All language subtitles for NUCLEAR NIGHTMARES (Fully Closed Captioned).en

af Afrikaans
sq Albanian
am Amharic
ar Arabic
hy Armenian
az Azerbaijani
eu Basque
be Belarusian
bn Bengali
bs Bosnian
bg Bulgarian
ca Catalan
ceb Cebuano
ny Chichewa
zh-CN Chinese (Simplified)
zh-TW Chinese (Traditional)
co Corsican
hr Croatian
cs Czech
da Danish
nl Dutch
en English
eo Esperanto
et Estonian
tl Filipino
fi Finnish
fr French
fy Frisian
gl Galician
ka Georgian
de German
el Greek
gu Gujarati
ht Haitian Creole
ha Hausa
haw Hawaiian
iw Hebrew
hi Hindi
hmn Hmong
hu Hungarian
is Icelandic
ig Igbo
id Indonesian
ga Irish
it Italian
ja Japanese
jw Javanese
kn Kannada
kk Kazakh
km Khmer
ko Korean
ku Kurdish (Kurmanji)
ky Kyrgyz
lo Lao
la Latin
lv Latvian
lt Lithuanian
lb Luxembourgish
mk Macedonian
mg Malagasy
ms Malay
ml Malayalam
mt Maltese
mi Maori
mr Marathi
mn Mongolian
my Myanmar (Burmese)
ne Nepali
no Norwegian
ps Pashto
fa Persian
pl Polish
pt Portuguese
pa Punjabi
ro Romanian
ru Russian
sm Samoan
gd Scots Gaelic
sr Serbian
st Sesotho
sn Shona
sd Sindhi
si Sinhala
sk Slovak
sl Slovenian
so Somali
es Spanish Download
su Sundanese
sw Swahili
sv Swedish
tg Tajik
ta Tamil
te Telugu
th Thai
tr Turkish
uk Ukrainian
ur Urdu
uz Uzbek
vi Vietnamese
cy Welsh
xh Xhosa
yi Yiddish
yo Yoruba
zu Zulu
or Odia (Oriya)
rw Kinyarwanda
tk Turkmen
tt Tatar
ug Uyghur
Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:04,037 --> 00:00:09,242 (airplane engine rumbling) 2 00:00:09,242 --> 00:00:11,244 - [Ustinov] At any moment, the armed forces 3 00:00:11,244 --> 00:00:13,812 of East and West are ready for war. 4 00:00:13,813 --> 00:00:21,955 (aircraft engine whining) 5 00:00:22,922 --> 00:00:24,190 - Transmission rotary switch? 6 00:00:24,190 --> 00:00:24,924 - Cable. 7 00:00:24,924 --> 00:00:27,394 - How about slot PLCA selector switches? 8 00:00:27,394 --> 00:00:28,660 - Zero-seven. 9 00:00:29,029 --> 00:00:31,831 - [Ustinov] Should our grudging peace ever falter, 10 00:00:31,831 --> 00:00:34,667 today's warriors can stage a battle far worse 11 00:00:34,667 --> 00:00:38,004 than anything our bloodstained world has ever seen. 12 00:00:38,004 --> 00:00:41,474 (aircraft engine roaring) 13 00:00:41,474 --> 00:00:46,012 (tanks rumbling) 14 00:00:46,012 --> 00:00:47,680 After all, it takes less than a minute 15 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,616 to launch the missiles that could bring 16 00:00:49,616 --> 00:00:52,852 our civilization to a catastrophic end. 17 00:00:52,852 --> 00:00:53,986 - Bravo. 18 00:00:53,987 --> 00:00:55,655 - Charlie? - Charlie. 19 00:00:56,156 --> 00:00:58,391 - [Ustinov] The missiles must never be unleashed; 20 00:00:58,391 --> 00:01:00,059 we can all agree on that. 21 00:01:00,060 --> 00:01:01,828 So we'd better search out the roots 22 00:01:01,828 --> 00:01:03,963 that might lead to nuclear war. 23 00:01:03,963 --> 00:01:05,565 - U-turn commit time. 24 00:01:06,066 --> 00:01:08,635 - Three, two, one: mark. 25 00:01:08,635 --> 00:01:19,779 (missile roars) 26 00:01:33,026 --> 00:01:36,996 (missiles hissing) 27 00:01:38,264 --> 00:01:39,532 - The long range missiles 28 00:01:39,532 --> 00:01:42,402 of the opposing sides can dispatch nuclear warheads 29 00:01:42,402 --> 00:01:45,505 to 10,000 different targets. 30 00:01:45,505 --> 00:01:49,109 Unless mutual terror or good sense keep them in check, 31 00:01:49,109 --> 00:01:52,479 they may rise out of holes all across our northern lands 32 00:01:52,479 --> 00:01:55,348 and come bursting from the sea. 33 00:01:55,348 --> 00:02:02,856 (missile rumbling) 34 00:02:02,856 --> 00:02:02,889 (missile rumbling) And where would these missiles go? 35 00:02:02,889 --> 00:02:04,624 And where would these missiles go? 36 00:02:05,158 --> 00:02:09,529 Well...the obvious targets are where people are. 37 00:02:09,529 --> 00:02:10,829 In cities. 38 00:02:10,830 --> 00:02:13,833 So the city dwellers have become the hostages 39 00:02:13,833 --> 00:02:18,171 of the threat and counter- threat of nuclear war. 40 00:02:18,204 --> 00:02:19,973 And our nuclear nightmares begin 41 00:02:19,973 --> 00:02:23,343 with the destruction of lively and lovely cities 42 00:02:23,343 --> 00:02:26,745 like Paris, an emblem of civilization itself, 43 00:02:26,746 --> 00:02:30,316 and heaven knows where the nightmares end. 44 00:02:30,683 --> 00:02:33,453 A single nuclear bomb, easily spared 45 00:02:33,453 --> 00:02:36,689 from out of the huge arsenal of these things, 46 00:02:36,689 --> 00:02:38,858 could lay the whole of central Paris to waste 47 00:02:38,858 --> 00:02:40,693 in an explosion much greater than that 48 00:02:40,693 --> 00:02:43,263 of Nagasaki or Hiroshima. 49 00:02:44,030 --> 00:02:45,632 (slides clicking) 50 00:02:47,233 --> 00:02:48,334 (slides clicking) 51 00:02:50,703 --> 00:02:51,704 (slides clicking) 52 00:02:54,073 --> 00:02:55,074 (slides clicking) 53 00:02:57,343 --> 00:02:58,344 (slides clicking) 54 00:02:59,445 --> 00:03:03,715 The cosmic lunacy which produces such horror 55 00:03:03,716 --> 00:03:07,554 is not, as you might expect, the affliction 56 00:03:07,554 --> 00:03:09,722 of irredeemably wicked men. 57 00:03:09,722 --> 00:03:12,559 No, it's palliative, carefully worked out 58 00:03:12,559 --> 00:03:15,361 and considered government policy. 59 00:03:15,361 --> 00:03:19,198 In the meanwhile, military accountants are working out 60 00:03:19,199 --> 00:03:21,100 how big a bang they can get for a buck, 61 00:03:21,100 --> 00:03:24,204 how much rubble for a ruble. 62 00:03:25,004 --> 00:03:29,274 Our dreams might be untroubled if this mutual terror 63 00:03:29,275 --> 00:03:32,378 had really managed to abolish war altogether, 64 00:03:32,378 --> 00:03:35,815 but unfortunately the mutual nervousness 65 00:03:35,815 --> 00:03:38,952 causes the armed forces of all sides 66 00:03:38,952 --> 00:03:42,222 to jostle and probe each other 67 00:03:42,222 --> 00:03:45,425 and to shadow box within sight 68 00:03:45,425 --> 00:03:47,627 of their potential adversaries. 69 00:03:47,627 --> 00:03:50,430 (aircraft humming) 70 00:03:50,430 --> 00:03:52,365 Although the crew of a Soviet bomber 71 00:03:52,365 --> 00:03:55,702 acknowledges a point scored by the western interceptor, 72 00:03:55,702 --> 00:03:57,971 the sparring would scarcely be keener 73 00:03:57,971 --> 00:04:00,073 if war had already begun. 74 00:04:01,874 --> 00:04:03,942 (aircraft whooshing) 75 00:04:03,943 --> 00:04:06,679 A British aircraft and a Russian warship; 76 00:04:06,679 --> 00:04:08,848 Today they shoot only with cameras. 77 00:04:08,848 --> 00:04:11,651 (camera clicking) 78 00:04:15,255 --> 00:04:17,490 (camera clicking) 79 00:04:21,060 --> 00:04:22,695 While the western submarine hunters 80 00:04:22,695 --> 00:04:25,798 play catch as catch can, for the Soviet boats 81 00:04:25,798 --> 00:04:27,834 it's follow the leader. 82 00:04:30,436 --> 00:04:32,805 (helicopter whirring) 83 00:04:32,805 --> 00:04:35,341 A helicopter from the cruiser Leningrad 84 00:04:35,341 --> 00:04:37,877 teases the American admiral who's sizing them up 85 00:04:37,877 --> 00:04:40,580 at unusually close quarters. 86 00:04:40,580 --> 00:04:42,315 (helicopter whirring) 87 00:04:42,315 --> 00:04:44,350 Only the law of the high seas 88 00:04:44,350 --> 00:04:46,786 restrains this unfriendly game, 89 00:04:46,786 --> 00:04:49,822 and also, I trust, a healthy fear of the consequences 90 00:04:49,822 --> 00:04:53,159 if encounters should ever become conflict. 91 00:04:53,793 --> 00:04:58,564 Will the Americans refrain from meeting taunt with taunt? 92 00:04:58,564 --> 00:05:02,568 Ah no, you see; they stage their little fly past, too. 93 00:05:02,568 --> 00:05:09,275 (helicopter whirring) 94 00:05:09,275 --> 00:05:11,710 And it's in the same forceful spirit 95 00:05:11,711 --> 00:05:13,413 that a United States helicopter 96 00:05:13,413 --> 00:05:15,515 patrols the border of East Germany, 97 00:05:15,515 --> 00:05:19,217 the frontline ally of the Soviet Union. 98 00:05:19,218 --> 00:05:22,855 The white posts mark the end of the western world 99 00:05:22,855 --> 00:05:25,158 and the army pilot has been specially coached 100 00:05:25,158 --> 00:05:27,927 to fly within a few feet of them. 101 00:05:27,927 --> 00:05:34,734 (helicopter whirring) 102 00:05:34,734 --> 00:05:37,770 It doesn't look like the most dangerous place on Earth, 103 00:05:37,770 --> 00:05:40,039 but all the outlandish firepower 104 00:05:40,039 --> 00:05:43,909 that's concentrated here - Russian, American, and British - 105 00:05:43,910 --> 00:05:47,747 could touch off a nuclear volcano at any time. 106 00:05:47,747 --> 00:05:51,084 (helicopter whirring) 107 00:05:51,084 --> 00:05:53,619 The East German fences, set back a little 108 00:05:53,619 --> 00:05:57,223 from the border, delineate in suitably ugly fashion 109 00:05:57,223 --> 00:06:01,361 the geopolitical rift that runs right across Europe. 110 00:06:01,361 --> 00:06:33,058 (helicopter whirring) 111 00:06:33,059 --> 00:06:35,962 If I negligently drop my keys over here 112 00:06:35,962 --> 00:06:37,597 I couldn't just run down and pick them up 113 00:06:37,597 --> 00:06:39,265 because they will have fallen 114 00:06:39,265 --> 00:06:41,667 into the other side of the world into East Germany; 115 00:06:41,667 --> 00:06:45,037 I might as well throw them into the ocean. 116 00:06:45,037 --> 00:06:48,073 And this is how close the American cavalry is 117 00:06:48,074 --> 00:06:49,876 to this demarcation line 118 00:06:49,876 --> 00:06:53,145 at this observation post called Alpha. 119 00:06:53,146 --> 00:06:57,717 In front of here and behind great armies lie in wait 120 00:06:57,717 --> 00:07:00,887 for the war that must never happen. 121 00:07:00,887 --> 00:07:03,623 The new European war which could so easily 122 00:07:03,623 --> 00:07:06,359 get out of hand involving not only 123 00:07:06,359 --> 00:07:08,227 thousands of tanks and planes, 124 00:07:08,227 --> 00:07:12,364 but eventually thousands of nuclear weapons. 125 00:07:12,365 --> 00:07:16,102 And this sinister arsenal is dedicated 126 00:07:16,102 --> 00:07:20,907 to the perpetuation of the ugly rift... 127 00:07:20,907 --> 00:07:24,744 across which young men in good health 128 00:07:24,744 --> 00:07:27,780 watch each other so warily. 129 00:07:30,483 --> 00:07:33,119 - What's that you've seen over there? 130 00:07:35,621 --> 00:07:38,424 Our mission here is basically to overwatch 131 00:07:38,424 --> 00:07:40,393 the East German border. 132 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:45,231 It is to observe, record, and report all actions, 133 00:07:45,231 --> 00:07:48,000 whether it's an East German patrol walking past 134 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:50,069 or walking right along the border 135 00:07:50,069 --> 00:07:53,139 or whether it's a work force on the border. 136 00:07:54,574 --> 00:07:57,810 My personal feelings are that I like it here. 137 00:07:57,810 --> 00:08:00,213 If there's any place in Europe that I want to be, 138 00:08:00,213 --> 00:08:01,914 it's right here on the border. 139 00:08:01,914 --> 00:08:09,388 (birds chirping) 140 00:08:09,388 --> 00:08:11,090 - [Ustinov] Europe has a grim reputation 141 00:08:11,090 --> 00:08:14,760 for turning its pleasant hills into battlefields. 142 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:16,662 If that ever happens again, 143 00:08:16,662 --> 00:08:19,599 these troops will take the first shot. 144 00:08:19,599 --> 00:08:22,602 (birds chirping) 145 00:08:22,602 --> 00:08:24,669 It's been all quiet on the Central Front 146 00:08:24,670 --> 00:08:27,440 for most of the past 30 years. 147 00:08:29,509 --> 00:08:31,677 But all along the rift, the West Germans, 148 00:08:31,677 --> 00:08:33,279 the British, and other troops 149 00:08:33,279 --> 00:08:35,881 of the North Atlantic Alliance, NATO, 150 00:08:35,881 --> 00:08:38,483 face powerful opponents from the Soviet Union 151 00:08:38,484 --> 00:08:39,952 and Eastern Europe. 152 00:08:39,952 --> 00:08:46,926 (vehicle idling) 153 00:08:46,926 --> 00:08:49,061 In this sector where the East German border 154 00:08:49,061 --> 00:08:51,764 juts nearest to the Rhine, it's the Americans 155 00:08:51,764 --> 00:08:54,800 who stand at what soldiers call the "Sharp End" 156 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:58,738 as the West's most forward defenders in case of trouble. 157 00:08:58,738 --> 00:09:00,406 (vehicle idling) 158 00:09:00,406 --> 00:09:02,842 - It's...kinda strange lookin' out there 159 00:09:02,842 --> 00:09:05,311 and have them lookin' back at you, 160 00:09:05,311 --> 00:09:07,747 wonderin' what they're thinking and... 161 00:09:07,747 --> 00:09:09,848 what they're doing and everything. 162 00:09:09,849 --> 00:09:12,051 They've got a job just like we do. 163 00:09:12,785 --> 00:09:13,953 - I don't know, there's times I'd like 164 00:09:13,953 --> 00:09:16,923 to talk to them, but we can't... 165 00:09:17,523 --> 00:09:18,858 I don't know... 166 00:09:19,358 --> 00:09:22,828 They just sit around and watch us when they see us. 167 00:09:22,828 --> 00:09:24,497 They go hide from us and stuff. 168 00:09:24,497 --> 00:09:28,000 - I have talked to a few of the East German guards. 169 00:09:29,502 --> 00:09:31,904 Most of 'em are just soldiers like we are. 170 00:09:31,904 --> 00:09:33,739 (men chattering) 171 00:09:33,739 --> 00:09:35,141 - You got that right? - Got it. 172 00:09:35,141 --> 00:09:37,810 - [Ustinov] The Americans are crack troops, all set to jump 173 00:09:37,810 --> 00:09:40,646 into their battle tanks and oppose any breach 174 00:09:40,646 --> 00:09:42,582 of the fateful frontier. 175 00:09:42,582 --> 00:09:48,020 (birds chirping) 176 00:09:48,020 --> 00:09:49,956 - We're always ready for a surprise attack. 177 00:09:49,956 --> 00:09:53,659 I have a unit that's always positioned on the border. 178 00:09:53,659 --> 00:09:55,595 It's always manned; it can respond within 179 00:09:55,595 --> 00:09:57,330 less than 15 minutes. 180 00:09:57,830 --> 00:09:59,198 And all they have to do is call back here 181 00:09:59,198 --> 00:10:01,434 and the rest of us will respond very quickly. 182 00:10:01,434 --> 00:10:08,040 (tank idling) 183 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:10,876 I've got 250 different combat systems here. 184 00:10:10,876 --> 00:10:13,545 They consist of tanks for my cavalry troops 185 00:10:13,546 --> 00:10:14,647 and my tank company. 186 00:10:14,647 --> 00:10:17,883 Scout vehicles mounted with the Dragon weapon systems. 187 00:10:17,883 --> 00:10:22,488 Ammunition trucks, jeeps, command and control vehicles. 188 00:10:23,022 --> 00:10:24,924 We pack one heck of a big punch, 189 00:10:24,924 --> 00:10:26,826 much larger punch than any other unit 190 00:10:26,826 --> 00:10:28,728 in the United States Army. 191 00:10:29,762 --> 00:10:37,670 (tank rumbling) 192 00:10:37,670 --> 00:10:39,639 - So, these are 155 millimeter Howitzers. 193 00:10:39,639 --> 00:10:43,242 They're capable of indirect fire support for the squadron. 194 00:10:43,876 --> 00:10:48,247 We have different types of munitions, high explosive. 195 00:10:48,247 --> 00:10:50,348 We have the rounds that will lay minefields 196 00:10:50,349 --> 00:10:53,019 and drop bomblets and they're also dual capable. 197 00:10:53,019 --> 00:10:54,854 They have a nuclear capability. 198 00:10:54,854 --> 00:10:57,990 (tank roaring) 199 00:10:57,990 --> 00:11:01,627 I think that the nuclear weapon is a great deterrent 200 00:11:01,627 --> 00:11:03,596 in the political scene today. 201 00:11:03,596 --> 00:11:06,432 I think that you can see in the newspaper 202 00:11:06,432 --> 00:11:10,603 and in the news how much it plays an important part 203 00:11:10,603 --> 00:11:14,806 in everything that is done with governments. 204 00:11:15,107 --> 00:11:18,944 I think that us knowing that the other side has them 205 00:11:18,944 --> 00:11:20,445 and them knowing that we have them 206 00:11:20,446 --> 00:11:23,215 is a deterrent that is possibly one 207 00:11:23,215 --> 00:11:25,751 that will keep us from another wartime. 208 00:11:30,022 --> 00:11:30,956 (loud click) 209 00:11:30,956 --> 00:11:33,926 - [Ustinov] Apart from the guns that can fire nuclear shells, 210 00:11:33,926 --> 00:11:37,797 bombs of much greater power can be delivered out of the sky. 211 00:11:38,397 --> 00:11:41,734 Supersonic strike aircraft, stationed in England 212 00:11:41,734 --> 00:11:45,604 for instance, are fully prepared for that dismal task. 213 00:11:45,604 --> 00:11:49,475 (aircraft engine idling) 214 00:11:49,475 --> 00:11:51,410 The crew can take their nuclear weapons 215 00:11:51,410 --> 00:11:53,746 to destinations anywhere in Europe, 216 00:11:53,746 --> 00:11:56,449 on the battlefield or far beyond it. 217 00:11:56,449 --> 00:12:00,185 (aircraft engine idling) 218 00:12:00,186 --> 00:12:01,954 The leaders of NATO see themselves 219 00:12:01,954 --> 00:12:05,391 increasingly outnumbered in planes and tanks. 220 00:12:05,391 --> 00:12:07,026 They doubt their ability to win 221 00:12:07,026 --> 00:12:09,728 a war in Europe by ordinary means. 222 00:12:09,729 --> 00:12:11,430 (ladder clattering) 223 00:12:12,198 --> 00:12:15,601 So, as their current statement of strategy declares, 224 00:12:15,601 --> 00:12:19,438 if NATO's conventional forces were in danger of defeat, 225 00:12:19,438 --> 00:12:22,641 selective and limited use of nuclear weapons 226 00:12:22,641 --> 00:12:24,877 could not be deferred. 227 00:12:24,877 --> 00:12:26,911 (aircraft engine idling) 228 00:12:26,912 --> 00:12:28,714 (aircraft roaring) 229 00:12:28,714 --> 00:12:30,683 But to postpone for as long as possible 230 00:12:30,683 --> 00:12:33,319 any need to "go nuclear" as they say, 231 00:12:33,319 --> 00:12:37,289 NATO looks to its conventional forces in Germany. 232 00:12:37,289 --> 00:12:39,525 The snag is, of course, is that the Russians 233 00:12:39,525 --> 00:12:41,459 have nuclear weapons, too. 234 00:12:41,460 --> 00:12:44,029 So aircraft specially built for fighting tanks 235 00:12:44,029 --> 00:12:48,834 might seem a more prudent defense than atomic artillery. 236 00:12:48,834 --> 00:13:00,512 (aircraft rumbling) 237 00:13:00,513 --> 00:13:03,282 The fighting men who profit from technology 238 00:13:03,282 --> 00:13:06,318 are liable to perish by it, too. 239 00:13:06,919 --> 00:13:09,855 Even non-nuclear weapons are now so powerful 240 00:13:09,855 --> 00:13:12,992 that any war in Europe would be a competition in slaughter, 241 00:13:12,992 --> 00:13:15,593 swift and terrible to contemplate. 242 00:13:15,594 --> 00:13:19,899 (helicopter rumbling) 243 00:13:19,899 --> 00:13:22,468 Who would want to meet a helicopter gun ship 244 00:13:22,468 --> 00:13:22,501 Who would want to meet a helicopter gun ship leaping up before him? 245 00:13:22,501 --> 00:13:24,370 leaping up before him? 246 00:13:24,370 --> 00:13:29,441 (helicopter whirring) 247 00:13:29,441 --> 00:13:32,845 It's chockfull of gadgets for dealing out death. 248 00:13:32,845 --> 00:13:35,514 (helicopter whirring) 249 00:13:36,048 --> 00:13:38,784 The predictable violence of modern war 250 00:13:38,784 --> 00:13:42,755 drives the generals and their headquarters underground. 251 00:13:42,755 --> 00:13:44,123 The command bunkers are dotted 252 00:13:44,123 --> 00:13:46,792 all around Europe in unlikely places. 253 00:13:46,792 --> 00:13:49,662 For instance, at an American football stadium 254 00:13:49,662 --> 00:13:51,931 just west of the Rhine. 255 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:56,669 Beneath the terraces, the staff officers 256 00:13:56,669 --> 00:13:59,004 secure themselves against chemical weapons 257 00:13:59,004 --> 00:14:01,073 and nuclear fallout. 258 00:14:01,073 --> 00:14:02,942 So it would, as it were, be a fight 259 00:14:02,942 --> 00:14:06,378 between one team of moles and another. 260 00:14:06,779 --> 00:14:07,546 (door slams) 261 00:14:07,546 --> 00:14:11,917 (indistinct chatter & control room sounds) 262 00:14:11,917 --> 00:14:13,519 They're sending off strike aircraft 263 00:14:13,519 --> 00:14:15,487 to help the ground troops. 264 00:14:15,487 --> 00:14:18,257 Thank goodness it's only an exercise. 265 00:14:18,924 --> 00:14:22,060 - In the event there is a war here in Europe, 266 00:14:22,061 --> 00:14:24,430 the primary mission of ATOC Sembach 267 00:14:24,430 --> 00:14:28,132 will be to task and coordinate offensive support, 268 00:14:28,133 --> 00:14:33,372 air support, for the U.S. and German Army Corps 269 00:14:33,372 --> 00:14:34,873 within the central region. 270 00:14:34,874 --> 00:14:39,311 - Four oscar nine zero two is airborne, 1232. 271 00:14:39,311 --> 00:14:42,114 - Roger that, sir. Juliet charlie here at the ATOC. 272 00:14:42,548 --> 00:14:45,451 - One fox six zero two romeo. 273 00:14:45,985 --> 00:14:49,788 He was successful on target number three victor 901. 274 00:14:49,788 --> 00:14:53,225 - Five two three will also file the full profile. 275 00:14:53,926 --> 00:14:55,394 - [Ustinov] If the battle is going badly 276 00:14:55,394 --> 00:14:58,664 and if the political leaders of the West consent, 277 00:14:58,664 --> 00:15:01,133 the commanders can replace their ordinary weapons 278 00:15:01,133 --> 00:15:02,968 with nuclear bombs... 279 00:15:03,769 --> 00:15:07,940 a contingency that is familiar to scholars of war. 280 00:15:07,940 --> 00:15:10,442 - A nuclear war could arise in the first place 281 00:15:10,442 --> 00:15:13,379 from a Soviet attack on Western Europe. 282 00:15:13,879 --> 00:15:18,751 And indeed...NATO defenses quite deliberately 283 00:15:18,784 --> 00:15:23,689 have this nuclear risk built in as part of the deterrent. 284 00:15:23,689 --> 00:15:25,757 It is made clear to the Soviet Union 285 00:15:25,758 --> 00:15:29,762 that we cannot defend ourselves...for very long 286 00:15:29,762 --> 00:15:33,165 without initiating the use of nuclear weapons. 287 00:15:33,165 --> 00:15:37,102 Initially, hopefully on a small and local scale, 288 00:15:37,102 --> 00:15:41,573 but with every possibility that this would escalate 289 00:15:41,573 --> 00:15:44,610 to ultimately a major nuclear exchange 290 00:15:44,610 --> 00:15:46,946 in which the territory of the Soviet Union itself 291 00:15:46,946 --> 00:15:48,213 should be at risk. 292 00:15:48,213 --> 00:15:49,915 Well, this is quite deliberate. 293 00:15:49,915 --> 00:15:51,916 It is part of the deterrent posture. 294 00:15:51,917 --> 00:15:55,854 - If NATO fires any nuclear weapon, however small, 295 00:15:55,854 --> 00:15:59,758 then the Russians will almost certainly respond 296 00:15:59,758 --> 00:16:02,528 with nuclear weapons because 297 00:16:02,528 --> 00:16:06,098 their nuclear weapons by and large are rather vulnerable 298 00:16:06,098 --> 00:16:08,766 and therefore have to be used very early on 299 00:16:08,767 --> 00:16:11,804 in a nuclear or even conventional war. 300 00:16:12,271 --> 00:16:15,741 And therefore, the risk of escalation is enormous; 301 00:16:15,741 --> 00:16:18,343 I would say inevitable, and the escalation 302 00:16:18,344 --> 00:16:19,645 would be very rapid. 303 00:16:20,112 --> 00:16:21,512 And this would certainly lead 304 00:16:21,513 --> 00:16:24,883 to the total destruction of both sides. 305 00:16:25,551 --> 00:16:28,354 - The buildup in the Eastern side of Europe 306 00:16:28,354 --> 00:16:32,024 is a serious one...both in the purely conventional field 307 00:16:32,024 --> 00:16:34,259 and in the nuclear field. 308 00:16:34,827 --> 00:16:36,996 Perhaps one of the most serious aspects of it 309 00:16:36,996 --> 00:16:39,564 is that it doesn't seem to stop...in spite 310 00:16:39,565 --> 00:16:41,867 of the fact that you've had in the last decade 311 00:16:41,867 --> 00:16:46,505 a very tangible improvement of political relations. 312 00:16:46,505 --> 00:16:49,908 The Soviet military effort has not been affected by it. 313 00:16:49,908 --> 00:16:51,343 - On the surface it does appear 314 00:16:51,343 --> 00:16:52,777 that there's an enormous preponderance 315 00:16:52,778 --> 00:16:55,314 of Soviet forces in Europe... and one of the arguments, 316 00:16:55,314 --> 00:16:57,415 of course, advanced is that these forces 317 00:16:57,416 --> 00:16:59,885 are too large for defensive purposes. 318 00:16:59,885 --> 00:17:01,754 That of course is a statement from the Western side 319 00:17:01,754 --> 00:17:03,355 and it doesn't really take into account 320 00:17:03,355 --> 00:17:05,024 Soviet prescriptions. 321 00:17:05,023 --> 00:17:06,457 The Soviet argument is that they have 322 00:17:06,458 --> 00:17:09,294 a large and legitimate defensive task 323 00:17:09,294 --> 00:17:12,297 to carry out in Europe as a whole. 324 00:17:12,297 --> 00:17:14,400 They have the defense of their own alliance system 325 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:16,535 and of course their own perimeter. 326 00:17:16,535 --> 00:17:19,571 Europe is very large, north, central and south. 327 00:17:19,570 --> 00:17:21,874 And they must also face a complexity of problems. 328 00:17:21,874 --> 00:17:23,075 From the Soviet point of view, 329 00:17:23,075 --> 00:17:26,512 they have not to deal only with a NATO alliance, 330 00:17:26,512 --> 00:17:29,114 but there's always been the problem of the local adversary, 331 00:17:29,114 --> 00:17:31,784 something with which we have not had to deal. 332 00:17:31,784 --> 00:17:33,185 So therefore, from the Soviet side 333 00:17:33,185 --> 00:17:37,423 they would argue that their forces are tailored exactly 334 00:17:37,423 --> 00:17:39,591 to discharge its defensive task. 335 00:17:39,591 --> 00:17:43,562 (tanks rumbling) 336 00:17:43,562 --> 00:17:46,130 - [Ustinov] But it's the powerful attack of those Soviet 337 00:17:46,131 --> 00:17:47,599 missiles and of armies 338 00:17:47,599 --> 00:17:50,302 much stronger than their own that perturbs 339 00:17:50,302 --> 00:17:52,004 the generals of NATO. 340 00:17:52,004 --> 00:17:53,972 (tanks rumbling) 341 00:17:53,972 --> 00:17:56,775 They picture the Russian tanks bursting across the border 342 00:17:56,775 --> 00:17:59,144 and charging through West Germany, 343 00:17:59,144 --> 00:18:02,281 unstoppable by conventional forces. 344 00:18:02,714 --> 00:18:04,917 It's not at all obvious how such an attack 345 00:18:04,917 --> 00:18:06,784 could be in the Soviet interest, 346 00:18:06,785 --> 00:18:10,956 yet among the Western allies the troubling vision persists. 347 00:18:10,956 --> 00:18:13,292 (tanks rumbling) 348 00:18:13,292 --> 00:18:15,526 The NATO general on the Central Front 349 00:18:15,527 --> 00:18:17,763 happens, himself, to be a German. 350 00:18:18,630 --> 00:18:22,401 And in this nightmare, he might then see his own country 351 00:18:22,401 --> 00:18:25,337 turned into a radioactive battleground 352 00:18:25,337 --> 00:18:28,706 in the desperate bid to make the invaders go home 353 00:18:28,707 --> 00:18:31,009 before they reached the Rhine. 354 00:18:31,009 --> 00:18:37,783 (tank rumbling & water splashing) 355 00:18:37,783 --> 00:18:41,019 Just let the unwholesome brew of tanks and bombs 356 00:18:41,019 --> 00:18:45,791 work on your imagination and you may feel it closing in; 357 00:18:45,791 --> 00:18:49,528 the first of our nuclear nightmares. 358 00:18:49,561 --> 00:18:54,132 To me, one possible sequence of events seems all too clear. 359 00:18:55,334 --> 00:18:58,370 They had to try and stop the advance somehow, 360 00:18:58,370 --> 00:19:00,272 you understand that I hope. 361 00:19:00,873 --> 00:19:02,975 This is the last of the coffee, I'm afraid. 362 00:19:02,975 --> 00:19:04,877 Who would've thought that the fallout 363 00:19:04,877 --> 00:19:07,279 would keep us down here for so long. 364 00:19:07,980 --> 00:19:12,851 Now...there's something that I want you to believe. 365 00:19:12,851 --> 00:19:17,422 Nobody actually intended your families to die like that, 366 00:19:17,422 --> 00:19:20,592 or your school friends for that matter. 367 00:19:20,592 --> 00:19:25,230 The German general in question, well...he was... 368 00:19:25,230 --> 00:19:28,100 Put yourself in his shoes if you will for a moment. 369 00:19:28,100 --> 00:19:31,602 He was always opposed to the use of nuclear weapons. 370 00:19:31,603 --> 00:19:33,572 In fact he said, "Do you want me to be tried 371 00:19:33,572 --> 00:19:37,141 like a war criminal like others were before me?" 372 00:19:37,142 --> 00:19:40,679 But, on the first day...Soviet armor 373 00:19:40,679 --> 00:19:43,148 had advanced 40 miles into West Germany. 374 00:19:43,148 --> 00:19:45,350 On the second day, 80 miles. 375 00:19:45,350 --> 00:19:48,453 And it was then that the American supreme commander 376 00:19:48,453 --> 00:19:51,156 told the German general, "We are going to stop 377 00:19:51,156 --> 00:19:54,426 this war with nuclear weapons. 378 00:19:54,426 --> 00:19:57,428 Your chancellor and my president 379 00:19:57,429 --> 00:20:00,165 are in full agreement about this." 380 00:20:00,766 --> 00:20:03,468 "So it's come to this," said the German general. 381 00:20:03,468 --> 00:20:07,339 "Well, at least, thank God, it won't be my decision." 382 00:20:07,339 --> 00:20:09,474 "Oh, but it will my friend. 383 00:20:09,474 --> 00:20:13,477 We want you to select the targets." 384 00:20:13,512 --> 00:20:15,246 "There must be some other way... 385 00:20:15,247 --> 00:20:18,517 If I could swing the Netherland corps around 386 00:20:18,517 --> 00:20:21,320 onto the flank..." but the subordinates 387 00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:22,454 were getting impatient, 388 00:20:22,454 --> 00:20:25,057 although the British general was stiff lipped. 389 00:20:25,057 --> 00:20:27,659 "There's quite a lot of blood flowing up here. 390 00:20:27,659 --> 00:20:32,464 Although we've managed to nudge his armor 391 00:20:32,464 --> 00:20:36,668 into a nuclear fire zone quite effectively, 392 00:20:36,668 --> 00:20:38,303 put in a good word for us. 393 00:20:38,303 --> 00:20:40,038 There's a good chap." 394 00:20:40,839 --> 00:20:45,010 A nuclear fire zone including villages, 395 00:20:45,010 --> 00:20:48,914 farms, people, civilians. 396 00:20:49,414 --> 00:20:51,683 The American commander was adamant. 397 00:20:51,683 --> 00:20:56,655 "We are going to accomplish eight nuclear strikes 398 00:20:56,655 --> 00:21:00,058 on armored spearheads of your choice 399 00:21:00,058 --> 00:21:07,499 and we are going to send eight missions in the rear 400 00:21:07,499 --> 00:21:10,602 in Czechoslovakia and East Germany." 401 00:21:10,602 --> 00:21:13,071 You see, the Americans calculated 402 00:21:13,071 --> 00:21:15,340 that they could smash the Soviet armor 403 00:21:15,340 --> 00:21:18,909 at the same time saving New York and Chicago, 404 00:21:18,910 --> 00:21:22,547 not Cologne and Munich unfortunately. 405 00:21:22,547 --> 00:21:24,283 You remember the postcard I showed you 406 00:21:24,283 --> 00:21:28,020 of Cologne cathedral. A very beautiful one, it was. 407 00:21:28,787 --> 00:21:31,523 A German corps commander, almost surrounded, 408 00:21:31,523 --> 00:21:33,658 added his voice to the rest. 409 00:21:33,659 --> 00:21:36,628 (speaking in German) 410 00:21:36,628 --> 00:21:40,432 "Why am I being abandoned like von Paulus in Stalingrad? 411 00:21:40,432 --> 00:21:42,968 Where are the nuclear weapons?" 412 00:21:42,968 --> 00:21:47,806 So, at length, the German general consented. 413 00:21:47,806 --> 00:21:52,411 "Very well, although may my tongue rot for saying so." 414 00:21:52,411 --> 00:21:54,179 "Oh, you know. 415 00:21:54,179 --> 00:21:58,116 You know the targets in any case." 416 00:21:58,884 --> 00:22:02,587 And so...the Germans and the Americans were in full accord 417 00:22:02,587 --> 00:22:04,523 and on the morning of the third day, 418 00:22:04,523 --> 00:22:10,262 the first bombs lit up the skyline like a false dawn. 419 00:22:10,262 --> 00:22:13,965 Although as the German general had said all along, 420 00:22:13,965 --> 00:22:16,834 why on Earth would the Russians back down 421 00:22:16,835 --> 00:22:18,704 when they're winning? 422 00:22:19,104 --> 00:22:23,909 And of course, when the Russians didn't back down... 423 00:22:23,909 --> 00:22:27,079 there was no logical time or place 424 00:22:27,079 --> 00:22:30,816 for the nuclear exchanges to cease. 425 00:22:34,252 --> 00:22:38,857 Would there be any European cities exempt from devastation? 426 00:22:38,857 --> 00:22:41,293 Well some nations believed that the possession 427 00:22:41,293 --> 00:22:44,529 of a nuclear force of their own makes them safer 428 00:22:44,529 --> 00:22:49,134 and that the hostage cities could in some sense hit back. 429 00:22:49,134 --> 00:22:53,038 The French, for instance, hope that the possession 430 00:22:53,038 --> 00:22:56,942 of such a nuclear force exempts Paris, 431 00:22:56,942 --> 00:23:01,279 makes it immune from the nuclear epidemic. 432 00:23:01,313 --> 00:23:03,882 But have things changed so much 433 00:23:03,882 --> 00:23:06,151 since the ÉlysĂ©e Palace here was occupied 434 00:23:06,151 --> 00:23:09,454 by Louis XV's mistress, Madame de Pompadour, 435 00:23:09,454 --> 00:23:12,758 whose contemporary, Voltaire, wrote so scathingly 436 00:23:12,758 --> 00:23:16,228 about the heroic butchery of war? 437 00:23:16,261 --> 00:23:19,231 Well, I wonder what Voltaire might have thought 438 00:23:19,231 --> 00:23:20,665 of the president of the French Republic 439 00:23:20,665 --> 00:23:25,303 who now lives in the ÉlysĂ©e, controlling from his basement 440 00:23:25,303 --> 00:23:27,973 enough nuclear power to carry destruction 441 00:23:27,973 --> 00:23:30,575 thousands of miles away. 442 00:23:30,575 --> 00:23:33,712 In the most elegant of headquarters, 443 00:23:33,712 --> 00:23:36,281 he has enough power at his beck and call 444 00:23:36,281 --> 00:23:39,117 to make the war of the Austrian Succession 445 00:23:39,117 --> 00:23:42,387 seem like an outing, like a picnic. 446 00:23:43,789 --> 00:23:44,790 (button clicks) 447 00:23:45,957 --> 00:23:46,958 (button clicks) 448 00:23:46,958 --> 00:23:49,628 And because an enemy might have similar power, 449 00:23:49,628 --> 00:23:53,197 France puts her command posts underground, too. 450 00:23:53,231 --> 00:23:54,466 (phone buttons clicking) 451 00:23:56,501 --> 00:24:00,105 You don't have to be a superpower to build nuclear bombs, 452 00:24:00,105 --> 00:24:02,040 but you'd be well-advised to assemble 453 00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:04,843 the computerized paraphernalia of modern war, 454 00:24:04,843 --> 00:24:09,648 as France has done, and guard your bombs with care. 455 00:24:09,648 --> 00:24:11,783 (key clattering into hole & lock clicking) 456 00:24:12,818 --> 00:24:16,321 (lock clicking) 457 00:24:16,922 --> 00:24:18,223 (door opens) 458 00:24:23,762 --> 00:24:26,965 A nuclear weapon, author of nightmares, 459 00:24:26,965 --> 00:24:29,634 and, so the French hope, a discouragement 460 00:24:29,634 --> 00:24:29,668 and, so the French hope, a discouragement to potential enemies. 461 00:24:29,668 --> 00:24:31,602 to potential enemies. 462 00:24:33,905 --> 00:24:36,942 It's hard to grasp that the gleaming object 463 00:24:36,942 --> 00:24:40,111 has so much death in it to be scattered indiscriminately 464 00:24:40,111 --> 00:24:44,182 by heat, blast, fire, and atomic radiation. 465 00:24:44,182 --> 00:24:46,218 (footsteps) 466 00:24:46,218 --> 00:24:48,320 But we'd deceive ourselves if we didn't see 467 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,554 that the French are really rather proud 468 00:24:50,555 --> 00:24:53,625 of the standing attached to the possession of the bomb. 469 00:24:53,625 --> 00:24:56,361 After all, who isn't? 470 00:24:56,361 --> 00:25:05,337 (airplane engine accelerating) 471 00:25:05,337 --> 00:25:07,806 Their supersonic bombers represent only one 472 00:25:07,806 --> 00:25:09,708 of the methods that the French employ 473 00:25:09,708 --> 00:25:14,379 for fighting or threatening to fight a nuclear war. 474 00:25:14,379 --> 00:25:18,949 They have ballistic missiles, too, entirely homemade, 475 00:25:18,950 --> 00:25:22,320 here going by road under plain cover 476 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:25,090 to a base in the south of the country. 477 00:25:25,090 --> 00:25:37,334 (trucks rumbling) 478 00:25:37,335 --> 00:25:40,171 The missiles a la maison are capable 479 00:25:40,171 --> 00:25:43,708 of hurling H-bombs as far as Moscow, for instance, 480 00:25:43,708 --> 00:25:46,678 or over any lesser distance. 481 00:25:47,846 --> 00:25:51,783 The key that could do it makes an unusual halter. 482 00:25:52,450 --> 00:25:53,985 - Bonjour. - Bonjour. 483 00:25:54,452 --> 00:26:01,960 (speaking in French) 484 00:26:02,327 --> 00:26:03,695 - The weapons are meant to deter 485 00:26:03,695 --> 00:26:06,764 any nuclear attack and warn all comers 486 00:26:06,765 --> 00:26:09,401 that the French won't be walked over next time. 487 00:26:09,401 --> 00:26:18,109 (speaking in French) 488 00:26:19,311 --> 00:26:22,112 They could also help to shield Western Europe... 489 00:26:22,547 --> 00:26:24,716 so the French spare no expense in keeping 490 00:26:24,716 --> 00:26:27,017 their missiles up to scratch. 491 00:26:28,820 --> 00:26:30,889 But they don't want all the rest of the world 492 00:26:30,889 --> 00:26:33,425 joining the nuclear club. 493 00:26:33,925 --> 00:26:36,061 (speaking in French) 494 00:26:36,061 --> 00:26:39,364 Their tour de force you'll find at rest. 495 00:26:39,364 --> 00:26:41,700 The submarines that skulk under the sea, 496 00:26:41,700 --> 00:26:44,502 each carrying 16 missiles. 497 00:26:44,536 --> 00:26:46,471 They could easily obliterate the chief cities 498 00:26:46,471 --> 00:26:47,706 of any enemy. 499 00:26:47,706 --> 00:26:51,042 (speaking in French) 500 00:26:51,042 --> 00:26:53,278 But if the French think they need them, why not everyone? 501 00:26:53,278 --> 00:26:55,880 Why not Brazilian missiles and submarines 502 00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,249 or Korean nuclear bombers? 503 00:26:58,249 --> 00:26:59,517 (water splashing) 504 00:26:59,517 --> 00:27:03,288 The United States first made the bomb for fear of Hitler. 505 00:27:03,288 --> 00:27:05,757 Then Russia fearing the Americans. 506 00:27:05,757 --> 00:27:08,360 Next came the British, their nuclear submarines 507 00:27:08,360 --> 00:27:12,697 and bombers now loyally assigned to NATO. 508 00:27:12,697 --> 00:27:16,967 Then France, firmly asserting her independence. 509 00:27:16,968 --> 00:27:19,638 The Chinese, who followed, think that nuclear war 510 00:27:19,638 --> 00:27:21,305 is bound to come. 511 00:27:21,306 --> 00:27:25,877 Inevitably perhaps, it was India's bomb next. 512 00:27:27,045 --> 00:27:29,514 By all accounts, Israel now possesses the bomb 513 00:27:29,514 --> 00:27:32,550 and perhaps South Africa, too, 514 00:27:32,550 --> 00:27:35,620 while Pakistan is striving to follow suit. 515 00:27:35,620 --> 00:27:38,289 So the bomb is proliferating through the hotter regions 516 00:27:38,289 --> 00:27:40,425 of the world, despite all the efforts 517 00:27:40,425 --> 00:27:42,627 of the diplomats to prevent it. 518 00:27:42,627 --> 00:27:44,696 Will the seven or eight who have it so far 519 00:27:44,696 --> 00:27:47,866 soon be 18 and then 80? 520 00:27:49,034 --> 00:27:52,070 There's a new form of racism which suggests 521 00:27:52,070 --> 00:27:54,438 that nuclear weapons are respectable, 522 00:27:54,439 --> 00:27:57,575 but only for rich, predominantly white countries. 523 00:27:57,575 --> 00:28:00,311 After all, it's rather grand to be a superpower. 524 00:28:00,311 --> 00:28:03,081 You can continue to improve your weapons 525 00:28:03,081 --> 00:28:06,283 while preaching piously about peace. 526 00:28:06,284 --> 00:28:08,687 If you are a smaller nation with only a very few 527 00:28:08,687 --> 00:28:11,589 nuclear weapons, then I'm afraid this is irresponsible, 528 00:28:11,589 --> 00:28:11,623 nuclear weapons, then I'm afraid this is irresponsible, if not criminal. 529 00:28:11,623 --> 00:28:13,725 if not criminal. 530 00:28:14,225 --> 00:28:18,963 Well, whether there is or not any wisdom at all 531 00:28:18,963 --> 00:28:22,734 in this hypocrisy, proliferation would seem 532 00:28:22,734 --> 00:28:27,205 to point a second way towards a holocaust, 533 00:28:27,205 --> 00:28:30,574 this time through the less affluent parts of the world. 534 00:28:30,575 --> 00:28:33,044 And the greatest danger of all lies here 535 00:28:33,044 --> 00:28:35,346 in the narrow streets of the Middle East 536 00:28:35,346 --> 00:28:39,250 where modern technology serves ancient bitterness. 537 00:28:39,250 --> 00:28:43,054 (indistinct chatter) 538 00:28:43,054 --> 00:28:45,590 The global bazaar for nuclear merchandise 539 00:28:45,590 --> 00:28:48,226 is not easy to police and anyone can 540 00:28:48,226 --> 00:28:51,062 equip himself for making bombs. 541 00:28:51,996 --> 00:28:54,265 - We and the Soviets... 542 00:28:55,333 --> 00:28:59,437 have set a very bad example to the rest of the world in 543 00:28:59,437 --> 00:29:04,442 essentially demonstrating that nuclear weapons... 544 00:29:04,476 --> 00:29:09,714 are the main instrument of our foreign policy. 545 00:29:11,750 --> 00:29:16,888 And essentially are the main support 546 00:29:16,888 --> 00:29:19,791 of our status as a superpower. 547 00:29:20,558 --> 00:29:22,894 That being the case, it's awfully difficult 548 00:29:22,894 --> 00:29:25,997 to convince anybody else not to have them. 549 00:29:25,997 --> 00:29:27,899 - All these countries that are interested 550 00:29:27,899 --> 00:29:29,801 in the acquisition of nuclear weapons 551 00:29:29,834 --> 00:29:32,604 have generally hostile neighbors 552 00:29:32,604 --> 00:29:37,041 and you have what you call "odd couples" in country A 553 00:29:37,041 --> 00:29:39,144 and country B, and you have some examples. 554 00:29:39,144 --> 00:29:42,781 For example, in South Asia, that are very hostile 555 00:29:42,781 --> 00:29:44,948 and are both interested in nuclear weapons. 556 00:29:44,949 --> 00:29:48,019 It's quite clear that if country A decides 557 00:29:48,019 --> 00:29:49,120 to acquire nuclear weapons, 558 00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:51,790 country B will follow the example. 559 00:29:51,790 --> 00:29:55,726 And so very dangerous nuclear arms threats 560 00:29:55,727 --> 00:29:56,928 would be triggered. 561 00:29:56,928 --> 00:29:59,864 - I was astounded that the United States governement 562 00:29:59,864 --> 00:30:02,000 has declassified so much information, 563 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:05,436 it's available at places here like the Library of Congress, 564 00:30:05,436 --> 00:30:09,640 that a single competent individual could easily 565 00:30:09,641 --> 00:30:11,876 design fission bombs and I think carry them 566 00:30:11,876 --> 00:30:13,077 through to construction. 567 00:30:13,077 --> 00:30:15,814 There's no doubt in my mind that a small group 568 00:30:15,814 --> 00:30:19,450 of motivated organized people, even perhaps people 569 00:30:19,450 --> 00:30:21,352 not very highly technically trained 570 00:30:21,352 --> 00:30:25,790 such as terrorists, could conceive and bring to fruition, 571 00:30:25,790 --> 00:30:28,993 a nuclear weapons construction project. 572 00:30:29,027 --> 00:30:31,229 - Any country to date 573 00:30:31,229 --> 00:30:33,598 that has decided to develop a bomb, 574 00:30:33,598 --> 00:30:36,401 a crude, maybe crude fission bomb, 575 00:30:36,401 --> 00:30:39,370 has been successful on the first try. 576 00:30:39,404 --> 00:30:40,605 So looking in the future, 577 00:30:40,605 --> 00:30:44,809 I don't expect to see countries actually detonate 578 00:30:44,809 --> 00:30:46,377 their first weapon. 579 00:30:46,377 --> 00:30:48,812 I think that they will know whether or not 580 00:30:48,813 --> 00:30:51,382 they are in a position to have a weapon. 581 00:30:51,382 --> 00:30:54,552 Clearly the collected wisdom of the world 582 00:30:54,552 --> 00:30:57,889 is that Israelis, Israel has a bomb, 583 00:30:57,889 --> 00:30:59,957 but they've never tested it. 584 00:31:00,658 --> 00:31:03,761 And I think that's what you're going to see in the future. 585 00:31:03,761 --> 00:31:06,831 - [Ustinov] Spies and nuclear experts seem to agree 586 00:31:06,831 --> 00:31:10,267 it's at Dimona that Israel makes her bombs. 587 00:31:10,268 --> 00:31:12,971 Even though the signs would have it otherwise. 588 00:31:12,971 --> 00:31:14,772 (truck rumbling past) 589 00:31:14,772 --> 00:31:18,309 The plant itself has been kept from prying eyes for years. 590 00:31:18,810 --> 00:31:20,645 But won't Israel's nuclear efforts 591 00:31:20,645 --> 00:31:24,048 simply spur her enemies along the same road? 592 00:31:25,984 --> 00:31:29,454 The holy city of Christians, Jews, and Muslims; 593 00:31:29,454 --> 00:31:31,856 the order is strictly alphabetical. 594 00:31:31,856 --> 00:31:34,192 It has been the focal point for conflict 595 00:31:34,192 --> 00:31:35,960 for thousands of years. 596 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,630 Jerusalem is at this time in Israeli hands, 597 00:31:38,630 --> 00:31:41,399 but you can look north towards the Soviet Union, 598 00:31:41,399 --> 00:31:44,968 with its Muslim minorities and affiliations, 599 00:31:44,969 --> 00:31:48,773 east towards a patchwork of Muslim states, 600 00:31:48,773 --> 00:31:50,908 patient yet unforgiving, 601 00:31:50,909 --> 00:31:55,546 south towards Mecca, the power of religion and of oil, 602 00:31:55,546 --> 00:31:59,951 and west towards America, Israel's powerful friend. 603 00:31:59,951 --> 00:32:03,855 It is hard to see how an eventual nuclear anarchy 604 00:32:03,855 --> 00:32:06,324 can be avoided in this area. 605 00:32:06,758 --> 00:32:10,995 Already in very few years several states 606 00:32:10,995 --> 00:32:13,464 could have bombs of their own, 607 00:32:13,464 --> 00:32:17,802 to say nothing of certain minority groups. 608 00:32:17,802 --> 00:32:20,772 Even with a bomb smaller than that of Hiroshima, 609 00:32:20,772 --> 00:32:23,206 maddened men could be responsible 610 00:32:23,207 --> 00:32:25,710 for hundreds and thousands of deaths, 611 00:32:25,710 --> 00:32:29,414 a tragedy which would be attributable to man's folly, 612 00:32:29,414 --> 00:32:33,618 or here, to the wrath of God. 613 00:32:36,754 --> 00:32:39,490 I don't suppose we'll ever really know 614 00:32:39,490 --> 00:32:42,293 who blew up Jerusalem. 615 00:32:42,927 --> 00:32:45,830 Nowadays it seems as long ago 616 00:32:45,830 --> 00:32:49,266 as the fall of Babylon, doesn't it? 617 00:32:49,267 --> 00:32:52,704 At the time it perplexed and alarmed 618 00:32:52,704 --> 00:32:54,839 the Israeli prime minister and horrified him, 619 00:32:54,839 --> 00:32:56,607 as it did everyone else. 620 00:32:57,275 --> 00:32:59,711 Oh I wish people wouldn't cut up newspapers. 621 00:32:59,711 --> 00:33:02,413 You know they're relics for students of history, 622 00:33:02,413 --> 00:33:06,084 even for amateurs like myself who are trying 623 00:33:06,084 --> 00:33:10,621 to...imagine how this war began. 624 00:33:11,956 --> 00:33:15,860 Oh talking about amateurs, the Israeli Secret Service 625 00:33:15,860 --> 00:33:18,663 was very active at the time that the amateurs 626 00:33:18,663 --> 00:33:21,099 first got hold of the bomb. 627 00:33:21,766 --> 00:33:27,538 Just after those first two...hideous explosions... 628 00:33:27,538 --> 00:33:31,642 bungled explosions at Belfast and at Lisbon, 629 00:33:31,642 --> 00:33:33,678 the Israelis...where is it? 630 00:33:34,545 --> 00:33:39,017 Oh yes...an Israeli government spokesman said, 631 00:33:39,017 --> 00:33:41,652 "We warned the British and Portuguese authorities 632 00:33:41,652 --> 00:33:44,889 that nuclear weapons were now circulating 633 00:33:44,889 --> 00:33:47,291 among unofficial groups." 634 00:33:47,291 --> 00:33:51,428 Well, Israel's own problems were about to start 635 00:33:51,429 --> 00:33:53,564 on that Sunday, or... 636 00:33:54,032 --> 00:33:56,934 No, it must've been the Monday 637 00:33:56,934 --> 00:34:01,172 when two El Al airliners were shot down by missiles 638 00:34:01,172 --> 00:34:05,410 and Ben Gurion Airport was subsequently closed. 639 00:34:05,410 --> 00:34:08,613 The secretary of state remonstrated, 640 00:34:08,612 --> 00:34:11,081 "The Soviets are supplying Middle Eastern countries 641 00:34:11,081 --> 00:34:12,717 with surface to air missiles 642 00:34:12,717 --> 00:34:15,820 of unnecessary sophistication." 643 00:34:15,820 --> 00:34:18,056 And the Israelis immediately plunged 644 00:34:18,056 --> 00:34:21,926 into the Lebanon for the umpteenth time. 645 00:34:21,926 --> 00:34:25,228 But now, to report catastrophic losses 646 00:34:25,228 --> 00:34:26,997 to their prime minister and the fact that they 647 00:34:26,998 --> 00:34:28,933 had lost control of the air. 648 00:34:28,933 --> 00:34:31,201 "There will be a time for mourning later," 649 00:34:31,202 --> 00:34:33,938 said the Israeli prime minister to the Knesset. 650 00:34:33,938 --> 00:34:37,608 He didn't know how much mourning. 651 00:34:37,608 --> 00:34:40,178 Or on the Wednesday, a small nuclear device 652 00:34:40,178 --> 00:34:43,480 blew up the ancient walled city of Jerusalem 653 00:34:43,481 --> 00:34:47,285 with its predominantly Arabic population 654 00:34:47,284 --> 00:34:49,654 and all its holy places. 655 00:34:49,654 --> 00:34:55,592 While the news of this act of folly 656 00:34:55,592 --> 00:34:59,629 was still reverberating around the world, 657 00:34:59,630 --> 00:35:02,567 it could be supposed that the Israeli prime minister 658 00:35:02,567 --> 00:35:04,435 was saying, "How do we retaliate? 659 00:35:04,435 --> 00:35:05,903 Who do I hit?" 660 00:35:05,903 --> 00:35:09,272 But, his advisors were as baffled as he. 661 00:35:09,273 --> 00:35:13,911 The next day on television the Palestinian leader, 662 00:35:13,911 --> 00:35:19,851 in tears, said "Why should we destroy our national home? 663 00:35:19,851 --> 00:35:22,086 The place that we have cherished 664 00:35:22,086 --> 00:35:23,754 and suffered for so long. 665 00:35:23,754 --> 00:35:25,623 We are not mad!" 666 00:35:25,623 --> 00:35:29,093 But of course there were those that did 667 00:35:29,093 --> 00:35:33,196 claim responsibility for this hideous act... 668 00:35:34,265 --> 00:35:35,900 ...various groups. 669 00:35:36,601 --> 00:35:40,638 The Lisbon Red Heroes, Dark December, 670 00:35:40,638 --> 00:35:45,143 others too numerous and too psychotic to mention. 671 00:35:46,177 --> 00:35:48,479 The American and the Soviet fleets converged 672 00:35:48,479 --> 00:35:52,649 on the coast while their governments remained in contact, 673 00:35:52,650 --> 00:35:57,722 attempting to, as they said, "defuse" the Middle East. 674 00:35:57,755 --> 00:36:02,026 The Israeli prime minister protested... 675 00:36:02,059 --> 00:36:04,362 "The superpowers are trying to take 676 00:36:04,362 --> 00:36:07,532 even our tragedies out of our hands... 677 00:36:07,532 --> 00:36:11,369 ...and what's this you tell me about Saudi Arabian bombers 678 00:36:11,369 --> 00:36:13,804 on Amman Airfield? 679 00:36:13,804 --> 00:36:16,407 I want an Entebbe-like raid! 680 00:36:16,407 --> 00:36:19,977 I want you to seize all the nuclear devices they have." 681 00:36:19,977 --> 00:36:23,381 But...the commanders were blown out of the air. 682 00:36:23,381 --> 00:36:26,049 The prime minister saw the net closing. 683 00:36:26,050 --> 00:36:26,918 "What? 684 00:36:27,418 --> 00:36:31,589 The Libyans have agreed to give nuclear bombs 685 00:36:31,589 --> 00:36:32,890 to the Lebanese? 686 00:36:32,890 --> 00:36:37,962 The Pakistanis have already done so to the Syrians?" 687 00:36:39,030 --> 00:36:42,667 Trembling for his cities, the Israeli prime minister 688 00:36:42,667 --> 00:36:46,337 authorized nuclear strikes against Amman, Damascus. 689 00:36:46,337 --> 00:36:49,173 "Yes, and Beirut!" he cried. 690 00:36:49,707 --> 00:36:56,147 And so...on the eve of sabbath in that subcontinent 691 00:36:56,147 --> 00:37:01,352 of prophets, cataclysms began to rival... 692 00:37:01,352 --> 00:37:04,154 the Book of Revelations. 693 00:37:04,188 --> 00:37:07,458 And since the superpowers were unable 694 00:37:07,458 --> 00:37:11,729 to disentangle themselves, the madness 695 00:37:11,729 --> 00:37:16,267 eventually engulfed us all. 696 00:37:18,703 --> 00:37:21,339 The Americans and the Russians are at pains 697 00:37:21,339 --> 00:37:24,542 to avoid war by mishap, and for this 698 00:37:24,542 --> 00:37:27,345 they employ military intelligence, 699 00:37:27,345 --> 00:37:31,448 high speed communication, and very complicated systems 700 00:37:31,449 --> 00:37:35,419 of what they call command and control. 701 00:37:35,453 --> 00:37:39,156 Any loss of control would automatically 702 00:37:39,156 --> 00:37:43,861 entail a third route into a nuclear war. 703 00:37:43,894 --> 00:37:49,232 These controls are, of course, very highly guarded secrets. 704 00:37:49,233 --> 00:37:52,570 But what is fairly obvious is that the systems themselves 705 00:37:52,570 --> 00:37:54,639 would come under immediate attack 706 00:37:54,639 --> 00:37:56,774 in the event of hostilities. 707 00:37:56,774 --> 00:38:00,978 And here, Fylingdales Moor in the north of England, 708 00:38:00,978 --> 00:38:03,748 would probably be hit in the first few minutes. 709 00:38:03,748 --> 00:38:04,448 Why? 710 00:38:04,448 --> 00:38:07,817 Because it has become one of the nostrils 711 00:38:07,818 --> 00:38:09,654 of the American high command, 712 00:38:09,654 --> 00:38:14,558 endlessly sniffing the air for signs of danger. 713 00:38:14,558 --> 00:38:19,430 And inside those round objects are radars 714 00:38:19,430 --> 00:38:23,768 which warn of the approach of ballistic missiles. 715 00:38:24,935 --> 00:38:27,872 Meanwhile, high above the Earth, there are satellites 716 00:38:27,872 --> 00:38:31,375 looking out for the first glow of rocket engines. 717 00:38:32,443 --> 00:38:34,612 And it's in the frozen north that the other 718 00:38:34,612 --> 00:38:37,415 early warning outposts stand. 719 00:38:37,415 --> 00:38:39,683 That's because the missile flight paths 720 00:38:39,684 --> 00:38:43,387 between the superpowers would mainly pass this way. 721 00:38:47,525 --> 00:38:52,697 The giant radars never rest in Greenland or here in Alaska. 722 00:38:52,697 --> 00:38:56,300 (wind howling) 723 00:38:57,168 --> 00:39:00,638 The military planners believe, or pretend to believe, 724 00:39:00,638 --> 00:39:02,206 that a missile attack might burst 725 00:39:02,206 --> 00:39:05,042 upon the United States at any time. 726 00:39:05,042 --> 00:39:08,346 In that event, they'd have less than half an hour's notice 727 00:39:08,346 --> 00:39:12,149 before the nuclear warheads arrived at their targets. 728 00:39:12,149 --> 00:39:16,252 (machine humming & footsteps down ladder) 729 00:39:16,253 --> 00:39:17,955 So the news from the big radars 730 00:39:17,955 --> 00:39:20,790 goes straight to Colorado and the chief defenders 731 00:39:20,791 --> 00:39:23,894 of a continent who man their headquarters 732 00:39:23,894 --> 00:39:27,131 at Cheyenne Mountain day and night; 733 00:39:27,131 --> 00:39:29,299 the North American Air Defense Command, 734 00:39:29,300 --> 00:39:31,235 usually known as NORAD. 735 00:39:32,803 --> 00:39:36,307 (vehicle engine rumbling) 736 00:39:36,307 --> 00:39:39,243 Because they're so vital for command and control, 737 00:39:39,243 --> 00:39:43,180 the NORAD staff put 1400 feet of granite between themselves 738 00:39:43,180 --> 00:39:45,582 and the fragile world outside. 739 00:39:45,583 --> 00:39:46,717 (phone rings) 740 00:39:48,853 --> 00:39:50,755 And NORAD's computers would announce 741 00:39:50,755 --> 00:39:54,492 any massive attack, where it's coming from... 742 00:39:54,492 --> 00:39:56,694 and what's more to the point, where the missiles 743 00:39:56,694 --> 00:39:58,962 can be expected to fall. 744 00:40:00,131 --> 00:40:04,502 - The detection would be almost instantaneous. 745 00:40:05,336 --> 00:40:08,004 The reliability is very high. 746 00:40:08,005 --> 00:40:10,307 The warning time, of course, would depend 747 00:40:10,307 --> 00:40:14,245 on where the missile was launched from 748 00:40:14,245 --> 00:40:17,013 since it's a matter of flight time of the missile. 749 00:40:17,014 --> 00:40:19,950 And the same way with a submarine. 750 00:40:19,950 --> 00:40:21,452 The warning time then would depend 751 00:40:21,452 --> 00:40:23,921 on where the submarine was when it launched. 752 00:40:23,921 --> 00:40:27,957 Attacks upon the sensors could make us blind and deaf... 753 00:40:28,893 --> 00:40:33,130 but we have overlapping and redundant systems 754 00:40:33,130 --> 00:40:36,934 and to knock them all out would be a sizable effort, 755 00:40:36,934 --> 00:40:40,671 and to do so would be considered an act of war. 756 00:40:43,741 --> 00:40:46,009 - [Ustinov] Even in peacetime the radar outposts 757 00:40:46,010 --> 00:40:48,512 have plenty to do, reporting to NORAD 758 00:40:48,512 --> 00:40:51,348 on all the satellites that circle the Earth. 759 00:40:51,348 --> 00:40:53,284 Most of them have war-like functions 760 00:40:53,284 --> 00:40:55,286 and some could make mischief. 761 00:40:57,455 --> 00:41:00,223 The watchers see the superpowers using spacecraft 762 00:41:00,224 --> 00:41:03,427 more and more for military command and control. 763 00:41:04,061 --> 00:41:06,931 They rely on them for spying, for early warning, 764 00:41:06,931 --> 00:41:09,300 for their world-wide communications. 765 00:41:09,300 --> 00:41:11,402 They are tempting targets indeed. 766 00:41:11,402 --> 00:41:14,138 (machine clicking loudly) 767 00:41:14,138 --> 00:41:16,106 And from time to time NORAD spots 768 00:41:16,106 --> 00:41:18,542 anti-satellite devices under test. 769 00:41:18,542 --> 00:41:23,346 - 10382, the kernel set is 485. (machine clicking loudly) 770 00:41:23,347 --> 00:41:26,717 - Every medium that man has entered before 771 00:41:26,717 --> 00:41:31,322 he has found ultimately some way to conduct warfare in it. 772 00:41:31,322 --> 00:41:34,325 Now, whether or not there's going to be warfare 773 00:41:34,325 --> 00:41:38,863 in space I think is more a matter for mankind to decide. 774 00:41:39,997 --> 00:41:41,499 - [Ustinov] For those of us still stranded 775 00:41:41,499 --> 00:41:44,067 on this planet, the chain of command comes 776 00:41:44,068 --> 00:41:46,570 to its bitter end with the missile crews. 777 00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:50,541 On the windy plains of North Dakota 778 00:41:50,541 --> 00:41:52,476 they never know that the president's order 779 00:41:52,476 --> 00:41:56,213 won't come today to fire their missiles in anger. 780 00:41:56,714 --> 00:41:58,249 But how can anyone make certain 781 00:41:58,249 --> 00:42:00,317 that they'll never shoot without authority 782 00:42:00,317 --> 00:42:04,455 and yet never fail to shoot if their nation requires it? 783 00:42:06,290 --> 00:42:08,325 When the crews change their shifts, 784 00:42:08,325 --> 00:42:10,895 the brother officers are cool and punctilious. 785 00:42:10,895 --> 00:42:12,229 - You ready to brief our status? 786 00:42:12,229 --> 00:42:13,663 - Okay. 787 00:42:13,664 --> 00:42:15,399 LCB status is normal. 788 00:42:15,399 --> 00:42:16,734 - Very good. 789 00:42:16,734 --> 00:42:18,302 Communications status? 790 00:42:18,302 --> 00:42:19,770 - The radios are all operational. 791 00:42:19,770 --> 00:42:20,771 - Okay. 792 00:42:21,272 --> 00:42:22,606 Launch switches? 793 00:42:24,675 --> 00:42:27,478 Check the launch switch first over here. 794 00:42:30,681 --> 00:42:32,416 - Launch switch... 795 00:42:33,050 --> 00:42:34,618 - [Ustinov] The new commander won't take charge 796 00:42:34,618 --> 00:42:36,320 of the missiles until he's given 797 00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,523 the control capsule a thorough inspection. 798 00:42:39,523 --> 00:42:41,325 There must be no funny business down here 799 00:42:41,325 --> 00:42:43,359 with our world at stake. 800 00:42:44,495 --> 00:42:45,763 - [Officer] It's good. 801 00:42:45,763 --> 00:42:46,529 - Okay. 802 00:42:46,730 --> 00:42:48,232 Did you check the keys already? 803 00:42:48,232 --> 00:42:48,832 - Yeah. 804 00:42:48,832 --> 00:42:51,000 - Okay, you want check our locks and make sure they're on? 805 00:42:51,001 --> 00:42:54,138 (locks rattling) 806 00:42:54,838 --> 00:42:56,774 Well, there's your lock. - Okay. 807 00:42:57,174 --> 00:42:58,942 - You guys have a good one. - Okay, have a good one. 808 00:42:58,943 --> 00:42:59,710 - Safe trip back. 809 00:42:59,710 --> 00:43:00,978 - Take care. - See you tomorrow. 810 00:43:01,946 --> 00:43:04,748 - Well, let's go on our inspections. 811 00:43:05,182 --> 00:43:08,218 - [Ustinov] On these young men falls direct responsibility 812 00:43:08,218 --> 00:43:12,489 for 30 H-bombs, the warheads of 10 Minuteman missiles 813 00:43:12,489 --> 00:43:14,625 of intercontinental range. 814 00:43:14,959 --> 00:43:16,560 (machine beeping) 815 00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:20,230 Once the missiles have gone, they can't be called back. 816 00:43:20,230 --> 00:43:21,765 - This is the missile launch checklist. 817 00:43:21,765 --> 00:43:23,634 Step one, launch keys inserted. 818 00:43:23,634 --> 00:43:25,569 (seatbelts clattering) 819 00:43:26,070 --> 00:43:29,306 - [Ustinov] Even here, presumably safe from all intruders, 820 00:43:29,306 --> 00:43:32,476 the keys that can unlock death for millions of people 821 00:43:32,476 --> 00:43:34,545 are not left lying around. 822 00:43:35,112 --> 00:43:38,082 And to launch the missiles, two are not enough. 823 00:43:38,916 --> 00:43:41,552 - Inserted commander. - Inserted deputy. 824 00:43:41,885 --> 00:43:44,188 - The four key system is a system used 825 00:43:44,188 --> 00:43:48,058 to ensure the correct launch and authorized launch 826 00:43:48,058 --> 00:43:50,728 of the Minuteman missile force. 827 00:43:50,728 --> 00:43:52,963 Four keys is the minimum amount required 828 00:43:52,963 --> 00:43:55,199 to launch any Minuteman missile. 829 00:43:55,199 --> 00:43:57,468 Two keys are in each capsule, one for the deputy 830 00:43:57,468 --> 00:43:59,203 and one for myself, the commander. 831 00:43:59,203 --> 00:44:00,504 When we turn our keys together, 832 00:44:00,504 --> 00:44:03,107 we constitute one launch vote. 833 00:44:03,107 --> 00:44:05,609 Our one launch vote combined with the one launch vote 834 00:44:05,609 --> 00:44:07,077 of another launch control center 835 00:44:07,077 --> 00:44:09,346 to which we are electrically connected 836 00:44:09,346 --> 00:44:13,617 allows the four key system to come into effect 837 00:44:13,617 --> 00:44:16,453 and constitutes an authorized launch command. 838 00:44:16,453 --> 00:44:18,856 In the event an unauthorized command is sent, 839 00:44:18,856 --> 00:44:20,891 we have what we call an inhibit launch command 840 00:44:20,891 --> 00:44:24,895 which is used to cancel out the unauthorized order. 841 00:44:24,895 --> 00:44:25,696 - Enable. 842 00:44:25,696 --> 00:44:27,096 (indistinct conversation) 843 00:44:27,097 --> 00:44:28,899 - Depress illuminated. 844 00:44:29,933 --> 00:44:31,802 - [Radio] Charlie, Bravo, Echo. 845 00:44:32,269 --> 00:44:33,703 - Launcher, this is Alpha and we need 846 00:44:33,704 --> 00:44:35,939 a key turn in five seconds. 847 00:44:36,740 --> 00:44:37,774 - [Radio] Bravo. 848 00:44:38,542 --> 00:44:41,178 Charlie, Delta, Echo. 849 00:44:41,178 --> 00:44:43,147 - Okay launch switch, hands on keys. 850 00:44:43,147 --> 00:44:43,846 - Hands on. 851 00:44:43,847 --> 00:44:46,050 - Three, two, one, mark. 852 00:44:46,050 --> 00:44:46,717 (key clicks) 853 00:44:46,717 --> 00:44:47,685 - Key turn. 854 00:44:48,218 --> 00:44:53,357 (machine buzzing) 855 00:44:54,892 --> 00:44:57,794 I have one gone, two is missile away. 856 00:44:57,795 --> 00:44:58,962 Four is gone. 857 00:44:59,396 --> 00:45:00,664 - In order to become a missileer, 858 00:45:00,664 --> 00:45:02,966 you have to be very carefully screened. 859 00:45:02,966 --> 00:45:05,669 Any person who exhibits unstable behavior 860 00:45:05,669 --> 00:45:07,203 such as a heavy drinking problem 861 00:45:07,204 --> 00:45:09,106 or develops a serious marital problem 862 00:45:09,106 --> 00:45:13,310 or something more personal, he would be removed from duty. 863 00:45:13,744 --> 00:45:16,780 Only the most mentally fit and prepared people 864 00:45:16,780 --> 00:45:19,083 are permitted to pull missile alert duty 865 00:45:19,083 --> 00:45:21,051 and SAC bomber duty. 866 00:45:21,785 --> 00:45:23,886 - [Ustinov] The missiles and bombers of SAC, 867 00:45:23,887 --> 00:45:26,290 Strategic Air Command, are controlled 868 00:45:26,290 --> 00:45:30,194 from an underground command post here at Omaha, Nebraska. 869 00:45:30,627 --> 00:45:33,529 Launching the missiles usually requires proper orders 870 00:45:33,530 --> 00:45:36,033 relayed from the highest in the land, 871 00:45:36,033 --> 00:45:38,634 but the SAC command post may not be buried 872 00:45:38,635 --> 00:45:40,671 deep enough to escape destruction. 873 00:45:40,671 --> 00:45:43,073 Indeed, attacks on key headquarters 874 00:45:43,073 --> 00:45:46,410 might leave the superpower like a beheaded dragon 875 00:45:46,410 --> 00:45:48,112 unable to strike back. 876 00:45:48,545 --> 00:45:51,982 An unusual aircraft tries to avoid that outcome. 877 00:45:51,982 --> 00:45:57,955 (plane roaring) 878 00:45:57,955 --> 00:46:00,657 Anticipating the chaos of nuclear war, 879 00:46:00,657 --> 00:46:03,861 the generals of SAC take turns in providing another channel 880 00:46:03,861 --> 00:46:08,098 of command in the comparative safety of the air. 881 00:46:08,098 --> 00:46:11,168 It has a codename, Looking Glass. 882 00:46:11,168 --> 00:46:14,972 - This airborne command post, which has been flying, 883 00:46:14,972 --> 00:46:19,009 or an airplane similar to this, for the past 17 years, 884 00:46:19,009 --> 00:46:21,845 offers our commander in chief and the national 885 00:46:21,845 --> 00:46:25,982 command authorities a method to maintain connectivity 886 00:46:25,983 --> 00:46:28,919 or communications with all the organizations 887 00:46:28,919 --> 00:46:30,654 that we are responsible for 888 00:46:30,654 --> 00:46:33,023 within the Strategic Air Command. 889 00:46:33,023 --> 00:46:36,126 We will never be caught unawares. 890 00:46:36,126 --> 00:46:39,496 We'll always be able to maintain communications 891 00:46:39,496 --> 00:46:42,132 between the national command authorities 892 00:46:42,132 --> 00:46:44,768 and the Strategic Air Command forces. 893 00:46:45,469 --> 00:46:47,604 Aboard several of our airplanes, 894 00:46:47,604 --> 00:46:49,673 including this particular airplane, 895 00:46:49,673 --> 00:46:53,977 we have the ability to launch the Minuteman missiles 896 00:46:53,977 --> 00:46:56,712 if in fact circumstances on the ground 897 00:46:56,713 --> 00:46:59,349 would prevent them from being launched 898 00:46:59,349 --> 00:47:01,518 under execution orders 899 00:47:01,518 --> 00:47:03,453 from the national command authorities. 900 00:47:03,453 --> 00:47:05,622 (buttons clicking & computers humming) 901 00:47:05,622 --> 00:47:06,623 (paper rustling) 902 00:47:06,623 --> 00:47:12,529 (buttons clicking & computers humming) 903 00:47:12,529 --> 00:47:14,464 - The reasoning is straightforward. 904 00:47:14,464 --> 00:47:18,769 In this Looking Glass, stranger far than Alice's, 905 00:47:18,769 --> 00:47:23,006 we see a disturbing sight; the pilots looking down 906 00:47:23,006 --> 00:47:26,375 on ruination, on incinerated cities, 907 00:47:26,376 --> 00:47:28,445 military targets crushed. 908 00:47:28,445 --> 00:47:31,281 An airborne general awaiting orders 909 00:47:31,281 --> 00:47:34,685 from the senior surviving member of the government. 910 00:47:34,685 --> 00:47:40,591 Orders to wreak similar havoc on the enemy. 911 00:47:40,591 --> 00:47:43,060 It is very images of horror such as these 912 00:47:43,060 --> 00:47:45,929 that the superpowers seek to deter each other, 913 00:47:45,929 --> 00:47:49,333 but the very fact of the existence of headquarters 914 00:47:49,333 --> 00:47:54,271 in the sky like these acknowledges the frailty 915 00:47:54,271 --> 00:47:58,909 of other elements in command and control. 916 00:47:58,909 --> 00:48:03,981 And the frailest of all these elements are human beings. 917 00:48:04,948 --> 00:48:09,685 (indistinct conversation) 918 00:48:10,354 --> 00:48:12,556 - [Ustinov] Looking Glass itself might lack authority 919 00:48:12,556 --> 00:48:14,958 if no word came from the president, 920 00:48:14,958 --> 00:48:18,095 so he too has an emergency command post, 921 00:48:18,095 --> 00:48:22,466 a jumbo jet with the improbable name of "Kneecap." 922 00:48:23,133 --> 00:48:25,602 It can whisk the president and his military chiefs 923 00:48:25,602 --> 00:48:30,574 out of harm's way IF they make it to the airfield in time. 924 00:48:31,108 --> 00:48:32,809 - The command system, 925 00:48:33,110 --> 00:48:36,580 because it depends upon fragile communication assets 926 00:48:36,580 --> 00:48:39,316 and a very few people, is extremely vulnerable 927 00:48:39,316 --> 00:48:40,783 itself to attack. 928 00:48:41,585 --> 00:48:44,388 So, a first strike on a command system 929 00:48:44,388 --> 00:48:48,292 gives the probability of seriously degrading 930 00:48:48,292 --> 00:48:53,196 the military capability of the force that is attacked. 931 00:48:53,997 --> 00:48:57,667 Modern command systems understand that fact. 932 00:48:58,435 --> 00:49:03,106 Given all this, in the midst of a crisis 933 00:49:03,106 --> 00:49:07,544 in which military commanders believe that a war 934 00:49:07,544 --> 00:49:11,147 can no longer be avoided because the preparations 935 00:49:11,148 --> 00:49:14,851 have gone too far, there would be extreme pressures 936 00:49:14,851 --> 00:49:19,523 to go the full way and to get in, 937 00:49:19,523 --> 00:49:20,657 if not the first attack, 938 00:49:20,657 --> 00:49:24,361 certainly to establish basic military plans 939 00:49:24,361 --> 00:49:28,865 and bring their forces right up to the actual brink of war. 940 00:49:28,865 --> 00:49:32,935 (bootsteps marching in snow) 941 00:49:32,936 --> 00:49:36,340 - [Ustinov] The same knotty issues of command and control 942 00:49:36,340 --> 00:49:39,810 beset the Soviet Union's strategic rocket force. 943 00:49:42,112 --> 00:49:43,847 (footsteps down stairs) 944 00:49:43,847 --> 00:49:46,316 Anyone who might find himself at the receiving end 945 00:49:46,316 --> 00:49:49,051 of a Russian missile would naturally hope 946 00:49:49,052 --> 00:49:51,722 their precautions against any unauthorized launch 947 00:49:51,722 --> 00:49:54,458 are at least as strict as the Americans. 948 00:49:55,425 --> 00:49:57,294 But Soviet missile officers, 949 00:49:57,294 --> 00:49:59,129 like their American counterparts, 950 00:49:59,129 --> 00:50:01,365 know that in a nuclear war their systems 951 00:50:01,365 --> 00:50:03,966 of command and control would be targets 952 00:50:03,967 --> 00:50:05,836 of the highest priority. 953 00:50:05,836 --> 00:50:11,274 (machines humming) 954 00:50:11,274 --> 00:50:14,344 They're quite aware that communications can fail, 955 00:50:14,344 --> 00:50:17,180 headquarters can be atomized, political leaders 956 00:50:17,180 --> 00:50:19,348 and generals can perish. 957 00:50:20,150 --> 00:50:21,151 (switch popping) 958 00:50:21,151 --> 00:50:26,656 (platform rumbling) 959 00:50:26,656 --> 00:50:30,727 Soviet anxieties mirror those of the United States. 960 00:50:30,727 --> 00:50:32,962 The need to avoid being caught unawares 961 00:50:32,963 --> 00:50:35,732 in a surprise attack, to be sure of getting 962 00:50:35,732 --> 00:50:40,370 the big missiles away before the chain of command snaps. 963 00:50:40,370 --> 00:50:42,105 But how do they arrange these matters 964 00:50:42,105 --> 00:50:44,808 on the other side of the balance of terror? 965 00:50:45,308 --> 00:50:48,545 - I don't know if there is a difference in vulnerability 966 00:50:48,545 --> 00:50:51,314 between the United States and the Soviet Union, 967 00:50:51,314 --> 00:50:52,915 but there certainly is a difference 968 00:50:52,916 --> 00:50:55,252 in their style of operation 969 00:50:55,252 --> 00:50:57,520 with respect to command and control. 970 00:50:58,855 --> 00:51:00,991 The difference has to do with the basic nature 971 00:51:00,991 --> 00:51:02,592 of these two societies. 972 00:51:02,592 --> 00:51:05,829 The United States is a highly decentralized society 973 00:51:05,829 --> 00:51:07,964 and so are its military forces. 974 00:51:07,964 --> 00:51:10,400 A great deal of dependence upon the initiative 975 00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:15,172 of low level commanders under actual operations 976 00:51:15,172 --> 00:51:16,706 of military forces. 977 00:51:16,706 --> 00:51:19,176 Soviet Union is a highly centralized society 978 00:51:19,176 --> 00:51:21,378 and so are its military forces. 979 00:51:21,978 --> 00:51:23,747 They have gone to extraordinary effort 980 00:51:23,747 --> 00:51:27,250 as far as we can tell to maintain that central authority, 981 00:51:27,250 --> 00:51:31,121 even to the point of trading off against the vulnerability 982 00:51:31,121 --> 00:51:32,722 of their actual force elements. 983 00:51:32,722 --> 00:51:34,758 (water churning & seagulls squawking) 984 00:51:34,758 --> 00:51:36,393 - [Ustinov] The trickiest of all forces 985 00:51:36,393 --> 00:51:39,129 to control are the submarines, whose missiles 986 00:51:39,129 --> 00:51:41,998 are the superpower's last resort. 987 00:51:41,998 --> 00:51:45,769 But in time of war, will the commands ever reach them? 988 00:51:45,769 --> 00:51:47,604 The American sailors casting off 989 00:51:47,604 --> 00:51:50,107 from Holy Loch in Scotland won't see 990 00:51:50,107 --> 00:51:52,309 daylight again for two months. 991 00:51:53,477 --> 00:51:56,011 And communicating with submarines under water 992 00:51:56,012 --> 00:51:58,515 is difficult enough in peacetime. 993 00:51:59,583 --> 00:52:02,486 - [John] I really do not know what kind of orders 994 00:52:02,486 --> 00:52:05,821 the United States missile submarines operate under. 995 00:52:05,822 --> 00:52:08,758 However, we can realize that the vulnerability 996 00:52:08,758 --> 00:52:11,794 of their communication links require that 997 00:52:11,795 --> 00:52:13,730 a great deal of authority be vested 998 00:52:13,730 --> 00:52:16,233 in the submarine commander and the officers 999 00:52:16,233 --> 00:52:18,135 and men serving underneath him. 1000 00:52:19,002 --> 00:52:23,373 In circumstances in which it became apparent 1001 00:52:23,373 --> 00:52:27,310 that the United States had been attacked massively 1002 00:52:27,310 --> 00:52:30,580 and their communication links had been broken 1003 00:52:30,580 --> 00:52:33,850 and could not be reestablished, the submarine commander 1004 00:52:33,850 --> 00:52:37,254 would have to decide whether to execute the missions 1005 00:52:37,254 --> 00:52:39,055 for which he had been prepared 1006 00:52:39,055 --> 00:52:42,692 despite the lack of formal authority to do so, 1007 00:52:42,692 --> 00:52:45,061 or whether he should fail to do so 1008 00:52:45,061 --> 00:52:48,498 and possibly degrade the retaliatory capability 1009 00:52:48,498 --> 00:52:49,733 of the United States. 1010 00:52:49,733 --> 00:52:52,169 I don't think it's predictable in advance 1011 00:52:52,169 --> 00:52:56,038 how a submarine commander would resolve this problem, 1012 00:52:56,039 --> 00:52:59,643 but everybody recognizes that there are circumstances 1013 00:52:59,643 --> 00:53:01,511 in which he would virtually have to do so 1014 00:53:01,511 --> 00:53:03,846 and some of them undoubtedly would. 1015 00:53:03,847 --> 00:53:06,816 (water churning) 1016 00:53:06,816 --> 00:53:11,154 I think the same logic does apply to the Soviet submarines, 1017 00:53:11,154 --> 00:53:16,059 but I personally believe that they do not operate 1018 00:53:16,092 --> 00:53:18,361 under quite the extension of authority 1019 00:53:18,361 --> 00:53:21,964 that is characteristic of the United States force. 1020 00:53:21,965 --> 00:53:24,234 Indeed I believe that's why there are 1021 00:53:24,234 --> 00:53:30,507 observable operational restrictions on Soviet submarines. 1022 00:53:30,507 --> 00:53:34,311 At any given time they have many fewer of them at sea 1023 00:53:34,311 --> 00:53:37,347 and they do not operate quite as far 1024 00:53:37,347 --> 00:53:40,050 from the Soviet Union as the United States submarines 1025 00:53:40,050 --> 00:53:41,651 do from the United States. 1026 00:53:42,319 --> 00:53:43,687 I simply believe they've solved 1027 00:53:43,687 --> 00:53:44,921 the problem in a different way. 1028 00:53:44,921 --> 00:53:47,390 They are willing to accept some greater vulnerability 1029 00:53:47,390 --> 00:53:50,961 of their submarines in order to achieve 1030 00:53:50,961 --> 00:53:52,796 tighter operational control. 1031 00:53:56,533 --> 00:53:58,902 - I know very little about submarines, 1032 00:53:58,902 --> 00:54:00,437 but I imagine that their crews 1033 00:54:00,437 --> 00:54:06,176 are as cramped and as isolated as we are here...cut off. 1034 00:54:06,176 --> 00:54:08,478 I'm thinking in particular of the captain 1035 00:54:08,478 --> 00:54:12,983 of a Soviet submarine selected for a long range mission 1036 00:54:12,983 --> 00:54:16,386 in the Pacific because of his proven loyalty 1037 00:54:16,386 --> 00:54:19,489 to the party, and also because of his quality as a seaman. 1038 00:54:20,624 --> 00:54:25,361 Now, he had lost touch with his base for days. 1039 00:54:25,829 --> 00:54:27,831 His second in command told him 1040 00:54:27,831 --> 00:54:30,734 nothing from the shore transmitter, 1041 00:54:31,368 --> 00:54:34,070 nothing from the emergency aircraft. 1042 00:54:34,871 --> 00:54:37,040 The captain addressed the crew: 1043 00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:39,776 "Comrades...perhaps our Mother Russia 1044 00:54:39,776 --> 00:54:41,344 has been burnt to a cinder already 1045 00:54:41,344 --> 00:54:43,913 and we're the only ones left to avenge her. 1046 00:54:45,081 --> 00:54:47,117 But my orders are specific. 1047 00:54:47,817 --> 00:54:50,453 I must have proof that nuclear war has broken out 1048 00:54:50,453 --> 00:54:52,221 before I take any initiative. 1049 00:54:52,222 --> 00:54:55,759 We should surface, sample the atmosphere, 1050 00:54:55,759 --> 00:54:58,295 listen for news broadcasts." 1051 00:54:58,295 --> 00:54:59,062 But... 1052 00:54:59,396 --> 00:55:01,264 there were three unidentified ships 1053 00:55:01,264 --> 00:55:03,133 bearing down on him already. 1054 00:55:03,133 --> 00:55:04,768 "Three destroyers, Comrade Captain, 1055 00:55:04,768 --> 00:55:06,870 and a possible submarine." 1056 00:55:08,405 --> 00:55:11,474 "If they sink us we shall have the proof we need," 1057 00:55:11,474 --> 00:55:12,909 grunted the captain. 1058 00:55:13,510 --> 00:55:16,379 "And if I launch my missiles the chances are 1059 00:55:16,379 --> 00:55:18,548 "they'll sink us anyway." 1060 00:55:18,548 --> 00:55:20,216 "But why should they provoke us like this 1061 00:55:20,216 --> 00:55:22,719 if they have not attacked the Soviet Union?" 1062 00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:25,789 "Oh...we provoke each other all the time 1063 00:55:25,789 --> 00:55:27,957 in this war of nerves; that's nothing." 1064 00:55:27,957 --> 00:55:30,493 "But Comrade Captain, (speaking in foreign language)? 1065 00:55:30,493 --> 00:55:32,395 The emergency aircraft?" 1066 00:55:34,397 --> 00:55:36,700 The captain took his decision. 1067 00:55:37,133 --> 00:55:39,836 "I will launch two missiles. 1068 00:55:39,836 --> 00:55:41,971 In this way if it's a terrible mistake 1069 00:55:41,971 --> 00:55:43,473 the party chairman can always say 1070 00:55:43,473 --> 00:55:46,910 to the American president: "That stupid captain, 1071 00:55:46,910 --> 00:55:48,545 we've punished him. 1072 00:55:48,945 --> 00:55:52,649 We apologize about Denver and San Diego." 1073 00:55:52,649 --> 00:55:54,851 "If it isn't a mistake we shall have done our duty 1074 00:55:54,851 --> 00:55:57,220 in part at least." 1075 00:55:57,220 --> 00:55:58,120 "But... 1076 00:55:58,121 --> 00:56:00,590 we would never start a war ourselves!" 1077 00:56:00,590 --> 00:56:01,925 cried the second in command. 1078 00:56:01,925 --> 00:56:03,493 "Remember what the admiral said!" 1079 00:56:03,860 --> 00:56:05,929 The crew cheered quietly. 1080 00:56:07,297 --> 00:56:10,333 "There are certain circles in Washington eager 1081 00:56:10,333 --> 00:56:11,768 to destroy us. 1082 00:56:11,768 --> 00:56:14,904 Are two missiles sufficient?" 1083 00:56:14,904 --> 00:56:18,575 "Two missiles..." said the captain. 1084 00:56:19,209 --> 00:56:20,210 "Proceed." 1085 00:56:21,044 --> 00:56:25,348 And so he remained poised on a balance of error, 1086 00:56:25,348 --> 00:56:29,419 not knowing whether he had started a nuclear war 1087 00:56:29,419 --> 00:56:33,356 or merely stoked fires that were raging already. 1088 00:56:36,626 --> 00:56:42,599 (alarm blaring) (men chattering) 1089 00:56:42,599 --> 00:56:49,239 (alarm blaring) (engines racing) 1090 00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:51,808 When bomber crews scramble it certainly sounds like 1091 00:56:51,808 --> 00:56:53,676 the end of the world. 1092 00:56:53,676 --> 00:56:56,813 (alarms blaring) 1093 00:56:56,813 --> 00:56:59,516 Memories of the Japanese surprise attack on Pearl Harbor 1094 00:56:59,516 --> 00:57:03,920 nearly 40 years ago still haunt American strategies, 1095 00:57:03,920 --> 00:57:06,189 so they always keep a hundred aircraft on alert, 1096 00:57:06,189 --> 00:57:08,792 laden with nuclear weapons. 1097 00:57:08,792 --> 00:57:11,060 Otherwise a sudden strike by missiles 1098 00:57:11,060 --> 00:57:14,998 might annihilate the entire bomber force on the ground. 1099 00:57:16,032 --> 00:57:20,170 So, if the warning comes, the crews scurry into the air. 1100 00:57:21,905 --> 00:57:24,474 An attack of that sort would be yet another way 1101 00:57:24,474 --> 00:57:26,676 for a nuclear war to start. 1102 00:57:27,110 --> 00:57:30,480 One superpower or the other coming to believe 1103 00:57:30,480 --> 00:57:33,683 it can or must strike first, 1104 00:57:33,683 --> 00:57:36,386 the aim being to cripple the other's nuclear forces 1105 00:57:36,386 --> 00:57:40,223 embodied in bombers, missiles and submarines. 1106 00:57:40,223 --> 00:57:41,758 Any of them sooner or later 1107 00:57:41,758 --> 00:57:43,993 could well be vulnerable to attack. 1108 00:57:43,993 --> 00:57:58,708 (aircraft roaring) 1109 00:57:58,708 --> 00:58:01,344 (aircraft screeching) 1110 00:58:01,344 --> 00:58:05,582 Even if the somewhat elderly B-52s get airborne in time, 1111 00:58:05,582 --> 00:58:07,016 won't they just be shot down 1112 00:58:07,016 --> 00:58:09,185 before they reach their targets? 1113 00:58:09,853 --> 00:58:13,089 - Not all manned bombers are necessarily vulnerable. 1114 00:58:13,556 --> 00:58:15,425 They have become increasingly vulnerable 1115 00:58:15,425 --> 00:58:17,260 as time goes on because, for example, 1116 00:58:17,260 --> 00:58:22,031 the Soviet Union has developed an anti-aircraft system 1117 00:58:22,499 --> 00:58:26,803 that essentially layers the air above the ground 1118 00:58:26,803 --> 00:58:29,839 and addresses each layer with a different weapon. 1119 00:58:29,839 --> 00:58:33,042 Therefore, they sort of have covered the entire range 1120 00:58:33,042 --> 00:58:35,645 in which a bomber could fly with a different kind of weapon 1121 00:58:35,645 --> 00:58:39,148 and that seems to be reasonably lethal. 1122 00:58:39,148 --> 00:58:43,319 On the other hand, a bomber has ways to confuse 1123 00:58:43,319 --> 00:58:45,955 the radars, for example, of the anti-aircraft system 1124 00:58:45,955 --> 00:58:52,595 and thereby be able to penetrate with less danger 1125 00:58:52,595 --> 00:58:55,665 and threat than one would normally expect. 1126 00:58:56,299 --> 00:58:59,802 The best way, of course, to do that is avoid 1127 00:58:59,802 --> 00:59:02,639 the defenses and that's where the cruise missile comes in. 1128 00:59:02,639 --> 00:59:12,248 (vehicles humming) 1129 00:59:12,248 --> 00:59:15,151 The cruise missile can be launched from the bomber 1130 00:59:15,151 --> 00:59:16,919 and travel very near the ground 1131 00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:20,156 where it would probably hide in the clutter, 1132 00:59:20,156 --> 00:59:23,526 in the noise that the ground generates on a radar. 1133 00:59:24,661 --> 00:59:26,930 Therefore, be able to penetrate much more easily 1134 00:59:26,930 --> 00:59:29,299 than a large bomber like a B-52. 1135 00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:32,101 Then the bomber does not have to approach 1136 00:59:32,101 --> 00:59:34,304 the dangerous areas that are defended 1137 00:59:34,304 --> 00:59:37,340 and therefore its survivability is increased. 1138 00:59:37,340 --> 00:59:40,944 (missile rumbling) 1139 00:59:40,944 --> 00:59:45,248 The equation of survivability versus penetrability 1140 00:59:45,248 --> 00:59:46,783 goes back and forth. 1141 00:59:46,783 --> 00:59:50,219 You devise a new weapon and for awhile 1142 00:59:50,219 --> 00:59:52,689 you have the ability to penetrate and hit a target. 1143 00:59:52,689 --> 00:59:56,658 The other fellow who is interested in defending the target 1144 00:59:56,659 --> 00:59:59,128 eventually defines a counter measure to that. 1145 00:59:59,128 --> 01:00:01,331 Then of course you come around and you define 1146 01:00:01,331 --> 01:00:04,467 a new weapon that takes care of that countermeasure. 1147 01:00:04,467 --> 01:00:07,236 And it's this measure-countermeasure situation 1148 01:00:07,236 --> 01:00:11,641 that you are really encountering in military operations, 1149 01:00:11,641 --> 01:00:14,811 in bombing or in anything like that. 1150 01:00:14,811 --> 01:00:18,114 So, it is perhaps misleading to say that 1151 01:00:18,114 --> 01:00:21,217 the bomber is inexorably vulnerable 1152 01:00:21,217 --> 01:00:26,656 and will be eliminated from the face of the Earth. 1153 01:00:28,491 --> 01:00:30,693 - [Ustinov] The superpowers wouldn't trust their destinies 1154 01:00:30,693 --> 01:00:33,496 to just one method of hitting each other. 1155 01:00:33,496 --> 01:00:35,999 That's why scattered across the countryside 1156 01:00:35,999 --> 01:00:37,734 the intercontinental missiles stand 1157 01:00:37,734 --> 01:00:39,802 in their buried launchers. 1158 01:00:40,336 --> 01:00:42,671 The Americans have a thousand. 1159 01:00:43,272 --> 01:00:46,609 But would they survive in a nuclear battle? 1160 01:00:47,010 --> 01:00:50,213 Would the airborne commander in his Looking Glass aircraft 1161 01:00:50,213 --> 01:00:52,582 have anything left to launch? 1162 01:00:53,516 --> 01:00:56,386 Once through the looking glass we find 1163 01:00:56,386 --> 01:01:01,424 the garden of intercontinental ballistic missiles. 1164 01:01:01,424 --> 01:01:04,127 And if the order should come from Strategic Air Command 1165 01:01:04,127 --> 01:01:07,397 or from the Looking Glass aircraft, 1166 01:01:07,397 --> 01:01:10,333 then the massive lid on which I'm standing 1167 01:01:10,333 --> 01:01:13,569 would be thrown aside and the Minuteman missile 1168 01:01:13,569 --> 01:01:15,805 would come roaring out. 1169 01:01:16,506 --> 01:01:18,774 This is a silo in the military 1170 01:01:18,775 --> 01:01:21,711 rather than in the agricultural sense 1171 01:01:21,711 --> 01:01:24,180 and there are over a hundred of them 1172 01:01:24,180 --> 01:01:28,116 in the farmland in this part of North Dakota. 1173 01:01:28,117 --> 01:01:30,553 (mechanism rumbling) 1174 01:01:30,553 --> 01:01:32,488 But each Minuteman has three separate 1175 01:01:32,488 --> 01:01:35,058 nuclear warheads concealed in its nose, 1176 01:01:35,058 --> 01:01:37,794 each aimed at a different target. 1177 01:01:37,794 --> 01:01:40,296 And now that the big Russian missiles, too, 1178 01:01:40,296 --> 01:01:43,066 have several re-entry vehicles apiece, 1179 01:01:43,066 --> 01:01:45,401 swarms of powerful and accurate warheads 1180 01:01:45,401 --> 01:01:48,104 might in theory rain down on the silos 1181 01:01:48,104 --> 01:01:50,239 and destroy most of the Minuteman force. 1182 01:01:50,239 --> 01:01:58,381 (rocket roars) 1183 01:01:58,381 --> 01:02:00,348 If the duel of missile against missile 1184 01:02:00,349 --> 01:02:03,186 becomes plausible, the side that shoots first 1185 01:02:03,186 --> 01:02:05,088 might gravely weaken the other, 1186 01:02:05,088 --> 01:02:07,590 unless of course the victim hurriedly launches 1187 01:02:07,590 --> 01:02:10,426 his own missiles before they're hit. 1188 01:02:11,194 --> 01:02:15,498 - [Kosta] Missiles are being tested now from test sites 1189 01:02:15,498 --> 01:02:18,534 into the Pacific Ocean or the Atlantic Ocean 1190 01:02:18,534 --> 01:02:21,070 and the same thing is the case in the Soviet Union. 1191 01:02:22,038 --> 01:02:24,307 Neither country, I believe, have tested missiles 1192 01:02:24,307 --> 01:02:27,843 from operational silos with operational crews 1193 01:02:27,844 --> 01:02:33,349 over the trajectory they're going to follow in time of war. 1194 01:02:33,349 --> 01:02:36,219 Therefore we don't really know what's going to happen 1195 01:02:36,219 --> 01:02:37,153 if you try to launch 1196 01:02:37,153 --> 01:02:39,154 a thousand missiles over half an hour 1197 01:02:39,155 --> 01:02:41,390 and send them all cross-targeted 1198 01:02:41,390 --> 01:02:43,192 against a thousand silos. 1199 01:02:43,693 --> 01:02:47,130 This kind of extremely complex process 1200 01:02:47,163 --> 01:02:49,899 that obviously like all technical 1201 01:02:49,899 --> 01:02:55,203 and technological processes will have bugs in it, 1202 01:02:55,204 --> 01:02:58,775 has never been tested, has never been rehearsed even. 1203 01:02:58,775 --> 01:03:00,543 Therefore, it seems to me to say 1204 01:03:00,543 --> 01:03:02,979 with any degree of certainty that indeed 1205 01:03:02,979 --> 01:03:05,047 the missile is going to perform as we expected, 1206 01:03:05,047 --> 01:03:07,016 is simply not true. 1207 01:03:07,383 --> 01:03:10,486 - I certainly believe the Soviet Union has taken advantage 1208 01:03:10,486 --> 01:03:12,754 of Minuteman vulnerability in the past 1209 01:03:12,755 --> 01:03:13,556 through the development 1210 01:03:13,556 --> 01:03:17,226 of their large, heavy, SS-18 missiles. 1211 01:03:17,226 --> 01:03:19,362 I certainly think they will take advantage 1212 01:03:19,362 --> 01:03:20,396 of it in the future. 1213 01:03:20,396 --> 01:03:20,429 of it in the future. As a matter of fact, I think it's their number one goal 1214 01:03:20,429 --> 01:03:23,432 As a matter of fact, I think it's their number one goal 1215 01:03:23,432 --> 01:03:26,234 to be able to launch first strikes, 1216 01:03:26,235 --> 01:03:30,306 wiping out 90% of our Minuteman III-IVs. 1217 01:03:30,306 --> 01:03:32,708 I don't think they'll do it dramatically 1218 01:03:32,708 --> 01:03:35,545 or cause any great public concern, 1219 01:03:35,545 --> 01:03:39,015 but over a period of time through the mid-1980s 1220 01:03:39,015 --> 01:03:43,185 they will take advantage of our Minuteman III vulnerability. 1221 01:03:43,753 --> 01:03:46,956 - The Soviet Union may within two or three years 1222 01:03:46,956 --> 01:03:49,692 have enough accurate re-entry vehicles 1223 01:03:49,692 --> 01:03:54,263 technically to destroy 90% of the Minuteman silos. 1224 01:03:54,263 --> 01:03:56,598 That doesn't mean that they can destroy the missiles. 1225 01:03:56,599 --> 01:03:59,635 They could launched before they were destroyed. 1226 01:03:59,635 --> 01:04:01,904 It doesn't mean that the Soviet Union 1227 01:04:01,904 --> 01:04:05,141 would do what they are technically capable of doing. 1228 01:04:05,141 --> 01:04:07,777 They would use more missiles, more re-entry vehicles 1229 01:04:07,777 --> 01:04:09,412 than they would destroy. 1230 01:04:10,012 --> 01:04:13,683 They would still have to face the submarine launched 1231 01:04:13,683 --> 01:04:17,253 ballistic missiles and the air-launched cruise missiles. 1232 01:04:17,253 --> 01:04:20,156 It makes no sense for the Soviet Union to destroy 1233 01:04:20,156 --> 01:04:23,960 only a small component of the U.S. strategic force. 1234 01:04:23,960 --> 01:04:25,228 - One of the first things the president 1235 01:04:25,228 --> 01:04:27,129 has to decide when he's elected 1236 01:04:27,129 --> 01:04:28,931 and takes that oath of office, 1237 01:04:28,931 --> 01:04:34,604 what will he do if he is told with no question, 1238 01:04:34,604 --> 01:04:37,607 no lack of confirmation that there is 1239 01:04:37,607 --> 01:04:42,612 a 500,000 missile attack on our Minuteman field? 1240 01:04:42,612 --> 01:04:45,648 He shouldn't have to say, "Gee, I never thought of that. 1241 01:04:45,648 --> 01:04:48,084 Let's form a committee." And as soon as he takes office, 1242 01:04:48,084 --> 01:04:50,685 he'd better make up his mind what he's going to do. 1243 01:04:50,686 --> 01:04:53,289 If he's done that, either he's going to launch 1244 01:04:53,289 --> 01:04:55,091 or he's not going to launch. 1245 01:04:55,091 --> 01:04:57,093 If he's not going to launch then clearly 1246 01:04:57,093 --> 01:04:58,694 the missiles are at risk. 1247 01:04:58,694 --> 01:05:00,529 If he decides that he will launch 1248 01:05:00,529 --> 01:05:03,099 before the adversaries' missiles arrive, 1249 01:05:03,099 --> 01:05:05,034 then they're no longer at risk 1250 01:05:05,034 --> 01:05:07,570 and I would think that if he's made such a decision 1251 01:05:07,570 --> 01:05:09,872 and it's understood, that is part 1252 01:05:09,872 --> 01:05:11,707 of the overall deterrence. 1253 01:05:12,174 --> 01:05:13,809 - If the worst came to the worst, 1254 01:05:13,809 --> 01:05:15,778 what would actually happen? 1255 01:05:16,212 --> 01:05:19,115 Well, this question exercises well-informed experts 1256 01:05:19,115 --> 01:05:22,919 and well-informed computers both here in Washington 1257 01:05:22,919 --> 01:05:27,455 and elsewhere, and they fight imaginary wars 1258 01:05:27,456 --> 01:05:30,393 and try to assess how many people would be killed 1259 01:05:30,393 --> 01:05:34,830 and what damage would be done on both sides. 1260 01:05:34,830 --> 01:05:38,467 And these activities are called "war games." 1261 01:05:38,467 --> 01:05:40,403 Any number can play. 1262 01:05:40,403 --> 01:05:44,339 (buttons clicking) 1263 01:05:44,340 --> 01:05:46,208 The outcome is always disastrous 1264 01:05:46,208 --> 01:05:49,578 with tens or hundreds of millions of dead. 1265 01:05:49,578 --> 01:05:51,913 Yet nowadays the war games of the superpowers 1266 01:05:51,914 --> 01:05:55,051 often commence with one team making a hopeful strike 1267 01:05:55,051 --> 01:05:57,420 at the other's nuclear forces. 1268 01:05:58,421 --> 01:06:01,223 The simple idea of avoiding a nuclear war 1269 01:06:01,223 --> 01:06:04,327 by deterrence is being eroded by notions 1270 01:06:04,327 --> 01:06:06,195 on fighting and winning quickly 1271 01:06:06,195 --> 01:06:09,165 without suffering unduly in the process; 1272 01:06:09,165 --> 01:06:13,134 a question of a judicial selection of targets. 1273 01:06:13,135 --> 01:06:14,737 - If our enemy is really the Soviet state 1274 01:06:14,737 --> 01:06:17,306 and its leaders, murdering... 1275 01:06:17,306 --> 01:06:18,975 murdering Soviet children is not, 1276 01:06:18,975 --> 01:06:20,609 to my mind, where our strategy ought to be. 1277 01:06:20,609 --> 01:06:23,179 Also, I think it's militarily and politically foolish, 1278 01:06:23,179 --> 01:06:24,747 but it's not the kind of promise of damage 1279 01:06:24,747 --> 01:06:26,915 that the Soviets should find most deterring. 1280 01:06:26,916 --> 01:06:28,551 The kind of damage they would find most deterring 1281 01:06:28,551 --> 01:06:30,086 is loss of their military power, 1282 01:06:30,086 --> 01:06:32,988 loss of their ability to control their country politically. 1283 01:06:32,989 --> 01:06:35,024 But we can not even begin to think hard 1284 01:06:35,024 --> 01:06:37,026 about what kind of target sets we should strike for that 1285 01:06:37,026 --> 01:06:39,127 unless we at the same time recognize 1286 01:06:39,128 --> 01:06:40,496 that we have to be able to limit the damage 1287 01:06:40,496 --> 01:06:43,366 they can do to us, because no matter how intelligent 1288 01:06:43,366 --> 01:06:45,601 a set of targeting suggestions I can give you 1289 01:06:45,601 --> 01:06:47,870 for our forces, if the Soviets can kill 1290 01:06:47,870 --> 01:06:50,806 a hundred or 120 million Americans within a few days 1291 01:06:50,806 --> 01:06:53,142 of the beginning of World War Three, 1292 01:06:53,142 --> 01:06:55,511 any reasonable American president who isn't drunk, 1293 01:06:55,511 --> 01:06:59,081 drugged, or just insane, would not be able to exercise 1294 01:06:59,081 --> 01:07:00,316 offensive strategic options 1295 01:07:00,316 --> 01:07:01,417 because of what they could do to us 1296 01:07:01,417 --> 01:07:02,418 we would be self-deterred. 1297 01:07:02,418 --> 01:07:03,753 We have to have a strategy from which 1298 01:07:03,753 --> 01:07:05,054 we are not self-deterred. 1299 01:07:05,054 --> 01:07:07,523 - The Soviet argument about deterrence is this: 1300 01:07:07,523 --> 01:07:11,127 very simply, that if deterrence fails 1301 01:07:11,127 --> 01:07:12,628 then you go over to limiting the damage 1302 01:07:12,628 --> 01:07:14,263 upon your own country. 1303 01:07:14,263 --> 01:07:16,932 And indeed in military preparation terms 1304 01:07:16,932 --> 01:07:19,035 you take all measures to minimize that, 1305 01:07:19,035 --> 01:07:21,770 even if it should include striking first 1306 01:07:21,771 --> 01:07:23,039 at a potential enemy. 1307 01:07:23,039 --> 01:07:24,907 (water splashing loudly) 1308 01:07:24,907 --> 01:07:29,145 - [Ustinov] But are Russia's own forces any safer from attack? 1309 01:07:29,145 --> 01:07:31,480 The missile submarines after the bombers 1310 01:07:31,480 --> 01:07:34,583 and land based missiles are the third main branch 1311 01:07:34,583 --> 01:07:37,186 of the superpower's nuclear forces. 1312 01:07:37,186 --> 01:07:38,954 They're intended always to survive 1313 01:07:38,954 --> 01:07:42,425 for the final revenge, but every Soviet submarine 1314 01:07:42,425 --> 01:07:45,594 leaving its base at Murmansk, attracts attention 1315 01:07:45,594 --> 01:07:47,630 from the submarine hunters of the West. 1316 01:07:47,630 --> 01:07:49,298 (aircraft rumbling) 1317 01:07:49,298 --> 01:07:51,000 If it's bound for the Atlantic, 1318 01:07:51,000 --> 01:07:54,236 it passes under the eyes of the Norwegian air force. 1319 01:07:54,236 --> 01:07:57,705 (aircraft humming) 1320 01:07:57,706 --> 01:08:00,943 And they're just the first of its uninvited escorts, 1321 01:08:00,943 --> 01:08:03,579 these watchful men of Norway. 1322 01:08:04,480 --> 01:08:06,715 In keeping track of Soviet submarines, 1323 01:08:06,715 --> 01:08:09,018 the allies in NATO use all the skills 1324 01:08:09,018 --> 01:08:11,387 and resources they can command. 1325 01:08:11,987 --> 01:08:13,689 Could their superior technology 1326 01:08:13,689 --> 01:08:16,524 put the missile submarine fatally at risk? 1327 01:08:16,524 --> 01:08:21,729 (speaking in Norwegian) 1328 01:08:23,064 --> 01:08:26,469 The submarine is not well hidden even if it dives. 1329 01:08:27,103 --> 01:08:29,438 When the Norwegians alert their British colleagues, 1330 01:08:29,438 --> 01:08:32,875 a Nimrod aircraft will pick up the trail. 1331 01:08:32,875 --> 01:08:36,078 In the Bible, Nimrod was the mighty hunter. 1332 01:08:36,078 --> 01:08:37,813 (aircraft rumbling) 1333 01:08:37,813 --> 01:08:40,549 It's mainly concerned that the large Soviet fleet 1334 01:08:40,549 --> 01:08:43,252 of ordinary submarines might one day run riot 1335 01:08:43,252 --> 01:08:45,087 through the shipping in the Atlantic, 1336 01:08:45,087 --> 01:08:47,356 which prompts this diligence. 1337 01:08:48,323 --> 01:08:50,358 (cannister clattering) 1338 01:08:51,260 --> 01:08:54,797 The submarine can't avoid making a noise as it travels. 1339 01:08:54,796 --> 01:08:57,633 If they're searching for it in the right patch of sea, 1340 01:08:57,633 --> 01:09:00,169 it'll give away its position when the RAF men 1341 01:09:00,169 --> 01:09:03,238 sow their sound detectors in the water. 1342 01:09:04,372 --> 01:09:06,075 (big splash) 1343 01:09:06,675 --> 01:09:10,513 As the readings come in by radio, they have contact. 1344 01:09:10,513 --> 01:09:12,581 So the Russian submarine finds itself 1345 01:09:12,581 --> 01:09:15,918 in a chase that's disconcertingly realistic. 1346 01:09:17,219 --> 01:09:19,788 (buttons clicking) 1347 01:09:19,787 --> 01:09:21,189 - Buoys are in the water then 1348 01:09:21,189 --> 01:09:23,091 and submarines are somewhere to the north 1349 01:09:23,091 --> 01:09:25,059 of the line of buoys. 1350 01:09:25,060 --> 01:09:26,128 And we're expecting them to do-- 1351 01:09:26,127 --> 01:09:29,098 - [Ustinov] The submarine will try to shake off its pursuers, 1352 01:09:29,098 --> 01:09:32,468 but a string of secret and ultrasensitive sound detectors 1353 01:09:32,468 --> 01:09:34,737 lies in ambush across its path, 1354 01:09:34,737 --> 01:09:36,805 all the way from Britain to Greenland. 1355 01:09:36,805 --> 01:09:42,044 (aircraft roaring) 1356 01:09:42,044 --> 01:09:43,778 This pursuit engages the interest 1357 01:09:43,779 --> 01:09:46,148 of the United States Navy, 1358 01:09:46,148 --> 01:09:48,884 with their clever airborne instruments. 1359 01:09:48,884 --> 01:09:50,452 (aircraft humming) 1360 01:09:50,452 --> 01:09:52,354 They track it relentlessly. 1361 01:09:52,354 --> 01:09:55,791 This is what passes for peace in our time. 1362 01:09:55,791 --> 01:09:59,962 (aircraft rumbling) 1363 01:09:59,962 --> 01:10:01,630 - Sir, here's the tape you've been waiting for. 1364 01:10:01,630 --> 01:10:03,365 The three o'clock... let's see what's on it. 1365 01:10:03,365 --> 01:10:04,934 - All right. 1366 01:10:04,934 --> 01:10:06,302 - [Ustinov] And when the fliers return 1367 01:10:06,302 --> 01:10:10,039 to their carrier, a computer devours their recording. 1368 01:10:10,039 --> 01:10:11,974 - Okay, Lieutenant Sandberg. 1369 01:10:13,242 --> 01:10:14,877 - [Ustinov] The machine refreshes its knowledge 1370 01:10:14,877 --> 01:10:16,912 of the submarines at sea. 1371 01:10:17,446 --> 01:10:20,482 It can always recall their last positions, 1372 01:10:20,482 --> 01:10:22,751 so the Russian submariners can never feel 1373 01:10:22,751 --> 01:10:25,955 safely out of sight of the western Navy. 1374 01:10:26,755 --> 01:10:29,858 At the start of a war many could be promptly sunk 1375 01:10:29,858 --> 01:10:32,861 and they might include some of the missile carrying boats, 1376 01:10:32,861 --> 01:10:34,430 which form an essential part 1377 01:10:34,430 --> 01:10:36,765 of the Soviet nuclear deterrent. 1378 01:10:38,033 --> 01:10:40,536 The executioner could be another submarine; 1379 01:10:40,536 --> 01:10:44,106 an attack submarine or hunter-killer. 1380 01:10:44,106 --> 01:10:47,309 The American Navy has fearsome craft of this sort 1381 01:10:47,309 --> 01:10:50,279 and they can hound their prey wherever it goes. 1382 01:10:50,279 --> 01:10:51,647 (water churning) 1383 01:10:51,647 --> 01:10:53,449 For the coup de grĂ¢ce they can strike 1384 01:10:53,449 --> 01:10:57,152 with anti-submarine missiles and homing torpedoes. 1385 01:10:57,152 --> 01:11:00,089 (apparatus humming) 1386 01:11:00,089 --> 01:11:02,858 American arms control officials have argued 1387 01:11:02,858 --> 01:11:04,493 that these thorough going systems 1388 01:11:04,493 --> 01:11:07,363 of anti-submarine warfare could well sap 1389 01:11:07,363 --> 01:11:09,932 the Russians' confidence in the submarine branch 1390 01:11:09,932 --> 01:11:11,700 of their deterrent. 1391 01:11:11,700 --> 01:11:14,503 So, just as the West abhors the growing power 1392 01:11:14,503 --> 01:11:17,606 and accuracy of Soviet intercontinental missiles, 1393 01:11:17,606 --> 01:11:19,541 Soviet leaders may be alarmed 1394 01:11:19,541 --> 01:11:22,378 by increasing Western ingenuity. 1395 01:11:23,312 --> 01:11:26,382 An ominous interplay because sooner 1396 01:11:26,382 --> 01:11:30,018 than any hope of victory, it is fear of defeat 1397 01:11:30,019 --> 01:11:33,122 that might impel that fatal first blow. 1398 01:11:33,122 --> 01:11:34,857 (water splashing) 1399 01:11:34,857 --> 01:11:36,292 - I've no doubt at all 1400 01:11:36,292 --> 01:11:40,429 that the political administration of the United States 1401 01:11:40,429 --> 01:11:43,866 and the political administration in the Soviet Union 1402 01:11:43,866 --> 01:11:47,036 have, in academic terms, 1403 01:11:47,036 --> 01:11:49,371 no wish at all to have a nuclear world war. 1404 01:11:49,371 --> 01:11:51,206 I'm convinced of that. 1405 01:11:51,206 --> 01:11:55,577 But the technology will make it almost inevitable 1406 01:11:55,577 --> 01:11:58,213 that the politicians decide to do it 1407 01:11:58,213 --> 01:12:00,449 in order to stop the other side, 1408 01:12:00,449 --> 01:12:04,085 which they trust very little, in doing it to them. 1409 01:12:04,086 --> 01:12:08,223 And it's this reason which is so dangerous 1410 01:12:08,223 --> 01:12:10,125 for world security. 1411 01:12:11,293 --> 01:12:13,762 - Anybody who can count up to five will tell you 1412 01:12:13,762 --> 01:12:17,532 that that building over there is the Pentagon. 1413 01:12:17,533 --> 01:12:20,536 Well, tabloid newspapers like nothing better 1414 01:12:20,536 --> 01:12:22,805 on fallow days than to publish pictures 1415 01:12:22,805 --> 01:12:25,341 of cats and dogs in perfect harmony 1416 01:12:25,341 --> 01:12:27,443 playing innocently together. 1417 01:12:27,443 --> 01:12:30,412 It seems to prove that instinctive antagonisms 1418 01:12:30,412 --> 01:12:33,382 can be countered with a little patience. 1419 01:12:33,382 --> 01:12:36,818 Superpowers also have instinctive antagonisms 1420 01:12:36,819 --> 01:12:40,622 by virtue of their size, their influence, their power, 1421 01:12:40,622 --> 01:12:42,624 and they adopt aggressive postures 1422 01:12:42,624 --> 01:12:47,896 before any calmer counsel can prevail. 1423 01:12:47,896 --> 01:12:51,066 Well, how can harmony be brought to superpowers? 1424 01:12:51,066 --> 01:12:52,534 First of all, it's essential for them 1425 01:12:52,534 --> 01:12:54,902 to understand each other's point of view. 1426 01:12:54,903 --> 01:12:57,573 You are seeing the world there 1427 01:12:57,573 --> 01:13:00,242 from the point of view of the West. 1428 01:13:00,242 --> 01:13:04,680 I over here from my surrounded position see it 1429 01:13:04,680 --> 01:13:08,250 from the point of view of the Soviet Union 1430 01:13:08,250 --> 01:13:11,920 and I seem to sense from here, from being surrounded, 1431 01:13:11,920 --> 01:13:14,723 I seem to sense your agressions. 1432 01:13:14,723 --> 01:13:18,961 I seem to sense your paranoia even and your fear. 1433 01:13:18,961 --> 01:13:23,832 Why? Because of your troops and listening stations in Alaska. 1434 01:13:23,832 --> 01:13:27,669 Throughout the Arctic Circle, down Europe, 1435 01:13:27,669 --> 01:13:31,673 cross Turkey, Iran, where a hole was driven 1436 01:13:31,673 --> 01:13:34,376 into the hedge only the other day 1437 01:13:34,376 --> 01:13:37,312 with characteristic outcry, Afghanistan, 1438 01:13:37,312 --> 01:13:39,515 where the hole was punctured in the other direction, 1439 01:13:39,515 --> 01:13:42,050 China with its offer to the United States 1440 01:13:42,050 --> 01:13:45,487 to compensate for the lost listening posts in Iran, 1441 01:13:45,487 --> 01:13:47,823 and back to Alaska again. 1442 01:13:47,823 --> 01:13:52,895 And there is nothing in history to reassure me from here. 1443 01:13:53,495 --> 01:13:56,865 After all, they remember only too well 1444 01:13:56,865 --> 01:14:00,335 that in 1917 feeble expeditionary forces 1445 01:14:00,335 --> 01:14:02,604 from the United States, Britain, and France 1446 01:14:02,604 --> 01:14:07,309 landed in order to attempt to thwart the 1917 revolution. 1447 01:14:07,309 --> 01:14:09,445 They did nothing in point of fact 1448 01:14:09,445 --> 01:14:12,214 but give the Red Army its first battle honors 1449 01:14:12,214 --> 01:14:15,717 and its first experience against foreign troops. 1450 01:14:15,717 --> 01:14:19,754 You may remember how exercised the United States was 1451 01:14:19,755 --> 01:14:23,725 when there were Soviet missiles on Cuba. 1452 01:14:23,725 --> 01:14:26,195 Well, what would be the position of the United States 1453 01:14:26,195 --> 01:14:28,063 and of the entire West, I wonder, 1454 01:14:28,063 --> 01:14:31,200 if there were Soviet troops and listening devices 1455 01:14:31,200 --> 01:14:34,635 all along the Canadian border, all along the Mexican border, 1456 01:14:34,636 --> 01:14:37,039 and throughout the Caribbean? 1457 01:14:38,574 --> 01:14:41,477 We must remember and remember solemnly 1458 01:14:41,477 --> 01:14:45,514 that a cornered animal and a cornered man 1459 01:14:45,514 --> 01:14:47,716 are the least open to appeal. 1460 01:14:47,716 --> 01:14:51,453 There comes a moment when the terrible lucidity 1461 01:14:51,453 --> 01:14:56,592 of desperation takes over and then...there is no way back. 1462 01:15:03,765 --> 01:15:07,269 Of course the historians, or whatever historians 1463 01:15:07,269 --> 01:15:09,471 there are left, will always find it 1464 01:15:09,471 --> 01:15:11,473 extremely difficult to decide whether it was 1465 01:15:11,473 --> 01:15:14,109 on the pecan pie or the blueberry tart 1466 01:15:14,109 --> 01:15:16,845 that the American president so nearly choked himself 1467 01:15:16,845 --> 01:15:20,249 when he first got the news of the missile attack. 1468 01:15:20,249 --> 01:15:23,218 And what is perhaps even more difficult 1469 01:15:23,218 --> 01:15:28,322 to attribute is the blame for the end of the world 1470 01:15:28,323 --> 01:15:30,025 as we knew it. 1471 01:15:30,025 --> 01:15:33,695 As the president himself said when he recovered his breath, 1472 01:15:33,695 --> 01:15:37,331 "Maybe we shouldn't have gone on alert." 1473 01:15:37,332 --> 01:15:40,702 Well, on day one Washington asked Moscow 1474 01:15:40,702 --> 01:15:44,673 to stop fighting the Chinese and also asked Peking 1475 01:15:44,673 --> 01:15:46,407 to stop fighting the Russians. 1476 01:15:46,408 --> 01:15:50,479 But on day two, the Chinese suddenly announced 1477 01:15:50,479 --> 01:15:53,015 that the Americans were now their allies. 1478 01:15:53,015 --> 01:15:56,618 "The path to peace lies through the tunnel 1479 01:15:56,618 --> 01:16:00,022 of nuclear confrontation," they proclaimed. 1480 01:16:01,056 --> 01:16:02,324 The Americans denied this. 1481 01:16:02,324 --> 01:16:05,160 The American president said, "As far as we're concerned 1482 01:16:05,160 --> 01:16:07,729 both sides are Communists." 1483 01:16:08,864 --> 01:16:13,501 On day three the Russians set in motion 1484 01:16:13,502 --> 01:16:16,638 a huge civil defense exercise. 1485 01:16:17,139 --> 01:16:20,409 "That is scary..." said the Americans and put their bombers 1486 01:16:20,409 --> 01:16:22,678 on generated alert. 1487 01:16:22,678 --> 01:16:25,681 "The Americans are war mongering" said the Russians 1488 01:16:25,681 --> 01:16:27,915 and sent their submarines out to sea. 1489 01:16:27,916 --> 01:16:29,785 In an effort to bring down the temperature, 1490 01:16:29,785 --> 01:16:33,622 the American president left his command center 1491 01:16:33,622 --> 01:16:36,959 and ostentatiously undertook all sorts 1492 01:16:36,959 --> 01:16:39,962 of civilian duties and ended the day 1493 01:16:39,962 --> 01:16:43,899 with a civilian supper which was interrupted. 1494 01:16:44,633 --> 01:16:47,501 "I want an immediate decision to execute," 1495 01:16:47,502 --> 01:16:50,639 said the secretary of defense. 1496 01:16:50,639 --> 01:16:51,873 "To execute?" 1497 01:16:51,873 --> 01:16:53,909 "He has to shoot, to launch, to get the missiles 1498 01:16:53,909 --> 01:16:56,712 off the ground where they can't be dug out." 1499 01:16:56,712 --> 01:17:00,082 "Those aren't cans of caviar they're sending over, sir. 1500 01:17:00,082 --> 01:17:04,386 NORAD predicts 2,000 warheads aimed specifically 1501 01:17:04,386 --> 01:17:07,556 at our nuclear bases, at our missile bases 1502 01:17:07,556 --> 01:17:09,924 and our bomber bases. 1503 01:17:09,925 --> 01:17:12,961 The general stakes his life on that data." 1504 01:17:12,961 --> 01:17:14,930 "Well I...it wasn't the general's life 1505 01:17:14,930 --> 01:17:16,698 I was thinking about specifically," 1506 01:17:16,698 --> 01:17:22,304 said the president, "Although I gotta believe him." 1507 01:17:22,304 --> 01:17:26,441 "Can we just hit their missiles?" 1508 01:17:26,441 --> 01:17:29,211 "You'd just be wasting your force on empty silos." 1509 01:17:29,211 --> 01:17:32,180 "That's what we can do to him if we hurry." 1510 01:17:32,180 --> 01:17:34,216 The secretary of state spoke up. 1511 01:17:34,216 --> 01:17:36,218 "If you should choose to do nothing, sir, 1512 01:17:36,218 --> 01:17:38,420 "you'd certainly have my support. 1513 01:17:38,420 --> 01:17:41,189 I realize that millions of us are going to be killed, 1514 01:17:41,189 --> 01:17:45,027 but if we retaliate, why, that's the end of everything." 1515 01:17:45,027 --> 01:17:47,329 "No!" said the secretary of defense. 1516 01:17:47,329 --> 01:17:49,965 "He's gambling on our holding back." 1517 01:17:49,965 --> 01:17:53,035 Well, if the president was listening to these arguments, 1518 01:17:53,035 --> 01:17:55,237 he showed no sign of it. 1519 01:17:56,538 --> 01:18:00,241 "We hit their silos and they hit our... 1520 01:18:01,176 --> 01:18:04,513 ah, no, they hit our silos, we hit their cities, 1521 01:18:04,513 --> 01:18:07,582 and they hit our cities... 1522 01:18:08,650 --> 01:18:13,021 I guess the bullet's left the rifle, huh?" 1523 01:18:13,021 --> 01:18:15,891 "Now, all you have to say is Tripoli, sir," 1524 01:18:15,891 --> 01:18:17,793 said the defense secretary. 1525 01:18:19,461 --> 01:18:20,529 "Yeah... 1526 01:18:21,997 --> 01:18:23,131 Tripoli." 1527 01:18:23,131 --> 01:18:26,368 "Execute, you have the word of the commander in chief." 1528 01:18:26,368 --> 01:18:28,103 "Do the people know what's happening?" 1529 01:18:28,103 --> 01:18:31,206 said the president as he was hurried to safety. 1530 01:18:31,206 --> 01:18:36,511 "Oh yes, sir, they're getting it all on television." 1531 01:18:38,780 --> 01:18:42,050 - [Narrator] One, go to a public fallout shelter. 1532 01:18:42,050 --> 01:18:44,386 Know where the nearest one is 1533 01:18:44,386 --> 01:18:47,923 to your office, your home, your children's school. 1534 01:18:48,490 --> 01:18:50,659 (ominous tone) 1535 01:18:50,659 --> 01:18:53,094 If you decided to take shelter at home, 1536 01:18:53,095 --> 01:18:56,798 know how to improvise and improve your protection there. 1537 01:18:59,201 --> 01:19:02,104 (water jet gushing) 1538 01:19:02,104 --> 01:19:05,073 - Everybody wants to avoid the big war, 1539 01:19:05,073 --> 01:19:07,843 of course they do, but how? 1540 01:19:07,843 --> 01:19:10,178 For as long as anyone can remember, 1541 01:19:10,178 --> 01:19:13,215 Switzerland here has been the main talking shop 1542 01:19:13,215 --> 01:19:16,184 for peace and disarmament. 1543 01:19:16,184 --> 01:19:19,154 And here in Geneva at the Palace of the Nations, 1544 01:19:19,154 --> 01:19:22,791 the negotiators now talk of nuclear submarines 1545 01:19:22,791 --> 01:19:25,494 and napalm where they once talked 1546 01:19:25,494 --> 01:19:28,295 of battleships and bayonets. 1547 01:19:28,897 --> 01:19:33,602 And in their embassies, in their villas, 1548 01:19:33,602 --> 01:19:38,440 in their hotels, the negotiators struggle through 1549 01:19:38,440 --> 01:19:44,446 glaciers of talk and mountain ranges of paper 1550 01:19:44,446 --> 01:19:46,414 with exemplary patience. 1551 01:19:46,414 --> 01:19:47,715 What drives them on? 1552 01:19:47,716 --> 01:19:50,485 It is the hope that among all this 1553 01:19:50,485 --> 01:19:55,223 there may be the magic words, the magic few pages 1554 01:19:55,223 --> 01:19:58,059 which will save millions of lives. 1555 01:19:59,194 --> 01:20:01,797 I wish I could report that our Swiss hosts 1556 01:20:01,797 --> 01:20:04,866 have the greatest confidence in these negotiations, 1557 01:20:04,866 --> 01:20:08,637 but they are by nature a cautious people 1558 01:20:08,637 --> 01:20:13,775 and they have hedged their bets in quite an expensive way. 1559 01:20:13,775 --> 01:20:16,344 Like the Chinese who have covered their land 1560 01:20:16,344 --> 01:20:19,714 with a rabbit warren of protective tunnels, 1561 01:20:19,714 --> 01:20:22,784 the Swiss are resolved that they will survive 1562 01:20:22,784 --> 01:20:28,790 any nuclear holocaust which happens to drift this way. 1563 01:20:28,790 --> 01:20:32,627 (water gushing) 1564 01:20:32,627 --> 01:20:35,497 Switzerland, owing to her special status, 1565 01:20:35,497 --> 01:20:38,400 is hardly likely to be the object of direct attack 1566 01:20:38,400 --> 01:20:42,269 from any quarter, but whereas bombs may recognize 1567 01:20:42,270 --> 01:20:45,841 neutrality, fallout has no such scruples. 1568 01:20:48,176 --> 01:20:53,215 (wind blowing & indistinct noises) 1569 01:20:53,215 --> 01:20:54,749 Every man not assigned to the army 1570 01:20:54,749 --> 01:20:58,253 is forced to serve in Switzerland's civil defense 1571 01:20:58,253 --> 01:21:02,257 and the men in the very sinister suits behind me, 1572 01:21:02,257 --> 01:21:04,392 well they could be engineers, factory workers, 1573 01:21:04,392 --> 01:21:09,898 or clerks practicing here in Geneva's civil defense school. 1574 01:21:10,732 --> 01:21:13,501 By law every new house built in Switzerland 1575 01:21:13,501 --> 01:21:18,940 has to have, purpose built in the very foundations, 1576 01:21:18,940 --> 01:21:22,177 a shelter as a protection against nuclear war, 1577 01:21:22,177 --> 01:21:24,746 but...be warned. 1578 01:21:24,746 --> 01:21:27,382 This nation of fine hotels and boarding houses 1579 01:21:27,382 --> 01:21:30,317 makes no special provision for foreign tourists, 1580 01:21:30,318 --> 01:21:33,788 nor indeed for the foreign negotiators in Geneva, 1581 01:21:33,788 --> 01:21:36,124 should their missions fail. 1582 01:21:36,124 --> 01:21:41,196 (shovels scraping) 1583 01:21:46,368 --> 01:21:49,337 The local government has a larger and stronger shelter 1584 01:21:49,337 --> 01:21:52,407 from which it would continue to administer the canton 1585 01:21:52,407 --> 01:21:56,845 in the event of... fallout drifting across 1586 01:21:56,845 --> 01:21:58,980 from France, Germany, or Italy, 1587 01:21:58,980 --> 01:22:04,753 or a few misguided missiles actually falling on Swiss soil. 1588 01:22:04,753 --> 01:22:08,089 Oh yes, I always suspected that the last survivor 1589 01:22:08,089 --> 01:22:10,125 would be a bureaucrat. 1590 01:22:10,125 --> 01:22:13,128 But actually, the Swiss are more active 1591 01:22:13,128 --> 01:22:15,996 and more determined in civil defense 1592 01:22:15,997 --> 01:22:19,434 than any of the countries engaged 1593 01:22:19,434 --> 01:22:24,239 in the nuclear confrontation whose populations 1594 01:22:24,239 --> 01:22:27,275 are asked to trust the nuclear strategy 1595 01:22:27,275 --> 01:22:30,844 of their governments, enshrined, of course, 1596 01:22:30,845 --> 01:22:33,648 in the principle of deterrence. 1597 01:22:34,950 --> 01:22:38,153 - Deterrence has worked so far because of the fact 1598 01:22:38,153 --> 01:22:41,256 that no aggressor could contemplate 1599 01:22:41,256 --> 01:22:45,160 starting a nuclear war and gaining any advantage. 1600 01:22:45,160 --> 01:22:47,162 Any aggressor would be faced with the fact 1601 01:22:47,162 --> 01:22:49,097 that for him to start a nuclear exchange 1602 01:22:49,097 --> 01:22:51,465 would mean national suicide. 1603 01:22:52,067 --> 01:22:55,603 It's also worked because both sides recognize 1604 01:22:55,603 --> 01:22:58,406 that they have the retaliatory forces 1605 01:22:58,406 --> 01:23:01,009 that provide that deterrent and, therefore, 1606 01:23:01,009 --> 01:23:04,512 they don't have to start an exchange out of fear... 1607 01:23:04,512 --> 01:23:07,315 out of fear that their deterrent would be destroyed. 1608 01:23:07,315 --> 01:23:10,485 Now as long as those factors continue to exist, 1609 01:23:10,485 --> 01:23:13,221 deterrence will continue to exist, 1610 01:23:13,221 --> 01:23:14,955 and that, of course, is one of the purposes 1611 01:23:14,956 --> 01:23:17,792 of arms control, to preserve that situation 1612 01:23:17,792 --> 01:23:19,794 of strategic stability. 1613 01:23:20,595 --> 01:23:22,697 - We have, most of the time since the end 1614 01:23:22,697 --> 01:23:25,867 of World War II, have had nuclear superiority, 1615 01:23:25,867 --> 01:23:28,970 so the Soviet Union did not dare attack us. 1616 01:23:28,970 --> 01:23:31,172 I think today we have what we would call 1617 01:23:31,172 --> 01:23:33,407 rough equivalence or parity. 1618 01:23:33,408 --> 01:23:35,844 The Soviet Union would not attack, 1619 01:23:35,844 --> 01:23:38,079 but if we allow them through treaties 1620 01:23:38,079 --> 01:23:40,415 or through our own decisions of cutting back 1621 01:23:40,415 --> 01:23:44,652 our forces unilaterally, to achieve nuclear superiority 1622 01:23:44,652 --> 01:23:46,354 then deterrence will break down 1623 01:23:46,354 --> 01:23:48,456 and there is the possibility of an attack 1624 01:23:48,456 --> 01:23:50,091 by the Soviet Union. 1625 01:23:50,959 --> 01:23:53,528 - In the next five years 1626 01:23:53,528 --> 01:23:56,631 I think it's possible to state almost statistically 1627 01:23:56,631 --> 01:24:00,201 that a risk of nuclear war is quite considerable, 1628 01:24:00,201 --> 01:24:03,104 precisely because of the imbalance in forces 1629 01:24:03,104 --> 01:24:05,907 and the different perceptions of both sides. 1630 01:24:05,907 --> 01:24:08,176 If we can get through to the 1990s 1631 01:24:08,176 --> 01:24:10,512 then I think the danger would recede. 1632 01:24:10,512 --> 01:24:12,647 - I believe that the incentive 1633 01:24:12,647 --> 01:24:14,482 for all nuclear weapon states, 1634 01:24:14,482 --> 01:24:19,954 in particular...the two major powers... 1635 01:24:19,954 --> 01:24:22,690 to find a way of regulating their competition 1636 01:24:22,690 --> 01:24:24,125 in the nuclear field, that incentive 1637 01:24:24,125 --> 01:24:27,228 remains very powerful. I would expect that 1638 01:24:27,228 --> 01:24:28,930 in the messy world of the future, 1639 01:24:28,930 --> 01:24:31,933 with possibly other nuclear weapons states around, 1640 01:24:31,933 --> 01:24:34,402 that incentive will grow even further. 1641 01:24:35,036 --> 01:24:38,673 And so, the two major countries responsible 1642 01:24:38,673 --> 01:24:43,344 for the maintenance of deterrence...will, I think... 1643 01:24:43,344 --> 01:24:47,649 find it almost inevitable that they should sit down, 1644 01:24:47,649 --> 01:24:50,585 they should try in dialogue and in agreements 1645 01:24:50,585 --> 01:24:52,787 to regulate this relationship. 1646 01:24:52,787 --> 01:24:56,257 - Perhaps every 5 or 10 years it should be required 1647 01:24:56,257 --> 01:25:01,562 that all world leaders attend a multi-megaton blast 1648 01:25:01,563 --> 01:25:03,064 in the atmosphere. 1649 01:25:04,099 --> 01:25:06,000 I think if they were to, let's say, 1650 01:25:06,000 --> 01:25:08,736 strip down to their skivvies to feel the heat 1651 01:25:08,736 --> 01:25:12,140 at a distance of some 20 or 30 miles... 1652 01:25:12,140 --> 01:25:14,209 they would appreciate a little better 1653 01:25:14,209 --> 01:25:17,010 the enormity of the power which they have 1654 01:25:17,011 --> 01:25:19,714 at their disposal and I think that once 1655 01:25:19,714 --> 01:25:22,584 they realize this and continue to realize it 1656 01:25:22,584 --> 01:25:25,420 the way I think our present world leaders do, 1657 01:25:25,420 --> 01:25:28,089 then I think we can count on the deterrence 1658 01:25:28,089 --> 01:25:30,024 for a very long time. 1659 01:25:30,758 --> 01:25:35,396 - People talk about disarming, destroying nuclear weapons. 1660 01:25:35,396 --> 01:25:38,566 I think that is not the way to do it. 1661 01:25:38,566 --> 01:25:41,536 I think there will be too much suspicion 1662 01:25:41,536 --> 01:25:43,238 that the other guy will hide 1663 01:25:43,238 --> 01:25:48,209 some missiles, hide some bombs, and thereby acquire... 1664 01:25:50,211 --> 01:25:53,781 supremacy of some kind when you disarm. 1665 01:25:53,781 --> 01:25:58,052 So my belief is let's stop the technological arms race. 1666 01:25:58,052 --> 01:26:00,655 Let's not make any new weapons. 1667 01:26:00,655 --> 01:26:03,391 Let's leave what we have alone 1668 01:26:03,391 --> 01:26:07,195 and gradually even stoop proof testing it, 1669 01:26:07,195 --> 01:26:09,797 so those missiles will rot or corrode 1670 01:26:09,797 --> 01:26:13,233 or whatever will you have it in the silos 1671 01:26:13,234 --> 01:26:16,271 and the submarines will become less and less safe 1672 01:26:16,271 --> 01:26:19,072 to dive under the sea. 1673 01:26:19,073 --> 01:26:23,511 And that kind of a obsolescence... 1674 01:26:24,179 --> 01:26:28,249 will make it less and less tempting... 1675 01:26:28,249 --> 01:26:32,286 to use or even to threaten to use 1676 01:26:32,287 --> 01:26:37,525 these arsenals in time of political crisis. 1677 01:26:38,259 --> 01:26:41,062 - [Ustinov] May the missiles then pass uneventfully 1678 01:26:41,062 --> 01:26:44,232 from decrepit silos in distant fields 1679 01:26:44,232 --> 01:26:47,969 to decent exposure in famous museums. 1680 01:26:49,070 --> 01:26:52,173 And here in future times the visitor will, perhaps, 1681 01:26:52,173 --> 01:26:55,476 pause to wonder at our unromantic age 1682 01:26:55,476 --> 01:26:58,246 when great nations spoke plainly to one another 1683 01:26:58,246 --> 01:27:02,217 only in the language of mutual extermination. 1684 01:27:03,484 --> 01:27:06,387 But it's for the sake of those new generations 1685 01:27:06,387 --> 01:27:09,257 that I trust we'll allow no other fears 1686 01:27:09,257 --> 01:27:12,460 ever to surpass our fear of nuclear war, 1687 01:27:12,460 --> 01:27:15,997 and think no effort of mind and heart too troublesome 1688 01:27:15,997 --> 01:27:19,300 or too risky if the alternative is 1689 01:27:19,300 --> 01:27:22,670 that our nuclear nightmares come to pass. 1690 01:27:22,670 --> 01:28:00,041 (indistinct chatter) 133817

Can't find what you're looking for?
Get subtitles in any language from opensubtitles.com, and translate them here.