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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:06,890 --> 00:00:07,580 Welcome back. 2 00:00:25,820 --> 00:00:26,000 Okay. 3 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:26,300 Today. 4 00:00:28,529 --> 00:00:32,670 Unemployment claims coming out for the dollar and building permits for CAD. 5 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:38,760 Then we have a speaker coming in for CAD later on today. 6 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:44,250 But, uh, when we study in the release and injection of volatility here in about five 7 00:00:44,250 --> 00:00:46,500 minutes relative to the Canadian dollar. 8 00:01:01,105 --> 00:01:03,655 Dollar's reaching up into those equal highs we were talking about. 9 00:01:03,685 --> 00:01:05,605 We've been talking about this for two months now. 10 00:01:07,195 --> 00:01:10,465 So we're going to look for a run into this area here specifically. 11 00:01:17,695 --> 00:01:18,115 what is that? 12 00:01:19,580 --> 00:01:22,220 96 55 and 96 60. 13 00:01:22,789 --> 00:01:26,990 Uh, if we go with any more movement beyond that 96, 80 as 14 00:01:26,990 --> 00:01:28,910 we were discussing yesterday. 15 00:02:14,775 --> 00:02:15,285 All cable. 16 00:02:35,700 --> 00:02:36,269 I'm worried about. 17 00:02:42,269 --> 00:02:42,839 It's just annoying. 18 00:02:42,870 --> 00:02:43,829 I feel sorry for you folks. 19 00:02:43,829 --> 00:02:45,030 Cause you got to keep hearing me clear about. 20 00:02:59,429 --> 00:02:59,670 All right. 21 00:02:59,670 --> 00:03:08,339 So what I'm looking for is, since we're looking for dollar to stretch into 96 22 00:03:08,339 --> 00:03:13,410 55, 9, 6 60, and maybe push into a 9,600. 23 00:03:19,845 --> 00:03:24,915 And looking for the market to want to find some support off this order block here 24 00:03:33,125 --> 00:03:38,295 again, this is a 15 minute timeframe to down candles together is equivalent to 30. 25 00:03:39,255 --> 00:03:43,935 Bullish shoulder block or one down candle for 30 minute timeframe. 26 00:03:47,755 --> 00:03:51,445 Let's see what side of the market they reach for in about two minutes. 27 00:04:31,780 --> 00:04:32,410 Yeah, I'm recording. 28 00:04:32,410 --> 00:04:33,070 Thank you for reminding. 29 00:04:42,740 --> 00:04:42,890 okay. 30 00:04:42,890 --> 00:04:45,890 So yesterday we had this low, we were talking about it came 31 00:04:45,890 --> 00:04:49,760 down, swept that didn't even get down into the actual level. 32 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:53,599 We looked for, uh, the specific, uh, water block. 33 00:04:54,530 --> 00:04:58,280 They take the stops out we've since come back. 34 00:04:59,250 --> 00:05:00,360 Nice little dip down. 35 00:05:00,630 --> 00:05:05,580 Initially, if you look at the opening price here, we're talking 36 00:05:05,580 --> 00:05:06,750 more about this this month 37 00:05:12,750 --> 00:05:15,870 at or below that is power three. 38 00:05:16,110 --> 00:05:19,410 In other words, a range expansion should be if it's bullish 39 00:05:19,540 --> 00:05:21,180 should be seen on the upside. 40 00:05:21,450 --> 00:05:24,480 And if it's a barest day, it would be seeing range expansion 41 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:25,650 on the downside below it. 42 00:05:30,010 --> 00:05:33,070 Again, watching that dollar, we should be seeing reaction in here. 43 00:05:33,070 --> 00:05:35,020 Now numbers just hit. 44 00:06:55,710 --> 00:06:58,260 Watch the middle of both these two down candles together. 45 00:06:58,830 --> 00:07:01,739 Again, that would be the equivalent of 30 minute bull shorter block. 46 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:16,409 Uh, the question is, is if I was long, would I be wanting to collapse a trade? 47 00:07:17,294 --> 00:07:18,405 From this low over here. 48 00:07:19,244 --> 00:07:19,635 Um, 49 00:07:23,114 --> 00:07:26,984 I don't know two clients, which I don't have an opinion where we're at right now. 50 00:07:26,984 --> 00:07:27,974 That's why I'm observing it. 51 00:07:29,804 --> 00:07:33,434 If you weren't long over here, I would like to believe you were taking something 52 00:07:33,434 --> 00:07:36,794 out of the market by now that way, even if it does come down and you've already paid. 53 00:07:58,665 --> 00:07:58,845 Okay. 54 00:07:58,845 --> 00:08:02,385 So we're seeing initially we're seeing weakness on dollar. 55 00:08:05,025 --> 00:08:07,515 And if we go into the dollar index itself, 56 00:08:11,275 --> 00:08:13,674 you're not seeing that in, in that dollar. 57 00:08:14,604 --> 00:08:15,174 That is that. 58 00:08:25,005 --> 00:08:27,715 So if we continue to see dollar hold it's. 59 00:08:29,695 --> 00:08:31,974 Now what's key is, is that we're above this old high over here. 60 00:08:32,095 --> 00:08:32,965 So you gotta be careful 61 00:08:36,145 --> 00:08:37,674 ahead of this news release. 62 00:08:37,674 --> 00:08:39,475 We were so close to this old high. 63 00:08:40,284 --> 00:08:47,305 There really wasn't enough room to frame, a low, low, low resistance liquidity runs. 64 00:08:49,675 --> 00:08:52,704 So simply because there's an economic calendar release with 65 00:08:52,704 --> 00:08:56,845 high-impact news dollar based and it's in a New York session. 66 00:08:58,420 --> 00:09:02,740 The fact that it has high impact, doesn't always equate to anything 67 00:09:03,310 --> 00:09:07,030 because you have to have room from where the market could re reaching for. 68 00:10:04,870 --> 00:10:07,270 Very good cop. 69 00:10:07,290 --> 00:10:09,910 You already are taking this as an exercise on long. 70 00:10:10,989 --> 00:10:11,410 Very good. 71 00:10:17,460 --> 00:10:21,180 No, just say it like, I'll just talk in general terms. 72 00:10:21,780 --> 00:10:24,900 Let's say for instance, we have the economic calendar as it is today 73 00:10:26,010 --> 00:10:33,000 and say that the dollar index was down here at 96, 30 or 9, 6 35. 74 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:39,600 And we have yet to run through this old high, if that was the case in 75 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:40,890 the numbers released at eight 30. 76 00:10:41,655 --> 00:10:46,305 Being a high-impact or medium impact news that would give you the context to 77 00:10:46,305 --> 00:10:50,955 say, okay, well the nearby volatility, I'm sorry, nearby liquidity will 78 00:10:50,955 --> 00:10:53,385 probably be ran out above this old high. 79 00:10:53,895 --> 00:10:58,305 Even if it doesn't continue going through it, if it just goes up to that 80 00:10:58,305 --> 00:11:02,115 point, that gives you an indication that the dollar should strengthen. 81 00:11:02,415 --> 00:11:05,955 So any dollar based currency pair that starts to dollar in its name 82 00:11:05,955 --> 00:11:10,545 first, you would be looking for the market to find some bullshit. 83 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:18,780 But given the fact that we hit these stops above this old high, before the 84 00:11:18,780 --> 00:11:25,800 numbers released it lessens or dampens the initial impact on the trade. 85 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:30,209 In other words, the magnitude of which the market will move when those numbers 86 00:11:30,209 --> 00:11:33,420 are released at eight 30, or whenever that news room be that we'll release those data 87 00:11:33,420 --> 00:11:36,660 points, uh, it, it lessens its impact. 88 00:11:37,199 --> 00:11:39,300 So you get a less of a, a punch in. 89 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:28,260 Ideally, and you want to see expansion in here and you know, if it's going to 90 00:12:28,260 --> 00:12:32,730 expand, we've already mapped out earlier in the week, that area above those equal 91 00:12:32,730 --> 00:12:34,140 highs, relative to the daily chart. 92 00:12:35,190 --> 00:12:36,720 So if dollar going to pull up. 93 00:12:37,725 --> 00:12:40,005 Into this area up here above those equal highs. 94 00:12:40,275 --> 00:12:51,795 Remember, we're looking for 96, 55, 96, 55 clears the stops on the daily chart. 95 00:12:56,715 --> 00:13:00,795 Did I lose anybody talking about this dollar 96 55 Wyatt. 96 00:13:05,940 --> 00:13:08,310 All we did was use that shaded area. 97 00:13:08,310 --> 00:13:11,490 We identified on the daily chart to drop down into. 98 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:12,840 Okay. 99 00:13:14,700 --> 00:13:19,080 On the daily, on the dollar index, we drew our attention 100 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:23,560 to these equal highs over here. 101 00:13:23,590 --> 00:13:25,930 We've been talking about that for a while and. 102 00:13:34,209 --> 00:13:36,790 Hi on this candle 103 00:13:41,060 --> 00:13:49,040 comes in at 96 53 and the opening is 96, 35. 104 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:52,970 We're already over the opening, but if we get a run through the. 105 00:13:54,699 --> 00:13:58,030 96 55 would do it be two pips above it to the realm. 106 00:13:58,839 --> 00:14:00,010 Nearest five level. 107 00:14:05,839 --> 00:14:09,290 The problem is, is when you have set like this, or if you're looking 108 00:14:09,290 --> 00:14:10,490 at it as a potential set up, 109 00:14:18,469 --> 00:14:21,229 the market had already moved above and old high. 110 00:14:22,775 --> 00:14:27,214 So once you've done, once you've already hit this urine potential 111 00:14:27,214 --> 00:14:29,074 turtle suit or false breakout. 112 00:14:30,064 --> 00:14:34,834 And if it's already done that ahead of the news release or market re uh, data 113 00:14:34,834 --> 00:14:41,255 point, like the building permits for cat and, uh, unemployment claims for dollar. 114 00:15:22,935 --> 00:15:23,355 Excuse me. 115 00:15:23,355 --> 00:15:23,685 Sorry. 116 00:15:24,944 --> 00:15:28,845 The, uh, this is going to be a rough weekend through this one. 117 00:15:28,845 --> 00:15:34,875 The, uh, the, the, the fact that the price had already moved 118 00:15:34,875 --> 00:15:36,525 above this old height, right? 119 00:15:36,525 --> 00:15:41,055 When the data was released, it already removed its potential. 120 00:15:43,005 --> 00:15:45,915 Like, if it was below that level down here, let's say it was down here 121 00:15:45,915 --> 00:15:50,475 and all this move up hadn't happened yet going into the 30 news release. 122 00:15:51,825 --> 00:15:55,185 If that hadn't happened, liquidity would be resting above here, which 123 00:15:55,185 --> 00:15:57,255 would draw price up on the news. 124 00:15:58,200 --> 00:15:58,410 Okay. 125 00:15:58,420 --> 00:16:00,270 The news would be masking. 126 00:16:00,270 --> 00:16:02,190 The reason to drive up here hit those stops. 127 00:16:02,190 --> 00:16:06,120 The bus stops above that level, and you would expect it to expand up 128 00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:08,550 into potentially that area we've identified on the daily chart. 129 00:16:09,060 --> 00:16:09,920 Now it's still can do it. 130 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:11,910 That doesn't necessarily mean that just because it's not 131 00:16:11,910 --> 00:16:13,500 moved yet, it won't go up there. 132 00:16:13,500 --> 00:16:17,550 It just means that the high probability conditions are you 133 00:16:17,550 --> 00:16:19,500 identify a previous higher or low. 134 00:16:19,890 --> 00:16:20,340 Okay. 135 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:25,890 Or, um, if you're inside of a range, which it doesn't really fit this criteria 136 00:16:25,890 --> 00:16:27,120 because we've already taken on a high. 137 00:16:28,020 --> 00:16:31,530 Prior to the numbers release and there is no void over here. 138 00:16:31,620 --> 00:16:35,189 So the next area of liquidity would be a stop run or liquidity 139 00:16:35,189 --> 00:16:37,650 pool resting above this old high. 140 00:16:38,790 --> 00:16:46,199 So when we're using the economic calendar to frame liquidity runs just 141 00:16:46,199 --> 00:16:51,480 because the high-impact or medium impact may be, um, on your calendar, 142 00:16:52,380 --> 00:16:54,180 it has to line up with the technicals. 143 00:16:54,630 --> 00:16:57,060 Now, like I was saying yesterday in relationship to. 144 00:16:57,915 --> 00:17:05,355 Um, low resistance, liquidity runs, but not seeing it supported 145 00:17:05,355 --> 00:17:06,105 because of the calendar. 146 00:17:06,255 --> 00:17:07,905 You have to have both imbalance. 147 00:17:08,535 --> 00:17:11,444 So to have a trade where I'm going to put real money in, it's going to have to 148 00:17:11,444 --> 00:17:16,484 be technically sound where it is showing that I have a very little resistance 149 00:17:16,484 --> 00:17:20,325 to where I think markets going to reach where liquidity technically speaking. 150 00:17:20,625 --> 00:17:24,704 And it has to happen with a calendar that has one. 151 00:17:25,944 --> 00:17:29,005 Medium or one high-impact news event, only for the session. 152 00:17:29,725 --> 00:17:33,325 If I have multiple ones and the technicals lineup, and it's going to be 153 00:17:33,325 --> 00:17:35,215 just the practice session or a drill. 154 00:17:35,515 --> 00:17:38,545 And I still do that, whether I'm just cause I've been doing it for a 155 00:17:38,545 --> 00:17:42,475 long time, I'll still go in there and practice because the conditions aren't 156 00:17:42,475 --> 00:17:45,085 right for me to do it with live funds. 157 00:17:49,105 --> 00:17:51,655 So what are we basically saying? 158 00:17:51,655 --> 00:17:52,315 We're saying that. 159 00:17:53,385 --> 00:17:54,705 To take a live trade. 160 00:17:54,705 --> 00:17:57,705 If you ever get to the point where you're comfortable taking live 161 00:17:57,705 --> 00:18:01,005 trades with your real money and you move out of demo and more months 162 00:18:01,005 --> 00:18:02,325 away from that for most of you. 163 00:18:02,715 --> 00:18:05,145 And in fact, all of you, if you're here to learn what I'm teaching, 164 00:18:05,775 --> 00:18:08,925 you need to stay out of the life funds, at least for the first half 165 00:18:08,925 --> 00:18:11,295 of a mentorship about midway point. 166 00:18:11,685 --> 00:18:14,985 If you're comfortable by then, and you've been trading for a while and you've been 167 00:18:14,985 --> 00:18:18,015 through my free tutorial stuff, you'll probably feel comfortable to do that. 168 00:18:18,794 --> 00:18:22,605 But my advice is if you're new, don't do it at all until you complete the 169 00:18:22,605 --> 00:18:26,325 entire 12 months, because there's so many things we need, we need to learn. 170 00:18:27,014 --> 00:18:31,754 So to have those conditions where you're going to be trading with life funds, 171 00:18:31,754 --> 00:18:35,415 and it has high probability, you want to have the economic calendar, not littered 172 00:18:35,774 --> 00:18:38,415 with multiple high-impact news events. 173 00:18:39,014 --> 00:18:39,435 Okay. 174 00:18:39,794 --> 00:18:41,445 You want to have just one specific one? 175 00:18:41,445 --> 00:18:47,504 So that way the manipulation is only focal to one specific time of day. 176 00:18:48,284 --> 00:18:52,425 So you've already delegated a specific time at which the market should 177 00:18:52,425 --> 00:18:56,085 see manipulation or some volatility running to a particular level 178 00:18:56,115 --> 00:18:58,425 relative to stops or, or fair value. 179 00:18:59,175 --> 00:19:03,314 Then you have to have the technicals in line with that as well. 180 00:19:03,705 --> 00:19:08,264 Is there room for the market to run to the next area, liquidity and still 181 00:19:08,264 --> 00:19:14,355 offer some measurable, um, trade, if there's no way to frame that trade in 182 00:19:14,355 --> 00:19:17,235 terms of good risk model to potentially. 183 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,909 You don't do anything, but you can observe and you can practice. 184 00:19:21,909 --> 00:19:26,409 You can demo K on trade it and get experienced doing it because by 185 00:19:26,409 --> 00:19:29,170 getting in there, and we're going to talk about that all T dollar, 186 00:19:29,350 --> 00:19:30,879 uh, exercise last night as well. 187 00:19:31,270 --> 00:19:35,320 W what the takeaways from that was because you're going to see when you 188 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:38,770 get into trades and if they don't immediately pan out, if they don't 189 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:42,370 immediately show you the evidence is that you are on the right side. 190 00:19:43,395 --> 00:19:44,595 Chances are you're offsite. 191 00:19:44,595 --> 00:19:49,785 So there's characteristics to those trades that you won't pick up on 192 00:19:50,385 --> 00:19:53,115 until you do it enough to see, okay, this doesn't feel right. 193 00:19:54,675 --> 00:19:59,565 You feel it as a new trader when you're messing around with a demo account, but 194 00:19:59,565 --> 00:20:04,425 you ignore it because you think it's just your head messing with you when 195 00:20:04,425 --> 00:20:07,095 it's really just common sense telling you that this market's not going where 196 00:20:07,095 --> 00:20:09,195 you thought it was, why don't you get it? 197 00:20:10,170 --> 00:20:14,670 But that requires you to admit you're wrong and being wrong. 198 00:20:14,730 --> 00:20:16,410 Doesn't equate to feeling smart. 199 00:20:17,190 --> 00:20:19,530 Just thinking about smart people were more right than they're wrong, right? 200 00:20:20,610 --> 00:20:20,850 I'm sorry. 201 00:20:20,850 --> 00:20:21,420 They're smart. 202 00:20:21,420 --> 00:20:24,780 People are right more than the wrong and that's not necessarily true. 203 00:20:33,740 --> 00:20:34,580 That's a good question. 204 00:20:34,580 --> 00:20:38,630 Simon Simon asks, uh, do we enter with a trade plan before the high impact? 205 00:20:39,525 --> 00:20:43,275 Or do we wait for the announcement and then enter with a trade plan? 206 00:20:43,635 --> 00:20:45,465 There's two conditions you're going to learn. 207 00:20:46,515 --> 00:20:48,195 Uh, and they're, they're very specific. 208 00:20:48,195 --> 00:20:52,515 So that way you're gonna know which one to use, but without giving you 209 00:20:52,635 --> 00:20:56,055 experience of looking at it and given you pieces of every type of 210 00:20:56,085 --> 00:20:59,925 condition of what it feels like when you're getting in there doing it. 211 00:20:59,925 --> 00:21:02,325 And when, when you're, when this, first of all, I had to look for them 212 00:21:03,285 --> 00:21:07,125 that that comes by looking at it several times over a course of a month. 213 00:21:08,265 --> 00:21:12,105 Then we'll have conditions where you'll say, okay, there will be a trade 214 00:21:12,105 --> 00:21:16,785 that you'll be willing to take trade sometimes ahead of the news and folks 215 00:21:16,785 --> 00:21:18,015 that have been trading a long time. 216 00:21:18,315 --> 00:21:22,125 And this is, I talk about it a lot, but I think I thought it was funny. 217 00:21:22,125 --> 00:21:25,245 I was laughing when, uh, Chris, Lori and I were having a conversation on the phone 218 00:21:26,055 --> 00:21:30,825 and I told him, I said, yeah, That was long, you know, I couldn't remember what 219 00:21:30,945 --> 00:21:36,075 a pair it was, but, um, I told him, I said, yeah, I'm long a XYZ currency pair. 220 00:21:36,435 --> 00:21:38,925 And he goes, you're you're you're long ahead of the numbers. 221 00:21:39,015 --> 00:21:39,795 And I was like, oh yeah. 222 00:21:40,095 --> 00:21:42,225 And then boom, it exploded in my favor. 223 00:21:42,615 --> 00:21:43,275 And he's like, wow. 224 00:21:43,305 --> 00:21:47,295 You know, he usually waits for the numbers to release generally, and then 225 00:21:47,295 --> 00:21:51,165 he'll play the volatility after that, where I look for the liquidity before. 226 00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:56,490 The numbers release on some trades, not all trades, but some trades you'll 227 00:21:56,490 --> 00:21:59,330 have contexts where you'll be able to see what they're going to reach for 228 00:21:59,670 --> 00:22:03,930 in that, in that, uh, at data release. 229 00:22:04,590 --> 00:22:09,000 There's other times where like today you have to sit back and wait and 230 00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:10,380 see what they do after the fact. 231 00:22:10,380 --> 00:22:13,920 And the reason why you have to wait is because the dollar has already ran as 232 00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:17,610 high before the numbers were released. 233 00:22:17,610 --> 00:22:20,010 So you can't, you can't predict. 234 00:22:21,105 --> 00:22:26,205 What they're going to do so easily with this context, versus if the price is 235 00:22:26,804 --> 00:22:28,425 down here before that number released. 236 00:22:28,485 --> 00:22:30,915 Cause obviously it would stretch up it hit that. 237 00:22:33,064 --> 00:22:33,665 Does that make sense? 238 00:22:33,665 --> 00:22:33,995 Simon? 239 00:22:38,985 --> 00:22:42,764 A lot of you are concerned about the things that we're doing and 240 00:22:42,764 --> 00:22:46,574 when I give you things to focus on it still feels fragmented. 241 00:22:47,985 --> 00:22:51,195 And it should feel fragmented right now because I need you to 242 00:22:51,195 --> 00:22:54,735 focus on specific concepts and we're covering a lot of ground. 243 00:22:54,735 --> 00:22:56,055 You just don't know that you are. 244 00:22:57,345 --> 00:23:01,755 Once you have an experience of looking at the things individually component wise, 245 00:23:01,785 --> 00:23:05,835 modularly, it's going to be very easy for me to sit you down in a matter of 246 00:23:05,835 --> 00:23:09,705 a week and say, okay, remember when we were looking at the examples that look 247 00:23:09,705 --> 00:23:13,005 like this, contrast that with memory, when you're looking at the examples 248 00:23:13,005 --> 00:23:15,395 like this, you immediately knew how to. 249 00:23:17,215 --> 00:23:18,145 Differentiate. 250 00:23:18,175 --> 00:23:22,495 What gives you the context of trade with one set of parameters 251 00:23:22,915 --> 00:23:24,235 versus another set of parameters? 252 00:23:25,075 --> 00:23:28,405 It's not going to be enough if I, if I sat down with you right now and gave 253 00:23:28,405 --> 00:23:34,465 you the PDF files, that is a step by step process of what you're going to do. 254 00:23:34,945 --> 00:23:38,425 You're still going to flounder because you know, you're not experienced 255 00:23:38,425 --> 00:23:41,395 in seeing what these environments feel like when you trade them. 256 00:23:41,725 --> 00:23:42,335 And you're going to second. 257 00:23:43,365 --> 00:23:46,875 It's the same thing as an indicator indicators by itself don't work. 258 00:23:47,205 --> 00:23:50,265 But if you add price action, study to it and you understand how price works. 259 00:23:50,565 --> 00:23:52,815 Then if you look at an indicator, it's perfect, flawless. 260 00:23:52,875 --> 00:23:53,955 It doesn't ever fail. 261 00:23:53,955 --> 00:23:57,585 Then problem is, is that everybody focuses on the indicator and they 262 00:23:57,585 --> 00:23:58,875 don't know what to do with it. 263 00:24:00,015 --> 00:24:01,395 It's not the indicator itself. 264 00:24:01,395 --> 00:24:01,935 That's doing it. 265 00:24:01,965 --> 00:24:02,895 It's the price action. 266 00:24:03,225 --> 00:24:06,915 So because there specific parameters around conditions in the 267 00:24:06,915 --> 00:24:11,655 marketplace that I trade in just having the rules, it's not a new. 268 00:24:12,510 --> 00:24:17,699 You have to have the experience of getting in there and engaging price with these 269 00:24:17,790 --> 00:24:24,629 specific environments and focus because two of them start off the same way, 270 00:24:25,020 --> 00:24:27,060 but dramatically and suddenly change. 271 00:24:27,090 --> 00:24:31,290 And if you don't pick up on that clue, you end up taking a loss that's needed. 272 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:35,980 But there is a very classic telltale sign that once you see 273 00:24:35,980 --> 00:24:38,140 it by doing exercises, okay. 274 00:24:38,170 --> 00:24:40,870 And it's going to be seen by trading against the daily timeframe. 275 00:24:41,380 --> 00:24:46,090 Once you've, once you see it fail in the mechanism, I'd give 276 00:24:46,090 --> 00:24:47,650 you as like, it's a kill switch. 277 00:24:47,980 --> 00:24:50,290 You just don't, you don't trade it anymore. 278 00:24:50,290 --> 00:24:50,950 You just get out of it. 279 00:24:51,490 --> 00:24:53,890 And sometimes it will still move in the direction you thought it was. 280 00:24:53,890 --> 00:24:55,270 And you'll just have to deal with that. 281 00:24:55,630 --> 00:24:59,170 But many times more often than not, you're going to see it 282 00:24:59,230 --> 00:25:00,990 will protect you from taking a. 283 00:25:02,565 --> 00:25:08,085 But you have to go through these boring things individually to get experienced 284 00:25:08,115 --> 00:25:11,475 looking at it, even in these smaller timeframes, because it's going to still 285 00:25:11,475 --> 00:25:15,285 be applicable to a hard timeframe set up for those that can't intraday trade. 286 00:25:15,855 --> 00:25:19,305 They're all the same things it's applied to a daily four hour chart. 287 00:25:22,125 --> 00:25:23,775 Yeah, I'm going to do, um, I got tired. 288 00:25:24,254 --> 00:25:26,655 I got tied up with, uh, Bella yesterday. 289 00:25:26,655 --> 00:25:29,055 She came home from getting spayed and she's a mess. 290 00:25:29,205 --> 00:25:29,805 She's also. 291 00:25:31,005 --> 00:25:32,835 So I didn't get a chance to do much of that last night. 292 00:25:38,525 --> 00:25:38,795 Yeah. 293 00:25:38,825 --> 00:25:39,605 On the dollar. 294 00:25:39,635 --> 00:25:42,305 They already ran the liquidity out above this old high. 295 00:25:46,605 --> 00:25:51,855 And there was really the only thing that's above this would be to expand to 96 55. 296 00:25:52,665 --> 00:25:54,885 So there's only, we're only talking about 1,000. 297 00:25:56,545 --> 00:25:57,205 Well on the dollar. 298 00:25:57,955 --> 00:26:02,095 So even if it does distress itself up here, that's really not enough 299 00:26:02,905 --> 00:26:06,385 to get dollar CAD, to want to open itself up to a run higher. 300 00:26:07,315 --> 00:26:11,665 If it would have been down here or in the 96 30 level, then we potentially 301 00:26:11,725 --> 00:26:17,035 got like 20, 25 pips of run running up this high here and potentially up to 302 00:26:17,035 --> 00:26:21,175 96, 55, relative to that daily equal high that we loaded on the daily chart. 303 00:26:22,410 --> 00:26:27,180 So when we look at trades and we're justifying where the market should go 304 00:26:27,360 --> 00:26:31,140 relative to the dollar, the dollar has got to have a willingness to want to 305 00:26:31,140 --> 00:26:34,500 move to some measurable degree of campus. 306 00:26:34,500 --> 00:26:36,090 Be stuck somewhere. 307 00:26:36,690 --> 00:26:44,250 If it's stuck, it's going to have a real dampening effect on the price 308 00:26:44,250 --> 00:26:46,320 movement in the currency pair. 309 00:26:46,410 --> 00:26:48,270 Even if it has high impact news on it. 310 00:26:49,485 --> 00:26:54,584 So I got a lot of emails from most of you really that, uh, it resonated 311 00:26:54,584 --> 00:26:58,725 with you low resistance liquidity runs with, uh, the economic calendar, 312 00:26:58,725 --> 00:27:00,254 high impact or medium impact news. 313 00:27:00,465 --> 00:27:00,975 I got it. 314 00:27:00,975 --> 00:27:02,445 I feel like I know how to do it. 315 00:27:02,774 --> 00:27:07,814 And I'm trying to tell you without killing your spirit, that that's not enough. 316 00:27:08,084 --> 00:27:09,885 There's things that you got to concern yourself. 317 00:27:24,205 --> 00:27:27,265 Does anything ever give clues as to when the dollar wants 318 00:27:27,265 --> 00:27:28,825 to expand versus turtle soup? 319 00:27:28,855 --> 00:27:29,245 Yes. 320 00:27:31,335 --> 00:27:32,295 It's price action. 321 00:27:33,375 --> 00:27:36,855 That's the, that's the part that I have to submit to them and watch and study. 322 00:27:38,754 --> 00:27:43,435 Since we, since this market's been moving on a dollar higher, uh, we 323 00:27:43,435 --> 00:27:47,754 were looking at a potential low on the dollar relative to the daily timeframe. 324 00:27:48,235 --> 00:27:49,745 And I actually used the dollar CAD. 325 00:27:50,095 --> 00:27:51,175 Give me that reasoning. 326 00:27:52,074 --> 00:27:52,735 It's Nvidia. 327 00:27:52,735 --> 00:27:55,074 You guys can go back and look at all that stuff in September. 328 00:27:55,645 --> 00:28:00,385 But down here, I thought that we were making that low and we expanded. 329 00:28:01,995 --> 00:28:07,125 And we're just about the Hitton, we're almost hitting that, uh, 55 96, 55 level. 330 00:28:07,125 --> 00:28:09,285 It's really close to snapping up in there. 331 00:28:10,845 --> 00:28:14,565 If it's going up like this, it's the logical to assume that it's going to 332 00:28:14,565 --> 00:28:18,645 take out the highs here and if it takes those out, it may expand up in the here. 333 00:28:18,705 --> 00:28:23,595 I mean, we have been talking about this area and for those that are new, that 334 00:28:23,595 --> 00:28:27,945 you just started following me, believe me, if you go back and look at all the. 335 00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:33,360 Times I spoke about dollar from August 1st. 336 00:28:33,900 --> 00:28:34,410 Okay. 337 00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:36,090 Not necessarily August 1st. 338 00:28:36,090 --> 00:28:36,690 What would that be? 339 00:28:36,750 --> 00:28:38,310 The first week of August around that time? 340 00:28:38,730 --> 00:28:44,250 Um, we were talking about these equal highs being a potentially liquidity pool. 341 00:28:44,610 --> 00:28:49,080 Since then once these two pies formed, they're always going to be on your chart. 342 00:28:50,490 --> 00:28:50,820 Okay. 343 00:28:50,820 --> 00:28:54,150 So just because they're on your chart, doesn't mean they're. 344 00:28:55,139 --> 00:28:57,300 Immediately in the next five minutes. 345 00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:58,260 And that's another thing. 346 00:28:58,260 --> 00:29:01,980 Some people think, you know, if you're new, you're thinking if we were down here 347 00:29:02,129 --> 00:29:07,649 at 95, 45, and if I say, okay, look on your chart for clean highs, naturally, 348 00:29:07,649 --> 00:29:08,760 you're going to be able to see that. 349 00:29:09,570 --> 00:29:12,990 But the assumption is on some of you that are new and I'm not making fun of anybody. 350 00:29:12,990 --> 00:29:16,169 It's, it's natural to think this stuff too, because you don't know anything. 351 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:18,360 You don't have knew it and you have no frame of reference. 352 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:21,750 And that's the importance of why we go in here every single day 353 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:23,270 and, uh, force you to look at. 354 00:29:24,405 --> 00:29:28,425 It's not about how much money you would have make, or how much money you'll lose. 355 00:29:28,755 --> 00:29:31,575 It's the back that you're in there studying price, and you're 356 00:29:31,575 --> 00:29:35,475 learning the characteristics of how it moves by doing it. 357 00:29:35,655 --> 00:29:40,965 It'll give you reference points by experience to say, okay, if I 358 00:29:40,965 --> 00:29:43,215 do this, this is by experience. 359 00:29:43,275 --> 00:29:44,685 What I should expect to see. 360 00:29:45,165 --> 00:29:51,615 I cannot effectively communicate that with you or to you in a video tutorial. 361 00:29:53,430 --> 00:29:55,770 It doesn't, I can't bridge that, that barrier. 362 00:29:56,130 --> 00:29:57,240 It has to be done. 363 00:29:57,270 --> 00:29:58,230 Experientially. 364 00:29:58,270 --> 00:30:01,170 You have to be in the charts with me and I got to explain it to you and 365 00:30:01,170 --> 00:30:03,390 it's boring and it sounds like a rant. 366 00:30:03,390 --> 00:30:06,630 And it sounds like I'm just talking to hear myself talk, and it's not, 367 00:30:06,690 --> 00:30:10,560 I'm giving you the insights that you really need, but if you're not going to 368 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:14,130 listen and you're going to be stubborn about it, or just zoning it out, 369 00:30:14,580 --> 00:30:16,110 you're not going to learn anything. 370 00:30:16,260 --> 00:30:17,640 And it's not my fault because of that. 371 00:30:17,670 --> 00:30:20,010 It's because you're not doing what's necessary. 372 00:30:20,010 --> 00:30:20,610 What's his. 373 00:30:22,215 --> 00:30:22,935 Interactive. 374 00:30:23,685 --> 00:30:27,705 So if you're watching soap operas at home and you got me in the background 375 00:30:27,705 --> 00:30:28,665 that you're not learning anything. 376 00:30:29,025 --> 00:30:33,855 So if we see these equal highs in the chart, okay, that's 377 00:30:33,855 --> 00:30:35,475 going to be a draw on price. 378 00:30:36,825 --> 00:30:37,185 Okay. 379 00:30:37,365 --> 00:30:39,615 It's going to be a draw on price that see it go up there. 380 00:30:40,005 --> 00:30:43,995 And if price is down here, even though for instance, if you looked at the dollar. 381 00:30:46,065 --> 00:30:50,085 That say you looked at the chart like this, obviously this is an area where 382 00:30:50,085 --> 00:30:54,735 your, your eye would be drawn to because I told you in September what 383 00:30:54,735 --> 00:30:56,055 you should be focused on right now, 384 00:31:00,955 --> 00:31:03,745 you should be thinking, okay, we're here. 385 00:31:03,925 --> 00:31:05,065 Where's the equal highs. 386 00:31:06,264 --> 00:31:07,045 There's some right here. 387 00:31:07,585 --> 00:31:09,024 So what's above equal highs. 388 00:31:21,295 --> 00:31:23,275 I'm actually answering your question, chase. 389 00:31:23,335 --> 00:31:26,545 If that's who I'm referring to with this response, 390 00:31:32,125 --> 00:31:33,265 it's spy stops. 391 00:31:33,385 --> 00:31:33,925 Okay. 392 00:31:34,015 --> 00:31:38,035 So if the, if the market's down here, some of you that are new. 393 00:31:38,940 --> 00:31:39,570 Are assuming. 394 00:31:39,570 --> 00:31:44,880 Okay, well, if it's down here and I see these equal highs naturally, you 395 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:46,650 know, naturally it has to be this way. 396 00:31:46,860 --> 00:31:50,340 The market's going to go straight up in one candle and go right to that level. 397 00:31:50,340 --> 00:31:56,940 That's what some of you are assuming, and that's not necessarily what you'll see 398 00:31:56,940 --> 00:31:59,850 happening, especially because you have to consider the timeframe you're looking at. 399 00:32:00,420 --> 00:32:04,380 These are daily candles now, can it make a run like that? 400 00:32:04,380 --> 00:32:04,650 Sure. 401 00:32:05,889 --> 00:32:09,969 Okay, but there's a lot of range and a lot of things to encounter 402 00:32:09,969 --> 00:32:11,560 before it gets to this level. 403 00:32:12,219 --> 00:32:12,699 Okay. 404 00:32:13,149 --> 00:32:18,699 So imagine, do you remember being in school, remember in school and you 405 00:32:18,699 --> 00:32:22,840 had paperclips or maybe a Thumbtack or something laying on your desk and 406 00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:26,080 you brought a magnet to school and you put the magnet underneath the desk. 407 00:32:26,530 --> 00:32:26,860 Okay. 408 00:32:26,860 --> 00:32:28,899 In the magnetism between the day. 409 00:32:29,730 --> 00:32:33,360 Underneath it, where you move the magnet around, it would draw the paperclip to it. 410 00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:35,820 And you can like steer the little paperclip all over the top of the 411 00:32:35,820 --> 00:32:37,120 desk with the magnet being moved on. 412 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:42,270 And he said, well, that same thing happens with these equal highs and equal 413 00:32:42,270 --> 00:32:48,419 lows, the effects of that magnetism drawing price up there as we get closer 414 00:32:48,419 --> 00:32:52,290 and closer and closer to it, just like that paperclip, you can make that. 415 00:32:53,635 --> 00:32:56,005 Just move a little bit when you start getting close to it. 416 00:32:56,365 --> 00:32:59,245 But as you get closer and closer and closer to it, all of a sudden 417 00:32:59,245 --> 00:33:03,175 what happens that paperclip will quickly jump to the, to the magnet. 418 00:33:03,475 --> 00:33:04,195 You know what I'm saying? 419 00:33:04,315 --> 00:33:10,255 So as we get closer to it, the effects of this liquidity pool will have much 420 00:33:10,255 --> 00:33:14,335 more significance and draw on price, you know, quickly pull it up there. 421 00:33:14,515 --> 00:33:17,965 Whereas down here it's just a subtle little movement. 422 00:33:17,965 --> 00:33:20,035 It starts pulling it up there because that's where the. 423 00:33:21,580 --> 00:33:23,439 The reason why it's going to be very slow. 424 00:33:23,469 --> 00:33:26,439 Initially down here is because the market makers are actually accumulating 425 00:33:26,439 --> 00:33:28,060 positions while it's down here. 426 00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:30,969 So they don't want you to see it. 427 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:32,919 So they accumulate it slowly. 428 00:33:33,070 --> 00:33:34,959 And as it starts getting up here, what happens? 429 00:33:35,139 --> 00:33:37,510 More people become aware with it's going on. 430 00:33:37,639 --> 00:33:41,590 They want to buy, but the bulk of the volume has already been 431 00:33:41,590 --> 00:33:42,760 bought down here by smart money. 432 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:44,830 And they're going to allow the rain of being quickly. 433 00:33:45,100 --> 00:33:48,129 That's why towards the end, when markets run to stop. 434 00:33:49,139 --> 00:33:51,120 That's why you see that real quick sudden movement. 435 00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,080 Other mentors, other teachers will say it's a lack of 436 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,720 liquidity and price gaps there. 437 00:33:58,169 --> 00:33:59,189 That's not what that is. 438 00:33:59,790 --> 00:34:04,230 It's the fact that they reprice directly to that level to get their 439 00:34:04,230 --> 00:34:08,940 own orders out smart money prices that level immediately, if you owned 440 00:34:08,940 --> 00:34:12,299 a store and you sold groceries. 441 00:34:13,110 --> 00:34:13,500 Okay. 442 00:34:13,500 --> 00:34:14,880 And we got this big hurricane coming. 443 00:34:15,750 --> 00:34:21,870 Right now, and you're selling milk and bread and water bottled water right now. 444 00:34:22,530 --> 00:34:23,910 And you can be honest with me. 445 00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:24,210 Okay. 446 00:34:24,210 --> 00:34:28,140 Because I'm the only one, seeing your responses, thinking about 447 00:34:28,590 --> 00:34:30,060 supply and demand factors. 448 00:34:30,780 --> 00:34:31,920 It's probably not ethical. 449 00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,850 It's probably not a good thing viewed on, uh, in terms of humanitarian view. 450 00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:39,570 But if you're selling these things and people are dog piling it, 451 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:40,800 aren't you going to raise the price? 452 00:34:44,050 --> 00:34:44,530 Come on. 453 00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:46,719 I mean, it's just, it's this that's business. 454 00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,370 Well, as price starts to get up here, everybody's buying. 455 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:54,909 If the smart money is already assumed long positions, what are they going to do? 456 00:34:55,270 --> 00:34:58,270 They're going to set the price at a premium quickly and they 457 00:34:58,270 --> 00:34:59,770 price it above an old high. 458 00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,900 It's not a lack of liquidity. 459 00:35:02,110 --> 00:35:04,310 There's all kinds of liquidity just right at that. 460 00:35:06,185 --> 00:35:09,095 So that's the only thing I, I have an issue with, and I'm not going to beat 461 00:35:09,095 --> 00:35:12,875 the person that can have a great deal of respect for them, but that part is wrong. 462 00:35:13,355 --> 00:35:15,665 What I just told you is exactly what goes on. 463 00:35:15,935 --> 00:35:19,145 It's not that there's a lack of liquidity down here. 464 00:35:19,145 --> 00:35:21,915 It's a matter of it wants to go right to where the liquidity is. 465 00:35:21,915 --> 00:35:25,985 It's this running up slowly and slowly starts going up, starts going up. 466 00:35:26,345 --> 00:35:29,945 And then once it gets here, it's going to start running hard for it. 467 00:35:30,785 --> 00:35:31,775 And that's what you're seeing. 468 00:35:31,805 --> 00:35:33,545 You're seeing it want to get quickly up to. 469 00:35:34,515 --> 00:35:34,935 Area. 470 00:35:35,085 --> 00:35:38,774 So simply because we have equal highs or equal lows noted on a timeframe. 471 00:35:39,165 --> 00:35:42,254 If it's a daily chart, it's going to require time to get there. 472 00:35:42,975 --> 00:35:47,384 And that's what gives you daily bias every single day between this area 473 00:35:47,384 --> 00:35:51,674 down here, until we eventually get up to these levels, it gives you a 474 00:35:51,674 --> 00:35:54,375 daily bias to be a long dollar trader. 475 00:35:55,055 --> 00:35:59,024 If you're a long dollar trader, what does that equate to for foreign currencies? 476 00:35:59,024 --> 00:36:02,565 What can you do with payers like Kiwi dollar, all these. 477 00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:05,640 Uh, Euro dollar pound dollar, 478 00:36:09,410 --> 00:36:10,850 it gives you a selling bias. 479 00:36:12,610 --> 00:36:18,250 So when we do exercises that are contrary to that directional bias, what 480 00:36:18,250 --> 00:36:22,780 is the reactions or responses that you should see in studying price like that? 481 00:36:23,230 --> 00:36:26,620 When you're, when you're selling those currency pairs against an idea that we're 482 00:36:26,620 --> 00:36:30,610 describing here on the dollar, we should be seeing more risk responsiveness on. 483 00:36:35,634 --> 00:36:36,234 Going lower. 484 00:36:36,234 --> 00:36:36,565 Right. 485 00:36:37,794 --> 00:36:42,835 And in buying it, we should see what we should encounter high resistance 486 00:36:42,895 --> 00:36:45,024 or a lack of wanting to go higher. 487 00:36:45,835 --> 00:36:46,285 Exactly. 488 00:36:46,285 --> 00:36:47,455 Mark said it perfectly pain. 489 00:36:48,565 --> 00:36:51,085 And that was, that was what you're going to see when we cover 490 00:36:51,085 --> 00:36:54,024 the, uh, faulty dollar exercise. 491 00:36:58,595 --> 00:36:59,254 Now look at this. 492 00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:03,650 Excuse me one second. 493 00:37:03,650 --> 00:37:04,400 Let me get something to drink. 494 00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:05,390 I just ran out of my water. 495 00:37:07,370 --> 00:37:08,150 Bear with me one second. 496 00:37:08,150 --> 00:37:11,660 But look at this cat in case it does it before I get out of here, the, uh, 497 00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:14,060 we came down and hit this order block. 498 00:37:14,750 --> 00:37:16,520 Uh, dollar still holding is high. 499 00:37:17,690 --> 00:37:19,850 This may expand through, take out these equal highs. 500 00:37:19,910 --> 00:37:21,290 Watch this level here. 501 00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:21,890 Okay. 502 00:37:22,650 --> 00:37:26,880 If we do get expansion, watch the reaction after we get through 32, 27. 503 00:37:26,910 --> 00:37:29,790 If assuming we do, I'm not saying we have to do it, but that's 504 00:37:29,790 --> 00:37:30,810 what we're observing today. 505 00:37:32,250 --> 00:37:34,620 If it gets to 1 30, 2 30, almost, sorry. 506 00:37:34,620 --> 00:37:35,760 We're on 32, 27. 507 00:37:36,240 --> 00:37:38,520 It should really run up here and hit that green area. 508 00:37:41,259 --> 00:37:41,920 Hang on one second. 509 00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:42,279 These scrap. 510 00:41:05,500 --> 00:41:05,740 All right. 511 00:41:05,740 --> 00:41:09,250 So look what we've seen so far on. 512 00:42:03,335 --> 00:42:03,515 All right. 513 00:42:03,515 --> 00:42:06,305 So we talked about the importance of midnight. 514 00:42:06,905 --> 00:42:08,315 What happens at midnight in New York? 515 00:42:20,430 --> 00:42:27,540 It starts to the new day as it relates to the interbank algo or APTA. 516 00:42:32,630 --> 00:42:39,370 So if we know that's the day beginning, if we're bullish or bearish, Okay. 517 00:42:39,370 --> 00:42:43,390 The only thing we need to know is the opening price on that candle. 518 00:42:44,470 --> 00:42:44,830 Okay. 44296

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