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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:02,469 --> 00:00:04,872 [explosive noise] It was global event, it was an exotic event, 2 00:00:05,005 --> 00:00:06,507 and it was a big event. 3 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,142 NARRATOR: From the majestic beauty of Yellowstone‐‐ 4 00:00:09,276 --> 00:00:12,412 We don't know how long it's going to just sit there 5 00:00:12,546 --> 00:00:15,382 before it decides to go off. 6 00:00:15,516 --> 00:00:17,751 NARRATOR: ‐‐to the tropical islands of Hawaii‐‐ 7 00:00:17,885 --> 00:00:19,386 ROBERT TILLING: The Hawaiian islands are probably 8 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:23,390 the best example of what geologists call 9 00:00:23,524 --> 00:00:28,061 a volcanic trail of a hot spot. 10 00:00:28,195 --> 00:00:31,398 NARRATOR: ‐‐the cataclysmic eruption of Krakatoa. 11 00:00:31,532 --> 00:00:35,102 STEPHEN SELF: An island two thirds gone, vanished. 12 00:00:35,235 --> 00:00:37,938 NARRATOR: ‐‐and the notorious prominence of Vesuvius‐‐ 13 00:00:43,210 --> 00:00:45,112 GIUSEPPE MASTROLORENZO: It could even erupt next year. 14 00:00:45,245 --> 00:00:47,381 is both profound and apocalyptic. 15 00:00:47,514 --> 00:00:48,682 GERARD FRYER: It truly is biblical. 16 00:00:52,352 --> 00:00:56,690 NARRATOR: Earth, air, fire, and water, 17 00:00:56,823 --> 00:00:59,059 essential for human survival. 18 00:00:59,192 --> 00:01:04,031 But in the extreme, destructive to everything and everyone 19 00:01:04,164 --> 00:01:05,132 in their path. 20 00:01:05,265 --> 00:01:06,600 MAN1: Coming down, right now, major tornado. 21 00:01:06,733 --> 00:01:09,236 MAN 2: Man, that's a monster. 22 00:01:09,369 --> 00:01:10,704 NARRATOR: These are stories‐‐ 23 00:01:10,837 --> 00:01:11,672 MAN 1: Oh, big time black. 24 00:01:11,805 --> 00:01:12,472 MAN 2: Wow. 25 00:01:12,606 --> 00:01:13,440 Whoa, whoa 26 00:01:13,574 --> 00:01:15,075 NARRATOR: ‐‐of "Apocalypse Earth." 27 00:01:19,613 --> 00:01:26,553 [music playing] 28 00:01:26,687 --> 00:01:30,424 Volcanoes, beautiful and fierce. 29 00:01:30,557 --> 00:01:34,861 These fire mountains are stunning, majestic, ominous, 30 00:01:34,995 --> 00:01:36,964 and terrifying. 31 00:01:37,097 --> 00:01:40,033 Towering over the landscape, these volatile giants 32 00:01:40,167 --> 00:01:43,437 have the ability to wreak untold havoc locally 33 00:01:43,570 --> 00:01:45,872 and around the globe. 34 00:01:46,006 --> 00:01:49,776 In the last century, American volcanoes, such as Mount St. 35 00:01:49,910 --> 00:01:53,981 Helens and Novarupta have served to keep the population 36 00:01:54,114 --> 00:01:58,952 on notice that a volcano's sleep is often not eternal. 37 00:01:59,086 --> 00:02:01,188 [explosion] 38 00:02:01,321 --> 00:02:05,325 On May 18, 1980, Mount St. Helens erupted. 39 00:02:05,459 --> 00:02:07,661 Not from its peak, but from its side. 40 00:02:11,832 --> 00:02:14,768 Located in Washington State, only 50 miles 41 00:02:14,901 --> 00:02:17,204 Northeast of Portland, Oregon, this 42 00:02:17,337 --> 00:02:21,174 was the first major volcanic eruption in the lower 48 states 43 00:02:21,308 --> 00:02:22,476 in generations. 44 00:02:22,609 --> 00:02:23,744 And the deadliest‐‐ 45 00:02:23,877 --> 00:02:26,213 57 people were killed. 46 00:02:26,346 --> 00:02:28,548 The reawakening of Mount St. Helens 47 00:02:28,682 --> 00:02:32,886 greatly intensified volcanology in the United States. 48 00:02:33,020 --> 00:02:37,024 But it's the June 1912 eruption of Novarupta in Southwest 49 00:02:37,157 --> 00:02:39,993 Alaska that holds the record as the largest 50 00:02:40,127 --> 00:02:43,163 such event in the 20th century. 51 00:02:43,296 --> 00:02:46,667 It was 10 times more powerful than Mount St. Helens 52 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:49,703 and is ranked as the fifth largest eruption in recorded 53 00:02:49,836 --> 00:02:51,104 history. 54 00:02:51,238 --> 00:02:55,442 The activity continued for three days, devastating area wildlife 55 00:02:55,575 --> 00:02:59,012 for a decade and generating a large volume 56 00:02:59,146 --> 00:03:03,150 of pyroclastic flows that came to rest on the place that 57 00:03:03,283 --> 00:03:07,254 is now known as the Valley of 10,000 smokes. 58 00:03:07,387 --> 00:03:10,290 But chief among volcanic wonders in the US 59 00:03:10,424 --> 00:03:15,062 is that breathtaking spectacle in the heartland, Yellowstone. 60 00:03:15,195 --> 00:03:19,266 It's dance of geysers is one of nature's greatest displays. 61 00:03:19,399 --> 00:03:22,836 It's why millions of visitors come each year to America's 62 00:03:22,969 --> 00:03:25,939 oldest national park. 63 00:03:26,073 --> 00:03:29,910 Yellowstone's spectacular beauty inspired President Ulysses S. 64 00:03:30,043 --> 00:03:33,447 Grant to protect these 2 million acres of northern Wyoming 65 00:03:33,580 --> 00:03:36,283 wilderness back in 1872, and it's 66 00:03:36,416 --> 00:03:39,453 been a haven for outdoor enthusiasts ever since. 67 00:03:39,586 --> 00:03:42,889 It's incredible hot springs, bubbling pools of mud, 68 00:03:43,023 --> 00:03:46,793 unearthly ponds, and the most celebrated natural feature, 69 00:03:46,927 --> 00:03:49,429 the Old Faithful geyser, are some of nature's greatest 70 00:03:49,563 --> 00:03:50,230 wonders. 71 00:03:53,533 --> 00:03:57,738 But beneath this primal beauty simmers a hidden threat. 72 00:03:57,871 --> 00:04:01,208 Five miles below the waterfalls and mountain peaks 73 00:04:01,341 --> 00:04:04,945 lies the heart of a supervolcano, a constantly 74 00:04:05,078 --> 00:04:09,049 moving cauldron of molten rock the size of Mount Everest. 75 00:04:09,182 --> 00:04:12,352 Over countless million years it filled with lava 76 00:04:12,486 --> 00:04:14,454 to the breaking point. 77 00:04:14,588 --> 00:04:19,059 Like a bomb with a hidden timer, it finally explodes. 78 00:04:19,192 --> 00:04:22,696 We don't know how long it's going to just sit there 79 00:04:22,829 --> 00:04:24,865 before it decides to go off. 80 00:04:24,998 --> 00:04:27,834 NARRATOR: If sometime in the future it were to erupt, 81 00:04:27,968 --> 00:04:31,204 as it has before, the Yellowstone volcano 82 00:04:31,338 --> 00:04:34,407 would overwhelm everything within 100 miles 83 00:04:34,541 --> 00:04:38,712 and disrupt lives across the globe for years. 84 00:04:38,845 --> 00:04:44,985 There are 1,500 volcanoes around the world, 85 00:04:45,118 --> 00:04:48,555 but there are fewer than 10 supervolcanoes, the ones 86 00:04:48,688 --> 00:04:51,691 with the potential to not only destroy the surrounding 87 00:04:51,825 --> 00:04:55,095 area but to create a global disaster. 88 00:04:55,228 --> 00:04:59,199 And Yellowstone is one of these supervolcanoes. 89 00:04:59,332 --> 00:05:02,068 Unlike a conventional volcano, with its crater 90 00:05:02,202 --> 00:05:05,405 atop a mountain, Yellowstone's crater 91 00:05:05,539 --> 00:05:10,177 is so large it can only be seen from the air. 92 00:05:10,310 --> 00:05:14,214 This is the rim of a monstrous crater called a caldera that 93 00:05:14,347 --> 00:05:19,219 collapsed into the magma chamber during the last supereruption. 94 00:05:19,352 --> 00:05:21,955 It's large enough to hold the city of Los Angeles. 95 00:05:25,458 --> 00:05:28,094 HANK HEASLER: People drive 35 miles, 45 miles, 96 00:05:28,228 --> 00:05:29,663 commuting to work in that. 97 00:05:29,796 --> 00:05:34,835 Well, that's the distance across this caldera. 98 00:05:34,968 --> 00:05:36,236 NARRATOR: And this is only the last 99 00:05:36,369 --> 00:05:39,472 of three monstrous calderas formed over the past two 100 00:05:39,606 --> 00:05:40,740 million years. 101 00:05:40,874 --> 00:05:43,109 The volcanic history of Yellowstone 102 00:05:43,243 --> 00:05:48,381 is really marked by these three giant, cataclysmic eruptions 103 00:05:48,515 --> 00:05:51,151 of the scale that we haven't seen in the history of man 104 00:05:51,284 --> 00:05:52,352 really. 105 00:05:52,485 --> 00:05:55,589 The first eruption vented somewhere around 106 00:05:55,722 --> 00:05:57,724 600 cubic miles of material. 107 00:05:57,858 --> 00:06:00,527 And if you took all of that and you spread it out 108 00:06:00,660 --> 00:06:04,264 over the state of Texas, you'd have about 12 feet 109 00:06:04,397 --> 00:06:05,999 thick of deposits. 110 00:06:06,132 --> 00:06:08,034 NARRATOR: The second eruption was hundreds of times 111 00:06:08,168 --> 00:06:10,770 larger than Mount St. Helens, and it's 112 00:06:10,904 --> 00:06:14,307 the smallest of the Yellowstone supereruptions. 113 00:06:14,441 --> 00:06:17,844 The most recent one, known as the Lava Creek eruption 114 00:06:17,978 --> 00:06:24,517 occurred 640,000 years ago. 115 00:06:24,651 --> 00:06:28,622 At the time, early man had yet to arrive on the scene. 116 00:06:28,755 --> 00:06:31,925 Exotic prehistoric animals roamed the North American 117 00:06:32,058 --> 00:06:33,793 continent. 118 00:06:33,927 --> 00:06:37,864 Five miles beneath the earth, however, a magnetic cauldron 119 00:06:37,998 --> 00:06:41,735 three times the size of New York City was coming to a boil. 120 00:06:46,406 --> 00:06:50,543 There would have been hundreds to thousands of earthquakes 121 00:06:50,677 --> 00:06:51,945 becoming fairly large. 122 00:06:52,078 --> 00:06:56,650 So there'd be a lot of shaking as the hot rock was moving up. 123 00:06:56,783 --> 00:07:00,654 NARRATOR: A million tons of molten rock heated to 1,800 124 00:07:00,787 --> 00:07:03,823 degrees Fahrenheit pressed its way to the surface. 125 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:09,996 Jets of superheated water suddenly burst 126 00:07:10,130 --> 00:07:15,669 through cracks in the Earth's surface, shooting into the air. 127 00:07:15,802 --> 00:07:20,440 Hundreds of geysers were erupting over 500 square miles. 128 00:07:20,573 --> 00:07:22,842 We get explosions out of the hydrothermal system 129 00:07:22,976 --> 00:07:25,578 that put holes in the ground as big as a mile across. 130 00:07:25,712 --> 00:07:28,348 So they're big events. 131 00:07:28,481 --> 00:07:30,150 Well, after about a 90‐minute nap, 132 00:07:30,283 --> 00:07:32,218 Old Faithful has roared back to life. 133 00:07:32,352 --> 00:07:34,521 It wasn't actually napping, it was recharging. 134 00:07:34,654 --> 00:07:36,523 The temperature of the water with increasing, 135 00:07:36,656 --> 00:07:38,725 the system was pressurizing. 136 00:07:38,858 --> 00:07:42,762 NARRATOR: But this was just the overture before the main event. 137 00:07:42,896 --> 00:07:46,499 After days of increasing earthquake and geyser activity, 138 00:07:46,633 --> 00:07:50,136 under mounting pressure from magma and superheated gases, 139 00:07:50,270 --> 00:07:52,939 Yellowstone's last supereruption began. 140 00:07:57,110 --> 00:07:59,346 ROBERT SMITH: The material may have started to leak out 141 00:07:59,479 --> 00:08:02,482 on one side, perhaps forming part of the edge 142 00:08:02,615 --> 00:08:03,650 of the fracture zone. 143 00:08:03,783 --> 00:08:06,119 As you start to decrease the pressure, 144 00:08:06,252 --> 00:08:09,422 it starts to then explode. 145 00:08:09,556 --> 00:08:11,658 NARRATOR: With the power of a hydrogen bomb, 146 00:08:11,791 --> 00:08:15,261 a monstrous cloud of searing ash and melted rock 147 00:08:15,395 --> 00:08:19,032 shot into the stratosphere at supersonic speeds. 148 00:08:19,165 --> 00:08:21,701 The heavier debris fell back to the ground, 149 00:08:21,835 --> 00:08:25,472 turning into a colossal pyroclastic flows. 150 00:08:25,605 --> 00:08:30,877 It was sort of like a hurricane made up of 800‐degree 151 00:08:31,011 --> 00:08:34,047 ash, and pumice, and hot gases‐‐ 152 00:08:34,180 --> 00:08:37,283 just wipes things out completely. 153 00:08:37,417 --> 00:08:41,287 NARRATOR: For miles, these lethal rivers of ash and gas 154 00:08:41,421 --> 00:08:46,659 cook animals alive in brushed forests aside like twigs. 155 00:08:46,793 --> 00:08:48,595 ROBERT SMITH: They extend actually outside of Yellowstone 156 00:08:48,728 --> 00:08:51,297 into Idaho and into the Teton region. 157 00:08:51,431 --> 00:08:54,200 Some of this material flowed down actually covered parts 158 00:08:54,334 --> 00:08:55,902 of the floor of Jackson Hole. 159 00:08:56,036 --> 00:08:58,505 So these scenes extend tens of miles 160 00:08:58,638 --> 00:09:02,275 away from the actual eruption location. 161 00:09:02,409 --> 00:09:04,878 NARRATOR: For days the Yellowstone volcano 162 00:09:05,011 --> 00:09:08,748 continued to heave tons of molten debris into the air 163 00:09:08,882 --> 00:09:11,051 and devastated the nearby terrain. 164 00:09:11,184 --> 00:09:16,156 Then, across the caldera, another colossal explosion, 165 00:09:16,289 --> 00:09:18,091 then another. 166 00:09:18,224 --> 00:09:21,594 Eruption after a eruption began shooting more and more lava 167 00:09:21,728 --> 00:09:25,498 and pulverized rock into the air. 168 00:09:25,632 --> 00:09:27,367 JACOB LOWENSTERN: Typically, when these eruptions begin, 169 00:09:27,500 --> 00:09:28,835 they begin at a single event. 170 00:09:28,968 --> 00:09:31,337 And the event may then get larger, 171 00:09:31,471 --> 00:09:34,074 moving out along some sort of a fracture system. 172 00:09:34,207 --> 00:09:37,210 NARRATOR: Yellowstone had turned into a supereruption. 173 00:09:49,022 --> 00:09:51,191 NARRATOR: Yellowstone's last supereruption 174 00:09:51,324 --> 00:09:57,063 occurred 640,000 years ago. 175 00:09:57,197 --> 00:10:00,366 It started as a single massive volcano, 176 00:10:00,500 --> 00:10:03,670 but soon turned into a series of eruptions, 177 00:10:03,803 --> 00:10:06,840 exploding with the full force of a supervolcano. 178 00:10:06,973 --> 00:10:10,443 The entire sequence of pyroclastic explosions 179 00:10:10,577 --> 00:10:14,047 that formed the Yellowstone caldera may have taken as 180 00:10:14,180 --> 00:10:16,049 little as two weeks to happen. 181 00:10:16,182 --> 00:10:18,718 During the eruption of all this material, 182 00:10:18,852 --> 00:10:22,322 that's when the caldera would have started forming. 183 00:10:22,455 --> 00:10:26,126 NARRATOR: In a final massive display of nature's fury, 184 00:10:26,259 --> 00:10:28,294 hundreds of square miles of mountain 185 00:10:28,428 --> 00:10:33,500 dropped thousands of feet into the pit of roiling magma. 186 00:10:33,633 --> 00:10:34,667 ROBERT SMITH: The Gallatin range, 187 00:10:34,801 --> 00:10:37,437 and the Madison range, and the Mount Washburn range 188 00:10:37,570 --> 00:10:40,406 to the north continued somewhere into the Yellowstone region. 189 00:10:40,540 --> 00:10:42,809 These mountain ranges were destroyed. 190 00:10:42,942 --> 00:10:44,177 Now, when I say destroyed, I don't 191 00:10:44,310 --> 00:10:45,612 mean they're blown to smithereens 192 00:10:45,745 --> 00:10:46,946 into the atmosphere. 193 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,916 Much of it just then fell back into the magmatic system‐‐ 194 00:10:50,049 --> 00:10:52,152 just fell back into the cauldron, if you wish, 195 00:10:52,285 --> 00:10:53,987 of the caldera itself. 196 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,456 JACOB LOWENSTERN: We're talking about mountains that might be 197 00:10:56,589 --> 00:11:01,127 12,000 feet high that are now the ground 198 00:11:01,261 --> 00:11:04,063 surfaces on the order of 8 to 9,000 feet high. 199 00:11:04,197 --> 00:11:08,334 So 3,000 foot of mountain that is no longer there. 200 00:11:08,468 --> 00:11:11,971 NARRATOR: Finally, after perhaps weeks of constant activity, 201 00:11:12,105 --> 00:11:15,175 the Yellowstone volcano subsided. 202 00:11:15,308 --> 00:11:18,444 But the devastation was far from over. 203 00:11:18,578 --> 00:11:22,749 A global disaster was about to begin. 204 00:11:22,882 --> 00:11:26,452 2 and 1/2 trillion tons of sterile volcanic ash 205 00:11:26,586 --> 00:11:30,190 drifted with the winds and buried 2,000 square miles 206 00:11:30,323 --> 00:11:33,393 of the North American plains, destroying much 207 00:11:33,526 --> 00:11:34,827 of the continent's plant life. 208 00:11:34,961 --> 00:11:36,062 HANK HEASLER: The volcanic ash that's 209 00:11:36,196 --> 00:11:38,731 ejected high up into the atmosphere 210 00:11:38,865 --> 00:11:41,334 and then falls many, many miles away, 211 00:11:41,467 --> 00:11:45,138 that goes as far as Louisiana and some of the states 212 00:11:45,271 --> 00:11:46,573 along the Mississippi River. 213 00:11:46,706 --> 00:11:49,309 So quite an ash cloud. 214 00:11:49,442 --> 00:11:50,877 NARRATOR: The lighter particles remained 215 00:11:51,010 --> 00:11:54,747 in the air for more than a year, forcing temperatures to plunge 216 00:11:54,881 --> 00:11:56,115 across the hemisphere. 217 00:11:56,249 --> 00:12:00,253 It acts as as a veil and cuts out the sunlight. 218 00:12:00,386 --> 00:12:03,389 And so it cools the climate below. 219 00:12:03,523 --> 00:12:05,892 I think there was certainly big climatic changes 220 00:12:06,025 --> 00:12:07,427 do to Yellowstone. 221 00:12:07,560 --> 00:12:11,497 We estimated a 3 to 5 degrees Celsius drop 222 00:12:11,631 --> 00:12:16,269 in temperature, which is quite severe on a global basis. 223 00:12:16,402 --> 00:12:18,404 NARRATOR: 5 degrees was enough to kill off 224 00:12:18,538 --> 00:12:22,008 much of the tropical plant life across the globe. 225 00:12:22,141 --> 00:12:25,445 Over the next year, animals died from lack of food, 226 00:12:25,578 --> 00:12:28,681 as the ash continued to block out the sun. 227 00:12:28,815 --> 00:12:31,150 It took years for the planet to recover, 228 00:12:31,284 --> 00:12:33,686 for sunlight to reach the Earth's surface, 229 00:12:33,820 --> 00:12:36,456 for plants to push through the layers of ash, 230 00:12:36,589 --> 00:12:40,326 for animals to repopulate the continent. 231 00:12:40,460 --> 00:12:44,497 This Yellowstone eruption, 640,000 years ago, 232 00:12:44,631 --> 00:12:47,600 changed the face of North America. 233 00:12:47,734 --> 00:12:50,803 With a history of multiple cataclysmic eruptions, 234 00:12:50,937 --> 00:12:54,474 Yellowstone is becoming the most studied supervolcano 235 00:12:54,607 --> 00:12:55,675 in the world. 236 00:12:55,808 --> 00:12:58,077 And its hundreds of yearly earthquakes, thousands 237 00:12:58,211 --> 00:13:01,047 of guises, and massive magma chamber 238 00:13:01,180 --> 00:13:04,417 make it one of the most geologically active regions. 239 00:13:04,550 --> 00:13:07,520 In fact, in May of 2020, Yellowstone 240 00:13:07,654 --> 00:13:12,592 registered just under 300 earthquakes alone. 241 00:13:12,725 --> 00:13:15,094 As the research continues, scientists 242 00:13:15,228 --> 00:13:17,163 are realizing how little they really know 243 00:13:17,297 --> 00:13:18,564 about the Yellowstone volcano. 244 00:13:21,401 --> 00:13:22,969 HANK HEASLER: We know there's enough magma left. 245 00:13:23,102 --> 00:13:24,237 We know there is enough heat. 246 00:13:24,370 --> 00:13:27,273 We know that there will be future eruptions 247 00:13:27,407 --> 00:13:28,574 in Yellowstone. 248 00:13:28,708 --> 00:13:31,811 But we don't know if there ever be 249 00:13:31,944 --> 00:13:33,546 another catastrophic eruption. 250 00:13:37,417 --> 00:13:39,185 JACOB LOWENSTERN: Since humans haven't seen an eruption 251 00:13:39,319 --> 00:13:41,821 of this magnitude, we're somewhat 252 00:13:41,954 --> 00:13:46,559 challenged to know exactly how the systems work. 253 00:13:46,693 --> 00:13:48,661 NARRATOR: One thing is known for sure, 254 00:13:48,795 --> 00:13:52,165 if Yellowstone erupts again, pyroclastic flows 255 00:13:52,298 --> 00:13:54,967 will destroy everything near the volcano, 256 00:13:55,068 --> 00:13:57,737 and its ash cloud would overwhelm humanity 257 00:13:57,870 --> 00:13:59,439 across the globe. 258 00:13:59,572 --> 00:14:01,274 MICHAEL RAMPINO: This is one of the rules of geology. 259 00:14:01,407 --> 00:14:03,009 If it happened in the past, it'll 260 00:14:03,142 --> 00:14:05,178 happen again in the future. 261 00:14:05,311 --> 00:14:08,147 We know that there will be supereruptions, and probably 262 00:14:08,281 --> 00:14:10,550 one to Yellowstone, and it's going 263 00:14:10,683 --> 00:14:12,785 to have catastrophic effects. 264 00:14:12,919 --> 00:14:17,990 [explosion and rattling debris] 265 00:14:18,124 --> 00:14:20,927 [waves rolling] 266 00:14:25,932 --> 00:14:28,134 NARRATOR: The beautiful island chain of Hawaii 267 00:14:28,267 --> 00:14:32,872 is known the world over for its magnificent scenery. 268 00:14:33,005 --> 00:14:37,610 The eight main islands of Hawaii are home to 19 volcanoes. 269 00:14:37,744 --> 00:14:41,080 There have been over 75 recorded eruptions in the last 200 270 00:14:41,214 --> 00:14:41,881 years. 271 00:14:44,984 --> 00:14:48,054 The Hawaiian islands are probably the best example 272 00:14:48,187 --> 00:14:54,961 of what geologists call a volcanic trail of a hot spot. 273 00:14:55,094 --> 00:15:00,199 They are formed by the passage of the Pacific Tectonic Plate 274 00:15:00,333 --> 00:15:03,903 over an exceptionally hot spot beneath the crust of the earth, 275 00:15:04,036 --> 00:15:05,605 and it's sort of analogous too if you 276 00:15:05,738 --> 00:15:11,477 had a slab of paraffin wax passing over a candle flame. 277 00:15:11,611 --> 00:15:15,081 NARRATOR: Except that it's rock that's melting, not wax. 278 00:15:15,214 --> 00:15:18,117 Over time, this molten rock, or magma, 279 00:15:18,251 --> 00:15:21,921 rises 20 miles to the surface, creating and feeding 280 00:15:22,054 --> 00:15:25,124 the volcanoes above. 281 00:15:25,258 --> 00:15:27,627 MICHAEL POLAND: Now, because the plates on the Earth's surface 282 00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:31,197 are moving, they actually move over this fixed hot spot. 283 00:15:31,330 --> 00:15:34,300 And that means that new volcanoes are popping up 284 00:15:34,434 --> 00:15:36,235 all the time. 285 00:15:36,369 --> 00:15:39,605 NARRATOR: Magma that reaches the surface is called lava. 286 00:15:39,739 --> 00:15:42,175 The lava collects and forms land. 287 00:15:42,308 --> 00:15:45,111 Each island of the Hawaiian chain in fact 288 00:15:45,244 --> 00:15:47,313 started as a volcano. 289 00:15:47,447 --> 00:15:51,317 As the path of plate is followed from northwest to southeast, 290 00:15:51,451 --> 00:15:55,254 the volcanoes are larger, more densely situated, and far more 291 00:15:55,388 --> 00:15:56,322 active. 292 00:15:56,456 --> 00:15:58,891 The so‐called Big Island is twice as large 293 00:15:59,025 --> 00:16:02,161 as all of the other islands combined. 294 00:16:02,295 --> 00:16:06,766 It's not just one, but five volcanoes growing together‐‐ 295 00:16:06,899 --> 00:16:14,040 Kohala, Mauna Kea, Hualalai, Kilauea, and Mauna Loa. 296 00:16:14,173 --> 00:16:15,408 MICHAEL POLAND: Over a million years ago, 297 00:16:15,541 --> 00:16:17,443 there was no big island of Hawaii. 298 00:16:17,577 --> 00:16:19,178 It started as a very small island, 299 00:16:19,312 --> 00:16:22,582 which was the volcano of Kohala, which grew out of the ocean. 300 00:16:22,715 --> 00:16:24,851 Over time, more volcanoes started to grow. 301 00:16:24,984 --> 00:16:27,253 Mauna Kea and Hualalai came next growing, 302 00:16:27,386 --> 00:16:28,554 into tremendous mountains. 303 00:16:28,688 --> 00:16:30,957 Mauna Loa was the next volcano to grow. 304 00:16:31,090 --> 00:16:35,394 And Kilauea is the youngest of the Big Island's volcanoes. 305 00:16:35,528 --> 00:16:38,998 NARRATOR: Kilauea earned the title World's Safest Volcano 306 00:16:39,131 --> 00:16:43,135 for its stunning lava fountains and slow‐moving flows that can 307 00:16:43,269 --> 00:16:44,871 be viewed from close proximity. 308 00:16:45,004 --> 00:16:48,274 ROBERT TILLING: The current eruption of Kilauea 309 00:16:48,407 --> 00:16:52,445 actually began in 1983. 310 00:16:52,578 --> 00:16:55,281 In fact, it's been erupting virtually continuously 311 00:16:55,414 --> 00:16:56,516 since that time. 312 00:16:56,649 --> 00:17:03,456 And it has now become the longest‐lasting eruption 313 00:17:03,589 --> 00:17:06,726 in historical time in Hawaii. 314 00:17:06,859 --> 00:17:10,730 NARRATOR: But Kilauea hides an even more dangerous secret. 315 00:17:10,863 --> 00:17:13,766 It is home to the biggest explosive eruptions 316 00:17:13,900 --> 00:17:16,469 in Hawaii's history. 317 00:17:16,602 --> 00:17:21,474 FRANK TRUSDELL: In 1790, there was an explosive eruption which 318 00:17:21,607 --> 00:17:25,011 accounts for most of the gravel‐like surroundings 319 00:17:25,144 --> 00:17:28,948 that you can see in the field of view here. 320 00:17:29,081 --> 00:17:32,552 The cloud had to be somewhere in the vicinity of 28,000 321 00:17:32,685 --> 00:17:37,823 to 30,000 feet, which had put it up akin to the eruption 322 00:17:37,957 --> 00:17:41,861 column of Mount St. Helens and looked just as dark and ugly 323 00:17:41,994 --> 00:17:44,463 as that. 324 00:17:44,597 --> 00:17:47,767 NARRATOR: At least 80 Hawaiian warriors were killed instantly 325 00:17:47,900 --> 00:17:52,371 by asphyxiation and heat in the 1790 eruption, the highest 326 00:17:52,505 --> 00:17:55,207 death toll from any American volcano. 327 00:17:55,341 --> 00:17:58,611 What we have to remember is that we've still 328 00:17:58,744 --> 00:18:02,481 seen only a very small portion of what Kilauea can do. 329 00:18:02,615 --> 00:18:05,818 Yes, Kilauea can be very benign, but it can also 330 00:18:05,952 --> 00:18:09,121 be very dangerous under other circumstances. 331 00:18:09,255 --> 00:18:11,624 NARRATOR: May 3rd, 2018, proved to be one 332 00:18:11,757 --> 00:18:13,826 of those other circumstances. 333 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:16,629 Kilauea took scientists by surprise 334 00:18:16,762 --> 00:18:19,966 when it's lava flow invaded nearby residential areas, 335 00:18:20,099 --> 00:18:24,103 forcing 1,700 people to evacuate their homes. 336 00:18:24,236 --> 00:18:26,105 The eruptive destruction did not quiet 337 00:18:26,238 --> 00:18:30,743 down until September 2018, when volcanic activity subsided 338 00:18:30,876 --> 00:18:33,646 significantly, remaining at its lowest 339 00:18:33,779 --> 00:18:38,951 since it started erupting in 1983. 340 00:18:39,085 --> 00:18:41,220 But of greater concern to officials 341 00:18:41,354 --> 00:18:43,990 is the enormous volcano to the west. 342 00:18:44,123 --> 00:18:46,659 Its name is Mauna Loa. 343 00:18:46,792 --> 00:18:48,894 Massive earthquakes have historically 344 00:18:49,028 --> 00:18:52,164 preceded every major eruption at Mauna Loa. 345 00:18:52,298 --> 00:18:57,236 Feared most is a repeat of what occurred in 1868. 346 00:18:57,370 --> 00:18:59,872 Little in the way of photos or illustrations 347 00:19:00,072 --> 00:19:03,075 exists, but early missionaries recorded well 348 00:19:03,209 --> 00:19:07,813 over 300 earthquakes in a span of four days. 349 00:19:07,947 --> 00:19:13,653 The largest of these is believed to have measured magnitude 8. 350 00:19:13,786 --> 00:19:16,589 But this was all just a preamble to the lava flow 351 00:19:16,722 --> 00:19:18,224 from Mauna Loa. 352 00:19:18,357 --> 00:19:21,227 FRANK TRUSDELL: The eruption started at about 5,000 feet 353 00:19:21,360 --> 00:19:25,798 and zoomed down to the ocean in a matter of two hours. 354 00:19:25,931 --> 00:19:28,701 NARRATOR: Lava from a smaller eruption in 1950 355 00:19:28,834 --> 00:19:31,137 followed the exact same flow path. 356 00:19:31,270 --> 00:19:34,740 Well, the 1950 eruption of Mount Loa 357 00:19:34,874 --> 00:19:38,010 was probably very, very spectacular. 358 00:19:38,144 --> 00:19:41,747 There was a fissure system that propagated and stayed open 359 00:19:41,881 --> 00:19:44,417 over a 15‐kilometer length. 360 00:19:44,550 --> 00:19:47,553 Along the entire length, there was lava gushing out 361 00:19:47,687 --> 00:19:49,655 of the ground. 362 00:19:49,789 --> 00:19:53,125 NARRATOR: The lava formed what's called a curtain of fire, 363 00:19:53,259 --> 00:19:57,596 literally a wall of molten rock 600 feet high and two 364 00:19:57,730 --> 00:19:58,731 miles long. 365 00:19:58,864 --> 00:20:00,433 Well, most eruptions from Hawaiian volcanoes, 366 00:20:00,566 --> 00:20:02,234 and Mauna Loa included, usually start out 367 00:20:02,368 --> 00:20:03,903 with fissures that open up. 368 00:20:04,036 --> 00:20:06,105 And you get what we call just a curtain of fire, 369 00:20:06,238 --> 00:20:09,942 as lava seems to fount along a long stretch of fissure that 370 00:20:10,076 --> 00:20:12,211 can be miles long. 371 00:20:12,344 --> 00:20:16,082 Over time, this fissure tends to focus at a single point. 372 00:20:16,215 --> 00:20:18,484 And that's where most of the fountaining activity 373 00:20:18,617 --> 00:20:21,554 is concentrated. 374 00:20:21,687 --> 00:20:25,391 NARRATOR: 35 minutes later, the flow entered the ocean. 375 00:20:25,524 --> 00:20:28,561 But it would continue on for 23 days 376 00:20:28,694 --> 00:20:31,731 and become the most voluminous eruption ever recorded 377 00:20:31,864 --> 00:20:33,966 in the island's history. 378 00:20:34,100 --> 00:20:36,769 [rumbling and crackling] 379 00:20:39,739 --> 00:20:42,074 The Big Island of Hawaii has been rocked 380 00:20:42,208 --> 00:20:44,376 by volcanic eruptions and earthquakes 381 00:20:44,510 --> 00:20:48,180 throughout its history, and scientific monitoring 382 00:20:48,314 --> 00:20:50,449 shows that these monsters still have 383 00:20:50,583 --> 00:20:51,951 plenty of life left in them. 384 00:20:54,754 --> 00:20:58,491 With the devastating earthquakes and eruption of 1868, 385 00:20:58,624 --> 00:21:01,393 Mauna Loa quickly became recognized 386 00:21:01,527 --> 00:21:04,263 as one of the most dangerous volcanoes on the island. 387 00:21:07,466 --> 00:21:11,537 Less than a million years old, an infant in geological terms, 388 00:21:11,670 --> 00:21:16,809 Mauna Loa has grown to almost 14,000 feet above sea level, 389 00:21:16,942 --> 00:21:20,012 making it the tallest active volcano on the planet. 390 00:21:20,146 --> 00:21:22,948 60 miles wide at its widest point, 391 00:21:23,082 --> 00:21:26,385 its name translates as long mountain. 392 00:21:26,519 --> 00:21:30,389 FRANK TRUSDELL: Mauna Loa covers approximately 51% 393 00:21:30,523 --> 00:21:33,692 of the surface area of the island of Hawaii, 394 00:21:33,826 --> 00:21:36,095 which makes Mauna Loa almost larger 395 00:21:36,228 --> 00:21:39,632 than all the other Hawaiian islands put together 396 00:21:39,765 --> 00:21:42,134 as far as surface area. 397 00:21:42,268 --> 00:21:45,704 NARRATOR: Yet this is only a fraction of its total size. 398 00:21:45,838 --> 00:21:47,339 What most people don't appreciate 399 00:21:47,473 --> 00:21:50,543 is that this structure extends below sea level. 400 00:21:50,676 --> 00:21:54,446 So if you follow that to the sea floor 401 00:21:54,580 --> 00:21:59,118 and calculate the volume of that particular volcano, Mauna Loa, 402 00:21:59,251 --> 00:22:04,924 it is indeed, by far, the largest volcano in the world. 403 00:22:05,057 --> 00:22:08,994 Since a more detailed record began in 1832, 404 00:22:09,128 --> 00:22:13,732 Mauna Loa has erupted an astounding 39 more times. 405 00:22:13,866 --> 00:22:16,702 In the last eruption of Mauna Loa in 1984, 406 00:22:16,836 --> 00:22:21,273 Mauna Loa was putting out one million cubic meters per hour. 407 00:22:21,407 --> 00:22:24,076 So things happened quickly. 408 00:22:24,210 --> 00:22:27,613 NARRATOR: But the 1984 event also demonstrated something 409 00:22:27,746 --> 00:22:30,249 just as disconcerting, that eruptions 410 00:22:30,382 --> 00:22:34,854 could come from more than one volcano at the same time. 411 00:22:34,987 --> 00:22:37,990 FRANK TRUSDELL: The 1984 eruption of Mauna Loa 412 00:22:38,123 --> 00:22:42,027 was noteworthy in the sense that, yes, both Mauna 413 00:22:42,161 --> 00:22:45,364 Loa and Kilauea erupted. 414 00:22:45,497 --> 00:22:47,299 NARRATOR: It's proof that literally anything 415 00:22:47,433 --> 00:22:50,669 can happen on the Big Island. 416 00:22:50,803 --> 00:22:52,037 GEORGE PARARAS‐CARAYANNIS: It's not completely ridiculous. 417 00:22:52,171 --> 00:22:55,007 You could have a Mauna Loa, Kilauea, and Hualalai 418 00:22:55,140 --> 00:22:55,808 at the same time. 419 00:22:55,941 --> 00:22:56,609 It's possible. 420 00:23:04,016 --> 00:23:06,118 NARRATOR: When most people think of volcanoes, 421 00:23:06,252 --> 00:23:09,955 they imagine violent, explosive eruptions, definitely not 422 00:23:10,089 --> 00:23:14,426 a potential vacation destination. 423 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:18,030 Yet the Hawaii Volcanoes National Park on the Big Island 424 00:23:18,163 --> 00:23:20,733 is the single most popular tourist attraction 425 00:23:20,866 --> 00:23:22,201 in the state. 426 00:23:22,334 --> 00:23:23,602 MICHAEL POLAND: Well, a lot of people 427 00:23:23,736 --> 00:23:25,604 come to Hawaii, especially the Hawaii Volcanoes National Park, 428 00:23:25,738 --> 00:23:28,207 expecting to see a Mount Rainier or Mount St. Helens‐like 429 00:23:28,340 --> 00:23:29,475 volcano. 430 00:23:29,608 --> 00:23:31,310 And that's a common question‐‐ where is the volcano? 431 00:23:31,443 --> 00:23:33,679 Well, one of them is Kilauea, which we're standing on now. 432 00:23:33,812 --> 00:23:34,647 And it appears very flat. 433 00:23:38,484 --> 00:23:40,419 We call these volcanoes shield volcanoes because 434 00:23:40,552 --> 00:23:41,687 of their shape. 435 00:23:41,820 --> 00:23:43,188 You can look in behind me at Mauna Loa. 436 00:23:43,322 --> 00:23:46,091 It's got these very smooth, sloping flanks. 437 00:23:46,225 --> 00:23:49,495 It's like a warrior's shield if it's put on its end. 438 00:23:49,628 --> 00:23:51,797 The sides of the volcanoes here are gently 439 00:23:51,931 --> 00:23:54,433 sloping, because those lava flows can just run out 440 00:23:54,566 --> 00:23:56,869 as they need to. 441 00:23:57,002 --> 00:23:59,471 The lava flows at places like Mount Rainier and Mount St. 442 00:23:59,605 --> 00:24:02,308 Helens, being very sticky, stay close to the volcano 443 00:24:02,441 --> 00:24:05,377 and build up very steep‐sided volcanic cones. 444 00:24:05,511 --> 00:24:08,747 NARRATOR: The slow moving yet voluminous flows help create 445 00:24:08,881 --> 00:24:11,650 the unique shape of the so‐called shield volcanoes 446 00:24:11,784 --> 00:24:12,985 here. 447 00:24:13,118 --> 00:24:15,955 But the sluggishness also makes it possible for tourists 448 00:24:16,088 --> 00:24:18,324 to get up close and personal. 449 00:24:18,457 --> 00:24:20,159 Approximately 2 million visitors 450 00:24:20,292 --> 00:24:22,628 come to the park every year. 451 00:24:22,761 --> 00:24:27,900 We figure about 1,000 visit the active eruption site a day. 452 00:24:28,033 --> 00:24:29,601 ROBERT TILLING: It is probably one of the few places 453 00:24:29,735 --> 00:24:34,039 in the world where an outsider can observe an eruption safely 454 00:24:34,173 --> 00:24:36,542 under the right kinds of conditions. 455 00:24:36,675 --> 00:24:39,278 Another interesting feature of Kilauea eruption 456 00:24:39,411 --> 00:24:42,514 are these periodic very high lava fountains‐‐ 457 00:24:42,648 --> 00:24:46,618 very dramatic features that are a great attraction to tourists. 458 00:24:46,752 --> 00:24:49,455 [splashing and gurgling] 459 00:24:51,490 --> 00:24:54,226 [rapid camera shutter] 460 00:24:54,360 --> 00:24:56,462 NARRATOR: And they can even see new land being formed. 461 00:24:59,365 --> 00:25:01,200 ROBERT TILLING: Some people call them lava shells. 462 00:25:01,333 --> 00:25:03,669 Other people call them lava deltas or lava benches. 463 00:25:03,802 --> 00:25:06,605 So a variety of names are used for these features. 464 00:25:06,739 --> 00:25:11,010 When the lava finally reaches the ocean, after traveling 465 00:25:11,143 --> 00:25:16,148 for about eight or nine miles from where it's first erupted, 466 00:25:16,281 --> 00:25:19,651 it forms these shells. 467 00:25:19,785 --> 00:25:22,354 NARRATOR: But the beauty can be deceptive. 468 00:25:22,488 --> 00:25:24,189 There are countless earthquakes that 469 00:25:24,323 --> 00:25:26,525 strike the island every year. 470 00:25:26,658 --> 00:25:32,231 Many are too small to be felt, But some can't be ignored. 471 00:25:32,364 --> 00:25:34,700 And such an occurrence could be the precursor 472 00:25:34,833 --> 00:25:37,469 to another major event‐‐ 473 00:25:37,603 --> 00:25:38,604 a volcanic eruption. 474 00:25:41,373 --> 00:25:44,743 The Hawaii Volcano Observatory is run by the United States 475 00:25:44,877 --> 00:25:49,448 Geological Survey, or USGS, to study and attempt 476 00:25:49,581 --> 00:25:52,184 to forecast future activity. 477 00:25:52,317 --> 00:25:55,621 The first sign of unrest that we might look for at a volcano 478 00:25:55,754 --> 00:25:57,656 is heightened earthquake activity. 479 00:25:57,790 --> 00:25:59,691 Perhaps something we call seismic tremor, which 480 00:25:59,825 --> 00:26:02,027 is essentially a constant earthquake, where 481 00:26:02,161 --> 00:26:04,463 the shaking never really stops. 482 00:26:04,596 --> 00:26:07,833 And seismic tremor has always been associated 483 00:26:07,966 --> 00:26:09,535 with magma moving. 484 00:26:09,668 --> 00:26:12,404 NARRATOR: As the earthquake frequency increases, 485 00:26:12,538 --> 00:26:15,874 it becomes easier to determine when and where an eruption 486 00:26:16,008 --> 00:26:17,242 might occur. 487 00:26:17,376 --> 00:26:20,512 So we start with a few earthquakes per day, 488 00:26:20,646 --> 00:26:22,614 and then over weeks to months times, 489 00:26:22,748 --> 00:26:25,150 they may go to 10 earthquakes per day. 490 00:26:25,284 --> 00:26:27,619 And then, finally, just before the outbreak, 491 00:26:27,753 --> 00:26:31,557 it's not impossible for us to get even in the thousands 492 00:26:31,690 --> 00:26:33,525 of earthquakes per day. 493 00:26:33,659 --> 00:26:37,529 NARRATOR: But there's more to volcanoes than earthquakes. 494 00:26:37,663 --> 00:26:40,032 To gather as much data as possible, 495 00:26:40,165 --> 00:26:44,903 the USGS has literally wired up the islands volcanoes. 496 00:26:45,037 --> 00:26:47,606 So this is a telemetry mast for one of our tilt meters, 497 00:26:47,739 --> 00:26:49,975 which is buried in the ground. 498 00:26:50,109 --> 00:26:52,945 NARRATOR: If the ground is tilting or changing shape, 499 00:26:53,078 --> 00:26:56,915 then there's a good chance magma is on the move below. 500 00:26:57,049 --> 00:26:58,984 MICHAEL POLAND: We have a couple of places on the island where 501 00:26:59,118 --> 00:27:02,221 we're actually getting real‐time camera feeds from cameras that 502 00:27:02,354 --> 00:27:03,722 are positioned out in the field. 503 00:27:03,856 --> 00:27:06,091 You can actually see movies of the activity that's occurred. 504 00:27:06,225 --> 00:27:08,660 We have five fountaining of piston events, 505 00:27:08,794 --> 00:27:12,164 where lava levels rise and fall, of collapses at the coastline, 506 00:27:12,297 --> 00:27:15,868 where whole sections of land fall into the ocean. 507 00:27:16,001 --> 00:27:17,769 NARRATOR: This data is used to anticipate 508 00:27:17,903 --> 00:27:20,272 when an eruption might happen. 509 00:27:20,405 --> 00:27:21,974 MICHAEL POLAND: Suddenly, many of these instruments 510 00:27:22,107 --> 00:27:23,242 would just start going. 511 00:27:23,375 --> 00:27:28,280 The signal would go exponential or change drastically. 512 00:27:28,413 --> 00:27:31,049 NARRATOR: But forecasting when a volcano might strike 513 00:27:31,183 --> 00:27:32,351 is only half the equation. 514 00:27:35,988 --> 00:27:38,724 The key to the future is to look to the past. 515 00:27:38,857 --> 00:27:42,561 And so, so far we've been able to map over 500 lava flows 516 00:27:42,694 --> 00:27:45,297 on Mauna Loa. 517 00:27:45,430 --> 00:27:48,000 NARRATOR: But no matter how well the system works, 518 00:27:48,133 --> 00:27:52,804 mother nature always seems to be one step ahead. 519 00:27:52,938 --> 00:27:54,973 FRANK TRUSDELL: We're sort of at a disadvantage. 520 00:27:55,107 --> 00:27:58,377 Here we are on the surface, scratching around, 521 00:27:58,510 --> 00:28:01,180 and a lot about what we need to know 522 00:28:01,313 --> 00:28:05,050 is occurring miles below our feet. 523 00:28:05,184 --> 00:28:08,220 NARRATOR: To fix this problem, the Hawaii Scientific Drilling 524 00:28:08,353 --> 00:28:11,590 Project decided to bring the depths of the earth up 525 00:28:11,723 --> 00:28:12,691 to ground level. 526 00:28:12,824 --> 00:28:14,092 DONALD THOMAS: So what you see here 527 00:28:14,226 --> 00:28:17,996 is a conventional drilling rig that we have modified to allow 528 00:28:18,130 --> 00:28:21,033 us to collect a continuous sequence of samples of lava 529 00:28:21,166 --> 00:28:24,603 flows that have been produced by one of Hawaii's 530 00:28:24,736 --> 00:28:27,573 typical volcanoes. 531 00:28:27,706 --> 00:28:30,042 NARRATOR: Mauna Kea was chosen because of its age 532 00:28:30,175 --> 00:28:32,578 and relative inactivity. 533 00:28:32,711 --> 00:28:36,381 A specialized drill bit has reached more than 11,000 feet 534 00:28:36,515 --> 00:28:37,449 below. 535 00:28:37,583 --> 00:28:39,918 Ground water, centuries old, actually 536 00:28:40,052 --> 00:28:44,790 helps to bring up hardened magma samples like these. 537 00:28:44,923 --> 00:28:48,227 The project began in 1999. 538 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,897 The goal is to someday reach the Earth's crust, somewhere 539 00:28:52,030 --> 00:28:55,968 between 15 and 19,000 feet. 540 00:28:56,101 --> 00:28:57,769 DONALD THOMAS: This borehole currently 541 00:28:57,903 --> 00:29:00,606 is the deepest hole that's ever been drilled into an ocean 542 00:29:00,739 --> 00:29:02,341 island volcano. 543 00:29:02,474 --> 00:29:06,278 And as we have drilled, even in the first, say, 544 00:29:06,411 --> 00:29:08,513 3,000 or 4,000 feet of drilling, we 545 00:29:08,647 --> 00:29:11,350 discovered a tremendous amount of new information 546 00:29:11,483 --> 00:29:13,585 about the history of Hawaiian volcanoes. 547 00:29:13,719 --> 00:29:15,120 Prior to the start of the project, 548 00:29:15,254 --> 00:29:18,123 everyone had assumed it was about a half a million years. 549 00:29:18,257 --> 00:29:20,993 What we've been able to show is that that's less than half 550 00:29:21,126 --> 00:29:23,362 of the lifecycle of a Hawaiian volcano. 551 00:29:23,495 --> 00:29:26,398 NARRATOR: It's proof that volcanoes such as Hualalai 552 00:29:26,531 --> 00:29:30,969 have much more life left in them than previously thought. 553 00:29:31,103 --> 00:29:33,238 In fact, the more that's discovered, 554 00:29:33,372 --> 00:29:35,641 the more it's clear how little we actually 555 00:29:35,774 --> 00:29:38,210 know about hotspot volcanoes. 556 00:29:38,343 --> 00:29:40,078 DONALD THOMAS: We had really some of the best people 557 00:29:40,212 --> 00:29:42,848 in the world, most knowledgeable people in the world, 558 00:29:42,981 --> 00:29:45,951 on volcanic processes, and we debated endlessly 559 00:29:46,084 --> 00:29:48,954 over what we would see when the borehole was drilled. 560 00:29:49,087 --> 00:29:52,024 Much of what we thought we knew about Hawaiian volcanoes 561 00:29:52,157 --> 00:29:54,259 turned out to be incorrect in some way. 562 00:29:56,895 --> 00:29:58,964 NARRATOR: It's going to be a long time before we 563 00:29:59,097 --> 00:30:02,301 can accurately predict when the next major eruption will occur. 564 00:30:06,305 --> 00:30:10,042 Life in Hawaii means living in the shadow of volcanoes, 565 00:30:10,175 --> 00:30:15,013 a choice that can sometimes lead to a devastating tradeoff. 566 00:30:15,147 --> 00:30:18,517 [dramatic music playing] 567 00:30:24,156 --> 00:30:26,558 Hawaii, America's 50th state. 568 00:30:29,328 --> 00:30:33,598 The pristine beaches, hidden getaways, and dramatic sunsets 569 00:30:33,732 --> 00:30:36,835 draw millions of vacationers to the Big Island of Hawaii 570 00:30:36,968 --> 00:30:38,937 each year. 571 00:30:39,071 --> 00:30:44,776 A lucky few actually call this Polynesian paradise home. 572 00:30:44,910 --> 00:30:47,879 As a young bride in 1980, Julie Beardsley 573 00:30:48,013 --> 00:30:51,850 settled down in Kalapana Gardens, a growing community 574 00:30:51,983 --> 00:30:54,019 on the island's remote eastern shore. 575 00:30:54,152 --> 00:30:55,854 JULIE BEARDSLEY: We fell in love. 576 00:30:55,987 --> 00:30:57,489 It was so beautiful. 577 00:30:57,622 --> 00:31:01,326 It was pretty remote, but the weather was perfect, 578 00:31:01,460 --> 00:31:04,596 and there was the Black Sands Beach. 579 00:31:04,730 --> 00:31:08,100 Among her neighbors are Todd Dressler and his family. 580 00:31:08,233 --> 00:31:11,803 TODD DRESSLER: Everybody was so close and so friendly. 581 00:31:11,937 --> 00:31:14,406 I never even had keys to my house. 582 00:31:14,539 --> 00:31:16,875 NARRATOR: But living in paradise comes with a price. 583 00:31:20,245 --> 00:31:21,913 DAVID OGLESBY: The entire Hawaiian island chain 584 00:31:22,047 --> 00:31:23,415 is made up of lava flows. 585 00:31:23,548 --> 00:31:27,419 Every single rock you see on those islands is volcanic. 586 00:31:27,552 --> 00:31:29,988 NARRATOR: One of these volcanoes is none other 587 00:31:30,122 --> 00:31:33,325 than the previously mentioned Kilauea. 588 00:31:33,458 --> 00:31:36,595 Wit its caldera looming above Kalapana Gardens, 589 00:31:36,728 --> 00:31:40,465 it's impossible for the residents to ignore it. 590 00:31:40,599 --> 00:31:44,102 TODD DRESSLER: There had been a recent flow a few years before, 591 00:31:44,236 --> 00:31:46,238 but it stopped far from the town. 592 00:31:46,371 --> 00:31:48,473 So it really didn't bother me at all. 593 00:31:48,607 --> 00:31:50,409 JULIE BEARDSLEY: Everyone from the neighborhood 594 00:31:50,542 --> 00:31:53,412 thought, well, it's pretty inconceivable that it's ever 595 00:31:53,545 --> 00:31:55,714 going to come all the way down here. 596 00:31:59,785 --> 00:32:03,288 NARRATOR: In early 1990, magma surfaces through a vent 597 00:32:03,422 --> 00:32:07,392 on a ridge almost two miles away and collects in a huge lava 598 00:32:07,526 --> 00:32:10,829 lake, directly upslope from Kalapana. 599 00:32:10,962 --> 00:32:15,434 When that lake level rises above the rim of the basin, 600 00:32:15,567 --> 00:32:20,205 it overflows and heads downslope. 601 00:32:20,338 --> 00:32:23,008 On the surface, it will harden and create 602 00:32:23,141 --> 00:32:26,978 lava tubes, which are completely enclosed with hardened lava. 603 00:32:27,112 --> 00:32:30,015 So lava flows through that tube as water flowing 604 00:32:30,148 --> 00:32:31,149 through a pipe. 605 00:32:31,283 --> 00:32:33,919 NARRATOR: Now armed with a highly efficient tube, 606 00:32:34,052 --> 00:32:36,922 mother nature sends the flowing magma downhill 607 00:32:37,055 --> 00:32:38,457 towards Kalapana. 608 00:32:38,590 --> 00:32:40,525 JULIE BEARDSLEY: That's when the level of tension 609 00:32:40,659 --> 00:32:43,795 really ratcheted up. 610 00:32:43,929 --> 00:32:46,164 It came down into the subdivision 611 00:32:46,298 --> 00:32:48,900 and started burning houses, one by one. 612 00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:50,302 Are you a resident here? 613 00:32:53,805 --> 00:32:56,174 NARRATOR: Authorities issue evacuation orders. 614 00:32:56,308 --> 00:32:57,642 The last load. 615 00:32:57,776 --> 00:33:00,345 JOHN OSTERAAS: The lava would cut off roads and destroy 616 00:33:00,479 --> 00:33:01,646 houses. 617 00:33:01,780 --> 00:33:03,682 Then it would move somewhere else. 618 00:33:03,815 --> 00:33:08,520 It was a very slow motion destruction. 619 00:33:08,653 --> 00:33:10,722 You no longer have utilities. 620 00:33:10,856 --> 00:33:13,558 So you don't have electricity or county water. 621 00:33:13,692 --> 00:33:15,694 JULIE BEARDSLEY: There was a lot of smoke 622 00:33:15,827 --> 00:33:17,963 from all the plants burning. 623 00:33:18,096 --> 00:33:20,065 It smelled like hell. 624 00:33:20,198 --> 00:33:23,668 And the lava just kept on coming. 625 00:33:23,802 --> 00:33:25,337 JOHN OSTERAAS: Lava actually doesn't even 626 00:33:25,470 --> 00:33:27,205 have to touch the building. 627 00:33:27,339 --> 00:33:29,040 Just getting close to the building, 628 00:33:29,174 --> 00:33:33,612 the radiant heat from the lava is enough to set a wood 629 00:33:33,745 --> 00:33:34,913 building aflame. 630 00:33:35,046 --> 00:33:37,349 [explosions] 631 00:33:38,750 --> 00:33:41,253 MARY DRESSLER: Sometimes it just whooshes through, 632 00:33:41,386 --> 00:33:45,290 and rushes up the street, and you see all this fire. 633 00:33:45,423 --> 00:33:47,659 And then, the next day, it slows down. 634 00:33:47,792 --> 00:33:49,828 You just never really know. 635 00:33:49,961 --> 00:33:52,297 It's the most unpredictable thing I've ever experienced 636 00:33:52,430 --> 00:33:54,599 in my whole life. 637 00:33:54,733 --> 00:33:58,069 NARRATOR: Then the volcano sets its sights on Julie's home. 638 00:33:58,203 --> 00:34:00,739 JULIE BEARDSLEY: All this red hot lava 639 00:34:00,872 --> 00:34:03,108 poured into the backyard. 640 00:34:03,241 --> 00:34:06,478 I thought my house was going to be next. 641 00:34:06,611 --> 00:34:11,516 Then it sort of hesitated, like it was playing with me. 642 00:34:11,650 --> 00:34:14,085 NARRATOR: Instead, the lava goes after her neighbor 643 00:34:14,219 --> 00:34:14,953 Todd's house. 644 00:34:15,086 --> 00:34:15,754 Should I lock it up? 645 00:34:15,887 --> 00:34:17,155 No. 646 00:34:17,289 --> 00:34:20,058 TODD DRESSLER: It came out of a crack right next to my house, 647 00:34:20,191 --> 00:34:22,627 oozed on over to the front porch. 648 00:34:22,761 --> 00:34:24,896 And boy, did it go. 649 00:34:25,030 --> 00:34:28,533 It was incredible fire, hundreds of feet high. 650 00:34:28,667 --> 00:34:29,568 A lot of memories. 651 00:34:29,701 --> 00:34:30,769 There she goes. 652 00:34:30,902 --> 00:34:33,004 Yeah, it's a lot of memories. 653 00:34:33,138 --> 00:34:35,807 NARRATOR: A few days later, Julie's dream house 654 00:34:35,941 --> 00:34:37,375 also goes up in flames. 655 00:34:37,509 --> 00:34:40,345 JULIE BEARDSLEY: Lava came to where it ignited 656 00:34:40,478 --> 00:34:42,781 the side of the house. 657 00:34:42,914 --> 00:34:44,916 And, poof, it went. 658 00:34:45,050 --> 00:34:47,786 [crackling] 659 00:34:49,387 --> 00:34:50,789 NARRATOR: In the months that follow, 660 00:34:50,922 --> 00:34:54,025 nature lays waste to the entire city. 661 00:34:54,159 --> 00:34:56,828 The fiery assault continues until it reaches 662 00:34:56,962 --> 00:35:02,934 the final, untouched jewel of Kalapana, the black sand 663 00:35:03,034 --> 00:35:04,336 beach Kaimu Bay. 664 00:35:08,740 --> 00:35:10,809 When the lava came into Kaimu Bay, 665 00:35:10,942 --> 00:35:13,411 people were just openly weeping. 666 00:35:13,545 --> 00:35:17,382 It was one of the most special places that I've ever been, 667 00:35:17,515 --> 00:35:19,351 and it was gone now. 668 00:35:19,484 --> 00:35:21,219 It was really unimaginable. 669 00:35:24,389 --> 00:35:26,358 NARRATOR: The picturesque coastline is eventually 670 00:35:26,491 --> 00:35:28,960 buried under 50 feet of lava. 671 00:35:29,094 --> 00:35:32,397 Today, the once vibrant community of Kalapana 672 00:35:32,530 --> 00:35:35,900 has been wiped off the map, buried under lava flows that 673 00:35:36,001 --> 00:35:38,870 added 170 acres to the Big Island. 674 00:35:39,004 --> 00:35:40,472 JULIE BEARDSLEY: The truth was, all you could do 675 00:35:40,605 --> 00:35:42,040 is get out of the way. 676 00:35:42,173 --> 00:35:44,042 Because there was stuff going on that 677 00:35:44,175 --> 00:35:47,145 was way bigger than you were. 678 00:35:47,278 --> 00:35:54,085 [bubbling] 679 00:35:55,720 --> 00:35:57,689 NARRATOR: When it comes to volcanic activity 680 00:35:57,822 --> 00:36:03,461 around the globe, nothing compares to the Ring of Fire. 681 00:36:03,595 --> 00:36:06,297 The Ring of Fire is one of the most extensive zones 682 00:36:06,431 --> 00:36:08,733 of volcanic fury on the planet. 683 00:36:08,867 --> 00:36:12,437 It encompasses hundreds of volcanoes that line the shores 684 00:36:12,570 --> 00:36:13,538 of the Pacific Ocean. 685 00:36:13,672 --> 00:36:17,509 They form an arc which extends 25,000 miles, 686 00:36:17,642 --> 00:36:21,146 from South America, along America's Northwest coast, 687 00:36:21,279 --> 00:36:25,016 to Alaska, and then down through Russia, Japan, and Southeast 688 00:36:25,150 --> 00:36:28,887 Asia, all the way to New Zealand. 689 00:36:29,020 --> 00:36:32,624 Three quarters of Earth's volcanoes are situated there, 690 00:36:32,757 --> 00:36:37,729 and 90% of all earthquakes occur along this line. 691 00:36:37,862 --> 00:36:40,031 One of the most notorious volcanic eruptions 692 00:36:40,165 --> 00:36:43,635 in the Ring of Fire was also one of the world's biggest, 693 00:36:43,768 --> 00:36:44,903 Krakatoa. 694 00:36:45,036 --> 00:36:47,572 [explosion] 695 00:36:47,706 --> 00:36:49,874 It was this colossal phenomenon that 696 00:36:50,008 --> 00:36:52,777 created one of the most spectacular natural disasters 697 00:36:52,911 --> 00:36:53,578 in history. 698 00:36:56,414 --> 00:36:59,651 [rubble colliding] 699 00:37:03,722 --> 00:37:06,891 Ground zero was one of a group of volcanic islands 700 00:37:07,025 --> 00:37:10,061 that lies halfway between Asia and Australia 701 00:37:10,195 --> 00:37:12,430 in present day Indonesia. 702 00:37:12,564 --> 00:37:15,633 They were situated in a narrow passageway called the Sunda 703 00:37:15,767 --> 00:37:20,705 Strait, between the two main islands of Java and Sumatra. 704 00:37:20,839 --> 00:37:24,409 Today, the island chain is called Krakatau. 705 00:37:24,542 --> 00:37:27,912 But history remembers it as Krakatoa 706 00:37:28,046 --> 00:37:32,617 Krakatoa, suddenly annihilated itself‐‐ an enormous explosion, 707 00:37:32,751 --> 00:37:35,487 basically. 708 00:37:35,620 --> 00:37:38,690 You were left with a large hole in the sea f floor, an island 709 00:37:38,823 --> 00:37:40,258 two thirds gone, vanished. 710 00:37:43,995 --> 00:37:46,564 It was a global event, it was an exotic event, 711 00:37:46,698 --> 00:37:48,466 and it was a big event. 712 00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:54,572 NARRATOR: In 1883, Krakatoa was 2.5 miles 713 00:37:54,706 --> 00:37:56,374 long and 5.6 miles wide. 714 00:37:56,508 --> 00:37:59,844 It had three large volcanic vents or cones. 715 00:38:00,044 --> 00:38:02,447 The largest was called Rakata. 716 00:38:02,580 --> 00:38:04,983 In the middle was the Danan cone. 717 00:38:05,116 --> 00:38:08,920 And at the far end, Preboewatan. 718 00:38:09,053 --> 00:38:11,856 Experts agree that the location of Krakatoa 719 00:38:11,990 --> 00:38:14,759 is the primary reason that to this day 720 00:38:14,893 --> 00:38:18,863 it is one of the most dangerous volcanoes on Earth. 721 00:38:18,997 --> 00:38:20,999 It lies in the center of Indonesia's 722 00:38:21,132 --> 00:38:22,667 volatile volcanic arc. 723 00:38:25,603 --> 00:38:27,705 STEPHEN SPARKS: The indonesian volcanic arc 724 00:38:27,839 --> 00:38:29,507 is one of the most active in the world. 725 00:38:29,641 --> 00:38:34,779 It has about 130 volcanoes spread over about 700 miles. 726 00:38:34,913 --> 00:38:36,881 NARRATOR: The volcanic arc stretches the length 727 00:38:37,015 --> 00:38:39,083 of Indonesia and into the Pacific, 728 00:38:39,217 --> 00:38:41,886 along the edge of two, ever‐shifting continental 729 00:38:42,020 --> 00:38:44,255 plates. 730 00:38:44,389 --> 00:38:46,624 STEPHEN SPARKS: One of the great tectonic plates of the earth 731 00:38:46,758 --> 00:38:50,662 is pushing underneath another of the great tectonic plates. 732 00:38:50,795 --> 00:38:53,565 And where there's one plate pushes underneath the other, 733 00:38:53,698 --> 00:38:55,967 you get volcanoes formed. 734 00:38:56,067 --> 00:38:59,904 NARRATOR: This geophysical process is known as subduction. 735 00:39:00,104 --> 00:39:03,408 The reason you get volcanoes is really quite simple. 736 00:39:03,541 --> 00:39:06,711 The floor of the ocean on one of the tectonic plates 737 00:39:06,845 --> 00:39:09,214 is soaked in water‐‐ the rocks are wet. 738 00:39:09,347 --> 00:39:12,450 And when those wet rocks are pushed, perhaps 100‐150 739 00:39:12,584 --> 00:39:16,955 kilometers deep into the earth, that water makes the hot rocks 740 00:39:17,088 --> 00:39:20,692 in the Earth's interior melt. And those melts then come up, 741 00:39:20,825 --> 00:39:23,161 they rise up, and they form volcanoes. 742 00:39:23,294 --> 00:39:25,296 NARRATOR: Some of the biggest volcanoes on Earth 743 00:39:25,430 --> 00:39:29,634 are situated in this hazardous region, including Toba 744 00:39:29,767 --> 00:39:34,439 and Tambora, which last erupted in 1815. 745 00:39:34,572 --> 00:39:37,141 Fortunately, both these mighty mountains 746 00:39:37,275 --> 00:39:40,278 were located in remote and sparsely populated areas. 747 00:39:43,114 --> 00:39:46,217 That was not the case with Krakatoa. 748 00:39:46,351 --> 00:39:49,420 The famous volcano lay only 30 miles from the coast 749 00:39:49,554 --> 00:39:51,556 of Java and Sumatra. 750 00:39:51,689 --> 00:39:56,194 In 1883, about 500,000 people lived there. 751 00:39:56,327 --> 00:39:59,130 The first clue of the impending, massive disaster 752 00:39:59,264 --> 00:40:03,401 came on May 9th, 1883, when an earthquake was reported 753 00:40:03,534 --> 00:40:05,236 by a lighthouse keeper. 754 00:40:05,370 --> 00:40:07,238 He was at the First Point lighthouse 755 00:40:07,372 --> 00:40:10,942 on the west end of Java, approximately 45 miles 756 00:40:11,075 --> 00:40:13,945 southwest of the volcano. 757 00:40:14,078 --> 00:40:15,747 SIMON WINCHESTER: He felt, in the middle of the night, 758 00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:17,048 the ground shake. 759 00:40:17,181 --> 00:40:19,484 And then there was a brief what he called an earthquake 760 00:40:19,617 --> 00:40:20,752 in the air. 761 00:40:20,885 --> 00:40:24,656 It was as if a brief sort of wind, which knocked him 762 00:40:24,789 --> 00:40:25,523 backward briefly. 763 00:40:28,293 --> 00:40:30,295 NARRATOR: After the first movements in May, 764 00:40:30,428 --> 00:40:33,331 it would take Krakatoa a month to build enough force 765 00:40:33,464 --> 00:40:34,232 to violently explode. 766 00:40:37,902 --> 00:40:39,170 STEPHEN SPARKS: Now, it's quite likely 767 00:40:39,304 --> 00:40:42,774 that some very hot molten magma from even deeper in the earth 768 00:40:42,907 --> 00:40:45,977 started to rise up underneath the volcano 769 00:40:46,110 --> 00:40:48,479 and actually came into this magma chamber. 770 00:40:48,613 --> 00:40:51,149 And this magma chamber then increased in pressure. 771 00:40:51,282 --> 00:40:53,618 This would start to force the rocks part. 772 00:40:56,754 --> 00:41:00,558 NARRATOR: By August 26th, after weeks and months of explosions 773 00:41:00,692 --> 00:41:06,064 and ejections, Krakatoa was ready to rip. 774 00:41:06,197 --> 00:41:08,366 STEPHEN SPARKS: When that molten rock forces its way close 775 00:41:08,499 --> 00:41:10,702 to the Earth's surface, it's like taking a cap off 776 00:41:10,835 --> 00:41:12,136 of fizzy drink. 777 00:41:12,270 --> 00:41:15,807 The pressure goes down and the gas forms bubbles, 778 00:41:15,940 --> 00:41:18,943 but forms bubbles very violently, so that the magma 779 00:41:19,077 --> 00:41:22,013 essentially explodes itself. 780 00:41:22,146 --> 00:41:26,184 NARRATOR: Just after 1:00 PM, the volcano 781 00:41:26,317 --> 00:41:28,686 let out an almighty bang. 782 00:41:28,820 --> 00:41:32,557 A thick column of black smoke, steam, ash, and debris 783 00:41:32,690 --> 00:41:36,728 shot 17 miles, more than twice the height of Everest, 784 00:41:36,861 --> 00:41:38,496 into the sky. 785 00:41:38,629 --> 00:41:40,665 SIMON WINCHESTER: But no one gave any thought to the idea 786 00:41:40,798 --> 00:41:43,801 that this was merely the precursor to something truly 787 00:41:43,935 --> 00:41:45,336 massive. 788 00:41:45,470 --> 00:41:48,740 NARRATOR: Krakatoa had just entered what scientists call 789 00:41:48,873 --> 00:41:52,577 the cataclysmic eruption phase. 790 00:41:52,710 --> 00:41:54,946 The big one was about to hit. 791 00:42:07,025 --> 00:42:10,528 NARRATOR: On the morning of August 27th, 1883, 792 00:42:10,661 --> 00:42:14,365 the sky was filled with smoke for 40 or more miles 793 00:42:14,499 --> 00:42:15,199 around Krakatoa. 794 00:42:18,036 --> 00:42:22,173 A cloud of ash blanketed the Sunda Strait and the sun 795 00:42:22,306 --> 00:42:23,107 was barely visible. 796 00:42:27,645 --> 00:42:30,515 Krakatoa had entered its death throes. 797 00:42:30,648 --> 00:42:33,418 [explosions] 798 00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:37,755 GERARD FRYER: : There probably were substantial evacuations, 799 00:42:37,889 --> 00:42:40,058 because people were scared about the volcano. 800 00:42:40,191 --> 00:42:42,727 But they'd also sort of been seduced into staying, 801 00:42:42,860 --> 00:42:44,462 because the eruption grew slowly. 802 00:42:48,666 --> 00:42:50,435 NARRATOR: The eruption culminated that morning 803 00:42:50,568 --> 00:42:56,808 in a series of huge, very loud, and cataclysmic explosions. 804 00:42:56,941 --> 00:42:59,177 STEPHEN SELF: When there's a particularly vigorous explosion 805 00:42:59,310 --> 00:43:01,813 or a particularly vigorous pulse of magma, 806 00:43:01,946 --> 00:43:04,816 then it sends a great cloud up in the atmosphere. 807 00:43:04,949 --> 00:43:06,918 And as that cloud gets into the higher levels 808 00:43:07,051 --> 00:43:08,920 of the atmosphere, it becomes supersonic, 809 00:43:09,053 --> 00:43:10,888 and it generates an explosive noise. 810 00:43:11,022 --> 00:43:14,025 [explosion] 811 00:43:14,158 --> 00:43:17,028 NARRATOR: The first mega blast was recorded by chance. 812 00:43:17,161 --> 00:43:20,665 At the Batavia Gasworks, 90 miles to the east, 813 00:43:20,798 --> 00:43:23,468 it appeared as a pressure spike on their barometer 814 00:43:23,601 --> 00:43:25,336 at precisely 5:30 AM. 815 00:43:28,940 --> 00:43:32,677 A massive column of volcanic ash, rocks, and pumice 816 00:43:32,810 --> 00:43:36,781 shot 20 miles into the sky. 817 00:43:36,914 --> 00:43:42,053 Another larger explosion hit at precisely 6:42 AM. 818 00:43:42,186 --> 00:43:45,623 Then another, an hour and 38 minutes later. 819 00:43:45,756 --> 00:43:49,227 KEN WOHLETZ: Volcanoes that have this type of behavior 820 00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:54,132 often are compared to many nuclear bombs exploding 821 00:43:54,265 --> 00:43:54,932 all at once. 822 00:43:55,066 --> 00:43:55,733 That's their power. 823 00:43:58,903 --> 00:44:03,274 NARRATOR: At exactly 10:02 AM, the biggest explosion of all 824 00:44:03,407 --> 00:44:04,642 struck. 825 00:44:04,775 --> 00:44:07,512 SIMON WINCHESTER: The sound was undeniably the loudest noise 826 00:44:07,645 --> 00:44:09,847 ever generated on the surface of this planet, at least 827 00:44:09,981 --> 00:44:13,651 since humankind has been around to hear it. 828 00:44:13,784 --> 00:44:16,487 Sailors that were maybe 10 miles away, 829 00:44:16,621 --> 00:44:18,489 they took the full brunt of it, and nearly all of them 830 00:44:18,623 --> 00:44:21,025 had their eardrums punctured and went deaf. 831 00:44:21,159 --> 00:44:23,094 NARRATOR: The sound of the fourth explosion 832 00:44:23,227 --> 00:44:26,397 traveled a radius of about 3,000 miles. 833 00:44:26,531 --> 00:44:28,599 SIMON WINCHESTER: It was as if there was an enormous explosion 834 00:44:28,733 --> 00:44:32,203 in New York, which was heard with perfect clarity 835 00:44:32,336 --> 00:44:33,671 over in San Francisco. 836 00:44:33,804 --> 00:44:36,807 An unimaginable thought, but Krakatoa was up big. 837 00:44:40,011 --> 00:44:42,780 NARRATOR: The biggest explosion ever heard on earth 838 00:44:42,914 --> 00:44:48,319 was measured 100 miles away to be a record shattering 180 839 00:44:48,452 --> 00:44:49,720 decibels. 840 00:44:49,854 --> 00:44:54,192 Ash from the explosions fell on Singapore, more than 500 miles 841 00:44:54,325 --> 00:44:58,396 to the north, and the Cocos Islands, over 700 miles 842 00:44:58,529 --> 00:45:00,198 to the southwest. 843 00:45:00,331 --> 00:45:04,202 At the same time, through these explosions, 844 00:45:04,335 --> 00:45:07,538 there is an enormous push into the atmosphere. 845 00:45:07,672 --> 00:45:09,140 It's the atmospheric tsunami. 846 00:45:09,273 --> 00:45:11,475 This is the example of this pressure wave 847 00:45:11,609 --> 00:45:14,078 that then goes out and it actually traveled 848 00:45:14,212 --> 00:45:18,249 around the world several times. 849 00:45:18,382 --> 00:45:22,353 NARRATOR: The massive blast blew dust, debris, and molten rocks 850 00:45:22,486 --> 00:45:27,558 more than 20 miles into the stratosphere. 851 00:45:27,692 --> 00:45:30,728 GERARD FRYER: Once the eruption was really going full bore, 852 00:45:30,861 --> 00:45:32,630 you have this immense amount of material 853 00:45:32,763 --> 00:45:35,466 that's basically suspended, dynamically in the air, 854 00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:39,437 and forms a big cloud up at about 30,000 feet or so. 855 00:45:39,570 --> 00:45:40,838 STEPHEN SELF: Parts of the eruption column 856 00:45:40,972 --> 00:45:44,008 are simply too heavy to be taken up into the atmosphere, 857 00:45:44,141 --> 00:45:46,244 and it falls out‐‐ it sort of cascades out 858 00:45:46,377 --> 00:45:47,845 like a fountain collapsing. 859 00:45:47,979 --> 00:45:52,617 And ash and hot gases flow down the outside of the eruption 860 00:45:52,750 --> 00:45:55,253 column, down the outside of the volcano, and hit the sea. 861 00:45:57,788 --> 00:45:58,923 STEPHEN SPARKS: When the pyroclastic 862 00:45:59,056 --> 00:46:02,059 flows into the water, they're like very rapidly moving 863 00:46:02,193 --> 00:46:03,427 avalanches. 864 00:46:03,561 --> 00:46:06,831 They push the water away, and these can create waves which 865 00:46:06,964 --> 00:46:09,467 are essentially tsunamis. 866 00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:11,802 HERMANN FRITZ: It's kind of like on a superheated cushion. 867 00:46:11,936 --> 00:46:15,406 Water is vaporized at the interface and kind of lifts 868 00:46:15,539 --> 00:46:18,309 the lighter part of the pyroclastic flow 869 00:46:18,442 --> 00:46:20,511 across the surface. 870 00:46:20,645 --> 00:46:22,947 NARRATOR: An estimated 4,500 were killed 871 00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:25,549 by pyroclastic flows alone. 872 00:46:25,683 --> 00:46:28,619 Experts agree, they probably perished in seconds. 873 00:46:31,389 --> 00:46:33,658 BILL MCGUIRE: Pyroclastic flows travel extremely quickly, 874 00:46:33,791 --> 00:46:35,126 so you can't outrun them. 875 00:46:35,259 --> 00:46:37,962 They're also extremely hot‐‐ several degrees centigrade. 876 00:46:38,095 --> 00:46:40,431 So they will, if you're caught in the middle of one, 877 00:46:40,564 --> 00:46:43,801 incinerate you instantly. 878 00:46:43,934 --> 00:46:45,403 GERARD FRYER: It truly is biblical. 879 00:46:45,536 --> 00:46:48,272 Out of nowhere comes these massive great waves, 880 00:46:48,406 --> 00:46:50,408 and no one really knows what's going on‐‐ 881 00:46:50,541 --> 00:46:52,877 just completely terrifying. 882 00:46:53,010 --> 00:46:56,514 BILL MCGUIRE: And most people die not because of 100% burns, 883 00:46:56,647 --> 00:46:58,549 but because they inhale the gases, which 884 00:46:58,683 --> 00:47:01,319 are so hot that they just destroy the air passage 885 00:47:01,452 --> 00:47:02,320 in their lungs instantly. 886 00:47:02,453 --> 00:47:04,188 And so after two breaths, they're dead. 887 00:47:07,158 --> 00:47:09,894 NARRATOR: Each massive Krakatoa explosion triggered 888 00:47:10,027 --> 00:47:11,896 bigger and bigger waves. 889 00:47:12,029 --> 00:47:14,665 Some were said to be over 100 feet tall. 890 00:47:14,799 --> 00:47:16,534 SIMON WINCHESTER: There were lighthouses where they were 891 00:47:16,667 --> 00:47:18,369 concrete harbors, all of them wrecked. 892 00:47:18,502 --> 00:47:21,605 A huge masonry lighthouse, 150 feet tall, 893 00:47:21,739 --> 00:47:23,607 was just ripped off its foundation. 894 00:47:23,741 --> 00:47:26,210 Locomotives, weighing scores of tons, 895 00:47:26,344 --> 00:47:31,015 being just tossed off the lines and smashed into the ocean. 896 00:47:31,148 --> 00:47:33,784 STEPHEN SELF: The waves push inland, float everything ahead 897 00:47:33,918 --> 00:47:36,520 of them, drown people, and then suck everything back out 898 00:47:36,654 --> 00:47:37,555 to sea again. 899 00:47:37,688 --> 00:47:39,590 And this happened four or five times, 900 00:47:39,724 --> 00:47:44,428 with major tsunami hitting Java and Sumatra. 901 00:47:44,562 --> 00:47:47,965 NARRATOR: The Krakatoa eruption had a stunning finale, 902 00:47:48,099 --> 00:47:52,436 a fifth enormous explosion came at 10L55 AM. 903 00:47:52,570 --> 00:47:55,239 In a complex chain of geophysical events, 904 00:47:55,373 --> 00:47:59,210 known as a caldera collapse, Krakatoa's three cones 905 00:47:59,343 --> 00:48:02,346 caved in and fell into the chamber vacated 906 00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:04,882 by the once erupting magma. 907 00:48:05,015 --> 00:48:07,218 SIMON WINCHESTER: The island essentially disappeared. 908 00:48:07,351 --> 00:48:10,154 And for a few seconds there was an almighty crater 909 00:48:10,287 --> 00:48:12,690 torn in the sea. 910 00:48:12,823 --> 00:48:14,024 NARRATOR: Two thirds of the island 911 00:48:14,158 --> 00:48:17,228 collapsed, slid into the ocean, and triggered more killer 912 00:48:17,361 --> 00:48:18,028 waves. 913 00:48:20,798 --> 00:48:24,034 Less than two hours after the final explosion, a wall 914 00:48:24,168 --> 00:48:27,505 of black water hit Batavia on the mainland of Java, 915 00:48:27,638 --> 00:48:30,007 90 miles away. 916 00:48:30,141 --> 00:48:34,044 The giant wave had lost much of its awesome height and power, 917 00:48:34,178 --> 00:48:37,848 but still caused chaos and deadly destruction in the city, 918 00:48:37,982 --> 00:48:39,950 and dozens died. 919 00:48:40,084 --> 00:48:42,353 CASPAR AMMANN: These waves continued far out. 920 00:48:42,486 --> 00:48:44,255 They went through the Indian Ocean. 921 00:48:44,388 --> 00:48:47,992 They made it around South Africa and were even measured 922 00:48:48,125 --> 00:48:51,562 all the way up into the North Atlantic and into Liverpool. 923 00:48:51,695 --> 00:48:53,831 NARRATOR: When Krakatoa was done erupting, 924 00:48:53,964 --> 00:48:56,233 the toll could be counted. 925 00:48:56,367 --> 00:49:00,704 Some 165 Indonesian coastal villages and towns 926 00:49:00,838 --> 00:49:06,110 were devastated and at least 36,000 people were killed. 927 00:49:06,243 --> 00:49:10,080 Every village on either side was destroyed. 928 00:49:10,214 --> 00:49:12,082 NARRATOR: The news of the cataclysmic eruption 929 00:49:12,216 --> 00:49:14,819 of Krakatoa and the catastrophe it 930 00:49:14,952 --> 00:49:16,987 caused shocked the whole world. 931 00:49:17,121 --> 00:49:19,990 ALAN ROBOCK: It was the first large disaster that took place 932 00:49:20,124 --> 00:49:21,759 after telegraphs had been invented. 933 00:49:21,892 --> 00:49:25,329 And so, instantly, within a day, everybody around the world 934 00:49:25,463 --> 00:49:27,531 knew about it. 935 00:49:27,665 --> 00:49:30,568 GERARD FRYER: It was the modern world's first big disaster, 936 00:49:30,701 --> 00:49:33,537 in that it was the first public disaster. 937 00:49:33,671 --> 00:49:35,539 NARRATOR: The global impact of the modern world's 938 00:49:35,673 --> 00:49:39,210 first massive disaster had just begun. 939 00:49:39,343 --> 00:49:42,012 ALAN ROBOCK: A few months later, red and yellow skies 940 00:49:42,146 --> 00:49:43,280 appeared around the world. 941 00:49:43,414 --> 00:49:46,250 In London, there was this beautiful volcanic sunset 942 00:49:46,383 --> 00:49:47,551 that appeared. 943 00:49:47,685 --> 00:49:50,221 They said, this came from the other side of the world. 944 00:49:50,354 --> 00:49:52,156 And they could actually see, with their eyes, 945 00:49:52,289 --> 00:49:54,625 at sunset, the effect of this eruption. 946 00:49:54,758 --> 00:49:56,327 NARRATOR: The vast volcanic clouds 947 00:49:56,460 --> 00:50:00,464 laced with sulfuric acid caused startling atmospheric 948 00:50:00,598 --> 00:50:03,200 aberrations across the planet. 949 00:50:03,334 --> 00:50:06,103 A pale green moon was seen in Madras, India, 950 00:50:06,237 --> 00:50:10,708 more than 2,000 miles away, on September 12th, 1883. 951 00:50:10,841 --> 00:50:13,777 Sun glows reported in Yuma, Arizona, in October. 952 00:50:17,214 --> 00:50:20,084 But since then, scientists from all over the world 953 00:50:20,217 --> 00:50:24,188 sifted through the ruins in the remains of Krakatoa, 954 00:50:24,321 --> 00:50:26,123 as well as the historical records, 955 00:50:26,257 --> 00:50:30,361 to find clues as to what happened and why. 956 00:50:30,494 --> 00:50:32,530 What they discovered about the modern world's 957 00:50:32,663 --> 00:50:36,700 first massive disaster changed science forever. 958 00:50:36,834 --> 00:50:39,970 STEPHEN SELF: A whole number of sciences made big leaps, 959 00:50:40,104 --> 00:50:43,440 because they could associate the phenomena that were observed 960 00:50:43,574 --> 00:50:45,676 in the sea, and the atmosphere, and on land, 961 00:50:45,809 --> 00:50:48,612 with a natural volcanic event. 962 00:50:48,746 --> 00:50:52,449 NARRATOR: For decades after the 1883 catastrophic eruption, 963 00:50:52,583 --> 00:50:55,920 the world believed that Krakatoa would once again sleep 964 00:50:56,053 --> 00:50:58,822 for thousands of years. 965 00:50:58,956 --> 00:51:04,995 But then, on January 26, 1928, a small volcanic mound 966 00:51:05,129 --> 00:51:09,500 emerged from the sea where Krakatoa once stood. 967 00:51:09,633 --> 00:51:14,772 The most deadly and dangerous volcano on earth was back. 968 00:51:14,905 --> 00:51:17,675 [wind blowing] 969 00:51:27,618 --> 00:51:31,956 NARRATOR: On June 29th, 1927, Indonesian fishermen 970 00:51:32,089 --> 00:51:34,291 were sailing between the three islands left 971 00:51:34,425 --> 00:51:38,495 by the fearsome 1883 eruption of Krakatoa. 972 00:51:38,629 --> 00:51:40,297 They were trolling the fertile waters 973 00:51:40,431 --> 00:51:44,068 around the most famous volcano, when they noticed gas bubbles 974 00:51:44,201 --> 00:51:46,337 rising from the sea. 975 00:51:46,470 --> 00:51:48,372 SIMON WINCHESTER: Suddenly, out of the sea itself, 976 00:51:48,505 --> 00:51:52,409 came a huge eruption of smoke, and steam, and flames. 977 00:51:52,543 --> 00:51:54,178 I mean, the idea of flames coming out of the sea 978 00:51:54,311 --> 00:51:56,447 is sort of hellish. 979 00:51:56,580 --> 00:51:58,482 This went on for quite a while. 980 00:51:58,616 --> 00:52:03,020 The eruption stopped, and there was a thin cusp of black land 981 00:52:03,153 --> 00:52:04,622 above the surface of the water. 982 00:52:04,755 --> 00:52:08,692 It was washed away by the waves and the currents. 983 00:52:08,826 --> 00:52:12,596 NARRATOR: Within six months, an island measuring 10‐feet high 984 00:52:12,730 --> 00:52:16,900 and 600‐feet long had appeared above the water. 985 00:52:17,001 --> 00:52:18,268 STEPHEN SELF: Obviously, a new volcano 986 00:52:18,402 --> 00:52:20,004 had been growing on the sea flow, 987 00:52:20,137 --> 00:52:22,940 and had taken that long, from 1883 to the 1920s, 988 00:52:23,073 --> 00:52:26,043 to become first emergent, and then established itself 989 00:52:26,176 --> 00:52:28,712 as a permanent island in 1929. 990 00:52:28,846 --> 00:52:31,548 And since then, it's erupted regularly, it's grown, 991 00:52:31,682 --> 00:52:36,186 and it now occupies a good chunk of the caldera floor. 992 00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:37,855 NARRATOR: In the intervening years, 993 00:52:37,988 --> 00:52:41,191 volcanologists, mindful of its violent past, 994 00:52:41,325 --> 00:52:44,328 have closely monitored the growth of the new island 995 00:52:44,461 --> 00:52:50,167 that the locals call Anak Krakatau, or Son of Krakatoa. 996 00:52:50,300 --> 00:52:52,269 Quiet periods have been punctuated 997 00:52:52,403 --> 00:52:56,073 with occasional large explosions and eruptions. 998 00:52:56,206 --> 00:52:59,043 Fresh and steady lava flows have contributed 999 00:52:59,176 --> 00:53:02,079 to the relentless growth of the new volcano, 1000 00:53:02,212 --> 00:53:07,151 adding 25 feet to its height every year. 1001 00:53:07,284 --> 00:53:10,487 A lot of the Anak Krakatau activity that we now witnessed 1002 00:53:10,621 --> 00:53:13,424 today is actually almost a continuation 1003 00:53:13,557 --> 00:53:18,028 of the volcanic activity that took place back in 1883. 1004 00:53:18,162 --> 00:53:21,832 We could have another eruption here on the scale of the 1883 1005 00:53:21,965 --> 00:53:22,733 eruption of Krakatoa. 1006 00:53:26,704 --> 00:53:29,239 NARRATOR: Experts reason that a massive eruption of Anak 1007 00:53:29,373 --> 00:53:33,243 Krakatau is only a matter of time. 1008 00:53:33,377 --> 00:53:35,579 This is the new Krakatoa. 1009 00:53:35,713 --> 00:53:37,214 If ever there is another event, it 1010 00:53:37,347 --> 00:53:40,150 will occur in and around this extremely dangerous 1011 00:53:40,284 --> 00:53:41,418 little volcano. 1012 00:53:41,552 --> 00:53:44,354 [traffic sounds] 1013 00:53:44,488 --> 00:53:47,958 NARRATOR: December 22ND, 2018 saw a preview of Anak 1014 00:53:48,092 --> 00:53:50,961 Krakatau's might, as an eruption caused 1015 00:53:51,095 --> 00:53:56,066 a 158‐acre chunk of the volcano to slide into the ocean. 1016 00:53:56,200 --> 00:53:58,902 The landslide created a deadly tsunami 1017 00:53:59,036 --> 00:54:02,840 that hit coastal Java and Sumatra, claiming more than 400 1018 00:54:02,973 --> 00:54:03,874 lives. 1019 00:54:04,007 --> 00:54:05,776 The collapse reduced the volcanic cone 1020 00:54:05,909 --> 00:54:10,681 from 1,100 feet above sea level to a mere 360 feet. 1021 00:54:10,814 --> 00:54:15,753 However, baby Krakatau is nothing if not ambitious. 1022 00:54:15,886 --> 00:54:18,122 Subsequent eruptions have continued, 1023 00:54:18,255 --> 00:54:21,158 helping the young fire mountain to rapidly form 1024 00:54:21,291 --> 00:54:24,261 new land and new height. 1025 00:54:24,394 --> 00:54:27,931 Most scientists agree that it will likely take thousands 1026 00:54:28,065 --> 00:54:30,467 of years for Anak Krakatau to build up 1027 00:54:30,601 --> 00:54:36,940 enough volume or repressed magma to generate a supereruption. 1028 00:54:37,074 --> 00:54:38,675 But an eruption the size of the one 1029 00:54:38,809 --> 00:54:42,045 that destroyed Krakatoa in 1883 is still 1030 00:54:42,179 --> 00:54:43,714 a terrifying possibility. 1031 00:54:53,924 --> 00:54:56,226 Meanwhile, it was a different fire mountain 1032 00:54:56,360 --> 00:54:59,530 in the region that gave residents a devastating taste 1033 00:54:59,663 --> 00:55:01,632 of its fury not so long ago. 1034 00:55:01,765 --> 00:55:04,902 [dramatic music playing] 1035 00:55:10,240 --> 00:55:14,211 Java, Indonesia, a densely populated Pacific island 1036 00:55:14,344 --> 00:55:19,216 paradise, forged by one of nature's most powerful forces, 1037 00:55:19,349 --> 00:55:21,418 volcanoes. 1038 00:55:21,552 --> 00:55:24,588 Indonesia is the country but has more active volcanoes 1039 00:55:24,721 --> 00:55:25,722 than any other. 1040 00:55:25,856 --> 00:55:27,491 And out of all those active volcanoes, 1041 00:55:27,624 --> 00:55:30,227 the most active one of all is Mt. 1042 00:55:30,360 --> 00:55:31,562 Marapi. 1043 00:55:31,695 --> 00:55:33,630 NARRATOR: In past centuries, Marapi 1044 00:55:33,764 --> 00:55:37,568 has killed thousands who dare to live and work on its flanks. 1045 00:55:37,701 --> 00:55:40,671 But more recent eruptions have done little damage, 1046 00:55:40,804 --> 00:55:43,707 giving the half million people living in its shadow 1047 00:55:43,841 --> 00:55:45,776 a deadly sense of complacency. 1048 00:55:45,909 --> 00:55:48,979 People keep coming back and colonizing the same area, 1049 00:55:49,112 --> 00:55:50,681 despite the death and destruction, 1050 00:55:50,814 --> 00:55:53,317 because volcanic soils are rich. 1051 00:55:53,450 --> 00:55:54,718 They're great for agriculture. 1052 00:55:54,852 --> 00:55:57,321 So they move right up into the throat of that volcano, 1053 00:55:57,454 --> 00:55:59,556 right into the deadly zone. 1054 00:55:59,690 --> 00:56:02,893 NARRATOR: Now, the mighty giant is stirring once again. 1055 00:56:07,497 --> 00:56:11,001 It's Monday morning, over 500 volcanic earthquakes 1056 00:56:11,134 --> 00:56:13,136 have been recorded over the weekend, 1057 00:56:13,270 --> 00:56:16,506 alerting authorities that Marapi is about to blow. 1058 00:56:19,209 --> 00:56:22,179 Local officials issue evacuation orders for anyone 1059 00:56:22,312 --> 00:56:24,848 within four miles of the summit. 1060 00:56:24,982 --> 00:56:27,217 Convinced of their own invincibility, 1061 00:56:27,351 --> 00:56:29,720 some villagers ignore those warnings. 1062 00:56:29,853 --> 00:56:32,623 [explosions] 1063 00:56:36,627 --> 00:56:40,898 That afternoon, Marapi awakens with a series of explosions, 1064 00:56:41,031 --> 00:56:44,101 sending lava down its southern slope. 1065 00:56:44,234 --> 00:56:47,704 JAMES REYNOLDS: It's Thursday the 28th of October, 1066 00:56:47,838 --> 00:56:50,140 and I'm just in the village of Selo, which is on the north 1067 00:56:50,274 --> 00:56:51,608 side of Merapi Volcano. 1068 00:56:51,742 --> 00:56:54,544 NARRATOR: Videographer James Reynolds positions himself 1069 00:56:54,678 --> 00:56:56,146 on the back side of the mountain, 1070 00:56:56,280 --> 00:56:59,449 just 2 and 1/2 miles from the crater, hoping to capture 1071 00:56:59,583 --> 00:57:01,852 the smoldering danger up close. 1072 00:57:01,985 --> 00:57:03,520 The authorities have raised the alert level 1073 00:57:03,654 --> 00:57:07,691 to four, which is the maximum level in Indonesia. 1074 00:57:07,824 --> 00:57:10,294 It's a volcanic crisis. 1075 00:57:10,427 --> 00:57:12,262 NARRATOR: As light falls, refugees 1076 00:57:12,396 --> 00:57:14,097 wait out the coming volcanic fury 1077 00:57:14,231 --> 00:57:16,967 in camps on the edge of the evacuation radius, 1078 00:57:17,067 --> 00:57:18,402 six miles from the peak. 1079 00:57:18,535 --> 00:57:19,670 JAMES REYNOLDS: You think you're safe. 1080 00:57:19,803 --> 00:57:22,172 You think you're well outside the danger zone. 1081 00:57:22,306 --> 00:57:25,175 But then, Merapi doesn't play by the rules. 1082 00:57:25,309 --> 00:57:26,143 [thundering explosion] 1083 00:57:26,276 --> 00:57:29,613 [sirens] 1084 00:57:29,746 --> 00:57:32,616 [non‐english speech] 1085 00:57:38,689 --> 00:57:40,557 JAMES REYNOLDS: In the middle of the night, 1086 00:57:40,691 --> 00:57:43,060 just all hell breaks loose. 1087 00:57:43,193 --> 00:57:47,164 Merapi Volcano just undergone a major eruption. 1088 00:57:47,297 --> 00:57:50,667 NARRATOR: Merapi unleashes its most horrifying wake‐up call 1089 00:57:50,801 --> 00:57:52,269 in 140 years. 1090 00:57:52,402 --> 00:57:56,673 JAMES REYNOLDS: It's a massive, unprecedented eruption. 1091 00:57:56,807 --> 00:57:59,943 One of the most jaw dropping sites I've ever seen. 1092 00:58:00,143 --> 00:58:02,479 [explosions] 1093 00:58:02,612 --> 00:58:04,982 [sirens] 1094 00:58:06,616 --> 00:58:09,686 There are sirens, horns, motorbikes, trucks, 1095 00:58:09,820 --> 00:58:12,656 just flying in all directions. 1096 00:58:12,789 --> 00:58:15,025 Villagers are fleeing for their lives. 1097 00:58:15,158 --> 00:58:17,027 [non‐english speech] 1098 00:58:17,160 --> 00:58:20,530 [rumbling explosions] 1099 00:58:29,106 --> 00:58:31,808 NARRATOR: Morning brings Merapi's apocalyptic power 1100 00:58:31,942 --> 00:58:34,277 into stark view. 1101 00:58:34,411 --> 00:58:36,747 While the village of Selo has been spared, 1102 00:58:36,880 --> 00:58:39,316 everything within a 19‐mile radius 1103 00:58:39,449 --> 00:58:42,352 is smothered in a choking blanket of ash. 1104 00:58:42,486 --> 00:58:45,722 JAMES REYNOLDS: It was total destruction of villages. 1105 00:58:48,592 --> 00:58:50,594 It just made it look like an apocalypse. 1106 00:58:50,727 --> 00:58:52,696 I've never seen anything like it. 1107 00:58:52,829 --> 00:58:56,366 NARRATOR: Unfortunately, Merapi's deadly tirade has just 1108 00:58:56,500 --> 00:58:57,234 begun. 1109 00:58:57,367 --> 00:59:00,137 [explosions] 1110 00:59:02,639 --> 00:59:04,041 DAVID OGLESBY: Mount Merapi continues 1111 00:59:04,174 --> 00:59:05,275 to erupt for a number of days. 1112 00:59:08,512 --> 00:59:10,580 JAMES REYNOLDS: Pyroclastic flow takes place, which 1113 00:59:10,714 --> 00:59:14,051 sweeps 12 kilometers down a riverbed 1114 00:59:14,184 --> 00:59:18,789 and kills 100 people in a refugee center. 1115 00:59:18,922 --> 00:59:21,892 Jogjakarta City, one of Indonesia's largest cities, 1116 00:59:22,025 --> 00:59:25,495 is just blanketed in choking volcanic ash. 1117 00:59:28,932 --> 00:59:33,870 If you breathe it in, it will just rip your lungs to shreds. 1118 00:59:34,004 --> 00:59:37,240 NARRATOR: Making matters worse, seasonal storms rain down 1119 00:59:37,374 --> 00:59:39,209 a whole new round of misery. 1120 00:59:39,342 --> 00:59:41,478 KYLE HUNTER: We're just starting in the rainy season. 1121 00:59:41,611 --> 00:59:44,381 The volcanic ash and all the pyroclastic material 1122 00:59:44,514 --> 00:59:48,518 combines with the rain to produce a lahar‐‐ a mudflow. 1123 00:59:48,652 --> 00:59:51,088 NARRATOR: A mixture of mud, ash, and water 1124 00:59:51,221 --> 00:59:54,758 combine to form deadly lahars, which chased nearly 1125 00:59:54,891 --> 00:59:57,994 9,000 people from their homes. 1126 00:59:58,128 --> 01:00:00,797 [explosion] 1127 01:00:03,266 --> 01:00:08,138 Finally, after 35 days of hellish eruptions, 1128 01:00:08,271 --> 01:00:12,509 Merapi grows weary, and nature's killing machine finally 1129 01:00:12,642 --> 01:00:13,510 goes back to sleep. 1130 01:00:21,118 --> 01:00:23,587 This was the largest eruption since 1872 1131 01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:25,088 of this stratovolcano. 1132 01:00:25,222 --> 01:00:27,657 Luckily, it was very well forecast. 1133 01:00:27,791 --> 01:00:32,863 Scientists did a superb job of almost predicting exactly when, 1134 01:00:32,996 --> 01:00:37,067 down to the minute, when this thing was going to erupt. 1135 01:00:37,200 --> 01:00:39,302 PATRICK ABBOTT: In this series of eruptions of Mt. 1136 01:00:39,436 --> 01:00:42,172 Merapi, 341 people died. 1137 01:00:42,305 --> 01:00:44,374 Were it not for the warnings, the death toll 1138 01:00:44,508 --> 01:00:47,010 would have been in the thousands. 1139 01:00:47,144 --> 01:00:48,612 JAMES REYNOLDS: We humans, we may think, 1140 01:00:48,745 --> 01:00:50,013 you know, we're grand and mighty, 1141 01:00:50,147 --> 01:00:52,182 but coming face to face with nature, 1142 01:00:52,315 --> 01:00:53,717 we don't stand a chance. 1143 01:00:53,850 --> 01:00:55,685 [rumbling explosion] 1144 01:00:55,819 --> 01:00:58,321 This was the biggest eruption for that volcano 1145 01:00:58,455 --> 01:01:01,291 since modern volcanology has existed, 1146 01:01:01,424 --> 01:01:06,163 and Merapi just showed a real display of who's boss. 1147 01:01:15,272 --> 01:01:18,975 on to the Mediterranean, where, 1148 01:01:19,109 --> 01:01:23,246 Italy is home to a number of the world's most active volcanoes, 1149 01:01:23,380 --> 01:01:28,151 including the deadly and notorious Mount Vesuvius. 1150 01:01:28,285 --> 01:01:31,087 [traffic sounds and chatter] 1151 01:01:31,221 --> 01:01:34,057 [horns honking] 1152 01:01:36,626 --> 01:01:40,363 Every day, thousands of tourists crowd the streets of Naples, 1153 01:01:40,497 --> 01:01:45,302 basking in the history of this centuries old Italian city. 1154 01:01:45,435 --> 01:01:47,904 But just down the road lies a sleeping monster. 1155 01:01:51,274 --> 01:01:53,643 At nearly 4,200 feet, Mt. 1156 01:01:53,777 --> 01:01:57,714 Vesuvius dominates the landscape. 1157 01:01:57,847 --> 01:02:02,752 It has erupted at least 100 times in the past 10,000 years. 1158 01:02:02,886 --> 01:02:04,821 FREDERICK SCATENA: The whole area, the whole Bay of Naples, 1159 01:02:04,955 --> 01:02:08,124 is very volcanically active, and it will remain so 1160 01:02:08,258 --> 01:02:09,459 for a long time. 1161 01:02:09,593 --> 01:02:12,395 The oldest rocks in the area immediately around Vesuvius 1162 01:02:12,529 --> 01:02:13,964 are 300,000 years old. 1163 01:02:14,097 --> 01:02:17,834 And there's been a continuous sequence of volcanoes 1164 01:02:17,968 --> 01:02:20,237 and activity since that time. 1165 01:02:20,370 --> 01:02:23,306 NARRATOR: 2,000 years ago, Vesuvius destroyed 1166 01:02:23,440 --> 01:02:27,177 a city whose name has become synonymous with disaster, 1167 01:02:27,310 --> 01:02:27,978 Pompeii. 1168 01:02:31,648 --> 01:02:35,118 Vesuvius is part of the Campanian Volcanic Arc, which 1169 01:02:35,252 --> 01:02:39,456 includes other famous Italian volcanoes, such as Stromboli 1170 01:02:39,589 --> 01:02:41,558 and Etna. 1171 01:02:41,691 --> 01:02:43,593 They were formed as the result of Earth's 1172 01:02:43,727 --> 01:02:46,563 constant tectonic activity. 1173 01:02:46,696 --> 01:02:49,132 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: In the area between the African continent 1174 01:02:49,266 --> 01:02:53,169 and the European continent, two plates are squeezing together. 1175 01:02:53,303 --> 01:02:58,074 And these plates have caused the formation of the Mediterranean 1176 01:02:58,208 --> 01:03:01,611 Sea on one side, the Adriatic Sea and the other, 1177 01:03:01,745 --> 01:03:05,582 and the Italian peninsula is squeezed up. 1178 01:03:05,715 --> 01:03:07,684 NARRATOR: In a process known as subduction, 1179 01:03:07,817 --> 01:03:10,253 the African plate is actually sliding 1180 01:03:10,387 --> 01:03:12,289 under the European plate. 1181 01:03:12,422 --> 01:03:14,357 The friction causes crust material 1182 01:03:14,491 --> 01:03:17,560 to turn into magma or molten rock. 1183 01:03:17,694 --> 01:03:21,564 This magma rises, finding weak points on the Earth's surface 1184 01:03:21,698 --> 01:03:24,467 to break through and form volcanoes. 1185 01:03:24,601 --> 01:03:29,606 Vesuvius began life inside of another volcano called Somma. 1186 01:03:29,739 --> 01:03:33,043 But Somma collapsed 18,000 years ago, 1187 01:03:33,176 --> 01:03:37,147 making Vesuvius the dominant structure. 1188 01:03:37,280 --> 01:03:40,183 Together, they're known as the Somma‐Vesuvius Complex. 1189 01:03:42,919 --> 01:03:45,689 GEORGE MYER: The end result is that this makes this volcano 1190 01:03:45,822 --> 01:03:48,858 terrain really quite complex to study, 1191 01:03:48,992 --> 01:03:52,662 because you've got the older events that are in the vicinity 1192 01:03:52,796 --> 01:03:53,897 of the newer events. 1193 01:03:54,030 --> 01:03:56,266 [explosion] 1194 01:03:56,399 --> 01:03:58,902 NARRATOR: In predicting what may be brewing beneath the surface 1195 01:03:59,035 --> 01:04:04,741 of Vesuvius, scientists have an important ally, history. 1196 01:04:04,874 --> 01:04:07,610 The firsthand accounts of activity at Vesuvius 1197 01:04:07,744 --> 01:04:11,348 are some of the planet's oldest and most extensive. 1198 01:04:11,481 --> 01:04:14,884 In fact, volcanolgy, the study of volcanoes, 1199 01:04:15,018 --> 01:04:19,022 began with a description of the eruption in 79 AD 1200 01:04:19,155 --> 01:04:23,159 by the Roman statesman and philosopher, Pliny the Younger. 1201 01:04:23,293 --> 01:04:26,329 The city of Pompeii was considered large for the time 1202 01:04:26,463 --> 01:04:30,400 and even more cosmopolitan than Rome. 1203 01:04:30,533 --> 01:04:33,536 Vesuvius had been silent for 800 years, 1204 01:04:33,670 --> 01:04:38,408 and residents thought little of its potential danger. 1205 01:04:38,541 --> 01:04:39,743 GEORGE MYER: The remarkable thing 1206 01:04:39,876 --> 01:04:44,047 about the volcanic eruption in 79 AD, which we refer to 1207 01:04:44,180 --> 01:04:46,516 as the Pompeii eruption, is that we 1208 01:04:46,649 --> 01:04:48,618 had a witness for this event. 1209 01:04:48,752 --> 01:04:52,122 And Pliny the Younger literally wrote down everything 1210 01:04:52,255 --> 01:04:54,424 that he could see during this eruption, 1211 01:04:54,557 --> 01:05:00,630 because it was so fierce, it was so frightening. 1212 01:05:00,764 --> 01:05:02,165 NARRATOR: The eruption was foreshadowed 1213 01:05:02,298 --> 01:05:04,334 by a series of earthquakes that hit 1214 01:05:04,467 --> 01:05:08,304 the area in June and through the next few months. 1215 01:05:08,438 --> 01:05:13,009 And then, on August 24th, the mountain suddenly came to life. 1216 01:05:17,814 --> 01:05:21,918 Pliny, a naturalist, produced the first scientific recording 1217 01:05:22,051 --> 01:05:24,687 of a complete volcanic sequence. 1218 01:05:24,821 --> 01:05:27,857 He writes, "A cloud was forming. 1219 01:05:27,991 --> 01:05:29,959 Its appearance and shape would best 1220 01:05:30,093 --> 01:05:33,196 be expressed as being that of an umbrella pine." 1221 01:05:33,329 --> 01:05:36,132 Similar to this large tree I have behind me. 1222 01:05:36,266 --> 01:05:40,570 "Synched, stretched upward like an extremely tall trunk, 1223 01:05:40,703 --> 01:05:43,139 it then spread out like branches." 1224 01:05:43,273 --> 01:05:45,475 FREDERICK SCATENA: By midday on the 24th, 1225 01:05:45,608 --> 01:05:48,845 the volcano has ejected this large column of debris that 1226 01:05:48,978 --> 01:05:52,515 went up almost 20 kilometers into the atmosphere, spread 1227 01:05:52,649 --> 01:05:55,418 out, and started to rain volcanic 1228 01:05:55,552 --> 01:05:58,188 ash and material, mostly of the size of up to about a 1229 01:05:58,321 --> 01:06:00,323 centimeter in diameter. 1230 01:06:00,457 --> 01:06:03,226 This episode lasted for about eight hours, 1231 01:06:03,359 --> 01:06:06,596 and the deposit was about 10‐feet thick. 1232 01:06:06,729 --> 01:06:09,466 [screams of panic] 1233 01:06:12,402 --> 01:06:14,704 NARRATOR: The ash column shooting up from Mount Vesuvius 1234 01:06:14,838 --> 01:06:17,774 gradually increased in weight, until the atmosphere 1235 01:06:17,907 --> 01:06:21,044 around the volcano could no longer support it. 1236 01:06:21,177 --> 01:06:23,112 The plume cloud collapsed suddenly, 1237 01:06:23,246 --> 01:06:25,715 triggering several deadly avalanches called 1238 01:06:25,849 --> 01:06:28,451 pyroclastic surges. 1239 01:06:28,585 --> 01:06:32,489 This flood of searing hot ash, toxic gas, and rock 1240 01:06:32,622 --> 01:06:36,192 raced down the mountain at 150 miles per hour, 1241 01:06:36,326 --> 01:06:40,129 with temperatures more than 1,000 degrees Fahrenheit. 1242 01:06:40,263 --> 01:06:45,034 It incinerated everything and everyone in its path instantly. 1243 01:06:45,168 --> 01:06:47,971 DOUGAL JERRAM: At the early stages of the eruption here at 1244 01:06:48,104 --> 01:06:51,007 Herculaneum, you'd have seen a big, eruptive cloud coming out 1245 01:06:51,140 --> 01:06:54,844 of Vesuvius, heading off up into the atmosphere. 1246 01:06:54,978 --> 01:06:56,613 Just imagine how scared you would have been, 1247 01:06:56,746 --> 01:06:58,715 watching this cloud suddenly turn around, 1248 01:06:58,848 --> 01:07:01,751 and the black cloud starts heading towards Herculaneum. 1249 01:07:01,885 --> 01:07:03,553 This cloud of hot material‐‐ 1250 01:07:03,686 --> 01:07:06,422 hot, boiling, bubbling pyroclastic material‐‐ starts 1251 01:07:06,556 --> 01:07:08,324 to enter the city streets, starts 1252 01:07:08,458 --> 01:07:11,394 enveloping you, and heading off down towards the port. 1253 01:07:11,528 --> 01:07:12,495 And that was it. 1254 01:07:12,629 --> 01:07:14,731 The pyroclastic flows had hit Herculaneum. 1255 01:07:19,068 --> 01:07:21,137 NARRATOR: A second pyroclastic surge 1256 01:07:21,271 --> 01:07:23,773 followed a few hours later, burying what 1257 01:07:23,907 --> 01:07:26,109 was left in 20 feet of ash. 1258 01:07:26,242 --> 01:07:30,713 In just 18 hours, Vesuvius spewed out more than 10 billion 1259 01:07:30,847 --> 01:07:32,248 tons of rock. 1260 01:07:32,382 --> 01:07:35,184 [explosions] 1261 01:07:38,288 --> 01:07:41,524 Pompeii was literally erased from the map 1262 01:07:41,658 --> 01:07:45,328 until it was accidentally rediscovered in 1594 1263 01:07:45,461 --> 01:07:47,363 at a construction site. 1264 01:07:47,497 --> 01:07:50,800 The final surge of ash had turned Pompeii into a time 1265 01:07:50,934 --> 01:07:55,238 capsule, preserving temples, shops, and houses exactly 1266 01:07:55,371 --> 01:07:57,607 as they were in 79 AD. 1267 01:07:57,740 --> 01:08:00,109 Although only fragmentary skeletal remains 1268 01:08:00,243 --> 01:08:03,980 were found there, hollow spaces within the hardened volcanic 1269 01:08:04,113 --> 01:08:08,818 debris defined the shapes of many bodies frozen in death. 1270 01:08:08,952 --> 01:08:11,220 Plaster casts made from these forms 1271 01:08:11,354 --> 01:08:15,525 reveal the final moments of their lives. 1272 01:08:15,658 --> 01:08:18,795 We see a picture of people struggling to breathe, 1273 01:08:18,928 --> 01:08:21,798 like this body here, which is curled up with their hands 1274 01:08:21,931 --> 01:08:24,734 close to their face, essentially recording 1275 01:08:24,867 --> 01:08:27,737 the last final breaths of the people 1276 01:08:27,870 --> 01:08:31,207 as they filled up with ash and hot fiery dust 1277 01:08:31,341 --> 01:08:32,008 from the volcano. 1278 01:08:35,278 --> 01:08:36,846 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: When the pyroclastic flow started 1279 01:08:36,980 --> 01:08:38,881 to come down, they were choked. 1280 01:08:39,015 --> 01:08:43,920 And we can see then, in the archeological sites, the casts 1281 01:08:44,053 --> 01:08:47,790 of people that were preserved in this ash that 1282 01:08:47,924 --> 01:08:51,260 resulted from the pyroclastic flow and surge. 1283 01:08:51,394 --> 01:08:56,432 NARRATOR: The disaster of 79 AD covered areas eight miles away. 1284 01:08:56,566 --> 01:09:01,604 But Pompeii is only part of a long, destructive history. 1285 01:09:01,738 --> 01:09:04,974 Far from extinct, Vesuvius has continued to have 1286 01:09:05,108 --> 01:09:10,213 deadly eruptions ever since. 1287 01:09:10,346 --> 01:09:13,549 s] 1288 01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:22,525 Vesuvius has erupted 30 times since 79 AD. 1289 01:09:22,659 --> 01:09:26,996 Sometimes the mountain has been explosive, other times 1290 01:09:27,130 --> 01:09:30,533 it has peacefully effused lava. 1291 01:09:30,667 --> 01:09:32,935 The volcano's erratic behavior makes 1292 01:09:33,069 --> 01:09:35,972 it difficult to forecast what the next eruption might 1293 01:09:36,105 --> 01:09:37,040 be like. 1294 01:09:37,173 --> 01:09:38,408 FREDERICK SCATENA: Understanding the past 1295 01:09:38,541 --> 01:09:41,844 is a key to the future, but it's not necessarily the future. 1296 01:09:41,978 --> 01:09:43,179 But if you don't understand the past 1297 01:09:43,312 --> 01:09:45,548 and understand what the sequences are, how 1298 01:09:45,682 --> 01:09:48,117 the volcanoes change through time, 1299 01:09:48,251 --> 01:09:50,820 there's no way that you can actually predict the future. 1300 01:09:50,953 --> 01:09:53,990 NARRATOR: Each subsequent outbreaks in 79 AD 1301 01:09:54,123 --> 01:09:56,259 has had its own unique characteristics. 1302 01:09:58,995 --> 01:10:01,931 An eruption in the third century created a blast that could 1303 01:10:02,065 --> 01:10:06,202 be easily heard 25 miles away. 1304 01:10:06,335 --> 01:10:11,774 Eruptions in 472 and 512 turned day to night and spread dust 1305 01:10:11,908 --> 01:10:14,777 over many parts of Europe. 1306 01:10:14,911 --> 01:10:18,114 And three separate explosions at the end of the 10th century 1307 01:10:18,247 --> 01:10:22,085 spewed out heavy lava flow. 1308 01:10:22,218 --> 01:10:27,490 At Vesuvius there are actually three types of behavior. 1309 01:10:27,623 --> 01:10:30,126 I relate this to human personality. 1310 01:10:30,259 --> 01:10:33,196 So Vesuvius has three sorts of personalities. 1311 01:10:33,329 --> 01:10:34,731 NARRATOR: The first and most destructive 1312 01:10:34,864 --> 01:10:38,034 type was named for the man who gave such a detailed account 1313 01:10:38,167 --> 01:10:41,104 of the eruption that destroyed Pompeii. 1314 01:10:41,237 --> 01:10:43,873 The documentation that Pliny produced 1315 01:10:44,006 --> 01:10:47,610 was so impressive, that literally it allowed us, 1316 01:10:47,744 --> 01:10:49,946 in terms of the volcanology community, 1317 01:10:50,079 --> 01:10:54,684 to name this type of eruption a Plinian eruption, in honor 1318 01:10:54,817 --> 01:10:56,619 of Pliny the Younger. 1319 01:10:56,753 --> 01:10:58,988 In a Plinian eruption, generally it 1320 01:10:59,122 --> 01:11:04,127 starts with a big explosion that produces a column that 1321 01:11:04,260 --> 01:11:08,397 goes into the stratosphere, maybe 10 miles or 15 miles 1322 01:11:08,531 --> 01:11:09,766 above the volcano. 1323 01:11:09,899 --> 01:11:13,236 But if the eruption continues for a long time, 1324 01:11:13,369 --> 01:11:16,606 this column can collapse due to its weight 1325 01:11:16,739 --> 01:11:19,942 and travel down the sides of the volcano, producing 1326 01:11:20,076 --> 01:11:23,379 pyroclastic flows and pyroclastic surges, which 1327 01:11:23,513 --> 01:11:26,649 are very, very dangerous. 1328 01:11:26,783 --> 01:11:29,685 NARRATOR: The second type of eruption is called sub‐Plinian. 1329 01:11:29,819 --> 01:11:32,688 It is very similar to a Plinian eruption, but only 1330 01:11:32,822 --> 01:11:34,824 a tenth of the size. 1331 01:11:34,957 --> 01:11:37,760 It may be mildly explosive, such as an eruption that 1332 01:11:37,894 --> 01:11:39,729 occurred in 1631. 1333 01:11:39,862 --> 01:11:43,499 We call it mildly explosive, but it destroyed 1334 01:11:43,633 --> 01:11:46,369 most of their cities in the area around Vesuvius 1335 01:11:46,502 --> 01:11:48,070 that exist today. 1336 01:11:48,204 --> 01:11:49,806 NARRATOR: The blast was still strong enough 1337 01:11:49,939 --> 01:11:54,811 to kill more than 3,000 people from pyroclastic flows. 1338 01:11:54,944 --> 01:11:56,813 Following that event, the volcano 1339 01:11:56,946 --> 01:11:59,916 underwent 300 years of persistent activity, 1340 01:12:00,116 --> 01:12:04,954 with numerous eruptions, none more than seven years apart. 1341 01:12:05,087 --> 01:12:07,423 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: There are small but frequent eruptions, 1342 01:12:07,557 --> 01:12:11,861 such as those that occurred between 1631 and 1944, 1343 01:12:11,994 --> 01:12:14,497 and those types are called Strombolian. 1344 01:12:14,630 --> 01:12:17,433 In this case, there's a sort of fire fountaining. 1345 01:12:17,567 --> 01:12:20,570 It forms a cone of cinders above the event, 1346 01:12:20,703 --> 01:12:21,971 and then lavas appear. 1347 01:12:27,210 --> 01:12:31,614 NARRATOR: The 1944 eruption was recorded on film. 1348 01:12:31,747 --> 01:12:36,285 The eruption of 1944 was really a very small eruption. 1349 01:12:36,419 --> 01:12:39,722 It occurred during the Second World War. 1350 01:12:39,856 --> 01:12:42,325 But the eruption produced a lot of slow 1351 01:12:42,458 --> 01:12:47,330 and destroyed a local town called San Sebastiano. 1352 01:12:47,463 --> 01:12:50,233 NARRATOR: Since then, Vesuvius has been silent. 1353 01:12:50,366 --> 01:12:54,237 But by no means is the volcano extinct. 1354 01:12:54,370 --> 01:12:57,106 GEORGE MYER: In terms of the inactivity of volcanoes, 1355 01:12:57,240 --> 01:13:01,544 they may be quiet for thousands of years. 1356 01:13:01,677 --> 01:13:04,313 NARRATOR: If Vesuvius behaves like most volcanoes, 1357 01:13:04,447 --> 01:13:08,451 it will reawaken and have at least another 200,000 years 1358 01:13:08,584 --> 01:13:11,120 of deadly eruptions. 1359 01:13:11,254 --> 01:13:14,557 Vesuvius has averaged an eruption every 64 years 1360 01:13:14,690 --> 01:13:16,792 since 79 AD. 1361 01:13:16,926 --> 01:13:22,431 That means we could be due for another eruption any day now. 1362 01:13:22,565 --> 01:13:23,799 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: It's very difficult 1363 01:13:23,933 --> 01:13:27,036 to forecast when the next eruption of Vesuvius 1364 01:13:27,169 --> 01:13:28,437 will occur. 1365 01:13:28,571 --> 01:13:32,074 But what most people agree on is the longer the period of time 1366 01:13:32,208 --> 01:13:34,844 since the last eruption, the larger we 1367 01:13:34,977 --> 01:13:37,380 expect the next eruption to be. 1368 01:13:37,513 --> 01:13:38,347 NARRATOR: Why? 1369 01:13:38,481 --> 01:13:42,018 Because of the geology of Vesuvius. 1370 01:13:42,151 --> 01:13:46,222 In the years following 1944, hardened lava and rock 1371 01:13:46,355 --> 01:13:48,991 sealed the conduit that leads from the magma chambers 1372 01:13:49,125 --> 01:13:50,326 to the volcano's mouth. 1373 01:13:52,962 --> 01:13:56,065 The effect is similar to what happens when a bottle of soda 1374 01:13:56,198 --> 01:13:57,767 is shaken. 1375 01:13:57,900 --> 01:14:01,170 And if it ends up with a lot of pressurized gases 1376 01:14:01,304 --> 01:14:04,907 in this liquid, the bubbles will stay in the carbonated beverage 1377 01:14:05,041 --> 01:14:06,609 as long as the lids on. 1378 01:14:06,742 --> 01:14:09,812 And so now this becomes the real issue with the volcano. 1379 01:14:09,946 --> 01:14:13,482 The container, if it's also getting squeezed and jostled 1380 01:14:13,616 --> 01:14:16,252 a little bit by the way the plates are behaving, 1381 01:14:16,385 --> 01:14:20,623 you're getting it ready for something more cataclysmic. 1382 01:14:20,756 --> 01:14:23,893 And the image that you could get today is the‐‐ pshew! 1383 01:14:24,026 --> 01:14:26,462 Out comes this explosion, instantly. 1384 01:14:26,595 --> 01:14:31,133 That's why we're concerned about Vesuvius, 1385 01:14:31,267 --> 01:14:35,371 We're not really measuring the behavior of Vesuvius 1386 01:14:35,504 --> 01:14:38,040 today from 1944. 1387 01:14:38,174 --> 01:14:40,843 We're looking at it back to when did it really 1388 01:14:40,977 --> 01:14:46,816 behave as it did in 79 AD. 1389 01:14:46,949 --> 01:14:51,587 And it has been throwing out explosive volcanism, 1390 01:14:51,721 --> 01:14:55,891 over 1,000 to 3,000‐year cycle, a number of times. 1391 01:14:56,025 --> 01:14:57,526 In terms of the geologic history, 1392 01:14:57,660 --> 01:15:01,230 we know that it does repeat itself. 1393 01:15:01,364 --> 01:15:04,266 NARRATOR: The next eruption could not only be explosive, 1394 01:15:04,400 --> 01:15:06,268 it could be devastating. 1395 01:15:06,402 --> 01:15:08,537 FLAVIO DOBRAN: Large, Plinian eruptions 1396 01:15:08,671 --> 01:15:13,042 occur every few thousand years, and it is now past 1397 01:15:13,175 --> 01:15:17,346 more than 2,000 years since we had a major eruption. 1398 01:15:17,480 --> 01:15:19,048 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: I think there's general agreement 1399 01:15:19,181 --> 01:15:20,916 that the next eruption of Vesuvius 1400 01:15:21,050 --> 01:15:24,954 is going to be of a Plinian or something 1401 01:15:25,087 --> 01:15:28,391 little bit less than a Plinian type of event, one that may be 1402 01:15:28,524 --> 01:15:31,727 similar to what happened in 1631 at the volcano. 1403 01:15:31,861 --> 01:15:33,929 NARRATOR: That's 1631 eruption occurred 1404 01:15:34,063 --> 01:15:37,333 after 130 years of quiet. 1405 01:15:37,466 --> 01:15:40,770 At the time, large trees had grown over the cone, 1406 01:15:40,903 --> 01:15:45,074 and locals didn't remember it being a volcano. 1407 01:15:45,207 --> 01:15:49,678 Today, Naples may be facing a similar fate. 1408 01:15:49,812 --> 01:15:51,547 FLAVIO DOBRAN: It has been more than 50 years 1409 01:15:51,680 --> 01:15:56,318 since the eruption or 1944, and the grand majority of people 1410 01:15:56,452 --> 01:15:58,387 do not remember this eruption. 1411 01:15:58,521 --> 01:16:03,659 They do not perceive the volcano as being something menacing, 1412 01:16:03,793 --> 01:16:07,830 but they perceive it rather as a mountain, a very tranquil 1413 01:16:07,963 --> 01:16:08,964 mountain. 1414 01:16:09,098 --> 01:16:12,601 And this has produced a false sense of security 1415 01:16:12,735 --> 01:16:16,238 that essentially lets the population sleep. 1416 01:16:16,372 --> 01:16:19,375 But they're essentially sleeping on a time bomb, 1417 01:16:19,508 --> 01:16:21,877 and eventually this time bomb will go off. 1418 01:16:25,948 --> 01:16:28,250 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: When volcanic eruptions 1419 01:16:28,384 --> 01:16:31,787 are less frequent than a generation, which 1420 01:16:31,921 --> 01:16:36,692 will be 20 to 40 years, people living on volcanoes generally 1421 01:16:36,826 --> 01:16:40,629 feel that they're safe and it's not going to happen to them. 1422 01:16:43,566 --> 01:16:45,568 NARRATOR: The longer Vesuvius slumbers, 1423 01:16:45,701 --> 01:16:49,305 the more danger it poses for the Bay of Naples. 1424 01:16:49,438 --> 01:16:52,374 And the past indicates the threat may be 1425 01:16:52,508 --> 01:16:54,543 worse than previously thought. 1426 01:17:06,122 --> 01:17:08,457 NARRATOR: Though volcanology has made great strides 1427 01:17:08,591 --> 01:17:12,828 in recent years, scientists can't predict the exact day 1428 01:17:12,962 --> 01:17:16,198 when Vesuvius might next wreak havoc. 1429 01:17:16,332 --> 01:17:19,668 The forecast of a future eruption, of the next eruption, 1430 01:17:19,802 --> 01:17:21,637 of Vesuvius is very hard to do. 1431 01:17:21,770 --> 01:17:25,508 It could remain in this condition for centuries 1432 01:17:25,641 --> 01:17:27,877 or even erupt next year. 1433 01:17:31,447 --> 01:17:33,983 NARRATOR: But volcanoes do give warning signs 1434 01:17:34,116 --> 01:17:37,019 called precursors. 1435 01:17:37,153 --> 01:17:39,622 Scientists at the Vesuvius Observatory 1436 01:17:39,755 --> 01:17:45,027 use an array of high tech tools to keep watch for any trouble. 1437 01:17:45,161 --> 01:17:48,564 Vesuvius is one of the best‐monitored volcanoes 1438 01:17:48,697 --> 01:17:49,665 in the world. 1439 01:17:49,798 --> 01:17:54,103 So we have about all the types of instruments 1440 01:17:54,236 --> 01:18:01,477 on the volcano, which provide monitoring 24 hours a day. 1441 01:18:01,610 --> 01:18:04,113 NARRATOR: The most noticeable precursors of an eruption 1442 01:18:04,246 --> 01:18:07,349 are earthquakes. 1443 01:18:07,483 --> 01:18:11,353 Another warning sign is a buildup of volcanic gas. 1444 01:18:11,487 --> 01:18:14,590 Some of this can be gauged by looking at the many fumaroles 1445 01:18:14,723 --> 01:18:18,961 or steam‐releasing holes that surround the volcano. 1446 01:18:19,094 --> 01:18:21,363 The more steam that appears, the more that's 1447 01:18:21,497 --> 01:18:23,365 brewing beneath the surface. 1448 01:18:23,499 --> 01:18:26,735 GIUSEPPE MASTROLORENZO: So by using our monitoring system 1449 01:18:26,869 --> 01:18:29,138 at the Vesuvius Observatory, we are 1450 01:18:29,271 --> 01:18:31,941 sure that we will be able to detect 1451 01:18:32,074 --> 01:18:34,276 the sudden change of the volcano before an eruption. 1452 01:18:38,447 --> 01:18:40,950 NARRATOR: While still far from an exact science, 1453 01:18:41,083 --> 01:18:44,153 volcanology can help predict some eruptions weeks 1454 01:18:44,286 --> 01:18:45,454 beforehand. 1455 01:18:45,588 --> 01:18:48,023 FREDERICK SCATENA: The devil's always in the details. 1456 01:18:48,157 --> 01:18:49,959 We've gotten much better in our ability 1457 01:18:50,092 --> 01:18:52,294 to predict when eruptions will occur, 1458 01:18:52,428 --> 01:18:54,930 but predicting exactly where the damage will occur 1459 01:18:55,064 --> 01:18:58,801 and how big that damage will occur is much more difficult. 1460 01:18:58,934 --> 01:19:01,770 NARRATOR: To get an idea of how much damage the next eruption 1461 01:19:01,904 --> 01:19:07,276 may cause, volcanologists look at worst‐case scenarios. 1462 01:19:07,409 --> 01:19:11,313 The importance of using worst‐case scenario is to take 1463 01:19:11,447 --> 01:19:15,117 what has happened in the past and its worst incidents 1464 01:19:15,251 --> 01:19:17,987 and projected it‐‐ if that would happen today, 1465 01:19:18,120 --> 01:19:21,223 what kind of situation would we have to deal with? 1466 01:19:21,357 --> 01:19:23,092 NARRATOR: A group of geologists from Italy 1467 01:19:23,225 --> 01:19:26,895 and the University at Buffalo in New York focused on an eruption 1468 01:19:27,029 --> 01:19:30,833 that happened more than 1,800 years before the famous Pompeii 1469 01:19:30,966 --> 01:19:32,534 disaster. 1470 01:19:32,668 --> 01:19:38,073 It occurred during the Bronze Age in approximately 1780 BC. 1471 01:19:38,207 --> 01:19:40,876 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: If we compare the 1879 eruption 1472 01:19:41,010 --> 01:19:44,813 and the Bronze Age eruption, both of these eruptions 1473 01:19:44,947 --> 01:19:48,050 produced about the same amount of new material on the surface. 1474 01:19:48,183 --> 01:19:49,251 [explosion] 1475 01:19:49,385 --> 01:19:53,756 The big difference was the direction of dispersal. 1476 01:19:53,889 --> 01:19:57,960 NARRATOR: In the 79 AD eruption, winds pushed most the damage 1477 01:19:58,093 --> 01:20:00,696 to the south. 1478 01:20:00,829 --> 01:20:04,166 A similar event today would threaten more than 1 million 1479 01:20:04,300 --> 01:20:07,236 people who live directly around Vesuvius. 1480 01:20:07,369 --> 01:20:09,605 But a repeat of the Bronze Age eruption 1481 01:20:09,738 --> 01:20:11,774 could be far more deadly. 1482 01:20:11,907 --> 01:20:14,810 In that blast, winds forced most the damage 1483 01:20:14,943 --> 01:20:16,812 to go a different direction. 1484 01:20:16,945 --> 01:20:19,481 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: The pyroclastic flows and surges 1485 01:20:19,615 --> 01:20:24,586 were mainly dispersed towards the northwest. 1486 01:20:24,720 --> 01:20:28,457 In other words, in the direction of Naples. 1487 01:20:28,590 --> 01:20:30,659 NARRATOR: In fact, pyroclastic surges 1488 01:20:30,793 --> 01:20:35,097 reached as far as 15 miles, completely covering what is now 1489 01:20:35,230 --> 01:20:36,965 the city. 1490 01:20:37,099 --> 01:20:40,936 When we actually traced the thickness of the deposits 1491 01:20:41,070 --> 01:20:44,073 produced by the pyroclastic surges and flows 1492 01:20:44,206 --> 01:20:49,244 from the Bronze Age eruption, we found that the thickest 1493 01:20:49,378 --> 01:20:54,083 deposits were directed more towards the Northwest, 1494 01:20:54,216 --> 01:20:57,286 and a significant deposit existed 1495 01:20:57,419 --> 01:21:00,489 within the city of Naples. 1496 01:21:00,622 --> 01:21:03,425 Meaning that people in the Bronze Age 1497 01:21:03,559 --> 01:21:07,429 would not have survived an eruption of this scale. 1498 01:21:07,563 --> 01:21:10,032 NARRATOR: The ash deposits from this earlier bronze age 1499 01:21:10,165 --> 01:21:14,837 eruption are as much as 10‐feet deep in some parts of Naples. 1500 01:21:14,970 --> 01:21:16,672 MICHAEL SHERIDAN: Finding a deposit right in the center 1501 01:21:16,805 --> 01:21:19,842 of Naples has changed the way people think about their safety 1502 01:21:19,975 --> 01:21:24,179 from eruptions at Vesuvius, and people are now considering 1503 01:21:24,313 --> 01:21:26,582 that Vesuvius may truly represent 1504 01:21:26,715 --> 01:21:30,586 a risk to their safety. 1505 01:21:30,719 --> 01:21:32,321 CHRISTIAN RENSCHLER: We don't want to scare people, 1506 01:21:32,454 --> 01:21:34,022 but we want to make them aware. 1507 01:21:34,156 --> 01:21:36,091 As scientists, we have got an obligation 1508 01:21:36,225 --> 01:21:39,528 to facilitate this communication that has to take place 1509 01:21:39,661 --> 01:21:44,500 in a dangerous situation, like living around a volcano. 1510 01:21:44,633 --> 01:21:47,436 And it's important that the general public understands 1511 01:21:47,569 --> 01:21:50,873 these dangers and also acts responsibly 1512 01:21:51,006 --> 01:21:55,844 and try to do the best that they can to prevent being harmed 1513 01:21:55,978 --> 01:21:57,045 in such a situation. 1514 01:21:57,179 --> 01:21:58,414 [music playing] 1515 01:21:58,547 --> 01:22:02,885 NARRATOR: Vesuvius, Krakatoa, Yellowstone, and the islands 1516 01:22:03,018 --> 01:22:08,357 of Hawaii, these volcanoes are still active and dangerous. 1517 01:22:08,490 --> 01:22:11,326 And scientists warn that the devastating potential 1518 01:22:11,460 --> 01:22:14,530 within these fiery giants could prove to be 1519 01:22:14,663 --> 01:22:17,065 nothing less than apocalyptic. 1520 01:22:17,199 --> 01:22:20,202 DONALD THOMAS: I think everyone needs to recognize 1521 01:22:20,335 --> 01:22:24,673 that everything we've seen up to now is not the complete story, 1522 01:22:24,807 --> 01:22:28,243 that these systems can behave in ways that we've never seen 1523 01:22:28,377 --> 01:22:32,481 before and, clearly, in some ways that could potentially 1524 01:22:32,614 --> 01:22:34,016 be very dangerous. 1525 01:22:34,149 --> 01:22:38,353 My money would be on you've got to hope that you're wrong, 1526 01:22:38,487 --> 01:22:40,689 but you're expecting the worst. 1527 01:22:40,823 --> 01:22:45,060 To be alert is to be ahead of the game. 1528 01:22:45,194 --> 01:22:47,896 MICHAEL RAMPINO: Nothing you can do about a volcano. 1529 01:22:48,030 --> 01:22:51,166 If it's going to go off, it's going to go off. 1530 01:22:51,300 --> 01:22:55,437 And the effects on civilization are going to be drastic. 1531 01:22:55,571 --> 01:23:03,011 [rumbling explosions] 126789

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