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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,434 --> 00:00:01,866 (tense music) 2 00:00:01,935 --> 00:00:04,003 - [Narrator] It can be a stone cold killer. 3 00:00:07,141 --> 00:00:11,143 And centuries ago, millions fell victim to its wrath. 4 00:00:11,211 --> 00:00:13,878 - [Kyle] If a hundred mile per hour chunk of ice hits you 5 00:00:13,947 --> 00:00:15,880 in the head, it can very easily kill you. 6 00:00:15,949 --> 00:00:17,949 - [Narrator] How could ice become so violent 7 00:00:18,019 --> 00:00:22,087 and so powerful as to nearly wipe out civilization 8 00:00:22,156 --> 00:00:26,091 while carving out some of America's most natural wonders? 9 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,161 - [Steve] It moved the position of the Mississippi River. 10 00:00:29,229 --> 00:00:32,097 - [Narrator] And has this frozen fury of our ancient past 11 00:00:32,165 --> 00:00:34,566 become the slippery slope towards our future demise? 12 00:00:34,768 --> 00:00:37,169 - As we move into the future, 13 00:00:37,237 --> 00:00:39,905 if the climate state is such that we can have severe storms 14 00:00:40,107 --> 00:00:44,042 and severe weather events coming in every year, 15 00:00:44,111 --> 00:00:47,779 adapting to that kind of extreme is very difficult. 16 00:00:47,848 --> 00:00:50,015 We don't know what to prepare for. 17 00:00:51,918 --> 00:00:56,655 - [Narrator] Earth, air, fire, and water, 18 00:00:56,723 --> 00:00:58,524 essential for human survival, 19 00:00:58,592 --> 00:00:59,992 but in their extreme-- 20 00:01:00,060 --> 00:01:01,126 - [Man] Coming down right now, make your turn. 21 00:01:01,195 --> 00:01:05,531 - [Narrator] To everything and everyone in their path. 22 00:01:05,733 --> 00:01:06,464 - [Man] Oh, big power black. 23 00:01:06,533 --> 00:01:06,999 - Wow. - Whoa, whoa! 24 00:01:08,669 --> 00:01:10,002 - [Narrator] These are stories 25 00:01:13,540 --> 00:01:15,007 of Apocalypse Earth. 26 00:01:18,079 --> 00:01:21,412 With every bone chilling winter storm come predictions 27 00:01:21,482 --> 00:01:23,748 of a new Ice Age. 28 00:01:23,818 --> 00:01:26,151 Extended periods of freezing rain, 29 00:01:26,219 --> 00:01:30,756 blinding snow storms, and Arctic air lead many scientists 30 00:01:30,958 --> 00:01:33,559 to predict a return to a frozen earth, 31 00:01:33,761 --> 00:01:36,094 not seen for thousands of years. 32 00:01:36,163 --> 00:01:40,099 A time when our planet was covered in massive ice sheets 33 00:01:40,301 --> 00:01:45,037 with the power to change the shape of continents and oceans. 34 00:01:45,239 --> 00:01:48,840 Evidence from the past could provide key clues to when 35 00:01:48,909 --> 00:01:52,010 and if we return to another Ice Age. 36 00:01:54,114 --> 00:01:55,914 Some scientists predict that the world is entering 37 00:01:55,982 --> 00:01:58,984 a period of extreme climate disturbance. 38 00:01:59,854 --> 00:02:01,920 Freezing temperatures could grip Europe 39 00:02:01,989 --> 00:02:04,990 and the Northeastern Coast of the United States, 40 00:02:06,126 --> 00:02:09,995 while other regions suffer from drought and flood. 41 00:02:14,935 --> 00:02:17,402 It has happened before. (ominous music) 42 00:02:17,470 --> 00:02:19,004 (bell tolling) 43 00:02:19,072 --> 00:02:20,606 Generations had prospered in the stable weather 44 00:02:20,674 --> 00:02:23,008 of pre-Renaissance Europe, 45 00:02:24,878 --> 00:02:28,814 but in the 1300s, without warning, 46 00:02:29,016 --> 00:02:31,616 that predictable world was turned upside down 47 00:02:31,685 --> 00:02:33,986 by the so-called Little Ice Age. 48 00:02:35,956 --> 00:02:38,022 - One of the things that happened was that 49 00:02:38,091 --> 00:02:42,294 you had this whipsaw going to warm, going to cold. 50 00:02:42,496 --> 00:02:43,361 1309 was cold. 51 00:02:43,430 --> 00:02:45,430 1315 was warm. 52 00:02:45,499 --> 00:02:47,098 1317 is cold again. 53 00:02:47,167 --> 00:02:51,036 And creatures and other things respond in different ways. 54 00:02:51,105 --> 00:02:54,039 You get crops rotting in the field if it gets too wet 55 00:02:54,241 --> 00:02:57,009 or germinating too early or never germinating at all. 56 00:02:59,113 --> 00:03:01,847 - [Narrator] The climate rapidly switched back and forth 57 00:03:01,915 --> 00:03:04,983 between cold and warm; wet, and dry. 58 00:03:06,053 --> 00:03:08,854 But this initial erratic climate was only a prelude 59 00:03:09,056 --> 00:03:11,990 to catastrophic changes of epic proportions. 60 00:03:13,994 --> 00:03:15,994 Over the next few centuries, (thunder crackles) 61 00:03:16,063 --> 00:03:18,930 the weather continually fluctuated at temperatures 62 00:03:18,999 --> 00:03:22,000 between 0.5 and three degrees lower than normal. 63 00:03:23,203 --> 00:03:27,005 This small change was enough to awaken an icy killer. 64 00:03:29,142 --> 00:03:31,810 - Throughout the Alps and throughout parts of Europe 65 00:03:32,012 --> 00:03:34,612 and in fact, in North America, and Canada, 66 00:03:34,681 --> 00:03:35,547 the Eastern Canadian Arctic, 67 00:03:35,749 --> 00:03:37,815 we see evidence that during 68 00:03:37,884 --> 00:03:39,985 The Little Ice Age, glaciers advanced. 69 00:03:41,021 --> 00:03:42,954 - [Narrator] The difference of only a few degrees 70 00:03:43,023 --> 00:03:45,991 triggered a self-perpetuating feedback cycle. 71 00:03:47,694 --> 00:03:50,562 - You make a little more ice, 72 00:03:50,631 --> 00:03:52,497 it reflects more of the sun. 73 00:03:52,566 --> 00:03:54,032 By reflecting the sun, 74 00:03:54,101 --> 00:03:56,501 the sun is not warming us up and so it gets colder, 75 00:03:56,570 --> 00:03:57,835 so you make more ice. 76 00:03:57,904 --> 00:04:00,638 - [Narrator] As the glaciers expanded, 77 00:04:00,707 --> 00:04:02,640 the Vikings took the first brunt 78 00:04:02,709 --> 00:04:04,976 of the climate's deadly chill. 79 00:04:05,045 --> 00:04:06,578 - They switched from being a farming economy 80 00:04:06,647 --> 00:04:08,046 to eating a lot from the sea 81 00:04:08,114 --> 00:04:11,783 because they were having troubles raising enough 82 00:04:11,851 --> 00:04:13,985 things on their farms, apparently. 83 00:04:14,054 --> 00:04:16,988 - [Narrator] But as temperatures continue to drop, 84 00:04:17,057 --> 00:04:19,791 storms and freezing winds blasted the settlements, 85 00:04:19,860 --> 00:04:22,527 even the sea held no hope of survival 86 00:04:22,596 --> 00:04:23,996 for the starving Vikings. 87 00:04:25,865 --> 00:04:27,999 - Around Iceland, sea ice expanded, 88 00:04:28,068 --> 00:04:31,870 and the people couldn't get out and go fishing. 89 00:04:32,072 --> 00:04:35,073 And they had open boats, not boats with decks, 90 00:04:35,142 --> 00:04:38,010 so they were particularly vulnerable to bad weather. 91 00:04:38,945 --> 00:04:40,946 - [Narrator] After decades of expansion, 92 00:04:41,148 --> 00:04:44,949 battle ax wielding, pillaging, and plundering Vikings 93 00:04:45,018 --> 00:04:48,287 were defeated by a sudden drop in temperature. 94 00:04:48,489 --> 00:04:50,622 (tense music) 95 00:04:50,690 --> 00:04:53,024 - Well, 10 super cold years, 96 00:04:53,093 --> 00:04:55,827 including one of the coldest years on record ever 97 00:04:55,896 --> 00:04:59,498 in about 1355 AD shut down Western colony 98 00:04:59,700 --> 00:05:00,965 and a hundred years later, 99 00:05:01,034 --> 00:05:02,767 the more Southerly Eastern colonies shut down. 100 00:05:02,836 --> 00:05:03,969 - [Narrator] The Vikings who survived 101 00:05:04,037 --> 00:05:07,638 migrated south, assimilating into populations 102 00:05:07,708 --> 00:05:09,841 living in continental Europe. 103 00:05:09,910 --> 00:05:13,011 Their fearless culture receded into history. 104 00:05:14,915 --> 00:05:18,116 If it hadn't been for The Little Ice Age, 105 00:05:18,184 --> 00:05:22,053 the Vikings may have continued settling in the New World 106 00:05:22,122 --> 00:05:24,990 and today's America would be a very different place. 107 00:05:26,726 --> 00:05:28,927 By the end of the 14th Century, 108 00:05:28,996 --> 00:05:31,329 Europe was buckling under freezing temperatures 109 00:05:31,398 --> 00:05:32,998 all winter long. 110 00:05:39,139 --> 00:05:42,674 In a chain reaction ignited by the cold and stormy weather, 111 00:05:42,742 --> 00:05:46,010 one calamity followed another. 112 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:49,014 Crops failed and food shortages spread across Europe. 113 00:05:49,949 --> 00:05:52,617 The freezing cold blasted through Asia, 114 00:05:52,686 --> 00:05:54,953 but that was only the beginning. 115 00:05:55,021 --> 00:05:58,022 Relentless storms killed at least 7 million. 116 00:05:58,092 --> 00:06:01,559 The resulting floods produced a horrific and infamous 117 00:06:01,628 --> 00:06:02,994 blowback effect on Europe. 118 00:06:04,965 --> 00:06:05,764 - Everybody's familiar with the Black Death, 119 00:06:05,833 --> 00:06:07,899 but the lesser known story of course 120 00:06:07,967 --> 00:06:10,435 is the role that climate may have played 121 00:06:10,503 --> 00:06:11,369 in unleashing it. 122 00:06:11,438 --> 00:06:14,005 (ominous music) 123 00:06:15,909 --> 00:06:17,575 - [Narrator] The Black Death or The Plague 124 00:06:17,644 --> 00:06:19,977 was a devastating pandemic 125 00:06:20,046 --> 00:06:23,381 that ravaged Europe during the mid 14th Century. 126 00:06:23,450 --> 00:06:24,983 (thunder rumbles) 127 00:06:25,052 --> 00:06:26,985 The drop in temperature changed weather conditions 128 00:06:28,922 --> 00:06:31,990 causing storm patterns to shift and intensify. 129 00:06:33,460 --> 00:06:35,126 In the early 1300s, 130 00:06:35,195 --> 00:06:38,463 Asia had a record breaking series of torrential storms 131 00:06:38,532 --> 00:06:39,998 and subsequent flooding. 132 00:06:41,134 --> 00:06:44,069 Rats carrying the plague thrived to these conditions. 133 00:06:44,137 --> 00:06:47,138 - The animals that react at the first are the ones 134 00:06:47,207 --> 00:06:50,008 that reproduced by the zillions and reproduce very rapidly, 135 00:06:50,210 --> 00:06:53,344 where as the longer lived, slower reproducing animals 136 00:06:53,413 --> 00:06:55,080 tend to lag. 137 00:06:55,282 --> 00:06:59,551 And so weedy species of every sort seem to take advantage 138 00:06:59,620 --> 00:07:01,987 of climate change and flood. 139 00:07:03,090 --> 00:07:05,757 - [Narrator] Rats on ships traveling the trade groups 140 00:07:05,959 --> 00:07:07,993 spread the disease from Asia to Europe. 141 00:07:09,162 --> 00:07:12,497 An already starving and weakened population was no match 142 00:07:12,565 --> 00:07:12,998 for the Black Death. 143 00:07:14,835 --> 00:07:16,901 Within five years, the plague had killed 144 00:07:16,970 --> 00:07:20,639 between 25 and 34 million people in Europe, 145 00:07:20,707 --> 00:07:23,008 one-third of the population. 146 00:07:24,178 --> 00:07:28,780 An estimated 40 million more died in North Africa and Asia. 147 00:07:28,849 --> 00:07:31,115 Generation after generation suffered 148 00:07:31,184 --> 00:07:34,986 the relentless pounding of extreme cold and wet weather, 149 00:07:35,989 --> 00:07:38,990 pushing the starving peasant to his limit. 150 00:07:40,059 --> 00:07:43,661 - Then there intense storms and incessant rain. 151 00:07:43,730 --> 00:07:45,063 Crops are rotting in the field. 152 00:07:45,131 --> 00:07:47,732 There's so little sunlight that you can't make salt 153 00:07:47,801 --> 00:07:50,935 in the summer to preserve anything. 154 00:07:51,004 --> 00:07:52,671 Diseases, molds, blights, and everything else 155 00:07:52,739 --> 00:07:54,005 we're beginning to afflict them. 156 00:07:56,209 --> 00:07:59,010 People fell into robbery, they lost their land, starvation. 157 00:07:59,212 --> 00:08:01,946 They started eating their livestock, dogs, and cats. 158 00:08:02,015 --> 00:08:03,982 And at some point, they even ate each other. 159 00:08:06,019 --> 00:08:08,153 - [Narrator] Sophisticated European societies 160 00:08:08,221 --> 00:08:11,990 quickly crumbled, scratching at the edges of mere survival. 161 00:08:15,028 --> 00:08:17,996 Starving peasants revolted against the aristocracy. 162 00:08:20,100 --> 00:08:22,834 The political unrest and an economic crash in England 163 00:08:22,903 --> 00:08:25,003 were factors in the American Revolution. 164 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:29,708 And it was the poor of 1789 France 165 00:08:29,910 --> 00:08:31,309 that fueled the French Revolution. 166 00:08:31,511 --> 00:08:34,045 (tense music) 167 00:08:34,114 --> 00:08:36,848 The tragic scope of The Little Ice Age was staggering. 168 00:08:36,917 --> 00:08:40,785 Millions died horrible deaths simply because 169 00:08:40,854 --> 00:08:43,054 the temperature dropped a few degrees. 170 00:08:43,256 --> 00:08:46,924 - You're living on the edge and you get just a little bit 171 00:08:46,993 --> 00:08:48,793 of a cooling, it can push you over the edge. 172 00:08:48,996 --> 00:08:50,529 - Little changes in global temperatures 173 00:08:50,731 --> 00:08:52,930 can have an enormous effect. 174 00:08:52,999 --> 00:08:54,932 A temperature change of five to nine degrees, 175 00:08:55,001 --> 00:08:58,537 which is also within the realm of possibility, 176 00:08:58,739 --> 00:09:00,005 would just be unimaginable. 177 00:09:01,008 --> 00:09:02,741 - [Narrator] The small drop in temperature 178 00:09:02,809 --> 00:09:04,009 that triggered The Little Ice Age 179 00:09:06,079 --> 00:09:08,013 may have been caused by a dimming of solar output 180 00:09:09,950 --> 00:09:12,984 linked to a change in sunspot activity. 181 00:09:15,355 --> 00:09:16,888 (tense music) 182 00:09:16,957 --> 00:09:19,090 Another factor that intensified the cooling 183 00:09:19,292 --> 00:09:22,994 was something else no one could have predicted or prevented. 184 00:09:26,567 --> 00:09:28,833 During the Little Ice Age, 185 00:09:28,902 --> 00:09:32,437 at least three massive volcanoes erupted: 186 00:09:32,639 --> 00:09:35,440 Mt. Vesuvius in 1631, 187 00:09:35,509 --> 00:09:38,009 Mt. Tambora in 1815, 188 00:09:39,513 --> 00:09:41,012 and Krakatoa in 1883. 189 00:09:44,183 --> 00:09:48,920 All spewed particles and gases into the upper atmosphere. 190 00:09:48,989 --> 00:09:51,856 These particulates reflected the sunlight back 191 00:09:51,924 --> 00:09:54,726 into the atmosphere, cooling the earth. 192 00:09:54,928 --> 00:09:57,662 - If you put a lot of volcanic debris 193 00:09:57,864 --> 00:10:00,131 high into the northern hemisphere, 194 00:10:00,199 --> 00:10:03,601 it's going to be everywhere in the northern hemisphere 195 00:10:03,670 --> 00:10:05,070 within just a couple of years. 196 00:10:05,138 --> 00:10:07,005 No matter what part of the earth is facing the sun 197 00:10:07,207 --> 00:10:09,007 day or night, it's still going to get less sunlight. 198 00:10:11,144 --> 00:10:14,745 - [Narrator] After six centuries of death and deprivation, 199 00:10:14,814 --> 00:10:17,015 the weather finally began to warm. 200 00:10:17,884 --> 00:10:21,753 - So, the Little Ice Age likely ends, 201 00:10:21,821 --> 00:10:23,020 because the volcanoes quiet down, 202 00:10:23,089 --> 00:10:25,290 they're not blocking the sun, and the sun brightens 203 00:10:25,492 --> 00:10:26,424 up a little bit. 204 00:10:26,492 --> 00:10:30,629 So, you have warming coming out of 1850 or 1900 205 00:10:30,831 --> 00:10:32,998 into the early part of the 1900s. 206 00:10:33,967 --> 00:10:36,834 - [Narrator] The Little Ice Age may be over, 207 00:10:36,903 --> 00:10:39,570 but some scientists see it as a preview 208 00:10:39,639 --> 00:10:43,040 of what could occur again, 209 00:10:43,109 --> 00:10:47,012 this time with even more devastating consequences. 210 00:10:47,380 --> 00:10:48,646 Coming up. 211 00:10:48,715 --> 00:10:51,116 (speaking in foreign language) 212 00:10:51,184 --> 00:10:52,050 - [Interpreter] How could a snow cloud of that size 213 00:10:52,119 --> 00:10:54,986 not bury whoever was on the face when it hit? 214 00:10:59,125 --> 00:11:01,726 - [Narrator] Some experts believe that global warming 215 00:11:01,795 --> 00:11:03,995 could paradoxically catapult parts 216 00:11:04,197 --> 00:11:07,398 of the Northern Hemisphere into a new Little Ice Age. 217 00:11:07,467 --> 00:11:10,001 (tense music) 218 00:11:11,337 --> 00:11:13,738 rn Seaboard 219 00:11:13,940 --> 00:11:16,874 and Western Europe would be battered 220 00:11:16,943 --> 00:11:20,011 by severe winter blizzards and ice storms. 221 00:11:22,482 --> 00:11:26,084 (wind howling) 222 00:11:26,152 --> 00:11:28,687 Proponents believe this big chill would be triggered 223 00:11:28,889 --> 00:11:30,989 by changes in the Atlantic Ocean. 224 00:11:31,891 --> 00:11:35,827 70% of the earth's surface is ocean. 225 00:11:35,895 --> 00:11:38,963 90% of all rain falls into the seas. 226 00:11:39,032 --> 00:11:42,500 It is a colossal reservoir of water carrying heat 227 00:11:42,568 --> 00:11:44,002 all over the planet. 228 00:11:44,837 --> 00:11:48,573 A huge ocean current system known 229 00:11:48,775 --> 00:11:50,108 as the Thermohaline Circulation, 230 00:11:50,176 --> 00:11:53,578 which includes the Gulf Stream circulates warm water 231 00:11:53,646 --> 00:11:55,013 north from the equator, 232 00:11:57,184 --> 00:11:59,584 giving our Northeastern Seaboard and parts of Europe 233 00:11:59,653 --> 00:12:01,986 relatively temperate climates. 234 00:12:03,790 --> 00:12:06,458 London, England, and Calgary, Canada 235 00:12:06,660 --> 00:12:07,992 are on the same latitude, 236 00:12:08,929 --> 00:12:11,863 yet London is much warmer on average. 237 00:12:11,932 --> 00:12:14,932 The reason: the Thermohaline Circulation, 238 00:12:15,001 --> 00:12:18,536 which brings warm Atlantic water and air North 239 00:12:18,604 --> 00:12:19,003 to the British Isles. 240 00:12:23,944 --> 00:12:27,078 As the heat is absorbed into the atmosphere, 241 00:12:27,147 --> 00:12:30,815 the surface water becomes colder, saltier, and dense. 242 00:12:30,883 --> 00:12:33,618 It sinks deeply, in effect pulling 243 00:12:33,686 --> 00:12:34,986 the current down behind it. 244 00:12:37,023 --> 00:12:39,156 - So in the winter as the water gets really cold, 245 00:12:39,225 --> 00:12:42,961 and colder makes it contract and contracting makes it denser 246 00:12:43,029 --> 00:12:45,296 and then it sinks and then warm water flows up 247 00:12:45,498 --> 00:12:46,831 to replace it. 248 00:12:46,900 --> 00:12:48,967 - [Narrator] In a self perpetuating cycle, 249 00:12:49,035 --> 00:12:51,769 the thermohaline circulation then moves south 250 00:12:51,838 --> 00:12:54,773 where it warms again at the equator 251 00:12:54,975 --> 00:12:57,041 and continues its cycle back up north. 252 00:12:57,244 --> 00:13:00,110 This immense system is dependent upon a delicate balance 253 00:13:00,180 --> 00:13:04,849 between warm and cold water and fresh and salt water. 254 00:13:04,918 --> 00:13:07,785 Some experts believe that global warming 255 00:13:07,854 --> 00:13:09,987 could disrupt this delicate system 256 00:13:10,056 --> 00:13:14,792 and in a worst case scenario create a mini Ice Age 257 00:13:14,861 --> 00:13:15,994 in parts of the Northern Hemisphere. 258 00:13:20,534 --> 00:13:21,732 - The oceans are warming. 259 00:13:21,801 --> 00:13:24,001 Almost all the glaciers on the planet 260 00:13:24,070 --> 00:13:26,004 have gotten smaller over the last hundred years. 261 00:13:26,206 --> 00:13:28,807 You're getting reductions in sea ice in the Arctic. 262 00:13:29,009 --> 00:13:30,675 Things are happening earlier in the spring 263 00:13:30,877 --> 00:13:32,610 and lasting further into the fall 264 00:13:32,678 --> 00:13:34,012 than they did in the past. 265 00:13:34,214 --> 00:13:36,548 And so this is great number of indicators that say, 266 00:13:36,750 --> 00:13:37,982 yes, the planet is warming. 267 00:13:40,954 --> 00:13:43,087 - [Narrator] According to the Big Freeze Theory, 268 00:13:43,290 --> 00:13:45,957 the rise in the ocean temperatures could cause a shutdown 269 00:13:46,026 --> 00:13:48,560 in the thermohaline circulation that brings warmth 270 00:13:48,762 --> 00:13:50,995 to the North Atlantic region. 271 00:13:53,099 --> 00:13:56,500 - The total heat capacity of the ocean is 1,100 times 272 00:13:56,570 --> 00:13:58,102 that of the atmosphere. 273 00:13:58,170 --> 00:14:00,638 So in my mind we really should be trying to understand 274 00:14:00,706 --> 00:14:02,707 what's going on in the ocean 275 00:14:02,909 --> 00:14:04,008 to understand our future climate. 276 00:14:07,981 --> 00:14:08,913 - [Narrator] Researchers from Woods Hole 277 00:14:08,982 --> 00:14:12,583 Oceanographic Institution utilize many tools 278 00:14:12,652 --> 00:14:13,985 to study the changing ocean. 279 00:14:16,122 --> 00:14:19,523 Remote-controlled devices called floaters track changes 280 00:14:19,592 --> 00:14:20,992 in the ocean's condition. 281 00:14:22,128 --> 00:14:25,596 - They're sort of like weather balloons for the ocean 282 00:14:25,665 --> 00:14:27,732 that drift at depths for 10 days 283 00:14:27,801 --> 00:14:29,801 then come to the surface reporting 284 00:14:30,003 --> 00:14:31,803 the temperature and salinity as they rise 285 00:14:32,005 --> 00:14:35,006 and they transmit that data to a satellite. 286 00:14:36,076 --> 00:14:39,477 And we have a program to deploy thousands of these 287 00:14:39,546 --> 00:14:41,012 around the global ocean. 288 00:14:42,081 --> 00:14:44,015 - [Narrator] Using the data transmitted by tools 289 00:14:44,083 --> 00:14:46,951 like floaters, scientists create computer models 290 00:14:47,019 --> 00:14:50,989 that track and then project climate changes. 291 00:14:51,291 --> 00:14:52,290 (beeping) 292 00:14:52,358 --> 00:14:54,826 (crashes) 293 00:14:54,894 --> 00:14:57,628 Researchers continue to find evidence 294 00:14:57,697 --> 00:14:58,997 of a disturbing development: 295 00:15:01,034 --> 00:15:03,768 global warming is melting glaciers and ice sheets 296 00:15:03,836 --> 00:15:05,837 causing an increase in fresh water 297 00:15:06,039 --> 00:15:08,706 flowing into the thermohaline circulation, 298 00:15:08,774 --> 00:15:11,009 a process they call freshening. 299 00:15:14,180 --> 00:15:16,647 This fresh water could throw off the critical balance 300 00:15:16,716 --> 00:15:18,849 between temperature and salinity 301 00:15:18,919 --> 00:15:21,986 that powers the thermohaline circulation. 302 00:15:23,923 --> 00:15:25,056 - What it means is that those warm waters 303 00:15:25,258 --> 00:15:29,927 no longer flow north and they stopped much further south. 304 00:15:29,996 --> 00:15:33,131 And so all that warmth that would otherwise warm 305 00:15:33,199 --> 00:15:35,065 the Northern Hemisphere stays in the south, which means, 306 00:15:35,134 --> 00:15:36,868 for example, there's more energy in the atmosphere. 307 00:15:36,936 --> 00:15:39,870 There are more extreme storms and so on, 308 00:15:39,939 --> 00:15:43,007 but critically much colder in the north. 309 00:15:44,877 --> 00:15:45,943 - [Narrator] Some experts think that if 310 00:15:46,012 --> 00:15:49,747 the thermohaline circulation is disrupted, 311 00:15:49,949 --> 00:15:51,482 temperatures could drop dramatically 312 00:15:51,551 --> 00:15:52,616 in the North Atlantic 313 00:15:52,686 --> 00:15:55,553 leading to a new Little Ice Age 314 00:15:55,622 --> 00:15:57,989 in North America and Europe. 315 00:16:02,095 --> 00:16:04,963 - If the thermohaline circulation was to shut down, 316 00:16:05,165 --> 00:16:07,097 the average temperature changes resulting of that 317 00:16:07,166 --> 00:16:09,633 could be anywhere between eight to 12 degrees possibly, 318 00:16:09,702 --> 00:16:12,103 but that would be on average. 319 00:16:12,172 --> 00:16:16,040 And clearly the extremes that could resolve from an average 320 00:16:16,242 --> 00:16:18,842 temperature change like that could be well beyond that. 321 00:16:18,911 --> 00:16:21,645 - England France, Germany would begin 322 00:16:21,714 --> 00:16:24,015 to resemble Alaska and Canada. 323 00:16:25,117 --> 00:16:27,518 And those parts of the world, particularly Alaska, 324 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:28,987 might even get colder still. 325 00:16:33,860 --> 00:16:35,926 - [Narrator] In the United States, 326 00:16:35,995 --> 00:16:38,463 the Northeast Coast would be hit the hardest 327 00:16:38,665 --> 00:16:39,797 with extreme temperatures 328 00:16:39,866 --> 00:16:42,000 and more intense blizzards and storms. 329 00:16:45,004 --> 00:16:48,005 - For example, severity of nor'easter storms 330 00:16:48,074 --> 00:16:50,741 could easily increase in a condition where you had 331 00:16:50,810 --> 00:16:52,877 increased storminess, increased wind 332 00:16:53,079 --> 00:16:56,014 velocities impacting the eastern North America. 333 00:16:57,017 --> 00:16:59,617 - [Narrator] Some experts doubt this big chill 334 00:16:59,685 --> 00:17:00,985 would be nearly so dramatic, 335 00:17:01,954 --> 00:17:05,089 that it would in fact be only a side effect 336 00:17:05,157 --> 00:17:07,992 of the real devastation in other parts of the world. 337 00:17:09,028 --> 00:17:13,031 In the Pacific, a warmer ocean will intensify 338 00:17:13,233 --> 00:17:16,500 the El Nino rainstorm cycle that historically batters 339 00:17:16,569 --> 00:17:18,002 the Pacific Coastline. 340 00:17:19,105 --> 00:17:23,107 - Even a two-degree change if we were so lucky, 341 00:17:23,175 --> 00:17:26,510 would be double the intensity or more of the strongest 342 00:17:26,579 --> 00:17:27,912 El Nino we've ever felt. 343 00:17:27,980 --> 00:17:31,115 In 1998, there was a very strong El Nino, 344 00:17:31,183 --> 00:17:33,584 did $100-billion damage around the world and killed 345 00:17:33,653 --> 00:17:34,918 tens of thousands of people. 346 00:17:34,987 --> 00:17:37,855 So, even a very slight variation from the norm 347 00:17:37,924 --> 00:17:40,791 in global weather can cause a lot of damage. 348 00:17:40,860 --> 00:17:42,926 - [Narrator] In the South Atlantic, 349 00:17:42,995 --> 00:17:45,462 warmer oceans will mean intensified hurricanes 350 00:17:45,531 --> 00:17:46,998 and massive storms. 351 00:17:48,134 --> 00:17:50,934 - The fact that we have a great deal of heat built up 352 00:17:51,003 --> 00:17:53,604 in the ocean means that there's plenty of fuel 353 00:17:53,673 --> 00:17:56,007 for more intense hurricanes. 354 00:17:57,010 --> 00:18:00,478 So it seems inevitable that strong hurricanes 355 00:18:00,546 --> 00:18:01,812 are in our future. 356 00:18:01,881 --> 00:18:03,748 - If we get not just one Katrina, 357 00:18:03,950 --> 00:18:06,950 but if we get five Katrinas per year 358 00:18:07,019 --> 00:18:09,820 coming into different regions of the Gulf coast 359 00:18:09,889 --> 00:18:11,822 or in fact shifting to where now these storms 360 00:18:11,891 --> 00:18:13,891 are impacting along the eastern seaboard 361 00:18:14,093 --> 00:18:16,760 and coming into Washington DC and New York City, 362 00:18:16,830 --> 00:18:19,964 then the consequences would be severe. 363 00:18:20,032 --> 00:18:22,033 - [Narrator] And warming oceans and warmer air 364 00:18:22,235 --> 00:18:24,902 could threaten the largest source of frozen fresh water 365 00:18:24,971 --> 00:18:28,772 on the planet, massive ice sheets at the poles. 366 00:18:28,842 --> 00:18:31,642 Melting those could result in floods 367 00:18:31,711 --> 00:18:33,978 never before seen on our planet. 368 00:18:34,046 --> 00:18:37,915 Snow and ice can rapidly become a deadly mix, 369 00:18:37,984 --> 00:18:39,984 especially for hardcore adventure seekers. 370 00:18:41,454 --> 00:18:42,987 (tense music) 371 00:18:47,460 --> 00:18:48,726 The Himalayas. 372 00:18:48,928 --> 00:18:50,795 This mountain range in Nepal is home 373 00:18:50,863 --> 00:18:53,998 to the 14 highest peaks on earth. 374 00:18:54,067 --> 00:18:57,001 It's most treacherous, the one known is Annapurna. 375 00:18:58,004 --> 00:19:00,804 - You have a mountain that's over 26,000 feet 376 00:19:00,874 --> 00:19:02,606 and a canyon right next to it going down 377 00:19:02,675 --> 00:19:03,807 to only three or 4,000 feet, 378 00:19:03,876 --> 00:19:07,811 so the vertical relief is just amazing. 379 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:10,080 - [Narrator] But it's a hidden danger 380 00:19:10,149 --> 00:19:14,886 that gives Annapurna her deadly reputation: avalanches. 381 00:19:15,088 --> 00:19:17,354 - Over 40% of the climbers who attempt Annapurna 382 00:19:17,423 --> 00:19:18,622 do not come home. 383 00:19:18,691 --> 00:19:20,157 For comparison, Mount Everest, 384 00:19:20,226 --> 00:19:23,294 which is the tallest mountain on the planet only has about 385 00:19:23,496 --> 00:19:24,494 a 9% death rate. 386 00:19:24,564 --> 00:19:26,430 - Looking at Annapurna you can see why the avalanches 387 00:19:26,498 --> 00:19:27,965 are so prevalent. 388 00:19:28,167 --> 00:19:30,968 See those dark rock layers leaning out of the hill, 389 00:19:31,037 --> 00:19:33,103 looking like slides in a playground for the snow 390 00:19:33,173 --> 00:19:36,974 to slide off of and see that U-shaped glacial valley there 391 00:19:37,043 --> 00:19:40,044 acting like a funnel funneling the avalanches down. 392 00:19:40,113 --> 00:19:42,913 And for some reason, the climbers like to go up that, 393 00:19:42,982 --> 00:19:44,982 but that's like playing Russian roulette. 394 00:19:45,051 --> 00:19:47,985 One out of five of them are going to be killed. 395 00:19:50,857 --> 00:19:53,991 - [Narrator] In the fall of 1997, 396 00:19:54,193 --> 00:19:56,793 Annapurna is heavy with a million tons of fresh snow 397 00:19:56,862 --> 00:19:58,996 lying in wait for her next victims. 398 00:20:01,133 --> 00:20:03,934 On a year long quest to scale the world's highest peak, 399 00:20:04,003 --> 00:20:07,738 veteran mountain climbers Jesus and Jose Novas 400 00:20:07,940 --> 00:20:09,940 had been in the Himalayas for months. 401 00:20:10,009 --> 00:20:12,943 To document their triumph over Annapurna, 402 00:20:13,012 --> 00:20:16,013 the brothers hire cameraman Alejandro Rocha. 403 00:20:17,283 --> 00:20:20,551 They brush off forewarnings of the mountain's short temper. 404 00:20:20,753 --> 00:20:24,989 (speaking in foreign langauge) 405 00:20:25,891 --> 00:20:26,757 - [Interpreter] There were conditions 406 00:20:26,825 --> 00:20:27,491 that could be considered favorable 407 00:20:27,694 --> 00:20:29,827 to provoking an avalanche, 408 00:20:29,896 --> 00:20:31,962 but you're always sure that it won't happen. 409 00:20:32,031 --> 00:20:34,899 - [Narrator] As they set up camp at 19,000 feet, 410 00:20:34,967 --> 00:20:38,002 the signs of impending disaster are clear. 411 00:20:39,372 --> 00:20:40,571 (tense music) 412 00:20:40,773 --> 00:20:42,506 - These guys are very well aware 413 00:20:42,575 --> 00:20:43,974 that an avalanches occur. 414 00:20:44,043 --> 00:20:48,713 Avalanches occur on Annapurna all the time. 415 00:20:48,915 --> 00:20:50,715 If you get heavy snow and warming, 416 00:20:50,917 --> 00:20:51,983 you are going to have an avalanche. 417 00:20:53,653 --> 00:20:54,652 - [Narrator] Ignoring the risk, 418 00:20:54,721 --> 00:20:56,988 Jesus and Jose make their ascent. 419 00:20:59,992 --> 00:21:03,393 They're halfway up the cliff face when Annapurna 420 00:21:03,462 --> 00:21:04,461 springs her trap. 421 00:21:04,530 --> 00:21:07,999 (suspenseful music) 422 00:21:10,937 --> 00:21:15,006 A rippling frozen surge, 6,500 feet wide 423 00:21:15,208 --> 00:21:18,876 careens down the mountain at eighty miles per hour. 424 00:21:19,078 --> 00:21:21,478 Alejandro watches in terror as the snow pack 425 00:21:21,547 --> 00:21:23,014 swallows his friends. 426 00:21:26,686 --> 00:21:27,685 (speaks in foreign language) 427 00:21:27,887 --> 00:21:29,987 Then he realizes he could be next. 428 00:21:34,694 --> 00:21:36,093 (speaks in foreign language) 429 00:21:36,162 --> 00:21:38,095 - [Interpreter] The cloud was getting bigger and bigger, 430 00:21:38,164 --> 00:21:40,998 it was like this big white cloud, a huge heap of snow. 431 00:21:41,834 --> 00:21:44,769 - [Narrator] Helpless and terrified, 432 00:21:44,971 --> 00:21:47,438 Alejandro retreats to his only shelter, 433 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:48,005 waiting for the worst. 434 00:21:49,375 --> 00:21:54,979 [Bleep] 435 00:21:55,047 --> 00:21:57,982 The cameraman braces against Annapurna's fury 436 00:21:59,919 --> 00:22:01,986 as he pummels the tent with snow and ice. 437 00:22:03,456 --> 00:22:04,254 (suspenseful music) 438 00:22:04,323 --> 00:22:05,990 [Bleep] 439 00:22:19,872 --> 00:22:23,074 Remarkably, Alejandro survives the attack. 440 00:22:23,276 --> 00:22:27,011 Immediately, his thoughts turn to the two climbers outside. 441 00:22:31,017 --> 00:22:33,984 He peeks out, not knowing what he'll find. 442 00:22:36,889 --> 00:22:40,624 The entire snow face, all 2,600 feet of it 443 00:22:40,693 --> 00:22:42,993 has plummeted down the mountain 444 00:22:43,896 --> 00:22:46,564 and the Novas brothers are nowhere in sight. 445 00:22:46,766 --> 00:22:49,967 (speaking in foreign language) 446 00:22:50,035 --> 00:22:53,037 If they're still alive, it may be only minutes 447 00:22:53,105 --> 00:22:57,007 before Jesus and Jose suffocate under tons of snow. 448 00:22:57,710 --> 00:22:59,042 (speaking in foreign language) 449 00:22:59,112 --> 00:23:00,911 - [Interpreter] How could a snow cloud of that size 450 00:23:00,980 --> 00:23:04,014 not bury whoever was on the face when it hit? 451 00:23:05,718 --> 00:23:07,651 - [Narrator] He scans the cliffs 452 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:09,987 desperate for any sign of life. 453 00:23:13,059 --> 00:23:16,527 Finally, his camera catches two tiny figures, 454 00:23:16,595 --> 00:23:17,995 halfway up the slope. 455 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:24,935 It's Jesus and Jose clinging to the cliff side. 456 00:23:25,004 --> 00:23:27,604 - [Interpreter] I saw them and I screamed at them 457 00:23:27,673 --> 00:23:29,606 asking them if they were okay. 458 00:23:29,675 --> 00:23:31,008 (speaking in foreign language) 459 00:23:31,210 --> 00:23:34,011 Since I only saw two tiny dots, quickly descending. 460 00:23:35,948 --> 00:23:37,614 - [Narrator] Trudging through waist-deep snow, 461 00:23:37,683 --> 00:23:39,984 the climbers returned to camp. 462 00:23:40,686 --> 00:23:42,286 (speaking in foreign language) 463 00:23:42,355 --> 00:23:43,820 (man laughs) 464 00:23:43,889 --> 00:23:44,622 - [Narrator] Astonished that Annapurna 465 00:23:44,824 --> 00:23:46,991 has failed to bury them alive. 466 00:23:51,097 --> 00:23:53,998 - [Interpreter] The avalanche was a total surprise. 467 00:23:55,033 --> 00:23:57,001 All of a sudden we heard a crack like a boom. 468 00:23:58,638 --> 00:24:00,637 It was as if something broke. 469 00:24:00,706 --> 00:24:04,008 It was a dissonant bang, boom! 470 00:24:05,178 --> 00:24:08,012 I said an avalanche, quick, quick, we'll hide over here. 471 00:24:09,915 --> 00:24:11,648 In no time, in just a matter of seconds, 472 00:24:11,717 --> 00:24:12,983 the avalanche was on top of us. 473 00:24:15,187 --> 00:24:16,787 The cliff protected us from everything that was falling 474 00:24:16,989 --> 00:24:18,989 from above, forming something of a shield. 475 00:24:20,927 --> 00:24:23,994 We were under there for about a minute or so. 476 00:24:25,664 --> 00:24:27,998 It was very difficult to breath. 477 00:24:28,668 --> 00:24:31,067 (speaking in foreign language) 478 00:24:31,136 --> 00:24:32,870 - [Interpreter] I got as close to the wall as possible 479 00:24:32,938 --> 00:24:36,006 to avoid being hit by the chunks of ice. 480 00:24:37,009 --> 00:24:39,677 We were only thinking of not falling down, 481 00:24:39,745 --> 00:24:42,012 of holding on with the ice axes. 482 00:24:43,081 --> 00:24:44,415 - You really have to admire the quick thinking 483 00:24:44,617 --> 00:24:45,615 of the two climbers. 484 00:24:45,684 --> 00:24:48,151 To see an avalanche bearing down on them so rapidly 485 00:24:48,220 --> 00:24:52,089 and to be able to take cover that quickly is really amazing. 486 00:24:52,158 --> 00:24:54,958 - They talk about suffocating for not being able to breathe, 487 00:24:55,027 --> 00:24:56,493 but that's a heck of a lot better than being hit 488 00:24:56,562 --> 00:24:57,995 by tons of wet snow. 489 00:25:00,166 --> 00:25:01,965 - [Narrator] All three mountaineers are lucky to survive, 490 00:25:02,034 --> 00:25:06,003 a rare instance of Annapurna missing her targets. 491 00:25:07,507 --> 00:25:09,039 In more recent years, 492 00:25:09,107 --> 00:25:12,442 another disaster on Annapurna would prove the rarity 493 00:25:12,511 --> 00:25:13,844 of their survival. 494 00:25:13,913 --> 00:25:16,580 In January of 2020, several South Korean 495 00:25:16,782 --> 00:25:18,982 school teachers went missing. 496 00:25:19,051 --> 00:25:21,785 Their bodies, not discovered until that spring. 497 00:25:21,988 --> 00:25:24,655 Annapurna with about one in three climbers 498 00:25:24,723 --> 00:25:26,856 failing to survive the ascent 499 00:25:26,926 --> 00:25:28,858 remains the deadliest mountain in the world. 500 00:25:28,928 --> 00:25:31,595 - The fatality rate for Annapurna seems 501 00:25:31,664 --> 00:25:33,797 to be very, very high because 502 00:25:33,866 --> 00:25:35,131 of its great prevalence of avalanches. 503 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,869 Inclined rock layers that are easy for snow to slide off of 504 00:25:39,071 --> 00:25:41,738 and climbers going up glacial valleys funnels 505 00:25:41,807 --> 00:25:43,740 where avalanches are directed into. 506 00:25:43,809 --> 00:25:45,742 Very hard to avoid the avalanches. 507 00:25:45,811 --> 00:25:48,412 Very easy to die on this mountain. 508 00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:51,015 (tense music) 509 00:25:58,157 --> 00:26:01,025 - [Narrator] Each day, several hundred million metric tons 510 00:26:01,227 --> 00:26:05,996 of ice on the polar ice sheet are lost perhaps forever. 511 00:26:08,167 --> 00:26:11,568 This alarms scientists because ice sheets cover nearly 512 00:26:11,637 --> 00:26:13,003 1/10th of the earth's land 513 00:26:14,039 --> 00:26:18,008 and contain about 70% the planet's fresh water. 514 00:26:19,045 --> 00:26:21,111 - The potential melting from the big ice sheets 515 00:26:21,180 --> 00:26:23,981 of Greenland and Antarctica, those are really the gorillas 516 00:26:24,183 --> 00:26:26,717 in the wood shed if you wanna talk about problems. 517 00:26:26,786 --> 00:26:29,586 Far bigger than what we would get 518 00:26:29,655 --> 00:26:31,054 from a few glaciers melting. 519 00:26:31,123 --> 00:26:33,790 That's really a key for civilization in this century, 520 00:26:33,859 --> 00:26:35,993 what's gonna happen to the ice sheets? 521 00:26:37,930 --> 00:26:38,795 - [Narrator] The same ominous phenomenon 522 00:26:38,864 --> 00:26:40,998 is taking place all over the world. 523 00:26:43,201 --> 00:26:47,004 The renowned snows of Mount Kilimanjaro are disappearing. 524 00:26:48,941 --> 00:26:52,009 The frozen current of the Andes are drying up. 525 00:26:54,013 --> 00:26:56,346 And the glaciers in Montana's Glacier National Park 526 00:26:56,415 --> 00:26:57,014 are vanishing. 527 00:27:00,019 --> 00:27:03,954 This full blown retreat of glaciers is the result 528 00:27:04,022 --> 00:27:05,990 of an overall warming trend across the globe. 529 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,561 The world's oceans are heating up. 530 00:27:10,763 --> 00:27:13,096 - The climate system is changing 531 00:27:13,165 --> 00:27:16,767 and it's changing at a rate that compared to previous 532 00:27:16,836 --> 00:27:19,003 decades and centuries is quite rapid. 533 00:27:21,173 --> 00:27:24,008 - [Narrator] And warmer seas mean rising sea levels. 534 00:27:26,111 --> 00:27:30,047 - As water warms, it expands so warmer water actually 535 00:27:30,249 --> 00:27:35,118 takes up more volume and increases the sea level as well. 536 00:27:35,187 --> 00:27:37,921 - [Narrator] Scientists are predicting a rise in sea level 537 00:27:37,990 --> 00:27:40,991 of one to four feet by the end of the century. 538 00:27:44,196 --> 00:27:48,532 But if the significant portion of the polar ice caps melt, 539 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:50,000 it could be much more. 540 00:27:50,736 --> 00:27:52,002 - It's not totally unrealistic 541 00:27:54,206 --> 00:27:57,474 to think that sea level rise could be maybe up to 10 feet 542 00:27:57,543 --> 00:27:59,810 between now and 2100. 543 00:28:00,012 --> 00:28:03,146 There's a lot of ice in West Antarctica. 544 00:28:03,215 --> 00:28:06,984 It's grounded below sea level and it's inherently unstable. 545 00:28:08,087 --> 00:28:11,955 So, we are concerned it could slip away very rapidly. 546 00:28:12,024 --> 00:28:13,991 And this alone could raise sea level by 15 feet. 547 00:28:17,162 --> 00:28:19,997 - [Narrator] Low lying coastal areas could be devastated. 548 00:28:21,900 --> 00:28:24,634 Entire Island nations in the South Pacific 549 00:28:24,703 --> 00:28:26,003 could be swallowed by the sea. 550 00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,709 In Bangladesh, the rice paddies that feed millions of people 551 00:28:31,911 --> 00:28:33,010 could disappear under salt water. 552 00:28:35,047 --> 00:28:37,648 Untold numbers of these people could be displaced 553 00:28:37,716 --> 00:28:39,983 and become climate refugees. 554 00:28:41,721 --> 00:28:44,387 And some of America's great cities: 555 00:28:44,456 --> 00:28:47,457 Miami, Baltimore, 556 00:28:47,526 --> 00:28:48,525 New York, and Boston 557 00:28:48,727 --> 00:28:50,661 may see their most expensive 558 00:28:50,863 --> 00:28:52,996 waterfront properties washed away. 559 00:28:55,134 --> 00:28:57,601 Even worse, warmer oceans will cause more intense 560 00:28:57,803 --> 00:29:01,004 tropical storms and hurricanes. 561 00:29:02,675 --> 00:29:04,007 - A hurricane is a heat engine. 562 00:29:04,076 --> 00:29:07,076 It's a monster that devours heat and it gets it 563 00:29:07,146 --> 00:29:09,146 from the upper layers of the ocean and so the warmer 564 00:29:09,214 --> 00:29:14,084 the ocean the more heat for the hurricane to develop. 565 00:29:14,152 --> 00:29:15,953 - [Narrator] Melting glaciers could be the first sign 566 00:29:16,021 --> 00:29:18,989 of this impending environmental catastrophe. 567 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:25,162 A glacier is a slow moving river of frozen water, 568 00:29:25,230 --> 00:29:28,565 a tremendous accumulation of snow compacted by the pressure 569 00:29:28,767 --> 00:29:31,001 of its weight and turn to ice. 570 00:29:33,038 --> 00:29:33,771 - It oozes very, very slowly under the weight 571 00:29:33,973 --> 00:29:36,039 of its own gravity and that's the key. 572 00:29:36,242 --> 00:29:40,010 A glacier has to move, in order to be called a glacier. 573 00:29:41,046 --> 00:29:43,847 - [Narrator] Some of these frozen rivers of ice 574 00:29:43,915 --> 00:29:45,983 move as fast as two miles per hour. 575 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:49,853 During the last Ice Age, 576 00:29:49,922 --> 00:29:52,990 they carved entire landscapes out of rock. 577 00:29:54,126 --> 00:29:56,927 A glacial system may be as large as a continent 578 00:29:56,996 --> 00:29:59,997 or as small as a tiny valley between mountains. 579 00:30:02,067 --> 00:30:06,003 Each year when the snow falls, new ice is added. 580 00:30:07,206 --> 00:30:10,073 - A healthy glacier is one that's getting plenty of winter 581 00:30:10,142 --> 00:30:13,076 snow pack and is not melting too much in the summer, 582 00:30:13,144 --> 00:30:17,014 then it can maintain its mass or it can even grow. 583 00:30:18,150 --> 00:30:20,550 - [Narrator] These mountain glaciers have been here 584 00:30:20,619 --> 00:30:22,986 for more than 10,000 years. 585 00:30:24,957 --> 00:30:27,424 Today, scientists are monitoring their health 586 00:30:27,626 --> 00:30:28,992 on a day-to-day basis. 587 00:30:30,963 --> 00:30:33,564 They predict that every one of these glaciers 588 00:30:33,766 --> 00:30:35,999 will be gone by the year 2050, 589 00:30:37,102 --> 00:30:39,903 but the life span of mountain glaciers is short 590 00:30:39,971 --> 00:30:42,505 compared to the rivers of ice that flow off 591 00:30:42,574 --> 00:30:44,007 the polar ice sheets. 592 00:30:45,043 --> 00:30:48,011 Many of these are more than 500,000 years old. 593 00:30:50,182 --> 00:30:52,516 It is these polar glaciers that are even more crucial 594 00:30:52,718 --> 00:30:53,984 to the future of the planet. 595 00:30:55,186 --> 00:30:58,989 Just in terms of mass, the polar ice caps are astounding. 596 00:31:00,926 --> 00:31:03,260 - Antarctica is not at the human scale. 597 00:31:03,329 --> 00:31:04,461 It's huge. 598 00:31:04,530 --> 00:31:07,797 If you actually wanna count all the individual glaciers 599 00:31:07,867 --> 00:31:10,533 in Antarctica, you're talking about tens 600 00:31:10,602 --> 00:31:12,002 of thousands of glaciers. 601 00:31:13,739 --> 00:31:14,738 - [Narrator] Difficult to get to, 602 00:31:14,807 --> 00:31:16,940 Antarctica, the seventh continent, 603 00:31:17,142 --> 00:31:20,010 was not even discovered until the 18th Century. 604 00:31:23,749 --> 00:31:25,815 Since then, explorers and scientists 605 00:31:25,885 --> 00:31:27,550 have been trying to gather information 606 00:31:27,620 --> 00:31:28,986 about the polar ice sheets. 607 00:31:31,090 --> 00:31:34,090 In particular, they wanna know how quickly the ice caps 608 00:31:34,159 --> 00:31:38,895 are melting, because this information can tell us how fast 609 00:31:38,964 --> 00:31:41,999 and how much the world's sea levels will rise. 610 00:31:44,903 --> 00:31:47,004 But the polar regions have remained elusive. 611 00:31:49,107 --> 00:31:52,009 - You have to realize that maybe 30, 40 years ago, 612 00:31:53,045 --> 00:31:55,579 we didn't even know where all the glaciers were, 613 00:31:55,647 --> 00:31:57,014 the important glaciers. 614 00:31:59,117 --> 00:32:00,850 - [Narrator] For decades, Greenland and Antarctica 615 00:32:00,919 --> 00:32:03,987 proved to be too huge to accurately survey. 616 00:32:06,125 --> 00:32:07,924 - What we relied on was putting together hundreds 617 00:32:07,993 --> 00:32:11,794 or thousands of individual measurements taken 618 00:32:11,863 --> 00:32:14,131 in the field by individual scientists 619 00:32:14,199 --> 00:32:18,001 going and visiting a polar ice cap and taking samples. 620 00:32:21,206 --> 00:32:23,674 - [Narrator] The complete picture of the polar regions 621 00:32:23,876 --> 00:32:25,609 and all their glaciers has remained 622 00:32:25,677 --> 00:32:28,011 an enormous jigsaw puzzle. 623 00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:31,815 - There's no way from fieldwork alone you could say anything 624 00:32:32,017 --> 00:32:34,417 about the entire ice sheet with certainty 625 00:32:34,486 --> 00:32:36,085 and with precision. 626 00:32:36,154 --> 00:32:38,955 - [Narrator] Now scientists say seeing the ice sheets 627 00:32:39,024 --> 00:32:42,559 in their entirety may be a matter of survival 628 00:32:42,627 --> 00:32:43,994 for future generations. 629 00:32:44,897 --> 00:32:47,030 - We really need to look at all of them, 630 00:32:47,099 --> 00:32:49,966 detect the areas where the changes are taking place 631 00:32:50,035 --> 00:32:52,769 and keep an open mind that it may not be just one 632 00:32:52,838 --> 00:32:53,836 or two glaciers that are changing, 633 00:32:53,905 --> 00:32:56,639 but it could be a whole coastal range 634 00:32:56,708 --> 00:32:57,774 of several thousand kilometers 635 00:32:57,843 --> 00:33:01,011 which is changing at the same time. 636 00:33:03,048 --> 00:33:03,846 - [Narrator] These changes in the polar ice sheets 637 00:33:03,915 --> 00:33:06,984 and glaciers could spell disaster. 638 00:33:07,987 --> 00:33:10,787 And what these scientists discovered could have 639 00:33:10,989 --> 00:33:14,390 a life or death impact on millions of people 640 00:33:14,459 --> 00:33:14,992 around the world. 641 00:33:19,331 --> 00:33:22,866 st spectacular 642 00:33:22,934 --> 00:33:25,002 photographic evidence of nature's fury, 643 00:33:27,005 --> 00:33:29,872 it is by far not the only hazard faced by those 644 00:33:29,941 --> 00:33:33,010 sitting below tons of unstable ice and snow. 645 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,013 (tense music) 646 00:33:40,485 --> 00:33:42,986 Namestovo, Slovakia. 647 00:33:44,022 --> 00:33:46,423 It's a thrilling day for a 150 of the country's 648 00:33:46,625 --> 00:33:48,625 junior hockey players. 649 00:33:48,693 --> 00:33:49,826 They get to meet their idol: 650 00:33:49,894 --> 00:33:53,096 13-year NHL veteran Richard Zednik. 651 00:33:53,165 --> 00:33:56,766 The Slovak native survived a brush with death in 2008, 652 00:33:56,835 --> 00:33:59,002 when a player's skate cut his neck. 653 00:34:02,107 --> 00:34:04,908 He never expected that a casual Sunday training session 654 00:34:04,977 --> 00:34:07,577 with his home country's up and coming stars 655 00:34:07,645 --> 00:34:09,012 could also turn deadly. 656 00:34:09,715 --> 00:34:11,982 But just over their heads, 657 00:34:12,050 --> 00:34:14,450 mother nature is putting the finishing touches 658 00:34:14,519 --> 00:34:16,653 on a sinister plot. 659 00:34:16,721 --> 00:34:17,787 - [Narrator] In Northern Europe, 660 00:34:17,856 --> 00:34:18,455 there's a lot of heavy winter weather. 661 00:34:18,657 --> 00:34:20,991 Snow, ice, winter storms, 662 00:34:21,193 --> 00:34:25,061 seemingly everyday weather can lead to big problems. 663 00:34:25,130 --> 00:34:26,863 - Snow might not seem that dangerous when it falls, 664 00:34:26,932 --> 00:34:29,533 but to a very large, very wide flat roof, 665 00:34:29,735 --> 00:34:31,001 it can be very destructive. 666 00:34:32,203 --> 00:34:34,071 - [Narrator] As the young athletes practice their moves 667 00:34:34,273 --> 00:34:38,008 on the ice, ominous noises from above get their attention. 668 00:34:42,948 --> 00:34:45,816 Suddenly, the roof cracks open and buckles, 669 00:34:46,018 --> 00:34:47,984 threatening to kill everyone underneath. 670 00:34:56,095 --> 00:34:57,961 Richard and the other adults try to hustle the children 671 00:34:58,163 --> 00:35:00,997 out of harm's way before they're crushed to death. 672 00:35:03,035 --> 00:35:06,102 They flee the collapsing arena through passageways 673 00:35:06,171 --> 00:35:10,173 along the perimeter that remained free of rubble so far, 674 00:35:10,241 --> 00:35:13,576 but everyone knows the rest of the roof might easily cave in 675 00:35:13,645 --> 00:35:15,011 before they find the exit. 676 00:35:16,848 --> 00:35:18,982 - The ceiling essentially unzipped. 677 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:22,585 This was a large Quonset hut. 678 00:35:22,654 --> 00:35:25,788 A Quonset hut is a steel arch. 679 00:35:25,858 --> 00:35:29,459 And the one problem we see with arches 680 00:35:29,661 --> 00:35:31,995 is drain drifting snow, 681 00:35:32,197 --> 00:35:37,066 where all the snow will drift to one side of the arch. 682 00:35:37,135 --> 00:35:40,003 And that unbalanced load can cause an arch to buckle. 683 00:35:41,073 --> 00:35:43,006 - These kinds of buildings are always a challenge. 684 00:35:43,075 --> 00:35:46,476 How do you cover a large area with enough strength 685 00:35:46,545 --> 00:35:48,078 to stand up to a stress. 686 00:35:48,146 --> 00:35:51,014 And here they failed the test, the roof collapsed. 687 00:35:58,022 --> 00:36:00,890 - [Narrator] The near fatal disaster is anything 688 00:36:00,959 --> 00:36:04,628 but a triumph homecoming for Richard Zednik. 689 00:36:04,696 --> 00:36:05,762 (speaks in foreign language) 690 00:36:05,964 --> 00:36:06,630 - [Interpreter] It was complete horror 691 00:36:06,698 --> 00:36:07,998 when it started to collapse. 692 00:36:09,167 --> 00:36:11,834 Imagine suddenly a ceiling falling straight on your head. 693 00:36:11,904 --> 00:36:14,037 I looked around and saw people in panic. 694 00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:17,007 In two or three seconds, the ceiling was on the floor. 695 00:36:20,178 --> 00:36:23,846 - Given the number of people that were in this building 696 00:36:23,916 --> 00:36:26,382 and out on the ice at the time the ceiling 697 00:36:26,451 --> 00:36:27,784 began to collapse, 698 00:36:27,986 --> 00:36:30,787 it's remarkable that everybody survived. 699 00:36:30,855 --> 00:36:31,721 And it would have been very deadly 700 00:36:31,790 --> 00:36:33,990 for anybody who had been under it. 701 00:36:39,197 --> 00:36:41,064 - [Narrator] For centuries, America's early geologists 702 00:36:41,133 --> 00:36:44,467 were puzzled by mysterious marks etched into the bedrock 703 00:36:44,670 --> 00:36:47,003 of much of North America, 704 00:36:48,607 --> 00:36:50,807 and by lonely mountain rock 705 00:36:50,875 --> 00:36:53,009 randomly scattered across the land. 706 00:36:53,544 --> 00:36:57,013 (thunder crashing) 707 00:37:02,220 --> 00:37:07,557 Then in 1847, a newly-appointed Harvard university professor 708 00:37:07,759 --> 00:37:11,494 came up with a radical new idea. 709 00:37:11,563 --> 00:37:12,962 Geologist Louis Agassiz 710 00:37:13,031 --> 00:37:16,766 compared North America's landscape and rocks 711 00:37:16,968 --> 00:37:18,501 with the geology of mountain glaciers 712 00:37:18,704 --> 00:37:20,003 in his native Switzerland. 713 00:37:21,906 --> 00:37:24,040 And he built on theories he had developed 714 00:37:24,109 --> 00:37:26,976 in this Swiss Alps a decade earlier to declare that 715 00:37:27,045 --> 00:37:31,014 North America had once been buried deep under ice. 716 00:37:34,119 --> 00:37:37,988 Agassiz's work at Harvard made him world-famous in his day. 717 00:37:39,858 --> 00:37:41,590 But the final proof of his Ice Age theory 718 00:37:41,660 --> 00:37:44,861 had to wait until the 1950s, 719 00:37:44,929 --> 00:37:47,530 when new evidence came from the seabed 720 00:37:47,598 --> 00:37:47,998 of the Atlantic Ocean. 721 00:37:52,871 --> 00:37:55,004 That evidence is still stored to this day 722 00:37:55,073 --> 00:37:59,009 in this refrigerated laboratory at Miami University. 723 00:38:01,012 --> 00:38:04,146 These thousands of plastic tubes offer scientists 724 00:38:04,215 --> 00:38:08,418 a unique window to look back at what the weather was like 725 00:38:08,620 --> 00:38:08,985 on the ancient Earth. 726 00:38:11,022 --> 00:38:12,956 - These records that you see in this room here 727 00:38:13,158 --> 00:38:15,759 basically are the primary information we have now 728 00:38:15,961 --> 00:38:19,628 about the climate changes we have had 729 00:38:19,698 --> 00:38:20,763 over the last two million years. 730 00:38:20,832 --> 00:38:23,833 So these are really starting points 731 00:38:23,901 --> 00:38:26,769 that open people's eyes about changes 732 00:38:26,838 --> 00:38:29,005 which occurred during glacial periods. 733 00:38:29,908 --> 00:38:31,708 - [Narrator] The mud cores were collected 734 00:38:31,777 --> 00:38:35,011 by oceanographer Cesare Emiliani. 735 00:38:36,248 --> 00:38:38,982 The deeper he drilled, the further back in time he went 736 00:38:39,184 --> 00:38:42,986 and the older the sample he pulled to the surface. 737 00:38:44,789 --> 00:38:47,857 - These are cores of deep sea mud. 738 00:38:47,925 --> 00:38:51,927 And within the mud are small organisms, 739 00:38:51,996 --> 00:38:55,931 which record the temperature and the salinity 740 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:57,533 and the other conditions which were prevalent 741 00:38:57,602 --> 00:39:00,003 when that organism lived. 742 00:39:02,140 --> 00:39:06,009 - Those tiny undersea creatures are called formanifera. 743 00:39:07,746 --> 00:39:08,878 Their chemical makeup varies, 744 00:39:08,947 --> 00:39:10,479 depending on the temperature of the water 745 00:39:10,548 --> 00:39:12,015 in which they grow. 746 00:39:13,951 --> 00:39:16,553 So the sea bugs in different layers of mud 747 00:39:16,621 --> 00:39:18,755 act as tiny thermometers, 748 00:39:18,957 --> 00:39:21,624 recording how hot or cold the Earth was 749 00:39:21,693 --> 00:39:23,993 at different times in its past. 750 00:39:26,365 --> 00:39:28,898 (haunting music) 751 00:39:29,100 --> 00:39:32,101 They reveal that just over two million years ago, 752 00:39:32,170 --> 00:39:35,772 the average annual temperature across the lower 48 states 753 00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,975 was around 56 degrees Fahrenheit, 754 00:39:39,043 --> 00:39:41,010 about three degrees warmer than it is today. 755 00:39:46,250 --> 00:39:49,719 Then, the temperature regularly started crashing below zero 756 00:39:49,921 --> 00:39:53,389 and staying there month after month. 757 00:39:53,458 --> 00:39:55,057 (dramatic music) 758 00:39:55,126 --> 00:39:58,461 Huge changes happening in what, in geological terms, 759 00:39:58,530 --> 00:39:59,996 was astonishing speed. 760 00:40:01,466 --> 00:40:02,932 Within 10,000 years, 761 00:40:03,001 --> 00:40:05,668 the year-round average temperature bottomed out 762 00:40:05,736 --> 00:40:08,137 at just 26 degrees Fahrenheit, 763 00:40:08,206 --> 00:40:12,008 about the same as the average winter temperature in Chicago. 764 00:40:15,747 --> 00:40:18,948 Even today, scientists are uncertain 765 00:40:19,150 --> 00:40:20,984 what caused the temperature to drop so quickly. 766 00:40:22,687 --> 00:40:24,687 Variations in the Earth's orbit, 767 00:40:24,890 --> 00:40:27,023 a change and the tilt of its axis, 768 00:40:27,092 --> 00:40:30,493 and even the creation of the Himalayan mountain range 769 00:40:30,562 --> 00:40:31,995 are all prime suspects. 770 00:40:33,565 --> 00:40:35,898 But one thing is certain. 771 00:40:35,967 --> 00:40:38,434 With subzero temperatures all year round, 772 00:40:38,503 --> 00:40:40,003 snow never melted. 773 00:40:42,240 --> 00:40:46,009 A major storm can drop more than 40 million tons of snow. 774 00:40:48,980 --> 00:40:51,714 The ever-increasing weight of snow compacted down 775 00:40:51,782 --> 00:40:53,983 into thick layers of solid ice. 776 00:40:56,588 --> 00:40:58,988 America's Ice Age had begun. 777 00:41:01,192 --> 00:41:03,792 The ice sheets, which built up two million years ago, 778 00:41:03,862 --> 00:41:07,463 began to move, flowing as huge glaciers 779 00:41:07,532 --> 00:41:08,998 across the northern U.S. 780 00:41:11,002 --> 00:41:13,069 - Some of the very large rocks can be literally 781 00:41:13,138 --> 00:41:16,072 frozen on and cut off from the rock that they came from, 782 00:41:16,274 --> 00:41:19,742 and just put it right into glacier and moved that distance. 783 00:41:19,811 --> 00:41:22,145 Hundreds of miles in the glacier, 784 00:41:22,213 --> 00:41:23,813 like a conveyor belt, out to where we finally find it 785 00:41:24,015 --> 00:41:25,982 on the landscape or in an outcrop like this. 786 00:41:28,019 --> 00:41:29,886 - [Narrator] The investigator's next challenge 787 00:41:29,955 --> 00:41:32,989 is finding out just how far the ice flowed, 788 00:41:33,959 --> 00:41:36,993 and for that task, they are taking to the air. 789 00:41:39,631 --> 00:41:41,764 In the early morning light, 790 00:41:41,832 --> 00:41:43,900 Brown spots a mysterious small hill 791 00:41:43,968 --> 00:41:47,003 standing out from the flat Illinois plain. 792 00:41:48,907 --> 00:41:51,774 Stripped of its camouflage layer of trees, 793 00:41:51,842 --> 00:41:52,575 the shape of the hill tells Brown 794 00:41:52,644 --> 00:41:55,011 the secrets of its creation. 795 00:41:57,182 --> 00:42:02,051 - This gently rolling landscape extends for about 400 miles. 796 00:42:02,119 --> 00:42:04,720 We look at the land forms and how they're shaped, 797 00:42:04,789 --> 00:42:07,590 And so we can use that to unravel 798 00:42:07,659 --> 00:42:10,326 the history of the Ice Age. 799 00:42:10,395 --> 00:42:13,863 (lively music) 800 00:42:14,065 --> 00:42:15,999 - [Narrator] The landform Brown is studying 801 00:42:16,201 --> 00:42:19,002 is a mound of rubble that geologists call a moraine. 802 00:42:20,939 --> 00:42:23,873 It is an accumulation of debris that a glacier 803 00:42:24,075 --> 00:42:26,609 has plucked up from the Earth, dragged along, 804 00:42:26,678 --> 00:42:28,011 and dumped at the front edge. 805 00:42:30,948 --> 00:42:32,748 This hill marks the spot where the glacier 806 00:42:32,817 --> 00:42:34,984 finally stopped flowing southward. 807 00:42:38,890 --> 00:42:40,756 Geologists all over the U.S have recorded 808 00:42:40,825 --> 00:42:43,760 the positions of other moraine hills, 809 00:42:43,962 --> 00:42:45,761 helping them map out precisely how far 810 00:42:45,830 --> 00:42:47,997 North America's ice sheets spread. 811 00:42:50,968 --> 00:42:53,502 Nearly 2/3 of the North American continent 812 00:42:53,571 --> 00:42:55,004 was buried under ice, 813 00:42:58,910 --> 00:43:02,011 but the frozen chaos did not stop there. 814 00:43:03,181 --> 00:43:05,982 The challenge now facing geologists is figuring out 815 00:43:06,050 --> 00:43:09,452 how ice created some of modern North America's 816 00:43:09,521 --> 00:43:10,987 most famous features. 817 00:43:13,324 --> 00:43:14,790 Coming up. 818 00:43:14,859 --> 00:43:16,992 - [Man] It's like a fricking war zone. 819 00:43:17,061 --> 00:43:19,996 - It felt like at one point we were under assault. 820 00:43:23,401 --> 00:43:25,001 (dramatic music) 821 00:43:25,203 --> 00:43:28,871 - [Narrator] Two million years ago, temperatures fell, 822 00:43:28,940 --> 00:43:31,607 and massive ice sheets spread out as glaciers 823 00:43:31,676 --> 00:43:34,010 across much of North America. 824 00:43:35,213 --> 00:43:38,481 Geologists set out to discover what the moving ice did 825 00:43:38,683 --> 00:43:39,983 to the underlying land. 826 00:43:42,621 --> 00:43:43,953 Everywhere the ice had flowed, 827 00:43:44,155 --> 00:43:46,990 investigators discovered the same puzzling feature. 828 00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:53,896 Lines of stones, all laid out the same particular way. 829 00:43:53,964 --> 00:43:57,900 - Really good example of pavement of stones, 830 00:43:57,969 --> 00:44:01,704 this concentration of small rocks and cobbles 831 00:44:01,906 --> 00:44:04,974 that are collected here in a line. 832 00:44:05,042 --> 00:44:07,010 It's just one, one stone or two stones thick. 833 00:44:09,180 --> 00:44:11,046 - [Narrator] Scientists realized that the stone pavements 834 00:44:11,115 --> 00:44:13,983 must have been laid down at the base of a glacier. 835 00:44:15,186 --> 00:44:17,520 And even the toughest rocks had scratches and grooves 836 00:44:17,589 --> 00:44:20,056 carved into their surface. 837 00:44:20,125 --> 00:44:22,925 - [Steve] Glacier carries along other fragments of rock. 838 00:44:22,994 --> 00:44:26,929 And as it's doing so it scratches, polishes, 839 00:44:26,998 --> 00:44:29,999 creates grooves in the rock called striations. 840 00:44:32,003 --> 00:44:34,603 - [Narrator] Those scratches offered vital clues 841 00:44:34,673 --> 00:44:35,671 to help uncover the history of 842 00:44:35,740 --> 00:44:38,007 how the Ice Age changed America. 843 00:44:39,944 --> 00:44:42,545 - So by lining my compass parallel to 844 00:44:42,747 --> 00:44:44,947 the striations on this rock, 845 00:44:45,016 --> 00:44:47,550 the compass tells me that the ice is flowing 846 00:44:47,618 --> 00:44:48,817 from about the northeast, 847 00:44:48,886 --> 00:44:50,987 from this direction to this direction. 848 00:44:53,891 --> 00:44:54,890 - [Narrator] But other scratches on rocks 849 00:44:54,959 --> 00:44:57,760 found all over the northern parts of the U.S. 850 00:44:57,962 --> 00:44:59,996 run in puzzlingly different directions. 851 00:45:03,100 --> 00:45:05,634 These ice-scraped rocks in New York's Central Park 852 00:45:05,703 --> 00:45:07,636 show scratches made by a glacier 853 00:45:07,705 --> 00:45:10,006 that arrived from the northwest. 854 00:45:12,110 --> 00:45:14,777 There's only one explanation of the different ways 855 00:45:14,846 --> 00:45:17,013 in which the ice appears to have moved. 856 00:45:20,118 --> 00:45:22,852 The scratches were not all made by a single ice sheet 857 00:45:23,054 --> 00:45:26,989 as first thought, but by many different ones. 858 00:45:27,992 --> 00:45:31,060 - This phenomenon of advance and retreat, 859 00:45:31,128 --> 00:45:33,596 the changing of that landscape, happened many times. 860 00:45:33,665 --> 00:45:34,997 Not just once, but many times. 861 00:45:37,935 --> 00:45:39,602 - [Narrator] Everywhere the ice flowed, 862 00:45:39,671 --> 00:45:41,470 it marked the underlying blocks. 863 00:45:41,539 --> 00:45:43,005 - The ice changed. 864 00:45:43,208 --> 00:45:47,610 The existing conditions on the landscape was changed. 865 00:45:47,679 --> 00:45:48,811 The motion of the glacial debris 866 00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:52,982 changed the whole way these areas look. 867 00:45:54,885 --> 00:45:56,753 - [Narrator] Grinding over the landscape 868 00:45:56,955 --> 00:45:59,088 at speeds of around two feet per day, 869 00:45:59,157 --> 00:46:03,025 the massive glaciers diverted the course of ancient rivers. 870 00:46:03,228 --> 00:46:05,995 Even the mighty Mississippi was no match for the ice. 871 00:46:08,098 --> 00:46:10,766 - It moved the position of the Mississippi River. 872 00:46:10,835 --> 00:46:11,634 The Mississippi River used to flow 873 00:46:11,703 --> 00:46:13,969 through the middle of Illinois. 874 00:46:14,038 --> 00:46:16,172 - [Narrator] A glacier advanced across the state 875 00:46:16,240 --> 00:46:21,010 and created an ice dam across the course of the old river. 876 00:46:21,979 --> 00:46:24,046 A huge lake grew at the edge of the ice, 877 00:46:24,115 --> 00:46:27,516 eventually over-spilled, and cut a new river channel 878 00:46:27,585 --> 00:46:29,986 80 miles to the west. 879 00:46:31,455 --> 00:46:33,856 (stately music) 880 00:46:34,058 --> 00:46:35,992 The same course that it follows to this day. 881 00:46:37,862 --> 00:46:39,995 And when the ice sheets melted away, 882 00:46:40,064 --> 00:46:45,001 their impact on North America was almost as great. 883 00:46:46,805 --> 00:46:47,737 They produced immense floods of water, 884 00:46:47,939 --> 00:46:51,007 which all had to drain away somewhere. 885 00:46:52,811 --> 00:46:54,810 - It formed a completely new landscape, 886 00:46:54,879 --> 00:46:58,014 with a new river mouth, a new channel, 887 00:46:59,751 --> 00:47:02,551 completely rearranging the character 888 00:47:02,620 --> 00:47:02,985 of the existing landscape. 889 00:47:06,224 --> 00:47:09,158 - [Narrator] Where rocks were soft, or weakened by faults, 890 00:47:09,226 --> 00:47:12,995 the glaciers had carved out huge basins in the landscape. 891 00:47:16,567 --> 00:47:17,900 When the floods came, 892 00:47:18,102 --> 00:47:21,003 these depressions rapidly filled up with water. 893 00:47:22,173 --> 00:47:27,643 - Every natural lake here in Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, 894 00:47:27,712 --> 00:47:29,011 were all created by glaciers. 895 00:47:30,849 --> 00:47:32,782 - The biggest ice-scoured basins became 896 00:47:32,850 --> 00:47:35,985 what we now call the Great Lakes. 897 00:47:38,188 --> 00:47:41,056 These water-filled craters in the North American landscape 898 00:47:41,125 --> 00:47:44,994 are nearly five and a half thousand cubic miles in size. 899 00:47:46,865 --> 00:47:49,932 The water they hold t could drown the whole 900 00:47:50,134 --> 00:47:54,003 of New York State to a depth of more than 600 feet. 901 00:47:55,807 --> 00:47:58,007 But even that is just a tiny fraction 902 00:47:58,075 --> 00:48:00,877 of the total flood unleashed as retreating ice 903 00:48:01,079 --> 00:48:06,015 poured out nearly 39,000 cubic miles of water. 904 00:48:09,887 --> 00:48:12,955 The flood rushed down Niagara Escarpment, 905 00:48:13,023 --> 00:48:15,992 at the rate of 42 million gallons a minute, 906 00:48:17,161 --> 00:48:20,997 one and a half Olympic-sized swimming pools every second. 907 00:48:23,901 --> 00:48:26,769 And that cut a gorge seven miles long 908 00:48:26,971 --> 00:48:30,006 and 180 feet deep through solid rock. 909 00:48:31,709 --> 00:48:33,976 The Ice Age had created one of 910 00:48:34,045 --> 00:48:38,380 the modern wonders of the world, Niagara Falls. 911 00:48:38,449 --> 00:48:40,983 (haunting music) 912 00:48:41,052 --> 00:48:43,853 The investigators' next challenge was figuring out 913 00:48:44,055 --> 00:48:46,989 why the ice advanced and retreated so often. 914 00:48:49,660 --> 00:48:51,860 It wasn't until the mid 1960s 915 00:48:51,929 --> 00:48:55,731 that the first real clues were discovered. 916 00:48:55,933 --> 00:48:57,866 The U.S. military was building bases 917 00:48:57,935 --> 00:49:01,137 in some of the Earth's most remote locations. 918 00:49:01,205 --> 00:49:03,806 - [Newsreel Narrator] This is an ideal arctic labratory, 919 00:49:03,875 --> 00:49:06,075 permanently frozen under a polar ice cap 920 00:49:06,144 --> 00:49:10,012 which covers all but a few costal areas of the island. 921 00:49:10,214 --> 00:49:14,016 Geologists realized the cores of ice being extracted 922 00:49:14,085 --> 00:49:16,986 by hollow drills held a unique historical record. 923 00:49:20,424 --> 00:49:23,826 (lively music) 924 00:49:23,895 --> 00:49:26,962 Those cores and many others extracted since 925 00:49:27,031 --> 00:49:29,999 are housed in a laboratory in Denver, Colorado. 926 00:49:33,971 --> 00:49:37,006 - We're in the Fort Knox of paleoclimate. 927 00:49:37,908 --> 00:49:39,775 What you see in these tubes is gold 928 00:49:39,977 --> 00:49:43,112 in terms of what we know about climate 929 00:49:43,314 --> 00:49:46,015 and what we've learned about climate over the last 50 years. 930 00:49:46,784 --> 00:49:48,651 - [Narrator] These tubes contain 931 00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:50,987 three-foot-long plugs of ice, 932 00:49:51,189 --> 00:49:53,990 each dug out from layer after layer of compacted snow. 933 00:49:55,860 --> 00:49:57,793 But it is what is trapped inside the ice 934 00:49:57,862 --> 00:50:00,997 that most fascinates the scientists. 935 00:50:02,867 --> 00:50:05,801 As each year's snow falls onto the last, 936 00:50:05,870 --> 00:50:07,803 it builds up and moves packed layers 937 00:50:07,872 --> 00:50:10,006 that trap air between the snowflakes. 938 00:50:13,944 --> 00:50:16,011 - Ice cores are the only archive we have, 939 00:50:16,080 --> 00:50:19,815 really good archive we have, of past atmosphere. 940 00:50:20,017 --> 00:50:22,818 In an ice core, you can see tiny bubbles, 941 00:50:22,887 --> 00:50:27,089 and those bubbles are air, unadulterated air 942 00:50:27,158 --> 00:50:30,993 from as much as a hundred thousand to a million years ago. 943 00:50:33,163 --> 00:50:35,998 - [Narrator] The deeper the bubble, the older the air. 944 00:50:37,902 --> 00:50:39,568 - It contains not only a temperature signal, 945 00:50:39,770 --> 00:50:42,838 but it contains dust signals. 946 00:50:42,906 --> 00:50:44,774 It tells about atmospheric circulation. 947 00:50:44,976 --> 00:50:46,776 It contains a record of the atmosphere, 948 00:50:46,978 --> 00:50:49,011 and specifically the greenhouse gases. 949 00:50:50,982 --> 00:50:52,781 - [Narrator] Each ice layer corresponds with 950 00:50:52,850 --> 00:50:54,516 the precise time in Earth's history 951 00:50:54,585 --> 00:50:56,986 when its snow first fell. 952 00:50:58,055 --> 00:51:02,124 So by analyzing the bubbles from any one layer, 953 00:51:02,193 --> 00:51:05,461 scientists can figure out what Earth's atmosphere was like 954 00:51:05,663 --> 00:51:06,996 at any point in the past. 955 00:51:07,932 --> 00:51:11,067 - Over the last million years or so, 956 00:51:11,269 --> 00:51:16,005 we see fairly regular pacing of major, major glaciations, 957 00:51:16,674 --> 00:51:19,008 roughly one every 100,000 years. 958 00:51:20,144 --> 00:51:22,545 - [Narrator] Some theories suggest those colder spells 959 00:51:22,747 --> 00:51:24,746 coincide with variations in 960 00:51:24,816 --> 00:51:26,015 the Earth's orbit around the sun. 961 00:51:28,085 --> 00:51:29,985 But that's not the only thing the ice cores revealed. 962 00:51:31,956 --> 00:51:34,089 The cores that White has been studying suggest 963 00:51:34,158 --> 00:51:37,993 that the longer the ice age went on, the worse it became. 964 00:51:38,830 --> 00:51:40,028 - Somewhere around 400,000 years ago, 965 00:51:40,097 --> 00:51:45,000 we went from a period that had lesser glaciations, 966 00:51:46,971 --> 00:51:48,003 if you will, to ones that were very, very big. 967 00:51:49,974 --> 00:51:51,173 - [Narrator] But new clues suggests that 968 00:51:51,241 --> 00:51:56,311 the awesome impact of America's Ice Age didn't stop there. 969 00:51:56,380 --> 00:51:57,846 Coming up. 970 00:51:57,915 --> 00:51:59,715 - You've got the snowfall moving down 971 00:51:59,784 --> 00:52:02,584 the side of a steep-sloped mountain 972 00:52:02,653 --> 00:52:04,453 at 60 to 80 miles per hour. 973 00:52:04,655 --> 00:52:05,988 No one can run that fast. 974 00:52:09,193 --> 00:52:10,392 music) 975 00:52:10,460 --> 00:52:12,794 - [Narrator] From the modern day remnants of glaciers past 976 00:52:12,864 --> 00:52:16,465 to their deposits comes the question, 977 00:52:16,667 --> 00:52:18,133 how did they get there? 978 00:52:18,202 --> 00:52:21,804 What forces were in play that could carve great crevices 979 00:52:22,006 --> 00:52:24,807 and deep lines seen across North America? 980 00:52:24,875 --> 00:52:28,143 The answers lie right at our feet, 981 00:52:28,212 --> 00:52:31,013 in some of the most recognizable outdoor spaces on Earth. 982 00:52:35,152 --> 00:52:37,987 The first clue came in New York State, on Bear Mountain. 983 00:52:40,757 --> 00:52:41,890 - No one knows for sure how thick 984 00:52:41,959 --> 00:52:44,159 the ice sheet was that came from the northwest. 985 00:52:44,228 --> 00:52:46,695 But right now, we're standing at the top of Bear Mountain, 986 00:52:46,764 --> 00:52:48,998 about 1,280 feet above sea level. 987 00:52:50,167 --> 00:52:51,833 What we're looking at here are a series of chatter marks. 988 00:52:51,902 --> 00:52:53,969 These are features of glacial erosion, 989 00:52:54,171 --> 00:52:58,974 and they're produced by large blocks of solid rock 990 00:52:59,042 --> 00:53:01,042 embedded in the base of a very thick glacier. 991 00:53:01,111 --> 00:53:03,912 Those boulders were hinged on this bedrock surface, 992 00:53:03,981 --> 00:53:06,582 plucking pieces of rock off as the glacial ice 993 00:53:06,650 --> 00:53:09,851 moved through the area. 994 00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:11,987 - Charles Merguerian's mountaintop discovery 995 00:53:12,056 --> 00:53:14,990 shows how thick the advancing ice must have been. 996 00:53:16,928 --> 00:53:18,660 - Most people think that this glacial ice sheet 997 00:53:18,729 --> 00:53:19,995 was about a mile thick or more. 998 00:53:22,934 --> 00:53:24,867 - [Narrator] The marks are clear evidence that 999 00:53:24,935 --> 00:53:27,136 the New York ice sheet must have towered 1000 00:53:27,204 --> 00:53:31,006 about four times higher than the Empire State Building. 1001 00:53:31,475 --> 00:53:34,009 (dramatic music) 1002 00:53:34,078 --> 00:53:37,012 Figures like this have enabled Merguerian to estimate 1003 00:53:37,081 --> 00:53:40,983 the total amount of ice that buried North America. 1004 00:53:42,019 --> 00:53:45,988 It's a staggering 17 million cubic miles of ice. 1005 00:53:48,225 --> 00:53:52,894 - Imagine this block of ice, it's about six inches thick, 1006 00:53:52,964 --> 00:53:56,632 being the ice sheet that covered North America 1007 00:53:56,700 --> 00:53:57,766 during the last glaciation. 1008 00:53:57,968 --> 00:53:59,501 You would need several billion of these, 1009 00:53:59,570 --> 00:54:01,837 maybe a hundred billion. 1010 00:54:01,906 --> 00:54:03,005 It's a number almost too big to imagine. 1011 00:54:07,044 --> 00:54:09,778 - [Narrator] This block of ice weighs 27 pounds 1012 00:54:09,980 --> 00:54:12,014 and is just half a cubic foot in size. 1013 00:54:13,984 --> 00:54:16,318 But there were 17 million cubic miles of ice 1014 00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:16,986 covering America. 1015 00:54:20,124 --> 00:54:22,924 When scientists calculated the total weight of the ice, 1016 00:54:22,994 --> 00:54:26,996 it was an almost incomprehensively large figure, 1017 00:54:28,532 --> 00:54:32,001 68,000 trillion tons. 1018 00:54:35,939 --> 00:54:38,606 Unsurprisingly, such a vast weight of ice 1019 00:54:38,676 --> 00:54:40,743 did not just affect America. 1020 00:54:40,945 --> 00:54:43,012 It distorted the shape of the planet. 1021 00:54:45,082 --> 00:54:47,883 - I've got a beach ball here that has a depiction 1022 00:54:47,952 --> 00:54:50,886 of the whole Earth, and every continent on it. 1023 00:54:51,088 --> 00:54:53,989 And right here is the outline of North America. 1024 00:54:55,626 --> 00:54:56,992 And during the Ice Age, 1025 00:54:57,828 --> 00:55:01,563 snow started to accumulate in Canada. 1026 00:55:01,632 --> 00:55:03,098 And as that ice thickened, 1027 00:55:03,167 --> 00:55:06,001 it started to flow from the centers of snow accumulation 1028 00:55:06,704 --> 00:55:09,104 southward into North America, 1029 00:55:09,172 --> 00:55:13,442 reaching its maximum extent right here in Illinois. 1030 00:55:13,644 --> 00:55:14,843 And when it did that, 1031 00:55:14,912 --> 00:55:17,379 this mass of ice depressed the continent. 1032 00:55:17,448 --> 00:55:18,914 (energetic music) 1033 00:55:19,116 --> 00:55:20,783 - [Narrator] Earth's solid crust sits on top of 1034 00:55:20,985 --> 00:55:23,719 a layer that scientists call the mantle, 1035 00:55:23,921 --> 00:55:26,521 semi-molten rock which behaves a little 1036 00:55:26,590 --> 00:55:27,990 like hot, sticky plastic. 1037 00:55:30,795 --> 00:55:33,862 The weight of the vast plains of ice 1038 00:55:34,064 --> 00:55:37,999 pushed down inland areas, and simultaneously 1039 00:55:38,068 --> 00:55:42,004 made parts of the coastline bulge up from the sea. 1040 00:55:44,208 --> 00:55:46,942 But investigators also found that in some other areas, 1041 00:55:47,144 --> 00:55:50,746 the ice altered the outline of America's coasts, 1042 00:55:50,815 --> 00:55:52,548 the borders of the sea that define 1043 00:55:52,750 --> 00:55:54,983 the continent we see today. 1044 00:55:59,823 --> 00:56:01,990 A vital clue came in downtown Miami 1045 00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,994 in the unlikely setting of a municipal courthouse. 1046 00:56:09,032 --> 00:56:11,033 - We're here in front of this impressive building 1047 00:56:11,101 --> 00:56:14,503 built in the early 1900s because of the materials 1048 00:56:14,572 --> 00:56:17,105 used to face its surface. 1049 00:56:17,174 --> 00:56:20,842 These stones are constructed of fossilized coral reefs. 1050 00:56:20,911 --> 00:56:22,044 And if you know what you're looking at, 1051 00:56:22,246 --> 00:56:24,446 it can actually tell you quite a bit about Florida's past 1052 00:56:24,648 --> 00:56:26,315 and maybe its future. 1053 00:56:26,517 --> 00:56:28,784 (lively music) 1054 00:56:28,853 --> 00:56:30,719 - [Narrator] The coral stone is made from 1055 00:56:30,921 --> 00:56:33,455 the hard calcium carbon and skeletons 1056 00:56:33,524 --> 00:56:34,856 of tiny sea creatures, 1057 00:56:34,925 --> 00:56:37,993 animals that only grow in very shallow water. 1058 00:56:43,867 --> 00:56:45,867 But this courthouse stone was quarried 1059 00:56:45,936 --> 00:56:49,137 out of an ancient coral reef that now lies 1060 00:56:49,206 --> 00:56:53,008 a mile from the present-day ocean and way above sea level. 1061 00:56:55,146 --> 00:56:57,812 - I'm standing here about five or six feet above sea level 1062 00:56:57,881 --> 00:57:00,682 and walking alongside this rock face, 1063 00:57:00,750 --> 00:57:02,818 which is about six feet tall. 1064 00:57:02,887 --> 00:57:04,820 The interesting thing about this rock face, 1065 00:57:04,889 --> 00:57:07,889 it's actually composed of fossilized corals. 1066 00:57:07,958 --> 00:57:11,026 And the fact that we're standing here today 1067 00:57:11,228 --> 00:57:14,162 amongst these fossil corals tells us that in the past, 1068 00:57:14,231 --> 00:57:16,999 we would have been under 10 or 15 feet of water right now. 1069 00:57:18,969 --> 00:57:20,569 - [Narrator] The coral stones have been dated 1070 00:57:20,638 --> 00:57:24,006 to around 130,000 years ago, 1071 00:57:25,843 --> 00:57:27,910 which means the sea level around Miami 1072 00:57:27,978 --> 00:57:31,013 must then have been far higher than today. 1073 00:57:33,049 --> 00:57:35,784 As experts tried to figure out why the sea level 1074 00:57:35,853 --> 00:57:38,520 was so high then, new evidence emerged 1075 00:57:38,722 --> 00:57:41,723 about Florida's coral reefs, 1076 00:57:41,926 --> 00:57:45,394 and the mystery deepened even further. 1077 00:57:45,462 --> 00:57:47,996 (lively music) 1078 00:57:48,065 --> 00:57:50,866 Divers off the coast of Miami found a coral reef 1079 00:57:50,934 --> 00:57:54,002 now submerged 450 feet under the water. 1080 00:57:56,874 --> 00:58:00,008 These corals grew just 25,000 years ago, 1081 00:58:02,146 --> 00:58:04,012 and because a reef like this only forms in shallow water, 1082 00:58:06,149 --> 00:58:08,817 the scientists realized that the sea level back then 1083 00:58:09,019 --> 00:58:10,986 must have been far lower than it is today. 1084 00:58:13,023 --> 00:58:14,756 And that means the coastline would have been 1085 00:58:14,825 --> 00:58:18,159 in a completely different location. 1086 00:58:18,228 --> 00:58:21,697 - Right now we're about two miles offshore Fort Lauderdale, 1087 00:58:21,765 --> 00:58:22,898 on the edge of the Gulf Stream. 1088 00:58:22,966 --> 00:58:25,834 But 20, 25,000 years ago, at the time of 1089 00:58:25,903 --> 00:58:28,637 sea level low stand, we would be sitting 1090 00:58:28,705 --> 00:58:29,771 right next to a beach here. 1091 00:58:29,974 --> 00:58:31,773 We'd been looking where we see today, 1092 00:58:31,976 --> 00:58:33,842 the ocean and the high rises in the back, 1093 00:58:33,910 --> 00:58:36,844 we'd be looking towards a sandy beach 1094 00:58:36,914 --> 00:58:39,014 in front of a gently rolling hillside. 1095 00:58:41,185 --> 00:58:43,117 - [Narrator] Investigators studying the coral records 1096 00:58:43,186 --> 00:58:45,854 figured out that the up and down sea levels would repeatly 1097 00:58:45,923 --> 00:58:48,991 have altered the entire shape of America. 1098 00:58:50,060 --> 00:58:53,061 - If you look at the outline of North America, 1099 00:58:53,130 --> 00:58:55,531 the outline that I learned to draw in elementary school, 1100 00:58:55,733 --> 00:58:57,666 if we were living years ago, 1101 00:58:57,868 --> 00:58:59,001 I would draw Florida differently. 1102 00:59:00,203 --> 00:59:03,872 - [Narrator] 25,000 years ago, when sea levels were low, 1103 00:59:03,940 --> 00:59:06,808 Florida was triple the size it is today 1104 00:59:06,877 --> 00:59:09,011 because more land was out of the water. 1105 00:59:13,017 --> 00:59:15,884 Geologists realized that the changes in sea level 1106 00:59:15,952 --> 00:59:18,820 around the coast were directly related to 1107 00:59:18,888 --> 00:59:20,989 the different levels of ice on land. 1108 00:59:21,958 --> 00:59:24,493 That discovery was the key to understanding 1109 00:59:24,695 --> 00:59:26,361 what the Ice Age had done. 1110 00:59:26,430 --> 00:59:29,998 (dramatic music) 1111 00:59:30,701 --> 00:59:32,968 Water evaporated from the oceans 1112 00:59:33,036 --> 00:59:35,003 and condensed in the atmosphere to form snow. 1113 00:59:36,507 --> 00:59:38,974 But in the colder times, 1114 00:59:39,042 --> 00:59:42,010 that snow built up as ice sheets on the land, 1115 00:59:43,781 --> 00:59:45,780 and with so much of the world's 1116 00:59:45,849 --> 00:59:48,850 total water supply locked up as ice, 1117 00:59:48,918 --> 00:59:51,520 the oceans simply ran short of water, 1118 00:59:51,588 --> 00:59:53,989 and the sea levels fell. 1119 00:59:55,191 --> 00:59:59,728 - When the Earth is cold, there's more ice on the land. 1120 00:59:59,930 --> 01:00:01,997 And sea level is lower because of that. 1121 01:00:03,600 --> 01:00:05,066 When the Earth is warm, 1122 01:00:05,135 --> 01:00:07,869 there's less ice on the land and sea level's higher. 1123 01:00:07,938 --> 01:00:09,071 And that makes sense because when that ice, 1124 01:00:09,273 --> 01:00:11,806 when it melts off the land, has got to go in the ocean. 1125 01:00:11,875 --> 01:00:12,940 - [Narrator] But it's not just enormous 1126 01:00:13,010 --> 01:00:16,812 city-sized ice shelves that can rock our world. 1127 01:00:17,014 --> 01:00:19,080 Sometimes it's much smaller chunks of ice 1128 01:00:19,149 --> 01:00:22,817 that can do the most damage, especially when they're 1129 01:00:22,886 --> 01:00:24,987 raining down from above like cannonfire. 1130 01:00:26,490 --> 01:00:28,991 (ominous music) 1131 01:00:33,296 --> 01:00:34,997 Oklahoma. 1132 01:00:36,100 --> 01:00:39,100 Known far and wide as the heartland of the U.S. 1133 01:00:39,169 --> 01:00:43,005 But this state has another quality that sets it apart. 1134 01:00:44,574 --> 01:00:46,775 And this one can kill. 1135 01:00:46,844 --> 01:00:48,843 - Where did the big hailstorms hit? 1136 01:00:48,912 --> 01:00:52,014 The epicenter is the state of Oklahoma. 1137 01:00:53,117 --> 01:00:57,118 They get more than 25 of these big hailstorms per year. 1138 01:00:57,187 --> 01:00:59,054 - Hailstorms tend to happen in locations where you have 1139 01:00:59,123 --> 01:01:03,124 hot, moist air colliding with relatively cool, dry air. 1140 01:01:03,193 --> 01:01:06,061 It's these forces that cause the warm, moist air to rise up 1141 01:01:06,263 --> 01:01:09,531 and start the cycle that leads to a thunderstorm and hail. 1142 01:01:09,733 --> 01:01:11,733 And Oklahoma, unfortunately, 1143 01:01:11,802 --> 01:01:13,935 is exactly this kind of location. 1144 01:01:14,138 --> 01:01:16,805 - These stones can be moving at 100 miles per hour. 1145 01:01:16,874 --> 01:01:19,074 If a hundred-mile-per-hour chunk of ice 1146 01:01:19,142 --> 01:01:22,010 hits you in the head, it can very easily kill you. 1147 01:01:26,350 --> 01:01:27,015 - [Man] No! 1148 01:01:28,952 --> 01:01:30,752 - [Narrator] A severe thunderstorm unleashes 1149 01:01:30,954 --> 01:01:32,687 a hellish assault on the state capital. 1150 01:01:32,756 --> 01:01:34,756 - Oh my god. - That's insane! 1151 01:01:34,958 --> 01:01:36,825 - This particular hailstorm was actually 1152 01:01:36,893 --> 01:01:40,028 a warm front that was moving through 1153 01:01:40,096 --> 01:01:43,965 that caused a lot of instability in the atmosphere. 1154 01:01:44,034 --> 01:01:46,368 - [Narrator] Chunks of ice blast the entire city. 1155 01:01:46,570 --> 01:01:48,102 - [Man] Holy crap! 1156 01:01:48,171 --> 01:01:51,907 - This hailstorm reminded me of a Civil War battlefield 1157 01:01:51,975 --> 01:01:53,642 with cannonballs landing all around you. 1158 01:01:53,710 --> 01:01:54,976 - [Man] Baseball-size hail. 1159 01:01:55,044 --> 01:01:58,780 - When I see baseball and softball-size hail, 1160 01:01:58,849 --> 01:02:01,516 that tells me this is an enormously 1161 01:02:01,584 --> 01:02:02,784 powerful thunderstorm. 1162 01:02:02,986 --> 01:02:06,654 - Softball-sized hail is relatively rare. 1163 01:02:06,723 --> 01:02:07,856 'Cause when you think about it, 1164 01:02:08,058 --> 01:02:10,458 here's a drop of rain that's frozen into ice. 1165 01:02:10,527 --> 01:02:11,926 Ice makes it heavier. 1166 01:02:11,995 --> 01:02:13,795 It wants to fall, but that means updrafts of wind 1167 01:02:13,863 --> 01:02:15,864 have to pick it up and hold it up. 1168 01:02:16,066 --> 01:02:20,068 - Then what happens is the hailstones fall down 1169 01:02:20,136 --> 01:02:22,937 and melt slightly and are coated with more water. 1170 01:02:23,006 --> 01:02:25,941 Then they're carried up again by more updrafts 1171 01:02:26,009 --> 01:02:27,742 to be coated by an additional layer of ice. 1172 01:02:27,811 --> 01:02:30,478 At that point, they start to fall. 1173 01:02:30,547 --> 01:02:31,879 - [Bonnie] Oh my god! 1174 01:02:31,948 --> 01:02:33,482 - [Narrator] College student Bonnie Tibbs 1175 01:02:33,684 --> 01:02:35,817 is home visiting family 1176 01:02:35,886 --> 01:02:37,753 when their house is suddenly under siege. 1177 01:02:37,955 --> 01:02:40,622 - Oh my god, it's hitting the window! 1178 01:02:40,691 --> 01:02:44,826 This hail is loud and it's big. 1179 01:02:44,895 --> 01:02:45,894 and it's slamming up against our house. 1180 01:02:46,096 --> 01:02:53,969 It was like rocks were being pelted at our house. 1181 01:02:54,037 --> 01:02:56,104 I literally moved away from the kitchen window 1182 01:02:56,173 --> 01:03:01,009 and moments later, large shards of glass were flying out. 1183 01:03:02,112 --> 01:03:16,057 So that's when I screamed to get in the closet. 1184 01:03:16,126 --> 01:03:18,860 - [Narrator] Across town, Mac Maddox and his fiancee 1185 01:03:19,062 --> 01:03:24,933 suddenly find their homes under fire by ice. 1186 01:03:25,002 --> 01:03:28,003 It felt like at one point we were under assault. 1187 01:03:29,873 --> 01:03:30,805 We hear the skylights getting busted out 1188 01:03:30,874 --> 01:03:36,678 and shards of glass going everywhere. 1189 01:03:36,747 --> 01:03:39,014 - The house is literally shaking. 1190 01:03:40,016 --> 01:03:41,015 It feels like there was an army outside just 1191 01:03:41,084 --> 01:03:43,985 taking machine guns through the entire apartment. 1192 01:03:45,154 --> 01:03:47,989 I started to worry about even our lives at this point. 1193 01:03:49,026 --> 01:03:51,893 - [Narrator] The storm intensifies and Mac realizes 1194 01:03:51,961 --> 01:03:56,631 he's under a full-force frozen assault. 1195 01:03:56,700 --> 01:03:58,166 Windows were getting busted out. 1196 01:03:58,234 --> 01:04:02,170 Blinds were getting ripped off of the windows on the inside. 1197 01:04:02,238 --> 01:04:05,006 There were shards of siding that was getting blown off. 1198 01:04:07,044 --> 01:04:09,578 It felt like we were in the middle of a war zone. 1199 01:04:09,780 --> 01:04:12,981 - [Narrator] 20 minutes later. 1200 01:04:13,050 --> 01:04:17,052 - [Narrator] The Tibbs family emerges from hiding. 1201 01:04:17,254 --> 01:04:19,521 - [Narrator] The onslaught shatters windows and skylights. 1202 01:04:19,589 --> 01:04:20,922 - [Bonnie] Oh my god! 1203 01:04:20,991 --> 01:04:23,525 - [Narrator] Allowing pounding ice to destroy 1204 01:04:23,593 --> 01:04:25,860 the family's belongings. 1205 01:04:25,929 --> 01:04:28,063 - After the skylights are completely gone, 1206 01:04:28,131 --> 01:04:30,465 and you've got these six giant holes in your house, 1207 01:04:30,534 --> 01:04:36,938 it continued to rain. 1208 01:04:37,007 --> 01:04:39,541 It actually came onto the rugs and furniture, 1209 01:04:39,609 --> 01:04:45,747 the walls, everything. 1210 01:04:45,949 --> 01:04:48,683 - It's crazy to think that your day 1211 01:04:48,885 --> 01:04:50,418 could start off absolutely normal. 1212 01:04:50,620 --> 01:04:52,754 This is the aftermath. 1213 01:04:52,822 --> 01:04:54,022 Windshield's shattered on my car. 1214 01:04:54,224 --> 01:04:57,025 And just literally matter of minutes could turn into, 1215 01:04:57,093 --> 01:04:59,995 you know, your whole livelihood getting destroyed. 1216 01:05:01,965 --> 01:05:03,565 - Hail like this, that destroys car windows, 1217 01:05:03,633 --> 01:05:04,899 puts big dents in cars. 1218 01:05:04,968 --> 01:05:06,701 If a person happened to be unlucky enough 1219 01:05:06,903 --> 01:05:08,903 to be outside and have no shelter, 1220 01:05:08,972 --> 01:05:11,006 it could seriously injure or even kill them. 1221 01:05:12,509 --> 01:05:15,010 (ominous music) 1222 01:05:19,783 --> 01:05:21,650 To see actually literal baseballs 1223 01:05:21,852 --> 01:05:23,852 and golf balls flying from the sky 1224 01:05:23,920 --> 01:05:25,854 and totally tearing everything apart, 1225 01:05:25,922 --> 01:05:26,587 I don't know if I'll ever see anything 1226 01:05:26,656 --> 01:05:31,526 like that again in my life. 1227 01:05:31,728 --> 01:05:33,795 - Mother nature got us good. 1228 01:05:33,997 --> 01:05:34,662 We always thought we could outsmart her, 1229 01:05:34,731 --> 01:05:36,398 or she wasn't gonna affect us. 1230 01:05:36,466 --> 01:05:38,600 It's in my room! 1231 01:05:38,802 --> 01:05:39,600 We know that we can be affected 1232 01:05:39,670 --> 01:05:42,537 and that we can't outrun her. 1233 01:05:42,605 --> 01:05:44,005 - [Mac] It's Armageddon! 1234 01:05:46,243 --> 01:05:48,009 rs melt, 1235 01:05:48,077 --> 01:05:51,546 the area of white reflective surface shrinks, 1236 01:05:51,748 --> 01:05:53,882 replaced by Earth or ocean, 1237 01:05:53,950 --> 01:05:56,684 both dark surfaces that absorb more heat, 1238 01:05:56,753 --> 01:05:58,987 which in turn accelerates meltdown. 1239 01:06:02,025 --> 01:06:05,360 This is what scientists call a feedback effect. 1240 01:06:05,429 --> 01:06:09,497 (energetic music) 1241 01:06:09,566 --> 01:06:10,898 In the last four decades, 1242 01:06:10,967 --> 01:06:12,700 there's been a significant loss of glaciers 1243 01:06:12,769 --> 01:06:15,003 in Montana's Glacier National Park. 1244 01:06:17,107 --> 01:06:19,907 - Since the '70s, we've had pretty much a very rapid 1245 01:06:19,977 --> 01:06:22,643 and full-scale disappearance of the glaciers. 1246 01:06:22,712 --> 01:06:23,978 - [Narrator] Ecologist Dan Fagre 1247 01:06:24,047 --> 01:06:27,015 has been monitoring their demise for many years. 1248 01:06:29,185 --> 01:06:31,119 - Well, we use several ways of monitoring the glaciers. 1249 01:06:31,187 --> 01:06:34,055 The first and most obvious one is that we take pictures, 1250 01:06:34,124 --> 01:06:37,858 and these can be pictures from a point in the landscape, 1251 01:06:37,927 --> 01:06:39,995 so you're looking at it from the side and 1252 01:06:40,197 --> 01:06:44,065 you can just look at the visual changes year by year. 1253 01:06:44,133 --> 01:06:47,001 - [Narrator] Sequential photos taken decades apart 1254 01:06:47,070 --> 01:06:50,005 show how specific glaciers have shrunk in size. 1255 01:06:50,740 --> 01:06:52,674 - I can see with my own eyes 1256 01:06:52,876 --> 01:06:54,876 how much that glacier's disappeared. 1257 01:06:54,944 --> 01:06:56,143 And it's a little bit of a compelling 1258 01:06:56,212 --> 01:07:00,015 and alarming kind of view because you think about glaciers 1259 01:07:00,217 --> 01:07:04,886 as being, you know, a steady presence on a landscape. 1260 01:07:04,955 --> 01:07:07,088 And to see it disappearing this quickly means 1261 01:07:07,157 --> 01:07:09,991 that we are going through some very, very dynamic times. 1262 01:07:11,894 --> 01:07:13,094 - [Narrator] Here, Fagre is photographing 1263 01:07:13,163 --> 01:07:16,998 Salamander Glacier, which has been losing mass rapidly. 1264 01:07:19,169 --> 01:07:22,971 For glaciologists, the surface area is not the only factor 1265 01:07:23,173 --> 01:07:25,006 that's important in determining a glacier's health. 1266 01:07:28,045 --> 01:07:31,179 - It's also how thick it is or how much total mass. 1267 01:07:31,247 --> 01:07:33,114 And for that, we do a lot of ground measurements as well. 1268 01:07:33,316 --> 01:07:37,785 And we can go on the glacier with global positioning systems 1269 01:07:37,854 --> 01:07:39,988 and get both the area and the height. 1270 01:07:41,191 --> 01:07:43,191 - [Narrator] The prognosis for Glacier National Park 1271 01:07:43,260 --> 01:07:43,992 is dire. 1272 01:07:46,129 --> 01:07:48,063 - Based on the best measurements that we have to date, 1273 01:07:48,265 --> 01:07:50,998 it looks like the year 2030 is when most of the glaciers, 1274 01:07:51,067 --> 01:07:53,868 if not all the glaciers, will be completely gone. 1275 01:07:53,936 --> 01:07:55,603 - [Narrator] A similar fate is predicted 1276 01:07:55,672 --> 01:07:57,005 for glaciers all over the world. 1277 01:07:58,875 --> 01:08:01,008 - Almost all of the world's alpine, 1278 01:08:01,077 --> 01:08:03,812 mountain, or valley glaciers have been receding. 1279 01:08:04,014 --> 01:08:05,679 What's happening in Glacier National Park 1280 01:08:05,748 --> 01:08:07,748 is basically going on globally. 1281 01:08:07,818 --> 01:08:08,816 We're seeing that these mountains 1282 01:08:08,885 --> 01:08:10,985 are being transformed by climate changes. 1283 01:08:13,089 --> 01:08:14,488 - [Narrator] Melting glaciers have long posed a threat 1284 01:08:14,557 --> 01:08:16,991 to local communities. 1285 01:08:18,095 --> 01:08:21,028 Like many high mountain areas, the glaciers of Peru 1286 01:08:21,097 --> 01:08:24,999 were once feared for the avalanches they unleashed. 1287 01:08:26,235 --> 01:08:29,838 Sometimes icy mountains hide their true destructive nature 1288 01:08:30,040 --> 01:08:32,106 behind picturesque scenes of winter wonder, 1289 01:08:32,175 --> 01:08:36,577 spectacular beauty, secretly poised to destroy whatever 1290 01:08:36,646 --> 01:08:38,446 and whomever is in its path. 1291 01:08:38,514 --> 01:08:41,983 (ominous music) 1292 01:08:46,456 --> 01:08:47,922 Odda, Norway. 1293 01:08:47,991 --> 01:08:51,592 Set at the base of the Klungersetskreda Mountain, 1294 01:08:51,661 --> 01:08:53,727 Odda is the picturesque home 1295 01:08:53,796 --> 01:08:56,531 to approximately 7,000 residents. 1296 01:08:56,733 --> 01:08:57,999 - You've got the elevation, 1297 01:08:58,201 --> 01:09:00,868 you've got the topography, you've got the mountains. 1298 01:09:00,937 --> 01:09:03,004 You've got lots and lots of snowfall. 1299 01:09:06,209 --> 01:09:08,476 - [Narrator] These majestic peaks have stood guard over Odda 1300 01:09:08,545 --> 01:09:10,078 for hundreds of years, 1301 01:09:10,146 --> 01:09:13,548 but locals don't know that the mountains themselves 1302 01:09:13,616 --> 01:09:15,416 are poised to attack. 1303 01:09:15,484 --> 01:09:17,986 (ominous music) 1304 01:09:24,160 --> 01:09:28,997 A loud rumble erupts as an icy juggernaut races downhill. 1305 01:09:29,966 --> 01:09:32,567 - This avalanche begins relatively small, 1306 01:09:32,769 --> 01:09:34,002 but very rapidly gains force. 1307 01:09:37,974 --> 01:09:39,106 - [Narrator] Residents know they're in trouble 1308 01:09:39,175 --> 01:09:43,244 when the Earth itself seems to unleash a mighty roar. 1309 01:09:43,446 --> 01:09:45,779 (rumbling) 1310 01:09:45,848 --> 01:09:48,650 - It's almost like a big jumbo jet 1311 01:09:48,718 --> 01:09:49,984 coming down the mountainside. 1312 01:09:51,921 --> 01:09:52,853 - [Narrator] Police officer Johnny Helle 1313 01:09:52,922 --> 01:09:55,923 is stunned by what he sees out his window. 1314 01:09:55,992 --> 01:09:59,994 - I was thinking it will be a big disaster. 1315 01:10:02,064 --> 01:10:03,464 - [Narrator] As the mountain shed seven stories 1316 01:10:03,533 --> 01:10:06,133 of snow, ice, and rocks, 1317 01:10:06,203 --> 01:10:10,871 Eivind Kopperdal videotapes from his home across the fjord. 1318 01:10:10,940 --> 01:10:12,873 - This avalanche came like a big waterfall. 1319 01:10:12,942 --> 01:10:16,010 There was a rumbling and a very ugly noise. 1320 01:10:16,946 --> 01:10:19,080 - This event is triggered because of 1321 01:10:19,148 --> 01:10:22,550 an enormous amount of snow leading up to the event. 1322 01:10:22,619 --> 01:10:24,986 And then there was a warmup. 1323 01:10:26,889 --> 01:10:28,889 - This avalanche was a lot of wet snow, 1324 01:10:28,958 --> 01:10:30,992 which means it's heavier and has more mass. 1325 01:10:32,895 --> 01:10:34,628 - The snow stored at a high elevation 1326 01:10:34,697 --> 01:10:37,999 has tremendous potential energy. 1327 01:10:39,035 --> 01:10:42,036 Once it breaks loose and starts moving downslope, 1328 01:10:42,105 --> 01:10:45,906 that potential energy is converted to kinetic energy, 1329 01:10:45,976 --> 01:10:51,012 which creates tremendous momentum and power. 1330 01:10:52,915 --> 01:10:54,114 - It's pushing the air out ahead of it. 1331 01:10:54,183 --> 01:10:58,987 So you have gale-force winds coming down this mountain. 1332 01:11:00,256 --> 01:11:03,858 - [Narrator] The onslaught wipes out everything in its path, 1333 01:11:04,060 --> 01:11:05,994 including trees that have stood for decades. 1334 01:11:09,065 --> 01:11:10,932 - One of the reasons why this avalanche is so deadly 1335 01:11:11,134 --> 01:11:14,001 is the debris that it's picked up along the way. 1336 01:11:14,070 --> 01:11:17,672 A rock or a tree or a boulder has much more momentum 1337 01:11:17,740 --> 01:11:19,007 and much more force than snow. 1338 01:11:21,611 --> 01:11:22,677 - [Narrator] Seconds later, 1339 01:11:22,879 --> 01:11:24,612 the avalanche takes aim at homes, 1340 01:11:24,681 --> 01:11:27,982 and now lives are on the line. 1341 01:11:29,218 --> 01:11:32,987 - In an avalanche, your chances of survival are very low. 1342 01:11:35,024 --> 01:11:38,026 You've got the snowfall moving down the side 1343 01:11:38,228 --> 01:11:41,562 of a steep-sloped mountain at 60 to 80 miles per hour. 1344 01:11:41,630 --> 01:11:43,164 No one can run that fast. 1345 01:11:43,232 --> 01:11:46,967 - The avalanche get bigger and bigger and wider and wider, 1346 01:11:47,036 --> 01:11:51,005 and my God, I thought, it's going to the houses. 1347 01:11:53,042 --> 01:11:56,010 - I was sure that this would kill a lot of people. 1348 01:11:57,981 --> 01:11:59,914 - [Narrator] The snow slide swallows a house 1349 01:12:00,116 --> 01:12:01,983 where a family is just sitting down to breakfast. 1350 01:12:04,053 --> 01:12:06,988 - Initially it's just knocked off its foundation. 1351 01:12:08,858 --> 01:12:09,990 - [Narrator] But the three people inside 1352 01:12:10,060 --> 01:12:13,327 don't stand a chance as the 100-year-old structure 1353 01:12:13,396 --> 01:12:13,995 topples over. 1354 01:12:16,866 --> 01:12:18,666 - The house just disappeared in the snow. 1355 01:12:18,734 --> 01:12:21,802 I got a real bad, bad feeling. 1356 01:12:21,871 --> 01:12:23,871 - [Narrator] The 70-foot wall of ice 1357 01:12:23,939 --> 01:12:25,606 continues down the slope and threatens 1358 01:12:25,675 --> 01:12:28,009 another home near the shoreline. 1359 01:12:31,614 --> 01:12:33,014 But the house is spared. 1360 01:12:34,083 --> 01:12:36,951 - We see two houses attacked by the avalanche. 1361 01:12:37,019 --> 01:12:39,020 The one on the left is being hit by brown snow, 1362 01:12:39,222 --> 01:12:43,824 that's snow carrying rocks and debris against that house. 1363 01:12:43,893 --> 01:12:45,626 The house being hit by the white snow 1364 01:12:45,694 --> 01:12:46,994 without the rocks survives. 1365 01:12:49,098 --> 01:12:52,433 - [Narrator] Then, after six terrifying minutes, 1366 01:12:52,501 --> 01:12:54,001 an eerie silence. 1367 01:12:56,039 --> 01:12:59,973 - This was a very special quietness because 1368 01:13:00,042 --> 01:13:05,012 I felt like everything stopped, no sound at all. 1369 01:13:09,786 --> 01:13:11,786 - [Narrator] Helle fears the worst, 1370 01:13:11,854 --> 01:13:14,989 Since the snowpack is like cement. 1371 01:13:15,058 --> 01:13:17,792 - I had to go out, see how many people was killed, 1372 01:13:17,861 --> 01:13:20,728 because I was 100% certain that houses 1373 01:13:20,797 --> 01:13:22,997 had been smashed by this avalanche. 1374 01:13:24,801 --> 01:13:26,534 - Unfortunately, rescue in an avalanche 1375 01:13:26,736 --> 01:13:27,802 can be very, very difficult. 1376 01:13:27,871 --> 01:13:30,471 Even if you survive the crushing power 1377 01:13:30,540 --> 01:13:31,872 of the avalanche itself, 1378 01:13:31,941 --> 01:13:34,408 it will be very, very difficult to find you. 1379 01:13:34,477 --> 01:13:37,011 (ominous music) 1380 01:13:40,816 --> 01:13:42,750 - That's where somebody was killed. 1381 01:13:42,819 --> 01:13:44,818 There were three people in that house. 1382 01:13:44,887 --> 01:13:47,154 Two of them escaped into the basement. 1383 01:13:47,223 --> 01:13:50,491 The third person was in a wood-frame portion of the house 1384 01:13:50,559 --> 01:13:51,893 above the basement, 1385 01:13:52,095 --> 01:13:53,995 and they were killed when the house was crushed. 1386 01:13:55,898 --> 01:13:57,164 - [Narrator] Since that fateful morning, 1387 01:13:57,233 --> 01:14:01,101 barriers have been built to divert any future avalanches, 1388 01:14:01,170 --> 01:14:04,439 but the villagers know that what's up on the mountain 1389 01:14:04,641 --> 01:14:07,008 is truly a higher power. 1390 01:14:08,711 --> 01:14:09,777 - In the path of an avalanche, 1391 01:14:09,979 --> 01:14:14,581 you don't have any really good options. 1392 01:14:14,650 --> 01:14:16,384 - You are mostly helpless. 1393 01:14:16,452 --> 01:14:17,919 (dramatic music) 1394 01:14:18,121 --> 01:14:20,988 - I feel very small compared to what nature can do. 1395 01:14:33,570 --> 01:14:35,736 can significantly impact 1396 01:14:35,805 --> 01:14:38,872 rising sea levels, but in Iceland, 1397 01:14:38,941 --> 01:14:41,409 that meltdown isn't only environmental. 1398 01:14:41,611 --> 01:14:43,944 It can be explosive. 1399 01:14:44,013 --> 01:14:47,548 In fact, the evidence is mounting that Iceland 1400 01:14:47,617 --> 01:14:48,816 has the potential to be 1401 01:14:48,884 --> 01:14:51,886 the most lethal island on the planet. 1402 01:14:51,954 --> 01:14:54,955 A fearsome volcanic force lies beneath it, 1403 01:14:55,024 --> 01:14:57,959 creating powerful volcanoes capable of generating 1404 01:14:58,161 --> 01:15:02,362 gigantic lava floes and altering global climates. 1405 01:15:02,431 --> 01:15:04,966 (haunting music) 1406 01:15:05,034 --> 01:15:08,002 Yet many of Iceland's are covered in glaciers. 1407 01:15:08,905 --> 01:15:12,006 Fire and ice are held in a delicate balance. 1408 01:15:14,043 --> 01:15:16,110 Scientists fear if this balance were tipped 1409 01:15:16,312 --> 01:15:20,014 in the volcanoes' favor, Iceland could become even deadlier. 1410 01:15:21,850 --> 01:15:24,518 If the remaining ice were to melt, 1411 01:15:24,587 --> 01:15:25,786 what effect would it have 1412 01:15:25,855 --> 01:15:27,989 on the activity of Iceland's volcanoes? 1413 01:15:30,793 --> 01:15:32,125 The first clue in the investigation 1414 01:15:32,194 --> 01:15:35,997 lies in these innocuous-looking piles of rock and rubble. 1415 01:15:38,668 --> 01:15:39,934 They're found all over Iceland, 1416 01:15:40,003 --> 01:15:43,004 and yet these rocks don't come from a volcano. 1417 01:15:44,874 --> 01:15:48,075 They're moraines, the geological term 1418 01:15:48,143 --> 01:15:51,012 for rock piles deposited at the mouth of a glacier. 1419 01:15:53,215 --> 01:15:55,983 These deposits are evidence the glaciers are shrinking. 1420 01:15:58,821 --> 01:16:00,687 Year by year the glacier has melted 1421 01:16:00,756 --> 01:16:02,756 and retreated back up the valley, 1422 01:16:02,825 --> 01:16:05,993 leaving a moraine like this behind. 1423 01:16:11,033 --> 01:16:13,968 Dr. Roberts has studied the Vatnajokull glacier 1424 01:16:14,037 --> 01:16:19,040 for many years and has noticed this dramatic trend. 1425 01:16:19,108 --> 01:16:20,708 - The glacier has retreated at a remarkable rate. 1426 01:16:20,910 --> 01:16:22,577 Since I've been visiting the area 1427 01:16:22,779 --> 01:16:24,579 I've seen tremendous changes. 1428 01:16:24,781 --> 01:16:25,846 The ice has retreated annually 1429 01:16:25,914 --> 01:16:28,849 at a rate of about 200 feet per year. 1430 01:16:29,052 --> 01:16:31,852 This lake over here used to be filled with ice. 1431 01:16:31,920 --> 01:16:34,522 I've seen the ice progressively melt. 1432 01:16:34,590 --> 01:16:35,790 This moraine has formed. 1433 01:16:35,992 --> 01:16:38,592 This whole valley has become almost bare. 1434 01:16:38,661 --> 01:16:40,661 Maybe in the next 20 years, 1435 01:16:40,730 --> 01:16:41,795 this whole glacier will disappear 1436 01:16:41,864 --> 01:16:43,798 and a lake will form in the Valley. 1437 01:16:44,000 --> 01:16:46,467 - [Narrator] Iceland's glaciers are melting 1438 01:16:46,669 --> 01:16:48,936 at an unprecedented rate. 1439 01:16:49,005 --> 01:16:51,605 With an increasing amount of Iceland's ice caps 1440 01:16:51,674 --> 01:16:53,941 melting in the last 50 years, 1441 01:16:54,143 --> 01:16:56,877 the question that scientists are keen to understand 1442 01:16:57,080 --> 01:16:59,613 is what effect this rapid melting will have 1443 01:16:59,682 --> 01:17:01,983 on volcanoes that lie beneath. 1444 01:17:04,821 --> 01:17:05,419 The only other time that glaciers 1445 01:17:05,621 --> 01:17:06,954 have melted this quickly 1446 01:17:07,022 --> 01:17:10,992 is when Iceland came out of the last Ice Age. 1447 01:17:13,029 --> 01:17:15,997 But what can past events tell us about the future? 1448 01:17:18,835 --> 01:17:20,901 Geologists professor Bill McGuire 1449 01:17:21,104 --> 01:17:24,705 is investigating how volcanic activity changed 1450 01:17:24,773 --> 01:17:26,974 at the end of the last Ice Age. 1451 01:17:27,042 --> 01:17:29,010 And he's unearthed some surprising results. 1452 01:17:30,913 --> 01:17:33,046 - Around about 11 to 12,000 years ago, 1453 01:17:33,115 --> 01:17:36,516 you started to see quite rapid melting of glaciers 1454 01:17:36,585 --> 01:17:37,851 in Iceland and elsewhere, 1455 01:17:37,920 --> 01:17:40,988 and that triggered a recognizable increase 1456 01:17:41,056 --> 01:17:41,922 in volcanic activity because you were removing 1457 01:17:41,990 --> 01:17:45,726 this large mass of ice very, very quickly. 1458 01:17:45,928 --> 01:17:47,795 - [Narrator] The rapid melting of ice 1459 01:17:47,864 --> 01:17:50,798 kickstarts volcanic eruptions beneath. 1460 01:17:51,000 --> 01:17:52,399 - Volcanic eruptions are triggered by the 1461 01:17:52,468 --> 01:17:53,667 gas in the magma, 1462 01:17:53,736 --> 01:17:55,736 which expands to form bubbles 1463 01:17:55,938 --> 01:17:57,738 and the bubbles drive the eruption. 1464 01:17:57,940 --> 01:17:58,472 It's rather like taking the cork out of 1465 01:17:58,541 --> 01:18:00,140 a bottle of champagne. 1466 01:18:00,209 --> 01:18:03,744 Now, if you have a very heavy weight on top of a volcano, 1467 01:18:03,946 --> 01:18:05,813 if there's heavy mass of water or ice, 1468 01:18:05,882 --> 01:18:08,983 that can help suppress eruptive activity. 1469 01:18:10,820 --> 01:18:12,887 - [Narrator] But when ice melts quickly, 1470 01:18:12,955 --> 01:18:15,823 this downward pressure is suddenly released. 1471 01:18:15,891 --> 01:18:17,992 And that's when the trouble starts. 1472 01:18:19,562 --> 01:18:21,028 - As the ice melts, 1473 01:18:21,096 --> 01:18:22,829 so the pressure on the magma underneath is reduced, 1474 01:18:22,898 --> 01:18:25,098 the gas in the magma can form bubbles. 1475 01:18:25,167 --> 01:18:27,902 They can coalesce and they can eventually drive the magma 1476 01:18:28,104 --> 01:18:29,837 upwards towards the surface and trigger either 1477 01:18:29,906 --> 01:18:33,841 explosive eruptions or effusions of lava 1478 01:18:33,910 --> 01:18:35,009 that can spread out over huge distances. 1479 01:18:36,912 --> 01:18:38,512 - [Narrator] Imagining an ice-free Iceland 1480 01:18:38,581 --> 01:18:40,847 isn't that far-fetched. 1481 01:18:40,916 --> 01:18:43,584 In fact, it's a future Iceland's leaders 1482 01:18:43,652 --> 01:18:45,118 are taking very seriously, 1483 01:18:45,187 --> 01:18:48,989 not only for its potentially far-reaching economic impact, 1484 01:18:49,058 --> 01:18:53,994 but for what is likely explosive geological activity. 1485 01:18:54,664 --> 01:18:55,796 - The question is when. 1486 01:18:55,998 --> 01:18:57,865 These are things that we have to think about 1487 01:18:57,933 --> 01:19:01,668 and try to prepare ourselves to deal with 1488 01:19:01,737 --> 01:19:03,537 if they happen in our lifetime. 1489 01:19:03,606 --> 01:19:05,072 - [Narrator] Coming up. 1490 01:19:05,141 --> 01:19:08,008 - The one major difficulty we have, the flow of glaciers 1491 01:19:08,077 --> 01:19:11,011 is mostly caused by what's happening at the bottom. 1492 01:19:12,014 --> 01:19:14,982 And the bottom is the part that we don't see. 1493 01:19:19,222 --> 01:19:23,023 glaciers serve as vital reservoirs for fresh water, 1494 01:19:23,092 --> 01:19:25,993 providing 50% of the water nearby populations need. 1495 01:19:27,897 --> 01:19:30,164 - When mountain glaciers disappear, 1496 01:19:30,232 --> 01:19:33,100 there can be some real direct consequences for human beings. 1497 01:19:33,168 --> 01:19:36,436 Case in point is some of these valleys in the Himalayas 1498 01:19:36,506 --> 01:19:37,905 it is the glaciers, 1499 01:19:37,973 --> 01:19:38,773 particularly at the end of the dry season, 1500 01:19:38,975 --> 01:19:41,775 providing the drinking water for people. 1501 01:19:41,844 --> 01:19:44,110 So when those glaciers disappear, 1502 01:19:44,180 --> 01:19:47,581 those people will have to find alternate water supplies, 1503 01:19:47,650 --> 01:19:48,015 or basically have to move. 1504 01:19:49,852 --> 01:19:52,052 - [Narrator] In the Western United States, 1505 01:19:52,120 --> 01:19:54,387 our dependence on glacial ice and snow reservoirs 1506 01:19:54,456 --> 01:19:56,923 is just as great. 1507 01:19:56,992 --> 01:20:00,460 - It's about 87% of the water that Americans 1508 01:20:00,530 --> 01:20:01,729 in the West have to use. 1509 01:20:01,931 --> 01:20:03,530 So mountains are very, very critical 1510 01:20:03,599 --> 01:20:04,999 in providing that water. 1511 01:20:07,003 --> 01:20:08,134 - [Narrator] A reduction in drinking water 1512 01:20:08,204 --> 01:20:11,005 is only one of the problems caused by melting glaciers. 1513 01:20:16,011 --> 01:20:19,146 Equally as troubling is what a meltdown of ice 1514 01:20:19,214 --> 01:20:21,982 in the polar regions will do to sea levels worldwide. 1515 01:20:24,220 --> 01:20:28,889 And the melting is occurring faster than anyone predicted. 1516 01:20:28,958 --> 01:20:31,692 In 2000, scientists were stunned by changes 1517 01:20:31,760 --> 01:20:34,995 at Antarctica's Ross Ice Shelf. 1518 01:20:36,032 --> 01:20:38,632 The ice shelves act as buttresses for the glaciers, 1519 01:20:38,701 --> 01:20:41,001 holding them back from the sea. 1520 01:20:43,172 --> 01:20:48,008 Over the course of two weeks, a 4,247-square-mile fragment, 1521 01:20:48,977 --> 01:20:51,979 an area the size of the island of Jamaica, 1522 01:20:52,047 --> 01:20:54,982 shattered and separated from the continent. 1523 01:20:55,718 --> 01:20:57,918 Three trillion tons of ice, 1524 01:20:57,987 --> 01:21:01,388 one of the world's largest recorded icebergs, 1525 01:21:01,590 --> 01:21:03,390 drifted out to sea. 1526 01:21:03,459 --> 01:21:05,993 (ominous music) 1527 01:21:08,997 --> 01:21:10,865 - We're talking about several degrees warming, 1528 01:21:11,067 --> 01:21:13,934 over the last century, which is a huge number. 1529 01:21:14,136 --> 01:21:17,004 The ocean has been very hot and cold, and today, 1530 01:21:17,206 --> 01:21:20,874 we just have no idea what's going on with the ocean. 1531 01:21:20,943 --> 01:21:22,742 - [Narrator] But it's difficult to determine 1532 01:21:22,811 --> 01:21:25,812 how fast the glaciers are melting. 1533 01:21:25,881 --> 01:21:27,815 - The one major difficulty we have, 1534 01:21:28,017 --> 01:21:29,750 the flow of glaciers is mostly cut short 1535 01:21:29,818 --> 01:21:31,986 by what's happening at the bottom. 1536 01:21:33,021 --> 01:21:35,990 And the bottom is the part that we don't see. 1537 01:21:37,026 --> 01:21:38,224 The changes that we're observing in the ice sheets 1538 01:21:38,294 --> 01:21:43,998 are more rapid, and larger than what is predicted by models. 1539 01:21:44,834 --> 01:21:46,000 I think in the most extreme case, 1540 01:21:47,903 --> 01:21:48,635 a lot of Greenland would be removed, 1541 01:21:48,704 --> 01:21:50,037 and a lot of west Antarctica. 1542 01:21:50,106 --> 01:21:53,173 Then you could raise sea level 10 times more than that. 1543 01:21:53,376 --> 01:21:54,008 30 feet. 1544 01:21:56,244 --> 01:21:59,046 - [Narrator] A 30-foot rise means that many low-lying areas, 1545 01:21:59,248 --> 01:22:02,983 such as large portions of Florida, would be submerged. 1546 01:22:05,988 --> 01:22:09,055 Today satellites are the most important tool 1547 01:22:09,124 --> 01:22:11,792 that scientists have for monitoring what's happening 1548 01:22:11,860 --> 01:22:14,527 to the oceans and the ice sheets. 1549 01:22:14,596 --> 01:22:15,662 - To see the whole ocean, 1550 01:22:15,731 --> 01:22:17,864 you have to do it from far away, 1551 01:22:17,933 --> 01:22:20,868 and you really have to do it from space. 1552 01:22:20,936 --> 01:22:21,935 - Satellites are able to do this for us 1553 01:22:22,004 --> 01:22:24,137 because they're observing 24 hours a day, 1554 01:22:24,206 --> 01:22:29,009 seven days a week, 365 days a year, for years at a time. 1555 01:22:29,078 --> 01:22:31,812 - [Narrator] Scientists estimate about 200 billion 1556 01:22:31,881 --> 01:22:35,983 metric tons of ice melt away every year. 1557 01:22:39,021 --> 01:22:41,555 For those who study these satellite signals, 1558 01:22:41,623 --> 01:22:42,990 it's an alarming picture. 1559 01:22:46,161 --> 01:22:50,998 Rising oceans will swallow farmland, towns, and cities. 1560 01:22:52,701 --> 01:22:55,169 But unlike floods of the past, 1561 01:22:55,237 --> 01:22:59,006 once the waters have been unleashed, they will not recede. 1562 01:23:00,642 --> 01:23:01,975 - Most places in the world, 1563 01:23:02,044 --> 01:23:04,644 people live within about 100 miles of the ocean. 1564 01:23:04,714 --> 01:23:05,779 It doesn't matter where we are. 1565 01:23:05,981 --> 01:23:09,183 The population lives close to the sea. 1566 01:23:09,251 --> 01:23:13,921 In China and Japan and Europe, America, Africa, everywhere, 1567 01:23:14,123 --> 01:23:15,455 and those are the places that are most vulnerable 1568 01:23:15,524 --> 01:23:16,991 to climate disruption. 1569 01:23:17,193 --> 01:23:19,927 They're the ones that are gonna be hit the hardest. 1570 01:23:20,129 --> 01:23:22,796 - [Narrator] One catastrophe slams into another, 1571 01:23:22,864 --> 01:23:24,597 like the pinball hitting its target 1572 01:23:24,666 --> 01:23:26,800 and ricocheting to the next. 1573 01:23:26,869 --> 01:23:31,004 - And so we envision a situation where 1574 01:23:31,073 --> 01:23:33,874 you have the West coping with its water problems, 1575 01:23:33,943 --> 01:23:36,009 the hurricane zone coping with hurricanes, 1576 01:23:36,078 --> 01:23:38,746 the Northeast coping, not just with windstorms, 1577 01:23:38,948 --> 01:23:40,681 but with hailstorms and ice storms, 1578 01:23:40,749 --> 01:23:43,016 which will also impose a burden. 1579 01:23:43,085 --> 01:23:46,019 The Midwest, we're looking for swarms of tornadoes, 1580 01:23:46,088 --> 01:23:48,822 which causes an enormous amount of insurable damage. 1581 01:23:48,891 --> 01:23:50,824 - [Narrator] So much uncertainty in a world 1582 01:23:50,892 --> 01:23:53,627 plagued with an ever-changing climate. 1583 01:23:53,695 --> 01:23:54,828 Change is indeed happening, 1584 01:23:54,896 --> 01:23:57,964 and more quickly than we might like. 1585 01:23:58,033 --> 01:24:01,568 If we fail to act on these things we can change 1586 01:24:01,770 --> 01:24:02,969 and prepare for what we can't, 1587 01:24:03,039 --> 01:24:05,506 we are doomed to living on a radically different 1588 01:24:05,574 --> 01:24:07,374 and hostile planet. 1589 01:24:07,443 --> 01:24:10,010 (ominous music) 1590 01:24:10,010 --> 01:24:12,010 Ilmoovlmvhd�M � 128699

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