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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:03,390 --> 00:00:08,380 Hello and welcome back to cryptocurrency trading masterclass by wealthy education. 2 00:00:08,790 --> 00:00:12,210 This video, we'll take a look at risk management strategies. 3 00:00:13,120 --> 00:00:15,910 So the very first thing. 4 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:24,420 And that as a trader, you should be thinking about is what's my risk, because a lot of professional 5 00:00:24,420 --> 00:00:28,740 traders out there will tell you that your job is to manage risk. 6 00:00:30,490 --> 00:00:37,930 A lot of this comes down to recognizing what momentum is falling when participants are interested or 7 00:00:37,990 --> 00:00:39,520 not interested in the market. 8 00:00:41,470 --> 00:00:47,670 You know when to take profit, when to place your stop losses, support resistance comes into play. 9 00:00:48,550 --> 00:00:53,560 You know, you can use Fibonacci levels, multiple different ways to do it. 10 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:56,650 But at the end of the day, you must have. 11 00:00:57,700 --> 00:00:59,020 A strategy. 12 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:08,270 Because if you don't, then the market will make the results for you and you don't want that, you want 13 00:01:08,270 --> 00:01:12,140 to be in control of your money, unfortunately, far too many of us. 14 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:20,470 Get involved in this world and don't understand the terrorists, so I would highly recommend that you 15 00:01:20,470 --> 00:01:24,010 think about any risk of a trade being taken. 16 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:27,340 And most importantly, you have to understand. 17 00:01:28,340 --> 00:01:30,000 When are you wrong? 18 00:01:30,350 --> 00:01:31,730 So here's an example. 19 00:01:34,060 --> 00:01:34,990 Of a breakout. 20 00:01:35,730 --> 00:01:36,540 And. 21 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:44,080 You know, let's say for whatever reason, you decided to sell maybe on a short term chart. 22 00:01:45,180 --> 00:01:53,110 When we tried to break above 700 and really couldn't, then you thought, OK, well, I think a theorem 23 00:01:53,970 --> 00:01:55,560 is going to fall from here. 24 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:57,170 It's gotten a bit ahead of itself. 25 00:01:57,210 --> 00:01:58,440 I'm willing to sell it. 26 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:06,290 Unfortunately, what happens is a lot of traders will, you know, they'll sell it there and they'll 27 00:02:06,290 --> 00:02:07,040 say, OK. 28 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:14,670 You know, it's going against me, so I saw a little bit more because I want to get my money back and 29 00:02:14,670 --> 00:02:18,930 maybe it only needs to get to this point for me to get to breakeven, because this one will be, you 30 00:02:18,930 --> 00:02:23,460 know, four hundred dollars while this one is down and then they'll sell it again. 31 00:02:23,460 --> 00:02:26,770 And then the next thing you know, they're in a huge, huge hole. 32 00:02:27,270 --> 00:02:32,430 So the first thing that I would say is when you recognize that you're wrong, get rid of it. 33 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:36,780 You have to be very quick to get rid of your losers. 34 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:39,170 So. 35 00:02:40,210 --> 00:02:48,040 I'm going to go ahead and go down to the hourly chart on a theory, and I'm going to go back to that 36 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:48,610 time. 37 00:02:50,030 --> 00:02:56,960 And we're going to pretend like for whatever reason, we believe that theory is going to fall and there's 38 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,000 a reason this is something called a shooting star. 39 00:02:59,010 --> 00:03:00,280 We'll talk about it later. 40 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:05,240 The candlestick formation, but it's Burish and you can see that, yes, we did fall, but we turned 41 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:05,960 right back around. 42 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:07,760 This was a bullish candlestick, for that matter. 43 00:03:09,460 --> 00:03:10,960 So as you. 44 00:03:12,730 --> 00:03:16,300 Start to look at various reasons to be in or out. 45 00:03:19,690 --> 00:03:26,650 You know, you can put a few indicators on just do the RSI and volume for now on this hourly chart, 46 00:03:26,650 --> 00:03:31,060 your overbite, you're overextended, volume is shot straight up. 47 00:03:31,090 --> 00:03:32,710 You've shown exhaustion. 48 00:03:32,710 --> 00:03:34,810 You couldn't stay above 700. 49 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:37,860 So you figure, OK, I'm going to short. 50 00:03:40,020 --> 00:03:40,680 However. 51 00:03:41,850 --> 00:03:43,860 If you're basing it on this candle. 52 00:03:45,770 --> 00:03:52,430 The market went as high as 720, so your stop loss has to be somewhere in that area because at this 53 00:03:52,430 --> 00:03:53,830 point in time, you're wrong. 54 00:03:56,300 --> 00:03:59,030 There's nothing wrong with being wrong, you're protecting your account. 55 00:04:00,500 --> 00:04:06,590 Furthermore, you want to limit what your losses might be, so might be one percent of your total equity 56 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:10,410 that you're risking once you lose here, you're down one percent. 57 00:04:10,430 --> 00:04:17,140 You saw plenty of your account, but notice for those who would be particularly stubborn and then say, 58 00:04:17,180 --> 00:04:18,400 you know what, it fell. 59 00:04:19,010 --> 00:04:21,760 I kind of shot back up, but now it's pulling back a little bit. 60 00:04:22,610 --> 00:04:23,980 Volume comes into play. 61 00:04:23,990 --> 00:04:25,130 Oh, it's overbought. 62 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:27,080 So I just have to wait. 63 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:27,500 Right. 64 00:04:28,010 --> 00:04:32,680 And you get back down here, you get roughly close to break even. 65 00:04:32,690 --> 00:04:36,320 But you notice that now we can't break below 700. 66 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:38,390 So you definitely need to get out at this point. 67 00:04:38,390 --> 00:04:40,550 And unfortunately, far too many people don't. 68 00:04:42,490 --> 00:04:49,150 The simple solution is whatever Candlestick or set up that you have based the whole thesis on, if it 69 00:04:49,150 --> 00:04:51,020 gets broken, just let it go. 70 00:04:51,250 --> 00:04:52,660 I cannot stress that enough. 71 00:04:54,800 --> 00:05:00,860 So this is an example of where the market moves against you, and if you aren't quick enough about it, 72 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,850 it's going to move against you quite drastically and yet all the time in the world to get out. 73 00:05:04,850 --> 00:05:10,730 But yet people will stubbornly hang on to it because they don't like being right or wrong, know they 74 00:05:10,730 --> 00:05:17,660 want to be right, which is an excellent way to lose money in the markets, in any market, not just 75 00:05:17,660 --> 00:05:18,530 cryptocurrency. 76 00:05:20,140 --> 00:05:20,800 So. 77 00:05:23,490 --> 00:05:25,620 Here's a scenario where. 78 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:31,740 You could have gotten in based upon a fib. 79 00:05:35,110 --> 00:05:39,700 You know, you pull back to the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level, but you never make it back 80 00:05:39,700 --> 00:05:40,250 to the top. 81 00:05:40,270 --> 00:05:41,770 Well, that's the whole idea of a fab. 82 00:05:41,770 --> 00:05:43,060 You're going to continue the trend. 83 00:05:43,330 --> 00:05:46,750 That should tell you it's time to start thinking about getting out. 84 00:05:47,140 --> 00:05:49,150 Well, if you got in down here, you're in profit. 85 00:05:50,070 --> 00:05:51,390 So don't be afraid to take it. 86 00:05:52,840 --> 00:05:57,870 We the 50 again, and we bounce, but we don't bounce as high this time, so the market is giving you 87 00:05:57,870 --> 00:06:00,630 a second opportunity to get out, get out. 88 00:06:01,050 --> 00:06:03,150 I can't I can't stress that enough. 89 00:06:05,700 --> 00:06:06,280 Volume. 90 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:12,270 So we put in volume notices, big, massive volume spike, that makes sense, but as we rally, the 91 00:06:12,270 --> 00:06:15,350 volume isn't picking up, it's just kind of petering out. 92 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:18,970 Lower and lower, so pay attention. 93 00:06:20,030 --> 00:06:26,510 If the price is kind of slacking off and so is volume that tells you there's a lot less interest, put 94 00:06:26,510 --> 00:06:29,690 your stop loss behind the candlestick that you got involved in. 95 00:06:29,850 --> 00:06:32,960 I mean, or the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level. 96 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,480 Doesn't matter if you get taken out. 97 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:37,510 Eventually, we'll look at this. 98 00:06:38,330 --> 00:06:43,700 We try to break down below the sixty one point eight percent Fibonacci retracement level a couple of 99 00:06:43,700 --> 00:06:45,510 times only to bounce. 100 00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:48,320 So here's the thing. 101 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:56,010 You have to realize this is happening in real time, so, yes, in theory, you could have just hung 102 00:06:56,010 --> 00:06:56,250 on. 103 00:06:57,250 --> 00:06:58,030 But. 104 00:06:59,690 --> 00:07:00,830 You wouldn't have known that. 105 00:07:02,060 --> 00:07:02,840 Furthermore. 106 00:07:03,990 --> 00:07:09,630 When you see this set up here where we try to break down below this sixty one point eight twice and 107 00:07:09,630 --> 00:07:13,250 fail and then we start to rally, that's a completely new trade. 108 00:07:13,890 --> 00:07:15,360 This doesn't matter anymore. 109 00:07:15,660 --> 00:07:17,190 You shouldn't be worrying about this trade. 110 00:07:18,460 --> 00:07:21,160 And in fact, before it was all said and done, you made all that back. 111 00:07:23,020 --> 00:07:28,750 Assuming that you did let it hit your stop loss again, lower highs, that's a sign of weakness anyways. 112 00:07:30,430 --> 00:07:32,850 You know, listen to what the market's telling you. 113 00:07:32,860 --> 00:07:35,710 That's that's the most important thing that I can tell you. 114 00:07:37,610 --> 00:07:44,450 So where to take profit, put stop loss of that type of thing, the most basic and simple way to do 115 00:07:44,450 --> 00:07:48,380 that is, OK, so we have what is known as a double bottom here. 116 00:07:50,130 --> 00:07:50,850 We rally. 117 00:07:51,900 --> 00:07:53,520 You know, where are we going to run into trouble? 118 00:07:53,550 --> 00:07:57,900 Well, I would suspect that we would run into trouble there because, as you can see, we struggle to 119 00:07:57,900 --> 00:07:58,180 break up. 120 00:07:58,180 --> 00:07:58,950 But there in a theory. 121 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:03,720 We finally break above where I put my stop loss just underneath there. 122 00:08:05,610 --> 00:08:09,960 And in this case, you got taken out, that's fine because you're an opportunity to buy back down here 123 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:10,320 again. 124 00:08:12,860 --> 00:08:14,030 Now, I would point out. 125 00:08:15,500 --> 00:08:17,540 That this area that was previous resistance. 126 00:08:18,940 --> 00:08:19,960 And then support. 127 00:08:21,270 --> 00:08:24,630 Offered a little bit of resistance here, but it offered support going forward. 128 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:26,530 So. 129 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:33,940 You would have recognized this as a potential area, it would have put your stop loss somewhere behind 130 00:08:33,940 --> 00:08:41,620 it, and then when we got this big, massive candlestick on strong volume that tells you that it's time 131 00:08:41,620 --> 00:08:47,710 to move your stop loss, to break even and see where it can go, because unlike the other setups when 132 00:08:47,710 --> 00:08:50,590 this was going on, Ethereum was already. 133 00:08:51,570 --> 00:08:57,840 Taking off, so when you don't have a reference as to where to go forward, you could do a Fibonacci 134 00:08:57,840 --> 00:08:59,700 extension, that's fine. 135 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:03,930 And I'll go ahead and draw one, but. 136 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:10,740 The reality is. 137 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:12,920 That you don't. 138 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:21,540 Know how far it can go when it's in its own world, when it's truly taking off to the upside, when 139 00:09:21,540 --> 00:09:27,150 it's reaching all time highs, the best thing you can do instead of aiming for one of these Phibes. 140 00:09:29,410 --> 00:09:30,520 FIB Extension's. 141 00:09:33,860 --> 00:09:35,780 Is to mark the charts as you go along. 142 00:09:35,810 --> 00:09:39,140 So this was your breakout point, that's fine. 143 00:09:41,890 --> 00:09:47,110 You can see that there was a lot of action right here, a lot of whippy action, so that's an area that's 144 00:09:47,110 --> 00:09:48,150 going to be important. 145 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:53,600 You rally a bit, you go sideways, so there's a lot of interest in the market right there. 146 00:09:54,980 --> 00:10:00,200 So as you're drawing these lines, you just plop your stop losses behind them, so you shot higher there 147 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:01,300 and then you got taken out. 148 00:10:01,310 --> 00:10:01,880 But you know what? 149 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,330 That's OK, because that was based upon a trade that started down here. 150 00:10:06,530 --> 00:10:11,090 The market told you it was time to get out, the market also has told you that it could possibly be 151 00:10:11,090 --> 00:10:12,460 time to get back in here. 152 00:10:12,860 --> 00:10:14,470 Same areas are going to come into play. 153 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:16,610 So you move your loss off. 154 00:10:17,210 --> 00:10:21,050 You may have gotten taken out another entry here based upon a candlestick formation. 155 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:27,650 Put your stop loss underneath the candlestick once we break a little higher than you can move to break 156 00:10:27,650 --> 00:10:28,030 even. 157 00:10:31,020 --> 00:10:36,450 You know, the thing about trading is we all dream about being on a boat somewhere, pressing a few 158 00:10:36,450 --> 00:10:41,640 buttons and making all this money, but unfortunately a little bit more challenging than that. 159 00:10:41,670 --> 00:10:44,460 And then people want to sit in front of a computer nonstop. 160 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:53,730 And that wasn't the dream, the dream was to make a lot of money and to let the market work for us. 161 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:55,100 So that's what you need to do. 162 00:10:55,110 --> 00:10:57,300 You need to let the market work for you. 163 00:10:58,580 --> 00:11:00,320 So let me put volume on. 164 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:03,920 And I'm willing to bet. 165 00:11:04,870 --> 00:11:08,410 At this candlestick right here, yep, huge volume. 166 00:11:09,330 --> 00:11:10,300 We bounce from there. 167 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:11,330 That was a good sign. 168 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:14,190 Can secure huge volume. 169 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:19,050 Candlestick here, huge volume turning around, so that's that volume. 170 00:11:20,990 --> 00:11:26,240 You do not want to risk too much in one trade, I've seen far too many people blow up their accounts 171 00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:32,600 by risking 10 percent of their potential capital or worse yet, risking maybe two percent or one percent 172 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:33,280 on a trade. 173 00:11:33,290 --> 00:11:36,860 But, you know, constantly moving your stock losses back. 174 00:11:37,930 --> 00:11:43,570 Or up or down, whatever direction you're going, in order to not take the loss and you end up turning 175 00:11:43,570 --> 00:11:46,450 a one percent loss into a 15 percent loss. 176 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:53,050 You know, for every if you lose 10 percent in your account, you need to make an 11 percent gain. 177 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,840 And it gets and it expands from there. 178 00:11:56,960 --> 00:12:00,350 It's not it's not linear, it's exponential. 179 00:12:02,780 --> 00:12:03,350 So. 180 00:12:04,330 --> 00:12:06,790 That's something to keep in mind. 181 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:11,410 Plus, you're better off just letting the market tell you when to get out. 182 00:12:12,100 --> 00:12:16,100 Sometimes it'll come back and it'll take you out and then I'll go on without you. 183 00:12:16,150 --> 00:12:21,670 But the reality is, sooner or later, you're going to get one of these trades that runs much further 184 00:12:21,670 --> 00:12:23,620 than you could have ever anticipated. 185 00:12:24,980 --> 00:12:25,610 And. 186 00:12:26,610 --> 00:12:30,990 Over the course of a year, you may find there's a handful of those trades that make up a huge part 187 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:34,500 portion of your gains, and there's nothing wrong with that. 188 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:43,640 You definitely need to be cautious about trying to over trade, let the market work for you, so let 189 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:47,870 it tell you where it's trying to find support and put your stop loss underneath it if you're long or 190 00:12:47,870 --> 00:12:50,030 resistance if you're short. 191 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:57,860 It sounds simple, it is simple, but unfortunately, that's where the psychology comes in, most states 192 00:12:57,860 --> 00:13:04,550 are so terrified of taking a loss that they don't stick to a mechanical setup, mechanical setup to 193 00:13:04,560 --> 00:13:05,630 the most important things. 194 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:16,170 You can do look for stop losses behind support or resistance, look for take profit at areas where we've 195 00:13:16,170 --> 00:13:17,250 seen trouble before. 196 00:13:17,250 --> 00:13:20,490 You can see, OK, had you been long here, that would have been. 197 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:27,580 An area where you would expect a little bit of resistance or profit-taking, just like if you got long 198 00:13:27,580 --> 00:13:30,730 here, you would expect it there again, eventually we break out. 199 00:13:33,470 --> 00:13:35,500 But there's no need to be hoggish about it. 200 00:13:39,060 --> 00:13:39,660 So. 201 00:13:41,960 --> 00:13:46,840 By using a little bit of common sense support resistance, look what the market is telling you. 202 00:13:48,300 --> 00:13:53,850 In this entire run, the market was telling you, for starters, the market is telling you that it's 203 00:13:53,850 --> 00:14:00,350 going higher, that it wants to go higher, it's telling you that it's still I mean, we pulled back. 204 00:14:00,780 --> 00:14:03,570 You should have you shouldn't even be thinking about selling. 205 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:06,730 You should be thinking about buying when it drops. 206 00:14:06,910 --> 00:14:13,210 Now, that will change some day, but until the market shows you that it's willing to make a lower loan, 207 00:14:13,570 --> 00:14:14,960 you should only be buying. 208 00:14:14,980 --> 00:14:16,450 And if you trade with the trend. 209 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:22,760 That will make up for a lot of sloppy mistakes because you will make the occasional mistake, but if 210 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:26,620 you're with the trend, you're more likely to have the market work with you and not against you. 211 00:14:27,020 --> 00:14:31,130 That's the most important risk management bit that you can keep. 212 00:14:31,130 --> 00:14:32,500 Never trade against the trend. 213 00:14:34,980 --> 00:14:41,670 Use reasonable position sizes, don't go all in on one trade, you know, it's great that perhaps you 214 00:14:41,670 --> 00:14:46,170 get two or three wins in a row and you make an astronomical amount of money, but sooner or later, 215 00:14:46,170 --> 00:14:49,890 you're going to get a loss and you can wipe out your entire account very quickly. 216 00:14:50,830 --> 00:14:57,220 I cannot stress that enough, it has to be small enough risk that you're not concerned about it, you 217 00:14:57,220 --> 00:14:59,810 don't fiddle with it, you let the market do the work for you. 218 00:15:00,550 --> 00:15:05,560 So in the next video, we'll begin module two profitable patterns for crypto trading. 219 00:15:05,890 --> 00:15:12,670 And that module, we'll start to talk about grouping of candles and the way the market moves, using 220 00:15:12,670 --> 00:15:19,200 these patterns as a hint to buy or sell a little bit of a preview. 221 00:15:19,210 --> 00:15:21,010 This is something called an ascending triangle. 222 00:15:21,010 --> 00:15:22,420 That is a buy signal. 223 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,900 And you can see that it did, in fact, go higher. 224 00:15:25,900 --> 00:15:28,990 But there are other patterns, obviously, that we will talk about. 225 00:15:30,050 --> 00:15:34,460 We start to get into the meat of various trading strategies. 21537

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