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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:03,020 --> 00:00:07,190 Uh, before I, well, I've already started recording. 2 00:00:07,700 --> 00:00:09,710 Um, yes, my son has improved. 3 00:00:09,710 --> 00:00:14,060 Thank you for asking, uh, still not out of the woods yet, but, uh, he's improved. 4 00:00:14,060 --> 00:00:14,420 Thank you. 5 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:19,960 All right. 6 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:23,019 Today we have a pretty busy, uh, economic calendar at eight 30 New York 7 00:00:23,020 --> 00:00:29,080 time heavily linked to the dollar CAD. 8 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:32,500 So we will be monitoring that this morning. 9 00:00:33,430 --> 00:00:36,490 Can't promise we're going to have anything with fireworks, but we'll 10 00:00:36,490 --> 00:00:38,260 certainly try to do something with it. 11 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:48,080 I sent a link last night, um, showing the run on stats on the dollar 12 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:54,300 and. 13 00:01:05,310 --> 00:01:08,940 And again, if you're just popping in here, I'm a little unorganized today because 14 00:01:08,940 --> 00:01:13,380 of Twitter not being down that wasn't, some of them have a panic because I knew 15 00:01:13,860 --> 00:01:16,290 some of you are very demanding on me. 16 00:01:16,350 --> 00:01:21,180 So as you should be because you're paying, but the Twitter is down in my area. 17 00:01:21,180 --> 00:01:26,550 So I couldn't tweet you the link that was posted in the forum. 18 00:01:26,580 --> 00:01:30,210 So I would have to come up with a backup plan for that, 19 00:01:38,630 --> 00:01:41,330 the dollar, put this back over here. 20 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:04,130 Okay. 21 00:02:04,130 --> 00:02:08,509 So we had 98, 55 level on dollar index. 22 00:02:09,350 --> 00:02:13,190 Uh, we swept through to 98, 55, a second pass through it. 23 00:02:18,090 --> 00:02:23,400 So, um, and just to see if we're going to see a little bit of rejection onwards, um, 24 00:02:24,150 --> 00:02:28,470 we've cleared out the stops on the daily. 25 00:02:28,470 --> 00:02:32,630 Let's maximize this to get to best view. 26 00:02:36,260 --> 00:02:37,340 So we had stopped over here. 27 00:02:37,340 --> 00:02:39,200 We were, we're monitoring this for a while. 28 00:02:40,010 --> 00:02:40,910 We finally got through it. 29 00:02:40,910 --> 00:02:43,730 And again, this is second time going through 90, 55 levels. 30 00:02:43,730 --> 00:02:48,950 So we will be anticipating a potential turtle soup scenario this morning. 31 00:02:48,950 --> 00:02:50,120 I'm not saying it's the top of the day. 32 00:02:51,090 --> 00:02:56,940 But we may be seeing, uh, the opportunity for this to create a short-term high 33 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:22,890 and as it relates to CAD, 34 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:47,090 um, the question I just got was why do I expect the turtles? 35 00:03:48,180 --> 00:03:53,100 Uh, we've, we've stretched on a daily chart here on the dollar all 36 00:03:53,100 --> 00:03:56,910 the way up into this last old high. 37 00:03:57,810 --> 00:04:03,750 Now, if I'm incorrect with the fact that, um, it shows no willingness to come back 38 00:04:03,750 --> 00:04:07,590 below the low, which is usually expected. 39 00:04:07,770 --> 00:04:10,530 I mean, you can see it a little bit of a retracement, and that's not 40 00:04:10,530 --> 00:04:14,850 out of the ordinary for an uptrend still to continue, but if we expand 41 00:04:14,850 --> 00:04:18,990 further, we'd have to contend with the middle of this up candle here. 42 00:04:19,470 --> 00:04:23,760 So let's map that real quick before we get our news release. 43 00:04:40,350 --> 00:04:42,930 So 99 big figure 9, 9, 10. 44 00:04:45,955 --> 00:04:52,555 If we get a run through because we come all the way up here, all on 45 00:04:52,585 --> 00:05:00,745 basically one, um, impulse swing with two little tiny little retracements all 46 00:05:00,745 --> 00:05:02,034 the up here to get to this old time. 47 00:05:02,065 --> 00:05:05,575 Whenever you have daily chart like that, it's not the ordinary to see 48 00:05:05,575 --> 00:05:09,265 it, give you a little bit of a, at least a tradable retracement. 49 00:05:10,974 --> 00:05:15,625 And again, it's not that I'm trying to call the high in dollar. 50 00:05:15,625 --> 00:05:18,655 I'm just trying to note that there's a potential given the 51 00:05:18,655 --> 00:05:23,304 fact that we've came so far up one side and don't want a daily chart. 52 00:05:23,485 --> 00:05:27,594 And we've just recently probed through the old high 98 55. 53 00:05:29,395 --> 00:05:33,054 Uh, we pass through at once here, came back past two it's a second time. 54 00:05:33,145 --> 00:05:37,960 And to me, this should have already expanded up to 98, 55 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,945 80 and still can happen. 56 00:05:40,945 --> 00:05:41,155 But. 57 00:05:43,485 --> 00:05:47,355 My thinking, going into the news release in about one minute, we'll probably 58 00:05:47,355 --> 00:05:50,445 see a potential breakdown near term. 59 00:05:50,445 --> 00:05:55,875 Not again, not trying to call the high, just watching a tradable bounce. 60 00:05:58,945 --> 00:06:02,605 Now how that translates for the dollar CAD. 61 00:06:03,835 --> 00:06:06,265 Uh, we have a little bit of a void down in here. 62 00:06:23,475 --> 00:06:23,715 Okay. 63 00:06:23,715 --> 00:06:25,335 Initial spike on the numbers. 64 00:06:32,415 --> 00:06:33,615 Let me check on dollar real quick. 65 00:06:47,060 --> 00:06:48,500 Okay, go over 66 00:06:52,430 --> 00:06:53,810 the daily chart on dollar cab. 67 00:06:53,810 --> 00:06:59,160 We have stops just above 1 30, 3 12. 68 00:06:59,700 --> 00:07:01,050 So we have 1 30, 3 20. 69 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:10,270 We have 1 33 big figure next. 70 00:07:43,599 --> 00:07:47,710 so far dollar slow going, still holding above 98, 55, which is good. 71 00:07:53,270 --> 00:07:54,679 1 33 big figure. 72 00:08:01,909 --> 00:08:04,309 I would've liked to come down and take out that love first. 73 00:08:04,309 --> 00:08:06,859 That would have been more, more convincing. 74 00:08:06,979 --> 00:08:09,830 I didn't like the fact that we come down just to this, and 75 00:08:09,830 --> 00:08:10,909 then we're spreading our wings. 76 00:08:11,330 --> 00:08:16,159 You could be just a run of 1 30, 3 big figure or sweeping a daily high in here. 77 00:08:16,340 --> 00:08:17,780 So that's another area you got to watch. 78 00:08:27,679 --> 00:08:31,039 High comes in 33, 12 relative to the daily chart. 79 00:08:33,914 --> 00:08:36,914 Big figure here while I had 33, 12 also in the chart over here. 80 00:08:56,175 --> 00:08:56,415 Okay. 81 00:08:56,415 --> 00:08:57,944 So there's two levels to watch there. 82 00:09:06,225 --> 00:09:14,655 And again, um, it would have been much nicer to see it come down below 83 00:09:14,655 --> 00:09:21,015 the, well, here, before this run, now I don't have anything to frame this 84 00:09:21,015 --> 00:09:22,905 rally off, even went to news injection. 85 00:09:29,064 --> 00:09:33,930 Um, The question is, is when I say watch this level we're seeing, or, 86 00:09:33,970 --> 00:09:39,090 well, actually what I'm saying is, uh, monitoring it's willingness, number 87 00:09:39,090 --> 00:09:40,740 one, the first reach to the level. 88 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:42,210 Okay. 89 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:45,300 And then once it hits the level, once it's an immediate response. 90 00:09:46,620 --> 00:09:49,580 In other words, if it gets to 1 33 big figure, say it hits 1, 91 00:09:49,580 --> 00:09:52,980 3, 3, a big figure and rejects immediately, it comes away hard. 92 00:09:53,790 --> 00:09:54,270 Okay. 93 00:09:54,720 --> 00:10:02,160 That to me, kind of like puts a damp and, uh, uh, on the momentum for the 94 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,860 morning, especially if it comes back all the way down here and close it 95 00:10:04,860 --> 00:10:09,630 in this range, I don't like where we're at relative to where it started. 96 00:10:09,630 --> 00:10:13,230 It's run, which is again, why I think it's a suspect rally. 97 00:10:13,620 --> 00:10:19,320 It may be just reaching for the big 33 or the 33, 12 daily high over here. 98 00:10:19,350 --> 00:10:22,230 And then we may get some retracement on dollar cat. 99 00:10:26,460 --> 00:10:28,620 And the reason why I'm thinking that is because we didn't come 100 00:10:28,620 --> 00:10:30,000 down and take out the low. 101 00:10:30,990 --> 00:10:34,530 And there's really nothing down here in my opinion, that gives us 102 00:10:34,530 --> 00:10:36,960 a basis to see this response here. 103 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:41,370 If we cycle through the, 104 00:10:48,210 --> 00:10:50,610 I guess it's a five minute block on bull shorter block, but again, I 105 00:10:50,610 --> 00:10:54,120 still would rather I've seen it with the news coming out, stabbed the low, 106 00:10:54,130 --> 00:10:56,040 that low, which would be typical. 107 00:11:01,580 --> 00:11:01,670 Yeah. 108 00:11:11,290 --> 00:11:15,610 And dollars not showing any willingness to want to go higher all of a sudden. 109 00:11:15,700 --> 00:11:16,480 And that's not good. 110 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:23,350 Again, a majority of my, my thinking is on the fact that we. 111 00:11:24,525 --> 00:11:27,945 I mean, I may have to fly this chart and make it bigger again, 112 00:11:27,945 --> 00:11:29,295 for those that just popped in here. 113 00:11:30,225 --> 00:11:33,105 Um, we watched the 98, 55 level. 114 00:11:33,135 --> 00:11:34,995 We were expecting by stock to be ran out. 115 00:11:35,055 --> 00:11:37,755 Uh, they touched it last night, 90, 55, right. 116 00:11:37,755 --> 00:11:41,565 To the PIP and in small little retrace and off of it, and then 117 00:11:41,565 --> 00:11:43,875 ran it twice through on the upside. 118 00:11:43,875 --> 00:11:49,125 So it's our second past above 98, 55 on the heels of economic 119 00:11:49,215 --> 00:11:52,695 numbers at eight 30 there's numbers have been out for five minutes. 120 00:11:52,695 --> 00:11:57,735 We've not seen any real expansion above these by stops in the fact 121 00:11:57,735 --> 00:12:02,745 that we've run essentially all the way up one sided just to get to 122 00:12:02,745 --> 00:12:05,505 this level here, plus it's Friday. 123 00:12:06,105 --> 00:12:07,995 So there's a lot of folks that have been dollar bulls. 124 00:12:08,025 --> 00:12:10,215 That's going to want to swear positions going into the weekend 125 00:12:17,285 --> 00:12:20,735 and we don't see any immediate follow-through on the heels 126 00:12:20,735 --> 00:12:21,665 of those numbers being really. 127 00:12:22,975 --> 00:12:28,345 Contrast that with dollar CAD reaching for big figure 1 33, and then we have 128 00:12:28,345 --> 00:12:31,615 the daily high over here, 1 30, 3, 12. 129 00:12:32,035 --> 00:12:35,695 So we're really going to watch this potentially, um, turtle soup 130 00:12:35,695 --> 00:12:40,705 at, uh, either big B, either big figured 1 33, a big surgery path. 131 00:12:40,735 --> 00:12:43,345 Good read tongue twister, 1 33 12. 132 00:12:43,375 --> 00:12:44,935 We gotta watch that level specifically. 133 00:12:45,215 --> 00:12:45,955 That's this one here. 134 00:12:48,235 --> 00:12:51,685 I'm going to try this one as an exercise, uh, live with you. 135 00:12:51,685 --> 00:12:54,715 And I'm going to use a demo account because it, in my opinion, it's 136 00:12:54,715 --> 00:12:57,085 not a high probability scenario and I don't want to keep them by 137 00:12:57,085 --> 00:13:02,755 effects book showing consistency without any, any major drawdown. 138 00:13:02,765 --> 00:13:07,255 So, but we'll talk it out live if it hits a 33 12. 139 00:13:22,390 --> 00:13:27,099 well, when we're watching news releases, um, the number one thing 140 00:13:27,370 --> 00:13:31,870 we're going to be expecting or anticipating is a run on stops. 141 00:13:32,469 --> 00:13:38,349 That's the, that's the typical Mo uh, they usually run for an area stops and then 142 00:13:38,380 --> 00:13:40,449 the market will go a specific direction. 143 00:13:41,170 --> 00:13:44,709 In this case here only on a five minute chart, it's only down here to this 144 00:13:44,709 --> 00:13:46,000 bullish square block, which is, yeah. 145 00:13:46,270 --> 00:13:46,599 See it. 146 00:13:46,599 --> 00:13:48,939 Now, watch how they run to see how they're running for the 13th or 12th. 147 00:13:49,689 --> 00:13:51,939 That's these daily highs over here. 148 00:13:53,020 --> 00:13:53,380 Okay. 149 00:14:00,010 --> 00:14:04,420 No, I could sweep about 10, 20 pips above still, but we're going to watch this 150 00:14:04,420 --> 00:14:10,150 response at 33 12, but if it has any, no, there's your gap through spiking 151 00:14:10,150 --> 00:14:12,250 up in above the south fast, that was. 152 00:14:13,350 --> 00:14:15,570 It's at 33 12 in gap above 153 00:14:19,050 --> 00:14:20,610 to 33, 20 institutional. 154 00:14:29,380 --> 00:14:34,300 Now we cleared an old high on the daily at the same time. 155 00:14:35,890 --> 00:14:38,530 Dollar is still lethargic. 156 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:41,470 It's I mean, yes, it's, it's, it's maintaining, it stands above 157 00:14:41,470 --> 00:14:46,150 98, 55, but in my opinion, it's not expanding up as it should be. 158 00:14:46,510 --> 00:14:49,060 It's not showing a willingness to continuously move higher. 159 00:14:49,990 --> 00:14:52,930 And I think it's going to be a lot of folks that want to square their 160 00:14:52,930 --> 00:14:54,610 positions as a result of that. 161 00:14:57,610 --> 00:15:00,730 And right away, we already seen, uh, you know, uh, give back, 162 00:15:01,300 --> 00:15:03,340 which is expected to some degree. 163 00:15:07,030 --> 00:15:07,240 Okay. 164 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:13,994 So we have a huge, um, The liquidity void as a result of today's numbers release. 165 00:15:14,834 --> 00:15:17,925 So we're going to hypothetically say, okay, um, where are we at here? 166 00:15:25,015 --> 00:15:27,324 We're going to hypothetically say if it hits, uh, 167 00:15:32,744 --> 00:15:37,454 right now, we're going to say we're hypothetically selling short at 1 33 14. 168 00:15:39,135 --> 00:15:39,464 Okay. 169 00:15:39,525 --> 00:15:40,724 1 30, 3 14. 170 00:15:41,385 --> 00:15:44,984 And the expectation is we're going to see potentially a turtle soup and it 171 00:15:44,984 --> 00:15:46,604 doesn't have to close in this entire void. 172 00:15:46,694 --> 00:15:48,074 It doesn't have to come all the way down for that. 173 00:15:48,915 --> 00:15:52,545 We're going to say, okay, this is the old daily high 1 33 big figure, 174 00:15:53,204 --> 00:15:54,525 so we can expect to give back. 175 00:15:58,354 --> 00:15:59,675 And this is just an exercise folks. 176 00:15:59,675 --> 00:16:01,385 Don't get all excited, putting money into this. 177 00:16:03,344 --> 00:16:07,665 The objective would be the run. 178 00:16:11,334 --> 00:16:13,074 We'll reach for 30 to 80, 179 00:16:16,415 --> 00:16:19,354 well, which were 30 to 80 as the institutional level 180 00:16:19,655 --> 00:16:21,425 below the 1 33 big figure. 181 00:16:23,194 --> 00:16:23,824 And then 182 00:16:28,234 --> 00:16:29,645 let's see what the open is on that candle. 183 00:16:29,645 --> 00:16:30,724 Now I'll tell you why I'm picking that. 184 00:16:30,814 --> 00:16:34,535 Um, yeah, let's go with 30 to 80. 185 00:16:35,104 --> 00:16:37,444 And the reason why I'm using that level is if you, if you look at 186 00:16:37,444 --> 00:16:44,495 the body of this candle here, the OPNET candle comes in at 32 76. 187 00:16:45,425 --> 00:16:48,334 So if we're going to cover a short ad in the spread to that, 80 would 188 00:16:48,334 --> 00:16:51,245 give it a good chance of covering. 189 00:16:51,665 --> 00:16:52,805 So we're gonna look for 30 to 80. 190 00:16:52,805 --> 00:16:55,265 If we get any kind of re uh, rejection move lower, 191 00:16:59,375 --> 00:17:03,875 if it goes to 33 30, 192 00:17:12,930 --> 00:17:13,819 Scrunches up. 193 00:17:19,740 --> 00:17:20,040 Okay. 194 00:17:20,639 --> 00:17:26,399 Again, we're, it's a hypothetical scenario, practicing turtle soup on a 195 00:17:26,399 --> 00:17:30,120 daily high 33 30 would be your stop. 196 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:32,340 33 30 33 14. 197 00:17:32,340 --> 00:17:40,500 Your entry looking for 32 80, but we'll take profits at 15 and 20 pips. 198 00:17:46,330 --> 00:17:49,090 And this is one way you can practice outside your demo account. 199 00:17:49,899 --> 00:17:51,370 So that way you don't mess up your numbers too. 200 00:17:51,760 --> 00:17:53,889 It's important that you keep really good, uh, 201 00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,230 really good, uh, eye on your draw down. 202 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:01,240 Keep your focus on keeping that. 203 00:18:03,865 --> 00:18:07,044 Uh, the question is, why am I electing to go with 33 30? 204 00:18:07,495 --> 00:18:11,905 Um, we've already punched through the high here and we watched it 205 00:18:11,905 --> 00:18:13,284 snap through that real quickly. 206 00:18:13,915 --> 00:18:16,435 And it's pausing in here. 207 00:18:16,465 --> 00:18:22,825 So if, if it runs above this high again, okay, it's probably going to 208 00:18:22,825 --> 00:18:25,645 expand that thirties 33 30 and run. 209 00:18:26,784 --> 00:18:29,575 And it's only a 16 PIP stop. 210 00:18:29,605 --> 00:18:30,534 So it's really small. 211 00:18:30,774 --> 00:18:32,784 It's not, not, not a big stop at all. 212 00:18:39,115 --> 00:18:44,935 What would make this a high probability trade selling dollar CAD would, it 213 00:18:44,935 --> 00:18:50,794 would have to be in a downtrend if you're selling old highs in a market 214 00:18:50,794 --> 00:18:56,735 that's bearish, that's high probability because it's coming up above the market. 215 00:18:56,764 --> 00:18:59,105 Take out by stops the pair up neutral. 216 00:18:59,850 --> 00:19:03,780 And then the market maker role, Justin sent price lower, uh, because we're 217 00:19:03,780 --> 00:19:05,730 actually selling short in an uptrend. 218 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:06,270 Okay. 219 00:19:06,270 --> 00:19:09,149 Or, um, annoying bullish market. 220 00:19:10,139 --> 00:19:15,270 You're going to see the impacts of having that in your face as, as a trader. 221 00:19:17,230 --> 00:19:20,770 It doesn't negate the potential of making money or seeing trades form, 222 00:19:21,370 --> 00:19:27,970 but you don't get those real quick, um, explosive one-sided response. 223 00:19:27,970 --> 00:19:30,610 As soon as you get in the marketplace, if this was a downtrend and we 224 00:19:30,610 --> 00:19:34,120 went back above and old high, then you would, it would probably 225 00:19:34,120 --> 00:19:35,590 already be below 30 to 80 by now. 226 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:41,860 But because it's in a day, that's all that in a day, but it's in a while. 227 00:19:41,870 --> 00:19:44,620 You can see every time it's made a new, higher, high, higher, high, high, we 228 00:19:44,620 --> 00:19:46,060 can Molly down here, wipe this out. 229 00:19:48,790 --> 00:19:50,980 The fact that we cleared these highs in here, all we're doing is looking 230 00:19:50,980 --> 00:19:53,110 for a very small, modest retracement. 231 00:19:53,110 --> 00:19:58,690 Just to number one, get more sensitive to a monitoring price act. 232 00:19:59,550 --> 00:20:02,520 Reading levels anticipating their responses, what 233 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:03,750 usually happens around them. 234 00:20:04,380 --> 00:20:09,510 Um, and again, the idea is not in the scope of making money, but it 235 00:20:09,510 --> 00:20:13,050 forces you to engagement where you're watching and you're seeing, okay, well, 236 00:20:13,050 --> 00:20:14,670 they've already cleared 33 big figure. 237 00:20:15,360 --> 00:20:17,670 They've already cleared the 33 12 level. 238 00:20:18,030 --> 00:20:19,380 And by having those levels sweats, 239 00:20:28,930 --> 00:20:34,180 the, uh, because both of the 33 big figure in a 33, 12 level has been swept. 240 00:20:34,810 --> 00:20:38,650 And so on a daily chart, these are relatively equal highs as well. 241 00:20:38,980 --> 00:20:43,210 Uh, we get through, we, we really quickly get through, come on bell. 242 00:20:45,070 --> 00:20:49,870 Once we had the 33 20 level hit, there's a willingness sometimes to 243 00:20:49,870 --> 00:20:53,650 see it retrace and it can retrace back down just gently to the big figure, 244 00:20:53,650 --> 00:20:55,960 33 big figure, the double zero level. 245 00:20:58,629 --> 00:21:02,230 To see price, come on way back down and reach below the big 246 00:21:02,260 --> 00:21:04,450 figure as low as 30 to 80. 247 00:21:10,300 --> 00:21:14,470 Think of, um, like when, whenever you see an, um, a big figure level, 248 00:21:14,470 --> 00:21:21,879 like the zero zero level, like 1 33, 0, 0 or 34, 0, 0 or 32 0, 0. 249 00:21:22,300 --> 00:21:28,030 Um, not just on this pair, but any pair, um, think of, and I wish there was a way 250 00:21:28,030 --> 00:21:29,649 for me to actually draw this on here. 251 00:21:29,950 --> 00:21:31,510 I think there might be, let me see if I can do it. 252 00:21:33,550 --> 00:21:34,389 Um, 253 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:42,139 yeah, this might be a little sloppy and this is the first time doing 254 00:21:42,139 --> 00:21:46,790 it, but just, I want to kind of give you an illustration here right now 255 00:21:46,790 --> 00:21:54,649 watching this 33 30 becomes highly, um, in, and it's basically in jeopardy. 256 00:21:55,010 --> 00:21:57,290 So the question is if you're in a short and you're exercising, right. 257 00:21:57,990 --> 00:22:01,230 You have to, uh, you have the luxury right now, either the collapsed, the 258 00:22:01,230 --> 00:22:05,220 exercise before the full stop, because the understanding we were talking about 259 00:22:05,220 --> 00:22:09,570 is if it goes a run back up to this high here, it's going to want to expand to 260 00:22:09,570 --> 00:22:12,029 the next year level, which is 33 30. 261 00:22:13,700 --> 00:22:18,410 So if you're watching this and we did an exercise at 33 14, if it gets to this 262 00:22:18,410 --> 00:22:23,240 level here of here, let me try this. 263 00:22:23,750 --> 00:22:23,880 Yeah. 264 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,420 If it gets above this high here, it's going to want to expand to 265 00:22:26,420 --> 00:22:28,310 33 30 and then even run even more. 266 00:22:29,300 --> 00:22:30,290 And that would kill your trade. 267 00:22:30,830 --> 00:22:34,490 So even though we have a stop, a hard stop or an idea where the stop 268 00:22:34,580 --> 00:22:39,560 should be, that is not an invitation to take my money at a full stop. 269 00:22:39,620 --> 00:22:41,690 It's just a catastrophic stop. 270 00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,450 It's where you're willing to take a loss and you definitely 271 00:22:44,450 --> 00:22:45,350 want to be out if it gets there. 272 00:22:46,215 --> 00:22:48,345 So if we're watching price like this, okay. 273 00:22:48,345 --> 00:22:52,815 And we did an exercise at 33 14, as it runs to this level here, you can 274 00:22:52,815 --> 00:22:56,715 actually preserve the amount of money in between the runs of this high here 275 00:22:56,745 --> 00:22:57,975 and what your actual stop would be. 276 00:22:59,655 --> 00:23:01,305 And that's the, that's the benefit. 277 00:23:01,695 --> 00:23:02,205 I got a guy. 278 00:23:02,205 --> 00:23:04,425 I asked him, you know, what's the, why would you want to do this? 279 00:23:04,725 --> 00:23:06,675 Well, it's too far gone to chase it and buy it. 280 00:23:06,675 --> 00:23:06,975 Right? 281 00:23:07,095 --> 00:23:08,175 I mean, can we all agree that, 282 00:23:19,525 --> 00:23:22,135 I mean, there shouldn't be anybody in here thinking I want to buy 283 00:23:22,135 --> 00:23:25,135 this right now, because if that's the case, you've not even wants 284 00:23:25,135 --> 00:23:26,725 to anything in my free tutorials. 285 00:23:26,785 --> 00:23:28,495 I mean, we don't chase price like this. 286 00:23:28,495 --> 00:23:31,255 This is all a run on one side of the marketplace. 287 00:23:32,665 --> 00:23:38,125 And it's a known area of liquidity because we have these old highs up 288 00:23:38,125 --> 00:23:39,955 here where buy stocks will be residing. 289 00:23:40,495 --> 00:23:41,525 And we've already punched through that. 290 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:48,510 The fact that we, excuse me, we get through the 33, 12 level here, and 291 00:23:48,510 --> 00:23:52,830 we had a small little short term high and market created what was 292 00:23:53,550 --> 00:23:55,170 looking like a swing high for me. 293 00:23:56,580 --> 00:23:59,520 It shouldn't run through that high again, if it's going to be good 294 00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:05,010 and comes back down to the big 33 level, the takeaway from this is 295 00:24:05,490 --> 00:24:09,480 when you're watching the sensitivity on price like this, let me do this. 296 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:10,380 Let me get all this stuff off. 297 00:24:14,980 --> 00:24:16,630 If this is the big figure level here. 298 00:24:17,410 --> 00:24:17,770 Okay. 299 00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:19,000 1 33 big figure. 300 00:24:20,350 --> 00:24:24,580 We haven't been to 1 33 big figure until this day right here on the daily chart. 301 00:24:26,790 --> 00:24:30,120 But when we reached to these, when we reached to a big figure, okay. 302 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,040 Think of the market maker, offering price, like. 303 00:24:42,690 --> 00:24:49,830 And they'll expand up to an institutional level 20 above the big 33 level. 304 00:24:51,389 --> 00:24:57,899 Once that happens, they can do a small little retracement come back up and do 305 00:24:57,899 --> 00:25:03,780 something like this and then close in the void, which should be over here. 306 00:25:05,780 --> 00:25:06,050 Okay. 307 00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,810 Does that make kind of make sense when I'm referring to where they'll 308 00:25:08,810 --> 00:25:10,580 work a level like the big figure? 309 00:25:11,120 --> 00:25:11,570 Okay. 310 00:25:12,110 --> 00:25:18,950 Now this is not to scale on a five minute chart, but when a market maker knows that 311 00:25:18,950 --> 00:25:23,540 there's going to be orders, that's going to be all around that big figure level. 312 00:25:25,350 --> 00:25:29,909 So at 1 33 big figure, there's going to be stacking orders and they're dying. 313 00:25:31,170 --> 00:25:34,050 In other words as the market trades at this level. 314 00:25:34,230 --> 00:25:34,530 Okay. 315 00:25:34,530 --> 00:25:39,000 Folks that are long, they're going to want to take profit at 33, 0 0 level. 316 00:25:39,780 --> 00:25:43,050 There's going to be folks that think 33 0 0 level is a good selling 317 00:25:43,050 --> 00:25:45,120 position or a resistance level. 318 00:25:45,120 --> 00:25:46,950 So that there'll be sellers there. 319 00:25:47,340 --> 00:25:47,700 Okay. 320 00:25:47,820 --> 00:25:51,240 There'll be folks that think that once it goes through 33, if it comes back down 321 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,220 to it, there'll be willing buyers there. 322 00:25:54,360 --> 00:25:54,540 Okay. 323 00:25:54,540 --> 00:25:59,070 So what I'm saying is, is there's a ton of interest around these big levels. 324 00:25:59,670 --> 00:26:00,060 Okay. 325 00:26:00,090 --> 00:26:03,660 And the market maker knows that and he can make a book. 326 00:26:04,230 --> 00:26:04,560 Okay. 327 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:08,220 Or build positions or square positions or liquidate positions. 328 00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:08,910 Okay. 329 00:26:08,940 --> 00:26:15,660 Or engineer positions around the liquidity forums at these big 33 or double zeros. 330 00:26:18,315 --> 00:26:21,014 The same thing happens at institutional levels. 331 00:26:21,014 --> 00:26:24,795 Like the 20 level, it happens at the 50 level and happens at the 80 level. 332 00:26:25,335 --> 00:26:29,595 Not so much on the smaller levels outside of those, but generally the algo will work 333 00:26:29,625 --> 00:26:34,004 the twenties, the fifties, the eighties, and definitely the full zero zero levels. 334 00:26:41,085 --> 00:26:42,495 Let me see if I can get this off now. 335 00:27:03,615 --> 00:27:08,955 Um, well the, the exercise you'd already collapsed it, you would already collapsed 336 00:27:08,955 --> 00:27:13,905 because we initially set our ideal area where we don't see price traits. 337 00:27:13,905 --> 00:27:13,995 Right. 338 00:27:14,774 --> 00:27:19,245 Which would be this old high we would, and then your stock will be gone. 339 00:27:19,245 --> 00:27:23,865 Then also we would have preserved equity by like collapsing the trade early. 340 00:27:24,615 --> 00:27:28,995 And it would've given you screwed us over here a little bit, so I 341 00:27:28,995 --> 00:27:30,284 can make some more points about it. 342 00:27:43,155 --> 00:27:47,235 The idea is obviously you can't, you can't buy it because it's too far gone. 343 00:27:47,625 --> 00:27:50,955 I mean, there's nothing that it would learn well for an idea to support it. 344 00:27:51,794 --> 00:27:56,715 So the only thing you can do is practice it's responsiveness around levels 345 00:27:56,715 --> 00:27:59,024 where buy stops would be residing. 346 00:27:59,115 --> 00:28:04,004 So again, we got that big figure 33 and in 33 12, which is the old daily high 347 00:28:04,014 --> 00:28:05,895 over here relative to the daily chart. 348 00:28:06,794 --> 00:28:11,564 And are we seeing a continuation on the upside after expense? 349 00:28:13,065 --> 00:28:16,455 Or are we just reaching for what will be stops above this level? 350 00:28:16,905 --> 00:28:18,825 And then see some retracements sewing down. 351 00:28:20,815 --> 00:28:25,435 There's nothing you can do trade wise here because of the fact that it's moved 352 00:28:25,435 --> 00:28:29,095 too far gone, for instance, like if you bought it, if you wanted to go along 353 00:28:29,725 --> 00:28:32,685 and I'm believing, I'm playing devil's advocate here, I'm not in enticing 354 00:28:32,875 --> 00:28:37,135 and trying to inspire you to do this, but if you had a gun to your head, you 355 00:28:37,135 --> 00:28:39,145 know, why, where would you buy it at? 356 00:28:39,625 --> 00:28:41,005 And where would your stop loss be yet? 357 00:28:41,125 --> 00:28:42,385 And what would you be reaching for? 358 00:28:42,415 --> 00:28:43,435 What would be the objective. 359 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:06,030 No. 360 00:29:20,220 --> 00:29:21,720 I got one guy that stepped out. 361 00:29:22,740 --> 00:29:27,270 He says, uh, we can buy a 33 big figure and look for about 20 PIP run above it. 362 00:29:28,980 --> 00:29:36,840 Um, other folks are saying we could sell it above 33, 20 level, 20 pips above it. 363 00:29:39,919 --> 00:29:41,540 Um, Larry, I see your comment. 364 00:29:41,570 --> 00:29:43,310 Why wouldn't this be a good day to buy? 365 00:29:43,580 --> 00:29:45,889 Um, we've already seen that. 366 00:29:46,010 --> 00:29:47,659 I don't know if you were here when we first started. 367 00:29:47,659 --> 00:29:51,919 So kind of take the Liberty to go back and say what I said earlier. 368 00:29:53,330 --> 00:29:55,130 Uh, we've already moved through 98, 55. 369 00:29:56,389 --> 00:29:56,600 Okay. 370 00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:58,189 So we went through. 371 00:29:59,085 --> 00:30:00,135 Came back retraced. 372 00:30:00,554 --> 00:30:02,655 We came back above it again ahead of the news. 373 00:30:03,524 --> 00:30:03,794 Okay. 374 00:30:03,825 --> 00:30:06,645 So it was already above 90, 55. 375 00:30:07,034 --> 00:30:10,544 It already went twice above the 98, 55 level. 376 00:30:10,575 --> 00:30:12,915 Now we're seeing some expansion on dollar, which is nice nature. 377 00:30:12,915 --> 00:30:15,554 We should see dollar cat really run. 378 00:30:25,784 --> 00:30:27,524 Let's see what we're reaching for here. 379 00:30:46,835 --> 00:30:49,595 1 34 0 5 as the high here. 380 00:30:50,825 --> 00:30:54,425 So if we get some real expansion, we could see a run there. 381 00:30:56,145 --> 00:30:56,865 Now, given that. 382 00:30:57,780 --> 00:31:02,159 If we can get a little bit of a retracement and then a smaller order 383 00:31:02,159 --> 00:31:07,080 block forms because it's still early in the day, but it has to do it faster. 384 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:08,909 Can't you can't be waiting around for it. 385 00:31:09,750 --> 00:31:13,800 We could eat out or run into that 1 34 big figure. 386 00:31:24,850 --> 00:31:28,090 But to answer your question, Larry, um, he asks, why wouldn't it be a 387 00:31:28,090 --> 00:31:33,939 good day to be by, um, because the news coming out and got to a 15 minute 388 00:31:33,939 --> 00:31:35,590 timeframe, cause this is too small for me 389 00:31:39,580 --> 00:31:40,330 ahead of the news. 390 00:31:40,330 --> 00:31:42,580 I would've rather seen it come down and spike. 391 00:31:43,659 --> 00:31:47,169 As the news release occurred, I would have really been excited 392 00:31:47,169 --> 00:31:51,280 about seeing it come down and trade below this low and had that happen. 393 00:31:58,084 --> 00:32:00,485 Uh, move below that low, that would have taken the stops out. 394 00:32:00,844 --> 00:32:07,054 It would justify why an upside expansion would be seen, because if it's going 395 00:32:07,054 --> 00:32:09,544 to expand up, they want to take stops. 396 00:32:09,844 --> 00:32:11,735 And the only stops they really took was this one here. 397 00:32:12,665 --> 00:32:17,435 And I immediately would have expected this low here taken out 398 00:32:17,435 --> 00:32:20,344 before just this little one here on all the news that's coming out. 399 00:32:20,794 --> 00:32:23,735 We had a high impact for Kat and medium impact for dollar. 400 00:32:23,745 --> 00:32:27,245 So that would be certainly enough for it to drive down below that low. 401 00:32:32,514 --> 00:32:37,645 And if it came down below that level, permitted enough of a move down into this 402 00:32:37,645 --> 00:32:43,584 area here, which would justify also why I was looking at the dollar this morning. 403 00:32:45,495 --> 00:32:49,275 And my, uh, my concern was its unwillingness to expand right away off 404 00:32:49,275 --> 00:32:52,035 at 90, 55 level after doing it twice. 405 00:32:52,785 --> 00:32:57,315 And I was going above it twice and it's Friday. 406 00:32:57,315 --> 00:33:02,835 So there was a lot of, uh, I would put it this way for me to have wanted to buy it. 407 00:33:03,115 --> 00:33:05,475 It, it would have to take in the stops out below the low. 408 00:33:05,925 --> 00:33:08,745 Otherwise it wouldn't, I wouldn't be, I wouldn't be buying it. 409 00:33:08,745 --> 00:33:09,555 Say I was home. 410 00:33:09,975 --> 00:33:11,355 I wasn't doing a live session with you. 411 00:33:11,355 --> 00:33:12,915 I was dialed in focused everything. 412 00:33:13,155 --> 00:33:14,415 I would have missed this entire thing. 413 00:33:14,595 --> 00:33:18,615 It would've never happened for me because it wouldn't have came down below. 414 00:33:18,615 --> 00:33:20,745 The lows would be willing to buy up, 415 00:33:27,925 --> 00:33:29,635 uh, 33 53. 416 00:33:29,995 --> 00:33:30,265 What's that? 417 00:33:30,265 --> 00:33:37,065 The daily so daily, uh, hang on one second. 418 00:33:47,945 --> 00:33:51,095 You're talking about this level here, Cain, this candle up candle. 419 00:33:55,325 --> 00:34:00,335 I'll tell you what these things are always exactly where I don't 420 00:34:00,335 --> 00:34:01,595 want them to be at on my screen. 421 00:34:03,665 --> 00:34:09,125 And we think all around, uh, 33 55 422 00:34:14,715 --> 00:34:17,415 here, this one right here. 423 00:34:21,725 --> 00:34:25,235 Well, it's a sensitive, the opening opening and closing of these candles here, 424 00:34:29,645 --> 00:34:30,575 these bodies here. 425 00:34:32,705 --> 00:34:33,935 And plus it's a mid figure. 426 00:34:34,895 --> 00:34:38,375 So I mean, that would be a objective to reach for, but I think if it's 427 00:34:38,375 --> 00:34:41,315 going there, it's probably going to want to wipe out those highs. 428 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:47,070 Because ultimately, if you look back here, we have a void that's still exposed. 429 00:34:47,070 --> 00:34:52,920 So 1 33, sorry, 1 36 is still over the course of a couple of weeks. 430 00:34:53,010 --> 00:34:55,410 It could still happen and they can go up there. 431 00:34:55,650 --> 00:34:56,850 It certainly doesn't want to look like it. 432 00:34:57,150 --> 00:34:58,920 I mean, this doesn't want to go lower, obviously. 433 00:35:04,180 --> 00:35:04,420 Yeah. 434 00:35:04,870 --> 00:35:07,570 A couple of you were saying that the banks had dialed in and there's 435 00:35:07,660 --> 00:35:09,100 the subscribing to my live stream. 436 00:35:09,100 --> 00:35:13,090 They're trying to kill Twitter and they're, uh, they're not taking 437 00:35:13,090 --> 00:35:14,410 the stops out before the move now. 438 00:35:17,260 --> 00:35:17,950 Oh man. 439 00:35:19,060 --> 00:35:19,420 I don't know. 440 00:35:19,420 --> 00:35:19,930 It could be 441 00:35:35,330 --> 00:35:37,310 yeah, too much of your heads in, in. 442 00:35:40,845 --> 00:35:41,004 All right. 443 00:35:41,044 --> 00:35:46,095 Take a look at the, I can't do anything right here with a dollar CAD. 444 00:35:48,015 --> 00:35:48,375 All right. 445 00:35:48,375 --> 00:35:50,685 So we have the buy stocks. 446 00:35:50,685 --> 00:35:54,615 We didn't quite get up in there and hit those. 447 00:35:55,154 --> 00:35:56,685 I was hoping to see that didn't happen. 448 00:36:00,535 --> 00:36:03,145 Fiber, really making a run lower. 449 00:36:10,714 --> 00:36:21,395 This is our next liquidity pool down here that gives us a potential run to 1 0 8 450 00:36:21,395 --> 00:36:25,834 21 0 8, 25 as a low on this candle here. 451 00:36:26,254 --> 00:36:27,604 So we have liquidity below there. 452 00:36:28,205 --> 00:36:31,444 And then if we get down to here, I don't think we're stopping there. 453 00:36:31,595 --> 00:36:33,395 I just think that's the next level going lower. 454 00:36:34,055 --> 00:36:36,814 I think what we need to be worrying about, or not really so much worrying 455 00:36:36,814 --> 00:36:38,104 about, but contending ourselves. 456 00:36:40,100 --> 00:36:47,120 Is this right here between this, between this low in this candle's high. 457 00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:47,810 What is this 458 00:36:57,040 --> 00:36:57,850 liquidity void? 459 00:37:00,460 --> 00:37:03,250 The market's been only offered on what side of the marketplace. 460 00:37:10,420 --> 00:37:11,080 Exactly. 461 00:37:11,410 --> 00:37:15,009 So the price has been offered on the upside. 462 00:37:15,430 --> 00:37:15,850 Okay. 463 00:37:17,500 --> 00:37:20,319 But it's not had any return back down to that rain. 464 00:37:20,319 --> 00:37:25,150 So you would look at price like this is like a big, y'all 465 00:37:25,150 --> 00:37:26,650 want neon signs on your chart. 466 00:37:26,660 --> 00:37:29,110 So when you first start as a trader, this is what it would look like. 467 00:37:30,009 --> 00:37:31,690 Neon sign down here. 468 00:37:31,690 --> 00:37:36,860 There's all kinds of interest to close in that range here between this. 469 00:37:37,860 --> 00:37:38,790 In this candle's high. 470 00:37:39,510 --> 00:37:42,960 That's what broke, when this came up, it went up, it broke this up candles 471 00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:48,000 high here, all this retracement down stopped right here and it left 472 00:37:48,060 --> 00:37:53,970 this little area of price action in commodity trading or stock trading. 473 00:37:54,720 --> 00:38:00,660 Um, this would sometimes appear on your chart on a daily chart as a gap where 474 00:38:00,660 --> 00:38:04,350 price wouldn't be traded to, and it would be referred to as a common gap. 475 00:38:04,860 --> 00:38:09,450 So when we hear things like, uh, like crystal Ray, and I only wanna really 476 00:38:09,450 --> 00:38:12,720 talk about liquidity voids, um, it's really essentially just a common gap. 477 00:38:12,900 --> 00:38:13,740 That's all it really is. 478 00:38:14,010 --> 00:38:21,360 So if I really was going to speak in terms of what technical analysis is, um, uh, you 479 00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:26,250 know, what technical analysis refers to in, in, in the scope of liquidity voids, 480 00:38:26,730 --> 00:38:29,430 uh, they've always been around, okay. 481 00:38:29,550 --> 00:38:32,490 D this has been called common gaps, so. 482 00:38:33,404 --> 00:38:37,904 Uh, Chris and I aren't pioneering anything in regards to making a 483 00:38:37,904 --> 00:38:39,645 label calling it liquidity voids. 484 00:38:39,944 --> 00:38:45,455 It's just, there has been no price, uh, traded to specific levels. 485 00:38:45,455 --> 00:38:49,245 So, uh, when we see gaps like that, even though we don't really 486 00:38:49,245 --> 00:38:55,935 see a gap in price because it's 24 hours, it still exists down here. 487 00:38:56,475 --> 00:39:00,465 So price was down here and then it gapped up in the here, nothing was offered 488 00:39:00,465 --> 00:39:02,265 on the sell side, through that range. 489 00:39:02,355 --> 00:39:02,985 That's shaded. 490 00:39:03,555 --> 00:39:07,485 So there's going to be a big impulse or a willingness to want to get down 491 00:39:07,485 --> 00:39:12,165 in there because this has been exposed as a gap down there in the market, 492 00:39:12,165 --> 00:39:13,575 wants to be efficient about that. 493 00:39:13,935 --> 00:39:18,585 And the algo knows by its historical reference that there's been little 494 00:39:18,585 --> 00:39:20,535 to no training down in there. 495 00:39:21,315 --> 00:39:23,985 And by the fault it will expand to go to that level. 496 00:39:26,205 --> 00:39:31,920 Um, well, in terms of efficient, And delivery of price. 497 00:39:32,339 --> 00:39:33,990 That's why the algo we'll go back to it. 498 00:39:33,990 --> 00:39:38,850 And that's why, before everything went electronic, the market makers 499 00:39:38,850 --> 00:39:43,500 would actually offer prices in these areas and it would, they would drive 500 00:39:43,500 --> 00:39:47,310 price to their known common gaps. 501 00:39:47,819 --> 00:39:52,799 When you, uh, when you look at old, like I was saying, I look at old S and P 502 00:39:53,310 --> 00:39:58,109 contracts look how the S and P would trade before it went to electronic trading. 503 00:39:59,759 --> 00:40:02,790 It would always go and close in its gaps. 504 00:40:03,089 --> 00:40:08,220 You know, wherever today say's opening would be relative to yesterday's closed. 505 00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:13,230 And I would say we gap down on the S and P um, it would go up to the previous 506 00:40:13,230 --> 00:40:16,980 day's low or up to the previous days close, and that would be a trade. 507 00:40:16,980 --> 00:40:18,359 And I taught this in the late nineties. 508 00:40:18,690 --> 00:40:23,430 Um, that's an easy way of trading the S and P um, looking at where the previous 509 00:40:23,430 --> 00:40:25,859 days close was and where we opened. 510 00:40:27,089 --> 00:40:29,700 And you can do two trades with that, depending on how big the 511 00:40:29,700 --> 00:40:33,480 gap is relative to where we closed and where we open today. 512 00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:34,620 So today's opening. 513 00:40:35,549 --> 00:40:40,859 If it runs up into previous days, low effort gap down at the new opening. 514 00:40:40,950 --> 00:40:45,870 If it's at lower opening, it'll trade back up to previous days, low 515 00:40:46,290 --> 00:40:50,759 or previous days close, whichever is lower is the low-hanging fruit. 516 00:40:51,330 --> 00:40:56,069 If you have a good objective or a nice range between today's opening and 517 00:40:56,069 --> 00:41:01,650 yesterday's low, and it got down when you're opening today, it would many times 518 00:41:01,980 --> 00:41:05,790 it would provide me my morning trade in the S and P and I would be buying it up 519 00:41:05,790 --> 00:41:10,319 to that point and that would square my positions, or I would take 70% of it off. 520 00:41:10,950 --> 00:41:13,680 And then I would let the remaining portion run to see if it would 521 00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:14,910 get to the previous days close. 522 00:41:14,910 --> 00:41:17,370 If the close was higher than previous day's low. 523 00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:19,230 And obviously the same thing would be said. 524 00:41:19,230 --> 00:41:24,735 If, if today's gap opening would be higher than previous day, Hi, or 525 00:41:24,735 --> 00:41:29,535 previous days close, the idea would be you would sell S and P with a move 526 00:41:29,535 --> 00:41:33,465 to previous days high for previous days, close, whichever is lower. 527 00:41:34,035 --> 00:41:37,185 And that's the morning session trade for S and P trading. 528 00:41:37,485 --> 00:41:40,995 Well, the point in why I'm talking about that is the fact that you would get 529 00:41:41,235 --> 00:41:45,615 sessions closings and succession openings, which you don't see so much on four X 530 00:41:45,615 --> 00:41:51,765 because it's 24 7, well, not 20%, but 24 hours a day, Monday through Friday, the, 531 00:41:52,485 --> 00:41:58,155 the element of common gaps are not seen because it looks like the market's fluid. 532 00:41:58,455 --> 00:42:01,185 It's, it's efficient in every, every aspect. 533 00:42:01,215 --> 00:42:04,035 And when it's not, there's periods of inefficiency, which 534 00:42:04,035 --> 00:42:05,085 is what this is down here. 535 00:42:05,145 --> 00:42:08,865 And the fact that it creates that common gap, that's all it is. 536 00:42:08,865 --> 00:42:09,645 It's common gap. 537 00:42:10,905 --> 00:42:12,795 It's going to want to close in that. 538 00:42:13,065 --> 00:42:20,055 And if you get that on a hard timeframe, it drawls, um, long-term trend. 539 00:42:20,055 --> 00:42:21,735 And it doesn't, it can kind of go from one. 540 00:42:22,545 --> 00:42:24,495 Down to 1 0 6, okay. 541 00:42:24,555 --> 00:42:25,275 And one move. 542 00:42:25,305 --> 00:42:30,015 And ain't gonna do that one day, but it it's like a big neon sign. 543 00:42:30,015 --> 00:42:32,595 Like we're saying that using an analogy that this is, what's 544 00:42:32,595 --> 00:42:33,915 going to draw a price down there. 545 00:42:34,365 --> 00:42:39,165 The fact that this gaps there, why it has to happen or why it should happen 546 00:42:39,225 --> 00:42:47,895 is because you have to offer price on both sides to be an efficient market. 547 00:42:48,075 --> 00:42:52,964 It can't just be only buyers because otherwise, um, like we discussed 548 00:42:52,964 --> 00:42:57,105 with the cat, you know, it's too far gone on the upside for us to 549 00:42:57,105 --> 00:42:59,444 buy it, see if he can't buy it. 550 00:43:00,075 --> 00:43:03,255 You know, what's that, what's that for traders to do either sit on their 551 00:43:03,255 --> 00:43:06,045 hands or do what we were doing earlier. 552 00:43:06,285 --> 00:43:07,095 Just doing an exercise. 553 00:43:07,095 --> 00:43:08,865 See if we can see if we can get some kind of sell off 554 00:43:08,865 --> 00:43:11,325 after running at the a 1 33 12. 555 00:43:16,820 --> 00:43:21,110 Would I consider selling Looney at London close and maybe down 30% on it? 556 00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:23,780 Um, no, I wouldn't want to do that. 557 00:43:24,110 --> 00:43:26,570 Uh, the only thing I would've been interested in is what we were showing here 558 00:43:26,570 --> 00:43:31,730 as an exercise at 33 big figure in 33 12, if there was going to be any meaningful. 559 00:43:31,880 --> 00:43:36,290 Um, so off at least for today, and I don't want to go into 560 00:43:36,290 --> 00:43:40,540 the weekend, um, with anything. 561 00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:45,430 I just don't, I don't trust the conditions of the marketplace right now, and I'm 562 00:43:45,430 --> 00:43:48,940 expecting something to happen over the weekend in the next coming weeks. 563 00:43:49,150 --> 00:43:51,460 And I don't want to be exposed to anything like that. 564 00:44:01,270 --> 00:44:05,800 I believe that the, uh, Euro dollar will be at parody with the dollar. 565 00:44:06,100 --> 00:44:06,910 That's my longterm. 566 00:44:11,060 --> 00:44:13,640 So, yes, I do believe that your a dollar will go lower than that. 567 00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:14,480 And liquidity boy did. 568 00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:15,290 I just showed you 569 00:44:22,609 --> 00:44:24,049 Euro pound. 570 00:44:24,770 --> 00:44:24,859 Okay. 571 00:44:26,580 --> 00:44:27,180 That's a mess. 572 00:44:27,180 --> 00:44:27,540 Isn't it? 573 00:44:59,720 --> 00:45:00,230 I don't know. 574 00:45:01,995 --> 00:45:02,925 Some more downside. 575 00:45:02,925 --> 00:45:04,635 We could probably go down to 83, I'm sorry. 576 00:45:04,665 --> 00:45:07,394 88, 35 to 88 50. 577 00:45:09,135 --> 00:45:13,875 That would close this void in here, which is defined by this candle is 578 00:45:13,875 --> 00:45:16,635 low in this candle's high right here. 579 00:45:22,165 --> 00:45:23,215 I'm going to be honest with you. 580 00:45:23,275 --> 00:45:26,515 No, one's really said anything about this, but I will kind of think out loud here. 581 00:45:26,515 --> 00:45:29,245 And it might be because I had some personal things going on, but even looking 582 00:45:29,245 --> 00:45:37,645 at the market in hindsight, um, this week has been a little difficult for me. 583 00:45:37,975 --> 00:45:38,935 And I'll be honest with you. 584 00:45:38,935 --> 00:45:41,785 I'm not saying that there wasn't opportunities there. 585 00:45:43,435 --> 00:45:47,875 I mean, obviously I made my weekly objective to keep records of, 586 00:45:47,905 --> 00:45:53,635 uh, opportunities, but outside of that, um, I, I just think that 587 00:45:53,725 --> 00:45:56,215 this week was a little weird. 588 00:45:56,795 --> 00:45:58,525 It wasn't a lot of symmetry in the marketplace. 589 00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:03,810 But I think that dollar, I'm sorry, you're a pound. 590 00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:07,050 Um, we're probably gonna come down here and close that void in, but let 591 00:46:07,050 --> 00:46:10,320 me comment on about why I felt that this week was a little difficult, 592 00:46:11,970 --> 00:46:15,060 um, on a dollar, on a daily chart, 593 00:46:18,910 --> 00:46:23,170 we had watched this, um, 98, 55 level four weeks. 594 00:46:23,380 --> 00:46:26,260 And we talked about that level actually, when price was down here, if you go 595 00:46:26,260 --> 00:46:30,280 back and look at the September videos, in fact, if you go back on the YouTube, 596 00:46:30,730 --> 00:46:34,960 you actually hear me talk about it in August, this specific 98, 55 level. 597 00:46:34,990 --> 00:46:36,910 And we were, we were bullish on the dollar. 598 00:46:37,720 --> 00:46:41,470 If, and more specifically, I told you that we were around in rounding the, 599 00:46:41,530 --> 00:46:44,080 uh, the market out here finding a low. 600 00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:48,400 And I used the dollar CAD to support that idea that the dollar 601 00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:49,540 index should be going higher. 602 00:46:51,490 --> 00:46:54,190 The fact that we had this one down candle, right? 603 00:46:55,595 --> 00:46:56,075 Okay. 604 00:46:56,134 --> 00:47:00,035 This one down candle, we're watching the middle of that candle. 605 00:47:00,815 --> 00:47:05,105 Now, obviously, you know, my tools and my concepts say that we don't want to see 606 00:47:05,105 --> 00:47:08,884 the, the middle of the range be given up. 607 00:47:11,935 --> 00:47:12,415 And 608 00:47:15,525 --> 00:47:19,695 we had it here and I was uncertain about what we were going to see here. 609 00:47:19,725 --> 00:47:21,735 And I thought, well, okay, well we'll probably come down and close 610 00:47:21,735 --> 00:47:22,875 a little bit of the void in here. 611 00:47:23,715 --> 00:47:24,435 It didn't do that. 612 00:47:25,155 --> 00:47:27,225 It just held around, held around, held around, and then 613 00:47:27,225 --> 00:47:29,325 all of a sudden ECB this week. 614 00:47:30,134 --> 00:47:34,695 So if I would have been more active, okay. 615 00:47:34,695 --> 00:47:37,845 If I would've been more active this week, I'm almost certain 616 00:47:38,505 --> 00:47:39,495 I would have had a loss. 617 00:47:39,675 --> 00:47:42,795 I would have been able to absorb a losing trade. 618 00:47:43,725 --> 00:47:48,435 Um, the fact that the dollar didn't perform. 619 00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:54,600 At this level, like I was expecting, um, we, we spent a couple of times dipping 620 00:47:54,600 --> 00:48:00,060 down in the lower end of this down candle, which is not what I like to see happen. 621 00:48:00,569 --> 00:48:03,150 So it doesn't, it didn't line up with my expectations. 622 00:48:03,450 --> 00:48:08,310 Now here's the thing, despite the fact that I, and everyone has been expecting 623 00:48:08,310 --> 00:48:13,560 98, 55, I will be reached for, I wasn't comfortable being a buyer down in here. 624 00:48:13,980 --> 00:48:16,380 $1, we looked at 97 70. 625 00:48:16,380 --> 00:48:21,740 And if you look at the 30 minute chart, we had that, uh, 626 00:48:25,130 --> 00:48:26,390 there is, I thought I lost it. 627 00:48:26,839 --> 00:48:28,819 We had the 97, 70 level stops. 628 00:48:29,359 --> 00:48:31,670 We knew that that was likely to be cleared out. 629 00:48:31,700 --> 00:48:35,720 It did that, and it stopped beautifully around there, but it didn't do much in 630 00:48:35,720 --> 00:48:42,440 the way of providing any more, um, buying until the ECB and unemployment numbers 631 00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:44,270 came out, which is this movement here. 632 00:48:45,200 --> 00:48:50,495 And again, I don't, I don't, I just don't personally see it. 633 00:48:50,645 --> 00:48:53,045 And I might look at this next week and say, oh, there it was. 634 00:48:53,645 --> 00:48:54,605 But real time. 635 00:48:54,965 --> 00:48:58,475 And with everything that's going on this week, you know, I just didn't see it. 636 00:49:00,875 --> 00:49:04,205 So if you've had, if you had a little difficulty this week, just know that, you 637 00:49:04,205 --> 00:49:05,555 know, I'm looking at it too the same way. 638 00:49:05,585 --> 00:49:12,185 I didn't feel, um, I didn't feel dialed in or plugged in at all this week. 639 00:49:14,375 --> 00:49:17,795 And it's, you know, it's going to happen regardless of how long 640 00:49:17,795 --> 00:49:22,835 you're trading and you're going to either get in sync or you're not. 641 00:49:24,155 --> 00:49:25,535 And it's important that it's okay. 642 00:49:25,535 --> 00:49:30,485 It's normal just because, um, you know, I'm giving a mentorship here. 643 00:49:30,485 --> 00:49:34,325 I'm teaching stuff doesn't in no way, shape or form mean that 644 00:49:34,325 --> 00:49:36,065 I'm going to be 100% accurate. 645 00:49:36,365 --> 00:49:42,935 In fact, um, it's actually very comforting to be able to talk about this and kind 646 00:49:42,935 --> 00:49:44,345 of like reassure most of you that. 647 00:49:45,450 --> 00:49:49,890 If you haven't seen certain setups paint out this week, don't feel upset about 648 00:49:49,890 --> 00:49:53,610 that because I've had the same feeling about looking at prices in dollars. 649 00:49:53,610 --> 00:49:57,090 Been a little weird for me and it might've been just because the ECB 650 00:49:57,090 --> 00:50:03,330 had to come out, uh, on, uh, on the 20th and do what it needed to do. 651 00:50:10,420 --> 00:50:10,870 Yeah. 652 00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:18,400 Um, then after I tried to get folks to, um, to sign in with the, uh, let me see 653 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:19,450 how many people I've got in here now. 654 00:50:21,070 --> 00:50:21,370 All right. 655 00:50:21,370 --> 00:50:22,540 I got 111 people. 656 00:50:22,540 --> 00:50:26,920 That's about one quarter of what usually shows up in the New York session. 657 00:50:30,470 --> 00:50:32,030 But, uh, yeah, my Twitter is down. 658 00:50:32,150 --> 00:50:35,795 It's been down since, uh, it said that it was reporting 7:22 659 00:50:35,795 --> 00:50:38,330 AM in Eastern standard time. 660 00:50:38,840 --> 00:50:44,210 But, uh, I, I couldn't do Twitter as early as 6 59. 661 00:50:46,350 --> 00:50:48,420 So 10 minutes before seven o'clock this morning, I couldn't 662 00:50:48,420 --> 00:50:50,339 sign in or log into Twitter. 663 00:50:50,759 --> 00:50:52,920 And I was a little bit panicked because I'm thinking, how am 664 00:50:52,920 --> 00:50:53,970 I going to reach you people? 665 00:50:54,509 --> 00:50:58,150 So I just put it on the forum and if you're listening, I'm just 666 00:50:58,150 --> 00:50:59,100 going to remind you all here. 667 00:50:59,580 --> 00:51:01,890 Um, there's a subscribe button. 668 00:51:02,250 --> 00:51:03,779 Let me see if I can show it real quick on the, 669 00:51:07,509 --> 00:51:09,160 make sure I have this in the recording. 670 00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:10,180 That way you guys can see it. 671 00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:35,730 Oops. 672 00:51:36,330 --> 00:51:36,900 Spelled that wrong. 673 00:52:04,860 --> 00:52:05,310 Yeah. 674 00:52:20,350 --> 00:52:20,980 Are you kidding me? 675 00:52:20,980 --> 00:52:22,120 I'm locking out my own house. 676 00:52:22,180 --> 00:52:22,870 What's going on here? 677 00:52:27,550 --> 00:52:28,450 Oh, good grief. 678 00:52:28,480 --> 00:52:29,650 I'm using the capital L. 679 00:52:39,210 --> 00:52:39,750 There you go 680 00:52:42,810 --> 00:52:43,410 man alive. 681 00:52:43,410 --> 00:52:44,069 I was getting nervous. 682 00:52:44,069 --> 00:52:45,720 I'm like, oh, something's really going on. 683 00:52:47,430 --> 00:52:50,970 Cause you go into the forum and you go to the thread like 684 00:52:51,839 --> 00:52:53,069 October, February inactive. 685 00:52:53,069 --> 00:52:59,040 Now there is a little button on any supposed it's. 686 00:53:00,660 --> 00:53:03,990 This is why it's important that you have your email address linked to this. 687 00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:06,210 There's a button over here. 688 00:53:06,210 --> 00:53:07,890 Like here I have, um, subscribed. 689 00:53:07,890 --> 00:53:10,950 So when you're in the forum, if you have not subscribed 690 00:53:10,950 --> 00:53:14,730 to the October thread, okay. 691 00:53:15,060 --> 00:53:18,660 You need to click on subscribe when you do that. 692 00:53:19,049 --> 00:53:19,470 Okay. 693 00:53:19,710 --> 00:53:25,710 You'll get notifications and it'll go to your email address and it'll prompt you 694 00:53:25,770 --> 00:53:27,960 with anything that I've sent to the form. 695 00:53:28,319 --> 00:53:32,040 So when I put new content, um, say your Twitter notifications 696 00:53:32,040 --> 00:53:34,859 are turned off because I'm might go into a Twitter rant one time. 697 00:53:35,009 --> 00:53:35,960 I don't try to do it with. 698 00:53:37,065 --> 00:53:41,235 Twitter feed, but if it happens, you might want to delete or turn off the 699 00:53:41,235 --> 00:53:44,625 notifications while over the weekend and just read them at your leisure later on. 700 00:53:46,065 --> 00:53:50,115 If you subscribe to the threads, the content threads, every time there's 701 00:53:50,115 --> 00:53:53,505 a new post made by me, it'll notify you that we don't have to keep 702 00:53:53,505 --> 00:53:56,235 coming back and checking the thread and see if there's something there. 703 00:53:57,015 --> 00:54:00,795 But also more importantly, I can reach out to you in the event 704 00:54:00,795 --> 00:54:01,725 at Twitter like it is today. 705 00:54:01,725 --> 00:54:06,185 Cause I didn't think about Twitter ever going down, but, uh, that would be a 706 00:54:06,195 --> 00:54:08,715 good way for us to be able to connect. 707 00:54:17,005 --> 00:54:17,125 You. 708 00:54:17,125 --> 00:54:19,585 Don't have a subscribe button on, uh, on your end. 709 00:54:19,645 --> 00:54:21,415 A couple of people are saying that you don't have that. 710 00:54:30,235 --> 00:54:30,835 Oh, that's weird. 711 00:54:30,835 --> 00:54:31,825 Some of you you're saying you do. 712 00:54:31,825 --> 00:54:33,025 And some of you just saying you don't. 713 00:54:35,325 --> 00:54:39,134 Yeah, you got to scroll all the way down to the bottom very bottom 714 00:54:39,285 --> 00:54:41,174 and you'll see, you should see it. 715 00:54:49,025 --> 00:54:49,174 Yeah. 716 00:54:49,174 --> 00:54:53,825 You'll probably have to go through your PC to do it and allow you guys are cheating 717 00:54:53,825 --> 00:55:00,904 at work and doing things you shouldn't be doing, but that's one way we can stay in 718 00:55:00,904 --> 00:55:03,785 contact with one another real important. 719 00:55:04,865 --> 00:55:09,855 I learned a lesson today about the, having a backup, cause I didn't think 720 00:55:09,855 --> 00:55:11,924 about it at all until this morning. 721 00:55:14,775 --> 00:55:15,015 All right. 722 00:55:15,015 --> 00:55:16,575 So here we are with dollar. 723 00:55:20,895 --> 00:55:22,125 Where did we spike up to here? 724 00:55:24,915 --> 00:55:26,625 33 51. 725 00:55:54,250 --> 00:55:54,520 Yeah. 726 00:55:54,520 --> 00:55:55,900 You know what French, I think you're right. 727 00:55:55,900 --> 00:56:03,100 If I'm just editing, if I'm editing a forum post, it's not 728 00:56:03,100 --> 00:56:04,120 going to probably read that. 729 00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:07,630 Like, you're like you're saying here, but if I send out a post, like 730 00:56:07,630 --> 00:56:12,880 a link to the forum, sorry to the live sessions, it would be a, it 731 00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:14,440 should generate you a notification. 732 00:56:14,980 --> 00:56:15,640 And that's what I'm saying. 733 00:56:15,640 --> 00:56:17,770 I would, I would do that going forward. 734 00:56:21,970 --> 00:56:22,300 All right. 735 00:56:22,300 --> 00:56:24,340 So the exercise that we did. 736 00:56:25,995 --> 00:56:33,275 We're looking at potentially selling on a 1 33 14 with a stop at 33 30 16 pips. 737 00:56:33,275 --> 00:56:38,715 Stop with an objective down to 32 30 and scaling up 15, 20 pips. 738 00:56:40,455 --> 00:56:44,475 Uh, we were able to preserve the full stop cause we were identifying where the market 739 00:56:44,475 --> 00:56:47,835 shouldn't go to and it went to the level. 740 00:56:47,835 --> 00:56:57,065 We would be wanting to kill the trade at so very small, um, negative response, but 741 00:56:57,305 --> 00:57:01,715 it's experience nonetheless again, you can't buy it when it takes off like that. 742 00:57:01,955 --> 00:57:04,325 You gotta work with what levels have been given to you. 743 00:57:24,555 --> 00:57:27,195 Is that total daily high, miss the big figure 744 00:57:49,995 --> 00:57:50,715 cable. 745 00:58:02,295 --> 00:58:07,185 Yeah, I don't, I mean, I know I want to see it go lower, but just 746 00:58:07,185 --> 00:58:10,185 don't know where I want to sell it at and be comfortable doing. 747 00:58:15,795 --> 00:58:17,175 Um, that's a good question, Brian. 748 00:58:17,235 --> 00:58:21,795 Um, in my early days of train, would I get mad about missing moves like this? 749 00:58:22,725 --> 00:58:28,635 Um, yeah, I mean, I, I've already divulged that spent a lot of money 750 00:58:28,635 --> 00:58:33,705 on replacing monitors that would get mad about all that stuff, especially 751 00:58:33,705 --> 00:58:38,235 if I was expecting to move ahead of time and if it took off without me. 752 00:58:38,265 --> 00:58:38,835 Oh man. 753 00:58:39,105 --> 00:58:41,865 Because I was thinking like everyone else does, you know, 754 00:58:41,865 --> 00:58:44,325 that's the only trait that's ever going to exist and I missed it. 755 00:58:44,325 --> 00:58:49,095 So therefore my trading career is over when in fact it's not true at all. 756 00:59:04,275 --> 00:59:07,155 So it's for my personal journal. 757 00:59:09,450 --> 00:59:13,080 The, the idea of logging. 758 00:59:13,950 --> 00:59:18,870 And obviously I'll have a lot to say to my journal about what happened 759 00:59:18,870 --> 00:59:19,860 in my personal life this week. 760 00:59:20,460 --> 00:59:27,630 And I'm admittedly going to attribute a lot of that to why I feel off from 761 00:59:27,630 --> 00:59:32,490 the middle point of the week to, to Friday's close, but technically 762 00:59:32,490 --> 00:59:37,890 speaking, um, the hiccup in the dollar, like I was saying here, this kind of 763 00:59:37,890 --> 00:59:41,010 threw me off a little bit, cause this is not what I like to see happen. 764 00:59:41,340 --> 00:59:45,060 Even though we have 98, 55 upside objective noted in advance. 765 00:59:45,630 --> 00:59:48,210 Um, I wasn't able to capitalize on it. 766 00:59:48,840 --> 00:59:55,770 So when I log my journal, I will give feedback to myself saying, okay. 767 00:59:56,040 --> 01:00:01,380 Um, the objectives that I called for 1955 were met on dollar. 768 01:00:01,980 --> 01:00:05,210 Um, the downside objectives on your. 769 01:00:10,410 --> 01:00:17,220 On these cell staffs were hit, uh, the 1 10 40 cell level 1, 10 35 770 01:00:17,220 --> 01:00:22,110 cell level prior to the gun only stops, um, panned out this week. 771 01:00:22,650 --> 01:00:25,470 Um, I focus on the strengths first. 772 01:00:25,530 --> 01:00:28,350 I spent a lot of time on what I did, right. 773 01:00:28,500 --> 01:00:31,050 Or what I expected to see happen in the marketplace. 774 01:00:31,290 --> 01:00:33,960 It's very important that you keep reminding yourself 775 01:00:33,960 --> 01:00:35,010 of that in your journal. 776 01:00:35,820 --> 01:00:41,160 Um, but you always close the journal with things that you learned or what 777 01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:45,300 you discovered or what happened that were outside the scope of what you're 778 01:00:45,300 --> 01:00:50,880 into expectation or anticipate, uh, anticipation, anticipation, and your 779 01:00:51,210 --> 01:00:58,590 anticipatory skillsets were leading you to believe so by having a balance, 780 01:00:58,650 --> 01:01:02,850 but more specifically, you have to let journals like your, your accounts. 781 01:01:03,795 --> 01:01:08,355 Yeah, the journals like your, uh, your, your sense of, um, 782 01:01:09,765 --> 01:01:12,795 encouragement, because it's very easy. 783 01:01:12,795 --> 01:01:16,274 And I'll tell you, and I'll speak on this because it was mentioned a couple 784 01:01:16,274 --> 01:01:21,944 minutes ago by, uh, one of the members in my early days, I would be so mad 785 01:01:22,395 --> 01:01:26,835 and so tore up about missing a move, especially in this nothing happened 786 01:01:26,835 --> 01:01:30,645 this week, that was astronomical, that can't be seen on any other given week. 787 01:01:30,855 --> 01:01:32,174 It's not been that much of movement. 788 01:01:33,165 --> 01:01:36,134 You can't see these types of moves happen on a regular basis. 789 01:01:36,705 --> 01:01:39,495 What makes it frustrating? 790 01:01:39,734 --> 01:01:43,725 And what made it frustrating as a new trader is the fact that it 791 01:01:43,725 --> 01:01:48,194 would go right to the levels like we have here 1, 10 40, right. 792 01:01:48,194 --> 01:01:48,645 To the PIP. 793 01:01:48,645 --> 01:01:51,884 And then it was run in, in my, in my direction of choice. 794 01:01:52,875 --> 01:01:56,024 If I was not able to capitalize on that or take a position on 795 01:01:56,024 --> 01:01:58,384 it, I would literally punish my. 796 01:02:00,020 --> 01:02:03,590 I would beat myself up emotionally, intentionally, uh, you know, 797 01:02:04,279 --> 01:02:06,440 you saying this is stupid. 798 01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:09,170 I should have not, I shouldn't have done this or I should've done that or 799 01:02:09,170 --> 01:02:10,640 I should have just jumped in early. 800 01:02:11,240 --> 01:02:15,259 And I found that that was actually creating a toxic thinking and it would 801 01:02:15,259 --> 01:02:20,000 always push me into trades that I shouldn't be taking as a result because 802 01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:24,319 I'd have to feel like the trader and you can't be a trader unless you're trading. 803 01:02:24,350 --> 01:02:24,650 Right? 804 01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:34,180 So the point is to avoid all that, to avoid all that you have to, uh, number 805 01:02:34,180 --> 01:02:38,500 one, stay focused on reminding yourself that every opportunity that comes 806 01:02:38,500 --> 01:02:40,840 your way, isn't the last opportunity. 807 01:02:41,110 --> 01:02:42,580 There's always new opportunities. 808 01:02:43,150 --> 01:02:48,620 And the fact that, uh, you know, you're going to have missed opportunities. 809 01:02:48,770 --> 01:02:49,460 You're going to miss. 810 01:02:49,460 --> 01:02:50,690 Here's the thing you're. 811 01:02:50,690 --> 01:02:53,299 And I've said this many times before, you're going to miss 812 01:02:53,299 --> 01:02:54,410 more trades than you make. 813 01:02:56,560 --> 01:02:57,970 And that's a problem for a new trader. 814 01:02:58,030 --> 01:02:59,470 It's like, well, that shouldn't happen. 815 01:02:59,980 --> 01:03:01,750 If you're a new trader, okay. 816 01:03:01,930 --> 01:03:05,860 You're thinking your system's going to give you a trade every five minutes. 817 01:03:05,920 --> 01:03:07,840 And you're going to take a trade every five minutes. 818 01:03:07,870 --> 01:03:12,850 And every one of them are going to be winners and that's not realistic. 819 01:03:12,850 --> 01:03:14,050 That's not going to happen. 820 01:03:14,050 --> 01:03:14,320 It's first. 821 01:03:14,320 --> 01:03:15,040 It's never going to happen. 822 01:03:15,130 --> 01:03:16,750 It's never going to happen for you. 823 01:03:17,980 --> 01:03:24,460 What I teach and when I try to promote is even though I was right about a 824 01:03:24,460 --> 01:03:28,300 lot of things, and even though I was wrong about some things this week, 825 01:03:28,810 --> 01:03:33,370 it did not change the overall course of what I set out for as a goal. 826 01:03:33,970 --> 01:03:38,470 I want to make two and a half percent every single week. 827 01:03:38,470 --> 01:03:40,660 That's what I'm aiming for because the second half of this month, 828 01:03:41,110 --> 01:03:43,720 remember I said, I was going to show you how to make 10% a month. 829 01:03:44,200 --> 01:03:46,480 Well, obviously I'm almost at 60% for the month. 830 01:03:46,600 --> 01:03:46,930 Okay. 831 01:03:46,930 --> 01:03:51,460 But if we take that big, uh, British pound straight out, that still puts me 832 01:03:51,460 --> 01:03:55,425 in a really good position, percentage wise, Relative to my effects book. 833 01:03:56,115 --> 01:04:04,265 So if we, if we take the whole entire week, yes, there's going 834 01:04:04,265 --> 01:04:08,315 to be opportunities where, um, I called right to the PIP 1, 10 40. 835 01:04:08,735 --> 01:04:10,325 I can't hang my hat on that. 836 01:04:10,595 --> 01:04:11,645 Cause I didn't trade that. 837 01:04:12,335 --> 01:04:18,815 But I logged that in my log, in my journal as a sense of reassurement because next 838 01:04:18,815 --> 01:04:27,935 week could be the very week I have one or 2%, um, loss or even three losing trades. 839 01:04:27,935 --> 01:04:32,075 If I try to, uh, show, uh, mitigation like I'm going to teach today, the 840 01:04:32,255 --> 01:04:38,195 point is the goal for the month is the objective, not the day by date 841 01:04:38,585 --> 01:04:46,355 objective your day to day, uh, goals or your day to day, uh, uh, expectations 842 01:04:46,355 --> 01:04:47,645 on what your equity should be. 843 01:04:48,275 --> 01:04:48,785 That's my. 844 01:04:50,150 --> 01:04:53,000 See what I, when I look at trading, I look at the beginning calendar day. 845 01:04:53,010 --> 01:04:54,410 When's the last shooting day of that month. 846 01:04:55,400 --> 01:04:57,800 And that's my, that's my window of opportunity. 847 01:04:59,030 --> 01:05:03,590 I'm not forcing, I have to make my two and a half percent on 848 01:05:03,590 --> 01:05:05,270 Tuesday of every single week. 849 01:05:05,300 --> 01:05:06,470 And I'm not thinking that way. 850 01:05:06,980 --> 01:05:08,960 I'm thinking, okay, what's my goal for the month. 851 01:05:09,020 --> 01:05:15,680 If my goal is to make 10% for the month, I have a lot of time to be 852 01:05:15,680 --> 01:05:17,570 more selective about trade setups. 853 01:05:17,570 --> 01:05:20,540 That will allow me to get that 10% return over the course of a month, 854 01:05:21,500 --> 01:05:25,990 where I messed up in the beginning was by trying to get an all in one trade 855 01:05:25,990 --> 01:05:29,480 because I was thinking if I can get all one trade, then I don't have to be 856 01:05:29,480 --> 01:05:30,920 fearful about being in the marketplace. 857 01:05:30,920 --> 01:05:33,020 Cause I was very fearful of being in the market. 858 01:05:33,770 --> 01:05:35,270 I was fearful of taking trades. 859 01:05:35,990 --> 01:05:39,980 I could see things on the charts that would lead me to believe something 860 01:05:39,980 --> 01:05:42,920 should happen, but I would be too fearful to actually execute and do the trade. 861 01:05:43,730 --> 01:05:46,850 And then once I got in a trade, I would be terrified and it would, I 862 01:05:46,850 --> 01:05:47,900 wouldn't know what I was supposed to be. 863 01:05:48,884 --> 01:05:52,754 And many times I had no idea where it should go target wise. 864 01:05:53,024 --> 01:05:55,095 And when it was moving in my favorite, then it was even more 865 01:05:55,095 --> 01:05:58,004 scary because I don't know if I should hold on to it or not. 866 01:05:58,725 --> 01:06:01,935 And then because of panic attacks, I would just collapse the trade and then it 867 01:06:01,935 --> 01:06:04,395 would keep on going thousands of dollars. 868 01:06:04,395 --> 01:06:06,975 And if I just sort of stayed in it and turned the computer off, I would've made 869 01:06:07,004 --> 01:06:11,084 lots more money, but I would beat myself up about the fact that I just made money. 870 01:06:11,984 --> 01:06:15,584 It was an error, but I made my, I made money, but I beat myself up 871 01:06:15,584 --> 01:06:17,234 about it because I had no direction. 872 01:06:17,234 --> 01:06:17,745 I had no plan. 873 01:06:17,745 --> 01:06:18,975 I had no organization. 874 01:06:20,084 --> 01:06:29,055 I learned by time and exposure that setups really repeat themselves a lot. 875 01:06:29,055 --> 01:06:31,035 They're very recurring phenomenon. 876 01:06:31,845 --> 01:06:38,145 And there's nothing for you to fear about missing moves. 877 01:06:38,745 --> 01:06:42,044 And for you as a new trader or someone that's been trading for 878 01:06:42,044 --> 01:06:44,115 a while, can I do like a poll. 879 01:06:45,540 --> 01:06:50,040 I like to get these types of feedbacks if you've been trading longer than two years. 880 01:06:50,879 --> 01:06:51,240 Okay. 881 01:06:51,240 --> 01:06:54,060 If you've been trading longer than two years in any asset 882 01:06:54,060 --> 01:06:55,140 classes have to be Forex. 883 01:06:56,129 --> 01:07:04,919 If you get angry or frustrated or depressed about missing a trade, say I do. 884 01:07:05,700 --> 01:07:08,160 If you don't, then obviously don't say nothing, but only for those that 885 01:07:08,220 --> 01:07:09,419 have traded longer than two years. 886 01:07:13,339 --> 01:07:13,640 Wow. 887 01:07:13,640 --> 01:07:14,240 That's a good number. 888 01:07:14,250 --> 01:07:14,430 Yeah. 889 01:07:18,720 --> 01:07:18,990 Wow. 890 01:07:19,049 --> 01:07:20,819 Yeah, that was a it's still going. 891 01:07:24,180 --> 01:07:24,450 Okay. 892 01:07:24,450 --> 01:07:29,399 So when I'm talking about this, , it's an intimate experience for you. 893 01:07:29,669 --> 01:07:29,879 Okay. 894 01:07:29,879 --> 01:07:31,140 You know exactly what I'm talking about. 895 01:07:31,140 --> 01:07:38,430 When, when I say it, the way I overcame that feeling is number 896 01:07:38,430 --> 01:07:41,640 one, losing tons of money. 897 01:07:42,839 --> 01:07:46,830 And I can tell you if there's a choice of missing a move and feeling depressed 898 01:07:46,830 --> 01:07:53,279 about that or losing fortunes of real money, I will always side with missing 899 01:07:53,279 --> 01:07:57,930 the opportunity because I still have my equity and it wasn't until a day where I 900 01:07:57,930 --> 01:08:01,529 was actually literally sitting in my car in gunpowder state park, because that's 901 01:08:01,529 --> 01:08:04,500 where I would go a couple of times a week and I'd sit out there and I would 902 01:08:04,500 --> 01:08:07,470 reflect, look at the water and think about what I was going to do, what my 903 01:08:07,470 --> 01:08:10,920 goals were and what I did the previous week and how I'm going to double that. 904 01:08:11,160 --> 01:08:11,609 Okay. 905 01:08:12,029 --> 01:08:19,859 And with unrealistic expectations, but one day I just sat there and I felt incredibly 906 01:08:20,220 --> 01:08:22,529 foolish about what I was thinking about. 907 01:08:23,250 --> 01:08:28,349 I was thinking about how I didn't make money on a setup and it 908 01:08:28,349 --> 01:08:29,640 happened to be in a copper trade. 909 01:08:30,269 --> 01:08:30,599 Okay. 910 01:08:30,630 --> 01:08:33,569 Um, copper is a commodity that you can trade. 911 01:08:33,599 --> 01:08:38,520 Um, Uh, futures market and copper, wasn't a premium market. 912 01:08:38,520 --> 01:08:42,569 And it means that the nearby contracts were selling for more 913 01:08:42,569 --> 01:08:43,920 money than a distant months out. 914 01:08:44,370 --> 01:08:47,520 And it was already in a preexisting uptrend, uh, commercials were already 915 01:08:47,520 --> 01:08:51,960 net long, and it was a seasonal tendency for copper to go up and everything was 916 01:08:51,960 --> 01:08:53,340 this lined up for this thing to go up. 917 01:08:54,750 --> 01:08:56,880 And I knew there was a specific level. 918 01:08:56,880 --> 01:09:00,689 I shouldn't be buying it, but I fearfully sat on the sidelines 919 01:09:00,689 --> 01:09:05,370 because I wanted a little bit better pricing and it didn't give it to me. 920 01:09:05,760 --> 01:09:10,950 It spent two days at that level that I should have been buying well on 921 01:09:10,950 --> 01:09:15,479 the third day it was lifted up and it stayed limit up for about three days. 922 01:09:15,870 --> 01:09:17,910 And it didn't give me an opportunity to get in there. 923 01:09:18,960 --> 01:09:23,970 And I was very frustrated because there's no better feeling to be 924 01:09:23,970 --> 01:09:25,830 stuck making limit up, move profit. 925 01:09:25,950 --> 01:09:26,970 You can't get out of the market. 926 01:09:27,330 --> 01:09:28,080 It won't let you out. 927 01:09:28,590 --> 01:09:32,040 The open is the same thing as the close is just an uptick on 928 01:09:32,040 --> 01:09:33,359 your chart and nothing's changed. 929 01:09:34,184 --> 01:09:38,535 So when you have those experiences and you look back and you say, 930 01:09:38,535 --> 01:09:39,885 man, I wish I would have done this. 931 01:09:39,915 --> 01:09:41,745 I missed this opportunity, yada, yada, yada. 932 01:09:42,285 --> 01:09:47,224 I was looking at the fact that, okay, well, I could have been short and stuck 933 01:09:47,255 --> 01:09:50,585 in limit up, moves over leveraged. 934 01:09:50,585 --> 01:09:51,724 Like I always was then. 935 01:09:52,234 --> 01:09:57,695 And it dawned on me that number one, I'm beating myself up about something that 936 01:09:57,695 --> 01:10:01,355 I did not physically take a loss in. 937 01:10:02,405 --> 01:10:07,144 And this is not the last opportunity that's going to come across my charts. 938 01:10:08,255 --> 01:10:11,105 And I looked at how many trades I've taken from that point on. 939 01:10:11,554 --> 01:10:14,825 And it was lots because I was trading every single day, every 940 01:10:14,825 --> 01:10:18,095 single trading day, I was trading something way overtrading. 941 01:10:19,855 --> 01:10:23,035 But when I looked to how many times I was making money and I can admit 942 01:10:23,035 --> 01:10:26,425 to you when I first started making money in the nineties, I really 943 01:10:26,425 --> 01:10:27,775 had no idea what I was doing. 944 01:10:27,865 --> 01:10:31,675 I was lucky buying only in bull markets and it just markets were going 945 01:10:31,675 --> 01:10:33,295 straight up so anybody can make money. 946 01:10:35,130 --> 01:10:38,370 But when I looked at how many times I was trading and how many times I 947 01:10:38,370 --> 01:10:41,219 was able to take money out of the marketplace, even being stupid. 948 01:10:41,280 --> 01:10:43,230 And I'm not having no idea what I was doing. 949 01:10:44,309 --> 01:10:50,009 It dawned on me that why should I ever feel like I missed that trade? 950 01:10:50,009 --> 01:10:51,750 So therefore I should be mad or depressed. 951 01:10:52,860 --> 01:10:57,120 And it dawned on me and how I did not have a mature perspective 952 01:10:57,150 --> 01:10:58,679 about how the markets operated. 953 01:10:59,250 --> 01:11:02,219 I was thinking like a neophyte, like, like a, like a person that 954 01:11:02,219 --> 01:11:03,719 just first time gets into casino. 955 01:11:04,290 --> 01:11:06,840 You know, if they went on their first-hand, they things learn on a hot 956 01:11:06,870 --> 01:11:09,000 streak and therefore you got to push it. 957 01:11:09,420 --> 01:11:11,759 When, in fact, when you're trading, when you're on your own, when 958 01:11:11,759 --> 01:11:14,759 you're on a hot streak, you need to start scaling back your risk. 959 01:11:15,269 --> 01:11:17,820 And that's not going to agree with 90% of what people say. 960 01:11:18,150 --> 01:11:20,639 If you're on a roll and you're making money, okay. 961 01:11:20,639 --> 01:11:24,660 They tell you, push it, push what don't increase your leverage. 962 01:11:24,900 --> 01:11:26,400 Don't increase your trade frequency. 963 01:11:27,000 --> 01:11:30,360 The market has no perception of what your hot streets. 964 01:11:31,514 --> 01:11:33,585 It's just, you're in alignment for right now. 965 01:11:33,885 --> 01:11:35,115 And that doesn't stay like that. 966 01:11:35,595 --> 01:11:39,195 Eventually, if you keep pushing it, you're going to have your hardest loss, 967 01:11:39,405 --> 01:11:44,205 your biggest loss when you've pushed it, because you think you're on a hot hand for 968 01:11:44,205 --> 01:11:46,394 a hot street, you got to push your edge. 969 01:11:46,425 --> 01:11:49,845 Now you don't, when you're on a hot run and you got a long series of 970 01:11:49,845 --> 01:11:55,005 wins, I, I actually started learning to dial back my leverage and my trade 971 01:11:55,005 --> 01:11:58,575 frequency, because I know what's coming that losing trades coming. 972 01:11:59,385 --> 01:12:03,455 The more times you have winning trades in a row, the higher, the probability that 973 01:12:03,455 --> 01:12:05,085 that next losing trade is going to happen. 974 01:12:05,565 --> 01:12:09,885 And I started focusing on that and not focusing on the fact that I've missed 975 01:12:09,885 --> 01:12:14,985 an opportunity, or I missed a trade because I knew by looking at my journal, 976 01:12:16,125 --> 01:12:17,684 how many times I was taking trades. 977 01:12:19,095 --> 01:12:22,875 I don't know why we as traders forget this, but how many times, just in the 978 01:12:22,875 --> 01:12:27,165 course of this mentorship, have we talked about specific levels in the market? 979 01:12:28,245 --> 01:12:31,065 There's all kinds of opportunities just because it doesn't line 980 01:12:31,065 --> 01:12:32,505 up for my specific trade. 981 01:12:32,835 --> 01:12:35,415 There's all kinds of, and many of you're actually sending them to me 982 01:12:35,415 --> 01:12:37,035 in email what you're actually doing. 983 01:12:37,035 --> 01:12:37,605 And that's great. 984 01:12:37,995 --> 01:12:39,915 I'm not asking you to do that, but you're doing it. 985 01:12:40,304 --> 01:12:42,375 So there's always new opportunities. 986 01:12:42,375 --> 01:12:46,125 There's always new setups, just because you get excited about 987 01:12:46,125 --> 01:12:49,094 that setup and you don't get a chance to take advantage of it. 988 01:12:49,394 --> 01:12:52,214 And you start thinking that you're mad or you're depressed or you're 989 01:12:52,214 --> 01:12:56,655 angry or you're regretful because you didn't do it stop for a moment. 990 01:12:57,674 --> 01:12:57,884 Okay. 991 01:12:57,884 --> 01:12:59,865 And if you're not really paying attention, if you're doing something 992 01:12:59,865 --> 01:13:02,025 else right now, but you can hear my voice stop for a second. 993 01:13:02,025 --> 01:13:02,804 Just hear me out for this. 994 01:13:02,804 --> 01:13:04,214 They only gonna talk about two minutes for it. 995 01:13:05,835 --> 01:13:10,365 If you feel that way, you need to admit to yourself right now that you 996 01:13:10,365 --> 01:13:16,934 are not organized and you're not being realistic about your expectations 997 01:13:16,934 --> 01:13:18,224 about your trading and the market. 998 01:13:19,380 --> 01:13:23,490 And you have to remind yourself that there are new opportunities, every single 999 01:13:23,490 --> 01:13:28,290 trading day in that trade that you missed, or that set up that didn't pan out. 1000 01:13:28,290 --> 01:13:31,050 Exactly like you wanted to, but still went to where you wanted it to go. 1001 01:13:31,860 --> 01:13:34,080 That's not the last trade that's going to appear. 1002 01:13:34,170 --> 01:13:36,450 That's not that wasn't the last trade of your trading career. 1003 01:13:38,130 --> 01:13:42,090 You're not trying to close out of Floyd Mayweather career, you 1004 01:13:42,090 --> 01:13:45,540 know where you're undefeated and everything's perfect for you. 1005 01:13:46,470 --> 01:13:51,059 But we as traders because we're human and we don't want to be wrong. 1006 01:13:51,660 --> 01:13:53,010 We want to be right every time. 1007 01:13:53,670 --> 01:13:55,740 And we want to be in every move. 1008 01:13:55,920 --> 01:13:59,160 That's going to go in our favor that we've foreseen. 1009 01:14:00,660 --> 01:14:01,950 We will beat ourselves up. 1010 01:14:03,000 --> 01:14:07,170 Even if you watch these folks on forums and Twitter, that seem 1011 01:14:07,170 --> 01:14:08,160 like they got it all together. 1012 01:14:08,790 --> 01:14:11,849 Believe me, they're having that same internal struggle as well. 1013 01:14:11,849 --> 01:14:14,550 When they miss an opportunity, they're just not telling it to you. 1014 01:14:15,210 --> 01:14:17,700 I'm telling you for, someone's been doing it for 23 plus years. 1015 01:14:18,780 --> 01:14:23,580 You're going to miss moves and either you're going to waste time and energy and 1016 01:14:23,580 --> 01:14:28,530 emotional commitment to something that you can't go back in time and retrade. 1017 01:14:28,889 --> 01:14:31,170 You can't go back in time and, and go back into the marketplace where 1018 01:14:31,170 --> 01:14:32,040 you thought you should have been. 1019 01:14:32,820 --> 01:14:34,349 But what can you do with that information? 1020 01:14:34,379 --> 01:14:37,410 Number one, you can log it as this is a positive experience. 1021 01:14:37,710 --> 01:14:39,150 I expected this move to come. 1022 01:14:40,110 --> 01:14:44,040 And that's that experience level and your acknowledgement of that, what it 1023 01:14:44,040 --> 01:14:50,070 was, think about what you've done, you've turned something experientially to a 1024 01:14:50,099 --> 01:14:55,019 positive, and you focused on the fact that you were able to see that move coming. 1025 01:14:56,009 --> 01:14:58,349 You're going to miss more trades than you actually take. 1026 01:14:59,040 --> 01:15:03,900 So if you're finding yourself, seeing these things form on the charts, more 1027 01:15:03,900 --> 01:15:08,549 routinely, that reoccur over and over and over again, over the course of 1028 01:15:08,549 --> 01:15:09,870 a month, if you can find foresight. 1029 01:15:11,610 --> 01:15:14,670 That means from the beginning calendar day, first trading day of the month to the 1030 01:15:14,670 --> 01:15:19,200 ending calendar day or last day and day of the month, if you can find four setups, 1031 01:15:19,380 --> 01:15:23,969 whether you've taken them or not, if you can see four setups panning out or setting 1032 01:15:23,969 --> 01:15:27,690 up or where level should be responsive, and that happens for you at least 1033 01:15:27,690 --> 01:15:30,090 four times a month, you are on track. 1034 01:15:31,019 --> 01:15:34,559 You have absolutely nothing to be upset about because if you ask 1035 01:15:34,559 --> 01:15:38,309 the general populace in trading, they can't find one set up. 1036 01:15:38,880 --> 01:15:40,769 They can't see anything that makes sense to them. 1037 01:15:40,769 --> 01:15:42,120 They can't anticipate anything. 1038 01:15:42,480 --> 01:15:46,139 And some of you are learning at a great pace, but it doesn't feel 1039 01:15:46,139 --> 01:15:49,679 like it because you want to be trading for a living right now. 1040 01:15:50,700 --> 01:15:54,660 And the folks that have really done some reflecting and 1041 01:15:54,660 --> 01:15:55,830 they have given me feedback. 1042 01:15:55,830 --> 01:15:59,190 And again, I'm not asking you to give me a wave of emails, but I'm just 1043 01:15:59,190 --> 01:16:02,969 telling you, there's a lot of folks that are in our mentorship that are 1044 01:16:03,660 --> 01:16:04,769 talking about these very things. 1045 01:16:04,769 --> 01:16:05,639 They're saying, you know what? 1046 01:16:05,639 --> 01:16:06,120 I'm looking for. 1047 01:16:06,120 --> 01:16:06,660 One set of people. 1048 01:16:07,455 --> 01:16:11,445 And while I see other things panning out, I'm not really upset about that anymore. 1049 01:16:11,595 --> 01:16:15,185 I'm not thinking about you, my ability to find trades. 1050 01:16:15,195 --> 01:16:19,005 Cause I can see what I want to focus on. 1051 01:16:19,275 --> 01:16:22,545 What level should be responsive, what market I should be following. 1052 01:16:23,115 --> 01:16:27,405 And the encouragement they'd have seen in their own trading because 1053 01:16:27,405 --> 01:16:30,255 of the fact that they have number one, lowered their expectations. 1054 01:16:31,365 --> 01:16:34,815 Now would that my effects book, I'm giving you a, uh, 1055 01:16:34,845 --> 01:16:38,205 illustration with that's a risk. 1056 01:16:38,265 --> 01:16:42,135 That's a return that most people can't get on a year. 1057 01:16:43,395 --> 01:16:47,835 You know, I'm like half a percent away from 60% return just for this month. 1058 01:16:48,345 --> 01:16:49,455 And I haven't taken a lot of time. 1059 01:16:51,650 --> 01:16:54,200 It looks like 12 trades, but they're, they're partials. 1060 01:16:54,200 --> 01:16:55,100 That's why it shows like that. 1061 01:16:55,100 --> 01:16:59,060 It's their partial setups where I'm taking part of the trade off or I'm doing doubles 1062 01:16:59,300 --> 01:17:00,890 and taking off one as the trades on. 1063 01:17:01,160 --> 01:17:03,500 And then it looks like I'm doing a lot of trades, but really 1064 01:17:03,500 --> 01:17:04,340 I'm not really doing that. 1065 01:17:04,340 --> 01:17:07,430 It's like half of it, 12, I'm doing like six trades. 1066 01:17:08,870 --> 01:17:16,250 So if my setups okay, are designed to give me three or more, ideally five to one. 1067 01:17:16,490 --> 01:17:16,850 Okay. 1068 01:17:16,880 --> 01:17:21,800 If I can do gearing like that, I need, I need not worry about missing opportunities 1069 01:17:21,800 --> 01:17:23,420 because I know the ones I want to be in. 1070 01:17:24,920 --> 01:17:28,280 I want to be in the ones that have the highest probability paying out. 1071 01:17:28,790 --> 01:17:31,680 And I know there's going to be trades that move around and 1072 01:17:32,540 --> 01:17:35,150 offer potential pips or profit. 1073 01:17:35,720 --> 01:17:38,360 But if it doesn't line up with my risk, it doesn't line up 1074 01:17:38,390 --> 01:17:43,610 with the, uh, the expectations I have for the general market. 1075 01:17:44,330 --> 01:17:48,470 Then I'll, electo just monitor it, but I'm not going to put money behind. 1076 01:17:49,965 --> 01:17:53,115 If you can do those types of things over the course of a month and see 1077 01:17:53,115 --> 01:17:56,535 four setups, your acts, that you're actually right where you need to be yet. 1078 01:17:57,285 --> 01:18:01,155 Now say you can see one or two per month, you're on your way. 1079 01:18:01,305 --> 01:18:04,455 You're, you're, you're actually getting to where you need to be at, but don't rush. 1080 01:18:04,455 --> 01:18:05,745 It don't force. 1081 01:18:05,745 --> 01:18:08,475 It don't be upset if you miss the trade, because here's the thing. 1082 01:18:09,855 --> 01:18:13,815 You saw something that 98% of other traders that trade 1083 01:18:13,815 --> 01:18:15,705 four X never saw coming. 1084 01:18:17,115 --> 01:18:23,144 And if you keep re reinforcing that, if you see that over and over and over 1085 01:18:23,295 --> 01:18:27,255 in, in your, in your trading, where you can see a measurable increase of your 1086 01:18:27,255 --> 01:18:33,975 understanding, then guess what you have done everything you're supposed to do so 1087 01:18:33,975 --> 01:18:40,215 far in this mentorship, the effects of the teachings and the exposure are actually 1088 01:18:40,215 --> 01:18:42,195 taking root in your understanding. 1089 01:18:43,005 --> 01:18:46,665 So when you sit in front of the charts and you anticipate a specific. 1090 01:18:47,550 --> 01:18:49,500 Number one, you're going to have experience behind 1091 01:18:49,500 --> 01:18:50,190 you saying, you know what? 1092 01:18:50,880 --> 01:18:56,250 I know that this has a high probability of unfolding now, just because it 1093 01:18:56,250 --> 01:18:59,340 has a high probability of unfolding or going to a specific level, does 1094 01:18:59,340 --> 01:19:02,040 that equate to a safe low-risk trade? 1095 01:19:02,340 --> 01:19:03,150 Not always. 1096 01:19:04,020 --> 01:19:07,410 That was the hardest lesson for me to learn just because I know that 1097 01:19:07,410 --> 01:19:09,420 there's a level with high probability. 1098 01:19:09,420 --> 01:19:10,260 It may trade too. 1099 01:19:10,770 --> 01:19:15,630 It may not give me a low defined risk scenario where I can get 1100 01:19:15,630 --> 01:19:18,930 in there and trade with low risk and you expect to make that move. 1101 01:19:19,260 --> 01:19:22,140 And that's what happened with me in regards to the dollar this week 1102 01:19:24,320 --> 01:19:28,880 with the dollar, this area in here caused an issue for me, even though 1103 01:19:28,880 --> 01:19:31,460 I called 98 55 its own record. 1104 01:19:32,060 --> 01:19:36,650 I was unable to really capitalize on that because it didn't 1105 01:19:36,650 --> 01:19:38,540 fit my specific criteria. 1106 01:19:40,545 --> 01:19:44,835 It's those that are relying OPIC in their perspective, or very unrealistic 1107 01:19:44,835 --> 01:19:48,105 in terms of what they're expecting to learn either by me or for anyone that 1108 01:19:48,585 --> 01:19:50,355 teaches not just for X, but anything. 1109 01:19:51,165 --> 01:19:54,705 Uh, they're going to have a real hard time with this, about me saying this. 1110 01:19:54,825 --> 01:19:56,925 They're going to, they're going to say, well, you should know better. 1111 01:19:57,645 --> 01:19:59,355 You should be able to do better than this. 1112 01:20:00,015 --> 01:20:04,485 And I'm telling you there that's, that's going to happen. 1113 01:20:04,665 --> 01:20:05,685 It's going to happen to you. 1114 01:20:05,685 --> 01:20:06,765 I don't care how long you trade. 1115 01:20:06,795 --> 01:20:08,685 I mean, nobody does it perfectly. 1116 01:20:09,225 --> 01:20:13,935 And that's my point by showing you to my effects book, it gives 1117 01:20:13,935 --> 01:20:18,885 you a real measurement stick that you don't have to trade a lot. 1118 01:20:19,875 --> 01:20:23,175 You don't have to do exceptionally well to do very good. 1119 01:20:23,535 --> 01:20:23,925 Okay. 1120 01:20:23,955 --> 01:20:26,535 And if you're focusing on doubling your money in the 1121 01:20:26,535 --> 01:20:29,085 beginning, that's easily obtained. 1122 01:20:30,285 --> 01:20:35,955 Then if you start graduating into an 8% or 10% per month return, that's realistic. 1123 01:20:37,365 --> 01:20:38,474 But it's going to take a little bit of time. 1124 01:20:38,505 --> 01:20:43,605 And then once you're able to do that, as you grow into those measurable 1125 01:20:44,085 --> 01:20:49,215 mile markers, you'll start seeing trades that you didn't see before. 1126 01:20:50,745 --> 01:20:54,765 And they'll, the scenarios will be there that maybe I haven't talked 1127 01:20:54,765 --> 01:20:57,615 about yet, but you're starting to see certain things in price action 1128 01:20:57,615 --> 01:20:59,144 that you never noticed before. 1129 01:20:59,894 --> 01:21:00,855 That's normal. 1130 01:21:01,275 --> 01:21:03,585 Don't think that you're being distracted to do something 1131 01:21:03,585 --> 01:21:04,965 outside of what I'm teaching. 1132 01:21:05,295 --> 01:21:08,775 You're just actually getting the feedback of exposing yourself to price action. 1133 01:21:10,635 --> 01:21:13,815 In a later month of this mentorship, there's going to be a lot of dots 1134 01:21:13,815 --> 01:21:18,434 connected immediately, like in one or two sessions, something will happen and 1135 01:21:18,434 --> 01:21:25,635 then you'll have a, it's like the veil is lifted and you'll feel all these 1136 01:21:25,635 --> 01:21:26,565 things that you're feeling right now. 1137 01:21:26,565 --> 01:21:28,875 Like when you miss a move and all that stuff, they won't be 1138 01:21:28,875 --> 01:21:30,345 viewed in the same light anymore. 1139 01:21:31,394 --> 01:21:33,285 You'll say, okay, well that just proves I have a plan. 1140 01:21:34,340 --> 01:21:38,880 Uh, a plethora of opportunities I can choose from. 1141 01:21:39,630 --> 01:21:41,640 And you won't look at it as I'm stupid. 1142 01:21:41,640 --> 01:21:45,210 I missed this trade or I, you know, I've got to go home and beat my dog up 1143 01:21:45,240 --> 01:21:49,710 because, you know, I missed the Canadian dollar trade or the Euro went down. 1144 01:21:49,710 --> 01:21:50,670 I knew it was going to go down there. 1145 01:21:50,670 --> 01:21:51,420 I didn't take a trade. 1146 01:21:51,420 --> 01:21:53,370 I knew I should've shorted it there, but I just didn't do it. 1147 01:21:53,520 --> 01:21:57,180 You won't think that way you won't have any of those thought processes behind it? 1148 01:21:57,780 --> 01:22:09,700 So the, the element of focusing in, in logging and journaling is the only way 1149 01:22:09,730 --> 01:22:11,800 that you can keep your thought process. 1150 01:22:12,070 --> 01:22:14,980 And this is my experience, and this is how I'm answering the questions I'm getting 1151 01:22:14,980 --> 01:22:18,820 in, in the, in the live mentorship, uh, presentation we're doing right now. 1152 01:22:19,300 --> 01:22:25,000 Everyone's asking how did I overcome it personally, by physically writing in a 1153 01:22:25,000 --> 01:22:27,340 journal, telling myself what I did, right. 1154 01:22:28,480 --> 01:22:29,770 Acknowledging what I did wrong. 1155 01:22:30,900 --> 01:22:35,190 And then I talked about what things I would do the next time that 1156 01:22:35,190 --> 01:22:39,120 happens, or when an opportunity comes up, what will I do next time? 1157 01:22:39,450 --> 01:22:43,920 Because I need to get rid of number one, the depression about missing 1158 01:22:43,920 --> 01:22:48,600 a move and initially the anxiety and fear about taking the trade. 1159 01:22:48,930 --> 01:22:53,520 And how did I overcome that by forcing myself to take the trade, just getting 1160 01:22:53,520 --> 01:22:56,610 in there every single day, I needed to know what I should be doing right now. 1161 01:22:57,030 --> 01:22:59,160 I need to either buy the opening or sell the opening. 1162 01:22:59,220 --> 01:23:01,140 And I did this for three months. 1163 01:23:02,070 --> 01:23:03,330 I literally looked at the markets. 1164 01:23:03,340 --> 01:23:03,720 Okay. 1165 01:23:03,960 --> 01:23:06,240 Based on what I'm seeing, I have to take a trade. 1166 01:23:06,600 --> 01:23:09,600 I'm buying the S and P on the open, or I'm selling the S and P on the 1167 01:23:09,600 --> 01:23:12,780 open relative to, you know, I was buying on Mondays and Tuesdays and 1168 01:23:12,780 --> 01:23:13,740 selling on Thursdays and Fridays. 1169 01:23:13,740 --> 01:23:14,430 That's how I was doing it. 1170 01:23:14,970 --> 01:23:19,170 But because I did this every single trading day, I didn't care what 1171 01:23:19,170 --> 01:23:21,300 the outcome was because I just. 1172 01:23:22,885 --> 01:23:24,805 And I completely desensitized myself. 1173 01:23:25,525 --> 01:23:28,105 The only way you're going to desensitize yourself about missing 1174 01:23:28,105 --> 01:23:32,335 trades is logging them and focusing on the fact that you were able to 1175 01:23:32,335 --> 01:23:34,285 see the potential of it being there. 1176 01:23:35,155 --> 01:23:38,605 And your brain is going to allow that as positive feedback, because 1177 01:23:38,605 --> 01:23:41,875 number one, you wrote out in your own handwriting and you'll refer back to it. 1178 01:23:42,475 --> 01:23:45,865 At the end of the week, you should go back through all your daily journal entries 1179 01:23:45,865 --> 01:23:49,225 and say, okay, I thought this was going to happen, but this is really what happened. 1180 01:23:49,435 --> 01:23:52,195 And most of my takeaway from that to every single day, you should be doing 1181 01:23:52,195 --> 01:23:55,525 a journal entry and then do a recap on a weekly basis on the weekend. 1182 01:23:59,905 --> 01:24:04,705 Um, yes, I believe John asked, do I think that, um, you can achieve 1183 01:24:04,705 --> 01:24:07,525 this level of awareness with a demo account and yes, you can't. 1184 01:24:08,215 --> 01:24:09,325 That's where it needs to be. 1185 01:24:09,625 --> 01:24:12,265 Uh, you need obtain it in that because as soon as you add 1186 01:24:12,265 --> 01:24:14,400 money, It messes it all up. 1187 01:24:14,730 --> 01:24:17,970 Believe me, I'm telling you teaching as many people as I've 1188 01:24:17,970 --> 01:24:19,920 taught and my own experience. 1189 01:24:20,010 --> 01:24:21,780 I'm speaking from I'm preaching to you. 1190 01:24:22,350 --> 01:24:26,310 You can't learn it with money exposed you can't because you're 1191 01:24:26,310 --> 01:24:27,330 going to only worry about the money. 1192 01:24:28,320 --> 01:24:31,980 You won't worry about the internal dialogue that you're going 1193 01:24:31,980 --> 01:24:33,330 to have with the marketplace. 1194 01:24:34,050 --> 01:24:36,270 Believe me, you know what I'm talking about? 1195 01:24:36,270 --> 01:24:38,790 If you're just honest right now and say, Hey, when you put a trade on 1196 01:24:39,480 --> 01:24:41,670 that chart is talking to you, okay? 1197 01:24:41,670 --> 01:24:42,840 Believe me, it's talking to you. 1198 01:24:42,990 --> 01:24:48,180 It's telling you get out right now or hold for more or move your stop. 1199 01:24:49,770 --> 01:24:52,500 How you interpret what that price is actually saying to 1200 01:24:52,500 --> 01:24:54,600 you is very, very important. 1201 01:24:54,960 --> 01:24:55,590 In the beginning. 1202 01:24:57,510 --> 01:25:00,360 In the beginning, you're gonna, you're gonna, you're going to think you 1203 01:25:00,690 --> 01:25:02,010 should be doing all kinds of things. 1204 01:25:02,310 --> 01:25:04,320 Moving stops, moving limit orders. 1205 01:25:04,360 --> 01:25:05,820 You have a target, but then all of a sudden the market 1206 01:25:05,820 --> 01:25:06,630 starts moving really quick. 1207 01:25:06,780 --> 01:25:08,550 Well, let me make the limit a little bit farther away. 1208 01:25:08,550 --> 01:25:09,570 It might give me a little bit more. 1209 01:25:09,720 --> 01:25:10,470 Why don't you do that? 1210 01:25:13,075 --> 01:25:18,804 Why you want to move your stop fear by identifying these markers. 1211 01:25:19,014 --> 01:25:19,465 Okay. 1212 01:25:19,675 --> 01:25:23,815 It'll show you what side of the marketplace is an impediment when you 1213 01:25:23,815 --> 01:25:30,264 right now, and that is only brought to light by journaling and with an, uh, a 1214 01:25:30,264 --> 01:25:32,365 tool like my effects book or edge Wong. 1215 01:25:32,875 --> 01:25:33,115 Okay. 1216 01:25:33,115 --> 01:25:36,085 Something that gives you a real hard feedback. 1217 01:25:37,285 --> 01:25:40,405 That way you can't argue with it, you know, it's, it's in the numbers. 1218 01:25:40,405 --> 01:25:40,945 You can see it. 1219 01:25:42,505 --> 01:25:45,445 And if, uh, I'm not going to say your name, but the, you know, one of our 1220 01:25:45,445 --> 01:25:50,184 members saying they, they get anxious about the demo trade and think about 1221 01:25:50,184 --> 01:25:55,045 what that's actually saying, what that deep rooted fear or concern is. 1222 01:25:56,365 --> 01:25:57,745 You can't lose money on a demo. 1223 01:25:58,465 --> 01:25:59,665 You can't make money on a demo. 1224 01:25:59,665 --> 01:26:02,005 That's the reason why this mentorship is built around that. 1225 01:26:02,304 --> 01:26:04,855 Number one, it preserves my protection. 1226 01:26:05,065 --> 01:26:05,485 Okay. 1227 01:26:05,514 --> 01:26:09,355 In the states because CFTC is really high strung about these types of things. 1228 01:26:09,894 --> 01:26:11,365 And because we're in a scope of a demo. 1229 01:26:12,165 --> 01:26:13,245 You are protected. 1230 01:26:13,245 --> 01:26:14,205 You can't lose money. 1231 01:26:14,565 --> 01:26:15,435 You can't make money. 1232 01:26:15,435 --> 01:26:16,905 You're here to learn price action. 1233 01:26:16,935 --> 01:26:17,355 That's it. 1234 01:26:18,465 --> 01:26:23,565 If you're fearful about what your outcome is going to be in a demo account, that 1235 01:26:23,655 --> 01:26:28,905 root cause of that is you are afraid that you're not going to be able to do this. 1236 01:26:30,195 --> 01:26:32,505 And I'm telling you that's a normal concern. 1237 01:26:32,715 --> 01:26:35,475 Everyone should fear that when they first get in here, that's why 1238 01:26:35,475 --> 01:26:36,705 they need to learn how to trade. 1239 01:26:37,935 --> 01:26:42,645 But if you are fearful or you get anxious about the market and you're in only 1240 01:26:42,645 --> 01:26:51,135 a demo, that's only a manifestation of your fear of your ability to 1241 01:26:51,135 --> 01:26:52,485 learn how to do this effectively. 1242 01:26:53,115 --> 01:26:57,585 And that is easily overcome by just doing the things that we do in the mentorship is 1243 01:26:57,645 --> 01:27:02,355 teaching yourself to be exposed to price and seeing how many times these things pan 1244 01:27:02,355 --> 01:27:03,795 out over the course of every single week. 1245 01:27:03,975 --> 01:27:05,205 There's something out here every week. 1246 01:27:07,185 --> 01:27:08,685 But if you add more. 1247 01:27:10,095 --> 01:27:14,775 If you get in the marketplace and you think because somebody on Twitter or 1248 01:27:14,775 --> 01:27:19,275 somebody on Periscope or somebody on Facebook or YouTube says, you got to have 1249 01:27:19,275 --> 01:27:22,245 a little bit of skin in the race, you gotta have a little bit of money on the 1250 01:27:22,245 --> 01:27:23,595 line, or it won't mean anything to you. 1251 01:27:24,135 --> 01:27:27,645 Well, that's a gambler's mentality and there's no other way of 1252 01:27:27,645 --> 01:27:31,245 saying it, but just like that, that's a gambler's mentality. 1253 01:27:31,665 --> 01:27:36,045 And I'm telling you gamblers don't last long in this business, the ones that make 1254 01:27:36,045 --> 01:27:40,335 money and gambled, they are the ones that made money quick and were smart enough 1255 01:27:40,335 --> 01:27:44,535 to never go back in again and think about how many times that would happen. 1256 01:27:45,135 --> 01:27:47,085 Everyone's got a hot hand get in there and push it. 1257 01:27:47,175 --> 01:27:48,225 And that's what we always hear. 1258 01:27:48,645 --> 01:27:49,995 This got me a lot of money in the beginning. 1259 01:27:50,055 --> 01:27:50,685 It happened with me. 1260 01:27:50,775 --> 01:27:51,675 I got lucky in the beginning. 1261 01:27:52,305 --> 01:27:55,185 If I would have never learned how to trade, I would've been a flash in the pan. 1262 01:27:55,245 --> 01:27:57,225 Boom, boom, a statistic, just like everyone else. 1263 01:27:57,645 --> 01:27:59,535 I got lucky, but then I couldn't make money. 1264 01:28:01,125 --> 01:28:04,125 Real money is a barrier to you learning. 1265 01:28:04,275 --> 01:28:07,485 You're not going to learn how to do this by doing anything like that. 1266 01:28:19,460 --> 01:28:22,790 But I'm going to close this session here, cause getting long-winded, um, I'll follow 1267 01:28:22,790 --> 01:28:27,770 along through the market today with, uh, charts and I'll give you a recap as well. 1268 01:28:27,890 --> 01:28:34,190 Um, I'll be doing the mitigation video tonight, um, and I'll be working on the 1269 01:28:34,190 --> 01:28:35,900 release for Saturday's video as well. 1270 01:28:44,230 --> 01:28:48,280 Um, and well, Andreas, if you're feeling like you're not learning anything, 1271 01:28:48,760 --> 01:28:54,670 um, T just take inventory on what, uh, what's been discussed so far since the 1272 01:28:54,670 --> 01:28:56,920 beginning of your exposure to my work. 1273 01:28:57,610 --> 01:29:02,110 And if you feel that you've not learned anything, then I don't, I'm not sure. 1274 01:29:02,650 --> 01:29:03,040 I don't know. 1275 01:29:03,070 --> 01:29:04,450 I'm not sure how I could overcome. 1276 01:29:11,410 --> 01:29:14,710 But I'm going to close this one here, which are all very pleasant weekend. 1277 01:29:14,830 --> 01:29:16,960 And I will get back with you later on in recordings. 1278 01:29:17,740 --> 01:29:24,460 And I will post a link when the recording for the, um, mitigating losses video. 1279 01:29:24,550 --> 01:29:25,120 And 1280 01:29:28,630 --> 01:29:31,300 it's a viewable format. 1281 01:29:31,330 --> 01:29:32,680 Is there on the forum. 1282 01:29:33,070 --> 01:29:33,340 Okay. 1283 01:29:33,670 --> 01:29:35,920 Until I'm talking to you next time, which should be looking at the trading. 111452

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