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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,100 --> 00:00:06,640 An observable universe is a big place that's been around for more than 13 billion years. 2 00:00:07,260 --> 00:00:13,120 Up to two trillion galaxies made up of something like 20,000 billion billion stars 3 00:00:13,120 --> 00:00:14,840 surround our home galaxy. 4 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:17,080 In the Milky Way alone, 5 00:00:17,080 --> 00:00:21,400 scientists assume there are some 40 billion earth-like planets 6 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,680 in the habitable zone of their stars. 7 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:29,380 When we look at these numbers, it's hard to imagine that there is nobody else out there. 8 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:34,760 It would change our perception of ourselves forever if we found others. 9 00:00:35,260 --> 00:00:40,560 Just knowing that this vast place is not dead would shift our perspective outward, 10 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:43,680 and could help us get over our irrelevant quarrels. 11 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,920 But before looking for our new best friends, or worst enemies, 12 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:52,140 we have a problem to solve: What are we actually looking for? 13 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:58,820 [Kurzgesagt intro] 14 00:01:00,620 --> 00:01:02,260 In a universe that big and old, 15 00:01:02,260 --> 00:01:06,720 we have to assume that civilizations start millions of years apart from eachother, 16 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:09,340 and develop in different directions and speeds. 17 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:15,360 So not only are we looking over distances of dozens to hundreds of thousands of light years, 18 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:19,820 we're looking for a civilization ranging from cavemen to super advanced. 19 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:24,700 So, we need a conceptual framework to enable us to think better thoughts 20 00:01:24,700 --> 00:01:26,520 that make us able to search better. 21 00:01:27,100 --> 00:01:30,380 Are there universal rules that intelligent species follow? 22 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,880 Currently our civilization sample size is only one, 23 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:39,100 so we may make incorrect assumptions based solely on ourselves. 24 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,440 Still, better than nothing. 25 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:46,540 We know that humans started out with nothing but minds and hands that could build tools. 26 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:52,680 We know that humans are curious, competitive, greedy for resources, and expansionist. 27 00:01:53,300 --> 00:01:55,800 The more of these qualities our ancestors had, 28 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:59,420 the more successful they were in the civilization building game. 29 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:01,520 Being one with nature is nice, 30 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:06,040 but it's not the path to irrigation systems, or gunpowder, or cities. 31 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:12,780 So it's reasonable to assume that aliens able to take over their home planet also have these qualities. 32 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,640 And, if aliens have to follow the same laws of physics, 33 00:02:16,640 --> 00:02:21,400 then there is a measurable metric for progress: Energy use. 34 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:26,940 Human progress can be measured very precisely by how much energy we extracted from our environment, 35 00:02:26,940 --> 00:02:29,380 and how we made it usable to do things. 36 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:33,180 We started with muscles, until we learned to control fire. 37 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:37,300 Then we made machines that used kinetic energy from water and wind. 38 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:41,540 As our machines got better and our knowledge of materials expanded, 39 00:02:41,540 --> 00:02:46,140 we began to harness the concentrated energy from dead plants we dug up from the ground. 40 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:51,700 As our energy consumption grew exponentially, so did the abilities of our civilization. 41 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:57,220 Between 1800 and 2015, population size had increased sevenfold, 42 00:02:57,220 --> 00:03:01,260 while humanity was consuming 25 times more energy. 43 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:05,500 It's likely that this process will continue into the far future. 44 00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:12,320 Based on these facts, scientist Nikolai Kardashev developed a method of categorizing civilizations, 45 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:15,160 from cave dwellers to gods ruling over galaxies: 46 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:20,420 The Kardashev Scale; a method of ranking civilizations by their energy use. 47 00:03:21,020 --> 00:03:24,840 The scale has been refined and expanded on over the decades, 48 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:29,000 but in general it puts civilizations into four different categories. 49 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:34,000 A Type 1 civilization is able to use the available energy of their home planet. 50 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:40,460 A Type 2 civilization is able to use the available energy of their star and planetary system. 51 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:46,080 A Type 3 civilization is able to use the available energy of their galaxy. 52 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:51,920 A Type 4 civilization is able to use the available energy of multiple galaxies. 53 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,720 These levels differ by orders of magnitude. 54 00:03:56,240 --> 00:04:00,100 It's like comparing an ant colony to a human metropolitan area. 55 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:04,800 To, ants we are so complex and powerful, we might as well be gods. 56 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:08,840 So to make the scale more useful, we need subcategories. 57 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:13,740 On the lower end of the spectrum, there are Type 0 to Type 1 civilizations: 58 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:19,420 Anything from hunter-gatherers, to something we could achieve in the next few hundred years. 59 00:04:19,420 --> 00:04:22,400 These might actually be abundant in the Milky Way. 60 00:04:23,020 --> 00:04:27,700 But a civilization that is not actively transmitting radio signals into space 61 00:04:27,700 --> 00:04:31,960 might be as close as our nearest stellar neighbor, the Alpha Centauri system, 62 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,980 and we would have no way of realizing they exist. 63 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:40,520 But even if they transmitted radio signals like we do, it might not be very helpful. 64 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,980 On an interstellar scale, humanity is practically invisible. 65 00:04:45,840 --> 00:04:49,920 Our signals may extend over an impressive 200 light years, 66 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:53,500 but this is only a tiny fraction of the Milky Way. 67 00:04:53,840 --> 00:04:56,000 And even if someone were listening, 68 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,400 after a few light years our signals decay into noise, 69 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,900 impossible to identify as the source of an intelligent species. 70 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:07,320 Today, humanity ranks at about level 0.75. 71 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:09,540 We have altered our planet: 72 00:05:09,540 --> 00:05:12,880 we've created huge structures, mined and stripped mountains, 73 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:15,800 removed rainforests, and drained swamps. 74 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:17,560 We've created rivers and lakes, 75 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:20,420 and changed the composition and temperature of the atmosphere. 76 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:24,900 If progress continues, and we don't make Earth uninhabitable, 77 00:05:24,900 --> 00:05:29,580 we will become a full Type 1 civilization in the next few hundred years. 78 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:34,120 Any civilization that becomes a Type 1 is bound to look outside, 79 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:38,380 because it's likely that it's still curious, competitive, greedy and expansionist. 80 00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:45,620 The next reasonable step towards transitioning to Type 2 is trying to alter and mine other planets and bodies. 81 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:51,880 This might start with outposts in space, transition to infrastructure and industries near the home planet, 82 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:55,080 move on to colonies, and end with terraforming other planets, 83 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:58,200 by changing their atmosphere, their rotation, or position. 84 00:05:58,500 --> 00:06:02,280 As a civilization expands and uses more and more stuff and space, 85 00:06:02,280 --> 00:06:04,860 its energy consumption scales with them, 86 00:06:04,860 --> 00:06:10,420 so at some point, they may embark on the largest project a lower Type 2 civilization can take on: 87 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,460 harnessing the energy of their star by building a Dyson Swarm. 88 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:17,380 Once this megastructure is finished, 89 00:06:17,380 --> 00:06:22,460 energy has become practically unlimited for molding the home system however they see fit. 90 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,940 If they are still curious, competitive, greedy and expansionist, 91 00:06:26,940 --> 00:06:30,000 and now have complete control over their home system, 92 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:33,520 stellar infrastructure in place, and the energy output of a star, 93 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:37,460 the next frontier moves to other stars light years away. 94 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:39,480 For a Type 2 civilization, 95 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:44,960 the distance to other stars might feel like the distance between Earth and Pluto does to us today: 96 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:46,240 Technically within reach, 97 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:50,700 but only with immense investments in terms of time, ingenuity, and resources. 98 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:54,240 This begins their transition towards Type 3. 99 00:06:54,660 --> 00:06:56,620 This step is so far beyond us 100 00:06:56,620 --> 00:07:00,520 that it becomes hard to imagine what exactly these challenges will look like, 101 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:02,240 and how they'll be solved. 102 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:05,460 Will they be able to find a solution to the vast distances 103 00:07:05,460 --> 00:07:08,140 and travel times of hundreds or thousands of years? 104 00:07:08,580 --> 00:07:14,620 Will they be able to communicate and keep a shared culture and biology between colonies light years apart? 105 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:18,940 Or will they split into separate Type 2 civilizations? 106 00:07:18,940 --> 00:07:20,960 Maybe even different species? 107 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,460 Are there deadly challenges between the stars? 108 00:07:25,220 --> 00:07:27,740 So the closer a species gets to Type 3, 109 00:07:27,740 --> 00:07:31,320 the harder it becomes to fathom what it might actually look like. 110 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:36,560 They might discover new physics, may understand and control dark matter and energy, 111 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:38,960 or be able to travel faster than light. 112 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:43,840 We might be unable to grasp their motives, technology, and actions. 113 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:49,260 Humans are the ants, trying to understand the galactic metropolitan area. 114 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:55,720 A high Type 2 civilization might already consider humanity too primitive to even talk to. 115 00:07:56,480 --> 00:08:01,840 A Type 3 civilization might feel about as like we feel about the bacteria living on the anthill. 116 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:06,520 Maybe they wouldn't even consider us conscious, or our survival relevant. 117 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,980 We could only pray that they're nice gods. 118 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:13,640 But the scale doesn't necessarily end here. 119 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:18,300 Some scientists suggest there might be Type 4 and Type 5 civilizations, 120 00:08:18,300 --> 00:08:22,139 whose influence stretches over galaxy clusters or superclusters, 121 00:08:22,140 --> 00:08:26,120 structures comprising thousands of galaxies and trillions of stars. 122 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:30,420 Ultimately, there might be a Type Omega civilization, 123 00:08:30,420 --> 00:08:34,200 able to manipulate the entire universe, and possibly others. 124 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:39,680 Type omega civilizations might be the actual creators of our universe, 125 00:08:39,680 --> 00:08:41,840 for reasons beyond our comprehension. 126 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:43,680 Maybe they were just bored. 127 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:46,920 As flawed as this classification may be, 128 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:50,480 this thought experiment is already telling us interesting things. 129 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:56,700 If our ideas about the nature of species that form interstellar civilizations is sort of correct, 130 00:08:56,700 --> 00:09:02,600 then we can be pretty sure that there are no civilizations of Type 3 and beyond near the Milky Way. 131 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:06,620 Their influence would in all likelihood be so all-encompassing, 132 00:09:06,620 --> 00:09:10,200 and their technology so far above our own, that we couldn't miss them. 133 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:15,280 The galaxy should flash with their activity in thousands of star systems. 134 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:21,420 We should be able to see or detect their artifacts or movements between different parts of their empire. 135 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:27,380 Even if a Type 3 civilization did exist in the past, and died a mysterious death, 136 00:09:27,380 --> 00:09:30,940 we should be able to detect some of the remnants of their empire. 137 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:35,720 But when scientists looked, they didn't find remnants of harvested stars, 138 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:40,840 decaying megastructures or scars of great interstellar wars. 139 00:09:41,140 --> 00:09:44,140 So they're very likely not out there and never were. 140 00:09:44,560 --> 00:09:48,440 In a sense, this is very sad, but also very reassuring. 141 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:52,480 It leaves the galaxy to us and others similar to us. 142 00:09:53,600 --> 00:10:01,160 So the most promising civilizations to look for may be somewhere in the spectrum from Type 1.5 to Type 2.5. 143 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:04,660 They wouldn't be too advanced to understand them and their motives. 144 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:07,760 They may have finished their first megastructures, 145 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:10,960 and they might be in the process of moving staff between stars, 146 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:14,160 transmitting enormous amounts of information into space, 147 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,160 by accident, or on purpose. 148 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:20,280 They would probably also look to the stars and look for others. 149 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:22,800 Then again, maybe we've got it all wrong. 150 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:27,560 Maybe progress to Type 2 does not mean expanding outwards, 151 00:10:27,560 --> 00:10:31,740 and humanity is still too immature to imagine otherwise. 152 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:36,800 For now, all we really know is that we haven't seen anybody yet. 153 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,620 But, we've only just started looking. 154 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:47,480 Until we finally find friendly super aliens and can ask them to explain the rules of the universe to us, 155 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,240 most of us have to make do with learning stuff ourselves. 156 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:53,240 Whether you're going back to school leaving home for the first time, 157 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:55,520 or if you're just entering a new phase in your life, 158 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,640 our shop is stocked and ready for all your back-to-school needs. 159 00:10:59,340 --> 00:11:01,740 Notebooks and notepads to organize your work, 160 00:11:01,940 --> 00:11:04,400 stickers and mugs to make things look nice, 161 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:09,660 lots and lots of posters to turn your dorm or room into an inspiring oasis of knowledge. 162 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:14,400 We have new shirts and for the first time, a Kurzgesagt Earth sweater. 163 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:20,280 All of these products are designed and produced with love by the Kurzgesagt merch birbs. 164 00:11:20,560 --> 00:11:24,960 Our merch is the easiest way to support what we do 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