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(upbeat music)
Downloaded from YTS.MX
- It sometimes seems we're being deluged with data.
Official YIFY movies site: YTS.MX
Wave upon wave of news and messages.
Submerged by step counts.
Constantly bailing out to make room for more.
We buy it, surf it, occasionally drown in it
and with modern technology quantify
ourselves and everything else with it.
Data is the new currency of our time.
- Data has become almost a magic word for anything.
- Crime and lunacy and literacy
and religion and drunkenness.
You name it, somebody was gathering information about it.
- It offers the ability to be transformationally positive.
- It's, in one sense, just the reduction in uncertainty.
- So what exactly is data?
How is it captured, stored, shared and made sense of?
The engineers of the data age are
people that most of us have never heard of,
despite the fact that they brought about
a technological and philosophical revolution,
and created a digital world that
the mind boggles to comprehend.
This is the story of the word of our times.
How the constant flow of more
and better data has transformed society.
And is even changing our sense of ourselves.
I can't believe this is my life now.
So come on in, because the water's lovely.
(upbeat music)
My name is Hannah Fry, I'm a mathematician,
and I'd like to begin with a confession.
I haven't always loved data.
The truth is mathematicians just
don't really like data that much.
And for most of my professional life I was quite happy
sitting in a windowless room with my equations,
describing the world around me.
You can capture the arc of a perfect free kick
or the beautiful aerodynamics of a race car.
The mathematics of the real world is
clean and ordered and elegant,
everything that data absolutely isn't.
There was one moment that helped to change my mind.
It was in 2011 when I came across a little game that
a teenage Wikipedia user called Mark J had invented.
Now, Mark noticed that if you hit the first
link in the main text of any Wikipedia page
and then do the same for the next page, a pattern emerges.
So the page for data, for example,
links from "set" to "maths"
to "quantity" to "property" and then "philosophy",
which after a few more links will loop back onto itself.
Now, the page "egg" ends up in the same place,
and even that famously philosophical boyband
One Direction will take you
all the way through to "philosophy",
although you have to go through "science" to get there.
The same goes for "fungi", or "hairspray",
"marmalade", even "mice", "dust" and "socks".
It was a very strange finding
and it called for some statistics.
Another Wikipedia user, Il Mare,
wrote a computer program to try
and investigate this phenomenon.
Now, he discovered, amazingly,
that for almost 95% of Wikipedia pages,
you will end up getting to "philosophy" eventually.
Now, that's pretty cool,
but how did it change my mind about data?
Well, the pattern that Mark J discovered
and the data that was captured and analyzed,
it revealed a hidden mathematical structure,
because Wikipedia is just a network with
loops and chains hidden all over the place
and it's something that can be
described beautifully using mathematics.
For me this was the perfect example of
how there are two parallel universes.
There's the tangible, noisy, messy one,
the one that you can see and touch and experience.
But there's also the mathematical one,
where I think the key to our understanding lies.
And data is the bridge between those two universes.
Our understanding of everything from cities to crime,
global trade, migration and even disease,
it's all underpinned by data.
Take this for example.
Rural Wiltshire and a dairy farm
gathering data from its cows wearing pedometers.
- We can't be out here 24-7.
The pedometers help us to have our eyes and ears everywhere.
- [Hannah] It turns out when cows go into heat
they move around a lot more than normal.
Constant monitoring of their steps and some background
mathematics reveal the prime time for insemination.
- [James] We'll be able to look at the data
and within 24 hours there'll be a
greater chance of getting her in calf.
- [Hannah] Data-driven farming is now big business,
turning a centuries-old way of life into precision science.
Pretty much every industry you can
think of now relies on data.
(dramatic music)
- We all agree that we are undergoing
a major revolution in human history.
(dramatic music)
The digital world replacing the analog world.
A world based on data,
they are made of codes rather than
a world made of biological or physical data,
that is extraordinary.
Why philosophy at this stage?
Because when you face extraordinary challenges,
the worst thing you can do is to get close to it.
You need to take a long run-up.
The bigger the gap, the longer the run-up.
And the run-up is called philosophy.
- [Hannah] In the spirit of taking a long run-up,
we'll start with the word itself.
Data is originally from the Latin datum,
meaning "that which is given".
Data can be descriptions.
Counts, or measures.
Of anything.
In any format.
It's anything that when analyzed becomes information,
which in turn is the raw material for knowledge,
the only true path to wisdom.
Look at the data on data.
And before the scientific and industrial revolution,
the word barely gets a look in, in English.
But then it starts to appear in print
as scientists and the state gather,
observe and create more and more of it.
This arrival of the age of data would change everything.
(dramatic music)
Industrial Revolution Britain.
For Victorians, booming industry
and the growth of major cities were changing both the
landscape and daily life beyond recognition.
Into this scene stepped an unlikely man of numbers,
William Farr, one of the first people
to manage data on an industrial scale.
- William Farr had a quite unusual upbringing,
in that he was actually the son of a farm laborer
but who had managed to get a medical education,
which was really very unusual for someone of his class.
(dramatic music)
Farr very quickly became absorbed
in the study of statistics.
He was particularly interested,
as you might expect for somebody with medical training,
in public health, life expectancy and about causes of death.
- For anyone interested in statistics,
there was only one place to be.
Somerset House in London was home to
the General Register Office,
where, in 1839, Farr found his dream job.
From up there in the north wing,
William Farr, the apothecary,
medical journalist and top statistician,
would really rule the roost.
Now, this place was almost like a factory.
Here, they would collect, process
and analyze vast amounts of data.
So in would come the census returns,
the records of every single birth,
death and marriage in the country,
and out would come the big picture,
the usable information that could help
inform policy and reform society.
- I think it's sometimes difficult for us to remember
just how little people knew in the early 19th century
about the changes that Britain was going through.
So when Farr did an analysis of
population density and death rate,
he was able to show that life expectancy
in Liverpool was absolutely atrocious.
It was far, far worse than the surrounding areas.
This came as a surprise to a lot of people
who believed that Liverpool, a coastal town,
was actually quite a salubrious place to live.
- At Somerset House, Farr spearheaded
a revolution in the systematic collection of data
to uncover the real picture of this changing society.
Its scale and ambition was described
in a newspaper at the time,
"In arched chambers of immense strength and extent are,
"in many volumes, the genuine certificates of
"upwards of 28 million persons born into life,
"married or passed into the grave."
Here, every person was recorded equally.
A revolutionary idea.
"Here are to be found the records of nonentities,
"side-by-side with those once learned in the law
"or distinguished in literature, art or science."
But what really motivated William Farr
was not just data collection,
it was the possibility that data gathered could be
analyzed to help overcome society's greatest ill.
Cholera was probably the most feared
of all of the Victorian diseases.
The terrifying thing was that you could wake up
in the morning and feel absolutely fine,
and then be dead by the evening.
Between the 1830s and the 1860s,
tens of thousands died in London alone.
The control of infectious diseases like cholera,
which no-one fully understood,
became the greatest public-health issue of the time.
However great London might have looked back then,
it would have smelled absolutely terrible.
At that point, the Victorians didn't have
really a great way of disposing of human waste,
so it would have flowed down the gutters into open sewers
and out into the Thames.
Now, the city smelt so bad that it
was pretty plausible that the foul air
was responsible for carrying the disease.
Farr collected a huge range of data during each
cholera outbreak to try to
identify what put people most at risk from the bad air.
- He used income-tax data to try and measure the affluence
of the different boroughs that were affected by cholera.
He asked his friends at the Royal Observatory to
provide data on the temperature and climatic conditions.
But the one that he thought was most
convincing was about the topography.
It was about the elevation above the Thames.
- Using the data Farr suggested
a mathematical law of elevation.
Its equations described how cholera mortality
falls the higher you live above the Thames.
Now, he published his report in 1852,
which the Lancet described as one of
the most remarkable productions of
type and pen in any age and country.
The only problem was that Farr's work,
although elegant and meticulous, was fundamentally flawed.
Farr stuck to the prevailing theory
that cholera was spread by air.
Such is the power of the status quo.
But in 1866, five and a half thousand people died
in just one square mile of London's East End
and that data made Farr change his mind.
When Farr came to write his next report,
the data told a different story
which proved the turning point in combating the disease.
The common factor among those who died was not elevation
or air but sewage-contaminated drinking water.
With this new report, Farr may seem to have contradicted
much of his own work, but I think that
this is the perfect example of what data can do.
It provides that bridge essential to scientific discovery,
from theory to proof, problem to solution.
Good data, even in huge volumes,
does not guarantee that you will arrive at the truth.
But eventually when the weight of the data tips the balance,
even the strongest-held beliefs can be overcome.
Of course, it was the weight of the data itself which,
with the dawn of the 20th century,
was becoming increasingly hard to manage.
Data stored long form in things like census ledgers
could take the best part of a decade to process,
meaning the stats were often out of date.
- [Announcer] When you're dealing with figures like these,
it's one thing.
But when you're counting the population
like this it's quite a different matter.
- [Hannah] A deceptively simple solution got what's
now called the information revolution under way,
encoding data as holes punched in cards.
- [Announcer] These cards are passed over sorting machines,
each of which handles 22,000 cards a minute.
- [Hannah] By the 1950s, data processing
and simple calculations were routinely mechanized,
laying the groundwork for the next generation
of data-processing machines.
They would be put to pioneering work
in a rather unlikely place.
In a grand London dining hall, a group of men and women,
many in their 80s and 90s,
have gathered for a special work reunion.
At its peak, their employer, J Lyons,
purveyor of fine British tea and cakes,
had hundreds of tea shops nationwide.
- [Announcer] There are hundreds of items of food.
All these in a varying quantity each day are
delivered to a precise timetable to the tea shops.
- [Hannah] These people aren't former
J Lyons bakers or tea-shop managers.
They were hired for their mathematical skills.
- Lyons had a huge amount of data which has to be processed,
often very low-value data.
So, for example, the transaction from
a tea shop would be a cup of tea.
But each one had a voucher and had to be recorded,
and had to go to the accounts
for business reasons and for management reasons.
- Every calculation you did,
not only you had to do it twice,
but you had to get it checked by someone else as well.
- The handling of these millions
and millions of pieces of data,
the storage of that data,
are the key of the business problem.
- [Hannah] The Lyons team took the world
by surprise when in 1951,
they unveiled the Lyons Electronic Office, or LEO for short.
At this point, only a handful of computers existed,
and they were used solely for
scientific and military research,
so a business computer was a radical re-imagining
of what this brand-new technology could be for.
- [Announcer] Each manageress has a standing
order depending on the day of the week.
She speaks by telephone to head office,
where her variations are taken quickly onto cards.
What the girl hears, she punches.
The program is fed first,
laying down the sequence for the multiplicity
of calculations LEO will perform.
- It was the first opportunity to process large volumes
of clerical work, take all the hard work out of it,
and put it on an automatic system.
- [Hannah] Before LEO, working out an employee's pay
took an experienced clerk eight minutes,
but with Leo that dropped to an
astonishing one and a half seconds.
- It was all so exciting
because we were breaking new ground the whole time.
- Absolutely everything which we did
has never been done before.
By anybody anywhere.
- I don't think we realized the kind
of transformation we were part of.
- [Hannah] The post-war years saw a boom
in the application of this new computing technology.
LEO ran on paper, tape and cards, but soon machines
with magnetic tape and disks were developed,
allowing for greater data storage and faster calculations.
As more businesses and institutions
adopted these new machines,
application of mathematics to a whole host of new,
real-world challenges took off.
And the word data went from
relatively obscure to ubiquitous.
(lively music)
- Data has become almost a magic word for anything.
The truth is that it is a kind of interface
today between us and the rest of the world.
In fact, between us and ourselves,
we understand our bodies in terms of data,
we understand society in terms of data,
we understand the physics of the universe in terms of data.
The economy, social science, we play with data,
so essentially it is what we interact with
most regularly every day.
- Data underpins all human communication,
regardless of the format.
And it was the desire to communicate effectively
and efficiently that led to one of the
most important academic papers of the 20th century.
A mathematical theory of communication has justifiably
been called the Magna Carta for the information age.
Now it was written by a very young
and bright employee of Bell Laboratories,
that's the American center for telecoms research
that was founded by one of the inventors of the telephone,
Alexander Graham Bell.
Now, this paper was written by Claude Shannon in 1948
and it would effectively lay out the theoretical framework
for the data revolution that was just beginning.
Those that knew him described
Shannon as a lifelong puzzle solver and inventor.
- [Claude] To define the correct path it registers
the information in its memory.
Later, I can put him down in any part of the maze that
he has already explored and he will be able to go
directly to the goal without making a single false turn.
- During World War II he worked on data-encryption systems,
including one used by Churchill and Roosevelt.
But at Bell Labs, Claude Shannon was trying to solve
the very civilian problem of noisy telephone lines.
♪ There's a call, there's a call ♪
♪ There's a call for you ♪
♪ There's a call on the phone for you ♪
In that analog world of 20th-century phones,
your speech was converted into an electrical signal
using a handset like this
and then transmitted down a series of wires.
The voice signals would travel along the wire,
be detected by the receiver at the other end
and then be converted back into sound waves
to reach the ear of whoever had picked up.
The problem was, the further the electrical
signal traveled down the line, the weaker it would get.
Eventually you couldn't even hear the conversation
for the amount of noise on the line.
And you could boost the signal
but it would mean boosting the noise, too.
Shannon's genius idea was just
as simple as it was beautiful.
The breakthrough was converting speech
into an incredibly simple code.
Hello?
First the audio wave is detected, then sampled.
Each point is assigned a code of ones and zeros
and the resulting long string of digits can then be sent
down the wire with the zeros as brief low-voltage signals
and ones as brief bursts of high voltage.
From this code, the original audio can be cleanly
reconstructed and regenerated at the other end.
Hello?
Shannon was the first person to publish the name
for these ones and zeros,
the smallest possible pieces of information,
and they are called bits or binary digits,
and the real power of the bit and the mathematics behind it
applies way beyond telephones.
They offered a new way for everything,
including text and pictures,
to be encoded as ones and zeros.
The possibility to store and share data digitally in the
form of bits was clearly going to transform the world.
- If anyone has to be identified as the genius who developed
the foundational mathematics
and the foundation of science for our age,
that is certainly Claude Shannon.
Now, one thing has to be clarified,
the theory developed by Shannon is about
data transmission and it has nothing to do with meaning,
truth, relevance, importance of the data transmitted.
So it doesn't matter whether the zero and one represent
an answer to, "Heads or tails?",
or to the question, "Will you marry me?",
for a theory of information is data anyway
and if it is a 50-50 chance that you will
or will not marry me or that it is heads or tails,
the amount of information, the Shannon information,
communicated is the same.
- Shannon information is not information
like you or I might think about it.
Encoding any and every signal using just ones
and zeros is a pretty remarkable breakthrough.
However, Shannon also came up with
a revolutionary bit of mathematics.
That equation there is the reason you can fit an
entire HD movie on a flimsy bit of plastic
or the reason why you can stream films online.
Now I'll admit, it might not look too nice,
but don't get put off yet,
because I'm going to explain how
this equation works using Scrabble.
Imagine that I created a new alphabet
containing only the letter A.
This bag would only have A tiles inside it
and my chances of pulling out an A tile would be one.
You'd be completely certain of what was going to happen.
Using Shannon's maths, the letter A contains zero
bits of what's called Shannon information.
Let's say then I got a little bit more creative,
but not much, and had an alphabet with two letters, A and B,
and equal numbers of both in this bag.
Now my chances of pulling out an A are going to be a half
and each letter contains one bit of Shannon information.
Of course, when transmitting real messages,
you'll use the full alphabet.
But English, as with every other language,
has some letters that are used more frequently than others.
If you take a quite common letter like H,
which appear about 5.9% of the time,
this will have a Shannon information of 4.1 bits.
And incidentally, a Scrabble score of four.
Now of course there are some much more exotic
and rarer letters, like Z, for instance,
which appears about 0.07% of the time.
That gives it 10.5 bits and Scrabble score of 10.
Bits measure our uncertainty.
If you're guessing a three-letter word
and you know this letter is Z,
it gives you a lot of information
about what the word could be.
But if you know it's H,
because it is a more common letter with less information,
you're more uncertain about the answer.
Now if you wrap up all that uncertainty in together,
you end up with this, the Shannon entropy.
It's the sum of the probability of each symbol
turning up times the number of bits in each symbol.
And this very clever bit of insight
and mathematics means that the code
for any message can be quantified.
Not every letter, or any other signal for that matter,
needs to be encoded equally.
The digital code behind a movie
like this one of my dog, Molly, for example,
can usually be compressed by up to 50%
without losing any information.
But there's a limit.
Compressing more might make it easier to share or download,
but the quality can never be the same as the original.
(dog barks)
You can't really overstate the impact that Shannon's work
has had, because without it we wouldn't have JPEGs
or Zip files or HD movies or digital communications.
But it doesn't just stop there,
because while the mathematics of information theory
doesn't tell you anything about the meaning of data,
it does begin to open up a possibility
of how we can understand ourselves and our society,
because pretty much anything and everything
can be measured and encoded as data.
(thoughtful music)
- We say that signals flow through human society,
that people use signals to get things done,
that our social life is, in many ways,
the sending back and forth of signals.
So what is a signal?
It's, in one sense, just the reduction in uncertainty.
(thoughtful music)
What it means to receive a signal is to be
less uncertain than you were before and so,
another way to think of measuring or quantifying a signal
is in that change in uncertainty.
- [Hannah] Using Shannon's mathematics to quantify signals
is common in the world of complexity science.
It's rather less familiar to historians.
- I love maths, I love its precision, I love its beauty.
(thoughtful music)
I absolutely love its certainty, and that,
Simon can bring that mathematical worldview,
that mathematical certainty to what I work with.
- [Hannah] The reason behind this remarkable marriage
between history and science is the analysis
of the largest single body of digital text
ever collated about ordinary people.
It's the Proceedings of London's Old Bailey,
the central criminal court of England and Wales,
which hosted close to 200,000 trials between 1674 and 1913.
- There are 127 million words of everyday speech
in the mouths of orphans and women and servants
and ne'er-do-wells, of criminals, certainly,
but also people from every rank and station in society.
And that made them unique.
- What's exciting about the Old Bailey
and the size of the dataset,
the length and magnitude of it,
is that not only can we detect a signal,
but we are able to look at
that signal's emergence over time.
- [Hannah] Shannon's mathematics can be used to capture
the amount of information in every single word,
and like the alphabet, the less you expect a word,
the more bits of information it carries.
- Imagine that you walk into a courtroom
at the time and you hear a single word,
the question we ask is how much information does that
word carry about the nature of the crime being tried?
- [Hannah] You hear the word "the".
It's common across all trials
and so gives you no bits of information.
Most words you hear are poor signals of what's going on.
But then you hear "purse".
It conveys real information.
Then comes "coin", "grab" and "struck".
The more rare a word,
the more bits of information it carries,
the stronger the signal becomes.
- One of the clearest signals that we see in the Old Bailey,
one of the clearest processes that comes out,
is something that is known as the civilizing process.
It's an increasing sensitivity to, and attention to,
the distinction between violence and nonviolent crime.
- If, for example, somebody hit you
and stole your handkerchief, in the 18th-century context,
in 1780, you would concentrate on the handkerchief.
More worried about a few pence worth of dirty linen than the
fact that somebody just broke your nose or cracked a rib.
The fact that 100 years later, by 1880,
every concern, every focus,
both in terms of the words used in court,
but also in terms of what people were brought to court for,
focus on that broken nose and that cracked rib,
speaks to a fundamental change in how we think about the
world and how we think about how social relations work.
- [Hannah] Look at the strongest word signals
for violent crime across the period.
In the 18th century, the age of highwaymen,
words relating to property theft dominate.
But by the 20th century, it's physical violence itself
and the impact on the victim that carry the most weight.
- That notion that one can trace change over time
by looking at language and how it's used,
who deploys it in what context,
that I think gives this kind of work its real power.
There are billions of words, there's all of Google Books,
there's every printed newspaper,
there is every speech made in Parliament,
every sermon given at most churches.
All of it is suddenly data and capable of being analyzed.
- The rapid development of computers in the mid 20th century
transformed our ability to encode, store and analyze data.
It took a little longer for us to work out how to share it.
This place is home to one of the most
important UK scientific institutions,
although it's one you've probably never heard of before.
But since the 1900s this place has
advanced all areas of physics, radio communications,
engineering, materials science,
aeronautics, even ship design.
NPL, the National Physical Laboratory,
in south-west London is where the first atomic clock was
built and where radar and the Automatic Computer Engine,
or ACE, were invented.
The ACE computer was the brainchild of Alan Turing,
who came to work here right after the Second World War.
Now, Turing's contributions to
the story of data are undoubtedly vast,
but more important for our story is another
person who worked here with Turing,
someone who arguably is even less
well known than this place, Donald Davies.
Davies worked on secret British nuclear weapons
research during the war later joining Turing at NPL,
climbing the ranks to be put in charge of computing in 1966.
As well as the new digital computers,
Davies had a lifelong fascination
with telephones and communication.
His mother had worked in the Post Office telephone exchange,
so even when he was a kid,
he had a real understanding of how these phone calls
were routed and rerouted through this growing network,
and that was the perfect training for what was to follow.
(thoughtful music)
What was Donald Davies like, then?
- He was a super boss because he was very approachable.
Everybody realized he'd got huge intellect
but not difficult with it.
Very nice guy.
- [Hannah] Davies' innovation was to develop, with his team,
a way of sharing data between computers,
a prototype network.
- Donald had spotted that there was a need to connect
computers together and to connect people to computers,
not by punch cards or paper tape or on a motorcycle,
but over the wires, where you can move files or programs,
or run a program remotely on another computer,
and the telephone network is not really suited for that.
- [Hannah] In the pre-digital era sending an encoded file
along a telephone line meant that the line was
engaged for as long as the transmission took.
- So the opportunity here was because we owned the site,
78 acres with some 50 buildings, we could build a network.
- [Hannah] Davies' team sidestepped the telephone problem
by laying high-bandwidth data cables before instituting
a new way of moving data around the network.
- And the technique he came up with was packet switching,
the idea being that you take whatever
it is you're going to send,
you chop it up into uniform pieces,
like having a standard envelope,
and you put the pieces into the envelope
and you post them off and they go separately
through the network and get reassembled at the far end.
- To demonstrate this idea,
Roger and I are convening NPL's
first-ever packet-switching data-dash.
Which is a bit more complicated
than your average sports-day event.
The course is a data network.
There are two computers,
represented here as the start and finish signs.
Those computers are connected by a
series of network cables and nodes.
In our case, cables are lines of
cones and the connecting nodes are Hula Hoops.
Having built it,
all we need now are some willing volunteers.
And here they are, NPL's very own apprentices.
So welcome to our packet-switching sports day.
We've got two teams, red and blue.
Both teams are pretending to be data
and they're going to have to race.
You're going to start over there
where it says "start", kind of obvious,
and you're trying to get through to
the end as quickly as you possibly can.
You can't just go anywhere,
you have to go through these hoops
to get to the finish line,
these little nodes in our network.
You're only allowed to travel along the lines of the cones,
but only if there's nobody else along that line.
All clear?
Okay, there is one catch.
All of you who are in the red team,
we're going to tie your feet together.
So you've got to travel round our
network as one big chunk of data.
Those of you who are in blue,
you are allowed to travel on your own,
so it's slightly easier.
The objective is for both teams to deposit their beanbags
in the goal in the right order, one to five.
Get in the hoop!
Get in the hoop!
Bring out your competitive spirit here.
We've got packets versus big chunks of data.
I'm going to time you.
Everyone ready?
Okay, over to you, Roger.
(horn blares)
Remember, you can't go down the route until it's clear.
The red and blue teams are exactly the same size,
let's say five megabytes each.
But their progress through the network
is clearly very different.
(lively music)
Okay, blues, you took 13 seconds, pretty impressive.
Reds, 20 seconds.
That's a victory for the packet switchers.
Well done, you guys!
Well done, you guys.
The impact that packet switching has had on the world,
I mean, it sort of came from here
and then spread out elsewhere.
- It did indeed, we gave the world packet switching,
and the world, of course,
being America, they took it on and ran with it.
- This little race, Donald Davies' packet switching,
was adopted by the people that would
go on to build the internet, and today,
the whole thing still runs on this idea.
Let's say I want to email you a picture of Molly.
First, it will be broken up into
over a thousand data packets.
Each one is stamped with the address of
where it's from and where it's going to,
which routers check to keep the packets moving.
Regardless of the order they arrive,
the image is reassembled, and there she is.
This is quite a cool thing, right,
that you've got one of the original creators
of packet switching right here and you can ask him.
Every time you're like,
well, do anything, really.
- Why is my internet running so slowly?
Don't ask me!
(laughs)
- We've come a very long way in just a few decades.
Around 3.4 billion people now have access to
the internet at home and there are around four times the
number of phones and other data-sharing devices online,
the so-called Internet of Things.
Just by being alive in the 21st century
with our phones, our tablets, our smart devices,
all of us are familiar with data.
Now really embrace your inner nerd here,
because every time you wander around
looking at your screen, you are gobbling up
and churning out absolutely tons of the stuff.
Our relationship with data has really changed,
it's no longer just for specialists, it's for everyone.
There's one city in the UK that's putting
the sharing and real-time analysis of data
at the heart of everything it does, Bristol.
- [Announcer] Using digital technology,
we take the city's pulse.
This data is the route to an open, smart, livable city.
A city where optical, wireless and mesh networks
combine to create an open, urban canopy of connectivity.
- Taking the pulse of the city under
a canopy of connectivity might sound a bit sci-fi,
or like something from a broadband advert.
But if you just hold on to your cynicism for a second,
because Bristol are trying to build a new type of
data-sharing network for its citizens.
- There's a city-center area which now has next-generation
or maybe the generation after next of super fast broadband
and then that's coupled to a wifi network, as well.
The question is, what can you do with it?
(intense music)
We would have a wide area network of very very simple
Internet of Things sensing devices that
just monitor a simple signal like air quality
or traffic queued in a traffic jam.
Once you've got all this network infrastructure,
you can get an awful lot,
a really huge amount of data arriving to you in real time.
- What's happening here is a city-scale experiment
to try and develop and test what's going to be called
the programmable city of the future.
It relies on Bristol's futuristic network,
vast amounts of data from as many sensors as possible
and a computer system that can simulate
and effectively reprogram the city.
- The computer system can intervene.
It could reroute traffic
and we can actually radio out to individuals,
so maybe they get a message on their smartphone
or perhaps a wrist-mounted device, saying,
"If you have asthma, perhaps you should get indoors."
- Once you create that capacity for anything
and everything in the city to be connected together,
you can really start to re-imagine how a city might operate.
We are starting to experiment with driverless cars and,
in order for driverless cars to work,
they have to be able to communicate
with the city infrastructure.
So, your car needs to speak to the traffic lights,
the traffic lights need to speak to the car,
the cars need to speak to each other.
All of that requires a completely
different set of infrastructure.
- [Hannah] Of course, as the amount of data a
city can share grows, the computing power needed to do
something useful with it must grow too.
And for that, we have the cloud.
For example, imagine trying to analyze all of
Bristol's traffic data, weather
and pollution data on your home computer.
It could take a year.
Well, you could reduce that to a day by
getting 364 more computers,
but that's expensive.
A cheaper option is sharing the analysis
with other computers over the internet,
which Google worked out first,
but they published the basics
and now free software exists to help anyone do the same.
Big online companies rent their spare computers
for a few pence an hour.
So, now anyone like me or you,
can do big data analytics quickly for a few quid.
Such computing power is something we could
never have dreamt of just a few years ago,
but it will only fulfill its potential if we can share
our own data in a safe and transparent way.
If Bristol Council wanted to know where your car was at
all times but could use that information
to sort of minimize traffic jams,
how would you feel about something like that?
- I'm not sure if I'd particularly like it.
I think it is up to me where I leave my car.
I understand the idea of justifying it
with all these great other ideas,
but I still probably wouldn't like it very much.
- If they are using it for a better purpose, then yeah,
but one should know how they are using it
and why they'll be using it, for what purpose.
- I'd like to imagine a world in which all the data that
was retained was used for the greater good of mankind,
but I can't imagine a circumstance like that
in the world that we have today.
- We live in a modern society,
where if you don't let your data out there,
not in the public domain, but in a secure business domain,
then you can't take part in society, really.
- [Hannah] Unsurprisingly, people are pretty
wary about what happens to their data.
- We need to be careful that civil liberties are not eroded,
because otherwise the technology is likely to be rejected.
- I think it's an area where us as a society have yet to
sort of fully understand what the correct way forward is
and therefore it is very much a discussion.
It's not a lecture, it's not a code,
it's one where we are co-producing
and co-forming these sorts of rules with people in the city,
in order to sort of help us work out what the
right and wrong things to do are.
- [Hannah] It will be intriguing to watch Bristol grapple
with the technological and ethical challenges
of being our first data-centric city.
- In all these contexts, Internet of Things,
new forms of health care, smart cities,
what we're seeing is an increase in transparency.
You can see through the body, you can see through the house,
you can see through the city and the square,
you can see through society.
Now, transparency may be good.
It's something that we may need to handle carefully in
order to extract the value from those data to improve
your lifestyle, your social interactions,
the way in which your city works and so on.
But it also needs to be carefully handled,
because it's touching the ultimate nerve
of what it means to be human.
- [Hannah] So how much data should you give away?
Traffic management is one thing
but when it comes to health care,
the stakes, the risks and benefits are even higher.
And in Bristol, with a project called Sphere,
they're pushing the boundaries here, too.
- The population is getting older,
and an aging population needs more intense health care,
but it's very difficult to pay for that
health care in institutions, paying for nurses and doctors.
So, the key insight of the Sphere team
was that it's now possible to arrange, in a house,
lots of small devices where each device is monitoring a
simple set of signals about what's going on in that house.
There might be monitors for your
heart rate or your temperature,
but there might also be monitors that notice,
as you're going up and down stairs,
whether you're limping or not.
- They've invited me to go and spend a night in this
very experimental house, but unfortunately,
I'm not allowed to tell you where it is.
The project is a live-in experiment
and will soon roll out to 100 homes across Bristol.
It's a gigantic data challenge,
overseen by Professor Ian Craddock.
So, that's one up there, then?
- Yes, that's one of the video sensors
and we have more sensors in the kitchen.
We have another video camera in the hall
and some environmental sensors, and a few more in here.
- The house can generate 3-D video,
body position, location and movement data
from a special wearable.
How much data are you collecting, then?
- So, when we scale from this house
to 100 houses in Bristol,
in total we'll be storing over
two petabytes of data for the project.
- Lord.
So, on my computer at home,
I don't even have a terabyte hard drive
and you're talking about 20,000 of those.
- Yes, I mean, you know,
the interaction of people with their environment
and with each other is a very complicated and very
variable thing and that's why it is a very challenging area,
especially for data analysts, machine learners,
to make sense of this big mass of data.
- I'm happy to find out that the research
doesn't call for cameras in the bedroom or bathroom,
but I do have to be left entirely on my own for the night.
The very first thing I'm going to do is
pour myself a nice bloody big glass of wine.
There we go.
So, that nice glass of wine that I'm enjoying now
isn't completely guilt-free,
because I've got to admit to it
to the University of Bristol.
I have to keep a log of everything I do,
so that the data from my stay can be labeled
with what I actually got up to.
In this way I'll be helping the process of machine learning,
teaching the team's computers how to automatically
monitor things like cooking, washing and sleeping,
signals in the data of normal behavior.
In the interests of science.
I was also asked to do some things that are less expected.
Oh!
I spilled my drink.
The team need to learn to detect
out-of-the-ordinary behavior too,
if they want to, one day, spot specific signs of ill health.
Right, I'm going to run this back to the kitchen now.
It's a fairly strange experience.
I think the temperature sensors, the humidity sensors,
the motion sensors, even the wearable
I don't have a problem with at all.
For some reason the body position
is the one that's getting me.
On the flip side, though,
I would go absolutely crazy to have this data.
This is the most wonderful.
My goodness me.
Everything you could learn about humans.
It would be so brilliant.
(upbeat music)
One thing I wanted to do was to do something completely
crazy just to see if they can spot it in the data.
Just to kind of test them.
Okay, ready?
I can't believe this is my life now.
Anyone can get the data from my stay online if they
fancy trying to find my below-the-radar escape.
The man in charge of machine learning,
Professor Peter Flach, has the first look.
Between 9:00 and 10:00, you were cooking.
- [Hannah] Correct.
- [Peter] Then you went into the lounge.
You had your meal in the lounge.
- [Hannah] You know what?
I ate on the sofa.
- [Peter] And you were watching crap television.
- I was watching crap television?
I've been found out.
- We didn't switch the crap-television sensor on.
That's not on here, but okay.
So, you were in the lounge sort of until 11:30.
- [Hannah] Correct.
- [Peter] Then you went upstairs,
there's a very clear signal here.
And then, from then on, there isn't a lot of movement.
- [Hannah] I was in bed.
- [Peter] So, I guess you were in bed.
- [Hannah] Sleeping.
Normal activities, like cooking or being in bed,
are relatively straightforward to spot.
But what about the weird stuff?
- [Peter] This is yesterday, again.
- I can see it, I can see the moment.
- You can see the moment?
- I can see it, yeah.
- There's something happening here
which is sort of rather quick.
You've been in the lounge for quite a while and then,
suddenly, there's a brief move to the kitchen here
and then very quick cleaning up in the lounge.
- I wasted good wine on this experiment.
- Good wine?
- Humans are extraordinarily good at spotting most patterns.
For machines, the task is much more challenging,
but, once they've learned what to look for,
they can do it tirelessly.
I suppose, in the long run,
if you are going to scale this up to more houses,
you can't have people sifting through
these graphs trying to find,
I mean you have to train computers to do them.
- You have to train computers to do them.
One challenge that we are facing is that our models,
our machine learning classifiers and models,
need to be robust against changes in layout,
changes in personal behavior,
changes in the number of people that are in a house.
And maybe we are wildly optimistic about what it can do,
but we are in the process of trying to
find out what it can do, at what cost,
at what invasion into privacy,
and then we can have a discussion about whether,
as a society, we want this or not.
- If this type of technology rolls out,
machines will be modeling us in mathematical terms
and intervening to help keep us healthy in real time,
and that's completely new.
It's true that our fascination with machine,
or artificial intelligence,
is as old as computers themselves.
Claude Shannon and Alan Turing both explored
the possibilities of machines that could learn.
But it's only today,
with torrents of data and pattern-finding algorithms,
that intelligent machines will realize their potential.
You'll hear a lot of heady stuff about what's going to
happen when we mix big data with artificial intelligence.
A lot of people, understandably, are very anxious about it.
But, for me, despite how much the world has changed,
the core challenge is the same as it always was.
It doesn't matter if you are William Farr
in Victorian London trying to understand cholera
or in one of Bristol's wired-up houses,
all you're trying to do is to understand patterns
in the data using the language of mathematics.
And machines can certainly help us to find those patterns,
but it takes us to find the meaning in them.
- We should be worried about what we're going to do
with these smart technologies,
not about the smart technologies in themselves.
They are in our hands to shape our future.
They will not shape our futures for us.
(upbeat music)
- In the blink of an eye,
we have gone from a world where data, information
and knowledge belonged only to the privileged few,
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