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>> Tonight on Frontline...
>> Allahu Akbar!
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>> If you threaten America,
you will find no safe haven.
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>> As the United States, with
a coalition of other countries,
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wage a new war on terror,
Frontline investigates how ISIS
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gained such a dangerous
stronghold.
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>> It goes from being nothing to
being the most powerful active
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group within 12 months.
It's extraordinary what happens.
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>> Tonight, from the ashes of
Al Qaeda...
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>> ISIS builds enough strength,
and the monster grows.
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>> Correspondent Martin Smith
uncovers the early warnings.
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>> ISIS didn't become the group
that it is today until they went
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to Syria.
>> The missteps...
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>> The intelligence analysis
continued to point to what could
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happen.
>> The view was, "This is Iraq's
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problem, let them deal with it."
>> And the ancient tribal
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hatreds that fuel...
>> These are not Muslims, and
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frankly, they're barely human
beings.
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>> "The Rise of ISIS."
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>> Frontline is made possible
by contributions to your PBS
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station from viewers like you.
Thank you.
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And by the Corporation for
Public Broadcasting.
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Major support for Frontline is
provided by the John D. and
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Catherine T. MacArthur
Foundation, committed to
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building a more just, verdant
and peaceful world.
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More information is available at
macfound.org.
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Additional support is provided
by the Park Foundation,
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dedicated to heightening public
awareness of critical issues.
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The Ford Foundation, working
with visionaries on the front
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lines of social change
worldwide.
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At FordFoundation.org.
The Wyncote Foundation.
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And by the Frontline Journalism
Fund, with major support from
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Jon and Jo Ann Hagler, and
additional support from
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Millicent Bell through the
Millicent and Eugene Bell
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Foundation.
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>> The last American combat
brigade has begun leaving the
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country.
>> MARTIN SMITH: It was late
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2011 when American troops
finally left Iraq.
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>> For U.S. soldiers, the war
in Iraq has come to an end.
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>> SMITH: After eight long
years, the war seemed like it
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was over.
>> The last U.S. soldier is out
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of Iraq.
>> SMITH: Iraq's leaders said
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they were ready to go it alone.
>> History in the making.
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>> SMITH: Prime Minister Nouri
al Maliki flew to Washington to
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mark the occasion.
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>> It was a moment of optimism.
There was a sense of pride...
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>> All right, everybody.
>> ...that the occupying forces
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really left.
And a lot of Iraqis, Sunnis
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and Shias, were responding
positively to that.
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>> Today, I'm proud to welcome
Prime Minister Maliki.
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>> Both sides presented it as a
victory.
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Maliki presented it as a great
accomplishment-- Iraq would
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stand on its own two feet.
President Obama talked about
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this new democratic Iraq.
>> What we have now achieved is
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an Iraq that is self-governing,
that is inclusive,
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and that has enormous potential.
>> SMITH: President Obama gives
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a very rosy picture of where
things are.
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What'd you think?
>> As somebody who voted for
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President Obama, I was deeply
disappointed because I knew
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those words were going to go
back and haunt him.
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>> Thank you very much,
everybody.
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>> It was at that trip,
actually, when things started to
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go astray.
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>> SMITH: What happened was that
while he was in Washington,
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Maliki received a phone call
from Baghdad about a terrorist
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plot implicating his vice
president, Tariq al-Hashemi, the
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most senior Sunni politician in
the Shia-led government.
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It accused Hashemi's bodyguards
of planning an attack on Shia
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targets.
>> We were at the Blair House.
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I recall Maliki.
He was fiddling with his phone.
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He said, "Well, some guards
of Tariq al-Hashemi,
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the vice president, have been
monitoring our compound.
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And they have been arrested."
>> SMITH: Maliki relayed the
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news to President Obama.
>> l think the President's
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response was, "Well, every
country has its own rules,
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its own law, and the rule of law
should be applied."
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>> SMITH: How did Maliki
interpret what the president
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told him?
>> I think he interpreted this
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may be some support of any
future actions.
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>> The response he got from the
president was that this is an
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internal Iraqi affair.
And that, to Maliki, was a
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green light in terms of what he
can do with the Sunnis, because
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the United States is not going
to stand in his way.
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>> SMITH: Maliki returned to
Baghdad, and then just one day
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after the last American soldiers
left Iraq...
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>> Maliki immediately orders
that Hashemi be arrested.
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>> And it took a lot of people
by surprise.
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I think that was a departure
point.
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It showed Maliki is really
independent from the Americans..
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>> SMITH: Before he could be
arrested, Hashemi fled.
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He was tried in absentia
and sentenced to death.
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We interviewed him in Doha,
the capital of Qatar.
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>> SMITH: Was it possible that
your bodyguards were involved
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in any kind of...
>> No way.
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>> SMITH: Some of your
bodyguards appeared on
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television.
>> Yes.
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I do have plenty of reports
of the way that my guards had
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been treated, unfortunately.
When they just receive brutal
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torturing, in fact.
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>> We'll never know what is true
because they were held in the
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Baghdad Brigade headquarters
in the green zone.
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It's been clearly documented
over time that torture happened
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there.
It's been documented by Iraq's
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human rights ministry and the
Red Cross.
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There's no doubt torture
happened there.
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>> SMITH: So the confessions
were likely the result of
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torture?
>> Mm-hmm.
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>> SMITH: Hashemi and his
bodyguards would just be
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Maliki's first targets.
>> Hundreds of Sunnis had been
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arrested after the American
leaving of the country.
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Thousands, in fact.
>> SMITH: In 2012, thousands of
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Sunnis suspected of subversion
were held for months or longer
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without charges ever being
filed.
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>> So everyone talk to Maliki
that this is not the way of
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dealing with the people.
This is a discrimination,
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in fact.
But he is not listening to
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anyone.
>> SMITH: Many Sunnis didn't
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even make it to jail.
>> The Shia militia were very,
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very violent.
There were many, many instances
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in Baghdad and in many
other parts of Iraq of Sunnis
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turning up with a bullet in the
back of their head and their
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hands bound behind them.
This was common.
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This was a daily, daily
occurrence.
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>> SMITH: In the first year
after the departure of the
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Americans, hundreds of Sunnis
turned up dead in the streets of
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Baghdad.
>> The thing to understand about
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Maliki is that when he looks at
Iraq's Sunni minority, he sees,
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you know, Al Qaeda, he sees the
Baathists, he sees military
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coups, he sees plots against
him, he sees a population which
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despises him and wants to come
back into power.
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>> This is a man who many of his
close relatives were secretly
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arrested and tortured by
Saddam's regime.
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He's capable.
And yet if I could use one word
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to describe Nouri al-Maliki,
it's "paranoia."
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>> He had a deep fear that
ultimately, the Baathists
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were gonna go after him and
that he was gonna be targeted
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and that he would lose power,
and it would be the ghost
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of Saddam Hussein again.
I think that's what he
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worried about.
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>> SMITH: Maliki also enraged
the tribesmen of the Sunni
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Awakening.
These were the tribesmen who,
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in exchange for American money
and promises of political
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inclusion in a new Iraq,
had helped defeat Al Qaeda
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years earlier.
>> I think that he was
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suspicious of them really,
of this force.
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They were not sustained
or maintained as a potential
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force that the government
might need later on.
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>> And then the other key thing
was that Sunni leaders in the
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army and Sunni leaders in the
police began to be sidelined,
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and people with a strong Shia
sectarian bent replaced them.
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And that meant that a lot
of people felt they were being
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excluded, and that was true--
they were.
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(gunfire)
>> SMITH: Meanwhile, Al Qaeda
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in Iraq, the group that would
become ISIS, was camped in
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Iraq's western deserts.
It was not much of a force.
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The Surge and the Sunni
Awakening had severely reduced
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it.
>> Remember, by the time
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the Americans left Iraq,
the insurgency was broken.
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The Sunni insurgency,
it was broken.
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It was on its last legs.
Al-Qaeda had been decimated.
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>> SMITH: What remained, though,
were the most battle-hardened
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Al Qaeda militants, a few
embittered tribesmen, and some
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remnants of Saddam's Baathist
military hoping to regain power.
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>> This is a collection of very
hardened killers.
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These are the guys that the
United States didn't manage
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to kill during the war then.
>> These are mostly young men
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who were in prison,
some of them under Maliki.
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Some of them were in
U.S. prisons.
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Mr. Baghdadi, the head of ISIS,
was in Camp Bucca.
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>> SMITH: After he was released
from Bucca, the American-run
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prison, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi
would, in time, become head of
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Al Qaeda in Iraq, directing
ambushes on Iraqi forces and
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suicide bombings.
But he had greater ambitions.
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In the summer of 2011, he sent
a few men into Syria to join
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the rebels fighting the Shia
government of Bashar al-Assad.
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(chanting)
(explosion)
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For Baghdadi, the Syrian war was
a gift.
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>> Suddenly, you have a complete
breakdown of the state in Syria.
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You have this vast, open space
between the two countries.
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And so these guys, they're
suddenly able to find life.
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>> ISIS didn't become the group
that it is today until they went
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to Syria.
Syria is what made ISIS ISIS.
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>> We don't know how many
Al Qaeda in Iraq guys move from
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Iraq to Syria in the 2011, 2012
timeframe.
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But once they move into Syria,
all of a sudden, they're able
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to operate once again.
All of a sudden, they're able
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to recruit once again.
Their message gains traction
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with the Sunnis of Syria who are
looking to wage a civil war
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against the Shia government.
(explosion)
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>> SMITH: Al Qaeda was joining
the fight along with dozens of
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other Syrian Sunni rebel groups,
but it quickly became a major
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force.
>> Baghdadi sends a bunch of
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guys into Syria.
It goes from being nothing
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to being the most powerful
active group.
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They're running operations
all over the country
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within, like, 12 months.
It's extraordinary what happens.
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Takes off like fire.
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>> SMITH: Back in Iraq, Maliki's
purges of Sunnis continued.
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And Maliki upped the ante in
December 2012, when his police
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rounded up the bodyguards of
another prominent Sunni leader,
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finance minister Rafi al-Essawi.
>> Rafi al-Essawi,
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everybody loves the guy.
I mean, he's greatly respected.
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I've seen no evidence that
suggested that his bodyguards
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were doing anything bad.
To the contrary.
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And so when his bodyguards
are arrested, that I think is
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the real blow to the Sunni
community, because everybody
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knows Rafi al-Essawi
is a peaceful man.
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>> SMITH: So you were sitting
inside the finance ministry.
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>> Yeah, they attacked the
office and they took 16 of my
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bodyguards.
These are almost ten years
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they are with me.
I'm sure that they are against
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terrorism, all of them, almost,
they are my close relatives.
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>> SMITH: After the arrest
warrant is issued for Rafi
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al-Essawi...
>> I called Maliki up.
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I said, "What are you doing?
What the hell's going on?"
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He's a colleague of ours.
He was with us yesterday
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in the cabinet.
And now some police people
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have gone to arrest him?
This is absolutely unacceptable.
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>> Hundreds of thousands of
people were very upset because
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they feel that this is a story
of dignity.
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No Sunni is exempted.
People started to prepare for a
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00:14:00,940 --> 00:14:04,008
big demonstration in Fallujah
and Ramadi.
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So I called them, I said
to them, "I'll join the
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demonstration."
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>> Anyone, Maliki and the gangs
of the militias of Maliki,
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00:14:18,524 --> 00:14:20,258
can arrest anyone.
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>> I went there.
They are protesting for their
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rights.
And they have legitimate
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00:14:32,004 --> 00:14:35,240
demands for releasing the
innocent people in the prisons,
229
00:14:35,374 --> 00:14:38,843
some of these in detention
center for two, three,
230
00:14:38,978 --> 00:14:43,081
six years without trials.
They are telling us of,
231
00:14:43,215 --> 00:14:46,217
in one month or twice
in a month, three months,
232
00:14:46,352 --> 00:14:49,153
raids in their community
and collecting just young people
233
00:14:49,288 --> 00:14:52,190
like that.
Collecting people.
234
00:14:55,828 --> 00:14:58,329
>> They were not fully
integrated into the security
235
00:14:58,464 --> 00:15:02,033
forces as was promised,
so they felt, again,
236
00:15:02,167 --> 00:15:06,404
completely marginalized.
The idea that it's just
237
00:15:06,538 --> 00:15:10,041
terrorists, Maliki is trying
to cultivate that impression.
238
00:15:10,175 --> 00:15:12,844
No.
The average man in the street,
239
00:15:12,978 --> 00:15:15,813
woman in the street, Sunni,
perceived it exactly that same
240
00:15:15,948 --> 00:15:19,250
way.
>> (chanting)
241
00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,889
>> SMITH: Officials in the White
House saw what was happening.
242
00:15:25,024 --> 00:15:28,826
Obama's ambassador to Iraq had
warned that Maliki needed to be
243
00:15:28,961 --> 00:15:31,963
contained.
>> This was a constant warning
244
00:15:32,097 --> 00:15:34,933
that I had made and that others
had made before me, that Maliki
245
00:15:35,067 --> 00:15:38,136
was a problem.
On the other hand, the
246
00:15:38,270 --> 00:15:42,774
president and the country had
taken the position, "Iraq was
247
00:15:42,908 --> 00:15:46,744
a mistake, we've ended our war
in Iraq.
248
00:15:46,879 --> 00:15:49,647
If we see things we don't like,
we'll do calls from the vice
249
00:15:49,782 --> 00:15:52,650
president, just like we do
with 150 other countries
250
00:15:52,785 --> 00:15:56,688
that have similar situations."
>> The Obama administration
251
00:15:56,822 --> 00:16:00,491
certainly did tell Prime
Minister Maliki and other Iraqis
252
00:16:00,626 --> 00:16:04,529
that they wanted to see them
play by the democratic rules,
253
00:16:04,663 --> 00:16:07,665
that they thought it was a
mistake for them to go after
254
00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,134
their political rivals in this
fashion.
255
00:16:10,269 --> 00:16:13,004
But they did it in private.
They didn't do it in public.
256
00:16:13,138 --> 00:16:15,907
And they certainly never
imposed any kind of a cost.
257
00:16:16,041 --> 00:16:18,743
>> You gotta continue to put
pressure on them to do the right
258
00:16:18,877 --> 00:16:21,312
thing.
I think everybody just kept
259
00:16:21,447 --> 00:16:25,016
their fingers crossed that
ultimately, Maliki would somehow
260
00:16:25,150 --> 00:16:30,621
step down or be replaced and
that Iraq would be in a better
261
00:16:30,756 --> 00:16:33,224
place.
>> No, I don't think that's
262
00:16:33,359 --> 00:16:35,460
accurate.
We were engaged with all of
263
00:16:35,594 --> 00:16:37,729
Iraq's communities, we were
engaged with Prime Minister
264
00:16:37,863 --> 00:16:39,964
Maliki, and we were seeking to
manage this and press Iraqi
265
00:16:40,099 --> 00:16:42,533
leaders to move in a more
inclusive direction.
266
00:16:42,668 --> 00:16:45,303
But by definition, our
leverage, in order to affect
267
00:16:45,437 --> 00:16:49,841
political outcomes inside a very
complicated society like Iraq's,
268
00:16:49,975 --> 00:16:53,378
has inherent limits.
And at the end of the day,
269
00:16:53,512 --> 00:16:56,247
it's going to be Iraqi leaders
who have to make these
270
00:16:56,382 --> 00:17:00,418
determinations to work together.
>> (chanting)
271
00:17:00,552 --> 00:17:03,621
>> SMITH: As weeks went by,
the demonstrations grew.
272
00:17:03,756 --> 00:17:06,624
In Ramadi, protesters camped
out on the main road between
273
00:17:06,759 --> 00:17:13,398
Baghdad and Jordan, a vital
trucking artery.
274
00:17:13,532 --> 00:17:19,470
In other Sunni cities and
towns-- Fallujah, Mosul,
275
00:17:19,605 --> 00:17:22,640
Tikrit, -- other protests halted
traffic and commerce.
276
00:17:22,775 --> 00:17:27,078
With youth unemployment
running as high as 40%,
277
00:17:27,212 --> 00:17:31,983
young men were free to gather.
And support poured in from
278
00:17:32,117 --> 00:17:35,053
around the Sunni Arab world
to pay for tents, meals
279
00:17:35,187 --> 00:17:38,623
and transportation.
One of the principal funders was
280
00:17:38,757 --> 00:17:42,593
a wealthy Iraqi businessman
living in Jordan, a man with
281
00:17:42,728 --> 00:17:46,297
ties to the Baathist regime
of Saddam Hussein.
282
00:17:46,432 --> 00:17:49,567
>> SMITH: How much money did you
spend in support of those
283
00:17:49,701 --> 00:17:52,437
protests?
>> (translated): All that the
284
00:17:52,571 --> 00:17:56,741
demonstrations needed.
>> SMITH: And how much was that?
285
00:17:56,875 --> 00:17:59,577
>> (translated): All that was
needed.
286
00:17:59,711 --> 00:18:01,879
I don't know.
Whatever was needed.
287
00:18:02,014 --> 00:18:06,851
>> SMITH: Khanjar also paid for
the establishment of pro-Sunni
288
00:18:06,985 --> 00:18:08,286
TV stations.
289
00:18:10,889 --> 00:18:15,026
>> (translated): We encouraged
channels like Baghdad,
290
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:18,396
Al-Rafidain and Fallujah
to defend our people.
291
00:18:18,530 --> 00:18:24,569
>> (shouting in Arabic)
>> (translated): Maliki is the
292
00:18:24,703 --> 00:18:27,705
cause of all of this.
He has a problem with the
293
00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:30,174
Sunnis.
This is the revolution of the
294
00:18:30,309 --> 00:18:32,810
tribes.
I am proud of it
295
00:18:32,945 --> 00:18:38,049
and I support it.
>> (chanting): Allahu Akbar!
296
00:18:43,589 --> 00:18:46,557
>> SMITH: 60 miles away
in Baghdad, Iraq's Shia
297
00:18:46,692 --> 00:18:50,795
were organizing their own
demonstrations.
298
00:18:50,929 --> 00:18:55,233
Here and in other Shia cities
throughout Iraq's south,
299
00:18:55,367 --> 00:19:00,238
people encouraged Maliki.
>> (chanting)
300
00:19:00,372 --> 00:19:03,207
>> They were supporting him.
He was popular in the streets,
301
00:19:03,342 --> 00:19:06,444
he was popular in Najaf,
he was popular in Basra,
302
00:19:06,578 --> 00:19:09,847
he was popular in Babil,
popular in Baghdad.
303
00:19:09,982 --> 00:19:13,351
And when he moved against
Sunnis, he found himself getting
304
00:19:13,485 --> 00:19:16,654
more popular.
So there was no real
305
00:19:16,788 --> 00:19:21,292
disincentive at that point
to discontinue doing what he was
306
00:19:21,426 --> 00:19:23,027
doing.
307
00:19:31,870 --> 00:19:35,406
(explosion)
>> SMITH: Back in Syria,
308
00:19:35,541 --> 00:19:38,509
Al Qaeda was steadily gaining
ground.
309
00:19:38,644 --> 00:19:41,579
In its early months, the group
relied on donations from wealthy
310
00:19:41,713 --> 00:19:45,816
Sunnis in the region.
>> The Saudis, the Kuwaitis, the
311
00:19:45,951 --> 00:19:48,853
Emiratis, all of the gulf states
and a whole variety of other
312
00:19:48,987 --> 00:19:52,390
countries began to provide
support to a whole variety of
313
00:19:52,524 --> 00:19:55,993
Sunni opposition groups, and
they weren't terribly careful
314
00:19:56,128 --> 00:20:00,765
about which groups got the aid.
>> SMITH: And soon, Al Qaeda
315
00:20:00,899 --> 00:20:04,936
needed fewer donations.
As they gained territory,
316
00:20:05,070 --> 00:20:08,706
they became self-sustaining,
robbing banks, running
317
00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:12,210
extortion rackets, seizing
Syrian transportation routes
318
00:20:12,344 --> 00:20:17,448
and Syrian oil fields.
>> Allahu Akbar!
319
00:20:17,583 --> 00:20:21,586
>> They were very smart.
They understood, "If we can
320
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,689
control those oil wells, we'll
be able to sell the oil on the
321
00:20:24,823 --> 00:20:28,192
black market and get cash."
And they went about that
322
00:20:28,327 --> 00:20:31,862
in a very conscientious way,
field by field.
323
00:20:31,997 --> 00:20:35,900
>> SMITH: In this Al Qaeda
video, they are shown planning
324
00:20:36,034 --> 00:20:40,738
and then executing an attack on
a major Syrian power station.
325
00:20:40,872 --> 00:20:43,608
(gunfire)
326
00:21:05,697 --> 00:21:08,499
>> SMITH: U.S. Ambassador
to Syria Robert Ford had urged
327
00:21:08,634 --> 00:21:12,303
the administration to quickly
provide aid to pro-Western
328
00:21:12,437 --> 00:21:16,107
Syrian rebels.
Otherwise, he warned,
329
00:21:16,241 --> 00:21:19,944
Al Qaeda would dominate.
>> I think there was certainly
330
00:21:20,078 --> 00:21:24,081
warnings from people at my level
that in a large, ungoverned
331
00:21:24,216 --> 00:21:30,321
space, having Al Qaeda or
Al Qaeda-affiliated groups able
332
00:21:30,455 --> 00:21:33,791
to operate freely would be as
much a risk to the United States
333
00:21:33,925 --> 00:21:37,128
as Somalia, Yemen and
Afghanistan were.
334
00:21:37,262 --> 00:21:40,031
And in each of those places,
the Americans had to act.
335
00:21:40,165 --> 00:21:42,933
>> SMITH: But in Syria, the
president chose not to send
336
00:21:43,068 --> 00:21:47,138
arms.
>> I think the president's
337
00:21:47,272 --> 00:21:50,474
concern-- and I respect his
decision-- but I think
338
00:21:50,609 --> 00:21:53,611
his concern was that ultimately,
if we provide those kinds of
339
00:21:53,745 --> 00:21:56,280
weapons, we couldn't be sure
whose hands they might
340
00:21:56,415 --> 00:21:59,050
ultimately wind up in.
>> SMITH: You respect his
341
00:21:59,184 --> 00:22:01,085
decision.
He was the commander-in-chief.
342
00:22:01,219 --> 00:22:05,423
But you think he was wrong?
>> I think we made the wrong
343
00:22:05,557 --> 00:22:09,060
decision in not providing
assistance to the rebels.
344
00:22:11,530 --> 00:22:14,632
>> I think President Obama has
a fundamental belief that any
345
00:22:14,766 --> 00:22:20,404
military action or aiding local
fighters will lead to, almost
346
00:22:20,539 --> 00:22:25,509
inexorably, 150,000 troops on
the ground like Iraq, or 500,000
347
00:22:25,644 --> 00:22:28,813
like Vietnam.
Slippery slope, down the drain,
348
00:22:28,947 --> 00:22:32,083
huge disaster for America.
I think he believes that,
349
00:22:32,217 --> 00:22:35,586
sincerely.
I think he's absolutely wrong.
350
00:22:37,099 --> 00:22:40,201
>> SMITH: You were getting
advice from Ambassador Ford,
351
00:22:40,335 --> 00:22:43,904
Ambassador Jeffrey in Iraq
that we needed to get involved
352
00:22:44,039 --> 00:22:48,242
in the Syrian situation, or the
Al Qaeda elements that were
353
00:22:48,376 --> 00:22:52,346
operating there were going to
dominate and become a much more
354
00:22:52,481 --> 00:22:56,417
serious issue.
>> Well, let's step back here.
355
00:22:56,551 --> 00:23:00,121
I think in the rear-view
mirror, people suggest that
356
00:23:00,255 --> 00:23:05,226
it was about ISIL.
In those conversations in 2012,
357
00:23:05,360 --> 00:23:09,697
it was very much about, "What
can we do to effect change as
358
00:23:09,831 --> 00:23:12,700
it relates to Bashar al-Assad?"
>> SMITH: Correct, but the
359
00:23:12,834 --> 00:23:18,072
urgency increased as Al Qaeda-
linked rebels gained more and
360
00:23:18,206 --> 00:23:24,245
more power and money.
>> Absolutely, and again,
361
00:23:24,379 --> 00:23:27,548
it's a complicated picture.
The president was willing to get
362
00:23:27,682 --> 00:23:31,218
engaged in support for the
opposition in Syria, but he
363
00:23:31,353 --> 00:23:34,321
wanted to make clear that we
understood there were limits
364
00:23:34,456 --> 00:23:37,458
as to how we could solve this
problem with our military,
365
00:23:37,592 --> 00:23:40,528
and that we had to be very
deliberate and careful when it
366
00:23:40,662 --> 00:23:43,430
comes to something like
providing military assistance
367
00:23:43,565 --> 00:23:47,168
to an opposition group.
>> SMITH: Throughout 2012,
368
00:23:47,302 --> 00:23:51,205
the president held off.
Without U.S. arms, the more
369
00:23:51,339 --> 00:23:54,708
moderate Syrian rebels
struggled.
370
00:23:54,843 --> 00:23:59,513
Al Qaeda, meanwhile, was ready
to expand back into Iraq.
371
00:24:02,017 --> 00:24:05,252
(explosions)
In a campaign called "destroying
372
00:24:05,387 --> 00:24:08,622
the walls," they launched a
series of attacks on Iraqi
373
00:24:08,757 --> 00:24:12,593
prisons.
ISIS's ranks swelled
374
00:24:12,727 --> 00:24:20,034
with newly freed inmates.
Then in March 2013, a few of
375
00:24:20,168 --> 00:24:23,904
Al Qaeda's black flags began to
appear in the midst of the
376
00:24:24,039 --> 00:24:29,577
protests in Ramadi.
they started calling
377
00:24:29,711 --> 00:24:33,314
themselves the
Islamic State in Iraq and
378
00:24:33,448 --> 00:24:38,619
al Sham-- ISIS.
their presence stoked
379
00:24:38,753 --> 00:24:42,423
Maliki's worst fears.
>> That was a turning point,
380
00:24:42,557 --> 00:24:45,593
really.
That was a turning point
381
00:24:45,727 --> 00:24:49,997
in the government attitude
toward these demonstrations.
382
00:24:50,131 --> 00:24:53,367
"We told you so.
These are infiltrated."
383
00:24:53,501 --> 00:24:57,905
This is the black flag
of Al Qaeda.
384
00:24:58,039 --> 00:25:03,844
>> SMITH: Then in April 2013,
at a Sunni protest camp in the
385
00:25:03,979 --> 00:25:07,314
town of Hawija, there was a
confrontation.
386
00:25:07,449 --> 00:25:10,451
>> The facts were a little
unclear.
387
00:25:10,585 --> 00:25:12,920
You have some provocateurs,
there's a police officer
388
00:25:13,054 --> 00:25:17,458
who's killed-- maybe by Al
Qaeda, maybe not-- and Maliki
389
00:25:17,592 --> 00:25:21,996
responds massively and with
enormous force.
390
00:25:27,135 --> 00:25:31,405
>> No one thought that the Iraqi
army can attack demonstrators in
391
00:25:31,539 --> 00:25:33,874
Hawija.
They are demonstrating
392
00:25:34,009 --> 00:25:36,577
for months at that time,
peaceful, calling for the
393
00:25:36,711 --> 00:25:42,449
rights.
So when they brought
394
00:25:42,584 --> 00:25:45,686
their tanks and the heavy
vehicles of the army and the
395
00:25:45,820 --> 00:25:48,489
security forces of the ministry
of interior and attacked,
396
00:25:48,623 --> 00:25:52,259
they killed the people
in a very criminal model.
397
00:25:52,394 --> 00:25:55,629
>> It's unclear how many people
were killed.
398
00:25:55,764 --> 00:25:58,632
The estimates that I've heard
from people who saw the bodies
399
00:25:58,767 --> 00:26:02,803
was that there were hundreds.
Hundreds and hundreds of bodies.
400
00:26:07,609 --> 00:26:10,844
>> And at that point, ISIS, they
were arguing, "You're not gonna
401
00:26:10,979 --> 00:26:13,647
get anywhere with peaceful
protests.
402
00:26:13,782 --> 00:26:17,318
You need to have muscle.
You need to use some measure
403
00:26:17,452 --> 00:26:21,722
of violence."
And they started to gain more
404
00:26:21,856 --> 00:26:24,358
traction with that argument.
405
00:26:26,962 --> 00:26:29,663
>> SMITH: So these are people,
young men who sat in those
406
00:26:29,798 --> 00:26:33,834
protests in Ramadi and Hawija
who decided to take up weapons
407
00:26:33,969 --> 00:26:36,637
and join with ISIS?
>> They tried to...
408
00:26:36,771 --> 00:26:40,541
They voted for a new government
in Baghdad in 2010.
409
00:26:40,675 --> 00:26:44,445
Their representatives, like
Hashemi and Essawi, fellow Sunni
410
00:26:44,579 --> 00:26:47,715
Arabs, were purged.
They were humiliated.
411
00:26:47,849 --> 00:26:52,653
They tried to form a region.
They tried to exercise
412
00:26:52,787 --> 00:26:56,690
civil disobedience.
They were attacked with Maliki's
413
00:26:56,825 --> 00:27:00,127
forces.
And so now they've taken up
414
00:27:00,261 --> 00:27:03,030
arms.
>> Allahu Akbar!
415
00:27:03,164 --> 00:27:05,666
>> It's been called the
revolution, it's been called the
416
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,469
insurgency.
Whatever you want to call it,
417
00:27:08,603 --> 00:27:11,872
it was back.
>> If you take Iraq's Sunni
418
00:27:12,007 --> 00:27:15,009
community, its leadership,
it's full of reasonable people.
419
00:27:15,143 --> 00:27:19,079
It's full of secular, educated,
very moderate people.
420
00:27:19,214 --> 00:27:22,282
But they look around
and they say, "Where do we go?
421
00:27:22,417 --> 00:27:25,219
The only people who are gonna
protect us are these really
422
00:27:25,353 --> 00:27:29,957
hard guys, and we may not like
them, but we need them because
423
00:27:30,091 --> 00:27:33,060
otherwise, there's nothing.
Nobody's gonna protect us.
424
00:27:33,194 --> 00:27:35,829
And the Americans aren't here
anymore."
425
00:27:35,964 --> 00:27:39,033
>> SMITH: Years earlier,
the Sunni leadership had warned
426
00:27:39,167 --> 00:27:41,935
American officials what would
happen if Maliki reneged on the
427
00:27:42,070 --> 00:27:46,240
promises of power sharing he'd
made to Iraq's Sunnis.
428
00:27:46,374 --> 00:27:50,644
>> The message back was, "If we
are backed into a corner again,
429
00:27:50,779 --> 00:27:55,049
we will rise up.
And this time,
430
00:27:55,183 --> 00:27:57,918
we will not stop.
We will take Baghdad.
431
00:27:58,053 --> 00:28:01,422
We will burn it
or we will die trying."
432
00:28:01,556 --> 00:28:05,526
(gunfire)
>> SMITH: Three months after
433
00:28:05,660 --> 00:28:08,695
Hawija, ISIS mounted a
spectacular attack right on the
434
00:28:08,830 --> 00:28:12,466
outskirts of Baghdad, releasing
500 inmates from Abu Ghraib
435
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,736
prison.
>> Abu Ghraib is only seven
436
00:28:15,870 --> 00:28:18,238
or eight miles from
Baghdad Airport.
437
00:28:18,373 --> 00:28:22,209
It's 12 or 14 miles to the city.
So it was very clear that
438
00:28:22,343 --> 00:28:28,615
ISIS-led Sunnis, basically, were
encroaching and making major,
439
00:28:28,750 --> 00:28:35,189
major gains in Anbar Province.
>> It was a huge propaganda win
440
00:28:35,323 --> 00:28:37,891
for the Islamic State of Iraq
and Syria.
441
00:28:38,026 --> 00:28:41,195
It was basically the prison
bust-out was a statement of
442
00:28:41,329 --> 00:28:43,664
purpose that, "We're here.
What started after
443
00:28:43,798 --> 00:28:46,834
Hawija, in terms of the
bombings, the spike in violence,
444
00:28:46,968 --> 00:28:50,938
we're orchestrating this, and
hell is coming."
445
00:28:51,072 --> 00:28:53,474
>> SMITH: ISIS began bringing
more reinforcements over the
446
00:28:53,608 --> 00:28:57,644
Syrian border.
It became clear the Iraqi army
447
00:28:57,779 --> 00:29:01,849
could not stop their advance.
In Baghdad, the leadership was
448
00:29:01,983 --> 00:29:05,385
worried.
>> I spoke with Maliki.
449
00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,955
I said, "Listen, let's admit it.
You cannot do it.
450
00:29:08,089 --> 00:29:11,658
We cannot do it.
Our military is dysfunctioning.
451
00:29:11,793 --> 00:29:16,530
And we have an option.
If our democratic system
452
00:29:16,664 --> 00:29:21,068
is threatened, we can go and ask
our American friends for help."
453
00:29:24,072 --> 00:29:28,475
>> SMITH: In November 2013,
Maliki would set out hat in hand
454
00:29:28,610 --> 00:29:31,979
to Washington.
>> The message was really,
455
00:29:32,113 --> 00:29:35,549
"We are under threat.
We don't have control over our
456
00:29:35,683 --> 00:29:38,385
border with Syria."
And in terms of weapons,
457
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,188
Hellfire missiles, you see,
we run out of them.
458
00:29:41,322 --> 00:29:44,958
And we warned about the
seriousness of the situation,
459
00:29:45,093 --> 00:29:50,731
the existential threat that this
country is facing.
460
00:29:50,865 --> 00:29:55,602
>> SMITH: But getting American
aid beyond Hellfire missiles was
461
00:29:55,737 --> 00:29:59,039
going to be a hard sell, in
spite of the fact that U.S.
462
00:29:59,174 --> 00:30:02,009
intelligence and defense
officials were also increasingly
463
00:30:02,143 --> 00:30:06,046
alarmed about ISIS.
>> The American intelligence
464
00:30:06,181 --> 00:30:09,550
community was saying that this
group, the Islamic State in Iraq
465
00:30:09,684 --> 00:30:13,086
and Syria, was becoming
increasingly potent.
466
00:30:13,221 --> 00:30:15,222
They were expanding their
footprint in Syria.
467
00:30:15,356 --> 00:30:17,791
They were expanding their
operations in Iraq.
468
00:30:17,926 --> 00:30:22,229
There were months of these kinds
of warning signals about the
469
00:30:22,363 --> 00:30:26,033
growth and expansion of ISIS.
>> I think the intelligence
470
00:30:26,167 --> 00:30:32,206
analysis continued to point to
the implications of what was
471
00:30:32,340 --> 00:30:37,544
happening in Syria and what
could happen in Iraq.
472
00:30:37,679 --> 00:30:41,715
You know, this was not something
that people were not being made
473
00:30:41,849 --> 00:30:44,284
aware of in terms of the
implications.
474
00:30:44,419 --> 00:30:48,455
>> SMITH: The administration did
agree to some small increases in
475
00:30:48,590 --> 00:30:52,859
military aid.
>> I want to welcome back Prime
476
00:30:52,994 --> 00:30:54,995
Minister Maliki to the White
House.
477
00:30:55,196 --> 00:30:57,297
But despite the warnings, the
president was not ready
478
00:30:57,498 --> 00:30:58,999
to give more.
Maliki was not seen as a
479
00:30:59,133 --> 00:31:00,801
trustworthy partner.
480
00:31:00,935 --> 00:31:04,004
>> SMITH: He was hat-in-hand,
asking for more weapons, but the
481
00:31:04,138 --> 00:31:07,608
president did not appear to be
tough on Maliki at that point,
482
00:31:07,742 --> 00:31:09,643
publicly.
Can you tell me that it was
483
00:31:09,777 --> 00:31:12,279
different behind closed doors?
>> Yeah, privately.
484
00:31:12,413 --> 00:31:15,882
We said that, "You need not only
our security assistance, you
485
00:31:16,017 --> 00:31:19,453
need a political program that
all Iraqis can get behind."
486
00:31:19,587 --> 00:31:22,022
>> SMITH: And what did he say?
>> He would commit to do certain
487
00:31:22,156 --> 00:31:25,192
things, but there was never the
sustained follow-through that
488
00:31:25,326 --> 00:31:29,062
was going to be necessary to
really have an inclusive Iraqi
489
00:31:29,197 --> 00:31:31,898
political culture.
>> SMITH: What leverage could
490
00:31:32,033 --> 00:31:34,401
you use with him at that point?
>> Well, we obviously had
491
00:31:34,535 --> 00:31:36,737
significant relationships with
Iraq.
492
00:31:36,871 --> 00:31:39,306
But at the end of the day,
it's up to the Iraqi political
493
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,775
leadership to govern in an
inclusive fashion.
494
00:31:41,909 --> 00:31:44,378
We couldn't do it for them when
we had troops in Iraq.
495
00:31:44,512 --> 00:31:46,413
We couldn't do it for them when
we didn't.
496
00:31:46,547 --> 00:31:49,216
>> Thank you.
>> SMITH: And after that visit,
497
00:31:49,350 --> 00:31:52,419
things got much worse.
>> Got much worse.
498
00:31:58,626 --> 00:32:02,929
>> (chanting)
>> SMITH: In December 2013,
499
00:32:03,064 --> 00:32:06,767
Maliki would strike once again,
this time against a hardline
500
00:32:06,901 --> 00:32:09,970
Sunni parliamentarian, Ahmed
al-Alwani.
501
00:32:10,104 --> 00:32:13,440
>> Ahmed al-Alwani was a Sunni
politician, a member of
502
00:32:13,574 --> 00:32:16,209
parliament.
He'd give angry speeches
503
00:32:16,344 --> 00:32:18,145
against Maliki's government.
504
00:32:34,062 --> 00:32:38,899
>> And Maliki decides that he's
had enough and the Iraqi forces
505
00:32:39,033 --> 00:32:45,639
stage a raid on his house.
(gunfire)
506
00:32:45,773 --> 00:32:50,377
Alwani's brother is there.
The brother is killed.
507
00:32:50,511 --> 00:32:53,613
Ahmed al-Alwani, the member of
parliament, is taken away,
508
00:32:53,748 --> 00:32:57,984
but nobody has seen him since.
(gunshots)
509
00:32:58,119 --> 00:33:00,487
>> SMITH: After that arrest,
Maliki sent the army into Ramadi
510
00:33:00,621 --> 00:33:03,724
to tear down the year-old
protest camp.
511
00:33:03,858 --> 00:33:08,628
(gunshots)
Maliki's move would prove
512
00:33:08,763 --> 00:33:12,632
disastrous.
>> That provokes a Sunni
513
00:33:12,767 --> 00:33:16,870
uprising.
(rapid gunfire)
514
00:33:17,004 --> 00:33:19,706
>> The Sunni Arab population of
Anbar rose up and said, "Okay,
515
00:33:19,841 --> 00:33:22,743
we're sick and tired of you.
You're oppressing us.
516
00:33:22,877 --> 00:33:26,246
Get the troops out of our
cities."
517
00:33:26,381 --> 00:33:29,316
>> And the Islamic State takes
advantage of that to move inside
518
00:33:29,450 --> 00:33:33,920
these cities.
And from there, you have chapter
519
00:33:34,055 --> 00:33:37,224
one of the Iraq War of 2014
begin.
520
00:33:37,358 --> 00:33:46,833
(gunfire)
>> What happened here is that by
521
00:33:46,968 --> 00:33:53,740
virtue of the Shias not opening
it up and allowing the Sunnis to
522
00:33:53,875 --> 00:33:57,711
participate, that they created
the monster that has led to
523
00:33:57,845 --> 00:34:00,046
ISIS.
>> SMITH: So they created the
524
00:34:00,181 --> 00:34:04,084
monster that they feared.
>> Exactly.
525
00:34:04,218 --> 00:34:08,121
>> SMITH: The fighting lasted
only a few days.
526
00:34:08,256 --> 00:34:12,325
In the end, the Iraqi army
was no match.
527
00:34:12,460 --> 00:34:21,201
(rapid gunfire)
(loud chanting)
528
00:34:21,335 --> 00:34:24,171
>> SMITH: You would think this
would set off real alarm bells
529
00:34:24,305 --> 00:34:26,206
in Washington.
I mean, now you have them taking
530
00:34:26,340 --> 00:34:29,309
over a city just a few miles
outside of Baghdad.
531
00:34:29,444 --> 00:34:31,845
>> The ISIS attacks on Ramadi
and Fallujah certainly did set
532
00:34:31,979 --> 00:34:34,548
off some alarm bells in
Washington, at least in
533
00:34:34,682 --> 00:34:36,950
certain quarters.
But the top-level leadership
534
00:34:37,084 --> 00:34:39,820
continued to do virtually
nothing.
535
00:34:39,954 --> 00:34:41,822
>> SMITH: Presumably Biden gets
on the phone to Maliki?
536
00:34:41,956 --> 00:34:44,257
Or, I mean, what happens?
>> Some phone calls were made.
537
00:34:44,392 --> 00:34:46,460
No question about that.
But of course, the Iraqis had
538
00:34:46,594 --> 00:34:50,163
never seen the Obama
administration actually take any
539
00:34:50,298 --> 00:34:54,401
action either to help them or to
hurt them if they didn't do what
540
00:34:54,535 --> 00:34:56,236
the United States wanted.
541
00:35:04,479 --> 00:35:08,081
>> SMITH: In Iraq's north, ISIS
was eyeing another target:
542
00:35:08,216 --> 00:35:11,952
Mosul, Iraq's second largest
city.
543
00:35:12,086 --> 00:35:15,655
Months before they attacked, a
Kurdish intelligence official
544
00:35:15,790 --> 00:35:19,292
gave Iraqi Foreign Minister
Zebari a warning.
545
00:35:19,427 --> 00:35:24,531
>> "Tell Maliki I have very,
very serious concerns.
546
00:35:24,665 --> 00:35:26,766
The terrorists have established
themselves.
547
00:35:26,901 --> 00:35:29,603
They have encamped themselves
in the western desert near the
548
00:35:29,737 --> 00:35:32,472
Syrian borders.
And really, they are planning to
549
00:35:32,607 --> 00:35:36,376
formally militarily overrun
Mosul."
550
00:35:36,511 --> 00:35:38,378
>> SMITH: You took this message
to...
551
00:35:38,513 --> 00:35:40,580
>> I took this message to him.
It was a clear message of
552
00:35:40,715 --> 00:35:44,918
warning.
And he didn't take it.
553
00:35:45,052 --> 00:35:48,755
>> SMITH: The White House, too,
was warned.
554
00:35:48,890 --> 00:35:51,958
>> The administration not only
was warned by everybody back in
555
00:35:52,093 --> 00:35:56,696
January, it actually announced
that it was going to intensify
556
00:35:56,831 --> 00:36:00,867
its support against ISIS with
the Iraqi armed forces.
557
00:36:01,002 --> 00:36:03,503
And it did almost nothing.
>> SMITH: Ambassador Jeffrey
558
00:36:03,638 --> 00:36:06,973
says that the Obama
administration said it was going
559
00:36:07,108 --> 00:36:10,510
to speed military assistance,
but it did, in his words,
560
00:36:10,645 --> 00:36:13,113
"almost nothing."
>> That's just not true.
561
00:36:13,247 --> 00:36:15,148
I mean, if you go back and you
look at the record of what we
562
00:36:15,283 --> 00:36:18,585
were providing to the Iraqis,
there was a steady increase,
563
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:22,022
whether you're talking about
Hellfire missiles, the Apaches,
564
00:36:22,156 --> 00:36:25,592
they were held up by Congress.
We sought the expedition of that
565
00:36:25,726 --> 00:36:29,529
delivery to the Iraqis.
>> Hellfire missiles started to
566
00:36:29,664 --> 00:36:31,831
come.
They increased the intelligence
567
00:36:31,966 --> 00:36:37,504
capacity, but it was really not
enough, to be honest with you.
568
00:36:37,638 --> 00:36:40,307
I mean, the United States could
have done more.
569
00:36:44,812 --> 00:36:48,815
>> SMITH: Then on June 6, 2014,
ISIS sent several suicide car
570
00:36:48,950 --> 00:36:56,790
bombs into downtown Mosul.
(explosions)
571
00:36:56,924 --> 00:37:01,461
(sirens blaring)
>> SMITH: ...along with ISIS
572
00:37:01,596 --> 00:37:06,032
fighters in pickup trucks.
In some neighborhoods, they were
573
00:37:06,167 --> 00:37:07,467
warmly welcomed.
574
00:37:10,972 --> 00:37:15,909
(rapid gunfire)
>> SMITH: The Iraqi army, on the
575
00:37:16,043 --> 00:37:18,878
other hand, was seen as a Shia
militia.
576
00:37:19,013 --> 00:37:24,084
With no local support, the army
had deserted by June 10 with
577
00:37:24,218 --> 00:37:28,855
barely a fight.
>> They didn't know how to
578
00:37:28,990 --> 00:37:31,491
respond.
They didn't want to respond.
579
00:37:31,626 --> 00:37:33,760
You know, these were people
that didn't want to do any
580
00:37:33,894 --> 00:37:37,030
actual work.
They were fat cats, I call them.
581
00:37:37,164 --> 00:37:40,500
They were people who were
earning good money to basically
582
00:37:40,635 --> 00:37:46,906
sit at a desk and smoke
cigarettes and drink good
583
00:37:47,041 --> 00:37:50,744
liquor all day.
>> SMITH: In the end, it took
584
00:37:50,878 --> 00:37:54,514
only 800 ISIS militants, with
the help of local Baathist
585
00:37:54,649 --> 00:37:59,586
military cadres, to secure a
city of 1.8 million people.
586
00:37:59,720 --> 00:38:05,025
Even ISIS was surprised.
>> The original intelligence was
587
00:38:05,159 --> 00:38:08,795
that ISIS did not come to invade
Mosul.
588
00:38:08,929 --> 00:38:10,830
They didn't come to take
it over.
589
00:38:10,965 --> 00:38:15,568
They came to break a bunch
of people out of prison.
590
00:38:15,703 --> 00:38:18,004
But what happens?
They roll into the city and the
591
00:38:18,139 --> 00:38:22,042
entire Iraqi army collapses.
And they make some adjustments
592
00:38:22,176 --> 00:38:25,111
very quickly, on the spur of the
moment, and decide, "Wow, we're
593
00:38:25,246 --> 00:38:28,682
not gonna just get the prison,
we're gonna get the whole city."
594
00:38:28,816 --> 00:38:30,316
Then they just keep on rollin'.
595
00:38:40,695 --> 00:38:42,996
>> SMITH: For ISIS, the spoils
included tons of U.S.-made
596
00:38:43,130 --> 00:38:46,700
military equipment.
>> I don't think bin Laden
597
00:38:46,834 --> 00:38:49,869
could've ever dreamt that
elements even more radical than
598
00:38:50,004 --> 00:38:53,707
his own Al Qaeda would be armed
with American M1-A1 tanks or
599
00:38:53,841 --> 00:39:01,581
155-millimeter artillery or
up-armored Humvees or MRAPs.
600
00:39:01,716 --> 00:39:05,085
>> SMITH: From Mosul, ISIS
rapidly advanced down the Tigris
601
00:39:05,219 --> 00:39:10,156
and captured Qayyarah, al
Shirqat, Hawijah and Tikrit,
602
00:39:10,291 --> 00:39:12,759
the hometown of Saddam Hussein.
603
00:39:17,431 --> 00:39:21,434
In Tikrit, ISIS was easily able
to round up several hundred
604
00:39:21,569 --> 00:39:30,410
Iraqi soldiers.
ISIS recorded their execution.
605
00:39:48,729 --> 00:39:51,397
>> SMITH: What did you think
when you saw these mass
606
00:39:51,532 --> 00:39:56,202
executions taking place?
>> These guys are crazy.
607
00:39:56,337 --> 00:40:00,974
But there's a method to their
madness.
608
00:40:01,108 --> 00:40:03,309
>> SMITH: And what is that
method?
609
00:40:03,444 --> 00:40:05,645
>> Control.
I mean, this is one of the
610
00:40:05,780 --> 00:40:07,747
first terrorist groups saying,
"You know what?
611
00:40:07,882 --> 00:40:11,284
We're not gonna hit and run.
And we're not gonna participate
612
00:40:11,418 --> 00:40:15,622
in politics as you know it.
We actually want to kill
613
00:40:15,756 --> 00:40:18,424
everyone who disagree with us,
we want to control the piece
614
00:40:18,559 --> 00:40:23,229
of land, and whatever cost it
is, we're gonna do it."
615
00:40:23,364 --> 00:40:27,333
>> Al Qaeda was an underground
organization.
616
00:40:27,468 --> 00:40:29,536
It could hurt.
It could maim.
617
00:40:29,670 --> 00:40:32,172
It could terrorize people, bomb,
blow up.
618
00:40:32,306 --> 00:40:35,975
We know their tactics.
But ISIS has a different
619
00:40:36,110 --> 00:40:39,245
strategy.
They have a plan.
620
00:40:39,380 --> 00:40:42,215
They have a strategy to
establish a state, an Islamic
621
00:40:42,349 --> 00:40:47,487
emirate.
>> SMITH: On June 29, ISIS
622
00:40:47,621 --> 00:40:51,524
declared a caliphate, an Islamic
nation representing the world's
623
00:40:51,659 --> 00:40:56,930
Muslim faithful-- an entity that
recognizes no political borders.
624
00:41:01,836 --> 00:41:03,803
>> As you can see, this is the
so-called border.
625
00:41:03,938 --> 00:41:06,372
We don't recognize it and we
will never recognize it.
626
00:41:06,507 --> 00:41:09,175
>> SMITH: For this ISIS
propaganda video, militants
627
00:41:09,310 --> 00:41:12,312
bulldozed the Syrian-Iraq
border.
628
00:41:14,648 --> 00:41:17,917
An ISIS recruit from Chile
is calling on Muslims everywhere
629
00:41:18,052 --> 00:41:20,753
to join them.
>> We will break the barrier of
630
00:41:20,888 --> 00:41:25,458
Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, all the
countries.
631
00:41:25,593 --> 00:41:27,961
This is the first barrier of
many barriers we will break.
632
00:41:28,095 --> 00:41:32,131
>> By declaring the Khalifah,
they did something nobody else
633
00:41:32,266 --> 00:41:34,567
has done.
>> SMITH: The caliphate.
634
00:41:34,702 --> 00:41:36,836
>> The caliphate.
The implication of this in the
635
00:41:36,971 --> 00:41:40,974
minds of the traditional Salafi
believers is that they have a
636
00:41:41,108 --> 00:41:44,577
religious obligation to pledge
loyalty.
637
00:41:44,712 --> 00:41:47,547
>> SMITH: Salafis being hardcore
Islamist fundamentalists?
638
00:41:47,681 --> 00:41:52,385
>> I would say the traditional
religious fundamentalists.
639
00:41:52,519 --> 00:41:55,889
Due to their faith in that
particular sect, they have an
640
00:41:56,023 --> 00:41:59,525
obligation to respond to a
caliph if he calls them.
641
00:42:04,531 --> 00:42:07,267
Now I know not all Salafis will
do that.
642
00:42:07,401 --> 00:42:11,437
But even if one percent of the
Salafis do that, you're talking
643
00:42:11,572 --> 00:42:16,309
about tens of thousands
of people now in Nigeria and
644
00:42:16,443 --> 00:42:20,146
Saudi Arabia, in Jordan, in
every Muslim country, Sunni
645
00:42:20,281 --> 00:42:21,347
country.
646
00:42:30,157 --> 00:42:33,760
>> We have chosen to depict ISIS
as a successor, or a partner, to
647
00:42:33,894 --> 00:42:36,095
Al Qaeda.
It's actually not.
648
00:42:36,230 --> 00:42:38,298
Islamic State is a
state-building enterprise.
649
00:42:38,432 --> 00:42:41,134
They're trying to create a real
state, not some post-modern
650
00:42:41,268 --> 00:42:45,505
virtual Al-Qaeda-style thing
that only exists in your head.
651
00:42:45,639 --> 00:42:47,573
They're trying to create
something that looks like a real
652
00:42:47,708 --> 00:42:50,810
state.
It's a very different model.
653
00:42:50,945 --> 00:42:57,550
>> SMITH: On July 4, ISIS
made another extraordinary move.
654
00:42:57,685 --> 00:43:01,554
In their newly occupied Mosul,
the leader of ISIS, Abu Bakr
655
00:43:01,689 --> 00:43:05,391
al-Baghdadi, ascended the pulpit
of the Great Mosque.
656
00:43:15,469 --> 00:43:18,671
>> Baghdadi gave a sermon in
Mosul.
657
00:43:18,806 --> 00:43:22,408
Bin Laden never did that.
Zawahiri never did that.
658
00:43:28,882 --> 00:43:32,318
>> In an Arab city in broad
daylight, an Arab city that used
659
00:43:32,453 --> 00:43:35,054
to be under control of American
troops?
660
00:43:35,189 --> 00:43:39,993
It's a very ostentatious move
and one that's likely to attract
661
00:43:40,127 --> 00:43:41,227
more support.
662
00:43:48,202 --> 00:43:50,636
>> SMITH: After Baghdadi's
sermon, thousands more jihadists
663
00:43:50,771 --> 00:43:55,208
flocked to Syria and Iraq.
>> Virtually every country in
664
00:43:55,342 --> 00:43:58,311
the world, you have young,
disaffected youth, both men and
665
00:43:58,445 --> 00:44:03,182
women, who have little hope in
their life, who want to be a
666
00:44:03,317 --> 00:44:05,952
part of something special, want
to be a part of something
667
00:44:06,086 --> 00:44:10,857
successful, and they now see
ISIL taking over vast swaths of
668
00:44:10,991 --> 00:44:16,562
both Syria and Iraq, succeeding
like no one else has succeeded.
669
00:44:16,697 --> 00:44:19,465
This is the Al Qaeda that Osama
bin Laden only dreamed of
670
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:23,603
building.
>> SMITH: And unlike Bin Laden's
671
00:44:23,737 --> 00:44:27,673
Al Qaeda, ISIS fighters operate
under the command of experienced
672
00:44:27,808 --> 00:44:33,813
military officers.
Several of the top leadership
673
00:44:33,947 --> 00:44:40,286
positions, are now being held by
ba'athist from Saddam's army
674
00:44:40,421 --> 00:44:44,023
>> What you call ISIS, behind
them sit the Baath party and
675
00:44:44,158 --> 00:44:49,962
the former regime.
And the Baathists are pretty key
676
00:44:50,097 --> 00:44:52,665
to that structure.
I think without the Baathists,
677
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:57,136
it becomes very difficult
to pursue ISIS's agenda.
678
00:44:57,271 --> 00:44:59,839
You lack a lot of the
administrative capability and a
679
00:44:59,973 --> 00:45:04,143
lot of the military skills.
>> They know how to emplace
680
00:45:04,278 --> 00:45:09,582
artillery.
They know how to use tanks.
681
00:45:09,716 --> 00:45:12,452
They know how to set up
defensive positions.
682
00:45:12,586 --> 00:45:14,887
They know how to go on the
offensive.
683
00:45:15,022 --> 00:45:18,391
(rapid gunfire)
>> SMITH: ISIS military strength
684
00:45:18,525 --> 00:45:21,360
was evident when in August,
fighters moved into Kurdish
685
00:45:21,495 --> 00:45:27,133
territory.
The Kurdish Peshmerga, reputed
686
00:45:27,267 --> 00:45:30,736
to be Iraq's fiercest fighting
force, were easily overrun by
687
00:45:30,871 --> 00:45:35,241
ISIS fighters armed with
captured American weapons.
688
00:45:41,648 --> 00:45:46,085
minorities in northern Iraq
-- Christians, Shabaks,
689
00:45:46,220 --> 00:45:52,425
Turkmen-- faced a stark choice:
convert or die. Or flee to Kurdn
690
00:45:52,559 --> 00:45:56,729
Tens of thousands of Yazidis
fled their homes.
691
00:45:56,864 --> 00:46:01,134
Meanwhile, a column of ISIS
fighters was
692
00:46:01,268 --> 00:46:03,569
approaching Erbil...
>> ISIS is advancing closer to
693
00:46:03,704 --> 00:46:05,771
Erbil.
>> SMITH: ...Kurdistans's
694
00:46:05,906 --> 00:46:07,840
capital.
>> There are some 40 American
695
00:46:07,975 --> 00:46:11,244
military advisors there. Uniteda
special relationship with
696
00:46:11,378 --> 00:46:13,646
Kurdistan.
>> There's a U.S. consulate
697
00:46:13,780 --> 00:46:16,115
in Erbil...
>> Kurdistan is the silver
698
00:46:16,250 --> 00:46:19,051
lining of Iraq.
A trillion dollars' worth of
699
00:46:19,186 --> 00:46:25,358
global energy companies: Total,
Chevron, Exxon and Gazprom Neft
700
00:46:25,492 --> 00:46:28,027
are invested in Kurdistan.
>> SMITH: It was the threat to
701
00:46:28,162 --> 00:46:30,930
Erbil that prompted the U.S.
administration to finally
702
00:46:31,064 --> 00:46:34,667
intervene.
>> The trigger was the threat to
703
00:46:34,801 --> 00:46:37,670
U.S. facilities in Erbil.
That was the start of the
704
00:46:37,804 --> 00:46:38,905
air campaign.
705
00:46:42,509 --> 00:46:46,445
>> SMITH: But the U.S. signaled
to Iraqis that more assistance
706
00:46:46,580 --> 00:46:49,982
would come only if Maliki
resigned.
707
00:46:50,117 --> 00:46:53,686
A week later, Maliki stepped
aside and the U.S. airstrikes
708
00:46:53,820 --> 00:47:01,427
stepped up.
(explosions)
709
00:47:01,562 --> 00:47:04,497
ISIS responded by releasing this
video.
710
00:47:04,631 --> 00:47:08,434
>> This is James Wright Foley,
an American citizen of your
711
00:47:08,569 --> 00:47:11,270
country.
>> SMITH: It was just one of
712
00:47:11,405 --> 00:47:14,507
many horrific videos they
proudly shared.
713
00:47:19,479 --> 00:47:22,715
>> They knew how to use the
social media.
714
00:47:22,849 --> 00:47:25,851
They knew how to promote
themselves as the only reliable
715
00:47:25,986 --> 00:47:32,491
global jihadi movement.
>> The fighting has just begun.
716
00:47:32,626 --> 00:47:35,161
>> And you have thousands of
foreign fighters who truly
717
00:47:35,295 --> 00:47:41,701
believe in this criminal
behavior.
718
00:47:41,835 --> 00:47:45,304
>> This kind of bloodlust is
psychosis.
719
00:47:45,439 --> 00:47:47,340
There's no other word for it.
It's not...
720
00:47:47,474 --> 00:47:50,876
I mean there's no political
program that justifies it.
721
00:47:51,011 --> 00:47:55,548
I think killing is as important
to ISIS as securing
722
00:47:55,682 --> 00:47:59,385
the caliphate.
But killing first.
723
00:48:04,191 --> 00:48:07,493
>> My fellow Americans, tonight
I want to speak to you about
724
00:48:07,628 --> 00:48:10,863
what the United States will do
with our friends and allies to
725
00:48:10,998 --> 00:48:14,500
degrade and ultimately destroy
the terrorist group known as
726
00:48:14,635 --> 00:48:17,270
ISIL.
>> SMITH: Is ISIS a threat to
727
00:48:17,404 --> 00:48:20,506
the United States?
>> ISIS is a threat to the
728
00:48:20,641 --> 00:48:24,143
United States.
In the near term, ISIS is an
729
00:48:24,278 --> 00:48:28,014
immediate threat to our
interests in the Middle East.
730
00:48:28,148 --> 00:48:30,683
There is nothing that
would lead us to believe that
731
00:48:30,817 --> 00:48:34,287
they would do anything but
ethnically cleanse the region
732
00:48:34,421 --> 00:48:39,492
and absolutely create a
Sunni-Shia civil war.
733
00:48:39,626 --> 00:48:44,664
(rapid gunfire)
Long-term, if they achieve the
734
00:48:44,798 --> 00:48:49,201
Islamic State that they've
declared, then absolutely it
735
00:48:49,336 --> 00:48:54,240
will be a threat, initially to
Europe, probably, and ultimately
736
00:48:54,374 --> 00:48:55,541
to us.
737
00:48:57,611 --> 00:49:00,413
>> SMITH: A week after the
president announced expanding
738
00:49:00,547 --> 00:49:04,016
airstrikes into Syria, ISIS
besieged the Syrian town of
739
00:49:04,151 --> 00:49:07,086
Kobani, right on the Turkish
border.
740
00:49:07,220 --> 00:49:12,725
(rapid gunfire)
The U.S. is trying to coordinate
741
00:49:12,859 --> 00:49:16,529
military help from over 20
countries.
742
00:49:16,663 --> 00:49:19,465
But as U.S.-led coalition
airstrikes bombed ISIS positions
743
00:49:19,599 --> 00:49:23,402
in Kobani, the Turkish army
watched from just across the
744
00:49:23,537 --> 00:49:28,841
border, refusing to participate.
>> It's a regional issue.
745
00:49:28,975 --> 00:49:31,477
Turkey is a very obvious
example, which way is Turkey
746
00:49:31,611 --> 00:49:34,413
going now, you know?
It comes down to the
747
00:49:34,548 --> 00:49:37,783
sectarianism of the area.
So it's an issue which Iran and
748
00:49:37,918 --> 00:49:40,720
Saudi Arabia have to address,
as well.
749
00:49:40,854 --> 00:49:43,889
All those countries really
have to get together to say,
750
00:49:44,024 --> 00:49:47,993
"Are we prepared to at least
shelve our differences and find
751
00:49:48,128 --> 00:49:52,398
a way that we can sort out this
dreadful mess that has emerged
752
00:49:52,532 --> 00:49:56,235
in Syria and Iraq?"
>> SMITH: Our interventions into
753
00:49:56,370 --> 00:49:58,671
this part of the world have not
gone well in the past.
754
00:49:58,805 --> 00:50:00,840
So there's a lot of people
who are going to say,
755
00:50:00,974 --> 00:50:03,209
"Look, I mean, I just don't see
these guys as an immediate,
756
00:50:03,343 --> 00:50:06,345
imminent threat to the United
States.
757
00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:09,148
I don't think any good is going
to come by us trying to go in
758
00:50:09,282 --> 00:50:11,817
there and manage this."
>> I'd say they're right.
759
00:50:11,952 --> 00:50:15,287
We're not gonna do this by
ourselves and we're not gonna do
760
00:50:15,422 --> 00:50:18,090
this for the region.
We're not gonna have large U.S.
761
00:50:18,225 --> 00:50:21,227
forces on the ground to do this.
The only way that you're going
762
00:50:21,361 --> 00:50:23,529
to solve this problem is if you
get the countries and
763
00:50:23,663 --> 00:50:26,098
governments of the region
invested in it.
764
00:50:26,233 --> 00:50:30,102
>> SMITH: Today, ISIS is in
control of large parts of Syria
765
00:50:30,237 --> 00:50:35,241
and Iraq.
The U.S. is hoping that Iraq's
766
00:50:35,375 --> 00:50:38,778
new prime minister, Haider al-
Abadi, a Shiite, can get Iraq's
767
00:50:38,912 --> 00:50:43,048
Sunni tribesmen to once again
turn against ISIS.
768
00:50:43,183 --> 00:50:47,820
Without their trust and support,
the Iraqi forces cannot win.
769
00:50:47,954 --> 00:50:52,057
>> Without that trust between
the Shia and the Sunni in Iraq,
770
00:50:52,192 --> 00:50:56,195
without that trust between the
leaders of the Sunnis and the
771
00:50:56,329 --> 00:51:00,766
leaders of the Shia groups in
Iraq, I think you're gonna
772
00:51:00,901 --> 00:51:04,503
create a vacuum that no one will
benefit from that vacuum but the
773
00:51:04,638 --> 00:51:09,708
extremists.
>> SMITH: Are you an optimist at
774
00:51:09,843 --> 00:51:12,745
this point?
>> No, I'm not an optimist.
775
00:51:12,879 --> 00:51:17,750
I mean, I'm 41 years in the
military and I've spent, as I
776
00:51:17,884 --> 00:51:21,854
said, it seems to me, seven or
eight of the last 12 years
777
00:51:21,988 --> 00:51:25,991
working these very issues in and
around Iraq or Afghanistan and
778
00:51:26,126 --> 00:51:28,928
wherever else.
This is the right campaign plan,
779
00:51:29,062 --> 00:51:32,932
but I'm pragmatic and every
campaign's assumptions have to
780
00:51:33,066 --> 00:51:35,501
be revisited as the campaign
evolves.
781
00:51:35,635 --> 00:51:39,238
And some of these assumptions
are actually, I've no doubt, are
782
00:51:39,372 --> 00:51:41,474
going to be challenged.
>> This morning, the committee
783
00:51:41,608 --> 00:51:43,476
receives testimony from the
secretary of defense and the
784
00:51:43,610 --> 00:51:45,511
chairman of the Joint Chiefs of
Staff.
785
00:51:45,645 --> 00:51:49,448
>> SMITH: In recent testimony,
General Dempsey stated that the
786
00:51:49,583 --> 00:51:53,219
president may have to reconsider
his pledge not to send in U.S.
787
00:51:53,353 --> 00:51:56,121
troops.
>> My view at this point is that
788
00:51:56,256 --> 00:51:59,024
this coalition is the
appropriate way forward.
789
00:51:59,159 --> 00:52:03,262
I believe that will prove true.
But if it fails to be true and
790
00:52:03,396 --> 00:52:05,598
if there are threats to the
United States, then I, of
791
00:52:05,732 --> 00:52:07,600
course, would go back to the
president and make a
792
00:52:07,734 --> 00:52:10,603
recommendation that may include
the use of U.S. military ground
793
00:52:10,737 --> 00:52:13,339
forces.
>> SMITH: If General Dempsey
794
00:52:13,473 --> 00:52:15,975
does come to the point where
he says we need to introduce
795
00:52:16,109 --> 00:52:22,047
boots on the ground, will the
president reconsider?
796
00:52:22,182 --> 00:52:25,050
>> The president's view is that
we do not need to do this with
797
00:52:25,185 --> 00:52:28,187
U.S. combat forces on the
ground.
798
00:52:28,321 --> 00:52:30,656
>> SMITH: I take that as a no?
>> That's a no.
799
00:52:30,790 --> 00:52:32,925
Obviously...
>> SMITH: Even if Dempsey comes
800
00:52:33,059 --> 00:52:35,327
forward and says, "That's what
we need"?
801
00:52:35,462 --> 00:52:38,964
>> Again, no, in terms of how we
are looking at the strategy.
802
00:52:39,099 --> 00:52:42,835
I can't anticipate every
hypothetical scenario.
803
00:52:42,969 --> 00:52:45,804
But in terms of the strategy
itself, the president is very
804
00:52:45,939 --> 00:52:49,174
confident and comfortable with a
limiting principle as it relates
805
00:52:49,309 --> 00:52:55,247
to combat forces on the ground.
>> SMITH: ISIS is now in
806
00:52:55,382 --> 00:52:59,051
control of most of Iraq's
Anbar province.
807
00:52:59,185 --> 00:53:02,187
American military advisors,
are coordinating the war
808
00:53:02,322 --> 00:53:13,799
just outside Baghdad.
>> For more on "The Rise of
809
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,502
ISIS," visit our website.
>> Islamic State is a
810
00:53:16,636 --> 00:53:19,138
state-building enterprise.
They're trying to create a real
811
00:53:19,272 --> 00:53:21,707
state.
>> And check out our new iPad
812
00:53:21,908 --> 00:53:27,279
app at pbs.org/frontline/app.
And subscribe to our YouTube
813
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,982
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>> Now you can get original
814
00:53:30,116 --> 00:53:33,118
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>> And connect to the Frontline
815
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:35,554
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Tell us what you think on
816
00:53:35,755 --> 00:53:38,757
Facebook and on Twitter, and
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817
00:53:38,959 --> 00:53:40,793
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818
00:53:45,966 --> 00:53:49,168
>> Frontline is made possible
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819
00:53:49,302 --> 00:53:52,938
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Thank you.
820
00:53:53,073 --> 00:53:55,574
And by the Corporation for
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821
00:53:55,709 --> 00:53:58,410
Major support for Frontline is
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822
00:53:58,545 --> 00:54:01,146
Catherine T. MacArthur
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823
00:54:01,281 --> 00:54:04,049
building a more just, verdant
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824
00:54:04,184 --> 00:54:07,186
More information is available at
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825
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:10,122
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826
00:54:10,256 --> 00:54:13,459
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827
00:54:13,593 --> 00:54:16,362
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828
00:54:16,496 --> 00:54:18,964
lines of social change
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829
00:54:19,099 --> 00:54:23,035
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830
00:54:23,169 --> 00:54:25,838
And by the Frontline Journalism
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00:54:25,972 --> 00:54:28,841
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832
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833
00:54:31,878 --> 00:54:32,845
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834
00:54:50,430 --> 00:54:53,532
>> For more on this and other
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835
00:54:53,667 --> 00:54:56,502
website at pbs.org/frontline.
836
00:55:05,945 --> 00:55:09,648
>> Frontline's "The Rise of
ISIS" is available on DVD.
837
00:55:09,783 --> 00:55:15,587
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838
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