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00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:10,560
Okay, welcome back folks.
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00:00:10,650 --> 00:00:10,890
All right.
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00:00:10,890 --> 00:00:15,120
This is a five minute chart of
the British pound USD or cable.
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00:00:15,870 --> 00:00:19,020
Uh, we were looking for a
move lower on this pair.
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00:00:19,530 --> 00:00:25,260
Uh, we were able to snatch, uh, roll
easy 20 pips easing the sense that,
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00:00:25,290 --> 00:00:29,370
uh, there wasn't much draw down
against us, but, uh, it wasn't easy
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00:00:29,370 --> 00:00:34,260
holding onto it because there was
a lot of delay in, uh, the price.
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Margot has really done nothing.
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Um, we went below the previous
lows and here, um, took profits
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00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:45,420
there one half the position.
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00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:51,090
And obviously I gave instructions
on Twitter that are following that
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position that I had collapsed the trade.
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I was unwilling to hold on.
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Um, it did move up a little bit more.
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Didn't Pierce any short-term highs in
here, but we're still above the New
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00:01:02,114 --> 00:01:04,185
York session in like candles open.
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00:01:04,995 --> 00:01:07,725
Um, to me that's not good.
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It's not high probability for a short,
um, it would probably indicate by
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00:01:12,985 --> 00:01:15,405
they'll come up here and hit this level.
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And this is not a trade idea.
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Is it something that you can practice
in your demo count if you see an oral
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block like this one here, if we move
away from it and come back down and
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test that to see if you get a response
again, it's not a trade recommendation.
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Okay.
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00:01:29,145 --> 00:01:31,615
You're just trying to see if it
has a one that's about there,
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because in this case here that it's
not wanting to go down just yet.
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So while there are still some liquidity
reference points below the marketplace,
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relative to what we described in one
session, it doesn't appear that we're
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going to get those right away today.
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So, um, I took a 15 minute time.
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We we're in a consolidated market
profile for the day so far.
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00:02:00,395 --> 00:02:06,875
Um, I'd be interested in taking a short
if we get up into this area here and
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00:02:06,875 --> 00:02:14,405
I'll review that if, and when we do
this, uh, uh, level it all today, doesn't
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have to mean it's going to do it today.
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00:02:15,725 --> 00:02:18,875
But if it did, I'd be interested
in taking something off of that.
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00:02:18,965 --> 00:02:23,285
And it gives us between now
and nine 30 in the morning.
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Otherwise I would just sit on the
sidelines and remain flat, uh,
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Euro, uh, still stuck in the mud.
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Can't go anywhere dollar.
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00:02:34,055 --> 00:02:37,625
Uh, we always hit the order block and
mentioned this morning in London, but
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didn't quite get down to, it was only one
PIP away, uh, where it comes in at 95 41.
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And the block starts at 95.
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The high 9, 5 40 open,
and it did not touch that.
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So we might get some sensitivity there.
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00:02:53,580 --> 00:02:59,310
Uh, if we slip through this, the market
is going to be very, very indecisive.
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00:02:59,310 --> 00:03:03,810
Then, um, I want to see it maintain its
consolidation here and try to expand
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00:03:03,810 --> 00:03:06,300
up to these liquidity points here.
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95, 95, 96 big figure.
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And it stops as well over here.
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I'm not interested in a dollar sell off.
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I don't see that here, but
if it does break down, that
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just puts me on the sidelines.
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00:03:20,430 --> 00:03:24,720
If there was anything that was
noteworthy for today for the London
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session, it was the importance
of why we take partial profits.
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Why we have time stop procedures.
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In other words, not just simply, okay.
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I'm buying.
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And I want it to go to my profit
objective and my stop loss is here.
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We don't have to wait for one
of those two events to occur.
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We have another element here to consider
a time if we all get the feedback that
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we're looking for in terms of indicating
that we have a solid center, and you're
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going to learn that the best setups
immediately move in your favor if they
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00:03:59,865 --> 00:04:03,735
miss their monkey around and they don't
really move in your favor right away,
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00:04:04,455 --> 00:04:06,435
chances are you probably got a dud.
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00:04:06,795 --> 00:04:09,045
And this morning was indication of that.
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00:04:09,075 --> 00:04:15,195
Um, once it went below the short-term,
Lowe's one cable, uh, we were looking
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00:04:15,195 --> 00:04:19,005
at these lows here when price shot
down below that, and just sat there
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00:04:19,005 --> 00:04:20,535
and we sell notes, answering them.
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00:04:20,705 --> 00:04:25,545
I was saying, if we got below these
lows, we want to see speed, speed, and
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00:04:25,575 --> 00:04:29,115
expansion, lower to show indication,
and wants to quickly get down here.
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It showed no willingness to do that.
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So we covered, we covered the.
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I have to position there with the
expectation that, Hey, even if it comes
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00:04:37,755 --> 00:04:41,895
back and hits her stop, it's a new
loss day, but we had an opportunity
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to get in here and experienced it,
the price action, relative to the
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00:04:45,135 --> 00:04:49,994
things that we teach, obviously, um,
you know, we came all the way back
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up into the range as a bare shorter
block again and again, one more time.
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00:04:54,405 --> 00:04:56,804
So we're off right back
to this bullet or block.
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So we're, we're trapped in
between a bear shorter block here.
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00:05:02,325 --> 00:05:02,505
Okay.
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00:05:02,575 --> 00:05:04,755
We're, we're stuck in between me.
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00:05:04,755 --> 00:05:05,594
How would I do this here?
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00:05:05,715 --> 00:05:11,314
Um, we're stuck essentially
in this range here.
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Okay.
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We have the order block here
for the buy-side, even though
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00:05:15,184 --> 00:05:17,585
it was wiped out here, that was
what price has been trading it.
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00:05:18,064 --> 00:05:20,914
And we have the bear shorter
box that we're stuck in.
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00:05:20,914 --> 00:05:23,465
So until we get out of this range, okay.
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00:05:23,525 --> 00:05:31,745
The market's going nowhere and it might
join the party that cables and which is.
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00:05:33,090 --> 00:05:38,250
Rather boring the dollar, you
know, and it, hopefully it
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stays above this bullshit.
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We're a block here.
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If it gives way again, that immediately
puts me in a neutral stance where I
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have zero opinion as to what I expect
bullish or bearish on the market.
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00:05:48,690 --> 00:05:52,890
We would have to see something
new in terms of expansion that
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00:05:53,430 --> 00:05:56,280
isn't seeing presently in the
charts for me to make a decision,
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00:05:59,770 --> 00:06:07,909
still looking for a run on dollar cat,
30 to 50 to 30 to 60 on the upside.
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00:06:08,300 --> 00:06:11,330
Well, wash out that high probably
today on the Crudo numbers.
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00:06:12,110 --> 00:06:18,650
Uh, if we lose the low, not low,
but if we lose the 31 25 level, um,
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00:06:18,980 --> 00:06:21,380
we'll probably have to come all the
way back into this range a little bit
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00:06:21,380 --> 00:06:25,159
more, and it's not really good for the
market sharks that we have in place.
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It it's already broken is high.
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00:06:27,020 --> 00:06:29,750
We don't really want to get back
above and below the hightest broken.
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For it to run up to this level here.
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00:06:33,250 --> 00:06:38,740
So if anything, it could come back down
and retest this level 31, 25, 31 30.
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00:06:39,430 --> 00:06:42,700
But if it gives that level up,
it's probably not going to be
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running these stops anytime soon.
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00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:48,250
And we'll probably have to spend some
time sideways for a little while,
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00:06:48,580 --> 00:06:54,130
but as it is here this morning, we're
looking at 30 to 50 to 30 to 61 upside
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00:06:54,130 --> 00:06:57,170
dollar cat relative to the crew.
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00:06:57,170 --> 00:07:00,550
I'm story's coming out at 10 30
in the morning, New York time.
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00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:04,990
So, uh, one more quick look at Euro pound.
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Um, we noted the stops here real
time as it was gone below it.
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00:07:09,670 --> 00:07:11,020
Uh, we came back away from that.
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You're getting, you can see that in the
one, uh, presentation, uh, real quick,
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if you're watching live and you're having
issues with getting the recordings easiest
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00:07:19,780 --> 00:07:23,320
way to do it is going to the forum, right?
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00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:25,690
Click on that link where
it says video link, right?
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Click that, and save as.
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00:07:28,065 --> 00:07:33,495
When you click on that, the window should
pop up saying, save as, and it's at BMT.
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I'm sorry.
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MP4 file.
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And you just name it, whatever you want.
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00:07:36,885 --> 00:07:39,945
Um, once you do that, you
can pull it up from your hard
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00:07:39,945 --> 00:07:40,755
drive and play it from there.
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00:07:40,755 --> 00:07:43,755
It's really not meant to be
streamed off of the form or from
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00:07:43,755 --> 00:07:46,125
my direct, uh, links in my website.
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00:07:46,544 --> 00:07:51,344
Uh, it can be done if you're patient to
wait for the file to download, but it's
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00:07:51,495 --> 00:07:54,645
it's as much easier it is to do it right
from a strict, straight download and
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00:07:54,645 --> 00:07:56,414
have it to your computer and archive.
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00:07:59,635 --> 00:08:00,685
I think that's about it.
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00:08:00,715 --> 00:08:07,255
I want to talk about, um, the, um,
yesterday I had a session where,
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00:08:07,315 --> 00:08:10,525
um, I started to talk about and
thank you, Peter, for remind.
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00:08:10,525 --> 00:08:12,235
I was getting ready to say it again, um,
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00:08:16,655 --> 00:08:17,794
for cable.
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00:08:20,784 --> 00:08:26,155
And when I was explaining was I went into
the discussion about where we have a.
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00:08:27,570 --> 00:08:33,330
Busy London session regards to high
impact or medium impact news events.
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00:08:33,570 --> 00:08:37,830
And then there's a vacuum of
anything going on in New York.
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00:08:38,190 --> 00:08:41,010
And I prompted everyone to
get their notepad ready and it
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00:08:41,010 --> 00:08:46,260
was, uh, uh, a patient's lesson
that I didn't intend to have.
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00:08:46,290 --> 00:08:50,550
So we was a delay of a full day before
we can actually get that revelation.
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00:08:50,550 --> 00:08:55,290
But, uh, what I wanted you to note in
your notepad relative to what I was
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00:08:55,290 --> 00:09:00,750
prompting yesterday, in regards to once
you understand this, and there is a, uh,
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00:09:01,020 --> 00:09:05,550
high impact news event, or if there's
a lot of impact for news releases in
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00:09:05,550 --> 00:09:09,510
London, and then there's nothing during
the New York session, what that does
146
00:09:09,510 --> 00:09:13,830
is it actually frees up the New York
session to launch New York session in
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00:09:13,830 --> 00:09:18,240
London closed where it becomes a one-way
show where the range will expand.
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00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:19,560
You have a little resistance.
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00:09:19,590 --> 00:09:19,680
Okay.
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00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:23,189
And then you want to look for your
objectives, average daily range.
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00:09:23,220 --> 00:09:24,990
You want to look for
previous days, higher lows.
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00:09:25,290 --> 00:09:32,400
All those ideas become a much easier
way of obtaining your profit targets
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00:09:32,970 --> 00:09:35,100
when there's no more neutral leases.
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00:09:35,100 --> 00:09:40,410
In other words, you won't have that speed
bump concept of, well, it might still be
155
00:09:40,410 --> 00:09:44,790
an update, but we'll have to encounter
some resistance here during the, uh,
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00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:47,790
eight 30 hour to deputies open at nine 30.
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00:09:47,939 --> 00:09:49,950
And again, everything I say
is relative to New York time.
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00:09:50,460 --> 00:09:55,020
So normally when you have news around
the New York session or inside the
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00:09:55,020 --> 00:10:01,770
New York session, uh, there's this
resistance or barrier, uh, window
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00:10:01,890 --> 00:10:05,160
between eight 30 in the morning in New
York at nine 30, where equities open.
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00:10:05,819 --> 00:10:06,090
Okay.
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00:10:06,090 --> 00:10:10,724
So when between eight 30 in the
morning, uh, session time in New
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00:10:10,724 --> 00:10:12,840
York to nine 30 stock market open.
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00:10:13,785 --> 00:10:17,025
If there's any news events in there,
that's going to act like a speed
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00:10:17,025 --> 00:10:18,915
bump for your daily objectives.
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00:10:19,155 --> 00:10:23,385
So if you're trading the daily range
relative to entry at London open,
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00:10:24,074 --> 00:10:28,185
you're going to have to wait out some
measure of retracement or consolidation
168
00:10:28,185 --> 00:10:30,974
between eight 30 in the morning, nine
30 in the morning, New York time.
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00:10:31,094 --> 00:10:36,375
And before you see that blending
close, uh, uh, opposite end of the
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00:10:36,375 --> 00:10:37,635
daily range that you're holding for.
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00:10:39,135 --> 00:10:42,194
I said that yesterday, because that's
the reason why we saw such a real
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00:10:42,194 --> 00:10:45,165
nice move lower in pound dollar.
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00:10:45,194 --> 00:10:50,594
Once I was aware of what I was
looking for initially was wrong.
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00:10:51,045 --> 00:10:54,194
Um, I had further clues given by
the dollar index and then looking
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00:10:54,194 --> 00:10:59,084
for, um, the consolidation in
your dollar when you're a dollar,
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00:11:05,925 --> 00:11:07,094
when a Euro dollar is.
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00:11:08,190 --> 00:11:10,050
Do me a favor when we're
doing live sessions.
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00:11:10,050 --> 00:11:13,250
Try not to tweet because it's going
to alert and impulse, the, the,
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00:11:14,210 --> 00:11:21,340
the, uh, presentations, the, um,
since a dollar you're a dollar was
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00:11:21,340 --> 00:11:24,940
in consolidation yesterday, your
account had upside objectives still
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00:11:24,940 --> 00:11:31,480
to be met, and cable is weak with a
slight stance on a bullish dollar.
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00:11:32,470 --> 00:11:35,050
Everything was in line for the.
183
00:11:36,315 --> 00:11:39,825
After the one enclosed
moved into New York overlap.
184
00:11:40,065 --> 00:11:43,635
Once that New York session began,
you can see an acceleration and price
185
00:11:43,635 --> 00:11:45,525
action is as exactly what you see here.
186
00:11:45,825 --> 00:11:48,255
Here's your retracement
back into New York session.
187
00:11:48,915 --> 00:11:53,475
And because there was zero influence
of the New York session news embargo.
188
00:11:53,925 --> 00:11:54,195
Okay.
189
00:11:54,195 --> 00:11:56,955
Between eight 30 in the morning
to nine 30 equities open.
190
00:11:57,225 --> 00:11:59,055
That's why he had this quick rundown.
191
00:11:59,085 --> 00:12:01,215
There's zero resistance whatsoever.
192
00:12:01,425 --> 00:12:01,785
Okay.
193
00:12:02,235 --> 00:12:03,555
And you're gonna learn about those.
194
00:12:03,765 --> 00:12:04,245
Okay.
195
00:12:04,485 --> 00:12:07,515
And why this level was real high
probability because this level that we
196
00:12:07,515 --> 00:12:15,105
noted yesterday and, uh, the session when
I was recording and outline gave you the
197
00:12:15,105 --> 00:12:22,455
reasons why I chose those levels, they
are known as low resistance liquidity.
198
00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,430
And the reason why they're low
resistance is because there's no
199
00:12:26,700 --> 00:12:28,140
news that's going to impact it.
200
00:12:28,410 --> 00:12:30,930
There's no technical institutional levels.
201
00:12:30,930 --> 00:12:31,830
That's going to impact it.
202
00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:33,330
They're easy to run to.
203
00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:37,410
And then if you understand that coupled
with time and price, it's very quick.
204
00:12:37,410 --> 00:12:42,270
And then you allow yourself
to relax and expect speed and.
205
00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:46,380
Magnitude of the moves that
that'd be seen in price action
206
00:12:46,740 --> 00:12:48,660
when you have resistance, okay.
207
00:12:48,660 --> 00:12:51,900
Or high resistance, liquidity
runs the objectives.
208
00:12:51,900 --> 00:12:56,700
We'll still end up most likely being hit,
but you have to go through a longer period
209
00:12:56,700 --> 00:13:01,680
of time and consolidation and you have
to weather being beat up a little bit
210
00:13:01,680 --> 00:13:03,750
and held back during these news events.
211
00:13:03,750 --> 00:13:07,800
And that's why it's important to trade
and low resistance liquidity runs.
212
00:13:08,190 --> 00:13:08,460
Okay.
213
00:13:08,460 --> 00:13:09,570
When conditions are like that.
214
00:13:09,570 --> 00:13:10,770
And again, I'm going to give you all that.
215
00:13:10,770 --> 00:13:12,720
It's all part of this month's teaching.
216
00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:15,540
So don't let me discourage you
thinking, well, I don't know this
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00:13:15,540 --> 00:13:17,900
stuff and I don't have time to look
through all this, the tourists to
218
00:13:17,900 --> 00:13:20,670
catch up with that, all that stuff
being taught to you and the teachings
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00:13:20,910 --> 00:13:22,620
you've only got to own for this month.
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00:13:22,650 --> 00:13:25,890
You got six more for September, and we're
going to talk about all these things.
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00:13:25,890 --> 00:13:27,030
So just relax.
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00:13:27,030 --> 00:13:28,320
You can't have it all at one time.
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00:13:28,890 --> 00:13:32,430
You got to learn it step by step, and
I'm giving you examples of what I went
224
00:13:32,430 --> 00:13:34,020
to say yesterday was in your notes.
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00:13:34,470 --> 00:13:36,410
Um, when there's no.
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00:13:37,825 --> 00:13:41,064
Information that's going to be
released in the form of a market
227
00:13:41,064 --> 00:13:43,555
driver or a news release or data.
228
00:13:44,155 --> 00:13:49,075
Um, if it's nothing in there in,
in New York, that gives a very
229
00:13:49,105 --> 00:13:51,685
clear way for price to expand.
230
00:13:51,685 --> 00:13:53,035
That runs reports daily range.
231
00:13:53,545 --> 00:13:58,194
When you have high impact news, even
if you have a high probability set up
232
00:13:58,194 --> 00:14:02,415
in London, if you have high probability
news or medium impact, or rather,
233
00:14:02,965 --> 00:14:08,515
sorry, high impact, medium impact news
and New York, that will cause your
234
00:14:08,515 --> 00:14:12,085
objectives to be later in the day.
235
00:14:12,115 --> 00:14:14,185
And it'll have to take
time to get through that.
236
00:14:14,545 --> 00:14:17,005
And then you're going to wait for
the response on those news events
237
00:14:17,005 --> 00:14:20,935
to come out between eight 30 and
nine 30 with equities open, uh, to
238
00:14:20,935 --> 00:14:24,955
see if it's going to recapitalize,
what's already established in London.
239
00:14:25,194 --> 00:14:29,005
In other words, if your bull was
London and you've been long in a
240
00:14:29,005 --> 00:14:31,285
high resistance, uh, liquidity.
241
00:14:32,205 --> 00:14:36,615
Condition in New York, if you have high
impact or medium, in fact news, you're
242
00:14:36,615 --> 00:14:40,125
going to have to wait for sometimes
a little bit deeper retracement
243
00:14:40,155 --> 00:14:42,285
or consolidation, and then expand.
244
00:14:42,345 --> 00:14:45,495
It takes place where it takes you to the
opposite end of the range or an up-close.
245
00:14:49,005 --> 00:14:54,615
So, uh, w w we'll contrast all that
obviously, and the two distinct teaching,
246
00:14:54,615 --> 00:14:58,485
so low resistance, liquidity rounds
and high resistance liquidity runs.
247
00:14:58,905 --> 00:14:59,655
You'll learn that.
248
00:14:59,655 --> 00:15:05,055
Also most of my trades when I'm taking
live phones are trading in one high
249
00:15:05,055 --> 00:15:10,155
impact or one medium impact news
event in London with little to no
250
00:15:10,185 --> 00:15:12,495
New York, uh, involvement for news.
251
00:15:12,944 --> 00:15:16,005
They're just like, they're the best
trading opportunities of the month.
252
00:15:16,365 --> 00:15:17,355
They're just easy.
253
00:15:17,475 --> 00:15:19,185
Everything's so technically perfect.
254
00:15:19,845 --> 00:15:22,155
You just wait around for those
conditions and that's where
255
00:15:22,155 --> 00:15:22,905
you want to put your money.
256
00:15:23,355 --> 00:15:27,525
Um, you're going to encounter a lot
of things when you trade outside
257
00:15:27,525 --> 00:15:28,455
of those and it makes you a better.
258
00:15:29,385 --> 00:15:31,635
When you're trading at high
resistance, liquidity runs.
259
00:15:31,645 --> 00:15:34,575
And when you have conditions
where you have to wait it
260
00:15:34,575 --> 00:15:35,685
out, it teaches you patience.
261
00:15:35,685 --> 00:15:38,445
It teaches you, uh, uh, market reading.
262
00:15:38,565 --> 00:15:39,045
Okay.
263
00:15:39,145 --> 00:15:43,245
We used to call a tape reading before it
went to all electronic, but the, uh, the
264
00:15:43,245 --> 00:15:47,265
ability to read price as it's happening.
265
00:15:47,625 --> 00:15:48,075
Okay.
266
00:15:48,525 --> 00:15:52,785
That is taught by you being in here
every single day, not just with me
267
00:15:52,785 --> 00:15:56,625
in your own, in your own studies
as well, but more importantly, um,
268
00:15:56,685 --> 00:16:01,845
you're going to learn that there are
specific opportunities and specific
269
00:16:01,845 --> 00:16:08,745
conditions that frame high probability,
low risk and big payout condition.
270
00:16:09,689 --> 00:16:11,400
They don't happen a whole
lot throughout the month.
271
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:15,510
There's only probably one really one
per week, but if you do your homework,
272
00:16:15,510 --> 00:16:17,550
you can see it on an economic count.
273
00:16:17,550 --> 00:16:19,079
And that's why we start there.
274
00:16:19,349 --> 00:16:22,739
We look at that and you can look at that
four weeks in advance and say, okay,
275
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:26,400
these are where I'm going to be really
focusing on one for that particular day.
276
00:16:26,729 --> 00:16:31,109
And you can outline some conditions
relative to that calendar day.
277
00:16:31,109 --> 00:16:33,030
And what would be seen in price.
278
00:16:33,329 --> 00:16:36,630
You can plan everything you're
expecting to see because you know,
279
00:16:36,630 --> 00:16:39,479
what kind of trader you are, you're
looking for optimal trade entry.
280
00:16:39,550 --> 00:16:42,689
Are you looking for a bullish or a
block or are you looking for a run on
281
00:16:42,689 --> 00:16:44,490
stops or are you looking for a void?
282
00:16:44,729 --> 00:16:45,150
Okay.
283
00:16:45,449 --> 00:16:49,050
Uh, back into third value, whatever you're
trading concept that you liked right now,
284
00:16:49,410 --> 00:16:53,760
and it may change over time, but you will
know exactly what you're looking to trade
285
00:16:54,479 --> 00:16:56,969
around that day with those conditions.
286
00:16:57,390 --> 00:16:59,670
And then you apply time
and price day of week.
287
00:16:59,729 --> 00:17:02,160
All those things come together
and you have a company.
288
00:17:02,925 --> 00:17:08,475
Package of how you are going to,
uh, engage the marketplace and then
289
00:17:08,475 --> 00:17:09,915
add to becomes your trading plan.
290
00:17:09,944 --> 00:17:11,714
That became, that becomes
your trading model.
291
00:17:11,925 --> 00:17:14,565
And then it evolves into your business.
292
00:17:15,105 --> 00:17:18,464
You're not going to be tug of war
emotionally, psychologically about
293
00:17:18,464 --> 00:17:21,585
chasing something new or worrying
about missing an opportunity.
294
00:17:21,585 --> 00:17:23,775
You know, when you're going to
take a trade, you know what you're
295
00:17:23,775 --> 00:17:26,385
going to do when you sit down in
front of the charts, if it doesn't
296
00:17:26,385 --> 00:17:27,615
meet that criteria, guess what?
297
00:17:27,615 --> 00:17:29,475
You're going to do nothing.
298
00:17:29,835 --> 00:17:31,065
And you're not going to be upset about it.
299
00:17:31,065 --> 00:17:31,905
You're not going to pout.
300
00:17:32,145 --> 00:17:33,465
You're not going to go on online.
301
00:17:33,675 --> 00:17:34,935
You're not going to send me emails.
302
00:17:34,935 --> 00:17:36,225
You're not going to
send me direct messages.
303
00:17:36,225 --> 00:17:39,195
You're not going to go on forums and ask
for someone else's opinion to support you.
304
00:17:39,525 --> 00:17:42,735
You won't care because you know
these things, can they repeat?
305
00:17:43,065 --> 00:17:45,105
They reoccur over and over again.
306
00:17:45,315 --> 00:17:47,565
And there's no reason for you to
be upset about missing a move.
307
00:17:47,565 --> 00:17:50,355
There's no reason for you to be
upset about being in a move and
308
00:17:50,355 --> 00:17:51,615
it doesn't come to fruition.
309
00:17:51,675 --> 00:17:55,875
All those things are losers mentality.
310
00:17:55,935 --> 00:17:59,205
I mean, that's a, that's a
weak minded individual that has
311
00:17:59,205 --> 00:18:00,285
no understanding of what do.
312
00:18:01,140 --> 00:18:06,300
When you understand by way of experience,
seeing these things over a period of time.
313
00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,410
When I said I'm collapsing in that
trade this morning on Twitter,
314
00:18:10,410 --> 00:18:13,320
I guarantee you, someone will be
like, man, this is, this is bogus.
315
00:18:13,530 --> 00:18:15,060
You know, this is what I
think it wasn't even worth it.
316
00:18:15,750 --> 00:18:19,320
But look at the reaction in price,
since we did that, that's what
317
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:20,520
I'm trying to communicate to you.
318
00:18:21,900 --> 00:18:24,270
Do you really want to be sitting
in an environment like this?
319
00:18:24,660 --> 00:18:27,300
If we're net short or even
that long, do you want to be
320
00:18:27,300 --> 00:18:28,320
in an environment like this?
321
00:18:31,970 --> 00:18:32,780
That wasn't rhetorical.
322
00:18:32,780 --> 00:18:34,070
I'm actually asking them for feedback.
323
00:18:39,650 --> 00:18:40,220
Why?
324
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:41,780
Why is it not?
325
00:18:42,110 --> 00:18:47,210
Why is it not something that we
should be exposing ourselves to?
326
00:18:47,990 --> 00:18:48,680
There's two reasons.
327
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:53,300
Number one is what exactly
you're spending mental capital.
328
00:18:53,510 --> 00:18:57,140
You're wasting all this energy
worrying about something that.
329
00:18:58,020 --> 00:19:02,010
Now much less probability
coming to fruition.
330
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:06,660
So really what you're doing is you're
hoping and hope has no business or place
331
00:19:06,660 --> 00:19:09,840
in trading zero, zero place in trading.
332
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,890
The second thing is it's not
meeting our criteria anymore.
333
00:19:14,490 --> 00:19:16,320
So why would you want to save?
334
00:19:16,350 --> 00:19:18,930
Because what you're going to do is
you're going to hold onto the position
335
00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:24,210
and hope that you're wrong about what
you should be doing that exiting.
336
00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:24,960
Okay.
337
00:19:25,170 --> 00:19:28,380
You are going to say, oh
no, greed allows me in here.
338
00:19:28,380 --> 00:19:30,330
I want to be in here and
I don't want to be wrong.
339
00:19:30,330 --> 00:19:32,730
So I'm fearful about being
wrong and getting out.
340
00:19:32,730 --> 00:19:33,660
And then it moves to my favorite.
341
00:19:34,410 --> 00:19:37,170
You're going to learn by
experience every single day.
342
00:19:37,350 --> 00:19:39,180
There's gonna be opportunities
where it looks like it's there
343
00:19:39,450 --> 00:19:40,800
and we're going to take a loss.
344
00:19:41,070 --> 00:19:43,290
And then sometimes we're going to
get in here and it looks like it's
345
00:19:43,290 --> 00:19:45,120
there and it won't come to fruition.
346
00:19:45,120 --> 00:19:45,450
And we got to.
347
00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,960
There's going to be times when we get
in there and it explodes in our favor
348
00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,570
and there's gonna be other times when
we get in there, it moves a little bit.
349
00:19:51,570 --> 00:19:53,130
And then we wait, wait, wait.
350
00:19:53,130 --> 00:19:54,150
And then we wait for New York.
351
00:19:54,150 --> 00:19:55,920
And then all of a sudden
there were leases and price.
352
00:19:55,940 --> 00:19:57,210
And then it'll see our objective.
353
00:19:57,690 --> 00:19:58,580
There's four conditions.
354
00:19:58,590 --> 00:20:01,080
It's going to have to
be experienced by you.
355
00:20:02,010 --> 00:20:04,380
And you all want just
give me the good ones.
356
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:05,760
And I don't ever want to take a loss.
357
00:20:05,790 --> 00:20:07,410
I don't ever want to have any adversities.
358
00:20:07,620 --> 00:20:10,350
I don't ever want to be in a marketplace
where it does this type of stuff.
359
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:12,990
And there's no recipe for that.
360
00:20:13,980 --> 00:20:16,680
I'm going to give you a framework
that helps me do what you're seeing me
361
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,170
do, but there's sometimes I'm wrong.
362
00:20:19,260 --> 00:20:21,840
And sometimes I will get
a wrong read on price.
363
00:20:22,110 --> 00:20:24,120
And hopefully I will learn quickly.
364
00:20:24,120 --> 00:20:26,580
Like you saw yesterday, I can
change gears and go the other way
365
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:28,170
that won't always be like that.
366
00:20:28,410 --> 00:20:30,600
So don't think that that's
always going to be the taste and
367
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:31,680
sometimes I'm going to get wrong.
368
00:20:31,710 --> 00:20:32,430
I'm going to be wrong.
369
00:20:32,460 --> 00:20:35,010
And invariably, I'm going to
be wrong because I'm forcing
370
00:20:35,010 --> 00:20:36,450
myself and it conditioned.
371
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:40,290
I'm not always doing, I'm not every
single day looking for something.
372
00:20:42,165 --> 00:20:45,165
Because I need to show you by experience.
373
00:20:45,225 --> 00:20:50,715
You have to be with me every single
day, seeing what I see so that we
374
00:20:50,715 --> 00:20:55,515
understand what goes on in my head
and if I can internalize, uh, what
375
00:20:55,545 --> 00:20:58,905
I see in price, match it and then
communicate it hopefully effectively.
376
00:20:59,175 --> 00:21:02,865
And I'm learning that because it's not
something I normally do so immediately,
377
00:21:02,865 --> 00:21:04,155
it's a little cumbersome for me.
378
00:21:04,515 --> 00:21:08,085
So if you signed on, you expected me to
be a motor mouth, like I'm on a rant like
379
00:21:08,085 --> 00:21:12,165
now, while price accidents happen, this
is simply not that much to talk about.
380
00:21:12,315 --> 00:21:14,505
And it's actually, when you're
acting, when you're in a trade,
381
00:21:14,505 --> 00:21:15,435
it's actually very boring.
382
00:21:15,915 --> 00:21:18,585
And that's why I listen to music or I
listen to audio books while I'm, you know,
383
00:21:18,585 --> 00:21:23,235
I'm going to train but long and short of
it is you need to have these experiences.
384
00:21:23,325 --> 00:21:27,825
And that's what I've been asking folks
to do since 2010 to get in there and
385
00:21:27,825 --> 00:21:33,495
use the concepts and the tools, even
the barest form of them to expose
386
00:21:33,495 --> 00:21:35,565
themselves to time and price and scene.
387
00:21:36,629 --> 00:21:40,560
The effects of being every single
day in the marketplace, looking
388
00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:43,170
at price, studying price, because
you're going to learn from it.
389
00:21:44,700 --> 00:21:46,500
Did any of you understand why?
390
00:21:46,500 --> 00:21:49,230
At the very moment I said I was
taking half the position off.
391
00:21:49,260 --> 00:21:51,899
Once we went up to load these
loads, once I took half off.
392
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:56,670
Did any of that, did any of you feel
like why is he, why is he doing that?
393
00:22:09,500 --> 00:22:13,310
Because once we break these lows,
which is what we were expecting to
394
00:22:13,310 --> 00:22:18,300
see anyway, when Frys failed to do any
more expansion, once we took out that
395
00:22:18,590 --> 00:22:22,910
equal, well, because it went just a
little bit below it and stopped and
396
00:22:22,910 --> 00:22:23,990
hung around there for a little bit.
397
00:22:23,990 --> 00:22:26,360
And we showed no speed to drop faster.
398
00:22:26,780 --> 00:22:29,540
We had no willingness to reach
for the stocks below these levels.
399
00:22:30,050 --> 00:22:30,980
What does that really indicate?
400
00:22:32,415 --> 00:22:34,965
It doesn't show any willingness
for the market to seek
401
00:22:34,965 --> 00:22:36,465
liquidity on the downside there.
402
00:22:36,615 --> 00:22:38,804
Otherwise it would be
in a rush to go to it.
403
00:22:40,155 --> 00:22:42,945
It's indicating it's a
Ronald stops under the loads.
404
00:22:43,425 --> 00:22:45,155
And as I was looking at,
I'm like, okay, I'm going.
405
00:22:45,284 --> 00:22:49,485
I might be wrong, but it's better to
take something off and pay yourself.
406
00:22:49,875 --> 00:22:51,345
Do not listen.
407
00:22:51,495 --> 00:22:58,215
And I mean, this, I don't care who it
is that says it do not listen to people.
408
00:22:58,455 --> 00:23:04,245
Traders online media people, supposedly
gurus teachers, service providers,
409
00:23:04,514 --> 00:23:07,814
mentors, talking heads, whoever it is.
410
00:23:07,814 --> 00:23:08,235
I don't care.
411
00:23:08,235 --> 00:23:11,264
You put the title on top of them
and I'm telling you, if they tell
412
00:23:11,264 --> 00:23:13,335
you don't take partial profits.
413
00:23:13,335 --> 00:23:15,165
That's the stupidest thing
I've ever heard in my life.
414
00:23:15,375 --> 00:23:19,155
Don't ever listen to these people because
they don't know how to trade and you
415
00:23:19,155 --> 00:23:20,475
don't have to make money consistently.
416
00:23:20,655 --> 00:23:23,294
Period, professional
traders pay themselves.
417
00:23:23,475 --> 00:23:23,895
That's what we.
418
00:23:25,120 --> 00:23:30,100
And if you don't learn this skill, you're
going to be in bad conditions and have
419
00:23:30,100 --> 00:23:33,850
an opportunity really to pay yourself
and still not see the trade pan out.
420
00:23:33,850 --> 00:23:35,620
Like today we were wrong.
421
00:23:36,250 --> 00:23:38,020
We were absolutely wrong.
422
00:23:38,020 --> 00:23:43,480
And the expectation of what the cable was
going to do, but we got 20 pips out of it.
423
00:23:44,470 --> 00:23:46,990
There you, how can you argue
with a condition like that?
424
00:23:47,350 --> 00:23:51,790
And the only way you arrive at
that is number one, being flexible,
425
00:23:52,090 --> 00:23:55,780
admitting that you're not perfect
admitting that you may not read price
426
00:23:55,870 --> 00:24:00,850
accurately or here's one for logic,
the market, just isn't ready to move.
427
00:24:02,750 --> 00:24:03,439
Think about that.
428
00:24:05,360 --> 00:24:06,500
And that's what we're seeing here.
429
00:24:06,710 --> 00:24:10,699
So it's important that you have
all these things that play out.
430
00:24:11,685 --> 00:24:15,465
In an internal dialogue, every single day,
these things will be communicated to you.
431
00:24:15,885 --> 00:24:19,125
And by habit, you'll pick up on these
same things and you'll start doing it.
432
00:24:19,455 --> 00:24:19,665
Okay.
433
00:24:19,665 --> 00:24:23,565
Just like people that teach my stuff, you
can actually hear all the things that I
434
00:24:23,565 --> 00:24:27,645
say, the mannerisms and the way I refer to
certain things, it's like a fingerprint.
435
00:24:27,945 --> 00:24:33,675
Well, because of daily involvement with
me and reading price together, you will
436
00:24:34,034 --> 00:24:38,205
by default learn how the internalized
price action, the, how I do it.
437
00:24:38,565 --> 00:24:39,165
I mean, good grief.
438
00:24:39,165 --> 00:24:40,485
You got 200 days.
439
00:24:40,784 --> 00:24:43,875
Plus with me for the next 12
months, you're going to do it.
440
00:24:43,965 --> 00:24:44,445
Trust me.
441
00:24:44,534 --> 00:24:49,125
It has to take time to suppress all those
desires about, I need to know right now.
442
00:24:49,395 --> 00:24:51,315
You don't need to know
right now, you trust me.
443
00:24:51,315 --> 00:24:52,514
You don't need to know that right now.
444
00:24:52,875 --> 00:24:56,115
You need to understand what it looks
like on a daily day-to-day basis.
445
00:24:56,475 --> 00:24:59,955
What trading really is okay,
because it's not all fast books
446
00:24:59,985 --> 00:25:00,975
getting in there in and out.
447
00:25:00,975 --> 00:25:02,024
And you're, you're done for the day.
448
00:25:02,145 --> 00:25:03,075
Sometimes it's like that.
449
00:25:03,075 --> 00:25:03,555
And that's great.
450
00:25:03,555 --> 00:25:07,845
We train, but other times it's kind of
like this where you there's a set up,
451
00:25:08,355 --> 00:25:10,274
you trade it and it doesn't give you any.
452
00:25:11,340 --> 00:25:17,550
So, if you can manage to get something
out, great, your risk was defined.
453
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:21,360
You took some money out and you
can walk away and feel okay.
454
00:25:21,390 --> 00:25:22,770
Well, I didn't waste any of my time.
455
00:25:22,950 --> 00:25:25,290
I got a posit and my experience.
456
00:25:25,530 --> 00:25:27,030
I got a deposit in my account.
457
00:25:27,030 --> 00:25:31,980
I got a deposit in my, uh, PIP hall
for the week and I don't feel rushed.
458
00:25:31,980 --> 00:25:33,600
I don't feel like I gotta
go back in right on it.
459
00:25:33,630 --> 00:25:34,620
I don't have to go back in here.
460
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:36,030
I don't need to prove anything.
461
00:25:36,510 --> 00:25:38,190
And that's what you
need to do as a trader.
462
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:43,800
You're doing this to be profitable,
not correct, not 99% accurate.
463
00:25:44,070 --> 00:25:46,170
You're only doing this to make money.
464
00:25:46,620 --> 00:25:48,690
That's the number one
reason why you're here.
465
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,030
That's why you paid me because you
want to learn how to make money.
466
00:25:51,300 --> 00:25:55,650
You're not here to learn how to,
you know, talk about the markets you
467
00:25:55,650 --> 00:25:58,050
want to get in here and understand
what it is you're going to do on your
468
00:25:58,050 --> 00:25:59,910
own independently, apart from me.
469
00:26:01,050 --> 00:26:08,480
So when we do things like this
and it doesn't line up, don't.
470
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:11,980
Don't marry the vain.
471
00:26:12,490 --> 00:26:16,270
In other words, if we got a trading idea,
don't insist that it has to be that way
472
00:26:16,300 --> 00:26:19,300
because the market's going to do what
the market's going to do and you can't.
473
00:26:19,300 --> 00:26:21,970
And I can't certainly
impose my will on it.
474
00:26:35,820 --> 00:26:40,140
Um, hang on one second here.
475
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:03,070
Okay.
476
00:27:03,130 --> 00:27:04,000
Um, Ms.
477
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:04,330
Sexy.
478
00:27:04,330 --> 00:27:04,930
Good question.
479
00:27:04,990 --> 00:27:05,500
That's a lot.
480
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:06,610
I mean, again, a lot of the time.
481
00:27:07,860 --> 00:27:12,240
I appreciate your, your you're wanting
to be interactive with, with the
482
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,720
license, but it's, it's, I really just
want to see anything that comes up.
483
00:27:15,750 --> 00:27:18,360
That's a real sticking point for someone.
484
00:27:18,899 --> 00:27:21,720
Um, if they make a question about
that or, you know, if I need to
485
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,810
be reiterating something, then
obviously I'm looking for that.
486
00:27:25,260 --> 00:27:28,439
But the question is, is why was I
not interested in seeing it want
487
00:27:28,439 --> 00:27:30,629
to go back above these loads?
488
00:27:30,990 --> 00:27:34,020
Um, well think in terms of the
simple support and resistance, we
489
00:27:34,020 --> 00:27:35,610
broke through it very aggressively.
490
00:27:36,060 --> 00:27:38,939
Um, it can come back, I'll
allow it to come back up there
491
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:40,290
and be good for the trade.
492
00:27:40,290 --> 00:27:41,760
That's what we were discussing in London.
493
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:46,169
Um, but I would've much rather
seen it, do the run up to that
494
00:27:46,169 --> 00:27:47,520
before the economic release.
495
00:27:47,850 --> 00:27:48,120
Okay.
496
00:27:48,120 --> 00:27:51,840
At four 30 and then drop off and then
come back and hit a bearish or block
497
00:27:52,169 --> 00:27:53,550
that would have formed at that level.
498
00:27:53,730 --> 00:27:54,929
Then it would have been lock.
499
00:27:54,990 --> 00:27:57,929
It would have been very easy for
this market to drop down because
500
00:27:58,379 --> 00:28:01,830
everything would have been in
place, but we are stuck in here.
501
00:28:01,949 --> 00:28:02,399
Okay.
502
00:28:05,950 --> 00:28:12,850
Probably high probability would have been
the market during Asia into, uh, Frankfurt
503
00:28:13,090 --> 00:28:18,370
going into this level here and then
retracing a little bit, and then running
504
00:28:18,370 --> 00:28:22,150
one more time at four 30, when the numbers
released, whatever that up camera would
505
00:28:22,150 --> 00:28:25,810
have been after it hit this level, that
would have been, that would have been it.
506
00:28:26,290 --> 00:28:30,100
I mean, I, that would have been a really
good setup for, so, but because they
507
00:28:30,100 --> 00:28:33,970
left this exposed area where it didn't
come back up and hit that low as a
508
00:28:33,970 --> 00:28:37,660
resistance price point, it means that
they could still come up there later on.
509
00:28:38,140 --> 00:28:41,080
And because we're trading in
London, it can do that in New York.
510
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,260
Even if we have a drop
off in London initially,
511
00:28:50,230 --> 00:28:53,320
why would I be looking at this low
and not the bears or a block up here,
512
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:59,950
or this one, this or a block you're
asking about Kim, this one right here.
513
00:28:59,950 --> 00:29:00,730
You're asking specifically.
514
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:10,260
Okay, because the order
block is above these lows.
515
00:29:12,410 --> 00:29:15,800
And if it's going to be good,
it's going to stop here.
516
00:29:16,290 --> 00:29:20,000
There there's no, there's no necessity
for them to come all the way back up
517
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,150
here because they broke all this support.
518
00:29:25,210 --> 00:29:26,770
So think about what's going on.
519
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:28,900
The books are, are net short up here.
520
00:29:29,620 --> 00:29:33,640
They don't want to come back up into
that range because the likelihood is, is
521
00:29:33,940 --> 00:29:38,920
they may, they may end up getting people
that are waiting for a deeper retracement
522
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:40,270
to get on board with their shorts too.
523
00:29:40,270 --> 00:29:41,020
They don't want that.
524
00:29:41,830 --> 00:29:45,760
They want to keep the pain on those
individuals that are along so they can do
525
00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:49,370
what squeeze them out of their positions.
526
00:29:50,930 --> 00:29:52,130
And that gets more liquidity.
527
00:29:52,670 --> 00:29:54,530
So the short answer is this.
528
00:29:54,950 --> 00:29:57,560
Once we broke these lows,
this whole consolidation, once
529
00:29:57,560 --> 00:29:58,730
it broke and did aggressive.
530
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,220
You don't want to see it
go back above this level.
531
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:04,890
If anything, you will permit it to trade
back up to that level, but you don't
532
00:30:04,890 --> 00:30:09,300
want to say it though above it, because
it might, if it does that this break in
533
00:30:09,300 --> 00:30:12,660
market structure is not as significant
as it was when it broke it here.
534
00:30:15,790 --> 00:30:19,180
Does that answer your question or at
least make it a little bit easier?
535
00:30:28,090 --> 00:30:30,940
Why would I expect it to go up to
that level before the news events?
536
00:30:30,940 --> 00:30:35,290
Because, uh, that would be
protraction, airy, um, price action
537
00:30:35,290 --> 00:30:39,220
or Judas swing up to a logical
area of institutional order flow.
538
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:42,490
I mean, the fact that we
cleared these staff is enough.
539
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:42,820
Yes.
540
00:30:42,820 --> 00:30:45,610
And I mentioned that during
the London, but I would've much
541
00:30:45,910 --> 00:30:47,230
rather seen it, hit that level.
542
00:30:48,285 --> 00:30:50,865
It would have been returned
back to resistance or support
543
00:30:50,865 --> 00:30:52,455
broken out, uh, resistance.
544
00:30:52,695 --> 00:30:56,025
And then we would wait for a bearish
or block the film or form rather,
545
00:30:56,265 --> 00:30:59,925
and then come back up to it later on
during the economic release, it would
546
00:30:59,925 --> 00:31:02,565
just would have been no more reason
for it to go back above that level.
547
00:31:02,745 --> 00:31:06,015
And we could not be fearful about
how much of a rally the four
548
00:31:06,015 --> 00:31:08,385
30 uh, event would have caused.
549
00:31:08,475 --> 00:31:11,475
That's the reason why I had to have my
stop up here initially, because we had
550
00:31:11,475 --> 00:31:15,885
this exposed area here and I could have
been wrong and it could have came all up
551
00:31:15,885 --> 00:31:17,295
and hit that bear shorter block anyway.
552
00:31:17,955 --> 00:31:19,935
So that's why it caused a larger stop.
553
00:31:21,105 --> 00:31:26,625
And that's the reason why as well, I
didn't want to see this, um, uh, level
554
00:31:27,015 --> 00:31:32,085
failed to get to before the numbers
released because it to go there allows
555
00:31:32,085 --> 00:31:37,535
us to have a smaller stop, but because
it didn't get there, we have to have a
556
00:31:37,565 --> 00:31:39,185
larger stop allowing price to move up.
557
00:31:42,315 --> 00:31:42,915
We might get it.
558
00:31:42,915 --> 00:31:48,615
Now we went to where this love here,
but again, same scenario we had here.
559
00:31:49,845 --> 00:31:52,245
It has this, it has to expand quickly.
560
00:31:52,335 --> 00:31:53,955
And again, it's still not doing that yet.
561
00:32:04,435 --> 00:32:05,185
If you're short.
562
00:32:05,185 --> 00:32:05,395
Yeah.
563
00:32:05,395 --> 00:32:06,295
I would go to breakeven.
564
00:32:07,675 --> 00:32:08,605
We're in New York now.
565
00:32:08,605 --> 00:32:09,745
So yeah.
566
00:32:11,035 --> 00:32:12,595
U kids expanding.
567
00:32:17,514 --> 00:32:18,985
Uh, we got a small
568
00:32:22,645 --> 00:32:23,875
little area of resistance there.
569
00:32:23,875 --> 00:32:26,605
We got to watch the 32 big figure.
570
00:32:28,745 --> 00:32:30,335
And
571
00:32:33,845 --> 00:32:34,205
I don't know.
572
00:32:34,205 --> 00:32:36,335
I think we might, we might have this now.
573
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:46,240
Right.
574
00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:48,820
So we have new York's
midnight candles opening here.
575
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:59,870
If we come down a little bit more, don't
run yet and come back up into here, right?
576
00:32:59,870 --> 00:33:01,520
To the bottom of up candles.
577
00:33:02,030 --> 00:33:05,480
That'd be a retest of new
York's open at midnight.
578
00:33:07,070 --> 00:33:08,649
And then we could probably see it right.
579
00:33:08,690 --> 00:33:13,010
Exposed liquidity below these lows here.
580
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:34,550
Hm.
581
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:54,169
dollar Keds.
582
00:33:57,980 --> 00:33:58,639
It's a,
583
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:11,549
this would just have to be an
observation when I wouldn't take
584
00:34:11,549 --> 00:34:12,630
anything where we're at now.
585
00:34:13,110 --> 00:34:18,150
I mean, to, to, to be long ahead of
such a short distance on resistance,
586
00:34:18,150 --> 00:34:22,320
because there could still soup in there
and go up above it and then retrace.
587
00:34:22,710 --> 00:34:23,969
And that's not what you want to be in.
588
00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:31,750
We have ball shore block here and here.
589
00:34:32,745 --> 00:34:33,705
Now we're expanding.
590
00:34:34,275 --> 00:34:38,715
So I don't think I have anything for
entry for us CAG or at least not yet.
591
00:34:52,985 --> 00:34:54,815
Five are still dead.
592
00:34:56,165 --> 00:34:58,415
Uh, like dollar dollar still looks good.
593
00:34:59,404 --> 00:35:02,404
I think we're going to
probably own a Crudo numbers.
594
00:35:02,404 --> 00:35:03,395
We'll probably want to run
595
00:35:09,805 --> 00:35:11,305
pound bear.
596
00:35:11,335 --> 00:35:12,145
Look at that right there.
597
00:35:12,205 --> 00:35:18,705
Who was here during the London session
live, which of you were here for that?
598
00:35:20,055 --> 00:35:22,965
Did you see me Nick in notation of this
right here as it was going below it.
599
00:35:26,065 --> 00:35:26,665
Sorry about that.
600
00:35:28,825 --> 00:35:30,115
I had a semi soft, please.
601
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:33,110
Being taken to school by
his older brother today.
602
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:36,620
All right.
603
00:35:36,620 --> 00:35:42,080
So we're not who look for CAD the run
through 32 big figure with momentum and no
604
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,060
willingness to want to come back below it.
605
00:35:46,250 --> 00:35:47,690
Cable releasing.
606
00:35:47,930 --> 00:35:48,140
Yeah.
607
00:35:48,150 --> 00:35:49,370
Watch this Orbach though.
608
00:35:53,140 --> 00:35:54,400
Still early in New York.
609
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:59,110
So we have our expectations are
if it's bearish still for the day.
610
00:36:01,420 --> 00:36:01,690
Okay.
611
00:36:02,380 --> 00:36:03,130
Can you guys hear me?
612
00:36:06,770 --> 00:36:07,130
Okay.
613
00:36:08,050 --> 00:36:09,470
It's probably on your end Tanner.
614
00:36:09,890 --> 00:36:15,890
The, uh, we're looking
for around below this low
615
00:36:19,220 --> 00:36:24,410
now, I would like for it to come
back up in here just a little
616
00:36:24,410 --> 00:36:26,210
bit between now and eight.
617
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,030
Between now and eight 20 to get
a little bit of a retracement.
618
00:36:31,900 --> 00:36:35,860
That'll be a very nice setup
for New York to be short.
619
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:39,220
And then we'd have all this price
action above the opening of New York.
620
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:39,700
I'm sorry.
621
00:36:40,240 --> 00:36:43,990
You open at midnight in New York to all
this would be the high, the daily range.
622
00:36:45,010 --> 00:36:48,550
And then we're going to be in the body of
the candle that forms the daily range and
623
00:36:48,590 --> 00:36:54,610
we'd be in position to expand or ride the
expansion rather down to the objectives.
624
00:36:54,610 --> 00:36:55,480
We've outlined here.
625
00:36:58,700 --> 00:37:01,040
I'm starving my stomach
on the ground, like crazy.
626
00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:02,660
So if you guys hear it, I apologize.
627
00:37:02,660 --> 00:37:05,870
I'm paying you a chance to eat
anything before I came back on.
628
00:37:20,500 --> 00:37:20,770
All right.
629
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:21,550
Let's all right.
630
00:37:21,550 --> 00:37:23,230
Let's play devil's advocate for a moment.
631
00:37:23,230 --> 00:37:23,590
Okay.
632
00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,260
Cause there are, there's going
to be times when we do that.
633
00:37:26,985 --> 00:37:29,895
And this is the reason why I don't
want you guys jumping in here late.
634
00:37:30,585 --> 00:37:33,285
And hearing me say, okay,
we're going to put a cell here.
635
00:37:33,345 --> 00:37:35,174
And all of a sudden you
think, oh, this is it.
636
00:37:35,205 --> 00:37:36,105
I'm going to, I'm going to do this.
637
00:37:36,105 --> 00:37:36,975
And this is how it should be.
638
00:37:38,205 --> 00:37:42,345
We have an expectation that price
should go lower on pound dollar.
639
00:37:42,735 --> 00:37:45,765
We have levels that we've outlined
where we think it may go ultimately
640
00:37:45,765 --> 00:37:47,535
for the day on the downside.
641
00:37:47,775 --> 00:37:51,165
So we're focusing primarily
being short dollar, I'm sorry,
642
00:37:51,674 --> 00:37:53,115
long dollar short cable.
643
00:37:53,895 --> 00:37:57,195
Um, fiber's not doing anything.
644
00:37:57,465 --> 00:38:00,134
It's not moving dollars.
645
00:38:00,975 --> 00:38:04,424
Uh, maintaining it's,
uh, consolidation here.
646
00:38:04,695 --> 00:38:06,645
I would rather, I would have
rather liked to come down and hit
647
00:38:06,645 --> 00:38:08,174
that roadblock, but that's okay.
648
00:38:08,265 --> 00:38:09,075
It's not necessary.
649
00:38:09,495 --> 00:38:11,505
Um, I expect this thing
to want to go higher.
650
00:38:13,395 --> 00:38:20,535
We're seeing that evidence also in U S
CAD real quick, across the board on the.
651
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:30,930
Not so much strengths on the
Swiss and on the dollar again
652
00:38:42,660 --> 00:38:44,520
and, or a block nice thought around here.
653
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:46,680
So we could get some
expanse on dollar yen.
654
00:38:50,340 --> 00:38:53,580
So I'd like the idea that dollar
has a reason to want to go higher.
655
00:38:54,990 --> 00:39:00,090
Cable's already been loose on the downside
and with fiber tight in a consolidation,
656
00:39:01,140 --> 00:39:08,310
Europound has reason to go higher, which
we've indicated here, but assume for a
657
00:39:08,310 --> 00:39:15,150
moment your, um, uh, Johnny neophyte.
658
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:15,840
Okay.
659
00:39:15,900 --> 00:39:19,110
You were in there, you have a conclusion
that you think is going to go lower.
660
00:39:19,650 --> 00:39:24,540
Um, here in the New York session, if
one were to want to trade short right
661
00:39:24,540 --> 00:39:26,940
now, and I'm not saying to do this okay.
662
00:39:27,150 --> 00:39:30,930
But we will do exercises where
we contrast, where we still have
663
00:39:30,930 --> 00:39:34,200
a directional probability of
higher, lower with levels in mind.
664
00:39:35,100 --> 00:39:39,390
I will purposely tell you in advance,
okay, we're going to do this with the
665
00:39:39,660 --> 00:39:44,370
understanding of how much draw down
you have to encounter by entering
666
00:39:44,370 --> 00:39:47,970
here versus entering rate at a bit, a
bear shorter block, or a bull or buck.
667
00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:52,140
So I understand what I'm about to say
is this is not an invitation to do that.
668
00:39:52,650 --> 00:39:53,040
Okay.
669
00:39:53,100 --> 00:39:57,210
I'm just telling you right now, if
you were to get short and you want
670
00:39:57,210 --> 00:40:00,690
to sell it right now, the question
is where would my stop-loss be?
671
00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:03,330
The stop-loss would have
to be above the daily high.
672
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:07,870
So words, if you're looking at it.
673
00:40:11,495 --> 00:40:12,545
Right now, it's where we're at.
674
00:40:12,785 --> 00:40:13,235
There.
675
00:40:18,135 --> 00:40:19,575
It's a forty-five PIP stock.
676
00:40:20,895 --> 00:40:26,535
Now contrast that with, if we
get a retracement into here, it
677
00:40:26,535 --> 00:40:28,125
only needs to be a 34 PIP stop.
678
00:40:29,325 --> 00:40:31,875
And that's why we would expect to see
a little bit of retracement during the
679
00:40:31,875 --> 00:40:34,185
eight o'clock to eight 20 time period.
680
00:40:34,185 --> 00:40:34,395
That's it.
681
00:40:34,615 --> 00:40:36,075
That's a good classic scenario.
682
00:40:36,075 --> 00:40:37,965
You would see on a daily range.
683
00:40:38,475 --> 00:40:40,245
Um, and it looks like this stuff here.
684
00:40:41,895 --> 00:40:42,225
Okay.
685
00:40:42,795 --> 00:40:46,305
Um, New York is the easiest animal.
686
00:40:46,485 --> 00:40:47,625
There is in trading.
687
00:40:47,775 --> 00:40:52,065
I mean, it's the easiest one to trade
because even if you're wrong about
688
00:40:52,095 --> 00:40:55,905
your interpretation of one in many
times, you can still get a range
689
00:40:55,935 --> 00:40:58,155
out of what's set up in New York.
690
00:40:58,635 --> 00:40:59,325
And what I mean by that?
691
00:41:00,645 --> 00:41:03,645
Uh, the, the Lowy, I'm
sorry, the high we made here.
692
00:41:03,645 --> 00:41:05,504
And we came down here
and I rallied back up.
693
00:41:05,774 --> 00:41:08,924
If you stole here and just got your
profit here at this old low and say
694
00:41:08,924 --> 00:41:13,365
it was reversing at that point, that's
still an area which you can take profit.
695
00:41:13,395 --> 00:41:15,134
I mean, it's a small little intraday move.
696
00:41:16,515 --> 00:41:19,785
I mean, some of you want that on a
daily basis and you can study the
697
00:41:19,785 --> 00:41:21,194
New York session for that reason.
698
00:41:22,484 --> 00:41:26,444
But if you have a daily range idea where
you think that the New York session
699
00:41:26,444 --> 00:41:30,225
is going to be just a retracement or
a Paul's for the second leg in the
700
00:41:30,225 --> 00:41:35,415
daily range to unfold, then it gives
you a lot of reasons to get positioned.
701
00:41:35,654 --> 00:41:39,165
And then wait for 10 o'clock to 11
o'clock in the morning, New York time to
702
00:41:39,165 --> 00:41:41,265
get that in that complete daily range.
703
00:42:05,620 --> 00:42:12,040
Yeah, the interest rate, uh, that
decision or lack of decision is
704
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:18,660
what's causing all this consolidation
and this meandering sideways and
705
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:20,620
markets don't have an opinion yet.
706
00:42:21,220 --> 00:42:27,610
And the market makers are building
in interest relative to the
707
00:42:27,610 --> 00:42:28,870
consolidations that we're seeing.
708
00:42:29,230 --> 00:42:31,600
So regardless of what the interest
rate announcement is going to be,
709
00:42:32,860 --> 00:42:36,670
we'll already have an idea of what the
market should be expecting based on
710
00:42:36,670 --> 00:42:38,710
what the consolidations have priced in.
711
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:43,060
And wherever the easiest money is to
knock out that's where it's going to go.
712
00:42:47,460 --> 00:42:49,830
So again, interest rates, I could
care less about the interest rate
713
00:42:50,340 --> 00:42:54,150
and the answer is no, when it comes,
excuse me, it's going to be a lot
714
00:42:54,150 --> 00:42:58,259
of impact in terms of where price is
going in terms of magnitude speed.
715
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:18,990
I wish it would just raise
interest rates and be done with it.
716
00:43:27,350 --> 00:43:28,850
But what I want doesn't make a difference.
717
00:43:29,630 --> 00:43:30,020
Um,
718
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:35,420
no, it's, it's the fact that.
719
00:43:37,350 --> 00:43:43,770
Interest rates are on the horizon and
dollar really hasn't escaped its range.
720
00:43:45,300 --> 00:43:47,250
And the play is really in your opinion.
721
00:44:04,900 --> 00:44:08,260
Well, if they raise interest rates that
comes with a lot of other things too,
722
00:44:08,260 --> 00:44:13,720
but, um, just for movement purposes,
I would love it in the, raise it up.
723
00:44:24,950 --> 00:44:25,280
All right.
724
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:27,770
So we're getting a little
bit of a retracement in here.
725
00:44:50,984 --> 00:44:54,045
Yeah, there's a lot of things
that's having an impact on
726
00:44:54,105 --> 00:44:55,545
the wait and see mentality.
727
00:44:56,295 --> 00:45:00,384
Um, if you look at the economic
calendar for the entire week
728
00:45:04,674 --> 00:45:07,464
now, my is actually what I just
told my son to turn the TV down.
729
00:45:08,455 --> 00:45:13,524
He's watching a TV show and sometimes
you'll hear that stuff in the background.
730
00:45:13,944 --> 00:45:18,024
And if I pause it at use any, tell
him, Hey, turn the TV down or Hey, be
731
00:45:18,024 --> 00:45:23,174
quiet this time of day they're active
because they get me to go to school.
732
00:45:23,685 --> 00:45:25,484
And now they're coming in
and ask me what's going on?
733
00:45:26,355 --> 00:45:28,395
You know, whatever the dads.
734
00:45:47,129 --> 00:45:49,170
Well, it's been run
with, it's not that much.
735
00:45:50,460 --> 00:45:50,700
All right.
736
00:45:50,700 --> 00:45:53,580
So what we're looking for,
again, it's this focus guys.
737
00:45:53,609 --> 00:45:57,450
The, uh, I want to see
this, this candle here.
738
00:45:57,450 --> 00:46:00,420
I want to see that get traded
back up into the very minimum.
739
00:46:00,420 --> 00:46:04,440
I want to see it hit this low of these
candles, the hits that I'll put a
740
00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:08,339
short one for New York and see if we
get some expansion on the downside.
741
00:46:11,839 --> 00:46:15,379
So I'm not requiring the opening
at New York to be retreated to.
742
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:16,580
I'm really only meaning.
743
00:46:22,950 --> 00:46:29,464
So if the candle can hit 31
96, I'll go into market short.
744
00:46:31,535 --> 00:46:32,225
That's Bella,
745
00:46:35,285 --> 00:46:35,975
hang on one second.
746
00:46:35,975 --> 00:46:36,935
She wants to come inside.
747
00:47:10,544 --> 00:47:10,975
Right?
748
00:47:15,535 --> 00:47:19,165
So anyway, if we get the run
up to this level in here, and
749
00:47:19,165 --> 00:47:20,515
I may actually need to do this,
750
00:47:24,134 --> 00:47:25,365
use the bodies of these candles.
751
00:47:26,714 --> 00:47:29,834
This down candle body
in this down candles by.
752
00:47:29,845 --> 00:47:34,274
So if we trade up to that and ignoring
the wicks, I'm allowing the price to
753
00:47:34,274 --> 00:47:37,964
come back up to 31 94, that does that.
754
00:47:38,535 --> 00:47:42,555
We change this to light that way.
755
00:47:42,575 --> 00:47:44,564
Allow me room to take something off.
756
00:47:44,595 --> 00:47:48,524
Once we take the lows out here, I'll
take first profit there, but in our
757
00:47:48,524 --> 00:47:52,064
20 pips, if we can get it, you know,
I'm not saying it's going to happen
758
00:47:52,305 --> 00:47:56,865
now, but if we get a retest up to this
level here, I'll sell at the market.
759
00:47:56,865 --> 00:47:58,875
There, look for first profit.
760
00:47:58,875 --> 00:48:04,575
And once it billows below these lows, and
then we'll lead the second a lot on the,
761
00:48:04,575 --> 00:48:10,245
see if we get those lower level objectives
for the daily range right now, we're just
762
00:48:10,245 --> 00:48:13,544
about crossing halfway point of two day.
763
00:48:14,564 --> 00:48:18,855
And again, that's defined by the blue
line, midnight in New York and three
764
00:48:18,855 --> 00:48:20,205
o'clock in the afternoon, New York.
765
00:48:20,205 --> 00:48:21,734
So we're writing about the middle of it.
766
00:48:22,860 --> 00:48:25,800
And since here's the other thing
for your, uh, your notebook?
767
00:48:26,490 --> 00:48:33,570
Um, if we do get expansion, um, we've
been in consolidation this entire day.
768
00:48:33,900 --> 00:48:36,180
It very little range, real,
real tight little range.
769
00:48:36,630 --> 00:48:41,970
And if we get expansion, should it come
by way of slow lethargic price action?
770
00:48:42,570 --> 00:48:49,320
Or should it be quick and decisive
because of what I kind of like really
771
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:50,970
lead it to you in that answer, but
772
00:48:56,160 --> 00:48:56,430
right.
773
00:48:56,430 --> 00:48:57,630
So there's less time.
774
00:48:58,290 --> 00:48:58,590
Okay.
775
00:48:58,590 --> 00:49:00,060
Less time in the day.
776
00:49:01,050 --> 00:49:05,730
So if it's going to move, we'll have to
be done quickly or what move lethargic.
777
00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:09,220
Exactly.
778
00:49:09,220 --> 00:49:10,270
Everyone's saying the same thing.
779
00:49:10,300 --> 00:49:10,720
Very good.
780
00:49:11,470 --> 00:49:12,850
It has to be done quickly.
781
00:49:12,880 --> 00:49:14,290
So it'll be a quick run.
782
00:49:14,590 --> 00:49:16,810
So it goes consolidation to expand.
783
00:49:17,865 --> 00:49:18,225
Okay.
784
00:49:18,695 --> 00:49:22,665
If that happens, if we start seeing it
move, it should move rather aggressively.
785
00:49:23,145 --> 00:49:24,945
Uh, the take the stops
below the marketplace.
786
00:49:25,575 --> 00:49:31,485
That's what we're, that's what the
assumptions are is it's eight, 15.
787
00:49:33,505 --> 00:49:34,575
I want to do it now.
788
00:49:36,535 --> 00:49:37,465
It might give me my price.
789
00:49:49,835 --> 00:49:52,685
Well, I'm waiting for us to hit it as
soon as it hits that level right there.
790
00:49:53,555 --> 00:49:57,815
If I'm going to show up, well, just
line, just watch the line that hits it.
791
00:49:57,815 --> 00:50:00,305
I'm going short right there to stop.
792
00:50:00,305 --> 00:50:03,845
We'll go above this high here.
793
00:50:03,845 --> 00:50:05,915
It says dealing range or
the bears were blocks up.
794
00:50:05,915 --> 00:50:06,725
It goes there again.
795
00:50:06,755 --> 00:50:09,365
I don't want to be in the trade and I'll
just take the loss and be done with it.
796
00:50:29,899 --> 00:50:33,080
And Tyler looks good here.
797
00:50:33,109 --> 00:50:34,040
He's asleep still.
798
00:50:34,940 --> 00:50:38,000
Cat's got to hit that 3,200 level.
799
00:50:39,919 --> 00:50:44,140
Honestly, I have to care
less about Peter pound
800
00:50:56,930 --> 00:50:57,140
of them.
801
00:50:57,140 --> 00:50:58,490
What you want to make sure they hear you?
802
00:50:58,490 --> 00:50:58,700
Huh?
803
00:51:05,565 --> 00:51:09,505
Well, the question is what's making me
change your mind about shorting the,
804
00:51:09,595 --> 00:51:11,515
uh, the cable, because this is demo.
805
00:51:12,735 --> 00:51:14,275
I wouldn't do it with
live funds right now.
806
00:51:14,305 --> 00:51:18,444
It's just going, it would go, it goes
against my, I don't want to be a seller of
807
00:51:18,444 --> 00:51:22,255
cable, but because of teaching purposes.
808
00:51:22,375 --> 00:51:23,575
So yeah, focus guys.
809
00:51:25,105 --> 00:51:25,495
Okay.
810
00:51:26,545 --> 00:51:29,125
Went in right at that level
and advisor to candle.
811
00:51:37,955 --> 00:51:38,464
All right.
812
00:51:38,525 --> 00:51:56,745
Start needs to be a third, 2 25 40
first, or just after it gets on much.
813
00:52:15,445 --> 00:52:20,005
and 6 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
814
00:52:21,985 --> 00:52:22,245
All right.
815
00:52:22,315 --> 00:52:22,885
That's that?
816
00:52:23,815 --> 00:52:27,985
Um, I have two lots on
permitting me to take one off.
817
00:52:28,015 --> 00:52:30,925
If we get a rollover in price
does come down below these lows.
818
00:52:31,405 --> 00:52:34,975
I will wait to see if there's any
expansion we get that I'll take one
819
00:52:34,975 --> 00:52:41,035
of the Watts off and I'll put a stop
to just above this short-term Huynh.
820
00:52:41,125 --> 00:52:44,215
And then once we, uh, take out this
level here, it will go to breakeven.
821
00:52:47,795 --> 00:52:51,515
And if it goes to a full stop
out, then it is what it is.
822
00:52:51,515 --> 00:52:54,275
And you guys got to see me take a while.
823
00:53:35,165 --> 00:53:42,035
now, since I'm short pound dollar
in the demo, what would I want to
824
00:53:42,035 --> 00:53:47,735
see to confirm that trade in us
cat, even though it's not directly
825
00:53:47,735 --> 00:53:50,255
related, what would you want to see?
826
00:53:58,295 --> 00:54:01,855
You want to see it go through
the 1 32 big figure as we
827
00:54:01,855 --> 00:54:03,175
outlined here with this level.
828
00:54:08,105 --> 00:54:08,465
Okay.
829
00:54:09,075 --> 00:54:12,995
You want to see it decisively go
through that, not just poke his head
830
00:54:12,995 --> 00:54:14,095
above water and then come back down.
831
00:54:14,145 --> 00:54:15,425
That's not what you want to see.
832
00:54:20,165 --> 00:54:25,595
If we see U S CAD run aggressively
through this and we see dollar even
833
00:54:25,805 --> 00:54:32,435
just stay like it is right here
that will allow this pair to expand.
834
00:54:32,435 --> 00:54:32,915
Go lower
835
00:54:35,945 --> 00:54:36,275
again.
836
00:54:36,275 --> 00:54:40,835
It's all a market symmetry when
everything's in agreement, when
837
00:54:40,835 --> 00:54:45,545
things are, are supported in other
pairs, conversely, if there's an
838
00:54:45,545 --> 00:54:47,975
inversion between relationships.
839
00:54:48,930 --> 00:54:49,560
Pound dollar.
840
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:53,189
If it's going down, then
us cash should go up.
841
00:54:54,180 --> 00:54:57,779
But if you see a level like we're
approaching here, this is a really
842
00:54:57,779 --> 00:54:58,950
good environment for you to learn.
843
00:54:58,950 --> 00:55:05,470
Because even if I don't get, um, the
pound dollar to unfold favorably and go
844
00:55:05,580 --> 00:55:09,629
to these lows of take first profit, I say,
let's play devil's advocate for a moment.
845
00:55:09,629 --> 00:55:15,689
Say that us cat does in fact go up here
and internal soups and this rejects, that
846
00:55:15,689 --> 00:55:19,410
would be a perfect illustration of why
you need to be paying attention to these
847
00:55:19,410 --> 00:55:23,609
things in your own trades, because if
it does this, okay, if it goes up here
848
00:55:23,609 --> 00:55:28,770
and fails and starts to come back down,
it'll allow you the ability to collapse
849
00:55:28,770 --> 00:55:30,180
the trade and not get a full stop.
850
00:55:30,990 --> 00:55:35,129
In other words, it doesn't give you a
confirmation that you're in a good trade.
851
00:55:35,339 --> 00:55:36,149
Does that make sense?
852
00:55:37,109 --> 00:55:39,240
We don't always just wait
around for a full stop out.
853
00:55:42,205 --> 00:55:45,654
Just because we have a staff in
place doesn't mean, Hey, well, you
854
00:55:45,654 --> 00:55:49,734
know, I'm willing to lose this on
a risk, but if I can get a discount
855
00:55:49,855 --> 00:55:51,654
on a loss, then I'll take that too.
856
00:55:54,455 --> 00:55:59,134
Hey, we're all we're always managing
and balancing and weighing things.
857
00:55:59,734 --> 00:56:02,584
It's not just simply get in there,
take the train, you put your stop,
858
00:56:02,615 --> 00:56:04,265
get your limit and walk away.
859
00:56:04,294 --> 00:56:05,404
Or just worry about this one.
860
00:56:05,404 --> 00:56:09,605
You're looking at the general market
conditions across all the other pairs
861
00:56:09,605 --> 00:56:11,524
and ones that are hitting major levels.
862
00:56:14,165 --> 00:56:14,314
Yeah.
863
00:56:14,314 --> 00:56:18,154
We want to see a willingness for them
to drive right on through that show.
864
00:56:18,154 --> 00:56:22,865
Very little interest in stopping or
pausing, and that would build more
865
00:56:22,865 --> 00:56:29,794
confidence that what you have in your
other pairs, that would be, uh, inverted
866
00:56:29,794 --> 00:56:31,415
to what you're expecting to see in here.
867
00:56:31,845 --> 00:56:34,625
You're checking to see prices go
higher in this pair that would
868
00:56:34,625 --> 00:56:37,475
translate into expectations
of a lower price move in case.
869
00:56:44,020 --> 00:56:48,439
The question I, um, I got was, um,
why wouldn't this bullish order block
870
00:56:48,439 --> 00:56:53,240
be a bind, um, because we haven't
exposed range down here on that
871
00:56:53,240 --> 00:56:56,089
liquidity void on the hourly chart,
which we'll look at in a minute.
872
00:56:56,299 --> 00:56:59,000
I just want to see if this thing
was going to be moving right now.
873
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:03,169
So, uh, exactly when the,
uh, CME starts trading.
874
00:57:03,169 --> 00:57:09,629
So let's see what the effects are
after the future starts trading.
875
00:57:26,930 --> 00:57:29,720
Now, if this would have
happened here, okay.
876
00:57:29,779 --> 00:57:33,350
At the completeness of may have
a fresh chard that show you.
877
00:57:36,675 --> 00:57:39,665
There's no way I could do this with
life funds and be able to talk to you.
878
00:57:39,975 --> 00:57:40,395
Absolutely.
879
00:57:40,395 --> 00:57:42,105
Zero, no chance that would have happened.
880
00:57:45,815 --> 00:57:54,965
Um, yeah, we have this
void still on cable here.
881
00:57:55,415 --> 00:57:58,775
Had it been like these two lows here
happened Ray, at that, then it would've
882
00:57:58,775 --> 00:58:03,785
been, then the older block would be more
influential on the upside near term.
883
00:58:03,785 --> 00:58:08,105
Not like picking a lower end like that,
but, but which as we have this exposed
884
00:58:08,105 --> 00:58:12,665
range between this Boyd and the lows
that formed, that's why I'm telling you
885
00:58:12,665 --> 00:58:18,585
that I don't personally believe that
this is a by area that help you, man.
886
00:58:26,025 --> 00:58:26,685
No worries.
887
00:58:26,685 --> 00:58:30,825
It's in simple terms, I believe
that they're going to want
888
00:58:30,825 --> 00:58:31,845
to take the market down here.
889
00:58:33,135 --> 00:58:36,315
So anything bullish here
would just be minor.
890
00:58:37,155 --> 00:58:41,265
And the more money is below the
marketplace here because they showed a
891
00:58:41,265 --> 00:58:42,915
willingness to drive price aggressively.
892
00:58:43,425 --> 00:58:48,705
And somebody chased that and we're
dragging the price down against them now.
893
00:58:49,095 --> 00:58:51,885
And ultimately those that want to
have white stops, they're going to
894
00:58:51,885 --> 00:58:54,825
play some below here and I believe
that's what we're going to end up
895
00:58:54,825 --> 00:58:59,145
seeing priced for today, uh, 31 57.
896
00:58:59,145 --> 00:59:02,235
So that gives us a decent amount
of pips for downside objective,
897
00:59:02,235 --> 00:59:03,465
if we can get some expansion.
898
00:59:14,935 --> 00:59:17,185
Yeah, it's a, um, it's a valid point.
899
00:59:17,185 --> 00:59:21,265
Chris Santa's exposure range on both
sides of the day is a bad day trade.
900
00:59:21,965 --> 00:59:22,585
It is.
901
00:59:22,645 --> 00:59:25,045
I mean, the probabilities are not high.
902
00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:29,580
Know, if we're going to get in
here every single day and teach and
903
00:59:29,580 --> 00:59:34,500
practice and, and, you know, give
you a framework to go with it, you
904
00:59:34,500 --> 00:59:36,480
know, as a trader, you got to do it.
905
00:59:37,080 --> 00:59:40,379
And I can't, I can't run a service
just doing one trade a week.
906
00:59:41,279 --> 00:59:42,810
You guys will be quickly bored with that.
907
00:59:59,930 --> 01:00:03,890
Well, yeah, Kane, um, Kane's asking, it
could be waiting for the news at 10 30.
908
01:00:03,890 --> 01:00:08,419
It could be, uh, that's why I'm
hoping that it drives through well,
909
01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:11,240
you know, shows no willingness to
stop you and drives through ahead
910
01:00:11,270 --> 01:00:14,509
of the news, because what that'll
be is they're actually pricing and
911
01:00:14,509 --> 01:00:16,819
what that report is going to give us.
912
01:00:17,390 --> 01:00:21,649
And then it'll probably be a strong
rejection lower after the afternoon.
913
01:00:22,279 --> 01:00:27,149
Uh, if we stay below this level,
Before 10 30, which is highly unlikely.
914
01:00:27,149 --> 01:00:28,049
We're so close to it.
915
01:00:28,740 --> 01:00:31,740
Um, I would expect the news report
to drive it higher aggressively,
916
01:00:32,520 --> 01:00:35,490
but I don't want to wait between
now and 10 30 because you know,
917
01:00:35,490 --> 01:00:39,990
we have a short, a short pound on
918
01:00:50,729 --> 01:00:55,169
I do when I'm really aggressively
positioning for a cat.
919
01:00:55,169 --> 01:00:59,609
I'll watch crude oil, but for
minor fluctuations like this,
920
01:00:59,609 --> 01:01:00,629
I'm not really so concerned.
921
01:01:02,100 --> 01:01:04,680
And it's noted to crude on the
numbers are going to influence
922
01:01:04,709 --> 01:01:07,169
near term volatility in the CAD.
923
01:01:19,069 --> 01:01:20,640
I don't know which man it was.
924
01:01:20,640 --> 01:01:22,350
I just remember seeing that, sorry.
925
01:01:23,535 --> 01:01:29,355
It's a lot, the bounce between
Martin price and fielding questions.
926
01:01:29,355 --> 01:01:33,075
If they come up, that's why I was
asking if everyone would just keep the,
927
01:01:33,435 --> 01:01:34,515
you don't even have to say thank you.
928
01:01:34,515 --> 01:01:39,625
It's just, if you need some, you
know, if you need some more insight
929
01:01:39,625 --> 01:01:40,765
about what I'm saying, then yeah.
930
01:01:40,795 --> 01:01:41,605
Prompt me for that.
931
01:01:42,355 --> 01:01:44,755
But like opinions and stuff like that.
932
01:01:44,815 --> 01:01:46,674
No fans, I'm not really
interested in your opinion.
933
01:01:48,384 --> 01:01:49,435
I'm okay with being wrong.
934
01:02:13,785 --> 01:02:16,964
Um, I tried doing the question
stuff after the video and I ended
935
01:02:16,964 --> 01:02:17,825
up being here for like three.
936
01:02:18,840 --> 01:02:21,570
And that's not what I want you, there's
no way you guys are going to be able to
937
01:02:21,570 --> 01:02:25,560
digest 20 hours a week in video content.
938
01:02:25,890 --> 01:02:26,910
There's no way you're going to do it.
939
01:02:27,000 --> 01:02:28,320
There's just absolutely no way.
940
01:02:29,130 --> 01:02:35,490
So a couple of times a week, I'm willing
to spend that, you know, an hour, hour
941
01:02:35,490 --> 01:02:40,140
and 20 minutes like that, and a video
presentation when it warrants it, given
942
01:02:40,140 --> 01:02:43,380
the conditions we're trading with today
is a lot of explanation that goes along
943
01:02:43,380 --> 01:02:49,050
with this, there's gonna be days where
the market just responds really well.
944
01:02:49,110 --> 01:02:53,430
And we can do the session in 15
minutes, everything will be done.
945
01:02:53,460 --> 01:02:54,570
It's it's it, it's over.
946
01:02:54,570 --> 01:03:00,510
There's nothing to really talk about,
but because there's more to talk about
947
01:03:00,510 --> 01:03:06,570
when you want to be avoiding trading
than there is about what actual trading
948
01:03:07,350 --> 01:03:09,180
and high-poverty conditions look like.
949
01:03:09,870 --> 01:03:12,900
It's very, it's very little things to
concern yourself with, with high prices.
950
01:03:14,160 --> 01:03:16,740
Low probability is a lot of the
things to concern yourself with.
951
01:03:16,779 --> 01:03:21,330
It requires a lot more jawboning
and being in here explaining what's
952
01:03:21,330 --> 01:03:24,240
going on, why should be dominant
and why it shouldn't be doing that?
953
01:03:41,640 --> 01:03:46,860
The, uh, the, uh, the question was,
well, I have more discussion about
954
01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:51,089
using, uh, relationships with other
payers to support your trade ideas.
955
01:03:51,089 --> 01:03:51,450
Yes.
956
01:03:52,410 --> 01:03:55,589
That's intro it's intermarket
and intermarket analysis.
957
01:03:55,630 --> 01:03:57,299
You'll have all that stuff given to you.
958
01:04:01,680 --> 01:04:02,009
Okay.
959
01:04:02,040 --> 01:04:03,630
Cat's hitting at 1 32,
960
01:04:08,670 --> 01:04:09,000
hit it.
961
01:04:09,060 --> 01:04:09,870
1 32.
962
01:04:16,225 --> 01:04:19,044
Again, we want to see it expand
aggressively through that, not
963
01:04:19,075 --> 01:04:22,225
these little wimpy candles where it
wants to peek its head above it, or
964
01:04:22,225 --> 01:04:23,455
just touch the 30 too big for you.
965
01:04:23,464 --> 01:04:24,234
That's not what you want.
966
01:04:24,955 --> 01:04:29,544
You want to see them reach real
deep, far beyond that big figure
967
01:04:29,634 --> 01:04:31,225
to gather up any liquidity.
968
01:04:33,455 --> 01:04:34,024
Cause think about it.
969
01:04:34,055 --> 01:04:38,734
I mean, it would be in their interest
to dry price higher because looking at
970
01:04:38,734 --> 01:04:45,605
CAD here, is it, is it a safe bet that
the banks are net long on this pair?
971
01:04:45,754 --> 01:04:46,325
Dollar cat?
972
01:04:53,165 --> 01:04:54,154
I mean, pretty obvious, right?
973
01:04:54,154 --> 01:04:59,944
I mean, this is obvious that this pair
has a net long book at the bank level.
974
01:05:00,484 --> 01:05:06,365
So if you're going to see a level like
a big figure, 1 32 even, is it in their
975
01:05:06,365 --> 01:05:09,694
interest to just offer a price just at 32.
976
01:05:10,740 --> 01:05:13,650
Or they've done it through their okay.
977
01:05:14,160 --> 01:05:15,450
To reach for liquidity.
978
01:05:15,540 --> 01:05:18,510
That would be well above just
the 1 32 big figure, because
979
01:05:18,510 --> 01:05:19,650
that's where they want to exit.
980
01:05:21,410 --> 01:05:25,160
So the expectation is we don't want
to see a wimpy just touch 1 32.
981
01:05:25,160 --> 01:05:27,860
Even we want to see them
drive it through it.
982
01:05:28,130 --> 01:05:31,100
And we would expect that to happen
because the books are already net long
983
01:05:31,610 --> 01:05:36,440
and they want to exit a high, higher
price, not just a wimpy old big figure.
984
01:05:36,740 --> 01:05:38,090
They're going to try to
drive it through that.
985
01:05:38,090 --> 01:05:42,020
That's what we expect or anticipate
when it occurs, especially by
986
01:05:42,020 --> 01:05:44,210
knowing what's already happened,
where price has moved from.
987
01:05:45,140 --> 01:05:46,700
It's all about role-playing okay.
988
01:05:46,730 --> 01:05:47,420
You're the bank.
989
01:05:47,480 --> 01:05:48,320
You're net long.
990
01:05:48,530 --> 01:05:51,320
Do you want to take profits here or
do you want to offer price higher
991
01:05:51,470 --> 01:05:54,800
where you can unload them at a
higher price and get more profit?
992
01:05:55,640 --> 01:05:57,440
Obviously you're going to
offer it at a higher price.
993
01:05:57,950 --> 01:06:01,280
So for trading at a big figure
level, you anticipate, and this is
994
01:06:01,280 --> 01:06:05,120
the reason why, when we talk about
big figure trading, it's always
995
01:06:05,120 --> 01:06:07,520
at least 20 pips above or below.
996
01:06:07,520 --> 01:06:08,890
In other words, if it's
moving up to a big.
997
01:06:09,705 --> 01:06:12,795
It won't just trade rate to the big
figure and stop many times it'll go 20
998
01:06:12,795 --> 01:06:14,865
pips or do a little bit more than that.
999
01:06:15,525 --> 01:06:18,315
Usually on average because there's
liquidity resting above these
1000
01:06:18,315 --> 01:06:20,025
round numbers in the form of funds.
1001
01:06:20,715 --> 01:06:25,425
So when we see this big Sur a big 1
32 figure the expectations that we
1002
01:06:25,425 --> 01:06:26,745
want to see expansion go through that
1003
01:06:39,945 --> 01:06:43,335
consolidation means that there
is a accumulation of orders.
1004
01:06:43,845 --> 01:06:49,815
And by looking at other payers, um,
you'll know what, what pairs being
1005
01:06:49,815 --> 01:06:53,505
driven with the consolidations like
we've, we've been monitoring, uh, you're
1006
01:06:53,505 --> 01:06:57,345
a dollar mean consolidation relative
to the weakness in pound dollar.
1007
01:07:00,465 --> 01:07:06,075
This panel, that's the last line of
defense for my idea for New York.
1008
01:07:08,625 --> 01:07:13,045
So I don't want to go above
the middle of that up candle
1009
01:07:16,155 --> 01:07:16,785
eyeball on it.
1010
01:07:16,785 --> 01:07:17,115
So
1011
01:07:21,585 --> 01:07:25,335
now right as level is one 30 to six.
1012
01:07:26,445 --> 01:07:29,745
So I'm a little, I'm a
little distance about that.
1013
01:07:29,745 --> 01:07:34,905
So I've got two levels of defense below me
in the form of this bear, shorter block.
1014
01:07:35,145 --> 01:07:38,805
We have another bear shoulder block here,
and I'm in the middle of this one here.
1015
01:07:39,225 --> 01:07:41,535
So if it comes up there, I definitely
don't want to be in this trade.
1016
01:07:41,535 --> 01:07:44,085
And I'm okay with taking that
because it's probably going to run.
1017
01:07:46,645 --> 01:07:49,195
I don't see it here, but I'm just saying
if it gets there as levels, that would be.
1018
01:07:50,070 --> 01:07:52,110
The reasons why I would be
okay with being stopped out.
1019
01:07:53,040 --> 01:07:56,190
And when you put a stop-loss and
Yappo stop-loss loss and where number
1020
01:07:56,190 --> 01:07:59,790
one, it makes sense to be out of the
marketplace and you would be thankful
1021
01:07:59,790 --> 01:08:03,060
to be out there not, oh, it just
took my stock out and you could go
1022
01:08:03,060 --> 01:08:04,080
the other way right then and there.
1023
01:08:04,200 --> 01:08:05,790
And that's not where you want
to put your stop off set.
1024
01:08:06,210 --> 01:08:09,720
If you go back over your old charts
and entries, many times, you probably
1025
01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:13,050
put your stock rate at an Orbach, and
there's been so many people I've seen
1026
01:08:13,080 --> 01:08:17,310
on Twitter and on Facebook that claimed
they knew how to trade and they put
1027
01:08:17,310 --> 01:08:18,660
your stop-loss rate in over a block.
1028
01:08:19,920 --> 01:08:21,330
Then it goes right to
their stock, hates it.
1029
01:08:21,330 --> 01:08:22,020
And everyone's the other way.
1030
01:08:22,020 --> 01:08:25,770
And they're complaining and crying about,
you know, how they got knocked down.
1031
01:08:26,760 --> 01:08:30,120
And of course we've all done
that, but it's, it's a lot more
1032
01:08:30,120 --> 01:08:33,840
gratifying when you know that you
got stopped out for a real reason.
1033
01:08:33,930 --> 01:08:36,600
And it's good to be stopped out where
you got stopped out at, because it's
1034
01:08:36,600 --> 01:08:37,680
going to be running the other way.
1035
01:08:38,069 --> 01:08:41,010
And there's no, there's
no argument about it.
1036
01:08:42,720 --> 01:08:44,190
Let's go back to very much a cat again.
1037
01:08:45,465 --> 01:08:45,675
All right.
1038
01:08:45,675 --> 01:08:48,315
So let's poke and set
up all that big figure.
1039
01:08:48,315 --> 01:08:49,605
1 32, even
1040
01:08:53,085 --> 01:08:54,495
again, we want to see expansion to that.
1041
01:08:54,495 --> 01:08:58,305
Not just this little pancake stuff
we want to get through it, driving it
1042
01:08:58,305 --> 01:09:00,675
hard, big, big candle through that.
1043
01:09:19,845 --> 01:09:21,765
There's so much money out there.
1044
01:09:21,765 --> 01:09:22,155
Again.
1045
01:09:22,155 --> 01:09:23,115
Don't worry about this stuff.
1046
01:09:23,115 --> 01:09:23,505
Not working.
1047
01:09:50,995 --> 01:09:51,175
Good.
1048
01:09:51,175 --> 01:09:53,064
Nice to see his dollar
go up a little bit more.
1049
01:10:02,505 --> 01:10:04,005
I want to see steady up closes.
1050
01:10:04,005 --> 01:10:05,205
Even if it's marginally up.
1051
01:10:05,385 --> 01:10:08,715
I want to see stay up close
candles and then it'll expand it
1052
01:10:18,745 --> 01:10:19,345
for us.
1053
01:10:19,345 --> 01:10:20,965
Cat, if I was long.
1054
01:10:21,985 --> 01:10:23,275
Well, I mean, you're asking me something.
1055
01:10:23,275 --> 01:10:23,394
Yeah.
1056
01:10:24,190 --> 01:10:26,100
It doesn't really benefit
anybody by saying that because
1057
01:10:26,100 --> 01:10:27,060
it's all pure hindsight.
1058
01:10:29,140 --> 01:10:34,890
We can buying in the order block
here at the top of the candle and
1059
01:10:34,890 --> 01:10:36,090
your stocks have to be below that.
1060
01:10:36,360 --> 01:10:39,720
Then you have another order block here,
which is a propulsion camera because it's
1061
01:10:40,260 --> 01:10:42,060
giving into a lower level order block.
1062
01:10:42,060 --> 01:10:43,620
And it's not that many cans away from it.
1063
01:10:44,700 --> 01:10:46,500
So this is where the actual buying.
1064
01:10:46,530 --> 01:10:51,180
So you can actually look at the middle
of this candle and where we traded here.
1065
01:10:51,930 --> 01:10:56,700
And I'll give you the price
that they were working in
1066
01:11:00,700 --> 01:11:01,660
31 50.
1067
01:11:02,230 --> 01:11:04,570
So there's a buy that there.
1068
01:11:05,470 --> 01:11:10,630
And we'd have to see if it wants
to reach 30 to 15 or 30 to 20,
1069
01:11:10,660 --> 01:11:12,130
which is what I'm looking for.
1070
01:11:19,000 --> 01:11:19,870
Can you guys hear me now?
1071
01:11:24,615 --> 01:11:24,795
Okay.
1072
01:11:24,795 --> 01:11:26,115
Couple people said they lost audio.
1073
01:11:26,835 --> 01:11:26,924
Okay.
1074
01:11:36,825 --> 01:11:37,275
Okay.
1075
01:11:40,535 --> 01:11:40,835
All right.
1076
01:11:40,835 --> 01:11:45,065
So we're just gonna sit here
and, uh, allow price to gyrate.
1077
01:11:45,335 --> 01:11:49,085
Um, just stops in.
1078
01:11:49,085 --> 01:11:54,335
You can see that the objectives are
noted and I will come back in a moment.
1079
01:11:54,365 --> 01:11:58,205
I'm just going to put you on mute while
I do my dad's stuff with my youngest.
1080
01:12:04,085 --> 01:12:06,335
Again, we don't want to see
any retracement, you know,
1081
01:12:06,335 --> 01:12:11,615
retracements from this level,
ideally it needs to expand through.
1082
01:12:11,705 --> 01:12:16,684
Cause if I was long, I'm going to
try to book exits at 30 to 10 30.
1083
01:12:20,040 --> 01:12:23,570
So that's the rationale behind why
I'm expecting it to gone through
1084
01:12:23,599 --> 01:12:25,349
and it can happen before the news.
1085
01:12:29,730 --> 01:12:34,589
The question that I got, um, is it
advisable for us to, as traders to
1086
01:12:34,599 --> 01:12:37,620
set the stop loss and a take profit.
1087
01:12:37,650 --> 01:12:40,170
So you don't have to be
watching price all day.
1088
01:12:40,170 --> 01:12:41,730
That's exactly what you'd be doing.
1089
01:12:42,839 --> 01:12:43,509
That's what we have.
1090
01:12:43,769 --> 01:12:46,049
That's why we have our
orders in down here.
1091
01:12:46,559 --> 01:12:50,250
I used to take profit,
stop loss, stop loss.
1092
01:12:50,309 --> 01:12:55,740
Uh, 31 pips profit is 62 pips.
1093
01:13:04,190 --> 01:13:04,519
Okay.
1094
01:13:11,660 --> 01:13:14,650
Order blocks are the same,
regardless of what asset class.
1095
01:13:17,160 --> 01:13:21,000
So during the recordings, I'm
gonna ask you not to speed up all
1096
01:13:21,000 --> 01:13:22,230
the times when I'm not talking.
1097
01:13:23,610 --> 01:13:26,280
So that way the videos
aren't so gradual under huge,
1098
01:13:29,320 --> 01:13:33,130
that way, it's only the stuff that
makes the most sense, listening to
1099
01:13:33,520 --> 01:13:38,110
any periods of quietness or just be
sped up for the sake of continuity.
1100
01:13:42,610 --> 01:13:47,710
So, uh, earlier when my son was sitting
on my lap, tell me what he was going
1101
01:13:47,710 --> 01:13:48,880
to do when he gets home from school.
1102
01:13:50,210 --> 01:13:53,860
He, uh, I was outlining this level here.
1103
01:13:53,860 --> 01:13:55,600
I wanted to see expansion on the downside.
1104
01:13:55,930 --> 01:13:59,260
Um, we want to see upside expansion.
1105
01:13:59,260 --> 01:14:02,830
So the big 1 32 figure
over here on dollar cat.
1106
01:14:03,580 --> 01:14:06,040
We want to see advancement
on the dollar index.
1107
01:14:06,790 --> 01:14:09,070
Um, I'm comfortable
where my stock is here.
1108
01:14:09,100 --> 01:14:09,960
Really, really comfortable.
1109
01:14:10,860 --> 01:14:12,720
Um, it shouldn't go up to that level.
1110
01:14:12,720 --> 01:14:17,250
And the reason why is look at how much
time we've spent trading all in this area.
1111
01:14:18,480 --> 01:14:18,810
Okay.
1112
01:14:19,170 --> 01:14:21,510
All this entire block of price.
1113
01:14:22,500 --> 01:14:24,300
I mean, let me shade it
in so you can see it.
1114
01:14:24,390 --> 01:14:26,790
I want you to understand it
from a conceptual point of view
1115
01:14:35,520 --> 01:14:44,030
this entire day from midnight
New York, to hear all that.
1116
01:14:44,900 --> 01:14:46,310
I mean, change the color of it.
1117
01:14:57,800 --> 01:15:02,150
This entire shaded area that
is very efficiently traded.
1118
01:15:02,450 --> 01:15:09,670
So the range high or a daily
high coming in at 1 30, 2 31.
1119
01:15:10,889 --> 01:15:12,210
The opening at New York.
1120
01:15:14,130 --> 01:15:18,040
Well, that would be up here,
but the lows created here or
1121
01:15:18,040 --> 01:15:19,889
you use that reference 31 94.
1122
01:15:20,250 --> 01:15:24,750
So that range in price has
been really efficiently traded.
1123
01:15:24,839 --> 01:15:27,690
It's been so many times passed
back and forth in that range.
1124
01:15:28,860 --> 01:15:32,610
The only reason for it to go north
would be to take the daily high out.
1125
01:15:33,630 --> 01:15:34,049
Okay.
1126
01:15:34,349 --> 01:15:37,620
And if I see it start taking out
this or block here on collapse in the
1127
01:15:37,620 --> 01:15:39,030
trade, I'm going to say this full stop.
1128
01:15:39,059 --> 01:15:42,780
I won't worry about, um, are messing
with it and it won't be any concern
1129
01:15:42,780 --> 01:15:46,320
for me because I'll know that it's not
coming back up here for an order block.
1130
01:15:46,320 --> 01:15:48,690
It's coming back up here for
the stops when the daily high.
1131
01:15:49,500 --> 01:15:51,900
So before I go any further, do you
understand what I just said there?
1132
01:15:52,139 --> 01:15:53,460
If you don't understand
what I've just said.
1133
01:16:00,240 --> 01:16:00,599
Okay.
1134
01:16:01,259 --> 01:16:03,509
The fact that we've spent all this time.
1135
01:16:04,710 --> 01:16:10,260
Several hours of today, all inside
this shaded area between the range low
1136
01:16:10,260 --> 01:16:14,940
created this line here and the daily
high that's like, this is the case high.
1137
01:16:17,250 --> 01:16:21,570
If we see all this price
action and in here, okay.
1138
01:16:22,080 --> 01:16:25,290
Each time it did this, it was
making a lower, low, lower, low,
1139
01:16:25,320 --> 01:16:26,910
I'm sorry, lower high each time.
1140
01:16:27,180 --> 01:16:28,980
And it's pressing lower.
1141
01:16:29,010 --> 01:16:33,150
Like we were anticipating the low
out here to be ran for the liquidity.
1142
01:16:33,180 --> 01:16:36,060
There's no reason for it to go up
to here, unless it's going to go
1143
01:16:36,060 --> 01:16:38,580
all the way above the daily high and
get the stock above the daily high.
1144
01:16:38,980 --> 01:16:40,380
I'm not saying you can't do that.
1145
01:16:40,380 --> 01:16:42,510
It absolutely can do that all the time.
1146
01:16:42,540 --> 01:16:43,200
Every single day.
1147
01:16:43,200 --> 01:16:43,740
It can do that.
1148
01:16:44,340 --> 01:16:50,280
But for probability sake for, for the New
York session today, to least resistance.
1149
01:16:50,370 --> 01:16:50,760
Okay.
1150
01:16:50,790 --> 01:16:52,530
And so this is what I'm
going to explain to you here.
1151
01:16:53,010 --> 01:16:55,950
This is what's called a
low resistance liquidity.
1152
01:16:56,805 --> 01:16:58,665
The stops above today's high.
1153
01:16:58,905 --> 01:17:00,705
That's a high resistance liquidity run.
1154
01:17:00,975 --> 01:17:04,815
It's got to go through this short term
high, this short-term high, this short
1155
01:17:04,815 --> 01:17:07,485
term high, this short-term high, this
short term high, just to get to that.
1156
01:17:07,695 --> 01:17:11,895
And there's multiple layered or blocks in
there that it has to contend with going
1157
01:17:11,895 --> 01:17:15,525
on the upside versus just dropping down
here and taking the liquid below that low.
1158
01:17:15,915 --> 01:17:17,925
This is a low resistance liquidity run.
1159
01:17:18,135 --> 01:17:19,845
This is a high resistance liquidity run.
1160
01:17:19,905 --> 01:17:22,605
My stop is in an area of
high resistance liquidity.
1161
01:17:30,615 --> 01:17:31,245
Yes.
1162
01:17:31,515 --> 01:17:35,445
The, uh, the answer to the question
it was, uh, posted be, um, by order
1163
01:17:35,455 --> 01:17:37,035
stacking above these short-term highs.
1164
01:17:37,035 --> 01:17:41,145
Yes, they would be, but you're,
you have to look at where the, when
1165
01:17:41,595 --> 01:17:47,385
remember the analogy I gave when
prices moving across our charts, you
1166
01:17:47,395 --> 01:17:49,185
got to imagine it as a paintbrush.
1167
01:17:50,175 --> 01:17:50,685
Okay.
1168
01:17:50,775 --> 01:17:52,575
The paintbrush can only hold so much.
1169
01:17:53,670 --> 01:17:54,330
Per stroke.
1170
01:17:54,420 --> 01:17:54,690
Okay.
1171
01:17:54,690 --> 01:17:57,360
And as you use, the paintbrush
is loaded with that pain.
1172
01:17:57,450 --> 01:18:00,450
The supply of pain is reduced.
1173
01:18:01,050 --> 01:18:06,750
Well, a lot of paint has been used up to
paint this entire price range up here.
1174
01:18:07,560 --> 01:18:12,840
There's no area down here painted, except
for this one time little area over here.
1175
01:18:13,050 --> 01:18:15,960
So it's going to want to go down there
and then go into a new territory.
1176
01:18:17,130 --> 01:18:17,370
Okay.
1177
01:18:17,370 --> 01:18:21,870
So it's, it's less likely to want
to come back above this whole
1178
01:18:21,870 --> 01:18:25,470
block of price action than it is
to want to go down below here.
1179
01:18:25,560 --> 01:18:29,490
So yes, there are stops up here,
but they're not of any concern right
1180
01:18:29,490 --> 01:18:31,980
now because the most liquidity is
below the lowest because they've
1181
01:18:31,980 --> 01:18:37,290
given indications that they wanted
to make price, uh, more buyers in.
1182
01:18:37,980 --> 01:18:40,500
And we gave that nice little
rally up and clear to staff's.
1183
01:18:40,680 --> 01:18:42,540
Retail's going to chase
that on the long side.
1184
01:18:43,140 --> 01:18:46,310
So where's their, stop-loss
going to be for long.
1185
01:18:46,370 --> 01:18:49,050
It's going to be below these lows because
they believe that this is short-term
1186
01:18:49,170 --> 01:18:51,690
support or strong support or a double.
1187
01:18:52,650 --> 01:18:53,880
And double bottoms get picked.
1188
01:18:55,860 --> 01:18:57,540
This is the type of action
we're looking for over here.
1189
01:18:57,540 --> 01:19:01,170
This is supportive of what we're
expecting for today's New York session,
1190
01:19:01,770 --> 01:19:04,140
supporting the short for cable.
1191
01:19:07,000 --> 01:19:09,430
Now, what we want to do is we
want to see this order block here.
1192
01:19:10,360 --> 01:19:10,840
Give up.
1193
01:19:10,840 --> 01:19:11,230
It's good.
1194
01:19:11,230 --> 01:19:14,980
So we don't, we don't want to see any
kind of willingness to see a snap up.
1195
01:19:15,400 --> 01:19:16,450
We don't want to see that at all.
1196
01:19:16,450 --> 01:19:20,890
We want to see it just drive right
on into IIOT, completely up and
1197
01:19:20,890 --> 01:19:24,520
at the same time, see further
expansion over here and positive
1198
01:19:24,730 --> 01:19:26,620
up candles every year on a dollar.
1199
01:19:26,950 --> 01:19:30,370
If we get that, this is a block it's
going to go down, run the lows, and we'll
1200
01:19:30,370 --> 01:19:34,270
see if we have any steam to continue
going into our lower level objectives.
1201
01:19:53,565 --> 01:19:54,405
Because it has.
1202
01:19:54,465 --> 01:19:54,675
Okay.
1203
01:19:54,675 --> 01:19:57,555
The question that was why
don't I put my stop above the
1204
01:19:57,555 --> 01:19:58,935
equilibrium of the order block,
1205
01:20:04,205 --> 01:20:09,875
the whole conceptually, I could put my
stop above the middle of this entire range
1206
01:20:09,875 --> 01:20:11,825
that shaded in yellow that could do that.
1207
01:20:12,455 --> 01:20:16,295
But because I'm balancing being
a dad this morning, I'm balancing
1208
01:20:16,355 --> 01:20:17,945
being a mentor talking live.
1209
01:20:18,425 --> 01:20:22,145
Um, I'm also, I'm processing
those things at the same time.
1210
01:20:22,145 --> 01:20:26,795
So I'm actually, I'm actually doing more
than a trader should be doing at the time.
1211
01:20:27,215 --> 01:20:32,975
So I'm giving myself some leeway
to allow a lot more responsiveness
1212
01:20:33,335 --> 01:20:37,535
on the part of me seeing price
and reacting and describing it.
1213
01:20:42,155 --> 01:20:44,465
In other words, what I'm saying is
this, this is very difficult for me
1214
01:20:44,465 --> 01:20:48,875
to do and teach at the same time.
1215
01:20:52,965 --> 01:20:57,165
Cause I have to allow myself time
to talk about it and prepare an
1216
01:20:57,165 --> 01:20:58,425
account and outline everything
1217
01:21:03,405 --> 01:21:04,545
where I've taken this trade.
1218
01:21:04,545 --> 01:21:04,965
Yes
1219
01:21:16,515 --> 01:21:21,495
no, you don't want to jam your stop
loss to break even New York trading.
1220
01:21:21,525 --> 01:21:25,575
You got to take out a old, low,
or an old high before you can
1221
01:21:25,575 --> 01:21:27,225
ever consider moving your stop.
1222
01:21:28,875 --> 01:21:30,735
And that has to happen by this time.
1223
01:21:31,710 --> 01:21:36,210
When we take this low out, when this
thing drops down below it, then you
1224
01:21:36,210 --> 01:21:39,450
lower it down to this level right here.
1225
01:21:39,570 --> 01:21:42,389
You still gotta, you gotta
still have some risking.
1226
01:21:42,960 --> 01:21:44,429
And that's the part you're all afraid of.
1227
01:21:44,519 --> 01:21:48,450
You're afraid of assuming risk
in New York, you have the entire
1228
01:21:48,450 --> 01:21:51,750
range to work within and they may
come back and take stops intraday.
1229
01:21:52,230 --> 01:21:53,519
So you have to be mindful of that.
1230
01:21:54,300 --> 01:21:56,160
So don't be in a hurry to
jam it down in, to break.
1231
01:21:56,160 --> 01:21:57,389
Even it's not necessary.
1232
01:22:00,030 --> 01:22:02,580
You want to give the market some
room to move around a little bit
1233
01:22:02,580 --> 01:22:04,950
because just normal price delivery.
1234
01:22:04,950 --> 01:22:06,030
If it's required.
1235
01:22:06,960 --> 01:22:10,410
I really like the fact that we're
spreading our wings here on a category.
1236
01:22:10,440 --> 01:22:11,460
That's 32 big figure.
1237
01:22:12,450 --> 01:22:16,920
I love the fact that we're seeing a
dollar starting to come alive over here
1238
01:22:17,550 --> 01:22:19,740
and we're just into the Orbach here.
1239
01:22:19,740 --> 01:22:23,849
So I really want to see an expansion
through this entire down candle.
1240
01:22:24,389 --> 01:22:26,820
I'm going to see this entire
downcast candle get exactly.
1241
01:22:26,820 --> 01:22:26,880
Yeah.
1242
01:22:35,100 --> 01:22:39,900
Um, to kill the trade, like what
would be a, uh, like an hours?
1243
01:22:39,920 --> 01:22:41,880
What would cause me to collapse
the trade and say no way,
1244
01:22:41,880 --> 01:22:42,809
I'm not going to hold this.
1245
01:22:43,230 --> 01:22:47,190
Um, it would have to start
trading above this line.
1246
01:22:47,190 --> 01:22:51,420
I have right here, because to do that,
it's already taken a short-term high.
1247
01:22:51,450 --> 01:22:54,000
It's moved beyond the means
threshold of this bear shorter block.
1248
01:22:54,360 --> 01:22:57,300
And I don't want to see it go any higher
than that, because then it's going to
1249
01:22:57,300 --> 01:22:58,650
reach for the liquidity on a daily high.
1250
01:22:59,730 --> 01:23:00,420
And that's what I'm telling you.
1251
01:23:00,420 --> 01:23:03,960
If to go up in this shaded area would just
indicate it's coming for the daily high.
1252
01:23:05,190 --> 01:23:07,680
And I don't want to be in there
allowing you to take a full stop.
1253
01:23:13,290 --> 01:23:16,950
Everything I've outlined so
far is the only reasons it is
1254
01:23:16,950 --> 01:23:18,930
necessary for where the stop is.
1255
01:23:24,680 --> 01:23:26,500
In other words, when I
say collapsed the trade.
1256
01:23:26,590 --> 01:23:29,769
In other words, if, if I let the market,
if it was the reverse here and say it
1257
01:23:29,769 --> 01:23:33,940
was the reverse and start going to this
level where I answered short this level
1258
01:23:33,940 --> 01:23:35,590
at a bear's or block main threshold.
1259
01:23:35,830 --> 01:23:38,290
In other words, it's the
middle of this down candle.
1260
01:23:38,559 --> 01:23:42,580
I'm sorry up, which is a bear's shorter
block they sold as price went up.
1261
01:23:43,090 --> 01:23:45,550
It should not ever go back
above the middle part of that
1262
01:23:45,580 --> 01:23:47,230
up candle after it's dropped it.
1263
01:23:47,230 --> 01:23:47,920
Shouldn't do that.
1264
01:23:48,100 --> 01:23:51,010
If it does, it indicates it
wants to potentially reach for
1265
01:23:51,010 --> 01:23:52,180
liquidity higher than that.
1266
01:23:52,480 --> 01:23:54,519
But what would that be
above the short term high?
1267
01:23:54,940 --> 01:23:58,150
Well, above that short term, highest
what all these wicks and then the
1268
01:23:58,150 --> 01:24:00,160
daily high I don't want to be.
1269
01:24:00,160 --> 01:24:03,220
And I don't want to extend myself
the opportunity to get stopped
1270
01:24:03,220 --> 01:24:06,309
out at a full loss that I'm
willing to assume it's 31 FIPSE.
1271
01:24:06,670 --> 01:24:10,180
So if it goes back above the middle of
this up candle, hon out, I'm done and
1272
01:24:10,180 --> 01:24:13,960
I'll take the loss between my entry
and this price point here, much more
1273
01:24:13,960 --> 01:24:18,280
efficient way of trading and absorbing
a loss that's cost of business versus
1274
01:24:18,280 --> 01:24:19,330
just saying, well, I'm going to hold it.
1275
01:24:19,330 --> 01:24:20,210
Come hell or high water, because.
1276
01:24:21,105 --> 01:24:23,115
And in March myself, get
stopped down full loss.
1277
01:24:23,885 --> 01:24:28,905
It's not economical for a trader
to even know, have a catastrophic
1278
01:24:28,905 --> 01:24:30,135
stop, which is what this is.
1279
01:24:30,135 --> 01:24:32,085
Every stop I place is
attached traffic stop.
1280
01:24:32,415 --> 01:24:34,035
It's not ultra short term.
1281
01:24:34,455 --> 01:24:36,015
Uh, I need to have five PIP stops.
1282
01:24:36,135 --> 01:24:37,695
You know, I think that's unrealistic.
1283
01:24:37,995 --> 01:24:38,235
Okay.
1284
01:24:38,265 --> 01:24:42,224
Even with someone my experience, I
don't think it's necessary to have that.
1285
01:24:42,224 --> 01:24:45,495
You need to have some risk and
you need to also allow the market
1286
01:24:45,495 --> 01:24:46,425
to move around a little bit.
1287
01:24:46,605 --> 01:24:50,175
And that comes, you get comfortable
with that idea because you've
1288
01:24:50,175 --> 01:24:51,795
seen enough price action to trust.
1289
01:24:52,065 --> 01:24:52,275
Yeah.
1290
01:24:52,724 --> 01:24:53,745
It's going to move around a little bit.
1291
01:24:53,785 --> 01:24:56,025
I'm not going to be too concerned
about it, but I know where the
1292
01:24:56,025 --> 01:24:58,335
thresholds are for me to consider.
1293
01:24:58,665 --> 01:25:00,075
Do I really want to
still be in this trade?
1294
01:25:01,155 --> 01:25:02,325
And I've just outlined that here.
1295
01:25:10,885 --> 01:25:13,555
Well, Hey, I'm sure you're going to
have all kinds of analogies outside
1296
01:25:13,555 --> 01:25:18,505
of the painter or the sniper analogies
used in price over the next couple of.
1297
01:25:20,640 --> 01:25:25,440
Uh, equities are getting ready to open
up in about 18 minutes or so 17 minutes.
1298
01:25:26,730 --> 01:25:26,910
All right.
1299
01:25:26,910 --> 01:25:29,790
We're making a run for the liquidity here.
1300
01:25:29,880 --> 01:25:30,600
Let's see this.
1301
01:25:30,630 --> 01:25:34,590
Hopefully expand aggressively down,
eat this entire down candle up.
1302
01:25:34,590 --> 01:25:36,240
That means there would be no buying there.
1303
01:25:36,570 --> 01:25:36,780
Yeah.
1304
01:25:37,110 --> 01:25:40,320
Once we break below the middle point
of this, it's going to be a lock.
1305
01:25:40,320 --> 01:25:42,750
It's going to want to reach
for the staffs below the lows.
1306
01:25:43,440 --> 01:25:45,240
That's what we're looking
for so far, dollar on the
1307
01:25:45,240 --> 01:25:47,010
left is supporting that idea.
1308
01:25:47,400 --> 01:25:49,260
Dollar CAD supporting the idea.
1309
01:25:49,920 --> 01:25:51,870
Cat's just, I mean, I'm sorry.
1310
01:25:51,870 --> 01:25:54,450
Cable, SIS pen and home still
in this order block, which
1311
01:25:54,450 --> 01:25:55,500
is not what you want to see.
1312
01:25:55,500 --> 01:25:58,350
You want to see everything in
agreement, big expansion on
1313
01:25:58,560 --> 01:26:01,470
dollar front CAD, no words, sorry.
1314
01:26:01,470 --> 01:26:06,540
Dollar fronted, uh, currencies like
dollar CAD, dollar Swiss, uh, dollar yen.
1315
01:26:06,840 --> 01:26:11,460
Uh, they should be all expanding on
the upside with the dollar index and
1316
01:26:11,460 --> 01:26:15,930
that will free up range expansion
on the downside on your pound
1317
01:26:15,930 --> 01:26:17,340
dollar short, like, uh, showing you.
1318
01:26:18,655 --> 01:26:20,625
Don't want to see anything
give up on this range.
1319
01:26:21,644 --> 01:26:22,634
Don't want to see anything over here.
1320
01:26:22,754 --> 01:26:25,684
Uh, give up and start losing some ground,
because that means that they're cut.
1321
01:26:25,684 --> 01:26:29,264
They're capitalizing this order block,
and that's not what we want to see.
1322
01:26:29,684 --> 01:26:34,214
We want to see it erode this
entire down candle and run for
1323
01:26:34,214 --> 01:26:35,535
the stops below these lows.
1324
01:26:51,045 --> 01:26:53,325
Um, I'm not sure what you just asked.
1325
01:26:53,625 --> 01:26:56,894
What is the latest before
I collapse the trade?
1326
01:26:56,894 --> 01:26:57,554
Where does that mean?
1327
01:27:00,295 --> 01:27:02,144
If it gets above this level right here?
1328
01:27:02,174 --> 01:27:04,155
I think it's about 1 30, 2 0 6.
1329
01:27:04,214 --> 01:27:09,554
I'm taking the stop off and collapsing
the trade with whatever that is
1330
01:27:09,554 --> 01:27:11,535
in terms of, uh, uh, um, a loss
1331
01:27:14,625 --> 01:27:16,995
and then walk into the sidelines and
this watch and the rest of the day.
1332
01:27:23,515 --> 01:27:28,465
because I want to keep the idea that
even though it could come up here and
1333
01:27:28,525 --> 01:27:34,555
expand in here, I don't want the mental
capital spended expend on worrying
1334
01:27:34,555 --> 01:27:35,725
about if it's gonna hit my stop.
1335
01:27:36,415 --> 01:27:38,275
See, I'm not worried about my
stock getting hit right now.
1336
01:27:38,395 --> 01:27:39,715
I'm only worried about this price.
1337
01:27:39,715 --> 01:27:43,915
Have the willingness to drive
where I want it to that's all trade
1338
01:27:43,915 --> 01:27:45,445
management, it's all psychology.
1339
01:27:45,445 --> 01:27:46,105
It's all.
1340
01:27:46,435 --> 01:27:48,175
I'm not worried about
losing money right now.
1341
01:27:48,385 --> 01:27:51,265
Not because I'm in a demo account,
but because I'm actually have more
1342
01:27:51,265 --> 01:27:53,605
on the line because I'm actually
doing it in front of 700 people.
1343
01:27:54,085 --> 01:27:57,175
So it's not the money that I'm,
uh, I'm concerned about losing.
1344
01:27:57,175 --> 01:28:03,565
It's the fact that I don't want to give
you an impression of infallibility and
1345
01:28:03,625 --> 01:28:05,695
I'm showing you how I really do it.
1346
01:28:06,415 --> 01:28:12,435
And by keeping the stop-loss in a
realistic level, It's justified in
1347
01:28:12,435 --> 01:28:15,675
terms of the risk it's justified
and in terms of the price action.
1348
01:28:16,065 --> 01:28:19,905
And it's also keeping it outside
the scope of immediate concern.
1349
01:28:21,525 --> 01:28:25,125
You don't want to spend your time worrying
about your stop-loss thinking about it.
1350
01:28:25,605 --> 01:28:29,865
I don't care if you have ultra ultra
ultra low risk, and you're using really,
1351
01:28:29,865 --> 01:28:33,855
really tight stuff, less than 10 pips,
even 10 PIP stocks, I think is ridiculous.
1352
01:28:34,965 --> 01:28:40,005
If you're using these ultra tight stuff,
I guarantee you, I guarantee you, your
1353
01:28:40,005 --> 01:28:45,645
rear end is puckering all the entire time
while you're in that trade until it moves
1354
01:28:45,645 --> 01:28:49,095
considerably away from your entry, because
you're so close to getting stopped out.
1355
01:28:49,095 --> 01:28:51,945
You're worrying, you're spending
all kinds of mental capital on that.
1356
01:28:52,725 --> 01:28:55,095
I'm not worried about anything
where I place my stop loss.
1357
01:28:55,485 --> 01:29:00,195
I know I'm so far away, I'm in a different
neighborhood in terms of worrying.
1358
01:29:00,465 --> 01:29:01,365
I'm not worried about it.
1359
01:29:01,875 --> 01:29:04,005
I'm more focused on where
the price is driving.
1360
01:29:04,005 --> 01:29:05,025
Say, my focus is down.
1361
01:29:06,485 --> 01:29:09,245
I'm worried about whether it's going
to consume this order block here.
1362
01:29:09,695 --> 01:29:12,095
I'm not worried about it coming all
the way up here to hit that stop.
1363
01:29:12,785 --> 01:29:17,224
There's a big advantage of having that
in your, in your mindset as your trader,
1364
01:29:17,555 --> 01:29:20,495
because if you're so worried about and
concerned about, I hope if it doesn't
1365
01:29:20,495 --> 01:29:25,684
hit my stop and your stops too close,
or you're over leveraging, that has a
1366
01:29:25,745 --> 01:29:31,894
great deal to do with how you are going
to be positively consistent, profitable.
1367
01:29:32,105 --> 01:29:35,735
Long-term your longevity is going to
be defined by that because if you're
1368
01:29:35,735 --> 01:29:39,125
concerned about losing money or getting
your stop-loss hit, and it has to
1369
01:29:39,125 --> 01:29:40,925
be so close, you're doing it wrong.
1370
01:29:41,495 --> 01:29:42,815
You're worried about the money.
1371
01:29:43,235 --> 01:29:45,305
And I'm worried about the process
of where the market is most
1372
01:29:45,305 --> 01:29:46,235
likely going to seek liquidity.
1373
01:29:46,235 --> 01:29:48,934
And it's going to be most likely in
the realm of reaching below these lows.
1374
01:29:49,565 --> 01:29:54,815
My focus is allowing me the freedom
to be down here, focused here and not
1375
01:29:54,815 --> 01:29:56,195
worry about if it goes against me.
1376
01:29:56,195 --> 01:29:58,075
I have room to think
about if it starts to be.
1377
01:29:59,865 --> 01:30:03,554
Contrast after I had an ultra short term
stock rate at break even, or even trailed
1378
01:30:03,554 --> 01:30:07,575
it down so it could come back here at
any time with the spread, just tag me
1379
01:30:07,575 --> 01:30:09,075
out and then run below and hit my stop.
1380
01:30:09,255 --> 01:30:10,184
I mean, hit my limit orders.
1381
01:30:12,385 --> 01:30:17,995
If there is a, there's an
economy that you need to apply
1382
01:30:18,025 --> 01:30:20,095
when you're managing your risk.
1383
01:30:20,605 --> 01:30:21,054
Okay.
1384
01:30:21,335 --> 01:30:24,415
You need to have an ability to have your
stop loss and it location where you're
1385
01:30:24,415 --> 01:30:27,385
not so overly concerned about being fit.
1386
01:30:28,585 --> 01:30:34,795
It has to be enough room to, to allow
you freedom, to think objectives about
1387
01:30:34,795 --> 01:30:38,005
price, not worrying about losing money.
1388
01:30:38,575 --> 01:30:41,905
That's going to be a big, big
barrier to your development
1389
01:30:41,934 --> 01:30:43,375
and your longevity as a trader.
1390
01:30:43,585 --> 01:30:47,394
If you're concerned about that money,
if you're concerned about the money
1391
01:30:49,644 --> 01:30:53,485
again, guys, please don't don't tweet
anything to me or have me in your
1392
01:30:53,485 --> 01:30:56,455
tweets because it's going to come on
the screen and it blocks the sharing.
1393
01:30:59,685 --> 01:31:01,755
So the main thing is, is I want
you to understand that I'm not
1394
01:31:01,755 --> 01:31:05,865
trying to prove ultra short-term
and ultra tight stop losses.
1395
01:31:05,865 --> 01:31:07,485
That that's not what we're teaching here.
1396
01:31:07,875 --> 01:31:13,005
I'm teaching you sound trading,
uh, sound trade management.
1397
01:31:13,545 --> 01:31:17,355
Um, in October, you're gonna learn
a great deal about good grief, man,
1398
01:31:24,405 --> 01:31:27,285
stop texting or tweeting Timmy, please.
1399
01:31:27,525 --> 01:31:29,115
It's causing the display.
1400
01:31:31,575 --> 01:31:33,015
I got to turn those notifications off.
1401
01:31:33,555 --> 01:31:39,645
The, uh, the main thing is you have
your stop-loss on, uh, you got to get
1402
01:31:39,645 --> 01:31:41,715
it some room and just assume some risks.
1403
01:31:41,745 --> 01:31:42,585
There's nothing wrong with that.
1404
01:31:42,615 --> 01:31:44,355
I mean, that's this
business, it's all risk.
1405
01:31:45,135 --> 01:31:47,955
There's no, there's no point
at which there is zero risk
1406
01:31:47,955 --> 01:31:49,275
until you're on the side.
1407
01:31:51,005 --> 01:31:53,705
And some of you, I would actually
argue and say that's risky because
1408
01:31:53,705 --> 01:31:54,785
you're missing opportunities.
1409
01:32:02,705 --> 01:32:09,565
So here we are 10 minutes
before equities opening.
1410
01:32:10,225 --> 01:32:16,105
Um, I promised I would talk about the
equities and what may be unfolding.
1411
01:32:16,585 --> 01:32:17,725
Uh we're in September.
1412
01:32:19,685 --> 01:32:20,015
Okay.
1413
01:32:20,045 --> 01:32:23,915
Um, we are in a time period where
August, end of September, we usually
1414
01:32:23,915 --> 01:32:26,945
see equities slide in, uh, go lower.
1415
01:32:27,425 --> 01:32:33,215
Um, the other day we had like a 200 some
point, uh, decline or whatever it was.
1416
01:32:33,215 --> 01:32:34,145
I'm not even sure what it was.
1417
01:32:34,145 --> 01:32:35,855
I wasn't really watching it closely.
1418
01:32:36,365 --> 01:32:39,995
Um, everybody got panicked and,
uh, the ma the very next day
1419
01:32:40,055 --> 01:32:43,475
ward backup, didn't complete the
entire down candle or downrange.
1420
01:32:44,205 --> 01:32:50,205
It lost ground on, uh, relative
to, uh, S and P NASDAQ and the Dow.
1421
01:32:50,595 --> 01:32:55,365
But, uh, everybody got real excited and
especially all the goobers that, uh, um,
1422
01:32:55,875 --> 01:32:59,865
spend too much time on Twitter, throwing
rocks, they got all excited thinking.
1423
01:32:59,865 --> 01:33:00,045
Yeah.
1424
01:33:00,045 --> 01:33:03,195
You know, uh, the doom and gloomers,
you know, here we are, we're getting,
1425
01:33:03,465 --> 01:33:05,565
you know, the equities high again.
1426
01:33:05,685 --> 01:33:05,955
Okay.
1427
01:33:05,955 --> 01:33:06,915
There it's Warren back.
1428
01:33:06,915 --> 01:33:08,355
And then yesterday we got white.
1429
01:33:08,625 --> 01:33:09,465
You wiped out again.
1430
01:33:10,245 --> 01:33:11,535
Um, I think we're going lower.
1431
01:33:11,955 --> 01:33:16,245
Um, I think we're going to trade,
uh, considerably lower and I would
1432
01:33:16,245 --> 01:33:21,015
have rather, it seen it make a more
stronger attempt to move higher
1433
01:33:21,015 --> 01:33:22,425
before it started dropping down.
1434
01:33:23,265 --> 01:33:29,445
But, uh, I just think that we're,
we're in the position to look for a
1435
01:33:29,445 --> 01:33:32,595
lot more decline going into October.
1436
01:33:35,115 --> 01:33:40,335
And when we get closer to the
elections and the U S it gets worse.
1437
01:33:49,995 --> 01:33:51,915
um, well, we still have time.
1438
01:33:51,915 --> 01:33:54,674
We've got about 38 minutes.
1439
01:33:56,295 --> 01:33:56,655
What is that?
1440
01:33:56,655 --> 01:34:01,575
38 minutes, 38 minutes before 10
o'clock in the morning, New York time.
1441
01:34:02,415 --> 01:34:05,264
As soon as we approach 10 o'clock
in the morning in New York time.
1442
01:34:05,594 --> 01:34:06,045
Okay.
1443
01:34:06,075 --> 01:34:06,495
New.
1444
01:34:06,495 --> 01:34:09,554
We want to be looking for reasons
to scale out of our positions.
1445
01:34:10,094 --> 01:34:11,594
Really tight to stop up then.
1446
01:34:12,134 --> 01:34:12,434
Okay.
1447
01:34:12,495 --> 01:34:16,485
Until we get around quarter of
10, I'm not really concerned
1448
01:34:16,485 --> 01:34:17,655
about trailing stop losses.
1449
01:34:17,745 --> 01:34:21,134
I'm more concerned about taking
profits off the table and not
1450
01:34:21,134 --> 01:34:22,245
worrying about stop losses.
1451
01:34:22,275 --> 01:34:23,174
I'm not worrying about that.
1452
01:34:23,205 --> 01:34:24,884
The stop is your safety net.
1453
01:34:25,844 --> 01:34:26,985
That is your stop.
1454
01:34:26,985 --> 01:34:29,264
Loss is not your profitable.
1455
01:34:30,240 --> 01:34:31,530
And that's what I'm trying
to communicate to you.
1456
01:34:31,530 --> 01:34:35,400
Everyone's looking at trying to
have an ultra short, tight stop-loss
1457
01:34:35,730 --> 01:34:37,040
when it's, when it's like that.
1458
01:34:37,060 --> 01:34:41,610
When, when you're using that, what
you're asking the market to do is get me
1459
01:34:41,610 --> 01:34:47,190
out at a less favorable position exit,
give me a less favorable price level.
1460
01:34:48,000 --> 01:34:48,750
That's what you're doing.
1461
01:34:49,800 --> 01:34:53,730
See when I have a stock away and keep
it at a catastrophic level where it's
1462
01:34:53,730 --> 01:34:58,800
protecting me from needless exposure to
more risks than I'm willing to assume
1463
01:34:59,430 --> 01:35:04,590
I'm in the driver's seat of exiting
at a more economical limitation for a
1464
01:35:04,590 --> 01:35:06,930
profit taking I'm in control of that.
1465
01:35:07,410 --> 01:35:10,860
Once you place your stop loss, real type
you've given control to the marketplace
1466
01:35:10,860 --> 01:35:12,840
to get you out at a less favorable exit.
1467
01:35:17,890 --> 01:35:18,940
Do you understand what I'm saying?
1468
01:35:19,330 --> 01:35:22,750
You need to be in the driver's
seat of your exits when it
1469
01:35:22,750 --> 01:35:23,950
comes to taking profits.
1470
01:35:24,250 --> 01:35:27,610
I don't want my stop-loss
being used for my profit.
1471
01:35:28,650 --> 01:35:33,630
That's only in the capacity of protecting
me from needless overexposure to risk.
1472
01:35:34,350 --> 01:35:38,460
So it's important that you allow that
stop loss some distance from your entry.
1473
01:35:38,490 --> 01:35:41,040
Don't worry about that
stuff it's doing do its job.
1474
01:35:41,280 --> 01:35:45,660
If it's going to be an adverse reaction in
the marketplace, your driver's seat, okay.
1475
01:35:45,660 --> 01:35:49,200
Role in the, in the role
of driving your trade.
1476
01:35:49,200 --> 01:35:52,500
In other words, from entry to exit,
that's completely integral to you.
1477
01:35:52,860 --> 01:35:56,070
You have to know where to take
profits at, and you need to do that
1478
01:35:56,160 --> 01:35:59,519
when price is moving in your favor,
not when it's retracing against you
1479
01:35:59,519 --> 01:36:02,250
and a stop loss is going to take
you out in a less favorable exit.
1480
01:36:02,670 --> 01:36:05,070
As many times, you'll see that
you've seen it before many times.
1481
01:36:05,070 --> 01:36:06,840
I'm sure you're in a trade.
1482
01:36:06,840 --> 01:36:08,730
You're trailing your stop loss
too tight because you don't want
1483
01:36:08,730 --> 01:36:12,090
to lose money instead of just
focusing on where should I be?
1484
01:36:12,480 --> 01:36:13,200
Where should I get him?
1485
01:36:13,350 --> 01:36:14,850
Where should I be getting paid?
1486
01:36:15,330 --> 01:36:16,980
Where should I be taking
some partial profits?
1487
01:36:17,100 --> 01:36:17,190
Right.
1488
01:36:17,925 --> 01:36:20,775
There's a lot of people out
there that pretend they know
1489
01:36:20,775 --> 01:36:21,465
what they're talking about.
1490
01:36:21,465 --> 01:36:23,745
They pretend to know what,
how the markets operates.
1491
01:36:23,804 --> 01:36:26,804
Well, what they're doing in their own
trading, it doesn't make a difference.
1492
01:36:26,835 --> 01:36:28,815
I'm not teaching you how
I trade I'm teaching.
1493
01:36:28,815 --> 01:36:29,955
You have a market book.
1494
01:36:30,735 --> 01:36:34,335
If you know that you'll know how
to trade profitably, and you need
1495
01:36:34,335 --> 01:36:39,255
to know that keeping your stop-loss
away from your entry is economical.
1496
01:36:39,255 --> 01:36:40,665
It's the right thing to do.
1497
01:36:41,355 --> 01:36:44,205
The stop is a catastrophic safety net.
1498
01:36:44,205 --> 01:36:44,865
That's all.
1499
01:36:44,865 --> 01:36:45,764
It's there for.
1500
01:36:46,695 --> 01:36:51,134
You're managing the exits with
profit, with targets, limits,
1501
01:36:51,195 --> 01:36:53,054
scaling out that's your job.
1502
01:36:53,565 --> 01:36:57,855
And you're given the job to the market
to take you out in a less favorable exit,
1503
01:37:02,065 --> 01:37:04,884
a good risk to reward ratio five to one.
1504
01:37:05,695 --> 01:37:09,985
You can make money with three to one,
if you're really high, uh, and really
1505
01:37:09,985 --> 01:37:13,285
efficient with your trading, you can
make money with one-to-one, but you
1506
01:37:13,295 --> 01:37:14,875
gotta be really, really good to be.
1507
01:37:15,365 --> 01:37:15,605
Yeah.
1508
01:37:19,040 --> 01:37:21,920
This mentorship is aimed at
teaching you five to one.
1509
01:37:33,580 --> 01:37:33,849
All right.
1510
01:37:33,860 --> 01:37:34,570
Watch cable.
1511
01:37:35,769 --> 01:37:37,450
All those stops below that low.
1512
01:37:38,800 --> 01:37:39,730
They are hot.
1513
01:37:43,570 --> 01:37:45,250
Everything's like not right now.
1514
01:37:46,420 --> 01:37:47,590
Everybody that's long.
1515
01:37:47,650 --> 01:37:48,700
It had stopped right here.
1516
01:37:48,940 --> 01:37:50,019
You know what they're feeling right now?
1517
01:37:50,019 --> 01:37:53,740
You felt it before a man
is going to get my stuff.
1518
01:37:53,769 --> 01:37:54,639
Please don't hit my staff.
1519
01:37:54,639 --> 01:37:55,480
Remember that memory?
1520
01:37:55,500 --> 01:37:59,410
Remember when you sit there and you're
talking to God, God, please, please.
1521
01:37:59,440 --> 01:38:01,000
Just not, let me get
stopped out on this one.
1522
01:38:01,059 --> 01:38:02,170
I'll I'll do a better job.
1523
01:38:02,200 --> 01:38:03,910
I won't brush next time, please.
1524
01:38:03,910 --> 01:38:04,660
God, please.
1525
01:38:04,660 --> 01:38:05,500
Don't let it go for a little bit.
1526
01:38:05,500 --> 01:38:07,000
Well, please.
1527
01:38:07,210 --> 01:38:07,420
Alright.
1528
01:38:07,450 --> 01:38:07,809
Okay.
1529
01:38:08,260 --> 01:38:10,780
Just, you can get a little bit closer,
but please don't go up a little while
1530
01:38:12,950 --> 01:38:15,200
everybody becomes a Christian in this.
1531
01:38:26,135 --> 01:38:30,125
In a natural order of things, everyone
in the retail scope that would be short.
1532
01:38:31,775 --> 01:38:35,285
They're going to scream that they've
got to slam their stop-loss down real
1533
01:38:35,285 --> 01:38:38,075
tight to break even to trail on it.
1534
01:38:38,465 --> 01:38:39,185
Even tighter.
1535
01:38:39,305 --> 01:38:40,475
You don't want to do that.
1536
01:38:40,475 --> 01:38:41,645
You just were relaxed.
1537
01:38:41,675 --> 01:38:44,075
Keep your focus on where
the market should reach for.
1538
01:38:44,795 --> 01:38:45,155
Okay.
1539
01:38:45,215 --> 01:38:47,045
That's all worried about so far.
1540
01:38:47,045 --> 01:38:50,255
We're seeing a retracement one, a us CAD.
1541
01:38:51,395 --> 01:38:54,845
We have not seen any expansion or
even taken out this high on dollar.
1542
01:38:55,085 --> 01:39:00,575
So this is going to be a suspect run on
this liquidity unless we get favorable,
1543
01:39:01,265 --> 01:39:03,185
uh, continuation on upside on dollar.
1544
01:39:03,455 --> 01:39:05,945
And we erase this and
make this candle a wick.
1545
01:39:07,355 --> 01:39:09,185
So we want to see this
candle become a wick.
1546
01:39:09,905 --> 01:39:12,005
We want to see this candle become
bullish and take out these.
1547
01:39:13,650 --> 01:39:17,670
Then, and only then will we
expect exposure below this low
1548
01:39:17,880 --> 01:39:19,770
to reach for lower liquidity?
1549
01:39:19,770 --> 01:39:21,450
You know, what's go even deeper, lower.
1550
01:39:21,840 --> 01:39:25,080
Otherwise we may be just coming
down here to take these stops
1551
01:39:25,110 --> 01:39:26,370
and come back to equilibrium.
1552
01:39:26,580 --> 01:39:29,850
And that's the reason why we want to
take profits when it gets below here.
1553
01:39:30,330 --> 01:39:35,520
Not all profits when it tastes take some
off and while I'm talking, I probably
1554
01:39:35,520 --> 01:39:37,230
should have that thing up to do that.
1555
01:39:37,230 --> 01:39:37,680
Very thing
1556
01:39:45,790 --> 01:39:51,610
to take partial profits,
you go to instant execution.
1557
01:39:51,730 --> 01:39:55,090
I have two lots on I'm just
going to change it to one.
1558
01:39:56,830 --> 01:39:59,950
And then if I hit close, it's only
going to take one off and I'll leave 1
1559
01:39:59,950 --> 01:40:03,370
0 1 from the original entry price and
the stock will stay at original entry.
1560
01:40:03,700 --> 01:40:05,080
Uh, I'm sorry, at the end.
1561
01:40:05,170 --> 01:40:06,820
And at the.
1562
01:40:08,085 --> 01:40:12,255
Original location, nothing changes except
for the amount of positions that's born.
1563
01:40:12,315 --> 01:40:16,275
So we'll go from holding two lots
short to just one lot short and we'll
1564
01:40:16,275 --> 01:40:20,235
book a profit for that's demo, but
we would book a profit for whatever
1565
01:40:20,235 --> 01:40:22,845
that entry to exit price would be.
1566
01:40:22,875 --> 01:40:25,035
And I'm just looking for a
move just below these loads,
1567
01:40:28,935 --> 01:40:30,435
too many things on this chart now
1568
01:40:39,235 --> 01:40:45,655
but D the main thing I want you to
understand about stop-loss orders
1569
01:40:47,155 --> 01:40:50,665
is don't think you have to have
really, really, really tight stops.
1570
01:40:50,815 --> 01:40:53,395
That's not the secret sauce to everything.
1571
01:40:53,455 --> 01:40:53,755
Okay.
1572
01:40:53,755 --> 01:40:57,265
You're not going to get to the end of the
game by having really, really tight stops.
1573
01:40:57,325 --> 01:41:00,745
Don't only thing that does is
invite overleveraging and that's
1574
01:41:00,745 --> 01:41:01,705
really what you want to do.
1575
01:41:02,005 --> 01:41:04,615
You want to have really, really
tight stops taking a bigger position.
1576
01:41:05,370 --> 01:41:09,090
But really what you're doing is you're
compounding the concern and worry and
1577
01:41:09,090 --> 01:41:10,860
psychological effect of that tree.
1578
01:41:11,220 --> 01:41:15,570
You're putting way too much emphasis on
money instead of just saying, okay, I'm
1579
01:41:15,570 --> 01:41:17,280
willing to take a certain measure of risk.
1580
01:41:17,519 --> 01:41:20,010
I'm not worried about having
offers us tight stops.
1581
01:41:20,190 --> 01:41:21,900
I'm more focused on where
the market wants to go.
1582
01:41:21,930 --> 01:41:25,680
And I can have the freedom to allow
prices to gyri all around and not feel
1583
01:41:25,680 --> 01:41:27,570
the impulse of am I right or wrong?
1584
01:41:27,930 --> 01:41:28,920
Am I going to lose money or not?
1585
01:41:29,430 --> 01:41:30,690
Oh my gosh, I need to do this.
1586
01:41:30,690 --> 01:41:32,010
And I need to get, I'm
not worried about that.
1587
01:41:32,550 --> 01:41:34,950
I'm not worried about any of
that stuff I'm worried about.
1588
01:41:35,310 --> 01:41:35,610
Okay.
1589
01:41:35,610 --> 01:41:36,930
Where am I ultimately wrong?
1590
01:41:37,380 --> 01:41:37,740
Okay.
1591
01:41:37,740 --> 01:41:40,110
And I want to have to stop just
a little bit above that or below
1592
01:41:40,110 --> 01:41:41,940
that, and then build in some ideas.
1593
01:41:41,940 --> 01:41:46,290
And then it gives me a decision point
where I can say, well, if it gets
1594
01:41:46,290 --> 01:41:48,390
here and just fall short I'm okay.
1595
01:41:48,390 --> 01:41:51,300
I won't, I won't do anything with a
position, but if we go through this order
1596
01:41:51,300 --> 01:41:54,990
block here, which is the up candle prior
to the down move, if we do that, then I
1597
01:41:55,000 --> 01:42:00,330
got to take an inventory and say, okay,
is this a really good signal still?
1598
01:42:00,840 --> 01:42:03,390
Is this something that I would
still be wanting to be short?
1599
01:42:03,390 --> 01:42:03,510
Right.
1600
01:42:04,350 --> 01:42:09,000
And would I expect further breakdown
if it does that when you, when you have
1601
01:42:09,000 --> 01:42:13,620
freedom to do that and womb, you need
some range to be able to operate in.
1602
01:42:13,620 --> 01:42:18,570
I mean, if you have these really ultra
short stops, you have time on your side,
1603
01:42:18,570 --> 01:42:21,450
you have zero time to collapse that
if it's, if it's something that you
1604
01:42:21,450 --> 01:42:25,830
can collapse and save and think about
what you're doing, you're asking the
1605
01:42:25,830 --> 01:42:31,470
market to give you a set up that gives
you less than 10 pips on a stop and
1606
01:42:31,500 --> 01:42:34,350
national leverage with no time element.
1607
01:42:34,410 --> 01:42:37,860
That would be on your favor because 10
pips can be done in instantaneously.
1608
01:42:37,860 --> 01:42:39,450
You can happen no, no time at all.
1609
01:42:39,780 --> 01:42:43,440
You have no way of protecting
that full stop on 10 tips.
1610
01:42:44,910 --> 01:42:45,780
Does that make sense?
1611
01:43:15,110 --> 01:43:18,170
If you're listening to all this stuff and
it's over your head, it's because you have
1612
01:43:18,170 --> 01:43:23,719
not filled in the gaps of your learning
with the three tutorials series, that's
1613
01:43:23,719 --> 01:43:26,089
all my free members area on the website.
1614
01:43:26,570 --> 01:43:32,120
You have to, you have to study the
sniper series, the persistent trading
1615
01:43:32,120 --> 01:43:34,460
concepts and the market maker series.
1616
01:43:35,000 --> 01:43:35,269
Okay.
1617
01:43:35,269 --> 01:43:36,530
It's not a lot of content.
1618
01:43:37,190 --> 01:43:40,280
You can do it probably in the scope
of a week and a half comfortably.
1619
01:43:41,089 --> 01:43:43,519
And that'll bring up the speed about
everything I'm talking about here.
1620
01:43:45,139 --> 01:43:48,830
Again, if you're focusing on expecting
to know this stuff, the first time
1621
01:43:48,830 --> 01:43:50,809
you're in here, that's not realistic.
1622
01:43:51,349 --> 01:43:53,809
You're not going to, you're not
going to survive this mentorship.
1623
01:43:53,839 --> 01:43:55,190
If that's the expectations you have.
1624
01:43:55,219 --> 01:43:55,460
Okay.
1625
01:43:55,460 --> 01:43:55,849
So here we go.
1626
01:43:56,639 --> 01:43:58,590
So now we're going to
take one of them off.
1627
01:44:00,059 --> 01:44:03,210
So now I have one position,
one lot, still one.
1628
01:44:03,660 --> 01:44:07,840
Now I can lower the
stop to this level here.
1629
01:44:10,179 --> 01:44:10,330
Okay.
1630
01:44:10,330 --> 01:44:14,170
So now I have 12 pips at risk on
one lot, and I've booked a profit
1631
01:44:15,250 --> 01:44:17,440
with a stop run below these lows.
1632
01:44:19,920 --> 01:44:23,490
So now I'm in a position where I don't
care what the market's going to do.
1633
01:44:23,580 --> 01:44:25,860
I can let my, let myself relax.
1634
01:44:26,580 --> 01:44:28,830
If the market's going to
continue going lower, fine.
1635
01:44:28,860 --> 01:44:30,540
If it's going to come back fine.
1636
01:44:30,780 --> 01:44:32,280
We got 20 pips from London.
1637
01:44:32,880 --> 01:44:34,920
We got, I'm not sure
what I just took on now.
1638
01:44:34,980 --> 01:44:37,259
Um, at Trey will tech we'll check it.
1639
01:44:37,759 --> 01:44:39,599
We don't counter money when
the market's still rolling.
1640
01:44:41,670 --> 01:44:46,460
The last order of business
is down here at 62 picks.
1641
01:44:57,825 --> 01:44:58,005
Okay.
1642
01:44:58,005 --> 01:44:59,505
So now we're below these stops.
1643
01:45:00,014 --> 01:45:01,575
We really want to be focusing on a dollar.
1644
01:45:01,575 --> 01:45:04,755
Does it want to expand up, see these are
the things you don't really see me doing
1645
01:45:05,384 --> 01:45:07,304
when I was doing my sessions on YouTube.
1646
01:45:07,755 --> 01:45:08,894
I'm talking about the markets.
1647
01:45:08,925 --> 01:45:12,974
I actually am looking at these
other charts, but I can't go back
1648
01:45:12,974 --> 01:45:17,325
and forth on YouTube and reveal the
things you're actually learning here.
1649
01:45:17,925 --> 01:45:23,835
So all I'm doing is looking for a pair
outside or conversely or inversely
1650
01:45:23,835 --> 01:45:26,325
matter, uh, to the pair I'm trading.
1651
01:45:26,325 --> 01:45:29,775
So if I'm trading short cable, I
want to pick a pair that's inversely
1652
01:45:29,775 --> 01:45:31,514
related, which would be dollar CAD.
1653
01:45:32,054 --> 01:45:32,384
Okay.
1654
01:45:32,415 --> 01:45:35,894
And I'm gonna look at the dollar index and
I'm going to weigh out the strengths of
1655
01:45:35,925 --> 01:45:38,625
does the U S cab rally when it's overly.
1656
01:45:40,110 --> 01:45:44,250
I'm not focusing on sweaty and I
focused on dollar again, because
1657
01:45:44,250 --> 01:45:48,570
they are not primarily bullish this
pair with a dollar in front of it.
1658
01:45:48,900 --> 01:45:49,260
Okay.
1659
01:45:49,260 --> 01:45:50,190
This pair is strong.
1660
01:45:50,370 --> 01:45:53,130
So if the dollar is going to rally,
the strengths should be reflected
1661
01:45:53,370 --> 01:45:57,450
immensely in this pair, and it would
be the inverse relationship to what I
1662
01:45:57,450 --> 01:45:59,250
expect to see the weakness on the cable.
1663
01:45:59,760 --> 01:46:00,630
Does that make sense
1664
01:46:12,570 --> 01:46:17,610
to manage it, um, where it's like
on set and forget, and I'll teach
1665
01:46:17,610 --> 01:46:21,840
you all this stuff, but I'll
give you a real quick synopsis.
1666
01:46:22,230 --> 01:46:23,700
Uh, you would do two entries.
1667
01:46:23,820 --> 01:46:24,720
This is one way of doing it.
1668
01:46:24,900 --> 01:46:32,099
You can do two entries, individual
entries at, uh, two single lot
1669
01:46:32,099 --> 01:46:36,690
entries and you would put one of the
single lot limit orders below these.
1670
01:46:37,755 --> 01:46:41,415
And then you would have the other
remaining one down at a level.
1671
01:46:41,475 --> 01:46:42,435
It don't have to be this level.
1672
01:46:42,435 --> 01:46:46,125
I'm thinking this one because it's
before the, the, uh, the other area of
1673
01:46:46,125 --> 01:46:50,265
liquidity below where we are right now,
there's no saying that we're going to
1674
01:46:50,265 --> 01:46:53,835
get down to that level, but nonetheless,
uh, you would just put it in limit
1675
01:46:53,835 --> 01:46:57,915
work capacity and your stock would just
have to be where you initially set it.
1676
01:46:58,245 --> 01:47:00,015
And then you'd have to
be able to monitor that.
1677
01:47:00,015 --> 01:47:01,365
Get up in the morning, check New York.
1678
01:47:01,395 --> 01:47:01,785
You have.
1679
01:47:01,845 --> 01:47:06,315
If you're trading London, you have to
be able to get on your phone or get
1680
01:47:06,315 --> 01:47:11,085
on the computer at least once by eight
o'clock, between seven 30 and eight
1681
01:47:11,085 --> 01:47:15,585
o'clock you need to be able to look at
time and price at that time, because
1682
01:47:15,585 --> 01:47:20,535
it'll give you an opportunity at that
moment to reduce the stock or weigh out
1683
01:47:20,535 --> 01:47:22,575
whether or not it's still a good trade.
1684
01:47:25,025 --> 01:47:27,965
So if you can't do that,
then you can't trade.
1685
01:47:28,835 --> 01:47:31,565
I'm just telling you like it is,
I mean, you you're going to have
1686
01:47:31,565 --> 01:47:33,455
to be either watching it, right.
1687
01:47:34,545 --> 01:47:39,345
Or managing it at least by
looking at price between 7
1688
01:47:39,345 --> 01:47:40,575
30, 8 o'clock New York time.
1689
01:47:40,575 --> 01:47:44,985
Cause you have to, you can't escape the
time windows when these markets are moving
1690
01:47:44,985 --> 01:47:48,585
around and that's relative to the kill
zones or the, you know, the training
1691
01:47:48,585 --> 01:47:56,055
session, the liquidity is going to be,
um, concerned specific times of the day.
1692
01:47:56,355 --> 01:48:02,595
So it's, it's important that you know,
that you may not have free time in London.
1693
01:48:03,285 --> 01:48:04,875
You may not have free time in New York.
1694
01:48:05,775 --> 01:48:12,465
That means you're going to have to be in
Asia or, um, Australian Kiwi or Japanese
1695
01:48:12,465 --> 01:48:14,595
and trader in north American Asian time.
1696
01:48:15,105 --> 01:48:16,245
And you access.
1697
01:48:16,245 --> 01:48:19,394
What's going to have to happen
that, or you're going to have to
1698
01:48:19,425 --> 01:48:20,805
live on the higher timeframes.
1699
01:48:20,835 --> 01:48:22,035
What's is nothing wrong with that.
1700
01:48:22,215 --> 01:48:24,795
I mean, it's just going
to be a lot less trading.
1701
01:48:25,485 --> 01:48:30,075
Um, and it's going to be a lot slower
and it takes a long time for daily
1702
01:48:30,075 --> 01:48:32,235
charts to make their swings on.
1703
01:48:33,545 --> 01:48:35,015
But for some of you that might be perfect.
1704
01:48:49,535 --> 01:48:49,835
All right.
1705
01:48:49,835 --> 01:48:55,145
So it is 9 37.
1706
01:48:55,715 --> 01:49:01,245
You got about, uh, well, yeah, seven
minutes enter the equities open.
1707
01:49:04,135 --> 01:49:04,495
Hm.
1708
01:49:09,945 --> 01:49:11,235
I hate these kind of days though.
1709
01:49:11,855 --> 01:49:16,965
I really, I load these kind of days
because it takes so much energy,
1710
01:49:17,715 --> 01:49:25,545
so much energy to, to expand on
just a little bit of movement.
1711
01:49:27,195 --> 01:49:29,805
I mean, it's gratifying because
I'm able to explain it to you.
1712
01:49:29,865 --> 01:49:31,845
And in terms where you understand.
1713
01:49:32,550 --> 01:49:36,179
What you should expect to see
and then watching it unfold.
1714
01:49:36,780 --> 01:49:38,190
How much time have we spent?
1715
01:49:38,219 --> 01:49:42,929
Literally seriously, think about
how much time we spent just today.
1716
01:49:46,740 --> 01:49:47,820
It's a lot of time, right?
1717
01:49:48,900 --> 01:49:54,599
So you're not always going to get
these big expansion moves daily ranges
1718
01:49:54,599 --> 01:50:00,269
that are one side of the market where
it's easy, where it happens in a
1719
01:50:00,269 --> 01:50:04,920
flash and inside of an hour and a half
in London, or, you know, 45 minutes
1720
01:50:04,920 --> 01:50:07,769
in New York, you get everything you
were expecting to see in the run.
1721
01:50:08,730 --> 01:50:10,530
They're not always like
that every single day.
1722
01:50:11,040 --> 01:50:13,440
And this is what you're going
to have to contend with.
1723
01:50:22,500 --> 01:50:24,480
I'm not going to repeat some of
these things you guys are saying.
1724
01:50:26,010 --> 01:50:29,550
But we're going to, uh, I'm going
to collapse this here because this
1725
01:50:29,550 --> 01:50:30,960
is a really, really long session.
1726
01:50:30,960 --> 01:50:32,070
And I got to go through and edit it.
1727
01:50:32,070 --> 01:50:34,830
And cause there's a lot of
time where there's no talking.
1728
01:50:35,280 --> 01:50:36,540
So I'll speed.
1729
01:50:36,540 --> 01:50:42,270
Those sections up our manager, this,
um, dispositions through Twitter.
1730
01:50:43,170 --> 01:50:46,830
Uh, we're going to watch and see if
there's any further effects at 10 30
1731
01:50:47,580 --> 01:50:49,410
when the crude oil inventories come out.
1732
01:50:50,850 --> 01:50:53,760
And, uh, we'll see what we see.
1733
01:50:54,030 --> 01:50:57,360
Uh, we've already booked a profit
on London and New York were paid
1734
01:50:57,390 --> 01:50:59,190
or paid we're in a position.
1735
01:50:59,220 --> 01:51:01,620
Now we can just wait and we want to
wait and see if there's going to come
1736
01:51:01,620 --> 01:51:05,580
down here and expand down to, uh,
right now the limit order I have for
1737
01:51:05,580 --> 01:51:11,310
profit, uh, puts me at 62 pips on
the second half of the position or
1738
01:51:11,310 --> 01:51:12,750
the single lot remaining basically.
1739
01:51:13,410 --> 01:51:17,250
And, uh, that comes in form of.
1740
01:51:29,050 --> 01:51:30,400
I don't know what the hell it is.
1741
01:51:31,330 --> 01:51:33,070
I can't see without
pulling everything else.
1742
01:51:38,050 --> 01:51:39,070
31 32.
1743
01:51:39,730 --> 01:51:45,700
So I have a have limit at 31 32,
which actually I might round to 31 35.
1744
01:51:46,840 --> 01:51:48,220
I I'm like being at the two level.
1745
01:51:50,170 --> 01:51:50,440
All right.
1746
01:51:50,440 --> 01:51:50,980
So there you go.
1747
01:51:51,700 --> 01:51:54,940
There's my mind limit is, and
if it gets down there, great.
1748
01:51:55,389 --> 01:51:57,370
If it comes back and stops me out fine.
1749
01:51:57,400 --> 01:51:58,179
I ain't worried about it.
1750
01:51:58,300 --> 01:51:59,050
I'm already paid.
1751
01:51:59,559 --> 01:52:03,519
Um, and I can go about my day and
do whatever I want to do, and I'm
1752
01:52:03,519 --> 01:52:04,780
going to the cheesecake factory.
1753
01:52:05,830 --> 01:52:09,030
So I got resupply and I will
catch you munchkins later on.
1754
01:52:11,440 --> 01:52:11,530
Okay.
1755
01:52:20,490 --> 01:52:23,610
In closing before I close this
out, you guys learning anything.
1756
01:52:33,020 --> 01:52:33,590
Are you learning?
1757
01:52:33,590 --> 01:52:35,870
Even in slow market, you
can pull out some stuff.
1758
01:52:41,710 --> 01:52:42,160
Very good.
1759
01:52:43,450 --> 01:52:44,890
Just want to make sure
you guys get into value.
1760
01:52:45,760 --> 01:52:46,690
I will catch up with you.
1761
01:52:46,690 --> 01:52:51,129
Uh, there'll be a recap posted by 3:30 PM.
1762
01:52:51,130 --> 01:52:53,470
This this afternoon,
my time, New York time.
1763
01:52:54,190 --> 01:52:58,180
And then, uh, we'll see what the
economic calendar gives that I haven't
1764
01:52:58,180 --> 01:53:01,510
looked at for tomorrow yet, but, uh,
we'll determine whether we're gonna
1765
01:53:01,510 --> 01:53:04,330
be doing anything in London again,
or if we'll wait for New York, so
1766
01:53:04,870 --> 01:53:05,950
have yourself a pleasant afternoon.
1767
01:53:06,780 --> 01:53:10,320
If you had any questions in here,
I'm saving them all right now.
1768
01:53:10,860 --> 01:53:16,880
So I will be able to go back and
fill them in on a weekly round up.
1769
01:53:17,270 --> 01:53:18,800
And I will bet you a do folks.
1770
01:53:18,830 --> 01:53:19,310
Thank you.
1771
01:53:20,060 --> 01:53:20,900
Good luck and good trading.
151219
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