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Hello and welcome back to cryptocurrency trading masterclass by wealthy education.
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This video, we'll take a look at risk management strategies.
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So the very first thing.
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And that as a trader, you should be thinking about is what's my risk, because a lot of professional
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traders out there will tell you that your job is to manage risk.
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A lot of this comes down to recognizing what momentum is falling when participants are interested or
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not interested in the market.
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You know when to take profit, when to place your stop losses, support resistance comes into play.
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You know, you can use Fibonacci levels, multiple different ways to do it.
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But at the end of the day, you must have.
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A strategy.
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Because if you don't, then the market will make the results for you and you don't want that, you want
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to be in control of your money, unfortunately, far too many of us.
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Get involved in this world and don't understand the terrorists, so I would highly recommend that you
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think about any risk of a trade being taken.
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And most importantly, you have to understand.
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When are you wrong?
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So here's an example.
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Of a breakout.
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And.
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You know, let's say for whatever reason, you decided to sell maybe on a short term chart.
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When we tried to break above 700 and really couldn't, then you thought, OK, well, I think a theorem
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is going to fall from here.
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It's gotten a bit ahead of itself.
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I'm willing to sell it.
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Unfortunately, what happens is a lot of traders will, you know, they'll sell it there and they'll
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say, OK.
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You know, it's going against me, so I saw a little bit more because I want to get my money back and
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maybe it only needs to get to this point for me to get to breakeven, because this one will be, you
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know, four hundred dollars while this one is down and then they'll sell it again.
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And then the next thing you know, they're in a huge, huge hole.
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So the first thing that I would say is when you recognize that you're wrong, get rid of it.
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You have to be very quick to get rid of your losers.
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So.
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I'm going to go ahead and go down to the hourly chart on a theory, and I'm going to go back to that
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time.
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And we're going to pretend like for whatever reason, we believe that theory is going to fall and there's
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a reason this is something called a shooting star.
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We'll talk about it later.
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The candlestick formation, but it's Burish and you can see that, yes, we did fall, but we turned
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right back around.
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This was a bullish candlestick, for that matter.
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So as you.
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Start to look at various reasons to be in or out.
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You know, you can put a few indicators on just do the RSI and volume for now on this hourly chart,
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your overbite, you're overextended, volume is shot straight up.
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You've shown exhaustion.
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You couldn't stay above 700.
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So you figure, OK, I'm going to short.
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However.
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If you're basing it on this candle.
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The market went as high as 720, so your stop loss has to be somewhere in that area because at this
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point in time, you're wrong.
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There's nothing wrong with being wrong, you're protecting your account.
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Furthermore, you want to limit what your losses might be, so might be one percent of your total equity
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that you're risking once you lose here, you're down one percent.
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You saw plenty of your account, but notice for those who would be particularly stubborn and then say,
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you know what, it fell.
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I kind of shot back up, but now it's pulling back a little bit.
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Volume comes into play.
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Oh, it's overbought.
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So I just have to wait.
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Right.
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And you get back down here, you get roughly close to break even.
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But you notice that now we can't break below 700.
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So you definitely need to get out at this point.
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And unfortunately, far too many people don't.
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The simple solution is whatever Candlestick or set up that you have based the whole thesis on, if it
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gets broken, just let it go.
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I cannot stress that enough.
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So this is an example of where the market moves against you, and if you aren't quick enough about it,
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it's going to move against you quite drastically and yet all the time in the world to get out.
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But yet people will stubbornly hang on to it because they don't like being right or wrong, know they
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want to be right, which is an excellent way to lose money in the markets, in any market, not just
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cryptocurrency.
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So.
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Here's a scenario where.
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You could have gotten in based upon a fib.
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You know, you pull back to the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level, but you never make it back
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to the top.
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Well, that's the whole idea of a fab.
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You're going to continue the trend.
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That should tell you it's time to start thinking about getting out.
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Well, if you got in down here, you're in profit.
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So don't be afraid to take it.
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We the 50 again, and we bounce, but we don't bounce as high this time, so the market is giving you
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a second opportunity to get out, get out.
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I can't I can't stress that enough.
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Volume.
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So we put in volume notices, big, massive volume spike, that makes sense, but as we rally, the
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volume isn't picking up, it's just kind of petering out.
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Lower and lower, so pay attention.
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If the price is kind of slacking off and so is volume that tells you there's a lot less interest, put
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your stop loss behind the candlestick that you got involved in.
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I mean, or the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level.
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Doesn't matter if you get taken out.
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Eventually, we'll look at this.
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We try to break down below the sixty one point eight percent Fibonacci retracement level a couple of
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times only to bounce.
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So here's the thing.
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You have to realize this is happening in real time, so, yes, in theory, you could have just hung
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on.
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But.
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You wouldn't have known that.
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Furthermore.
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When you see this set up here where we try to break down below this sixty one point eight twice and
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fail and then we start to rally, that's a completely new trade.
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This doesn't matter anymore.
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You shouldn't be worrying about this trade.
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And in fact, before it was all said and done, you made all that back.
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Assuming that you did let it hit your stop loss again, lower highs, that's a sign of weakness anyways.
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You know, listen to what the market's telling you.
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That's that's the most important thing that I can tell you.
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So where to take profit, put stop loss of that type of thing, the most basic and simple way to do
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that is, OK, so we have what is known as a double bottom here.
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We rally.
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You know, where are we going to run into trouble?
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Well, I would suspect that we would run into trouble there because, as you can see, we struggle to
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break up.
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But there in a theory.
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We finally break above where I put my stop loss just underneath there.
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And in this case, you got taken out, that's fine because you're an opportunity to buy back down here
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again.
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Now, I would point out.
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That this area that was previous resistance.
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And then support.
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Offered a little bit of resistance here, but it offered support going forward.
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So.
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You would have recognized this as a potential area, it would have put your stop loss somewhere behind
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it, and then when we got this big, massive candlestick on strong volume that tells you that it's time
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to move your stop loss, to break even and see where it can go, because unlike the other setups when
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this was going on, Ethereum was already.
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Taking off, so when you don't have a reference as to where to go forward, you could do a Fibonacci
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extension, that's fine.
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And I'll go ahead and draw one, but.
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The reality is.
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That you don't.
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Know how far it can go when it's in its own world, when it's truly taking off to the upside, when
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it's reaching all time highs, the best thing you can do instead of aiming for one of these Phibes.
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FIB Extension's.
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Is to mark the charts as you go along.
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So this was your breakout point, that's fine.
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You can see that there was a lot of action right here, a lot of whippy action, so that's an area that's
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going to be important.
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You rally a bit, you go sideways, so there's a lot of interest in the market right there.
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So as you're drawing these lines, you just plop your stop losses behind them, so you shot higher there
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and then you got taken out.
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But you know what?
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That's OK, because that was based upon a trade that started down here.
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The market told you it was time to get out, the market also has told you that it could possibly be
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time to get back in here.
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Same areas are going to come into play.
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So you move your loss off.
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You may have gotten taken out another entry here based upon a candlestick formation.
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Put your stop loss underneath the candlestick once we break a little higher than you can move to break
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even.
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You know, the thing about trading is we all dream about being on a boat somewhere, pressing a few
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buttons and making all this money, but unfortunately a little bit more challenging than that.
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And then people want to sit in front of a computer nonstop.
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And that wasn't the dream, the dream was to make a lot of money and to let the market work for us.
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So that's what you need to do.
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You need to let the market work for you.
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So let me put volume on.
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And I'm willing to bet.
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At this candlestick right here, yep, huge volume.
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We bounce from there.
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That was a good sign.
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Can secure huge volume.
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Candlestick here, huge volume turning around, so that's that volume.
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You do not want to risk too much in one trade, I've seen far too many people blow up their accounts
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by risking 10 percent of their potential capital or worse yet, risking maybe two percent or one percent
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on a trade.
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But, you know, constantly moving your stock losses back.
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Or up or down, whatever direction you're going, in order to not take the loss and you end up turning
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a one percent loss into a 15 percent loss.
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You know, for every if you lose 10 percent in your account, you need to make an 11 percent gain.
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And it gets and it expands from there.
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It's not it's not linear, it's exponential.
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So.
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That's something to keep in mind.
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Plus, you're better off just letting the market tell you when to get out.
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Sometimes it'll come back and it'll take you out and then I'll go on without you.
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But the reality is, sooner or later, you're going to get one of these trades that runs much further
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than you could have ever anticipated.
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And.
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Over the course of a year, you may find there's a handful of those trades that make up a huge part
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portion of your gains, and there's nothing wrong with that.
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You definitely need to be cautious about trying to over trade, let the market work for you, so let
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it tell you where it's trying to find support and put your stop loss underneath it if you're long or
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resistance if you're short.
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It sounds simple, it is simple, but unfortunately, that's where the psychology comes in, most states
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are so terrified of taking a loss that they don't stick to a mechanical setup, mechanical setup to
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the most important things.
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You can do look for stop losses behind support or resistance, look for take profit at areas where we've
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seen trouble before.
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You can see, OK, had you been long here, that would have been.
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An area where you would expect a little bit of resistance or profit-taking, just like if you got long
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here, you would expect it there again, eventually we break out.
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But there's no need to be hoggish about it.
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So.
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By using a little bit of common sense support resistance, look what the market is telling you.
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In this entire run, the market was telling you, for starters, the market is telling you that it's
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going higher, that it wants to go higher, it's telling you that it's still I mean, we pulled back.
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You should have you shouldn't even be thinking about selling.
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You should be thinking about buying when it drops.
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Now, that will change some day, but until the market shows you that it's willing to make a lower loan,
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you should only be buying.
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And if you trade with the trend.
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That will make up for a lot of sloppy mistakes because you will make the occasional mistake, but if
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you're with the trend, you're more likely to have the market work with you and not against you.
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That's the most important risk management bit that you can keep.
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Never trade against the trend.
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Use reasonable position sizes, don't go all in on one trade, you know, it's great that perhaps you
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get two or three wins in a row and you make an astronomical amount of money, but sooner or later,
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you're going to get a loss and you can wipe out your entire account very quickly.
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I cannot stress that enough, it has to be small enough risk that you're not concerned about it, you
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don't fiddle with it, you let the market do the work for you.
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So in the next video, we'll begin module two profitable patterns for crypto trading.
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And that module, we'll start to talk about grouping of candles and the way the market moves, using
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these patterns as a hint to buy or sell a little bit of a preview.
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This is something called an ascending triangle.
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That is a buy signal.
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And you can see that it did, in fact, go higher.
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But there are other patterns, obviously, that we will talk about.
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We start to get into the meat of various trading strategies.
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