22:12,585 --> 00:22:14,205
It's the same process.
405
00:22:14,415 --> 00:22:18,645
Market makers do not do different things
because it's different asset class.
406
00:22:19,095 --> 00:22:20,175
It's the same model.
407
00:22:20,925 --> 00:22:22,035
Absolutely the same model.
408
00:22:22,665 --> 00:22:24,705
So it comes by way of the central bank.
409
00:22:24,735 --> 00:22:26,715
The central bank makes the
rules for all this stuff.
410
00:22:27,435 --> 00:22:28,605
That's why they want
to put their hands in.
411
00:22:28,605 --> 00:22:30,915
Everybody goes this country
because they pulled strings.
412
00:22:31,635 --> 00:22:33,345
So they call the shots on how it's done.
413
00:22:33,735 --> 00:22:38,955
And if you look at every three to four
months intervals over the calendar year
414
00:22:38,955 --> 00:22:43,065
of 12 months on a daily chart, divide
your chart up with vertical lines.
415
00:22:43,275 --> 00:22:43,695
Okay.
416
00:22:44,055 --> 00:22:47,985
You're going to have every three months,
there's going to be a vertical line and
417
00:22:47,985 --> 00:22:50,235
then print out another copy of that chart.
418
00:22:50,504 --> 00:22:51,315
Literally printed out.
419
00:22:51,315 --> 00:22:54,825
Don't have it on your screen,
print it out and do one where
420
00:22:54,825 --> 00:22:55,965
you have every four months.
421
00:22:56,205 --> 00:22:56,415
Okay.
422
00:22:56,415 --> 00:23:00,915
So you have three divisions for every
four months and then you'll have four
423
00:23:00,915 --> 00:23:02,504
divisions for three months into roles.
424
00:23:02,685 --> 00:23:02,955
Okay.
425
00:23:02,955 --> 00:23:06,345
And what you're going to be looking
for is signs and evidences that
426
00:23:06,345 --> 00:23:07,395
there's smart money at work.
427
00:23:07,725 --> 00:23:10,245
Now, when you see an accumulation.
428
00:23:12,179 --> 00:23:14,370
The market stops, making lower lows.
429
00:23:14,939 --> 00:23:15,240
Okay.
430
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:16,470
And then starts moving higher.
431
00:23:16,530 --> 00:23:16,919
Yes.
432
00:23:16,919 --> 00:23:18,210
It's a hindsight exercise.
433
00:23:18,780 --> 00:23:21,179
You cannot learn this going forward.
434
00:23:21,179 --> 00:23:23,790
You have to see what it looks
like to see the fingerprint.
435
00:23:24,659 --> 00:23:27,570
It's the same as anything else
that's ever been taught to you.
436
00:23:27,750 --> 00:23:32,580
You have to see what the outcome
or the output should look like.
437
00:23:33,060 --> 00:23:35,700
Otherwise you don't know if you're getting
the result you're supposed to be getting.
438
00:23:36,450 --> 00:23:40,740
So by studying the marketplace over
the last 12 months in any asset
439
00:23:40,740 --> 00:23:42,629
class, it doesn't matter what it is.
440
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:46,230
You're looking for signs that
when the market has in fact made
441
00:23:46,230 --> 00:23:49,530
a turn in this case, we're using
the example of accumulation.
442
00:23:50,429 --> 00:23:54,570
If the market stops making lower lows
and then starts moving higher at that
443
00:23:54,570 --> 00:23:59,460
low, there's going to be, there's going
to be fingerprints and like evidences
444
00:23:59,460 --> 00:24:01,770
that, that, that low was forming.
445
00:24:02,610 --> 00:24:04,080
You may not have been trading it.
446
00:24:04,110 --> 00:24:06,419
You may not even have
been, uh, been aware of it.
447
00:24:06,629 --> 00:24:09,480
You may have actually had a trade
that you didn't see that occur
448
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:10,439
and maybe ended up having to lose.
449
00:24:12,180 --> 00:24:13,710
That's not the, that's
not the point of this.
450
00:24:13,710 --> 00:24:17,610
The point is I need you to go into
these higher timeframe charts to look
451
00:24:17,610 --> 00:24:19,950
for these signs, the signs, okay.
452
00:24:19,950 --> 00:24:23,910
That show you that they are
in the move and transitioning
453
00:24:23,910 --> 00:24:25,740
into another price swing.
454
00:24:25,860 --> 00:24:31,230
That's going to last several months
when you're looking at the lows in
455
00:24:31,230 --> 00:24:34,440
an asset class, for instance, and
we're going to talk about stocks for
456
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:38,160
a moment because it's the easiest
one to teach this concept with.
457
00:24:38,970 --> 00:24:42,660
If you think about how I teach stock
trading, I only teach the highest
458
00:24:42,660 --> 00:24:47,190
probability time of trading is the
fall between September and November.
459
00:24:48,060 --> 00:24:51,270
In that timeframe, the market's
going to make a low, I don't
460
00:24:51,270 --> 00:24:52,530
care what year you trade.
461
00:24:52,530 --> 00:24:53,580
It's going to do it now.
462
00:24:53,610 --> 00:24:57,660
I didn't personally trade this
past fall because I, I, my personal
463
00:24:57,660 --> 00:25:00,000
belief was there's going to be
a great deal of uncertainty.
464
00:25:00,360 --> 00:25:03,750
And while I missed a good deal
of moves, I'm okay with it.
465
00:25:03,780 --> 00:25:07,410
I'm not considering, uh, you know,
beating myself up about, I stuck to my
466
00:25:07,950 --> 00:25:11,130
convictions and didn't want to do majority
of the trading I would normally do.
467
00:25:11,550 --> 00:25:16,590
But I shared on the YouTube channel,
you had some of the stocks that would
468
00:25:16,590 --> 00:25:21,060
have been fair to that using that system
and method it, in fact, pulled you
469
00:25:21,060 --> 00:25:25,260
right to the very ones that smart money
was buying the accumulation pattern.
470
00:25:25,650 --> 00:25:25,980
Okay.
471
00:25:25,980 --> 00:25:27,510
And this is what you want
to write down in your notes.
472
00:25:28,140 --> 00:25:33,360
The accumulation pattern by smart
money is failing to make lower lows.
473
00:25:34,290 --> 00:25:40,919
When you're comparing that with correlated
asset pairs or asset model, And I'll
474
00:25:40,919 --> 00:25:43,710
give you an example, and then we're
gonna use the stock market as an example.
475
00:25:44,190 --> 00:25:46,290
And I'm going to tell you how to
use this going into your homework.
476
00:25:46,290 --> 00:25:49,110
So that way, you know exactly what
you're going to be doing, but for the
477
00:25:49,110 --> 00:25:52,379
stock market, let's just say, we're
looking at the Dow Jones industrial.
478
00:25:53,250 --> 00:25:55,350
Now some of you are saying, I don't
wanna hear about this, Michael.
479
00:25:55,350 --> 00:25:57,750
I'm only interested in
Bitcoin and currencies.
480
00:25:58,379 --> 00:26:00,330
Again, it's the same stuff.
481
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,149
Just apply it to whatever asset
class you're going to specialize in.
482
00:26:03,690 --> 00:26:08,159
But for discussion purposes, say we're
only looking at the Dow Jones industrial.
483
00:26:08,820 --> 00:26:09,060
Okay.
484
00:26:09,090 --> 00:26:13,290
So that's an NSC that measures the
collective and cumulative average of
485
00:26:13,710 --> 00:26:20,520
the movement higher or lower on specific
30 stocks, big blue chip companies.
486
00:26:20,820 --> 00:26:22,080
These stocks make money.
487
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:23,040
They're really in business.
488
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,030
They make money there.
489
00:26:24,070 --> 00:26:27,629
They're used every single day
by other companies or people
490
00:26:27,750 --> 00:26:28,919
when we sell on a daily basis.
491
00:26:29,370 --> 00:26:32,159
So they are real profiting companies.
492
00:26:32,820 --> 00:26:35,190
They do commerce it's
they're real entities.
493
00:26:35,190 --> 00:26:36,720
That means something
they're not penny stocks.
494
00:26:37,139 --> 00:26:37,379
So.
495
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,790
If we're looking at the Dow Jones
industrial, and we have an expectation
496
00:26:41,790 --> 00:26:46,980
that there may be some buying in a
Dow Jones, industrial average, and a
497
00:26:46,990 --> 00:26:50,070
level that we suspect there should be
support coming into the marketplace.
498
00:26:51,570 --> 00:26:56,280
If we go into the individual 30 stocks
that make up the industry, when we start
499
00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:01,260
seeing a number of those stocks failing to
make lower lows, what is that indicating?
500
00:27:02,850 --> 00:27:05,070
Is it indicating that they
just didn't get enough sellers?
501
00:27:07,750 --> 00:27:14,889
No, the smart money accumulation pattern
is at a time when the expectation is
502
00:27:14,889 --> 00:27:20,439
bullish markets that fail to make lower
lows, they failed to make a lower low
503
00:27:20,439 --> 00:27:25,120
because of the demand that behind it,
they have to be bought at a higher price.
504
00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:26,889
Think about it.
505
00:27:27,580 --> 00:27:30,939
What's in, what's in high demand
right now, you know, is it,
506
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:36,129
uh, a 1987 Camaro or the 2017?
507
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:38,880
Of course, it's going to be the new card.
508
00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,250
They're the, they're the ones
that everyone wants to drive.
509
00:27:41,250 --> 00:27:42,450
That's that's where everyone wants it.
510
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:47,790
So the value isn't going to decline
when there's more demand for it,
511
00:27:48,540 --> 00:27:50,250
it's going to be kept at a premium.
512
00:27:51,060 --> 00:27:53,790
So they're going to be buying, buying,
buying, buying, buying, and the fact
513
00:27:53,790 --> 00:27:58,740
that the price fails to make a lower
low, that is professional accumulation.
514
00:27:58,770 --> 00:28:01,200
That is a sign that smart
money's accumulating that.
515
00:28:01,770 --> 00:28:07,080
So if you start seeing a number of
stocks in these 30 stocks failing to
516
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:10,200
make a lower low at a time, when you
think that the Dow Jones should be
517
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:17,650
going higher, it is because you actually
have evidence that the individual
518
00:28:17,650 --> 00:28:19,870
stocks are being bought by smart money.
519
00:28:20,830 --> 00:28:22,450
They're not making lower lows.
520
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:27,370
That's what creates that divergence
pattern, that same things
521
00:28:27,370 --> 00:28:30,100
applied with the macro indices.
522
00:28:30,790 --> 00:28:33,550
You have the Dow Jones,
industrial, the NASA composite,
523
00:28:33,730 --> 00:28:35,120
and you have the S and P five.
524
00:28:36,360 --> 00:28:42,810
If you are seeing these three composite
index making lower lows, but one of
525
00:28:42,810 --> 00:28:44,220
them fails to make that lower, low.
526
00:28:44,430 --> 00:28:48,810
Again, that's that hallmark symbol
of smart money accumulation.
527
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:56,730
It's telling you that somebody, a
collective group of large entities that
528
00:28:56,730 --> 00:29:00,120
have a lot more money than us are coming
into the marketplace and they're buying.
529
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:06,270
So if they're not letting the indices
work together and make lower lows, that
530
00:29:06,270 --> 00:29:07,860
means somebody is buying something.
531
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:10,650
And then you've got to go and
start doing some more research.
532
00:29:10,890 --> 00:29:11,790
What are they buying?
533
00:29:11,850 --> 00:29:13,860
What are the stocks that are
failing to make lower lows?
534
00:29:15,270 --> 00:29:18,780
That same thing now can
be applied in reverse.
535
00:29:19,650 --> 00:29:22,560
Now, when you look at the
market, in terms of, again, we're
536
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:23,430
going to use the stock market.
537
00:29:23,430 --> 00:29:26,220
As an example of the Dow Jones,
industrial average is making higher
538
00:29:26,220 --> 00:29:31,680
highs, but it hits a level you
anticipate seeing as resistance seasonal.
539
00:29:32,460 --> 00:29:36,870
Uh, time for a stock market to
decline around July going into August.
540
00:29:36,900 --> 00:29:39,540
Usually that's a real good time
to be a seller in the equity
541
00:29:39,540 --> 00:29:41,940
market that time of year.
542
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:45,510
If it hits the resistance level,
go into the individual, Dow 30
543
00:29:45,510 --> 00:29:48,780
stocks and look at the ones that
are failing to make lower highs.
544
00:29:49,470 --> 00:29:50,610
I'm sorry, fail to make a higher high.
545
00:29:50,850 --> 00:29:53,490
So you're going to have lower highs where
other stocks that have been leadership
546
00:29:53,490 --> 00:29:57,480
issues, they're making higher highs to
make that Dow Jones and Justo go up.
547
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:04,500
But the weaker stocks that fail to make
higher highs, they're indicating that they
548
00:30:04,500 --> 00:30:05,910
are the ones that are being distributed.
549
00:30:07,050 --> 00:30:10,590
If you can see that happen in
existing downtrending markets,
550
00:30:10,590 --> 00:30:13,800
you have a lock loaded deal for a
perfect shorting opportunity because
551
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:18,150
you're selling short in an already
pre-existing weak market or weak stock.
552
00:30:18,900 --> 00:30:20,610
And they're showing you that
they're distributing it ahead.
553
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,510
How can you use this information
in the currency market?
554
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:29,649
Well, if you're looking at the
dollar index, what we do is we go
555
00:30:29,649 --> 00:30:32,980
through the marketplace in the same
way, over the course of a full year,
556
00:30:33,399 --> 00:30:37,210
we're going to break down a daily
chart in quadrants or in thirds every
557
00:30:37,210 --> 00:30:38,889
three months or every four months.
558
00:30:39,159 --> 00:30:42,610
And we're looking for these
quarterly shifts that take place.
559
00:30:44,179 --> 00:30:47,649
The dollar index makes a significant
enemy in term high, and it starts
560
00:30:47,649 --> 00:30:49,000
to trade lower for several months.
561
00:30:49,030 --> 00:30:52,419
Then it makes a short term, intermediate
term, low, not short-term, you
562
00:30:52,419 --> 00:30:54,940
know what I mean, term low, and
then it starts to trade higher.
563
00:30:55,330 --> 00:30:55,750
Okay.
564
00:30:56,020 --> 00:30:59,889
What we're looking for is every
three, the four months, there's a
565
00:30:59,889 --> 00:31:06,010
significant intermediate term price
swing that intermediate term price
566
00:31:06,010 --> 00:31:09,460
swing the curves on the daily chart
off of levels that are arrived at
567
00:31:09,460 --> 00:31:10,690
on the weekly and the monthly chart.
568
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:13,330
So you're looking at levels.
569
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:18,940
Border blocks, stop runs on monthly
and weekly levels and transposing
570
00:31:18,940 --> 00:31:20,169
those ideas onto a daily time.
571
00:31:21,300 --> 00:31:24,240
But then you're breaking down
your daily chart into thirds
572
00:31:24,419 --> 00:31:25,979
every three to four months.
573
00:31:27,570 --> 00:31:30,629
And then you're gonna look for
what that has done in the past.
574
00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:33,389
And here's another exercise don't
just use this last 12 months.
575
00:31:34,050 --> 00:31:36,540
Go back as much as your
personal time will allow you.
576
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:40,229
And you'll see that there are major
significant turning points in the
577
00:31:40,229 --> 00:31:42,030
marketplace at these intervals.
578
00:31:43,020 --> 00:31:44,790
Now I know some of you were
saying, there's somebody in
579
00:31:44,790 --> 00:31:46,110
here that rather still cynical.
580
00:31:46,469 --> 00:31:47,219
Well, that's all great.
581
00:31:47,219 --> 00:31:48,330
Michael it's too broad brush.
582
00:31:48,330 --> 00:31:49,080
It's too vague.
583
00:31:49,409 --> 00:31:49,830
Okay.
584
00:31:50,939 --> 00:31:53,010
We haven't completed the teaching yet.
585
00:31:53,459 --> 00:31:57,270
I'm getting you thinking like
an institutional perspective.
586
00:31:57,330 --> 00:32:01,979
You got to have these ideas on a macro
level, condense it down to a small
587
00:32:01,979 --> 00:32:06,870
timeframe for high probability, low
risk, but for a dollar index trading.
588
00:32:07,530 --> 00:32:07,770
Okay.
589
00:32:07,780 --> 00:32:08,729
Or currency trading.
590
00:32:09,750 --> 00:32:12,990
What we do is we go into the dollar index
and we can look at our monthly levels.
591
00:32:13,260 --> 00:32:17,100
We look at our monthly, um, are
we at a premium or are we at a
592
00:32:17,100 --> 00:32:18,990
discount on a monthly level or what?
593
00:32:18,990 --> 00:32:19,229
A monthly.
594
00:32:20,310 --> 00:32:23,820
Where are we in terms
of the current range?
595
00:32:24,990 --> 00:32:26,790
Are we really suppressed and low?
596
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:31,650
Well, chances are, if we see a
resistance level, does it have a great
597
00:32:31,650 --> 00:32:33,150
deal of probability on a daily chart?
598
00:32:34,230 --> 00:32:36,900
Maybe not good, but probably not.
599
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:39,090
Same thing occurs with a weekly chart.
600
00:32:39,180 --> 00:32:45,870
If we are in the last bit of a
significant movement, lower in the
601
00:32:45,870 --> 00:32:47,340
weekly charts, then trading lower.
602
00:32:47,610 --> 00:32:52,530
And then we see a weekly level that
would be indicated as resistance.
603
00:32:52,860 --> 00:32:53,280
Okay.
604
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:58,230
Does that have high probability over
a potential weekly support level?
605
00:32:58,710 --> 00:33:02,700
Because think about it, we're now at
a real deep discount on the monthly
606
00:33:02,700 --> 00:33:04,950
and on the weekly chart as an example.
607
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,350
So what would that indicate
for a daily timeframe?
608
00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:12,120
Probabilities are really high that if
we see some indication that they're
609
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,900
buying, or they have some buying
come in failing to make a lower, low.
610
00:33:17,475 --> 00:33:22,155
And the dollar while the farm furnaces,
Euro and cable make higher highs
611
00:33:22,545 --> 00:33:23,805
suddenly, what does that indicate?
612
00:33:23,955 --> 00:33:28,665
Now you have a fingerprint that you
have a discount on a monthly chart.
613
00:33:28,875 --> 00:33:30,075
You've been trading lower.
614
00:33:30,075 --> 00:33:33,135
You get to a level where there
should be support and the weekly
615
00:33:33,135 --> 00:33:34,365
chart it's been trading lower.
616
00:33:34,365 --> 00:33:35,805
So we're now at a discount as well.
617
00:33:35,805 --> 00:33:36,885
And on the weekly chart.
618
00:33:37,455 --> 00:33:39,765
And even though if the weekly
chart looks like it's hitting
619
00:33:39,765 --> 00:33:42,735
some kind of a resistance level,
does that mean that to sell?
620
00:33:42,825 --> 00:33:47,835
No, because you're already low on
the discount, the premium range.
621
00:33:48,405 --> 00:33:52,245
So if you're in discount, that
means prices over sold basically.
622
00:33:52,245 --> 00:33:52,995
So say it like that.
623
00:33:53,385 --> 00:33:57,225
We don't use indicators that determine
overbought and oversold, but in terms
624
00:33:57,225 --> 00:34:00,825
of the range where we've traded on these
timeframes, the higher timeframe, if
625
00:34:00,825 --> 00:34:05,355
it's really been trading lower and just
because we're at a resistance level on
626
00:34:05,355 --> 00:34:09,074
a monthly or a weekly timeframe does
not mean that that's a good selling
627
00:34:09,074 --> 00:34:10,635
point for a daily or any of the time.
628
00:34:11,865 --> 00:34:15,405
It means to me, I start going in
there and looking for justifications
629
00:34:15,405 --> 00:34:16,725
for them to be accumulating.
630
00:34:17,534 --> 00:34:20,775
And I look for signs that they're
accumulating around a specific level,
631
00:34:20,775 --> 00:34:24,195
that we arrived at a monthly and
weekly chart and transpose those
632
00:34:24,195 --> 00:34:25,665
levels onto a daily timeframe.
633
00:34:27,195 --> 00:34:32,565
Then I wait, I'm waiting for that element
that they have answered the marketplace.
634
00:34:32,565 --> 00:34:33,045
What is that?
635
00:34:33,255 --> 00:34:34,425
That's displacement.
636
00:34:34,935 --> 00:34:38,625
The market will suddenly create
a big boom that will rock it up.
637
00:34:39,465 --> 00:34:41,025
You may anticipate it coming.
638
00:34:41,745 --> 00:34:43,005
You don't have to see it coming.
639
00:34:43,005 --> 00:34:47,445
You just wait for it to occur when
it does you now go right back into
640
00:34:47,445 --> 00:34:48,855
where it just recently rallied Trump.
641
00:34:50,054 --> 00:34:52,514
The bullshitter bought
the last down candle.
642
00:34:52,695 --> 00:34:57,345
And when that comes back down into that
bullish candle on a daily timeframe,
643
00:34:57,585 --> 00:35:05,475
you now have the most significant entry
point for low risk high probability.
644
00:35:05,655 --> 00:35:08,505
And it's a loaded deal because the
monthly and the weekly artists.
645
00:35:10,230 --> 00:35:14,250
You've already seen the market show an
unwillingness to respect that suppose at
646
00:35:14,250 --> 00:35:19,049
higher timeframe resistance level, because
it's now shown it wants to go higher.
647
00:35:19,259 --> 00:35:22,830
And then when it trades back down to that
same level where they moved away from
648
00:35:23,700 --> 00:35:29,310
the impulse saying impulse price swing,
that idea is that you now know that they
649
00:35:29,310 --> 00:35:34,410
have bought everyone else is going to
see that as a selling opportunity because
650
00:35:34,410 --> 00:35:37,680
the month and the weekly are in down
trends, that does not equate to that.
651
00:35:38,310 --> 00:35:41,609
And that doesn't, it doesn't mean
that it means that you're looking for
652
00:35:41,609 --> 00:35:48,120
the next move on the daily chart for
this new third or fourth quadrant.
653
00:35:48,149 --> 00:35:50,879
That's over time, you're going
to divide your chart in the
654
00:35:50,879 --> 00:35:52,890
three to four month intervals.
655
00:35:53,669 --> 00:35:56,310
And all we're trying to do is look
for the next three months out.
656
00:35:57,029 --> 00:35:58,020
It says that's all we're doing.
657
00:35:58,230 --> 00:36:03,000
We're trying to anticipate and
forecast where the highest probable
658
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,100
direction is going to be over
the next three to three to four.
659
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,810
You don't need every bit of that
range to be moving in your direction.
660
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:11,910
You don't, it's not, it's
not the intended purpose.
661
00:36:12,930 --> 00:36:13,560
Now think about it.
662
00:36:13,890 --> 00:36:19,290
If we divide our range in the form
of every three to four months,
663
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:24,299
that means we have about a month
and a half or two months of
664
00:36:24,299 --> 00:36:26,220
potential one-sided price action.
665
00:36:26,730 --> 00:36:31,200
If everything worked in cyclical
fashion, it goes up and it goes down.
666
00:36:31,290 --> 00:36:33,420
Well, how long did that
whole integral take place?
667
00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:37,380
If it takes a month to do it, the
halfway point would be two weeks.
668
00:36:37,950 --> 00:36:43,500
Well, if we're looking for a shift
in the marketplace to go higher and
669
00:36:43,500 --> 00:36:45,900
we're expecting some accumulation to
come into the marketplace, and that
670
00:36:45,900 --> 00:36:50,009
means they're buying, that means
the dollar index is in this case.
671
00:36:50,009 --> 00:36:53,910
We're looking at dollar, say the dollar
index fails to make a lower low when all
672
00:36:53,910 --> 00:36:55,290
the foreign currencies make higher highs.
673
00:36:55,650 --> 00:36:59,370
That's that smart money technique
that we use SMT divergence.
674
00:37:00,029 --> 00:37:04,080
If that occurs at a time when the
month and the weekly discount line.
675
00:37:05,220 --> 00:37:08,880
And it blows through, will they be
seen as some measure of resistance?
676
00:37:09,720 --> 00:37:10,170
Okay.
677
00:37:10,230 --> 00:37:12,870
I want a higher timeframe level and
you're probably asking how can it be
678
00:37:12,870 --> 00:37:16,800
trading at a resistance level, Michael,
if it's at a discount, because if it
679
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:22,290
broke down below a previous low, what
does support resistance teach us that
680
00:37:22,290 --> 00:37:24,390
that broken support is now resistance.
681
00:37:25,290 --> 00:37:32,670
I love trading those ideas because I think
that is the biggest losing setup because
682
00:37:32,670 --> 00:37:36,870
everybody thinks these long-term trends
are all straight lines and they're not.
683
00:37:38,100 --> 00:37:43,110
So if we can buy at a time when the
marketplace is gone below an old, low
684
00:37:43,230 --> 00:37:46,140
on the monthly and weekly, it's going
to trade back up to that old low.
685
00:37:46,860 --> 00:37:51,210
But if it's been trading for awhile,
we're going to be really suppressed in
686
00:37:51,210 --> 00:37:57,480
a discount condition and then market can
trade a lot on a daily timeframe and still
687
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:02,400
maintain its bearishness we've already
taught many times before it goes, not
688
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:03,570
just right to the bottom of the load.
689
00:38:04,605 --> 00:38:07,395
Like support broken turns,
resistance ideas teach us.
690
00:38:07,785 --> 00:38:12,045
Sometimes they go through that level a
little bit and he reaching a deep and
691
00:38:12,045 --> 00:38:15,105
then it could still end up rolling over
and continue with lower, but in a daily
692
00:38:15,105 --> 00:38:19,995
timeframe that could be hundreds of pips
or hundreds of points in an industry.
693
00:38:20,714 --> 00:38:24,165
It could be a lot of range
that could capture big money.
694
00:38:25,335 --> 00:38:29,595
So if we're looking at these movements
every three to four months, what we're
695
00:38:29,595 --> 00:38:36,585
really identifying is I want to know where
the next three to four weeks movement is
696
00:38:36,674 --> 00:38:38,984
because it's a half-life of that cycle.
697
00:38:40,274 --> 00:38:44,595
If we're looking at four months as are
our horizon, half of that's two months.
698
00:38:45,765 --> 00:38:48,855
Well, if we're looking at
three month intervals, okay.
699
00:38:49,095 --> 00:38:50,085
It's half of that.
700
00:38:50,504 --> 00:38:54,734
So ideally I'm looking at, in my,
in a perfect world, I'm looking at a
701
00:38:54,734 --> 00:38:56,865
horizon it's three weeks to four weeks.
702
00:38:58,779 --> 00:38:59,890
Yeah, that's what I'm looking at.
703
00:39:00,310 --> 00:39:01,569
That's my time horizon.
704
00:39:01,930 --> 00:39:06,730
Now I try to do my best to see what I
think may occur over the next six months,
705
00:39:07,270 --> 00:39:09,220
but I don't have consistency in that.
706
00:39:09,370 --> 00:39:11,380
I can hang my hat on and say,
yeah, I knew without a doubt,
707
00:39:11,380 --> 00:39:12,310
it's going to do this or that.
708
00:39:12,370 --> 00:39:14,049
I don't, I don't believe I have that.
709
00:39:14,049 --> 00:39:15,370
And I don't believe anybody can have that.
710
00:39:15,759 --> 00:39:19,600
But if someone does it and they
read a book or a course, um, I'll be
711
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:20,980
glad to share that they've done it.
712
00:39:21,009 --> 00:39:24,970
But until now up till now, I have not
seen the evidence to support that idea,
713
00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:30,880
but it's really easy to forecast about
a month worth of price action, and
714
00:39:31,240 --> 00:39:33,580
look at a monthly chart of anything.
715
00:39:34,210 --> 00:39:36,190
There's lots of opportunity in that range.
716
00:39:36,490 --> 00:39:39,040
Tons of opportunity, regardless
of what type of trader you are.
717
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,090
So if we're going to
apply these ideas, okay.
718
00:39:43,690 --> 00:39:45,970
Uh, commodities, let's look at that.
719
00:39:47,230 --> 00:39:48,520
If you're gonna be a commodity trader.
720
00:39:48,850 --> 00:39:49,210
Okay.
721
00:39:49,210 --> 00:39:53,710
And you think that the market
has moved into a realm where the
722
00:39:53,710 --> 00:39:54,880
commodity market should be going with.
723
00:39:55,965 --> 00:39:58,155
The CRB index is going to be going up.
724
00:39:58,155 --> 00:39:59,145
It's been trending higher.
725
00:39:59,265 --> 00:40:04,455
If it hits some level of expected
resistance, we are at a premium and price.
726
00:40:05,025 --> 00:40:09,585
Everything is overvalued or overbought
without the use of an indicator,
727
00:40:10,815 --> 00:40:14,235
but you're going to go in and start
looking for evidences that are
728
00:40:14,265 --> 00:40:15,525
commodities really being distributed.
729
00:40:16,235 --> 00:40:20,055
Are we topping out the way you find
that out is you go in and you start
730
00:40:20,055 --> 00:40:24,525
looking at the individual commodity
markets, and you'll start seeing that
731
00:40:24,525 --> 00:40:29,085
inside of like for instance, the grain
markets, uh, the grain markets will
732
00:40:29,085 --> 00:40:33,315
start failing to make higher highs and
the ones that fail to make higher highs.
733
00:40:33,585 --> 00:40:35,445
They're ones that you
want to be selling short.
734
00:40:35,445 --> 00:40:37,815
One, if the commodity market as a
whole is going to start going lower,
735
00:40:38,295 --> 00:40:42,285
you want to be selling the week
of all of those industry groups.
736
00:40:44,335 --> 00:40:47,095
Commodity groups, you have
the agriculturals, which are
737
00:40:47,155 --> 00:40:49,465
the, uh, livestock and grains.
738
00:40:49,765 --> 00:40:52,405
Then you had the financials which are
debt instruments, currencies, oil,
739
00:40:53,035 --> 00:40:57,055
and metals, and you'd classify them,
break them down individually by group.
740
00:40:57,655 --> 00:40:58,765
And you can end up ferreting out.
741
00:40:58,805 --> 00:40:59,545
When we teach commodities.
742
00:40:59,545 --> 00:41:02,545
I'll tell you about all this stuff in
specific fashion, but you can go in
743
00:41:02,545 --> 00:41:07,585
and find all of the weakest individual
commodities to be going short.
744
00:41:07,795 --> 00:41:11,455
When the CRB indicates that we're going to
be going lower and commodities as a whole.
745
00:41:11,665 --> 00:41:14,815
It's the same thing done with the Dow
Jones industrial average, where there's
746
00:41:14,815 --> 00:41:17,035
30 stocks just applied to commodities.
747
00:41:17,875 --> 00:41:22,165
Now I saw a question on Twitter
and it just reminded us.
748
00:41:22,165 --> 00:41:22,915
That's what I was talking.
749
00:41:23,005 --> 00:41:28,855
Um, a gentleman in our group was looking
for, well, you said CRB is opposite to
750
00:41:28,855 --> 00:41:33,865
the dollar index, but there are times
when, because commodities are the world's
751
00:41:33,865 --> 00:41:36,385
grocery store they're going to have.
752
00:41:36,565 --> 00:41:37,285
And I'm going to say this.
753
00:41:37,285 --> 00:41:41,215
Now they have real supply
and demand factors behind.
754
00:41:42,585 --> 00:41:45,585
If you're on an island, you know, and
I say, here, look, I'm going to give
755
00:41:45,585 --> 00:41:48,405
you a bar of gold or an ounce of wheat.
756
00:41:48,435 --> 00:41:49,425
Which one are you going to take?
757
00:41:50,175 --> 00:41:52,965
If you're stranded on an island with
no hope of getting off of there no
758
00:41:52,965 --> 00:41:54,225
time soon, what are you going to take?
759
00:41:54,795 --> 00:41:56,115
You want the wheat, okay.
760
00:41:56,115 --> 00:41:56,445
Who you are.
761
00:41:56,445 --> 00:41:57,195
You can't eat gold.
762
00:41:58,125 --> 00:41:58,995
You're going to want that wheat.
763
00:41:59,355 --> 00:42:02,655
So we is never going to zero gold could.
764
00:42:03,465 --> 00:42:06,315
And if you, if you believe in the Bible,
it's going to be worthless eventually.
765
00:42:06,315 --> 00:42:10,845
But the point is grocery store of
the world is the commodity market.
766
00:42:11,835 --> 00:42:17,295
So if we understand that that is a
real supply and demand market, there's
767
00:42:17,295 --> 00:42:21,075
going to be a little bit of a lag
sometimes with the commodity market.
768
00:42:21,615 --> 00:42:26,715
And that's the only caveat that comes with
in my opinion, with trading commodities.
769
00:42:27,135 --> 00:42:32,565
So you have to have, you have to
allow a little bit of a, uh, a time
770
00:42:32,565 --> 00:42:34,215
element to it, where if you see.
771
00:42:35,190 --> 00:42:38,940
The dollar indicating that it's
bullish or bearish that may not
772
00:42:38,940 --> 00:42:40,590
be immediately to the very day.
773
00:42:40,980 --> 00:42:44,160
Whereas if you use it with another
currency, it's immediate, like when dollar
774
00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:48,000
is going up, that should be immediately
reflected with the Euro going down.
775
00:42:48,540 --> 00:42:53,580
That's those things are in tandem
with one another, your box step two,
776
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:58,560
diametrically, opposed to basically,
but when you're referring to commodity
777
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:03,930
markets, they have real supply and demand
factors that are involved, and those will
778
00:43:03,930 --> 00:43:07,500
always create some measure of time delay.
779
00:43:07,980 --> 00:43:12,000
So don't think, you know, just because
the dollar index is, is surging up and
780
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:15,030
then you can go back to the chart and
say, well, look at the commodity in a CRB
781
00:43:15,030 --> 00:43:16,830
index, it was going up to from November.
782
00:43:17,100 --> 00:43:18,150
Yes, it did.
783
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:25,440
But that doesn't equate to, or, um, it
doesn't diminish the truth that over
784
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,870
time, the strong dollar will suppress.
785
00:43:29,234 --> 00:43:32,384
Because it is that's, that's the way it
is, but certain commodities do have their
786
00:43:32,384 --> 00:43:38,444
own unique characteristics on supply
and demand that will contribute to the
787
00:43:38,444 --> 00:43:43,065
CRB index, not initially right away,
moving in, in tandem with the dollar
788
00:43:43,065 --> 00:43:45,345
index, but diametrically opposed to it.
789
00:43:48,015 --> 00:43:49,035
The same element.
790
00:43:49,035 --> 00:43:52,424
When we look at institutional vantage
point with the interest rate markets,
791
00:43:52,424 --> 00:43:56,295
and this is what I've taught so
far, either in the free tutorials.
792
00:43:56,295 --> 00:44:00,674
And now in the mentorship is when we
look at the interest rate markets, we're
793
00:44:00,674 --> 00:44:04,815
comparing the relationships of the 30
year, the 10 year and the five-year.
794
00:44:05,595 --> 00:44:10,125
And if we are expecting a turning
point to occur, we're looking for
795
00:44:10,125 --> 00:44:12,884
that failure swing or diversions
between the third year, 10 year.
796
00:44:12,884 --> 00:44:16,035
And five-year for instance, if they'd
been moving up in concert with one
797
00:44:16,035 --> 00:44:20,145
another and all of a sudden they
failed to make a higher high together.
798
00:44:20,565 --> 00:44:20,955
Okay.
799
00:44:21,615 --> 00:44:24,705
That's going to indicate
something for us as a trader,
800
00:44:25,395 --> 00:44:26,475
as it relates to the dollar and.
801
00:44:27,795 --> 00:44:30,375
Now, if it means something to the
dollar index and the interest rate,
802
00:44:30,375 --> 00:44:33,585
market's telling us something too,
that's also going to give us clues
803
00:44:33,585 --> 00:44:34,935
about the other foreign currencies.
804
00:44:35,295 --> 00:44:38,085
And it's also going to give us clues
about the commodity markets as well.
805
00:44:39,345 --> 00:44:41,685
Oil market, gold market, silver market.
806
00:44:41,715 --> 00:44:47,775
All those markets are closely related,
but it takes the one that Obama
807
00:44:47,775 --> 00:44:51,675
list, even though it's listed last
here, it's the most significant one.
808
00:44:52,785 --> 00:44:56,025
Basically say the best for
last the interest rate market.
809
00:44:56,025 --> 00:45:00,615
If you understand this, it will
give you every macro directional
810
00:45:00,615 --> 00:45:04,125
bias that you need to be trading
in for every three to four months.
811
00:45:05,265 --> 00:45:10,245
If you look at the divergence that seen
in plotting the yield on the 30 year,
812
00:45:10,425 --> 00:45:15,405
10 year in five-year notes, and you can
do this on investing.com and you can do
813
00:45:15,405 --> 00:45:19,635
it on Bloomberg as well, they're free
and you don't need to have it real time.
814
00:45:19,665 --> 00:45:20,025
You don't.
815
00:45:20,325 --> 00:45:22,185
That does not, you don't need that.
816
00:45:22,425 --> 00:45:22,785
Okay.
817
00:45:23,145 --> 00:45:25,215
The best signals will
occur with end of day.
818
00:45:26,279 --> 00:45:27,390
You don't need to have an entire day.
819
00:45:27,419 --> 00:45:30,299
Now, if you want to have that as part
of your day trading, we use that later
820
00:45:30,299 --> 00:45:33,569
on in mentorship and you'll see how to
get that information and do it live.
821
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:37,319
But for now, end of day,
data is all that you need.
822
00:45:38,190 --> 00:45:39,540
You don't need anything else.
823
00:45:39,569 --> 00:45:43,830
Apart from that, everything that you see
on a daily chart, once you see the daily
824
00:45:43,830 --> 00:45:47,970
chart populate on yours, and you start a
new day, that date is already in there.
825
00:45:47,970 --> 00:45:49,529
You can't do anything with
it, but reflect on it.
826
00:45:51,089 --> 00:45:53,520
That's all that's necessary for
institutional vantage point.
827
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:56,879
When the traders sit down and
they're working out what they want
828
00:45:56,879 --> 00:46:00,390
to be doing and how they want to be
scaling and positions there, they're
829
00:46:00,390 --> 00:46:03,120
looking at these three timeframes,
the monthly, weekly, and the daily.
830
00:46:03,690 --> 00:46:06,600
So let's get into the nuts and
bolts of what I'm asking you to do.
831
00:46:06,930 --> 00:46:07,589
Here's your homework.
832
00:46:08,819 --> 00:46:15,390
I want you to pull up any currency
pair, any asset class, any asset
833
00:46:15,390 --> 00:46:17,669
class, it could be a stock.
834
00:46:17,669 --> 00:46:19,919
It could be, uh, it
could be the bond market.
835
00:46:20,250 --> 00:46:21,450
It could be the oil market.
836
00:46:21,750 --> 00:46:22,589
It could be gold.
837
00:46:22,589 --> 00:46:24,750
It could be, um, life.
838
00:46:26,325 --> 00:46:27,194
It could be oats.
839
00:46:27,194 --> 00:46:30,285
If you're a grain trader for commodities,
I don't care what you're talking
840
00:46:30,285 --> 00:46:31,995
about as a trader in the future.
841
00:46:31,995 --> 00:46:35,415
What you going to be focusing on,
specializing in whatever that is.
842
00:46:36,015 --> 00:46:37,185
I want you to pull up a chart.
843
00:46:37,424 --> 00:46:40,065
That's a daily chart and look
at the last 12 months data.
844
00:46:41,085 --> 00:46:46,125
And I want you to break that 12 months
down into two charts, print out one.
845
00:46:46,125 --> 00:46:49,904
That's dividing it in every three
months, and I want you to print out one.
846
00:46:49,904 --> 00:46:53,895
It divides it in every four months,
and I want you to circle the high
847
00:46:53,895 --> 00:46:58,065
that's formed or the low that's formed
at every one of those intervals.
848
00:46:58,875 --> 00:47:04,185
Now you may see that it creates a
higher low rate at a three month marker,
849
00:47:04,694 --> 00:47:09,194
but don't demand that expect every
three to four months, there's going
850
00:47:09,194 --> 00:47:11,115
to be a cycle shift higher and lower.
851
00:47:11,355 --> 00:47:11,714
Okay.
852
00:47:11,955 --> 00:47:13,065
Even if the market's not.
853
00:47:14,175 --> 00:47:17,445
It will create a high and it'll
create a low back and forth.
854
00:47:17,485 --> 00:47:22,005
It's the ebb and flow when these higher
timeframe, uh, intervals monthly, weekly,
855
00:47:22,005 --> 00:47:25,605
and daily, but you're going to be looking
on a daily chart the last 12 months.
856
00:47:25,605 --> 00:47:25,995
Action.
857
00:47:27,645 --> 00:47:32,445
I want you to pick one before you go
into the study and stick with that one as
858
00:47:32,445 --> 00:47:34,725
your first point of reference and study.
859
00:47:35,055 --> 00:47:40,335
And then I want you to pick a second
one at random and do the same thing.
860
00:47:41,175 --> 00:47:43,425
And then for a third one, okay.
861
00:47:43,785 --> 00:47:47,115
I want you to go into the marketplace
and if you're looking at currencies,
862
00:47:48,045 --> 00:47:51,555
you want to look at a currency that
has a real strong trend, for instance,
863
00:47:51,555 --> 00:47:55,215
like right now, there's really not
a strong trend in Euro and pound.
864
00:47:56,745 --> 00:47:58,725
There's other currencies that I'm
not going to say in here, cause
865
00:47:58,725 --> 00:47:59,835
it'll kill the study for you.
866
00:48:00,195 --> 00:48:02,595
There's other currencies
to have a trend right now.
867
00:48:03,945 --> 00:48:04,815
I want you to.
868
00:48:05,865 --> 00:48:09,555
Look at that and contrast that
with those that maybe you've
869
00:48:09,765 --> 00:48:11,025
selected, that don't have a trend.
870
00:48:11,055 --> 00:48:14,955
Maybe it's been a rather large
consolidation, like the pound and the
871
00:48:14,955 --> 00:48:16,845
Euro has been for several, several months.
872
00:48:16,875 --> 00:48:22,815
Now, if we know that the smart money,
this is a big, uh, NOPEC moment for you.
873
00:48:23,835 --> 00:48:28,245
If we know that the smart money
is accumulating for distributing
874
00:48:28,395 --> 00:48:32,985
in these hard timeframe charts,
their expectation is long-term.
875
00:48:33,915 --> 00:48:37,575
So again, they're looking for moose,
that's going to Tran inspire over
876
00:48:37,575 --> 00:48:40,635
months of time, not intimidate action.
877
00:48:41,925 --> 00:48:45,375
If we know that this is occurring in
a market, that's already trending.
878
00:48:45,885 --> 00:48:47,505
Now here's a million
dollar tip for you guys.
879
00:48:48,645 --> 00:48:52,935
If you see these elements for
telltale signs and fingerprints
880
00:48:52,935 --> 00:48:56,955
that they're accumulating in a
preexisting bullish market, you
881
00:48:56,955 --> 00:48:59,685
have a mega trade at your head.
882
00:49:00,525 --> 00:49:04,605
That means that that market's going
to go astronomically well beyond
883
00:49:04,605 --> 00:49:07,485
what you think it's going to go
beyond your Fibonacci extensions.
884
00:49:07,665 --> 00:49:10,695
It's going to go beyond all the things
that you think it's going to go to.
885
00:49:10,965 --> 00:49:11,175
Okay.
886
00:49:11,175 --> 00:49:12,225
It's going to go well beyond that.
887
00:49:13,065 --> 00:49:16,755
The same thing said, if you're looking
at a market that's been trending lower.
888
00:49:17,835 --> 00:49:20,895
If you look in markets have been trending
lower and you've seeing signs that the
889
00:49:20,895 --> 00:49:25,605
marketplace is indicating the smart money
is distributing that you have a loaded
890
00:49:25,605 --> 00:49:29,775
deal for a mega trade for a short, that
means this thing's going to go a lot lower
891
00:49:29,925 --> 00:49:31,875
way lower than everybody's expecting.
892
00:49:32,085 --> 00:49:34,395
And it's going to overshoot
every objective you're probably
893
00:49:34,395 --> 00:49:36,975
going to come up with and they're
really fun markets to be in.
894
00:49:38,475 --> 00:49:40,395
But what you're gonna be doing is
you're gonna know to any significant
895
00:49:40,395 --> 00:49:43,635
divergence among markets or asset
classes that are closely correlated.
896
00:49:43,935 --> 00:49:48,855
Now, again, what that means is a perfect
study would be to doubt 30 stocks.
897
00:49:49,275 --> 00:49:52,335
It only takes, it literally takes
you 20 minutes to go through the
898
00:49:52,335 --> 00:49:54,045
entire list of the down 30 stocks.
899
00:49:54,705 --> 00:49:56,025
And it'll teach you that.
900
00:49:57,120 --> 00:50:01,470
And I did basically pull out the ones
in the stock market, uh, for this year.
901
00:50:01,830 --> 00:50:05,280
If you go into the, uh, last
month teaching, you'll actually
902
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:06,900
see the, the recording.
903
00:50:06,930 --> 00:50:08,190
I think it's on the 11th.
904
00:50:08,970 --> 00:50:13,740
If I'm not mistaken, the 11th or the
ninth, I did that, uh, that presentation.
905
00:50:13,740 --> 00:50:17,790
You can see the stock leaders for
2016 and you'll see the stocks
906
00:50:17,790 --> 00:50:21,120
that led the up move in the Dow 30.
907
00:50:23,130 --> 00:50:26,280
You can do the same study
with the currency markets.
908
00:50:26,730 --> 00:50:27,210
Okay.
909
00:50:27,300 --> 00:50:31,410
And you arrive at, if you'd just go
through the majors real quick, you'll
910
00:50:31,410 --> 00:50:33,840
see which ones have been trending strong.
911
00:50:34,470 --> 00:50:39,570
And when you get this SMT, the where
the dollar index fails to make a
912
00:50:39,570 --> 00:50:42,930
lower low, when the other foreign
currencies make a higher high, was
913
00:50:42,930 --> 00:50:46,440
that telling you, it's telling you that
the dollar is being under accumulate.
914
00:50:46,850 --> 00:50:50,940
It's being accumulated, it's being bought
up because it can't make that lower low.
915
00:50:51,720 --> 00:50:53,340
If the dollar can't
make that lower, lower.
916
00:50:54,300 --> 00:50:56,370
It's telling you that the
dollars wants to go higher.
917
00:50:56,430 --> 00:50:57,480
It doesn't want to go lower.
918
00:50:57,690 --> 00:51:03,509
So that means all the new hire high
in those Euro and pound dollar charts,
919
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:08,640
they're all runs on stops and they're
selling it to everyone at a premium.
920
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:11,460
And then wait for that thing to
start correcting and going lower.
921
00:51:12,390 --> 00:51:14,190
The same thing as seen
with the commodity market.
922
00:51:14,190 --> 00:51:17,340
If you're gonna be looking at
commodities, use the CRB index, and
923
00:51:17,340 --> 00:51:21,420
then look for the commodities that
fail to make that equal high or
924
00:51:21,540 --> 00:51:24,180
equal low every three to four months.
925
00:51:25,470 --> 00:51:30,240
But you start by looking at it just
as a conceptual idea, every three or
926
00:51:30,240 --> 00:51:31,410
four months, there's a major shift.
927
00:51:31,710 --> 00:51:35,190
I don't care what asset class or what
you're trading every three to four months.
928
00:51:35,190 --> 00:51:36,210
There's a significant move.
929
00:51:36,570 --> 00:51:39,210
Now, if you go into those individual
moves and you break it down and you
930
00:51:39,210 --> 00:51:44,400
study that whole transition, you'll
see that there is a divergence that
931
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:49,080
takes place with closely correlated
assets with that same interval in time.
932
00:51:49,710 --> 00:51:50,720
For instance, I'll give you another.
933
00:51:52,270 --> 00:51:59,529
If you see that the, uh,
the metal market, okay.
934
00:51:59,529 --> 00:52:03,549
You have gold, silver
palladium, copper and platinum.
935
00:52:04,209 --> 00:52:06,879
Um, two of those metals
are relatively thin.
936
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:12,250
They don't have a whole lot of trading
going on, but you look at times when the
937
00:52:12,250 --> 00:52:14,740
commodity market is expected to go higher.
938
00:52:15,939 --> 00:52:17,620
If you look at that, okay.
939
00:52:17,620 --> 00:52:18,490
And I'll give you an example.
940
00:52:18,700 --> 00:52:23,200
In November, the CRB index,
2016, CRB index went higher.
941
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:27,970
If you go into the individual metal
markets, compare the lows across
942
00:52:27,970 --> 00:52:32,649
those several metals that listed
you have gold, silver, Tigray
943
00:52:32,649 --> 00:52:34,600
copper, palladium, and platinum.
944
00:52:35,350 --> 00:52:38,140
You look at the price action there,
and you can't use this for your study.
945
00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:39,759
I'm just giving you one as an example.
946
00:52:40,029 --> 00:52:40,359
Okay.
947
00:52:40,509 --> 00:52:42,850
And you'll see the professional
accumulation that took place and
948
00:52:42,850 --> 00:52:46,149
you'll see the result of what happened
and what metal lid on the upside.
949
00:52:47,439 --> 00:52:48,520
Now it doesn't require.
950
00:52:49,290 --> 00:52:50,100
A great deal of study.
951
00:52:50,100 --> 00:52:53,940
You don't need to turn this into a
PhD or, uh, you know, uh, a thesis.
952
00:52:54,210 --> 00:52:54,630
Okay.
953
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:58,140
It's literally going to take you probably
a half an hour to do this homework,
954
00:52:58,680 --> 00:53:00,570
but I want you to reflect on it.
955
00:53:00,900 --> 00:53:04,680
When you see that and you see the failure
swings to think, to fail, to make new
956
00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:07,170
highs as the asset class moves higher.
957
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:11,430
Do you want to be looking for closely
correlated ideas and other things
958
00:53:11,430 --> 00:53:15,660
like the stock market example we
showed or the commodity example I
959
00:53:15,660 --> 00:53:17,220
just gave you regarding the metals.
960
00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:21,060
Um, if you're going to be doing
currencies, you're going to be looking
961
00:53:21,060 --> 00:53:22,260
at, in relationship to the dollar.
962
00:53:22,980 --> 00:53:27,120
So if you're seeing the currency
markets that you're focusing on
963
00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:29,940
as your payer, like for instance,
if you pick the Euro, if the Euro
964
00:53:29,940 --> 00:53:32,010
is making that higher high, okay.
965
00:53:32,250 --> 00:53:37,530
Is that failure swing in the dollar,
making no attempt at a lower low there
966
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:43,140
did that occur at that major turning
point over the last three to four months?
967
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:44,100
Did it occur?
968
00:53:44,130 --> 00:53:44,910
Did that occur?
969
00:53:45,180 --> 00:53:46,530
And what you're going to see is.
970
00:53:48,950 --> 00:53:51,060
And some of your pricing.
971
00:53:51,260 --> 00:53:52,700
I know this, Michael, I already know this.
972
00:53:52,730 --> 00:53:56,510
No, you don't know it yet
because you're the same people.
973
00:53:56,510 --> 00:53:57,770
They're asking me an email.
974
00:53:58,040 --> 00:53:59,840
You really didn't teach this
good enough for me here.
975
00:53:59,960 --> 00:54:01,850
Or I feel a little bit unsure about this.
976
00:54:02,150 --> 00:54:05,540
You're not looking at it in the charts
and when you see it and you study it,
977
00:54:06,830 --> 00:54:08,210
you don't need a large sample size of it.
978
00:54:08,240 --> 00:54:11,120
It's there, it's a classic
accumulation and distribution pattern
979
00:54:11,450 --> 00:54:13,970
that is evidenced in price action.
980
00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:17,690
That's why I tell everyone since
2010, when I stepped out here and told
981
00:54:17,690 --> 00:54:22,700
everybody there's nothing, that's going
to change about this by me teaching it.
982
00:54:22,700 --> 00:54:23,780
It's not going to change.
983
00:54:23,780 --> 00:54:24,860
It's not going to diffuse it.
984
00:54:24,860 --> 00:54:26,360
It's not going to water it down.
985
00:54:26,540 --> 00:54:30,740
It's just going to just get better
over time, because the more efficient.
986
00:54:31,485 --> 00:54:33,285
We get with delivering price to us.
987
00:54:33,435 --> 00:54:37,095
And now I think it's as efficient
as it's ever going to be, because
988
00:54:37,095 --> 00:54:39,945
now we have access to information
at our fingertips like that.
989
00:54:40,125 --> 00:54:43,515
I mean, we're carrying around what used
to be in a warehouse size computer.
990
00:54:43,785 --> 00:54:45,945
We have it in an apartment
on hand with a smartphone.
991
00:54:46,125 --> 00:54:50,445
We can do so many things with this thing,
but the failure swings you're looking for.
992
00:54:51,674 --> 00:54:55,305
And again, I'm not trying to, you
know, create confusion or whatever.
993
00:54:55,305 --> 00:54:58,215
It's the same thing that we do with the
SMT diversions versions with the dollar.
994
00:54:59,475 --> 00:54:59,654
Okay.
995
00:54:59,654 --> 00:55:02,895
So if we're going to keep things remained
to the currency markets, just over
996
00:55:02,895 --> 00:55:05,145
the last three to four months, okay.
997
00:55:05,505 --> 00:55:09,345
Look back and every significant
intermediate term, high or low in the
998
00:55:09,345 --> 00:55:12,915
currency pair that you'd like to be
trading, or you want to specialize in
999
00:55:13,125 --> 00:55:18,674
and compare that with the dollar index,
did it create a failure swing if it made
1000
00:55:18,674 --> 00:55:24,105
a higher high in its price action, did
the dollar fail to make a lower, low, or
1001
00:55:24,525 --> 00:55:26,685
did the dollar index make a lower, low?
1002
00:55:26,685 --> 00:55:28,935
And did your currency pair
while it was moving higher
1003
00:55:28,965 --> 00:55:29,745
failed to make a higher, huh?
1004
00:55:30,825 --> 00:55:31,965
That's the same thing.
1005
00:55:32,445 --> 00:55:35,685
Just being, explaining it
in a different context.
1006
00:55:35,685 --> 00:55:40,785
For instance, if the dollar index
makes that lower, low, but the Euro
1007
00:55:40,785 --> 00:55:45,885
fails make a higher high with that
indicating it's indicating that the Euro
1008
00:55:46,245 --> 00:55:48,705
could not be sold at a higher price.
1009
00:55:48,975 --> 00:55:50,415
It's being heavily distributed.
1010
00:55:50,595 --> 00:55:53,895
So if the Euro is being heavily
distributed, is that bullshit
1011
00:55:53,895 --> 00:55:59,265
bears for dollar bullish, but does
that equate to a buy on dollar?
1012
00:55:59,715 --> 00:56:04,095
Not necessarily the dollar could
consolidate or the Euro can consolidate.
1013
00:56:04,275 --> 00:56:07,515
So what does that mean for you as a
trader who back to that reference plan
1014
00:56:07,515 --> 00:56:08,535
told you to write in your notepad?
1015
00:56:08,595 --> 00:56:12,105
What's a million-dollar maker is your
currency that you're looking at already
1016
00:56:12,105 --> 00:56:16,885
in an existing trend, because if
it's not in an existing trend, that's
1017
00:56:16,885 --> 00:56:18,385
when the consolidation can occur.
1018
00:56:19,135 --> 00:56:22,435
Just because it's diverging in an
SMT diversions where the dollar
1019
00:56:22,435 --> 00:56:27,055
fails to make a significant high in
relationship to a lower, low in your
1020
00:56:27,055 --> 00:56:28,645
currency pair that you're studying.
1021
00:56:28,645 --> 00:56:28,765
Like.
1022
00:56:30,360 --> 00:56:35,790
If that's the case and you're in
a trend, for instance, if we're
1023
00:56:35,790 --> 00:56:41,670
bullish, if the Euro was in a
bullish trend on a monthly, weekly,
1024
00:56:41,700 --> 00:56:43,740
and daily, we expect higher prices.
1025
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:44,010
Okay.
1026
00:56:44,010 --> 00:56:47,460
It's been trending higher
and the dollar okay.
1027
00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:50,400
Fails to make a higher high.
1028
00:56:51,300 --> 00:56:57,920
When the Euro makes a lower,
low, that's still a buy on Euro.
1029
00:56:58,880 --> 00:57:01,550
All they did was went down below
oh low, take up the cell stops.
1030
00:57:01,820 --> 00:57:03,110
And can you wait that long position?
1031
00:57:03,260 --> 00:57:04,730
And then you'll see Euro dollar rally.
1032
00:57:06,110 --> 00:57:09,530
The same thing could be said
this way at the same time, if the
1033
00:57:09,530 --> 00:57:12,170
monthly, weekly and daily four,
you're always in a bullish market.
1034
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:12,770
Okay.
1035
00:57:12,770 --> 00:57:16,970
And you find that that Euro
fails to make a lower low while
1036
00:57:16,970 --> 00:57:18,110
the dollar makes a higher high.
1037
00:57:19,100 --> 00:57:19,910
That's the same thing.
1038
00:57:20,510 --> 00:57:22,700
That's a big time buy signal for years.
1039
00:57:25,275 --> 00:57:27,944
So you have to have
these things understood.
1040
00:57:28,275 --> 00:57:31,154
Conceptually, it's not just, I'm
looking for a divergence and I'm going
1041
00:57:31,154 --> 00:57:32,235
to get a short because it did that.
1042
00:57:32,265 --> 00:57:32,565
No.
1043
00:57:32,565 --> 00:57:33,555
What does it mean?
1044
00:57:34,095 --> 00:57:37,634
Because if the market itself that you're
seeing and studying, it's in a rather
1045
00:57:37,634 --> 00:57:41,325
large consolidation, it doesn't equate
to an explosive move all the time.
1046
00:57:42,105 --> 00:57:47,384
It may have to take time to eventually
move up and gradually by then,
1047
00:57:47,384 --> 00:57:50,384
you probably lost your mind and in
frustration waiting for it to move.
1048
00:57:52,215 --> 00:57:54,585
The same thing is said, obviously,
looking for fairy swings when you're
1049
00:57:54,585 --> 00:57:59,415
looking for lower lows are the asset
class that's directly or inversely
1050
00:57:59,415 --> 00:58:01,755
related to supporting that idea.
1051
00:58:02,355 --> 00:58:06,255
And again, for the dollar
index, everything's going to
1052
00:58:06,255 --> 00:58:07,935
be inverted everything else.
1053
00:58:07,935 --> 00:58:11,895
You're looking at comparatively the
same lows and highs of for instance, the
1054
00:58:11,895 --> 00:58:16,575
dollar and I'm sorry, the equity markets
you're looking at the individual stock
1055
00:58:16,575 --> 00:58:21,555
prices as they make higher highs is your
industry is a Dow Jones making hard.
1056
00:58:23,025 --> 00:58:25,905
If that's not happening, then you're
probably seeing underlying weakness.
1057
00:58:26,265 --> 00:58:28,515
And eventually you're going to
probably see some measure of
1058
00:58:28,515 --> 00:58:31,575
retracement or an altogether
reversal, but you're looking for it
1059
00:58:31,575 --> 00:58:33,525
to happen every three to four months.
1060
00:58:35,745 --> 00:58:38,415
Now, some of you, I admittedly,
and I already know if I go into the
1061
00:58:38,415 --> 00:58:41,445
comments section or questions, some
of you are going to be unsure about
1062
00:58:41,925 --> 00:58:43,305
what it is I'm asking you to do.
1063
00:58:44,325 --> 00:58:46,095
And some of you already know
what I'm asking you to do.
1064
00:58:46,485 --> 00:58:46,875
Okay.
1065
00:58:47,205 --> 00:58:52,125
I'm using this as a basis to gauge
where you're at in your understanding
1066
00:58:52,125 --> 00:58:55,725
of my information so far, because
that way it'll tell me how much
1067
00:58:55,755 --> 00:58:59,895
more I have to include between now
and Friday night and the teachings
1068
00:58:59,895 --> 00:59:00,855
that I already have put together.
1069
00:59:02,805 --> 00:59:09,065
If you have no understanding about what
it is, I'm asking you don't be discouraged
1070
00:59:09,065 --> 00:59:10,025
because you're actually going to see me.
1071
00:59:10,935 --> 00:59:12,615
In this weekend's teachings.
1072
00:59:12,705 --> 00:59:15,105
So tomorrow night, when you turn
the videos on, you'll actually
1073
00:59:15,105 --> 00:59:17,325
see me actually do the very
thing I'm explaining to you here.
1074
00:59:17,654 --> 00:59:18,045
Okay.
1075
00:59:18,464 --> 00:59:21,555
The point is, I want to inspire
you to go looking for it now,
1076
00:59:21,795 --> 00:59:26,025
because in summary, and in closing,
while I'm telling you this, we're
1077
00:59:26,025 --> 00:59:27,105
getting ready to close the session.
1078
00:59:29,355 --> 00:59:35,595
When I discovered that the
thing I was looking for was on
1079
00:59:35,595 --> 00:59:36,825
these hard timeframe charts.
1080
00:59:37,185 --> 00:59:42,045
And when this quarterly shift takes
place, these macro trend reversals, okay?
1081
00:59:42,944 --> 00:59:47,475
Those things are goldmines because
once you understand what's actually
1082
00:59:47,475 --> 00:59:52,455
happening, you don't have to be so
precision oriented with your entries
1083
00:59:53,025 --> 00:59:54,615
and you don't have to be on time.
1084
00:59:54,975 --> 00:59:59,234
You can be a little late, and that's
what I needed because I was doing a job
1085
00:59:59,234 --> 01:00:01,725
that required me 13 hours a day to do it.
1086
01:00:02,955 --> 01:00:05,535
And that was 45 minutes
commute time at it.
1087
01:00:06,735 --> 01:00:08,595
So I had very little free time.
1088
01:00:09,165 --> 01:00:13,455
So when I discovered it, the bond
market created these types of things.
1089
01:00:14,385 --> 01:00:17,475
It made it so much easier for me
to be prepared for the next day.
1090
01:00:18,165 --> 01:00:19,695
What am I going to be doing next week?
1091
01:00:19,725 --> 01:00:22,005
What's the same thing I'm going
to be looking to be in gold short,
1092
01:00:22,005 --> 01:00:25,545
because the, where we're at right
now, and I was looking at the chart.
1093
01:00:25,665 --> 01:00:27,615
The market had been moving
higher in the bond market.
1094
01:00:28,485 --> 01:00:31,875
The market moved up into a high, it
moves into a level of resistance for me.
1095
01:00:32,085 --> 01:00:37,245
I'm anticipating the bond market going
lower now, am I selling just because
1096
01:00:37,245 --> 01:00:38,475
it went to that resistance level?
1097
01:00:38,505 --> 01:00:38,865
No.
1098
01:00:39,105 --> 01:00:41,385
And this is the answer to
some of your questions.
1099
01:00:41,625 --> 01:00:43,995
How do you know if the
resistance levels going to hold?
1100
01:00:45,525 --> 01:00:46,545
That's what this gives you.
1101
01:00:46,815 --> 01:00:50,745
It gives you that answer because just
because you have a level where the
1102
01:00:50,745 --> 01:00:55,725
market is supposedly a resistance
point or support level, unless you see
1103
01:00:55,725 --> 01:01:00,405
evidences that there is a support level
by doing this homework here, this study,
1104
01:01:01,815 --> 01:01:04,455
if it doesn't have classic telltale
signs of accumulation distribution
1105
01:01:04,455 --> 01:01:08,055
by smart money study, And by having
an institutional vantage point.
1106
01:01:08,535 --> 01:01:12,315
In other words, let's say let's weigh
in, in plain terms, the stock, market's
1107
01:01:12,315 --> 01:01:15,945
not going to go lower in a correction
or reversal, unless you have a number
1108
01:01:15,945 --> 01:01:17,475
of issues failing to make higher highs.
1109
01:01:17,535 --> 01:01:18,255
It's that simple.
1110
01:01:19,065 --> 01:01:19,815
It just doesn't happen.
1111
01:01:19,905 --> 01:01:23,025
Oh, well, you know, it's going to
crash that in every, every stock and NC
1112
01:01:23,205 --> 01:01:24,705
made higher highs, it never does that.
1113
01:01:24,765 --> 01:01:27,225
It never, ever, ever that's absolution.
1114
01:01:27,375 --> 01:01:28,665
It never happens that way.
1115
01:01:29,955 --> 01:01:34,215
The way these major turns, every three
to four months occur is there is a
1116
01:01:34,245 --> 01:01:37,695
gradual easing in by that elephant.
1117
01:01:37,785 --> 01:01:39,585
They have to work their position in.
1118
01:01:39,885 --> 01:01:42,525
Otherwise you would have that
element of everything goes
1119
01:01:42,525 --> 01:01:43,575
up and they make equal highs.
1120
01:01:43,575 --> 01:01:44,325
And then it crashes.
1121
01:01:45,045 --> 01:01:48,015
They can't, they can't move into
the market that efficiently.
1122
01:01:48,435 --> 01:01:50,265
They have to gradually work it in.
1123
01:01:50,535 --> 01:01:55,905
And by doing that, it keeps these
underlying issues or currencies
1124
01:01:56,055 --> 01:01:58,545
from making higher highs when
they're trying to sell it.
1125
01:01:59,655 --> 01:02:02,745
And then other things obvious after the
fact and say, oh, well, there it is.
1126
01:02:02,745 --> 01:02:05,145
Look, it was not it wasn't
going up when everything else.
1127
01:02:06,360 --> 01:02:08,549
It's going to be seen easily in hindsight.
1128
01:02:09,299 --> 01:02:10,620
And that's the point of the exercise.
1129
01:02:10,620 --> 01:02:13,529
I want you to see what it looks
like, and it's not something that
1130
01:02:13,529 --> 01:02:14,520
just happens once in a while.
1131
01:02:14,520 --> 01:02:18,180
It's not a Willy nilly pattern where,
well, you know, it happens once in
1132
01:02:18,180 --> 01:02:21,990
a while, like support resistance,
or it happens here or there, and
1133
01:02:21,990 --> 01:02:23,370
this trend line work here and there.
1134
01:02:23,549 --> 01:02:25,350
No that's ambiguous to me.
1135
01:02:25,410 --> 01:02:26,430
That's ambiguous.
1136
01:02:26,819 --> 01:02:31,259
The thing that remains constant is
the, the smart money accumulation
1137
01:02:31,259 --> 01:02:36,480
pattern is you'll see, not just one
asset class showing you their signs
1138
01:02:36,480 --> 01:02:37,590
that this thing wants to go up.
1139
01:02:38,009 --> 01:02:40,290
Other asset classes are
gonna support that idea too.
1140
01:02:40,500 --> 01:02:47,009
So in summary, go into your
charts, look for a daily chart.
1141
01:02:47,040 --> 01:02:49,650
Every three to four months, there's
going to be an intermediate term
1142
01:02:49,650 --> 01:02:53,610
higher, low for me inside that
intermediate term higher, low.
1143
01:02:53,700 --> 01:02:56,790
I want you to look at everything
that is closely correlated that
1144
01:02:56,790 --> 01:02:58,020
you understand up to this point.
1145
01:02:58,020 --> 01:03:01,740
Now, maybe, you know, things that
haven't taught yet use that information.
1146
01:03:02,685 --> 01:03:06,045
But everything that has been taught to
you from the mentorship and in the free
1147
01:03:06,045 --> 01:03:10,755
tutorials and anything I've ever heard,
you heard rather me say and teach about
1148
01:03:10,755 --> 01:03:15,825
the concept of price action, apply it to
what you understand and see if you don't
1149
01:03:15,825 --> 01:03:21,435
see what I'm explaining to you here every
three to four months, there's a major
1150
01:03:21,465 --> 01:03:25,275
market shift by having that understood.
1151
01:03:25,815 --> 01:03:30,404
We will be able to know that we
have another leg in price on a
1152
01:03:30,404 --> 01:03:33,674
higher timeframe, macro level
that we can get positioned for.
1153
01:03:34,455 --> 01:03:38,685
And we wait for these things to form
and you sit on your hands and you wait.
1154
01:03:39,105 --> 01:03:42,375
And when it happens to get to these levels
and you start seeing evidences that it's
1155
01:03:42,555 --> 01:03:46,694
supporting smart money accumulation at
levels, where we think that bullishness
1156
01:03:46,694 --> 01:03:51,585
should be there then, and only then
do we wait for that displacement over.
1157
01:03:52,485 --> 01:03:56,535
When we see that happen on a daily
chart or four hour chart, that
1158
01:03:56,535 --> 01:04:00,165
gives us the green light to go
in and out find where the order
1159
01:04:00,165 --> 01:04:01,785
blocks are, the bullshitter blocks.
1160
01:04:01,905 --> 01:04:06,135
And when price hits that on a 15 minute
timeframe, that's when you execute, that's
1161
01:04:06,135 --> 01:04:09,075
when you load the boat, that's when you
back up the truck and fill it all the way
1162
01:04:09,075 --> 01:04:15,345
up, because it's going to go up when you
see it and you start studying it, you're
1163
01:04:15,345 --> 01:04:16,635
going to want to go back a year later.
1164
01:04:16,695 --> 01:04:17,925
You're going to want to
go back a year later.
1165
01:04:18,135 --> 01:04:21,045
And then when you do that,
you'll be quickly convinced
1166
01:04:21,045 --> 01:04:22,455
that this is not a random thing.
1167
01:04:23,295 --> 01:04:24,975
It's something that's cyclical.
1168
01:04:24,975 --> 01:04:26,355
It happens every three to four months.
1169
01:04:26,415 --> 01:04:28,095
It happens every single year.
1170
01:04:28,365 --> 01:04:29,535
Every asset class has.
1171
01:04:29,535 --> 01:04:31,965
It doesn't matter what type
of trader you're going to be.
1172
01:04:32,445 --> 01:04:33,605
This is information you need.
1173
01:04:34,754 --> 01:04:37,424
And if you don't know, if you don't
really understand what I'm asking you
1174
01:04:37,424 --> 01:04:41,295
to do, and you're one of the newer
students here, don't be discouraged.
1175
01:04:41,535 --> 01:04:44,924
Just be a little bit of patient
and well, let's be a little bit
1176
01:04:44,924 --> 01:04:46,305
patient and say it like, like that.
1177
01:04:46,665 --> 01:04:49,455
And wait till tomorrow night, when I
give you the two teachings and you'll
1178
01:04:49,455 --> 01:04:51,165
have all weekend long to go through it.
1179
01:04:51,165 --> 01:04:55,214
And it'll explain to you in great
detail in minute detail of what it is
1180
01:04:55,214 --> 01:04:57,165
you're looking for and how to use it.
1181
01:04:58,365 --> 01:05:01,065
And trust me, you will be
very excited this weekend.
1182
01:05:01,065 --> 01:05:04,395
When you see what's in this two teachings,
because it gives you a great deal of
1183
01:05:04,395 --> 01:05:06,615
clarity about what it is that we wait for.
1184
01:05:07,185 --> 01:05:10,694
Why I say patience is important
and what it is that you're looking
1185
01:05:10,694 --> 01:05:12,105
to see occur in your charts.
1186
01:05:12,795 --> 01:05:16,305
After this, you won't need to
look at anything with monthly,
1187
01:05:16,305 --> 01:05:17,424
weekly, and daily anymore.
1188
01:05:17,565 --> 01:05:22,305
For teaching purposes, everything in
these two teachings here will set the
1189
01:05:22,305 --> 01:05:26,625
tone for everything you'll need to know
that completes the January content,
1190
01:05:27,615 --> 01:05:29,865
but you'll know everything you need
to know about hard timeframe now.
1191
01:05:30,735 --> 01:05:32,205
You'll know how to do a top-down analysis.
1192
01:05:32,205 --> 01:05:35,175
You'll know how to do everything in
terms of prognostication and forecasting.
1193
01:05:35,715 --> 01:05:37,485
You'll know what it is you're waiting for.
1194
01:05:37,875 --> 01:05:41,955
And by knowing that it removes
emotions, it removes the tendency
1195
01:05:41,955 --> 01:05:45,825
to rush, and it gives that whole
clarity aspect that everyone wants
1196
01:05:45,825 --> 01:05:47,055
and sometimes pretends online.
1197
01:05:47,055 --> 01:05:49,035
They have, but they don't have
any idea what they're doing
1198
01:05:49,035 --> 01:05:49,845
or what they're looking for.
1199
01:05:50,145 --> 01:05:51,225
This gives that to you.
1200
01:05:51,945 --> 01:05:55,155
It gives you the confidence that you
don't have to be trading every single day.
1201
01:05:55,305 --> 01:05:58,725
And if you want to go away with your
family and take a vacation the specific
1202
01:05:58,725 --> 01:06:01,245
month or a year, you can do it.
1203
01:06:01,755 --> 01:06:03,765
Cause you know, the same
thing's going to happen again.
1204
01:06:04,065 --> 01:06:07,515
And all you got to do is find out
where you are in that, that range.
1205
01:06:08,655 --> 01:06:11,025
The beautiful thing is, is you
may end up looking at your charts
1206
01:06:11,175 --> 01:06:15,705
this weekend and see that we have
created something just recently.
1207
01:06:16,365 --> 01:06:18,585
Now, I don't know, cause I haven't done
the analysis that I'm going to be doing
1208
01:06:18,585 --> 01:06:20,325
my own analysis for the first time.
1209
01:06:21,690 --> 01:06:24,390
When I sit down with these today,
but I'm doing the recording for
1210
01:06:24,390 --> 01:06:28,170
the first test, uh, teaching today,
and then we'll be doing Fridays.
1211
01:06:28,530 --> 01:06:31,020
I'm going to have the
second teaching done.
1212
01:06:31,170 --> 01:06:33,390
And that way everything will be
online to you at eight o'clock
1213
01:06:33,960 --> 01:06:35,130
Friday night, New York time.
1214
01:06:36,900 --> 01:06:41,790
But you're going to probably discover
that the importance is even if you
1215
01:06:41,790 --> 01:06:45,960
don't get the actual turning point and
get positioned there, you can still
1216
01:06:45,960 --> 01:06:48,960
get in sync with that move because
you're trading on a hard timeframe
1217
01:06:48,960 --> 01:06:53,460
chart, and it gives you a whole lot of
opportunity to get in sync with that move.
1218
01:06:53,490 --> 01:06:56,580
And you don't need the high or the low
to be in to make the money on the move.
1219
01:06:57,510 --> 01:07:00,870
So I'm going to close it here,
encourage you to go into what
1220
01:07:00,870 --> 01:07:02,220
you understand so far right now.
1221
01:07:02,250 --> 01:07:05,880
And again, If you don't fully
understand it, that's an
1222
01:07:05,880 --> 01:07:07,410
opportunity for you to learn more.
1223
01:07:07,440 --> 01:07:09,450
Trust me that this is how it works.
1224
01:07:09,509 --> 01:07:14,100
You learn by muddling through
what little information you have
1225
01:07:14,279 --> 01:07:15,660
and then the aha moments happen.
1226
01:07:16,500 --> 01:07:18,930
You may get close to
it, then your own study.
1227
01:07:18,930 --> 01:07:20,790
And then when you see it, I saw that.
1228
01:07:20,790 --> 01:07:22,770
I saw that I saw that in my own charts.
1229
01:07:22,779 --> 01:07:25,490
When you see me explain it to you,
I'm gonna be using the currencies and
1230
01:07:25,490 --> 01:07:27,060
I'm gonna use, uh, the stock market.
1231
01:07:28,319 --> 01:07:31,350
And when you see me do it, you'll
know right away what it is.
1232
01:07:31,350 --> 01:07:33,029
I'm waiting for every
three to four months.
1233
01:07:33,630 --> 01:07:36,720
You're going to know, even if you ended
the mentorship at the end of the, uh,
1234
01:07:36,750 --> 01:07:40,380
January, if you do your full, but if
you did, you would know exactly what I'm
1235
01:07:40,380 --> 01:07:44,460
doing every three to four months, what
I'm waiting for, what I'm waiting to see.
1236
01:07:44,730 --> 01:07:47,730
And it repeats every freaking
three to four months.
1237
01:07:47,730 --> 01:07:49,740
There's no, there's no skip in it.
1238
01:07:49,740 --> 01:07:50,609
There's no lag.
1239
01:07:50,910 --> 01:07:51,870
None of that exists.
1240
01:07:51,870 --> 01:07:56,100
It's absolutely there because I know
that every three to four months the
1241
01:07:56,100 --> 01:07:57,630
institutions have to shake them.
1242
01:07:58,665 --> 01:08:00,375
And they put money at
work at different places.
1243
01:08:00,855 --> 01:08:05,685
And if you understand that, that elephant
and it's big, but it's slow, it has to
1244
01:08:05,685 --> 01:08:07,245
gradually move into the marketplace.
1245
01:08:07,335 --> 01:08:11,655
It has no other way around doing
it that way because they can't
1246
01:08:11,655 --> 01:08:12,845
efficiently get their positions on.
1247
01:08:13,575 --> 01:08:16,995
And by doing that, it creates
this big slow turning point.
1248
01:08:17,685 --> 01:08:21,495
And you'll see evidences that other
correlated pairs, other asset classes
1249
01:08:21,495 --> 01:08:22,694
that are closely correlated to it.
1250
01:08:23,175 --> 01:08:26,595
They're going to support the idea that
that's a resistance though, because
1251
01:08:26,955 --> 01:08:30,225
they're failing to make higher highs
or, or lower lows in relationship to it.
1252
01:08:31,425 --> 01:08:32,175
So I'm gonna close it here.
1253
01:08:32,175 --> 01:08:33,255
Wish you good luck and good trading.
111665
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