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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:06,160 We humans are unable to experience the true nature of the universe, unfiltered. 2 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:10,380 Our senses and brains can only process a fraction of the world. 3 00:00:10,580 --> 00:00:15,340 So we have to use concepts and tools, to learn about the true nature of reality 4 00:00:15,980 --> 00:00:19,520 Technological progress not only widened our knowledge about the universe, 5 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,700 it also made us aware of unsettling possibilities. 6 00:00:23,460 --> 00:00:28,240 In the future, it might become possible to simulate entire universes. 7 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:33,380 But if this is an option, how can we know that it's not already happened? 8 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:38,300 What if we are not creators, but creations? 9 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:43,200 Is it possible that we are not real, and we don't even know it? 10 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,180 If our current understanding of physics is correct, 11 00:00:56,180 --> 00:01:01,260 Then, it's impossible to simulate the whole universe, with its trillions and trillions of things. 12 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:03,340 But we don't actually need to, anyway. 13 00:01:03,900 --> 00:01:08,360 We only need enough universe to fool the inhabitants of our simulation, 14 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:10,280 into thinking that they're real. 15 00:01:10,460 --> 00:01:12,480 Who needs billions of galaxies? 16 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:16,100 We only need the space our subjects are allowed to explore. 17 00:01:17,700 --> 00:01:22,480 The vast universe could just be a flat projection, and they would have no way to know. 18 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,480 What about small things like cells or bacteria? 19 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:29,280 We don't really need them. 20 00:01:29,980 --> 00:01:34,200 When you use a microscope, what you see could be instantly created. 21 00:01:35,220 --> 00:01:39,180 Same with atoms the chair you're sitting on right now does not need to be 22 00:01:39,180 --> 00:01:41,540 simulated with quadrillions of atoms. 23 00:01:41,540 --> 00:01:43,780 We just need the outermost layer of it, 24 00:01:43,780 --> 00:01:47,160 it might be empty inside, until you decide to break it open. 25 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:53,860 Your body might feel like it's filled with bubbly things, but it might be empty, until you open it. 26 00:01:55,020 --> 00:02:00,540 The minimum requirement for our simulation, is only the consciousness of our virtual humans. 27 00:02:00,860 --> 00:02:04,020 Our subjects just need to think the simulation is real. 28 00:02:05,060 --> 00:02:07,980 Okay, so are we being simulated? 29 00:02:08,780 --> 00:02:12,680 Well, maybe, but there are a few conditions that need to be met. 30 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:18,780 Obviously, we have no authority over this topic, so please take everything we say with a grain of salt. 31 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,900 Based on a modified version of the original simulation argument by Nick Bostrom, 32 00:02:23,900 --> 00:02:25,620 we have five assumptions for you. 33 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:30,760 If they're true, you dear viewer are living in a simulation. 34 00:02:32,140 --> 00:02:33,540 Assumption one, 35 00:02:33,540 --> 00:02:35,580 it's possible to simulate consciousness 36 00:02:36,900 --> 00:02:39,420 Nobody knows what consciousness is. 37 00:02:39,420 --> 00:02:44,440 For the sake of argument, let's assume that you could generate consciousness by simulating a brain. 38 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:47,260 Brains are pretty complex. 39 00:02:49,060 --> 00:02:52,560 If you count every interaction between synapses as one operation, 40 00:02:52,560 --> 00:03:00,300 your brain runs at about ten to the power of seventeen, for one hundred million billion operations, per second. 41 00:03:00,300 --> 00:03:03,720 Let's generously assume we need ten to the power of twenty operations, 42 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,600 to simulate one second of human consciousness. 43 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:09,000 But, we don't want to simulate just one human... 44 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:13,640 We want to simulate all of human history at once, so we can skip around. 45 00:03:13,640 --> 00:03:18,280 Let's say we want to simulate two hundred billion humans, with an average life span of fifty years. 46 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:21,620 One year has thirty million seconds times fifty years 47 00:03:21,620 --> 00:03:23,340 times two hundred billion humans 48 00:03:23,340 --> 00:03:26,040 times ten to the power of twenty operations. 49 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:34,500 So we need a computer able to handle million, trillion, trillion, trillion operations per second. 50 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:38,760 More operations than there are stars in the observable universe. 51 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:41,720 The computer like this is just impossible. 52 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:44,000 Except, maybe it isn't. 53 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:46,820 Assumption two, 54 00:03:46,820 --> 00:03:49,500 technological progress will not stop anytime soon. 55 00:03:51,100 --> 00:03:55,820 If we assume that technological progress continues in a similar fashion as it has so far, 56 00:03:55,820 --> 00:04:01,000 then there might be galaxy spanning civilizations, with unlimited computer power at some point. 57 00:04:01,580 --> 00:04:06,240 Beings on a technology level so advanced, that we could barely distinguish them from god's. 58 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:12,080 A computer that can handle a million trillion, trillion, trillion operations is serious business, 59 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:15,280 but there are actually concepts for computers, which could handle this. 60 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,900 The Matrioshka Brain, is the theoretical megastructure, 61 00:04:18,900 --> 00:04:22,580 made up of billions of parts orbiting a star, feeding on its radiation. 62 00:04:23,300 --> 00:04:27,380 A computer of this scale, would have enough power to simulate many thousands, 63 00:04:27,380 --> 00:04:30,100 if not millions of humanities, at the same time. 64 00:04:30,820 --> 00:04:35,760 Other technologies, like high-end future quantum computers might lower the size drastically, 65 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:40,540 so it might be possible to do this with a structure the size of a large city, or even smaller. 66 00:04:41,280 --> 00:04:44,480 But, only if there's still someone around to build the computer. 67 00:04:46,220 --> 00:04:47,580 Assumption three, 68 00:04:47,580 --> 00:04:50,660 advanced civilizations don't destroy themselves. 69 00:04:51,580 --> 00:04:56,980 If there is a point at which all civilizations destroyed themselves, this whole discussion ends here. 70 00:04:57,500 --> 00:05:02,840 Looking into space, you'd expect to universe filled, with millions of alien civilizations, 71 00:05:02,840 --> 00:05:03,880 but we see nobody. 72 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:07,300 the reason for this might be, Great Filters. 73 00:05:07,860 --> 00:05:12,120 Great Filters are barriers life has to overcome, like nuclear war, 74 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:15,440 asteroids, climate change or a black hole generator. 75 00:05:16,260 --> 00:05:20,600 If life is inherently self-destructive, then there are no simulations. 76 00:05:21,260 --> 00:05:24,420 We explain this in more detail, in our Fermi Paradox video. 77 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:27,580 Assumption four, 78 00:05:27,580 --> 00:05:31,120 super advanced civilizations, want to run simulations. 79 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:36,380 When we speak of posthuman civilizations, we don't know what we're dealing with 80 00:05:37,060 --> 00:05:41,540 To think we know what beings as powerful as gods want, is pretty arrogant. 81 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:46,200 Imagine the smartest ant on earth living next to an amusement park, 82 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:49,860 It's curious about what humans are up to, so you try to explain. 83 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:53,880 Unfortunately, the ant just doesn't understand. 84 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:58,600 The concept of rollercoasters and standing in lines and holidays and fun, 85 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:01,200 doesn't make sense to an ant living an ant life. 86 00:06:02,180 --> 00:06:05,140 It's the same with us and a posthuman being, 87 00:06:05,140 --> 00:06:07,640 compared to them, we are ants. 88 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:12,100 Running simulations for fun or science, might be an absurdly stupid idea to them. 89 00:06:12,860 --> 00:06:19,900 But, if they do want to run simulations for whatever reasons and assumptions one, two, three are true too, 90 00:06:19,900 --> 00:06:23,740 then the chances are not zero that you are living inside a simulation. 91 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:26,540 Assumption five, 92 00:06:26,540 --> 00:06:30,900 if there are a lot of simulations, you are probably inside a simulation. 93 00:06:32,060 --> 00:06:36,620 if there are simulated civilizations, It's likely that there are a lot of them. 94 00:06:36,620 --> 00:06:41,900 After all, we assume that post human beings have access to practically unlimited computing power. 95 00:06:42,340 --> 00:06:47,360 So if they run simulations, it would be convenient to run millions or even billions of them. 96 00:06:47,740 --> 00:06:52,940 If there are billions of simulated universes, there are probably trillions and trillions of 97 00:06:52,940 --> 00:06:54,460 simulated conscious beings. 98 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:59,100 which would mean that the vast majority of all conscious beings that will ever have existed, 99 00:06:59,100 --> 00:07:00,200 are simulated. 100 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:05,680 So, for every conscious being made of flesh, a billion simulated ones exists. 101 00:07:07,300 --> 00:07:10,560 Since we have no way of knowing if we are simulated or not, 102 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,660 in this case, the chances of you being one of the nine hundred and ninety nine million 103 00:07:13,660 --> 00:07:18,340 nine hundred and ninety nine thousand nine hundred ninety nine simulated ones, are pretty high. 104 00:07:18,340 --> 00:07:22,860 So, what you consider reality, might not be real at all 105 00:07:22,860 --> 00:07:24,300 You really might be... 106 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:26,080 simulated. 107 00:07:26,780 --> 00:07:30,820 All of this is based on a lot of assumptions that we can't really test right now 108 00:07:30,820 --> 00:07:34,080 So many scientists disagree with this whole thought experiment. 109 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:38,300 So don't burn your house down to test if there will be glitches. 110 00:07:38,300 --> 00:07:42,000 If you are simulated, not that much changes for you 111 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,900 you might be on a small planet speeding through eternal nothingness, 112 00:07:44,900 --> 00:07:47,080 or a simulation inside a computer. 113 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,980 your existence does not become more or less scary and bizarre. 114 00:07:51,580 --> 00:07:54,940 All we can hope to do is try to live good lives, and have a good time. 115 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:59,200 And hope that if we actually are simulations in a supercomputer, 116 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:01,300 nobody trips over the power cable. 117 00:08:04,300 --> 00:08:08,840 Oh, oh, oh no, I think I just unplugged the simulation 118 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:17,000 But what if that doesn't matter, what if we are in one right now? What if you are simulated? 119 00:08:18,260 --> 00:08:21,200 Jake, over at Vsauce3 is looking into that. 120 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:23,960 Click here to watch his video and subscribe to his channel. 121 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:38,560 Why are you still here? go over to Vsauce3 watch the video and subscribe, 122 00:08:38,560 --> 00:08:40,720 we promise, it's worth your time...11748

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