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(intense music)
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‐ [Narrator] Earthquakes.
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(people screaming)
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So devastating.
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So unpredictable.
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‐ [Man] Seismologists are
as surprised as anybody
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when they actually happen.
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‐ [Narrator] That even
the pros stay on guard.
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(explosions booming)
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From survival.
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‐ [Narrator] To impact.
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‐ [Man] Some events are so big
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that they literally
break the system.
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‐ [Narrator] The effects
can be apocalyptic.
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(intense music)
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Earth, air, fire, and water,
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essential for human survival,
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but in their
extreme, destructive
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to everything, and
everyone in their path.
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‐ [Man] Coming down,
right now, major tornado.
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‐ [Man] Yeah, that's a monster.
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‐ [Narrator] These are stories.
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‐ [Man] Oh big tower of wet.
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‐ Wow.
‐ Whoa, whoa!
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‐ [Narrator] Of
Apocalypse Earth.
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Earthquakes,
powerful, spontaneous,
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deadly, and profound.
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When the planet shifts position,
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everything on it
must accommodate,
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or face destruction.
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And when it comes to earthquake
activity on the planet,
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there's no place as extensive
as the Ring of Fire.
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The Ring of Fire is an arc
of tectonic plate boundaries
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that line the fringes
of the Pacific Ocean.
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It extends 25,000 miles,
from South America
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along Central and North
America's West Coast,
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north to Alaska, and then
down through Russia, Japan,
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and Southeast Asia, all
the way to New Zealand.
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90% of all earthquakes
occur along this line,
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as well as 81% of
the world's largest.
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Up north of the American coast
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of the Ring of Fire sits Alaska,
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the most earthquake prone
in the United States.
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It's also one of the
most seismically active
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regions in the world.
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But when it comes to
earthquake activity
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within the United States,
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it's California that
comes to mind most often.
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In part, because of the
history of earthquakes
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that have rocked the City
of Angels over the years.
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(rock music)
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Los Angeles is the biggest
city in California,
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and the second
largest in America.
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Its beautiful weather,
beaches, and strong economy
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have attracted 13 million people
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to make the metro
area their home.
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But seismologists believe
the city is in jeopardy.
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Not from the infamous
San Andreas Fault,
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but the more recently
identified Puente Hills Fault.
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Earthquakes occur in California,
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because beneath the surface
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of this beautiful
state are faults.
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These consist of
tectonic plates,
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continually pushing against
each other, creating stress.
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Eventually, that stress
has to be relieved,
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and when that happens,
the release of energy
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and movement is an earthquake.
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(earth rumbling)
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(trolley clangs)
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‐ [Narrator] A century ago,
the very first California city
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to experience a major
quake was San Francisco.
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In 1906, the San Andreas
Fault, unknown at the time,
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literally split the earth open.
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That earthquake rocked the
Bay Area on April 18th,
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and measured a magnitude
7.9 on the Richter scale.
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‐ The most costly disaster
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in the history of
the United States.
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Loss of lives anywhere
from 3,000 up to 18,000,
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so it was quite significant
in terms of the losses.
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‐ [Narrator] Over 80% of
the city was destroyed,
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as a result of devastating
fires caused by the shaker.
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The fires lasted
for several days,
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leaving more than half of
the population homeless.
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The Bay Area earthquake
is considered
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one of the deadliest
in US history.
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(eerie music)
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Southern California
has experienced
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several major earthquakes
of its own, as well.
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‐ If you live in
earthquake country,
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you have to just learn to
accept that these things happen,
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and that there are
unpredictabilities in your life.
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‐ [Narrator] The Golden State's
temblors come in all sizes,
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and happen all the time.
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Hard to imagine, but California
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has some 37,000
earthquakes every year.
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About 100 per day.
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Most of them are
under magnitude four,
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too minor to feel.
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Seismologists use
a numerical scale,
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known as the Richter scale
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to quantify the
power of earthquakes.
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Charles Richter
and Beno Gutenberg
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determined the magnitude
of an earthquake
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could be calculated based upon
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the amplitude of seismic waves
recorded by seismographs.
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Each whole number
increase in magnitude
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represents a 10 fold increase
in measured amplitude.
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In other words, a 5.0
magnitude earthquake
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is about 10 times the
amplitude of a 4.0.
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And while seismic impact of
earthquakes can be measured,
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when they will
occur still cannot.
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‐ We do not know how
to predict earthquakes
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in the short term.
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We can't tell you when an
earthquake is going to happen.
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We try and forecast
them in the long term,
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but seismologists are
as surprised as anybody
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when they actually happen.
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‐ Earthquakes scare us
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because they're the ultimate
out of control experience.
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We're always more afraid
of what we don't control.
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(intense music)
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‐ [Narrator] If the Puente
Hills thrust fault ruptures,
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it could cause a
major earthquake
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that would have
devastating consequences,
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especially for the
millions of people
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who live and work in the Los
Angeles metropolitan area.
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‐ If we had this
seven plus earthquake,
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downtown Los Angeles
would actually move
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by maybe five, six,
maybe even 10 feet.
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(intense music)
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‐ [Narrator] A sobering
prospect, but not far‐fetched.
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Earthquakes in Southern
California have been occurring
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for hundreds of
millions of years.
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For the most part, that's how
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the various mountain
ranges were formed.
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The biggest known earthquake
in Southern California
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occurred in 1857.
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By studying how it
deformed the local geology,
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scientists determined
it was a 7.9 quake.
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But because the area was so
sparsely populated at the time,
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only two deaths were recorded.
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‐ That earthquake was probably
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larger than the 1906 earthquake,
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and if it happened today,
it would be a disaster.
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‐ LA's never seen an
earthquake like that,
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but we have had a
whole succession
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of smaller earthquakes,
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but they've all taught us
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important lessons in
one way or another.
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For example, one of the
most important earthquakes
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in the history of the world
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was the 1933 Long
Beach earthquake.
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‐ [Narrator] In 1933, the
population of Los Angeles
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was around 1.2 million.
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On March 10th, at 5:55 p. m.,
a 6.4 magnitude earthquake
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occurred on the Newport
Inglewood fault zone.
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The quake itself
lasted five seconds,
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with about 10 seconds
of ground shaking,
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and it resulted in 120 deaths.
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Many of these fatalities
occurred as people
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ran out of buildings, and
were hit by falling debris.
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This footage from a
W. C. Fields movie,
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which was being filmed that day,
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is the only real time
recording made of the event.
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The quake caused 50 million
dollars in property damage,
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much of it to structures
made of unreinforced masonry.
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Many of them were
school buildings.
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(somber music)
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‐ Now fortunately, school
was not in session,
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so children weren't
killed by the hundreds,
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but parents were so
freaked out by this
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that they lobbied
the state legislature
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to enact the world's
first building codes.
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‐ [Narrator] The earthquake
eliminated all doubts
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regarding the need for
quake‐resistant design
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for structures in California.
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‐ There had been a
law in Long Beach
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requiring buildings to be made
out of brick for fire safety.
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So they were
particularly hard hit
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when this earthquake
happened, and we now recognize
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that mortar just dissolves
in an earthquake.
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‐ After the Long
Beach earthquake,
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California enacted legislation,
the so‐called Field Act,
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that improved the
building codes,
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and set strict guidelines
for public structures
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such as school buildings.
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‐ [Narrator] Another
bill was later introduced
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to require that
earthquake precautions
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be taken for all
California buildings.
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This was known as the Riley Act,
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which became law
on May 27th, 1933.
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‐ Following the 1933
Long Beach earthquake,
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there was a long period
of seismic quiet in LA.
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Almost 40 years of
nothing, no earthquakes.
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Interestingly, that coincides
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00:09:37,343 --> 00:09:39,679
with when LA really
exploded in population.
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‐ [Narrator] But in 1971,
Southern California residents
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were reminded that they
live in earthquake country.
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The area was hit
by a massive quake,
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bigger than the last one.
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On February ninth, a
6.7 magnitude earthquake
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occurred on the San
Fernando Fault Zone.
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00:10:01,101 --> 00:10:05,004
Known as the Sylmar Quake, it
was caused by a reverse fault,
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00:10:05,138 --> 00:10:07,140
a type of thrust fault that has
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00:10:07,273 --> 00:10:10,009
an extremely high angle
of vertical movement.
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‐ Here in Southern California,
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we also have a network
of reverse faults
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that create our mountains.
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00:10:17,417 --> 00:10:20,420
It shows us that these
mountain front faults,
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the ones that are creating
our high mountains,
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pose a very significant risk
to the Los Angeles area.
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00:10:26,292 --> 00:10:28,294
(rubble clattering)
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00:10:28,428 --> 00:10:31,498
‐ [Narrator] The Sylmar
earthquake killed 65 people,
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00:10:31,631 --> 00:10:33,800
and caused more than
half a billion dollars
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00:10:33,933 --> 00:10:35,568
in property damage.
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00:10:35,702 --> 00:10:37,003
It was a wake up call
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00:10:37,137 --> 00:10:39,472
about a particular
kind of construction.
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00:10:39,606 --> 00:10:42,108
(dramatic music)
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00:10:42,242 --> 00:10:46,012
‐ Much of Los Angeles was
built in the 1950s and '60s,
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00:10:46,146 --> 00:10:51,351
and in 1971, we saw that a
very common style of buildings
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00:10:51,484 --> 00:10:55,922
called non‐ductile reinforced
concrete performed very badly.
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00:10:56,055 --> 00:10:57,457
Understatement of the year.
223
00:10:57,590 --> 00:10:59,559
The Olive View Hospital, where
the first floor disappeared,
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00:10:59,692 --> 00:11:03,263
was one of these non‐ductile
reinforced concrete buildings.
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00:11:03,396 --> 00:11:06,599
‐ [Narrator] Non‐ductile is
a technical term for brittle.
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00:11:06,733 --> 00:11:08,268
The last type of structure
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00:11:08,401 --> 00:11:11,371
you'd want to be located
in during an earthquake.
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00:11:12,972 --> 00:11:15,675
In fact, the Olive
View Hospital collapse
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00:11:15,808 --> 00:11:18,645
killed three patients,
and a hospital worker.
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00:11:18,778 --> 00:11:21,681
(sirens wailing)
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00:11:21,814 --> 00:11:23,783
At the time of the
Sylmar earthquake,
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00:11:23,917 --> 00:11:25,151
it was widely believed
233
00:11:25,285 --> 00:11:26,853
that the Field and Riley Acts
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00:11:26,986 --> 00:11:29,556
were sufficient protection
against earthquakes.
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00:11:30,857 --> 00:11:33,026
But while the building
of new brick structures
236
00:11:33,159 --> 00:11:35,695
had been outlawed,
there were still many
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00:11:35,828 --> 00:11:38,631
pre‐existing brick buildings
that were vulnerable.
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00:11:41,935 --> 00:11:44,771
‐ The city of Los Angeles
took the controversial step
239
00:11:44,904 --> 00:11:47,073
of requiring the strengthening
240
00:11:47,207 --> 00:11:50,009
of existing old brick buildings.
241
00:11:50,143 --> 00:11:51,344
‐ [Narrator] As
for the non‐ductile
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00:11:51,477 --> 00:11:53,680
reinforced concrete buildings,
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00:11:53,813 --> 00:11:55,915
that was a different story.
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00:11:56,049 --> 00:11:58,151
Because there were
so many of these
245
00:11:58,284 --> 00:12:00,687
throughout the Los
Angeles metro area,
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00:12:00,820 --> 00:12:04,457
no law was passed requiring
current owners to retrofit.
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00:12:05,892 --> 00:12:08,394
Only that new buildings of
this type could not be built.
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00:12:09,295 --> 00:12:10,597
‐ So it showed us that in fact
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00:12:10,730 --> 00:12:12,398
we had a ways to go in terms of
250
00:12:12,532 --> 00:12:14,534
improving our building codes,
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00:12:14,667 --> 00:12:19,439
and that we needed to be very
careful about our use of land.
252
00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:21,941
‐ [Narrator] After
the earthquake,
253
00:12:22,075 --> 00:12:25,778
the California Legislature
enacted the Alquist‐Priolo Bill,
254
00:12:25,912 --> 00:12:28,881
which required the mapping
of active fault zones.
255
00:12:29,916 --> 00:12:31,618
Whenever faults are found,
256
00:12:31,751 --> 00:12:34,487
they are integrated into
seismic hazard maps.
257
00:12:38,157 --> 00:12:39,659
compelled to review these maps
258
00:12:39,792 --> 00:12:42,662
in order to be aware
of potential risks.
259
00:12:45,665 --> 00:12:47,934
Despite the fact that
the Los Angeles area
260
00:12:48,034 --> 00:12:50,503
had suffered through
two major quakes,
261
00:12:50,637 --> 00:12:54,173
it continued to experience
massive population growth.
262
00:12:56,109 --> 00:13:00,647
By 1987, there were 3.3
million people in the city,
263
00:13:00,780 --> 00:13:03,182
and millions more in
the surrounding areas.
264
00:13:05,618 --> 00:13:09,355
On October 1st,
1987, the LA area
265
00:13:09,489 --> 00:13:12,592
experienced the Whittier
Narrows earthquake.
266
00:13:12,725 --> 00:13:16,963
A 5.9 magnitude event that
occurred on a blind thrust fault
267
00:13:17,096 --> 00:13:20,667
some 16 miles east of
downtown Los Angeles.
268
00:13:22,869 --> 00:13:27,273
Three days later, a magnitude
5.3 aftershock occurred,
269
00:13:27,407 --> 00:13:29,042
causing additional damage.
270
00:13:30,910 --> 00:13:34,514
Three people died as a direct
result of the temblors.
271
00:13:34,647 --> 00:13:36,249
Five other deaths
were attributed
272
00:13:36,382 --> 00:13:38,685
indirectly to these events.
273
00:13:40,787 --> 00:13:43,756
The Whittier Narrows
earthquake in 1987,
274
00:13:43,890 --> 00:13:46,492
and then the Northridge
quake in '94,
275
00:13:46,626 --> 00:13:48,194
once again prompted efforts
276
00:13:48,328 --> 00:13:51,164
to enhance safety and
emergency preparation.
277
00:13:52,999 --> 00:13:56,269
These two quakes also
brought blind thrust faults
278
00:13:56,402 --> 00:13:59,806
to the attention of
seismologists and policy makers.
279
00:13:59,939 --> 00:14:01,140
They determined that a rupture
280
00:14:01,274 --> 00:14:03,276
of the Puente Hills
blind thrust fault
281
00:14:03,409 --> 00:14:07,180
could result in an energy
release some 15 times greater
282
00:14:07,313 --> 00:14:09,649
than that of the
Northridge earthquake,
283
00:14:09,782 --> 00:14:12,752
the worst in Los
Angeles history so far.
284
00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,322
‐ [Man] The Puente Hills
earthquake would be
285
00:14:16,456 --> 00:14:20,093
one of the worst events we can
imagine here in Los Angeles.
286
00:14:24,263 --> 00:14:27,433
(somber music)
287
00:14:27,567 --> 00:14:29,802
‐ [Narrator] When it comes
to earthquake activity,
288
00:14:29,936 --> 00:14:31,671
seismologists do not consider
289
00:14:31,804 --> 00:14:35,708
the Northridge quake
of '94 as the big one.
290
00:14:35,842 --> 00:14:37,477
Nonetheless, it's the worst
291
00:14:37,610 --> 00:14:39,846
Los Angeles has
suffered thus far.
292
00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:45,852
On January 17th,
1994, at 4:30 a. m.,
293
00:14:45,985 --> 00:14:49,489
residents were awakened to a
terrible and powerful rumbling.
294
00:14:51,190 --> 00:14:52,792
The quake, centered
near Northridge,
295
00:14:52,925 --> 00:14:54,994
northwest of
downtown Los Angeles,
296
00:14:55,128 --> 00:14:57,663
had a moderate magnitude of 6.7.
297
00:14:59,866 --> 00:15:01,501
But the ground velocity,
298
00:15:01,634 --> 00:15:03,403
the speed at which a
point on the ground
299
00:15:03,536 --> 00:15:04,971
moved during the shaking,
300
00:15:05,104 --> 00:15:07,473
was the highest ever
instrumentally recorded
301
00:15:07,607 --> 00:15:10,042
in an urban area
in North America.
302
00:15:11,444 --> 00:15:14,514
The actual quake lasted
about seven seconds,
303
00:15:14,647 --> 00:15:16,949
with ground shaking
about twice that long.
304
00:15:18,618 --> 00:15:21,354
In that relatively
short period of time,
305
00:15:21,487 --> 00:15:24,357
the temblor devastated
entire neighborhoods.
306
00:15:26,025 --> 00:15:27,427
But its path of destruction
307
00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:29,662
seemed to hopscotch
across the city.
308
00:15:31,597 --> 00:15:35,001
‐ We understand these
variations to be associated
309
00:15:35,134 --> 00:15:38,438
with the complexities of
the earthquake itself,
310
00:15:38,571 --> 00:15:40,940
as well as the earth
beneath our feet.
311
00:15:41,073 --> 00:15:44,877
I mean, some places have very
weak soils, and shake a lot.
312
00:15:46,679 --> 00:15:50,616
Others are on hard rock, and
the shaking is not so bad.
313
00:15:50,750 --> 00:15:53,186
The Northridge
earthquake indicated
314
00:15:53,319 --> 00:15:55,888
how variable those
processes can be.
315
00:15:58,724 --> 00:16:01,494
‐ [Narrator] Closer to the
epicenter, the powerful shaking
316
00:16:01,627 --> 00:16:04,063
caused an apartment
complex to collapse.
317
00:16:04,197 --> 00:16:06,766
(somber music)
318
00:16:12,171 --> 00:16:14,140
16 residents were killed.
319
00:16:18,177 --> 00:16:20,313
Office buildings also collapsed.
320
00:16:23,382 --> 00:16:26,686
But due to the early hour,
hardly anyone was at work.
321
00:16:28,321 --> 00:16:29,956
‐ Everybody was in
their wooden houses,
322
00:16:30,089 --> 00:16:32,358
and our wooden houses
are amazing structures
323
00:16:32,492 --> 00:16:34,660
to resist earthquakes.
324
00:16:34,794 --> 00:16:37,263
‐ [Narrator] Had the quake
occurred four hours later,
325
00:16:37,396 --> 00:16:39,065
when people were up and about,
326
00:16:39,198 --> 00:16:40,967
perhaps thousands
would have been killed
327
00:16:41,100 --> 00:16:42,235
throughout the city.
328
00:16:42,368 --> 00:16:44,237
(eerie music)
329
00:16:44,370 --> 00:16:47,406
Aftershocks triggered the
collapse of many structures,
330
00:16:47,540 --> 00:16:50,576
already weakened by
the initial shock.
331
00:16:50,710 --> 00:16:53,579
The quake challenged some
longstanding assumptions.
332
00:16:53,713 --> 00:16:57,483
It damaged at least 120
steel frame high‐rises,
333
00:16:57,617 --> 00:16:59,752
which were supposed
to withstand a quake.
334
00:17:01,587 --> 00:17:05,725
The steel was expected to
absorb the vibrations, and bend.
335
00:17:05,858 --> 00:17:07,960
Instead, there were fractures.
336
00:17:09,228 --> 00:17:10,963
‐ The connections
between the columns
337
00:17:11,097 --> 00:17:12,698
and the beams came loose,
338
00:17:12,832 --> 00:17:14,700
and those connections
are quite critical
339
00:17:14,834 --> 00:17:18,938
to maintain the lateral
resistance of the building.
340
00:17:20,306 --> 00:17:21,440
‐ [Narrator] Some
of these structures
341
00:17:21,574 --> 00:17:23,643
were 20 miles from
the epicenter,
342
00:17:23,776 --> 00:17:25,978
the initial point of
the quake's rupture.
343
00:17:27,179 --> 00:17:28,781
But distance from the epicenter
344
00:17:28,915 --> 00:17:31,951
has been a confusing issue
for the general public.
345
00:17:32,084 --> 00:17:35,688
In actuality, it is the
distance from the fault plane,
346
00:17:35,821 --> 00:17:38,691
the entire length of the
moving tectonic plates
347
00:17:38,824 --> 00:17:40,960
that often determines damage.
348
00:17:41,093 --> 00:17:42,862
‐ There are usually
other parts of the fault
349
00:17:42,995 --> 00:17:44,931
that give off more energy
than the epicenter,
350
00:17:45,064 --> 00:17:47,967
'cause it builds up steam,
and is rupturing out
351
00:17:48,067 --> 00:17:50,603
so that the maximum energy
release in Northridge
352
00:17:50,736 --> 00:17:52,371
was coming out under Chatsworth,
353
00:17:52,505 --> 00:17:54,941
and up under the
Granada Hills area.
354
00:17:56,409 --> 00:17:59,345
‐ [Narrator] And yet, there
was major damage to the south.
355
00:17:59,478 --> 00:18:02,148
Part of the Santa Monica
freeway collapsed.
356
00:18:03,382 --> 00:18:06,252
‐ That freeway overpass
looked a little isolated
357
00:18:06,385 --> 00:18:07,753
from the rest of the damage.
358
00:18:07,887 --> 00:18:11,290
As it turns out, it's in
an area we call La Cienega,
359
00:18:11,424 --> 00:18:13,759
which means in
Spanish, the swamp,
360
00:18:13,893 --> 00:18:16,295
and it turns out that
soft, swampy materials
361
00:18:16,429 --> 00:18:19,098
tend to experience
larger ground shaking.
362
00:18:20,700 --> 00:18:24,437
‐ [Narrator] Subsequent to
the quake, 680,000 residents
363
00:18:24,570 --> 00:18:28,741
were without power, gas,
water, or telephone service,
364
00:18:28,874 --> 00:18:31,510
and lacked these
utilities for days.
365
00:18:32,945 --> 00:18:34,680
The Northridge
earthquake proved to be
366
00:18:34,814 --> 00:18:37,817
the most costly quake in
United States history.
367
00:18:40,019 --> 00:18:42,421
40 billion dollars in damages,
368
00:18:42,555 --> 00:18:47,526
with 63 related deaths,
and 12,000 injured.
369
00:18:49,595 --> 00:18:51,030
Previous to this quake,
370
00:18:51,163 --> 00:18:53,132
seismologists
had focused primarily
371
00:18:53,265 --> 00:18:56,035
on areas vulnerable to
the San Andreas fault.
372
00:18:57,803 --> 00:18:59,005
But the Northridge earthquake
373
00:18:59,138 --> 00:19:02,108
persuaded scientists
to widen their scope.
374
00:19:03,009 --> 00:19:04,410
‐ It occurred in a place
375
00:19:04,543 --> 00:19:07,313
where we didn't
expect such an event.
376
00:19:07,446 --> 00:19:12,218
In particular, it was on
a buried fault structure
377
00:19:12,351 --> 00:19:14,854
that has vertical motion.
378
00:19:14,987 --> 00:19:18,257
We call these types of
structures blind thrust faults.
379
00:19:19,492 --> 00:19:20,693
‐ [Narrator] That's a
fault which is buried
380
00:19:20,826 --> 00:19:23,963
below the surface,
hence the name blind,
381
00:19:24,096 --> 00:19:27,533
and consists of two
tectonic plates.
382
00:19:27,667 --> 00:19:31,470
In a rupture, one will
grind up and over the other.
383
00:19:31,604 --> 00:19:32,972
‐ These are faults
that, you know,
384
00:19:33,105 --> 00:19:34,607
they're not as big as the San
Andreas, but they're right,
385
00:19:34,740 --> 00:19:36,042
literally in the case of
the Puente Hills thrust,
386
00:19:36,175 --> 00:19:37,743
directly beneath the city.
387
00:19:39,211 --> 00:19:40,846
‐ [Narrator] The Puente
Hills blind thrust fault,
388
00:19:40,980 --> 00:19:45,384
aimed at a 45 degree angle from
below downtown Los Angeles,
389
00:19:45,518 --> 00:19:48,187
is a sleeping
geological monster.
390
00:19:50,122 --> 00:19:52,224
‐ Of any potential earthquakes
in the United States,
391
00:19:52,358 --> 00:19:54,760
Puente Hills is really
the most threatening.
392
00:19:56,896 --> 00:19:59,131
‐ [Narrator] Seismologists
believe that this monster
393
00:19:59,265 --> 00:20:02,168
could wake up, and
unleash a deadly force,
394
00:20:02,301 --> 00:20:06,572
the likes of which Los Angeles
has never before experienced.
395
00:20:06,706 --> 00:20:09,341
(intense music)
396
00:20:14,814 --> 00:20:16,816
‐ [Narrator] For decades,
Southern Californians
397
00:20:16,949 --> 00:20:20,252
have lived with the fact
that earthquakes will come.
398
00:20:20,386 --> 00:20:22,054
They will strike
without warning,
399
00:20:22,188 --> 00:20:24,557
and cause death and destruction.
400
00:20:24,690 --> 00:20:27,593
So geologists and seismologists,
401
00:20:27,727 --> 00:20:30,730
in anticipation of
the next big one,
402
00:20:30,863 --> 00:20:32,364
are in a race against time
403
00:20:32,498 --> 00:20:35,101
to determine where
the faults are,
404
00:20:35,234 --> 00:20:36,869
and what they're
capable of doing.
405
00:20:38,471 --> 00:20:41,874
Following the 1987 Whittier
Narrows earthquake,
406
00:20:42,007 --> 00:20:44,643
and the 1994 Northridge quake,
407
00:20:44,777 --> 00:20:47,446
seismologists became
increasingly aware
408
00:20:47,580 --> 00:20:50,883
of a threat from not just
the San Andreas fault.
409
00:20:51,917 --> 00:20:53,519
This animation, created by
410
00:20:53,652 --> 00:20:55,988
the Southern California
Earthquake Center,
411
00:20:56,122 --> 00:20:58,724
provides a comprehensive
look at the problem.
412
00:20:59,625 --> 00:21:01,360
The San Andreas is depicted
413
00:21:01,494 --> 00:21:04,864
by the colored diagonal ribbon
in the center of the screen.
414
00:21:04,997 --> 00:21:07,800
Each one of the
other colored ribbons
415
00:21:07,933 --> 00:21:11,103
represents the new
threat, a vast network
416
00:21:11,237 --> 00:21:15,307
of blind thrust faults below
the LA metro area, and beyond.
417
00:21:16,475 --> 00:21:19,378
Using a technique called
seismic reflection,
418
00:21:19,512 --> 00:21:23,249
Harvard University professor
and seismologist John Shaw,
419
00:21:23,382 --> 00:21:26,418
and University of
California at San Diego
420
00:21:26,552 --> 00:21:28,087
professor Peter Shearer,
421
00:21:28,220 --> 00:21:29,722
were able to discover
the existence
422
00:21:29,855 --> 00:21:32,458
of the previously unknown
Puente Hills blind thrust fault.
423
00:21:36,195 --> 00:21:40,099
It runs 25 to 30 miles from
Northern Orange County,
424
00:21:40,232 --> 00:21:41,967
through downtown Los Angeles,
425
00:21:42,067 --> 00:21:43,969
and all the way
to Beverly Hills.
426
00:21:45,905 --> 00:21:50,509
Seismologists now believe the
1987 Whittier Narrows quake
427
00:21:50,643 --> 00:21:54,346
was actually a partial rupture
of the Puente Hills fault.
428
00:21:55,815 --> 00:21:58,784
Subsequent study revealed
it has ruptured many times,
429
00:21:58,918 --> 00:22:00,653
over thousands of years.
430
00:22:01,821 --> 00:22:03,055
‐ We're standing
above the eastern end
431
00:22:03,189 --> 00:22:04,557
of the Puente Hills
blind thrust fault.
432
00:22:04,690 --> 00:22:06,792
You can't see anything where
we're walking right here,
433
00:22:06,926 --> 00:22:08,794
but the reason the
road behind me rises up
434
00:22:08,928 --> 00:22:11,297
is because this hill
behind me has been uplifted
435
00:22:11,430 --> 00:22:12,565
in hundreds of earthquakes
436
00:22:12,698 --> 00:22:14,466
on the Puente Hills
blind thrust fault.
437
00:22:15,601 --> 00:22:17,770
‐ [Narrator] It's unlike
a strike slip fault,
438
00:22:17,903 --> 00:22:21,540
like the San Andreas, which
consists of two tectonic plates
439
00:22:21,674 --> 00:22:24,076
on a horizontal orientation.
440
00:22:25,244 --> 00:22:28,147
A thrust fault
consists of two planes,
441
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,117
and when it ruptures, one
rises up above the other,
442
00:22:32,251 --> 00:22:34,253
causing the earth
to rise above it,
443
00:22:34,386 --> 00:22:36,655
and stay that way permanently.
444
00:22:36,789 --> 00:22:38,591
(eerie music)
445
00:22:38,724 --> 00:22:41,760
A rupture of a larger portion
of the Puente Hills fault
446
00:22:41,894 --> 00:22:43,796
could cause widespread disaster
447
00:22:43,929 --> 00:22:48,334
the likes of which we haven't
seen in a modern era quake.
448
00:22:48,467 --> 00:22:50,936
‐ If you tried to design
the worst possible fault
449
00:22:51,070 --> 00:22:53,906
in the worst possible
location for Los Angeles,
450
00:22:54,039 --> 00:22:56,909
you'd come up with the
Puente Hills blind thrust.
451
00:22:57,042 --> 00:22:58,344
‐ [Narrator] To
understand it further,
452
00:22:58,477 --> 00:23:01,180
the Southern California
Earthquake Center
453
00:23:01,313 --> 00:23:04,149
commissioned seismologist
Robert Graves
454
00:23:04,283 --> 00:23:07,853
to create a computer model
of probability scenarios.
455
00:23:09,722 --> 00:23:13,058
By feeding it with data about
the fault's characteristics,
456
00:23:13,192 --> 00:23:14,827
and the geological conditions
457
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,429
throughout the LA area, it shows
458
00:23:17,563 --> 00:23:20,833
how a Puente Hills thrust
fault rupture would spread.
459
00:23:22,167 --> 00:23:23,802
‐ What we're looking
at in the animation
460
00:23:23,936 --> 00:23:26,906
is we see the ground
begins to shake
461
00:23:27,039 --> 00:23:28,540
as the earthquake starts,
462
00:23:28,674 --> 00:23:30,075
and there are some
small ripples,
463
00:23:30,209 --> 00:23:31,310
and they begin to propagate out
464
00:23:31,443 --> 00:23:34,380
from the area around
the epicenter.
465
00:23:34,513 --> 00:23:38,884
What is very striking is
that as the waves propagate
466
00:23:39,018 --> 00:23:40,486
away from the earthquake,
467
00:23:40,619 --> 00:23:43,422
they are actually interacting
with the geological layers
468
00:23:43,555 --> 00:23:46,458
in the sedimentary
structure of the LA basin.
469
00:23:46,592 --> 00:23:48,894
The waves become trapped, and
they start bouncing around,
470
00:23:49,028 --> 00:23:51,931
and they actually build up
very large ground motions,
471
00:23:52,064 --> 00:23:53,198
very large waves.
472
00:23:54,667 --> 00:23:57,403
‐ [Narrator] According to the
results of the simulations,
473
00:23:58,537 --> 00:24:00,706
a Puente Hills thrust
fault earthquake
474
00:24:00,839 --> 00:24:03,809
could result in
250 billion dollars
475
00:24:03,943 --> 00:24:05,444
worth of property damage.
476
00:24:09,048 --> 00:24:12,051
Seismologists have even
turned to NASA for help.
477
00:24:13,185 --> 00:24:15,587
Incredibly, the
geology of earthquakes
478
00:24:15,721 --> 00:24:18,857
can be studied from outer space.
479
00:24:18,991 --> 00:24:21,493
GPS satellites send signals,
480
00:24:21,627 --> 00:24:25,164
which help scientists to
continually map the earth.
481
00:24:26,298 --> 00:24:28,634
By comparing the data over time,
482
00:24:28,767 --> 00:24:31,737
minute changes in certain
areas are revealed.
483
00:24:33,105 --> 00:24:35,507
Using this method,
scientists have concluded
484
00:24:35,641 --> 00:24:38,711
that the land surface of Los
Angeles is being squeezed
485
00:24:38,844 --> 00:24:42,614
at a rate of .2 inches per year.
486
00:24:42,748 --> 00:24:47,052
So, at that rate, when
will Puente Hills erupt?
487
00:24:47,186 --> 00:24:49,021
‐ Good news is that
our research suggests
488
00:24:49,154 --> 00:24:51,156
that this thing only
generates large earthquakes
489
00:24:51,290 --> 00:24:52,424
every few thousand years,
490
00:24:52,558 --> 00:24:54,560
so they're extremely
rare events.
491
00:24:54,693 --> 00:24:55,995
The flip side of
that, the bad news,
492
00:24:56,128 --> 00:24:58,998
is that when they occur,
they appear to be very large.
493
00:24:59,131 --> 00:25:00,866
Something well in excess
of magnitude seven,
494
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,469
possibly as large
as magnitude 7.5.
495
00:25:03,602 --> 00:25:06,572
(intense music)
496
00:25:06,705 --> 00:25:07,873
‐ [Narrator]
Studies of a rupture
497
00:25:08,007 --> 00:25:10,909
of the Puente Hills
fault are grim.
498
00:25:11,043 --> 00:25:13,345
The losses predicted
are for a disaster
499
00:25:13,479 --> 00:25:18,450
10 to 15 times greater than
the 1994 Northridge earthquake.
500
00:25:19,651 --> 00:25:22,388
Clearly, it would put
LA to the ultimate test.
501
00:25:24,456 --> 00:25:27,993
The state spent billions after
the 1994 Northridge quake
502
00:25:28,127 --> 00:25:32,097
to retrofit more than
2,100 freeway overpasses.
503
00:25:32,231 --> 00:25:34,867
(ominous music)
504
00:25:35,968 --> 00:25:38,570
But, are the citizens
of LA prepared?
505
00:25:40,672 --> 00:25:43,308
‐ We can't imagine that
the boys in white hats
506
00:25:43,442 --> 00:25:44,743
are gonna come
riding in to save us
507
00:25:44,877 --> 00:25:46,779
after a large event.
508
00:25:46,912 --> 00:25:49,281
We saw in Katrina, that in fact,
509
00:25:49,415 --> 00:25:52,384
some events are so big that
they literally break the system.
510
00:25:53,419 --> 00:25:54,887
(intense music)
511
00:25:55,020 --> 00:25:56,722
‐ [Narrator] In a
worst case scenario,
512
00:25:56,855 --> 00:25:59,825
Southern Californians who
survive the initial impact
513
00:25:59,958 --> 00:26:02,161
of a major quake
will have to cope
514
00:26:02,294 --> 00:26:04,096
with a difficult aftermath.
515
00:26:05,297 --> 00:26:06,899
They'll be better
equipped if they've
516
00:26:07,032 --> 00:26:08,801
heeded the advice of experts
517
00:26:08,934 --> 00:26:11,070
to take the
initiative to prepare.
518
00:26:12,204 --> 00:26:14,039
The big one will happen.
519
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:17,943
It's not a matter
of if, but when.
520
00:26:20,746 --> 00:26:21,880
(helicopter whirring)
521
00:26:22,014 --> 00:26:24,216
Northern California
had its own reminder
522
00:26:24,349 --> 00:26:27,519
of earthquake
volatility back in 1989.
523
00:26:27,653 --> 00:26:30,622
The devastation was
massive, but baseball,
524
00:26:30,756 --> 00:26:33,325
literally, helped save the day.
525
00:26:33,459 --> 00:26:36,095
(intense music)
526
00:26:39,898 --> 00:26:43,235
It's a perfect day for baseball
in Northern California.
527
00:26:43,368 --> 00:26:46,171
As inter city rivals,
the San Francisco Giants,
528
00:26:46,305 --> 00:26:47,906
and the Oakland As gear up
529
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,210
for game three of the
1989 World Series.
530
00:26:52,611 --> 00:26:55,647
The whole city is watching,
but fans have no idea
531
00:26:55,781 --> 00:27:00,185
that Mother Earth is about
to take a game ending swing.
532
00:27:00,319 --> 00:27:03,055
(dramatic music)
533
00:27:05,424 --> 00:27:09,995
60 miles away, the San
Andreas fault suddenly snaps.
534
00:27:10,129 --> 00:27:12,865
(earth rumbling)
535
00:27:15,868 --> 00:27:18,704
The deadly fault runs almost
the length of California,
536
00:27:18,837 --> 00:27:21,607
and directly underneath
San Francisco.
537
00:27:21,740 --> 00:27:23,609
(intense music)
538
00:27:23,742 --> 00:27:27,779
At a magnitude 6.9, this is
the most powerful earthquake
539
00:27:27,913 --> 00:27:29,014
in nearly a century.
540
00:27:30,482 --> 00:27:33,318
It quickly spreads terror and
destruction across the city.
541
00:27:33,452 --> 00:27:36,488
(flames crackling)
542
00:27:36,622 --> 00:27:40,792
(sirens wailing)
‐ Are you okay?
543
00:27:40,926 --> 00:27:42,027
(dramatic music)
544
00:27:42,161 --> 00:27:43,562
‐ [Narrator] On the
two level Bay Bridge,
545
00:27:43,695 --> 00:27:45,797
a 50 foot section
of the upper deck
546
00:27:45,931 --> 00:27:47,299
collapses without warning.
547
00:27:48,834 --> 00:27:50,435
The enormity of the disaster
548
00:27:50,569 --> 00:27:52,704
leaves Oakland Fire
Lieutenant Mark Hoffman
549
00:27:52,838 --> 00:27:54,006
and his crew stunned.
550
00:27:56,909 --> 00:28:00,078
The violent shaking destroys
a mile and a quarter section
551
00:28:00,212 --> 00:28:02,181
of the double decker
Nimitz freeway,
552
00:28:02,314 --> 00:28:05,484
causing the upper level to
crash onto the lower level,
553
00:28:05,617 --> 00:28:07,586
and hundreds of vehicles below.
554
00:28:15,127 --> 00:28:16,094
‐ [Narrator]
Rescuers desperately
555
00:28:16,228 --> 00:28:18,030
try to locate trapped motorists.
556
00:28:19,598 --> 00:28:22,000
‐ There was a zone
about four feet deep
557
00:28:22,134 --> 00:28:25,037
over most of the length
of the collapsed area.
558
00:28:25,170 --> 00:28:27,606
Every 75 or 100 feet or so,
559
00:28:27,739 --> 00:28:29,775
there was a deep
beam that came down,
560
00:28:29,908 --> 00:28:31,910
and of course crushed
anything under it,
561
00:28:32,044 --> 00:28:35,280
but that also provided
this confined space
562
00:28:35,414 --> 00:28:37,649
in which people could survive.
563
00:28:39,017 --> 00:28:40,619
‐ [Narrator] Underneath
all that rubble,
564
00:28:40,752 --> 00:28:43,121
Tim Petersen fights
for his life.
565
00:28:43,255 --> 00:28:45,524
The injured man is
battling broken ribs,
566
00:28:45,657 --> 00:28:48,227
a punctured lung, and
internal bleeding.
567
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:49,828
‐ It's hard to even breath.
568
00:28:49,962 --> 00:28:51,563
The lung is leaking air,
569
00:28:51,697 --> 00:28:53,632
so I figured there
was no surviving it.
570
00:28:53,765 --> 00:28:55,934
It was gonna kill me.
571
00:28:56,034 --> 00:28:57,636
‐ [Narrator] After
six agonizing hours,
572
00:28:57,769 --> 00:28:59,438
there's a glimmer of hope.
573
00:28:59,571 --> 00:29:01,406
‐ I can hear all
these sounds above,
574
00:29:01,540 --> 00:29:02,908
so I was yelling to them,
575
00:29:03,041 --> 00:29:05,877
and somebody did crawl down
and finally yelled to me
576
00:29:06,011 --> 00:29:07,446
and said, "Hey, I'm
gonna go get somebody.
577
00:29:07,579 --> 00:29:10,349
"I can't believe there's
anybody alive down in here."
578
00:29:10,482 --> 00:29:11,984
‐ [Narrator] The
firefighter finds a path
579
00:29:12,117 --> 00:29:13,252
through the debris.
580
00:29:13,385 --> 00:29:15,420
‐ It's a small tunnel
you had to crawl into
581
00:29:15,554 --> 00:29:16,855
to get to where I was.
582
00:29:18,257 --> 00:29:19,891
I mean, you can't describe
somebody crawling down in there.
583
00:29:20,025 --> 00:29:21,293
This thing is still falling,
584
00:29:21,426 --> 00:29:22,728
and I mean talk about
risking your life,
585
00:29:22,861 --> 00:29:24,329
talk about a hero.
586
00:29:24,463 --> 00:29:25,764
‐ Get out of the way!
587
00:29:25,897 --> 00:29:28,300
‐ Remarkably, there
were only 42 fatalities
588
00:29:28,433 --> 00:29:30,002
in the Cypress structure.
589
00:29:31,403 --> 00:29:33,372
Considering how many
cars could've been there,
590
00:29:33,505 --> 00:29:35,207
this is a remarkably low number.
591
00:29:35,340 --> 00:29:37,909
(somber music)
592
00:29:47,319 --> 00:29:49,121
‐ [Man] Diane, give me a
three point search here.
593
00:29:49,254 --> 00:29:51,356
‐ [Narrator] Despite
the horrific human toll,
594
00:29:51,490 --> 00:29:53,625
the catastrophe could've
been much worse.
595
00:29:53,759 --> 00:29:55,794
Had it not been for
the World Series.
596
00:29:57,262 --> 00:29:58,797
‐ The game started at five p. m.,
597
00:29:58,930 --> 00:30:01,300
so most people got off
work early, got home,
598
00:30:01,433 --> 00:30:04,269
and then the earthquake
occurred at 5:04.
599
00:30:04,403 --> 00:30:06,972
So just when the
Interstate 880 freeway
600
00:30:07,105 --> 00:30:08,874
should've been jammed with cars,
601
00:30:09,007 --> 00:30:10,375
it was virtually empty.
602
00:30:10,509 --> 00:30:15,480
(earth rumbling)
(intense music)
603
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,188
‐ [Narrator] New York
is not the first city
604
00:30:23,322 --> 00:30:25,390
that comes to mind
as being at risk
605
00:30:25,524 --> 00:30:27,225
for dangerous earthquakes.
606
00:30:27,359 --> 00:30:30,095
But just a few miles below
the New York City area
607
00:30:30,228 --> 00:30:32,431
lay several earthquake faults.
608
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:40,105
125 years ago, the New York
area was hit by an earthquake.
609
00:30:41,206 --> 00:30:42,541
‐ The largest earthquake
that we know of
610
00:30:42,674 --> 00:30:45,310
historically in New York
City is the 1884 earthquake,
611
00:30:45,444 --> 00:30:46,745
roughly magnitude five.
612
00:30:48,180 --> 00:30:51,083
‐ [Narrator] August 10th,
1884, an earthquake rumbled up
613
00:30:51,216 --> 00:30:53,118
from underneath
the Atlantic Ocean.
614
00:30:53,251 --> 00:30:56,555
The epicenter of the quake was
17 miles south of city hall,
615
00:30:56,688 --> 00:30:58,457
off the coast of Rockaway Beach.
616
00:31:00,625 --> 00:31:03,261
10 o'clock in the morning,
unprepared citizens
617
00:31:03,395 --> 00:31:05,731
across the city were
shocked to find themselves
618
00:31:05,864 --> 00:31:07,132
grabbing for walls,
619
00:31:07,265 --> 00:31:09,000
calming startled
carriage horses,
620
00:31:09,134 --> 00:31:12,437
and ducking from falling
bricks, as the whole city shook.
621
00:31:14,506 --> 00:31:15,974
Thousands of
chimneys in the city
622
00:31:16,108 --> 00:31:18,543
were broken in the
magnitude five quake.
623
00:31:18,677 --> 00:31:21,279
Parapets came down,
windows were shattered.
624
00:31:22,781 --> 00:31:23,515
Luckily, there were very few
625
00:31:23,648 --> 00:31:25,851
injuries, and no fatalities.
626
00:31:27,452 --> 00:31:29,921
The East Coast from New
York south to Maryland,
627
00:31:30,055 --> 00:31:33,091
and north to Vermont was
rocked by seismic waves.
628
00:31:33,225 --> 00:31:36,661
An area covering roughly
70,000 square miles.
629
00:31:37,929 --> 00:31:39,731
In fact, in terms
of seismic hazard,
630
00:31:39,865 --> 00:31:41,500
New York City is
the fourth most
631
00:31:41,633 --> 00:31:43,368
at risk city
in the country,
632
00:31:43,502 --> 00:31:45,203
following
San Francisco,
633
00:31:45,337 --> 00:31:45,971
Los Angeles,
634
00:31:46,104 --> 00:31:47,372
and Seattle.
635
00:31:48,073 --> 00:31:51,810
People sometimes confuse seismic
hazard with seismic risk,
636
00:31:51,943 --> 00:31:53,812
but they are not the same.
637
00:31:53,945 --> 00:31:57,382
‐ Because risk is
really not only defined
638
00:31:57,516 --> 00:31:59,451
by the natural hazard.
639
00:32:00,285 --> 00:32:05,390
There are two more
ingredients that go into risk.
640
00:32:06,024 --> 00:32:06,792
Hazard is one.
641
00:32:07,959 --> 00:32:10,529
The other is the
value of the assets
642
00:32:10,662 --> 00:32:14,499
that are exposed to that hazard,
643
00:32:14,633 --> 00:32:17,969
and there is plenty
of valuable assets
644
00:32:18,103 --> 00:32:22,073
concentrated in the New
York City metropolitan area.
645
00:32:23,975 --> 00:32:26,344
‐ [Narrator] The third
ingredient is the vulnerability,
646
00:32:26,478 --> 00:32:29,281
or what is sometimes called
fragility of those assets
647
00:32:29,414 --> 00:32:31,082
with respect to the hazard.
648
00:32:31,216 --> 00:32:34,286
Meaning seismic shaking
and other seismic hazards.
649
00:32:35,921 --> 00:32:40,492
‐ In this area, roughly
every 100, 250 years
650
00:32:40,625 --> 00:32:42,360
a magnitude five occurs.
651
00:32:42,494 --> 00:32:46,465
Magnitude six is in the
order of 1,000 years.
652
00:32:46,598 --> 00:32:53,038
Magnitude seven are
almost beyond imagination,
653
00:32:53,171 --> 00:32:56,575
but they can,
unfortunately, occur.
654
00:32:59,010 --> 00:33:00,145
‐ [Narrator] On
the Richter scale
655
00:33:00,278 --> 00:33:02,647
that measures an
earthquake's impact,
656
00:33:02,781 --> 00:33:04,883
each whole number
increase in magnitude
657
00:33:05,016 --> 00:33:08,386
represents a tenfold increase
in measured amplitude.
658
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:11,456
In other words, a 5.0
magnitude earthquake
659
00:33:11,590 --> 00:33:14,726
is about 10 times the
amplitude of a 4.0.
660
00:33:17,496 --> 00:33:20,165
Since 1737, at least
six earthquakes
661
00:33:20,298 --> 00:33:24,402
of magnitude 5.1 or higher
have struck New York State.
662
00:33:24,536 --> 00:33:28,473
The 1737 quake was also
centered near New York City,
663
00:33:28,607 --> 00:33:30,375
but New York is not alone.
664
00:33:32,844 --> 00:33:34,579
One of the earliest
recorded events
665
00:33:34,713 --> 00:33:38,517
took place over 250 years
ago in Massachusetts.
666
00:33:38,650 --> 00:33:43,255
An earthquake estimated to
be magnitude 6.0 to 6.3.
667
00:33:44,256 --> 00:33:46,925
‐ For the northeastern
part of the United States,
668
00:33:47,058 --> 00:33:48,793
the earthquake
that really defines
669
00:33:48,927 --> 00:33:52,063
what we think the
earthquake hazard is
670
00:33:52,197 --> 00:33:55,233
is the 1755 Cape Ann earthquake.
671
00:33:55,367 --> 00:33:56,735
We think it was centered
672
00:33:56,868 --> 00:33:59,170
just east of Cape
Ann, Massachusetts.
673
00:33:59,304 --> 00:34:01,840
(tense music)
674
00:34:03,008 --> 00:34:05,110
That earthquake did
major damage in Boston,
675
00:34:05,243 --> 00:34:08,480
in Portsmouth, New
Hampshire, Portland, Maine.
676
00:34:08,613 --> 00:34:11,283
It was felt up to
Halifax, Nova Scotia,
677
00:34:11,416 --> 00:34:14,920
felt down as far south as
Winyah, South Carolina.
678
00:34:15,053 --> 00:34:17,155
‐ [Narrator] Other East
Coast and Midwestern cities
679
00:34:17,289 --> 00:34:19,891
have been devastated
by killer quakes.
680
00:34:23,595 --> 00:34:26,264
‐ There are clusters of
earthquakes in the Carolinas,
681
00:34:26,398 --> 00:34:27,966
South Carolina, North Carolina,
682
00:34:28,099 --> 00:34:29,868
around Charleston in particular.
683
00:34:31,503 --> 00:34:33,872
‐ [Narrator] On
August 31st, 1886,
684
00:34:34,005 --> 00:34:37,776
just two years after the 1884
earthquake in New York City,
685
00:34:37,909 --> 00:34:39,477
a massive earthquake
ripped through
686
00:34:39,611 --> 00:34:41,880
the coastal city of
Charleston, South Carolina.
687
00:34:42,013 --> 00:34:44,716
(earth rumbling)
688
00:34:48,954 --> 00:34:52,023
Estimates based on damage
patterns and historical records
689
00:34:52,157 --> 00:34:57,128
put the Charleston quake
at magnitude 6.5 to 7.3.
690
00:34:57,596 --> 00:35:00,999
More than 2,000 buildings
were damaged in Charleston.
691
00:35:01,132 --> 00:35:04,035
Between 60 and 100
people lost their lives.
692
00:35:05,470 --> 00:35:08,306
The Charleston quake was felt
as far north as Manhattan,
693
00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:10,475
as far west as Omaha, Nebraska,
694
00:35:10,609 --> 00:35:12,243
and as far south as Cuba.
695
00:35:12,377 --> 00:35:14,713
(intense music)
696
00:35:14,846 --> 00:35:16,615
But there are more
recent reminders
697
00:35:16,748 --> 00:35:19,684
of devastating earthquakes
along the East Coast.
698
00:35:21,152 --> 00:35:23,655
‐ I was 18 years old at
the time, and like I say,
699
00:35:25,123 --> 00:35:28,360
it was an event that
I will never forget.
700
00:35:28,493 --> 00:35:32,197
‐ [Narrator] Just after midnight
on a July night in 1944,
701
00:35:32,330 --> 00:35:35,000
a magnitude 5.9
earthquake erupted
702
00:35:35,133 --> 00:35:38,003
in the sleepy town
of Massena, New York.
703
00:35:38,136 --> 00:35:39,170
‐ It was the first
major earthquake
704
00:35:39,304 --> 00:35:41,239
that this area had experienced.
705
00:35:42,641 --> 00:35:45,210
‐ We had gone out to
celebrate our graduation.
706
00:35:46,144 --> 00:35:48,213
There was a few of us that
went out to the local bar,
707
00:35:48,346 --> 00:35:49,914
and had a few beers.
708
00:35:50,048 --> 00:35:52,517
And about 12 o'clock, we
closed the place down.
709
00:35:53,685 --> 00:35:56,054
Then we decided we'd
better get home.
710
00:35:56,187 --> 00:35:58,156
It was a very, very quiet night.
711
00:35:58,289 --> 00:35:59,557
You could hear a pin drop.
712
00:36:00,859 --> 00:36:01,926
I stepped in the door,
713
00:36:02,060 --> 00:36:04,295
put my foot on the
first step, and bang.
714
00:36:04,429 --> 00:36:06,264
That the earthquake hit.
715
00:36:06,398 --> 00:36:08,967
(intense music)
716
00:36:09,100 --> 00:36:10,201
‐ I woke up feeling as if
717
00:36:10,335 --> 00:36:12,671
there was a freight
train going very fast
718
00:36:12,804 --> 00:36:16,541
past the door of my room,
and the bed was shaking.
719
00:36:16,675 --> 00:36:19,044
‐ I could hear dishes rattling.
720
00:36:19,177 --> 00:36:22,213
‐ Just like somebody had
picked ya up, and shoved ya.
721
00:36:22,347 --> 00:36:25,116
‐ I think every other
person on the street
722
00:36:25,250 --> 00:36:27,719
was out in the
middle of the street
723
00:36:27,852 --> 00:36:30,422
in their pajamas and robes.
724
00:36:31,856 --> 00:36:33,191
‐ [Narrator] The earthquake
ripped through Massena,
725
00:36:33,324 --> 00:36:36,261
and across the border into
neighboring Cornwall, Ontario.
726
00:36:36,394 --> 00:36:39,264
(glass shattering)
727
00:36:40,732 --> 00:36:43,268
‐ The fault runs from the
northwest to the southeast,
728
00:36:43,401 --> 00:36:45,603
across the river,
and through the towns
729
00:36:45,737 --> 00:36:47,105
of Cornwall and Massena.
730
00:36:48,506 --> 00:36:50,975
(sirens wailing)
731
00:36:51,109 --> 00:36:52,711
The next day, I
think the full force
732
00:36:52,844 --> 00:36:54,345
of what had happened hit.
733
00:36:54,479 --> 00:36:58,683
People were wandering around
the town like zombies.
734
00:37:00,218 --> 00:37:01,853
‐ [Narrator] The two small
towns of Massena, New York,
735
00:37:01,986 --> 00:37:04,022
and Cornwall, Ontario suffered
736
00:37:04,155 --> 00:37:07,158
more than two million
dollars in property damage.
737
00:37:07,292 --> 00:37:09,894
About 50 million
in today's dollars.
738
00:37:11,429 --> 00:37:14,466
90% of the brick
chimneys were destroyed,
739
00:37:14,599 --> 00:37:16,701
and brick masonry and
concrete structures
740
00:37:16,835 --> 00:37:18,536
suffered severe damage.
741
00:37:18,670 --> 00:37:21,239
Plumbing and house
foundations were ruined.
742
00:37:21,372 --> 00:37:24,275
(intense music)
743
00:37:24,409 --> 00:37:26,845
The Massena earthquake
has been closely studied
744
00:37:26,978 --> 00:37:29,080
by East Coast
seismologists and others
745
00:37:29,214 --> 00:37:31,015
as an example of
the kind of damage
746
00:37:31,149 --> 00:37:33,451
a smaller earthquake
can do in an area
747
00:37:33,585 --> 00:37:36,354
of mainly brick and
masonry buildings.
748
00:37:36,488 --> 00:37:39,124
‐ The Massena earthquake
was interesting
749
00:37:39,257 --> 00:37:43,294
because it showed
what an earthquake
750
00:37:43,428 --> 00:37:48,399
that is not quite six can do
to the type of construction
751
00:37:49,801 --> 00:37:52,237
that we still have a lot
of around in New York City.
752
00:37:53,171 --> 00:37:54,205
(horn blares)
753
00:37:54,339 --> 00:37:55,673
‐ One of those
kinds of earthquakes
754
00:37:55,807 --> 00:37:59,210
centered right near one of
our major metropolitan areas,
755
00:37:59,344 --> 00:38:02,781
like Boston or New York, would
cause significant damage.
756
00:38:04,382 --> 00:38:08,686
‐ [Narrator] In fact, an
earthquake on August 23, 2011
757
00:38:08,820 --> 00:38:13,024
in Central Virginia, only
underscored that awareness.
758
00:38:13,158 --> 00:38:15,660
The 5.8 shaker was
felt by an estimated
759
00:38:15,794 --> 00:38:18,563
1/3 of the US population.
760
00:38:18,696 --> 00:38:22,200
As far north as Maine,
as far west as Chicago,
761
00:38:22,333 --> 00:38:24,869
and as far south as
the tip of Florida.
762
00:38:26,070 --> 00:38:29,040
That trembler caused two
to 300 million dollars
763
00:38:29,174 --> 00:38:32,577
in property damage, including
the Washington Monument,
764
00:38:34,512 --> 00:38:37,115
and National Cathedral
in Washington DC.
765
00:38:39,617 --> 00:38:42,954
Earthquakes continue to rumble
under the city to this day.
766
00:38:43,087 --> 00:38:44,522
Could the next New York quake
767
00:38:44,656 --> 00:38:47,358
do more than just rattle
the city's nerves?
768
00:38:52,130 --> 00:38:55,667
(tense techno music)
769
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,236
‐ [Narrator] In recent years,
earthquakes have continued
770
00:38:58,369 --> 00:38:59,938
to shake buildings
right underneath
771
00:39:00,138 --> 00:39:01,940
Manhattan streets and sidewalks.
772
00:39:02,073 --> 00:39:03,541
(siren blaring)
773
00:39:03,675 --> 00:39:07,579
Just one month after the World
Trade Center attack in 2001,
774
00:39:07,712 --> 00:39:10,548
a magnitude 2.6
earthquake centered right
775
00:39:10,682 --> 00:39:12,951
at 55th Street and 8th Avenue
776
00:39:13,084 --> 00:39:14,819
rumbled up from the Earth.
777
00:39:14,953 --> 00:39:16,855
City officials were
initially concerned
778
00:39:16,988 --> 00:39:19,257
there had been another
terrorist attack.
779
00:39:19,390 --> 00:39:22,360
‐ Mayor Giuliani
was very concerned
780
00:39:22,493 --> 00:39:24,329
that an explosion had gone off
781
00:39:24,462 --> 00:39:27,265
somewhere in the sewer
system in New York City.
782
00:39:27,632 --> 00:39:29,200
Well, they couldn't
find, of course,
783
00:39:29,334 --> 00:39:31,269
where that explosion
was going on,
784
00:39:31,402 --> 00:39:33,571
because the earthquake occurred
785
00:39:33,705 --> 00:39:36,808
five miles beneath the city,
786
00:39:36,941 --> 00:39:38,409
near Central Park, actually.
787
00:39:39,978 --> 00:39:41,379
‐ We had an earthquake
back in January,
788
00:39:41,512 --> 00:39:43,615
very similar kind of thing.
789
00:39:43,748 --> 00:39:47,385
Made noise, shook a little in
certain places, not in others.
790
00:39:48,887 --> 00:39:50,421
People probably reacted
more to this one
791
00:39:50,555 --> 00:39:52,857
because of the events
of September 11
792
00:39:52,991 --> 00:39:54,993
and then this thing since then.
793
00:39:55,126 --> 00:39:56,861
(tense music)
794
00:39:56,995 --> 00:39:58,897
‐ [Narrator] These mini
quakes are nature's way
795
00:39:59,030 --> 00:40:00,965
of reminding us
that if the big one
796
00:40:01,099 --> 00:40:02,533
comes rumbling up
through the Earth
797
00:40:02,667 --> 00:40:05,603
and rips apart one of the
largest cities in the world,
798
00:40:05,737 --> 00:40:08,406
the death and destruction
could be enormous.
799
00:40:08,539 --> 00:40:11,509
(suspenseful music)
800
00:40:12,677 --> 00:40:14,212
The earthquake
history of New York
801
00:40:14,345 --> 00:40:15,613
and the rest of the East Coast
802
00:40:15,747 --> 00:40:17,248
could have been very different.
803
00:40:18,716 --> 00:40:21,653
The metropolitan area
has a geological history
804
00:40:21,786 --> 00:40:24,122
that is as diverse
as the city itself.
805
00:40:24,255 --> 00:40:28,359
(upbeat music)
806
00:40:28,493 --> 00:40:30,428
Scientists have learned
a great deal more
807
00:40:30,561 --> 00:40:31,963
about this ancient geology
808
00:40:32,096 --> 00:40:36,000
from a relatively new field
of study, plate tectonics.
809
00:40:36,134 --> 00:40:39,470
‐ We learned in the second
half of the 20th century
810
00:40:39,604 --> 00:40:41,272
that the way the Earth
works is basically
811
00:40:41,406 --> 00:40:44,075
by way of the theory
of plate tectonics.
812
00:40:44,208 --> 00:40:46,544
‐ [Narrator] Plate tectonics
is the geological theory
813
00:40:46,678 --> 00:40:48,079
that there is a layer of plates
814
00:40:48,212 --> 00:40:50,581
or rock covering the
globe that is in a slow,
815
00:40:50,715 --> 00:40:53,718
but constant drift across
the surface of the Earth.
816
00:40:53,851 --> 00:40:56,621
In other words, the surface
of the earth is not fixed,
817
00:40:56,754 --> 00:41:00,091
but is in constant motion,
like slow moving bumper cars
818
00:41:00,224 --> 00:41:02,760
that periodically
collide with one another.
819
00:41:02,894 --> 00:41:04,729
These plates
generally extend out
820
00:41:04,862 --> 00:41:07,966
and under the sea around
the world's land masses.
821
00:41:08,099 --> 00:41:10,168
The North American
plate extends roughly
822
00:41:10,301 --> 00:41:12,437
from the western edge
of the United States,
823
00:41:12,570 --> 00:41:13,905
all the way east to the middle
824
00:41:14,038 --> 00:41:16,374
of the North
Atlantic ocean floor.
825
00:41:16,507 --> 00:41:19,544
‐ So, most earthquakes
occur at plate boundaries
826
00:41:19,677 --> 00:41:22,113
where the plates rub
against each other.
827
00:41:22,246 --> 00:41:25,316
‐ An earthquake is a sudden slip
828
00:41:25,450 --> 00:41:28,553
of the two sides across a fault.
829
00:41:28,686 --> 00:41:31,923
So, the rock makes
a movement suddenly
830
00:41:32,056 --> 00:41:33,891
and releases stress.
831
00:41:35,293 --> 00:41:36,594
‐ [Narrator] This rubbing
at the western edge
832
00:41:36,728 --> 00:41:38,029
of the North American plate
833
00:41:38,162 --> 00:41:39,931
where it meets the Pacific plate
834
00:41:40,064 --> 00:41:43,768
has resulted in a long history
of devastating earthquakes.
835
00:41:43,901 --> 00:41:46,437
(upbeat music)
836
00:41:50,141 --> 00:41:52,377
But there are key differences
between earthquakes
837
00:41:52,510 --> 00:41:54,879
that happen at the edge
of a tectonic plate
838
00:41:55,013 --> 00:41:57,782
and those that happen in
the middle of a plate.
839
00:41:57,915 --> 00:41:59,283
‐ Within the center
of the plate,
840
00:41:59,417 --> 00:42:01,419
it's more of the squeezing
kinds of earthquakes
841
00:42:01,552 --> 00:42:03,755
that build mountains, as
we have, for instance,
842
00:42:03,888 --> 00:42:05,556
in the Northeastern
United States.
843
00:42:06,758 --> 00:42:08,593
‐ Most famous in
the United States
844
00:42:08,726 --> 00:42:13,464
is the New Madrid area in
the central United States
845
00:42:13,598 --> 00:42:15,466
along the Mississippi
River Valley.
846
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:18,936
They are in the New York
and in the Boston areas
847
00:42:19,070 --> 00:42:21,639
and all the way up to
the Canadian border
848
00:42:21,773 --> 00:42:23,875
in the northeastern
United States.
849
00:42:24,008 --> 00:42:25,543
(swooshing techno music)
850
00:42:25,676 --> 00:42:28,146
‐ [Narrator] About
220 million years ago,
851
00:42:28,279 --> 00:42:30,615
a fused continent
known as Pangea,
852
00:42:30,748 --> 00:42:33,217
comprised of several of
our modern continents,
853
00:42:33,351 --> 00:42:35,420
began to break apart.
854
00:42:35,553 --> 00:42:36,954
In the wake of this upheaval,
855
00:42:37,088 --> 00:42:39,891
the modern North
Atlantic Ocean appeared.
856
00:42:40,024 --> 00:42:41,759
‐ And now, New York sits
857
00:42:41,893 --> 00:42:43,961
right on the edge
of this continent.
858
00:42:45,563 --> 00:42:47,365
‐ [Narrator] Near the
end of the last Ice Age,
859
00:42:47,498 --> 00:42:50,001
the New York area and the
rest of the East Coast
860
00:42:50,134 --> 00:42:52,103
experienced another
significant set
861
00:42:52,236 --> 00:42:54,072
of geological developments.
862
00:42:55,273 --> 00:42:57,809
‐ Some 10,000 years
ago, the glaciers
863
00:42:57,942 --> 00:43:01,079
started to slowly retreat.
864
00:43:01,212 --> 00:43:03,981
But what they did
before they left,
865
00:43:04,115 --> 00:43:06,951
they polished everything clear,
866
00:43:07,085 --> 00:43:10,455
and they carved out the
weakest spots in the rock.
867
00:43:10,588 --> 00:43:13,157
(pensive music)
868
00:43:13,291 --> 00:43:15,059
‐ [Narrator] The glaciers
carved deep valleys
869
00:43:15,193 --> 00:43:17,261
along the underlying
fault lines.
870
00:43:18,996 --> 00:43:22,633
‐ These black lines here
are the most active faults
871
00:43:22,767 --> 00:43:25,670
now in the modern
geological time.
872
00:43:25,803 --> 00:43:27,371
The most prominent of them
873
00:43:27,505 --> 00:43:31,175
is the 125th Street
fault that runs here.
874
00:43:31,309 --> 00:43:34,245
‐ [Narrator] The 125th Street
fault is clearly visible
875
00:43:34,378 --> 00:43:36,547
from its valley‐like geology.
876
00:43:36,681 --> 00:43:40,518
‐ The glaciers hollowed
out the shape of Manhattan
877
00:43:40,651 --> 00:43:43,521
to follow those fault
lines, and that's why
878
00:43:43,654 --> 00:43:46,057
we have, actually, these
shapes of Manhattan.
879
00:43:47,458 --> 00:43:49,627
‐ [Narrator] If there is a
slip along one of these faults,
880
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:52,230
devastating seismic
waves could be released
881
00:43:52,363 --> 00:43:54,298
up to the Earth's surface.
882
00:43:54,432 --> 00:43:56,934
(ominous music)
883
00:43:57,068 --> 00:43:59,303
(rumbling)
884
00:44:00,571 --> 00:44:03,040
The first seismic wave
initially stretches
885
00:44:03,174 --> 00:44:04,709
and squeezes the rock.
886
00:44:04,842 --> 00:44:07,044
The other seismic
wave is the shear wave
887
00:44:07,178 --> 00:44:09,380
that bends the rock sideways.
888
00:44:09,514 --> 00:44:12,783
It is this second wave that
gives us the horizontal shaking
889
00:44:12,917 --> 00:44:15,386
that causes so much
damage to buildings.
890
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:17,989
(tense music)
891
00:44:19,991 --> 00:44:23,361
(alarms, sirens blaring)
892
00:44:24,295 --> 00:44:25,696
(clattering)
893
00:44:25,830 --> 00:44:27,632
Seismic waves on the East Coast
894
00:44:27,765 --> 00:44:30,768
travel farther than they
do on the West Coast.
895
00:44:30,902 --> 00:44:32,770
‐ At the edge of the plate,
896
00:44:32,904 --> 00:44:35,806
there is so much earthquake
activity going on
897
00:44:35,940 --> 00:44:37,742
that it'd shatter the plate.
898
00:44:37,875 --> 00:44:40,678
So it's a little bit
like your windshield
899
00:44:41,579 --> 00:44:43,414
that has a lot of cracks in it
900
00:44:43,548 --> 00:44:46,150
because someone
threw a stone in it,
901
00:44:46,284 --> 00:44:48,753
and there's still
light coming through,
902
00:44:48,886 --> 00:44:51,622
but you can't see
through very clearly.
903
00:44:51,756 --> 00:44:53,758
The same thing with
the seismic waves
904
00:44:53,891 --> 00:44:58,129
where those plates are
broken by prior earthquakes,
905
00:44:58,262 --> 00:45:00,998
the seismic waves
go sort of through,
906
00:45:01,132 --> 00:45:03,034
but it's not very clear.
907
00:45:03,167 --> 00:45:05,803
(ominous music)
908
00:45:07,605 --> 00:45:10,041
Here in the eastern
United States,
909
00:45:10,174 --> 00:45:14,545
we can feel earthquakes
as small as magnitude one.
910
00:45:14,679 --> 00:45:17,848
Certainly, magnitude
two are wildly felt
911
00:45:17,982 --> 00:45:20,651
all over New York
City, for instance,
912
00:45:21,752 --> 00:45:24,755
Californians have no clue
913
00:45:24,889 --> 00:45:26,791
that there was a
magnitude two earthquake.
914
00:45:26,924 --> 00:45:29,427
So, if a three
and a half or four
915
00:45:29,560 --> 00:45:31,662
occurs here on the East Coast,
916
00:45:31,796 --> 00:45:33,631
everybody is up in arms.
917
00:45:33,764 --> 00:45:36,267
Californians say, "Okay,
we had a four today
918
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,703
this morning," and keep
drinking their coffee.
919
00:45:41,639 --> 00:45:43,474
‐ [Narraechno music)
920
00:45:43,608 --> 00:45:46,344
‐ [Narrator] If a major
earthquake should hit New York,
921
00:45:46,477 --> 00:45:49,146
vulnerable building
types and varied geology
922
00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,216
could be a dangerous
mix waiting to combust.
923
00:45:53,651 --> 00:45:56,120
One of the most dangerous
components of this deadly brew
924
00:45:56,254 --> 00:46:00,157
is a geological phenomenon
known as soil liquefaction.
925
00:46:01,392 --> 00:46:03,628
Soil liquefaction
is when partially
926
00:46:03,761 --> 00:46:06,831
or fully saturated
soil, such as landfill,
927
00:46:06,964 --> 00:46:09,934
loses firmness due to the
shaking of an earthquake.
928
00:46:10,034 --> 00:46:11,602
When this happens, the ground
929
00:46:11,736 --> 00:46:14,305
becomes liquified,
much like quicksand.
930
00:46:14,438 --> 00:46:18,242
This can then result in
structural instability.
931
00:46:18,376 --> 00:46:20,244
(energetic chase music)
932
00:46:20,378 --> 00:46:24,615
The 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake
that struck San Francisco,
933
00:46:24,749 --> 00:46:29,153
magnitude 7.1, was a tragic
example of liquefaction.
934
00:46:29,287 --> 00:46:31,922
(ominous music)
935
00:46:34,692 --> 00:46:39,430
Before 1906, there was no Marina
District in San Francisco.
936
00:46:39,563 --> 00:46:43,100
After the 1906 quake,
a swampy area downtown
937
00:46:43,234 --> 00:46:45,436
was filled in with debris
from the earthquake
938
00:46:45,569 --> 00:46:47,271
and covered over with dirt.
939
00:46:47,405 --> 00:46:49,040
Houses were built, and the area
940
00:46:49,173 --> 00:46:51,175
became a popular neighborhood.
941
00:46:51,309 --> 00:46:54,612
83 years later, when the
next major earthquake hit,
942
00:46:54,745 --> 00:46:58,482
the loose soil caused tremendous
damage in the district.
943
00:46:58,616 --> 00:47:01,218
(sirens blaring)
944
00:47:01,352 --> 00:47:03,554
‐ The problem is, when
you fill these areas
945
00:47:03,688 --> 00:47:05,656
with sand and dirt,
they will shake
946
00:47:05,790 --> 00:47:09,026
more strongly than
the nearby rock areas.
947
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:11,262
Kind of like shaking
a bowl of Jello.
948
00:47:11,395 --> 00:47:13,431
‐ [Narrator] Liquefaction
could severely harm
949
00:47:13,564 --> 00:47:16,067
similar landfill areas
in New York City.
950
00:47:17,501 --> 00:47:20,404
As history has shown, even
a magnitude 5 earthquake
951
00:47:20,538 --> 00:47:23,207
could severely damage
thousands of buildings.
952
00:47:23,341 --> 00:47:25,042
(tense music)
953
00:47:25,176 --> 00:47:27,945
And risk analysis
experts estimate
954
00:47:28,079 --> 00:47:30,214
that if a magnitude
7 were to strike
955
00:47:30,348 --> 00:47:33,484
in the same location
as the 1884 quake,
956
00:47:33,617 --> 00:47:36,887
it could kill more
than 6,000 people.
957
00:47:37,021 --> 00:47:39,323
13,000 more could be injured.
958
00:47:39,457 --> 00:47:40,925
(tense music)
959
00:47:41,058 --> 00:47:44,562
‐ We estimate that in
a worst‐case scenario,
960
00:47:44,695 --> 00:47:47,298
something like a 7
magnitude earthquake,
961
00:47:47,431 --> 00:47:51,602
over 30 million people will
be impacted by the event.
962
00:47:51,736 --> 00:47:53,671
‐ [Narrator] A major
metropolis like New York
963
00:47:53,804 --> 00:47:57,541
requires an incredibly complex
underground infrastructure.
964
00:47:57,675 --> 00:47:59,643
(tense music)
965
00:47:59,777 --> 00:48:02,313
‐ Power lines, and
water lines, gas lines
966
00:48:02,446 --> 00:48:05,416
are always susceptible
to ground shaking
967
00:48:05,549 --> 00:48:07,551
from a major earthquake.
968
00:48:07,685 --> 00:48:09,587
‐ [Narrator] There are
also sanitation canals
969
00:48:09,720 --> 00:48:11,222
that carry away wastewater,
970
00:48:11,355 --> 00:48:14,225
and steam pipes delivering
heat to large buildings.
971
00:48:15,359 --> 00:48:18,763
‐ There is a whole
spider network of stuff
972
00:48:18,896 --> 00:48:20,264
going on underground.
973
00:48:21,966 --> 00:48:24,168
‐ [Narrator] Ironically,
you may be safer underground
974
00:48:24,301 --> 00:48:25,703
during an earthquake,
than you would be
975
00:48:25,836 --> 00:48:28,038
standing in the
middle of 42nd Street.
976
00:48:29,540 --> 00:48:33,043
‐ Generally speaking, you
are better off underground
977
00:48:33,177 --> 00:48:37,815
because the amplitude
of shaking diminishes
978
00:48:37,948 --> 00:48:40,851
as you go deeper into the Earth.
979
00:48:40,985 --> 00:48:44,688
It's safer to be underground
than above ground,
980
00:48:44,822 --> 00:48:49,126
or in a building that
sticks way out and shakes.
981
00:48:50,327 --> 00:48:52,062
‐ [Narrator] A vivid
example of this occurred
982
00:48:52,196 --> 00:48:56,100
during the deadly Mexico
City earthquake in 1985.
983
00:48:56,233 --> 00:48:59,537
Soil liquefaction destroyed
hundreds of buildings.
984
00:49:01,539 --> 00:49:05,176
But below ground, the subway
system was almost unscathed.
985
00:49:05,309 --> 00:49:08,646
Within hours, subways were up
and running around the city.
986
00:49:08,779 --> 00:49:10,214
But there are vulnerable spots
987
00:49:10,347 --> 00:49:12,550
underground in New
York, particularly where
988
00:49:12,683 --> 00:49:15,119
different infrastructure
systems intersect.
989
00:49:15,252 --> 00:49:16,720
Water mains may break.
990
00:49:16,854 --> 00:49:21,025
‐ There are sewer pipes
that are very brittle.
991
00:49:21,158 --> 00:49:22,960
Many of them are cast iron.
992
00:49:23,093 --> 00:49:27,298
That's a very bad material
to respond to an earthquake.
993
00:49:28,499 --> 00:49:29,867
‐ [Narrator] Moving
back above ground,
994
00:49:29,967 --> 00:49:31,502
one sees the biggest danger
995
00:49:31,635 --> 00:49:34,438
posed by an
earthquake: buildings.
996
00:49:34,572 --> 00:49:36,640
(tense music)
997
00:49:36,774 --> 00:49:40,044
In 1995, New York
City finally adopted
998
00:49:40,177 --> 00:49:41,779
a seismic building code.
999
00:49:41,912 --> 00:49:43,614
This was a major step in making
1000
00:49:43,747 --> 00:49:47,318
all new construction safer
from earthquake damage.
1001
00:49:47,451 --> 00:49:50,754
‐ The biggest difference
that we would have now
1002
00:49:50,888 --> 00:49:53,157
in our seismic building codes
1003
00:49:53,290 --> 00:49:55,726
for the eastern part
of the United States
1004
00:49:55,860 --> 00:49:59,230
is the requirement for
stronger connection,
1005
00:49:59,363 --> 00:50:02,366
so that if a building
gets pushed sideways
1006
00:50:02,500 --> 00:50:05,302
in earthquake shaking, the
connections don't break.
1007
00:50:05,436 --> 00:50:06,871
So, if you have a vertical beam
1008
00:50:07,004 --> 00:50:09,006
and you have a horizontal beam,
1009
00:50:09,139 --> 00:50:10,975
the horizontal beam
will now be attached
1010
00:50:11,108 --> 00:50:12,877
more strongly to
the vertical beam,
1011
00:50:13,010 --> 00:50:15,212
so that if it shakes,
you don't break the bolts
1012
00:50:15,346 --> 00:50:18,115
or break the welds and
have the beam come down.
1013
00:50:18,249 --> 00:50:20,451
‐ [Narrator] Bridges and
pre‐code buildings, however,
1014
00:50:20,584 --> 00:50:22,586
will remain a major problem
1015
00:50:22,720 --> 00:50:25,456
if an earthquake
hits the East coast.
1016
00:50:25,589 --> 00:50:27,401
(siren blaring)
1017
00:50:31,929 --> 00:50:33,998
‐ [Narrator] A major
challenge for older cities
1018
00:50:34,131 --> 00:50:36,267
on the East Coast in
terms of earthquakes
1019
00:50:36,400 --> 00:50:38,469
is bringing building
codes up to date.
1020
00:50:39,870 --> 00:50:43,440
‐ The building codes for
cities like New York or Boston
1021
00:50:43,574 --> 00:50:46,710
generally apply only
to new buildings.
1022
00:50:46,844 --> 00:50:48,779
By not reinforcing
old buildings,
1023
00:50:48,913 --> 00:50:52,049
we always take the chance
that the earthquake will occur
1024
00:50:52,182 --> 00:50:54,585
before that building gets
replaced with a new building.
1025
00:50:54,718 --> 00:50:59,056
And that's a major in
our eastern cities.
1026
00:50:59,189 --> 00:51:01,592
‐ [Narrator] But there are other
potentially deadly problems
1027
00:51:01,725 --> 00:51:03,861
that could befall some
of Manhattan's newest
1028
00:51:03,994 --> 00:51:06,530
and most densely
populated neighborhoods.
1029
00:51:06,664 --> 00:51:08,599
Areas like Battery Park City.
1030
00:51:09,767 --> 00:51:11,468
Before the World Trade
Center was built,
1031
00:51:11,602 --> 00:51:14,238
this area at the
southwestern tip of Manhattan
1032
00:51:14,371 --> 00:51:16,607
was mostly Hudson River water.
1033
00:51:16,740 --> 00:51:18,576
But thousands of
tons of dirt dug up
1034
00:51:18,709 --> 00:51:20,544
for the foundations
of the towers
1035
00:51:20,678 --> 00:51:23,147
created acres of new ground.
1036
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:26,350
Ground that developers
wanted to build on.
1037
00:51:26,483 --> 00:51:28,452
And just as San
Franciscans created
1038
00:51:28,586 --> 00:51:30,754
a new neighborhood in
the Marina District,
1039
00:51:30,888 --> 00:51:33,157
New Yorkers created
their own neighborhood
1040
00:51:33,290 --> 00:51:34,959
built on landfill.
1041
00:51:35,092 --> 00:51:37,628
‐ They took the
piers, filled in sand,
1042
00:51:37,761 --> 00:51:41,398
and then built wonderful
high‐rise buildings.
1043
00:51:41,532 --> 00:51:43,500
They are well‐engineered,
1044
00:51:43,634 --> 00:51:48,572
but they were not engineered
with earthquakes in mind.
1045
00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:53,143
‐ For areas where you can't
get down to the rock itself,
1046
00:51:53,277 --> 00:51:54,778
the typical
construction practice
1047
00:51:54,912 --> 00:51:57,848
is to put down
many, many pilings,
1048
00:51:57,982 --> 00:52:00,584
and just let the
friction of the pilings
1049
00:52:00,718 --> 00:52:03,120
trying to push into the
soil hold the building up.
1050
00:52:04,488 --> 00:52:05,990
‐ [Narrator] These buildings
could be vulnerable
1051
00:52:06,123 --> 00:52:09,360
to liquefaction in a
major New York quake.
1052
00:52:09,493 --> 00:52:11,662
‐ That's exactly
the kind of material
1053
00:52:11,795 --> 00:52:14,331
we have in Battery Park City
1054
00:52:14,465 --> 00:52:16,233
and other places
in New York City.
1055
00:52:16,367 --> 00:52:18,202
So, now we have a situation
1056
00:52:18,335 --> 00:52:20,871
where we have very
beautiful buildings,
1057
00:52:21,005 --> 00:52:23,040
very expensive buildings,
1058
00:52:23,173 --> 00:52:26,644
both residential and
business buildings,
1059
00:52:27,811 --> 00:52:31,181
in an area that will
have amplified shaking.
1060
00:52:31,315 --> 00:52:33,050
(tense music)
1061
00:52:33,183 --> 00:52:34,652
‐ [Narrator] But it's
not just buildings
1062
00:52:34,785 --> 00:52:35,953
that could collapse.
1063
00:52:36,086 --> 00:52:38,155
There are other hazards,
such as bridges,
1064
00:52:38,288 --> 00:52:40,090
and elevated train stations.
1065
00:52:42,893 --> 00:52:44,995
Klaus Jacob takes us
down to street level
1066
00:52:45,129 --> 00:52:46,664
to demonstrate that engineers
1067
00:52:46,797 --> 00:52:48,065
from a much earlier period
1068
00:52:48,198 --> 00:52:49,833
of New York City
building history
1069
00:52:49,967 --> 00:52:52,736
were trying to prepare
for earthquake hazards.
1070
00:52:53,837 --> 00:52:55,739
‐ So, here we are, right smack
1071
00:52:55,873 --> 00:52:58,142
where the 125th Street fault
1072
00:52:58,275 --> 00:53:00,911
crosses Broadway and Manhattan.
1073
00:53:01,045 --> 00:53:03,380
‐ [Narrator] Normally, the
subway runs underground,
1074
00:53:03,514 --> 00:53:05,683
but when the engineers
tried to build the subway
1075
00:53:05,816 --> 00:53:07,584
through the rock
in the fault zone,
1076
00:53:07,718 --> 00:53:10,521
they realized it would
be a difficult challenge.
1077
00:53:10,654 --> 00:53:13,657
‐ So, they stayed
level and built
1078
00:53:13,791 --> 00:53:16,427
the bridge across the valley.
1079
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:19,263
So, this bridge is there,
1080
00:53:19,396 --> 00:53:20,964
because the fault is there.
1081
00:53:21,098 --> 00:53:23,534
The bridge is a
document for the fault.
1082
00:53:23,667 --> 00:53:25,402
(mellow music)
1083
00:53:25,536 --> 00:53:28,305
And what you see here
is actually a hinge,
1084
00:53:29,940 --> 00:53:32,342
which rotates like this.
1085
00:53:32,476 --> 00:53:33,877
Why did they do that?
1086
00:53:34,011 --> 00:53:35,646
Well, there's the
fault over there,
1087
00:53:35,779 --> 00:53:38,982
and they thought the fault
would move vertically,
1088
00:53:39,116 --> 00:53:41,719
so the bridge could adjust.
1089
00:53:41,852 --> 00:53:44,121
What they didn't know
is that the fault
1090
00:53:44,254 --> 00:53:45,989
doesn't move this way here.
1091
00:53:46,123 --> 00:53:48,058
Nowadays, it moves this way.
1092
00:53:48,192 --> 00:53:50,461
What they should have
done is do it this way,
1093
00:53:50,594 --> 00:53:53,097
the axis, and then
move around like this
1094
00:53:53,230 --> 00:53:55,833
to accommodate the
horizontal fault movement.
1095
00:53:57,267 --> 00:54:00,904
For 1905, that's really
very advanced engineering.
1096
00:54:01,038 --> 00:54:03,240
Of course, they got it wrong,
1097
00:54:03,373 --> 00:54:06,543
but I think they did a very
good job in at least trying
1098
00:54:06,677 --> 00:54:08,846
to accommodate earthquakes
and fault motion.
1099
00:54:10,280 --> 00:54:12,249
‐ [Narrator] But good
intentions won't be enough
1100
00:54:12,382 --> 00:54:15,819
if a major earthquake shakes
New York to its foundation.
1101
00:54:16,954 --> 00:54:19,556
For a major urban
center such as New York,
1102
00:54:19,690 --> 00:54:22,326
recovery from this
kind of mega disaster
1103
00:54:22,459 --> 00:54:24,228
could take many months.
1104
00:54:24,361 --> 00:54:26,930
(mellow music)
1105
00:54:31,335 --> 00:54:34,538
‐ We estimate that the
amount of property damage
1106
00:54:34,671 --> 00:54:37,541
in a major earthquake would be
1107
00:54:37,674 --> 00:54:41,645
in the order of $250
billion of property damage.
1108
00:54:41,779 --> 00:54:43,647
But, of course, you
have to add to that
1109
00:54:43,781 --> 00:54:47,084
the damage to
business interruption,
1110
00:54:47,217 --> 00:54:50,687
so that the total economic
disruption in dollar terms
1111
00:54:50,821 --> 00:54:54,525
is likely to be at least
half a trillion dollars.
1112
00:54:55,793 --> 00:54:57,594
If it's a moderate earthquake
1113
00:54:57,728 --> 00:55:00,264
in the 6 or 7 magnitude range,
1114
00:55:00,397 --> 00:55:03,167
then even after six
months, we'll be a long way
1115
00:55:03,300 --> 00:55:05,636
from having all
the reconstruction
1116
00:55:05,769 --> 00:55:07,905
and the rebuilding complete.
1117
00:55:08,038 --> 00:55:09,506
(upbeat music)
1118
00:55:09,640 --> 00:55:13,477
‐ One of the things I am
feeling ever better about
1119
00:55:13,610 --> 00:55:15,145
as a seismologist working
1120
00:55:15,279 --> 00:55:17,080
in the northeastern
part of the country
1121
00:55:17,214 --> 00:55:21,819
is that the awareness of
earthquakes is growing.
1122
00:55:21,952 --> 00:55:23,554
We think about preparedness.
1123
00:55:23,687 --> 00:55:26,957
We have more seismic provisions
in our building codes.
1124
00:55:27,090 --> 00:55:28,458
There are more and more schools
1125
00:55:28,592 --> 00:55:31,562
that are doing earthquake
drills, as well as fire drills.
1126
00:55:31,695 --> 00:55:35,432
So, we're gradually becoming
more aware and more planned
1127
00:55:35,566 --> 00:55:37,000
for how we would deal
with an earthquake,
1128
00:55:37,134 --> 00:55:38,569
if it were to occur.
1129
00:55:38,702 --> 00:55:39,937
The problem is, of course,
1130
00:55:40,070 --> 00:55:42,139
most people in the
northeastern United States,
1131
00:55:42,272 --> 00:55:44,641
most people in New York,
most people in Philadelphia,
1132
00:55:44,775 --> 00:55:46,610
most people in
Boston don't think
1133
00:55:46,743 --> 00:55:49,680
that they will ever face
a damaging earthquake.
1134
00:55:49,813 --> 00:55:51,748
And that is just a fallacy
1135
00:55:51,882 --> 00:55:55,052
that we could be proven
wrong on someday.
1136
00:55:55,185 --> 00:55:57,821
(ominous music)
1137
00:55:59,590 --> 00:56:01,525
‐ [Narrator] For the
island nation of Haiti,
1138
00:56:01,658 --> 00:56:04,294
a catastrophic
earthquake in 2010
1139
00:56:04,428 --> 00:56:05,963
proved just how tragic
1140
00:56:06,096 --> 00:56:08,599
the lack of strong
building codes can be.
1141
00:56:11,335 --> 00:56:14,037
(dramatic music)
1142
00:56:18,208 --> 00:56:20,944
Port‐au‐Prince, the
capital of Haiti,
1143
00:56:21,078 --> 00:56:23,814
a country mired in
grinding poverty.
1144
00:56:23,947 --> 00:56:26,583
(ominous music)
1145
00:56:30,821 --> 00:56:34,524
A 7.0 earthquake rips
across the island nation.
1146
00:56:34,658 --> 00:56:37,094
(clamoring)
1147
00:56:37,227 --> 00:56:39,730
Panicked Haitians realize
this is unlike anything
1148
00:56:39,863 --> 00:56:41,498
they've ever felt before.
1149
00:56:41,632 --> 00:56:43,233
(energetic chase music)
1150
00:56:43,367 --> 00:56:45,002
(crashing)
1151
00:56:45,135 --> 00:56:46,870
‐ It was relatively shallow.
1152
00:56:47,004 --> 00:56:48,805
So, this earthquake
started at a depth
1153
00:56:48,939 --> 00:56:50,540
of about maybe
eight miles or so.
1154
00:56:50,674 --> 00:56:52,843
‐ An earthquake that's shallow,
that's near the surface,
1155
00:56:52,976 --> 00:56:55,879
that means more of that energy
is dumped on the surface.
1156
00:56:56,013 --> 00:56:59,116
‐ The earthquake in
Haiti was a perfect storm
1157
00:56:59,249 --> 00:57:03,153
of very intense ground shaking
and very weak buildings.
1158
00:57:03,287 --> 00:57:06,056
(rumbling)
1159
00:57:06,189 --> 00:57:08,525
None of the buildings
in Haiti were designed
1160
00:57:08,659 --> 00:57:10,594
to resist earthquake forces.
1161
00:57:10,727 --> 00:57:14,131
They don't have any
effective building codes.
1162
00:57:14,264 --> 00:57:15,532
‐ [Narrator] Across the region,
1163
00:57:15,666 --> 00:57:17,801
the massive quake
delivers a punishing blow.
1164
00:57:17,935 --> 00:57:19,736
(speaking in foreign language)
1165
00:57:19,870 --> 00:57:22,372
American filmmaker Dan
Woolley has just checked
1166
00:57:22,506 --> 00:57:25,275
into a hotel when
disaster strikes.
1167
00:57:26,243 --> 00:57:27,744
(crashing)
1168
00:57:27,878 --> 00:57:29,846
‐ I heard the explosive sounds
1169
00:57:29,980 --> 00:57:32,049
of the building
starting to crack,
1170
00:57:32,182 --> 00:57:34,484
and I started to feel the
ground move underneath me.
1171
00:57:34,618 --> 00:57:39,356
And within three seconds,
everything went dark.
1172
00:57:39,489 --> 00:57:43,260
(tense thumping music)
1173
00:57:43,393 --> 00:57:45,862
‐ [Narrator] The hotel
pancakes into a pile of rubble,
1174
00:57:45,996 --> 00:57:48,098
knocking Dan unconscious.
1175
00:57:48,231 --> 00:57:49,433
‐ When I come to my senses,
1176
00:57:49,566 --> 00:57:51,635
I find myself in
complete darkness.
1177
00:57:51,768 --> 00:57:53,503
I would put my hand
in front of my face
1178
00:57:53,637 --> 00:57:55,505
and I couldn't even see that.
1179
00:57:55,639 --> 00:57:57,574
‐ His location in the hotel,
1180
00:57:57,708 --> 00:57:59,276
I think, is what saved his life.
1181
00:57:59,409 --> 00:58:03,113
He was between a stairwell
and the elevators,
1182
00:58:04,281 --> 00:58:06,650
both of which tend
to be core structures
1183
00:58:06,783 --> 00:58:08,285
with concrete block walls,
1184
00:58:08,418 --> 00:58:10,087
which will have more strength
1185
00:58:10,220 --> 00:58:14,157
than other more open
areas in the building.
1186
00:58:14,291 --> 00:58:17,127
‐ [Narrator] Dan uses
the flash from his camera
1187
00:58:17,260 --> 00:58:19,429
to see the tight space
he's been trapped in,
1188
00:58:20,630 --> 00:58:22,866
and something else
that terrifies him.
1189
00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:24,701
‐ I pulled up my pant leg,
1190
00:58:24,835 --> 00:58:27,504
and as I shone the light
of my camera on my leg,
1191
00:58:27,637 --> 00:58:29,873
I saw the worst injury
I'd ever seen in my life.
1192
00:58:30,007 --> 00:58:33,243
It was just split open
from just below my knee
1193
00:58:33,377 --> 00:58:35,312
to just above my ankle.
1194
00:58:35,445 --> 00:58:37,581
‐ [Narrator] Dan
snaps another picture
1195
00:58:37,714 --> 00:58:39,549
and spots a safer place to be.
1196
00:58:40,617 --> 00:58:43,120
‐ I saw an elevator car
1197
00:58:43,253 --> 00:58:46,256
with its door open,
on the lobby floor.
1198
00:58:46,390 --> 00:58:49,292
And I just thought, you
know, by what kind of miracle
1199
00:58:49,426 --> 00:58:51,728
is this open and
available for me?
1200
00:58:51,862 --> 00:58:54,498
And I decided to take the risk
1201
00:58:54,631 --> 00:58:57,000
and crawl the 20
feet to the elevator.
1202
00:58:58,168 --> 00:59:00,037
And right after I
reached the elevator,
1203
00:59:00,170 --> 00:59:02,205
the building started
to shake again.
1204
00:59:02,339 --> 00:59:04,107
(suspenseful music)
1205
00:59:04,241 --> 00:59:06,009
We were hit with the
first aftershock,
1206
00:59:06,143 --> 00:59:08,145
which was a 6.0 aftershock.
1207
00:59:08,278 --> 00:59:11,982
And I knew that that
move had saved my life.
1208
00:59:12,115 --> 00:59:13,917
‐ [Narrator] Dan hopes
someone will come to his aid
1209
00:59:14,051 --> 00:59:15,452
before he bleeds to death.
1210
00:59:16,853 --> 00:59:19,790
Meanwhile, aftershocks
continue to rumble.
1211
00:59:19,923 --> 00:59:21,324
(energetic chase music)
1212
00:59:21,458 --> 00:59:23,293
Finally, after being
buried in debris
1213
00:59:23,427 --> 00:59:25,462
for 65 agonizing hours,
1214
00:59:27,030 --> 00:59:29,566
Dan hears the words
he's been praying for.
1215
00:59:29,699 --> 00:59:31,301
‐ I heard a voice coming down
1216
00:59:31,435 --> 00:59:32,969
from the shaft of the elevator.
1217
00:59:33,103 --> 00:59:34,838
"I'm here to get
you out of there."
1218
00:59:36,039 --> 00:59:37,474
And all of a sudden,
I had hope and I knew,
1219
00:59:37,607 --> 00:59:39,643
"Okay, this is not
gonna end here.
1220
00:59:39,776 --> 00:59:42,579
This is not gonna end today."
1221
00:59:42,712 --> 00:59:43,847
‐ [Rescuer] Come on.
1222
00:59:43,980 --> 00:59:44,815
‐ [Rescuer] All right,
we're gonna get you
1223
00:59:44,948 --> 00:59:46,450
something to drink first.
1224
00:59:47,918 --> 00:59:50,420
(somber music)
1225
00:59:55,892 --> 00:59:58,895
‐ [Narrator] The final
death toll is astronomical.
1226
00:59:59,029 --> 01:00:02,199
And as a result of
inadequate building codes,
1227
01:00:02,332 --> 01:00:05,335
over one million people
were left homeless.
1228
01:00:05,469 --> 01:00:08,772
(energetic chase music)
1229
01:00:19,416 --> 01:00:22,385
(mellow music)
1230
01:00:22,519 --> 01:00:23,954
‐ [Narrator] The heartland
of America has seen
1231
01:00:24,087 --> 01:00:25,922
its share of natural disasters:
1232
01:00:27,390 --> 01:00:29,860
killer tornadoes and floods
that have destroyed buildings
1233
01:00:29,993 --> 01:00:32,028
and swept away entire towns.
1234
01:00:33,830 --> 01:00:37,000
But despite its landlocked
position in the country,
1235
01:00:37,134 --> 01:00:40,737
earthquake danger also lurks
beneath its fertile fields.
1236
01:00:42,973 --> 01:00:45,675
‐ [Narrator] Memphis,
Tennessee sits 50 miles south
1237
01:00:45,809 --> 01:00:49,212
of one of the most dangerous
earthquake faults in America.
1238
01:00:50,413 --> 01:00:52,082
‐ [Narrator] The New
Madrid fault line.
1239
01:00:53,316 --> 01:00:56,286
‐ A major quake in
the New Madrid zone
1240
01:00:56,419 --> 01:01:01,424
would create unimaginable
havoc in Memphis, Tennessee,
1241
01:01:02,926 --> 01:01:07,764
which is the closest city
to the New Madrid fault
1242
01:01:08,665 --> 01:01:11,468
and built largely of brick.
1243
01:01:11,601 --> 01:01:13,170
‐ I think the first
reaction to an earthquake,
1244
01:01:13,303 --> 01:01:15,205
even if you're a
seismologist today
1245
01:01:15,338 --> 01:01:17,874
is this fundamental
sense of terror.
1246
01:01:18,008 --> 01:01:20,310
It just, out of
a clear blue sky,
1247
01:01:20,443 --> 01:01:22,345
it's like somebody's
picking up your house
1248
01:01:22,479 --> 01:01:24,414
and shaking it back‐and‐forth.
1249
01:01:24,548 --> 01:01:26,816
‐ [Narrator] The prospect of
an earthquake in the heartland
1250
01:01:26,950 --> 01:01:31,721
may seem unimaginable, but
it's actually happened before.
1251
01:01:31,855 --> 01:01:33,890
‐ [Narrator] One of
America's worst earthquakes
1252
01:01:34,024 --> 01:01:37,794
occurred 200 years ago in
the heart of the country.
1253
01:01:39,095 --> 01:01:42,199
‐ The mother of all earthquakes
in the United States
1254
01:01:42,332 --> 01:01:46,303
was in 1811 and 1812
in an obscure place
1255
01:01:46,436 --> 01:01:48,838
in southern Missouri,
where Missouri, Kentucky,
1256
01:01:48,972 --> 01:01:53,276
Arkansas, and Illinois all
meet, called New Madrid.
1257
01:01:54,377 --> 01:01:56,479
‐ [Narrator] December, 1811,
1258
01:01:56,613 --> 01:01:58,348
The weather was
warmer than usual
1259
01:01:58,481 --> 01:02:00,684
in New Madrid, Missouri.
1260
01:02:00,817 --> 01:02:04,120
‐ There were about five or 600
people living in New Madrid.
1261
01:02:04,254 --> 01:02:07,290
It was a thriving river city.
1262
01:02:07,424 --> 01:02:10,227
It was located on
the largest S curve
1263
01:02:10,360 --> 01:02:12,629
in that section of the river.
1264
01:02:12,762 --> 01:02:16,166
‐ A little after two in the
morning on December 16th,
1265
01:02:16,299 --> 01:02:17,767
the Earth sort of came unglued
1266
01:02:17,901 --> 01:02:19,603
with the first of
the earthquakes.
1267
01:02:19,736 --> 01:02:21,404
(rumbling)
(clattering)
1268
01:02:21,538 --> 01:02:24,841
‐ There was an great roar
1269
01:02:24,975 --> 01:02:26,476
that's compared in the accounts
1270
01:02:26,610 --> 01:02:29,379
to thunder or heavy artillery.
1271
01:02:29,512 --> 01:02:32,649
And the ground started shaking,
1272
01:02:32,782 --> 01:02:35,185
and people were thrown
from their beds.
1273
01:02:35,318 --> 01:02:36,987
Furniture was overturned.
1274
01:02:37,120 --> 01:02:38,355
(clattering)
1275
01:02:38,488 --> 01:02:41,558
And in the middle of
the night in 1811,
1276
01:02:41,691 --> 01:02:44,227
you would have no
idea what this was.
1277
01:02:44,361 --> 01:02:46,663
‐ [Narrator] Intense
seismic waves radiated
1278
01:02:46,796 --> 01:02:49,966
in all directions for
hundreds of miles.
1279
01:02:50,100 --> 01:02:51,935
(pensive music)
(lightning crackles)
1280
01:02:52,068 --> 01:02:53,270
‐ The thing about
New Madrid is that
1281
01:02:53,403 --> 01:02:57,440
it's in the middle of
a vast alluvial plain.
1282
01:02:57,574 --> 01:03:01,678
And the seismic shocks
from it spread unrestricted
1283
01:03:01,811 --> 01:03:04,247
across certainly
eastern America.
1284
01:03:05,448 --> 01:03:06,683
‐ [Narrator] The quake
was felt as far away
1285
01:03:06,816 --> 01:03:09,519
as New York, Boston, Montreal,
1286
01:03:09,653 --> 01:03:11,521
and Charleston, South Carolina,
1287
01:03:11,655 --> 01:03:14,991
where it rang the bells of
Saint Phillips Episcopal church.
1288
01:03:15,125 --> 01:03:16,159
(bells pealing)
1289
01:03:16,293 --> 01:03:17,327
‐ People went running
into the street
1290
01:03:17,460 --> 01:03:18,695
in their night clothes,
1291
01:03:18,828 --> 01:03:21,931
and birds of all kinds
1292
01:03:22,065 --> 01:03:23,900
were screeching
and flying about,
1293
01:03:24,000 --> 01:03:25,802
cattle were stampeding.
1294
01:03:26,970 --> 01:03:28,371
‐ [Narrator] With
the Earth convulsing,
1295
01:03:28,505 --> 01:03:30,407
it was impossible to stand.
1296
01:03:31,474 --> 01:03:33,109
‐ They threw themselves
on the ground
1297
01:03:33,243 --> 01:03:36,146
and started praying in fear.
1298
01:03:36,279 --> 01:03:38,481
And one couple grabbed
all their children,
1299
01:03:38,615 --> 01:03:39,749
ran into the street.
1300
01:03:39,883 --> 01:03:41,484
The mother suddenly realizes
1301
01:03:41,618 --> 01:03:43,553
that they've left
the infant behind.
1302
01:03:43,687 --> 01:03:47,257
And she says to her
husband, "Go get the baby."
1303
01:03:47,390 --> 01:03:49,259
He starts back to the house
1304
01:03:49,392 --> 01:03:52,128
and the ground is
shaking so badly,
1305
01:03:52,262 --> 01:03:54,798
he's thrown to the
ground a dozen times
1306
01:03:54,931 --> 01:03:57,300
before he can finally
get to the house,
1307
01:03:57,434 --> 01:04:01,404
crawl inside, reach the
baby, and get back out.
1308
01:04:01,538 --> 01:04:03,473
(suspenseful music)
1309
01:04:03,606 --> 01:04:05,775
‐ [Narrator] George
Crist, living 100 miles
1310
01:04:05,909 --> 01:04:08,345
north of New Madrid,
wrote this account.
1311
01:04:09,512 --> 01:04:10,447
‐ [George] There
was a great quaking
1312
01:04:10,580 --> 01:04:12,148
of the Earth this morning.
1313
01:04:12,282 --> 01:04:15,452
Tables and chairs turned
over, knocked around.
1314
01:04:15,585 --> 01:04:17,887
All of us knocked out of bed.
1315
01:04:18,021 --> 01:04:20,090
The roar I thought
would leave us dead.
1316
01:04:20,223 --> 01:04:22,625
(shattering)
1317
01:04:24,027 --> 01:04:27,297
All you could hear was screams
from people and animals.
1318
01:04:27,430 --> 01:04:28,531
(screaming)
1319
01:04:28,665 --> 01:04:30,333
I don't know how we
lived through it.
1320
01:04:31,901 --> 01:04:34,371
‐ [Narrator] There were
no seismographs in 1811
1321
01:04:34,504 --> 01:04:36,439
to record the shock.
1322
01:04:36,573 --> 01:04:38,441
But based on eyewitness accounts
1323
01:04:38,575 --> 01:04:40,543
and destruction reports,
1324
01:04:40,677 --> 01:04:42,545
seismologists believe the quake
1325
01:04:42,679 --> 01:04:45,248
measured 8.0 on
the Richter Scale,
1326
01:04:47,250 --> 01:04:51,688
10 times stronger than the 1906
earthquake in San Francisco.
1327
01:04:51,821 --> 01:04:53,056
(suspenseful music)
1328
01:04:53,189 --> 01:04:55,592
And the horror wasn't over.
1329
01:04:55,725 --> 01:04:58,895
Frightened residents next
confronted inexplicable
1330
01:04:59,028 --> 01:05:02,565
large clouds of strange
gas seeping from the Earth.
1331
01:05:03,700 --> 01:05:06,202
‐ There was a sulfurous smell,
1332
01:05:06,336 --> 01:05:09,539
which came up out of
the bowels of the Earth.
1333
01:05:09,672 --> 01:05:11,274
‐ [Narrator] Escaping
into the darkness,
1334
01:05:11,408 --> 01:05:14,911
many people reported seeing
bizarre flashing lights.
1335
01:05:15,912 --> 01:05:17,747
‐ The lights are not unique.
1336
01:05:17,881 --> 01:05:19,582
There are other
earthquakes where people
1337
01:05:19,716 --> 01:05:21,818
have said that
they've seen them.
1338
01:05:21,951 --> 01:05:24,587
The explanation is that
it has something to do
1339
01:05:24,721 --> 01:05:28,158
with the squeezing of the rocks.
1340
01:05:28,291 --> 01:05:30,660
They emit electrical signals.
1341
01:05:30,794 --> 01:05:33,396
They call that
piezoelectric effect.
1342
01:05:33,530 --> 01:05:37,267
‐ [Narrator] After a night
of terror, the sun came up,
1343
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:40,336
but dawn brought no
relief from the tremors.
1344
01:05:41,771 --> 01:05:45,108
‐ There were rumblings and
shakes all through the night.
1345
01:05:45,241 --> 01:05:48,445
And then at 7:00 a. m.,
there was another shock,
1346
01:05:48,578 --> 01:05:52,215
at least as hard as the
first and maybe worse.
1347
01:05:52,348 --> 01:05:54,584
And it kept going
all through the day.
1348
01:05:55,819 --> 01:05:56,920
(rumbling)
1349
01:05:57,053 --> 01:05:57,921
‐ [Narrator] Many
homes and barns
1350
01:05:58,054 --> 01:05:59,689
that endured the
2:00 a. m. shaker
1351
01:05:59,823 --> 01:06:01,391
now clattered to the ground
1352
01:06:01,524 --> 01:06:03,393
from this massive aftershock.
1353
01:06:03,526 --> 01:06:04,861
(clattering)
1354
01:06:04,994 --> 01:06:07,931
With daylight, people could
see the earthquake destruction.
1355
01:06:08,064 --> 01:06:10,900
(ominous music)
1356
01:06:11,000 --> 01:06:12,936
(loud cracking)
1357
01:06:13,069 --> 01:06:16,172
‐ There were also these
large fissures created.
1358
01:06:16,306 --> 01:06:20,109
Sometimes they were four
and five feet across
1359
01:06:20,243 --> 01:06:22,278
and 10 miles long.
1360
01:06:23,446 --> 01:06:26,082
There are several
accounts of buildings
1361
01:06:26,216 --> 01:06:29,252
being swallowed up
into the fissures.
1362
01:06:29,385 --> 01:06:31,855
‐ [Narrator] Not only
was the land in turmoil.
1363
01:06:31,988 --> 01:06:34,390
The Mississippi River
and lakes in the region
1364
01:06:34,524 --> 01:06:36,259
were thrown from their banks.
1365
01:06:37,660 --> 01:06:40,196
‐ There were huge disruptions
along the river valley.
1366
01:06:40,330 --> 01:06:42,198
The water of the
Mississippi River
1367
01:06:42,332 --> 01:06:44,534
was sloshed around
like a bath tub.
1368
01:06:44,667 --> 01:06:47,770
Banks caved in and
took trees with them.
1369
01:06:47,904 --> 01:06:50,440
‐ Probably the most
dramatic thing that happened
1370
01:06:50,573 --> 01:06:54,644
was a huge piece of
land was thrust up,
1371
01:06:54,777 --> 01:06:58,381
and this piece of land
crossed the river.
1372
01:06:58,515 --> 01:07:01,084
And so all this water
comes down river,
1373
01:07:01,217 --> 01:07:03,386
and hits this impediment.
1374
01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:05,021
Well, it's like when
you're in a bath tub
1375
01:07:05,154 --> 01:07:07,323
and you push the
water away from you,
1376
01:07:07,457 --> 01:07:10,159
there's only one place it
can come, back towards you.
1377
01:07:10,293 --> 01:07:13,496
And so, a 30‐foot
high wall of water
1378
01:07:13,630 --> 01:07:15,865
goes rushing back upstream.
1379
01:07:17,066 --> 01:07:19,402
‐ [Narrator] Incredibly,
the mighty Mississippi
1380
01:07:19,536 --> 01:07:20,970
flowed backwards.
1381
01:07:21,104 --> 01:07:23,072
(waves burbling)
1382
01:07:23,206 --> 01:07:25,475
Churning against uplifted land,
1383
01:07:25,608 --> 01:07:28,177
it retreated from
its normal course,
1384
01:07:28,311 --> 01:07:31,581
charging back upstream
toward Illinois.
1385
01:07:31,714 --> 01:07:34,517
(tense music)
1386
01:07:34,651 --> 01:07:38,755
At 11:00 a. m., there was yet
another massive aftershock,
1387
01:07:38,888 --> 01:07:41,457
estimated to be close to
8 on the Richter scale,
1388
01:07:41,591 --> 01:07:42,892
(clattering)
1389
01:07:43,026 --> 01:07:46,729
the third huge seismic
event in less than 12 hours.
1390
01:07:46,863 --> 01:07:49,399
(ominous music)
1391
01:07:49,532 --> 01:07:51,868
Two hunters near the
town of Little Prairie
1392
01:07:52,001 --> 01:07:54,370
witnessed something shocking.
1393
01:07:54,504 --> 01:07:56,406
‐ They describe the
waters of the lake
1394
01:07:56,539 --> 01:07:58,641
draining away in
this earthquake.
1395
01:07:58,775 --> 01:08:00,877
This area was
described as a prairie.
1396
01:08:01,010 --> 01:08:04,814
That part of the ground got
lifted up in the aftershock,
1397
01:08:04,948 --> 01:08:07,350
such that the shallow
lake just disappeared.
1398
01:08:07,483 --> 01:08:10,253
And they were there
watching this go on.
1399
01:08:11,421 --> 01:08:13,656
‐ [Narrator] During
these large aftershocks,
1400
01:08:13,790 --> 01:08:17,293
the Earth belched up immense
quantities of sand and debris
1401
01:08:17,427 --> 01:08:20,163
from unusual gaping
fissures in the ground.
1402
01:08:21,598 --> 01:08:25,768
Geologists call these
strange geysers sand blows.
1403
01:08:25,902 --> 01:08:28,104
(bursting)
1404
01:08:30,506 --> 01:08:32,875
‐ So, we're talking
about a lot of sand
1405
01:08:33,009 --> 01:08:35,545
being blown up through
the face of the Earth,
1406
01:08:35,678 --> 01:08:37,680
sometimes a hundred feet high.
1407
01:08:37,814 --> 01:08:41,184
And of course, it's bringing
up whatever is down there.
1408
01:08:41,317 --> 01:08:42,785
‐ [Narrator] These
sand volcanoes
1409
01:08:42,919 --> 01:08:45,521
are the result of
soil liquefaction.
1410
01:08:45,655 --> 01:08:48,558
As the shaking saturated
Earth compacts,
1411
01:08:48,691 --> 01:08:52,962
pressure builds up, until a
vent or fissure is forced open.
1412
01:08:54,397 --> 01:08:58,334
This brings the watery sand
mixture blasting to the surface.
1413
01:08:58,468 --> 01:09:01,170
(noisy gushing)
1414
01:09:01,304 --> 01:09:05,341
‐ These things can
be 15, 20‐feet deep.
1415
01:09:05,475 --> 01:09:08,745
You can still see evidence
of these sand blows
1416
01:09:08,878 --> 01:09:11,581
throughout the Boot
Hill region of Missouri
1417
01:09:11,714 --> 01:09:13,883
and down into the
northeastern Arkansas.
1418
01:09:15,652 --> 01:09:17,453
‐ [Narrator] Massive
flooding along the river
1419
01:09:17,587 --> 01:09:20,590
forced people to flee
to higher ground.
1420
01:09:20,723 --> 01:09:21,924
‐ The town of Little Prairie,
1421
01:09:22,058 --> 01:09:23,960
which was actually hit harder
1422
01:09:24,093 --> 01:09:27,096
than New Madrid in the
first day of earthquakes,
1423
01:09:27,230 --> 01:09:31,434
was flooded and
the town evacuated.
1424
01:09:31,567 --> 01:09:33,770
‐ These people were
scared to death.
1425
01:09:33,903 --> 01:09:36,639
They had just witnessed
a calamitous event,
1426
01:09:36,773 --> 01:09:38,808
and they were moving
across a landscape
1427
01:09:38,941 --> 01:09:40,877
that they knew very
well, but it had been
1428
01:09:41,010 --> 01:09:44,080
so dramatically
affected by the fissures
1429
01:09:44,213 --> 01:09:46,249
it would have been
like a war zone.
1430
01:09:46,382 --> 01:09:50,353
‐ [Narrator] Amazingly, the
largest shock was yet to come.
1431
01:09:50,486 --> 01:09:52,455
Their hell had only begun.
1432
01:09:52,588 --> 01:09:53,354
(ominous music)
1433
01:09:58,294 --> 01:10:00,463
‐ [Narrator] The cities
of Memphis and St. Louis
1434
01:10:00,596 --> 01:10:02,999
lie in the heartland of America,
1435
01:10:03,132 --> 01:10:06,369
a place of bedrock values
and fertile farmlands.
1436
01:10:06,502 --> 01:10:07,904
(mellow music)
1437
01:10:08,037 --> 01:10:11,040
There is little concern for
an obscure earthquake fault
1438
01:10:11,174 --> 01:10:12,742
that cuts through the region.
1439
01:10:13,876 --> 01:10:16,345
A fault that has wreaked
havoc in the past,
1440
01:10:16,479 --> 01:10:19,549
unsettling life, and
transforming the landscape.
1441
01:10:21,117 --> 01:10:23,319
(tense music)
1442
01:10:23,453 --> 01:10:27,156
Early on the morning
of December 16th, 1811,
1443
01:10:27,290 --> 01:10:30,159
an 8.0 earthquake erupting
near the community
1444
01:10:30,293 --> 01:10:32,729
of New Madrid, Missouri
shook the ground
1445
01:10:32,862 --> 01:10:35,665
for hundreds of miles
in all directions.
1446
01:10:36,966 --> 01:10:39,802
(shattering)
1447
01:10:39,936 --> 01:10:41,738
Aftershocks continued to rumble
1448
01:10:41,871 --> 01:10:44,107
through the area
over the next month.
1449
01:10:44,240 --> 01:10:46,976
Residents abandoned
their splintered cabins
1450
01:10:47,110 --> 01:10:49,045
and set up makeshift shelters,
1451
01:10:49,178 --> 01:10:52,348
with temperatures hovering
just below freezing.
1452
01:10:52,482 --> 01:10:54,984
Still, the shaking continued.
1453
01:10:55,118 --> 01:10:59,922
‐ The Earth stayed in motion
for quite a long time,
1454
01:11:00,123 --> 01:11:01,791
as much as a month.
1455
01:11:01,924 --> 01:11:03,559
‐ [Narrator] After
people calmed down,
1456
01:11:03,693 --> 01:11:05,328
they began to rebuild,
1457
01:11:05,461 --> 01:11:07,897
only to be terrorized again.
1458
01:11:08,030 --> 01:11:11,634
‐ Then on January 23rd, 1812,
1459
01:11:11,768 --> 01:11:14,670
there was another
monstrous earthquake.
1460
01:11:14,804 --> 01:11:18,941
And it created very much
the same type of hysteria
1461
01:11:19,075 --> 01:11:23,513
that resulted from the
December 16th quake.
1462
01:11:23,646 --> 01:11:25,715
‐ [Narrator] These
were shocking events,
1463
01:11:25,848 --> 01:11:28,951
but only precursors
of what was to come.
1464
01:11:29,085 --> 01:11:29,886
(thuds)
1465
01:11:30,019 --> 01:11:31,254
Frightened residents believed
1466
01:11:31,387 --> 01:11:33,656
they were suffering
the wrath of God.
1467
01:11:34,791 --> 01:11:35,925
‐ If all of a sudden,
the hand of God
1468
01:11:36,058 --> 01:11:38,661
comes down and strikes
right where you're at,
1469
01:11:38,795 --> 01:11:40,897
there's just a natural
tendency to take that
1470
01:11:41,030 --> 01:11:44,400
as a sign that maybe you
need to clean up your act.
1471
01:11:44,534 --> 01:11:46,569
And certainly, that
happened in New Madrid.
1472
01:11:48,171 --> 01:11:50,673
The ground was in a
constant state of unrest
1473
01:11:50,807 --> 01:11:52,608
with the aftershocks,
they just have the sense
1474
01:11:52,742 --> 01:11:55,645
that it was moving
almost constantly.
1475
01:11:55,778 --> 01:11:57,213
(somber music)
1476
01:11:57,346 --> 01:12:00,650
‐ [Narrator] Then on
February 7th, 1812,
1477
01:12:00,783 --> 01:12:02,385
the New Madrid fault unleashed
1478
01:12:02,518 --> 01:12:05,087
its most violent
earthquake to date,
1479
01:12:05,221 --> 01:12:07,256
8 plus on the Richter scale.
1480
01:12:07,390 --> 01:12:09,425
(rumbling)
1481
01:12:09,559 --> 01:12:13,196
‐ February 7th is what the
locals called the hard shock,
1482
01:12:13,329 --> 01:12:15,431
which is kind of
amazing, by all accounts,
1483
01:12:15,565 --> 01:12:17,533
the biggest earthquake
of the sequence.
1484
01:12:17,667 --> 01:12:20,002
The fault crossed
the Mississippi River
1485
01:12:20,136 --> 01:12:21,838
in three different places.
1486
01:12:21,971 --> 01:12:23,172
(ominous music)
1487
01:12:23,306 --> 01:12:24,674
‐ [Narrator] The region,
which had been under
1488
01:12:24,807 --> 01:12:28,110
so much stress and strain,
could handle no more.
1489
01:12:28,244 --> 01:12:30,446
(waves crashing)
1490
01:12:30,580 --> 01:12:33,182
This third earthquake
generated a new round
1491
01:12:33,316 --> 01:12:36,452
of bizarre events,
more sand blows,
1492
01:12:36,586 --> 01:12:40,356
foul vapors, and
collapsing riverbanks.
1493
01:12:40,489 --> 01:12:43,159
(waves crashing)
1494
01:12:43,292 --> 01:12:46,562
Incredibly, 3,000
square miles of land
1495
01:12:46,696 --> 01:12:49,498
east of the Mississippi
River subsided,
1496
01:12:49,632 --> 01:12:51,901
in some places, by 10 feet.
1497
01:12:52,001 --> 01:12:53,669
(somber music)
1498
01:12:53,803 --> 01:12:56,172
Enormous amounts of water
from the Mississippi
1499
01:12:56,305 --> 01:12:58,241
poured into the depressed area,
1500
01:12:59,709 --> 01:13:03,246
and formed a massive
lake in just a few hours.
1501
01:13:03,379 --> 01:13:05,848
(somber music)
1502
01:13:05,982 --> 01:13:09,352
These floodwaters covered
a dense hardwood forest
1503
01:13:09,485 --> 01:13:12,655
and killed all of the trees
except the Bald Cypress,
1504
01:13:12,788 --> 01:13:14,257
which thrive in water.
1505
01:13:15,458 --> 01:13:18,294
This body of water,
called Reelfoot Lake,
1506
01:13:18,427 --> 01:13:20,329
still exists today.
1507
01:13:21,797 --> 01:13:24,867
Pictures taken just 70 years
ago during a seasonal drought
1508
01:13:24,967 --> 01:13:28,204
show hundreds of stumps
just below the surface.
1509
01:13:29,438 --> 01:13:31,641
The Bald Cypress
left in these waters
1510
01:13:31,774 --> 01:13:34,243
tell the story of
this instant lake.
1511
01:13:35,678 --> 01:13:39,048
‐ Well, Bald Cypress has a
big root system called knees.
1512
01:13:39,181 --> 01:13:42,785
And they have a bulb that
grows at the water level.
1513
01:13:42,919 --> 01:13:45,054
One of the interesting
aspects of the subsidence
1514
01:13:45,187 --> 01:13:47,723
and why know that it was
three feet of subsidence,
1515
01:13:47,857 --> 01:13:49,926
is that after the earthquake,
1516
01:13:50,059 --> 01:13:51,794
so with the next 10 to 20 years,
1517
01:13:51,928 --> 01:13:55,231
these trees grew a
second bulbous area,
1518
01:13:55,364 --> 01:13:57,466
three feet above
the previous one.
1519
01:13:58,634 --> 01:14:00,436
‐ [Narrator] Severe
aftershocks continued
1520
01:14:00,569 --> 01:14:02,438
for several months.
1521
01:14:02,571 --> 01:14:05,441
By the time it was over,
the region had endured
1522
01:14:05,574 --> 01:14:08,945
more than 2,000 quakes
and aftershocks,
1523
01:14:09,078 --> 01:14:11,147
the most intense
series of quakes
1524
01:14:11,280 --> 01:14:13,482
ever experienced
in North America.
1525
01:14:14,650 --> 01:14:16,686
No one knows how many died
1526
01:14:16,819 --> 01:14:19,655
because the area was
sparsely settled.
1527
01:14:19,789 --> 01:14:21,190
‐ From the eyewitness accounts,
1528
01:14:21,324 --> 01:14:25,194
I've been able to
pinpoint about 100 deaths
1529
01:14:25,328 --> 01:14:27,730
in the New Madrid
earthquake series.
1530
01:14:27,863 --> 01:14:31,267
I think it's quite possible
that there could have been
1531
01:14:31,400 --> 01:14:34,537
a number more than that,
say, maybe as many as 500,
1532
01:14:34,670 --> 01:14:37,073
because there had to
have been many people
1533
01:14:37,206 --> 01:14:39,608
on the river who were
just never accounted for
1534
01:14:39,742 --> 01:14:42,278
because so many boats
were lost on the river.
1535
01:14:42,411 --> 01:14:43,746
‐ [Narrator] It
would take some time
1536
01:14:43,879 --> 01:14:46,115
before things returned
to normal in the region.
1537
01:14:46,248 --> 01:14:47,183
(thunder crackling)
1538
01:14:47,316 --> 01:14:49,185
‐ For at least a
year afterwards,
1539
01:14:49,318 --> 01:14:50,886
many of the residents
of New Madrid
1540
01:14:51,020 --> 01:14:52,421
lived in a tent city.
1541
01:14:52,555 --> 01:14:54,757
Other people left the area,
1542
01:14:54,890 --> 01:14:57,093
but soon they started
drifting back,
1543
01:14:57,226 --> 01:14:59,328
as people are wont to do.
1544
01:14:59,462 --> 01:15:02,064
‐ [Narrator] After a
century of relative quiet,
1545
01:15:02,198 --> 01:15:04,433
memories of these quakes faded,
1546
01:15:04,567 --> 01:15:06,135
and cities were built up again,
1547
01:15:06,268 --> 01:15:09,271
with little knowledge of the
hazard in the Earth below.
1548
01:15:10,673 --> 01:15:13,776
Some, like Memphis,
are dangerously close
1549
01:15:13,909 --> 01:15:16,479
to the faults that
erupted in 1812.
1550
01:15:16,612 --> 01:15:18,147
(tense music)
1551
01:15:18,280 --> 01:15:22,151
‐ If we had a series of
New Madrid quakes today,
1552
01:15:22,284 --> 01:15:26,122
comparable to what
happened 200 years ago,
1553
01:15:26,255 --> 01:15:28,024
the effect on infrastructure,
1554
01:15:28,157 --> 01:15:30,059
like highways and bridges,
1555
01:15:30,192 --> 01:15:31,560
could be cataclysmic.
1556
01:15:31,694 --> 01:15:32,213
(tense music)
1557
01:15:37,733 --> 01:15:39,335
‐ [Narrator] The
heartland of America
1558
01:15:39,468 --> 01:15:42,304
is sitting on a
geological time bomb.
1559
01:15:42,438 --> 01:15:44,807
(clattering)
1560
01:15:46,008 --> 01:15:48,244
St. Louis, Missouri
and Memphis, Tennessee
1561
01:15:48,377 --> 01:15:51,247
are located near the
most active seismic zone
1562
01:15:51,380 --> 01:15:53,482
east of the Rocky Mountains.
1563
01:15:53,616 --> 01:15:56,285
This puts both cities
in the cross hairs
1564
01:15:56,419 --> 01:15:58,020
of a devastating shaker.
1565
01:16:01,257 --> 01:16:04,060
Just 150 miles
south of the city,
1566
01:16:04,193 --> 01:16:06,662
and 15 miles beneath
the Earth's surface,
1567
01:16:06,796 --> 01:16:08,964
lies the New Madrid fault,
1568
01:16:09,098 --> 01:16:11,467
ready to deliver an
eight‐point earthquake
1569
01:16:11,600 --> 01:16:13,269
that will topple buildings,
1570
01:16:13,402 --> 01:16:16,839
buckle highways,
destroy bridges,
1571
01:16:16,972 --> 01:16:20,109
and create a mega disaster
across the region.
1572
01:16:21,777 --> 01:16:24,880
The historical record
tells the tale.
1573
01:16:25,014 --> 01:16:28,084
(electronic music)
1574
01:16:28,217 --> 01:16:31,087
‐ [Narrator] Nearly 200 years
ago, people in this region
1575
01:16:31,220 --> 01:16:34,223
had first‐hand experience
with not just one,
1576
01:16:34,356 --> 01:16:36,492
but a series of monster quakes.
1577
01:16:37,726 --> 01:16:39,762
The United States
Geological Survey
1578
01:16:39,895 --> 01:16:41,864
has plotted worldwide
earthquakes
1579
01:16:41,997 --> 01:16:44,133
from the last 50 years.
1580
01:16:44,266 --> 01:16:47,937
A great majority of them fall
into a predictable pattern.
1581
01:16:48,070 --> 01:16:51,607
‐ Most earthquakes in the world
occur along plate boundaries
1582
01:16:51,740 --> 01:16:56,712
where two tectonic plates
are moving past one another.
1583
01:16:57,880 --> 01:17:00,349
And as they try to
move, the rocks resist
1584
01:17:00,483 --> 01:17:02,918
until they break and
you have earthquakes.
1585
01:17:03,052 --> 01:17:04,820
(upbeat techno music)
1586
01:17:04,954 --> 01:17:06,956
‐ [Narrator] But there is
an active earthquake area
1587
01:17:07,089 --> 01:17:09,058
located in
southeastern Missouri,
1588
01:17:09,191 --> 01:17:10,893
on the banks of the Mississippi,
1589
01:17:11,794 --> 01:17:14,063
the New Madrid seismic zone.
1590
01:17:14,196 --> 01:17:16,332
(ominous music)
1591
01:17:16,465 --> 01:17:20,903
4,000 earthquakes registered
here over the last 20 years.
1592
01:17:21,036 --> 01:17:23,205
And no one knows exactly why.
1593
01:17:24,840 --> 01:17:26,709
‐ The theory of plate tectonics
1594
01:17:27,776 --> 01:17:29,378
provides an
excellent explanation
1595
01:17:29,512 --> 01:17:31,514
as to why we have earthquakes
1596
01:17:31,647 --> 01:17:33,249
over most of the world,
1597
01:17:34,450 --> 01:17:37,119
but it doesn't explain
why we have earthquakes
1598
01:17:37,253 --> 01:17:39,288
right in the middle of a plate.
1599
01:17:39,421 --> 01:17:42,291
It violates what the
theory would suggest.
1600
01:17:42,424 --> 01:17:45,060
(ominous music)
1601
01:17:46,529 --> 01:17:48,430
‐ [Narrator] Though not
part of a plate boundary.
1602
01:17:48,564 --> 01:17:50,499
there is some evidence
that there may be
1603
01:17:50,633 --> 01:17:53,169
an ancient fault line
under New Madrid,
1604
01:17:53,302 --> 01:17:56,972
now buried beneath 3,000
feet of Mississippi sediment.
1605
01:17:58,407 --> 01:18:00,609
‐ This entire part of the United
States is under compression
1606
01:18:00,743 --> 01:18:03,179
from essentially the
Mid‐Atlantic Ridge,
1607
01:18:03,312 --> 01:18:04,480
and the pressure of that pushing
1608
01:18:04,613 --> 01:18:06,282
all the way through this area.
1609
01:18:06,415 --> 01:18:08,584
We know for a fact that
underneath this area
1610
01:18:08,717 --> 01:18:11,353
lies an ancient rift,
a major fault system
1611
01:18:11,487 --> 01:18:13,589
that is 600 million years old.
1612
01:18:13,722 --> 01:18:15,858
These faults have been activated
1613
01:18:15,991 --> 01:18:17,793
various times through history
1614
01:18:17,927 --> 01:18:20,062
and have recently turned on.
1615
01:18:20,196 --> 01:18:21,096
(tense music)
1616
01:18:21,230 --> 01:18:22,598
‐ The problem today is that
1617
01:18:22,731 --> 01:18:25,868
what was hitherto an
unpopulated part of America
1618
01:18:26,001 --> 01:18:28,204
is now very populated.
1619
01:18:28,337 --> 01:18:31,040
There are two cities
that are most at risk.
1620
01:18:31,173 --> 01:18:33,108
One is Memphis to the south,
1621
01:18:33,242 --> 01:18:34,910
and one is St.
Louis to the north.
1622
01:18:36,045 --> 01:18:37,780
‐ [Narrator] And between
these cities today
1623
01:18:37,913 --> 01:18:40,449
lies a complex network of roads,
1624
01:18:40,583 --> 01:18:43,185
bridges, and
communication links.
1625
01:18:44,386 --> 01:18:47,957
The geologic clock is
ticking for New Madrid.
1626
01:18:48,090 --> 01:18:51,060
Crisscrossing faults could
erupt in a massive quake
1627
01:18:51,193 --> 01:18:54,096
that would make the
1811 and 12 shakers
1628
01:18:54,230 --> 01:18:55,998
seem like a dress rehearsal.
1629
01:18:57,666 --> 01:19:00,803
Yet, questions still
loom over the Midwest:
1630
01:19:00,936 --> 01:19:03,372
when will another
earthquake erupt,
1631
01:19:03,505 --> 01:19:05,641
and will the residents be ready?
1632
01:19:05,774 --> 01:19:07,409
(tense techno music)
1633
01:19:07,543 --> 01:19:10,846
With three‐dimensional
geologic mapping technology,
1634
01:19:10,980 --> 01:19:14,717
Roy van Arsdale has modeled
this subterranean world,
1635
01:19:14,850 --> 01:19:17,386
hoping to find some answers.
1636
01:19:17,519 --> 01:19:19,521
‐ Well, we're compiling
all kinds of information
1637
01:19:19,655 --> 01:19:23,359
that we can get in terms
of deep information.
1638
01:19:24,827 --> 01:19:27,263
‐ [Narrator] Using sound
waves, scientists determine
1639
01:19:27,396 --> 01:19:29,965
the composition of
the rocks and subsoil,
1640
01:19:31,200 --> 01:19:33,502
a geological snapshot
of the terrain
1641
01:19:33,636 --> 01:19:35,471
under the Mississippi sediments.
1642
01:19:38,007 --> 01:19:41,477
This second layer is five
miles below the surface.
1643
01:19:42,911 --> 01:19:44,713
‐ We're looking at what's
called the Precambrian surface
1644
01:19:44,847 --> 01:19:46,882
in these multi‐colored
depiction.
1645
01:19:47,016 --> 01:19:48,417
And what you can
also see is that
1646
01:19:48,550 --> 01:19:52,488
the Precambrian geology
is broken by faults.
1647
01:19:52,621 --> 01:19:56,191
That's what these planes are
that displaced that surface.
1648
01:19:56,325 --> 01:19:57,426
And there are
earthquakes occurring
1649
01:19:57,559 --> 01:19:59,528
along these two
particular faults.
1650
01:19:59,662 --> 01:20:01,397
These faults are
oriented in such a way
1651
01:20:01,530 --> 01:20:04,400
that it looks like they are
trending towards Memphis
1652
01:20:04,533 --> 01:20:06,602
and Shelby County,
the star in the model,
1653
01:20:06,735 --> 01:20:09,071
so we expect that
they probably do pass
1654
01:20:09,204 --> 01:20:12,875
beneath where we are right now.
1655
01:20:13,008 --> 01:20:15,044
‐ [Narrator] Next, they
plot onto the geography
1656
01:20:15,177 --> 01:20:19,048
the locations of earthquakes
in the region since 1995.
1657
01:20:20,182 --> 01:20:20,983
‐ There've been
earthquakes occurring
1658
01:20:21,116 --> 01:20:21,984
over a long period of time,
1659
01:20:22,117 --> 01:20:22,918
but these are the earthquakes
1660
01:20:23,052 --> 01:20:25,187
that are well located.
1661
01:20:25,321 --> 01:20:28,824
With the earthquakes in
this pseudo 3‐D projection,
1662
01:20:28,957 --> 01:20:30,392
they look like a shotgun blast
1663
01:20:30,526 --> 01:20:32,227
until you rotate the model,
1664
01:20:32,361 --> 01:20:33,329
that you see that
the earthquakes
1665
01:20:33,462 --> 01:20:35,998
align themselves
along the plane.
1666
01:20:36,131 --> 01:20:38,901
What you're looking at
now is the Reelfoot fault
1667
01:20:39,001 --> 01:20:42,404
and the earthquakes are popping
off along that fault plane.
1668
01:20:42,538 --> 01:20:43,739
‐ [Narrator] There it is.
1669
01:20:43,872 --> 01:20:45,841
(upbeat techno music)
1670
01:20:45,974 --> 01:20:49,178
Pretty small, just
149 miles long
1671
01:20:49,311 --> 01:20:51,380
compared to the
San Andreas fault
1672
01:20:51,513 --> 01:20:54,350
that stretches more
than 700 miles.
1673
01:20:54,483 --> 01:20:56,985
(upbeat techno music)
1674
01:20:57,119 --> 01:20:59,588
But it packs a devastating punch
1675
01:20:59,722 --> 01:21:04,159
because seismic waves travel
easily through Midwest bedrock.
1676
01:21:04,293 --> 01:21:05,494
(upbeat techno music)
1677
01:21:05,627 --> 01:21:08,530
Seismic intensity
maps of the 1811 event
1678
01:21:08,664 --> 01:21:11,767
show destructive shaking
in each of these quakes,
1679
01:21:11,900 --> 01:21:14,536
stretching for
more than 350 miles
1680
01:21:14,670 --> 01:21:17,573
from the epicenters on
the New Madrid fault line.
1681
01:21:19,775 --> 01:21:22,711
‐ Clearly, the New Madrid
earthquakes were big events,
1682
01:21:22,845 --> 01:21:25,447
and they were felt all the
way to the Atlantic seaboard,
1683
01:21:25,581 --> 01:21:28,884
and they really rocked
the whole mid‐continent.
1684
01:21:29,017 --> 01:21:32,788
That makes them big,
potentially damaging events
1685
01:21:32,921 --> 01:21:35,290
and the kind of quakes
that we really worry about.
1686
01:21:36,658 --> 01:21:38,694
‐ If conditions stay the same
1687
01:21:38,827 --> 01:21:41,897
as they've been for the
past thousand years,
1688
01:21:42,030 --> 01:21:45,667
another series of
earthquakes comparable to
1689
01:21:45,801 --> 01:21:50,172
the 1811 and 1812
series, is inevitable.
1690
01:21:51,507 --> 01:21:52,641
‐ [Narrator] That seems to be
1691
01:21:52,775 --> 01:21:55,177
the recurring theme
among seismologists.
1692
01:21:55,310 --> 01:21:57,579
When it comes to
these massive tremors,
1693
01:21:57,713 --> 01:22:01,350
it's not a matter
of if, but when.
1694
01:22:02,050 --> 01:22:04,319
‐ We have to realize
that the magnitude
1695
01:22:04,453 --> 01:22:08,690
of the biggest disasters
that we can imagine
1696
01:22:08,824 --> 01:22:11,960
are really catastrophic
in proportion.
1697
01:22:12,094 --> 01:22:15,564
And there's no way, really,
for governments to prepare.
1698
01:22:15,697 --> 01:22:18,801
‐ [Narrator] And then, how
to cope in the aftermath.
1699
01:22:19,668 --> 01:22:20,803
‐ There would be aftershocks
1700
01:22:20,936 --> 01:22:22,571
that would take place afterward,
1701
01:22:22,704 --> 01:22:24,540
that can be just
as nerve‐wracking
1702
01:22:24,673 --> 01:22:25,808
as the main shock.
1703
01:22:25,941 --> 01:22:28,744
‐ [Lucy] It's the secondary
failures, the compounding,
1704
01:22:28,877 --> 01:22:31,180
that takes us from
disaster to catastrophe.
1705
01:22:32,347 --> 01:22:42,324
‐ The consequences
could be devastating.
135094
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