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This is the fourth of eight teachings from the ICT mentorship or another
December when teaching reinforcing liquidity pools, when to anticipate rates.
All right.
Liquidity is the open interest of buyers and sellers in the market, and can
be further defined by those entities at, or near specific price levels.
Now, if we're looking at this graphic depiction on the left hand
side, the gray area represents the current price that you're looking
at for your specific asset class.
And we'll say, for instance, say this is the dollar index.
If the current price is the market price, our understanding is that there's
going to always be a participation in the marketplace by buyers and sellers.
We don't always know why the interest would be on the form of buying or selling.
We're not really so concerned about what other traders are trying to
do with their trades, but we are interested in knowing where their
interests may reside in new pending.
New pending orders are in the form of buy stops above the marketplace,
or usually more refined, smart money traders selling above the market price.
Below the market price.
Typically you'll see sellers.
And usually it's the smart money that usually wants to buy below market price.
Usually it's the retail trader that is so reactive to price.
They're usually buying and selling at market.
The liquidity that we seek as a smart money minded trader is that
we want to sell to the buyers above us or above the market price.
So we want to be a seller above market price.
We want to buy below the market price from sellers that are
willing to sell below the market.
And by having this understood, you're always going to be selling at a
premium and buying at a discount.
Now this is going to be diametrically opposed to what
retail is typically taught.
They're usually taught to buy on a break.
Or buy on some continuation pattern, like a bull flag or, or a wage of some kind.
Uh, what we require is the market pull back into a level of discount
and that requires a bit of discipline and most traders, especially in the
retail universe, lack discipline in terms of patients, when we view.
We look at where the market is presently, and this is the market.
If we're looking at a bearish market, if the undertones of the marketplace
suggests that the dollar is bearish, w we will be willing to do is
we want to sell above old highs.
Whereas the buyer, the buyers that would view that move above an old high, they
would see that as a bullish breakout.
So there's going to be willing buyers up there.
So we know with price prints at an old high, or just above an old high,
there's going to be buyers that want to accumulate new lungs up there, or
they have shorts on and the market has repriced above and old high.
And that's exactly where their stop loss for protective short position
would be residing in Lawrence.
They would have protected by stop about an Ohio.
We could sell at that moment.
By doing that.
What we're doing is we're actually selling short in a pool of liquidity of buyers.
Above old highs, there's a pool or a collection of orders that
traders will build up around now.
90% of retail traders aren't even aware to other traders
are doing what they're doing.
Okay.
They're just, they're thinking myopically about themselves.
So, what we do is we, we go into the marketplace and we role play by
looking at the charts and say, okay, if I were short right now, where
would my protective buy stop would be?
If I was long right now, where would my protective cell stop me by doing that?
You can get a good read on where other traders would have their stop-loss
orders above and below the marketplace.
If we go back to our an example, and we suppose for a moment that the
dollar index would be bearish, and I'm not saying that's the case now, but
it just, for example, purposes only, we're going to say the asset that
we're looking at is the dollar index.
And we believe it's very, we could wait for a rally to go above and old high.
And look to go short there with the expectation that that move above an
old high, it would be a false breakout.
And then the market would be price going lower to some lower level
liquidity reference point in terms of maybe another old, low that it would
run below or able to shorter block, or it could close in a fair value gap.
Let's say for instance, if the dollar was.
We could look below the market price and see that they would be sellers on a
breakout looking for a move lower because most retail traders are, are incorrect
and that repricing would offer liquidity.
The.
Market price and below we want to be a buyer.
So we're going to try to buy it at a discount.
So we are trying to pair our buy orders with those willing participants
that want to sell on a sell stop.
They're either selling.
In a form of a breakout Mo looking to make a move lower, or they have a long
on, and they're protecting their long position with a protective cell stop.
So when the market trades below an old low, we're going to view that
as an opportunity to buy up the sell side liquidity, to establish a long
position and wait for a repricing.
For the market to trade above and old high.
So we can unload that position or trade up into a bearish order block, take
profits, or trade up into a fair value gap or a liquidity void by viewing a
marketplace in this market efficiency paradigm that I've been teaching you.
It allows you to see the internals of the marketplace and you don't need to see a.
You don't need to see a, uh, supposedly, uh, ladder or anything like that.
Um, depth of market.
You don't need any of that stuff.
And you can actually see where the orders would be residing
with common sense and just visual reference to where the charts are.
Showing old highs and old lows.
The trick is knowing what the underlying pinnings of the market.
Is the market predisposed to go higher or is it predisposed to go lower once you do
that higher timeframe work that leads you to be bullish or bearish on a specific
asset class, then it's not hard to sit in.
Wait.
Well, it shouldn't be hard to say it like that.
Uh, it will be hard for you initially, cause you wanting to get
in there and do something right now.
But when the market is predisposed to go higher, we wait for the market to
go down below and old, low to knock out those weak longs or bullish traders.
That trailer stop loss up to tight.
The market will correct and go lower.
Take out an old.
That accumulation of sell side liquidity or knocking out the
cell stops below the marketplace, injects the marketplace with willing
participants to sell to marketplace.
So engineer's liquidity into the market.
So if there's a rush to sell the smartphone, And us, we look to accumulate
debt, rush of selling interest, and we'll accumulate those orders really quick.
And then we'll look for a mood to go higher.
And this dabs has said for when the market's predisposed to go lower, we
wait for the market to trade above and old high that buy-side liquidity is
injected in the marketplace as a rush out by orders at the market and smart money
will go and accumulate and selling to.
With the expectation that false break above and old high, while the
market's underlying bearish, we are going to sell short in the form of a
run on liquidity or a liquidity pool.
So what does this look like?
Graphically?
Okay, well, we have, here is a run on a ghoulish liquidity pool.
And by definition, what that is is the low there's under the current market price.
We'll typically have a trailed sell stock.
For long traders, one cell stops for traders who wish to trade on a breakout,
lower in price for a short position.
Also reside below.
Validation of this setup or condition is when the lowest violated or price
moves below the recent low, and the sell stops become market orders
to sell at market this inject sell side liquidity in the marketplace.
And typically this is paired up with smart money.
Entry techniques using this concept when underlying market is bullish
before price trades under the recent low, you're going to place a buy limit
order just below or at the recent low you're buying the sell stops like a bank
trader or any other smart money entity.
Defining the risk with this setup.
This is where your work is going to be.
You're going to need to see the low identify how far it could
reasonably trade below it.
And that's going to be taught.
A lot of detail was going to be taught to you across the next coming months,
because there's going to be things we look at that haven't been taught.
But for exercise purposes now, and to observe, and in past examples in
hindsight and your, in your charts, uh, the low that you're trying to buy
under, okay, you're going to expect or anticipate on a lower timeframe
chart, like a 15 or 30 minute chart.
You can expect a 10 to 20 PIP sweep below the old lo a 30 to 50 PIP.
Stop is ideal.
If your entry is under the low and not above it.
Because you generally, if you're trying to get ahead of the move, trying
to buy above the low or at the low, you're really probably just fearful.
You're gonna miss the entry.
Uh, it's better to wait for the market to trade under that low.
And once it trades under there, 10 20 pips, that's a really good
ideal entry point because if, if you use the 30 to 50 PIP stop while
entering below significantly below the low by 10 or 20 pips below the.
If you use a 30 or 50 PIP stop at that point, it's going to take a real
significant move to knock you out.
And here's the thing.
If it starts moving beyond 25, pips, I think is a fair assessment.
Um, the low, the low it's probably not just a stop run.
You're probably looking at a much further decline.
So when do we anticipate these stop rates?
Well, in this case here, this market was on their line bullish.
Uh, it was the key and just so you know, to Kiwi dollar.
Sure.
And it was an old low there, and the market had a liquidity pool resting below
the old low market trades below that old, low, and accumulates all those self stops.
Now, while it's doing that, okay, it's going to look to offset those new
longs by smart money above old highs.
And you can see the equal highs over to the left, where I've
highlighted it and draw that out to the right side of the chart.
And you can see where profit taken.
With by stops when they're rated and that's the other contrary liquidity pool
or where the buy stocks would be resting.
So you're, you're accumulating cell stops and offloading them to buy stops.
You're accumulating the sell side liquidity for long.
And you're distributing your longs to the buy-side liquidity.
All you're doing is the same role as a market maker and a liquidity provider.
Remember it's that market efficiency paradigm just put
into mechanics and operation.
So let's take a look at the charts themselves, and we'll
go over a couple of examples.
Okay.
Folks, we're looking at the Canadian dollar U S CAD pair on the left
hand side, we have a daily chart and I want you to take a look
at the bodies of these candles.
We're going to look for a suite below the bodies of those candles.
Okay.
There's south stops below these lows and we're using
this previous days, candle low.
And that low comes in at 1 31 0 2, 1 31 0 2.
And that's what that level is.
And we transpose that level that we're on to our 15 minute timeframe, 3,102.
And we see on this day here, price trades down below it.
Okay.
And cheers, a willingness to rally away and news is coming out and there's going
to be a interest rate announcement.
Uh, on this particular day, we're going to be looking for a run below this low.
Okay.
So now we have a low and we now have another lower low right
here that we're finding on a daily time, on an intraday basis.
So we're going to be looking for a run below 1 30 95, 1 30 95.
So if we see a movement down to 1 30, 85 or 1 30, 75, it could be a buyer.
So we can do a buy at 1 30 90.
We're going to say that's our entry point.
And price trades after watching it a little bit here, trades up higher.
We're waiting.
We're not considering anything above that level.
We're looking for a move down below it.
Price trades right down below it here.
And this candles low comes in at 1 30 83.
So the stop, I'm sorry, the limit order.
Would've put you in long at 1 30, 90, and.
The actual low comes in at 1 30, 83.
So it's not even seven pips.
It's small.
It is seven pips, a draw down and price immediately show the
willingness to want to rally.
And we're looking for a run up into this swing high, where there
would be a contrary liquidity pool whereby stocks will be resting.
So we're going to be looking for a 1 33 60 as a way to unload and price rallies up.
And there's your run to 1 33 60 there.
Great.
So 1 33 60 occurs right here on this candle right here.
It still goes a little bit higher, but you can actually see it
unfold here as well on the daily.
So that's a liquidity pool example on.
The dollar CAD pair, really nice example of low risk entry.
Very big payout up to here.
So let's go on to another example.
Okay.
We're looking at the dollar index.
You see the dollar has been a bullish move here and we probably cooled our jets for
the week going into Friday's is Thursdays trading, and this is Fridays set up here.
So price creates a low in here, intraday, and we have some buys
stops above this high here, and we have some stops above this.
Short-term high here as well.
Uh, price trades down, clears out the cell stops on the marketplace
here, and your entry could have been at 21 to 2 85 or one or two 80.
Uh, the low.
Comes in at 1 0 2 69.
So you definitely would have had a easy fill on that in regards to a spread.
So below this low, you'd be long and we're gonna be looking for
by stops above these equal highs.
And then by stops above here to unload that long position that would
be accumulated below this low price rallies up small little retracement
could have been scary for you here, but you're looking for a rejection away.
Price taps that high just fell short of it.
Explodes up through takes the buy stops, smaller trades, and again, runs right up.
It's the buy stops.
And this is what you see on Friday.
And we talked about this in the market before it actually happened, running up
here and buying, uh, taking out these buys stops and then seeking the cell
SOPs below these relative equal loads.
And you see that example as well.
So, uh, because the market was in a trench.
Environment prior to Friday and Friday being the end of the week, we're going
to be looking for the market to want to take something off the table and
going to have a choppy sideways day.
And that was why we weren't expecting a new high, but we were
looking for a run on those bus stops and running out the cell stops.
So you can see an example again, here with the dollar index.
Here's another example.
This is using the dollar swizzy, we're going to end stall a.
Horizontal line delineating this low here.
Okay.
And we could be a buyer at that low or just below it and going to look
for a run below that to be a buyer.
And we're going to look to pair or is above this high and this high here.
And we'll see.
And we'll potentially look for a run up here.
So a 1 0 1, 4, 5.
1 0 1 30 and in 1 0, 1 25 are, are layered by stop areas where we're going
to leave you looking to take our profits and take something off the table.
Okay.
So here's that move down into that, that level.
We identified a low and here is the sweep down below it.
Price rallies away, surges up above for the 1 0 1 25.
Look at the reaction after it hits this to that in itself is a nice other reaction
for a liquidity pool reaction, but we're looking for a stronger move higher.
And there's your reaction clearing out the one-to-one thirties and the 1 0 1 45.
Mack here.
It's a good level one.
As you can see it
clear so that, and then it keeps on rolling.
So another little run on liquidity pool there.
Let's see another example.
Okay.
This is cable.
We talked about this one also live in.
Session Friday during live market action said that we would probably
sweep below that one more time.
Get below the opening price, uh, sell stocks below that short term, low here.
And we talked about price moving up into the 1 25, the 1 25 20
level relative to the hourly chart
price sweeps down below.
Runs it pool of liquidity out here.
So those stops are now gone to sell stops are gone.
So they accumulated those, those positions.
And now they're going to look to offset above 24 75 and on the alley, we talked
about this and you can look at the live session recording for December
16th, 2016 for that a bit of business.
Cause we're not going to talk about fair value gaps there today, but
price runs up and hits that level.
Handsomely to run on liquidity pool here absorbed the cell stops, accumulating
them as long position entries, take something off above here and it off,
up here relative to the hourly chart.
So there's a few examples of running his own liquidity in the form of liquidity.
We're going to build on these ideas also on us supplementary teachings
during the week of Christmas, because there will not be any live sessions
that week because of the holiday.
I'll be with my.
I will be providing you a five additional prerecorded teachings that go into
more detail about these liquidity.
Paul runs a fair value gaps, liquidity voids, order blocks, mitigation
blocks, and reclaimed order blocks.
So there's your teachings.
There's going to be an amplification of what you're getting in the regular
eight teachings for December, 2016.
So until the next one, I wish you good luck and goodbye.
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