Original subtitles

Africa

usually don't any the we will one st George's would be me but the will only one in

charge anymore was Paul.

George bush

a cross-eyed texts and warmonger unelected inarticulate he will be demise of the

arrogance of American foreign policy.

Donald trump.

The only reason I would not

is an important new York is very real risk of meeting

Donald trump.

Islam the fishes the sectarian all the.

Agency needs heartlessness towards the unbelievers islam is the problem

Vladimir putin well despite looking like dolby the herself you a he's a ruthless and

manipulatives are

women.

Had

tati

gay men tank top bump voice of boy.

How many a harsh.

Five hundred or so.

When how many the Gulf.

Carryover going to have Russia.

You.

Know good for him

to solve it.

Stop you from having three rack

marble to keep all my strength.

Can you can't get enough.

Training.

He's a we.

Got would you wouldn't mind would of

course viruses.

That Kentucky you shall be mentioned in dispatches.

We estimated fatality rate of no point nine percent

with up to.

Eighty percent of the population getting the virus five hundred thousand deaths.

If we do know if it's a worst case scenario nail it is what

would happen

if we do nothing the data were getting out of Italy now houses they're almost one

thousand people in Italy and the house quarantine about one thousand in hospital

but here's the thing.

Almost two hundred

and intensive care.

That's almost ten percent of all the positive cases

how far behind Italy do you think we are

for

five weeks

more sure.

If we put measures in place to slow down the spread of the virus.

Make sure it's carpeting and nose and your mouth.

Like this.

It.

Good.

If it's working.

And this button bit.

On this.

Answer for that that

as don't use your phone.

It should look at it.

Never read the paper they're all lot of stuff noted.

For often photo of and I say that as a journalist.

You shouldn't you guys be a school record.

The.

What time is it.

When we need we need to do one

with the night before please

okay.

That he had

our boys be good.

Yeah you gotta be good.

By.

Morning Gabriel.

Where are you.

I'm in beautiful Birmingham.

Okay what are the

what the focus groups telling US people right now and up that focused on the virus is

still pretty pissed off about the floods.

Whatever the exact shape of the epidemic we do know that some people are going to die

and there will be an impact on the economy exactly

that there's going to be bad news for

the question is how do we handle it

the one big takeaway age people don't trust politicians they don't trust the media

they do trust scientists.

So we hated experts.

People trust

scientists.

Congratulations.

Congratulations.

Thank you sweetie.

Can we grab you it's just a bit of a touch of to our a we the

UK.

Prime minister on for me.

This is getting very embarrassing go out unless

what was thank you very much although you're looking at

gloomy today so what is it in the diary is five be

by ala meeting ahead of today's cobra amazing what you're going to share that present

the latest numbers on a

huge

we're going to record a video which will put out tonight show that was still on top

of things

you do your work on was speech.

Just been interviewed.

Then we're going to go to a hospital which will brief out later visit the front line

boost the morale of the truth was more unto the breach dear friends exactly I will do

thinking about it probably not a good reference once more unto the breach dear

friends once more

all closed the wall up with our English dead the mirror would love that we need to

get you all that we need to get ahead of the care of we need to give them your

message

right.

So what is the message.

The were in charge.

Teams at imperial and ls htm I've been looking at the first numbers from Italy.

And it's looking like nine percent have infected patients and eating I see you.

Yeah.

We start from a situation where we only have six point six I see you beds per one

hundred thousand population.

Italy has double that number Germany modern four times that number.

We need to start thinking about how to create more beds more I see a capacity

more ventilators or

we're going to have doctors playing god having to decide

who goes on a ventilator who does

cannot let that happen okay what can we do.

To

increase plastic

the Chinese build temporary hospitals.

I think we should consider is.

Maybe the military can help.

They build field hospitals.

That.

It's been awhile I know I've been hiding away but I'm allowed at NASA have an.

Love.

How is this.

I'm loving it.

I'm loving it goes while you're looking very well.

The government should advise against greetings such a shaking hands and hugging

give an existing evidence of the importance of hand hygiene.

Voice okay let's

say.

Reproduction rate

all zero is the number of people each person in fact on average.

We estimate that number to be between two and three and move on before they locked

the city down.

If the say thing happens here it would correspond to eighty percent of people in the

UK getting the virus.

If you look at the next chart.

You see a curve based on the time it takes for the number of infections to double.

We believe that time in we harness between four and six days

those numbers may be different in the UK

we believe that there is sustained transmission

of covert nineteen in the UK at present.

We believe that the peak of case numbers.

Should be expected three to five five months after the start of widespread

transmission.

It there's no intervention to reduce contact

believe the locked out and move on has been effective in reducing the epidemic.

Of best estimate of the infection fatality rate

is in the range of zero point five percent to one percent

ranging from zero point zero one percent of the and the twenties

to eight percent in the over eighty s you I think I'd go there was awarded the in

terms of sheer numbers

one percent of eighty percent of the UK population is five hundred thousand.

Half a million dead.

Yes.

That is a worse case scenario yes

we're not expecting that to happen

those numbers are if we do nothing to mitigate spread of the virus China India had a

couple of thousand deaths a while so they say I mean but the there's a billionaire

imposed a very draconian lockdown very quickly

or one advantage of not having democracy

I

down like the Chinese one stores up problems for later.

You can't stop a virus

once you released the lockdown the virus will spread again.

Until of course you either have a vaccine or enough people have had it that you get

herd immunity so what are we going to do we need to slow down the infection right to

flatten the curve to give US time to prepare and to spread out the demand for I see

you spy be has recommended a really clear policy of no shaking hands and really good

hand wash hiking or something more money why never used to do we we need to isolate

people who have symptoms and looking ahead

we do need to think about school closures oh really

who believe the incubation period is between one and eleven days.

Twice as long as with flu

so we don't believe screening people entering the country would be effective.

I think

I think it's vital that we

communicate this is clearly and accurately as possible exactly I would suggest that

we have formal press conference tomorrow

with you and

Chris alongside the

m.

Think it's very important that we show that any measures that had taken are in

response to independent

experts scientific advice.

Good idea so guys if the patient is symptomatic we use this century.

Go directly through that to radiology

and the corporate reward.

We just follow me around the corner

and if they have no symptoms they use

the centuries

I go through here through the rewards.

However if we're not sure.

Let me put them here.

In the purple ribbon.

There's one thing about the numbers.

For.

The doubling time four to six days there was an earlier estimate of three to four.

A big difference.

Look at the data check it all again.

Shop.

Way.

Too.

High to high.

Because we should we have great thank you good

okay

let's do this show we

prime minister could you give US an update place

while I've

I've just charity cobra.

A meeting or create a virus and I didn't get eat

a.

A problem that is

likely to become

more so significant for this country.

In the

next

shit what do we just seems months or whatever can make these days that they

understand it's not forever

okay.

Okay let's

do it again

yes yes yes

team Boris we can do this cabal know a guy here we go but the the single best thing

we can all do.

To protect ourselves is to wash your hands.

To times

happy birthday other than that though I wish to stress.

That people.

As far as possible

should go

bags

a business

as usual the cause ready for.

As you can see we have one extremely busy.

Of cases.

We are hoping.

Isn't how you feeling.

You are in the best place we have got the best.

Doctors in the world.

Voices not to shake hands to say

that the material would be like Churchill hiding a bunker.

Muscles very good to see a good to see you well done young man nice to see.

On the right.

That what be wearing.

Okay.

Nice.

Take care.

Will come and visit.

As soon as we can.

I'm actually a little nervous.

Glad you said Patrick.

I boys good to see you.

At least you can be a little bit awkward zola totally old press pack onto the feeding

frenzy today of anyone gets a third degree it'll be me

I should where you're a human shield as it worth it.

Today we we have published the.

Coronavirus action plan.

Plan has four strands of contain delay research

mitigate.

Twenty crucially.

We must not forget.

To

far as far as we choose to wash your hands you knew I was going to says with soap and

and waters

sleepy shaking

its prime minister.

Go

the

are often do not.

Review

great artificial.

Unusual kind of everybody

you are you'll you'll be reached the.

You're right John.

Let's start off we were times

so everybody what your hands.

Rep together said you got

lots of

lots of love

that.

Guy.

Good.

We have to do it physically was singing happy birthday twice

you've got a good voice seventy Brian.

Yeah I.

Thinking people.

Clean clothes.

Okay.

I'll put your three.

Chile.

It's the hospital on the phone.

Checking in

my credit credit.

For ahead of the current of our

and we're trying to worry about any patients without any clinical needs or.

Are wondering

if the grandpa at any.

Time

I

yeah we have one we've just loss the resident.

Come and say hello to

it with money.

Five minutes to.

Get.

Good to see it nice to see you all.

Fuck about canal other night

that company has faced fresh accusations of withholding information.

All you withholding information.

Know no

no do notice let me let me let me see that be media.

Very important

you know that the with transparent three pool

these people are the standards that we are.

With transparent

are

you did walk straight in here and I kept my hands by my side just to see what would

happen

and and and you came over and you should my

well I do I did idea I did I do off.

Doc shake.

People make.

Decisions but I.

Like.

Watching the money is the.

Single most effective.

Boring

someone please tell Phillip Schofield a bar has never get a greater studio against

you happy.

More than three thousand cases have been confronted.

With the number of.

Jumping by twenty eight.

In the past day and night.

Now.

All primary schools colleges and universities will shut their doors

Italy sports minister

fitness matches could be how without fans coming to watch.

Checker of.

Treatment my.

Guess

did he

allowed that young patient.

Yes yes

I do think

covered patients and sidewalks is going to work

to be celebrating.

Certainly going to get voices we need red zones

and we need green zone.

Summer we are still in the contain face modeling supports implementation within one

to two weeks of individual home isolation whole family isolation in order to delay

the spread of covert nineteen

and reduce mortality rates the first UK death of a patient with coronavirus out of

hospital in reading

the victim was elderly and already suffering from preexisting conditions.

You have a look at this piece

what is it.

Is the guest list of the baby shower.

Really.

Yes really were having a baby is most important thing you can do in your not yeah

yeah yeah he ice just as be hit is quite a lot of other things going on and.

I know but unfortunately I cannot postpone having the babies I understood what do you

think.

Besides fun fun fun here.

Tonight bike with children a guy I dunno I dunno you decide you decide.

How many more deaths.

Today a patient in Milton the keys

became the second fatality.

Were spotted.

Main suppliers have been disrupted by the Chinese look town.

And there's been a surge in demand mode one what we can't have is hospitals running

out of protection

agreed

we need to change the guidelines now to try and avoid short outages later.

It's morning we had the new advice

the public health england vs every pupil.

If you're on a cave it ward and you're not going with and and me to.

Down.

Filter style mosque just basic

training mostly and Gabonese

to the know safe outside of the mesa

that's the recommendation.

That does seem a bit strange on the servers why.

Maybe the dominance.

Pair of infection has depleted even the most devoted crowds

even here in the grand mosque.

Fair this virus has made US it's hosts puts our borders and barriers

while the unwelcome guest is busy crossing

the line disregard for ideology creed or flag.

So far.

As evidence suggests that the colossal public

health efforts of the Chinese government

have saved thousands of lives.

Lost the window for global containment closes.

Health ministers are scrambling to implement appropriate measures to do that he

spread of the violence.

But the actions have been slow

and insufficient.

Very good records go to that man she says you.

A.

Nice to see if this is Vicky.

Or okay.

Nice to.

Not the.

The front row because you're.

Right.

Oh nice ring oh thank you

my engagement.

So which can pass the wedding of the baby.

Baby.

Thinking.

We're going to give me some medication to help you sleep okay.

I never going to pop

to do

to help you breathe.

Around the world there are now more than one hundred

thousand cases of coronavirus.

First we've got new

all.

Telford right and we go Philip done who is the mp for ludlow.

This should be really good.

Probably

pretty bad.

For.

Push.

Minutes to forget

that he didn't come when that town.

Like this.

North Manchester general hospital announcing in the last hour

that a man who recently traveled from Italy

it died

on its spell

the infectious disease unit.

President macron today bands gatherings of more than one thousand in France.

Morning.

Gabriel we need to know what the public think about the lockdown over in Italy we

also need to know what they think about the idea that happening here in britain

yeah sure.

Groups are

currently brought

not eaten

tofu.

You're living the life.

I'm doing all the myself.

What is the risks of feet sixty Tina.

No

not really have more we'll never felt when.

Are you saying creativity

the

can you ask him.

Your.

Cause I'm just

I'm thinking.

There are an awful

people coming in our sins building maybe I would

be safer

in the can boil house.

Which echoes

gardening.

Articles where he

ago.

It's a.

Dirty job but someone's gotta to do it so.

Sure let's see your life.

Jonathan

they're calling it black Monday

trade is braced for the worst and within seconds a cane.

Memorial

that

where if I'm late

world so there's a downside of work in removing calculate because of the.

Casually Victoria line know my boys go to puncture.

A.

Lot of the will.

Excellent.

The

little guy and i'm

guessing it tells me you you do not.

Have good news for these don't a percent in the last hour

should

that spot as two thousand and eight

it's about four hundred billion last

year.

While given this kind of crisis and with a budget coming so soon it feels like we

should be coordinating action between the key departments of

treasury health home office possibly

foreign office all coordinated

through the cabinet office.

Through you

yes but the

are we started Michael gove of course

we need to get onto the from foot.

The Italian lockdown is all over the news

and it feels like we're getting left behind.

What do you think know.

It really is in chaos but then it's Italy.

I don't think people here want to lock lockdown

and if we locked down then the economy is going to crush

would be on wheels do we we'd be call have

to

the average age of the people dying initially is over eighty.

Over eighty.

We've had ten years of austerity were.

Pensioners are being protected with a triple lock whilst wages have been frozen

benefits frozen tuition fees trebled we have to think of about intergenerational

justice we have to to to reset the balance between the yelling the old.

Are

so who.

Are you doing to reshoot be able to go through the numbers but it's going to have to

be something huge to make an impact.

Okay

going to be a bit uncomfortable

the

out.

Okay okay.

Hate the fact central respiration.

Guy.

That.

Scope.

Most of the to.

Grid one intubation.

Coffee and play.

Everybody happy.

Yeah yeah.

Hot in this pp.

We need to do whatever we can

to slow this epidemic down or we are going to be overwhelmed

top of the list

mass gatherings Switzerland France of ban them get a given the.

Choppy economic waters that we find ourselves in.

Victoria keep a steady as we can you do we don't shoot ourselves in the foot by by

by kidding of people's lives these I said you still have the belief that.

Banning mass gatherings like cheltenham would have little long term benefit

I

think that frankly it smells of panic if we ought to.

Ban children the day before we start I used not a good look

a.

Stayed.

They've got your results back we think we need to put you on a ventilator

he thought okay.

What won't do who can be some jokes

on cappuccino down your throat.

Ganesh Moscow.

All right.

He will be asleep.

Hello hi.

Carol at

eight or

you just want to travel more tricky okay I'll copy non.

Yesterday

I.

Or.

How you feeling.

Okay.

August.

Perth

yeah.

You sound terrible.

Prenatal

breathe for me.

I know.

Take care.

The kids are here.

Sanity of that.

Had all died.

That.

How are you.

Okay.

Yeah.

School.

Bullring.

Boy.

Fourth person in the UK has died after testing positive for coronavirus the patient

who was being treated at the royal wolverhampton hospital was in their seventies and

had underlying health conditions Italy has now imposed a national knocked down to

contain the spread of covert nineteen.

How sixty million in lockdown and asleep or cases.

Stock up on pasta

before we other it is to panic buying.

Me.

I'm actually going to stay home.

Don't shit.

That's what I've got them locked down to make them pay the taxes.

Just a little.

Get rid of the shine.

That lobby gonna make you look lovely.

There's

a certain number of people you can affect so one person in a seventy thousand seat

stadium is not going to affect whole stadium.

They will affect potentially a few people were very close contact with that's true in

any setting

in the home in a church in a restaurant.

So you're on the telly factors.

Thank you of commons is important.

Patrick.

Want to

or on faculty.

Were working on data for

NHS.

Don't just asked me to sit in.

Brother.

Yes.

It's okay everybody

should we get started.

Data is firming up that we're about forty five weeks behind Italy

and that will increase to six to eight weeks once we apply the mitigation procedures.

All right

when

watching when reading.

We've just heard from the do

she's not going to make it just sit tight

with walk.

She tested the

of it.

Well

probably means we're all going to get it doesn't.

Okay well let's start with testing

where aware.

We currently have capacity for one thousand five hundred test per day.

We've been talking with NHS laps our plan is to ramp up to ten thousand test per day.

In Harmony tests.

Have been done so far

as of today we've carried out twenty six thousand two hundred and sixty one tests

with three hundred and seventy three being positive

and who exactly is getting the tests

besides the date I mean conductors

get the it is vitally potato health workers.

All our experiences of

epidemics like a bullet show that.

The doctor start dying public lose trust in the system pressure got crazy.

Well.

Today Italians are adjusting to restrictions on movement

and bans on public gatherings.

Hospital staff are struggling to cope with the sheer number of people infected

and now people across the entire nation being told.

It could only go out for family.

Prevent

these.

Bank of england has announced an emergency interest rate cut to shore up the economy

during the coronavirus outbreak.

So.

Let's start with the situation in

Italy.

If those hospitals were in this country how that make you feel

obesity scared

the to are been really worried if for my

families or friends

was happening in your local hospital

post pictures of your local hospital how would you feel about the government very

angry

were not been in this situation.

In my life

I'm disappointed.

You know we should know better.

If the government said the were ten thousand people are going to die without justify.

Lockdown

one life is too many

is very good say

it's destroy the economy.

It just seem are you.

Limiting my freedom and kept writing on the street

kids who go

to the teenagers he couldn't do that to them.

A drive through coronavirus test site has been opened in wolverhampton

I know we haven't been asked the same model or lockdown the given the experience of

China honestly

it just seemed crazy not to.

In the.

That Saturday

that.

Basically

we implement the current plan.

Were talking about deaths in the hundreds of thousands.

If we implemented to lock down

to think like it until they

could reduce the number of deaths to somewhere around the thousand.

The pressure's dropping over here.

Maps and help but here please.

Okay don't think of it

and an increase of know that.

I.

Tell you what you.

Doctor

I

guess I'll just.

The assumption for

herself.

Is just fall.

Like pa like small.

The Russians we get crushed all the soon as possible the.

Family from please.

Hello hello.

I'm so sorry

about your husband day.

To stop working.

Always.

Get from you.

Go into.

I'm so.

Of the phone.

Thank you.

Yeah to have said.

Yeah.

That is struggling.

He really wants to come back.

And we're deeply

concerned

by the a lot of mean.

Levers.

Of in action.

Kobe nineteen can be.

Characterized

as a pandemic.

I know how.

Worried about that help.

To help with their loved ones.

That jobs.

Their income

that businesses that financial security.

I will do

whatever it takes

to support the economy.

Though.

A health worker has died in hospital

having been diagnosed with coronavirus

then he lay down close by.

I whispered with a smile.

I love you right up to the moon.

I'm

back.

He's.

Be.

He loves you done.

He loves you.

And he'll always be watching you.

I'll be with you just like when he was here.

And when you look up at the stars.

And see one shiny.

That suede that the east.

And he'll always be loafing you

I'm watching you.

Just like when he was here.

World's financial markets have taken from at the

possible economic impact of coronavirus.

The shop from.

Shade.

Had been a

just not to come.

Everything up to comments will be nah.

Everything been on the.

At eight oil or come.

The already enough she shares all.

Markets of crushing it didn't

either way everybody loved the budget

they did for about an hour.

Or

although the shortest honeymoon in his shoes that

are all spooked we're going to need rishi to go again

to try and do something to calm things down the why.

Are you going to

do the numbers with a meal

yeah they're going to need to be big gospel little bigger the budget

they were

you are good on whether you say that they seem very big to me.

Testing.

We believe we should stop testing in the community and focus on only testing people

in hospitals with simply literally just announce

a big expansion and testing.

If we keep testing in the community we won't have enough testing capacity for

hospital

don't we use private leads to expand our capacity for that we need to maintain the

quality and accuracy the testing by keeping it with mph and nhf at the loss of lamps.

Offering to

cause we are pressing the ac dp to allow containment level two lobster to be able to

handle the samples that would help at the data will still all need to feed back into

our system is

the ugly

announcing at the day after shutting about more tests where we always pp.

Were struggling.

This is comfort.

Is on fifteen liters of

to.

Okay.

Comfort of my name's Katie i'm.

Going to be a collective today.

Can you please

it of.

Have someone coming to our patient in bad faith nine day to came.

Out cause your requirement is

it play out and.

Starting to struggle of lightly.

Boy.

Cassandra.

Told me today.

Cassandra properties with true remember it just no one believed that yeah already

know I do just about remember some of the stuff they.

Was going to thank you so sage met today we think that maybe be more cases of cope

with then we estimated

why.

There's a five to seven day lagging the data Jesus Christ John had been to some

modeling press p I am on the impact of a full lockdown

it estimates that it could bring the fatalities do down from the hundreds of

thousands to the tents

who asked them to model or locked now the rest of their own initiative imperial the

running there are numbers to we decided the questions that need to be answered

is not some fucking free for all chat group and what's going on with testing is a

shambles five in pushing phd to increase testing for weeks but they are law unto

themselves so we have hundreds of laps in this country wanting to help but I cannot

go phd to get involved for fucks I don't blame me don't

blame the hundred

ethical and

like okay okay okay called the boys

so.

Rishi what are you going to do to try to get the bulk it's also

well.

That depends on whether we impose more social distancing oh right neat

sidestep.

Said she believes household isolation should be imposed as soon as Paul Sybil which

cannot allow ourselves to get into the same state

the

attend

well that's your job isn't it.

I'm in favor of a lockdown.

That is not on the agenda of this meeting.

The death toll in Italy has passed one thousand an increase of twenty three percent

in the past twenty four hours

hospitals and nobody

struggling

to.

Seen as pictures from Italy the lockdown

how would you feel that the government propose something similar here they said

stay at home all day

at work if you can if you can't just been a

stay at how many what would it be paying US.

I say they did.

But yeah definitely go for that the

like if there's a way to protect the people then of course and then the younger

people who may be.

On that last can go ahead and keep the economy but.

I can do it.

Temple.

Eighties now a global.

Pandemic and the number of cases.

Will rise yeah we will will be clear that this is the worst.

Public health crisis for regeneration many more families.

All going to lose

a loved one.

Would

like

they're on the British the Titanic.

Finally seeing the iceberg coming towards him ahead is another ship.

Hms Italy.

That watching the iceberg

hit that ship and the ship

slowly sinking

yet they still won't change course they're just blindly San on towards the iceberg.

Five

like to.

Court cases in the UK and

twenty.

Three here

we are today.

About me they're all between.

Live

ten thousand cases in the UK right now

but if it's

ten thousand cases now

the a.

Doubling every three days.

Then

in three weeks is going to double seven times.

To four.

Eight sixteen

thirty to sixty four hundred and twenty eight hundred and twenty eight times ten

thousand that's.

That's one and a quarter million cases

in three days after that

it's two and a half million

and and another three days it'll be five million

while they're locking down now.

When you know why they're not looking down now because they don't think that is a big

number right now.

Where

not.

Contact right now.

Many people will no longer be tested at all that that showing bomb.

Testing and contact tracing the most important tools and epitome of modern why on

earth and the stopping.

Cars are idiots.

Did you know that

church shield bash start more than forty books is what I was always journalism.

Yeah need anywhere the nobel prize for literature.

I

wouldn't hold her bathroom that one.

Yeah.

My sister one the bad sex prize.

A for her books obesity.

Platinum lines with the bigger sending place for the.

Epa

will

you try to that'd be some kind of challenge you know I can't resist that guy thing.

Asked the time I've done.

A section.

Seventy nine he's not improving actual after that.

Current team can prove that.

Stephen has to listen to.

Public a nickel chase.

Pressure of as I remember forty three.

Now we need to get along.

To more deaths in the UK bringing the title

to change.

Snake what's the problem.

That means country.

Are.

Still have my team are worried.

At all worried

because the same for my team as well

the

worried about scanning pay patients.

When they don't know if they have Kobe don't.

We have three hundred volunteers many who are skilled in pcr

as well as lab space can take them facilities.

We are very keen to help by using these resources for diagnostic testing

should that be useful.

Our aim is to reduce the peak

broaden the peak not suppress it completely also because the vast majority of people

get a mild illness to build up

some kind of herd immunity

to wall people are immune to the disease and we reduce transmission.

The.

Seemed to be picking up on the wartime fighting spirit

so we need to push that

the Chilean stuff.

Patrick's during a tour of the studios.

Taking one for the team

I like Patrick he's not afraid to stick his head of the parenthood.

In terms of building up a herd immunity within the UK.

What sort of percentage of the population needs to contracted the virus

about sixty percent is what you need for herd immunity sixty percent

that's an awful lot of people dying in this country of course we do face the prospect

of a number of people dying this is a nasty disease.

What was still missing

is clear guidance on the criteria of who gets a ventilator

and who doesn't get offended later we cannot have individual doctors walking around

making subjective judgments on who to save

and who to switch off without any clear advice for months

I agree I think we need to set up an ethics committee to drop criteria.

Hi

hi

hello hi how are you doing.

Welcome to my world.

This is the downing street equivalent of a gulag in Siberia.

Listen and.

Jimmy say that I

want to go to the hospital and I was just wondering.

If you could come with me.

Vaccine Chadwick's one and called nineteen is going into the second phase of

animal trials today

great

Matthew

we've been looking at the virus in children looking at the data from abroad and doing

around tests here

children don't seem to get serious infections.

The issue is whether like with influenza

that carries.

It's very early

but it doesn't look like transmission is high

so closing schools wouldn't have much him.

Not from what saying at the moment.

Sixty percents what you need for her

immunity what do you make of that video to your initial reactions

it's going to Annie

and greatest to out cold is being like herd immunity.

That's going to kill

thousands hundreds of thousands of people as disgusting

as

it's as if he's

actually treating US like.

Head of cattle.

I I can't emphasize enough how much people hate the hard would.

It would not one of my pocket robbed in with

he wouldn't get out alive

yeah well let's make sure abortion have used that word then

is a

word itself all the policy.

About

actually.

People don't exactly want to hear the

government's letting hundred one thousand the die.

Exactly.

Gabriel why don't you come back and base yourself out of here from Monday let some of

your guys take the strain out to.

Special.

About the able to get home at like.

I don't rely on that.

You like.

Everything's completely fine

the characters.

Are so sorry.

Your time it'd be silly it's free.

Friends for.

Anyway

good role play

for if you

went on the dad.

That's a drink.

Sure.

Is

shares.

Oh gosh it's so nice.

Know.

Though

I'm looking forward to check US.

I mean it's a very weird case but it's fun.

Not like metallic colonies to.

Being about the shop all the time.

Interesting but

it isn't

possible to relax.

So.

Is it a boy or ago.

It's.

Yeah

the.

Is.

Hey can I just started some numbers with you.

Comes.

Mark and I haven't been looking at the numbers for imperial and ls htm.

The calculating the doubling time from the are not and the generation time.

The amount of time it takes one person to infect another.

Imperial is using to put forth which I think he's too low

and a generation time off six and a half days.

That gives you a doubling time of over five days.

But

the daytime.

Italian data doesn't fit this.

Saturday

they have gone from five deaths by the twenty seventh of February two more than one

thousand deaths by yesterday.

That's doubling every two days.

So with a doubling of two days we are not forty five weeks behind Italy.

More like two weeks.

Will feel a little strange at first

of it like sticking your head out the window.

It's important really have a snap.

Focus on your breathing.

Italy has recorded two hundred and fifty deaths in the past twenty four hours

it's highest one day total.

The company a job says Europe is now the epicenter of the pandemic.

Missouri.

What are we feel.

We thought

we were four weeks behind Italy.

We now think we may be close

to

our exclusive.

Then Warner has been worried about your doubling time

I asked faculty to take a look at the data.

His brothers company.

Yeah.

Then in Mark think it's more like two to three days

litigation will reduce the numbers it depends

how people behave if we locked them now.

With the sort of dumpster of cases that we have.

We could contain this

look at the experience in China it's a of Pete

already

and new infections

drastically that

China's not comparable

rishi

well.

Modeling various types of social distancing and social isolation we.

Could model lockdown as well

obviously the impact on the economy would be huge.

Range is pretty huge to.

We are modern minimum and maximum interventions.

It'd be really helpful to have a clearer idea of what the plan is.

We can all see

the shape of the curve.

The longer we delay lockdown more cases we have the more likely

the NHS is to be overwhelmed

I agree with that we need to prevent the NHS being overwhelmed at all costs.

The impact of the current mitigation proposals will still leave US with hundreds of

thousands of deaths

according to the modeling if we have anywhere near those numbers will be out of

yeah.

What he's normally be as bad as that isn't mean I can't see that happening on up to

this point everybody around this table is led me to believe that that would not be

the case how's that now changed.

Dumps changed his tune.

It's amazing.

Unfortunately we not allowed

to have any visitors.

Can arrange for a phone call for you.

So who I cover he was.

Very lethal royal good.

So.

The full fledged game

a godless people can see thq.

Long legs and shorts that

oh yes I am I allowed to.

It's

and Jenny

my friends from email or and rather lock.

Room.

Food he was just girls.

Rob smyth patent yeah I know but

mean

of

it's.

Weird

I mean he works of the policy.

Mean.

I would you like get

invited painted or do they not your friends all a rope is my friend.

We need to end today.

Got a patient like fear.

Then we have enough.

Baby and.

To carry.

Imagination.

Is.

What are very important to a coma for the

ship.

By want to come in and said.

I'm afraid in the current situation

with the virus the hospital has a strict policy of notices

a don't care about policy.

Is

that.

I have a right to say.

Incredibly sorry this is not the way we want to do things either.

Let your father is about going to see you and I am name now.

We can set up a

time or.

Skype.

Only see

of.

New nuclear that.

Suction and

you.

Yeah that's a good the.

Possible the cheapest.

Yeah.

I'm in.

Number of covert nineteen related deaths in the UK

has more than doubled in one day.

Taking the total to twenty one.

Spain has gone into lockdown

and from so shut down all non essential public locations.