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With snow, ice,
freezing temperatures,
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and ferocious winds,
the blizzard
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is one of Mother Nature’s most
effective killing machines.
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00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:44,119
But it requires
a particular combination
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00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:48,759
of warm, moist air rising
through a cold air mass,
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00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,760
which triggers snow
and powerful winds.
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These drive the falling snow,
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as well as churning up the snow
already on the ground,
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to reduce visibility
to practically zero.
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00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,959
And the brutal winds can create
a dangerous windchill
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that drops the effective
temperature of the air
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to minus-50 degrees Celsius,
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killing anyone caught
in its sweeping destruction.
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Featuring interviews
from leading experts,
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and extraordinary
personal stories of survival,
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this episode
of Deadly Disasters
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will focus on blizzards
and extreme cold weather events
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from all over the world.
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Including two historic blizzards
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to hit the mid-Atlantic coast
of America,
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and a shocking storm that
struck central Europe in 2017.
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In meteorological terms,
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a blizzard is a very specific
extreme weather event.
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It is spawned by an unusual
set of conditions
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that create
the fatal combination
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of snow and driving wind,
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resulting in the dangerously
low visibility
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and lethal cold,
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which define these freak
weather phenomenons.
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One of the most severe
blizzards in recorded history
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occurred along the east coast
of the United States
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in March of 1888.
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Nicknamed "The Great White Hurricane,"
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this mammoth
of gale-force winds
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and heavy snowfall caused much
of New York City’s streets
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to virtually disappear
under the deep snow drifts.
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The storm killed more than 200
of the city’s citizens,
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and energized
New York City officials
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to further invest
in vital infrastructure.
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Adjusted for inflation,
the blizzard cost the city
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roughly 665 million
U.S. dollars worth of damage.
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Blizzards may even occur
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when there is little
or no snowfall.
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High winds can whip up snow
that is already on the ground,
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creating a swirling mass
of airborne snow
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that is almost impossible
to see through.
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The official U.S. National
Weather Service
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definition of a blizzard
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is a storm which contains
a large amount of snow,
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blown by winds of at least
56 kilometers per hour,
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that reduces visibility
to no more than 400 meters
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for a length
of three hours or more.
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When one or two of these
conditions are forecast,
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the National Weather Service
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will issue
a "winter storm warning"
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or "heavy snow warning."
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If all three criteria are met,
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they will broadcast
a blizzard warning.
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Blizzards pose extreme danger
for a number of reasons.
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The winds in a blizzard can be
as powerful as a hurricane.
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And just like a hurricane,
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if they strike coastal areas,
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they can cause
surges of floodwater
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that inundate
seaside communities.
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Blizzards can last
up to five days,
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cutting off communities,
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leaving anyone trapped outside
with little or no chance
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of getting to safety
or being rescued.
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They reduce visibility,
which can also kill,
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making travel by car
extremely dangerous.
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Dry, powdery snow
that has previously settled
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can be thrown into a cloud
by the high winds,
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making it impossible
to see anything.
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In such a whiteout,
it is extremely difficult
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to tell which way is up,
let alone see the road ahead.
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The strong winds
and cold temperatures
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that go with blizzards
can combine
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to create another danger:
the windchill.
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Even if temperatures
are already subzero,
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windchill can make the
apparent temperature plummet,
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making it feel as cold
as -50 degrees Celsius.
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It’s terrible.
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I can’t believe
that I’m out here, but I am,
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because I have to go to work
and I’m a responsible adult now.
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That’s what I’m supposed to do.
But it’s super cold.
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And as you can see, I’m still
trying to catch my breath.
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Expose yourself
to this degree of windchill
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during a blizzard,
and some terrible things
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will happen to your body.
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If a strong blizzard
is forecast,
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or if you’re caught
in a blizzard...
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So first of all,
make absolutely sure
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that you are
really well dressed.
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So put as many layers on
as you can.
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Because it’s not only the snow,
really, it is the wind,
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and the windchill factor
associated with it.
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So this is really
what makes you lose heat,
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body heat, really quickly.
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Bundle up, layer up.
Bundle up, cover up.
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If you’ve got to look
ridiculous, look ridiculous.
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But stay warm. Keep that wind
off of your skin.
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To stay healthy,
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we need to maintain
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a core body temperature
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of 37 degrees Celsius.
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A drop of just 2 degrees
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can quickly
cause serious problems.
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It’s at this time
that hypothermia will set in,
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triggering symptoms
like constant shivering,
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tiredness and fast breathing.
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Drop below
the 32-degree Celsius mark
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and you will begin to
experience poor coordination,
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slurred speech, confusion
and a clear lack of judgment.
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At this point,
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your breathing
will start to slow.
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If eventually your temperature
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falls to below
28 degrees Celsius,
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your body will stop shivering.
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This is a very bad sign,
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as shivering is the body’s way
of trying to keep you alive.
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Due to the confusion,
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you may not even realize
what’s happening to you.
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Bizarrely,
many victims of hypothermia
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will start to feel as though
they are burning up.
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This is because
the muscles have grown tired,
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and let the warmer blood
from the core
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stream back to the skin.
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Blizzards can bring chaos
to vast swathes of land.
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Power outages may occur
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if lines are brought down
by fallen trees,
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by the sheer weight
of ice and snow.
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Water pipes freeze
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and the supply of fuel
can be disrupted.
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There have been many deadly
blizzards throughout the world.
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In 1993,
a blizzard in the U.S.
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dubbed "the storm
of the century"
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killed over 200 people.
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At its height,
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the storm stretched
thousands of kilometers
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from Honduras
in Central America,
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all the way to Canada.
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It resulted
in the loss of power
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to over 10 million households.
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The storm was so widespread
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that it affected
an estimated 40 percent
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of the American population.
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Even worse, in terms
of the number of casualties,
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was a blizzard
that struck Iran in 1972,
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where 4000 lives were lost
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when a shocking eight meters
of snow fell for over a week,
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making it
the deadliest blizzard
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to have occurred
anywhere in the world.
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Two towns
were completely buried
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with their entire
populations killed.
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So how exactly does
a destructive blizzard form?
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You need warm air moving in,
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and you need cold air
moving in.
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So specifically thinking about
the continental United States,
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you need low-pressure areas,
you need high winds,
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and you need cold mass of air
moving down south.
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The low pressures
are right the way
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across the Central Plains
of America.
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They’re very common.
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The supply of cold air?
From Canada principally.
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I mean, the prairies,
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but also maybe further north,
such as Greenland,
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and of course,
even the Arctic.
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The place that supplies
the cold air
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is often
the Canadian prairies.
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This flat, open region
doesn’t hold heat very well,
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and is completely snow-covered
in winter.
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It gets very little sun
during the short winter days,
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and because
it’s so far north,
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what little sunlight there is
comes in at a shallow angle
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and has little heating effect.
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The Rocky Mountains provide
a geographical feature
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that also plays
an important role.
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What happens
is if the jet stream
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actually moves over an obstacle
like the Rockies,
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there is a concept which we call
"conservation of vorticity."
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And vorticity is essentially
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a description
of how fast air rotates.
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And so if air moves
over a mountain range,
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or whatever obstacle,
it gets kind of squeezed.
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And when you squeeze air,
it’s a bit like an ice skater,
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air starts to swirl faster.
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And if it does that,
it starts to bend,
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and that bending happens in the
wake of the Rocky Mountains.
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This bending is literally
an expression
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of low-pressure activity.
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So that is not only
what we call a trough,
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which is like lower pressure
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and more active weather
in general,
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but it also provides
the conditions
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for smaller
low-pressure systems.
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And those that are associated
with blizzards to form.
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Blizzards are usually
associated in people’s minds
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with heavy,
fresh snowfall.
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00:10:54,680 --> 00:10:56,999
We’re getting off
a little bit early. Uh...
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Trying to beat the storm,
expecting 2 feet. So, uh...
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It’s a gorgeous day in New York.
No complaints.
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That’s it.
Work hard, play hard.
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But that is not the only way
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00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:09,919
that blizzards can occur.
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00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:12,999
In the Midwest
of the United States,
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ground blizzards can strike,
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and they require little
or no snowfall whatsoever.
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Ground blizzards occur when
ferocious winds whip up snow
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that is already on the ground.
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00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:28,919
Ground blizzards
pose such grave danger,
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because they happen
immediately after
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00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,799
unseasonably warm air temperatures.
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00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:38,279
This can give people
a false sense of security.
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00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,359
Despite the fact that
there is snow on the ground,
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00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:44,439
they may leave home
without proper winter clothing.
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00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:48,799
But this strangely warm
weather may not last long.
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If it is followed
by an Arctic cold front,
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00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:54,679
it can lead to a sudden drop
in temperature,
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00:11:54,680 --> 00:11:57,440
with winds gusting
up to 100 kilometers per hour.
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00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:04,239
Such strong winds will rapidly
stir up any snow on the ground
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leading to whiteout conditions.
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00:12:07,560 --> 00:12:10,039
These blizzards are so lethal
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00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:11,879
because of the cold air
temperatures
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00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:14,119
that follow behind
the Arctic front.
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00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:18,959
Anyone stranded in a car,
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00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:20,879
or forced to walk outside,
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00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:24,279
is at risk
of serious frostbite,
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00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:28,640
hypothermia or even death.
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00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:35,759
In the United States,
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00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:38,839
the winter of 2009 to 2010
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00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:42,200
was defined by snowstorms
of historic proportions.
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00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:50,199
Millions of Americans
battled with unusual cold,
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00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:53,599
flooding, mudslides
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00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:57,560
and blizzards
on an astonishing scale.
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00:12:59,560 --> 00:13:01,759
That winter saw snow
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00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,959
in each of the 48 continental
United States.
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00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:09,039
Not even the Florida Panhandle
escaped the icy grip.
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00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:12,720
But how did the cold weather
manage to reach so far south?
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00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,079
So we have
like a large-scale setup,
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00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,039
which is associated
with the jet stream.
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00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:23,239
So this is really the waviness
of the jet stream itself.
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00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:27,799
And in those cases where this
waviness is very amplified...
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00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:30,919
So, what happens
is that the cold air
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00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:34,559
can then drag down
all the way to the U.S.,
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00:13:34,560 --> 00:13:36,239
and even Florida.
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00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:40,039
And that’s a really huge
reserve of cold air
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00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,119
which is just dragged
down south.
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00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,759
And at the boundary
between this cold air
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00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:49,239
and the warm air
to the south of the jet,
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00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:53,599
there’s a lot of potential
to form these smaller cyclones,
251
00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,399
these smaller
low-pressure systems,
252
00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:59,039
and that’s the ones that are
then associated with blizzards.
253
00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,039
After the February storm,
254
00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:04,879
snow blanketed 68 percent
of the nation.
255
00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,799
It was the first time
many in the southern states
256
00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:09,799
had ever seen snow.
257
00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:13,479
The freezing cold extended
as far south as Miami,
258
00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:18,160
which had only ever reported
snow once before, in 1977.
259
00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:27,039
The winter season began with
a blizzard in the Midwest,
260
00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,119
beginning on the 7th of December
261
00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:30,639
and lasting three days.
262
00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:35,159
That blizzard caused
the entire state of Iowa
263
00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:37,359
to grind to a halt.
264
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:39,759
A second storm before Christmas
265
00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:42,599
deposited up to half a meter
of snow on the east coast,
266
00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:47,039
from North Carolina,
all the way up to Boston.
267
00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:49,239
Then over
the Christmas holidays,
268
00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,879
yet another snowstorm
spanned the Midwest,
269
00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:55,679
from Texas to North Dakota.
270
00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,639
December snowfall records
were set
271
00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:02,479
in many American cities,
including Oklahoma City,
272
00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,919
Philadelphia and Washington, D.C.
273
00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:08,320
But the worst
was still to come.
274
00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:12,079
Two blizzards
struck the mid-Atlantic,
275
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:16,079
back-to-back between
the 5th and 11th of February.
276
00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,919
Rated a major
category three storm
277
00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:21,279
on the Northeast Snow
Impact Scale,
278
00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:24,439
"Snowmageddon,"
as it became known,
279
00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:28,079
was the seventh worst blizzard
in U.S. history.
280
00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:32,639
Before the winter
of 2009 and 2010,
281
00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:36,039
you’d have been hard-pushed
to describe Washington, D.C.
282
00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:38,080
as a particularly snowy place.
283
00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:41,719
But all that was to change
284
00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:43,999
when ferociously cold wind
and snow
285
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,919
took hold
of the nation’s capital.
286
00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:49,799
The entire east coast
of America
287
00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:53,119
braced itself for the worst
that winter could throw at it.
288
00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:58,039
The extreme weather was
exceptionally well predicted.
289
00:15:58,040 --> 00:16:01,479
People got ready to dig in
and stocked up on essentials,
290
00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:03,959
though there were some
who waited too long
291
00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:05,800
and found
their grocery stores empty.
292
00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:12,399
So now imagine we can predict
a blizzard four days in advance,
293
00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:14,679
as opposed to
two days in advance.
294
00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:17,359
So really,
those extra two days,
295
00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:21,719
which is two decades of weather
forecast improvement,
296
00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:23,839
they really help.
297
00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,839
Not only the people
at the ground
298
00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:28,199
who have to plan
their holidays,
299
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,399
who have to plan
their businesses,
300
00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:33,439
but also the policymakers,
301
00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,439
the city managers,
to prepare.
302
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:38,239
For two days,
303
00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:41,599
on the 5th and 6th
of February, 2010,
304
00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,759
the capital was caught
in the vicious grip
305
00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:46,159
of a ferocious blizzard.
306
00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,879
High winds
and extraordinary snowfall
307
00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:52,919
continued across the region
308
00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,599
late on Friday evening
and Saturday.
309
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:59,199
It caused death and chaos,
310
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:00,719
with parts of the region
311
00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:02,640
buried under half
a meter of snow.
312
00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:09,839
Snowfall records were broken
at all three area airports,
313
00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:11,879
with Dulles Airport
in Washington
314
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,919
setting an astonishing
single snowstorm record
315
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,560
of 82 centimeters.
316
00:17:20,120 --> 00:17:21,919
At its brutal peak,
317
00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:24,919
the federal government
was closed for almost a week.
318
00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:29,200
And both Virginia and Maryland
declared a state of emergency.
319
00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:32,639
Snow was falling
across a swathe
320
00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,679
of the northeastern
United States,
321
00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,359
from Southern Indiana,
322
00:17:36,360 --> 00:17:39,159
eastward through Pennsylvania
to New York City,
323
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,519
and south
down the New Jersey coast,
324
00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:43,319
through Delaware to Washington.
325
00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,639
Authorities blamed the storm
326
00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,119
for hundreds of accidents
and deaths.
327
00:17:48,120 --> 00:17:51,799
Two hundred thousand people
were left without electricity
328
00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:54,479
due to downed power lines.
329
00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,399
Flights were canceled
330
00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:58,879
at the Washington-Baltimore
area’s three main airports,
331
00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:02,079
and at Philadelphia
International Airport,
332
00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,599
where a reported
68 centimeters of snow
333
00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,719
had fallen by 1 p.m.
334
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:11,399
Rail and bus services
were also suspended.
335
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:15,399
Delaware Governor Jack Markell
declared a state of emergency
336
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:19,639
and ordered all vehicles
off the roads by 10 p.m.
337
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:22,639
Because of the sheer quantity
of snow,
338
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:26,919
the clear-up after the storm
was an enormous challenge.
339
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,039
In addition to the normal
slow-going tasks
340
00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:31,559
of clearing streets,
rails, runways
341
00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:33,439
and pavements full of snow,
342
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:37,279
numerous trees and power lines
which had crashed to the ground
343
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:38,799
also had to be dealt with.
344
00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:42,599
Power was out
for about 200,000 people,
345
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:46,119
and it would be five days
before it returned for many.
346
00:18:46,120 --> 00:18:48,399
The sheer weight of snow
347
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:52,039
caused structural damage
to larger buildings.
348
00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:55,079
A hangar
at Dulles Airport collapsed,
349
00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:59,399
as did several churches and
fire stations across the area.
350
00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:01,359
Anything with a flat roof
351
00:19:01,360 --> 00:19:05,319
couldn’t stand up to the volume
of snow stacked on top of it.
352
00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:10,239
The D.C. Metro system and train
services were also badly hit.
353
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,599
All area airports remained down
for up to three days.
354
00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:18,799
There was an estimated
500,000 tons of snow to clear
355
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:20,559
in Virginia alone.
356
00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:22,639
In some locations,
357
00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,759
there was simply
nowhere left to put it.
358
00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:29,319
In many areas,
special construction equipment
359
00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,799
had to be brought in
to remove the snow.
360
00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,439
But for a few,
361
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:35,919
the crippling snow
362
00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:39,999
presented an opportunity
for winter sports.
363
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:43,159
Snowball fights cropped up
across parts of the city,
364
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:44,719
with perhaps
the largest being
365
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:49,199
a 2000-person melee
in Dupont Circle.
366
00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:50,919
In an average winter,
367
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:54,319
Washington receives
about 40 centimeters of snow.
368
00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:57,479
That amount fell
in less than 24 hours
369
00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:58,999
on two separate occasions.
370
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,119
It took days
before some residents
371
00:20:02,120 --> 00:20:04,519
were finally dug out
from the snowstorms.
372
00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,279
And that blizzard
came less than two months
373
00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,039
after the December storm
374
00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,199
which had dumped
over 40 centimeters of snow
375
00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,039
on the capital.
376
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,759
Snowfalls like that
were considered a rare event
377
00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:18,319
in the D.C. area.
378
00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:21,599
Now they had occurred
twice in one winter.
379
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,399
In fact, Washington, D.C.’s
380
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:27,959
final seasonal snowfall total
of 1.4 meters
381
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:29,959
beat the previous record,
382
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,719
which had stood since 1899.
383
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:36,839
But the winter was not over.
384
00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,479
After a brief respite,
385
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:41,399
the chaos of early February
386
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,719
was followed later in the month
by a two-day snowstorm,
387
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,080
that was as powerful
as a hurricane.
388
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:53,799
This time, it was New York City
that bore the brunt.
389
00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,319
The battering winds
and deep snow
390
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:59,199
forced schools
and public buildings to close,
391
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:01,879
and left more than
a million homes and businesses
392
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:03,000
without power.
393
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:07,719
The heavy snow forced
New York State Troopers
394
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,199
to close roads.
395
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:13,959
At JFK, LaGuardia
and Newark airports,
396
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:16,799
2300 flights were grounded
397
00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:20,319
as airlines posted
major delays.
398
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:25,239
That winter, Baltimore’s old
record of 1.5 meters,
399
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,319
set in the winter
of 1995 to ’96,
400
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:32,319
was obliterated
after nearly 2 meters fell
401
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,120
over the 2009 to 2010 season.
402
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,039
Ronald Reagan National Airport
in Washington, D.C.,
403
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:45,679
beat the record snowfall that
had stood for over 120 years.
404
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:50,679
The 2010 Snowmageddon:
really extreme climate event,
405
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:52,719
really extreme blizzard.
406
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:56,479
You have this body of cold air
over Greenland,
407
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:58,439
which started to move south.
408
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:03,039
You’ve got the jet stream
bringing in warmer,
409
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:06,159
wetter weather
from the eastern Pacific.
410
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:09,439
And when these
air bodies collided,
411
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:11,599
then, of course,
you started getting
412
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,079
these severe
blizzard conditions.
413
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,279
But there was another
powerful contributor
414
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,879
to this terrifying blizzard:
El Niño.
415
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:24,479
El Niño is a regular feature,
416
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:28,079
which occurs semi-cyclically
in the Pacific,
417
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:31,999
where you have
unusually warm surface water
418
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:33,599
in the Pacific forming.
419
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:37,399
The warm water
will create a moist, warm air,
420
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:41,239
which will move across
the western United States.
421
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:42,839
And then it will start to get
422
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,719
sort of sucked
into the low-pressure system.
423
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:48,559
Because it contains
so much water,
424
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,999
it has the potential then,
as it cools,
425
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:54,839
to drop a lot of snow
on the U.S.
426
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,879
as it meets the colder air
coming down from the north.
427
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:02,519
Although blizzards
are frequent events
428
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:03,799
in mountainous regions,
429
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:05,839
they rarely strike cities
430
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:09,839
on the scale they did
during Snowmageddon.
431
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:14,239
That was supposed to be
a once-in-a-lifetime event.
432
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:16,319
But in January 2015,
433
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:20,279
it looked as if it was going
to happen all over again.
434
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,679
Computer models,
run by different agencies
435
00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:25,039
in different countries,
436
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,159
were all saying
the same thing:
437
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:30,719
that the northeastern U.S.
was going to be in the grip
438
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,439
of a potentially
historic blizzard.
439
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:37,279
But unlike blizzards that’d
occurred a few decades ago,
440
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:39,759
which often struck
without warning,
441
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:44,039
this storm was forecast
seven days ahead of time.
442
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:48,759
Computer models have enormously
improved in recent years.
443
00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:53,999
They’re fed by satellite data,
and radar data,
444
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:55,679
so that they feed into models,
445
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,479
and they give
very good patterns,
446
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,919
which then people can use
these patterns to predict
447
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,839
what is likely to happen
to the weather system.
448
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:07,359
These models are allowing
people to, early on,
449
00:24:07,360 --> 00:24:11,519
try and make decisions about
what is likely to happen.
450
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,559
And of course, as a library
of knowledge has built up,
451
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:16,239
you have more confidence
452
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,639
in what you think the outcomes
are going to be,
453
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:20,919
of these emerging patterns
you see.
454
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,879
Every decade,
we can predict the weather
455
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,439
with one more day in advance.
456
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:32,439
This is an improvement which
really helps to save life.
457
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:36,559
And goes to show how important
this type of research is.
458
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,999
On the 20th to the 22nd
of January,
459
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:42,559
before the storm
had even occurred,
460
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,639
the governors of 11 states
461
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:46,839
and the mayor
of Washington, D.C.,
462
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,119
declared a state of emergency
in anticipation
463
00:24:50,120 --> 00:24:54,439
of significant snowfall
and blizzard conditions.
464
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:59,479
But why was this blizzard
expected to be so bad?
465
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,679
So the meteorological
indicators are,
466
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,719
again,
sort of the emerging,
467
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:05,759
intensifying of the low pressure,
468
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:09,279
especially as the jet stream
gets sucked into that,
469
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:12,599
and the move of high pressure
further south,
470
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:16,559
maybe bringing in cold air
into the southern latitudes,
471
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:18,039
more southerly latitudes.
472
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,319
A swirling vortex
473
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,839
off the east coast sent
huge amounts of snow inland,
474
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:27,199
driven by sometimes
hurricane force winds,
475
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:31,039
pelting Washington, D.C.,
Philadelphia
476
00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:36,639
and New York City with well
over half a meter of snow.
477
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,039
Based on satellite imagery,
478
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,439
the storm
was soaking up moisture
479
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:43,759
from as far south
as the Bahamas,
480
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:46,479
and as far east
as the Gulf Stream waters
481
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:48,279
of the Atlantic Ocean.
482
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,639
Up to 85 million people
483
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:54,239
were in the path
of this looming monster.
484
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:58,119
That meant that
one in every four Americans
485
00:25:58,120 --> 00:26:02,319
were impacted by a blizzard
or winter storm warning.
486
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:06,279
Ten eastern U.S. states,
as well as Washington, D.C.,
487
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,159
all declared
a state of emergency.
488
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:12,039
This allowed them
to tap into the resources
489
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:16,239
they would need to cope
with the impending disaster.
490
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,079
In Washington,
491
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,879
Mayor Muriel Bowser
spared no words
492
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,799
in a warning to residents.
493
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,239
She insisted
that the oncoming storm
494
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,039
had life-and-death
implications,
495
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:31,679
and advised everyone
not to drive, or even walk,
496
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,679
but instead take shelter
and stay off the roads.
497
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,359
When it finally arrived,
498
00:26:37,360 --> 00:26:40,919
the storm lived up
to expectations.
499
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,439
Tens of millions of people
from New York.
500
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:47,119
to the Appalachian Mountains
of Kentucky and West Virginia
501
00:26:47,120 --> 00:26:50,639
were caught in a deadly mix
of devastating winds
502
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,719
and vast amounts
of falling snow.
503
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:55,879
Dewey Beach in Delaware
504
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,279
and Langley Air Force Base
in Virginia
505
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,640
recorded winds of over
120 kilometers per hour.
506
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:05,319
Even in Georgia,
507
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:09,319
a state where winters
are usually unremarkable,
508
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:12,120
there was snowfall
of over 15 centimeters.
509
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,919
There were 48 deaths
related to the storm,
510
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:21,039
and thousands of homes
were left without power.
511
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,199
But in low-lying areas
along the coast,
512
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:28,719
they didn’t just have to deal
with record-breaking snowfall.
513
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,959
The hurricane-force winds
caused storm surges
514
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:35,599
that sent water
rushing in from the sea.
515
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:39,039
The New Jersey
and Delaware shorelines
516
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,759
were pounded
with by 6-meter waves,
517
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:46,039
and a storm surge
of up to 1.5 meters
518
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:49,440
sent water levels to all-time
highs in some locations.
519
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,119
As floodwaters turned streets
520
00:27:54,120 --> 00:27:56,719
on the Jersey Shore
into rivers,
521
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,839
residents were reminded
of the terrible days
522
00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:01,840
of Hurricane Sandy in 2012.
523
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:05,919
There were record
coastal flood levels
524
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:07,799
recorded at both Cape May,
525
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,719
the city and seaside resort
in New Jersey,
526
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:16,199
and Lewes, on the opposite side
of the Delaware Bay.
527
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:21,479
All along the coast,
the sea was invading the land.
528
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:23,119
At Dewey Beach,
529
00:28:23,120 --> 00:28:26,199
the hurricane-force winds
caused a surge
530
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,359
that washed huge swathes
of the shoreline out to sea.
531
00:28:30,360 --> 00:28:34,080
Four and a half meters of beach
were gouged out by the storm.
532
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:39,799
Further inland,
many people perished
533
00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:42,639
driving in the ferocious
conditions.
534
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,719
They were either caught out
by the storm
535
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,319
or had ignored the warnings
not to venture out.
536
00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:49,599
In Pennsylvania,
537
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,239
a passing snowplow
buried a car
538
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:56,639
in which a man then apparently
died of asphyxiation.
539
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:58,639
Some people made the mistake
540
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:01,999
of continuing to run
their engines to keep warm,
541
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,360
even though their exhausts
were blocked by snow...
542
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,319
allowing poisonous fumes
to enter the car.
543
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:12,079
Not even
the emergency services
544
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:15,359
were safe
from the shocking conditions.
545
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:17,039
For three cities,
546
00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:20,679
it was the biggest snowstorm
ever recorded.
547
00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:24,399
Baltimore,
a major seaport in Maryland,
548
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:27,559
saw 74 centimeters
of fresh snow.
549
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:30,039
While in Pennsylvania,
550
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:33,279
Allentown had to deal
with 80 centimeters.
551
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:37,439
But the place that got
more snow than anywhere
552
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:39,359
was in Shepherdstown,
553
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:43,239
a town overlooking the Potomac
River in West Virginia,
554
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:45,920
which was buried
in well over a meter of snow.
555
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:48,759
It was also the first time
556
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,879
that a single storm
dumped more than 60 centimeters
557
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,359
on New York City.
558
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:56,239
New Yorkers who went to bed
on Friday
559
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,159
expecting to wake up
to few inches of snow,
560
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,919
drew their curtains
on a raging blizzard.
561
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,239
It forced Mayor Bill de Blasio
562
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,239
to order a travel ban
on city streets,
563
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,079
something that hardly ever happens,
564
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:14,520
meaning that anyone caught
driving would be arrested.
565
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:18,799
All public amenities
were ordered to shut.
566
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:21,159
Broadway theaters went dark.
567
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,799
Restaurants closed.
568
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:25,919
Shops shuttered.
569
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,599
A deathly hush descended
570
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,480
on the most populous city
in the United States.
571
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:38,879
Nearly 13,000 flights
were canceled.
572
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:40,959
At the height of the blizzard,
573
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:44,000
a quarter of a million people
were without power.
574
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:50,279
The storm looked
so vicious from space
575
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:54,359
that NASA astronaut
Scott Kelly tweeted pictures
576
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:57,639
from the International
Space Station.
577
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:01,399
Finally, after battering
the towns and cities
578
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:05,279
of the east coast,
the storm swirled out to sea,
579
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:10,079
leaving behind huge
accumulations of snow and ice
580
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,399
all the way from Virginia
in the south
581
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:16,519
up to New York in the north.
582
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:20,759
The Weather Service recorded
that 68 centimeters of snow
583
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:24,120
had blanketed Central Park
in New York City.
584
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,519
Sunday was a day
of transition.
585
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:32,679
The blizzard
with zero visibility
586
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:36,119
gave way to a bright,
clear sky.
587
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,279
For officials and residents
588
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,039
who had hunkered down
for two days
589
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,879
of unrelenting
snow and wind,
590
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,279
it was time
to start the cleanup.
591
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:47,479
And for others who’d been
cooped up indoors
592
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:48,999
for two days,
593
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,879
it was a chance to enjoy
the fun side of winter.
594
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,239
But a day of enjoyment
for many
595
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:57,759
gave way to the start
of the working week,
596
00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,399
and the headache of commuting.
597
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,279
New York City,
where Mayor De Blasio
598
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,439
announced that schools
were to open,
599
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:08,879
faced the challenge of picking
up busloads of schoolchildren
600
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,639
in streets piled high
with snowdrifts.
601
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:14,919
In Washington, D.C.,
the Metro system,
602
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:17,759
for the most part,
was still shut.
603
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:21,519
Residents in some neighborhoods
in northwest D.C.
604
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:22,919
were effectively cut off
605
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,159
behind more than
half a meter of snow
606
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:28,239
on unplowed streets.
607
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:31,439
The leadership of
the House of Representatives,
608
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:33,239
scheduled to convene
on Monday,
609
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,159
said that no votes
would be held
610
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:37,879
in the week
following the blizzard.
611
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:39,559
In Maryland,
612
00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:42,399
where two major highways
had been closed to all traffic,
613
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,439
Mayor Larry Hogan
announced that the state
614
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:48,279
would ask for federal
disaster relief aid
615
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,599
and warned
that clearing the snow
616
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:52,000
would be
a long-haul project.
617
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,639
In Baltimore,
the mayor cautioned
618
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:57,479
that she could not
give an end date
619
00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,000
for when the streets
would be cleared.
620
00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:05,559
But as with many of Mother
Nature’s deadly disasters,
621
00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:10,400
there is often a benign side
to extreme weather events.
622
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:15,160
The snow provides
much-needed water.
623
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:18,919
During the winter of 2018,
624
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,839
blizzards and half a meter
of snow hit Moscow,
625
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:27,359
and was welcomed
by agricultural experts.
626
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:30,359
That’s because
a heavy blanket of snow
627
00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:33,439
is beneficial
for wheat crops.
628
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,759
It protects
the developing plant
629
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,320
from the harsh cold
of winter.
630
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:41,839
The extent
to which snow insulates
631
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:43,559
depends on its depth.
632
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:46,599
Temperatures underneath
a layer of snow
633
00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,999
increase by
about 1 degree Celsius
634
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:52,639
for each 2.5 centimeters depth
of snow.
635
00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:56,159
Because the soil
also gives off some heat,
636
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,399
the temperature
at the soil surface
637
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:02,479
can be much warmer
than the air temperature.
638
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,439
When growth of the wheat plants
restarts in spring,
639
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:09,599
the melting snow
is also a good source of water.
640
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:11,119
The end of winter
641
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,559
doesn’t necessarily
signal the end
642
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:17,079
of extreme
cold weather phenomena.
643
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,919
The early summer of 2013
644
00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:22,319
brought extreme weather
to Europe.
645
00:34:24,720 --> 00:34:26,159
In June,
there were floods,
646
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:28,279
followed by a heat wave,
647
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,040
as Central Europe experienced
soaring temperatures.
648
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:34,639
In late July,
649
00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:37,879
thermometers in the German city
of Rheinfelden
650
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,200
peaked at 38.6 degrees Celsius.
651
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:44,599
But, bizarrely,
652
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:46,839
the extreme heat
brought with it
653
00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:50,519
a swathe of destruction
caused by hailstones,
654
00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:53,479
and on an unprecedented scale.
655
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:57,640
Ice balls cannoned down
on an area of central Germany.
656
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:00,959
These monster hailstones
657
00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:05,159
measured in
at up to 12 centimeters.
658
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,719
They caused 2.8 billion euros’
worth of damage.
659
00:35:08,720 --> 00:35:12,759
The most devastating hailstone
event in Germany’s history,
660
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:17,719
and the world’s biggest
insurance loss of 2013.
661
00:35:17,720 --> 00:35:21,480
So how does ice do that much
damage in the summer months?
662
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:25,520
In fact,
how does the ice form at all?
663
00:35:26,720 --> 00:35:28,639
On a hot summer’s day,
664
00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:30,999
the ground will be warmed
by the sun,
665
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:34,879
and any moisture will evaporate
into the air above it.
666
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:36,959
This air will be warm.
667
00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:39,959
And so as it rises
into the cooler atmosphere,
668
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,599
the moisture will condense
and form clouds,
669
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:46,719
creating thunderstorms.
670
00:35:46,720 --> 00:35:52,039
We’ve all seen these huge,
towering cumulonimbus clouds,
671
00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:54,399
10 to 15 kilometers high.
672
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:56,559
And they have a huge updraft.
673
00:35:56,560 --> 00:36:00,719
These updrafts
suck water droplets
674
00:36:00,720 --> 00:36:02,959
through the freezing zone.
675
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:07,639
At this point, the water
droplet starts to supercool.
676
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:12,239
And then to become ice,
and then start to accrete more,
677
00:36:12,240 --> 00:36:13,639
and more ice to it.
678
00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:16,599
They sort of grow
a bit like an onion,
679
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:17,839
in layers,
680
00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:22,199
and eventually,
once it becomes so heavy
681
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:24,799
that the updraft
can no longer support it,
682
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:28,039
it then comes crashing down
to Earth.
683
00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,239
Some hailstones
can be very heavy.
684
00:36:30,240 --> 00:36:32,839
They can be moving
at very high speeds,
685
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:36,679
over 170 kilometers per hour
when they impact the Earth.
686
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:40,519
Hailstones are measured
according to their diameter.
687
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:43,079
But it is easier
to estimate its size
688
00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:45,559
by comparing it
to everyday items.
689
00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,759
To date, the largest hailstone
recorded in the U.S.
690
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:54,239
fell in Vivian, South Dakota
on the 23rd of July, 2010.
691
00:36:54,240 --> 00:36:57,319
The largest hailstone
recorded in the U.S.
692
00:36:57,320 --> 00:37:00,519
was 20 centimeters in diameter,
693
00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:02,479
weighing about
sort of 900 grams.
694
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:06,479
So you know,
quite a sizable chunk of ice.
695
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:10,199
That’s an officially recorded
hailstone of that size.
696
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:12,839
And if that
doesn’t terrify you,
697
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:14,799
then imagine it hitting
the ground
698
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:17,439
at 170 kilometers per hour.
699
00:37:19,840 --> 00:37:21,719
The heaviest hailstone
ever measured
700
00:37:21,720 --> 00:37:24,479
is thought to be one
in Bangladesh,
701
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:27,359
over a kilogram in weight.
702
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:31,879
It occurred during a hailstorm
in 1986, I think it was.
703
00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:35,440
And that hailstorm actually
killed over 90 people.
704
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:37,879
Luckily,
705
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,039
the hailstones
that fell on Germany
706
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:42,239
were not of
those proportions,
707
00:37:42,240 --> 00:37:44,879
and although they caused
a huge amount of damage,
708
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:48,160
thankfully,
no one was killed.
709
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:54,279
But Germany is no stranger
to extreme winter weather,
710
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,919
each and every year
people are killed in blizzards,
711
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:00,479
usually in the German Alps.
712
00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:03,919
On Sunday,
the 13th of July, 2008,
713
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:07,839
a summer blizzard caused
tragedy in the Bavarian Alps,
714
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:11,719
where 550 people taking part
in a mountain run
715
00:38:11,720 --> 00:38:14,719
were caught out
by a freak blizzard.
716
00:38:14,720 --> 00:38:18,759
Competitors were running up
the slopes of the Zugspitze,
717
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:20,519
Germany’s highest peak.
718
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,919
Many were dressed
only in shorts and T-shirts
719
00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:28,399
when the temperature suddenly
plummeted to below freezing.
720
00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:31,439
With winds gusting
at 80 kilometers per hour,
721
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:35,079
the windchill and low
visibility from driving snow
722
00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:39,359
had turned a picturesque
mountain into a disaster zone.
723
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,839
The first distress call
724
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:44,319
reached mountain rescue
in the valley bellow
725
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:46,079
just before midday.
726
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:49,359
But for two men,
help arrived too late.
727
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:51,279
They sadly died,
728
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,840
while a further six people
were taken to hospital.
729
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:00,959
But it isn’t only
in Germany’s mountains
730
00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:03,039
that blizzards can kill.
731
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:07,079
On the 16th and 17th
of December, 2010,
732
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:10,599
much of Germany was paralyzed
in the grip of a winter storm
733
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:12,919
that claimed the lives
of three people,
734
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:14,759
caused hundreds of accidents,
735
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:18,280
and left thousands stranded
in perilous conditions.
736
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:22,319
A colossal winter storm system
737
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:24,359
came in hard and fast,
738
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,239
catching many people
by surprise.
739
00:39:27,240 --> 00:39:29,839
As temperatures
were sent plummeting
740
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:31,999
to minus-12 degrees Celsius,
741
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:36,079
30 centimeters of snow
fell in a matter of hours,
742
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,639
bringing chaos
not usually seen
743
00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:40,879
in that part of the world.
744
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:45,039
Frankfurt Airport,
Europe’s second largest hub,
745
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:47,839
was forced to close
while emergency services
746
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,999
battled to clear
its snowbound runways.
747
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,759
One thousand passengers
were stranded
748
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,480
in the terminal
building overnight.
749
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:00,279
There was chaos for drivers,
750
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:04,759
with most of Germany’s road
network in gridlock.
751
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:08,039
At the German-French border
near Freiburg,
752
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:10,319
hundreds of lorries
were stuck for hours,
753
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:11,839
when French authorities
754
00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:14,319
closed the motorways
due to heavy snow.
755
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:16,719
The Red Cross
handed out blankets
756
00:40:16,720 --> 00:40:18,639
and hot soup to the drivers.
757
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:23,719
In North Rhine-Westphalia,
Germany’s most populous state,
758
00:40:23,720 --> 00:40:29,079
traffic congestion extended
for more than 185 kilometers.
759
00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:31,719
Two hundred and fifty-one
accidents occurred
760
00:40:31,720 --> 00:40:33,839
as a result
of the winter storm,
761
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:35,960
injuring 19 people.
762
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:42,639
But, seven years later,
763
00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:46,519
it wasn’t only Germany that
felt the icy blast of winter.
764
00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:50,919
It was the entire continent
of Europe.
765
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:55,679
Winds which became known
as "The Beast from the East"
766
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:58,879
transported freezing
temperatures and blizzards
767
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:01,639
from Russia into Germany,
768
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:04,479
France and the U.K.
769
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:08,919
It was warmer in the North Pole
than it was in much of Europe,
770
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:12,639
as both the north Pacific
and north Atlantic Oceans
771
00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:16,079
fed milder air into the Arctic.
772
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:18,319
In February 2018,
773
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:23,119
the so-called "Beast
from the East" hit Europe.
774
00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:27,239
And what did happen in that case
is that in mid-February,
775
00:41:27,240 --> 00:41:31,839
a really cold air reserve
started to form in Siberia,
776
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,839
which isn’t uncommon
for that time of the year.
777
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:38,559
And then, opposite to what
you would usually expect,
778
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:40,799
when the circulation
779
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:44,879
essentially pushes the air
from west to east,
780
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:48,399
in that case, the cold air
slowly moved to the west,
781
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:52,639
and started to impact Europe
more and more.
782
00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:58,799
And ended up as a pretty severe
late winter cold event,
783
00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:01,759
which hit
almost all of Europe.
784
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,359
The physics of what causes
these sorts of storms
785
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:08,359
is that you have what’s called
a polar vortex,
786
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:12,039
which is a vortex of--
Of low pressure,
787
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:14,239
which is sitting
over the Arctic.
788
00:42:14,240 --> 00:42:18,279
In a sense, sort of containing
the cold air.
789
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:22,439
But as that vortex weakens,
it will split.
790
00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:24,679
It can split into two,
quite typically.
791
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:27,399
One over Greenland and Canada.
792
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:29,959
One over Siberia.
793
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:33,039
And, actually,
if the vortex weakens further,
794
00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,559
it will split into even more.
795
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:37,079
And, actually,
that will start to push
796
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:40,599
the jet stream
further south.
797
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:42,679
And actually then,
the cold air
798
00:42:42,680 --> 00:42:45,159
will move down
into lower latitudes.
799
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:49,279
So this is what was happening
with the "Beast from the East,"
800
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:50,759
and at the same time,
you’re having--
801
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,519
For the United Kingdom
and Europe.
802
00:42:53,520 --> 00:42:56,919
you’re having a warmer air
moving in from the southwest,
803
00:42:56,920 --> 00:43:02,599
meeting this colder air coming,
as this polar vortex weakened.
804
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:04,319
And you have these cold fronts
805
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:07,200
moving in
from continental Europe.
806
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:14,599
Much of Europe
was blanketed in snow,
807
00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:17,719
as icy conditions
spread as far south
808
00:43:17,720 --> 00:43:19,519
as the Mediterranean coast,
809
00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:22,839
carrying freezing winds
and accompanying blizzards
810
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:24,080
across the continent.
811
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:30,520
Temperatures plummeted as low
as minus-30 degrees Celsius.
812
00:43:39,600 --> 00:43:41,239
Many in the Netherlands
813
00:43:41,240 --> 00:43:43,599
referred to the uncommonly
cold weather
814
00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:45,960
as the "Siberian Bear."
815
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:49,799
Not even countries
816
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,519
in the normally mild
south of the continent
817
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:55,279
were spared
blizzard conditions.
818
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:57,039
The monster freeze
819
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,999
brought unheard-of snowfalls
to parts of Spain,
820
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:05,960
as well as the Mediterranean
islands of Corsica and Capri.
821
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:10,039
In Rome’s St. Peter’s Square,
822
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,839
priests and seminarians
from the Vatican
823
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:16,199
threw snowballs
at each other.
824
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:18,199
And near the Colosseum,
825
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,840
students could be seen skiing
down the historic Oppian Hill.
826
00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:44,039
Snowfall covered
the northern Italian cities
827
00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:46,559
of Venice, Milan,
828
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:50,119
Turin and Florence,
829
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:53,160
and reached as far south
as Naples.
830
00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:58,839
In Ireland and Scotland,
831
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,279
the highest red weather
warning alerts
832
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:04,079
of "a risk to life"
were issued,
833
00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:06,760
and people were told
to stay at home.
834
00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:11,399
Up to 40 centimeters
of snow fell
835
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:13,639
in higher areas
of Scotland,
836
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:15,239
and hundreds of vehicles
837
00:45:15,240 --> 00:45:18,359
were stuck on a Scottish
road overnight,
838
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:21,040
stranding some motorists
for 18 hours.
839
00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:27,199
England experienced blizzards
840
00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:30,160
and some of the coldest
temperatures for three decades.
841
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:36,039
Hundreds of schools
were closed,
842
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:39,039
and there were delays
on roads, railways,
843
00:45:39,040 --> 00:45:41,119
and at airports.
844
00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:45,039
Even Switzerland, a country
well used to blizzards,
845
00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:48,079
was taken aback
by the sheer volume of snow
846
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:50,119
and the freezing temperatures.
847
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:54,639
The airport in Geneva
was forced to close.
848
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:57,599
Temperatures dropped
to minus-20 degrees Celsius
849
00:45:57,600 --> 00:45:59,359
in some parts of Germany,
850
00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:03,039
while the Zugspitze,
the country’s highest peak,
851
00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:05,719
was gripped
in a record-breaking low
852
00:46:05,720 --> 00:46:08,879
of minus-30.4 degrees Celsius.
853
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:11,959
In the Black Forest region
of southern Germany,
854
00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:16,800
the 97-meter-high Todtnau
Waterfall was frozen solid.
855
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:23,199
In the end, the most important
part of risk
856
00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:24,599
is actually not the hazard.
857
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:29,679
And I think that we are
addressing vulnerability
858
00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:31,799
in two ways:
on the one hand,
859
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:34,639
we can be far better informed
and forewarned
860
00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:38,039
about blizzards
through the increase of science,
861
00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:40,759
satellite observation
radar.
862
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:43,039
But also, I think, you know,
the understanding
863
00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:45,359
of the importance
of vulnerability
864
00:46:45,360 --> 00:46:50,439
means that we’re looking
at how we build social capital.
865
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:52,239
Who are the vulnerable people,
866
00:46:52,240 --> 00:46:56,319
and how can we help
in extreme events?
867
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:58,199
Many people ask,
868
00:46:58,200 --> 00:47:00,399
"What’s the role
of climate change?"
869
00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:03,919
So do, like, these winter storms
870
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:07,039
become even more frequent
in the future?
871
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:08,839
Which is counterintuitive, right?
872
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:14,319
So there are a couple
of suggestions and discussions
873
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:17,239
in the research community
that do, indeed,
874
00:47:17,240 --> 00:47:22,159
link to an increased frequency
of these kind of storms,
875
00:47:22,160 --> 00:47:24,559
especially, like, snowstorms.
876
00:47:24,560 --> 00:47:26,039
And there’s a couple reasons
for that.
877
00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:29,119
First of all,
if you do have a snowstorm
878
00:47:29,120 --> 00:47:30,599
in a warmed-up world--
879
00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:33,119
A world that is 1, 2
or 3 degrees warmer.
880
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:35,719
you tend to have
more moisture supply.
881
00:47:35,720 --> 00:47:40,599
It doesn’t matter
whether it is winter or summer,
882
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:45,319
whether there is super frozen
water in the high atmosphere,
883
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:47,959
or winds
and freezing temperatures
884
00:47:47,960 --> 00:47:50,239
at the ground level.
885
00:47:50,240 --> 00:47:54,680
Blizzards can occur
in any number of scenarios.
886
00:47:56,400 --> 00:48:00,239
Mother Nature
has proven to us yet again
887
00:48:00,240 --> 00:48:03,639
the chilling
and unexpected ways
888
00:48:03,640 --> 00:48:06,279
she can twist the elements
to bring us...
889
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:08,959
Deadly Disasters.
75564
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