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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:02,330 --> 00:00:08,360 And this video we're going to take a look at trends is going to explain how to trade different types 2 00:00:08,360 --> 00:00:11,570 of market trends or at least how you should be thinking. 3 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:18,890 Now, the first thing you need to understand is there are three ways to describe the market as far as 4 00:00:18,890 --> 00:00:25,970 trends are concerned, and that is uptrend, meaning prices are rising over time. 5 00:00:26,150 --> 00:00:27,890 That is downtrend. 6 00:00:28,460 --> 00:00:36,050 And then there is such thing as a sideways market, sometimes called consolidation, where price simply 7 00:00:36,050 --> 00:00:41,300 goes back and forth, where buyers and sellers are consolidating the market, trying to figure out their 8 00:00:41,300 --> 00:00:42,150 next move. 9 00:00:42,620 --> 00:00:49,990 So uptrend self-explanatory, prices rising over time, downtrend self-explanatory and sideways. 10 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:53,760 So those are the three states the market will be in. 11 00:00:53,780 --> 00:00:56,190 It can only be in one of those three states. 12 00:00:56,870 --> 00:01:06,560 Now, the biggest problem that most new traders have is that they do not know what time frame dictates 13 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:06,920 what. 14 00:01:07,070 --> 00:01:14,390 Well, the reality is this, you know, you go out into the forms, you go out into the websites and 15 00:01:14,390 --> 00:01:16,790 they will talk about the uptrend, the downtrend. 16 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:23,120 We're in an uptrend on the daily, but a downtrend on the weekly, downtrend on the four hour chart, 17 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,250 but an uptrend on the 15 minute chart. 18 00:01:26,820 --> 00:01:35,280 Generally speaking, the best way to go about finding the trend is to actually start with a high timeframe, 19 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:37,440 like daily or even weekly. 20 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:45,270 Well, you know, notice how there's a lot less information on this chart and it's much easier to determine 21 00:01:45,270 --> 00:01:48,060 which direction the market is heading. 22 00:01:48,180 --> 00:01:53,450 Sellers are much more in control of light going on the weekly chart. 23 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:58,710 Yes, we had a bounce, but at the end of the day. 24 00:01:59,630 --> 00:02:04,230 You can see it was slight compared to what we had been seeing. 25 00:02:04,250 --> 00:02:10,920 We started a hundred and fifty dollars, dropped to thirty five pounds to eighty four, eighty five 26 00:02:10,920 --> 00:02:15,800 ish, which sounded nice, but then rolled over again to continue this. 27 00:02:16,460 --> 00:02:20,720 So that is one way to look at it. 28 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:27,920 And if you go back to the daily, it does tell you the same information and just with a lot more candlesticks. 29 00:02:28,640 --> 00:02:32,420 So pay attention to what prices is doing over the longer term. 30 00:02:33,170 --> 00:02:34,010 You. 31 00:02:35,970 --> 00:02:38,940 Are looking to trade with the longer term trend. 32 00:02:38,970 --> 00:02:45,870 Yes, you can make a few bucks here and there, you know, in coin here, certainly you could have made 33 00:02:45,870 --> 00:02:47,150 money buying. 34 00:02:47,730 --> 00:02:51,910 But the reality is you were fighting the overall trend. 35 00:02:51,930 --> 00:02:59,670 So what typically is advisable is find out with a longer time frame is and, you know, this is even 36 00:02:59,670 --> 00:03:01,720 more obvious over here. 37 00:03:01,740 --> 00:03:02,130 Yes. 38 00:03:02,130 --> 00:03:04,380 There were times where we did rise a little bit. 39 00:03:04,890 --> 00:03:08,010 But look, again, that much, but it lost that much to get there. 40 00:03:08,020 --> 00:03:11,280 So using a little common sense, you should be looking to sell. 41 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:16,580 That doesn't necessarily mean you sell every time, but you have the weight of the market with you. 42 00:03:16,860 --> 00:03:18,450 And typically that means. 43 00:03:20,210 --> 00:03:22,030 It gives you a little bit more room for error. 44 00:03:23,890 --> 00:03:32,140 Now, how do we find defined trend lines again, higher timeframe, but one way you can look at it is 45 00:03:32,140 --> 00:03:37,270 trend lines so you can go over here to the line submenu and it's called trend line. 46 00:03:37,930 --> 00:03:44,290 And it is a line that shows where price was being supported or the buyers came in. 47 00:03:45,190 --> 00:03:52,030 And you can extend it out, so, for example, like coin this entire time was going to hire. 48 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:59,510 This trend line shows where buyers are willing to get involved, and even when we did finally break 49 00:03:59,510 --> 00:04:04,610 down through it, notice how we broke through it and bounced back above it, broke through it again, 50 00:04:04,610 --> 00:04:07,570 and then came back and it had a reaction. 51 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:15,230 You know, that is a trend line, that is the essence of defining the trend. 52 00:04:15,260 --> 00:04:17,660 There are other ways, but this is the simplest. 53 00:04:19,230 --> 00:04:25,200 Sometimes people like to trade channels and you can click on parallel channel. 54 00:04:26,390 --> 00:04:32,360 And you can draw, you know, the same trend line and then you drag it up and what you're doing is you're 55 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:33,290 looking for. 56 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:41,310 In this case, you can see where we hit that hit that actually broke above it, hit it again and came 57 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:41,740 back. 58 00:04:41,740 --> 00:04:44,550 So there was a little bit of a parallel channel here. 59 00:04:45,410 --> 00:04:54,160 A typically it's not advisable to trade a parallel channel just simply because why are you trying to 60 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,140 fight the overall trend when you see a move like this? 61 00:04:57,160 --> 00:05:02,440 Yes, it's overextended, but you have to know that there are people underneath that are willing to 62 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:03,100 buy this. 63 00:05:03,350 --> 00:05:09,610 You can see that they never, ever broke down below the bottom of it, you know, and parallel channel 64 00:05:10,030 --> 00:05:11,520 can work in either direction. 65 00:05:12,280 --> 00:05:13,650 You know, you can have. 66 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:16,990 Something like this. 67 00:05:18,910 --> 00:05:25,060 Drag it up, you know, you can make an argument for a little bit of a parallel channel. 68 00:05:25,970 --> 00:05:30,950 Maybe not all the way back there, but starting right around here again. 69 00:05:32,270 --> 00:05:37,010 Well, if you're going to use the parallel channel, you want to use this when you use the top, you 70 00:05:37,010 --> 00:05:37,970 don't want to use the bottom. 71 00:05:37,980 --> 00:05:45,620 The only time you use the bottom of the channel and a downtrend or the top of a channel and an uptrend 72 00:05:46,010 --> 00:05:52,430 is possibly taking profits and looking to sell either in the middle if you're aggressive or the top 73 00:05:52,430 --> 00:05:52,850 again. 74 00:05:53,300 --> 00:05:56,930 Again, though, parallel channels are pretty subjective. 75 00:05:56,930 --> 00:05:57,740 It's it's pretty rare. 76 00:05:57,740 --> 00:05:58,730 You get a perfect one. 77 00:05:58,730 --> 00:06:01,850 So but it is something that you will see on a lot of charts. 78 00:06:03,620 --> 00:06:13,700 Let's take a look at Bitcoin now, bitcoin has basically been falling since the peak in late 17. 79 00:06:13,730 --> 00:06:21,790 Now we've had a nice, huge rally in June of nineteen, but we have clearly fallen since then. 80 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:25,520 So one of the easiest ways to look at this. 81 00:06:27,410 --> 00:06:37,220 It's just change it to like an area chart, you can see clearly we got a nice rally and then we continued 82 00:06:37,220 --> 00:06:37,910 the downtrend. 83 00:06:37,910 --> 00:06:43,890 So Bitcoin has been in a downtrend since the bubble peak right around 20000. 84 00:06:44,300 --> 00:06:49,790 Now, obviously, there have been time frames where our time period is, I should say, where things 85 00:06:49,790 --> 00:06:51,020 looked quite a bit better. 86 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:54,560 And you certainly need to keep that in mind. 87 00:06:54,860 --> 00:06:59,190 But all things being equal, this is a pretty negative looking chart since the highs. 88 00:06:59,450 --> 00:07:01,250 So where have you made the most money? 89 00:07:01,280 --> 00:07:03,010 You've made the most money shorting. 90 00:07:03,470 --> 00:07:10,400 Unfortunately, a lot of retail traders make the mistake of thinking they need to catch every tick one 91 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:11,240 way or the other. 92 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:15,260 And that is a great way to lose your account because. 93 00:07:16,310 --> 00:07:21,080 It's very easy to look at this chart and I could show you an example right here, this is a Bitcoin 94 00:07:21,260 --> 00:07:22,730 weekly chart, very negative. 95 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,720 And you look at the daily chart and you think, OK, well, it's a little better here. 96 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:31,670 But what happens if you are somebody trying to scalp this chart in the 15 minute? 97 00:07:32,030 --> 00:07:33,670 You know, it looks very neutral, right? 98 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:39,410 You think, OK, well, I could have made all this money, but if you were just patient enough and wait 99 00:07:39,410 --> 00:07:43,840 for the longer term trend, you know, it starts to look a lot different. 100 00:07:44,210 --> 00:07:50,930 And in fact, it looks as if it's trying to roll over here even as positive as it looked when I first 101 00:07:50,930 --> 00:07:51,500 pulled it up. 102 00:07:51,770 --> 00:07:52,730 Hourly chart. 103 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:55,370 See see how negative this looks. 104 00:07:56,930 --> 00:08:02,070 This comes down to following longer term trends, I cannot stress that enough. 105 00:08:02,870 --> 00:08:04,610 Find out what the weekly trend is. 106 00:08:04,850 --> 00:08:06,170 You follow right along with it. 107 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:10,280 Now, there are some ways to determine whether the trend is changing. 108 00:08:10,310 --> 00:08:11,390 And we'll look into that. 109 00:08:12,740 --> 00:08:17,930 We have a video coming up, a few down the road that talks about exponential moving average. 110 00:08:17,930 --> 00:08:20,870 Quite often that's used to determine trend. 111 00:08:22,460 --> 00:08:24,230 And you just want to follow the longer term. 112 00:08:24,230 --> 00:08:25,150 You want to wait. 113 00:08:25,510 --> 00:08:29,010 You know, if this is a downtrend, Bitcoin gets a little too expensive. 114 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:30,350 Sellers come back in. 115 00:08:30,510 --> 00:08:31,880 You need to be patient. 116 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:33,710 Cannot stress that enough. 117 00:08:34,780 --> 00:08:38,140 In the next video, we'll talk about support resistance levels. 11569

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