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there's been an escalating conflict on

there's been an escalating conflict on

there's been an escalating conflict on the edge of europe

artillery attacks air strikes fighter

artillery attacks air strikes fighter

artillery attacks air strikes fighter jets coming down

jets coming down

jets coming down civilian buildings being damaged and

civilian buildings being damaged and

civilian buildings being damaged and over a hundred killed

over a hundred killed

over a hundred killed a historic dispute between azerbaijan

a historic dispute between azerbaijan

a historic dispute between azerbaijan and armenia has reignited

and armenia has reignited

and armenia has reignited and a watching world is asking can

and a watching world is asking can

and a watching world is asking can full-scale war

full-scale war

full-scale war be avoided russia the u.s and france are

be avoided russia the u.s and france are

be avoided russia the u.s and france are calling for an immediate ceasefire

calling for an immediate ceasefire

calling for an immediate ceasefire but they know ceasefire or not

but they know ceasefire or not

but they know ceasefire or not fundamentally this is being driven

fundamentally this is being driven

fundamentally this is being driven by a long-standing dispute that was

by a long-standing dispute that was

by a long-standing dispute that was never resolved and

never resolved and

never resolved and this is why here on the map you can see

this is why here on the map you can see

this is why here on the map you can see armenia to the west

armenia to the west

armenia to the west azerbaijan to the east both were part of

azerbaijan to the east both were part of

azerbaijan to the east both were part of the soviet union before it disintegrated

the soviet union before it disintegrated

the soviet union before it disintegrated in the early 90s

in the early 90s

in the early 90s and right where we see the two meet is

and right where we see the two meet is

and right where we see the two meet is an enclave called nagorno-karabakh

an enclave called nagorno-karabakh

an enclave called nagorno-karabakh in the eyes of the international

in the eyes of the international

in the eyes of the international community it's part of azerbaijan

community it's part of azerbaijan

community it's part of azerbaijan but its population is now almost

but its population is now almost

but its population is now almost entirely ethnic armenian

entirely ethnic armenian

entirely ethnic armenian in the late 80s and early 90s armenia

in the late 80s and early 90s armenia

in the late 80s and early 90s armenia and azerbaijan

and azerbaijan

and azerbaijan fought a war over nagorno-powerback and

fought a war over nagorno-powerback and

fought a war over nagorno-powerback and despite the un calling on armenia to

despite the un calling on armenia to

despite the un calling on armenia to withdraw its troops

withdraw its troops

withdraw its troops by 1994 azerbaijan had lost

by 1994 azerbaijan had lost

by 1994 azerbaijan had lost nagorno-karabakh declared independence

nagorno-karabakh declared independence

nagorno-karabakh declared independence and became part of armenia in

and became part of armenia in

and became part of armenia in orbit name so 26 years on

orbit name so 26 years on

orbit name so 26 years on why is the escalation happening now well

why is the escalation happening now well

why is the escalation happening now well the language has hardened

the language has hardened

the language has hardened here's azerbaijan's president we only

here's azerbaijan's president we only

here's azerbaijan's president we only have one condition he says

have one condition he says

have one condition he says armenian armed forces must

armenian armed forces must

armenian armed forces must unconditionally fully and immediately

unconditionally fully and immediately

unconditionally fully and immediately leave our lands

leave our lands

leave our lands armenia has no intention of agreeing

armenia has no intention of agreeing

armenia has no intention of agreeing here's his president

here's his president

here's his president what they are trying to do is to force

what they are trying to do is to force

what they are trying to do is to force armenians out of that

armenians out of that

armenians out of that of the land that they historically lived

of the land that they historically lived

of the land that they historically lived even before the azerbaijan as

even before the azerbaijan as

even before the azerbaijan as a as a republic existed so

a as a republic existed so

a as a republic existed so one in my vocabulary is called ethnic

one in my vocabulary is called ethnic

one in my vocabulary is called ethnic cleansing

cleansing

cleansing and this intensification can be

and this intensification can be

and this intensification can be explained by looking internally

explained by looking internally

explained by looking internally and externally first domestic politics

and externally first domestic politics

and externally first domestic politics in armenia this has been happening

in armenia this has been happening

in armenia this has been happening unfortunately armenian prime minister i

unfortunately armenian prime minister i

unfortunately armenian prime minister i i think has been forced by his own

i think has been forced by his own

i think has been forced by his own domestic politics

domestic politics

domestic politics to back away from the framework

to back away from the framework

to back away from the framework agreement that had been negotiated for

agreement that had been negotiated for

agreement that had been negotiated for years between his country and azerbaijan

years between his country and azerbaijan

years between his country and azerbaijan and then this is the situation in

and then this is the situation in

and then this is the situation in azerbaijan

azerbaijan

azerbaijan with the social problems with the

with the social problems with the

with the social problems with the falling price of oil

falling price of oil

falling price of oil with the reforms that are needed in the

with the reforms that are needed in the

with the reforms that are needed in the economy the war probably is the best

economy the war probably is the best

economy the war probably is the best possible outcome to make sure that

possible outcome to make sure that

possible outcome to make sure that public

public

public rallies around the leader as well as

rallies around the leader as well as

rallies around the leader as well as that azerbaijan's booming oil sector has

that azerbaijan's booming oil sector has

that azerbaijan's booming oil sector has given it added income

given it added income

given it added income and influence and if domestic politics

and influence and if domestic politics

and influence and if domestic politics is one vital factor

is one vital factor

is one vital factor the differing approaches of turkey and

the differing approaches of turkey and

the differing approaches of turkey and russia

russia

russia is another turkey has been vociferous in

is another turkey has been vociferous in

is another turkey has been vociferous in its support of azerbaijan

its support of azerbaijan

its support of azerbaijan here's his president

the path to a lasting peace requires the

the path to a lasting peace requires the

the path to a lasting peace requires the withdrawal of armenians from

withdrawal of armenians from

withdrawal of armenians from every inch of aziri land they are

every inch of aziri land they are

every inch of aziri land they are occupying

occupying

occupying the constant efforts to slander turkey

the constant efforts to slander turkey

the constant efforts to slander turkey will not save the armenian government

will not save the armenian government

will not save the armenian government and this is part of a broader pattern

and this is part of a broader pattern

and this is part of a broader pattern turkey's willingness to oppose major

turkey's willingness to oppose major

turkey's willingness to oppose major powers is on show from libya

powers is on show from libya

powers is on show from libya to northern syria to gas drilling in the

to northern syria to gas drilling in the

to northern syria to gas drilling in the eastern med to migration into europe

eastern med to migration into europe

eastern med to migration into europe and now azerbaijan too in this case

and now azerbaijan too in this case

and now azerbaijan too in this case france is unimpressed accusing turkey of

france is unimpressed accusing turkey of

france is unimpressed accusing turkey of war-like messages which have

war-like messages which have

war-like messages which have removed azerbaijan's inhibitions and

removed azerbaijan's inhibitions and

removed azerbaijan's inhibitions and certainly

certainly

certainly azerbaijan has been emboldened by

azerbaijan has been emboldened by

azerbaijan has been emboldened by turkey's support

turkey's support

turkey's support equally important as reported by reuters

equally important as reported by reuters

equally important as reported by reuters here

here

here has been russia seeking to mediate

has been russia seeking to mediate

has been russia seeking to mediate rather than overtly taking sides and

rather than overtly taking sides and

rather than overtly taking sides and given russia has a military base in

given russia has a military base in

given russia has a military base in armenia that too will embolden

armenia that too will embolden

armenia that too will embolden azerbaijan

azerbaijan

azerbaijan put all of those factors together and

put all of those factors together and

put all of those factors together and whatever the rights and wrongs you

whatever the rights and wrongs you

whatever the rights and wrongs you arrive

arrive

arrive at a moment of high risk muhammad alib

at a moment of high risk muhammad alib

at a moment of high risk muhammad alib of michigan state university argues

of michigan state university argues

of michigan state university argues there are too many external fingers in

there are too many external fingers in

there are too many external fingers in this caucus pie

this caucus pie

this caucus pie it has the potential to turn into a

it has the potential to turn into a

it has the potential to turn into a major regional conflict

major regional conflict

major regional conflict and there's one more worrying dimension

and there's one more worrying dimension

and there's one more worrying dimension to this today france has confirmed

to this today france has confirmed

to this today france has confirmed jihadist fighters from syria

jihadist fighters from syria

jihadist fighters from syria have been located in nagorno-karabakh as

have been located in nagorno-karabakh as

have been located in nagorno-karabakh as president macron puts it

president macron puts it

president macron puts it this is a very serious new fact which

this is a very serious new fact which

this is a very serious new fact which changes the situation

changes the situation

changes the situation syria itself provides evidence of the

syria itself provides evidence of the

syria itself provides evidence of the catastrophic consequences of a local

catastrophic consequences of a local

catastrophic consequences of a local conflict becoming a far greater proxy

conflict becoming a far greater proxy

conflict becoming a far greater proxy battle

battle

battle france and others are desperate to avoid

france and others are desperate to avoid

france and others are desperate to avoid this here

this here

this here for all of these reasons this has

for all of these reasons this has

for all of these reasons this has already become about stopping the

already become about stopping the

already become about stopping the conflict now

conflict now

conflict now and stopping its return the first part

and stopping its return the first part

and stopping its return the first part appears likely

appears likely

appears likely if russia france and the u.s want to

if russia france and the u.s want to

if russia france and the u.s want to cease fire well you wouldn't bet against

cease fire well you wouldn't bet against

cease fire well you wouldn't bet against it

it

it but that doesn't resolve the core issue

but that doesn't resolve the core issue

but that doesn't resolve the core issue that the world considers

that the world considers

that the world considers nagorno-karabakh part of azerbaijan

nagorno-karabakh part of azerbaijan

nagorno-karabakh part of azerbaijan and yet armenia controls it if anything

and yet armenia controls it if anything

and yet armenia controls it if anything good comes of this ugly escalation

good comes of this ugly escalation

good comes of this ugly escalation it will be that the search for a lasting

it will be that the search for a lasting

it will be that the search for a lasting resolution is given the extra urgency

resolution is given the extra urgency

resolution is given the extra urgency it needs

you