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Would you like to inspect the original subtitles? These are the user uploaded subtitles that are being translated: 1 00:00:17,150 --> 00:00:19,852 >> Tonight on Frontline... >> Allahu Akbar! 2 00:00:19,986 --> 00:00:23,489 >> If you threaten America, you will find no safe haven. 3 00:00:23,623 --> 00:00:26,658 >> As the United States, with a coalition of other countries, 4 00:00:26,860 --> 00:00:30,329 wage a new war on terror, Frontline investigates how ISIS 5 00:00:30,530 --> 00:00:33,165 gained such a dangerous stronghold. 6 00:00:33,299 --> 00:00:36,735 >> It goes from being nothing to being the most powerful active 7 00:00:36,870 --> 00:00:39,705 group within 12 months. It's extraordinary what happens. 8 00:00:39,839 --> 00:00:43,242 >> Tonight, from the ashes of Al Qaeda... 9 00:00:43,376 --> 00:00:46,912 >> ISIS builds enough strength, and the monster grows. 10 00:00:47,047 --> 00:00:51,083 >> Correspondent Martin Smith uncovers the early warnings. 11 00:00:51,217 --> 00:00:54,453 >> ISIS didn't become the group that it is today until they went 12 00:00:54,587 --> 00:00:57,322 to Syria. >> The missteps... 13 00:00:57,457 --> 00:01:00,692 >> The intelligence analysis continued to point to what could 14 00:01:00,827 --> 00:01:03,695 happen. >> The view was, "This is Iraq's 15 00:01:03,830 --> 00:01:06,498 problem, let them deal with it." >> And the ancient tribal 16 00:01:06,699 --> 00:01:09,568 hatreds that fuel... >> These are not Muslims, and 17 00:01:09,702 --> 00:01:12,071 frankly, they're barely human beings. 18 00:01:12,205 --> 00:01:13,572 >> "The Rise of ISIS." 19 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:23,282 >> Frontline is made possible by contributions to your PBS 20 00:01:23,416 --> 00:01:27,052 station from viewers like you. Thank you. 21 00:01:27,187 --> 00:01:29,688 And by the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. 22 00:01:29,823 --> 00:01:32,524 Major support for Frontline is provided by the John D. and 23 00:01:32,659 --> 00:01:35,260 Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, committed to 24 00:01:35,395 --> 00:01:38,163 building a more just, verdant and peaceful world. 25 00:01:38,298 --> 00:01:41,300 More information is available at macfound.org. 26 00:01:41,434 --> 00:01:44,236 Additional support is provided by the Park Foundation, 27 00:01:44,370 --> 00:01:47,573 dedicated to heightening public awareness of critical issues. 28 00:01:47,707 --> 00:01:50,476 The Ford Foundation, working with visionaries on the front 29 00:01:50,610 --> 00:01:53,078 lines of social change worldwide. 30 00:01:53,213 --> 00:01:57,149 At FordFoundation.org. The Wyncote Foundation. 31 00:01:57,283 --> 00:01:59,952 And by the Frontline Journalism Fund, with major support from 32 00:02:00,086 --> 00:02:02,955 Jon and Jo Ann Hagler, and additional support from 33 00:02:03,089 --> 00:02:05,858 Millicent Bell through the Millicent and Eugene Bell 34 00:02:05,992 --> 00:02:06,959 Foundation. 35 00:02:28,715 --> 00:02:31,016 >> The last American combat brigade has begun leaving the 36 00:02:31,151 --> 00:02:33,452 country. >> MARTIN SMITH: It was late 37 00:02:33,586 --> 00:02:36,388 2011 when American troops finally left Iraq. 38 00:02:36,523 --> 00:02:40,159 >> For U.S. soldiers, the war in Iraq has come to an end. 39 00:02:40,293 --> 00:02:43,395 >> SMITH: After eight long years, the war seemed like it 40 00:02:43,530 --> 00:02:46,798 was over. >> The last U.S. soldier is out 41 00:02:46,933 --> 00:02:49,902 of Iraq. >> SMITH: Iraq's leaders said 42 00:02:50,036 --> 00:02:52,938 they were ready to go it alone. >> History in the making. 43 00:02:55,742 --> 00:02:58,677 >> SMITH: Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki flew to Washington to 44 00:02:58,811 --> 00:03:00,445 mark the occasion. 45 00:03:02,649 --> 00:03:07,819 >> It was a moment of optimism. There was a sense of pride... 46 00:03:07,954 --> 00:03:11,156 >> All right, everybody. >> ...that the occupying forces 47 00:03:11,291 --> 00:03:14,126 really left. And a lot of Iraqis, Sunnis 48 00:03:14,260 --> 00:03:17,963 and Shias, were responding positively to that. 49 00:03:20,166 --> 00:03:24,203 >> Today, I'm proud to welcome Prime Minister Maliki. 50 00:03:24,337 --> 00:03:27,839 >> Both sides presented it as a victory. 51 00:03:27,974 --> 00:03:31,476 Maliki presented it as a great accomplishment-- Iraq would 52 00:03:31,611 --> 00:03:35,047 stand on its own two feet. President Obama talked about 53 00:03:35,181 --> 00:03:39,184 this new democratic Iraq. >> What we have now achieved is 54 00:03:39,319 --> 00:03:45,857 an Iraq that is self-governing, that is inclusive, 55 00:03:45,992 --> 00:03:51,230 and that has enormous potential. >> SMITH: President Obama gives 56 00:03:51,364 --> 00:03:53,665 a very rosy picture of where things are. 57 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,168 What'd you think? >> As somebody who voted for 58 00:03:56,302 --> 00:03:58,570 President Obama, I was deeply disappointed because I knew 59 00:03:58,705 --> 00:04:00,906 those words were going to go back and haunt him. 60 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,275 >> Thank you very much, everybody. 61 00:04:03,409 --> 00:04:07,446 >> It was at that trip, actually, when things started to 62 00:04:07,580 --> 00:04:09,348 go astray. 63 00:04:11,417 --> 00:04:14,186 >> SMITH: What happened was that while he was in Washington, 64 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:17,656 Maliki received a phone call from Baghdad about a terrorist 65 00:04:17,790 --> 00:04:21,593 plot implicating his vice president, Tariq al-Hashemi, the 66 00:04:21,728 --> 00:04:25,497 most senior Sunni politician in the Shia-led government. 67 00:04:25,632 --> 00:04:29,067 It accused Hashemi's bodyguards of planning an attack on Shia 68 00:04:29,202 --> 00:04:33,272 targets. >> We were at the Blair House. 69 00:04:33,406 --> 00:04:38,010 I recall Maliki. He was fiddling with his phone. 70 00:04:38,144 --> 00:04:41,246 He said, "Well, some guards of Tariq al-Hashemi, 71 00:04:41,381 --> 00:04:45,851 the vice president, have been monitoring our compound. 72 00:04:45,985 --> 00:04:49,421 And they have been arrested." >> SMITH: Maliki relayed the 73 00:04:49,555 --> 00:04:53,825 news to President Obama. >> l think the President's 74 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:57,329 response was, "Well, every country has its own rules, 75 00:04:57,463 --> 00:05:00,799 its own law, and the rule of law should be applied." 76 00:05:00,933 --> 00:05:02,834 >> SMITH: How did Maliki interpret what the president 77 00:05:02,969 --> 00:05:05,737 told him? >> I think he interpreted this 78 00:05:05,872 --> 00:05:09,408 may be some support of any future actions. 79 00:05:09,542 --> 00:05:13,045 >> The response he got from the president was that this is an 80 00:05:13,179 --> 00:05:17,749 internal Iraqi affair. And that, to Maliki, was a 81 00:05:17,884 --> 00:05:21,853 green light in terms of what he can do with the Sunnis, because 82 00:05:21,988 --> 00:05:25,090 the United States is not going to stand in his way. 83 00:05:25,224 --> 00:05:28,226 >> SMITH: Maliki returned to Baghdad, and then just one day 84 00:05:28,361 --> 00:05:32,097 after the last American soldiers left Iraq... 85 00:05:32,231 --> 00:05:36,134 >> Maliki immediately orders that Hashemi be arrested. 86 00:05:36,269 --> 00:05:40,372 >> And it took a lot of people by surprise. 87 00:05:40,506 --> 00:05:43,308 I think that was a departure point. 88 00:05:43,443 --> 00:05:48,213 It showed Maliki is really independent from the Americans.. 89 00:05:48,348 --> 00:05:52,184 >> SMITH: Before he could be arrested, Hashemi fled. 90 00:05:52,318 --> 00:05:56,355 He was tried in absentia and sentenced to death. 91 00:05:56,489 --> 00:05:59,691 We interviewed him in Doha, the capital of Qatar. 92 00:05:59,826 --> 00:06:02,194 >> SMITH: Was it possible that your bodyguards were involved 93 00:06:02,328 --> 00:06:04,396 in any kind of... >> No way. 94 00:06:04,530 --> 00:06:06,431 >> SMITH: Some of your bodyguards appeared on 95 00:06:06,566 --> 00:06:08,367 television. >> Yes. 96 00:06:11,604 --> 00:06:14,506 I do have plenty of reports of the way that my guards had 97 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:22,681 been treated, unfortunately. When they just receive brutal 98 00:06:22,815 --> 00:06:23,682 torturing, in fact. 99 00:06:26,619 --> 00:06:30,422 >> We'll never know what is true because they were held in the 100 00:06:30,556 --> 00:06:32,958 Baghdad Brigade headquarters in the green zone. 101 00:06:33,092 --> 00:06:35,527 It's been clearly documented over time that torture happened 102 00:06:35,661 --> 00:06:38,330 there. It's been documented by Iraq's 103 00:06:38,464 --> 00:06:41,199 human rights ministry and the Red Cross. 104 00:06:41,334 --> 00:06:43,402 There's no doubt torture happened there. 105 00:06:43,536 --> 00:06:46,238 >> SMITH: So the confessions were likely the result of 106 00:06:46,372 --> 00:06:49,074 torture? >> Mm-hmm. 107 00:06:49,208 --> 00:06:51,743 >> SMITH: Hashemi and his bodyguards would just be 108 00:06:51,878 --> 00:06:56,415 Maliki's first targets. >> Hundreds of Sunnis had been 109 00:06:56,549 --> 00:06:59,918 arrested after the American leaving of the country. 110 00:07:00,052 --> 00:07:03,955 Thousands, in fact. >> SMITH: In 2012, thousands of 111 00:07:04,090 --> 00:07:07,893 Sunnis suspected of subversion were held for months or longer 112 00:07:08,027 --> 00:07:11,430 without charges ever being filed. 113 00:07:11,564 --> 00:07:14,399 >> So everyone talk to Maliki that this is not the way of 114 00:07:14,534 --> 00:07:17,102 dealing with the people. This is a discrimination, 115 00:07:17,236 --> 00:07:19,304 in fact. But he is not listening to 116 00:07:19,439 --> 00:07:21,907 anyone. >> SMITH: Many Sunnis didn't 117 00:07:22,041 --> 00:07:25,444 even make it to jail. >> The Shia militia were very, 118 00:07:25,578 --> 00:07:29,047 very violent. There were many, many instances 119 00:07:29,182 --> 00:07:32,551 in Baghdad and in many other parts of Iraq of Sunnis 120 00:07:32,685 --> 00:07:35,454 turning up with a bullet in the back of their head and their 121 00:07:35,588 --> 00:07:37,556 hands bound behind them. This was common. 122 00:07:37,690 --> 00:07:39,891 This was a daily, daily occurrence. 123 00:07:40,026 --> 00:07:42,594 >> SMITH: In the first year after the departure of the 124 00:07:42,728 --> 00:07:45,730 Americans, hundreds of Sunnis turned up dead in the streets of 125 00:07:45,865 --> 00:07:49,901 Baghdad. >> The thing to understand about 126 00:07:50,036 --> 00:07:54,806 Maliki is that when he looks at Iraq's Sunni minority, he sees, 127 00:07:54,941 --> 00:07:58,443 you know, Al Qaeda, he sees the Baathists, he sees military 128 00:07:58,578 --> 00:08:02,347 coups, he sees plots against him, he sees a population which 129 00:08:02,482 --> 00:08:06,184 despises him and wants to come back into power. 130 00:08:06,319 --> 00:08:10,889 >> This is a man who many of his close relatives were secretly 131 00:08:11,023 --> 00:08:14,626 arrested and tortured by Saddam's regime. 132 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:18,864 He's capable. And yet if I could use one word 133 00:08:18,998 --> 00:08:22,901 to describe Nouri al-Maliki, it's "paranoia." 134 00:08:23,035 --> 00:08:28,707 >> He had a deep fear that ultimately, the Baathists 135 00:08:28,841 --> 00:08:33,078 were gonna go after him and that he was gonna be targeted 136 00:08:33,212 --> 00:08:38,216 and that he would lose power, and it would be the ghost 137 00:08:38,351 --> 00:08:40,919 of Saddam Hussein again. I think that's what he 138 00:08:41,053 --> 00:08:42,654 worried about. 139 00:08:45,958 --> 00:08:49,261 >> SMITH: Maliki also enraged the tribesmen of the Sunni 140 00:08:49,395 --> 00:08:52,697 Awakening. These were the tribesmen who, 141 00:08:52,832 --> 00:08:55,734 in exchange for American money and promises of political 142 00:08:55,868 --> 00:08:59,337 inclusion in a new Iraq, had helped defeat Al Qaeda 143 00:08:59,472 --> 00:09:02,641 years earlier. >> I think that he was 144 00:09:02,775 --> 00:09:05,544 suspicious of them really, of this force. 145 00:09:05,678 --> 00:09:09,781 They were not sustained or maintained as a potential 146 00:09:09,916 --> 00:09:14,286 force that the government might need later on. 147 00:09:14,420 --> 00:09:17,188 >> And then the other key thing was that Sunni leaders in the 148 00:09:17,323 --> 00:09:20,091 army and Sunni leaders in the police began to be sidelined, 149 00:09:20,226 --> 00:09:25,664 and people with a strong Shia sectarian bent replaced them. 150 00:09:25,798 --> 00:09:28,833 And that meant that a lot of people felt they were being 151 00:09:28,968 --> 00:09:32,470 excluded, and that was true-- they were. 152 00:09:32,605 --> 00:09:36,575 (gunfire) >> SMITH: Meanwhile, Al Qaeda 153 00:09:36,709 --> 00:09:39,711 in Iraq, the group that would become ISIS, was camped in 154 00:09:39,845 --> 00:09:45,584 Iraq's western deserts. It was not much of a force. 155 00:09:45,718 --> 00:09:48,386 The Surge and the Sunni Awakening had severely reduced 156 00:09:48,521 --> 00:09:51,923 it. >> Remember, by the time 157 00:09:52,058 --> 00:09:54,893 the Americans left Iraq, the insurgency was broken. 158 00:09:55,027 --> 00:09:57,929 The Sunni insurgency, it was broken. 159 00:09:58,064 --> 00:10:02,867 It was on its last legs. Al-Qaeda had been decimated. 160 00:10:03,002 --> 00:10:05,971 >> SMITH: What remained, though, were the most battle-hardened 161 00:10:06,105 --> 00:10:10,041 Al Qaeda militants, a few embittered tribesmen, and some 162 00:10:10,176 --> 00:10:13,878 remnants of Saddam's Baathist military hoping to regain power. 163 00:10:14,013 --> 00:10:18,283 >> This is a collection of very hardened killers. 164 00:10:18,417 --> 00:10:21,152 These are the guys that the United States didn't manage 165 00:10:21,287 --> 00:10:27,058 to kill during the war then. >> These are mostly young men 166 00:10:27,193 --> 00:10:30,562 who were in prison, some of them under Maliki. 167 00:10:30,696 --> 00:10:33,064 Some of them were in U.S. prisons. 168 00:10:33,199 --> 00:10:36,067 Mr. Baghdadi, the head of ISIS, was in Camp Bucca. 169 00:10:36,202 --> 00:10:39,771 >> SMITH: After he was released from Bucca, the American-run 170 00:10:39,905 --> 00:10:43,775 prison, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi would, in time, become head of 171 00:10:43,909 --> 00:10:47,746 Al Qaeda in Iraq, directing ambushes on Iraqi forces and 172 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:53,084 suicide bombings. But he had greater ambitions. 173 00:10:53,219 --> 00:10:57,956 In the summer of 2011, he sent a few men into Syria to join 174 00:10:58,090 --> 00:11:01,793 the rebels fighting the Shia government of Bashar al-Assad. 175 00:11:01,927 --> 00:11:08,133 (chanting) (explosion) 176 00:11:08,267 --> 00:11:12,370 For Baghdadi, the Syrian war was a gift. 177 00:11:12,505 --> 00:11:17,475 >> Suddenly, you have a complete breakdown of the state in Syria. 178 00:11:17,610 --> 00:11:21,413 You have this vast, open space between the two countries. 179 00:11:21,547 --> 00:11:25,483 And so these guys, they're suddenly able to find life. 180 00:11:25,618 --> 00:11:30,255 >> ISIS didn't become the group that it is today until they went 181 00:11:30,389 --> 00:11:38,963 to Syria. Syria is what made ISIS ISIS. 182 00:11:39,098 --> 00:11:43,268 >> We don't know how many Al Qaeda in Iraq guys move from 183 00:11:43,402 --> 00:11:47,739 Iraq to Syria in the 2011, 2012 timeframe. 184 00:11:47,873 --> 00:11:51,743 But once they move into Syria, all of a sudden, they're able 185 00:11:51,877 --> 00:11:54,512 to operate once again. All of a sudden, they're able 186 00:11:54,647 --> 00:11:58,416 to recruit once again. Their message gains traction 187 00:11:58,551 --> 00:12:03,088 with the Sunnis of Syria who are looking to wage a civil war 188 00:12:03,222 --> 00:12:07,659 against the Shia government. (explosion) 189 00:12:07,793 --> 00:12:10,462 >> SMITH: Al Qaeda was joining the fight along with dozens of 190 00:12:10,596 --> 00:12:13,932 other Syrian Sunni rebel groups, but it quickly became a major 191 00:12:14,066 --> 00:12:17,602 force. >> Baghdadi sends a bunch of 192 00:12:17,737 --> 00:12:21,239 guys into Syria. It goes from being nothing 193 00:12:21,373 --> 00:12:25,210 to being the most powerful active group. 194 00:12:25,344 --> 00:12:27,212 They're running operations all over the country 195 00:12:27,346 --> 00:12:29,748 within, like, 12 months. It's extraordinary what happens. 196 00:12:29,882 --> 00:12:31,149 Takes off like fire. 197 00:12:39,191 --> 00:12:44,395 >> SMITH: Back in Iraq, Maliki's purges of Sunnis continued. 198 00:12:44,530 --> 00:12:49,300 And Maliki upped the ante in December 2012, when his police 199 00:12:49,435 --> 00:12:53,138 rounded up the bodyguards of another prominent Sunni leader, 200 00:12:53,272 --> 00:12:57,108 finance minister Rafi al-Essawi. >> Rafi al-Essawi, 201 00:12:57,243 --> 00:13:00,078 everybody loves the guy. I mean, he's greatly respected. 202 00:13:00,212 --> 00:13:03,214 I've seen no evidence that suggested that his bodyguards 203 00:13:03,349 --> 00:13:05,950 were doing anything bad. To the contrary. 204 00:13:06,085 --> 00:13:10,488 And so when his bodyguards are arrested, that I think is 205 00:13:10,623 --> 00:13:13,992 the real blow to the Sunni community, because everybody 206 00:13:14,126 --> 00:13:18,196 knows Rafi al-Essawi is a peaceful man. 207 00:13:18,330 --> 00:13:21,666 >> SMITH: So you were sitting inside the finance ministry. 208 00:13:21,801 --> 00:13:25,270 >> Yeah, they attacked the office and they took 16 of my 209 00:13:25,404 --> 00:13:28,406 bodyguards. These are almost ten years 210 00:13:28,541 --> 00:13:30,842 they are with me. I'm sure that they are against 211 00:13:30,976 --> 00:13:34,813 terrorism, all of them, almost, they are my close relatives. 212 00:13:34,947 --> 00:13:37,415 >> SMITH: After the arrest warrant is issued for Rafi 213 00:13:37,550 --> 00:13:39,951 al-Essawi... >> I called Maliki up. 214 00:13:40,085 --> 00:13:42,554 I said, "What are you doing? What the hell's going on?" 215 00:13:42,688 --> 00:13:45,523 He's a colleague of ours. He was with us yesterday 216 00:13:45,658 --> 00:13:48,626 in the cabinet. And now some police people 217 00:13:48,761 --> 00:13:51,663 have gone to arrest him? This is absolutely unacceptable. 218 00:13:51,797 --> 00:13:54,933 >> Hundreds of thousands of people were very upset because 219 00:13:55,067 --> 00:13:57,669 they feel that this is a story of dignity. 220 00:13:57,803 --> 00:14:00,805 No Sunni is exempted. People started to prepare for a 221 00:14:00,940 --> 00:14:04,008 big demonstration in Fallujah and Ramadi. 222 00:14:04,143 --> 00:14:06,611 So I called them, I said to them, "I'll join the 223 00:14:06,745 --> 00:14:08,146 demonstration." 224 00:14:14,987 --> 00:14:18,389 >> Anyone, Maliki and the gangs of the militias of Maliki, 225 00:14:18,524 --> 00:14:20,258 can arrest anyone. 226 00:14:26,498 --> 00:14:29,267 >> I went there. They are protesting for their 227 00:14:29,401 --> 00:14:31,870 rights. And they have legitimate 228 00:14:32,004 --> 00:14:35,240 demands for releasing the innocent people in the prisons, 229 00:14:35,374 --> 00:14:38,843 some of these in detention center for two, three, 230 00:14:38,978 --> 00:14:43,081 six years without trials. They are telling us of, 231 00:14:43,215 --> 00:14:46,217 in one month or twice in a month, three months, 232 00:14:46,352 --> 00:14:49,153 raids in their community and collecting just young people 233 00:14:49,288 --> 00:14:52,190 like that. Collecting people. 234 00:14:55,828 --> 00:14:58,329 >> They were not fully integrated into the security 235 00:14:58,464 --> 00:15:02,033 forces as was promised, so they felt, again, 236 00:15:02,167 --> 00:15:06,404 completely marginalized. The idea that it's just 237 00:15:06,538 --> 00:15:10,041 terrorists, Maliki is trying to cultivate that impression. 238 00:15:10,175 --> 00:15:12,844 No. The average man in the street, 239 00:15:12,978 --> 00:15:15,813 woman in the street, Sunni, perceived it exactly that same 240 00:15:15,948 --> 00:15:19,250 way. >> (chanting) 241 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,889 >> SMITH: Officials in the White House saw what was happening. 242 00:15:25,024 --> 00:15:28,826 Obama's ambassador to Iraq had warned that Maliki needed to be 243 00:15:28,961 --> 00:15:31,963 contained. >> This was a constant warning 244 00:15:32,097 --> 00:15:34,933 that I had made and that others had made before me, that Maliki 245 00:15:35,067 --> 00:15:38,136 was a problem. On the other hand, the 246 00:15:38,270 --> 00:15:42,774 president and the country had taken the position, "Iraq was 247 00:15:42,908 --> 00:15:46,744 a mistake, we've ended our war in Iraq. 248 00:15:46,879 --> 00:15:49,647 If we see things we don't like, we'll do calls from the vice 249 00:15:49,782 --> 00:15:52,650 president, just like we do with 150 other countries 250 00:15:52,785 --> 00:15:56,688 that have similar situations." >> The Obama administration 251 00:15:56,822 --> 00:16:00,491 certainly did tell Prime Minister Maliki and other Iraqis 252 00:16:00,626 --> 00:16:04,529 that they wanted to see them play by the democratic rules, 253 00:16:04,663 --> 00:16:07,665 that they thought it was a mistake for them to go after 254 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,134 their political rivals in this fashion. 255 00:16:10,269 --> 00:16:13,004 But they did it in private. They didn't do it in public. 256 00:16:13,138 --> 00:16:15,907 And they certainly never imposed any kind of a cost. 257 00:16:16,041 --> 00:16:18,743 >> You gotta continue to put pressure on them to do the right 258 00:16:18,877 --> 00:16:21,312 thing. I think everybody just kept 259 00:16:21,447 --> 00:16:25,016 their fingers crossed that ultimately, Maliki would somehow 260 00:16:25,150 --> 00:16:30,621 step down or be replaced and that Iraq would be in a better 261 00:16:30,756 --> 00:16:33,224 place. >> No, I don't think that's 262 00:16:33,359 --> 00:16:35,460 accurate. We were engaged with all of 263 00:16:35,594 --> 00:16:37,729 Iraq's communities, we were engaged with Prime Minister 264 00:16:37,863 --> 00:16:39,964 Maliki, and we were seeking to manage this and press Iraqi 265 00:16:40,099 --> 00:16:42,533 leaders to move in a more inclusive direction. 266 00:16:42,668 --> 00:16:45,303 But by definition, our leverage, in order to affect 267 00:16:45,437 --> 00:16:49,841 political outcomes inside a very complicated society like Iraq's, 268 00:16:49,975 --> 00:16:53,378 has inherent limits. And at the end of the day, 269 00:16:53,512 --> 00:16:56,247 it's going to be Iraqi leaders who have to make these 270 00:16:56,382 --> 00:17:00,418 determinations to work together. >> (chanting) 271 00:17:00,552 --> 00:17:03,621 >> SMITH: As weeks went by, the demonstrations grew. 272 00:17:03,756 --> 00:17:06,624 In Ramadi, protesters camped out on the main road between 273 00:17:06,759 --> 00:17:13,398 Baghdad and Jordan, a vital trucking artery. 274 00:17:13,532 --> 00:17:19,470 In other Sunni cities and towns-- Fallujah, Mosul, 275 00:17:19,605 --> 00:17:22,640 Tikrit, -- other protests halted traffic and commerce. 276 00:17:22,775 --> 00:17:27,078 With youth unemployment running as high as 40%, 277 00:17:27,212 --> 00:17:31,983 young men were free to gather. And support poured in from 278 00:17:32,117 --> 00:17:35,053 around the Sunni Arab world to pay for tents, meals 279 00:17:35,187 --> 00:17:38,623 and transportation. One of the principal funders was 280 00:17:38,757 --> 00:17:42,593 a wealthy Iraqi businessman living in Jordan, a man with 281 00:17:42,728 --> 00:17:46,297 ties to the Baathist regime of Saddam Hussein. 282 00:17:46,432 --> 00:17:49,567 >> SMITH: How much money did you spend in support of those 283 00:17:49,701 --> 00:17:52,437 protests? >> (translated): All that the 284 00:17:52,571 --> 00:17:56,741 demonstrations needed. >> SMITH: And how much was that? 285 00:17:56,875 --> 00:17:59,577 >> (translated): All that was needed. 286 00:17:59,711 --> 00:18:01,879 I don't know. Whatever was needed. 287 00:18:02,014 --> 00:18:06,851 >> SMITH: Khanjar also paid for the establishment of pro-Sunni 288 00:18:06,985 --> 00:18:08,286 TV stations. 289 00:18:10,889 --> 00:18:15,026 >> (translated): We encouraged channels like Baghdad, 290 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:18,396 Al-Rafidain and Fallujah to defend our people. 291 00:18:18,530 --> 00:18:24,569 >> (shouting in Arabic) >> (translated): Maliki is the 292 00:18:24,703 --> 00:18:27,705 cause of all of this. He has a problem with the 293 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:30,174 Sunnis. This is the revolution of the 294 00:18:30,309 --> 00:18:32,810 tribes. I am proud of it 295 00:18:32,945 --> 00:18:38,049 and I support it. >> (chanting): Allahu Akbar! 296 00:18:43,589 --> 00:18:46,557 >> SMITH: 60 miles away in Baghdad, Iraq's Shia 297 00:18:46,692 --> 00:18:50,795 were organizing their own demonstrations. 298 00:18:50,929 --> 00:18:55,233 Here and in other Shia cities throughout Iraq's south, 299 00:18:55,367 --> 00:19:00,238 people encouraged Maliki. >> (chanting) 300 00:19:00,372 --> 00:19:03,207 >> They were supporting him. He was popular in the streets, 301 00:19:03,342 --> 00:19:06,444 he was popular in Najaf, he was popular in Basra, 302 00:19:06,578 --> 00:19:09,847 he was popular in Babil, popular in Baghdad. 303 00:19:09,982 --> 00:19:13,351 And when he moved against Sunnis, he found himself getting 304 00:19:13,485 --> 00:19:16,654 more popular. So there was no real 305 00:19:16,788 --> 00:19:21,292 disincentive at that point to discontinue doing what he was 306 00:19:21,426 --> 00:19:23,027 doing. 307 00:19:31,870 --> 00:19:35,406 (explosion) >> SMITH: Back in Syria, 308 00:19:35,541 --> 00:19:38,509 Al Qaeda was steadily gaining ground. 309 00:19:38,644 --> 00:19:41,579 In its early months, the group relied on donations from wealthy 310 00:19:41,713 --> 00:19:45,816 Sunnis in the region. >> The Saudis, the Kuwaitis, the 311 00:19:45,951 --> 00:19:48,853 Emiratis, all of the gulf states and a whole variety of other 312 00:19:48,987 --> 00:19:52,390 countries began to provide support to a whole variety of 313 00:19:52,524 --> 00:19:55,993 Sunni opposition groups, and they weren't terribly careful 314 00:19:56,128 --> 00:20:00,765 about which groups got the aid. >> SMITH: And soon, Al Qaeda 315 00:20:00,899 --> 00:20:04,936 needed fewer donations. As they gained territory, 316 00:20:05,070 --> 00:20:08,706 they became self-sustaining, robbing banks, running 317 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:12,210 extortion rackets, seizing Syrian transportation routes 318 00:20:12,344 --> 00:20:17,448 and Syrian oil fields. >> Allahu Akbar! 319 00:20:17,583 --> 00:20:21,586 >> They were very smart. They understood, "If we can 320 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,689 control those oil wells, we'll be able to sell the oil on the 321 00:20:24,823 --> 00:20:28,192 black market and get cash." And they went about that 322 00:20:28,327 --> 00:20:31,862 in a very conscientious way, field by field. 323 00:20:31,997 --> 00:20:35,900 >> SMITH: In this Al Qaeda video, they are shown planning 324 00:20:36,034 --> 00:20:40,738 and then executing an attack on a major Syrian power station. 325 00:20:40,872 --> 00:20:43,608 (gunfire) 326 00:21:05,697 --> 00:21:08,499 >> SMITH: U.S. Ambassador to Syria Robert Ford had urged 327 00:21:08,634 --> 00:21:12,303 the administration to quickly provide aid to pro-Western 328 00:21:12,437 --> 00:21:16,107 Syrian rebels. Otherwise, he warned, 329 00:21:16,241 --> 00:21:19,944 Al Qaeda would dominate. >> I think there was certainly 330 00:21:20,078 --> 00:21:24,081 warnings from people at my level that in a large, ungoverned 331 00:21:24,216 --> 00:21:30,321 space, having Al Qaeda or Al Qaeda-affiliated groups able 332 00:21:30,455 --> 00:21:33,791 to operate freely would be as much a risk to the United States 333 00:21:33,925 --> 00:21:37,128 as Somalia, Yemen and Afghanistan were. 334 00:21:37,262 --> 00:21:40,031 And in each of those places, the Americans had to act. 335 00:21:40,165 --> 00:21:42,933 >> SMITH: But in Syria, the president chose not to send 336 00:21:43,068 --> 00:21:47,138 arms. >> I think the president's 337 00:21:47,272 --> 00:21:50,474 concern-- and I respect his decision-- but I think 338 00:21:50,609 --> 00:21:53,611 his concern was that ultimately, if we provide those kinds of 339 00:21:53,745 --> 00:21:56,280 weapons, we couldn't be sure whose hands they might 340 00:21:56,415 --> 00:21:59,050 ultimately wind up in. >> SMITH: You respect his 341 00:21:59,184 --> 00:22:01,085 decision. He was the commander-in-chief. 342 00:22:01,219 --> 00:22:05,423 But you think he was wrong? >> I think we made the wrong 343 00:22:05,557 --> 00:22:09,060 decision in not providing assistance to the rebels. 344 00:22:11,530 --> 00:22:14,632 >> I think President Obama has a fundamental belief that any 345 00:22:14,766 --> 00:22:20,404 military action or aiding local fighters will lead to, almost 346 00:22:20,539 --> 00:22:25,509 inexorably, 150,000 troops on the ground like Iraq, or 500,000 347 00:22:25,644 --> 00:22:28,813 like Vietnam. Slippery slope, down the drain, 348 00:22:28,947 --> 00:22:32,083 huge disaster for America. I think he believes that, 349 00:22:32,217 --> 00:22:35,586 sincerely. I think he's absolutely wrong. 350 00:22:37,099 --> 00:22:40,201 >> SMITH: You were getting advice from Ambassador Ford, 351 00:22:40,335 --> 00:22:43,904 Ambassador Jeffrey in Iraq that we needed to get involved 352 00:22:44,039 --> 00:22:48,242 in the Syrian situation, or the Al Qaeda elements that were 353 00:22:48,376 --> 00:22:52,346 operating there were going to dominate and become a much more 354 00:22:52,481 --> 00:22:56,417 serious issue. >> Well, let's step back here. 355 00:22:56,551 --> 00:23:00,121 I think in the rear-view mirror, people suggest that 356 00:23:00,255 --> 00:23:05,226 it was about ISIL. In those conversations in 2012, 357 00:23:05,360 --> 00:23:09,697 it was very much about, "What can we do to effect change as 358 00:23:09,831 --> 00:23:12,700 it relates to Bashar al-Assad?" >> SMITH: Correct, but the 359 00:23:12,834 --> 00:23:18,072 urgency increased as Al Qaeda- linked rebels gained more and 360 00:23:18,206 --> 00:23:24,245 more power and money. >> Absolutely, and again, 361 00:23:24,379 --> 00:23:27,548 it's a complicated picture. The president was willing to get 362 00:23:27,682 --> 00:23:31,218 engaged in support for the opposition in Syria, but he 363 00:23:31,353 --> 00:23:34,321 wanted to make clear that we understood there were limits 364 00:23:34,456 --> 00:23:37,458 as to how we could solve this problem with our military, 365 00:23:37,592 --> 00:23:40,528 and that we had to be very deliberate and careful when it 366 00:23:40,662 --> 00:23:43,430 comes to something like providing military assistance 367 00:23:43,565 --> 00:23:47,168 to an opposition group. >> SMITH: Throughout 2012, 368 00:23:47,302 --> 00:23:51,205 the president held off. Without U.S. arms, the more 369 00:23:51,339 --> 00:23:54,708 moderate Syrian rebels struggled. 370 00:23:54,843 --> 00:23:59,513 Al Qaeda, meanwhile, was ready to expand back into Iraq. 371 00:24:02,017 --> 00:24:05,252 (explosions) In a campaign called "destroying 372 00:24:05,387 --> 00:24:08,622 the walls," they launched a series of attacks on Iraqi 373 00:24:08,757 --> 00:24:12,593 prisons. ISIS's ranks swelled 374 00:24:12,727 --> 00:24:20,034 with newly freed inmates. Then in March 2013, a few of 375 00:24:20,168 --> 00:24:23,904 Al Qaeda's black flags began to appear in the midst of the 376 00:24:24,039 --> 00:24:29,577 protests in Ramadi. they started calling 377 00:24:29,711 --> 00:24:33,314 themselves the Islamic State in Iraq and 378 00:24:33,448 --> 00:24:38,619 al Sham-- ISIS. their presence stoked 379 00:24:38,753 --> 00:24:42,423 Maliki's worst fears. >> That was a turning point, 380 00:24:42,557 --> 00:24:45,593 really. That was a turning point 381 00:24:45,727 --> 00:24:49,997 in the government attitude toward these demonstrations. 382 00:24:50,131 --> 00:24:53,367 "We told you so. These are infiltrated." 383 00:24:53,501 --> 00:24:57,905 This is the black flag of Al Qaeda. 384 00:24:58,039 --> 00:25:03,844 >> SMITH: Then in April 2013, at a Sunni protest camp in the 385 00:25:03,979 --> 00:25:07,314 town of Hawija, there was a confrontation. 386 00:25:07,449 --> 00:25:10,451 >> The facts were a little unclear. 387 00:25:10,585 --> 00:25:12,920 You have some provocateurs, there's a police officer 388 00:25:13,054 --> 00:25:17,458 who's killed-- maybe by Al Qaeda, maybe not-- and Maliki 389 00:25:17,592 --> 00:25:21,996 responds massively and with enormous force. 390 00:25:27,135 --> 00:25:31,405 >> No one thought that the Iraqi army can attack demonstrators in 391 00:25:31,539 --> 00:25:33,874 Hawija. They are demonstrating 392 00:25:34,009 --> 00:25:36,577 for months at that time, peaceful, calling for the 393 00:25:36,711 --> 00:25:42,449 rights. So when they brought 394 00:25:42,584 --> 00:25:45,686 their tanks and the heavy vehicles of the army and the 395 00:25:45,820 --> 00:25:48,489 security forces of the ministry of interior and attacked, 396 00:25:48,623 --> 00:25:52,259 they killed the people in a very criminal model. 397 00:25:52,394 --> 00:25:55,629 >> It's unclear how many people were killed. 398 00:25:55,764 --> 00:25:58,632 The estimates that I've heard from people who saw the bodies 399 00:25:58,767 --> 00:26:02,803 was that there were hundreds. Hundreds and hundreds of bodies. 400 00:26:07,609 --> 00:26:10,844 >> And at that point, ISIS, they were arguing, "You're not gonna 401 00:26:10,979 --> 00:26:13,647 get anywhere with peaceful protests. 402 00:26:13,782 --> 00:26:17,318 You need to have muscle. You need to use some measure 403 00:26:17,452 --> 00:26:21,722 of violence." And they started to gain more 404 00:26:21,856 --> 00:26:24,358 traction with that argument. 405 00:26:26,962 --> 00:26:29,663 >> SMITH: So these are people, young men who sat in those 406 00:26:29,798 --> 00:26:33,834 protests in Ramadi and Hawija who decided to take up weapons 407 00:26:33,969 --> 00:26:36,637 and join with ISIS? >> They tried to... 408 00:26:36,771 --> 00:26:40,541 They voted for a new government in Baghdad in 2010. 409 00:26:40,675 --> 00:26:44,445 Their representatives, like Hashemi and Essawi, fellow Sunni 410 00:26:44,579 --> 00:26:47,715 Arabs, were purged. They were humiliated. 411 00:26:47,849 --> 00:26:52,653 They tried to form a region. They tried to exercise 412 00:26:52,787 --> 00:26:56,690 civil disobedience. They were attacked with Maliki's 413 00:26:56,825 --> 00:27:00,127 forces. And so now they've taken up 414 00:27:00,261 --> 00:27:03,030 arms. >> Allahu Akbar! 415 00:27:03,164 --> 00:27:05,666 >> It's been called the revolution, it's been called the 416 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,469 insurgency. Whatever you want to call it, 417 00:27:08,603 --> 00:27:11,872 it was back. >> If you take Iraq's Sunni 418 00:27:12,007 --> 00:27:15,009 community, its leadership, it's full of reasonable people. 419 00:27:15,143 --> 00:27:19,079 It's full of secular, educated, very moderate people. 420 00:27:19,214 --> 00:27:22,282 But they look around and they say, "Where do we go? 421 00:27:22,417 --> 00:27:25,219 The only people who are gonna protect us are these really 422 00:27:25,353 --> 00:27:29,957 hard guys, and we may not like them, but we need them because 423 00:27:30,091 --> 00:27:33,060 otherwise, there's nothing. Nobody's gonna protect us. 424 00:27:33,194 --> 00:27:35,829 And the Americans aren't here anymore." 425 00:27:35,964 --> 00:27:39,033 >> SMITH: Years earlier, the Sunni leadership had warned 426 00:27:39,167 --> 00:27:41,935 American officials what would happen if Maliki reneged on the 427 00:27:42,070 --> 00:27:46,240 promises of power sharing he'd made to Iraq's Sunnis. 428 00:27:46,374 --> 00:27:50,644 >> The message back was, "If we are backed into a corner again, 429 00:27:50,779 --> 00:27:55,049 we will rise up. And this time, 430 00:27:55,183 --> 00:27:57,918 we will not stop. We will take Baghdad. 431 00:27:58,053 --> 00:28:01,422 We will burn it or we will die trying." 432 00:28:01,556 --> 00:28:05,526 (gunfire) >> SMITH: Three months after 433 00:28:05,660 --> 00:28:08,695 Hawija, ISIS mounted a spectacular attack right on the 434 00:28:08,830 --> 00:28:12,466 outskirts of Baghdad, releasing 500 inmates from Abu Ghraib 435 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,736 prison. >> Abu Ghraib is only seven 436 00:28:15,870 --> 00:28:18,238 or eight miles from Baghdad Airport. 437 00:28:18,373 --> 00:28:22,209 It's 12 or 14 miles to the city. So it was very clear that 438 00:28:22,343 --> 00:28:28,615 ISIS-led Sunnis, basically, were encroaching and making major, 439 00:28:28,750 --> 00:28:35,189 major gains in Anbar Province. >> It was a huge propaganda win 440 00:28:35,323 --> 00:28:37,891 for the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria. 441 00:28:38,026 --> 00:28:41,195 It was basically the prison bust-out was a statement of 442 00:28:41,329 --> 00:28:43,664 purpose that, "We're here. What started after 443 00:28:43,798 --> 00:28:46,834 Hawija, in terms of the bombings, the spike in violence, 444 00:28:46,968 --> 00:28:50,938 we're orchestrating this, and hell is coming." 445 00:28:51,072 --> 00:28:53,474 >> SMITH: ISIS began bringing more reinforcements over the 446 00:28:53,608 --> 00:28:57,644 Syrian border. It became clear the Iraqi army 447 00:28:57,779 --> 00:29:01,849 could not stop their advance. In Baghdad, the leadership was 448 00:29:01,983 --> 00:29:05,385 worried. >> I spoke with Maliki. 449 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,955 I said, "Listen, let's admit it. You cannot do it. 450 00:29:08,089 --> 00:29:11,658 We cannot do it. Our military is dysfunctioning. 451 00:29:11,793 --> 00:29:16,530 And we have an option. If our democratic system 452 00:29:16,664 --> 00:29:21,068 is threatened, we can go and ask our American friends for help." 453 00:29:24,072 --> 00:29:28,475 >> SMITH: In November 2013, Maliki would set out hat in hand 454 00:29:28,610 --> 00:29:31,979 to Washington. >> The message was really, 455 00:29:32,113 --> 00:29:35,549 "We are under threat. We don't have control over our 456 00:29:35,683 --> 00:29:38,385 border with Syria." And in terms of weapons, 457 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,188 Hellfire missiles, you see, we run out of them. 458 00:29:41,322 --> 00:29:44,958 And we warned about the seriousness of the situation, 459 00:29:45,093 --> 00:29:50,731 the existential threat that this country is facing. 460 00:29:50,865 --> 00:29:55,602 >> SMITH: But getting American aid beyond Hellfire missiles was 461 00:29:55,737 --> 00:29:59,039 going to be a hard sell, in spite of the fact that U.S. 462 00:29:59,174 --> 00:30:02,009 intelligence and defense officials were also increasingly 463 00:30:02,143 --> 00:30:06,046 alarmed about ISIS. >> The American intelligence 464 00:30:06,181 --> 00:30:09,550 community was saying that this group, the Islamic State in Iraq 465 00:30:09,684 --> 00:30:13,086 and Syria, was becoming increasingly potent. 466 00:30:13,221 --> 00:30:15,222 They were expanding their footprint in Syria. 467 00:30:15,356 --> 00:30:17,791 They were expanding their operations in Iraq. 468 00:30:17,926 --> 00:30:22,229 There were months of these kinds of warning signals about the 469 00:30:22,363 --> 00:30:26,033 growth and expansion of ISIS. >> I think the intelligence 470 00:30:26,167 --> 00:30:32,206 analysis continued to point to the implications of what was 471 00:30:32,340 --> 00:30:37,544 happening in Syria and what could happen in Iraq. 472 00:30:37,679 --> 00:30:41,715 You know, this was not something that people were not being made 473 00:30:41,849 --> 00:30:44,284 aware of in terms of the implications. 474 00:30:44,419 --> 00:30:48,455 >> SMITH: The administration did agree to some small increases in 475 00:30:48,590 --> 00:30:52,859 military aid. >> I want to welcome back Prime 476 00:30:52,994 --> 00:30:54,995 Minister Maliki to the White House. 477 00:30:55,196 --> 00:30:57,297 But despite the warnings, the president was not ready 478 00:30:57,498 --> 00:30:58,999 to give more. Maliki was not seen as a 479 00:30:59,133 --> 00:31:00,801 trustworthy partner. 480 00:31:00,935 --> 00:31:04,004 >> SMITH: He was hat-in-hand, asking for more weapons, but the 481 00:31:04,138 --> 00:31:07,608 president did not appear to be tough on Maliki at that point, 482 00:31:07,742 --> 00:31:09,643 publicly. Can you tell me that it was 483 00:31:09,777 --> 00:31:12,279 different behind closed doors? >> Yeah, privately. 484 00:31:12,413 --> 00:31:15,882 We said that, "You need not only our security assistance, you 485 00:31:16,017 --> 00:31:19,453 need a political program that all Iraqis can get behind." 486 00:31:19,587 --> 00:31:22,022 >> SMITH: And what did he say? >> He would commit to do certain 487 00:31:22,156 --> 00:31:25,192 things, but there was never the sustained follow-through that 488 00:31:25,326 --> 00:31:29,062 was going to be necessary to really have an inclusive Iraqi 489 00:31:29,197 --> 00:31:31,898 political culture. >> SMITH: What leverage could 490 00:31:32,033 --> 00:31:34,401 you use with him at that point? >> Well, we obviously had 491 00:31:34,535 --> 00:31:36,737 significant relationships with Iraq. 492 00:31:36,871 --> 00:31:39,306 But at the end of the day, it's up to the Iraqi political 493 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,775 leadership to govern in an inclusive fashion. 494 00:31:41,909 --> 00:31:44,378 We couldn't do it for them when we had troops in Iraq. 495 00:31:44,512 --> 00:31:46,413 We couldn't do it for them when we didn't. 496 00:31:46,547 --> 00:31:49,216 >> Thank you. >> SMITH: And after that visit, 497 00:31:49,350 --> 00:31:52,419 things got much worse. >> Got much worse. 498 00:31:58,626 --> 00:32:02,929 >> (chanting) >> SMITH: In December 2013, 499 00:32:03,064 --> 00:32:06,767 Maliki would strike once again, this time against a hardline 500 00:32:06,901 --> 00:32:09,970 Sunni parliamentarian, Ahmed al-Alwani. 501 00:32:10,104 --> 00:32:13,440 >> Ahmed al-Alwani was a Sunni politician, a member of 502 00:32:13,574 --> 00:32:16,209 parliament. He'd give angry speeches 503 00:32:16,344 --> 00:32:18,145 against Maliki's government. 504 00:32:34,062 --> 00:32:38,899 >> And Maliki decides that he's had enough and the Iraqi forces 505 00:32:39,033 --> 00:32:45,639 stage a raid on his house. (gunfire) 506 00:32:45,773 --> 00:32:50,377 Alwani's brother is there. The brother is killed. 507 00:32:50,511 --> 00:32:53,613 Ahmed al-Alwani, the member of parliament, is taken away, 508 00:32:53,748 --> 00:32:57,984 but nobody has seen him since. (gunshots) 509 00:32:58,119 --> 00:33:00,487 >> SMITH: After that arrest, Maliki sent the army into Ramadi 510 00:33:00,621 --> 00:33:03,724 to tear down the year-old protest camp. 511 00:33:03,858 --> 00:33:08,628 (gunshots) Maliki's move would prove 512 00:33:08,763 --> 00:33:12,632 disastrous. >> That provokes a Sunni 513 00:33:12,767 --> 00:33:16,870 uprising. (rapid gunfire) 514 00:33:17,004 --> 00:33:19,706 >> The Sunni Arab population of Anbar rose up and said, "Okay, 515 00:33:19,841 --> 00:33:22,743 we're sick and tired of you. You're oppressing us. 516 00:33:22,877 --> 00:33:26,246 Get the troops out of our cities." 517 00:33:26,381 --> 00:33:29,316 >> And the Islamic State takes advantage of that to move inside 518 00:33:29,450 --> 00:33:33,920 these cities. And from there, you have chapter 519 00:33:34,055 --> 00:33:37,224 one of the Iraq War of 2014 begin. 520 00:33:37,358 --> 00:33:46,833 (gunfire) >> What happened here is that by 521 00:33:46,968 --> 00:33:53,740 virtue of the Shias not opening it up and allowing the Sunnis to 522 00:33:53,875 --> 00:33:57,711 participate, that they created the monster that has led to 523 00:33:57,845 --> 00:34:00,046 ISIS. >> SMITH: So they created the 524 00:34:00,181 --> 00:34:04,084 monster that they feared. >> Exactly. 525 00:34:04,218 --> 00:34:08,121 >> SMITH: The fighting lasted only a few days. 526 00:34:08,256 --> 00:34:12,325 In the end, the Iraqi army was no match. 527 00:34:12,460 --> 00:34:21,201 (rapid gunfire) (loud chanting) 528 00:34:21,335 --> 00:34:24,171 >> SMITH: You would think this would set off real alarm bells 529 00:34:24,305 --> 00:34:26,206 in Washington. I mean, now you have them taking 530 00:34:26,340 --> 00:34:29,309 over a city just a few miles outside of Baghdad. 531 00:34:29,444 --> 00:34:31,845 >> The ISIS attacks on Ramadi and Fallujah certainly did set 532 00:34:31,979 --> 00:34:34,548 off some alarm bells in Washington, at least in 533 00:34:34,682 --> 00:34:36,950 certain quarters. But the top-level leadership 534 00:34:37,084 --> 00:34:39,820 continued to do virtually nothing. 535 00:34:39,954 --> 00:34:41,822 >> SMITH: Presumably Biden gets on the phone to Maliki? 536 00:34:41,956 --> 00:34:44,257 Or, I mean, what happens? >> Some phone calls were made. 537 00:34:44,392 --> 00:34:46,460 No question about that. But of course, the Iraqis had 538 00:34:46,594 --> 00:34:50,163 never seen the Obama administration actually take any 539 00:34:50,298 --> 00:34:54,401 action either to help them or to hurt them if they didn't do what 540 00:34:54,535 --> 00:34:56,236 the United States wanted. 541 00:35:04,479 --> 00:35:08,081 >> SMITH: In Iraq's north, ISIS was eyeing another target: 542 00:35:08,216 --> 00:35:11,952 Mosul, Iraq's second largest city. 543 00:35:12,086 --> 00:35:15,655 Months before they attacked, a Kurdish intelligence official 544 00:35:15,790 --> 00:35:19,292 gave Iraqi Foreign Minister Zebari a warning. 545 00:35:19,427 --> 00:35:24,531 >> "Tell Maliki I have very, very serious concerns. 546 00:35:24,665 --> 00:35:26,766 The terrorists have established themselves. 547 00:35:26,901 --> 00:35:29,603 They have encamped themselves in the western desert near the 548 00:35:29,737 --> 00:35:32,472 Syrian borders. And really, they are planning to 549 00:35:32,607 --> 00:35:36,376 formally militarily overrun Mosul." 550 00:35:36,511 --> 00:35:38,378 >> SMITH: You took this message to... 551 00:35:38,513 --> 00:35:40,580 >> I took this message to him. It was a clear message of 552 00:35:40,715 --> 00:35:44,918 warning. And he didn't take it. 553 00:35:45,052 --> 00:35:48,755 >> SMITH: The White House, too, was warned. 554 00:35:48,890 --> 00:35:51,958 >> The administration not only was warned by everybody back in 555 00:35:52,093 --> 00:35:56,696 January, it actually announced that it was going to intensify 556 00:35:56,831 --> 00:36:00,867 its support against ISIS with the Iraqi armed forces. 557 00:36:01,002 --> 00:36:03,503 And it did almost nothing. >> SMITH: Ambassador Jeffrey 558 00:36:03,638 --> 00:36:06,973 says that the Obama administration said it was going 559 00:36:07,108 --> 00:36:10,510 to speed military assistance, but it did, in his words, 560 00:36:10,645 --> 00:36:13,113 "almost nothing." >> That's just not true. 561 00:36:13,247 --> 00:36:15,148 I mean, if you go back and you look at the record of what we 562 00:36:15,283 --> 00:36:18,585 were providing to the Iraqis, there was a steady increase, 563 00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:22,022 whether you're talking about Hellfire missiles, the Apaches, 564 00:36:22,156 --> 00:36:25,592 they were held up by Congress. We sought the expedition of that 565 00:36:25,726 --> 00:36:29,529 delivery to the Iraqis. >> Hellfire missiles started to 566 00:36:29,664 --> 00:36:31,831 come. They increased the intelligence 567 00:36:31,966 --> 00:36:37,504 capacity, but it was really not enough, to be honest with you. 568 00:36:37,638 --> 00:36:40,307 I mean, the United States could have done more. 569 00:36:44,812 --> 00:36:48,815 >> SMITH: Then on June 6, 2014, ISIS sent several suicide car 570 00:36:48,950 --> 00:36:56,790 bombs into downtown Mosul. (explosions) 571 00:36:56,924 --> 00:37:01,461 (sirens blaring) >> SMITH: ...along with ISIS 572 00:37:01,596 --> 00:37:06,032 fighters in pickup trucks. In some neighborhoods, they were 573 00:37:06,167 --> 00:37:07,467 warmly welcomed. 574 00:37:10,972 --> 00:37:15,909 (rapid gunfire) >> SMITH: The Iraqi army, on the 575 00:37:16,043 --> 00:37:18,878 other hand, was seen as a Shia militia. 576 00:37:19,013 --> 00:37:24,084 With no local support, the army had deserted by June 10 with 577 00:37:24,218 --> 00:37:28,855 barely a fight. >> They didn't know how to 578 00:37:28,990 --> 00:37:31,491 respond. They didn't want to respond. 579 00:37:31,626 --> 00:37:33,760 You know, these were people that didn't want to do any 580 00:37:33,894 --> 00:37:37,030 actual work. They were fat cats, I call them. 581 00:37:37,164 --> 00:37:40,500 They were people who were earning good money to basically 582 00:37:40,635 --> 00:37:46,906 sit at a desk and smoke cigarettes and drink good 583 00:37:47,041 --> 00:37:50,744 liquor all day. >> SMITH: In the end, it took 584 00:37:50,878 --> 00:37:54,514 only 800 ISIS militants, with the help of local Baathist 585 00:37:54,649 --> 00:37:59,586 military cadres, to secure a city of 1.8 million people. 586 00:37:59,720 --> 00:38:05,025 Even ISIS was surprised. >> The original intelligence was 587 00:38:05,159 --> 00:38:08,795 that ISIS did not come to invade Mosul. 588 00:38:08,929 --> 00:38:10,830 They didn't come to take it over. 589 00:38:10,965 --> 00:38:15,568 They came to break a bunch of people out of prison. 590 00:38:15,703 --> 00:38:18,004 But what happens? They roll into the city and the 591 00:38:18,139 --> 00:38:22,042 entire Iraqi army collapses. And they make some adjustments 592 00:38:22,176 --> 00:38:25,111 very quickly, on the spur of the moment, and decide, "Wow, we're 593 00:38:25,246 --> 00:38:28,682 not gonna just get the prison, we're gonna get the whole city." 594 00:38:28,816 --> 00:38:30,316 Then they just keep on rollin'. 595 00:38:40,695 --> 00:38:42,996 >> SMITH: For ISIS, the spoils included tons of U.S.-made 596 00:38:43,130 --> 00:38:46,700 military equipment. >> I don't think bin Laden 597 00:38:46,834 --> 00:38:49,869 could've ever dreamt that elements even more radical than 598 00:38:50,004 --> 00:38:53,707 his own Al Qaeda would be armed with American M1-A1 tanks or 599 00:38:53,841 --> 00:39:01,581 155-millimeter artillery or up-armored Humvees or MRAPs. 600 00:39:01,716 --> 00:39:05,085 >> SMITH: From Mosul, ISIS rapidly advanced down the Tigris 601 00:39:05,219 --> 00:39:10,156 and captured Qayyarah, al Shirqat, Hawijah and Tikrit, 602 00:39:10,291 --> 00:39:12,759 the hometown of Saddam Hussein. 603 00:39:17,431 --> 00:39:21,434 In Tikrit, ISIS was easily able to round up several hundred 604 00:39:21,569 --> 00:39:30,410 Iraqi soldiers. ISIS recorded their execution. 605 00:39:48,729 --> 00:39:51,397 >> SMITH: What did you think when you saw these mass 606 00:39:51,532 --> 00:39:56,202 executions taking place? >> These guys are crazy. 607 00:39:56,337 --> 00:40:00,974 But there's a method to their madness. 608 00:40:01,108 --> 00:40:03,309 >> SMITH: And what is that method? 609 00:40:03,444 --> 00:40:05,645 >> Control. I mean, this is one of the 610 00:40:05,780 --> 00:40:07,747 first terrorist groups saying, "You know what? 611 00:40:07,882 --> 00:40:11,284 We're not gonna hit and run. And we're not gonna participate 612 00:40:11,418 --> 00:40:15,622 in politics as you know it. We actually want to kill 613 00:40:15,756 --> 00:40:18,424 everyone who disagree with us, we want to control the piece 614 00:40:18,559 --> 00:40:23,229 of land, and whatever cost it is, we're gonna do it." 615 00:40:23,364 --> 00:40:27,333 >> Al Qaeda was an underground organization. 616 00:40:27,468 --> 00:40:29,536 It could hurt. It could maim. 617 00:40:29,670 --> 00:40:32,172 It could terrorize people, bomb, blow up. 618 00:40:32,306 --> 00:40:35,975 We know their tactics. But ISIS has a different 619 00:40:36,110 --> 00:40:39,245 strategy. They have a plan. 620 00:40:39,380 --> 00:40:42,215 They have a strategy to establish a state, an Islamic 621 00:40:42,349 --> 00:40:47,487 emirate. >> SMITH: On June 29, ISIS 622 00:40:47,621 --> 00:40:51,524 declared a caliphate, an Islamic nation representing the world's 623 00:40:51,659 --> 00:40:56,930 Muslim faithful-- an entity that recognizes no political borders. 624 00:41:01,836 --> 00:41:03,803 >> As you can see, this is the so-called border. 625 00:41:03,938 --> 00:41:06,372 We don't recognize it and we will never recognize it. 626 00:41:06,507 --> 00:41:09,175 >> SMITH: For this ISIS propaganda video, militants 627 00:41:09,310 --> 00:41:12,312 bulldozed the Syrian-Iraq border. 628 00:41:14,648 --> 00:41:17,917 An ISIS recruit from Chile is calling on Muslims everywhere 629 00:41:18,052 --> 00:41:20,753 to join them. >> We will break the barrier of 630 00:41:20,888 --> 00:41:25,458 Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, all the countries. 631 00:41:25,593 --> 00:41:27,961 This is the first barrier of many barriers we will break. 632 00:41:28,095 --> 00:41:32,131 >> By declaring the Khalifah, they did something nobody else 633 00:41:32,266 --> 00:41:34,567 has done. >> SMITH: The caliphate. 634 00:41:34,702 --> 00:41:36,836 >> The caliphate. The implication of this in the 635 00:41:36,971 --> 00:41:40,974 minds of the traditional Salafi believers is that they have a 636 00:41:41,108 --> 00:41:44,577 religious obligation to pledge loyalty. 637 00:41:44,712 --> 00:41:47,547 >> SMITH: Salafis being hardcore Islamist fundamentalists? 638 00:41:47,681 --> 00:41:52,385 >> I would say the traditional religious fundamentalists. 639 00:41:52,519 --> 00:41:55,889 Due to their faith in that particular sect, they have an 640 00:41:56,023 --> 00:41:59,525 obligation to respond to a caliph if he calls them. 641 00:42:04,531 --> 00:42:07,267 Now I know not all Salafis will do that. 642 00:42:07,401 --> 00:42:11,437 But even if one percent of the Salafis do that, you're talking 643 00:42:11,572 --> 00:42:16,309 about tens of thousands of people now in Nigeria and 644 00:42:16,443 --> 00:42:20,146 Saudi Arabia, in Jordan, in every Muslim country, Sunni 645 00:42:20,281 --> 00:42:21,347 country. 646 00:42:30,157 --> 00:42:33,760 >> We have chosen to depict ISIS as a successor, or a partner, to 647 00:42:33,894 --> 00:42:36,095 Al Qaeda. It's actually not. 648 00:42:36,230 --> 00:42:38,298 Islamic State is a state-building enterprise. 649 00:42:38,432 --> 00:42:41,134 They're trying to create a real state, not some post-modern 650 00:42:41,268 --> 00:42:45,505 virtual Al-Qaeda-style thing that only exists in your head. 651 00:42:45,639 --> 00:42:47,573 They're trying to create something that looks like a real 652 00:42:47,708 --> 00:42:50,810 state. It's a very different model. 653 00:42:50,945 --> 00:42:57,550 >> SMITH: On July 4, ISIS made another extraordinary move. 654 00:42:57,685 --> 00:43:01,554 In their newly occupied Mosul, the leader of ISIS, Abu Bakr 655 00:43:01,689 --> 00:43:05,391 al-Baghdadi, ascended the pulpit of the Great Mosque. 656 00:43:15,469 --> 00:43:18,671 >> Baghdadi gave a sermon in Mosul. 657 00:43:18,806 --> 00:43:22,408 Bin Laden never did that. Zawahiri never did that. 658 00:43:28,882 --> 00:43:32,318 >> In an Arab city in broad daylight, an Arab city that used 659 00:43:32,453 --> 00:43:35,054 to be under control of American troops? 660 00:43:35,189 --> 00:43:39,993 It's a very ostentatious move and one that's likely to attract 661 00:43:40,127 --> 00:43:41,227 more support. 662 00:43:48,202 --> 00:43:50,636 >> SMITH: After Baghdadi's sermon, thousands more jihadists 663 00:43:50,771 --> 00:43:55,208 flocked to Syria and Iraq. >> Virtually every country in 664 00:43:55,342 --> 00:43:58,311 the world, you have young, disaffected youth, both men and 665 00:43:58,445 --> 00:44:03,182 women, who have little hope in their life, who want to be a 666 00:44:03,317 --> 00:44:05,952 part of something special, want to be a part of something 667 00:44:06,086 --> 00:44:10,857 successful, and they now see ISIL taking over vast swaths of 668 00:44:10,991 --> 00:44:16,562 both Syria and Iraq, succeeding like no one else has succeeded. 669 00:44:16,697 --> 00:44:19,465 This is the Al Qaeda that Osama bin Laden only dreamed of 670 00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:23,603 building. >> SMITH: And unlike Bin Laden's 671 00:44:23,737 --> 00:44:27,673 Al Qaeda, ISIS fighters operate under the command of experienced 672 00:44:27,808 --> 00:44:33,813 military officers. Several of the top leadership 673 00:44:33,947 --> 00:44:40,286 positions, are now being held by ba'athist from Saddam's army 674 00:44:40,421 --> 00:44:44,023 >> What you call ISIS, behind them sit the Baath party and 675 00:44:44,158 --> 00:44:49,962 the former regime. And the Baathists are pretty key 676 00:44:50,097 --> 00:44:52,665 to that structure. I think without the Baathists, 677 00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:57,136 it becomes very difficult to pursue ISIS's agenda. 678 00:44:57,271 --> 00:44:59,839 You lack a lot of the administrative capability and a 679 00:44:59,973 --> 00:45:04,143 lot of the military skills. >> They know how to emplace 680 00:45:04,278 --> 00:45:09,582 artillery. They know how to use tanks. 681 00:45:09,716 --> 00:45:12,452 They know how to set up defensive positions. 682 00:45:12,586 --> 00:45:14,887 They know how to go on the offensive. 683 00:45:15,022 --> 00:45:18,391 (rapid gunfire) >> SMITH: ISIS military strength 684 00:45:18,525 --> 00:45:21,360 was evident when in August, fighters moved into Kurdish 685 00:45:21,495 --> 00:45:27,133 territory. The Kurdish Peshmerga, reputed 686 00:45:27,267 --> 00:45:30,736 to be Iraq's fiercest fighting force, were easily overrun by 687 00:45:30,871 --> 00:45:35,241 ISIS fighters armed with captured American weapons. 688 00:45:41,648 --> 00:45:46,085 minorities in northern Iraq -- Christians, Shabaks, 689 00:45:46,220 --> 00:45:52,425 Turkmen-- faced a stark choice: convert or die. Or flee to Kurdn 690 00:45:52,559 --> 00:45:56,729 Tens of thousands of Yazidis fled their homes. 691 00:45:56,864 --> 00:46:01,134 Meanwhile, a column of ISIS fighters was 692 00:46:01,268 --> 00:46:03,569 approaching Erbil... >> ISIS is advancing closer to 693 00:46:03,704 --> 00:46:05,771 Erbil. >> SMITH: ...Kurdistans's 694 00:46:05,906 --> 00:46:07,840 capital. >> There are some 40 American 695 00:46:07,975 --> 00:46:11,244 military advisors there. Uniteda special relationship with 696 00:46:11,378 --> 00:46:13,646 Kurdistan. >> There's a U.S. consulate 697 00:46:13,780 --> 00:46:16,115 in Erbil... >> Kurdistan is the silver 698 00:46:16,250 --> 00:46:19,051 lining of Iraq. A trillion dollars' worth of 699 00:46:19,186 --> 00:46:25,358 global energy companies: Total, Chevron, Exxon and Gazprom Neft 700 00:46:25,492 --> 00:46:28,027 are invested in Kurdistan. >> SMITH: It was the threat to 701 00:46:28,162 --> 00:46:30,930 Erbil that prompted the U.S. administration to finally 702 00:46:31,064 --> 00:46:34,667 intervene. >> The trigger was the threat to 703 00:46:34,801 --> 00:46:37,670 U.S. facilities in Erbil. That was the start of the 704 00:46:37,804 --> 00:46:38,905 air campaign. 705 00:46:42,509 --> 00:46:46,445 >> SMITH: But the U.S. signaled to Iraqis that more assistance 706 00:46:46,580 --> 00:46:49,982 would come only if Maliki resigned. 707 00:46:50,117 --> 00:46:53,686 A week later, Maliki stepped aside and the U.S. airstrikes 708 00:46:53,820 --> 00:47:01,427 stepped up. (explosions) 709 00:47:01,562 --> 00:47:04,497 ISIS responded by releasing this video. 710 00:47:04,631 --> 00:47:08,434 >> This is James Wright Foley, an American citizen of your 711 00:47:08,569 --> 00:47:11,270 country. >> SMITH: It was just one of 712 00:47:11,405 --> 00:47:14,507 many horrific videos they proudly shared. 713 00:47:19,479 --> 00:47:22,715 >> They knew how to use the social media. 714 00:47:22,849 --> 00:47:25,851 They knew how to promote themselves as the only reliable 715 00:47:25,986 --> 00:47:32,491 global jihadi movement. >> The fighting has just begun. 716 00:47:32,626 --> 00:47:35,161 >> And you have thousands of foreign fighters who truly 717 00:47:35,295 --> 00:47:41,701 believe in this criminal behavior. 718 00:47:41,835 --> 00:47:45,304 >> This kind of bloodlust is psychosis. 719 00:47:45,439 --> 00:47:47,340 There's no other word for it. It's not... 720 00:47:47,474 --> 00:47:50,876 I mean there's no political program that justifies it. 721 00:47:51,011 --> 00:47:55,548 I think killing is as important to ISIS as securing 722 00:47:55,682 --> 00:47:59,385 the caliphate. But killing first. 723 00:48:04,191 --> 00:48:07,493 >> My fellow Americans, tonight I want to speak to you about 724 00:48:07,628 --> 00:48:10,863 what the United States will do with our friends and allies to 725 00:48:10,998 --> 00:48:14,500 degrade and ultimately destroy the terrorist group known as 726 00:48:14,635 --> 00:48:17,270 ISIL. >> SMITH: Is ISIS a threat to 727 00:48:17,404 --> 00:48:20,506 the United States? >> ISIS is a threat to the 728 00:48:20,641 --> 00:48:24,143 United States. In the near term, ISIS is an 729 00:48:24,278 --> 00:48:28,014 immediate threat to our interests in the Middle East. 730 00:48:28,148 --> 00:48:30,683 There is nothing that would lead us to believe that 731 00:48:30,817 --> 00:48:34,287 they would do anything but ethnically cleanse the region 732 00:48:34,421 --> 00:48:39,492 and absolutely create a Sunni-Shia civil war. 733 00:48:39,626 --> 00:48:44,664 (rapid gunfire) Long-term, if they achieve the 734 00:48:44,798 --> 00:48:49,201 Islamic State that they've declared, then absolutely it 735 00:48:49,336 --> 00:48:54,240 will be a threat, initially to Europe, probably, and ultimately 736 00:48:54,374 --> 00:48:55,541 to us. 737 00:48:57,611 --> 00:49:00,413 >> SMITH: A week after the president announced expanding 738 00:49:00,547 --> 00:49:04,016 airstrikes into Syria, ISIS besieged the Syrian town of 739 00:49:04,151 --> 00:49:07,086 Kobani, right on the Turkish border. 740 00:49:07,220 --> 00:49:12,725 (rapid gunfire) The U.S. is trying to coordinate 741 00:49:12,859 --> 00:49:16,529 military help from over 20 countries. 742 00:49:16,663 --> 00:49:19,465 But as U.S.-led coalition airstrikes bombed ISIS positions 743 00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:23,402 in Kobani, the Turkish army watched from just across the 744 00:49:23,537 --> 00:49:28,841 border, refusing to participate. >> It's a regional issue. 745 00:49:28,975 --> 00:49:31,477 Turkey is a very obvious example, which way is Turkey 746 00:49:31,611 --> 00:49:34,413 going now, you know? It comes down to the 747 00:49:34,548 --> 00:49:37,783 sectarianism of the area. So it's an issue which Iran and 748 00:49:37,918 --> 00:49:40,720 Saudi Arabia have to address, as well. 749 00:49:40,854 --> 00:49:43,889 All those countries really have to get together to say, 750 00:49:44,024 --> 00:49:47,993 "Are we prepared to at least shelve our differences and find 751 00:49:48,128 --> 00:49:52,398 a way that we can sort out this dreadful mess that has emerged 752 00:49:52,532 --> 00:49:56,235 in Syria and Iraq?" >> SMITH: Our interventions into 753 00:49:56,370 --> 00:49:58,671 this part of the world have not gone well in the past. 754 00:49:58,805 --> 00:50:00,840 So there's a lot of people who are going to say, 755 00:50:00,974 --> 00:50:03,209 "Look, I mean, I just don't see these guys as an immediate, 756 00:50:03,343 --> 00:50:06,345 imminent threat to the United States. 757 00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:09,148 I don't think any good is going to come by us trying to go in 758 00:50:09,282 --> 00:50:11,817 there and manage this." >> I'd say they're right. 759 00:50:11,952 --> 00:50:15,287 We're not gonna do this by ourselves and we're not gonna do 760 00:50:15,422 --> 00:50:18,090 this for the region. We're not gonna have large U.S. 761 00:50:18,225 --> 00:50:21,227 forces on the ground to do this. The only way that you're going 762 00:50:21,361 --> 00:50:23,529 to solve this problem is if you get the countries and 763 00:50:23,663 --> 00:50:26,098 governments of the region invested in it. 764 00:50:26,233 --> 00:50:30,102 >> SMITH: Today, ISIS is in control of large parts of Syria 765 00:50:30,237 --> 00:50:35,241 and Iraq. The U.S. is hoping that Iraq's 766 00:50:35,375 --> 00:50:38,778 new prime minister, Haider al- Abadi, a Shiite, can get Iraq's 767 00:50:38,912 --> 00:50:43,048 Sunni tribesmen to once again turn against ISIS. 768 00:50:43,183 --> 00:50:47,820 Without their trust and support, the Iraqi forces cannot win. 769 00:50:47,954 --> 00:50:52,057 >> Without that trust between the Shia and the Sunni in Iraq, 770 00:50:52,192 --> 00:50:56,195 without that trust between the leaders of the Sunnis and the 771 00:50:56,329 --> 00:51:00,766 leaders of the Shia groups in Iraq, I think you're gonna 772 00:51:00,901 --> 00:51:04,503 create a vacuum that no one will benefit from that vacuum but the 773 00:51:04,638 --> 00:51:09,708 extremists. >> SMITH: Are you an optimist at 774 00:51:09,843 --> 00:51:12,745 this point? >> No, I'm not an optimist. 775 00:51:12,879 --> 00:51:17,750 I mean, I'm 41 years in the military and I've spent, as I 776 00:51:17,884 --> 00:51:21,854 said, it seems to me, seven or eight of the last 12 years 777 00:51:21,988 --> 00:51:25,991 working these very issues in and around Iraq or Afghanistan and 778 00:51:26,126 --> 00:51:28,928 wherever else. This is the right campaign plan, 779 00:51:29,062 --> 00:51:32,932 but I'm pragmatic and every campaign's assumptions have to 780 00:51:33,066 --> 00:51:35,501 be revisited as the campaign evolves. 781 00:51:35,635 --> 00:51:39,238 And some of these assumptions are actually, I've no doubt, are 782 00:51:39,372 --> 00:51:41,474 going to be challenged. >> This morning, the committee 783 00:51:41,608 --> 00:51:43,476 receives testimony from the secretary of defense and the 784 00:51:43,610 --> 00:51:45,511 chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. 785 00:51:45,645 --> 00:51:49,448 >> SMITH: In recent testimony, General Dempsey stated that the 786 00:51:49,583 --> 00:51:53,219 president may have to reconsider his pledge not to send in U.S. 787 00:51:53,353 --> 00:51:56,121 troops. >> My view at this point is that 788 00:51:56,256 --> 00:51:59,024 this coalition is the appropriate way forward. 789 00:51:59,159 --> 00:52:03,262 I believe that will prove true. But if it fails to be true and 790 00:52:03,396 --> 00:52:05,598 if there are threats to the United States, then I, of 791 00:52:05,732 --> 00:52:07,600 course, would go back to the president and make a 792 00:52:07,734 --> 00:52:10,603 recommendation that may include the use of U.S. military ground 793 00:52:10,737 --> 00:52:13,339 forces. >> SMITH: If General Dempsey 794 00:52:13,473 --> 00:52:15,975 does come to the point where he says we need to introduce 795 00:52:16,109 --> 00:52:22,047 boots on the ground, will the president reconsider? 796 00:52:22,182 --> 00:52:25,050 >> The president's view is that we do not need to do this with 797 00:52:25,185 --> 00:52:28,187 U.S. combat forces on the ground. 798 00:52:28,321 --> 00:52:30,656 >> SMITH: I take that as a no? >> That's a no. 799 00:52:30,790 --> 00:52:32,925 Obviously... >> SMITH: Even if Dempsey comes 800 00:52:33,059 --> 00:52:35,327 forward and says, "That's what we need"? 801 00:52:35,462 --> 00:52:38,964 >> Again, no, in terms of how we are looking at the strategy. 802 00:52:39,099 --> 00:52:42,835 I can't anticipate every hypothetical scenario. 803 00:52:42,969 --> 00:52:45,804 But in terms of the strategy itself, the president is very 804 00:52:45,939 --> 00:52:49,174 confident and comfortable with a limiting principle as it relates 805 00:52:49,309 --> 00:52:55,247 to combat forces on the ground. >> SMITH: ISIS is now in 806 00:52:55,382 --> 00:52:59,051 control of most of Iraq's Anbar province. 807 00:52:59,185 --> 00:53:02,187 American military advisors, are coordinating the war 808 00:53:02,322 --> 00:53:13,799 just outside Baghdad. >> For more on "The Rise of 809 00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,502 ISIS," visit our website. >> Islamic State is a 810 00:53:16,636 --> 00:53:19,138 state-building enterprise. They're trying to create a real 811 00:53:19,272 --> 00:53:21,707 state. >> And check out our new iPad 812 00:53:21,908 --> 00:53:27,279 app at pbs.org/frontline/app. And subscribe to our YouTube 813 00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,982 channel. >> Now you can get original 814 00:53:30,116 --> 00:53:33,118 short Frontline documentaries. >> And connect to the Frontline 815 00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:35,554 community. Tell us what you think on 816 00:53:35,755 --> 00:53:38,757 Facebook and on Twitter, and sign up for our newsletter at 817 00:53:38,959 --> 00:53:40,793 pbs.org/frontline. 818 00:53:45,966 --> 00:53:49,168 >> Frontline is made possible by contributions to your PBS 819 00:53:49,302 --> 00:53:52,938 station from viewers like you. Thank you. 820 00:53:53,073 --> 00:53:55,574 And by the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. 821 00:53:55,709 --> 00:53:58,410 Major support for Frontline is provided by the John D. and 822 00:53:58,545 --> 00:54:01,146 Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, committed to 823 00:54:01,281 --> 00:54:04,049 building a more just, verdant and peaceful world. 824 00:54:04,184 --> 00:54:07,186 More information is available at macfound.org. 825 00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:10,122 Additional support is provided by the Park Foundation, 826 00:54:10,256 --> 00:54:13,459 dedicated to heightening public awareness of critical issues. 827 00:54:13,593 --> 00:54:16,362 The Ford Foundation, working with visionaries on the front 828 00:54:16,496 --> 00:54:18,964 lines of social change worldwide. 829 00:54:19,099 --> 00:54:23,035 At FordFoundation.org. The Wyncote Foundation. 830 00:54:23,169 --> 00:54:25,838 And by the Frontline Journalism Fund, with major support from 831 00:54:25,972 --> 00:54:28,841 Jon and Jo Ann Hagler, and additional support from 832 00:54:28,975 --> 00:54:31,744 Millicent Bell through the Millicent and Eugene Bell 833 00:54:31,878 --> 00:54:32,845 Foundation. 834 00:54:50,430 --> 00:54:53,532 >> For more on this and other Frontline programs, visit our 835 00:54:53,667 --> 00:54:56,502 website at pbs.org/frontline. 836 00:55:05,945 --> 00:55:09,648 >> Frontline's "The Rise of ISIS" is available on DVD. 837 00:55:09,783 --> 00:55:15,587 To order, visit shoppbs.org. Or call 1-800-PLAY-PBS. 838 00:55:15,789 --> 00:55:19,391 Frontline is also available for download on iTunes. 75511

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