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Okay, welcome back folks.
All right.
This is a five minute chart of the British pound USD or cable.
Uh, we were looking for a move lower on this pair.
Uh, we were able to snatch, uh, roll easy 20 pips easing the sense that,
uh, there wasn't much draw down against us, but, uh, it wasn't easy
holding onto it because there was a lot of delay in, uh, the price.
Margot has really done nothing.
Um, we went below the previous lows and here, um, took profits
there one half the position.
And obviously I gave instructions on Twitter that are following that
position that I had collapsed the trade.
I was unwilling to hold on.
Um, it did move up a little bit more.
Didn't Pierce any short-term highs in here, but we're still above the New
York session in like candles open.
Um, to me that's not good.
It's not high probability for a short, um, it would probably indicate by
they'll come up here and hit this level.
And this is not a trade idea.
Is it something that you can practice in your demo count if you see an oral
block like this one here, if we move away from it and come back down and
test that to see if you get a response again, it's not a trade recommendation.
Okay.
You're just trying to see if it has a one that's about there,
because in this case here that it's not wanting to go down just yet.
So while there are still some liquidity reference points below the marketplace,
relative to what we described in one session, it doesn't appear that we're
going to get those right away today.
So, um, I took a 15 minute time.
We we're in a consolidated market profile for the day so far.
Um, I'd be interested in taking a short if we get up into this area here and
I'll review that if, and when we do this, uh, uh, level it all today, doesn't
have to mean it's going to do it today.
But if it did, I'd be interested in taking something off of that.
And it gives us between now and nine 30 in the morning.
Otherwise I would just sit on the sidelines and remain flat, uh,
Euro, uh, still stuck in the mud.
Can't go anywhere dollar.
Uh, we always hit the order block and mentioned this morning in London, but
didn't quite get down to, it was only one PIP away, uh, where it comes in at 95 41.
And the block starts at 95.
The high 9, 5 40 open, and it did not touch that.
So we might get some sensitivity there.
Uh, if we slip through this, the market is going to be very, very indecisive.
Then, um, I want to see it maintain its consolidation here and try to expand
up to these liquidity points here.
95, 95, 96 big figure.
And it stops as well over here.
I'm not interested in a dollar sell off.
I don't see that here, but if it does break down, that
just puts me on the sidelines.
If there was anything that was noteworthy for today for the London
session, it was the importance of why we take partial profits.
Why we have time stop procedures.
In other words, not just simply, okay.
I'm buying.
And I want it to go to my profit objective and my stop loss is here.
We don't have to wait for one of those two events to occur.
We have another element here to consider a time if we all get the feedback that
we're looking for in terms of indicating that we have a solid center, and you're
going to learn that the best setups immediately move in your favor if they
miss their monkey around and they don't really move in your favor right away,
chances are you probably got a dud.
And this morning was indication of that.
Um, once it went below the short-term, Lowe's one cable, uh, we were looking
at these lows here when price shot down below that, and just sat there
and we sell notes, answering them.
I was saying, if we got below these lows, we want to see speed, speed, and
expansion, lower to show indication, and wants to quickly get down here.
It showed no willingness to do that.
So we covered, we covered the.
I have to position there with the expectation that, Hey, even if it comes
back and hits her stop, it's a new loss day, but we had an opportunity
to get in here and experienced it, the price action, relative to the
things that we teach, obviously, um, you know, we came all the way back
up into the range as a bare shorter block again and again, one more time.
So we're off right back to this bullet or block.
So we're, we're trapped in between a bear shorter block here.
Okay.
We're, we're stuck in between me.
How would I do this here?
Um, we're stuck essentially in this range here.
Okay.
We have the order block here for the buy-side, even though
it was wiped out here, that was what price has been trading it.
And we have the bear shorter box that we're stuck in.
So until we get out of this range, okay.
The market's going nowhere and it might join the party that cables and which is.
Rather boring the dollar, you know, and it, hopefully it
stays above this bullshit.
We're a block here.
If it gives way again, that immediately puts me in a neutral stance where I
have zero opinion as to what I expect bullish or bearish on the market.
We would have to see something new in terms of expansion that
isn't seeing presently in the charts for me to make a decision,
still looking for a run on dollar cat, 30 to 50 to 30 to 60 on the upside.
Well, wash out that high probably today on the Crudo numbers.
Uh, if we lose the low, not low, but if we lose the 31 25 level, um,
we'll probably have to come all the way back into this range a little bit
more, and it's not really good for the market sharks that we have in place.
It it's already broken is high.
We don't really want to get back above and below the hightest broken.
For it to run up to this level here.
So if anything, it could come back down and retest this level 31, 25, 31 30.
But if it gives that level up, it's probably not going to be
running these stops anytime soon.
And we'll probably have to spend some time sideways for a little while,
but as it is here this morning, we're looking at 30 to 50 to 30 to 61 upside
dollar cat relative to the crew.
I'm story's coming out at 10 30 in the morning, New York time.
So, uh, one more quick look at Euro pound.
Um, we noted the stops here real time as it was gone below it.
Uh, we came back away from that.
You're getting, you can see that in the one, uh, presentation, uh, real quick,
if you're watching live and you're having issues with getting the recordings easiest
way to do it is going to the forum, right?
Click on that link where it says video link, right?
Click that, and save as.
When you click on that, the window should pop up saying, save as, and it's at BMT.
I'm sorry.
MP4 file.
And you just name it, whatever you want.
Um, once you do that, you can pull it up from your hard
drive and play it from there.
It's really not meant to be streamed off of the form or from
my direct, uh, links in my website.
Uh, it can be done if you're patient to wait for the file to download, but it's
it's as much easier it is to do it right from a strict, straight download and
have it to your computer and archive.
I think that's about it.
I want to talk about, um, the, um, yesterday I had a session where,
um, I started to talk about and thank you, Peter, for remind.
I was getting ready to say it again, um,
for cable.
And when I was explaining was I went into the discussion about where we have a.
Busy London session regards to high impact or medium impact news events.
And then there's a vacuum of anything going on in New York.
And I prompted everyone to get their notepad ready and it
was, uh, uh, a patient's lesson that I didn't intend to have.
So we was a delay of a full day before we can actually get that revelation.
But, uh, what I wanted you to note in your notepad relative to what I was
prompting yesterday, in regards to once you understand this, and there is a, uh,
high impact news event, or if there's a lot of impact for news releases in
London, and then there's nothing during the New York session, what that does
is it actually frees up the New York session to launch New York session in
London closed where it becomes a one-way show where the range will expand.
You have a little resistance.
Okay.
And then you want to look for your objectives, average daily range.
You want to look for previous days, higher lows.
All those ideas become a much easier way of obtaining your profit targets
when there's no more neutral leases.
In other words, you won't have that speed bump concept of, well, it might still be
an update, but we'll have to encounter some resistance here during the, uh,
eight 30 hour to deputies open at nine 30.
And again, everything I say is relative to New York time.
So normally when you have news around the New York session or inside the
New York session, uh, there's this resistance or barrier, uh, window
between eight 30 in the morning in New York at nine 30, where equities open.
Okay.
So when between eight 30 in the morning, uh, session time in New
York to nine 30 stock market open.
If there's any news events in there, that's going to act like a speed
bump for your daily objectives.
So if you're trading the daily range relative to entry at London open,
you're going to have to wait out some measure of retracement or consolidation
between eight 30 in the morning, nine 30 in the morning, New York time.
And before you see that blending close, uh, uh, opposite end of the
daily range that you're holding for.
I said that yesterday, because that's the reason why we saw such a real
nice move lower in pound dollar.
Once I was aware of what I was looking for initially was wrong.
Um, I had further clues given by the dollar index and then looking
for, um, the consolidation in your dollar when you're a dollar,
when a Euro dollar is.
Do me a favor when we're doing live sessions.
Try not to tweet because it's going to alert and impulse, the, the,
the, uh, presentations, the, um, since a dollar you're a dollar was
in consolidation yesterday, your account had upside objectives still
to be met, and cable is weak with a slight stance on a bullish dollar.
Everything was in line for the.
After the one enclosed moved into New York overlap.
Once that New York session began, you can see an acceleration and price
action is as exactly what you see here.
Here's your retracement back into New York session.
And because there was zero influence of the New York session news embargo.
Okay.
Between eight 30 in the morning to nine 30 equities open.
That's why he had this quick rundown.
There's zero resistance whatsoever.
Okay.
And you're gonna learn about those.
Okay.
And why this level was real high probability because this level that we
noted yesterday and, uh, the session when I was recording and outline gave you the
reasons why I chose those levels, they are known as low resistance liquidity.
And the reason why they're low resistance is because there's no
news that's going to impact it.
There's no technical institutional levels.
That's going to impact it.
They're easy to run to.
And then if you understand that coupled with time and price, it's very quick.
And then you allow yourself to relax and expect speed and.
Magnitude of the moves that that'd be seen in price action
when you have resistance, okay.
Or high resistance, liquidity runs the objectives.
We'll still end up most likely being hit, but you have to go through a longer period
of time and consolidation and you have to weather being beat up a little bit
and held back during these news events.
And that's why it's important to trade and low resistance liquidity runs.
Okay.
When conditions are like that.
And again, I'm going to give you all that.
It's all part of this month's teaching.
So don't let me discourage you thinking, well, I don't know this
stuff and I don't have time to look through all this, the tourists to
catch up with that, all that stuff being taught to you and the teachings
you've only got to own for this month.
You got six more for September, and we're going to talk about all these things.
So just relax.
You can't have it all at one time.
You got to learn it step by step, and I'm giving you examples of what I went
to say yesterday was in your notes.
Um, when there's no.
Information that's going to be released in the form of a market
driver or a news release or data.
Um, if it's nothing in there in, in New York, that gives a very
clear way for price to expand.
That runs reports daily range.
When you have high impact news, even if you have a high probability set up
in London, if you have high probability news or medium impact, or rather,
sorry, high impact, medium impact news and New York, that will cause your
objectives to be later in the day.
And it'll have to take time to get through that.
And then you're going to wait for the response on those news events
to come out between eight 30 and nine 30 with equities open, uh, to
see if it's going to recapitalize, what's already established in London.
In other words, if your bull was London and you've been long in a
high resistance, uh, liquidity.
Condition in New York, if you have high impact or medium, in fact news, you're
going to have to wait for sometimes a little bit deeper retracement
or consolidation, and then expand.
It takes place where it takes you to the opposite end of the range or an up-close.
So, uh, w w we'll contrast all that obviously, and the two distinct teaching,
so low resistance, liquidity rounds and high resistance liquidity runs.
You'll learn that.
Also most of my trades when I'm taking live phones are trading in one high
impact or one medium impact news event in London with little to no
New York, uh, involvement for news.
They're just like, they're the best trading opportunities of the month.
They're just easy.
Everything's so technically perfect.
You just wait around for those conditions and that's where
you want to put your money.
Um, you're going to encounter a lot of things when you trade outside
of those and it makes you a better.
When you're trading at high resistance, liquidity runs.
And when you have conditions where you have to wait it
out, it teaches you patience.
It teaches you, uh, uh, market reading.
Okay.
We used to call a tape reading before it went to all electronic, but the, uh, the
ability to read price as it's happening.
Okay.
That is taught by you being in here every single day, not just with me
in your own, in your own studies as well, but more importantly, um,
you're going to learn that there are specific opportunities and specific
conditions that frame high probability, low risk and big payout condition.
They don't happen a whole lot throughout the month.
There's only probably one really one per week, but if you do your homework,
you can see it on an economic count.
And that's why we start there.
We look at that and you can look at that four weeks in advance and say, okay,
these are where I'm going to be really focusing on one for that particular day.
And you can outline some conditions relative to that calendar day.
And what would be seen in price.
You can plan everything you're expecting to see because you know,
what kind of trader you are, you're looking for optimal trade entry.
Are you looking for a bullish or a block or are you looking for a run on
stops or are you looking for a void?
Okay.
Uh, back into third value, whatever you're trading concept that you liked right now,
and it may change over time, but you will know exactly what you're looking to trade
around that day with those conditions.
And then you apply time and price day of week.
All those things come together and you have a company.
Package of how you are going to, uh, engage the marketplace and then
add to becomes your trading plan.
That became, that becomes your trading model.
And then it evolves into your business.
You're not going to be tug of war emotionally, psychologically about
chasing something new or worrying about missing an opportunity.
You know, when you're going to take a trade, you know what you're
going to do when you sit down in front of the charts, if it doesn't
meet that criteria, guess what?
You're going to do nothing.
And you're not going to be upset about it.
You're not going to pout.
You're not going to go on online.
You're not going to send me emails.
You're not going to send me direct messages.
You're not going to go on forums and ask for someone else's opinion to support you.
You won't care because you know these things, can they repeat?
They reoccur over and over again.
And there's no reason for you to be upset about missing a move.
There's no reason for you to be upset about being in a move and
it doesn't come to fruition.
All those things are losers mentality.
I mean, that's a, that's a weak minded individual that has
no understanding of what do.
When you understand by way of experience, seeing these things over a period of time.
When I said I'm collapsing in that trade this morning on Twitter,
I guarantee you, someone will be like, man, this is, this is bogus.
You know, this is what I think it wasn't even worth it.
But look at the reaction in price, since we did that, that's what
I'm trying to communicate to you.
Do you really want to be sitting in an environment like this?
If we're net short or even that long, do you want to be
in an environment like this?
That wasn't rhetorical.
I'm actually asking them for feedback.
Why?
Why is it not?
Why is it not something that we should be exposing ourselves to?
There's two reasons.
Number one is what exactly you're spending mental capital.
You're wasting all this energy worrying about something that.
Now much less probability coming to fruition.
So really what you're doing is you're hoping and hope has no business or place
in trading zero, zero place in trading.
The second thing is it's not meeting our criteria anymore.
So why would you want to save?
Because what you're going to do is you're going to hold onto the position
and hope that you're wrong about what you should be doing that exiting.
Okay.
You are going to say, oh no, greed allows me in here.
I want to be in here and I don't want to be wrong.
So I'm fearful about being wrong and getting out.
And then it moves to my favorite.
You're going to learn by experience every single day.
There's gonna be opportunities where it looks like it's there
and we're going to take a loss.
And then sometimes we're going to get in here and it looks like it's
there and it won't come to fruition.
And we got to.
There's going to be times when we get in there and it explodes in our favor
and there's gonna be other times when we get in there, it moves a little bit.
And then we wait, wait, wait.
And then we wait for New York.
And then all of a sudden there were leases and price.
And then it'll see our objective.
There's four conditions.
It's going to have to be experienced by you.
And you all want just give me the good ones.
And I don't ever want to take a loss.
I don't ever want to have any adversities.
I don't ever want to be in a marketplace where it does this type of stuff.
And there's no recipe for that.
I'm going to give you a framework that helps me do what you're seeing me
do, but there's sometimes I'm wrong.
And sometimes I will get a wrong read on price.
And hopefully I will learn quickly.
Like you saw yesterday, I can change gears and go the other way
that won't always be like that.
So don't think that that's always going to be the taste and
sometimes I'm going to get wrong.
I'm going to be wrong.
And invariably, I'm going to be wrong because I'm forcing
myself and it conditioned.
I'm not always doing, I'm not every single day looking for something.
Because I need to show you by experience.
You have to be with me every single day, seeing what I see so that we
understand what goes on in my head and if I can internalize, uh, what
I see in price, match it and then communicate it hopefully effectively.
And I'm learning that because it's not something I normally do so immediately,
it's a little cumbersome for me.
So if you signed on, you expected me to be a motor mouth, like I'm on a rant like
now, while price accidents happen, this is simply not that much to talk about.
And it's actually, when you're acting, when you're in a trade,
it's actually very boring.
And that's why I listen to music or I listen to audio books while I'm, you know,
I'm going to train but long and short of it is you need to have these experiences.
And that's what I've been asking folks to do since 2010 to get in there and
use the concepts and the tools, even the barest form of them to expose
themselves to time and price and scene.
The effects of being every single day in the marketplace, looking
at price, studying price, because you're going to learn from it.
Did any of you understand why?
At the very moment I said I was taking half the position off.
Once we went up to load these loads, once I took half off.
Did any of that, did any of you feel like why is he, why is he doing that?
Because once we break these lows, which is what we were expecting to
see anyway, when Frys failed to do any more expansion, once we took out that
equal, well, because it went just a little bit below it and stopped and
hung around there for a little bit.
And we showed no speed to drop faster.
We had no willingness to reach for the stocks below these levels.
What does that really indicate?
It doesn't show any willingness for the market to seek
liquidity on the downside there.
Otherwise it would be in a rush to go to it.
It's indicating it's a Ronald stops under the loads.
And as I was looking at, I'm like, okay, I'm going.
I might be wrong, but it's better to take something off and pay yourself.
Do not listen.
And I mean, this, I don't care who it is that says it do not listen to people.
Traders online media people, supposedly gurus teachers, service providers,
mentors, talking heads, whoever it is.
I don't care.
You put the title on top of them and I'm telling you, if they tell
you don't take partial profits.
That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard in my life.
Don't ever listen to these people because they don't know how to trade and you
don't have to make money consistently.
Period, professional traders pay themselves.
That's what we.
And if you don't learn this skill, you're going to be in bad conditions and have
an opportunity really to pay yourself and still not see the trade pan out.
Like today we were wrong.
We were absolutely wrong.
And the expectation of what the cable was going to do, but we got 20 pips out of it.
There you, how can you argue with a condition like that?
And the only way you arrive at that is number one, being flexible,
admitting that you're not perfect admitting that you may not read price
accurately or here's one for logic, the market, just isn't ready to move.
Think about that.
And that's what we're seeing here.
So it's important that you have all these things that play out.
In an internal dialogue, every single day, these things will be communicated to you.
And by habit, you'll pick up on these same things and you'll start doing it.
Okay.
Just like people that teach my stuff, you can actually hear all the things that I
say, the mannerisms and the way I refer to certain things, it's like a fingerprint.
Well, because of daily involvement with me and reading price together, you will
by default learn how the internalized price action, the, how I do it.
I mean, good grief.
You got 200 days.
Plus with me for the next 12 months, you're going to do it.
Trust me.
It has to take time to suppress all those desires about, I need to know right now.
You don't need to know right now, you trust me.
You don't need to know that right now.
You need to understand what it looks like on a daily day-to-day basis.
What trading really is okay, because it's not all fast books
getting in there in and out.
And you're, you're done for the day.
Sometimes it's like that.
And that's great.
We train, but other times it's kind of like this where you there's a set up,
you trade it and it doesn't give you any.
So, if you can manage to get something out, great, your risk was defined.
You took some money out and you can walk away and feel okay.
Well, I didn't waste any of my time.
I got a posit and my experience.
I got a deposit in my account.
I got a deposit in my, uh, PIP hall for the week and I don't feel rushed.
I don't feel like I gotta go back in right on it.
I don't have to go back in here.
I don't need to prove anything.
And that's what you need to do as a trader.
You're doing this to be profitable, not correct, not 99% accurate.
You're only doing this to make money.
That's the number one reason why you're here.
That's why you paid me because you want to learn how to make money.
You're not here to learn how to, you know, talk about the markets you
want to get in here and understand what it is you're going to do on your
own independently, apart from me.
So when we do things like this and it doesn't line up, don't.
Don't marry the vain.
In other words, if we got a trading idea, don't insist that it has to be that way
because the market's going to do what the market's going to do and you can't.
And I can't certainly impose my will on it.
Um, hang on one second here.
Okay.
Um, Ms.
Sexy.
Good question.
That's a lot.
I mean, again, a lot of the time.
I appreciate your, your you're wanting to be interactive with, with the
license, but it's, it's, I really just want to see anything that comes up.
That's a real sticking point for someone.
Um, if they make a question about that or, you know, if I need to
be reiterating something, then obviously I'm looking for that.
But the question is, is why was I not interested in seeing it want
to go back above these loads?
Um, well think in terms of the simple support and resistance, we
broke through it very aggressively.
Um, it can come back, I'll allow it to come back up there
and be good for the trade.
That's what we were discussing in London.
Um, but I would've much rather seen it, do the run up to that
before the economic release.
Okay.
At four 30 and then drop off and then come back and hit a bearish or block
that would have formed at that level.
Then it would have been lock.
It would have been very easy for this market to drop down because
everything would have been in place, but we are stuck in here.
Okay.
Probably high probability would have been the market during Asia into, uh, Frankfurt
going into this level here and then retracing a little bit, and then running
one more time at four 30, when the numbers released, whatever that up camera would
have been after it hit this level, that would have been, that would have been it.
I mean, I, that would have been a really good setup for, so, but because they
left this exposed area where it didn't come back up and hit that low as a
resistance price point, it means that they could still come up there later on.
And because we're trading in London, it can do that in New York.
Even if we have a drop off in London initially,
why would I be looking at this low and not the bears or a block up here,
or this one, this or a block you're asking about Kim, this one right here.
You're asking specifically.
Okay, because the order block is above these lows.
And if it's going to be good, it's going to stop here.
There there's no, there's no necessity for them to come all the way back up
here because they broke all this support.
So think about what's going on.
The books are, are net short up here.
They don't want to come back up into that range because the likelihood is, is
they may, they may end up getting people that are waiting for a deeper retracement
to get on board with their shorts too.
They don't want that.
They want to keep the pain on those individuals that are along so they can do
what squeeze them out of their positions.
And that gets more liquidity.
So the short answer is this.
Once we broke these lows, this whole consolidation, once
it broke and did aggressive.
You don't want to see it go back above this level.
If anything, you will permit it to trade back up to that level, but you don't
want to say it though above it, because it might, if it does that this break in
market structure is not as significant as it was when it broke it here.
Does that answer your question or at least make it a little bit easier?
Why would I expect it to go up to that level before the news events?
Because, uh, that would be protraction, airy, um, price action
or Judas swing up to a logical area of institutional order flow.
I mean, the fact that we cleared these staff is enough.
Yes.
And I mentioned that during the London, but I would've much
rather seen it, hit that level.
It would have been returned back to resistance or support
broken out, uh, resistance.
And then we would wait for a bearish or block the film or form rather,
and then come back up to it later on during the economic release, it would
just would have been no more reason for it to go back above that level.
And we could not be fearful about how much of a rally the four
30 uh, event would have caused.
That's the reason why I had to have my stop up here initially, because we had
this exposed area here and I could have been wrong and it could have came all up
and hit that bear shorter block anyway.
So that's why it caused a larger stop.
And that's the reason why as well, I didn't want to see this, um, uh, level
failed to get to before the numbers released because it to go there allows
us to have a smaller stop, but because it didn't get there, we have to have a
larger stop allowing price to move up.
We might get it.
Now we went to where this love here, but again, same scenario we had here.
It has this, it has to expand quickly.
And again, it's still not doing that yet.
If you're short.
Yeah.
I would go to breakeven.
We're in New York now.
So yeah.
U kids expanding.
Uh, we got a small
little area of resistance there.
We got to watch the 32 big figure.
And
I don't know.
I think we might, we might have this now.
Right.
So we have new York's midnight candles opening here.
If we come down a little bit more, don't run yet and come back up into here, right?
To the bottom of up candles.
That'd be a retest of new York's open at midnight.
And then we could probably see it right.
Exposed liquidity below these lows here.
Hm.
dollar Keds.
It's a,
this would just have to be an observation when I wouldn't take
anything where we're at now.
I mean, to, to, to be long ahead of such a short distance on resistance,
because there could still soup in there and go up above it and then retrace.
And that's not what you want to be in.
We have ball shore block here and here.
Now we're expanding.
So I don't think I have anything for entry for us CAG or at least not yet.
Five are still dead.
Uh, like dollar dollar still looks good.
I think we're going to probably own a Crudo numbers.
We'll probably want to run
pound bear.
Look at that right there.
Who was here during the London session live, which of you were here for that?
Did you see me Nick in notation of this right here as it was going below it.
Sorry about that.
I had a semi soft, please.
Being taken to school by his older brother today.
All right.
So we're not who look for CAD the run through 32 big figure with momentum and no
willingness to want to come back below it.
Cable releasing.
Yeah.
Watch this Orbach though.
Still early in New York.
So we have our expectations are if it's bearish still for the day.
Okay.
Can you guys hear me?
Okay.
It's probably on your end Tanner.
The, uh, we're looking for around below this low
now, I would like for it to come back up in here just a little
bit between now and eight.
Between now and eight 20 to get a little bit of a retracement.
That'll be a very nice setup for New York to be short.
And then we'd have all this price action above the opening of New York.
I'm sorry.
You open at midnight in New York to all this would be the high, the daily range.
And then we're going to be in the body of the candle that forms the daily range and
we'd be in position to expand or ride the expansion rather down to the objectives.
We've outlined here.
I'm starving my stomach on the ground, like crazy.
So if you guys hear it, I apologize.
I'm paying you a chance to eat anything before I came back on.
All right.
Let's all right.
Let's play devil's advocate for a moment.
Okay.
Cause there are, there's going to be times when we do that.
And this is the reason why I don't want you guys jumping in here late.
And hearing me say, okay, we're going to put a cell here.
And all of a sudden you think, oh, this is it.
I'm going to, I'm going to do this.
And this is how it should be.
We have an expectation that price should go lower on pound dollar.
We have levels that we've outlined where we think it may go ultimately
for the day on the downside.
So we're focusing primarily being short dollar, I'm sorry,
long dollar short cable.
Um, fiber's not doing anything.
It's not moving dollars.
Uh, maintaining it's, uh, consolidation here.
I would rather, I would have rather liked to come down and hit
that roadblock, but that's okay.
It's not necessary.
Um, I expect this thing to want to go higher.
We're seeing that evidence also in U S CAD real quick, across the board on the.
Not so much strengths on the Swiss and on the dollar again
and, or a block nice thought around here.
So we could get some expanse on dollar yen.
So I'd like the idea that dollar has a reason to want to go higher.
Cable's already been loose on the downside and with fiber tight in a consolidation,
Europound has reason to go higher, which we've indicated here, but assume for a
moment your, um, uh, Johnny neophyte.
Okay.
You were in there, you have a conclusion that you think is going to go lower.
Um, here in the New York session, if one were to want to trade short right
now, and I'm not saying to do this okay.
But we will do exercises where we contrast, where we still have
a directional probability of higher, lower with levels in mind.
I will purposely tell you in advance, okay, we're going to do this with the
understanding of how much draw down you have to encounter by entering
here versus entering rate at a bit, a bear shorter block, or a bull or buck.
So I understand what I'm about to say is this is not an invitation to do that.
Okay.
I'm just telling you right now, if you were to get short and you want
to sell it right now, the question is where would my stop-loss be?
The stop-loss would have to be above the daily high.
So words, if you're looking at it.
Right now, it's where we're at.
There.
It's a forty-five PIP stock.
Now contrast that with, if we get a retracement into here, it
only needs to be a 34 PIP stop.
And that's why we would expect to see a little bit of retracement during the
eight o'clock to eight 20 time period.
That's it.
That's a good classic scenario.
You would see on a daily range.
Um, and it looks like this stuff here.
Okay.
Um, New York is the easiest animal.
There is in trading.
I mean, it's the easiest one to trade because even if you're wrong about
your interpretation of one in many times, you can still get a range
out of what's set up in New York.
And what I mean by that?
Uh, the, the Lowy, I'm sorry, the high we made here.
And we came down here and I rallied back up.
If you stole here and just got your profit here at this old low and say
it was reversing at that point, that's still an area which you can take profit.
I mean, it's a small little intraday move.
I mean, some of you want that on a daily basis and you can study the
New York session for that reason.
But if you have a daily range idea where you think that the New York session
is going to be just a retracement or a Paul's for the second leg in the
daily range to unfold, then it gives you a lot of reasons to get positioned.
And then wait for 10 o'clock to 11 o'clock in the morning, New York time to
get that in that complete daily range.
Yeah, the interest rate, uh, that decision or lack of decision is
what's causing all this consolidation and this meandering sideways and
markets don't have an opinion yet.
And the market makers are building in interest relative to the
consolidations that we're seeing.
So regardless of what the interest rate announcement is going to be,
we'll already have an idea of what the market should be expecting based on
what the consolidations have priced in.
And wherever the easiest money is to knock out that's where it's going to go.
So again, interest rates, I could care less about the interest rate
and the answer is no, when it comes, excuse me, it's going to be a lot
of impact in terms of where price is going in terms of magnitude speed.
I wish it would just raise interest rates and be done with it.
But what I want doesn't make a difference.
Um,
no, it's, it's the fact that.
Interest rates are on the horizon and dollar really hasn't escaped its range.
And the play is really in your opinion.
Well, if they raise interest rates that comes with a lot of other things too,
but, um, just for movement purposes, I would love it in the, raise it up.
All right.
So we're getting a little bit of a retracement in here.
Yeah, there's a lot of things that's having an impact on
the wait and see mentality.
Um, if you look at the economic calendar for the entire week
now, my is actually what I just told my son to turn the TV down.
He's watching a TV show and sometimes you'll hear that stuff in the background.
And if I pause it at use any, tell him, Hey, turn the TV down or Hey, be
quiet this time of day they're active because they get me to go to school.
And now they're coming in and ask me what's going on?
You know, whatever the dads.
Well, it's been run with, it's not that much.
All right.
So what we're looking for, again, it's this focus guys.
The, uh, I want to see this, this candle here.
I want to see that get traded back up into the very minimum.
I want to see it hit this low of these candles, the hits that I'll put a
short one for New York and see if we get some expansion on the downside.
So I'm not requiring the opening at New York to be retreated to.
I'm really only meaning.
So if the candle can hit 31 96, I'll go into market short.
That's Bella,
hang on one second.
She wants to come inside.
Right?
So anyway, if we get the run up to this level in here, and
I may actually need to do this,
use the bodies of these candles.
This down candle body in this down candles by.
So if we trade up to that and ignoring the wicks, I'm allowing the price to
come back up to 31 94, that does that.
We change this to light that way.
Allow me room to take something off.
Once we take the lows out here, I'll take first profit there, but in our
20 pips, if we can get it, you know, I'm not saying it's going to happen
now, but if we get a retest up to this level here, I'll sell at the market.
There, look for first profit.
And once it billows below these lows, and then we'll lead the second a lot on the,
see if we get those lower level objectives for the daily range right now, we're just
about crossing halfway point of two day.
And again, that's defined by the blue line, midnight in New York and three
o'clock in the afternoon, New York.
So we're writing about the middle of it.
And since here's the other thing for your, uh, your notebook?
Um, if we do get expansion, um, we've been in consolidation this entire day.
It very little range, real, real tight little range.
And if we get expansion, should it come by way of slow lethargic price action?
Or should it be quick and decisive because of what I kind of like really
lead it to you in that answer, but
right.
So there's less time.
Okay.
Less time in the day.
So if it's going to move, we'll have to be done quickly or what move lethargic.
Exactly.
Everyone's saying the same thing.
Very good.
It has to be done quickly.
So it'll be a quick run.
So it goes consolidation to expand.
Okay.
If that happens, if we start seeing it move, it should move rather aggressively.
Uh, the take the stops below the marketplace.
That's what we're, that's what the assumptions are is it's eight, 15.
I want to do it now.
It might give me my price.
Well, I'm waiting for us to hit it as soon as it hits that level right there.
If I'm going to show up, well, just line, just watch the line that hits it.
I'm going short right there to stop.
We'll go above this high here.
It says dealing range or the bears were blocks up.
It goes there again.
I don't want to be in the trade and I'll just take the loss and be done with it.
And Tyler looks good here.
He's asleep still.
Cat's got to hit that 3,200 level.
Honestly, I have to care less about Peter pound
of them.
What you want to make sure they hear you?
Huh?
Well, the question is what's making me change your mind about shorting the,
uh, the cable, because this is demo.
I wouldn't do it with live funds right now.
It's just going, it would go, it goes against my, I don't want to be a seller of
cable, but because of teaching purposes.
So yeah, focus guys.
Okay.
Went in right at that level and advisor to candle.
All right.
Start needs to be a third, 2 25 40 first, or just after it gets on much.
and 6 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
All right.
That's that?
Um, I have two lots on permitting me to take one off.
If we get a rollover in price does come down below these lows.
I will wait to see if there's any expansion we get that I'll take one
of the Watts off and I'll put a stop to just above this short-term Huynh.
And then once we, uh, take out this level here, it will go to breakeven.
And if it goes to a full stop out, then it is what it is.
And you guys got to see me take a while.
now, since I'm short pound dollar in the demo, what would I want to
see to confirm that trade in us cat, even though it's not directly
related, what would you want to see?
You want to see it go through the 1 32 big figure as we
outlined here with this level.
Okay.
You want to see it decisively go through that, not just poke his head
above water and then come back down.
That's not what you want to see.
If we see U S CAD run aggressively through this and we see dollar even
just stay like it is right here that will allow this pair to expand.
Go lower
again.
It's all a market symmetry when everything's in agreement, when
things are, are supported in other pairs, conversely, if there's an
inversion between relationships.
Pound dollar.
If it's going down, then us cash should go up.
But if you see a level like we're approaching here, this is a really
good environment for you to learn.
Because even if I don't get, um, the pound dollar to unfold favorably and go
to these lows of take first profit, I say, let's play devil's advocate for a moment.
Say that us cat does in fact go up here and internal soups and this rejects, that
would be a perfect illustration of why you need to be paying attention to these
things in your own trades, because if it does this, okay, if it goes up here
and fails and starts to come back down, it'll allow you the ability to collapse
the trade and not get a full stop.
In other words, it doesn't give you a confirmation that you're in a good trade.
Does that make sense?
We don't always just wait around for a full stop out.
Just because we have a staff in place doesn't mean, Hey, well, you
know, I'm willing to lose this on a risk, but if I can get a discount
on a loss, then I'll take that too.
Hey, we're all we're always managing and balancing and weighing things.
It's not just simply get in there, take the train, you put your stop,
get your limit and walk away.
Or just worry about this one.
You're looking at the general market conditions across all the other pairs
and ones that are hitting major levels.
Yeah.
We want to see a willingness for them to drive right on through that show.
Very little interest in stopping or pausing, and that would build more
confidence that what you have in your other pairs, that would be, uh, inverted
to what you're expecting to see in here.
You're checking to see prices go higher in this pair that would
translate into expectations of a lower price move in case.
The question I, um, I got was, um, why wouldn't this bullish order block
be a bind, um, because we haven't exposed range down here on that
liquidity void on the hourly chart, which we'll look at in a minute.
I just want to see if this thing was going to be moving right now.
So, uh, exactly when the, uh, CME starts trading.
So let's see what the effects are after the future starts trading.
Now, if this would have happened here, okay.
At the completeness of may have a fresh chard that show you.
There's no way I could do this with life funds and be able to talk to you.
Absolutely.
Zero, no chance that would have happened.
Um, yeah, we have this void still on cable here.
Had it been like these two lows here happened Ray, at that, then it would've
been, then the older block would be more influential on the upside near term.
Not like picking a lower end like that, but, but which as we have this exposed
range between this Boyd and the lows that formed, that's why I'm telling you
that I don't personally believe that this is a by area that help you, man.
No worries.
It's in simple terms, I believe that they're going to want
to take the market down here.
So anything bullish here would just be minor.
And the more money is below the marketplace here because they showed a
willingness to drive price aggressively.
And somebody chased that and we're dragging the price down against them now.
And ultimately those that want to have white stops, they're going to
play some below here and I believe that's what we're going to end up
seeing priced for today, uh, 31 57.
So that gives us a decent amount of pips for downside objective,
if we can get some expansion.
Yeah, it's a, um, it's a valid point.
Chris Santa's exposure range on both sides of the day is a bad day trade.
It is.
I mean, the probabilities are not high.
Know, if we're going to get in here every single day and teach and
practice and, and, you know, give you a framework to go with it, you
know, as a trader, you got to do it.
And I can't, I can't run a service just doing one trade a week.
You guys will be quickly bored with that.
Well, yeah, Kane, um, Kane's asking, it could be waiting for the news at 10 30.
It could be, uh, that's why I'm hoping that it drives through well,
you know, shows no willingness to stop you and drives through ahead
of the news, because what that'll be is they're actually pricing and
what that report is going to give us.
And then it'll probably be a strong rejection lower after the afternoon.
Uh, if we stay below this level, Before 10 30, which is highly unlikely.
We're so close to it.
Um, I would expect the news report to drive it higher aggressively,
but I don't want to wait between now and 10 30 because you know,
we have a short, a short pound on
I do when I'm really aggressively positioning for a cat.
I'll watch crude oil, but for minor fluctuations like this,
I'm not really so concerned.
And it's noted to crude on the numbers are going to influence
near term volatility in the CAD.
I don't know which man it was.
I just remember seeing that, sorry.
It's a lot, the bounce between Martin price and fielding questions.
If they come up, that's why I was asking if everyone would just keep the,
you don't even have to say thank you.
It's just, if you need some, you know, if you need some more insight
about what I'm saying, then yeah.
Prompt me for that.
But like opinions and stuff like that.
No fans, I'm not really interested in your opinion.
I'm okay with being wrong.
Um, I tried doing the question stuff after the video and I ended
up being here for like three.
And that's not what I want you, there's no way you guys are going to be able to
digest 20 hours a week in video content.
There's no way you're going to do it.
There's just absolutely no way.
So a couple of times a week, I'm willing to spend that, you know, an hour, hour
and 20 minutes like that, and a video presentation when it warrants it, given
the conditions we're trading with today is a lot of explanation that goes along
with this, there's gonna be days where the market just responds really well.
And we can do the session in 15 minutes, everything will be done.
It's it's it, it's over.
There's nothing to really talk about, but because there's more to talk about
when you want to be avoiding trading than there is about what actual trading
and high-poverty conditions look like.
It's very, it's very little things to concern yourself with, with high prices.
Low probability is a lot of the things to concern yourself with.
It requires a lot more jawboning and being in here explaining what's
going on, why should be dominant and why it shouldn't be doing that?
The, uh, the, uh, the question was, well, I have more discussion about
using, uh, relationships with other payers to support your trade ideas.
Yes.
That's intro it's intermarket and intermarket analysis.
You'll have all that stuff given to you.
Okay.
Cat's hitting at 1 32,
hit it.
1 32.
Again, we want to see it expand aggressively through that, not
these little wimpy candles where it wants to peek its head above it, or
just touch the 30 too big for you.
That's not what you want.
You want to see them reach real deep, far beyond that big figure
to gather up any liquidity.
Cause think about it.
I mean, it would be in their interest to dry price higher because looking at
CAD here, is it, is it a safe bet that the banks are net long on this pair?
Dollar cat?
I mean, pretty obvious, right?
I mean, this is obvious that this pair has a net long book at the bank level.
So if you're going to see a level like a big figure, 1 32 even, is it in their
interest to just offer a price just at 32.
Or they've done it through their okay.
To reach for liquidity.
That would be well above just the 1 32 big figure, because
that's where they want to exit.
So the expectation is we don't want to see a wimpy just touch 1 32.
Even we want to see them drive it through it.
And we would expect that to happen because the books are already net long
and they want to exit a high, higher price, not just a wimpy old big figure.
They're going to try to drive it through that.
That's what we expect or anticipate when it occurs, especially by
knowing what's already happened, where price has moved from.
It's all about role-playing okay.
You're the bank.
You're net long.
Do you want to take profits here or do you want to offer price higher
where you can unload them at a higher price and get more profit?
Obviously you're going to offer it at a higher price.
So for trading at a big figure level, you anticipate, and this is
the reason why, when we talk about big figure trading, it's always
at least 20 pips above or below.
In other words, if it's moving up to a big.
It won't just trade rate to the big figure and stop many times it'll go 20
pips or do a little bit more than that.
Usually on average because there's liquidity resting above these
round numbers in the form of funds.
So when we see this big Sur a big 1 32 figure the expectations that we
want to see expansion go through that
consolidation means that there is a accumulation of orders.
And by looking at other payers, um, you'll know what, what pairs being
driven with the consolidations like we've, we've been monitoring, uh, you're
a dollar mean consolidation relative to the weakness in pound dollar.
This panel, that's the last line of defense for my idea for New York.
So I don't want to go above the middle of that up candle
eyeball on it.
So
now right as level is one 30 to six.
So I'm a little, I'm a little distance about that.
So I've got two levels of defense below me in the form of this bear, shorter block.
We have another bear shoulder block here, and I'm in the middle of this one here.
So if it comes up there, I definitely don't want to be in this trade.
And I'm okay with taking that because it's probably going to run.
I don't see it here, but I'm just saying if it gets there as levels, that would be.
The reasons why I would be okay with being stopped out.
And when you put a stop-loss and Yappo stop-loss loss and where number
one, it makes sense to be out of the marketplace and you would be thankful
to be out there not, oh, it just took my stock out and you could go
the other way right then and there.
And that's not where you want to put your stop off set.
If you go back over your old charts and entries, many times, you probably
put your stock rate at an Orbach, and there's been so many people I've seen
on Twitter and on Facebook that claimed they knew how to trade and they put
your stop-loss rate in over a block.
Then it goes right to their stock, hates it.
And everyone's the other way.
And they're complaining and crying about, you know, how they got knocked down.
And of course we've all done that, but it's, it's a lot more
gratifying when you know that you got stopped out for a real reason.
And it's good to be stopped out where you got stopped out at, because it's
going to be running the other way.
And there's no, there's no argument about it.
Let's go back to very much a cat again.
All right.
So let's poke and set up all that big figure.
1 32, even
again, we want to see expansion to that.
Not just this little pancake stuff we want to get through it, driving it
hard, big, big candle through that.
There's so much money out there.
Again.
Don't worry about this stuff.
Not working.
Good.
Nice to see his dollar go up a little bit more.
I want to see steady up closes.
Even if it's marginally up.
I want to see stay up close candles and then it'll expand it
for us.
Cat, if I was long.
Well, I mean, you're asking me something.
Yeah.
It doesn't really benefit anybody by saying that because
it's all pure hindsight.
We can buying in the order block here at the top of the candle and
your stocks have to be below that.
Then you have another order block here, which is a propulsion camera because it's
giving into a lower level order block.
And it's not that many cans away from it.
So this is where the actual buying.
So you can actually look at the middle of this candle and where we traded here.
And I'll give you the price that they were working in
31 50.
So there's a buy that there.
And we'd have to see if it wants to reach 30 to 15 or 30 to 20,
which is what I'm looking for.
Can you guys hear me now?
Okay.
Couple people said they lost audio.
Okay.
Okay.
All right.
So we're just gonna sit here and, uh, allow price to gyrate.
Um, just stops in.
You can see that the objectives are noted and I will come back in a moment.
I'm just going to put you on mute while I do my dad's stuff with my youngest.
Again, we don't want to see any retracement, you know,
retracements from this level, ideally it needs to expand through.
Cause if I was long, I'm going to try to book exits at 30 to 10 30.
So that's the rationale behind why I'm expecting it to gone through
and it can happen before the news.
The question that I got, um, is it advisable for us to, as traders to
set the stop loss and a take profit.
So you don't have to be watching price all day.
That's exactly what you'd be doing.
That's what we have.
That's why we have our orders in down here.
I used to take profit, stop loss, stop loss.
Uh, 31 pips profit is 62 pips.
Okay.
Order blocks are the same, regardless of what asset class.
So during the recordings, I'm gonna ask you not to speed up all
the times when I'm not talking.
So that way the videos aren't so gradual under huge,
that way, it's only the stuff that makes the most sense, listening to
any periods of quietness or just be sped up for the sake of continuity.
So, uh, earlier when my son was sitting on my lap, tell me what he was going
to do when he gets home from school.
He, uh, I was outlining this level here.
I wanted to see expansion on the downside.
Um, we want to see upside expansion.
So the big 1 32 figure over here on dollar cat.
We want to see advancement on the dollar index.
Um, I'm comfortable where my stock is here.
Really, really comfortable.
Um, it shouldn't go up to that level.
And the reason why is look at how much time we've spent trading all in this area.
Okay.
All this entire block of price.
I mean, let me shade it in so you can see it.
I want you to understand it from a conceptual point of view
this entire day from midnight New York, to hear all that.
I mean, change the color of it.
This entire shaded area that is very efficiently traded.
So the range high or a daily high coming in at 1 30, 2 31.
The opening at New York.
Well, that would be up here, but the lows created here or
you use that reference 31 94.
So that range in price has been really efficiently traded.
It's been so many times passed back and forth in that range.
The only reason for it to go north would be to take the daily high out.
Okay.
And if I see it start taking out this or block here on collapse in the
trade, I'm going to say this full stop.
I won't worry about, um, are messing with it and it won't be any concern
for me because I'll know that it's not coming back up here for an order block.
It's coming back up here for the stops when the daily high.
So before I go any further, do you understand what I just said there?
If you don't understand what I've just said.
Okay.
The fact that we've spent all this time.
Several hours of today, all inside this shaded area between the range low
created this line here and the daily high that's like, this is the case high.
If we see all this price action and in here, okay.
Each time it did this, it was making a lower, low, lower, low,
I'm sorry, lower high each time.
And it's pressing lower.
Like we were anticipating the low out here to be ran for the liquidity.
There's no reason for it to go up to here, unless it's going to go
all the way above the daily high and get the stock above the daily high.
I'm not saying you can't do that.
It absolutely can do that all the time.
Every single day.
It can do that.
But for probability sake for, for the New York session today, to least resistance.
Okay.
And so this is what I'm going to explain to you here.
This is what's called a low resistance liquidity.
The stops above today's high.
That's a high resistance liquidity run.
It's got to go through this short term high, this short-term high, this short
term high, this short-term high, this short term high, just to get to that.
And there's multiple layered or blocks in there that it has to contend with going
on the upside versus just dropping down here and taking the liquid below that low.
This is a low resistance liquidity run.
This is a high resistance liquidity run.
My stop is in an area of high resistance liquidity.
Yes.
The, uh, the answer to the question it was, uh, posted be, um, by order
stacking above these short-term highs.
Yes, they would be, but you're, you have to look at where the, when
remember the analogy I gave when prices moving across our charts, you
got to imagine it as a paintbrush.
Okay.
The paintbrush can only hold so much.
Per stroke.
Okay.
And as you use, the paintbrush is loaded with that pain.
The supply of pain is reduced.
Well, a lot of paint has been used up to paint this entire price range up here.
There's no area down here painted, except for this one time little area over here.
So it's going to want to go down there and then go into a new territory.
Okay.
So it's, it's less likely to want to come back above this whole
block of price action than it is to want to go down below here.
So yes, there are stops up here, but they're not of any concern right
now because the most liquidity is below the lowest because they've
given indications that they wanted to make price, uh, more buyers in.
And we gave that nice little rally up and clear to staff's.
Retail's going to chase that on the long side.
So where's their, stop-loss going to be for long.
It's going to be below these lows because they believe that this is short-term
support or strong support or a double.
And double bottoms get picked.
This is the type of action we're looking for over here.
This is supportive of what we're expecting for today's New York session,
supporting the short for cable.
Now, what we want to do is we want to see this order block here.
Give up.
It's good.
So we don't, we don't want to see any kind of willingness to see a snap up.
We don't want to see that at all.
We want to see it just drive right on into IIOT, completely up and
at the same time, see further expansion over here and positive
up candles every year on a dollar.
If we get that, this is a block it's going to go down, run the lows, and we'll
see if we have any steam to continue going into our lower level objectives.
Because it has.
Okay.
The question that was why don't I put my stop above the
equilibrium of the order block,
the whole conceptually, I could put my stop above the middle of this entire range
that shaded in yellow that could do that.
But because I'm balancing being a dad this morning, I'm balancing
being a mentor talking live.
Um, I'm also, I'm processing those things at the same time.
So I'm actually, I'm actually doing more than a trader should be doing at the time.
So I'm giving myself some leeway to allow a lot more responsiveness
on the part of me seeing price and reacting and describing it.
In other words, what I'm saying is this, this is very difficult for me
to do and teach at the same time.
Cause I have to allow myself time to talk about it and prepare an
account and outline everything
where I've taken this trade.
Yes
no, you don't want to jam your stop loss to break even New York trading.
You got to take out a old, low, or an old high before you can
ever consider moving your stop.
And that has to happen by this time.
When we take this low out, when this thing drops down below it, then you
lower it down to this level right here.
You still gotta, you gotta still have some risking.
And that's the part you're all afraid of.
You're afraid of assuming risk in New York, you have the entire
range to work within and they may come back and take stops intraday.
So you have to be mindful of that.
So don't be in a hurry to jam it down in, to break.
Even it's not necessary.
You want to give the market some room to move around a little bit
because just normal price delivery.
If it's required.
I really like the fact that we're spreading our wings here on a category.
That's 32 big figure.
I love the fact that we're seeing a dollar starting to come alive over here
and we're just into the Orbach here.
So I really want to see an expansion through this entire down candle.
I'm going to see this entire downcast candle get exactly.
Yeah.
Um, to kill the trade, like what would be a, uh, like an hours?
What would cause me to collapse the trade and say no way,
I'm not going to hold this.
Um, it would have to start trading above this line.
I have right here, because to do that, it's already taken a short-term high.
It's moved beyond the means threshold of this bear shorter block.
And I don't want to see it go any higher than that, because then it's going to
reach for the liquidity on a daily high.
And that's what I'm telling you.
If to go up in this shaded area would just indicate it's coming for the daily high.
And I don't want to be in there allowing you to take a full stop.
Everything I've outlined so far is the only reasons it is
necessary for where the stop is.
In other words, when I say collapsed the trade.
In other words, if, if I let the market, if it was the reverse here and say it
was the reverse and start going to this level where I answered short this level
at a bear's or block main threshold.
In other words, it's the middle of this down candle.
I'm sorry up, which is a bear's shorter block they sold as price went up.
It should not ever go back above the middle part of that
up candle after it's dropped it.
Shouldn't do that.
If it does, it indicates it wants to potentially reach for
liquidity higher than that.
But what would that be above the short term high?
Well, above that short term, highest what all these wicks and then the
daily high I don't want to be.
And I don't want to extend myself the opportunity to get stopped
out at a full loss that I'm willing to assume it's 31 FIPSE.
So if it goes back above the middle of this up candle, hon out, I'm done and
I'll take the loss between my entry and this price point here, much more
efficient way of trading and absorbing a loss that's cost of business versus
just saying, well, I'm going to hold it.
Come hell or high water, because.
And in March myself, get stopped down full loss.
It's not economical for a trader to even know, have a catastrophic
stop, which is what this is.
Every stop I place is attached traffic stop.
It's not ultra short term.
Uh, I need to have five PIP stops.
You know, I think that's unrealistic.
Okay.
Even with someone my experience, I don't think it's necessary to have that.
You need to have some risk and you need to also allow the market
to move around a little bit.
And that comes, you get comfortable with that idea because you've
seen enough price action to trust.
Yeah.
It's going to move around a little bit.
I'm not going to be too concerned about it, but I know where the
thresholds are for me to consider.
Do I really want to still be in this trade?
And I've just outlined that here.
Well, Hey, I'm sure you're going to have all kinds of analogies outside
of the painter or the sniper analogies used in price over the next couple of.
Uh, equities are getting ready to open up in about 18 minutes or so 17 minutes.
All right.
We're making a run for the liquidity here.
Let's see this.
Hopefully expand aggressively down, eat this entire down candle up.
That means there would be no buying there.
Yeah.
Once we break below the middle point of this, it's going to be a lock.
It's going to want to reach for the staffs below the lows.
That's what we're looking for so far, dollar on the
left is supporting that idea.
Dollar CAD supporting the idea.
Cat's just, I mean, I'm sorry.
Cable, SIS pen and home still in this order block, which
is not what you want to see.
You want to see everything in agreement, big expansion on
dollar front CAD, no words, sorry.
Dollar fronted, uh, currencies like dollar CAD, dollar Swiss, uh, dollar yen.
Uh, they should be all expanding on the upside with the dollar index and
that will free up range expansion on the downside on your pound
dollar short, like, uh, showing you.
Don't want to see anything give up on this range.
Don't want to see anything over here.
Uh, give up and start losing some ground, because that means that they're cut.
They're capitalizing this order block, and that's not what we want to see.
We want to see it erode this entire down candle and run for
the stops below these lows.
Um, I'm not sure what you just asked.
What is the latest before I collapse the trade?
Where does that mean?
If it gets above this level right here?
I think it's about 1 30, 2 0 6.
I'm taking the stop off and collapsing the trade with whatever that is
in terms of, uh, uh, um, a loss
and then walk into the sidelines and this watch and the rest of the day.
because I want to keep the idea that even though it could come up here and
expand in here, I don't want the mental capital spended expend on worrying
about if it's gonna hit my stop.
See, I'm not worried about my stock getting hit right now.
I'm only worried about this price.
Have the willingness to drive where I want it to that's all trade
management, it's all psychology.
It's all.
I'm not worried about losing money right now.
Not because I'm in a demo account, but because I'm actually have more
on the line because I'm actually doing it in front of 700 people.
So it's not the money that I'm, uh, I'm concerned about losing.
It's the fact that I don't want to give you an impression of infallibility and
I'm showing you how I really do it.
And by keeping the stop-loss in a realistic level, It's justified in
terms of the risk it's justified and in terms of the price action.
And it's also keeping it outside the scope of immediate concern.
You don't want to spend your time worrying about your stop-loss thinking about it.
I don't care if you have ultra ultra ultra low risk, and you're using really,
really tight stuff, less than 10 pips, even 10 PIP stocks, I think is ridiculous.
If you're using these ultra tight stuff, I guarantee you, I guarantee you, your
rear end is puckering all the entire time while you're in that trade until it moves
considerably away from your entry, because you're so close to getting stopped out.
You're worrying, you're spending all kinds of mental capital on that.
I'm not worried about anything where I place my stop loss.
I know I'm so far away, I'm in a different neighborhood in terms of worrying.
I'm not worried about it.
I'm more focused on where the price is driving.
Say, my focus is down.
I'm worried about whether it's going to consume this order block here.
I'm not worried about it coming all the way up here to hit that stop.
There's a big advantage of having that in your, in your mindset as your trader,
because if you're so worried about and concerned about, I hope if it doesn't
hit my stop and your stops too close, or you're over leveraging, that has a
great deal to do with how you are going to be positively consistent, profitable.
Long-term your longevity is going to be defined by that because if you're
concerned about losing money or getting your stop-loss hit, and it has to
be so close, you're doing it wrong.
You're worried about the money.
And I'm worried about the process of where the market is most
likely going to seek liquidity.
And it's going to be most likely in the realm of reaching below these lows.
My focus is allowing me the freedom to be down here, focused here and not
worry about if it goes against me.
I have room to think about if it starts to be.
Contrast after I had an ultra short term stock rate at break even, or even trailed
it down so it could come back here at any time with the spread, just tag me
out and then run below and hit my stop.
I mean, hit my limit orders.
If there is a, there's an economy that you need to apply
when you're managing your risk.
Okay.
You need to have an ability to have your stop loss and it location where you're
not so overly concerned about being fit.
It has to be enough room to, to allow you freedom, to think objectives about
price, not worrying about losing money.
That's going to be a big, big barrier to your development
and your longevity as a trader.
If you're concerned about that money, if you're concerned about the money
again, guys, please don't don't tweet anything to me or have me in your
tweets because it's going to come on the screen and it blocks the sharing.
So the main thing is, is I want you to understand that I'm not
trying to prove ultra short-term and ultra tight stop losses.
That that's not what we're teaching here.
I'm teaching you sound trading, uh, sound trade management.
Um, in October, you're gonna learn a great deal about good grief, man,
stop texting or tweeting Timmy, please.
It's causing the display.
I got to turn those notifications off.
The, uh, the main thing is you have your stop-loss on, uh, you got to get
it some room and just assume some risks.
There's nothing wrong with that.
I mean, that's this business, it's all risk.
There's no, there's no point at which there is zero risk
until you're on the side.
And some of you, I would actually argue and say that's risky because
you're missing opportunities.
So here we are 10 minutes before equities opening.
Um, I promised I would talk about the equities and what may be unfolding.
Uh we're in September.
Okay.
Um, we are in a time period where August, end of September, we usually
see equities slide in, uh, go lower.
Um, the other day we had like a 200 some point, uh, decline or whatever it was.
I'm not even sure what it was.
I wasn't really watching it closely.
Um, everybody got panicked and, uh, the ma the very next day
ward backup, didn't complete the entire down candle or downrange.
It lost ground on, uh, relative to, uh, S and P NASDAQ and the Dow.
But, uh, everybody got real excited and especially all the goobers that, uh, um,
spend too much time on Twitter, throwing rocks, they got all excited thinking.
Yeah.
You know, uh, the doom and gloomers, you know, here we are, we're getting,
you know, the equities high again.
Okay.
There it's Warren back.
And then yesterday we got white.
You wiped out again.
Um, I think we're going lower.
Um, I think we're going to trade, uh, considerably lower and I would
have rather, it seen it make a more stronger attempt to move higher
before it started dropping down.
But, uh, I just think that we're, we're in the position to look for a
lot more decline going into October.
And when we get closer to the elections and the U S it gets worse.
um, well, we still have time.
We've got about 38 minutes.
What is that?
38 minutes, 38 minutes before 10 o'clock in the morning, New York time.
As soon as we approach 10 o'clock in the morning in New York time.
Okay.
New.
We want to be looking for reasons to scale out of our positions.
Really tight to stop up then.
Okay.
Until we get around quarter of 10, I'm not really concerned
about trailing stop losses.
I'm more concerned about taking profits off the table and not
worrying about stop losses.
I'm not worrying about that.
The stop is your safety net.
That is your stop.
Loss is not your profitable.
And that's what I'm trying to communicate to you.
Everyone's looking at trying to have an ultra short, tight stop-loss
when it's, when it's like that.
When, when you're using that, what you're asking the market to do is get me
out at a less favorable position exit, give me a less favorable price level.
That's what you're doing.
See when I have a stock away and keep it at a catastrophic level where it's
protecting me from needless exposure to more risks than I'm willing to assume
I'm in the driver's seat of exiting at a more economical limitation for a
profit taking I'm in control of that.
Once you place your stop loss, real type you've given control to the marketplace
to get you out at a less favorable exit.
Do you understand what I'm saying?
You need to be in the driver's seat of your exits when it
comes to taking profits.
I don't want my stop-loss being used for my profit.
That's only in the capacity of protecting me from needless overexposure to risk.
So it's important that you allow that stop loss some distance from your entry.
Don't worry about that stuff it's doing do its job.
If it's going to be an adverse reaction in the marketplace, your driver's seat, okay.
Role in the, in the role of driving your trade.
In other words, from entry to exit, that's completely integral to you.
You have to know where to take profits at, and you need to do that
when price is moving in your favor, not when it's retracing against you
and a stop loss is going to take you out in a less favorable exit.
As many times, you'll see that you've seen it before many times.
I'm sure you're in a trade.
You're trailing your stop loss too tight because you don't want
to lose money instead of just focusing on where should I be?
Where should I get him?
Where should I be getting paid?
Where should I be taking some partial profits?
Right.
There's a lot of people out there that pretend they know
what they're talking about.
They pretend to know what, how the markets operates.
Well, what they're doing in their own trading, it doesn't make a difference.
I'm not teaching you how I trade I'm teaching.
You have a market book.
If you know that you'll know how to trade profitably, and you need
to know that keeping your stop-loss away from your entry is economical.
It's the right thing to do.
The stop is a catastrophic safety net.
That's all.
It's there for.
You're managing the exits with profit, with targets, limits,
scaling out that's your job.
And you're given the job to the market to take you out in a less favorable exit,
a good risk to reward ratio five to one.
You can make money with three to one, if you're really high, uh, and really
efficient with your trading, you can make money with one-to-one, but you
gotta be really, really good to be.
Yeah.
This mentorship is aimed at teaching you five to one.
All right.
Watch cable.
All those stops below that low.
They are hot.
Everything's like not right now.
Everybody that's long.
It had stopped right here.
You know what they're feeling right now?
You felt it before a man is going to get my stuff.
Please don't hit my staff.
Remember that memory?
Remember when you sit there and you're talking to God, God, please, please.
Just not, let me get stopped out on this one.
I'll I'll do a better job.
I won't brush next time, please.
God, please.
Don't let it go for a little bit.
Well, please.
Alright.
Okay.
Just, you can get a little bit closer, but please don't go up a little while
everybody becomes a Christian in this.
In a natural order of things, everyone in the retail scope that would be short.
They're going to scream that they've got to slam their stop-loss down real
tight to break even to trail on it.
Even tighter.
You don't want to do that.
You just were relaxed.
Keep your focus on where the market should reach for.
Okay.
That's all worried about so far.
We're seeing a retracement one, a us CAD.
We have not seen any expansion or even taken out this high on dollar.
So this is going to be a suspect run on this liquidity unless we get favorable,
uh, continuation on upside on dollar.
And we erase this and make this candle a wick.
So we want to see this candle become a wick.
We want to see this candle become bullish and take out these.
Then, and only then will we expect exposure below this low
to reach for lower liquidity?
You know, what's go even deeper, lower.
Otherwise we may be just coming down here to take these stops
and come back to equilibrium.
And that's the reason why we want to take profits when it gets below here.
Not all profits when it tastes take some off and while I'm talking, I probably
should have that thing up to do that.
Very thing
to take partial profits, you go to instant execution.
I have two lots on I'm just going to change it to one.
And then if I hit close, it's only going to take one off and I'll leave 1
0 1 from the original entry price and the stock will stay at original entry.
Uh, I'm sorry, at the end.
And at the.
Original location, nothing changes except for the amount of positions that's born.
So we'll go from holding two lots short to just one lot short and we'll
book a profit for that's demo, but we would book a profit for whatever
that entry to exit price would be.
And I'm just looking for a move just below these loads,
too many things on this chart now
but D the main thing I want you to understand about stop-loss orders
is don't think you have to have really, really, really tight stops.
That's not the secret sauce to everything.
Okay.
You're not going to get to the end of the game by having really, really tight stops.
Don't only thing that does is invite overleveraging and that's
really what you want to do.
You want to have really, really tight stops taking a bigger position.
But really what you're doing is you're compounding the concern and worry and
psychological effect of that tree.
You're putting way too much emphasis on money instead of just saying, okay, I'm
willing to take a certain measure of risk.
I'm not worried about having offers us tight stops.
I'm more focused on where the market wants to go.
And I can have the freedom to allow prices to gyri all around and not feel
the impulse of am I right or wrong?
Am I going to lose money or not?
Oh my gosh, I need to do this.
And I need to get, I'm not worried about that.
I'm not worried about any of that stuff I'm worried about.
Okay.
Where am I ultimately wrong?
Okay.
And I want to have to stop just a little bit above that or below
that, and then build in some ideas.
And then it gives me a decision point where I can say, well, if it gets
here and just fall short I'm okay.
I won't, I won't do anything with a position, but if we go through this order
block here, which is the up candle prior to the down move, if we do that, then I
got to take an inventory and say, okay, is this a really good signal still?
Is this something that I would still be wanting to be short?
Right.
And would I expect further breakdown if it does that when you, when you have
freedom to do that and womb, you need some range to be able to operate in.
I mean, if you have these really ultra short stops, you have time on your side,
you have zero time to collapse that if it's, if it's something that you
can collapse and save and think about what you're doing, you're asking the
market to give you a set up that gives you less than 10 pips on a stop and
national leverage with no time element.
That would be on your favor because 10 pips can be done in instantaneously.
You can happen no, no time at all.
You have no way of protecting that full stop on 10 tips.
Does that make sense?
If you're listening to all this stuff and it's over your head, it's because you have
not filled in the gaps of your learning with the three tutorials series, that's
all my free members area on the website.
You have to, you have to study the sniper series, the persistent trading
concepts and the market maker series.
Okay.
It's not a lot of content.
You can do it probably in the scope of a week and a half comfortably.
And that'll bring up the speed about everything I'm talking about here.
Again, if you're focusing on expecting to know this stuff, the first time
you're in here, that's not realistic.
You're not going to, you're not going to survive this mentorship.
If that's the expectations you have.
Okay.
So here we go.
So now we're going to take one of them off.
So now I have one position, one lot, still one.
Now I can lower the stop to this level here.
Okay.
So now I have 12 pips at risk on one lot, and I've booked a profit
with a stop run below these lows.
So now I'm in a position where I don't care what the market's going to do.
I can let my, let myself relax.
If the market's going to continue going lower, fine.
If it's going to come back fine.
We got 20 pips from London.
We got, I'm not sure what I just took on now.
Um, at Trey will tech we'll check it.
We don't counter money when the market's still rolling.
The last order of business is down here at 62 picks.
Okay.
So now we're below these stops.
We really want to be focusing on a dollar.
Does it want to expand up, see these are the things you don't really see me doing
when I was doing my sessions on YouTube.
I'm talking about the markets.
I actually am looking at these other charts, but I can't go back
and forth on YouTube and reveal the things you're actually learning here.
So all I'm doing is looking for a pair outside or conversely or inversely
matter, uh, to the pair I'm trading.
So if I'm trading short cable, I want to pick a pair that's inversely
related, which would be dollar CAD.
Okay.
And I'm gonna look at the dollar index and I'm going to weigh out the strengths of
does the U S cab rally when it's overly.
I'm not focusing on sweaty and I focused on dollar again, because
they are not primarily bullish this pair with a dollar in front of it.
Okay.
This pair is strong.
So if the dollar is going to rally, the strengths should be reflected
immensely in this pair, and it would be the inverse relationship to what I
expect to see the weakness on the cable.
Does that make sense
to manage it, um, where it's like on set and forget, and I'll teach
you all this stuff, but I'll give you a real quick synopsis.
Uh, you would do two entries.
This is one way of doing it.
You can do two entries, individual entries at, uh, two single lot
entries and you would put one of the single lot limit orders below these.
And then you would have the other remaining one down at a level.
It don't have to be this level.
I'm thinking this one because it's before the, the, uh, the other area of
liquidity below where we are right now, there's no saying that we're going to
get down to that level, but nonetheless, uh, you would just put it in limit
work capacity and your stock would just have to be where you initially set it.
And then you'd have to be able to monitor that.
Get up in the morning, check New York.
You have.
If you're trading London, you have to be able to get on your phone or get
on the computer at least once by eight o'clock, between seven 30 and eight
o'clock you need to be able to look at time and price at that time, because
it'll give you an opportunity at that moment to reduce the stock or weigh out
whether or not it's still a good trade.
So if you can't do that, then you can't trade.
I'm just telling you like it is, I mean, you you're going to have
to be either watching it, right.
Or managing it at least by looking at price between 7
30, 8 o'clock New York time.
Cause you have to, you can't escape the time windows when these markets are moving
around and that's relative to the kill zones or the, you know, the training
session, the liquidity is going to be, um, concerned specific times of the day.
So it's, it's important that you know, that you may not have free time in London.
You may not have free time in New York.
That means you're going to have to be in Asia or, um, Australian Kiwi or Japanese
and trader in north American Asian time.
And you access.
What's going to have to happen that, or you're going to have to
live on the higher timeframes.
What's is nothing wrong with that.
I mean, it's just going to be a lot less trading.
Um, and it's going to be a lot slower and it takes a long time for daily
charts to make their swings on.
But for some of you that might be perfect.
All right.
So it is 9 37.
You got about, uh, well, yeah, seven minutes enter the equities open.
Hm.
I hate these kind of days though.
I really, I load these kind of days because it takes so much energy,
so much energy to, to expand on just a little bit of movement.
I mean, it's gratifying because I'm able to explain it to you.
And in terms where you understand.
What you should expect to see and then watching it unfold.
How much time have we spent?
Literally seriously, think about how much time we spent just today.
It's a lot of time, right?
So you're not always going to get these big expansion moves daily ranges
that are one side of the market where it's easy, where it happens in a
flash and inside of an hour and a half in London, or, you know, 45 minutes
in New York, you get everything you were expecting to see in the run.
They're not always like that every single day.
And this is what you're going to have to contend with.
I'm not going to repeat some of these things you guys are saying.
But we're going to, uh, I'm going to collapse this here because this
is a really, really long session.
And I got to go through and edit it.
And cause there's a lot of time where there's no talking.
So I'll speed.
Those sections up our manager, this, um, dispositions through Twitter.
Uh, we're going to watch and see if there's any further effects at 10 30
when the crude oil inventories come out.
And, uh, we'll see what we see.
Uh, we've already booked a profit on London and New York were paid
or paid we're in a position.
Now we can just wait and we want to wait and see if there's going to come
down here and expand down to, uh, right now the limit order I have for
profit, uh, puts me at 62 pips on the second half of the position or
the single lot remaining basically.
And, uh, that comes in form of.
I don't know what the hell it is.
I can't see without pulling everything else.
31 32.
So I have a have limit at 31 32, which actually I might round to 31 35.
I I'm like being at the two level.
All right.
So there you go.
There's my mind limit is, and if it gets down there, great.
If it comes back and stops me out fine.
I ain't worried about it.
I'm already paid.
Um, and I can go about my day and do whatever I want to do, and I'm
going to the cheesecake factory.
So I got resupply and I will catch you munchkins later on.
Okay.
In closing before I close this out, you guys learning anything.
Are you learning?
Even in slow market, you can pull out some stuff.
Very good.
Just want to make sure you guys get into value.
I will catch up with you.
Uh, there'll be a recap posted by 3:30 PM.
This this afternoon, my time, New York time.
And then, uh, we'll see what the economic calendar gives that I haven't
looked at for tomorrow yet, but, uh, we'll determine whether we're gonna
be doing anything in London again, or if we'll wait for New York, so
have yourself a pleasant afternoon.
If you had any questions in here, I'm saving them all right now.
So I will be able to go back and fill them in on a weekly round up.
And I will bet you a do folks.
Thank you.
Good luck and good trading.
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