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Welcome back books and teaching number six of eight for the
ICT mentorship, December, 2016.
Content we're gonna be dealing specifically with the
reinforcing of fair value.
And it's a concept of trading inside the range.
Okay.
What does a fair value gap?
It is a range in price delivery where one side of the market liquidity is offered
and typically confirmed with the liquidity void on the lower timeframe charts.
In the same range of pricing price can actually gap to create a literal vacuum of
trading, thus posting an actual price gap.
Okay.
Let's take a look at a Euro dollar daily chart.
Okay.
And I'm going to ask you, where do you see an example of the fair value gap?
Okay.
I'm going to draw your attention to it.
Here is that blue shaded area here.
On the daily chart.
Can we explain to you why I'm shading in that specific area of price?
It's about a 20 PIP range on the daily,
but inside of that blue shaded area, that is what is commonly referred
to in my work as a fair value gap
to take a look at what makes.
That gap so significant as you can see here, the candle to the left
of the down candle, we're looking at it comprises the fair value gap.
That's this candle here.
Okay.
And to the left of that, we have the higher bearish candle and I'm drawing
attention to the fact that it has a down close, but it's come off the.
Okay.
So we're looking at the low up to the clothes, that little wick in there.
If you take that same range.
Okay.
And you look at our down candle that created that fair
value gap on the daily chart.
Uh, that range between fit a 1 0 5 15 to approximately 1 0 5
big figure inside our downtown.
And in this candle here, that's highlighted from the low to the close.
That price range has been treated up into once already
delivering the buy-side liquidity.
In other words, on this candle is low up to the close price had come off that low.
So if it came off that load to have a higher close on that candle, that
means the buy-side liquidity had been offered on that range between 1 0 5 15.
To one of five big figure.
So that means when we look at the down candle that makes the fair value gap.
We're not concerned with the 1 0 5 15 to 100, five big figure price range.
So we're going to drawing our attention to that low here, and we'll draw
that out in time, but let's now look at the other candle that frames our
fair value gap, the next area at which we see buy-side liquidity.
Is from this green candle or up close candle to the right of our down Canada.
That makes the fair value gap.
The open to the high on this candle has offered buy-side liquidity as well.
So we have seen price offered on the up movement.
For buy-side liquidity on two candles, one to the left of our fair value
gap, creating down candle on the daily chart and one candle to the
right of it, where we saw price move higher in portion of that down candle.
So we have a range left, that's open, and it specifically is this area right here.
So we're delineating the low of the previous candle and the high of the
counter, the right of the down candidate creates that little pocket of space.
So between 1 0 5 big figure down to 1 0 4 75, about 25 pips.
That is our fair value gap.
And it's been left open.
There's been no trading outside of the movement.
Range, except for that down candle and no up movement at all on this timeframe.
Now, when we're looking at fair value gaps.
Okay.
It's important to remind you that if we're studying a specific timeframe, the gap
occurs on the timeframe you're looking at.
You can break this down further into smaller timeframes, but in
the smaller timeframes, you'll probably end up seeing illiquidity.
Where the gap would be indicated here on this team, timeframe on a lower timeframe.
It would many times appear as a liquidity void where it's multiple candles
that create that open space of range.
Okay.
So now we have our daily chart here.
We have our specific levels in mind.
And the two little line segments delineating one candles low,
and one candles high in between those two reference points.
We have that big down candle in the exposed area in between.
That is the fair value gap that only the sell side liquidity has been offered.
So imagine that paint brush analogy I've used many times in the past, on the
down candle that creates the lowest low.
There's a range with the candle before it and the candle after it, where it has
left a pocket of poorest price action, or only delivered on the downside.
We're going to expect price to eventually want to trade back
up into that little gap area.
So this area in here, that's what we're looking to see it fill in.
That's the nature of a fair value.
So when we look at price and we're zoomed in a little bit, now
here, we're at a four-hour chart.
Okay.
And you can see the two specific price levels.
Again are Dylan.
He is well, and we have a low Delaney is for potential liquidity run on
sell stocks below the low price.
Does in fact go down below that previous.
And well, now we can expect to see what form of turtle soup or a
false break below an old low, why would be reasonably expected to
go back up to fill in that gap?
Well, because we've already taken the sell side liquidity out by running an
old, well, we have equal highs here, delineated also on our chart on the
four hour basis and right above those equal highs, we have our fair value.
Eventually price does in fact, trade back up close to the fair value gap
in that trade, or that idea is now complete while it doesn't look like a
great deal of money or pips offers, it's a very highly profitable and probable
condition in the marketplace where we can see these fair value gaps and.
Double-talk whereby sauce will be resting above it.
And if you see a turtle soup run below an old well, you're in a range this time of
the year, going into the end of the 2006 trading year, uh, going into the holidays,
uh, trading is going to be range-bound.
And when you're in a range and consolidation type format or profile
for the marketplace, this is a style trading you want to be doing, looking for
stops and looking for fair value gaps.
So it was well over a hundred pips over.
And it only took about two days to complete that little price swing.
And in fact, this range of price action in the form of a fair value
gap was actually detailed to you.
In the beginning of this week, we delineated on the daily chart, the
fair value gap as outlined here.
And on the daily chart, you can see it's been filled in here.
So while there's a lot of information about fair value gaps and breakaway
gaps and measuring gaps, that's going to be coming your way in the
form of the December study notes.
Um, just understand that everything has been shown here is reversed for buy-side
liquidity runs, where the market will come back and closing a fair value gap.
That's below the marketplace to seek, to fill in the sell side liquid.
I want to take a quick look at something else.
Cause I mentioned, um, that the gaps fair value gaps, liquidity voids,
order blocks, and liquidity pools.
They kind of overlap a lot in a lot of different ways that
you're probably not aware of yet.
And that's what the benefit of having the PFO.
Uh, study notes and also in the supplementary teachings, that's
going to happen next week, Monday through Friday, a lot more away
from live trading in live sessions.
With the ICT mentorship, you will be getting a daily video supplementing
these specific techniques and concepts for the month of December.
So to help.
Really dial in on the concepts going forward so that we are prepared and
primed for the content for January, 2017.
But I want to take you back over to the charts and I'm gonna give you something
by way of understanding the overlap of liquidity voids and fair value gaps.
Okay.
Folks, we're looking at at 1 0 4 75 level.
I have the charts trained in on a five minute.
Your double.
And we're seeing the very moment at that 1 0 4 75 level was pierced here on the 19th.
Is it the second time?
It trades through that one to 4 75 level.
And I want to just draw a special attention to this area up here.
Okay.
And now I'm going to show you what it looks like when we have a.
Uh, run above an old high, which is what, this is one of the 4 75.
It's also run on liquidity in the form of a liquidity pool.
So it's running by stops, but also it's hitting their fair value gap also.
So it's trading into the fair value you get.
And I said on the lower timeframes, many times, this will create a liquidity.
You see a movement lower here on this candle.
And then we have another candle here.
Look what happened.
Next candle is open is down here.
So you have this gap in here to press trades up into that
and closes that in right there.
See that price Dan moves lower.
Significant break, lower
ended, lower
ultimately trading through
to where the cell stops were mentioned earlier.
Okay, let's take a look at it on a 15 minute basis.
Here's the first time it trades up ended at 1 0 4 75 level
closing that fair value gap.
And then here's the second time it trades up into it.
We're running out the previous high.
The previous high, this time was at 1 0 4 77.
This candle's high comes in at 100, 4 78.
So trades to it.
And just by one PIP.
Now, watch the difference here.
We have a down candle here, a lot of movement lower, but then
it comes off that low watch.
What happens now?
We gap we get from this candles close one in 4 72 to an opening
on this candle of one to four 70.
Now it's only two pips difference, but that creates a what again.
So we can be a seller at a more refined price level mentioned an earlier time.
We said that we could be a seller at 1 0 4 71 a limit when price
trades back up to that level.
If it doesn't give us an opportunity to go on a limit, we can treat
it right as it hits it live.
It can be in front of the charts right there.
There's yourself.
Now here's the thing.
Look at the bodies.
On this candle right here, the close is 1 0 4 72.
That's exactly the high on this candles.
Close one in 4 72, the wick trades through the body, but the bodies of
the candle completely closed in here.
So this gap between these two candles, these two black down candles, this gap
in between the bodies have perfectly being filled in with this up candle.
So this is exactly what I'm referring to as efficiency in
terms of the price delivery.
If this movement lower has been offered on the downside.
Okay.
Now think, look closely.
This candle is high.
Comes in at 1 0 4 78.
The close is at 1 0 4 75.
The next candle it opens at one to 4 76.
I'm sorry, one of 4 74.
And then it creates a hot.
At 100, 4 76.
So it moves two pips up.
So from the opening to the high is buy-side liquidity offered.
Then it trades down for a down close.
Then we gapped down here.
There's a gap of buy-side liquidity from these two candles
from this candles opening.
That's exactly where this price goes on.
The upside from the open to the high, the open is one of 4 63, the highest 1 0 4 7.
Which is the opening here?
1 0 4 74.
That's the last point at which the buy-side liquidity is offered
on the up movement, then it's all down from the opening.
It fills in that perfect delivery, a price right there.
And then at that moment, when you see this live, you can be a seller at that moment
in price.
Does exactly.
We mentioned earlier when we were looking at the hard timeframe,
this delivery here, price from this candle is low up to the close by side
was offered here and buy-side was offered from the opening to the high here.
So there's a gap closure here when all of the downside movement here.
So this has all been closed in so efficiently.
We could look for this range being delivered lower.
We have to consider back here where price was delivered on the buy-side here.
So this low comes in at 1 0 4 55.
So he dropped that down to there one to 4 55.
That's where the last point at which the low had traded up to the close.
So buy-side liquidity has been delivered here.
It's all cell side liquidity at this moment here.
It's all sell side.
Now, nothing over here until we get over here.
So we created a gap down here.
Price trades up, hits it here.
It's at here.
We could be a seller at 100, 4 55 or one in four 50, looking for a move
down below 1 0 4, 15 to one to four 10.
And as you run right there, perfect delivery of price.
It's it here hits it here.
Look at the high on that candle.
1 0 4 55, 1 0 4 55 to low on this candle.
1 0 4 55, the buy-side all green candles up.
Then it comes down.
So this is all efficiently traded.
It's a full block of deliberate efficiency up and down.
Both ranges on both sides of the delivery of price, the buy and
the sell side have been offered.
From this low to this high, once we break this low here, we're all on sell side.
Now comes right back to it here.
Perfect delivery and efficiently priced at 104 55.
Does it twice time to sell it off and wait for it to run.
The cell stops below this low and this low down here on a Cisco line on it.
So you can see
there.
What's the delivery.
Boom.
Perfect.
Sit perfectly delivered down into the cell stops below the low lows.
So hopefully this has been a little bit more insights into how the liquidity pools
and liquidity voids and Fairbury gaps do all together in an overlapping scenario.
But again, there'll be a lot more scenarios to outline in your
PDF file for the summers county.
So I wish you good luck and good trading.
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