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Hello and welcome back to cryptocurrency trading masterclass by a wealthy education in this video,
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we're going to talk about how to trade based on trend falling following indicators.
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So the first indicator that we'll talk about is a moving average.
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There is a whole list of types of moving averages.
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The two most common are simple and exponential.
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The simple moving average is an indicator that plot.
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In so in might be, say, 20, so it'll plot the last.
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Or the average price of the last 20 candlesticks, normally the clothes you can you can adjust it to
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open and highs and lows and everything else, but 99 percent of the time, you're talking about the
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clothes.
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So it plots it like, you know, like a dot on the chart and then it connects it, so it becomes a line
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much like a price chart.
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This is simply the close of stellar.
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30, 30 minute chart, so everywhere you see this market, like it closed there at that 30 minute time
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frame there, at that 30 minute Inkerman, et cetera, et cetera, a simple moving average is the same
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thing.
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And then if you change it to 200, then it's just the average price of the last 200.
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There is the exponential moving average.
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Emma.
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And that's the same thing.
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So in equal, say, 20, so that's your variable.
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It would plot the last 20 closer's.
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But this has a mathematical adjustment and that puts a little bit more weight on each.
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Time period, so like candle bar, whatever going forward.
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So.
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It makes it much more sensitive, it tends to move a little quicker in reaction because it puts more
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weight like, say, maybe on the last five than it does on the first 15.
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It's really the only difference.
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So setting them up pretty simple, you go to the indicators and strategies and you can type in moving.
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Moving average, and you can see there's a ton of them, but we're just going to worry about moving
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average and moving average exponential.
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So for shorter time frame trading, you tend to want.
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Exponential just because it's a little quicker to move and you can see over here it listed and then
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there are some lines.
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So I'm going to change the price to bars.
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Just so you can see, by default, it'll be nine.
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So we'll leave that there.
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But this one will change to.
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20.
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Maybe we'll make it like black or something that makes a little bit easier to see.
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And you can see the difference, you can see that the nine, the average of the last nine prices tend
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to move quicker than that last 20.
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That makes sense.
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There's more it's a much shorter time frame.
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There are a multitude of ways to look at this.
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People use it as a trend signal a lot of times.
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So you can see with both of these trend up, trend down, trend up trend, kind of sideways, down,
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up, up, sideways, down, et cetera.
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That's the most common way to use it.
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Some people will use a crossover signal.
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So, for example.
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You get a lower one, a shorter M.A and a longer Emma, and at the lower one rises above, the longer.
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Emma, that suggests that the shorter term momentum is turning to the upside and you see it kind of
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fan out over time.
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That's a good sign.
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Just as when it crosses to the downside, that suggests a downward trend.
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Now.
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Some people will even go so far as to.
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Use a crossover system, so it crossed here, so on this candlestick, you would be a buyer.
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And then it crossed here and on this candlestick, you would either get out or you would start selling.
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This is one of those things that if you do it, you're going to experience a lot of small losses and
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then occasionally you will see a bigger win like that.
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And this is going to be especially true on longer term setups.
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So.
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Looking at Bitcoin cash, let's change this to the daily.
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And again, let's change the bars just so we can see the indicators a little easier.
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So in this one will use simple moving averages.
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So you click on that and see that they're there, but I'm going to change the settings.
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To the.
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50.
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You make that red.
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And I'm going to change this one.
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To the 200.
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Let me make this black.
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OK, so.
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Average of 200 days worth of prices, average of 50 days worth of prices.
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It's a simple moving average, meaning that it just takes the raw information.
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Now that cross formed here and this is what is known as the Golden Cross.
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And you can see when this works, it really works.
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The short time frame in this case, 50 days breaks about 200 days and it just takes off like a rocket
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in bitcoin cash.
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However, you can see that it produces the occasional whipsaw.
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And that's that's the problem with a moving average crossover system.
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You have to be willing to accept several small losses for a huge, big trend following one.
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Finance quoin.
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So.
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I'll go ahead and change this to bars again, just for simplicity, we'll go to the one hour.
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Now, let's go back into you can you can also type in, Emma, if you want moving average exponential,
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first thing pulls up.
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And.
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This is the nine and again, let's go back to the 20.
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OK.
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So you can see that it's a lot of back and forth, so the problem you run into, like I said, is if
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you just trade just the cross'.
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You could run into serious trouble, but when they work, they work for a very long time.
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Otherwise what traders will do is just simply look at the moving average itself and just use that as
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your directional bias.
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Pretty straightforward.
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No need to overcomplicated.
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Let's go to the Daily.
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And let's change this to.
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That fifty two hundred.
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Now, remember, we had the Golden Cross previously.
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This is the death cross.
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This is a very, very sign long term, that's the golden cross.
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You can see the golden cross work there, the death cross, I mean.
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It kind of worked, but not really the golden cross here definitely did the.
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The problem is, though, if you wait for the cross, that's not until you get to this candlestick and
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if you wait for, you know, so really, you would have only captured that much of that entire move.
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So moving average crossover systems.
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They tend to work better with investment.
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You have to be willing to ride out that type of back and forth.
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So those are trend following signals you can you can see or indicators you can see that this indicates
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that we are going.
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Hiya.
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So let's remove that indicator and let's look at something called the DE.
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Moving average convergence, divergence, now, this is whether or not the moving averages are squeezing
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together or spreading out based upon the twelve and the twenty six, so it's essentially a moving average
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system.
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Some people will put moving averages on top of it.
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It's probably overkill, but some people prefer that extra boost, if you will.
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You can do the.
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Signal crossover, you know, breaking above, just like you would with a moving average.
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And that would have been an entry.
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You can also use what they call the.
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Zero line cross, so zero.
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Right here, where the histogram goes green and red, meaning positive or negative.
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So every time it turns green, you'd be a buyer, every time it turns red, you'd be a seller.
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Some people wait for a signal line to cross to the downside or upside to be a seller.
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So they might be a seller.
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They're.
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Just as they would be a buyer here, because we crossed over the zero line with a cross shortly before
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it, and that's you know, that's one of those confluence things that makes quite a bit of sense.
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And then finally.
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You know, I'll go into stellar lumens here.
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And I'll remove these indicators.
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And I'll do the Mockbee over here.
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So.
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It's a little early to tell.
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At this point, but it does look like.
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We made a lower high here on the moving averages, well, we made a higher high here.
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This is negative divergence, and what this means is when an oscillator this is part of a family of
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indicators called an oscillator, when it fails to make a higher high while price does, that means
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that it's diverging from the price and that means we may be running out of momentum.
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So in theory, that is a sell signal and it did work.
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At least so far, we broke the zero line, so we'll see what happens, the seller next.
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Now, this is on the 30 minute chart, so you can only read so much into it because, again, you like
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the idea of higher time frames, not lower for indicators as far as reliability notice, resistance
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here, resistance here, resistance here, crossover here, bearish crossover.
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So certainly the McGeady can be very useful.
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You never want to really use them ACDA in a sideways market like this to produce a lot of false signals.
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But if you get any type of significant swing, it becomes a much more interesting.
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So in the next video, I'll throw out some examples in real life to show you exactly how you could have
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used this in multiple instances with the moving averages and the Mac de.
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