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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:23,300 --> 00:00:23,570 Okay. 2 00:00:23,570 --> 00:00:26,720 Yesterday, we went through a brief overview of what's going 3 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:33,470 to be covered on the 2017 content for each medium of trading. 4 00:00:34,310 --> 00:00:41,060 And I want you to go into this weekend before you go into 5 00:00:41,060 --> 00:00:42,470 the videos on Friday night. 6 00:00:42,470 --> 00:00:44,030 I know some of you are going to be like Christmas. 7 00:00:44,090 --> 00:00:45,560 You're going to go in there and dig it into it. 8 00:00:47,630 --> 00:00:51,110 Do this exercise first, because if you don't listen to me and you jump 9 00:00:51,110 --> 00:00:54,440 ahead and he didn't, he didn't pay attention to this teaching today. 10 00:00:55,070 --> 00:00:55,700 It's a homework. 11 00:00:56,940 --> 00:01:00,150 It's very important that you do this because if you don't do this, 12 00:01:00,690 --> 00:01:05,910 you will not get the intended delivery of the aha moment. 13 00:01:05,910 --> 00:01:07,350 That's good waiting for you. 14 00:01:07,350 --> 00:01:08,610 And the two teachings this weekend. 15 00:01:10,110 --> 00:01:15,900 If we understand that there are major players in the marketplace, if they're 16 00:01:15,900 --> 00:01:18,570 going to be players in this currency markets that are going to be players 17 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:24,870 in the stock market, the commodity market futures, indices, all that. 18 00:01:25,530 --> 00:01:29,820 There's going to be telltale signs that they are at play they're in 19 00:01:30,180 --> 00:01:31,560 there engaging the marketplace. 20 00:01:32,250 --> 00:01:36,720 And I want you to start looking for those telltale signs on a macro level, 21 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:41,580 because once you understand this on a macro level, it is easy to transpose 22 00:01:41,580 --> 00:01:43,470 that idea down into the lower timeframes. 23 00:01:44,370 --> 00:01:47,610 The problem you're seeing with your trading and your inconsistency 24 00:01:47,610 --> 00:01:50,910 is you're trying to look for the fingerprints on the lower timeframes. 25 00:01:51,450 --> 00:01:54,420 And it's going to be very hard to see that unless it's time specific. 26 00:01:55,935 --> 00:02:00,045 The element of smart money, they leave their fingerprints on the higher timeframe 27 00:02:00,045 --> 00:02:02,115 charts, because they're like elephants. 28 00:02:02,115 --> 00:02:07,095 They leave big prodding footsteps, wherever they go, and you can't escape 29 00:02:07,095 --> 00:02:08,565 it on these higher timeframe charts. 30 00:02:09,104 --> 00:02:14,745 So in your notepad today, I want you to write the top of your page, 31 00:02:14,954 --> 00:02:21,075 that smart money leaves their fingerprint on higher timeframe charts. 32 00:02:21,885 --> 00:02:25,995 And it's up to you to focus on that because they're in there telling 33 00:02:25,995 --> 00:02:28,965 you to the direction of what they're doing with their money. 34 00:02:29,655 --> 00:02:35,115 So smart money is buying aggressively for showing signs of buying. 35 00:02:35,894 --> 00:02:40,394 They don't buy for short-term little movements in the marketplace. 36 00:02:40,665 --> 00:02:43,905 They buy with the expectation of intermediate term prices. 37 00:02:45,090 --> 00:02:48,390 Now intermediate term price moves are longer than one day. 38 00:02:48,780 --> 00:02:50,160 They're longer than a week. 39 00:02:50,490 --> 00:02:54,210 There are months, several weeks to several months in duration. 40 00:02:54,210 --> 00:02:58,920 So if we're looking at higher timeframe charts, it's at our advantage to 41 00:02:58,920 --> 00:03:03,300 think like the smart money players do, they are not moving size and 42 00:03:03,300 --> 00:03:08,010 positions that are enormous in the marketplace for short-term fluctuations. 43 00:03:08,490 --> 00:03:10,950 They can't efficiently move in and in the markets that way. 44 00:03:11,460 --> 00:03:16,710 So when we are looking at lower timeframe, intraday charts, it takes a great deal 45 00:03:16,710 --> 00:03:20,100 of understanding of what's going on on these hard timeframes, which will give 46 00:03:20,100 --> 00:03:23,070 you the confidence for the daily bias that some of you are still concerned about. 47 00:03:23,490 --> 00:03:27,240 It'll give you the direction you should be primarily looking for, even though there's 48 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:33,090 trades on intraday charts, on both sides of the marketplace, the folks that beat up 49 00:03:33,090 --> 00:03:35,040 the idea that you should not have a bias. 50 00:03:35,370 --> 00:03:35,730 Okay. 51 00:03:35,730 --> 00:03:40,530 It's they, they, they hang their hat on the fact that they've been lucky in 52 00:03:40,530 --> 00:03:42,870 the past, being able to short ambush. 53 00:03:43,785 --> 00:03:46,905 And while I've readily admitted that sometimes it has to happen. 54 00:03:46,935 --> 00:03:48,675 Even in my own trading, I've been profitable doing that. 55 00:03:49,485 --> 00:03:55,575 My maturity as a trader has led me to believing that the ideal solution 56 00:03:55,575 --> 00:04:00,435 to all of the things that all traders should eventually come into contact 57 00:04:00,435 --> 00:04:04,335 with, with adversities and pitfalls is simply understand what these hard 58 00:04:04,335 --> 00:04:07,545 timeframe charts are telling us and what direction we should be trading in. 59 00:04:08,325 --> 00:04:11,835 So I'm going to give you an example of what you should 60 00:04:11,835 --> 00:04:13,155 be going through your charts. 61 00:04:13,185 --> 00:04:15,405 I'm going to give you ideas. 62 00:04:15,705 --> 00:04:16,035 Okay. 63 00:04:16,035 --> 00:04:19,665 I want you to, to kind of dig into the material yourself. 64 00:04:20,085 --> 00:04:22,305 We only got until tomorrow evening, and you're gonna have both, 65 00:04:22,485 --> 00:04:23,745 both of the teaching sessions. 66 00:04:25,380 --> 00:04:26,640 I want you to be thinking about it. 67 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:29,849 I want you to go into your charts and spend some time today and 68 00:04:29,849 --> 00:04:31,950 tomorrow and not look for trades. 69 00:04:31,950 --> 00:04:32,670 Don't look for trades. 70 00:04:32,670 --> 00:04:34,650 Cause right now, if you're looking for trades, if you're chomping 71 00:04:34,650 --> 00:04:36,300 at the bit, when are we going to look at the charts again? 72 00:04:36,300 --> 00:04:39,420 When we're going to go with the markets right now, if you do that, you know, 73 00:04:39,420 --> 00:04:41,090 it's not going to be a good idea. 74 00:04:41,370 --> 00:04:46,260 This time of day, this time of year still has a great deal of uncertainty. 75 00:04:46,260 --> 00:04:50,219 Right now this, every January they call it a January effect. 76 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:54,420 If you'd look at what typically takes place at the beginning of every year, 77 00:04:55,020 --> 00:04:59,550 there's usually a big sentiment idea built in either this an extreme bullishness 78 00:04:59,550 --> 00:05:00,960 or it's an extreme embarrassment. 79 00:05:01,740 --> 00:05:07,230 It can move into January and the February, um, that timeframe can lag 80 00:05:07,260 --> 00:05:10,409 a little bit, but generally around the first of the year, it usually 81 00:05:10,409 --> 00:05:12,659 sets the tone for an opposite effect. 82 00:05:13,170 --> 00:05:13,500 Okay. 83 00:05:13,650 --> 00:05:16,440 Um, and this is not an idea, but it was unique to me. 84 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:20,010 I learned this actually from listening to one of, um, Larry Williams. 85 00:05:20,985 --> 00:05:26,115 He did a real short kind of like a, he was a keynote speaker. 86 00:05:26,115 --> 00:05:31,125 He w he wasn't even the, the, the major draw, but he did a short little 87 00:05:31,844 --> 00:05:37,695 discussion on the fact that, uh, in the beginning of the year, January tends to 88 00:05:37,695 --> 00:05:40,755 create a extreme, like a sentiment idea. 89 00:05:41,145 --> 00:05:44,385 That would be a contrarian play prince. 90 00:05:44,385 --> 00:05:45,165 I'll give you an example. 91 00:05:45,525 --> 00:05:49,425 Um, if you're looking at the stock market right now, equities are well, 92 00:05:49,485 --> 00:05:51,435 they're going to be hitting 20,000 there. 93 00:05:51,435 --> 00:05:52,995 It's making new highs. 94 00:05:52,995 --> 00:05:54,465 It's, it's doing everything. 95 00:05:54,495 --> 00:05:58,745 You know, that every, every bowl dreams up, but it's doing it 96 00:05:58,745 --> 00:05:59,835 at the beginning of the year. 97 00:06:00,555 --> 00:06:03,885 And it's dealing at a time when we're getting a new president in office. 98 00:06:04,155 --> 00:06:07,784 And a whole lot of backroom deals are going on as one supposedly 99 00:06:07,784 --> 00:06:08,865 leaves the office and one's coming. 100 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:14,580 So all these ideas tend to create an extreme incentive. 101 00:06:15,060 --> 00:06:17,250 So usually that's signs of capitulation. 102 00:06:17,460 --> 00:06:19,100 That means that's probably near it. 103 00:06:19,100 --> 00:06:20,370 You blow off type move. 104 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:23,730 I personally believe the next drive up in equities is probably 105 00:06:23,730 --> 00:06:24,960 going to tap this thing. 106 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:26,610 And we're probably going to see it start coming down. 107 00:06:27,210 --> 00:06:30,870 Now, I don't mean that it's going to be, uh, end of stock trading, 108 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:36,360 but I do suspect we're going to have a very dramatic decline. 109 00:06:36,870 --> 00:06:37,590 Let's say it like that. 110 00:06:38,100 --> 00:06:39,360 Uh, you can label that crash. 111 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:43,080 You can label that, uh, Armageddon, whatever you want to call it. 112 00:06:43,110 --> 00:06:46,440 I just personally that, you know, we're going to probably see that, uh, this month 113 00:06:46,470 --> 00:06:50,460 and it's probably going to bleed into, you know, a number of months for 2017. 114 00:06:51,900 --> 00:06:56,220 So if we see that there is evidence in the past and you can go back 115 00:06:56,220 --> 00:07:00,150 forever, as long as you can get market data, uh, there is a element to the 116 00:07:00,150 --> 00:07:04,620 beginning of the year, generally setting up a really good time to trade 117 00:07:04,620 --> 00:07:06,540 where you have the sentiment extreme. 118 00:07:08,070 --> 00:07:10,980 In the form of if it's overly bullish going into the beginning of 119 00:07:10,980 --> 00:07:14,100 the year, generally we have a very sizable retracement or correction 120 00:07:14,100 --> 00:07:15,870 in sometimes in altogether reversal. 121 00:07:16,590 --> 00:07:21,180 And then in Melbourne, where there's markets that have been making moves lower 122 00:07:21,180 --> 00:07:25,320 in women primary, downtrends usually at the beginning of the year, there's usually 123 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:30,330 a really significant bounce or altogether or reversal look and see higher prices. 124 00:07:30,659 --> 00:07:32,190 Now it's not limited to the stock market. 125 00:07:32,190 --> 00:07:35,970 It's it's the element of this teaching today is I want you to think 126 00:07:35,970 --> 00:07:40,950 about the fact that not just the stock market alone, but all asset 127 00:07:40,950 --> 00:07:45,210 classes have a, uh, connection. 128 00:07:45,930 --> 00:07:48,390 Equities are in fact, connected to currencies. 129 00:07:48,780 --> 00:07:50,520 Commodities are connected to currencies. 130 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:53,520 Um, the bond market's connected to everything. 131 00:07:53,700 --> 00:07:55,680 All the interest rate markets are connected. 132 00:07:56,070 --> 00:08:00,000 Uh, the, the effects of one country's interest rate market 133 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:01,590 has another effect on other times. 134 00:08:02,804 --> 00:08:06,315 A lot of people don't realize that, but the U S bond market has a great deal 135 00:08:06,315 --> 00:08:08,625 to do with the European bond market. 136 00:08:08,895 --> 00:08:09,195 Okay. 137 00:08:09,224 --> 00:08:14,145 There there's telltale signs that if they're smart money entities out there, 138 00:08:14,474 --> 00:08:18,315 they don't just think, well, I'm only going to Patriot my own currency. 139 00:08:18,315 --> 00:08:22,275 I'm only going to invest in my own, uh, equity market. 140 00:08:22,275 --> 00:08:25,155 I'm only going to invest in my own interest rate market. 141 00:08:25,155 --> 00:08:26,924 I'm only going to invest in this. 142 00:08:26,955 --> 00:08:30,945 I'm only going to be one, one sided about the way I do things. 143 00:08:31,065 --> 00:08:33,704 Smart money is just like anyone else they're greedy. 144 00:08:34,005 --> 00:08:34,934 They want to make money. 145 00:08:35,324 --> 00:08:38,085 So they're going to put their money in allocations that have 146 00:08:38,324 --> 00:08:40,544 the best odds of having a return. 147 00:08:40,845 --> 00:08:43,454 That's why you have international investors, people that are 148 00:08:43,454 --> 00:08:44,235 outside of our country. 149 00:08:44,235 --> 00:08:47,985 They invest in stocks that are strong us equity. 150 00:08:47,995 --> 00:08:49,395 So they think about it. 151 00:08:49,814 --> 00:08:50,204 China. 152 00:08:50,204 --> 00:08:54,975 They invested in our, our debt, not so much now, but they were once 153 00:08:55,005 --> 00:08:56,805 the largest holder of our debt. 154 00:08:57,345 --> 00:08:57,555 So. 155 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:03,930 If you look at the grand scheme of things, you have to start there and it will 156 00:09:04,230 --> 00:09:09,390 be able to be reduced down to a lower timeframe on any and all asset classes. 157 00:09:09,390 --> 00:09:12,990 That'll give you the context of what you should be doing in your own trading. 158 00:09:14,770 --> 00:09:17,650 If you want high arch trading, if you want high probability trading, 159 00:09:17,740 --> 00:09:21,220 it has to come in the form of what the smart money is doing. 160 00:09:21,550 --> 00:09:23,140 You cannot arrive at that. 161 00:09:23,319 --> 00:09:27,069 Looking at 15 minute timeframes, you can't even arrive at an hourly chart. 162 00:09:27,490 --> 00:09:31,840 The only thing you're seeing is the confirmations or indications that 163 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:35,770 the higher timeframe levels and direction that they have already 164 00:09:35,770 --> 00:09:37,390 started positioning themselves in. 165 00:09:37,540 --> 00:09:41,199 That's the only time we take action, we've already seen evidence that 166 00:09:41,199 --> 00:09:45,490 they have positioned themselves on a higher timeframe basis on one side 167 00:09:45,490 --> 00:09:49,090 of the marketplace then, and only then do the lower timeframes matter. 168 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:49,780 That's it? 169 00:09:49,780 --> 00:09:51,490 That's, that's a big point right there. 170 00:09:51,670 --> 00:09:55,270 If you haven't made, made that notation in your notepad again, listen. 171 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,550 The lower timeframes are only significant. 172 00:09:59,910 --> 00:10:03,900 And these levels are only significant when they are in alignment with a higher 173 00:10:03,900 --> 00:10:05,670 timeframe, monthly, weekly, and daily. 174 00:10:06,330 --> 00:10:10,770 If you do not see any characteristics in the higher timeframe charts, 175 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:15,000 that section that would suggest to you that smart money's that play 176 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:15,930 on one side of the marketplace. 177 00:10:15,930 --> 00:10:17,550 And those are the, are they buying? 178 00:10:17,790 --> 00:10:19,530 Are they accumulating positions? 179 00:10:20,090 --> 00:10:24,900 If they are then only then do bullets or box do ideas of 180 00:10:24,900 --> 00:10:26,550 looking for sell stock runs, okay. 181 00:10:26,550 --> 00:10:31,530 Or pulling back into a fair value range that closing a gap or retracement for a 182 00:10:31,530 --> 00:10:35,490 bullish, optimal trade entry, all these types of things then, and only then do 183 00:10:35,490 --> 00:10:40,410 they matter if you don't think about the higher timeframe charts like this, you 184 00:10:40,410 --> 00:10:43,170 are going to miss every single explosive. 185 00:10:44,070 --> 00:10:47,550 It's going to evade you every single time, because you're going to be looking 186 00:10:47,550 --> 00:10:49,350 at these lower timeframes thinking. 187 00:10:49,530 --> 00:10:50,460 That's where the money's at. 188 00:10:50,490 --> 00:10:51,060 And it's not. 189 00:10:51,060 --> 00:10:54,900 I'm tying to tell you that this month, this is the money shot. 190 00:10:54,930 --> 00:10:58,560 You're looking for, where these things occur, how to get ready for them. 191 00:10:58,560 --> 00:10:59,250 Prepare for them. 192 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:03,000 It's in this whole entire month here because without this month, 193 00:11:03,030 --> 00:11:05,460 nothing has any context whatsoever. 194 00:11:05,670 --> 00:11:08,490 When I talk about day trading, you'll, you'll blow it. 195 00:11:08,490 --> 00:11:09,330 You'll lose money. 196 00:11:09,570 --> 00:11:12,150 As soon as you start trading life funds, you're going to lose money. 197 00:11:12,150 --> 00:11:14,970 If you don't use the information that's in this month, I'm 198 00:11:14,970 --> 00:11:16,620 guaranteeing and I'm promising you. 199 00:11:16,770 --> 00:11:18,930 You will lose your money. 200 00:11:19,290 --> 00:11:22,080 If you do not apply, what's being taught to you in January. 201 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:24,150 So don't think that, okay. 202 00:11:24,210 --> 00:11:26,370 I learned what I've learned in January. 203 00:11:26,610 --> 00:11:27,930 We covered everything in January. 204 00:11:28,110 --> 00:11:29,190 So I'm going to forget about that. 205 00:11:29,190 --> 00:11:31,740 Just give me the next video, Michael, give me the next teaching. 206 00:11:31,740 --> 00:11:33,000 Cause I'm going to trade with that stuff. 207 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:35,220 It all hinges on what you're learning here. 208 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:35,910 All right. 209 00:11:35,910 --> 00:11:40,170 So we have a major market from a institutional advantage. 210 00:11:41,235 --> 00:11:42,555 That's what we're focusing on today. 211 00:11:43,335 --> 00:11:46,515 Now in the first slide we talked about yesterday and was just on the screen. 212 00:11:46,515 --> 00:11:49,485 Now I mentioned chart layouts and tools. 213 00:11:49,785 --> 00:11:53,265 So what are they, what are we going to be doing to fared out 214 00:11:53,265 --> 00:11:54,495 and institutional vantage point? 215 00:11:54,975 --> 00:11:58,095 When I say institutional vantage point, I'm teaching you this 216 00:11:58,095 --> 00:12:02,265 month, how all large institutional players view the marketplace. 217 00:12:02,955 --> 00:12:04,095 They don't look at Fibonacci. 218 00:12:04,785 --> 00:12:05,805 You don't look across over. 219 00:12:05,805 --> 00:12:07,905 So moving averages down, do any of those types of things. 220 00:12:07,935 --> 00:12:08,295 Okay. 221 00:12:08,655 --> 00:12:12,555 They look at the data points that I'm going to give you in January. 222 00:12:13,335 --> 00:12:14,625 It's not a ton of thing. 223 00:12:15,464 --> 00:12:18,285 It's absolutely very binary. 224 00:12:18,285 --> 00:12:19,574 It's simple stuff. 225 00:12:19,574 --> 00:12:23,564 It's very, very simple, but it's going to require you to think, and 226 00:12:23,564 --> 00:12:24,795 it's going to require you to study. 227 00:12:25,214 --> 00:12:29,025 It's not going to be simply open up a chart, look for down candle. 228 00:12:29,045 --> 00:12:31,875 I'm going to buy if it touches that no, it's not going to be that easy folks. 229 00:12:31,905 --> 00:12:32,985 It's just not that easy. 230 00:12:33,435 --> 00:12:38,025 You need to be looking at things to judge whether or not, if there are 231 00:12:38,175 --> 00:12:41,415 characteristic and telltale signs that the smart money entities are 232 00:12:41,415 --> 00:12:45,045 in fact, engaging the marketplace on the buy side or the sell side. 233 00:12:45,824 --> 00:12:47,685 Because when you see these elements, that's going to 234 00:12:47,685 --> 00:12:49,395 be taught to you in January. 235 00:12:49,395 --> 00:12:54,555 There's going to be a very strong odds that you'll be able to 236 00:12:54,555 --> 00:12:56,175 determine what side of the open. 237 00:12:57,360 --> 00:12:58,410 The market's going to reach for it. 238 00:12:58,410 --> 00:12:59,400 And now what is open float? 239 00:12:59,430 --> 00:13:00,600 Here's a notepad moment. 240 00:13:00,630 --> 00:13:00,990 Okay. 241 00:13:01,470 --> 00:13:07,439 Open float is the existing open interest above or below current market action. 242 00:13:07,650 --> 00:13:12,390 So if we are trading at a level and we see signs that they are accumulating 243 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:16,080 or looking to be a buyer, they're buying up a specific asset class, 244 00:13:17,220 --> 00:13:22,260 we know that the open float is going to make a run on the buy-side. 245 00:13:23,180 --> 00:13:27,630 In other words, above the highest, most recently that's been made so that 246 00:13:27,630 --> 00:13:30,720 buy-side liquidity above the marketplace. 247 00:13:31,110 --> 00:13:31,380 Okay. 248 00:13:31,380 --> 00:13:35,189 For those that are short, they're going to make a run on that side of that market. 249 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:40,230 And if we've been trading at a particular level currently, and we see signs 250 00:13:40,230 --> 00:13:43,620 that they are distributing, okay, there's evidence that they're heavily 251 00:13:43,620 --> 00:13:45,660 distributing a specific asset class. 252 00:13:46,350 --> 00:13:49,830 When we see that we will have now a strong indication that they're gonna 253 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:51,030 be looking for the sell side liquidity. 254 00:13:51,130 --> 00:13:53,790 So the open float they're going to target the sell side of the market. 255 00:13:55,180 --> 00:14:00,040 Now, if you can do the work on these timeframes and sit on your hands and 256 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:03,490 stop in such a rush to get into these intraday charts and start trading. 257 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:04,270 Okay. 258 00:14:04,660 --> 00:14:07,900 I'm telling you a lot of the things that you're worrying about and the things 259 00:14:07,900 --> 00:14:14,590 that you're impatient about, they will be answered with this content, but it 260 00:14:14,590 --> 00:14:19,720 takes number one, trust that what I'm teaching you is the stuff that matters. 261 00:14:20,199 --> 00:14:23,590 Once you start seeing it and you go on through the charts, you'll 262 00:14:23,590 --> 00:14:27,640 know there's a lot of time that you should not be doing anything at all. 263 00:14:28,329 --> 00:14:30,610 If you're going to be only trading in high probability setups. 264 00:14:31,390 --> 00:14:35,650 Now, is there less probability setups that still could be taken with less risk 265 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:37,660 just to be engaging in the marketplace? 266 00:14:37,810 --> 00:14:38,980 Yes, there are. 267 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:43,210 But my question has always been, why are you worrying about those setups 268 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:47,410 when it's just so much easier to wait for the things that get in the line 269 00:14:47,620 --> 00:14:50,380 that allow you to high-probability setups with the lowest amount of. 270 00:14:52,135 --> 00:14:53,454 That's what you should be aiming for. 271 00:14:53,814 --> 00:14:57,954 Think about a smart money's not in there every single day, piling money in there 272 00:14:57,954 --> 00:15:00,875 doing more scaling in and scaling out. 273 00:15:00,895 --> 00:15:02,755 And they do anything of new positions. 274 00:15:03,385 --> 00:15:07,464 There isn't that many new positions occurring when a hard time chart, 275 00:15:08,155 --> 00:15:11,694 because the elephant has to work in net higher timeframe realm. 276 00:15:12,535 --> 00:15:16,795 They cannot facilitate their trades in short-term fluctuations. 277 00:15:17,964 --> 00:15:20,635 So if we know that we're going to have institutional sponsorship 278 00:15:20,635 --> 00:15:23,275 behind the moves, that means they're not going to move a little bit. 279 00:15:23,275 --> 00:15:24,805 They're going to move a great deal. 280 00:15:24,954 --> 00:15:26,425 You're going to have a lot more magnitude. 281 00:15:26,604 --> 00:15:27,714 They're going to move more in pips. 282 00:15:27,714 --> 00:15:30,895 They're gonna have more time to allow you to get in sync with that move. 283 00:15:31,974 --> 00:15:35,125 That's the importance of having this hard timeframe perspective, and it 284 00:15:35,125 --> 00:15:36,925 starts by having a view at the monthly. 285 00:15:38,734 --> 00:15:41,895 I don't care what asset class you're going to be talking about in your own trading. 286 00:15:42,155 --> 00:15:44,944 You may be here with the expectation that, yeah, you're going to learn how to 287 00:15:44,944 --> 00:15:48,935 trade Forex, but you're going to probably learn at the end of this teaching entire 288 00:15:48,935 --> 00:15:52,474 mentorship, you're going to, you know what, I'm probably going to be a commodity 289 00:15:52,474 --> 00:15:57,005 trader or I'm going to be a bond trader or I'm going to trade the indices. 290 00:15:57,005 --> 00:15:58,984 I understand that now it makes perfect sense to me. 291 00:15:59,015 --> 00:15:59,645 What's going on? 292 00:16:00,665 --> 00:16:05,435 Don't let me anytime during this mentorship, teach you to think about 293 00:16:05,435 --> 00:16:07,385 any one being better than the other. 294 00:16:08,375 --> 00:16:09,454 It's the same stuff. 295 00:16:10,714 --> 00:16:14,405 The same thing that smart money does when they accumulate or distribute. 296 00:16:14,765 --> 00:16:15,665 That's the same thing. 297 00:16:15,665 --> 00:16:19,685 In all asset classes, there's only, there's small, subtle nuances that 298 00:16:19,685 --> 00:16:22,474 go into specific asset classes. 299 00:16:22,474 --> 00:16:25,025 Like for instance, currencies, they have certain things 300 00:16:25,025 --> 00:16:26,045 that you have to be aware of. 301 00:16:26,255 --> 00:16:27,305 And bonds have certain things. 302 00:16:27,305 --> 00:16:28,805 You have to be aware of stocks. 303 00:16:28,805 --> 00:16:33,275 They have opens and closes the sessions end and you have to restart and they 304 00:16:33,275 --> 00:16:35,015 can create gaps in the stock price. 305 00:16:36,935 --> 00:16:40,265 All these little subtle nuances are covered, but everything 306 00:16:40,295 --> 00:16:41,435 generally is the same. 307 00:16:41,735 --> 00:16:46,625 So if we start with a macro view with a monthly chart, you're going to be 308 00:16:46,625 --> 00:16:50,945 able to pull out a lot of information that you don't think of right now. 309 00:16:51,814 --> 00:16:53,255 And I'll ask you a question rhetorically. 310 00:16:53,255 --> 00:16:57,785 I'm not asking you to respond in the live session, but rhetorically. 311 00:16:57,785 --> 00:16:58,595 I'm asking you this. 312 00:16:58,595 --> 00:17:02,255 How many times in the last 10 trades, whether it be demo or 313 00:17:02,255 --> 00:17:06,545 live, have you consulted with the monthly chart is telling you 314 00:17:09,575 --> 00:17:11,494 how many times have you consulted the weekly chart? 315 00:17:13,675 --> 00:17:15,655 Chances are probably very little of you. 316 00:17:17,425 --> 00:17:22,405 Those two timeframes, right there is exactly where all of the large 317 00:17:22,405 --> 00:17:26,815 funds are indicating what side of the marketplace they're working and 318 00:17:26,815 --> 00:17:28,105 you'll know where they're stopping. 319 00:17:29,345 --> 00:17:31,805 And if you know where their stops are, you know, where the central 320 00:17:31,805 --> 00:17:35,105 bank is going to make their runs against that because that's the 321 00:17:35,105 --> 00:17:36,845 only liquidity they can work with. 322 00:17:38,225 --> 00:17:38,765 Think about it. 323 00:17:39,725 --> 00:17:42,245 They can't work with us in a retail realm. 324 00:17:42,635 --> 00:17:47,465 We're not even in the same playing field, but everyone teaches it's them against 325 00:17:47,465 --> 00:17:49,655 us when it's really not them against us. 326 00:17:50,195 --> 00:17:53,285 It's the banks against the large players. 327 00:17:53,585 --> 00:17:54,755 That's the real game. 328 00:17:54,935 --> 00:17:56,345 We're spectators in that. 329 00:17:56,885 --> 00:17:59,975 And we can be a part of it from a side bet standpoint. 330 00:18:01,445 --> 00:18:04,745 So if we're looking at these hard playing Frank charts, we're looking 331 00:18:04,745 --> 00:18:10,175 for clues and evidences that there are major movements by these smart money 332 00:18:10,175 --> 00:18:17,585 players then, and only then do we refine these ideas into a daily timeframe? 333 00:18:17,825 --> 00:18:22,565 So the daily chart is going to give us the executable levels that we 334 00:18:22,565 --> 00:18:24,005 should be looking for our entries on. 335 00:18:24,455 --> 00:18:27,545 That means if you're a day trader those levels are on your daily. 336 00:18:28,425 --> 00:18:33,885 If you're a scalper there on your daily chart, if you are a swing trader, 337 00:18:34,274 --> 00:18:38,264 those position levels for execution and entry are on your daily chart. 338 00:18:40,455 --> 00:18:44,834 You're looking for that all to occur on a five minute chart, one minute 339 00:18:44,834 --> 00:18:47,445 chart, 30 minute chart, an hourly chart. 340 00:18:48,314 --> 00:18:53,625 They can be used to refine and reduce risk, but the general setup isn't 341 00:18:53,625 --> 00:18:55,875 that it's sound on the daily chart. 342 00:18:56,804 --> 00:19:01,754 Everything you're looking for is on that daily timeframe because the banks are 343 00:19:01,754 --> 00:19:06,855 referring to that daily highs and lows inter week highs and lows last week's 344 00:19:06,855 --> 00:19:09,314 high and low, monthly, high, and low. 345 00:19:10,245 --> 00:19:14,084 The last three months, high and low what's the six month high and low, 346 00:19:15,074 --> 00:19:16,844 the last 12 months, high and low. 347 00:19:17,594 --> 00:19:19,695 Then you go into multi-year highs and lows. 348 00:19:21,465 --> 00:19:25,245 All those levels are going to be what the institutions worry about. 349 00:19:26,070 --> 00:19:31,230 Getting new positions on or off the funds because they are predominantly 350 00:19:31,230 --> 00:19:32,760 trend following in nature. 351 00:19:33,210 --> 00:19:36,600 They're going to be looking for ways to get in sync with a longterm 352 00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:38,550 up move or longterm down move. 353 00:19:38,850 --> 00:19:42,210 They do not have an interest in trading and consolidate range markets. 354 00:19:42,510 --> 00:19:43,800 So now what does that indicate? 355 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:47,370 Think about this now, this is a new pat moment folks. 356 00:19:47,370 --> 00:19:50,460 If you're for often a distance that we're doing laundry right 357 00:19:50,460 --> 00:19:52,620 now, and you need to be paying attention because this is important. 358 00:19:53,220 --> 00:19:57,630 If we know that there are elements to smart money getting involved, 359 00:19:59,070 --> 00:20:04,860 what telltale signs will we see that gets us into an idea that 360 00:20:04,860 --> 00:20:05,910 they're bullish or bearish? 361 00:20:08,220 --> 00:20:13,560 Well, you learn it by going over your charts for a least a year, you 362 00:20:13,570 --> 00:20:18,270 got to have at least a full year's worth of data on your daily chart. 363 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:25,365 If you look at your daily chart over a full 12 month, I want you 364 00:20:25,365 --> 00:20:31,815 to die, dissect that full year of delivery of data on a daily chart 365 00:20:32,295 --> 00:20:34,215 in three to four month increments. 366 00:20:34,274 --> 00:20:36,465 Now here's, it's up to you to do this. 367 00:20:37,004 --> 00:20:38,055 And I cycled back and forth. 368 00:20:38,055 --> 00:20:43,784 When I do this type of analysis, as you'll see in the teachings this weekend, the 12 369 00:20:43,784 --> 00:20:48,764 months intervals, obviously you can have four, three months or three, four months. 370 00:20:50,145 --> 00:20:53,805 It doesn't work exactly like every three months, it goes up and makes it high. 371 00:20:53,805 --> 00:20:56,504 And every three months it goes down, it makes it low. 372 00:20:56,504 --> 00:20:59,024 It doesn't work like that, but it doesn't not do that at all. 373 00:21:00,045 --> 00:21:04,545 But if you divide what has happened over the last three months or 374 00:21:04,545 --> 00:21:07,935 the last four months, so it's a range of three to four months. 375 00:21:08,985 --> 00:21:10,965 You do that over the whole calendar year. 376 00:21:11,685 --> 00:21:14,355 If you do this number one, you're going to. 377 00:21:15,419 --> 00:21:16,889 Divide the marketplace. 378 00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:17,639 Okay. 379 00:21:17,639 --> 00:21:19,379 In study points and reference points. 380 00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:21,659 And I want you to do this as homework. 381 00:21:21,659 --> 00:21:23,639 I'm gonna actually give you homework in the next slide. 382 00:21:23,669 --> 00:21:25,590 It tells you what I'm wanting you to do. 383 00:21:25,810 --> 00:21:26,060 That way. 384 00:21:26,060 --> 00:21:28,830 We can compare notes when I'm delivering the content in the 385 00:21:28,830 --> 00:21:30,209 two, uh, teaching sessions. 386 00:21:30,419 --> 00:21:33,520 You see if you saw these types of things that I'm talking about in the 387 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:38,850 teachings, but you want to look at price and what are you looking at? 388 00:21:39,149 --> 00:21:39,449 Okay. 389 00:21:39,449 --> 00:21:40,800 Well, think about it like this. 390 00:21:40,980 --> 00:21:42,360 Um, look at the dollar index. 391 00:21:42,360 --> 00:21:42,750 This one. 392 00:21:43,709 --> 00:21:43,980 Okay. 393 00:21:44,010 --> 00:21:45,689 Or it could be the stock market. 394 00:21:46,620 --> 00:21:46,770 Okay. 395 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:50,129 You can, uh, it could be anything in particular. 396 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,070 It doesn't have to be a, um, an entity. 397 00:21:53,129 --> 00:21:54,540 It could be a specific currency. 398 00:21:54,780 --> 00:21:56,219 It could be a specific stock. 399 00:21:57,090 --> 00:22:01,169 It doesn't have to be in, just think about this as a broad brush idea, because 400 00:22:01,169 --> 00:22:03,149 it's a macro institutional vantage point. 401 00:22:03,870 --> 00:22:05,459 It's the same thing. 402 00:22:06,179 --> 00:22:09,719 No matter what you're trading, if it's tradable and you can make 403 00:22:09,719 --> 00:22:11,639 money on it and you can speculate. 404 00:22:12,585 --> 00:22:14,205 It's the same process. 405 00:22:14,415 --> 00:22:18,645 Market makers do not do different things because it's different asset class. 406 00:22:19,095 --> 00:22:20,175 It's the same model. 407 00:22:20,925 --> 00:22:22,035 Absolutely the same model. 408 00:22:22,665 --> 00:22:24,705 So it comes by way of the central bank. 409 00:22:24,735 --> 00:22:26,715 The central bank makes the rules for all this stuff. 410 00:22:27,435 --> 00:22:28,605 That's why they want to put their hands in. 411 00:22:28,605 --> 00:22:30,915 Everybody goes this country because they pulled strings. 412 00:22:31,635 --> 00:22:33,345 So they call the shots on how it's done. 413 00:22:33,735 --> 00:22:38,955 And if you look at every three to four months intervals over the calendar year 414 00:22:38,955 --> 00:22:43,065 of 12 months on a daily chart, divide your chart up with vertical lines. 415 00:22:43,275 --> 00:22:43,695 Okay. 416 00:22:44,055 --> 00:22:47,985 You're going to have every three months, there's going to be a vertical line and 417 00:22:47,985 --> 00:22:50,235 then print out another copy of that chart. 418 00:22:50,504 --> 00:22:51,315 Literally printed out. 419 00:22:51,315 --> 00:22:54,825 Don't have it on your screen, print it out and do one where 420 00:22:54,825 --> 00:22:55,965 you have every four months. 421 00:22:56,205 --> 00:22:56,415 Okay. 422 00:22:56,415 --> 00:23:00,915 So you have three divisions for every four months and then you'll have four 423 00:23:00,915 --> 00:23:02,504 divisions for three months into roles. 424 00:23:02,685 --> 00:23:02,955 Okay. 425 00:23:02,955 --> 00:23:06,345 And what you're going to be looking for is signs and evidences that 426 00:23:06,345 --> 00:23:07,395 there's smart money at work. 427 00:23:07,725 --> 00:23:10,245 Now, when you see an accumulation. 428 00:23:12,179 --> 00:23:14,370 The market stops, making lower lows. 429 00:23:14,939 --> 00:23:15,240 Okay. 430 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:16,470 And then starts moving higher. 431 00:23:16,530 --> 00:23:16,919 Yes. 432 00:23:16,919 --> 00:23:18,210 It's a hindsight exercise. 433 00:23:18,780 --> 00:23:21,179 You cannot learn this going forward. 434 00:23:21,179 --> 00:23:23,790 You have to see what it looks like to see the fingerprint. 435 00:23:24,659 --> 00:23:27,570 It's the same as anything else that's ever been taught to you. 436 00:23:27,750 --> 00:23:32,580 You have to see what the outcome or the output should look like. 437 00:23:33,060 --> 00:23:35,700 Otherwise you don't know if you're getting the result you're supposed to be getting. 438 00:23:36,450 --> 00:23:40,740 So by studying the marketplace over the last 12 months in any asset 439 00:23:40,740 --> 00:23:42,629 class, it doesn't matter what it is. 440 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:46,230 You're looking for signs that when the market has in fact made 441 00:23:46,230 --> 00:23:49,530 a turn in this case, we're using the example of accumulation. 442 00:23:50,429 --> 00:23:54,570 If the market stops making lower lows and then starts moving higher at that 443 00:23:54,570 --> 00:23:59,460 low, there's going to be, there's going to be fingerprints and like evidences 444 00:23:59,460 --> 00:24:01,770 that, that, that low was forming. 445 00:24:02,610 --> 00:24:04,080 You may not have been trading it. 446 00:24:04,110 --> 00:24:06,419 You may not even have been, uh, been aware of it. 447 00:24:06,629 --> 00:24:09,480 You may have actually had a trade that you didn't see that occur 448 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:10,439 and maybe ended up having to lose. 449 00:24:12,180 --> 00:24:13,710 That's not the, that's not the point of this. 450 00:24:13,710 --> 00:24:17,610 The point is I need you to go into these higher timeframe charts to look 451 00:24:17,610 --> 00:24:19,950 for these signs, the signs, okay. 452 00:24:19,950 --> 00:24:23,910 That show you that they are in the move and transitioning 453 00:24:23,910 --> 00:24:25,740 into another price swing. 454 00:24:25,860 --> 00:24:31,230 That's going to last several months when you're looking at the lows in 455 00:24:31,230 --> 00:24:34,440 an asset class, for instance, and we're going to talk about stocks for 456 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:38,160 a moment because it's the easiest one to teach this concept with. 457 00:24:38,970 --> 00:24:42,660 If you think about how I teach stock trading, I only teach the highest 458 00:24:42,660 --> 00:24:47,190 probability time of trading is the fall between September and November. 459 00:24:48,060 --> 00:24:51,270 In that timeframe, the market's going to make a low, I don't 460 00:24:51,270 --> 00:24:52,530 care what year you trade. 461 00:24:52,530 --> 00:24:53,580 It's going to do it now. 462 00:24:53,610 --> 00:24:57,660 I didn't personally trade this past fall because I, I, my personal 463 00:24:57,660 --> 00:25:00,000 belief was there's going to be a great deal of uncertainty. 464 00:25:00,360 --> 00:25:03,750 And while I missed a good deal of moves, I'm okay with it. 465 00:25:03,780 --> 00:25:07,410 I'm not considering, uh, you know, beating myself up about, I stuck to my 466 00:25:07,950 --> 00:25:11,130 convictions and didn't want to do majority of the trading I would normally do. 467 00:25:11,550 --> 00:25:16,590 But I shared on the YouTube channel, you had some of the stocks that would 468 00:25:16,590 --> 00:25:21,060 have been fair to that using that system and method it, in fact, pulled you 469 00:25:21,060 --> 00:25:25,260 right to the very ones that smart money was buying the accumulation pattern. 470 00:25:25,650 --> 00:25:25,980 Okay. 471 00:25:25,980 --> 00:25:27,510 And this is what you want to write down in your notes. 472 00:25:28,140 --> 00:25:33,360 The accumulation pattern by smart money is failing to make lower lows. 473 00:25:34,290 --> 00:25:40,919 When you're comparing that with correlated asset pairs or asset model, And I'll 474 00:25:40,919 --> 00:25:43,710 give you an example, and then we're gonna use the stock market as an example. 475 00:25:44,190 --> 00:25:46,290 And I'm going to tell you how to use this going into your homework. 476 00:25:46,290 --> 00:25:49,110 So that way, you know exactly what you're going to be doing, but for the 477 00:25:49,110 --> 00:25:52,379 stock market, let's just say, we're looking at the Dow Jones industrial. 478 00:25:53,250 --> 00:25:55,350 Now some of you are saying, I don't wanna hear about this, Michael. 479 00:25:55,350 --> 00:25:57,750 I'm only interested in Bitcoin and currencies. 480 00:25:58,379 --> 00:26:00,330 Again, it's the same stuff. 481 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,149 Just apply it to whatever asset class you're going to specialize in. 482 00:26:03,690 --> 00:26:08,159 But for discussion purposes, say we're only looking at the Dow Jones industrial. 483 00:26:08,820 --> 00:26:09,060 Okay. 484 00:26:09,090 --> 00:26:13,290 So that's an NSC that measures the collective and cumulative average of 485 00:26:13,710 --> 00:26:20,520 the movement higher or lower on specific 30 stocks, big blue chip companies. 486 00:26:20,820 --> 00:26:22,080 These stocks make money. 487 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:23,040 They're really in business. 488 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,030 They make money there. 489 00:26:24,070 --> 00:26:27,629 They're used every single day by other companies or people 490 00:26:27,750 --> 00:26:28,919 when we sell on a daily basis. 491 00:26:29,370 --> 00:26:32,159 So they are real profiting companies. 492 00:26:32,820 --> 00:26:35,190 They do commerce it's they're real entities. 493 00:26:35,190 --> 00:26:36,720 That means something they're not penny stocks. 494 00:26:37,139 --> 00:26:37,379 So. 495 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,790 If we're looking at the Dow Jones industrial, and we have an expectation 496 00:26:41,790 --> 00:26:46,980 that there may be some buying in a Dow Jones, industrial average, and a 497 00:26:46,990 --> 00:26:50,070 level that we suspect there should be support coming into the marketplace. 498 00:26:51,570 --> 00:26:56,280 If we go into the individual 30 stocks that make up the industry, when we start 499 00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:01,260 seeing a number of those stocks failing to make lower lows, what is that indicating? 500 00:27:02,850 --> 00:27:05,070 Is it indicating that they just didn't get enough sellers? 501 00:27:07,750 --> 00:27:14,889 No, the smart money accumulation pattern is at a time when the expectation is 502 00:27:14,889 --> 00:27:20,439 bullish markets that fail to make lower lows, they failed to make a lower low 503 00:27:20,439 --> 00:27:25,120 because of the demand that behind it, they have to be bought at a higher price. 504 00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:26,889 Think about it. 505 00:27:27,580 --> 00:27:30,939 What's in, what's in high demand right now, you know, is it, 506 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:36,129 uh, a 1987 Camaro or the 2017? 507 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:38,880 Of course, it's going to be the new card. 508 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,250 They're the, they're the ones that everyone wants to drive. 509 00:27:41,250 --> 00:27:42,450 That's that's where everyone wants it. 510 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:47,790 So the value isn't going to decline when there's more demand for it, 511 00:27:48,540 --> 00:27:50,250 it's going to be kept at a premium. 512 00:27:51,060 --> 00:27:53,790 So they're going to be buying, buying, buying, buying, buying, and the fact 513 00:27:53,790 --> 00:27:58,740 that the price fails to make a lower low, that is professional accumulation. 514 00:27:58,770 --> 00:28:01,200 That is a sign that smart money's accumulating that. 515 00:28:01,770 --> 00:28:07,080 So if you start seeing a number of stocks in these 30 stocks failing to 516 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:10,200 make a lower low at a time, when you think that the Dow Jones should be 517 00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:17,650 going higher, it is because you actually have evidence that the individual 518 00:28:17,650 --> 00:28:19,870 stocks are being bought by smart money. 519 00:28:20,830 --> 00:28:22,450 They're not making lower lows. 520 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:27,370 That's what creates that divergence pattern, that same things 521 00:28:27,370 --> 00:28:30,100 applied with the macro indices. 522 00:28:30,790 --> 00:28:33,550 You have the Dow Jones, industrial, the NASA composite, 523 00:28:33,730 --> 00:28:35,120 and you have the S and P five. 524 00:28:36,360 --> 00:28:42,810 If you are seeing these three composite index making lower lows, but one of 525 00:28:42,810 --> 00:28:44,220 them fails to make that lower, low. 526 00:28:44,430 --> 00:28:48,810 Again, that's that hallmark symbol of smart money accumulation. 527 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:56,730 It's telling you that somebody, a collective group of large entities that 528 00:28:56,730 --> 00:29:00,120 have a lot more money than us are coming into the marketplace and they're buying. 529 00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:06,270 So if they're not letting the indices work together and make lower lows, that 530 00:29:06,270 --> 00:29:07,860 means somebody is buying something. 531 00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:10,650 And then you've got to go and start doing some more research. 532 00:29:10,890 --> 00:29:11,790 What are they buying? 533 00:29:11,850 --> 00:29:13,860 What are the stocks that are failing to make lower lows? 534 00:29:15,270 --> 00:29:18,780 That same thing now can be applied in reverse. 535 00:29:19,650 --> 00:29:22,560 Now, when you look at the market, in terms of, again, we're 536 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:23,430 going to use the stock market. 537 00:29:23,430 --> 00:29:26,220 As an example of the Dow Jones, industrial average is making higher 538 00:29:26,220 --> 00:29:31,680 highs, but it hits a level you anticipate seeing as resistance seasonal. 539 00:29:32,460 --> 00:29:36,870 Uh, time for a stock market to decline around July going into August. 540 00:29:36,900 --> 00:29:39,540 Usually that's a real good time to be a seller in the equity 541 00:29:39,540 --> 00:29:41,940 market that time of year. 542 00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:45,510 If it hits the resistance level, go into the individual, Dow 30 543 00:29:45,510 --> 00:29:48,780 stocks and look at the ones that are failing to make lower highs. 544 00:29:49,470 --> 00:29:50,610 I'm sorry, fail to make a higher high. 545 00:29:50,850 --> 00:29:53,490 So you're going to have lower highs where other stocks that have been leadership 546 00:29:53,490 --> 00:29:57,480 issues, they're making higher highs to make that Dow Jones and Justo go up. 547 00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:04,500 But the weaker stocks that fail to make higher highs, they're indicating that they 548 00:30:04,500 --> 00:30:05,910 are the ones that are being distributed. 549 00:30:07,050 --> 00:30:10,590 If you can see that happen in existing downtrending markets, 550 00:30:10,590 --> 00:30:13,800 you have a lock loaded deal for a perfect shorting opportunity because 551 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:18,150 you're selling short in an already pre-existing weak market or weak stock. 552 00:30:18,900 --> 00:30:20,610 And they're showing you that they're distributing it ahead. 553 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,510 How can you use this information in the currency market? 554 00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:29,649 Well, if you're looking at the dollar index, what we do is we go 555 00:30:29,649 --> 00:30:32,980 through the marketplace in the same way, over the course of a full year, 556 00:30:33,399 --> 00:30:37,210 we're going to break down a daily chart in quadrants or in thirds every 557 00:30:37,210 --> 00:30:38,889 three months or every four months. 558 00:30:39,159 --> 00:30:42,610 And we're looking for these quarterly shifts that take place. 559 00:30:44,179 --> 00:30:47,649 The dollar index makes a significant enemy in term high, and it starts 560 00:30:47,649 --> 00:30:49,000 to trade lower for several months. 561 00:30:49,030 --> 00:30:52,419 Then it makes a short term, intermediate term, low, not short-term, you 562 00:30:52,419 --> 00:30:54,940 know what I mean, term low, and then it starts to trade higher. 563 00:30:55,330 --> 00:30:55,750 Okay. 564 00:30:56,020 --> 00:30:59,889 What we're looking for is every three, the four months, there's a 565 00:30:59,889 --> 00:31:06,010 significant intermediate term price swing that intermediate term price 566 00:31:06,010 --> 00:31:09,460 swing the curves on the daily chart off of levels that are arrived at 567 00:31:09,460 --> 00:31:10,690 on the weekly and the monthly chart. 568 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:13,330 So you're looking at levels. 569 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:18,940 Border blocks, stop runs on monthly and weekly levels and transposing 570 00:31:18,940 --> 00:31:20,169 those ideas onto a daily time. 571 00:31:21,300 --> 00:31:24,240 But then you're breaking down your daily chart into thirds 572 00:31:24,419 --> 00:31:25,979 every three to four months. 573 00:31:27,570 --> 00:31:30,629 And then you're gonna look for what that has done in the past. 574 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:33,389 And here's another exercise don't just use this last 12 months. 575 00:31:34,050 --> 00:31:36,540 Go back as much as your personal time will allow you. 576 00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:40,229 And you'll see that there are major significant turning points in the 577 00:31:40,229 --> 00:31:42,030 marketplace at these intervals. 578 00:31:43,020 --> 00:31:44,790 Now I know some of you were saying, there's somebody in 579 00:31:44,790 --> 00:31:46,110 here that rather still cynical. 580 00:31:46,469 --> 00:31:47,219 Well, that's all great. 581 00:31:47,219 --> 00:31:48,330 Michael it's too broad brush. 582 00:31:48,330 --> 00:31:49,080 It's too vague. 583 00:31:49,409 --> 00:31:49,830 Okay. 584 00:31:50,939 --> 00:31:53,010 We haven't completed the teaching yet. 585 00:31:53,459 --> 00:31:57,270 I'm getting you thinking like an institutional perspective. 586 00:31:57,330 --> 00:32:01,979 You got to have these ideas on a macro level, condense it down to a small 587 00:32:01,979 --> 00:32:06,870 timeframe for high probability, low risk, but for a dollar index trading. 588 00:32:07,530 --> 00:32:07,770 Okay. 589 00:32:07,780 --> 00:32:08,729 Or currency trading. 590 00:32:09,750 --> 00:32:12,990 What we do is we go into the dollar index and we can look at our monthly levels. 591 00:32:13,260 --> 00:32:17,100 We look at our monthly, um, are we at a premium or are we at a 592 00:32:17,100 --> 00:32:18,990 discount on a monthly level or what? 593 00:32:18,990 --> 00:32:19,229 A monthly. 594 00:32:20,310 --> 00:32:23,820 Where are we in terms of the current range? 595 00:32:24,990 --> 00:32:26,790 Are we really suppressed and low? 596 00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:31,650 Well, chances are, if we see a resistance level, does it have a great 597 00:32:31,650 --> 00:32:33,150 deal of probability on a daily chart? 598 00:32:34,230 --> 00:32:36,900 Maybe not good, but probably not. 599 00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:39,090 Same thing occurs with a weekly chart. 600 00:32:39,180 --> 00:32:45,870 If we are in the last bit of a significant movement, lower in the 601 00:32:45,870 --> 00:32:47,340 weekly charts, then trading lower. 602 00:32:47,610 --> 00:32:52,530 And then we see a weekly level that would be indicated as resistance. 603 00:32:52,860 --> 00:32:53,280 Okay. 604 00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:58,230 Does that have high probability over a potential weekly support level? 605 00:32:58,710 --> 00:33:02,700 Because think about it, we're now at a real deep discount on the monthly 606 00:33:02,700 --> 00:33:04,950 and on the weekly chart as an example. 607 00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,350 So what would that indicate for a daily timeframe? 608 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:12,120 Probabilities are really high that if we see some indication that they're 609 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,900 buying, or they have some buying come in failing to make a lower, low. 610 00:33:17,475 --> 00:33:22,155 And the dollar while the farm furnaces, Euro and cable make higher highs 611 00:33:22,545 --> 00:33:23,805 suddenly, what does that indicate? 612 00:33:23,955 --> 00:33:28,665 Now you have a fingerprint that you have a discount on a monthly chart. 613 00:33:28,875 --> 00:33:30,075 You've been trading lower. 614 00:33:30,075 --> 00:33:33,135 You get to a level where there should be support and the weekly 615 00:33:33,135 --> 00:33:34,365 chart it's been trading lower. 616 00:33:34,365 --> 00:33:35,805 So we're now at a discount as well. 617 00:33:35,805 --> 00:33:36,885 And on the weekly chart. 618 00:33:37,455 --> 00:33:39,765 And even though if the weekly chart looks like it's hitting 619 00:33:39,765 --> 00:33:42,735 some kind of a resistance level, does that mean that to sell? 620 00:33:42,825 --> 00:33:47,835 No, because you're already low on the discount, the premium range. 621 00:33:48,405 --> 00:33:52,245 So if you're in discount, that means prices over sold basically. 622 00:33:52,245 --> 00:33:52,995 So say it like that. 623 00:33:53,385 --> 00:33:57,225 We don't use indicators that determine overbought and oversold, but in terms 624 00:33:57,225 --> 00:34:00,825 of the range where we've traded on these timeframes, the higher timeframe, if 625 00:34:00,825 --> 00:34:05,355 it's really been trading lower and just because we're at a resistance level on 626 00:34:05,355 --> 00:34:09,074 a monthly or a weekly timeframe does not mean that that's a good selling 627 00:34:09,074 --> 00:34:10,635 point for a daily or any of the time. 628 00:34:11,865 --> 00:34:15,405 It means to me, I start going in there and looking for justifications 629 00:34:15,405 --> 00:34:16,725 for them to be accumulating. 630 00:34:17,534 --> 00:34:20,775 And I look for signs that they're accumulating around a specific level, 631 00:34:20,775 --> 00:34:24,195 that we arrived at a monthly and weekly chart and transpose those 632 00:34:24,195 --> 00:34:25,665 levels onto a daily timeframe. 633 00:34:27,195 --> 00:34:32,565 Then I wait, I'm waiting for that element that they have answered the marketplace. 634 00:34:32,565 --> 00:34:33,045 What is that? 635 00:34:33,255 --> 00:34:34,425 That's displacement. 636 00:34:34,935 --> 00:34:38,625 The market will suddenly create a big boom that will rock it up. 637 00:34:39,465 --> 00:34:41,025 You may anticipate it coming. 638 00:34:41,745 --> 00:34:43,005 You don't have to see it coming. 639 00:34:43,005 --> 00:34:47,445 You just wait for it to occur when it does you now go right back into 640 00:34:47,445 --> 00:34:48,855 where it just recently rallied Trump. 641 00:34:50,054 --> 00:34:52,514 The bullshitter bought the last down candle. 642 00:34:52,695 --> 00:34:57,345 And when that comes back down into that bullish candle on a daily timeframe, 643 00:34:57,585 --> 00:35:05,475 you now have the most significant entry point for low risk high probability. 644 00:35:05,655 --> 00:35:08,505 And it's a loaded deal because the monthly and the weekly artists. 645 00:35:10,230 --> 00:35:14,250 You've already seen the market show an unwillingness to respect that suppose at 646 00:35:14,250 --> 00:35:19,049 higher timeframe resistance level, because it's now shown it wants to go higher. 647 00:35:19,259 --> 00:35:22,830 And then when it trades back down to that same level where they moved away from 648 00:35:23,700 --> 00:35:29,310 the impulse saying impulse price swing, that idea is that you now know that they 649 00:35:29,310 --> 00:35:34,410 have bought everyone else is going to see that as a selling opportunity because 650 00:35:34,410 --> 00:35:37,680 the month and the weekly are in down trends, that does not equate to that. 651 00:35:38,310 --> 00:35:41,609 And that doesn't, it doesn't mean that it means that you're looking for 652 00:35:41,609 --> 00:35:48,120 the next move on the daily chart for this new third or fourth quadrant. 653 00:35:48,149 --> 00:35:50,879 That's over time, you're going to divide your chart in the 654 00:35:50,879 --> 00:35:52,890 three to four month intervals. 655 00:35:53,669 --> 00:35:56,310 And all we're trying to do is look for the next three months out. 656 00:35:57,029 --> 00:35:58,020 It says that's all we're doing. 657 00:35:58,230 --> 00:36:03,000 We're trying to anticipate and forecast where the highest probable 658 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,100 direction is going to be over the next three to three to four. 659 00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,810 You don't need every bit of that range to be moving in your direction. 660 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:11,910 You don't, it's not, it's not the intended purpose. 661 00:36:12,930 --> 00:36:13,560 Now think about it. 662 00:36:13,890 --> 00:36:19,290 If we divide our range in the form of every three to four months, 663 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:24,299 that means we have about a month and a half or two months of 664 00:36:24,299 --> 00:36:26,220 potential one-sided price action. 665 00:36:26,730 --> 00:36:31,200 If everything worked in cyclical fashion, it goes up and it goes down. 666 00:36:31,290 --> 00:36:33,420 Well, how long did that whole integral take place? 667 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:37,380 If it takes a month to do it, the halfway point would be two weeks. 668 00:36:37,950 --> 00:36:43,500 Well, if we're looking for a shift in the marketplace to go higher and 669 00:36:43,500 --> 00:36:45,900 we're expecting some accumulation to come into the marketplace, and that 670 00:36:45,900 --> 00:36:50,009 means they're buying, that means the dollar index is in this case. 671 00:36:50,009 --> 00:36:53,910 We're looking at dollar, say the dollar index fails to make a lower low when all 672 00:36:53,910 --> 00:36:55,290 the foreign currencies make higher highs. 673 00:36:55,650 --> 00:36:59,370 That's that smart money technique that we use SMT divergence. 674 00:37:00,029 --> 00:37:04,080 If that occurs at a time when the month and the weekly discount line. 675 00:37:05,220 --> 00:37:08,880 And it blows through, will they be seen as some measure of resistance? 676 00:37:09,720 --> 00:37:10,170 Okay. 677 00:37:10,230 --> 00:37:12,870 I want a higher timeframe level and you're probably asking how can it be 678 00:37:12,870 --> 00:37:16,800 trading at a resistance level, Michael, if it's at a discount, because if it 679 00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:22,290 broke down below a previous low, what does support resistance teach us that 680 00:37:22,290 --> 00:37:24,390 that broken support is now resistance. 681 00:37:25,290 --> 00:37:32,670 I love trading those ideas because I think that is the biggest losing setup because 682 00:37:32,670 --> 00:37:36,870 everybody thinks these long-term trends are all straight lines and they're not. 683 00:37:38,100 --> 00:37:43,110 So if we can buy at a time when the marketplace is gone below an old, low 684 00:37:43,230 --> 00:37:46,140 on the monthly and weekly, it's going to trade back up to that old low. 685 00:37:46,860 --> 00:37:51,210 But if it's been trading for awhile, we're going to be really suppressed in 686 00:37:51,210 --> 00:37:57,480 a discount condition and then market can trade a lot on a daily timeframe and still 687 00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:02,400 maintain its bearishness we've already taught many times before it goes, not 688 00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:03,570 just right to the bottom of the load. 689 00:38:04,605 --> 00:38:07,395 Like support broken turns, resistance ideas teach us. 690 00:38:07,785 --> 00:38:12,045 Sometimes they go through that level a little bit and he reaching a deep and 691 00:38:12,045 --> 00:38:15,105 then it could still end up rolling over and continue with lower, but in a daily 692 00:38:15,105 --> 00:38:19,995 timeframe that could be hundreds of pips or hundreds of points in an industry. 693 00:38:20,714 --> 00:38:24,165 It could be a lot of range that could capture big money. 694 00:38:25,335 --> 00:38:29,595 So if we're looking at these movements every three to four months, what we're 695 00:38:29,595 --> 00:38:36,585 really identifying is I want to know where the next three to four weeks movement is 696 00:38:36,674 --> 00:38:38,984 because it's a half-life of that cycle. 697 00:38:40,274 --> 00:38:44,595 If we're looking at four months as are our horizon, half of that's two months. 698 00:38:45,765 --> 00:38:48,855 Well, if we're looking at three month intervals, okay. 699 00:38:49,095 --> 00:38:50,085 It's half of that. 700 00:38:50,504 --> 00:38:54,734 So ideally I'm looking at, in my, in a perfect world, I'm looking at a 701 00:38:54,734 --> 00:38:56,865 horizon it's three weeks to four weeks. 702 00:38:58,779 --> 00:38:59,890 Yeah, that's what I'm looking at. 703 00:39:00,310 --> 00:39:01,569 That's my time horizon. 704 00:39:01,930 --> 00:39:06,730 Now I try to do my best to see what I think may occur over the next six months, 705 00:39:07,270 --> 00:39:09,220 but I don't have consistency in that. 706 00:39:09,370 --> 00:39:11,380 I can hang my hat on and say, yeah, I knew without a doubt, 707 00:39:11,380 --> 00:39:12,310 it's going to do this or that. 708 00:39:12,370 --> 00:39:14,049 I don't, I don't believe I have that. 709 00:39:14,049 --> 00:39:15,370 And I don't believe anybody can have that. 710 00:39:15,759 --> 00:39:19,600 But if someone does it and they read a book or a course, um, I'll be 711 00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:20,980 glad to share that they've done it. 712 00:39:21,009 --> 00:39:24,970 But until now up till now, I have not seen the evidence to support that idea, 713 00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:30,880 but it's really easy to forecast about a month worth of price action, and 714 00:39:31,240 --> 00:39:33,580 look at a monthly chart of anything. 715 00:39:34,210 --> 00:39:36,190 There's lots of opportunity in that range. 716 00:39:36,490 --> 00:39:39,040 Tons of opportunity, regardless of what type of trader you are. 717 00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,090 So if we're going to apply these ideas, okay. 718 00:39:43,690 --> 00:39:45,970 Uh, commodities, let's look at that. 719 00:39:47,230 --> 00:39:48,520 If you're gonna be a commodity trader. 720 00:39:48,850 --> 00:39:49,210 Okay. 721 00:39:49,210 --> 00:39:53,710 And you think that the market has moved into a realm where the 722 00:39:53,710 --> 00:39:54,880 commodity market should be going with. 723 00:39:55,965 --> 00:39:58,155 The CRB index is going to be going up. 724 00:39:58,155 --> 00:39:59,145 It's been trending higher. 725 00:39:59,265 --> 00:40:04,455 If it hits some level of expected resistance, we are at a premium and price. 726 00:40:05,025 --> 00:40:09,585 Everything is overvalued or overbought without the use of an indicator, 727 00:40:10,815 --> 00:40:14,235 but you're going to go in and start looking for evidences that are 728 00:40:14,265 --> 00:40:15,525 commodities really being distributed. 729 00:40:16,235 --> 00:40:20,055 Are we topping out the way you find that out is you go in and you start 730 00:40:20,055 --> 00:40:24,525 looking at the individual commodity markets, and you'll start seeing that 731 00:40:24,525 --> 00:40:29,085 inside of like for instance, the grain markets, uh, the grain markets will 732 00:40:29,085 --> 00:40:33,315 start failing to make higher highs and the ones that fail to make higher highs. 733 00:40:33,585 --> 00:40:35,445 They're ones that you want to be selling short. 734 00:40:35,445 --> 00:40:37,815 One, if the commodity market as a whole is going to start going lower, 735 00:40:38,295 --> 00:40:42,285 you want to be selling the week of all of those industry groups. 736 00:40:44,335 --> 00:40:47,095 Commodity groups, you have the agriculturals, which are 737 00:40:47,155 --> 00:40:49,465 the, uh, livestock and grains. 738 00:40:49,765 --> 00:40:52,405 Then you had the financials which are debt instruments, currencies, oil, 739 00:40:53,035 --> 00:40:57,055 and metals, and you'd classify them, break them down individually by group. 740 00:40:57,655 --> 00:40:58,765 And you can end up ferreting out. 741 00:40:58,805 --> 00:40:59,545 When we teach commodities. 742 00:40:59,545 --> 00:41:02,545 I'll tell you about all this stuff in specific fashion, but you can go in 743 00:41:02,545 --> 00:41:07,585 and find all of the weakest individual commodities to be going short. 744 00:41:07,795 --> 00:41:11,455 When the CRB indicates that we're going to be going lower and commodities as a whole. 745 00:41:11,665 --> 00:41:14,815 It's the same thing done with the Dow Jones industrial average, where there's 746 00:41:14,815 --> 00:41:17,035 30 stocks just applied to commodities. 747 00:41:17,875 --> 00:41:22,165 Now I saw a question on Twitter and it just reminded us. 748 00:41:22,165 --> 00:41:22,915 That's what I was talking. 749 00:41:23,005 --> 00:41:28,855 Um, a gentleman in our group was looking for, well, you said CRB is opposite to 750 00:41:28,855 --> 00:41:33,865 the dollar index, but there are times when, because commodities are the world's 751 00:41:33,865 --> 00:41:36,385 grocery store they're going to have. 752 00:41:36,565 --> 00:41:37,285 And I'm going to say this. 753 00:41:37,285 --> 00:41:41,215 Now they have real supply and demand factors behind. 754 00:41:42,585 --> 00:41:45,585 If you're on an island, you know, and I say, here, look, I'm going to give 755 00:41:45,585 --> 00:41:48,405 you a bar of gold or an ounce of wheat. 756 00:41:48,435 --> 00:41:49,425 Which one are you going to take? 757 00:41:50,175 --> 00:41:52,965 If you're stranded on an island with no hope of getting off of there no 758 00:41:52,965 --> 00:41:54,225 time soon, what are you going to take? 759 00:41:54,795 --> 00:41:56,115 You want the wheat, okay. 760 00:41:56,115 --> 00:41:56,445 Who you are. 761 00:41:56,445 --> 00:41:57,195 You can't eat gold. 762 00:41:58,125 --> 00:41:58,995 You're going to want that wheat. 763 00:41:59,355 --> 00:42:02,655 So we is never going to zero gold could. 764 00:42:03,465 --> 00:42:06,315 And if you, if you believe in the Bible, it's going to be worthless eventually. 765 00:42:06,315 --> 00:42:10,845 But the point is grocery store of the world is the commodity market. 766 00:42:11,835 --> 00:42:17,295 So if we understand that that is a real supply and demand market, there's 767 00:42:17,295 --> 00:42:21,075 going to be a little bit of a lag sometimes with the commodity market. 768 00:42:21,615 --> 00:42:26,715 And that's the only caveat that comes with in my opinion, with trading commodities. 769 00:42:27,135 --> 00:42:32,565 So you have to have, you have to allow a little bit of a, uh, a time 770 00:42:32,565 --> 00:42:34,215 element to it, where if you see. 771 00:42:35,190 --> 00:42:38,940 The dollar indicating that it's bullish or bearish that may not 772 00:42:38,940 --> 00:42:40,590 be immediately to the very day. 773 00:42:40,980 --> 00:42:44,160 Whereas if you use it with another currency, it's immediate, like when dollar 774 00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:48,000 is going up, that should be immediately reflected with the Euro going down. 775 00:42:48,540 --> 00:42:53,580 That's those things are in tandem with one another, your box step two, 776 00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:58,560 diametrically, opposed to basically, but when you're referring to commodity 777 00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:03,930 markets, they have real supply and demand factors that are involved, and those will 778 00:43:03,930 --> 00:43:07,500 always create some measure of time delay. 779 00:43:07,980 --> 00:43:12,000 So don't think, you know, just because the dollar index is, is surging up and 780 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:15,030 then you can go back to the chart and say, well, look at the commodity in a CRB 781 00:43:15,030 --> 00:43:16,830 index, it was going up to from November. 782 00:43:17,100 --> 00:43:18,150 Yes, it did. 783 00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:25,440 But that doesn't equate to, or, um, it doesn't diminish the truth that over 784 00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,870 time, the strong dollar will suppress. 785 00:43:29,234 --> 00:43:32,384 Because it is that's, that's the way it is, but certain commodities do have their 786 00:43:32,384 --> 00:43:38,444 own unique characteristics on supply and demand that will contribute to the 787 00:43:38,444 --> 00:43:43,065 CRB index, not initially right away, moving in, in tandem with the dollar 788 00:43:43,065 --> 00:43:45,345 index, but diametrically opposed to it. 789 00:43:48,015 --> 00:43:49,035 The same element. 790 00:43:49,035 --> 00:43:52,424 When we look at institutional vantage point with the interest rate markets, 791 00:43:52,424 --> 00:43:56,295 and this is what I've taught so far, either in the free tutorials. 792 00:43:56,295 --> 00:44:00,674 And now in the mentorship is when we look at the interest rate markets, we're 793 00:44:00,674 --> 00:44:04,815 comparing the relationships of the 30 year, the 10 year and the five-year. 794 00:44:05,595 --> 00:44:10,125 And if we are expecting a turning point to occur, we're looking for 795 00:44:10,125 --> 00:44:12,884 that failure swing or diversions between the third year, 10 year. 796 00:44:12,884 --> 00:44:16,035 And five-year for instance, if they'd been moving up in concert with one 797 00:44:16,035 --> 00:44:20,145 another and all of a sudden they failed to make a higher high together. 798 00:44:20,565 --> 00:44:20,955 Okay. 799 00:44:21,615 --> 00:44:24,705 That's going to indicate something for us as a trader, 800 00:44:25,395 --> 00:44:26,475 as it relates to the dollar and. 801 00:44:27,795 --> 00:44:30,375 Now, if it means something to the dollar index and the interest rate, 802 00:44:30,375 --> 00:44:33,585 market's telling us something too, that's also going to give us clues 803 00:44:33,585 --> 00:44:34,935 about the other foreign currencies. 804 00:44:35,295 --> 00:44:38,085 And it's also going to give us clues about the commodity markets as well. 805 00:44:39,345 --> 00:44:41,685 Oil market, gold market, silver market. 806 00:44:41,715 --> 00:44:47,775 All those markets are closely related, but it takes the one that Obama 807 00:44:47,775 --> 00:44:51,675 list, even though it's listed last here, it's the most significant one. 808 00:44:52,785 --> 00:44:56,025 Basically say the best for last the interest rate market. 809 00:44:56,025 --> 00:45:00,615 If you understand this, it will give you every macro directional 810 00:45:00,615 --> 00:45:04,125 bias that you need to be trading in for every three to four months. 811 00:45:05,265 --> 00:45:10,245 If you look at the divergence that seen in plotting the yield on the 30 year, 812 00:45:10,425 --> 00:45:15,405 10 year in five-year notes, and you can do this on investing.com and you can do 813 00:45:15,405 --> 00:45:19,635 it on Bloomberg as well, they're free and you don't need to have it real time. 814 00:45:19,665 --> 00:45:20,025 You don't. 815 00:45:20,325 --> 00:45:22,185 That does not, you don't need that. 816 00:45:22,425 --> 00:45:22,785 Okay. 817 00:45:23,145 --> 00:45:25,215 The best signals will occur with end of day. 818 00:45:26,279 --> 00:45:27,390 You don't need to have an entire day. 819 00:45:27,419 --> 00:45:30,299 Now, if you want to have that as part of your day trading, we use that later 820 00:45:30,299 --> 00:45:33,569 on in mentorship and you'll see how to get that information and do it live. 821 00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:37,319 But for now, end of day, data is all that you need. 822 00:45:38,190 --> 00:45:39,540 You don't need anything else. 823 00:45:39,569 --> 00:45:43,830 Apart from that, everything that you see on a daily chart, once you see the daily 824 00:45:43,830 --> 00:45:47,970 chart populate on yours, and you start a new day, that date is already in there. 825 00:45:47,970 --> 00:45:49,529 You can't do anything with it, but reflect on it. 826 00:45:51,089 --> 00:45:53,520 That's all that's necessary for institutional vantage point. 827 00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:56,879 When the traders sit down and they're working out what they want 828 00:45:56,879 --> 00:46:00,390 to be doing and how they want to be scaling and positions there, they're 829 00:46:00,390 --> 00:46:03,120 looking at these three timeframes, the monthly, weekly, and the daily. 830 00:46:03,690 --> 00:46:06,600 So let's get into the nuts and bolts of what I'm asking you to do. 831 00:46:06,930 --> 00:46:07,589 Here's your homework. 832 00:46:08,819 --> 00:46:15,390 I want you to pull up any currency pair, any asset class, any asset 833 00:46:15,390 --> 00:46:17,669 class, it could be a stock. 834 00:46:17,669 --> 00:46:19,919 It could be, uh, it could be the bond market. 835 00:46:20,250 --> 00:46:21,450 It could be the oil market. 836 00:46:21,750 --> 00:46:22,589 It could be gold. 837 00:46:22,589 --> 00:46:24,750 It could be, um, life. 838 00:46:26,325 --> 00:46:27,194 It could be oats. 839 00:46:27,194 --> 00:46:30,285 If you're a grain trader for commodities, I don't care what you're talking 840 00:46:30,285 --> 00:46:31,995 about as a trader in the future. 841 00:46:31,995 --> 00:46:35,415 What you going to be focusing on, specializing in whatever that is. 842 00:46:36,015 --> 00:46:37,185 I want you to pull up a chart. 843 00:46:37,424 --> 00:46:40,065 That's a daily chart and look at the last 12 months data. 844 00:46:41,085 --> 00:46:46,125 And I want you to break that 12 months down into two charts, print out one. 845 00:46:46,125 --> 00:46:49,904 That's dividing it in every three months, and I want you to print out one. 846 00:46:49,904 --> 00:46:53,895 It divides it in every four months, and I want you to circle the high 847 00:46:53,895 --> 00:46:58,065 that's formed or the low that's formed at every one of those intervals. 848 00:46:58,875 --> 00:47:04,185 Now you may see that it creates a higher low rate at a three month marker, 849 00:47:04,694 --> 00:47:09,194 but don't demand that expect every three to four months, there's going 850 00:47:09,194 --> 00:47:11,115 to be a cycle shift higher and lower. 851 00:47:11,355 --> 00:47:11,714 Okay. 852 00:47:11,955 --> 00:47:13,065 Even if the market's not. 853 00:47:14,175 --> 00:47:17,445 It will create a high and it'll create a low back and forth. 854 00:47:17,485 --> 00:47:22,005 It's the ebb and flow when these higher timeframe, uh, intervals monthly, weekly, 855 00:47:22,005 --> 00:47:25,605 and daily, but you're going to be looking on a daily chart the last 12 months. 856 00:47:25,605 --> 00:47:25,995 Action. 857 00:47:27,645 --> 00:47:32,445 I want you to pick one before you go into the study and stick with that one as 858 00:47:32,445 --> 00:47:34,725 your first point of reference and study. 859 00:47:35,055 --> 00:47:40,335 And then I want you to pick a second one at random and do the same thing. 860 00:47:41,175 --> 00:47:43,425 And then for a third one, okay. 861 00:47:43,785 --> 00:47:47,115 I want you to go into the marketplace and if you're looking at currencies, 862 00:47:48,045 --> 00:47:51,555 you want to look at a currency that has a real strong trend, for instance, 863 00:47:51,555 --> 00:47:55,215 like right now, there's really not a strong trend in Euro and pound. 864 00:47:56,745 --> 00:47:58,725 There's other currencies that I'm not going to say in here, cause 865 00:47:58,725 --> 00:47:59,835 it'll kill the study for you. 866 00:48:00,195 --> 00:48:02,595 There's other currencies to have a trend right now. 867 00:48:03,945 --> 00:48:04,815 I want you to. 868 00:48:05,865 --> 00:48:09,555 Look at that and contrast that with those that maybe you've 869 00:48:09,765 --> 00:48:11,025 selected, that don't have a trend. 870 00:48:11,055 --> 00:48:14,955 Maybe it's been a rather large consolidation, like the pound and the 871 00:48:14,955 --> 00:48:16,845 Euro has been for several, several months. 872 00:48:16,875 --> 00:48:22,815 Now, if we know that the smart money, this is a big, uh, NOPEC moment for you. 873 00:48:23,835 --> 00:48:28,245 If we know that the smart money is accumulating for distributing 874 00:48:28,395 --> 00:48:32,985 in these hard timeframe charts, their expectation is long-term. 875 00:48:33,915 --> 00:48:37,575 So again, they're looking for moose, that's going to Tran inspire over 876 00:48:37,575 --> 00:48:40,635 months of time, not intimidate action. 877 00:48:41,925 --> 00:48:45,375 If we know that this is occurring in a market, that's already trending. 878 00:48:45,885 --> 00:48:47,505 Now here's a million dollar tip for you guys. 879 00:48:48,645 --> 00:48:52,935 If you see these elements for telltale signs and fingerprints 880 00:48:52,935 --> 00:48:56,955 that they're accumulating in a preexisting bullish market, you 881 00:48:56,955 --> 00:48:59,685 have a mega trade at your head. 882 00:49:00,525 --> 00:49:04,605 That means that that market's going to go astronomically well beyond 883 00:49:04,605 --> 00:49:07,485 what you think it's going to go beyond your Fibonacci extensions. 884 00:49:07,665 --> 00:49:10,695 It's going to go beyond all the things that you think it's going to go to. 885 00:49:10,965 --> 00:49:11,175 Okay. 886 00:49:11,175 --> 00:49:12,225 It's going to go well beyond that. 887 00:49:13,065 --> 00:49:16,755 The same thing said, if you're looking at a market that's been trending lower. 888 00:49:17,835 --> 00:49:20,895 If you look in markets have been trending lower and you've seeing signs that the 889 00:49:20,895 --> 00:49:25,605 marketplace is indicating the smart money is distributing that you have a loaded 890 00:49:25,605 --> 00:49:29,775 deal for a mega trade for a short, that means this thing's going to go a lot lower 891 00:49:29,925 --> 00:49:31,875 way lower than everybody's expecting. 892 00:49:32,085 --> 00:49:34,395 And it's going to overshoot every objective you're probably 893 00:49:34,395 --> 00:49:36,975 going to come up with and they're really fun markets to be in. 894 00:49:38,475 --> 00:49:40,395 But what you're gonna be doing is you're gonna know to any significant 895 00:49:40,395 --> 00:49:43,635 divergence among markets or asset classes that are closely correlated. 896 00:49:43,935 --> 00:49:48,855 Now, again, what that means is a perfect study would be to doubt 30 stocks. 897 00:49:49,275 --> 00:49:52,335 It only takes, it literally takes you 20 minutes to go through the 898 00:49:52,335 --> 00:49:54,045 entire list of the down 30 stocks. 899 00:49:54,705 --> 00:49:56,025 And it'll teach you that. 900 00:49:57,120 --> 00:50:01,470 And I did basically pull out the ones in the stock market, uh, for this year. 901 00:50:01,830 --> 00:50:05,280 If you go into the, uh, last month teaching, you'll actually 902 00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:06,900 see the, the recording. 903 00:50:06,930 --> 00:50:08,190 I think it's on the 11th. 904 00:50:08,970 --> 00:50:13,740 If I'm not mistaken, the 11th or the ninth, I did that, uh, that presentation. 905 00:50:13,740 --> 00:50:17,790 You can see the stock leaders for 2016 and you'll see the stocks 906 00:50:17,790 --> 00:50:21,120 that led the up move in the Dow 30. 907 00:50:23,130 --> 00:50:26,280 You can do the same study with the currency markets. 908 00:50:26,730 --> 00:50:27,210 Okay. 909 00:50:27,300 --> 00:50:31,410 And you arrive at, if you'd just go through the majors real quick, you'll 910 00:50:31,410 --> 00:50:33,840 see which ones have been trending strong. 911 00:50:34,470 --> 00:50:39,570 And when you get this SMT, the where the dollar index fails to make a 912 00:50:39,570 --> 00:50:42,930 lower low, when the other foreign currencies make a higher high, was 913 00:50:42,930 --> 00:50:46,440 that telling you, it's telling you that the dollar is being under accumulate. 914 00:50:46,850 --> 00:50:50,940 It's being accumulated, it's being bought up because it can't make that lower low. 915 00:50:51,720 --> 00:50:53,340 If the dollar can't make that lower, lower. 916 00:50:54,300 --> 00:50:56,370 It's telling you that the dollars wants to go higher. 917 00:50:56,430 --> 00:50:57,480 It doesn't want to go lower. 918 00:50:57,690 --> 00:51:03,509 So that means all the new hire high in those Euro and pound dollar charts, 919 00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:08,640 they're all runs on stops and they're selling it to everyone at a premium. 920 00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:11,460 And then wait for that thing to start correcting and going lower. 921 00:51:12,390 --> 00:51:14,190 The same thing as seen with the commodity market. 922 00:51:14,190 --> 00:51:17,340 If you're gonna be looking at commodities, use the CRB index, and 923 00:51:17,340 --> 00:51:21,420 then look for the commodities that fail to make that equal high or 924 00:51:21,540 --> 00:51:24,180 equal low every three to four months. 925 00:51:25,470 --> 00:51:30,240 But you start by looking at it just as a conceptual idea, every three or 926 00:51:30,240 --> 00:51:31,410 four months, there's a major shift. 927 00:51:31,710 --> 00:51:35,190 I don't care what asset class or what you're trading every three to four months. 928 00:51:35,190 --> 00:51:36,210 There's a significant move. 929 00:51:36,570 --> 00:51:39,210 Now, if you go into those individual moves and you break it down and you 930 00:51:39,210 --> 00:51:44,400 study that whole transition, you'll see that there is a divergence that 931 00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:49,080 takes place with closely correlated assets with that same interval in time. 932 00:51:49,710 --> 00:51:50,720 For instance, I'll give you another. 933 00:51:52,270 --> 00:51:59,529 If you see that the, uh, the metal market, okay. 934 00:51:59,529 --> 00:52:03,549 You have gold, silver palladium, copper and platinum. 935 00:52:04,209 --> 00:52:06,879 Um, two of those metals are relatively thin. 936 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:12,250 They don't have a whole lot of trading going on, but you look at times when the 937 00:52:12,250 --> 00:52:14,740 commodity market is expected to go higher. 938 00:52:15,939 --> 00:52:17,620 If you look at that, okay. 939 00:52:17,620 --> 00:52:18,490 And I'll give you an example. 940 00:52:18,700 --> 00:52:23,200 In November, the CRB index, 2016, CRB index went higher. 941 00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:27,970 If you go into the individual metal markets, compare the lows across 942 00:52:27,970 --> 00:52:32,649 those several metals that listed you have gold, silver, Tigray 943 00:52:32,649 --> 00:52:34,600 copper, palladium, and platinum. 944 00:52:35,350 --> 00:52:38,140 You look at the price action there, and you can't use this for your study. 945 00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:39,759 I'm just giving you one as an example. 946 00:52:40,029 --> 00:52:40,359 Okay. 947 00:52:40,509 --> 00:52:42,850 And you'll see the professional accumulation that took place and 948 00:52:42,850 --> 00:52:46,149 you'll see the result of what happened and what metal lid on the upside. 949 00:52:47,439 --> 00:52:48,520 Now it doesn't require. 950 00:52:49,290 --> 00:52:50,100 A great deal of study. 951 00:52:50,100 --> 00:52:53,940 You don't need to turn this into a PhD or, uh, you know, uh, a thesis. 952 00:52:54,210 --> 00:52:54,630 Okay. 953 00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:58,140 It's literally going to take you probably a half an hour to do this homework, 954 00:52:58,680 --> 00:53:00,570 but I want you to reflect on it. 955 00:53:00,900 --> 00:53:04,680 When you see that and you see the failure swings to think, to fail, to make new 956 00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:07,170 highs as the asset class moves higher. 957 00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:11,430 Do you want to be looking for closely correlated ideas and other things 958 00:53:11,430 --> 00:53:15,660 like the stock market example we showed or the commodity example I 959 00:53:15,660 --> 00:53:17,220 just gave you regarding the metals. 960 00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:21,060 Um, if you're going to be doing currencies, you're going to be looking 961 00:53:21,060 --> 00:53:22,260 at, in relationship to the dollar. 962 00:53:22,980 --> 00:53:27,120 So if you're seeing the currency markets that you're focusing on 963 00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:29,940 as your payer, like for instance, if you pick the Euro, if the Euro 964 00:53:29,940 --> 00:53:32,010 is making that higher high, okay. 965 00:53:32,250 --> 00:53:37,530 Is that failure swing in the dollar, making no attempt at a lower low there 966 00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:43,140 did that occur at that major turning point over the last three to four months? 967 00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:44,100 Did it occur? 968 00:53:44,130 --> 00:53:44,910 Did that occur? 969 00:53:45,180 --> 00:53:46,530 And what you're going to see is. 970 00:53:48,950 --> 00:53:51,060 And some of your pricing. 971 00:53:51,260 --> 00:53:52,700 I know this, Michael, I already know this. 972 00:53:52,730 --> 00:53:56,510 No, you don't know it yet because you're the same people. 973 00:53:56,510 --> 00:53:57,770 They're asking me an email. 974 00:53:58,040 --> 00:53:59,840 You really didn't teach this good enough for me here. 975 00:53:59,960 --> 00:54:01,850 Or I feel a little bit unsure about this. 976 00:54:02,150 --> 00:54:05,540 You're not looking at it in the charts and when you see it and you study it, 977 00:54:06,830 --> 00:54:08,210 you don't need a large sample size of it. 978 00:54:08,240 --> 00:54:11,120 It's there, it's a classic accumulation and distribution pattern 979 00:54:11,450 --> 00:54:13,970 that is evidenced in price action. 980 00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:17,690 That's why I tell everyone since 2010, when I stepped out here and told 981 00:54:17,690 --> 00:54:22,700 everybody there's nothing, that's going to change about this by me teaching it. 982 00:54:22,700 --> 00:54:23,780 It's not going to change. 983 00:54:23,780 --> 00:54:24,860 It's not going to diffuse it. 984 00:54:24,860 --> 00:54:26,360 It's not going to water it down. 985 00:54:26,540 --> 00:54:30,740 It's just going to just get better over time, because the more efficient. 986 00:54:31,485 --> 00:54:33,285 We get with delivering price to us. 987 00:54:33,435 --> 00:54:37,095 And now I think it's as efficient as it's ever going to be, because 988 00:54:37,095 --> 00:54:39,945 now we have access to information at our fingertips like that. 989 00:54:40,125 --> 00:54:43,515 I mean, we're carrying around what used to be in a warehouse size computer. 990 00:54:43,785 --> 00:54:45,945 We have it in an apartment on hand with a smartphone. 991 00:54:46,125 --> 00:54:50,445 We can do so many things with this thing, but the failure swings you're looking for. 992 00:54:51,674 --> 00:54:55,305 And again, I'm not trying to, you know, create confusion or whatever. 993 00:54:55,305 --> 00:54:58,215 It's the same thing that we do with the SMT diversions versions with the dollar. 994 00:54:59,475 --> 00:54:59,654 Okay. 995 00:54:59,654 --> 00:55:02,895 So if we're going to keep things remained to the currency markets, just over 996 00:55:02,895 --> 00:55:05,145 the last three to four months, okay. 997 00:55:05,505 --> 00:55:09,345 Look back and every significant intermediate term, high or low in the 998 00:55:09,345 --> 00:55:12,915 currency pair that you'd like to be trading, or you want to specialize in 999 00:55:13,125 --> 00:55:18,674 and compare that with the dollar index, did it create a failure swing if it made 1000 00:55:18,674 --> 00:55:24,105 a higher high in its price action, did the dollar fail to make a lower, low, or 1001 00:55:24,525 --> 00:55:26,685 did the dollar index make a lower, low? 1002 00:55:26,685 --> 00:55:28,935 And did your currency pair while it was moving higher 1003 00:55:28,965 --> 00:55:29,745 failed to make a higher, huh? 1004 00:55:30,825 --> 00:55:31,965 That's the same thing. 1005 00:55:32,445 --> 00:55:35,685 Just being, explaining it in a different context. 1006 00:55:35,685 --> 00:55:40,785 For instance, if the dollar index makes that lower, low, but the Euro 1007 00:55:40,785 --> 00:55:45,885 fails make a higher high with that indicating it's indicating that the Euro 1008 00:55:46,245 --> 00:55:48,705 could not be sold at a higher price. 1009 00:55:48,975 --> 00:55:50,415 It's being heavily distributed. 1010 00:55:50,595 --> 00:55:53,895 So if the Euro is being heavily distributed, is that bullshit 1011 00:55:53,895 --> 00:55:59,265 bears for dollar bullish, but does that equate to a buy on dollar? 1012 00:55:59,715 --> 00:56:04,095 Not necessarily the dollar could consolidate or the Euro can consolidate. 1013 00:56:04,275 --> 00:56:07,515 So what does that mean for you as a trader who back to that reference plan 1014 00:56:07,515 --> 00:56:08,535 told you to write in your notepad? 1015 00:56:08,595 --> 00:56:12,105 What's a million-dollar maker is your currency that you're looking at already 1016 00:56:12,105 --> 00:56:16,885 in an existing trend, because if it's not in an existing trend, that's 1017 00:56:16,885 --> 00:56:18,385 when the consolidation can occur. 1018 00:56:19,135 --> 00:56:22,435 Just because it's diverging in an SMT diversions where the dollar 1019 00:56:22,435 --> 00:56:27,055 fails to make a significant high in relationship to a lower, low in your 1020 00:56:27,055 --> 00:56:28,645 currency pair that you're studying. 1021 00:56:28,645 --> 00:56:28,765 Like. 1022 00:56:30,360 --> 00:56:35,790 If that's the case and you're in a trend, for instance, if we're 1023 00:56:35,790 --> 00:56:41,670 bullish, if the Euro was in a bullish trend on a monthly, weekly, 1024 00:56:41,700 --> 00:56:43,740 and daily, we expect higher prices. 1025 00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:44,010 Okay. 1026 00:56:44,010 --> 00:56:47,460 It's been trending higher and the dollar okay. 1027 00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:50,400 Fails to make a higher high. 1028 00:56:51,300 --> 00:56:57,920 When the Euro makes a lower, low, that's still a buy on Euro. 1029 00:56:58,880 --> 00:57:01,550 All they did was went down below oh low, take up the cell stops. 1030 00:57:01,820 --> 00:57:03,110 And can you wait that long position? 1031 00:57:03,260 --> 00:57:04,730 And then you'll see Euro dollar rally. 1032 00:57:06,110 --> 00:57:09,530 The same thing could be said this way at the same time, if the 1033 00:57:09,530 --> 00:57:12,170 monthly, weekly and daily four, you're always in a bullish market. 1034 00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:12,770 Okay. 1035 00:57:12,770 --> 00:57:16,970 And you find that that Euro fails to make a lower low while 1036 00:57:16,970 --> 00:57:18,110 the dollar makes a higher high. 1037 00:57:19,100 --> 00:57:19,910 That's the same thing. 1038 00:57:20,510 --> 00:57:22,700 That's a big time buy signal for years. 1039 00:57:25,275 --> 00:57:27,944 So you have to have these things understood. 1040 00:57:28,275 --> 00:57:31,154 Conceptually, it's not just, I'm looking for a divergence and I'm going 1041 00:57:31,154 --> 00:57:32,235 to get a short because it did that. 1042 00:57:32,265 --> 00:57:32,565 No. 1043 00:57:32,565 --> 00:57:33,555 What does it mean? 1044 00:57:34,095 --> 00:57:37,634 Because if the market itself that you're seeing and studying, it's in a rather 1045 00:57:37,634 --> 00:57:41,325 large consolidation, it doesn't equate to an explosive move all the time. 1046 00:57:42,105 --> 00:57:47,384 It may have to take time to eventually move up and gradually by then, 1047 00:57:47,384 --> 00:57:50,384 you probably lost your mind and in frustration waiting for it to move. 1048 00:57:52,215 --> 00:57:54,585 The same thing is said, obviously, looking for fairy swings when you're 1049 00:57:54,585 --> 00:57:59,415 looking for lower lows are the asset class that's directly or inversely 1050 00:57:59,415 --> 00:58:01,755 related to supporting that idea. 1051 00:58:02,355 --> 00:58:06,255 And again, for the dollar index, everything's going to 1052 00:58:06,255 --> 00:58:07,935 be inverted everything else. 1053 00:58:07,935 --> 00:58:11,895 You're looking at comparatively the same lows and highs of for instance, the 1054 00:58:11,895 --> 00:58:16,575 dollar and I'm sorry, the equity markets you're looking at the individual stock 1055 00:58:16,575 --> 00:58:21,555 prices as they make higher highs is your industry is a Dow Jones making hard. 1056 00:58:23,025 --> 00:58:25,905 If that's not happening, then you're probably seeing underlying weakness. 1057 00:58:26,265 --> 00:58:28,515 And eventually you're going to probably see some measure of 1058 00:58:28,515 --> 00:58:31,575 retracement or an altogether reversal, but you're looking for it 1059 00:58:31,575 --> 00:58:33,525 to happen every three to four months. 1060 00:58:35,745 --> 00:58:38,415 Now, some of you, I admittedly, and I already know if I go into the 1061 00:58:38,415 --> 00:58:41,445 comments section or questions, some of you are going to be unsure about 1062 00:58:41,925 --> 00:58:43,305 what it is I'm asking you to do. 1063 00:58:44,325 --> 00:58:46,095 And some of you already know what I'm asking you to do. 1064 00:58:46,485 --> 00:58:46,875 Okay. 1065 00:58:47,205 --> 00:58:52,125 I'm using this as a basis to gauge where you're at in your understanding 1066 00:58:52,125 --> 00:58:55,725 of my information so far, because that way it'll tell me how much 1067 00:58:55,755 --> 00:58:59,895 more I have to include between now and Friday night and the teachings 1068 00:58:59,895 --> 00:59:00,855 that I already have put together. 1069 00:59:02,805 --> 00:59:09,065 If you have no understanding about what it is, I'm asking you don't be discouraged 1070 00:59:09,065 --> 00:59:10,025 because you're actually going to see me. 1071 00:59:10,935 --> 00:59:12,615 In this weekend's teachings. 1072 00:59:12,705 --> 00:59:15,105 So tomorrow night, when you turn the videos on, you'll actually 1073 00:59:15,105 --> 00:59:17,325 see me actually do the very thing I'm explaining to you here. 1074 00:59:17,654 --> 00:59:18,045 Okay. 1075 00:59:18,464 --> 00:59:21,555 The point is, I want to inspire you to go looking for it now, 1076 00:59:21,795 --> 00:59:26,025 because in summary, and in closing, while I'm telling you this, we're 1077 00:59:26,025 --> 00:59:27,105 getting ready to close the session. 1078 00:59:29,355 --> 00:59:35,595 When I discovered that the thing I was looking for was on 1079 00:59:35,595 --> 00:59:36,825 these hard timeframe charts. 1080 00:59:37,185 --> 00:59:42,045 And when this quarterly shift takes place, these macro trend reversals, okay? 1081 00:59:42,944 --> 00:59:47,475 Those things are goldmines because once you understand what's actually 1082 00:59:47,475 --> 00:59:52,455 happening, you don't have to be so precision oriented with your entries 1083 00:59:53,025 --> 00:59:54,615 and you don't have to be on time. 1084 00:59:54,975 --> 00:59:59,234 You can be a little late, and that's what I needed because I was doing a job 1085 00:59:59,234 --> 01:00:01,725 that required me 13 hours a day to do it. 1086 01:00:02,955 --> 01:00:05,535 And that was 45 minutes commute time at it. 1087 01:00:06,735 --> 01:00:08,595 So I had very little free time. 1088 01:00:09,165 --> 01:00:13,455 So when I discovered it, the bond market created these types of things. 1089 01:00:14,385 --> 01:00:17,475 It made it so much easier for me to be prepared for the next day. 1090 01:00:18,165 --> 01:00:19,695 What am I going to be doing next week? 1091 01:00:19,725 --> 01:00:22,005 What's the same thing I'm going to be looking to be in gold short, 1092 01:00:22,005 --> 01:00:25,545 because the, where we're at right now, and I was looking at the chart. 1093 01:00:25,665 --> 01:00:27,615 The market had been moving higher in the bond market. 1094 01:00:28,485 --> 01:00:31,875 The market moved up into a high, it moves into a level of resistance for me. 1095 01:00:32,085 --> 01:00:37,245 I'm anticipating the bond market going lower now, am I selling just because 1096 01:00:37,245 --> 01:00:38,475 it went to that resistance level? 1097 01:00:38,505 --> 01:00:38,865 No. 1098 01:00:39,105 --> 01:00:41,385 And this is the answer to some of your questions. 1099 01:00:41,625 --> 01:00:43,995 How do you know if the resistance levels going to hold? 1100 01:00:45,525 --> 01:00:46,545 That's what this gives you. 1101 01:00:46,815 --> 01:00:50,745 It gives you that answer because just because you have a level where the 1102 01:00:50,745 --> 01:00:55,725 market is supposedly a resistance point or support level, unless you see 1103 01:00:55,725 --> 01:01:00,405 evidences that there is a support level by doing this homework here, this study, 1104 01:01:01,815 --> 01:01:04,455 if it doesn't have classic telltale signs of accumulation distribution 1105 01:01:04,455 --> 01:01:08,055 by smart money study, And by having an institutional vantage point. 1106 01:01:08,535 --> 01:01:12,315 In other words, let's say let's weigh in, in plain terms, the stock, market's 1107 01:01:12,315 --> 01:01:15,945 not going to go lower in a correction or reversal, unless you have a number 1108 01:01:15,945 --> 01:01:17,475 of issues failing to make higher highs. 1109 01:01:17,535 --> 01:01:18,255 It's that simple. 1110 01:01:19,065 --> 01:01:19,815 It just doesn't happen. 1111 01:01:19,905 --> 01:01:23,025 Oh, well, you know, it's going to crash that in every, every stock and NC 1112 01:01:23,205 --> 01:01:24,705 made higher highs, it never does that. 1113 01:01:24,765 --> 01:01:27,225 It never, ever, ever that's absolution. 1114 01:01:27,375 --> 01:01:28,665 It never happens that way. 1115 01:01:29,955 --> 01:01:34,215 The way these major turns, every three to four months occur is there is a 1116 01:01:34,245 --> 01:01:37,695 gradual easing in by that elephant. 1117 01:01:37,785 --> 01:01:39,585 They have to work their position in. 1118 01:01:39,885 --> 01:01:42,525 Otherwise you would have that element of everything goes 1119 01:01:42,525 --> 01:01:43,575 up and they make equal highs. 1120 01:01:43,575 --> 01:01:44,325 And then it crashes. 1121 01:01:45,045 --> 01:01:48,015 They can't, they can't move into the market that efficiently. 1122 01:01:48,435 --> 01:01:50,265 They have to gradually work it in. 1123 01:01:50,535 --> 01:01:55,905 And by doing that, it keeps these underlying issues or currencies 1124 01:01:56,055 --> 01:01:58,545 from making higher highs when they're trying to sell it. 1125 01:01:59,655 --> 01:02:02,745 And then other things obvious after the fact and say, oh, well, there it is. 1126 01:02:02,745 --> 01:02:05,145 Look, it was not it wasn't going up when everything else. 1127 01:02:06,360 --> 01:02:08,549 It's going to be seen easily in hindsight. 1128 01:02:09,299 --> 01:02:10,620 And that's the point of the exercise. 1129 01:02:10,620 --> 01:02:13,529 I want you to see what it looks like, and it's not something that 1130 01:02:13,529 --> 01:02:14,520 just happens once in a while. 1131 01:02:14,520 --> 01:02:18,180 It's not a Willy nilly pattern where, well, you know, it happens once in 1132 01:02:18,180 --> 01:02:21,990 a while, like support resistance, or it happens here or there, and 1133 01:02:21,990 --> 01:02:23,370 this trend line work here and there. 1134 01:02:23,549 --> 01:02:25,350 No that's ambiguous to me. 1135 01:02:25,410 --> 01:02:26,430 That's ambiguous. 1136 01:02:26,819 --> 01:02:31,259 The thing that remains constant is the, the smart money accumulation 1137 01:02:31,259 --> 01:02:36,480 pattern is you'll see, not just one asset class showing you their signs 1138 01:02:36,480 --> 01:02:37,590 that this thing wants to go up. 1139 01:02:38,009 --> 01:02:40,290 Other asset classes are gonna support that idea too. 1140 01:02:40,500 --> 01:02:47,009 So in summary, go into your charts, look for a daily chart. 1141 01:02:47,040 --> 01:02:49,650 Every three to four months, there's going to be an intermediate term 1142 01:02:49,650 --> 01:02:53,610 higher, low for me inside that intermediate term higher, low. 1143 01:02:53,700 --> 01:02:56,790 I want you to look at everything that is closely correlated that 1144 01:02:56,790 --> 01:02:58,020 you understand up to this point. 1145 01:02:58,020 --> 01:03:01,740 Now, maybe, you know, things that haven't taught yet use that information. 1146 01:03:02,685 --> 01:03:06,045 But everything that has been taught to you from the mentorship and in the free 1147 01:03:06,045 --> 01:03:10,755 tutorials and anything I've ever heard, you heard rather me say and teach about 1148 01:03:10,755 --> 01:03:15,825 the concept of price action, apply it to what you understand and see if you don't 1149 01:03:15,825 --> 01:03:21,435 see what I'm explaining to you here every three to four months, there's a major 1150 01:03:21,465 --> 01:03:25,275 market shift by having that understood. 1151 01:03:25,815 --> 01:03:30,404 We will be able to know that we have another leg in price on a 1152 01:03:30,404 --> 01:03:33,674 higher timeframe, macro level that we can get positioned for. 1153 01:03:34,455 --> 01:03:38,685 And we wait for these things to form and you sit on your hands and you wait. 1154 01:03:39,105 --> 01:03:42,375 And when it happens to get to these levels and you start seeing evidences that it's 1155 01:03:42,555 --> 01:03:46,694 supporting smart money accumulation at levels, where we think that bullishness 1156 01:03:46,694 --> 01:03:51,585 should be there then, and only then do we wait for that displacement over. 1157 01:03:52,485 --> 01:03:56,535 When we see that happen on a daily chart or four hour chart, that 1158 01:03:56,535 --> 01:04:00,165 gives us the green light to go in and out find where the order 1159 01:04:00,165 --> 01:04:01,785 blocks are, the bullshitter blocks. 1160 01:04:01,905 --> 01:04:06,135 And when price hits that on a 15 minute timeframe, that's when you execute, that's 1161 01:04:06,135 --> 01:04:09,075 when you load the boat, that's when you back up the truck and fill it all the way 1162 01:04:09,075 --> 01:04:15,345 up, because it's going to go up when you see it and you start studying it, you're 1163 01:04:15,345 --> 01:04:16,635 going to want to go back a year later. 1164 01:04:16,695 --> 01:04:17,925 You're going to want to go back a year later. 1165 01:04:18,135 --> 01:04:21,045 And then when you do that, you'll be quickly convinced 1166 01:04:21,045 --> 01:04:22,455 that this is not a random thing. 1167 01:04:23,295 --> 01:04:24,975 It's something that's cyclical. 1168 01:04:24,975 --> 01:04:26,355 It happens every three to four months. 1169 01:04:26,415 --> 01:04:28,095 It happens every single year. 1170 01:04:28,365 --> 01:04:29,535 Every asset class has. 1171 01:04:29,535 --> 01:04:31,965 It doesn't matter what type of trader you're going to be. 1172 01:04:32,445 --> 01:04:33,605 This is information you need. 1173 01:04:34,754 --> 01:04:37,424 And if you don't know, if you don't really understand what I'm asking you 1174 01:04:37,424 --> 01:04:41,295 to do, and you're one of the newer students here, don't be discouraged. 1175 01:04:41,535 --> 01:04:44,924 Just be a little bit of patient and well, let's be a little bit 1176 01:04:44,924 --> 01:04:46,305 patient and say it like, like that. 1177 01:04:46,665 --> 01:04:49,455 And wait till tomorrow night, when I give you the two teachings and you'll 1178 01:04:49,455 --> 01:04:51,165 have all weekend long to go through it. 1179 01:04:51,165 --> 01:04:55,214 And it'll explain to you in great detail in minute detail of what it is 1180 01:04:55,214 --> 01:04:57,165 you're looking for and how to use it. 1181 01:04:58,365 --> 01:05:01,065 And trust me, you will be very excited this weekend. 1182 01:05:01,065 --> 01:05:04,395 When you see what's in this two teachings, because it gives you a great deal of 1183 01:05:04,395 --> 01:05:06,615 clarity about what it is that we wait for. 1184 01:05:07,185 --> 01:05:10,694 Why I say patience is important and what it is that you're looking 1185 01:05:10,694 --> 01:05:12,105 to see occur in your charts. 1186 01:05:12,795 --> 01:05:16,305 After this, you won't need to look at anything with monthly, 1187 01:05:16,305 --> 01:05:17,424 weekly, and daily anymore. 1188 01:05:17,565 --> 01:05:22,305 For teaching purposes, everything in these two teachings here will set the 1189 01:05:22,305 --> 01:05:26,625 tone for everything you'll need to know that completes the January content, 1190 01:05:27,615 --> 01:05:29,865 but you'll know everything you need to know about hard timeframe now. 1191 01:05:30,735 --> 01:05:32,205 You'll know how to do a top-down analysis. 1192 01:05:32,205 --> 01:05:35,175 You'll know how to do everything in terms of prognostication and forecasting. 1193 01:05:35,715 --> 01:05:37,485 You'll know what it is you're waiting for. 1194 01:05:37,875 --> 01:05:41,955 And by knowing that it removes emotions, it removes the tendency 1195 01:05:41,955 --> 01:05:45,825 to rush, and it gives that whole clarity aspect that everyone wants 1196 01:05:45,825 --> 01:05:47,055 and sometimes pretends online. 1197 01:05:47,055 --> 01:05:49,035 They have, but they don't have any idea what they're doing 1198 01:05:49,035 --> 01:05:49,845 or what they're looking for. 1199 01:05:50,145 --> 01:05:51,225 This gives that to you. 1200 01:05:51,945 --> 01:05:55,155 It gives you the confidence that you don't have to be trading every single day. 1201 01:05:55,305 --> 01:05:58,725 And if you want to go away with your family and take a vacation the specific 1202 01:05:58,725 --> 01:06:01,245 month or a year, you can do it. 1203 01:06:01,755 --> 01:06:03,765 Cause you know, the same thing's going to happen again. 1204 01:06:04,065 --> 01:06:07,515 And all you got to do is find out where you are in that, that range. 1205 01:06:08,655 --> 01:06:11,025 The beautiful thing is, is you may end up looking at your charts 1206 01:06:11,175 --> 01:06:15,705 this weekend and see that we have created something just recently. 1207 01:06:16,365 --> 01:06:18,585 Now, I don't know, cause I haven't done the analysis that I'm going to be doing 1208 01:06:18,585 --> 01:06:20,325 my own analysis for the first time. 1209 01:06:21,690 --> 01:06:24,390 When I sit down with these today, but I'm doing the recording for 1210 01:06:24,390 --> 01:06:28,170 the first test, uh, teaching today, and then we'll be doing Fridays. 1211 01:06:28,530 --> 01:06:31,020 I'm going to have the second teaching done. 1212 01:06:31,170 --> 01:06:33,390 And that way everything will be online to you at eight o'clock 1213 01:06:33,960 --> 01:06:35,130 Friday night, New York time. 1214 01:06:36,900 --> 01:06:41,790 But you're going to probably discover that the importance is even if you 1215 01:06:41,790 --> 01:06:45,960 don't get the actual turning point and get positioned there, you can still 1216 01:06:45,960 --> 01:06:48,960 get in sync with that move because you're trading on a hard timeframe 1217 01:06:48,960 --> 01:06:53,460 chart, and it gives you a whole lot of opportunity to get in sync with that move. 1218 01:06:53,490 --> 01:06:56,580 And you don't need the high or the low to be in to make the money on the move. 1219 01:06:57,510 --> 01:07:00,870 So I'm going to close it here, encourage you to go into what 1220 01:07:00,870 --> 01:07:02,220 you understand so far right now. 1221 01:07:02,250 --> 01:07:05,880 And again, If you don't fully understand it, that's an 1222 01:07:05,880 --> 01:07:07,410 opportunity for you to learn more. 1223 01:07:07,440 --> 01:07:09,450 Trust me that this is how it works. 1224 01:07:09,509 --> 01:07:14,100 You learn by muddling through what little information you have 1225 01:07:14,279 --> 01:07:15,660 and then the aha moments happen. 1226 01:07:16,500 --> 01:07:18,930 You may get close to it, then your own study. 1227 01:07:18,930 --> 01:07:20,790 And then when you see it, I saw that. 1228 01:07:20,790 --> 01:07:22,770 I saw that I saw that in my own charts. 1229 01:07:22,779 --> 01:07:25,490 When you see me explain it to you, I'm gonna be using the currencies and 1230 01:07:25,490 --> 01:07:27,060 I'm gonna use, uh, the stock market. 1231 01:07:28,319 --> 01:07:31,350 And when you see me do it, you'll know right away what it is. 1232 01:07:31,350 --> 01:07:33,029 I'm waiting for every three to four months. 1233 01:07:33,630 --> 01:07:36,720 You're going to know, even if you ended the mentorship at the end of the, uh, 1234 01:07:36,750 --> 01:07:40,380 January, if you do your full, but if you did, you would know exactly what I'm 1235 01:07:40,380 --> 01:07:44,460 doing every three to four months, what I'm waiting for, what I'm waiting to see. 1236 01:07:44,730 --> 01:07:47,730 And it repeats every freaking three to four months. 1237 01:07:47,730 --> 01:07:49,740 There's no, there's no skip in it. 1238 01:07:49,740 --> 01:07:50,609 There's no lag. 1239 01:07:50,910 --> 01:07:51,870 None of that exists. 1240 01:07:51,870 --> 01:07:56,100 It's absolutely there because I know that every three to four months the 1241 01:07:56,100 --> 01:07:57,630 institutions have to shake them. 1242 01:07:58,665 --> 01:08:00,375 And they put money at work at different places. 1243 01:08:00,855 --> 01:08:05,685 And if you understand that, that elephant and it's big, but it's slow, it has to 1244 01:08:05,685 --> 01:08:07,245 gradually move into the marketplace. 1245 01:08:07,335 --> 01:08:11,655 It has no other way around doing it that way because they can't 1246 01:08:11,655 --> 01:08:12,845 efficiently get their positions on. 1247 01:08:13,575 --> 01:08:16,995 And by doing that, it creates this big slow turning point. 1248 01:08:17,685 --> 01:08:21,495 And you'll see evidences that other correlated pairs, other asset classes 1249 01:08:21,495 --> 01:08:22,694 that are closely correlated to it. 1250 01:08:23,175 --> 01:08:26,595 They're going to support the idea that that's a resistance though, because 1251 01:08:26,955 --> 01:08:30,225 they're failing to make higher highs or, or lower lows in relationship to it. 1252 01:08:31,425 --> 01:08:32,175 So I'm gonna close it here. 1253 01:08:32,175 --> 01:08:33,255 Wish you good luck and good trading. 111665

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