Original subtitles

(upbeat music)

- Scientific prediction has nothing to do with horoscopes

or crystal balls.

(professor clears throat)

Scientific prediction has everything to do with this.

(chat screeching)

- A picture of a hill?

- No, Stewart, this is a bell curve

or should I say the bell curve?

And it was a mathematical epiphany in its day.

In the mid 19th century, scientists noticed

that when they measured large samples of various things

the results tended to cluster around an average.

And when plotted on a graph took the shape of a bell.

For example, you're probably wondering

why I've had you change seats today.

Now would everyone please stand up?

(upbeat music)

Class height is an example

of something we can measure using a bell curve.

- Oh, great.

- Now, although many of you are still growing,

most of you fit

into what is called a normal distribution, height-wise.

But at the far edges of the bell curve,

we have we abnormally tall

and a typically short.

No offense to either of you.

- Oh, none taken.

- Imagine how exciting it must have been

for those early scientists to realize

that one simple shape can be used to describe almost any set

of data from population growth

to the average length of a lima bean, even CD sales,

which you should be working on after class.

(bell rings)

(upbeat music)

- How are things going at the Children's Literacy Center?

- It's really kind of fun helping kids read.

And if you ever need a close book recitation

of the "Velveteen Rabbit," I'm your girl.

How's project keep Holsey Green?

- Awesome, I've managed to preserve an endangered species

of swamp gloves worm.

- That's great, I think.

- Yeah, bet Durst is thrilled.

(upbeat music)

- Somehow I don't think Durst will be as thrilled

by you creating a Magnet 360 promo package

instead of fulfilling

your community service requirement, Marshall.

- Please don't get started on Durst.

I can't believe she's making me write an essay

for the stupid Holsey Howler School bulletin.

Nobody even reads it.

- I do.

- And you're the only one.

- Marshall, We all have to fulfill

our mandatory community service.

You just keep on putting yours off.

- Hey, I'm as much for community service as the next guy

but I should be able to spend my free time

doing whatever I want.

(upbeat music)

Hey, Lucas, east your eyes on this baby.

- Great, did you finish the essay?

- I haven't started.

- Didn't Durst ask you for 1500 words

on the Blake Holsey of tomorrow?

- I need something easy.

Horoscopes are easy.

- I think she meant like ways to improve the future

of our school.

- Yeah, well, she's gonna get some predictions

for the future of some of Blake Holsey's finest students

because that's all I have time for.

Okay, let's see.

Tomorrow, it is likely that a math whiz

will have an off day.

A skater girl will take an unexpected trip.

A football star will save the day.

Conspiracy free gains unexpected rewards

from a surprising source.

A wise leader who meet an old friend.

And for the grand finale, the Holsey Howler predicts

a member of the science club will diet.

(air whooshing)

save, send, and bed.

(somber music)

(electric sizzling)

(somber music)

- Okay, so my mom drops me at this boarding school

and I'm thinking it's like all the other places I've gone.

(rock music)

Students,

(rock music)

teachers, principal, like normal schools, but it's not.

Weird stuff happens here.

Really weird stuff.

And what's this guy doing here?

Is his floating sphere the key to the mystery?

Something's going on and someone's behind it

and we are gonna get to the bottom of it.

(rock music)

- There's nothing wrong at Blake Holsey High.

(rock music)

(upbeat music)

- Okay, so I'll have it to you today.

(laughs) Absolutely.

Oh, you will.

Listen, Magnet 360 is the only band you need to hear.

Don't worry about booking time with anybody else.

We rock.

All right, all right, thanks a lot.

I'll let...

(upbeat music)

I'll call you tonight.

(upbeat music)

What happened to you?

- My alarm clock didn't go off and I guess I slept in.

I had no time to get ready

and I went to the wrong class twice.

I'm having the worst day.

- Guys, you'll never guess what,

my mom just called,

and we're going on a trip to Europe for the summer.

- You and your mom will finally get to spend time

with each other.

That's great, Josie.

- What happened to you?

- It is a long story.

- Dad, sorry, can you say that again?

- Guess what I just caught?

- No way.

- That's right.

The tag bass in the annual tournament.

And I couldn't have done it

without that great new fly you designed.

- That's great, dad, thanks a lot.

Okay, bye.

My dad just won $5,000

in a fishing tournament and he's giving me half.

? I'm rich ?

? I'm rich ?

And it's all thanks to your column in the Howler.

Even though Durst is gonna kill you when she sees it.

- What are you talking about?

- Here, it says right here a conspiracy freak

gains unexpected rewards from a surprising source.

That's gotta be me.

- You don't really believe

Marshall predicted this, do you?

- Normally, no, but look what it says about you.

- A skater girl will take an unexpected trip.

What does yours say?

- So, you give everybody out something good

and you give me the crappies day of my life, thanks a lot.

- What are you talking about?

- It's right there in your stupid column.

- (chuckles) You can't be serious.

I made all this stuff up.

- [Durst] Marshall Wheeler,

come to the principal's office immediately.

- Oh, man, now what?

We got CDs to get out.

(air whooshing)

- Not only did you flagrantly flap the rules

regarding community service

by writing a frivolous prediction column

but you've also written terrible things

about your own friends.

I'm not even sure which punishment

fits this crime. (phone rings)

Hello?

Marvin, Lip Shirts.

How long has it been?

(Durst laughs)

I'd love to get together with...

Oh. (laughs)

(Marshall clears throat)

(clears throat) Can you hold on a moment, please?

We'll continue this later, Mr. Wheeler

when I've decided just what I'm going to do with you.

- Principal Durst, is that by any chance

an old friend of yours on the phone?

- I'm not sure that it's any of your business, Mr. Wheeler,

but yes it is, why?

- No reason.

(ethereal music)

(door bangs)

- So, Marvin.

(ethereal music)

- Now what?

- This isn't funny, Marshall.

- Why did you write that one of us will die?

- What?

- It says right there.

You wrote, a member of the science club will die.

- Okay, look, I'll admit I may have been a little careless

about the stupid assignment,

and I'm sorry that I gave you an off day,

but I wrote that a member of the science club will diet.

I did not write about anybody dying.

- Did it ever occur to you to check your work?

- No, mom, it didn't.

It's just a dumb typo.

- Come on, Stu.

(ethereal music)

(air whooshing)

Josie, look out.

(air whooshing)

(metal clicks) (Josie gasps)

(footstep approaching)

Whoa, Stu, a regular wrecking machine today.

Stu only took my head off with the shot put

a couple minutes ago, you guys okay?

- Barely.

- Anyone's seen my javelin.

- What?

- It's a long metal thing with the--

- Yeah, I know what it is.

You just about killed us with it.

- Oh, (panting) sorry.

- Try working on your aim.

Will you, Stu?

- That was no typo, Marshall

- An inch either way.

And Lucas and I would've been shish kebab.

- If it hadn't been for Vaughn's warning,

which you predicted.

A football star will save the day.

Vaughn's our starting quarterback.

- Look, it's not my fault

if the predictions are coming true.

- I think we better go talk to Z.

- Frankly, while horoscopes have a funny way

of sometimes seeming to come true.

In this instance, I think you're jumping

to some pretty untenable conclusions.

- Then how would you explain it?

- Very easily.

Even a girl as well organized

as Corrine has to have an off day sometime.

And Josie, your mother's been wanting to spend time

with you for a long time now.

So planning a trip on your summer vacation

actually seems more probable than improbable.

And an old friend calling principal Durst

isn't actually cause for alarm.

- And what about my dad catching the fish?

- Well, if all the fishermen were equally skilled

and equipped, your father had one in X chances

of catching the tagged fish.

How many fishermen took part in the competition?

- About 500.

- Okay, so your father had about one in 500 chances

of winning the prize.

Not exactly great odds, but not impossible,

especially given the advantage

of having one of your patented lures.

- But what about the javelin

that nearly skewer Josie and Lucas?

- Okay, okay, I can see how that would've shaken you up.

But while it is certainly at the outer edge

of the bell curve that a track and field champion

like Stewart Kubiak would miss his target area

by such a wide margin,

it's much more likely a freak accident

than proof that Marshall is psychic.

Further, the chances of anything like that near miss

happening to Josie and Lucas again are minuscule

and certainly not proof

that any of you are marked for death.

And I'm sorry, without further proof to the contrary

the facts simply do not support your hypothesis.

- Well, that's a relief.

- So I just suggest you all take a deep breath, relax

and try to carry on about your day as you normally would,

and remember to think like scientists.

- I guess we did overreact a bit.

Sorry, Marshall.

(air whooshing)

- Man.

(paper rustling)

This wasn't inverted last night.

(somber music)

Oh, no.

See Sabra at the outer edge of the bell curve, which means--

(somber music)

(footsteps thudding)

Corrine, the bell curve is...

(Corrine gasps)

- [Josie] Look out Corrine! (Corrine screams)

(somber music)

- Corrine! (Corrine screams)

(somber music)

(footsteps approaching)

(somber music)

- Are you okay?

- I guess.

- Another freak accident.

(somber music)

- I think you all should see this.

- It's a bell curve, so?

- Look again, Lucas, it's a completely inverted bell curve.

This is the one Z distributed yesterday in class.

It was normal last night

before I started writing my predictions.

- That inverted curve means the least likely events

that have the greatest likelihood of happening.

- We should warn Vaughn.

- Wait, he said Stu almost took his head off

with his shot put remember?

- Just like that javelin nearly got you guys

and I nearly fell.

- So since Marshall's predictions have started coming true

we've all had some kind of near death experience.

- Except Marshall.

- What?

So you're saying I'm next.

- You mean, because you, Vaughn, Lucas and I

have all had some kind of near death experience,

the odds of any of us having another one

are virtually inconceivable.

- Well, we've beaten the odds

of this inverted bell curve universe we seem to be in.

Only Marshall hasn't.

- What if I don't make it?

(somber music)

- I've run up and down those stairs 1,000 times

and never tripped once.

Kubiak is a six time gold medal winner,

but somehow he lost control of that javelin.

And you still don't think

there's even a slightly higher probability

that Marshall could be in danger?

- Especially if you add in one big variable

called the Black Hole.

- Yes, I'd have to say that's possible.

- What?

Even you believe it?

- I'm afraid the pendulum

of observable evidence has now swung

in support of that hypothesis.

- This cannot be happening.

I wrote a few stupid predictions and now I have to die.

- No, of course not.

There are always variables that can change the outcome

of an event like having your friends to look out for you.

However, need I point out to you

that it was your careless handling of Durst's assignment

that seems to be the trigger

that set these events in motion.

- I was just looking for an easy solution.

Now I give anything to have another chance

to do that assignment.

- I guess there's no such thing as an easy solution.

- Yeah, I know.

- In the meantime, we should all get to science class.

Marshall should be safe there until we can figure out

how to turn the odds in his favor.

(air whooshing)

- If I could just get through this day

I will never put the band ahead of schoolwork, I promise.

- We're holding you to it.

- Now let's get you to the science room

where it's at least safer.

- Mr. Wheeler, I think it's time

you and I finished our little chat.

(somber music)

Off we go now.

(upbeat music)

While some of your predictions

may have been surprisingly even pleasantly accurate,

(chuckles) that still does not excuse your behavior.

I mean writing that a member of the science club will die,

is that a joke?

- No, of course not.

It was just a mistake.

- You say mistake, I say carelessness.

And what do you think the punishment should be

for that kind of carelessness?

(air blowing)

- So let's be a little more careful

with the discus, all right, Stu?

(indistinct chattering)

(whistle blows)

(air whooshing)

(glass breaks)

(electric sizzling) - Marshall, look out.

(fan thuds)

- Oh, Mr. Wheeler, you, I was, we were nearly killed.

(Marshall laughs)

Are you alright?

- The emphasis is on nearly Principal Durst.

I'm safe, I'm safe,

I'm safe, I'm safe, I'm safe. (door bangs)

- (clears throat) Can I please have my discus back,

Principal Durst.

(somber music)

Guess what?

Durst and I were nearly killed.

- That's fantastic.

- Sweet. - Awesome.

- Is Durst all right?

- Oh, yeah, otherwise, no scratch.

- That's great, Marshall.

Congratulations on beating the odds.

(somber music)

(ethereal music)

- You guys should have seen it.

Kawoosh, the discus took out the fan motor.

(somber music)

- Look.

- Marshall, isn't Z--

- Z a member of the science club?

Technically, yes.

- [All] Z's a member of the science club.

- Professor Z, get out of the way.

- Oh, I will have a good ride, thank you, Marshall.

- He can't hear us.

- Professor Z, look out. - [Josie] Professor Z,

get out of the way.

- Get out of there now. - [Corrine] Professor Z,

look out, move! - [Lucas] Move!

(both grunt) (statue thuds)

- Marshall, promise me you will never

ever read another prediction as long as you live.

- Done.

- Good.

(somber music)

Thank you for saving my life.

Now, get off me.

(both grunts)

(somber music)

- [Josie] Having a better day today, Corrine?

- [Corrine] Yes.

- Here's a prediction,

you'll spend the rest of the month

making it up to your friends for nearly killing them.

(somber music)

- That's very funny, Lucas.

(somber music)

But I want you guys to know

that as important as the band is to me,

from now on, I'm putting school assignments first.

- So what happens with your community service?

- I still have to do it

but I volunteered to tutor students in science

rather than wait around for something to be forced on me.

- Mr. Wheeler, that trash will not collect itself.

- Looks like Durst had some of her own ideas

for your community service.

- Yep.

(Josie chuckles)

She sure did.

(paper rustling)

(air whooshing)

(ethereal music)

- Marshall Wheeler, dabbling in predictions of the future.

Bad idea.

People shouldn't know too much about where they're headed.

(paper rustling)

(rock music)

? Oh, oh, oh ?

? Oh, yeah. ?

? Oh, oh, oh ?

? Oh, yeah. ?

? Oh, oh, oh ?

? Oh, yeah. ?

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