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These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:01,034 --> 00:00:03,036 (intense music) 2 00:00:04,071 --> 00:00:05,172 ‐ [Narrator] Earthquakes. 3 00:00:05,305 --> 00:00:08,509 (people screaming) 4 00:00:08,642 --> 00:00:09,810 So devastating. 5 00:00:13,113 --> 00:00:14,481 So unpredictable. 6 00:00:14,615 --> 00:00:16,483 ‐ [Man] Seismologists are as surprised as anybody 7 00:00:16,617 --> 00:00:17,718 when they actually happen. 8 00:00:17,851 --> 00:00:20,888 ‐ [Narrator] That even the pros stay on guard. 9 00:00:21,021 --> 00:00:23,290 (explosions booming) 10 00:00:23,423 --> 00:00:24,791 From survival. 11 00:00:26,493 --> 00:00:27,561 ‐ [Narrator] To impact. 12 00:00:27,694 --> 00:00:28,795 ‐ [Man] Some events are so big 13 00:00:28,929 --> 00:00:30,931 that they literally break the system. 14 00:00:31,064 --> 00:00:34,668 ‐ [Narrator] The effects can be apocalyptic. 15 00:00:34,801 --> 00:00:37,437 (intense music) 16 00:00:39,806 --> 00:00:44,111 Earth, air, fire, and water, 17 00:00:44,244 --> 00:00:46,713 essential for human survival, 18 00:00:46,847 --> 00:00:49,016 but in their extreme, destructive 19 00:00:49,149 --> 00:00:52,619 to everything, and everyone in their path. 20 00:00:52,753 --> 00:00:54,054 ‐ [Man] Coming down, right now, major tornado. 21 00:00:54,187 --> 00:00:55,689 ‐ [Man] Yeah, that's a monster. 22 00:00:57,090 --> 00:00:58,158 ‐ [Narrator] These are stories. 23 00:00:58,292 --> 00:00:59,493 ‐ [Man] Oh big tower of wet. 24 00:00:59,626 --> 00:01:01,061 ‐ Wow. ‐ Whoa, whoa! 25 00:01:01,194 --> 00:01:02,796 ‐ [Narrator] Of Apocalypse Earth. 26 00:01:08,135 --> 00:01:12,673 Earthquakes, powerful, spontaneous, 27 00:01:12,806 --> 00:01:15,375 deadly, and profound. 28 00:01:16,376 --> 00:01:18,312 When the planet shifts position, 29 00:01:18,445 --> 00:01:20,747 everything on it must accommodate, 30 00:01:20,881 --> 00:01:22,883 or face destruction. 31 00:01:23,016 --> 00:01:25,919 And when it comes to earthquake activity on the planet, 32 00:01:26,053 --> 00:01:30,057 there's no place as extensive as the Ring of Fire. 33 00:01:30,190 --> 00:01:33,727 The Ring of Fire is an arc of tectonic plate boundaries 34 00:01:33,860 --> 00:01:37,097 that line the fringes of the Pacific Ocean. 35 00:01:37,230 --> 00:01:40,834 It extends 25,000 miles, from South America 36 00:01:40,968 --> 00:01:44,404 along Central and North America's West Coast, 37 00:01:44,538 --> 00:01:48,241 north to Alaska, and then down through Russia, Japan, 38 00:01:48,375 --> 00:01:52,312 and Southeast Asia, all the way to New Zealand. 39 00:01:52,446 --> 00:01:56,116 90% of all earthquakes occur along this line, 40 00:01:56,249 --> 00:01:59,653 as well as 81% of the world's largest. 41 00:01:59,786 --> 00:02:01,421 Up north of the American coast 42 00:02:01,555 --> 00:02:04,324 of the Ring of Fire sits Alaska, 43 00:02:04,458 --> 00:02:07,628 the most earthquake prone in the United States. 44 00:02:07,761 --> 00:02:09,963 It's also one of the most seismically active 45 00:02:10,097 --> 00:02:11,632 regions in the world. 46 00:02:11,765 --> 00:02:14,301 But when it comes to earthquake activity 47 00:02:14,434 --> 00:02:15,936 within the United States, 48 00:02:16,069 --> 00:02:19,473 it's California that comes to mind most often. 49 00:02:19,606 --> 00:02:22,142 In part, because of the history of earthquakes 50 00:02:22,275 --> 00:02:25,379 that have rocked the City of Angels over the years. 51 00:02:25,512 --> 00:02:27,180 (rock music) 52 00:02:27,314 --> 00:02:30,684 Los Angeles is the biggest city in California, 53 00:02:30,817 --> 00:02:33,286 and the second largest in America. 54 00:02:33,420 --> 00:02:36,356 Its beautiful weather, beaches, and strong economy 55 00:02:36,490 --> 00:02:38,525 have attracted 13 million people 56 00:02:38,659 --> 00:02:40,694 to make the metro area their home. 57 00:02:43,030 --> 00:02:46,400 But seismologists believe the city is in jeopardy. 58 00:02:46,533 --> 00:02:48,969 Not from the infamous San Andreas Fault, 59 00:02:49,102 --> 00:02:52,773 but the more recently identified Puente Hills Fault. 60 00:02:56,276 --> 00:02:58,245 Earthquakes occur in California, 61 00:02:58,378 --> 00:02:59,680 because beneath the surface 62 00:02:59,813 --> 00:03:02,716 of this beautiful state are faults. 63 00:03:02,849 --> 00:03:05,218 These consist of tectonic plates, 64 00:03:05,352 --> 00:03:09,222 continually pushing against each other, creating stress. 65 00:03:09,356 --> 00:03:12,325 Eventually, that stress has to be relieved, 66 00:03:12,459 --> 00:03:14,928 and when that happens, the release of energy 67 00:03:15,062 --> 00:03:17,064 and movement is an earthquake. 68 00:03:17,197 --> 00:03:19,199 (earth rumbling) 69 00:03:19,332 --> 00:03:20,701 (trolley clangs) 70 00:03:20,834 --> 00:03:22,803 ‐ [Narrator] A century ago, the very first California city 71 00:03:22,936 --> 00:03:26,840 to experience a major quake was San Francisco. 72 00:03:26,973 --> 00:03:31,945 In 1906, the San Andreas Fault, unknown at the time, 73 00:03:32,846 --> 00:03:35,415 literally split the earth open. 74 00:03:35,549 --> 00:03:39,052 That earthquake rocked the Bay Area on April 18th, 75 00:03:39,186 --> 00:03:42,956 and measured a magnitude 7.9 on the Richter scale. 76 00:03:47,127 --> 00:03:48,261 ‐ The most costly disaster 77 00:03:48,395 --> 00:03:50,197 in the history of the United States. 78 00:03:50,330 --> 00:03:53,633 Loss of lives anywhere from 3,000 up to 18,000, 79 00:03:55,035 --> 00:03:57,337 so it was quite significant in terms of the losses. 80 00:03:57,471 --> 00:04:00,073 ‐ [Narrator] Over 80% of the city was destroyed, 81 00:04:00,207 --> 00:04:03,877 as a result of devastating fires caused by the shaker. 82 00:04:04,010 --> 00:04:06,446 The fires lasted for several days, 83 00:04:06,580 --> 00:04:10,217 leaving more than half of the population homeless. 84 00:04:10,350 --> 00:04:12,285 The Bay Area earthquake is considered 85 00:04:12,419 --> 00:04:14,855 one of the deadliest in US history. 86 00:04:14,988 --> 00:04:17,057 (eerie music) 87 00:04:17,190 --> 00:04:19,092 Southern California has experienced 88 00:04:19,226 --> 00:04:21,795 several major earthquakes of its own, as well. 89 00:04:23,730 --> 00:04:25,365 ‐ If you live in earthquake country, 90 00:04:25,499 --> 00:04:30,437 you have to just learn to accept that these things happen, 91 00:04:31,705 --> 00:04:34,741 and that there are unpredictabilities in your life. 92 00:04:34,875 --> 00:04:37,711 ‐ [Narrator] The Golden State's temblors come in all sizes, 93 00:04:37,844 --> 00:04:39,780 and happen all the time. 94 00:04:39,913 --> 00:04:41,982 Hard to imagine, but California 95 00:04:42,115 --> 00:04:45,585 has some 37,000 earthquakes every year. 96 00:04:45,719 --> 00:04:47,821 About 100 per day. 97 00:04:47,954 --> 00:04:50,490 Most of them are under magnitude four, 98 00:04:50,624 --> 00:04:51,858 too minor to feel. 99 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,962 Seismologists use a numerical scale, 100 00:04:56,096 --> 00:04:57,397 known as the Richter scale 101 00:04:57,531 --> 00:04:59,733 to quantify the power of earthquakes. 102 00:05:01,001 --> 00:05:02,936 Charles Richter and Beno Gutenberg 103 00:05:03,069 --> 00:05:05,005 determined the magnitude of an earthquake 104 00:05:05,138 --> 00:05:06,740 could be calculated based upon 105 00:05:06,873 --> 00:05:10,877 the amplitude of seismic waves recorded by seismographs. 106 00:05:12,045 --> 00:05:13,980 Each whole number increase in magnitude 107 00:05:14,114 --> 00:05:17,584 represents a 10 fold increase in measured amplitude. 108 00:05:17,717 --> 00:05:20,921 In other words, a 5.0 magnitude earthquake 109 00:05:21,054 --> 00:05:23,790 is about 10 times the amplitude of a 4.0. 110 00:05:26,459 --> 00:05:29,696 And while seismic impact of earthquakes can be measured, 111 00:05:29,830 --> 00:05:31,998 when they will occur still cannot. 112 00:05:33,733 --> 00:05:35,402 ‐ We do not know how to predict earthquakes 113 00:05:35,535 --> 00:05:36,870 in the short term. 114 00:05:37,003 --> 00:05:39,673 We can't tell you when an earthquake is going to happen. 115 00:05:39,806 --> 00:05:42,209 We try and forecast them in the long term, 116 00:05:42,342 --> 00:05:44,778 but seismologists are as surprised as anybody 117 00:05:44,911 --> 00:05:46,179 when they actually happen. 118 00:05:48,281 --> 00:05:49,649 ‐ Earthquakes scare us 119 00:05:49,783 --> 00:05:52,786 because they're the ultimate out of control experience. 120 00:05:52,919 --> 00:05:55,755 We're always more afraid of what we don't control. 121 00:05:55,889 --> 00:05:57,290 (intense music) 122 00:05:57,424 --> 00:06:00,327 ‐ [Narrator] If the Puente Hills thrust fault ruptures, 123 00:06:00,460 --> 00:06:02,195 it could cause a major earthquake 124 00:06:02,329 --> 00:06:04,931 that would have devastating consequences, 125 00:06:05,065 --> 00:06:06,900 especially for the millions of people 126 00:06:07,033 --> 00:06:10,437 who live and work in the Los Angeles metropolitan area. 127 00:06:10,570 --> 00:06:12,906 ‐ If we had this seven plus earthquake, 128 00:06:13,039 --> 00:06:15,242 downtown Los Angeles would actually move 129 00:06:15,375 --> 00:06:18,612 by maybe five, six, maybe even 10 feet. 130 00:06:18,745 --> 00:06:21,147 (intense music) 131 00:06:21,281 --> 00:06:24,551 ‐ [Narrator] A sobering prospect, but not far‐fetched. 132 00:06:28,188 --> 00:06:30,690 Earthquakes in Southern California have been occurring 133 00:06:30,824 --> 00:06:33,360 for hundreds of millions of years. 134 00:06:33,493 --> 00:06:34,995 For the most part, that's how 135 00:06:35,128 --> 00:06:37,297 the various mountain ranges were formed. 136 00:06:39,199 --> 00:06:41,801 The biggest known earthquake in Southern California 137 00:06:41,935 --> 00:06:43,770 occurred in 1857. 138 00:06:45,105 --> 00:06:48,208 By studying how it deformed the local geology, 139 00:06:48,341 --> 00:06:51,611 scientists determined it was a 7.9 quake. 140 00:06:53,046 --> 00:06:56,983 But because the area was so sparsely populated at the time, 141 00:06:57,117 --> 00:06:58,952 only two deaths were recorded. 142 00:07:00,287 --> 00:07:01,121 ‐ That earthquake was probably 143 00:07:01,254 --> 00:07:03,690 larger than the 1906 earthquake, 144 00:07:03,823 --> 00:07:07,460 and if it happened today, it would be a disaster. 145 00:07:07,594 --> 00:07:10,230 ‐ LA's never seen an earthquake like that, 146 00:07:10,363 --> 00:07:12,098 but we have had a whole succession 147 00:07:12,232 --> 00:07:14,501 of smaller earthquakes, 148 00:07:14,634 --> 00:07:15,769 but they've all taught us 149 00:07:15,902 --> 00:07:17,971 important lessons in one way or another. 150 00:07:18,104 --> 00:07:20,407 For example, one of the most important earthquakes 151 00:07:20,540 --> 00:07:21,675 in the history of the world 152 00:07:21,808 --> 00:07:24,110 was the 1933 Long Beach earthquake. 153 00:07:25,845 --> 00:07:28,915 ‐ [Narrator] In 1933, the population of Los Angeles 154 00:07:29,049 --> 00:07:30,884 was around 1.2 million. 155 00:07:32,352 --> 00:07:37,090 On March 10th, at 5:55 p. m., a 6.4 magnitude earthquake 156 00:07:38,291 --> 00:07:40,226 occurred on the Newport Inglewood fault zone. 157 00:07:43,630 --> 00:07:46,232 The quake itself lasted five seconds, 158 00:07:46,366 --> 00:07:48,902 with about 10 seconds of ground shaking, 159 00:07:49,035 --> 00:07:52,172 and it resulted in 120 deaths. 160 00:07:52,305 --> 00:07:54,407 Many of these fatalities occurred as people 161 00:07:54,541 --> 00:07:57,277 ran out of buildings, and were hit by falling debris. 162 00:07:59,546 --> 00:08:01,948 This footage from a W. C. Fields movie, 163 00:08:02,082 --> 00:08:03,783 which was being filmed that day, 164 00:08:03,917 --> 00:08:06,853 is the only real time recording made of the event. 165 00:08:08,922 --> 00:08:12,392 The quake caused 50 million dollars in property damage, 166 00:08:12,525 --> 00:08:16,162 much of it to structures made of unreinforced masonry. 167 00:08:17,397 --> 00:08:18,999 Many of them were school buildings. 168 00:08:19,132 --> 00:08:22,235 (somber music) 169 00:08:22,369 --> 00:08:24,004 ‐ Now fortunately, school was not in session, 170 00:08:24,137 --> 00:08:26,573 so children weren't killed by the hundreds, 171 00:08:26,706 --> 00:08:28,942 but parents were so freaked out by this 172 00:08:29,075 --> 00:08:32,746 that they lobbied the state legislature 173 00:08:32,879 --> 00:08:35,749 to enact the world's first building codes. 174 00:08:37,250 --> 00:08:39,386 ‐ [Narrator] The earthquake eliminated all doubts 175 00:08:39,519 --> 00:08:41,855 regarding the need for quake‐resistant design 176 00:08:41,988 --> 00:08:43,823 for structures in California. 177 00:08:45,091 --> 00:08:46,626 ‐ There had been a law in Long Beach 178 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:50,864 requiring buildings to be made out of brick for fire safety. 179 00:08:50,997 --> 00:08:52,699 So they were particularly hard hit 180 00:08:52,832 --> 00:08:55,268 when this earthquake happened, and we now recognize 181 00:08:55,402 --> 00:08:58,772 that mortar just dissolves in an earthquake. 182 00:08:58,905 --> 00:09:00,640 ‐ After the Long Beach earthquake, 183 00:09:00,774 --> 00:09:04,010 California enacted legislation, the so‐called Field Act, 184 00:09:04,144 --> 00:09:05,678 that improved the building codes, 185 00:09:05,812 --> 00:09:10,216 and set strict guidelines for public structures 186 00:09:10,350 --> 00:09:12,085 such as school buildings. 187 00:09:12,218 --> 00:09:13,853 ‐ [Narrator] Another bill was later introduced 188 00:09:13,987 --> 00:09:15,855 to require that earthquake precautions 189 00:09:15,989 --> 00:09:18,391 be taken for all California buildings. 190 00:09:19,325 --> 00:09:21,294 This was known as the Riley Act, 191 00:09:21,428 --> 00:09:25,198 which became law on May 27th, 1933. 192 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:29,335 ‐ Following the 1933 Long Beach earthquake, 193 00:09:29,469 --> 00:09:32,605 there was a long period of seismic quiet in LA. 194 00:09:32,739 --> 00:09:35,909 Almost 40 years of nothing, no earthquakes. 195 00:09:36,042 --> 00:09:37,210 Interestingly, that coincides 196 00:09:37,343 --> 00:09:39,679 with when LA really exploded in population. 197 00:09:41,281 --> 00:09:44,717 ‐ [Narrator] But in 1971, Southern California residents 198 00:09:44,851 --> 00:09:47,420 were reminded that they live in earthquake country. 199 00:09:48,588 --> 00:09:51,057 The area was hit by a massive quake, 200 00:09:51,191 --> 00:09:53,093 bigger than the last one. 201 00:09:53,226 --> 00:09:57,297 On February ninth, a 6.7 magnitude earthquake 202 00:09:57,430 --> 00:09:59,632 occurred on the San Fernando Fault Zone. 203 00:10:01,101 --> 00:10:05,004 Known as the Sylmar Quake, it was caused by a reverse fault, 204 00:10:05,138 --> 00:10:07,140 a type of thrust fault that has 205 00:10:07,273 --> 00:10:10,009 an extremely high angle of vertical movement. 206 00:10:11,744 --> 00:10:12,912 ‐ Here in Southern California, 207 00:10:13,046 --> 00:10:15,782 we also have a network of reverse faults 208 00:10:15,915 --> 00:10:17,283 that create our mountains. 209 00:10:17,417 --> 00:10:20,420 It shows us that these mountain front faults, 210 00:10:20,553 --> 00:10:22,088 the ones that are creating our high mountains, 211 00:10:22,222 --> 00:10:25,291 pose a very significant risk to the Los Angeles area. 212 00:10:26,292 --> 00:10:28,294 (rubble clattering) 213 00:10:28,428 --> 00:10:31,498 ‐ [Narrator] The Sylmar earthquake killed 65 people, 214 00:10:31,631 --> 00:10:33,800 and caused more than half a billion dollars 215 00:10:33,933 --> 00:10:35,568 in property damage. 216 00:10:35,702 --> 00:10:37,003 It was a wake up call 217 00:10:37,137 --> 00:10:39,472 about a particular kind of construction. 218 00:10:39,606 --> 00:10:42,108 (dramatic music) 219 00:10:42,242 --> 00:10:46,012 ‐ Much of Los Angeles was built in the 1950s and '60s, 220 00:10:46,146 --> 00:10:51,351 and in 1971, we saw that a very common style of buildings 221 00:10:51,484 --> 00:10:55,922 called non‐ductile reinforced concrete performed very badly. 222 00:10:56,055 --> 00:10:57,457 Understatement of the year. 223 00:10:57,590 --> 00:10:59,559 The Olive View Hospital, where the first floor disappeared, 224 00:10:59,692 --> 00:11:03,263 was one of these non‐ductile reinforced concrete buildings. 225 00:11:03,396 --> 00:11:06,599 ‐ [Narrator] Non‐ductile is a technical term for brittle. 226 00:11:06,733 --> 00:11:08,268 The last type of structure 227 00:11:08,401 --> 00:11:11,371 you'd want to be located in during an earthquake. 228 00:11:12,972 --> 00:11:15,675 In fact, the Olive View Hospital collapse 229 00:11:15,808 --> 00:11:18,645 killed three patients, and a hospital worker. 230 00:11:18,778 --> 00:11:21,681 (sirens wailing) 231 00:11:21,814 --> 00:11:23,783 At the time of the Sylmar earthquake, 232 00:11:23,917 --> 00:11:25,151 it was widely believed 233 00:11:25,285 --> 00:11:26,853 that the Field and Riley Acts 234 00:11:26,986 --> 00:11:29,556 were sufficient protection against earthquakes. 235 00:11:30,857 --> 00:11:33,026 But while the building of new brick structures 236 00:11:33,159 --> 00:11:35,695 had been outlawed, there were still many 237 00:11:35,828 --> 00:11:38,631 pre‐existing brick buildings that were vulnerable. 238 00:11:41,935 --> 00:11:44,771 ‐ The city of Los Angeles took the controversial step 239 00:11:44,904 --> 00:11:47,073 of requiring the strengthening 240 00:11:47,207 --> 00:11:50,009 of existing old brick buildings. 241 00:11:50,143 --> 00:11:51,344 ‐ [Narrator] As for the non‐ductile 242 00:11:51,477 --> 00:11:53,680 reinforced concrete buildings, 243 00:11:53,813 --> 00:11:55,915 that was a different story. 244 00:11:56,049 --> 00:11:58,151 Because there were so many of these 245 00:11:58,284 --> 00:12:00,687 throughout the Los Angeles metro area, 246 00:12:00,820 --> 00:12:04,457 no law was passed requiring current owners to retrofit. 247 00:12:05,892 --> 00:12:08,394 Only that new buildings of this type could not be built. 248 00:12:09,295 --> 00:12:10,597 ‐ So it showed us that in fact 249 00:12:10,730 --> 00:12:12,398 we had a ways to go in terms of 250 00:12:12,532 --> 00:12:14,534 improving our building codes, 251 00:12:14,667 --> 00:12:19,439 and that we needed to be very careful about our use of land. 252 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:21,941 ‐ [Narrator] After the earthquake, 253 00:12:22,075 --> 00:12:25,778 the California Legislature enacted the Alquist‐Priolo Bill, 254 00:12:25,912 --> 00:12:28,881 which required the mapping of active fault zones. 255 00:12:29,916 --> 00:12:31,618 Whenever faults are found, 256 00:12:31,751 --> 00:12:34,487 they are integrated into seismic hazard maps. 257 00:12:38,157 --> 00:12:39,659 compelled to review these maps 258 00:12:39,792 --> 00:12:42,662 in order to be aware of potential risks. 259 00:12:45,665 --> 00:12:47,934 Despite the fact that the Los Angeles area 260 00:12:48,034 --> 00:12:50,503 had suffered through two major quakes, 261 00:12:50,637 --> 00:12:54,173 it continued to experience massive population growth. 262 00:12:56,109 --> 00:13:00,647 By 1987, there were 3.3 million people in the city, 263 00:13:00,780 --> 00:13:03,182 and millions more in the surrounding areas. 264 00:13:05,618 --> 00:13:09,355 On October 1st, 1987, the LA area 265 00:13:09,489 --> 00:13:12,592 experienced the Whittier Narrows earthquake. 266 00:13:12,725 --> 00:13:16,963 A 5.9 magnitude event that occurred on a blind thrust fault 267 00:13:17,096 --> 00:13:20,667 some 16 miles east of downtown Los Angeles. 268 00:13:22,869 --> 00:13:27,273 Three days later, a magnitude 5.3 aftershock occurred, 269 00:13:27,407 --> 00:13:29,042 causing additional damage. 270 00:13:30,910 --> 00:13:34,514 Three people died as a direct result of the temblors. 271 00:13:34,647 --> 00:13:36,249 Five other deaths were attributed 272 00:13:36,382 --> 00:13:38,685 indirectly to these events. 273 00:13:40,787 --> 00:13:43,756 The Whittier Narrows earthquake in 1987, 274 00:13:43,890 --> 00:13:46,492 and then the Northridge quake in '94, 275 00:13:46,626 --> 00:13:48,194 once again prompted efforts 276 00:13:48,328 --> 00:13:51,164 to enhance safety and emergency preparation. 277 00:13:52,999 --> 00:13:56,269 These two quakes also brought blind thrust faults 278 00:13:56,402 --> 00:13:59,806 to the attention of seismologists and policy makers. 279 00:13:59,939 --> 00:14:01,140 They determined that a rupture 280 00:14:01,274 --> 00:14:03,276 of the Puente Hills blind thrust fault 281 00:14:03,409 --> 00:14:07,180 could result in an energy release some 15 times greater 282 00:14:07,313 --> 00:14:09,649 than that of the Northridge earthquake, 283 00:14:09,782 --> 00:14:12,752 the worst in Los Angeles history so far. 284 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,322 ‐ [Man] The Puente Hills earthquake would be 285 00:14:16,456 --> 00:14:20,093 one of the worst events we can imagine here in Los Angeles. 286 00:14:24,263 --> 00:14:27,433 (somber music) 287 00:14:27,567 --> 00:14:29,802 ‐ [Narrator] When it comes to earthquake activity, 288 00:14:29,936 --> 00:14:31,671 seismologists do not consider 289 00:14:31,804 --> 00:14:35,708 the Northridge quake of '94 as the big one. 290 00:14:35,842 --> 00:14:37,477 Nonetheless, it's the worst 291 00:14:37,610 --> 00:14:39,846 Los Angeles has suffered thus far. 292 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:45,852 On January 17th, 1994, at 4:30 a. m., 293 00:14:45,985 --> 00:14:49,489 residents were awakened to a terrible and powerful rumbling. 294 00:14:51,190 --> 00:14:52,792 The quake, centered near Northridge, 295 00:14:52,925 --> 00:14:54,994 northwest of downtown Los Angeles, 296 00:14:55,128 --> 00:14:57,663 had a moderate magnitude of 6.7. 297 00:14:59,866 --> 00:15:01,501 But the ground velocity, 298 00:15:01,634 --> 00:15:03,403 the speed at which a point on the ground 299 00:15:03,536 --> 00:15:04,971 moved during the shaking, 300 00:15:05,104 --> 00:15:07,473 was the highest ever instrumentally recorded 301 00:15:07,607 --> 00:15:10,042 in an urban area in North America. 302 00:15:11,444 --> 00:15:14,514 The actual quake lasted about seven seconds, 303 00:15:14,647 --> 00:15:16,949 with ground shaking about twice that long. 304 00:15:18,618 --> 00:15:21,354 In that relatively short period of time, 305 00:15:21,487 --> 00:15:24,357 the temblor devastated entire neighborhoods. 306 00:15:26,025 --> 00:15:27,427 But its path of destruction 307 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:29,662 seemed to hopscotch across the city. 308 00:15:31,597 --> 00:15:35,001 ‐ We understand these variations to be associated 309 00:15:35,134 --> 00:15:38,438 with the complexities of the earthquake itself, 310 00:15:38,571 --> 00:15:40,940 as well as the earth beneath our feet. 311 00:15:41,073 --> 00:15:44,877 I mean, some places have very weak soils, and shake a lot. 312 00:15:46,679 --> 00:15:50,616 Others are on hard rock, and the shaking is not so bad. 313 00:15:50,750 --> 00:15:53,186 The Northridge earthquake indicated 314 00:15:53,319 --> 00:15:55,888 how variable those processes can be. 315 00:15:58,724 --> 00:16:01,494 ‐ [Narrator] Closer to the epicenter, the powerful shaking 316 00:16:01,627 --> 00:16:04,063 caused an apartment complex to collapse. 317 00:16:04,197 --> 00:16:06,766 (somber music) 318 00:16:12,171 --> 00:16:14,140 16 residents were killed. 319 00:16:18,177 --> 00:16:20,313 Office buildings also collapsed. 320 00:16:23,382 --> 00:16:26,686 But due to the early hour, hardly anyone was at work. 321 00:16:28,321 --> 00:16:29,956 ‐ Everybody was in their wooden houses, 322 00:16:30,089 --> 00:16:32,358 and our wooden houses are amazing structures 323 00:16:32,492 --> 00:16:34,660 to resist earthquakes. 324 00:16:34,794 --> 00:16:37,263 ‐ [Narrator] Had the quake occurred four hours later, 325 00:16:37,396 --> 00:16:39,065 when people were up and about, 326 00:16:39,198 --> 00:16:40,967 perhaps thousands would have been killed 327 00:16:41,100 --> 00:16:42,235 throughout the city. 328 00:16:42,368 --> 00:16:44,237 (eerie music) 329 00:16:44,370 --> 00:16:47,406 Aftershocks triggered the collapse of many structures, 330 00:16:47,540 --> 00:16:50,576 already weakened by the initial shock. 331 00:16:50,710 --> 00:16:53,579 The quake challenged some longstanding assumptions. 332 00:16:53,713 --> 00:16:57,483 It damaged at least 120 steel frame high‐rises, 333 00:16:57,617 --> 00:16:59,752 which were supposed to withstand a quake. 334 00:17:01,587 --> 00:17:05,725 The steel was expected to absorb the vibrations, and bend. 335 00:17:05,858 --> 00:17:07,960 Instead, there were fractures. 336 00:17:09,228 --> 00:17:10,963 ‐ The connections between the columns 337 00:17:11,097 --> 00:17:12,698 and the beams came loose, 338 00:17:12,832 --> 00:17:14,700 and those connections are quite critical 339 00:17:14,834 --> 00:17:18,938 to maintain the lateral resistance of the building. 340 00:17:20,306 --> 00:17:21,440 ‐ [Narrator] Some of these structures 341 00:17:21,574 --> 00:17:23,643 were 20 miles from the epicenter, 342 00:17:23,776 --> 00:17:25,978 the initial point of the quake's rupture. 343 00:17:27,179 --> 00:17:28,781 But distance from the epicenter 344 00:17:28,915 --> 00:17:31,951 has been a confusing issue for the general public. 345 00:17:32,084 --> 00:17:35,688 In actuality, it is the distance from the fault plane, 346 00:17:35,821 --> 00:17:38,691 the entire length of the moving tectonic plates 347 00:17:38,824 --> 00:17:40,960 that often determines damage. 348 00:17:41,093 --> 00:17:42,862 ‐ There are usually other parts of the fault 349 00:17:42,995 --> 00:17:44,931 that give off more energy than the epicenter, 350 00:17:45,064 --> 00:17:47,967 'cause it builds up steam, and is rupturing out 351 00:17:48,067 --> 00:17:50,603 so that the maximum energy release in Northridge 352 00:17:50,736 --> 00:17:52,371 was coming out under Chatsworth, 353 00:17:52,505 --> 00:17:54,941 and up under the Granada Hills area. 354 00:17:56,409 --> 00:17:59,345 ‐ [Narrator] And yet, there was major damage to the south. 355 00:17:59,478 --> 00:18:02,148 Part of the Santa Monica freeway collapsed. 356 00:18:03,382 --> 00:18:06,252 ‐ That freeway overpass looked a little isolated 357 00:18:06,385 --> 00:18:07,753 from the rest of the damage. 358 00:18:07,887 --> 00:18:11,290 As it turns out, it's in an area we call La Cienega, 359 00:18:11,424 --> 00:18:13,759 which means in Spanish, the swamp, 360 00:18:13,893 --> 00:18:16,295 and it turns out that soft, swampy materials 361 00:18:16,429 --> 00:18:19,098 tend to experience larger ground shaking. 362 00:18:20,700 --> 00:18:24,437 ‐ [Narrator] Subsequent to the quake, 680,000 residents 363 00:18:24,570 --> 00:18:28,741 were without power, gas, water, or telephone service, 364 00:18:28,874 --> 00:18:31,510 and lacked these utilities for days. 365 00:18:32,945 --> 00:18:34,680 The Northridge earthquake proved to be 366 00:18:34,814 --> 00:18:37,817 the most costly quake in United States history. 367 00:18:40,019 --> 00:18:42,421 40 billion dollars in damages, 368 00:18:42,555 --> 00:18:47,526 with 63 related deaths, and 12,000 injured. 369 00:18:49,595 --> 00:18:51,030 Previous to this quake, 370 00:18:51,163 --> 00:18:53,132 seismologists had focused primarily 371 00:18:53,265 --> 00:18:56,035 on areas vulnerable to the San Andreas fault. 372 00:18:57,803 --> 00:18:59,005 But the Northridge earthquake 373 00:18:59,138 --> 00:19:02,108 persuaded scientists to widen their scope. 374 00:19:03,009 --> 00:19:04,410 ‐ It occurred in a place 375 00:19:04,543 --> 00:19:07,313 where we didn't expect such an event. 376 00:19:07,446 --> 00:19:12,218 In particular, it was on a buried fault structure 377 00:19:12,351 --> 00:19:14,854 that has vertical motion. 378 00:19:14,987 --> 00:19:18,257 We call these types of structures blind thrust faults. 379 00:19:19,492 --> 00:19:20,693 ‐ [Narrator] That's a fault which is buried 380 00:19:20,826 --> 00:19:23,963 below the surface, hence the name blind, 381 00:19:24,096 --> 00:19:27,533 and consists of two tectonic plates. 382 00:19:27,667 --> 00:19:31,470 In a rupture, one will grind up and over the other. 383 00:19:31,604 --> 00:19:32,972 ‐ These are faults that, you know, 384 00:19:33,105 --> 00:19:34,607 they're not as big as the San Andreas, but they're right, 385 00:19:34,740 --> 00:19:36,042 literally in the case of the Puente Hills thrust, 386 00:19:36,175 --> 00:19:37,743 directly beneath the city. 387 00:19:39,211 --> 00:19:40,846 ‐ [Narrator] The Puente Hills blind thrust fault, 388 00:19:40,980 --> 00:19:45,384 aimed at a 45 degree angle from below downtown Los Angeles, 389 00:19:45,518 --> 00:19:48,187 is a sleeping geological monster. 390 00:19:50,122 --> 00:19:52,224 ‐ Of any potential earthquakes in the United States, 391 00:19:52,358 --> 00:19:54,760 Puente Hills is really the most threatening. 392 00:19:56,896 --> 00:19:59,131 ‐ [Narrator] Seismologists believe that this monster 393 00:19:59,265 --> 00:20:02,168 could wake up, and unleash a deadly force, 394 00:20:02,301 --> 00:20:06,572 the likes of which Los Angeles has never before experienced. 395 00:20:06,706 --> 00:20:09,341 (intense music) 396 00:20:14,814 --> 00:20:16,816 ‐ [Narrator] For decades, Southern Californians 397 00:20:16,949 --> 00:20:20,252 have lived with the fact that earthquakes will come. 398 00:20:20,386 --> 00:20:22,054 They will strike without warning, 399 00:20:22,188 --> 00:20:24,557 and cause death and destruction. 400 00:20:24,690 --> 00:20:27,593 So geologists and seismologists, 401 00:20:27,727 --> 00:20:30,730 in anticipation of the next big one, 402 00:20:30,863 --> 00:20:32,364 are in a race against time 403 00:20:32,498 --> 00:20:35,101 to determine where the faults are, 404 00:20:35,234 --> 00:20:36,869 and what they're capable of doing. 405 00:20:38,471 --> 00:20:41,874 Following the 1987 Whittier Narrows earthquake, 406 00:20:42,007 --> 00:20:44,643 and the 1994 Northridge quake, 407 00:20:44,777 --> 00:20:47,446 seismologists became increasingly aware 408 00:20:47,580 --> 00:20:50,883 of a threat from not just the San Andreas fault. 409 00:20:51,917 --> 00:20:53,519 This animation, created by 410 00:20:53,652 --> 00:20:55,988 the Southern California Earthquake Center, 411 00:20:56,122 --> 00:20:58,724 provides a comprehensive look at the problem. 412 00:20:59,625 --> 00:21:01,360 The San Andreas is depicted 413 00:21:01,494 --> 00:21:04,864 by the colored diagonal ribbon in the center of the screen. 414 00:21:04,997 --> 00:21:07,800 Each one of the other colored ribbons 415 00:21:07,933 --> 00:21:11,103 represents the new threat, a vast network 416 00:21:11,237 --> 00:21:15,307 of blind thrust faults below the LA metro area, and beyond. 417 00:21:16,475 --> 00:21:19,378 Using a technique called seismic reflection, 418 00:21:19,512 --> 00:21:23,249 Harvard University professor and seismologist John Shaw, 419 00:21:23,382 --> 00:21:26,418 and University of California at San Diego 420 00:21:26,552 --> 00:21:28,087 professor Peter Shearer, 421 00:21:28,220 --> 00:21:29,722 were able to discover the existence 422 00:21:29,855 --> 00:21:32,458 of the previously unknown Puente Hills blind thrust fault. 423 00:21:36,195 --> 00:21:40,099 It runs 25 to 30 miles from Northern Orange County, 424 00:21:40,232 --> 00:21:41,967 through downtown Los Angeles, 425 00:21:42,067 --> 00:21:43,969 and all the way to Beverly Hills. 426 00:21:45,905 --> 00:21:50,509 Seismologists now believe the 1987 Whittier Narrows quake 427 00:21:50,643 --> 00:21:54,346 was actually a partial rupture of the Puente Hills fault. 428 00:21:55,815 --> 00:21:58,784 Subsequent study revealed it has ruptured many times, 429 00:21:58,918 --> 00:22:00,653 over thousands of years. 430 00:22:01,821 --> 00:22:03,055 ‐ We're standing above the eastern end 431 00:22:03,189 --> 00:22:04,557 of the Puente Hills blind thrust fault. 432 00:22:04,690 --> 00:22:06,792 You can't see anything where we're walking right here, 433 00:22:06,926 --> 00:22:08,794 but the reason the road behind me rises up 434 00:22:08,928 --> 00:22:11,297 is because this hill behind me has been uplifted 435 00:22:11,430 --> 00:22:12,565 in hundreds of earthquakes 436 00:22:12,698 --> 00:22:14,466 on the Puente Hills blind thrust fault. 437 00:22:15,601 --> 00:22:17,770 ‐ [Narrator] It's unlike a strike slip fault, 438 00:22:17,903 --> 00:22:21,540 like the San Andreas, which consists of two tectonic plates 439 00:22:21,674 --> 00:22:24,076 on a horizontal orientation. 440 00:22:25,244 --> 00:22:28,147 A thrust fault consists of two planes, 441 00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,117 and when it ruptures, one rises up above the other, 442 00:22:32,251 --> 00:22:34,253 causing the earth to rise above it, 443 00:22:34,386 --> 00:22:36,655 and stay that way permanently. 444 00:22:36,789 --> 00:22:38,591 (eerie music) 445 00:22:38,724 --> 00:22:41,760 A rupture of a larger portion of the Puente Hills fault 446 00:22:41,894 --> 00:22:43,796 could cause widespread disaster 447 00:22:43,929 --> 00:22:48,334 the likes of which we haven't seen in a modern era quake. 448 00:22:48,467 --> 00:22:50,936 ‐ If you tried to design the worst possible fault 449 00:22:51,070 --> 00:22:53,906 in the worst possible location for Los Angeles, 450 00:22:54,039 --> 00:22:56,909 you'd come up with the Puente Hills blind thrust. 451 00:22:57,042 --> 00:22:58,344 ‐ [Narrator] To understand it further, 452 00:22:58,477 --> 00:23:01,180 the Southern California Earthquake Center 453 00:23:01,313 --> 00:23:04,149 commissioned seismologist Robert Graves 454 00:23:04,283 --> 00:23:07,853 to create a computer model of probability scenarios. 455 00:23:09,722 --> 00:23:13,058 By feeding it with data about the fault's characteristics, 456 00:23:13,192 --> 00:23:14,827 and the geological conditions 457 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,429 throughout the LA area, it shows 458 00:23:17,563 --> 00:23:20,833 how a Puente Hills thrust fault rupture would spread. 459 00:23:22,167 --> 00:23:23,802 ‐ What we're looking at in the animation 460 00:23:23,936 --> 00:23:26,906 is we see the ground begins to shake 461 00:23:27,039 --> 00:23:28,540 as the earthquake starts, 462 00:23:28,674 --> 00:23:30,075 and there are some small ripples, 463 00:23:30,209 --> 00:23:31,310 and they begin to propagate out 464 00:23:31,443 --> 00:23:34,380 from the area around the epicenter. 465 00:23:34,513 --> 00:23:38,884 What is very striking is that as the waves propagate 466 00:23:39,018 --> 00:23:40,486 away from the earthquake, 467 00:23:40,619 --> 00:23:43,422 they are actually interacting with the geological layers 468 00:23:43,555 --> 00:23:46,458 in the sedimentary structure of the LA basin. 469 00:23:46,592 --> 00:23:48,894 The waves become trapped, and they start bouncing around, 470 00:23:49,028 --> 00:23:51,931 and they actually build up very large ground motions, 471 00:23:52,064 --> 00:23:53,198 very large waves. 472 00:23:54,667 --> 00:23:57,403 ‐ [Narrator] According to the results of the simulations, 473 00:23:58,537 --> 00:24:00,706 a Puente Hills thrust fault earthquake 474 00:24:00,839 --> 00:24:03,809 could result in 250 billion dollars 475 00:24:03,943 --> 00:24:05,444 worth of property damage. 476 00:24:09,048 --> 00:24:12,051 Seismologists have even turned to NASA for help. 477 00:24:13,185 --> 00:24:15,587 Incredibly, the geology of earthquakes 478 00:24:15,721 --> 00:24:18,857 can be studied from outer space. 479 00:24:18,991 --> 00:24:21,493 GPS satellites send signals, 480 00:24:21,627 --> 00:24:25,164 which help scientists to continually map the earth. 481 00:24:26,298 --> 00:24:28,634 By comparing the data over time, 482 00:24:28,767 --> 00:24:31,737 minute changes in certain areas are revealed. 483 00:24:33,105 --> 00:24:35,507 Using this method, scientists have concluded 484 00:24:35,641 --> 00:24:38,711 that the land surface of Los Angeles is being squeezed 485 00:24:38,844 --> 00:24:42,614 at a rate of .2 inches per year. 486 00:24:42,748 --> 00:24:47,052 So, at that rate, when will Puente Hills erupt? 487 00:24:47,186 --> 00:24:49,021 ‐ Good news is that our research suggests 488 00:24:49,154 --> 00:24:51,156 that this thing only generates large earthquakes 489 00:24:51,290 --> 00:24:52,424 every few thousand years, 490 00:24:52,558 --> 00:24:54,560 so they're extremely rare events. 491 00:24:54,693 --> 00:24:55,995 The flip side of that, the bad news, 492 00:24:56,128 --> 00:24:58,998 is that when they occur, they appear to be very large. 493 00:24:59,131 --> 00:25:00,866 Something well in excess of magnitude seven, 494 00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,469 possibly as large as magnitude 7.5. 495 00:25:03,602 --> 00:25:06,572 (intense music) 496 00:25:06,705 --> 00:25:07,873 ‐ [Narrator] Studies of a rupture 497 00:25:08,007 --> 00:25:10,909 of the Puente Hills fault are grim. 498 00:25:11,043 --> 00:25:13,345 The losses predicted are for a disaster 499 00:25:13,479 --> 00:25:18,450 10 to 15 times greater than the 1994 Northridge earthquake. 500 00:25:19,651 --> 00:25:22,388 Clearly, it would put LA to the ultimate test. 501 00:25:24,456 --> 00:25:27,993 The state spent billions after the 1994 Northridge quake 502 00:25:28,127 --> 00:25:32,097 to retrofit more than 2,100 freeway overpasses. 503 00:25:32,231 --> 00:25:34,867 (ominous music) 504 00:25:35,968 --> 00:25:38,570 But, are the citizens of LA prepared? 505 00:25:40,672 --> 00:25:43,308 ‐ We can't imagine that the boys in white hats 506 00:25:43,442 --> 00:25:44,743 are gonna come riding in to save us 507 00:25:44,877 --> 00:25:46,779 after a large event. 508 00:25:46,912 --> 00:25:49,281 We saw in Katrina, that in fact, 509 00:25:49,415 --> 00:25:52,384 some events are so big that they literally break the system. 510 00:25:53,419 --> 00:25:54,887 (intense music) 511 00:25:55,020 --> 00:25:56,722 ‐ [Narrator] In a worst case scenario, 512 00:25:56,855 --> 00:25:59,825 Southern Californians who survive the initial impact 513 00:25:59,958 --> 00:26:02,161 of a major quake will have to cope 514 00:26:02,294 --> 00:26:04,096 with a difficult aftermath. 515 00:26:05,297 --> 00:26:06,899 They'll be better equipped if they've 516 00:26:07,032 --> 00:26:08,801 heeded the advice of experts 517 00:26:08,934 --> 00:26:11,070 to take the initiative to prepare. 518 00:26:12,204 --> 00:26:14,039 The big one will happen. 519 00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:17,943 It's not a matter of if, but when. 520 00:26:20,746 --> 00:26:21,880 (helicopter whirring) 521 00:26:22,014 --> 00:26:24,216 Northern California had its own reminder 522 00:26:24,349 --> 00:26:27,519 of earthquake volatility back in 1989. 523 00:26:27,653 --> 00:26:30,622 The devastation was massive, but baseball, 524 00:26:30,756 --> 00:26:33,325 literally, helped save the day. 525 00:26:33,459 --> 00:26:36,095 (intense music) 526 00:26:39,898 --> 00:26:43,235 It's a perfect day for baseball in Northern California. 527 00:26:43,368 --> 00:26:46,171 As inter city rivals, the San Francisco Giants, 528 00:26:46,305 --> 00:26:47,906 and the Oakland As gear up 529 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,210 for game three of the 1989 World Series. 530 00:26:52,611 --> 00:26:55,647 The whole city is watching, but fans have no idea 531 00:26:55,781 --> 00:27:00,185 that Mother Earth is about to take a game ending swing. 532 00:27:00,319 --> 00:27:03,055 (dramatic music) 533 00:27:05,424 --> 00:27:09,995 60 miles away, the San Andreas fault suddenly snaps. 534 00:27:10,129 --> 00:27:12,865 (earth rumbling) 535 00:27:15,868 --> 00:27:18,704 The deadly fault runs almost the length of California, 536 00:27:18,837 --> 00:27:21,607 and directly underneath San Francisco. 537 00:27:21,740 --> 00:27:23,609 (intense music) 538 00:27:23,742 --> 00:27:27,779 At a magnitude 6.9, this is the most powerful earthquake 539 00:27:27,913 --> 00:27:29,014 in nearly a century. 540 00:27:30,482 --> 00:27:33,318 It quickly spreads terror and destruction across the city. 541 00:27:33,452 --> 00:27:36,488 (flames crackling) 542 00:27:36,622 --> 00:27:40,792 (sirens wailing) ‐ Are you okay? 543 00:27:40,926 --> 00:27:42,027 (dramatic music) 544 00:27:42,161 --> 00:27:43,562 ‐ [Narrator] On the two level Bay Bridge, 545 00:27:43,695 --> 00:27:45,797 a 50 foot section of the upper deck 546 00:27:45,931 --> 00:27:47,299 collapses without warning. 547 00:27:48,834 --> 00:27:50,435 The enormity of the disaster 548 00:27:50,569 --> 00:27:52,704 leaves Oakland Fire Lieutenant Mark Hoffman 549 00:27:52,838 --> 00:27:54,006 and his crew stunned. 550 00:27:56,909 --> 00:28:00,078 The violent shaking destroys a mile and a quarter section 551 00:28:00,212 --> 00:28:02,181 of the double decker Nimitz freeway, 552 00:28:02,314 --> 00:28:05,484 causing the upper level to crash onto the lower level, 553 00:28:05,617 --> 00:28:07,586 and hundreds of vehicles below. 554 00:28:15,127 --> 00:28:16,094 ‐ [Narrator] Rescuers desperately 555 00:28:16,228 --> 00:28:18,030 try to locate trapped motorists. 556 00:28:19,598 --> 00:28:22,000 ‐ There was a zone about four feet deep 557 00:28:22,134 --> 00:28:25,037 over most of the length of the collapsed area. 558 00:28:25,170 --> 00:28:27,606 Every 75 or 100 feet or so, 559 00:28:27,739 --> 00:28:29,775 there was a deep beam that came down, 560 00:28:29,908 --> 00:28:31,910 and of course crushed anything under it, 561 00:28:32,044 --> 00:28:35,280 but that also provided this confined space 562 00:28:35,414 --> 00:28:37,649 in which people could survive. 563 00:28:39,017 --> 00:28:40,619 ‐ [Narrator] Underneath all that rubble, 564 00:28:40,752 --> 00:28:43,121 Tim Petersen fights for his life. 565 00:28:43,255 --> 00:28:45,524 The injured man is battling broken ribs, 566 00:28:45,657 --> 00:28:48,227 a punctured lung, and internal bleeding. 567 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:49,828 ‐ It's hard to even breath. 568 00:28:49,962 --> 00:28:51,563 The lung is leaking air, 569 00:28:51,697 --> 00:28:53,632 so I figured there was no surviving it. 570 00:28:53,765 --> 00:28:55,934 It was gonna kill me. 571 00:28:56,034 --> 00:28:57,636 ‐ [Narrator] After six agonizing hours, 572 00:28:57,769 --> 00:28:59,438 there's a glimmer of hope. 573 00:28:59,571 --> 00:29:01,406 ‐ I can hear all these sounds above, 574 00:29:01,540 --> 00:29:02,908 so I was yelling to them, 575 00:29:03,041 --> 00:29:05,877 and somebody did crawl down and finally yelled to me 576 00:29:06,011 --> 00:29:07,446 and said, "Hey, I'm gonna go get somebody. 577 00:29:07,579 --> 00:29:10,349 "I can't believe there's anybody alive down in here." 578 00:29:10,482 --> 00:29:11,984 ‐ [Narrator] The firefighter finds a path 579 00:29:12,117 --> 00:29:13,252 through the debris. 580 00:29:13,385 --> 00:29:15,420 ‐ It's a small tunnel you had to crawl into 581 00:29:15,554 --> 00:29:16,855 to get to where I was. 582 00:29:18,257 --> 00:29:19,891 I mean, you can't describe somebody crawling down in there. 583 00:29:20,025 --> 00:29:21,293 This thing is still falling, 584 00:29:21,426 --> 00:29:22,728 and I mean talk about risking your life, 585 00:29:22,861 --> 00:29:24,329 talk about a hero. 586 00:29:24,463 --> 00:29:25,764 ‐ Get out of the way! 587 00:29:25,897 --> 00:29:28,300 ‐ Remarkably, there were only 42 fatalities 588 00:29:28,433 --> 00:29:30,002 in the Cypress structure. 589 00:29:31,403 --> 00:29:33,372 Considering how many cars could've been there, 590 00:29:33,505 --> 00:29:35,207 this is a remarkably low number. 591 00:29:35,340 --> 00:29:37,909 (somber music) 592 00:29:47,319 --> 00:29:49,121 ‐ [Man] Diane, give me a three point search here. 593 00:29:49,254 --> 00:29:51,356 ‐ [Narrator] Despite the horrific human toll, 594 00:29:51,490 --> 00:29:53,625 the catastrophe could've been much worse. 595 00:29:53,759 --> 00:29:55,794 Had it not been for the World Series. 596 00:29:57,262 --> 00:29:58,797 ‐ The game started at five p. m., 597 00:29:58,930 --> 00:30:01,300 so most people got off work early, got home, 598 00:30:01,433 --> 00:30:04,269 and then the earthquake occurred at 5:04. 599 00:30:04,403 --> 00:30:06,972 So just when the Interstate 880 freeway 600 00:30:07,105 --> 00:30:08,874 should've been jammed with cars, 601 00:30:09,007 --> 00:30:10,375 it was virtually empty. 602 00:30:10,509 --> 00:30:15,480 (earth rumbling) (intense music) 603 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,188 ‐ [Narrator] New York is not the first city 604 00:30:23,322 --> 00:30:25,390 that comes to mind as being at risk 605 00:30:25,524 --> 00:30:27,225 for dangerous earthquakes. 606 00:30:27,359 --> 00:30:30,095 But just a few miles below the New York City area 607 00:30:30,228 --> 00:30:32,431 lay several earthquake faults. 608 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:40,105 125 years ago, the New York area was hit by an earthquake. 609 00:30:41,206 --> 00:30:42,541 ‐ The largest earthquake that we know of 610 00:30:42,674 --> 00:30:45,310 historically in New York City is the 1884 earthquake, 611 00:30:45,444 --> 00:30:46,745 roughly magnitude five. 612 00:30:48,180 --> 00:30:51,083 ‐ [Narrator] August 10th, 1884, an earthquake rumbled up 613 00:30:51,216 --> 00:30:53,118 from underneath the Atlantic Ocean. 614 00:30:53,251 --> 00:30:56,555 The epicenter of the quake was 17 miles south of city hall, 615 00:30:56,688 --> 00:30:58,457 off the coast of Rockaway Beach. 616 00:31:00,625 --> 00:31:03,261 10 o'clock in the morning, unprepared citizens 617 00:31:03,395 --> 00:31:05,731 across the city were shocked to find themselves 618 00:31:05,864 --> 00:31:07,132 grabbing for walls, 619 00:31:07,265 --> 00:31:09,000 calming startled carriage horses, 620 00:31:09,134 --> 00:31:12,437 and ducking from falling bricks, as the whole city shook. 621 00:31:14,506 --> 00:31:15,974 Thousands of chimneys in the city 622 00:31:16,108 --> 00:31:18,543 were broken in the magnitude five quake. 623 00:31:18,677 --> 00:31:21,279 Parapets came down, windows were shattered. 624 00:31:22,781 --> 00:31:23,515 Luckily, there were very few 625 00:31:23,648 --> 00:31:25,851 injuries, and no fatalities. 626 00:31:27,452 --> 00:31:29,921 The East Coast from New York south to Maryland, 627 00:31:30,055 --> 00:31:33,091 and north to Vermont was rocked by seismic waves. 628 00:31:33,225 --> 00:31:36,661 An area covering roughly 70,000 square miles. 629 00:31:37,929 --> 00:31:39,731 In fact, in terms of seismic hazard, 630 00:31:39,865 --> 00:31:41,500 New York City is the fourth most 631 00:31:41,633 --> 00:31:43,368 at risk city in the country, 632 00:31:43,502 --> 00:31:45,203 following San Francisco, 633 00:31:45,337 --> 00:31:45,971 Los Angeles, 634 00:31:46,104 --> 00:31:47,372 and Seattle. 635 00:31:48,073 --> 00:31:51,810 People sometimes confuse seismic hazard with seismic risk, 636 00:31:51,943 --> 00:31:53,812 but they are not the same. 637 00:31:53,945 --> 00:31:57,382 ‐ Because risk is really not only defined 638 00:31:57,516 --> 00:31:59,451 by the natural hazard. 639 00:32:00,285 --> 00:32:05,390 There are two more ingredients that go into risk. 640 00:32:06,024 --> 00:32:06,792 Hazard is one. 641 00:32:07,959 --> 00:32:10,529 The other is the value of the assets 642 00:32:10,662 --> 00:32:14,499 that are exposed to that hazard, 643 00:32:14,633 --> 00:32:17,969 and there is plenty of valuable assets 644 00:32:18,103 --> 00:32:22,073 concentrated in the New York City metropolitan area. 645 00:32:23,975 --> 00:32:26,344 ‐ [Narrator] The third ingredient is the vulnerability, 646 00:32:26,478 --> 00:32:29,281 or what is sometimes called fragility of those assets 647 00:32:29,414 --> 00:32:31,082 with respect to the hazard. 648 00:32:31,216 --> 00:32:34,286 Meaning seismic shaking and other seismic hazards. 649 00:32:35,921 --> 00:32:40,492 ‐ In this area, roughly every 100, 250 years 650 00:32:40,625 --> 00:32:42,360 a magnitude five occurs. 651 00:32:42,494 --> 00:32:46,465 Magnitude six is in the order of 1,000 years. 652 00:32:46,598 --> 00:32:53,038 Magnitude seven are almost beyond imagination, 653 00:32:53,171 --> 00:32:56,575 but they can, unfortunately, occur. 654 00:32:59,010 --> 00:33:00,145 ‐ [Narrator] On the Richter scale 655 00:33:00,278 --> 00:33:02,647 that measures an earthquake's impact, 656 00:33:02,781 --> 00:33:04,883 each whole number increase in magnitude 657 00:33:05,016 --> 00:33:08,386 represents a tenfold increase in measured amplitude. 658 00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:11,456 In other words, a 5.0 magnitude earthquake 659 00:33:11,590 --> 00:33:14,726 is about 10 times the amplitude of a 4.0. 660 00:33:17,496 --> 00:33:20,165 Since 1737, at least six earthquakes 661 00:33:20,298 --> 00:33:24,402 of magnitude 5.1 or higher have struck New York State. 662 00:33:24,536 --> 00:33:28,473 The 1737 quake was also centered near New York City, 663 00:33:28,607 --> 00:33:30,375 but New York is not alone. 664 00:33:32,844 --> 00:33:34,579 One of the earliest recorded events 665 00:33:34,713 --> 00:33:38,517 took place over 250 years ago in Massachusetts. 666 00:33:38,650 --> 00:33:43,255 An earthquake estimated to be magnitude 6.0 to 6.3. 667 00:33:44,256 --> 00:33:46,925 ‐ For the northeastern part of the United States, 668 00:33:47,058 --> 00:33:48,793 the earthquake that really defines 669 00:33:48,927 --> 00:33:52,063 what we think the earthquake hazard is 670 00:33:52,197 --> 00:33:55,233 is the 1755 Cape Ann earthquake. 671 00:33:55,367 --> 00:33:56,735 We think it was centered 672 00:33:56,868 --> 00:33:59,170 just east of Cape Ann, Massachusetts. 673 00:33:59,304 --> 00:34:01,840 (tense music) 674 00:34:03,008 --> 00:34:05,110 That earthquake did major damage in Boston, 675 00:34:05,243 --> 00:34:08,480 in Portsmouth, New Hampshire, Portland, Maine. 676 00:34:08,613 --> 00:34:11,283 It was felt up to Halifax, Nova Scotia, 677 00:34:11,416 --> 00:34:14,920 felt down as far south as Winyah, South Carolina. 678 00:34:15,053 --> 00:34:17,155 ‐ [Narrator] Other East Coast and Midwestern cities 679 00:34:17,289 --> 00:34:19,891 have been devastated by killer quakes. 680 00:34:23,595 --> 00:34:26,264 ‐ There are clusters of earthquakes in the Carolinas, 681 00:34:26,398 --> 00:34:27,966 South Carolina, North Carolina, 682 00:34:28,099 --> 00:34:29,868 around Charleston in particular. 683 00:34:31,503 --> 00:34:33,872 ‐ [Narrator] On August 31st, 1886, 684 00:34:34,005 --> 00:34:37,776 just two years after the 1884 earthquake in New York City, 685 00:34:37,909 --> 00:34:39,477 a massive earthquake ripped through 686 00:34:39,611 --> 00:34:41,880 the coastal city of Charleston, South Carolina. 687 00:34:42,013 --> 00:34:44,716 (earth rumbling) 688 00:34:48,954 --> 00:34:52,023 Estimates based on damage patterns and historical records 689 00:34:52,157 --> 00:34:57,128 put the Charleston quake at magnitude 6.5 to 7.3. 690 00:34:57,596 --> 00:35:00,999 More than 2,000 buildings were damaged in Charleston. 691 00:35:01,132 --> 00:35:04,035 Between 60 and 100 people lost their lives. 692 00:35:05,470 --> 00:35:08,306 The Charleston quake was felt as far north as Manhattan, 693 00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:10,475 as far west as Omaha, Nebraska, 694 00:35:10,609 --> 00:35:12,243 and as far south as Cuba. 695 00:35:12,377 --> 00:35:14,713 (intense music) 696 00:35:14,846 --> 00:35:16,615 But there are more recent reminders 697 00:35:16,748 --> 00:35:19,684 of devastating earthquakes along the East Coast. 698 00:35:21,152 --> 00:35:23,655 ‐ I was 18 years old at the time, and like I say, 699 00:35:25,123 --> 00:35:28,360 it was an event that I will never forget. 700 00:35:28,493 --> 00:35:32,197 ‐ [Narrator] Just after midnight on a July night in 1944, 701 00:35:32,330 --> 00:35:35,000 a magnitude 5.9 earthquake erupted 702 00:35:35,133 --> 00:35:38,003 in the sleepy town of Massena, New York. 703 00:35:38,136 --> 00:35:39,170 ‐ It was the first major earthquake 704 00:35:39,304 --> 00:35:41,239 that this area had experienced. 705 00:35:42,641 --> 00:35:45,210 ‐ We had gone out to celebrate our graduation. 706 00:35:46,144 --> 00:35:48,213 There was a few of us that went out to the local bar, 707 00:35:48,346 --> 00:35:49,914 and had a few beers. 708 00:35:50,048 --> 00:35:52,517 And about 12 o'clock, we closed the place down. 709 00:35:53,685 --> 00:35:56,054 Then we decided we'd better get home. 710 00:35:56,187 --> 00:35:58,156 It was a very, very quiet night. 711 00:35:58,289 --> 00:35:59,557 You could hear a pin drop. 712 00:36:00,859 --> 00:36:01,926 I stepped in the door, 713 00:36:02,060 --> 00:36:04,295 put my foot on the first step, and bang. 714 00:36:04,429 --> 00:36:06,264 That the earthquake hit. 715 00:36:06,398 --> 00:36:08,967 (intense music) 716 00:36:09,100 --> 00:36:10,201 ‐ I woke up feeling as if 717 00:36:10,335 --> 00:36:12,671 there was a freight train going very fast 718 00:36:12,804 --> 00:36:16,541 past the door of my room, and the bed was shaking. 719 00:36:16,675 --> 00:36:19,044 ‐ I could hear dishes rattling. 720 00:36:19,177 --> 00:36:22,213 ‐ Just like somebody had picked ya up, and shoved ya. 721 00:36:22,347 --> 00:36:25,116 ‐ I think every other person on the street 722 00:36:25,250 --> 00:36:27,719 was out in the middle of the street 723 00:36:27,852 --> 00:36:30,422 in their pajamas and robes. 724 00:36:31,856 --> 00:36:33,191 ‐ [Narrator] The earthquake ripped through Massena, 725 00:36:33,324 --> 00:36:36,261 and across the border into neighboring Cornwall, Ontario. 726 00:36:36,394 --> 00:36:39,264 (glass shattering) 727 00:36:40,732 --> 00:36:43,268 ‐ The fault runs from the northwest to the southeast, 728 00:36:43,401 --> 00:36:45,603 across the river, and through the towns 729 00:36:45,737 --> 00:36:47,105 of Cornwall and Massena. 730 00:36:48,506 --> 00:36:50,975 (sirens wailing) 731 00:36:51,109 --> 00:36:52,711 The next day, I think the full force 732 00:36:52,844 --> 00:36:54,345 of what had happened hit. 733 00:36:54,479 --> 00:36:58,683 People were wandering around the town like zombies. 734 00:37:00,218 --> 00:37:01,853 ‐ [Narrator] The two small towns of Massena, New York, 735 00:37:01,986 --> 00:37:04,022 and Cornwall, Ontario suffered 736 00:37:04,155 --> 00:37:07,158 more than two million dollars in property damage. 737 00:37:07,292 --> 00:37:09,894 About 50 million in today's dollars. 738 00:37:11,429 --> 00:37:14,466 90% of the brick chimneys were destroyed, 739 00:37:14,599 --> 00:37:16,701 and brick masonry and concrete structures 740 00:37:16,835 --> 00:37:18,536 suffered severe damage. 741 00:37:18,670 --> 00:37:21,239 Plumbing and house foundations were ruined. 742 00:37:21,372 --> 00:37:24,275 (intense music) 743 00:37:24,409 --> 00:37:26,845 The Massena earthquake has been closely studied 744 00:37:26,978 --> 00:37:29,080 by East Coast seismologists and others 745 00:37:29,214 --> 00:37:31,015 as an example of the kind of damage 746 00:37:31,149 --> 00:37:33,451 a smaller earthquake can do in an area 747 00:37:33,585 --> 00:37:36,354 of mainly brick and masonry buildings. 748 00:37:36,488 --> 00:37:39,124 ‐ The Massena earthquake was interesting 749 00:37:39,257 --> 00:37:43,294 because it showed what an earthquake 750 00:37:43,428 --> 00:37:48,399 that is not quite six can do to the type of construction 751 00:37:49,801 --> 00:37:52,237 that we still have a lot of around in New York City. 752 00:37:53,171 --> 00:37:54,205 (horn blares) 753 00:37:54,339 --> 00:37:55,673 ‐ One of those kinds of earthquakes 754 00:37:55,807 --> 00:37:59,210 centered right near one of our major metropolitan areas, 755 00:37:59,344 --> 00:38:02,781 like Boston or New York, would cause significant damage. 756 00:38:04,382 --> 00:38:08,686 ‐ [Narrator] In fact, an earthquake on August 23, 2011 757 00:38:08,820 --> 00:38:13,024 in Central Virginia, only underscored that awareness. 758 00:38:13,158 --> 00:38:15,660 The 5.8 shaker was felt by an estimated 759 00:38:15,794 --> 00:38:18,563 1/3 of the US population. 760 00:38:18,696 --> 00:38:22,200 As far north as Maine, as far west as Chicago, 761 00:38:22,333 --> 00:38:24,869 and as far south as the tip of Florida. 762 00:38:26,070 --> 00:38:29,040 That trembler caused two to 300 million dollars 763 00:38:29,174 --> 00:38:32,577 in property damage, including the Washington Monument, 764 00:38:34,512 --> 00:38:37,115 and National Cathedral in Washington DC. 765 00:38:39,617 --> 00:38:42,954 Earthquakes continue to rumble under the city to this day. 766 00:38:43,087 --> 00:38:44,522 Could the next New York quake 767 00:38:44,656 --> 00:38:47,358 do more than just rattle the city's nerves? 768 00:38:52,130 --> 00:38:55,667 (tense techno music) 769 00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,236 ‐ [Narrator] In recent years, earthquakes have continued 770 00:38:58,369 --> 00:38:59,938 to shake buildings right underneath 771 00:39:00,138 --> 00:39:01,940 Manhattan streets and sidewalks. 772 00:39:02,073 --> 00:39:03,541 (siren blaring) 773 00:39:03,675 --> 00:39:07,579 Just one month after the World Trade Center attack in 2001, 774 00:39:07,712 --> 00:39:10,548 a magnitude 2.6 earthquake centered right 775 00:39:10,682 --> 00:39:12,951 at 55th Street and 8th Avenue 776 00:39:13,084 --> 00:39:14,819 rumbled up from the Earth. 777 00:39:14,953 --> 00:39:16,855 City officials were initially concerned 778 00:39:16,988 --> 00:39:19,257 there had been another terrorist attack. 779 00:39:19,390 --> 00:39:22,360 ‐ Mayor Giuliani was very concerned 780 00:39:22,493 --> 00:39:24,329 that an explosion had gone off 781 00:39:24,462 --> 00:39:27,265 somewhere in the sewer system in New York City. 782 00:39:27,632 --> 00:39:29,200 Well, they couldn't find, of course, 783 00:39:29,334 --> 00:39:31,269 where that explosion was going on, 784 00:39:31,402 --> 00:39:33,571 because the earthquake occurred 785 00:39:33,705 --> 00:39:36,808 five miles beneath the city, 786 00:39:36,941 --> 00:39:38,409 near Central Park, actually. 787 00:39:39,978 --> 00:39:41,379 ‐ We had an earthquake back in January, 788 00:39:41,512 --> 00:39:43,615 very similar kind of thing. 789 00:39:43,748 --> 00:39:47,385 Made noise, shook a little in certain places, not in others. 790 00:39:48,887 --> 00:39:50,421 People probably reacted more to this one 791 00:39:50,555 --> 00:39:52,857 because of the events of September 11 792 00:39:52,991 --> 00:39:54,993 and then this thing since then. 793 00:39:55,126 --> 00:39:56,861 (tense music) 794 00:39:56,995 --> 00:39:58,897 ‐ [Narrator] These mini quakes are nature's way 795 00:39:59,030 --> 00:40:00,965 of reminding us that if the big one 796 00:40:01,099 --> 00:40:02,533 comes rumbling up through the Earth 797 00:40:02,667 --> 00:40:05,603 and rips apart one of the largest cities in the world, 798 00:40:05,737 --> 00:40:08,406 the death and destruction could be enormous. 799 00:40:08,539 --> 00:40:11,509 (suspenseful music) 800 00:40:12,677 --> 00:40:14,212 The earthquake history of New York 801 00:40:14,345 --> 00:40:15,613 and the rest of the East Coast 802 00:40:15,747 --> 00:40:17,248 could have been very different. 803 00:40:18,716 --> 00:40:21,653 The metropolitan area has a geological history 804 00:40:21,786 --> 00:40:24,122 that is as diverse as the city itself. 805 00:40:24,255 --> 00:40:28,359 (upbeat music) 806 00:40:28,493 --> 00:40:30,428 Scientists have learned a great deal more 807 00:40:30,561 --> 00:40:31,963 about this ancient geology 808 00:40:32,096 --> 00:40:36,000 from a relatively new field of study, plate tectonics. 809 00:40:36,134 --> 00:40:39,470 ‐ We learned in the second half of the 20th century 810 00:40:39,604 --> 00:40:41,272 that the way the Earth works is basically 811 00:40:41,406 --> 00:40:44,075 by way of the theory of plate tectonics. 812 00:40:44,208 --> 00:40:46,544 ‐ [Narrator] Plate tectonics is the geological theory 813 00:40:46,678 --> 00:40:48,079 that there is a layer of plates 814 00:40:48,212 --> 00:40:50,581 or rock covering the globe that is in a slow, 815 00:40:50,715 --> 00:40:53,718 but constant drift across the surface of the Earth. 816 00:40:53,851 --> 00:40:56,621 In other words, the surface of the earth is not fixed, 817 00:40:56,754 --> 00:41:00,091 but is in constant motion, like slow moving bumper cars 818 00:41:00,224 --> 00:41:02,760 that periodically collide with one another. 819 00:41:02,894 --> 00:41:04,729 These plates generally extend out 820 00:41:04,862 --> 00:41:07,966 and under the sea around the world's land masses. 821 00:41:08,099 --> 00:41:10,168 The North American plate extends roughly 822 00:41:10,301 --> 00:41:12,437 from the western edge of the United States, 823 00:41:12,570 --> 00:41:13,905 all the way east to the middle 824 00:41:14,038 --> 00:41:16,374 of the North Atlantic ocean floor. 825 00:41:16,507 --> 00:41:19,544 ‐ So, most earthquakes occur at plate boundaries 826 00:41:19,677 --> 00:41:22,113 where the plates rub against each other. 827 00:41:22,246 --> 00:41:25,316 ‐ An earthquake is a sudden slip 828 00:41:25,450 --> 00:41:28,553 of the two sides across a fault. 829 00:41:28,686 --> 00:41:31,923 So, the rock makes a movement suddenly 830 00:41:32,056 --> 00:41:33,891 and releases stress. 831 00:41:35,293 --> 00:41:36,594 ‐ [Narrator] This rubbing at the western edge 832 00:41:36,728 --> 00:41:38,029 of the North American plate 833 00:41:38,162 --> 00:41:39,931 where it meets the Pacific plate 834 00:41:40,064 --> 00:41:43,768 has resulted in a long history of devastating earthquakes. 835 00:41:43,901 --> 00:41:46,437 (upbeat music) 836 00:41:50,141 --> 00:41:52,377 But there are key differences between earthquakes 837 00:41:52,510 --> 00:41:54,879 that happen at the edge of a tectonic plate 838 00:41:55,013 --> 00:41:57,782 and those that happen in the middle of a plate. 839 00:41:57,915 --> 00:41:59,283 ‐ Within the center of the plate, 840 00:41:59,417 --> 00:42:01,419 it's more of the squeezing kinds of earthquakes 841 00:42:01,552 --> 00:42:03,755 that build mountains, as we have, for instance, 842 00:42:03,888 --> 00:42:05,556 in the Northeastern United States. 843 00:42:06,758 --> 00:42:08,593 ‐ Most famous in the United States 844 00:42:08,726 --> 00:42:13,464 is the New Madrid area in the central United States 845 00:42:13,598 --> 00:42:15,466 along the Mississippi River Valley. 846 00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:18,936 They are in the New York and in the Boston areas 847 00:42:19,070 --> 00:42:21,639 and all the way up to the Canadian border 848 00:42:21,773 --> 00:42:23,875 in the northeastern United States. 849 00:42:24,008 --> 00:42:25,543 (swooshing techno music) 850 00:42:25,676 --> 00:42:28,146 ‐ [Narrator] About 220 million years ago, 851 00:42:28,279 --> 00:42:30,615 a fused continent known as Pangea, 852 00:42:30,748 --> 00:42:33,217 comprised of several of our modern continents, 853 00:42:33,351 --> 00:42:35,420 began to break apart. 854 00:42:35,553 --> 00:42:36,954 In the wake of this upheaval, 855 00:42:37,088 --> 00:42:39,891 the modern North Atlantic Ocean appeared. 856 00:42:40,024 --> 00:42:41,759 ‐ And now, New York sits 857 00:42:41,893 --> 00:42:43,961 right on the edge of this continent. 858 00:42:45,563 --> 00:42:47,365 ‐ [Narrator] Near the end of the last Ice Age, 859 00:42:47,498 --> 00:42:50,001 the New York area and the rest of the East Coast 860 00:42:50,134 --> 00:42:52,103 experienced another significant set 861 00:42:52,236 --> 00:42:54,072 of geological developments. 862 00:42:55,273 --> 00:42:57,809 ‐ Some 10,000 years ago, the glaciers 863 00:42:57,942 --> 00:43:01,079 started to slowly retreat. 864 00:43:01,212 --> 00:43:03,981 But what they did before they left, 865 00:43:04,115 --> 00:43:06,951 they polished everything clear, 866 00:43:07,085 --> 00:43:10,455 and they carved out the weakest spots in the rock. 867 00:43:10,588 --> 00:43:13,157 (pensive music) 868 00:43:13,291 --> 00:43:15,059 ‐ [Narrator] The glaciers carved deep valleys 869 00:43:15,193 --> 00:43:17,261 along the underlying fault lines. 870 00:43:18,996 --> 00:43:22,633 ‐ These black lines here are the most active faults 871 00:43:22,767 --> 00:43:25,670 now in the modern geological time. 872 00:43:25,803 --> 00:43:27,371 The most prominent of them 873 00:43:27,505 --> 00:43:31,175 is the 125th Street fault that runs here. 874 00:43:31,309 --> 00:43:34,245 ‐ [Narrator] The 125th Street fault is clearly visible 875 00:43:34,378 --> 00:43:36,547 from its valley‐like geology. 876 00:43:36,681 --> 00:43:40,518 ‐ The glaciers hollowed out the shape of Manhattan 877 00:43:40,651 --> 00:43:43,521 to follow those fault lines, and that's why 878 00:43:43,654 --> 00:43:46,057 we have, actually, these shapes of Manhattan. 879 00:43:47,458 --> 00:43:49,627 ‐ [Narrator] If there is a slip along one of these faults, 880 00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:52,230 devastating seismic waves could be released 881 00:43:52,363 --> 00:43:54,298 up to the Earth's surface. 882 00:43:54,432 --> 00:43:56,934 (ominous music) 883 00:43:57,068 --> 00:43:59,303 (rumbling) 884 00:44:00,571 --> 00:44:03,040 The first seismic wave initially stretches 885 00:44:03,174 --> 00:44:04,709 and squeezes the rock. 886 00:44:04,842 --> 00:44:07,044 The other seismic wave is the shear wave 887 00:44:07,178 --> 00:44:09,380 that bends the rock sideways. 888 00:44:09,514 --> 00:44:12,783 It is this second wave that gives us the horizontal shaking 889 00:44:12,917 --> 00:44:15,386 that causes so much damage to buildings. 890 00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:17,989 (tense music) 891 00:44:19,991 --> 00:44:23,361 (alarms, sirens blaring) 892 00:44:24,295 --> 00:44:25,696 (clattering) 893 00:44:25,830 --> 00:44:27,632 Seismic waves on the East Coast 894 00:44:27,765 --> 00:44:30,768 travel farther than they do on the West Coast. 895 00:44:30,902 --> 00:44:32,770 ‐ At the edge of the plate, 896 00:44:32,904 --> 00:44:35,806 there is so much earthquake activity going on 897 00:44:35,940 --> 00:44:37,742 that it'd shatter the plate. 898 00:44:37,875 --> 00:44:40,678 So it's a little bit like your windshield 899 00:44:41,579 --> 00:44:43,414 that has a lot of cracks in it 900 00:44:43,548 --> 00:44:46,150 because someone threw a stone in it, 901 00:44:46,284 --> 00:44:48,753 and there's still light coming through, 902 00:44:48,886 --> 00:44:51,622 but you can't see through very clearly. 903 00:44:51,756 --> 00:44:53,758 The same thing with the seismic waves 904 00:44:53,891 --> 00:44:58,129 where those plates are broken by prior earthquakes, 905 00:44:58,262 --> 00:45:00,998 the seismic waves go sort of through, 906 00:45:01,132 --> 00:45:03,034 but it's not very clear. 907 00:45:03,167 --> 00:45:05,803 (ominous music) 908 00:45:07,605 --> 00:45:10,041 Here in the eastern United States, 909 00:45:10,174 --> 00:45:14,545 we can feel earthquakes as small as magnitude one. 910 00:45:14,679 --> 00:45:17,848 Certainly, magnitude two are wildly felt 911 00:45:17,982 --> 00:45:20,651 all over New York City, for instance, 912 00:45:21,752 --> 00:45:24,755 Californians have no clue 913 00:45:24,889 --> 00:45:26,791 that there was a magnitude two earthquake. 914 00:45:26,924 --> 00:45:29,427 So, if a three and a half or four 915 00:45:29,560 --> 00:45:31,662 occurs here on the East Coast, 916 00:45:31,796 --> 00:45:33,631 everybody is up in arms. 917 00:45:33,764 --> 00:45:36,267 Californians say, "Okay, we had a four today 918 00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:38,703 this morning," and keep drinking their coffee. 919 00:45:41,639 --> 00:45:43,474 ‐ [Narraechno music) 920 00:45:43,608 --> 00:45:46,344 ‐ [Narrator] If a major earthquake should hit New York, 921 00:45:46,477 --> 00:45:49,146 vulnerable building types and varied geology 922 00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,216 could be a dangerous mix waiting to combust. 923 00:45:53,651 --> 00:45:56,120 One of the most dangerous components of this deadly brew 924 00:45:56,254 --> 00:46:00,157 is a geological phenomenon known as soil liquefaction. 925 00:46:01,392 --> 00:46:03,628 Soil liquefaction is when partially 926 00:46:03,761 --> 00:46:06,831 or fully saturated soil, such as landfill, 927 00:46:06,964 --> 00:46:09,934 loses firmness due to the shaking of an earthquake. 928 00:46:10,034 --> 00:46:11,602 When this happens, the ground 929 00:46:11,736 --> 00:46:14,305 becomes liquified, much like quicksand. 930 00:46:14,438 --> 00:46:18,242 This can then result in structural instability. 931 00:46:18,376 --> 00:46:20,244 (energetic chase music) 932 00:46:20,378 --> 00:46:24,615 The 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake that struck San Francisco, 933 00:46:24,749 --> 00:46:29,153 magnitude 7.1, was a tragic example of liquefaction. 934 00:46:29,287 --> 00:46:31,922 (ominous music) 935 00:46:34,692 --> 00:46:39,430 Before 1906, there was no Marina District in San Francisco. 936 00:46:39,563 --> 00:46:43,100 After the 1906 quake, a swampy area downtown 937 00:46:43,234 --> 00:46:45,436 was filled in with debris from the earthquake 938 00:46:45,569 --> 00:46:47,271 and covered over with dirt. 939 00:46:47,405 --> 00:46:49,040 Houses were built, and the area 940 00:46:49,173 --> 00:46:51,175 became a popular neighborhood. 941 00:46:51,309 --> 00:46:54,612 83 years later, when the next major earthquake hit, 942 00:46:54,745 --> 00:46:58,482 the loose soil caused tremendous damage in the district. 943 00:46:58,616 --> 00:47:01,218 (sirens blaring) 944 00:47:01,352 --> 00:47:03,554 ‐ The problem is, when you fill these areas 945 00:47:03,688 --> 00:47:05,656 with sand and dirt, they will shake 946 00:47:05,790 --> 00:47:09,026 more strongly than the nearby rock areas. 947 00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:11,262 Kind of like shaking a bowl of Jello. 948 00:47:11,395 --> 00:47:13,431 ‐ [Narrator] Liquefaction could severely harm 949 00:47:13,564 --> 00:47:16,067 similar landfill areas in New York City. 950 00:47:17,501 --> 00:47:20,404 As history has shown, even a magnitude 5 earthquake 951 00:47:20,538 --> 00:47:23,207 could severely damage thousands of buildings. 952 00:47:23,341 --> 00:47:25,042 (tense music) 953 00:47:25,176 --> 00:47:27,945 And risk analysis experts estimate 954 00:47:28,079 --> 00:47:30,214 that if a magnitude 7 were to strike 955 00:47:30,348 --> 00:47:33,484 in the same location as the 1884 quake, 956 00:47:33,617 --> 00:47:36,887 it could kill more than 6,000 people. 957 00:47:37,021 --> 00:47:39,323 13,000 more could be injured. 958 00:47:39,457 --> 00:47:40,925 (tense music) 959 00:47:41,058 --> 00:47:44,562 ‐ We estimate that in a worst‐case scenario, 960 00:47:44,695 --> 00:47:47,298 something like a 7 magnitude earthquake, 961 00:47:47,431 --> 00:47:51,602 over 30 million people will be impacted by the event. 962 00:47:51,736 --> 00:47:53,671 ‐ [Narrator] A major metropolis like New York 963 00:47:53,804 --> 00:47:57,541 requires an incredibly complex underground infrastructure. 964 00:47:57,675 --> 00:47:59,643 (tense music) 965 00:47:59,777 --> 00:48:02,313 ‐ Power lines, and water lines, gas lines 966 00:48:02,446 --> 00:48:05,416 are always susceptible to ground shaking 967 00:48:05,549 --> 00:48:07,551 from a major earthquake. 968 00:48:07,685 --> 00:48:09,587 ‐ [Narrator] There are also sanitation canals 969 00:48:09,720 --> 00:48:11,222 that carry away wastewater, 970 00:48:11,355 --> 00:48:14,225 and steam pipes delivering heat to large buildings. 971 00:48:15,359 --> 00:48:18,763 ‐ There is a whole spider network of stuff 972 00:48:18,896 --> 00:48:20,264 going on underground. 973 00:48:21,966 --> 00:48:24,168 ‐ [Narrator] Ironically, you may be safer underground 974 00:48:24,301 --> 00:48:25,703 during an earthquake, than you would be 975 00:48:25,836 --> 00:48:28,038 standing in the middle of 42nd Street. 976 00:48:29,540 --> 00:48:33,043 ‐ Generally speaking, you are better off underground 977 00:48:33,177 --> 00:48:37,815 because the amplitude of shaking diminishes 978 00:48:37,948 --> 00:48:40,851 as you go deeper into the Earth. 979 00:48:40,985 --> 00:48:44,688 It's safer to be underground than above ground, 980 00:48:44,822 --> 00:48:49,126 or in a building that sticks way out and shakes. 981 00:48:50,327 --> 00:48:52,062 ‐ [Narrator] A vivid example of this occurred 982 00:48:52,196 --> 00:48:56,100 during the deadly Mexico City earthquake in 1985. 983 00:48:56,233 --> 00:48:59,537 Soil liquefaction destroyed hundreds of buildings. 984 00:49:01,539 --> 00:49:05,176 But below ground, the subway system was almost unscathed. 985 00:49:05,309 --> 00:49:08,646 Within hours, subways were up and running around the city. 986 00:49:08,779 --> 00:49:10,214 But there are vulnerable spots 987 00:49:10,347 --> 00:49:12,550 underground in New York, particularly where 988 00:49:12,683 --> 00:49:15,119 different infrastructure systems intersect. 989 00:49:15,252 --> 00:49:16,720 Water mains may break. 990 00:49:16,854 --> 00:49:21,025 ‐ There are sewer pipes that are very brittle. 991 00:49:21,158 --> 00:49:22,960 Many of them are cast iron. 992 00:49:23,093 --> 00:49:27,298 That's a very bad material to respond to an earthquake. 993 00:49:28,499 --> 00:49:29,867 ‐ [Narrator] Moving back above ground, 994 00:49:29,967 --> 00:49:31,502 one sees the biggest danger 995 00:49:31,635 --> 00:49:34,438 posed by an earthquake: buildings. 996 00:49:34,572 --> 00:49:36,640 (tense music) 997 00:49:36,774 --> 00:49:40,044 In 1995, New York City finally adopted 998 00:49:40,177 --> 00:49:41,779 a seismic building code. 999 00:49:41,912 --> 00:49:43,614 This was a major step in making 1000 00:49:43,747 --> 00:49:47,318 all new construction safer from earthquake damage. 1001 00:49:47,451 --> 00:49:50,754 ‐ The biggest difference that we would have now 1002 00:49:50,888 --> 00:49:53,157 in our seismic building codes 1003 00:49:53,290 --> 00:49:55,726 for the eastern part of the United States 1004 00:49:55,860 --> 00:49:59,230 is the requirement for stronger connection, 1005 00:49:59,363 --> 00:50:02,366 so that if a building gets pushed sideways 1006 00:50:02,500 --> 00:50:05,302 in earthquake shaking, the connections don't break. 1007 00:50:05,436 --> 00:50:06,871 So, if you have a vertical beam 1008 00:50:07,004 --> 00:50:09,006 and you have a horizontal beam, 1009 00:50:09,139 --> 00:50:10,975 the horizontal beam will now be attached 1010 00:50:11,108 --> 00:50:12,877 more strongly to the vertical beam, 1011 00:50:13,010 --> 00:50:15,212 so that if it shakes, you don't break the bolts 1012 00:50:15,346 --> 00:50:18,115 or break the welds and have the beam come down. 1013 00:50:18,249 --> 00:50:20,451 ‐ [Narrator] Bridges and pre‐code buildings, however, 1014 00:50:20,584 --> 00:50:22,586 will remain a major problem 1015 00:50:22,720 --> 00:50:25,456 if an earthquake hits the East coast. 1016 00:50:25,589 --> 00:50:27,401 (siren blaring) 1017 00:50:31,929 --> 00:50:33,998 ‐ [Narrator] A major challenge for older cities 1018 00:50:34,131 --> 00:50:36,267 on the East Coast in terms of earthquakes 1019 00:50:36,400 --> 00:50:38,469 is bringing building codes up to date. 1020 00:50:39,870 --> 00:50:43,440 ‐ The building codes for cities like New York or Boston 1021 00:50:43,574 --> 00:50:46,710 generally apply only to new buildings. 1022 00:50:46,844 --> 00:50:48,779 By not reinforcing old buildings, 1023 00:50:48,913 --> 00:50:52,049 we always take the chance that the earthquake will occur 1024 00:50:52,182 --> 00:50:54,585 before that building gets replaced with a new building. 1025 00:50:54,718 --> 00:50:59,056 And that's a major in our eastern cities. 1026 00:50:59,189 --> 00:51:01,592 ‐ [Narrator] But there are other potentially deadly problems 1027 00:51:01,725 --> 00:51:03,861 that could befall some of Manhattan's newest 1028 00:51:03,994 --> 00:51:06,530 and most densely populated neighborhoods. 1029 00:51:06,664 --> 00:51:08,599 Areas like Battery Park City. 1030 00:51:09,767 --> 00:51:11,468 Before the World Trade Center was built, 1031 00:51:11,602 --> 00:51:14,238 this area at the southwestern tip of Manhattan 1032 00:51:14,371 --> 00:51:16,607 was mostly Hudson River water. 1033 00:51:16,740 --> 00:51:18,576 But thousands of tons of dirt dug up 1034 00:51:18,709 --> 00:51:20,544 for the foundations of the towers 1035 00:51:20,678 --> 00:51:23,147 created acres of new ground. 1036 00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:26,350 Ground that developers wanted to build on. 1037 00:51:26,483 --> 00:51:28,452 And just as San Franciscans created 1038 00:51:28,586 --> 00:51:30,754 a new neighborhood in the Marina District, 1039 00:51:30,888 --> 00:51:33,157 New Yorkers created their own neighborhood 1040 00:51:33,290 --> 00:51:34,959 built on landfill. 1041 00:51:35,092 --> 00:51:37,628 ‐ They took the piers, filled in sand, 1042 00:51:37,761 --> 00:51:41,398 and then built wonderful high‐rise buildings. 1043 00:51:41,532 --> 00:51:43,500 They are well‐engineered, 1044 00:51:43,634 --> 00:51:48,572 but they were not engineered with earthquakes in mind. 1045 00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:53,143 ‐ For areas where you can't get down to the rock itself, 1046 00:51:53,277 --> 00:51:54,778 the typical construction practice 1047 00:51:54,912 --> 00:51:57,848 is to put down many, many pilings, 1048 00:51:57,982 --> 00:52:00,584 and just let the friction of the pilings 1049 00:52:00,718 --> 00:52:03,120 trying to push into the soil hold the building up. 1050 00:52:04,488 --> 00:52:05,990 ‐ [Narrator] These buildings could be vulnerable 1051 00:52:06,123 --> 00:52:09,360 to liquefaction in a major New York quake. 1052 00:52:09,493 --> 00:52:11,662 ‐ That's exactly the kind of material 1053 00:52:11,795 --> 00:52:14,331 we have in Battery Park City 1054 00:52:14,465 --> 00:52:16,233 and other places in New York City. 1055 00:52:16,367 --> 00:52:18,202 So, now we have a situation 1056 00:52:18,335 --> 00:52:20,871 where we have very beautiful buildings, 1057 00:52:21,005 --> 00:52:23,040 very expensive buildings, 1058 00:52:23,173 --> 00:52:26,644 both residential and business buildings, 1059 00:52:27,811 --> 00:52:31,181 in an area that will have amplified shaking. 1060 00:52:31,315 --> 00:52:33,050 (tense music) 1061 00:52:33,183 --> 00:52:34,652 ‐ [Narrator] But it's not just buildings 1062 00:52:34,785 --> 00:52:35,953 that could collapse. 1063 00:52:36,086 --> 00:52:38,155 There are other hazards, such as bridges, 1064 00:52:38,288 --> 00:52:40,090 and elevated train stations. 1065 00:52:42,893 --> 00:52:44,995 Klaus Jacob takes us down to street level 1066 00:52:45,129 --> 00:52:46,664 to demonstrate that engineers 1067 00:52:46,797 --> 00:52:48,065 from a much earlier period 1068 00:52:48,198 --> 00:52:49,833 of New York City building history 1069 00:52:49,967 --> 00:52:52,736 were trying to prepare for earthquake hazards. 1070 00:52:53,837 --> 00:52:55,739 ‐ So, here we are, right smack 1071 00:52:55,873 --> 00:52:58,142 where the 125th Street fault 1072 00:52:58,275 --> 00:53:00,911 crosses Broadway and Manhattan. 1073 00:53:01,045 --> 00:53:03,380 ‐ [Narrator] Normally, the subway runs underground, 1074 00:53:03,514 --> 00:53:05,683 but when the engineers tried to build the subway 1075 00:53:05,816 --> 00:53:07,584 through the rock in the fault zone, 1076 00:53:07,718 --> 00:53:10,521 they realized it would be a difficult challenge. 1077 00:53:10,654 --> 00:53:13,657 ‐ So, they stayed level and built 1078 00:53:13,791 --> 00:53:16,427 the bridge across the valley. 1079 00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:19,263 So, this bridge is there, 1080 00:53:19,396 --> 00:53:20,964 because the fault is there. 1081 00:53:21,098 --> 00:53:23,534 The bridge is a document for the fault. 1082 00:53:23,667 --> 00:53:25,402 (mellow music) 1083 00:53:25,536 --> 00:53:28,305 And what you see here is actually a hinge, 1084 00:53:29,940 --> 00:53:32,342 which rotates like this. 1085 00:53:32,476 --> 00:53:33,877 Why did they do that? 1086 00:53:34,011 --> 00:53:35,646 Well, there's the fault over there, 1087 00:53:35,779 --> 00:53:38,982 and they thought the fault would move vertically, 1088 00:53:39,116 --> 00:53:41,719 so the bridge could adjust. 1089 00:53:41,852 --> 00:53:44,121 What they didn't know is that the fault 1090 00:53:44,254 --> 00:53:45,989 doesn't move this way here. 1091 00:53:46,123 --> 00:53:48,058 Nowadays, it moves this way. 1092 00:53:48,192 --> 00:53:50,461 What they should have done is do it this way, 1093 00:53:50,594 --> 00:53:53,097 the axis, and then move around like this 1094 00:53:53,230 --> 00:53:55,833 to accommodate the horizontal fault movement. 1095 00:53:57,267 --> 00:54:00,904 For 1905, that's really very advanced engineering. 1096 00:54:01,038 --> 00:54:03,240 Of course, they got it wrong, 1097 00:54:03,373 --> 00:54:06,543 but I think they did a very good job in at least trying 1098 00:54:06,677 --> 00:54:08,846 to accommodate earthquakes and fault motion. 1099 00:54:10,280 --> 00:54:12,249 ‐ [Narrator] But good intentions won't be enough 1100 00:54:12,382 --> 00:54:15,819 if a major earthquake shakes New York to its foundation. 1101 00:54:16,954 --> 00:54:19,556 For a major urban center such as New York, 1102 00:54:19,690 --> 00:54:22,326 recovery from this kind of mega disaster 1103 00:54:22,459 --> 00:54:24,228 could take many months. 1104 00:54:24,361 --> 00:54:26,930 (mellow music) 1105 00:54:31,335 --> 00:54:34,538 ‐ We estimate that the amount of property damage 1106 00:54:34,671 --> 00:54:37,541 in a major earthquake would be 1107 00:54:37,674 --> 00:54:41,645 in the order of $250 billion of property damage. 1108 00:54:41,779 --> 00:54:43,647 But, of course, you have to add to that 1109 00:54:43,781 --> 00:54:47,084 the damage to business interruption, 1110 00:54:47,217 --> 00:54:50,687 so that the total economic disruption in dollar terms 1111 00:54:50,821 --> 00:54:54,525 is likely to be at least half a trillion dollars. 1112 00:54:55,793 --> 00:54:57,594 If it's a moderate earthquake 1113 00:54:57,728 --> 00:55:00,264 in the 6 or 7 magnitude range, 1114 00:55:00,397 --> 00:55:03,167 then even after six months, we'll be a long way 1115 00:55:03,300 --> 00:55:05,636 from having all the reconstruction 1116 00:55:05,769 --> 00:55:07,905 and the rebuilding complete. 1117 00:55:08,038 --> 00:55:09,506 (upbeat music) 1118 00:55:09,640 --> 00:55:13,477 ‐ One of the things I am feeling ever better about 1119 00:55:13,610 --> 00:55:15,145 as a seismologist working 1120 00:55:15,279 --> 00:55:17,080 in the northeastern part of the country 1121 00:55:17,214 --> 00:55:21,819 is that the awareness of earthquakes is growing. 1122 00:55:21,952 --> 00:55:23,554 We think about preparedness. 1123 00:55:23,687 --> 00:55:26,957 We have more seismic provisions in our building codes. 1124 00:55:27,090 --> 00:55:28,458 There are more and more schools 1125 00:55:28,592 --> 00:55:31,562 that are doing earthquake drills, as well as fire drills. 1126 00:55:31,695 --> 00:55:35,432 So, we're gradually becoming more aware and more planned 1127 00:55:35,566 --> 00:55:37,000 for how we would deal with an earthquake, 1128 00:55:37,134 --> 00:55:38,569 if it were to occur. 1129 00:55:38,702 --> 00:55:39,937 The problem is, of course, 1130 00:55:40,070 --> 00:55:42,139 most people in the northeastern United States, 1131 00:55:42,272 --> 00:55:44,641 most people in New York, most people in Philadelphia, 1132 00:55:44,775 --> 00:55:46,610 most people in Boston don't think 1133 00:55:46,743 --> 00:55:49,680 that they will ever face a damaging earthquake. 1134 00:55:49,813 --> 00:55:51,748 And that is just a fallacy 1135 00:55:51,882 --> 00:55:55,052 that we could be proven wrong on someday. 1136 00:55:55,185 --> 00:55:57,821 (ominous music) 1137 00:55:59,590 --> 00:56:01,525 ‐ [Narrator] For the island nation of Haiti, 1138 00:56:01,658 --> 00:56:04,294 a catastrophic earthquake in 2010 1139 00:56:04,428 --> 00:56:05,963 proved just how tragic 1140 00:56:06,096 --> 00:56:08,599 the lack of strong building codes can be. 1141 00:56:11,335 --> 00:56:14,037 (dramatic music) 1142 00:56:18,208 --> 00:56:20,944 Port‐au‐Prince, the capital of Haiti, 1143 00:56:21,078 --> 00:56:23,814 a country mired in grinding poverty. 1144 00:56:23,947 --> 00:56:26,583 (ominous music) 1145 00:56:30,821 --> 00:56:34,524 A 7.0 earthquake rips across the island nation. 1146 00:56:34,658 --> 00:56:37,094 (clamoring) 1147 00:56:37,227 --> 00:56:39,730 Panicked Haitians realize this is unlike anything 1148 00:56:39,863 --> 00:56:41,498 they've ever felt before. 1149 00:56:41,632 --> 00:56:43,233 (energetic chase music) 1150 00:56:43,367 --> 00:56:45,002 (crashing) 1151 00:56:45,135 --> 00:56:46,870 ‐ It was relatively shallow. 1152 00:56:47,004 --> 00:56:48,805 So, this earthquake started at a depth 1153 00:56:48,939 --> 00:56:50,540 of about maybe eight miles or so. 1154 00:56:50,674 --> 00:56:52,843 ‐ An earthquake that's shallow, that's near the surface, 1155 00:56:52,976 --> 00:56:55,879 that means more of that energy is dumped on the surface. 1156 00:56:56,013 --> 00:56:59,116 ‐ The earthquake in Haiti was a perfect storm 1157 00:56:59,249 --> 00:57:03,153 of very intense ground shaking and very weak buildings. 1158 00:57:03,287 --> 00:57:06,056 (rumbling) 1159 00:57:06,189 --> 00:57:08,525 None of the buildings in Haiti were designed 1160 00:57:08,659 --> 00:57:10,594 to resist earthquake forces. 1161 00:57:10,727 --> 00:57:14,131 They don't have any effective building codes. 1162 00:57:14,264 --> 00:57:15,532 ‐ [Narrator] Across the region, 1163 00:57:15,666 --> 00:57:17,801 the massive quake delivers a punishing blow. 1164 00:57:17,935 --> 00:57:19,736 (speaking in foreign language) 1165 00:57:19,870 --> 00:57:22,372 American filmmaker Dan Woolley has just checked 1166 00:57:22,506 --> 00:57:25,275 into a hotel when disaster strikes. 1167 00:57:26,243 --> 00:57:27,744 (crashing) 1168 00:57:27,878 --> 00:57:29,846 ‐ I heard the explosive sounds 1169 00:57:29,980 --> 00:57:32,049 of the building starting to crack, 1170 00:57:32,182 --> 00:57:34,484 and I started to feel the ground move underneath me. 1171 00:57:34,618 --> 00:57:39,356 And within three seconds, everything went dark. 1172 00:57:39,489 --> 00:57:43,260 (tense thumping music) 1173 00:57:43,393 --> 00:57:45,862 ‐ [Narrator] The hotel pancakes into a pile of rubble, 1174 00:57:45,996 --> 00:57:48,098 knocking Dan unconscious. 1175 00:57:48,231 --> 00:57:49,433 ‐ When I come to my senses, 1176 00:57:49,566 --> 00:57:51,635 I find myself in complete darkness. 1177 00:57:51,768 --> 00:57:53,503 I would put my hand in front of my face 1178 00:57:53,637 --> 00:57:55,505 and I couldn't even see that. 1179 00:57:55,639 --> 00:57:57,574 ‐ His location in the hotel, 1180 00:57:57,708 --> 00:57:59,276 I think, is what saved his life. 1181 00:57:59,409 --> 00:58:03,113 He was between a stairwell and the elevators, 1182 00:58:04,281 --> 00:58:06,650 both of which tend to be core structures 1183 00:58:06,783 --> 00:58:08,285 with concrete block walls, 1184 00:58:08,418 --> 00:58:10,087 which will have more strength 1185 00:58:10,220 --> 00:58:14,157 than other more open areas in the building. 1186 00:58:14,291 --> 00:58:17,127 ‐ [Narrator] Dan uses the flash from his camera 1187 00:58:17,260 --> 00:58:19,429 to see the tight space he's been trapped in, 1188 00:58:20,630 --> 00:58:22,866 and something else that terrifies him. 1189 00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:24,701 ‐ I pulled up my pant leg, 1190 00:58:24,835 --> 00:58:27,504 and as I shone the light of my camera on my leg, 1191 00:58:27,637 --> 00:58:29,873 I saw the worst injury I'd ever seen in my life. 1192 00:58:30,007 --> 00:58:33,243 It was just split open from just below my knee 1193 00:58:33,377 --> 00:58:35,312 to just above my ankle. 1194 00:58:35,445 --> 00:58:37,581 ‐ [Narrator] Dan snaps another picture 1195 00:58:37,714 --> 00:58:39,549 and spots a safer place to be. 1196 00:58:40,617 --> 00:58:43,120 ‐ I saw an elevator car 1197 00:58:43,253 --> 00:58:46,256 with its door open, on the lobby floor. 1198 00:58:46,390 --> 00:58:49,292 And I just thought, you know, by what kind of miracle 1199 00:58:49,426 --> 00:58:51,728 is this open and available for me? 1200 00:58:51,862 --> 00:58:54,498 And I decided to take the risk 1201 00:58:54,631 --> 00:58:57,000 and crawl the 20 feet to the elevator. 1202 00:58:58,168 --> 00:59:00,037 And right after I reached the elevator, 1203 00:59:00,170 --> 00:59:02,205 the building started to shake again. 1204 00:59:02,339 --> 00:59:04,107 (suspenseful music) 1205 00:59:04,241 --> 00:59:06,009 We were hit with the first aftershock, 1206 00:59:06,143 --> 00:59:08,145 which was a 6.0 aftershock. 1207 00:59:08,278 --> 00:59:11,982 And I knew that that move had saved my life. 1208 00:59:12,115 --> 00:59:13,917 ‐ [Narrator] Dan hopes someone will come to his aid 1209 00:59:14,051 --> 00:59:15,452 before he bleeds to death. 1210 00:59:16,853 --> 00:59:19,790 Meanwhile, aftershocks continue to rumble. 1211 00:59:19,923 --> 00:59:21,324 (energetic chase music) 1212 00:59:21,458 --> 00:59:23,293 Finally, after being buried in debris 1213 00:59:23,427 --> 00:59:25,462 for 65 agonizing hours, 1214 00:59:27,030 --> 00:59:29,566 Dan hears the words he's been praying for. 1215 00:59:29,699 --> 00:59:31,301 ‐ I heard a voice coming down 1216 00:59:31,435 --> 00:59:32,969 from the shaft of the elevator. 1217 00:59:33,103 --> 00:59:34,838 "I'm here to get you out of there." 1218 00:59:36,039 --> 00:59:37,474 And all of a sudden, I had hope and I knew, 1219 00:59:37,607 --> 00:59:39,643 "Okay, this is not gonna end here. 1220 00:59:39,776 --> 00:59:42,579 This is not gonna end today." 1221 00:59:42,712 --> 00:59:43,847 ‐ [Rescuer] Come on. 1222 00:59:43,980 --> 00:59:44,815 ‐ [Rescuer] All right, we're gonna get you 1223 00:59:44,948 --> 00:59:46,450 something to drink first. 1224 00:59:47,918 --> 00:59:50,420 (somber music) 1225 00:59:55,892 --> 00:59:58,895 ‐ [Narrator] The final death toll is astronomical. 1226 00:59:59,029 --> 01:00:02,199 And as a result of inadequate building codes, 1227 01:00:02,332 --> 01:00:05,335 over one million people were left homeless. 1228 01:00:05,469 --> 01:00:08,772 (energetic chase music) 1229 01:00:19,416 --> 01:00:22,385 (mellow music) 1230 01:00:22,519 --> 01:00:23,954 ‐ [Narrator] The heartland of America has seen 1231 01:00:24,087 --> 01:00:25,922 its share of natural disasters: 1232 01:00:27,390 --> 01:00:29,860 killer tornadoes and floods that have destroyed buildings 1233 01:00:29,993 --> 01:00:32,028 and swept away entire towns. 1234 01:00:33,830 --> 01:00:37,000 But despite its landlocked position in the country, 1235 01:00:37,134 --> 01:00:40,737 earthquake danger also lurks beneath its fertile fields. 1236 01:00:42,973 --> 01:00:45,675 ‐ [Narrator] Memphis, Tennessee sits 50 miles south 1237 01:00:45,809 --> 01:00:49,212 of one of the most dangerous earthquake faults in America. 1238 01:00:50,413 --> 01:00:52,082 ‐ [Narrator] The New Madrid fault line. 1239 01:00:53,316 --> 01:00:56,286 ‐ A major quake in the New Madrid zone 1240 01:00:56,419 --> 01:01:01,424 would create unimaginable havoc in Memphis, Tennessee, 1241 01:01:02,926 --> 01:01:07,764 which is the closest city to the New Madrid fault 1242 01:01:08,665 --> 01:01:11,468 and built largely of brick. 1243 01:01:11,601 --> 01:01:13,170 ‐ I think the first reaction to an earthquake, 1244 01:01:13,303 --> 01:01:15,205 even if you're a seismologist today 1245 01:01:15,338 --> 01:01:17,874 is this fundamental sense of terror. 1246 01:01:18,008 --> 01:01:20,310 It just, out of a clear blue sky, 1247 01:01:20,443 --> 01:01:22,345 it's like somebody's picking up your house 1248 01:01:22,479 --> 01:01:24,414 and shaking it back‐and‐forth. 1249 01:01:24,548 --> 01:01:26,816 ‐ [Narrator] The prospect of an earthquake in the heartland 1250 01:01:26,950 --> 01:01:31,721 may seem unimaginable, but it's actually happened before. 1251 01:01:31,855 --> 01:01:33,890 ‐ [Narrator] One of America's worst earthquakes 1252 01:01:34,024 --> 01:01:37,794 occurred 200 years ago in the heart of the country. 1253 01:01:39,095 --> 01:01:42,199 ‐ The mother of all earthquakes in the United States 1254 01:01:42,332 --> 01:01:46,303 was in 1811 and 1812 in an obscure place 1255 01:01:46,436 --> 01:01:48,838 in southern Missouri, where Missouri, Kentucky, 1256 01:01:48,972 --> 01:01:53,276 Arkansas, and Illinois all meet, called New Madrid. 1257 01:01:54,377 --> 01:01:56,479 ‐ [Narrator] December, 1811, 1258 01:01:56,613 --> 01:01:58,348 The weather was warmer than usual 1259 01:01:58,481 --> 01:02:00,684 in New Madrid, Missouri. 1260 01:02:00,817 --> 01:02:04,120 ‐ There were about five or 600 people living in New Madrid. 1261 01:02:04,254 --> 01:02:07,290 It was a thriving river city. 1262 01:02:07,424 --> 01:02:10,227 It was located on the largest S curve 1263 01:02:10,360 --> 01:02:12,629 in that section of the river. 1264 01:02:12,762 --> 01:02:16,166 ‐ A little after two in the morning on December 16th, 1265 01:02:16,299 --> 01:02:17,767 the Earth sort of came unglued 1266 01:02:17,901 --> 01:02:19,603 with the first of the earthquakes. 1267 01:02:19,736 --> 01:02:21,404 (rumbling) (clattering) 1268 01:02:21,538 --> 01:02:24,841 ‐ There was an great roar 1269 01:02:24,975 --> 01:02:26,476 that's compared in the accounts 1270 01:02:26,610 --> 01:02:29,379 to thunder or heavy artillery. 1271 01:02:29,512 --> 01:02:32,649 And the ground started shaking, 1272 01:02:32,782 --> 01:02:35,185 and people were thrown from their beds. 1273 01:02:35,318 --> 01:02:36,987 Furniture was overturned. 1274 01:02:37,120 --> 01:02:38,355 (clattering) 1275 01:02:38,488 --> 01:02:41,558 And in the middle of the night in 1811, 1276 01:02:41,691 --> 01:02:44,227 you would have no idea what this was. 1277 01:02:44,361 --> 01:02:46,663 ‐ [Narrator] Intense seismic waves radiated 1278 01:02:46,796 --> 01:02:49,966 in all directions for hundreds of miles. 1279 01:02:50,100 --> 01:02:51,935 (pensive music) (lightning crackles) 1280 01:02:52,068 --> 01:02:53,270 ‐ The thing about New Madrid is that 1281 01:02:53,403 --> 01:02:57,440 it's in the middle of a vast alluvial plain. 1282 01:02:57,574 --> 01:03:01,678 And the seismic shocks from it spread unrestricted 1283 01:03:01,811 --> 01:03:04,247 across certainly eastern America. 1284 01:03:05,448 --> 01:03:06,683 ‐ [Narrator] The quake was felt as far away 1285 01:03:06,816 --> 01:03:09,519 as New York, Boston, Montreal, 1286 01:03:09,653 --> 01:03:11,521 and Charleston, South Carolina, 1287 01:03:11,655 --> 01:03:14,991 where it rang the bells of Saint Phillips Episcopal church. 1288 01:03:15,125 --> 01:03:16,159 (bells pealing) 1289 01:03:16,293 --> 01:03:17,327 ‐ People went running into the street 1290 01:03:17,460 --> 01:03:18,695 in their night clothes, 1291 01:03:18,828 --> 01:03:21,931 and birds of all kinds 1292 01:03:22,065 --> 01:03:23,900 were screeching and flying about, 1293 01:03:24,000 --> 01:03:25,802 cattle were stampeding. 1294 01:03:26,970 --> 01:03:28,371 ‐ [Narrator] With the Earth convulsing, 1295 01:03:28,505 --> 01:03:30,407 it was impossible to stand. 1296 01:03:31,474 --> 01:03:33,109 ‐ They threw themselves on the ground 1297 01:03:33,243 --> 01:03:36,146 and started praying in fear. 1298 01:03:36,279 --> 01:03:38,481 And one couple grabbed all their children, 1299 01:03:38,615 --> 01:03:39,749 ran into the street. 1300 01:03:39,883 --> 01:03:41,484 The mother suddenly realizes 1301 01:03:41,618 --> 01:03:43,553 that they've left the infant behind. 1302 01:03:43,687 --> 01:03:47,257 And she says to her husband, "Go get the baby." 1303 01:03:47,390 --> 01:03:49,259 He starts back to the house 1304 01:03:49,392 --> 01:03:52,128 and the ground is shaking so badly, 1305 01:03:52,262 --> 01:03:54,798 he's thrown to the ground a dozen times 1306 01:03:54,931 --> 01:03:57,300 before he can finally get to the house, 1307 01:03:57,434 --> 01:04:01,404 crawl inside, reach the baby, and get back out. 1308 01:04:01,538 --> 01:04:03,473 (suspenseful music) 1309 01:04:03,606 --> 01:04:05,775 ‐ [Narrator] George Crist, living 100 miles 1310 01:04:05,909 --> 01:04:08,345 north of New Madrid, wrote this account. 1311 01:04:09,512 --> 01:04:10,447 ‐ [George] There was a great quaking 1312 01:04:10,580 --> 01:04:12,148 of the Earth this morning. 1313 01:04:12,282 --> 01:04:15,452 Tables and chairs turned over, knocked around. 1314 01:04:15,585 --> 01:04:17,887 All of us knocked out of bed. 1315 01:04:18,021 --> 01:04:20,090 The roar I thought would leave us dead. 1316 01:04:20,223 --> 01:04:22,625 (shattering) 1317 01:04:24,027 --> 01:04:27,297 All you could hear was screams from people and animals. 1318 01:04:27,430 --> 01:04:28,531 (screaming) 1319 01:04:28,665 --> 01:04:30,333 I don't know how we lived through it. 1320 01:04:31,901 --> 01:04:34,371 ‐ [Narrator] There were no seismographs in 1811 1321 01:04:34,504 --> 01:04:36,439 to record the shock. 1322 01:04:36,573 --> 01:04:38,441 But based on eyewitness accounts 1323 01:04:38,575 --> 01:04:40,543 and destruction reports, 1324 01:04:40,677 --> 01:04:42,545 seismologists believe the quake 1325 01:04:42,679 --> 01:04:45,248 measured 8.0 on the Richter Scale, 1326 01:04:47,250 --> 01:04:51,688 10 times stronger than the 1906 earthquake in San Francisco. 1327 01:04:51,821 --> 01:04:53,056 (suspenseful music) 1328 01:04:53,189 --> 01:04:55,592 And the horror wasn't over. 1329 01:04:55,725 --> 01:04:58,895 Frightened residents next confronted inexplicable 1330 01:04:59,028 --> 01:05:02,565 large clouds of strange gas seeping from the Earth. 1331 01:05:03,700 --> 01:05:06,202 ‐ There was a sulfurous smell, 1332 01:05:06,336 --> 01:05:09,539 which came up out of the bowels of the Earth. 1333 01:05:09,672 --> 01:05:11,274 ‐ [Narrator] Escaping into the darkness, 1334 01:05:11,408 --> 01:05:14,911 many people reported seeing bizarre flashing lights. 1335 01:05:15,912 --> 01:05:17,747 ‐ The lights are not unique. 1336 01:05:17,881 --> 01:05:19,582 There are other earthquakes where people 1337 01:05:19,716 --> 01:05:21,818 have said that they've seen them. 1338 01:05:21,951 --> 01:05:24,587 The explanation is that it has something to do 1339 01:05:24,721 --> 01:05:28,158 with the squeezing of the rocks. 1340 01:05:28,291 --> 01:05:30,660 They emit electrical signals. 1341 01:05:30,794 --> 01:05:33,396 They call that piezoelectric effect. 1342 01:05:33,530 --> 01:05:37,267 ‐ [Narrator] After a night of terror, the sun came up, 1343 01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:40,336 but dawn brought no relief from the tremors. 1344 01:05:41,771 --> 01:05:45,108 ‐ There were rumblings and shakes all through the night. 1345 01:05:45,241 --> 01:05:48,445 And then at 7:00 a. m., there was another shock, 1346 01:05:48,578 --> 01:05:52,215 at least as hard as the first and maybe worse. 1347 01:05:52,348 --> 01:05:54,584 And it kept going all through the day. 1348 01:05:55,819 --> 01:05:56,920 (rumbling) 1349 01:05:57,053 --> 01:05:57,921 ‐ [Narrator] Many homes and barns 1350 01:05:58,054 --> 01:05:59,689 that endured the 2:00 a. m. shaker 1351 01:05:59,823 --> 01:06:01,391 now clattered to the ground 1352 01:06:01,524 --> 01:06:03,393 from this massive aftershock. 1353 01:06:03,526 --> 01:06:04,861 (clattering) 1354 01:06:04,994 --> 01:06:07,931 With daylight, people could see the earthquake destruction. 1355 01:06:08,064 --> 01:06:10,900 (ominous music) 1356 01:06:11,000 --> 01:06:12,936 (loud cracking) 1357 01:06:13,069 --> 01:06:16,172 ‐ There were also these large fissures created. 1358 01:06:16,306 --> 01:06:20,109 Sometimes they were four and five feet across 1359 01:06:20,243 --> 01:06:22,278 and 10 miles long. 1360 01:06:23,446 --> 01:06:26,082 There are several accounts of buildings 1361 01:06:26,216 --> 01:06:29,252 being swallowed up into the fissures. 1362 01:06:29,385 --> 01:06:31,855 ‐ [Narrator] Not only was the land in turmoil. 1363 01:06:31,988 --> 01:06:34,390 The Mississippi River and lakes in the region 1364 01:06:34,524 --> 01:06:36,259 were thrown from their banks. 1365 01:06:37,660 --> 01:06:40,196 ‐ There were huge disruptions along the river valley. 1366 01:06:40,330 --> 01:06:42,198 The water of the Mississippi River 1367 01:06:42,332 --> 01:06:44,534 was sloshed around like a bath tub. 1368 01:06:44,667 --> 01:06:47,770 Banks caved in and took trees with them. 1369 01:06:47,904 --> 01:06:50,440 ‐ Probably the most dramatic thing that happened 1370 01:06:50,573 --> 01:06:54,644 was a huge piece of land was thrust up, 1371 01:06:54,777 --> 01:06:58,381 and this piece of land crossed the river. 1372 01:06:58,515 --> 01:07:01,084 And so all this water comes down river, 1373 01:07:01,217 --> 01:07:03,386 and hits this impediment. 1374 01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:05,021 Well, it's like when you're in a bath tub 1375 01:07:05,154 --> 01:07:07,323 and you push the water away from you, 1376 01:07:07,457 --> 01:07:10,159 there's only one place it can come, back towards you. 1377 01:07:10,293 --> 01:07:13,496 And so, a 30‐foot high wall of water 1378 01:07:13,630 --> 01:07:15,865 goes rushing back upstream. 1379 01:07:17,066 --> 01:07:19,402 ‐ [Narrator] Incredibly, the mighty Mississippi 1380 01:07:19,536 --> 01:07:20,970 flowed backwards. 1381 01:07:21,104 --> 01:07:23,072 (waves burbling) 1382 01:07:23,206 --> 01:07:25,475 Churning against uplifted land, 1383 01:07:25,608 --> 01:07:28,177 it retreated from its normal course, 1384 01:07:28,311 --> 01:07:31,581 charging back upstream toward Illinois. 1385 01:07:31,714 --> 01:07:34,517 (tense music) 1386 01:07:34,651 --> 01:07:38,755 At 11:00 a. m., there was yet another massive aftershock, 1387 01:07:38,888 --> 01:07:41,457 estimated to be close to 8 on the Richter scale, 1388 01:07:41,591 --> 01:07:42,892 (clattering) 1389 01:07:43,026 --> 01:07:46,729 the third huge seismic event in less than 12 hours. 1390 01:07:46,863 --> 01:07:49,399 (ominous music) 1391 01:07:49,532 --> 01:07:51,868 Two hunters near the town of Little Prairie 1392 01:07:52,001 --> 01:07:54,370 witnessed something shocking. 1393 01:07:54,504 --> 01:07:56,406 ‐ They describe the waters of the lake 1394 01:07:56,539 --> 01:07:58,641 draining away in this earthquake. 1395 01:07:58,775 --> 01:08:00,877 This area was described as a prairie. 1396 01:08:01,010 --> 01:08:04,814 That part of the ground got lifted up in the aftershock, 1397 01:08:04,948 --> 01:08:07,350 such that the shallow lake just disappeared. 1398 01:08:07,483 --> 01:08:10,253 And they were there watching this go on. 1399 01:08:11,421 --> 01:08:13,656 ‐ [Narrator] During these large aftershocks, 1400 01:08:13,790 --> 01:08:17,293 the Earth belched up immense quantities of sand and debris 1401 01:08:17,427 --> 01:08:20,163 from unusual gaping fissures in the ground. 1402 01:08:21,598 --> 01:08:25,768 Geologists call these strange geysers sand blows. 1403 01:08:25,902 --> 01:08:28,104 (bursting) 1404 01:08:30,506 --> 01:08:32,875 ‐ So, we're talking about a lot of sand 1405 01:08:33,009 --> 01:08:35,545 being blown up through the face of the Earth, 1406 01:08:35,678 --> 01:08:37,680 sometimes a hundred feet high. 1407 01:08:37,814 --> 01:08:41,184 And of course, it's bringing up whatever is down there. 1408 01:08:41,317 --> 01:08:42,785 ‐ [Narrator] These sand volcanoes 1409 01:08:42,919 --> 01:08:45,521 are the result of soil liquefaction. 1410 01:08:45,655 --> 01:08:48,558 As the shaking saturated Earth compacts, 1411 01:08:48,691 --> 01:08:52,962 pressure builds up, until a vent or fissure is forced open. 1412 01:08:54,397 --> 01:08:58,334 This brings the watery sand mixture blasting to the surface. 1413 01:08:58,468 --> 01:09:01,170 (noisy gushing) 1414 01:09:01,304 --> 01:09:05,341 ‐ These things can be 15, 20‐feet deep. 1415 01:09:05,475 --> 01:09:08,745 You can still see evidence of these sand blows 1416 01:09:08,878 --> 01:09:11,581 throughout the Boot Hill region of Missouri 1417 01:09:11,714 --> 01:09:13,883 and down into the northeastern Arkansas. 1418 01:09:15,652 --> 01:09:17,453 ‐ [Narrator] Massive flooding along the river 1419 01:09:17,587 --> 01:09:20,590 forced people to flee to higher ground. 1420 01:09:20,723 --> 01:09:21,924 ‐ The town of Little Prairie, 1421 01:09:22,058 --> 01:09:23,960 which was actually hit harder 1422 01:09:24,093 --> 01:09:27,096 than New Madrid in the first day of earthquakes, 1423 01:09:27,230 --> 01:09:31,434 was flooded and the town evacuated. 1424 01:09:31,567 --> 01:09:33,770 ‐ These people were scared to death. 1425 01:09:33,903 --> 01:09:36,639 They had just witnessed a calamitous event, 1426 01:09:36,773 --> 01:09:38,808 and they were moving across a landscape 1427 01:09:38,941 --> 01:09:40,877 that they knew very well, but it had been 1428 01:09:41,010 --> 01:09:44,080 so dramatically affected by the fissures 1429 01:09:44,213 --> 01:09:46,249 it would have been like a war zone. 1430 01:09:46,382 --> 01:09:50,353 ‐ [Narrator] Amazingly, the largest shock was yet to come. 1431 01:09:50,486 --> 01:09:52,455 Their hell had only begun. 1432 01:09:52,588 --> 01:09:53,354 (ominous music) 1433 01:09:58,294 --> 01:10:00,463 ‐ [Narrator] The cities of Memphis and St. Louis 1434 01:10:00,596 --> 01:10:02,999 lie in the heartland of America, 1435 01:10:03,132 --> 01:10:06,369 a place of bedrock values and fertile farmlands. 1436 01:10:06,502 --> 01:10:07,904 (mellow music) 1437 01:10:08,037 --> 01:10:11,040 There is little concern for an obscure earthquake fault 1438 01:10:11,174 --> 01:10:12,742 that cuts through the region. 1439 01:10:13,876 --> 01:10:16,345 A fault that has wreaked havoc in the past, 1440 01:10:16,479 --> 01:10:19,549 unsettling life, and transforming the landscape. 1441 01:10:21,117 --> 01:10:23,319 (tense music) 1442 01:10:23,453 --> 01:10:27,156 Early on the morning of December 16th, 1811, 1443 01:10:27,290 --> 01:10:30,159 an 8.0 earthquake erupting near the community 1444 01:10:30,293 --> 01:10:32,729 of New Madrid, Missouri shook the ground 1445 01:10:32,862 --> 01:10:35,665 for hundreds of miles in all directions. 1446 01:10:36,966 --> 01:10:39,802 (shattering) 1447 01:10:39,936 --> 01:10:41,738 Aftershocks continued to rumble 1448 01:10:41,871 --> 01:10:44,107 through the area over the next month. 1449 01:10:44,240 --> 01:10:46,976 Residents abandoned their splintered cabins 1450 01:10:47,110 --> 01:10:49,045 and set up makeshift shelters, 1451 01:10:49,178 --> 01:10:52,348 with temperatures hovering just below freezing. 1452 01:10:52,482 --> 01:10:54,984 Still, the shaking continued. 1453 01:10:55,118 --> 01:10:59,922 ‐ The Earth stayed in motion for quite a long time, 1454 01:11:00,123 --> 01:11:01,791 as much as a month. 1455 01:11:01,924 --> 01:11:03,559 ‐ [Narrator] After people calmed down, 1456 01:11:03,693 --> 01:11:05,328 they began to rebuild, 1457 01:11:05,461 --> 01:11:07,897 only to be terrorized again. 1458 01:11:08,030 --> 01:11:11,634 ‐ Then on January 23rd, 1812, 1459 01:11:11,768 --> 01:11:14,670 there was another monstrous earthquake. 1460 01:11:14,804 --> 01:11:18,941 And it created very much the same type of hysteria 1461 01:11:19,075 --> 01:11:23,513 that resulted from the December 16th quake. 1462 01:11:23,646 --> 01:11:25,715 ‐ [Narrator] These were shocking events, 1463 01:11:25,848 --> 01:11:28,951 but only precursors of what was to come. 1464 01:11:29,085 --> 01:11:29,886 (thuds) 1465 01:11:30,019 --> 01:11:31,254 Frightened residents believed 1466 01:11:31,387 --> 01:11:33,656 they were suffering the wrath of God. 1467 01:11:34,791 --> 01:11:35,925 ‐ If all of a sudden, the hand of God 1468 01:11:36,058 --> 01:11:38,661 comes down and strikes right where you're at, 1469 01:11:38,795 --> 01:11:40,897 there's just a natural tendency to take that 1470 01:11:41,030 --> 01:11:44,400 as a sign that maybe you need to clean up your act. 1471 01:11:44,534 --> 01:11:46,569 And certainly, that happened in New Madrid. 1472 01:11:48,171 --> 01:11:50,673 The ground was in a constant state of unrest 1473 01:11:50,807 --> 01:11:52,608 with the aftershocks, they just have the sense 1474 01:11:52,742 --> 01:11:55,645 that it was moving almost constantly. 1475 01:11:55,778 --> 01:11:57,213 (somber music) 1476 01:11:57,346 --> 01:12:00,650 ‐ [Narrator] Then on February 7th, 1812, 1477 01:12:00,783 --> 01:12:02,385 the New Madrid fault unleashed 1478 01:12:02,518 --> 01:12:05,087 its most violent earthquake to date, 1479 01:12:05,221 --> 01:12:07,256 8 plus on the Richter scale. 1480 01:12:07,390 --> 01:12:09,425 (rumbling) 1481 01:12:09,559 --> 01:12:13,196 ‐ February 7th is what the locals called the hard shock, 1482 01:12:13,329 --> 01:12:15,431 which is kind of amazing, by all accounts, 1483 01:12:15,565 --> 01:12:17,533 the biggest earthquake of the sequence. 1484 01:12:17,667 --> 01:12:20,002 The fault crossed the Mississippi River 1485 01:12:20,136 --> 01:12:21,838 in three different places. 1486 01:12:21,971 --> 01:12:23,172 (ominous music) 1487 01:12:23,306 --> 01:12:24,674 ‐ [Narrator] The region, which had been under 1488 01:12:24,807 --> 01:12:28,110 so much stress and strain, could handle no more. 1489 01:12:28,244 --> 01:12:30,446 (waves crashing) 1490 01:12:30,580 --> 01:12:33,182 This third earthquake generated a new round 1491 01:12:33,316 --> 01:12:36,452 of bizarre events, more sand blows, 1492 01:12:36,586 --> 01:12:40,356 foul vapors, and collapsing riverbanks. 1493 01:12:40,489 --> 01:12:43,159 (waves crashing) 1494 01:12:43,292 --> 01:12:46,562 Incredibly, 3,000 square miles of land 1495 01:12:46,696 --> 01:12:49,498 east of the Mississippi River subsided, 1496 01:12:49,632 --> 01:12:51,901 in some places, by 10 feet. 1497 01:12:52,001 --> 01:12:53,669 (somber music) 1498 01:12:53,803 --> 01:12:56,172 Enormous amounts of water from the Mississippi 1499 01:12:56,305 --> 01:12:58,241 poured into the depressed area, 1500 01:12:59,709 --> 01:13:03,246 and formed a massive lake in just a few hours. 1501 01:13:03,379 --> 01:13:05,848 (somber music) 1502 01:13:05,982 --> 01:13:09,352 These floodwaters covered a dense hardwood forest 1503 01:13:09,485 --> 01:13:12,655 and killed all of the trees except the Bald Cypress, 1504 01:13:12,788 --> 01:13:14,257 which thrive in water. 1505 01:13:15,458 --> 01:13:18,294 This body of water, called Reelfoot Lake, 1506 01:13:18,427 --> 01:13:20,329 still exists today. 1507 01:13:21,797 --> 01:13:24,867 Pictures taken just 70 years ago during a seasonal drought 1508 01:13:24,967 --> 01:13:28,204 show hundreds of stumps just below the surface. 1509 01:13:29,438 --> 01:13:31,641 The Bald Cypress left in these waters 1510 01:13:31,774 --> 01:13:34,243 tell the story of this instant lake. 1511 01:13:35,678 --> 01:13:39,048 ‐ Well, Bald Cypress has a big root system called knees. 1512 01:13:39,181 --> 01:13:42,785 And they have a bulb that grows at the water level. 1513 01:13:42,919 --> 01:13:45,054 One of the interesting aspects of the subsidence 1514 01:13:45,187 --> 01:13:47,723 and why know that it was three feet of subsidence, 1515 01:13:47,857 --> 01:13:49,926 is that after the earthquake, 1516 01:13:50,059 --> 01:13:51,794 so with the next 10 to 20 years, 1517 01:13:51,928 --> 01:13:55,231 these trees grew a second bulbous area, 1518 01:13:55,364 --> 01:13:57,466 three feet above the previous one. 1519 01:13:58,634 --> 01:14:00,436 ‐ [Narrator] Severe aftershocks continued 1520 01:14:00,569 --> 01:14:02,438 for several months. 1521 01:14:02,571 --> 01:14:05,441 By the time it was over, the region had endured 1522 01:14:05,574 --> 01:14:08,945 more than 2,000 quakes and aftershocks, 1523 01:14:09,078 --> 01:14:11,147 the most intense series of quakes 1524 01:14:11,280 --> 01:14:13,482 ever experienced in North America. 1525 01:14:14,650 --> 01:14:16,686 No one knows how many died 1526 01:14:16,819 --> 01:14:19,655 because the area was sparsely settled. 1527 01:14:19,789 --> 01:14:21,190 ‐ From the eyewitness accounts, 1528 01:14:21,324 --> 01:14:25,194 I've been able to pinpoint about 100 deaths 1529 01:14:25,328 --> 01:14:27,730 in the New Madrid earthquake series. 1530 01:14:27,863 --> 01:14:31,267 I think it's quite possible that there could have been 1531 01:14:31,400 --> 01:14:34,537 a number more than that, say, maybe as many as 500, 1532 01:14:34,670 --> 01:14:37,073 because there had to have been many people 1533 01:14:37,206 --> 01:14:39,608 on the river who were just never accounted for 1534 01:14:39,742 --> 01:14:42,278 because so many boats were lost on the river. 1535 01:14:42,411 --> 01:14:43,746 ‐ [Narrator] It would take some time 1536 01:14:43,879 --> 01:14:46,115 before things returned to normal in the region. 1537 01:14:46,248 --> 01:14:47,183 (thunder crackling) 1538 01:14:47,316 --> 01:14:49,185 ‐ For at least a year afterwards, 1539 01:14:49,318 --> 01:14:50,886 many of the residents of New Madrid 1540 01:14:51,020 --> 01:14:52,421 lived in a tent city. 1541 01:14:52,555 --> 01:14:54,757 Other people left the area, 1542 01:14:54,890 --> 01:14:57,093 but soon they started drifting back, 1543 01:14:57,226 --> 01:14:59,328 as people are wont to do. 1544 01:14:59,462 --> 01:15:02,064 ‐ [Narrator] After a century of relative quiet, 1545 01:15:02,198 --> 01:15:04,433 memories of these quakes faded, 1546 01:15:04,567 --> 01:15:06,135 and cities were built up again, 1547 01:15:06,268 --> 01:15:09,271 with little knowledge of the hazard in the Earth below. 1548 01:15:10,673 --> 01:15:13,776 Some, like Memphis, are dangerously close 1549 01:15:13,909 --> 01:15:16,479 to the faults that erupted in 1812. 1550 01:15:16,612 --> 01:15:18,147 (tense music) 1551 01:15:18,280 --> 01:15:22,151 ‐ If we had a series of New Madrid quakes today, 1552 01:15:22,284 --> 01:15:26,122 comparable to what happened 200 years ago, 1553 01:15:26,255 --> 01:15:28,024 the effect on infrastructure, 1554 01:15:28,157 --> 01:15:30,059 like highways and bridges, 1555 01:15:30,192 --> 01:15:31,560 could be cataclysmic. 1556 01:15:31,694 --> 01:15:32,213 (tense music) 1557 01:15:37,733 --> 01:15:39,335 ‐ [Narrator] The heartland of America 1558 01:15:39,468 --> 01:15:42,304 is sitting on a geological time bomb. 1559 01:15:42,438 --> 01:15:44,807 (clattering) 1560 01:15:46,008 --> 01:15:48,244 St. Louis, Missouri and Memphis, Tennessee 1561 01:15:48,377 --> 01:15:51,247 are located near the most active seismic zone 1562 01:15:51,380 --> 01:15:53,482 east of the Rocky Mountains. 1563 01:15:53,616 --> 01:15:56,285 This puts both cities in the cross hairs 1564 01:15:56,419 --> 01:15:58,020 of a devastating shaker. 1565 01:16:01,257 --> 01:16:04,060 Just 150 miles south of the city, 1566 01:16:04,193 --> 01:16:06,662 and 15 miles beneath the Earth's surface, 1567 01:16:06,796 --> 01:16:08,964 lies the New Madrid fault, 1568 01:16:09,098 --> 01:16:11,467 ready to deliver an eight‐point earthquake 1569 01:16:11,600 --> 01:16:13,269 that will topple buildings, 1570 01:16:13,402 --> 01:16:16,839 buckle highways, destroy bridges, 1571 01:16:16,972 --> 01:16:20,109 and create a mega disaster across the region. 1572 01:16:21,777 --> 01:16:24,880 The historical record tells the tale. 1573 01:16:25,014 --> 01:16:28,084 (electronic music) 1574 01:16:28,217 --> 01:16:31,087 ‐ [Narrator] Nearly 200 years ago, people in this region 1575 01:16:31,220 --> 01:16:34,223 had first‐hand experience with not just one, 1576 01:16:34,356 --> 01:16:36,492 but a series of monster quakes. 1577 01:16:37,726 --> 01:16:39,762 The United States Geological Survey 1578 01:16:39,895 --> 01:16:41,864 has plotted worldwide earthquakes 1579 01:16:41,997 --> 01:16:44,133 from the last 50 years. 1580 01:16:44,266 --> 01:16:47,937 A great majority of them fall into a predictable pattern. 1581 01:16:48,070 --> 01:16:51,607 ‐ Most earthquakes in the world occur along plate boundaries 1582 01:16:51,740 --> 01:16:56,712 where two tectonic plates are moving past one another. 1583 01:16:57,880 --> 01:17:00,349 And as they try to move, the rocks resist 1584 01:17:00,483 --> 01:17:02,918 until they break and you have earthquakes. 1585 01:17:03,052 --> 01:17:04,820 (upbeat techno music) 1586 01:17:04,954 --> 01:17:06,956 ‐ [Narrator] But there is an active earthquake area 1587 01:17:07,089 --> 01:17:09,058 located in southeastern Missouri, 1588 01:17:09,191 --> 01:17:10,893 on the banks of the Mississippi, 1589 01:17:11,794 --> 01:17:14,063 the New Madrid seismic zone. 1590 01:17:14,196 --> 01:17:16,332 (ominous music) 1591 01:17:16,465 --> 01:17:20,903 4,000 earthquakes registered here over the last 20 years. 1592 01:17:21,036 --> 01:17:23,205 And no one knows exactly why. 1593 01:17:24,840 --> 01:17:26,709 ‐ The theory of plate tectonics 1594 01:17:27,776 --> 01:17:29,378 provides an excellent explanation 1595 01:17:29,512 --> 01:17:31,514 as to why we have earthquakes 1596 01:17:31,647 --> 01:17:33,249 over most of the world, 1597 01:17:34,450 --> 01:17:37,119 but it doesn't explain why we have earthquakes 1598 01:17:37,253 --> 01:17:39,288 right in the middle of a plate. 1599 01:17:39,421 --> 01:17:42,291 It violates what the theory would suggest. 1600 01:17:42,424 --> 01:17:45,060 (ominous music) 1601 01:17:46,529 --> 01:17:48,430 ‐ [Narrator] Though not part of a plate boundary. 1602 01:17:48,564 --> 01:17:50,499 there is some evidence that there may be 1603 01:17:50,633 --> 01:17:53,169 an ancient fault line under New Madrid, 1604 01:17:53,302 --> 01:17:56,972 now buried beneath 3,000 feet of Mississippi sediment. 1605 01:17:58,407 --> 01:18:00,609 ‐ This entire part of the United States is under compression 1606 01:18:00,743 --> 01:18:03,179 from essentially the Mid‐Atlantic Ridge, 1607 01:18:03,312 --> 01:18:04,480 and the pressure of that pushing 1608 01:18:04,613 --> 01:18:06,282 all the way through this area. 1609 01:18:06,415 --> 01:18:08,584 We know for a fact that underneath this area 1610 01:18:08,717 --> 01:18:11,353 lies an ancient rift, a major fault system 1611 01:18:11,487 --> 01:18:13,589 that is 600 million years old. 1612 01:18:13,722 --> 01:18:15,858 These faults have been activated 1613 01:18:15,991 --> 01:18:17,793 various times through history 1614 01:18:17,927 --> 01:18:20,062 and have recently turned on. 1615 01:18:20,196 --> 01:18:21,096 (tense music) 1616 01:18:21,230 --> 01:18:22,598 ‐ The problem today is that 1617 01:18:22,731 --> 01:18:25,868 what was hitherto an unpopulated part of America 1618 01:18:26,001 --> 01:18:28,204 is now very populated. 1619 01:18:28,337 --> 01:18:31,040 There are two cities that are most at risk. 1620 01:18:31,173 --> 01:18:33,108 One is Memphis to the south, 1621 01:18:33,242 --> 01:18:34,910 and one is St. Louis to the north. 1622 01:18:36,045 --> 01:18:37,780 ‐ [Narrator] And between these cities today 1623 01:18:37,913 --> 01:18:40,449 lies a complex network of roads, 1624 01:18:40,583 --> 01:18:43,185 bridges, and communication links. 1625 01:18:44,386 --> 01:18:47,957 The geologic clock is ticking for New Madrid. 1626 01:18:48,090 --> 01:18:51,060 Crisscrossing faults could erupt in a massive quake 1627 01:18:51,193 --> 01:18:54,096 that would make the 1811 and 12 shakers 1628 01:18:54,230 --> 01:18:55,998 seem like a dress rehearsal. 1629 01:18:57,666 --> 01:19:00,803 Yet, questions still loom over the Midwest: 1630 01:19:00,936 --> 01:19:03,372 when will another earthquake erupt, 1631 01:19:03,505 --> 01:19:05,641 and will the residents be ready? 1632 01:19:05,774 --> 01:19:07,409 (tense techno music) 1633 01:19:07,543 --> 01:19:10,846 With three‐dimensional geologic mapping technology, 1634 01:19:10,980 --> 01:19:14,717 Roy van Arsdale has modeled this subterranean world, 1635 01:19:14,850 --> 01:19:17,386 hoping to find some answers. 1636 01:19:17,519 --> 01:19:19,521 ‐ Well, we're compiling all kinds of information 1637 01:19:19,655 --> 01:19:23,359 that we can get in terms of deep information. 1638 01:19:24,827 --> 01:19:27,263 ‐ [Narrator] Using sound waves, scientists determine 1639 01:19:27,396 --> 01:19:29,965 the composition of the rocks and subsoil, 1640 01:19:31,200 --> 01:19:33,502 a geological snapshot of the terrain 1641 01:19:33,636 --> 01:19:35,471 under the Mississippi sediments. 1642 01:19:38,007 --> 01:19:41,477 This second layer is five miles below the surface. 1643 01:19:42,911 --> 01:19:44,713 ‐ We're looking at what's called the Precambrian surface 1644 01:19:44,847 --> 01:19:46,882 in these multi‐colored depiction. 1645 01:19:47,016 --> 01:19:48,417 And what you can also see is that 1646 01:19:48,550 --> 01:19:52,488 the Precambrian geology is broken by faults. 1647 01:19:52,621 --> 01:19:56,191 That's what these planes are that displaced that surface. 1648 01:19:56,325 --> 01:19:57,426 And there are earthquakes occurring 1649 01:19:57,559 --> 01:19:59,528 along these two particular faults. 1650 01:19:59,662 --> 01:20:01,397 These faults are oriented in such a way 1651 01:20:01,530 --> 01:20:04,400 that it looks like they are trending towards Memphis 1652 01:20:04,533 --> 01:20:06,602 and Shelby County, the star in the model, 1653 01:20:06,735 --> 01:20:09,071 so we expect that they probably do pass 1654 01:20:09,204 --> 01:20:12,875 beneath where we are right now. 1655 01:20:13,008 --> 01:20:15,044 ‐ [Narrator] Next, they plot onto the geography 1656 01:20:15,177 --> 01:20:19,048 the locations of earthquakes in the region since 1995. 1657 01:20:20,182 --> 01:20:20,983 ‐ There've been earthquakes occurring 1658 01:20:21,116 --> 01:20:21,984 over a long period of time, 1659 01:20:22,117 --> 01:20:22,918 but these are the earthquakes 1660 01:20:23,052 --> 01:20:25,187 that are well located. 1661 01:20:25,321 --> 01:20:28,824 With the earthquakes in this pseudo 3‐D projection, 1662 01:20:28,957 --> 01:20:30,392 they look like a shotgun blast 1663 01:20:30,526 --> 01:20:32,227 until you rotate the model, 1664 01:20:32,361 --> 01:20:33,329 that you see that the earthquakes 1665 01:20:33,462 --> 01:20:35,998 align themselves along the plane. 1666 01:20:36,131 --> 01:20:38,901 What you're looking at now is the Reelfoot fault 1667 01:20:39,001 --> 01:20:42,404 and the earthquakes are popping off along that fault plane. 1668 01:20:42,538 --> 01:20:43,739 ‐ [Narrator] There it is. 1669 01:20:43,872 --> 01:20:45,841 (upbeat techno music) 1670 01:20:45,974 --> 01:20:49,178 Pretty small, just 149 miles long 1671 01:20:49,311 --> 01:20:51,380 compared to the San Andreas fault 1672 01:20:51,513 --> 01:20:54,350 that stretches more than 700 miles. 1673 01:20:54,483 --> 01:20:56,985 (upbeat techno music) 1674 01:20:57,119 --> 01:20:59,588 But it packs a devastating punch 1675 01:20:59,722 --> 01:21:04,159 because seismic waves travel easily through Midwest bedrock. 1676 01:21:04,293 --> 01:21:05,494 (upbeat techno music) 1677 01:21:05,627 --> 01:21:08,530 Seismic intensity maps of the 1811 event 1678 01:21:08,664 --> 01:21:11,767 show destructive shaking in each of these quakes, 1679 01:21:11,900 --> 01:21:14,536 stretching for more than 350 miles 1680 01:21:14,670 --> 01:21:17,573 from the epicenters on the New Madrid fault line. 1681 01:21:19,775 --> 01:21:22,711 ‐ Clearly, the New Madrid earthquakes were big events, 1682 01:21:22,845 --> 01:21:25,447 and they were felt all the way to the Atlantic seaboard, 1683 01:21:25,581 --> 01:21:28,884 and they really rocked the whole mid‐continent. 1684 01:21:29,017 --> 01:21:32,788 That makes them big, potentially damaging events 1685 01:21:32,921 --> 01:21:35,290 and the kind of quakes that we really worry about. 1686 01:21:36,658 --> 01:21:38,694 ‐ If conditions stay the same 1687 01:21:38,827 --> 01:21:41,897 as they've been for the past thousand years, 1688 01:21:42,030 --> 01:21:45,667 another series of earthquakes comparable to 1689 01:21:45,801 --> 01:21:50,172 the 1811 and 1812 series, is inevitable. 1690 01:21:51,507 --> 01:21:52,641 ‐ [Narrator] That seems to be 1691 01:21:52,775 --> 01:21:55,177 the recurring theme among seismologists. 1692 01:21:55,310 --> 01:21:57,579 When it comes to these massive tremors, 1693 01:21:57,713 --> 01:22:01,350 it's not a matter of if, but when. 1694 01:22:02,050 --> 01:22:04,319 ‐ We have to realize that the magnitude 1695 01:22:04,453 --> 01:22:08,690 of the biggest disasters that we can imagine 1696 01:22:08,824 --> 01:22:11,960 are really catastrophic in proportion. 1697 01:22:12,094 --> 01:22:15,564 And there's no way, really, for governments to prepare. 1698 01:22:15,697 --> 01:22:18,801 ‐ [Narrator] And then, how to cope in the aftermath. 1699 01:22:19,668 --> 01:22:20,803 ‐ There would be aftershocks 1700 01:22:20,936 --> 01:22:22,571 that would take place afterward, 1701 01:22:22,704 --> 01:22:24,540 that can be just as nerve‐wracking 1702 01:22:24,673 --> 01:22:25,808 as the main shock. 1703 01:22:25,941 --> 01:22:28,744 ‐ [Lucy] It's the secondary failures, the compounding, 1704 01:22:28,877 --> 01:22:31,180 that takes us from disaster to catastrophe. 1705 01:22:32,347 --> 01:22:42,324 ‐ The consequences could be devastating. 135094

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