All language subtitles for Lesson 3.1 - Reinforcing Orderblock Theory [Mitigation Blocks]

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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:40,200 --> 00:00:40,680 Okay folks. 2 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:41,340 Welcome back. 3 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:46,560 We're going to be looking at a amplification of what a block theory we're 4 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:52,260 specifically dealing with the mitigation block can, when we look at mitigation 5 00:00:52,260 --> 00:00:54,660 blocks, what we're looking for is a. 6 00:00:55,620 --> 00:01:00,600 Condition to the marketplace where the market has given clear indications 7 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:07,470 that it wants to break down or move higher in a step ladder formation. 8 00:01:08,070 --> 00:01:12,539 Um, in other words, like selling rallies or buying declines, um, 9 00:01:12,570 --> 00:01:16,440 drying declines in bullish markets and selling rallies in a bear market. 10 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:18,210 And when we look at the marketplace and we. 11 00:01:19,875 --> 00:01:23,865 Price action in the form of resistance levels and support levels or 12 00:01:23,865 --> 00:01:27,495 anticipated bearish, institutional reference points and anticipated 13 00:01:27,765 --> 00:01:29,625 bullish institutional reference points. 14 00:01:30,515 --> 00:01:34,095 We have to have a context in the marketplace behind our viewpoints. 15 00:01:34,095 --> 00:01:37,845 Are we looking at the market that has a bullish scenario, or are we looking 16 00:01:37,845 --> 00:01:39,465 for a market that has embarrassed area? 17 00:01:39,915 --> 00:01:43,365 In this example, we're going to look at a market that has a bearish example. 18 00:01:44,275 --> 00:01:44,455 Okay. 19 00:01:44,875 --> 00:01:48,535 When we're looking at a market that is moving up into a potential 20 00:01:48,535 --> 00:01:53,905 bearish resistance level, um, market typically will move up 21 00:01:53,905 --> 00:01:57,685 and they move into a fault high. 22 00:01:57,685 --> 00:02:01,855 It could be an old low, it could be a very shorter block. 23 00:02:02,335 --> 00:02:04,165 It could be a. 24 00:02:05,745 --> 00:02:09,615 Breaker that we'll learn more about, it could be a multitude of 25 00:02:09,615 --> 00:02:15,795 things that would lead your opinion into the realm of resistance. 26 00:02:16,455 --> 00:02:16,695 Okay. 27 00:02:16,695 --> 00:02:20,025 But without going into great detail, what that may be, there's 28 00:02:20,055 --> 00:02:23,415 multiple opportunities to frame that idea of being resistance. 29 00:02:24,075 --> 00:02:28,065 If a resistance level is expected, or you anticipate some selling 30 00:02:28,095 --> 00:02:32,625 pressure and potential outlines is indicated here at what we do 31 00:02:32,625 --> 00:02:33,945 is we wait for price to indicate. 32 00:02:34,845 --> 00:02:37,005 A confirmation that there are willing sellers up there. 33 00:02:37,845 --> 00:02:41,625 If the market does show a repricing and rallies, one more time up to it. 34 00:02:42,885 --> 00:02:45,135 What we're going to be doing is monitoring. 35 00:02:45,165 --> 00:02:48,165 Does the market have a willingness to want to break down? 36 00:02:50,325 --> 00:02:55,005 And eventually the market will show signs that it does in fact break lower. 37 00:02:55,365 --> 00:02:58,515 Now, if you look at this specific pattern here, this is what is 38 00:02:58,515 --> 00:03:00,825 referred to as an M pattern. 39 00:03:01,905 --> 00:03:04,665 Because it looks like a giant M okay. 40 00:03:04,695 --> 00:03:08,114 Well, when you have this pattern here, it's a failure swing with a 41 00:03:08,114 --> 00:03:13,605 confirmation break in market structure that low right here is what you're 42 00:03:13,605 --> 00:03:19,454 going to be utilizing to frame the context of the market structure. 43 00:03:20,745 --> 00:03:25,245 So when that shift in market structure is seen here with a break below that old low, 44 00:03:25,635 --> 00:03:29,565 that gives us confirmation that the market does in fact have participants on a large 45 00:03:29,565 --> 00:03:32,895 scale, willing to drive prices lower. 46 00:03:32,985 --> 00:03:33,915 And that's what we need. 47 00:03:33,915 --> 00:03:34,785 As small traders. 48 00:03:35,175 --> 00:03:39,465 We have to have the willingness to have the smart money indicate their cards. 49 00:03:39,465 --> 00:03:43,095 If you will show or show their hand, do they want to send prices lower? 50 00:03:43,095 --> 00:03:45,255 Or do you want to send prices higher in this case? 51 00:03:45,255 --> 00:03:47,805 This is indicating that the market does in fact have 52 00:03:47,805 --> 00:03:49,145 confirmation that it wants to go. 53 00:03:53,850 --> 00:03:58,320 So, what we do is we look at this range from that short-term low up to that 54 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:04,230 short term high inside that range, there has been buyers, but the problem is, 55 00:04:04,230 --> 00:04:07,170 is now those buyers are under water. 56 00:04:08,610 --> 00:04:12,240 This short-term rally in price highlights, a specific institutional reference 57 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:14,520 point known as the mitigation block. 58 00:04:21,780 --> 00:04:27,180 Once price posts, the market structure shift, lower your attention as the trader 59 00:04:27,210 --> 00:04:29,520 moves to this specific, low in price. 60 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:35,460 Great there inside that low, what we're going to be focusing on is the 61 00:04:35,460 --> 00:04:40,290 last down candle, because the last down is where the buying took place. 62 00:04:40,350 --> 00:04:42,360 Right before that little short term rally up. 63 00:04:43,965 --> 00:04:50,655 Since price broke below that low at a subsequent later time, which is really no. 64 00:04:51,015 --> 00:04:55,005 Um, there's no role as to how long it takes before that low is violated. 65 00:04:55,414 --> 00:04:56,205 We just note it. 66 00:04:56,234 --> 00:05:01,275 And when it's broken, it's seen as a short-term support level, that's given 67 00:05:01,275 --> 00:05:03,945 way with a bear's context behind it. 68 00:05:03,945 --> 00:05:07,065 So when we see that we're seeing the evidence is that there are 69 00:05:07,065 --> 00:05:10,844 smart money entities behind the marketplace, driving price, lower. 70 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:15,330 At first glance, it looks like, well, this is a missed opportunity. 71 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:18,930 But now what we do is that we focus on this low because that last down candle 72 00:05:19,290 --> 00:05:23,370 will give us a bearish level to sell into. 73 00:05:27,090 --> 00:05:30,540 When price drives back up into that old short-term low, we just referenced. 74 00:05:30,990 --> 00:05:34,080 There's going to be three reference points that you need to be aware of. 75 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:38,490 The market structure shift is seen here. 76 00:05:38,490 --> 00:05:39,719 We're retracing back into it. 77 00:05:41,550 --> 00:05:42,210 Right there. 78 00:05:43,469 --> 00:05:54,150 What three points are used at this moment, you have point a point B and point C when 79 00:05:54,150 --> 00:06:00,659 price actually returns to the point of a reference, the long positions taken 80 00:06:00,659 --> 00:06:05,969 from a to B price swing, we'll have an opportunity to liquidate or mitigate 81 00:06:05,969 --> 00:06:07,770 their losses that were occurring. 82 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:13,050 During the price move from B to C, and this can result in new lower 83 00:06:13,050 --> 00:06:18,030 price swings to see for retesting or a significantly lower price. 84 00:06:18,300 --> 00:06:19,800 Move into a support level. 85 00:06:19,950 --> 00:06:21,150 That's under the market price. 86 00:06:27,630 --> 00:06:32,130 In short, this is an opportunity to sell whatever particular 87 00:06:32,159 --> 00:06:33,300 market or asset classes. 88 00:06:37,460 --> 00:06:40,760 As the market breaks lower, let's say you look at the chart 89 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:41,780 and this is what you see here. 90 00:06:42,380 --> 00:06:44,660 It does not mean that you've missed an opportunity. 91 00:06:44,690 --> 00:06:47,780 It just means that now you have a new opportunity. 92 00:06:47,780 --> 00:06:48,740 That's unfolding. 93 00:06:53,060 --> 00:06:56,540 Do the longs in here in that short term load that a short-term 94 00:06:56,540 --> 00:06:58,030 high do they need to be. 95 00:06:59,280 --> 00:07:02,370 We don't know for certain, but if you do have a belief, that price 96 00:07:02,370 --> 00:07:06,299 is going to be moving lower, longer term, that there's an unrealized lower 97 00:07:06,299 --> 00:07:11,010 support level or sell side liquidity that has not been tapped into yet. 98 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:15,510 We could be viewing this short-term rally in here as an opportunity 99 00:07:15,510 --> 00:07:18,330 for a new selling opportunity. 100 00:07:22,679 --> 00:07:24,690 We have another market structure shift. 101 00:07:28,395 --> 00:07:33,525 So where's our focus given what was explained in the previous example, 102 00:07:34,215 --> 00:07:38,354 where's our focus right now to trader why are we looking at a specific 103 00:07:38,354 --> 00:07:40,395 level and what are we anticipating 104 00:07:46,015 --> 00:07:46,674 that low rate? 105 00:07:47,895 --> 00:07:50,055 Inside that low, the last down candle. 106 00:07:50,655 --> 00:07:53,385 That's what we're going to be looking for price to reach back up into. 107 00:07:53,445 --> 00:08:00,105 If it does that we can be a seller at that moment as price drives back above it, 108 00:08:01,905 --> 00:08:06,705 into that low we're watching price trade into that last down candle right before 109 00:08:06,705 --> 00:08:08,115 it had that short term rally before. 110 00:08:09,405 --> 00:08:10,605 Great at MoMA here. 111 00:08:10,785 --> 00:08:17,475 We're looking to go short as price hits that last down candle 112 00:08:17,715 --> 00:08:19,185 in the previous short-term low. 113 00:08:22,125 --> 00:08:23,445 Where's your focus at this moment? 114 00:08:23,535 --> 00:08:27,285 We're anticipating price to move down from this point here, which 115 00:08:27,285 --> 00:08:31,065 is giving us a short opportunity to run the liquidity out below this 116 00:08:31,065 --> 00:08:36,525 short-term low here and potentially as low as our higher timeframes for. 117 00:08:41,039 --> 00:08:44,640 As price hits are longer-term support level or anticipated 118 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:47,160 bullish institutional reference point, which could be an old high. 119 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:50,940 It could be an old low, it could be a bullish order, block, many, 120 00:08:50,940 --> 00:08:54,270 many opportunities to frame that idea, but whatever that is, that 121 00:08:54,270 --> 00:08:55,710 forms your idea for support. 122 00:08:56,190 --> 00:09:02,400 This is the objective that you'd be reaching for as price hits that. 123 00:09:04,005 --> 00:09:07,035 Can we be collapsing our trade and moving to the sidelines, 124 00:09:07,035 --> 00:09:08,715 waiting for new developments 125 00:09:12,025 --> 00:09:12,775 when we had this. 126 00:09:14,925 --> 00:09:15,645 In the marketplace. 127 00:09:15,675 --> 00:09:19,005 What we're seeing is the classic support broken turns, resistance. 128 00:09:19,155 --> 00:09:23,265 Every time price moves back to an old low actually happening is it's referred 129 00:09:23,265 --> 00:09:28,845 to as buyer's remorse the buyers at the previous short term low that saw a short 130 00:09:28,845 --> 00:09:32,655 term pop in their favorite and eventually saw the market break below that low. 131 00:09:32,655 --> 00:09:35,115 They bought that when price gets back to that low. 132 00:09:36,315 --> 00:09:37,785 The remorseful for buying it. 133 00:09:37,785 --> 00:09:43,185 So they bail, but on an institutional level, the smart money understands 134 00:09:43,185 --> 00:09:48,135 these short-term fluctuations and they can drive price on a short-term basis, 135 00:09:48,525 --> 00:09:50,565 higher or lower through manipulation. 136 00:09:51,375 --> 00:09:54,495 So if they're going to manipulate price on the short term, By having 137 00:09:54,495 --> 00:09:58,875 large orders come in and push and bully market pricing around. 138 00:09:59,265 --> 00:10:01,785 They're going to want to liquidate their positions because just like anyone 139 00:10:01,785 --> 00:10:04,005 else, they don't want to incur losses. 140 00:10:04,365 --> 00:10:07,875 So this gives them the opportunity to mitigate those losses. 141 00:10:10,615 --> 00:10:15,775 Premium price highs are bought by less informed traders and sold by smart money, 142 00:10:16,375 --> 00:10:18,655 which are you going to be grouped in? 143 00:10:19,345 --> 00:10:19,495 Okay. 144 00:10:19,495 --> 00:10:20,755 Folks, we're going to look at a quick example. 145 00:10:24,185 --> 00:10:28,235 And draw your attention to a liquidity avoid in here, 146 00:10:31,475 --> 00:10:34,895 and there's equilibrium that liquidity void bodies or body 147 00:10:35,105 --> 00:10:36,995 end, or was the open and closed. 148 00:10:39,815 --> 00:10:43,385 And we're going to highlight that reference point here, that halfway 149 00:10:43,385 --> 00:10:48,035 point in this equilibrium, the ideas we broke this high back here, we're 150 00:10:48,035 --> 00:10:49,655 expecting continuation on the upside. 151 00:10:52,515 --> 00:10:54,615 Market trades higher, 152 00:10:59,025 --> 00:11:01,305 but it shows a breakdown in here. 153 00:11:06,135 --> 00:11:06,555 Okay. 154 00:11:09,225 --> 00:11:11,835 In here this failure, swing break there. 155 00:11:12,405 --> 00:11:14,145 Rumi looking at this low. 156 00:11:18,570 --> 00:11:21,540 And I'm just going to draw horizontal lines in on the respective lows. 157 00:11:26,340 --> 00:11:29,220 And this will be a new mitigation block. 158 00:11:31,020 --> 00:11:35,640 When we dropped down into the lower timeframes, sell 159 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:40,560 off their sells off breaks. 160 00:11:40,560 --> 00:11:44,160 This low here to the last down candle on this move here is the. 161 00:11:49,829 --> 00:11:50,280 There. 162 00:11:50,819 --> 00:11:54,270 So once price trades back up, that's a sell right in here. 163 00:11:54,689 --> 00:11:55,180 You choose it. 164 00:11:55,229 --> 00:12:02,459 Just overshoots it by a little bit, but nonetheless it breaks lower right here. 165 00:12:02,459 --> 00:12:04,530 So now our attention is on this low. 166 00:12:07,229 --> 00:12:13,229 Every rally, it sees lower prices needs to be mitigated. 167 00:12:14,835 --> 00:12:15,285 Right here. 168 00:12:15,285 --> 00:12:18,225 So if we treat back up to that low, that's a cell, right? 169 00:12:18,225 --> 00:12:22,005 There is a cell I'm going to be aiming for a move back below this low, 170 00:12:25,305 --> 00:12:30,585 ultimately down into our equilibrium of our liquidity void right here. 171 00:12:32,355 --> 00:12:35,625 Well, it comes in at 11 48, 1 11 48. 172 00:12:38,535 --> 00:12:41,295 Here's a short-term low. 173 00:12:43,050 --> 00:12:47,910 Trades lower trades back up into the last down candle hits it overshoots 174 00:12:47,910 --> 00:12:50,370 a little bit, but it's inside the body of the candle, which is what a 175 00:12:50,370 --> 00:12:58,800 mitigation block represents price trades down below the last down candle here. 176 00:12:59,250 --> 00:13:03,540 And we have another lower low here, so we can adjust that one 177 00:13:03,540 --> 00:13:08,760 to that low there, right there. 178 00:13:09,510 --> 00:13:09,990 Price hits. 179 00:13:11,070 --> 00:13:14,550 Objective is going to be break below this low sales off, goes through it 180 00:13:15,150 --> 00:13:20,190 and ultimately goes down into our mean threshold of the liquidity void. 181 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:27,660 So a couple of different things shown in here as an overlap study, one medication. 182 00:13:28,110 --> 00:13:33,360 Let's take a look at a 30 minute chart on the same price action. 183 00:13:41,340 --> 00:13:43,050 Here's a mean threshold and liquidity void. 184 00:13:44,610 --> 00:13:46,020 Last down candle, right? 185 00:13:46,020 --> 00:13:48,570 For the up move price hits it, sell it right there. 186 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:49,770 This is a mitigation block. 187 00:13:49,770 --> 00:13:51,660 Everything that was used to drive price higher. 188 00:13:52,170 --> 00:13:54,000 Once it's treated below here, it's on their water. 189 00:13:54,540 --> 00:13:57,180 They're going to want to mitigate those losses at that candle. 190 00:13:57,660 --> 00:14:03,600 Sell short this last day down the candle here is violated here at price trades. 191 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:04,320 Back up to it. 192 00:14:04,680 --> 00:14:06,390 Here we can be a seller. 193 00:14:06,930 --> 00:14:07,230 The buyer. 194 00:14:07,979 --> 00:14:10,770 The whole entire candle is used, not just the bottom, but 195 00:14:10,770 --> 00:14:11,969 we can be a seller down here. 196 00:14:12,270 --> 00:14:15,660 It's going to be a short seller at 1 12 62. 197 00:14:16,319 --> 00:14:19,229 And our stop has to be somewhere above the down candle in here. 198 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:20,069 Okay. 199 00:14:20,069 --> 00:14:24,569 So that high on this candle comes in at 1 12 89. 200 00:14:24,569 --> 00:14:26,670 So it needs to be above that informal stock. 201 00:14:27,479 --> 00:14:32,880 So we could be seeing just a little bit of draw down here about 20 pips or so, but 202 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:35,550 never getting much above this downstairs. 203 00:14:36,510 --> 00:14:41,040 Prey trades lower violates a very convincing breakdown here. 204 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:45,840 Last down candle, the low trades up and again, notice the body 205 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:47,190 of the candle is not violated. 206 00:14:47,610 --> 00:14:52,500 This is hallmark characteristics of other mitigation block price rates up into it. 207 00:14:53,010 --> 00:14:58,500 We were expecting prices below this low now and ultimately reaches down into 208 00:14:59,580 --> 00:15:01,020 our main threshold or the liquidity. 209 00:15:02,070 --> 00:15:05,580 Then ultimately I'll give you a view of what took place price 210 00:15:05,580 --> 00:15:06,870 eventually started to move back up. 211 00:15:07,710 --> 00:15:09,570 So hopefully this has helped you with mitigation blocks. 212 00:15:09,570 --> 00:15:15,120 We will still talk more about it again in the PDF file for your December, 2016, ICT 213 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:18,990 mentorship study notes until next time I wish you good luck and good trading. 18621

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