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Must we die?
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Are there beings in the
cosmos who live forever,
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afloat on an endless journey
down the river of time?
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Our ancestors marked the passage of time
by the moon and stars.
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But it was the people who once lived here,
around 5,000 years ago, who first started
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chopping up time into smaller,
bite-sized portions of hours and minutes.
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They call this place Uruk.
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We call it Iraq.
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It's a part of Mesopotamia.
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The land between the Tigris and Euphrates
rivers.
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The city was invented here,
and one of humanity's greatest
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victories was won in the
ceaseless battle against time.
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It was here that we learned how to write.
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Death could no longer silence us,
and writing gave us the power to reach
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across the millennia and speak inside the
heads of the living.
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No one had ever spoken across a longer
stretch of time's river than this city.
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This city was the birthplace of Akkadian
princess, daughter of the first emperor in
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history, and priestess of the moon,
Enheduanna.
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For not only did she write
poetry, but Enheduanna
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did something no one
before her had ever done.
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She signed her name to her work.
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She's the first person for whom we can say
we know who she was, and what she dreamed.
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She dreamt of stepping through the gate of
wonder.
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Here's a thought Enheduanna sent across
more than 4,000 years.
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It was a dream.
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It's from her work entitled, Lady of the
Largest Heart.
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Enheduanna, the planet
Venus, goddess of love, will
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have a great destiny
throughout the entire universe.
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And Uruk is also the
place where the epic tale
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of the hero's journey
was first written down.
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Before Batman, Luke Skywalker,
Odysseus.
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Before Superman, Luke Skywalker,
Odysseus.
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Before them all, there was
a man named Gilgamesh,
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who left home on a
quest to vanquish time.
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Gilgamesh was searching for immortality.
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He looked everywhere, gained complete
wisdom, uncovered what was hidden.
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He brought back a tale of times before the
great flood.
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He built the wall of Uruk, which no future
king will ever match.
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Read the story of that man, Gilgamesh.
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A hero born of Uruk, who went through all
kinds of sufferings.
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Who crossed the ocean, the broad seas,
as far as the sunrise.
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Who inspected the edges of the world,
searching for eternal life.
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On his travels, Gilgamesh encountered a
wise man named Ut-Nan-Pishtim,
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who told him the story of a flood that
destroyed the world.
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And how one of the gods
instructed Ut-Nan-Pishtim to
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build an ark to rescue
his family and the animals.
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The earliest surviving account of the
flood legend was written down in
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Mesopotamia, a thousand
years before it was
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retold as the story of
Noah in the Old Testament.
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So you could say Gilgamesh fulfilled his
quest for immortality.
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We still read the epic of Gilgamesh,
and with every reader, he lives again.
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00:06:08,570 --> 00:06:11,930
And all those heroes and superheroes who
have come since...
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follow in the footsteps of the first
hero's journey.
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Another kind of immortality.
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00:06:18,370 --> 00:06:22,830
A story sent from one civilization to
another across thousands of years.
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00:06:23,970 --> 00:06:28,870
But life itself sends its own stories
across billions of years.
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It's a message that every one of us
carries inside.
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Inscribed in all the cells of our bodies.
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In a language that all life on Earth can
read.
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The genetic code is written in an alphabet
consisting of only four letters.
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Each letter is a molecule made of atoms.
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Each word is three letters long.
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Every living thing is a masterpiece.
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Written by nature and edited by evolution.
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The instructions for running and
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reproducing the
intricate machinery of life.
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00:07:03,970 --> 00:07:06,578
The essential message
of life has been copied
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00:07:06,579 --> 00:07:09,531
and recopied for more
than three billion years.
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But where did that message come from?
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Nobody knows.
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Perhaps it began in a shallow,
sunlit pool just like this.
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Somehow, carbon-rich molecules began using
energy to make crude copies of themselves.
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Some varieties were better at making
copies and left more offspring.
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The competing molecules became more
elaborate.
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Evolution and life itself was underway.
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Or life could have started somewhere else.
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We started in the searing heat of a
volcanic vent on the deep sea floor.
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Or is it possible that life came to Earth
as a hitchhiker?
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Let me tell you a story about a traveler
from another world.
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The peace of the Egyptian
village of Nakhla near Alexandria
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was abruptly shattered
on a June morning in 1911.
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Written in this meteorite was a message
from another planet.
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But 70 years would pass before anyone
could read it.
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In 1976, NASA landed two Viking spacecraft
on Mars.
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Carl Sagan took us there on our original
journey.
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We found that the Martian
air was less than 1% as
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dense as ours and made
mostly of carbon dioxide.
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There were smaller amounts of nitrogen,
argon, water vapor, and oxygen.
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00:09:07,890 --> 00:09:12,770
A few years later, when scientists thought
to analyze the gases trapped inside the
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Nakhla meteorite and other members of its
class, they found a striking similarity.
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The vast majority of meteorites are
fragments of asteroids.
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But the kind that hit Nakhla was not.
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Nakhla on Earth could only have come from
one place.
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Mars.
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Welcome to Mars.
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Over a billion years ago, a volcano erupted
here and its lava cooled into solid rock.
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Hundreds of millions of years later,
this area was flooded with water.
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00:10:01,610 --> 00:10:06,830
And long after that flood, an asteroid the
size of the Rock of Gibraltar crashed into
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the Martian surface, blasting out a huge
crater.
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Much of the debris was ejected back out
into space, where it orbited the Sun until
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a gravitational tug from its
home planet, Mars, diverted
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one of the boulders into a
collision course with Earth.
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Its arrival shook up the little village of
Nakhla.
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Meteorites of the type that hit Nakhla are
the vehicles of a natural interplanetary
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transit system that sends rocks between
the planets.
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Such a meteorite can safely shelter
microscopic cargo, the seeds of life,
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an interplanetary arc.
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Most rocks are porous, full of tiny nooks
and crannies, where life can stow away.
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We know that some microbes can survive the
hostile environment of space.
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Take these guys, for instance.
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These microbes spent a year and a half
riding on the outside of the International
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Space Station,
exposed to the extreme
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temperatures, vacuum,
and radiation of space.
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And some of them
were still alive and
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kicking when they were
brought back to Earth.
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Even more astonishing are
these creatures, awakened
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from a death-like sleep
of eight million years.
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They were frozen in
the Antarctic ice millions
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of years before our
species even existed.
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And they're still alive.
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If life can withstand the hardships of
space and endure for millennia,
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then it could ride the
natural interplanetary
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transit system
from world to world.
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It's a good bet that our microbial
ancestors spent some time in space.
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Why do we think so?
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The Earth is four and a half billion years
old.
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For the first half of its
lifetime, large asteroids
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were bombarding the
planet every few million years.
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00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:11,360
The most violent impacts vaporized the
oceans and even melted the surface rock.
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00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,206
Each such collision
would have completely
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sterilized the planet
for thousands of years.
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00:12:19,280 --> 00:12:22,583
But we know from fossils
in the rocks that bacteria
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were evolving on Earth
during this formative period.
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00:12:27,460 --> 00:12:31,720
So how could life have survived such a
lethal series of blows?
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Whenever one of those big asteroids hit
the Earth, the explosion would blast out a
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crater, launching millions of boulders
into space.
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00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,520
Many of those rocks carried living
bacteria inside.
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Some of the bugs would
have survived in space, while
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all those left behind on
Earth would have been fried.
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A few thousand years after
each impact, the Earth would
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have cooled down enough for
water to condense into oceans.
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The planet would again be habitable.
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Meanwhile, most of the rocks launched into
space would have been orbiting the Sun.
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00:13:09,180 --> 00:13:13,760
Some of them would encounter the Earth
again, re-enter the atmosphere as
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meteorites, and deliver their precious
cargo of life to reseed the planet.
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Like Noah's Ark.
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00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:25,805
What this means is that
life doesn't have to start
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over again from scratch
after each catastrophe.
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It can pick up where it left off.
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00:13:32,220 --> 00:13:36,680
When the solar system was young,
Venus was probably more like Earth.
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00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:42,740
With oceans and maybe even life,
Venus, Earth, and Mars were all exchanging
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rocks with each other due to asteroid
impacts.
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Does life on Earth
carry any traces of
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interplanetary voyages
made in the distant past?
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Or is it that some microbes can survive
the intense radiation and vacuum of space?
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These conditions don't naturally exist on
Earth.
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Maybe those bugs are telling
us that their ancestors survived
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00:14:03,672 --> 00:14:07,500
those same conditions in
space a few billion years ago.
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00:14:08,900 --> 00:14:11,521
So we know that microbes
can stow away in rocks
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and survive the voyage
from planet to planet.
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What about a trip from star to star?
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An interstellar odyssey.
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The dandelion.
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Around 30 million years
ago, it evolved another way to
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send its own message of
life through space and time.
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00:14:44,420 --> 00:14:48,151
Each seedling is a little
paratrooper floating on the
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wind, risking everything
for a safe place to land.
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Updraft can carry them higher into the
air.
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A dandelion can travel dozens,
possibly hundreds of kilometers,
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even crossing over mountain ranges.
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Evolution has shaped it into an exquisite
flying machine.
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The seed is another kind of ark,
ensuring the survival of its species by
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riding the currents of the atmosphere to
safe harbors.
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00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:20,155
Each seed in its DNA
carries a story, the
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character and destiny
of the next dandelion.
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Life propagates.
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It propagates by retelling its story.
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Is it possible that life could survive the
journey from star to star?
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The stars are about a million times farther
apart from each other than are the planets.
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00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:44,920
Space is so vast that it would take
billions of years for a rock ejected from
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the Earth to collide with a planet
circling another star.
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Any stowaway microbes would never survive
the cosmic radiation for that long.
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00:15:54,580 --> 00:15:56,809
But there's a plausible
scenario for how life
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could spread from one
solar system to another.
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The stars of the Milky
Way are drawn by gravity
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in their own enormous
orbits around its center.
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00:16:11,830 --> 00:16:18,450
Our Sun, for example, takes some 225
million years to complete a single orbit.
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00:16:18,810 --> 00:16:22,288
During each revolution around
the galaxy, our solar system
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will pass through two or three
gigantic interstellar clouds.
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00:16:25,831 --> 00:16:28,710
Each of them many light years across.
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00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:36,460
Galaxies are world-making machines.
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00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:42,300
Our Milky Way has more than a hundred of
these vast clouds, places where gas and
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dust condense to form new stars and
planets.
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00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:54,020
In its travels through the Milky Way,
our Sun is accompanied not only by its
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planets, but also by a trillion distant
comets.
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00:16:58,940 --> 00:17:04,240
When our solar system passes through an
interstellar cloud, the gravity of the
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00:17:04,241 --> 00:17:07,080
massive cloud stirs up the outermost
comets.
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00:17:08,460 --> 00:17:13,220
Some comets will be hurled out into the
space between the stars.
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00:17:15,020 --> 00:17:17,280
Others will plunge inward,
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00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:22,260
falling towards the Sun.
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And some of them may collide with the
planets.
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00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:45,374
The high-speed impact
of a comet with a rocky
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planet will launch boulders
like rockets into space.
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If that planet should happen
to be inhabited, many of
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those rocks will carry
passengers, living microbes.
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After thousands of years, fragments of the
rocks ejected from Earth can fall as
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meteors into the atmospheres of newborn
planets in the interstellar cloud.
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If the stowaway microbes should happen to
come in contact with liquid water,
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they can revive and reproduce.
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This may be how life comes barreling into
the barren places.
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The Sun emerges from the
cloud, having scattered the
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00:18:29,995 --> 00:18:33,520
seeds of life among the
newborn worlds of other stars.
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00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:37,460
Those new worlds, now
touched by life, will then
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00:18:37,461 --> 00:18:40,401
leave their birth cloud
and go their separate ways.
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00:18:40,740 --> 00:18:43,465
Eventually, their stars will
carry them through other
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00:18:43,466 --> 00:18:48,020
interstellar clouds, where they
may seed still more new worlds.
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00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:56,601
Imagine this process repeated from world
to world, each one bringing life to others.
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00:19:01,950 --> 00:19:07,690
Life would then propagate like a slow
chain reaction through the entire galaxy.
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00:19:12,610 --> 00:19:16,130
This could be how life came to Earth.
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We do not know for sure.
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Are there any beings out there like us?
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00:19:21,710 --> 00:19:23,790
Do they ask the same questions?
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00:19:24,290 --> 00:19:25,810
Do they share our fears?
224
00:19:25,930 --> 00:19:27,430
Do they have heroes and adventures?
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00:19:33,590 --> 00:19:36,510
If they do exist, where are they?
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00:19:37,610 --> 00:19:39,250
How might they make their presence known?
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00:19:55,010 --> 00:19:57,670
How did we first announce our presence to
the galaxy?
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00:19:59,110 --> 00:20:03,470
It was 1946, the year after the Second
World War ended.
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00:20:06,710 --> 00:20:09,010
The vivid imaginations of H.G.
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00:20:09,011 --> 00:20:13,190
Wells and Buck Rogers never cooked up a
more fantastic experience than the Army
231
00:20:13,191 --> 00:20:15,910
engineers at their laboratory in Belmar,
New Jersey.
232
00:20:16,290 --> 00:20:19,950
It opens up unlimited possibilities for
interstellar experiment.
233
00:20:20,390 --> 00:20:23,114
American engineers
bounced a beam of radio waves
234
00:20:23,115 --> 00:20:26,451
off the Moon and were
able to detect its echo.
235
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,680
They called this experiment Project Diana.
236
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:37,240
It was the first interstellar message.
237
00:20:37,241 --> 00:20:39,080
Ever sent by our species.
238
00:20:41,510 --> 00:20:43,000
An eerie tolling bell.
239
00:20:45,580 --> 00:20:51,160
If one allows the imagination free rein,
many future possibilities appear.
240
00:20:53,150 --> 00:20:58,940
Space ships carrying passengers at
thousands of miles per hour can be
241
00:20:58,941 --> 00:21:02,940
controlled and communication established
with their passengers.
242
00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:07,220
For we now know that the Earth's
atmosphere can be penetrated.
243
00:21:13,340 --> 00:21:16,189
Traveling at the speed
of light, it takes just over
244
00:21:16,190 --> 00:21:18,840
one second for a radio wave
to reach the lunar surface.
245
00:21:19,940 --> 00:21:23,240
But the expanding wavefront is much bigger
than the Moon.
246
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:28,860
Most of the wave passes right by it,
but the central part gets bounced back.
247
00:21:30,360 --> 00:21:34,720
After a round-trip travel time of two and
a half seconds, it hits our planet.
248
00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:39,444
Project Diana transmitted
a series of powerful radio
249
00:21:39,445 --> 00:21:42,460
waves, one every four
seconds, to ping the Moon.
250
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:48,240
The parts that miss the Moon are
travelling still.
251
00:21:51,460 --> 00:21:52,800
It was just the beginning.
252
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:56,670
After World War II, television
stations cropped up all
253
00:21:56,671 --> 00:21:59,400
over the United States
and other parts of the world.
254
00:22:00,260 --> 00:22:05,420
The Project Diana message and the FM
radio, television and radar signals of the
255
00:22:05,421 --> 00:22:08,660
20th century all move outward at the speed
of light.
256
00:22:08,661 --> 00:22:12,335
These transmissions make
up a vast sphere of radio
257
00:22:12,336 --> 00:22:15,181
waves expanding away
from the Earth in all directions.
258
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:19,280
You could say that our world is radiating
stories.
259
00:22:20,380 --> 00:22:24,179
Our ancestors etched
the story of Gilgamesh into
260
00:22:24,180 --> 00:22:27,480
clay tablets, sending that
epic tale into the future.
261
00:22:27,700 --> 00:22:32,380
We've encoded our stories in radio waves
and beamed them into space.
262
00:22:32,980 --> 00:22:37,125
They cover one light-year
of distance, that's six trillion
263
00:22:37,126 --> 00:22:39,820
miles, for every year of
time since they were sent.
264
00:22:40,060 --> 00:22:43,580
We've been sending our stories into space
for over 70 years.
265
00:22:43,940 --> 00:22:46,373
The leading edge of
these signals has already
266
00:22:46,374 --> 00:22:49,201
washed over thousands
of planets of other stars.
267
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,440
If any of these worlds are home to a
civilization with radio telescopes,
268
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:56,560
they could already know that we're here.
269
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,700
What if other worlds are sending their
stories into space?
270
00:23:05,220 --> 00:23:09,300
Since 1960, we've been listening for
extraterrestrial radio waves and radio
271
00:23:09,301 --> 00:23:12,500
signals without hearing so much as a
tolling bell.
272
00:23:13,540 --> 00:23:17,680
But our search has been sporadic and
limited to certain parts of the sky.
273
00:23:22,870 --> 00:23:25,896
For all we know, we may
have just missed an alien
274
00:23:25,897 --> 00:23:29,950
signal, looking in the wrong
place at the wrong time.
275
00:23:30,310 --> 00:23:33,930
We've only listened to a miniscule
fraction of the stars in our galaxy.
276
00:23:34,170 --> 00:23:35,670
And there may be another problem.
277
00:23:36,030 --> 00:23:38,498
We are, to some extent,
prisoners of our own
278
00:23:38,499 --> 00:23:41,811
moment in time with the
limits of our technology.
279
00:23:42,890 --> 00:23:45,194
Our television broadcasting
may be only a brief
280
00:23:45,195 --> 00:23:48,091
passing phase in our
technological development.
281
00:23:48,530 --> 00:23:52,830
When we imagine alien civilizations
broadcasting signals with radio
282
00:23:52,831 --> 00:23:56,588
telescopes, are we any
different from earlier generations
283
00:23:56,589 --> 00:23:59,670
who imagined riding
cannon shells to the moon?
284
00:24:01,530 --> 00:24:06,350
Civilizations even slightly more advanced
than ours may have already moved on to
285
00:24:06,351 --> 00:24:12,071
some other mode of communication, one that
we have yet to discover or even imagine.
286
00:24:12,890 --> 00:24:15,194
Our senses could be
swirling all around us at this
287
00:24:15,195 --> 00:24:17,930
very moment, but we lack
the means to perceive them.
288
00:24:18,590 --> 00:24:22,670
Just as all of our ancestors up to a
little more than a century ago would have
289
00:24:22,671 --> 00:24:26,530
been oblivious to the most urgent radio
signal from another world.
290
00:24:27,990 --> 00:24:30,410
But there's another, more troubling
possibility.
291
00:24:31,750 --> 00:24:36,830
Civilizations, like other living things,
may only live so long before perishing due
292
00:24:36,831 --> 00:24:40,210
to natural causes or violence or
self-inflicted wounds.
293
00:24:42,890 --> 00:24:46,810
But their impact with intelligent alien
life may depend on a critical question.
294
00:24:47,190 --> 00:24:50,290
What is the life expectancy of a
civilization?
295
00:25:13,500 --> 00:25:17,580
By the time of Enheduanna, the first
person to ever get a writing credit,
296
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:21,280
civilization was already more than a
thousand years old.
297
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:26,240
But today, her glorious city is a barren
wasteland.
298
00:25:26,930 --> 00:25:27,940
What went wrong?
299
00:25:28,220 --> 00:25:32,280
One problem was the almost ceaseless
warfare between the cities of Mesopotamia,
300
00:25:32,281 --> 00:25:34,700
which continually destroyed their
achievements.
301
00:25:35,195 --> 00:25:40,340
They glorified military conquest and
ultimately became its victims.
302
00:25:43,140 --> 00:25:46,174
Another cause of decline
was that their technical
303
00:25:46,175 --> 00:25:48,620
know-how overran their
understanding of nature.
304
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:52,328
The ingenious irrigation system
that was the basis for the great
305
00:25:52,329 --> 00:25:55,440
civilizations of Mesopotamia
had an unintended consequence.
306
00:25:56,060 --> 00:25:58,916
The water channeled
into their farmlands every
307
00:25:58,917 --> 00:26:02,301
year evaporated
and left its salt behind.
308
00:26:02,460 --> 00:26:06,780
Over generations, the salt accumulated and
began to kill the crops.
309
00:26:07,260 --> 00:26:13,500
And then, about 2200 BC, not long after
the time of Enheduanna, disaster struck.
310
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:17,700
A drought of truly epic proportions
lasting for many decades.
311
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:19,300
The rains stopped.
312
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:20,720
Crops withered.
313
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:22,320
There was famine and anarchy.
314
00:26:22,860 --> 00:26:23,860
Barbarians invaded.
315
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,580
The streets of many cities were littered
with dead.
316
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:28,860
There could be only one explanation.
317
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,000
Enlil, the supreme god, was angry.
318
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:34,100
Because one of his temples had been
destroyed.
319
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:39,900
The people of Mesopotamia could not know
that the same drought was crushing the
320
00:26:39,901 --> 00:26:44,400
dawning civilizations of Egypt,
Greece, India, Pakistan and China.
321
00:26:44,900 --> 00:26:48,500
All the gods of the earth must have been
really angry about something.
322
00:26:48,860 --> 00:26:52,607
For all their brilliance, the
people of those civilizations
323
00:26:52,608 --> 00:26:56,200
had no inkling they were
experiencing abrupt climate change.
324
00:26:59,920 --> 00:27:02,513
Three thousand years
later, the climate would
325
00:27:02,514 --> 00:27:04,920
change abruptly for
another glorious civilization.
326
00:27:05,260 --> 00:27:06,960
This one in Central America.
327
00:27:07,570 --> 00:27:10,420
At its peak, the Mayan civilization
perished.
328
00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:14,540
Wiped out by a series of severe droughts
over the course of a century.
329
00:27:15,060 --> 00:27:18,638
We still carry within us
the echoes of these extinct
330
00:27:18,639 --> 00:27:21,200
civilizations in our
languages, in our myths.
331
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,920
Today, we have a single global
civilization.
332
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:26,980
How long will it live?
333
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:30,140
There are so many ways for a civilization
to die.
334
00:27:31,220 --> 00:27:33,280
Let's start with the ones that we probably
wouldn't be able to live without.
335
00:27:33,300 --> 00:27:34,780
We wouldn't be able to do much about.
336
00:27:36,460 --> 00:27:39,660
That supernova is a thousand light years
away.
337
00:27:40,120 --> 00:27:45,160
If it were much closer, say, less than 30
light years from earth, its cosmic
338
00:27:45,161 --> 00:27:48,000
radiation would shred
the atmosphere's protective
339
00:27:48,001 --> 00:27:50,681
ozone layer and
destroy our civilization.
340
00:27:51,020 --> 00:27:55,160
Lucky for us, none of the stars close
enough to harm us are likely to go
341
00:27:55,161 --> 00:27:58,140
supernova any time in the next few hundred
million years.
342
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:08,620
Every million years or so, a supervolcano
erupts somewhere on earth.
343
00:28:08,900 --> 00:28:12,755
The last time it happened
was 74,000 years ago on
344
00:28:12,756 --> 00:28:16,221
the island of Sumatra
in what is now Indonesia.
345
00:28:17,260 --> 00:28:21,150
It spewed hundreds of times
more rock, ash, and toxic
346
00:28:21,151 --> 00:28:24,140
gas than any single
volcano in recorded history.
347
00:28:24,700 --> 00:28:28,649
The molten rock that erupted
from earth's crust left this
348
00:28:28,650 --> 00:28:32,780
caldera, 100 kilometers
long, now filled with a lake.
349
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:43,060
The Toba volcano sent more than 600 cubic
miles of pulverized rock soaring skyward.
350
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:47,517
The westward wind carried
the volcanic ash over India where
351
00:28:47,518 --> 00:28:50,760
it fell out in a smothering
blanket over the subcontinent.
352
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:55,360
The eruption loaded the upper atmosphere
with sulfur gases.
353
00:28:55,780 --> 00:28:58,704
The result was a global
haze that blocked most of the
354
00:28:58,705 --> 00:29:01,760
sunlight from reaching the
surface for at least five years.
355
00:29:01,761 --> 00:29:05,160
It was like one five-year-long cloudy day.
356
00:29:06,900 --> 00:29:12,020
This so-called volcanic winter resembled a
nuclear winter but without the radiation.
357
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:15,820
Temperatures fell everywhere.
358
00:29:16,420 --> 00:29:20,580
Plants and animals froze even in the
tropics, dying in enormous numbers.
359
00:29:21,020 --> 00:29:22,380
But life is hardy.
360
00:29:22,500 --> 00:29:24,580
Only a few species were driven to
extinction.
361
00:29:24,980 --> 00:29:28,084
One of our ancestors in
central India sharpened this
362
00:29:28,085 --> 00:29:30,620
stone blade in the years
before the Toba eruption.
363
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:34,555
And this blade was one
of dozens that were found
364
00:29:34,556 --> 00:29:37,320
in the soil layer above
the volcanic fallout.
365
00:29:37,700 --> 00:29:41,009
This tells us that some
toolmakers, even in the area directly
366
00:29:41,010 --> 00:29:44,440
affected by the volcano,
managed to survive the cataclysm.
367
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:48,660
But the global human population must have
plummeted before rebounding.
368
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:53,380
If an eruption like this were to happen
tomorrow, our civilization would be
369
00:29:53,381 --> 00:29:56,920
brought to its knees, although the human
species would survive.
370
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:04,420
I can imagine that our technology of a few
hundred years from now would allow us to
371
00:30:04,421 --> 00:30:08,020
siphon off the energy of a threatening
supervolcano before it explodes.
372
00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,780
We could then use that energy for our own
purposes.
373
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:15,220
About once every million years,
a small asteroid collides with the Earth,
374
00:30:15,340 --> 00:30:17,140
causing a similar amount of devastation.
375
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,225
With our current science
and technology, we
376
00:30:20,226 --> 00:30:22,220
already know how to
prevent an asteroid impact.
377
00:30:22,780 --> 00:30:24,993
We would see it coming
years in advance and
378
00:30:24,994 --> 00:30:26,900
could send a spacecraft
there to deflect it.
379
00:30:26,901 --> 00:30:28,100
Into a harmless orbit.
380
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:32,120
With the technology of a thousand years
from now, we might even be able to
381
00:30:32,121 --> 00:30:35,580
mitigate the deadly effects of a nearby
supernova on Earth's atmosphere.
382
00:30:36,820 --> 00:30:39,880
But what happens when the danger to a
civilization is invisible?
383
00:30:40,240 --> 00:30:41,880
When no one can see it coming?
384
00:30:50,890 --> 00:30:54,250
Beginning with Columbus, the
European invaders of the Americas
385
00:30:54,251 --> 00:30:57,430
had a secret weapon that
even they knew nothing about.
386
00:30:58,250 --> 00:31:03,190
They were carrying bacteria and viruses
for deadly diseases such as smallpox that
387
00:31:03,191 --> 00:31:05,850
the original Americans had never been
exposed to.
388
00:31:06,590 --> 00:31:09,815
The Europeans liked to
believe that it was their valor and
389
00:31:09,816 --> 00:31:12,690
superior weapons and culture
that won them the New World.
390
00:31:13,030 --> 00:31:18,010
The real conquistadors were the armies of
the pathogens that raced on ahead to
391
00:31:18,011 --> 00:31:20,520
infect and kill nine
out of ten of all the
392
00:31:20,521 --> 00:31:23,951
Indians of North, Central
and South America.
393
00:31:25,110 --> 00:31:28,143
The great civilizations of
the New World crumbled
394
00:31:28,144 --> 00:31:30,250
under the onslaught
of invading microbes.
395
00:31:30,790 --> 00:31:33,320
Without his invisible
army, Cortes and those
396
00:31:33,321 --> 00:31:36,631
who followed might
never have stood a chance.
397
00:31:37,950 --> 00:31:40,870
But what about civilizations that
self-destruct?
398
00:31:49,060 --> 00:31:54,940
Our economic systems were formed when the
planet and its air, rivers, oceans,
399
00:31:55,140 --> 00:31:57,360
lands all seemed infinite.
400
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:01,022
They evolved long
before we first saw the
401
00:32:01,023 --> 00:32:03,820
Earth as the tiny
organism that it actually is.
402
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:05,880
They're all alike in one respect.
403
00:32:05,881 --> 00:32:10,360
They are profit-driven, and therefore
focused on short-term gain.
404
00:32:36,710 --> 00:32:40,770
The prevailing economic systems,
no matter what their ideologies,
405
00:32:41,110 --> 00:32:44,789
have no built-in mechanisms
for protecting our descendants of
406
00:32:44,790 --> 00:32:48,730
even a hundred years from
now, let alone a hundred thousand.
407
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:57,780
In one respect, we're ahead of the people
of ancient Mesopotamia.
408
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:01,580
Unlike them, we understand what's
happening to our world.
409
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:04,957
For example, we're pumping
greenhouse gases into our
410
00:33:04,958 --> 00:33:07,720
atmosphere at a rate not seen
on Earth for a million years.
411
00:33:08,260 --> 00:33:11,800
And there's scientific consensus that
we're destabilizing our climate.
412
00:33:12,180 --> 00:33:15,500
Yet, our civilization seems to be in the
grip of denial.
413
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:17,380
A kind of paralysis.
414
00:33:18,060 --> 00:33:22,040
There's a disconnect between what we know
and what we do.
415
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:28,596
Being able to adapt our
behavior to challenges is
416
00:33:28,597 --> 00:33:31,640
as good a definition of
intelligence as any I know.
417
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:40,440
If our greater intelligence is the
hallmark of our species, then we should
418
00:33:40,441 --> 00:33:44,440
use it, as all other beings use their
distinctive advantages, to help ensure
419
00:33:44,441 --> 00:33:48,002
that their offspring prosper
and their heredity is passed on,
420
00:33:48,003 --> 00:33:51,440
and that the fabric of nature
that sustains us is protected.
421
00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:56,540
Human intelligence is imperfect,
surely, and newly arisen.
422
00:33:56,700 --> 00:34:00,800
The ease with which it can be
sweet-talked, overwhelmed or subverted by
423
00:34:00,801 --> 00:34:03,478
other hard-wired tendencies,
sometimes themselves
424
00:34:03,479 --> 00:34:06,160
disguised as the light
of reason, is worrisome.
425
00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:12,000
But if our intelligence is the only edge,
we must learn to use it better.
426
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:13,060
To sharpen it.
427
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,480
To understand its limitations and
deficiencies.
428
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:19,140
To use it as cats use stealth before
pouncing.
429
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:21,260
As walking sticks use camouflage.
430
00:34:22,140 --> 00:34:24,280
To make it the tool of our survival.
431
00:34:24,980 --> 00:34:28,337
If we do this, we can solve
almost any problem we are
432
00:34:28,338 --> 00:34:31,200
likely to confront in the
next hundred thousand years.
433
00:34:38,180 --> 00:34:41,395
And now we've arrived at
the place where our ancient
434
00:34:41,396 --> 00:34:45,160
dreams of immortality and
modern astrophysics converge.
435
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:50,650
Giant elliptical galaxies,
or something like Florida,
436
00:34:50,651 --> 00:34:53,560
where the oldest stars in
the universe may be found.
437
00:34:59,120 --> 00:35:03,480
This is a red dwarf star, smaller and
fainter than our sun.
438
00:35:03,481 --> 00:35:07,920
Red dwarfs are by far the most plentiful
stars in the cosmos.
439
00:35:08,340 --> 00:35:12,140
Unlike the sun, which is halfway through
its ten billion year lifetime,
440
00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:15,218
red dwarfs will continue
to provide light and
441
00:35:15,219 --> 00:35:17,900
warmth to their planets
for trillions of years.
442
00:35:18,180 --> 00:35:22,140
That's hundreds of times longer than the
present age of the universe.
443
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,484
What would intelligent
beings do if they had an
444
00:35:25,485 --> 00:35:28,200
eternity to develop their
understanding of the universe?
445
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:33,320
Perhaps they would learn how to open
shortcuts in the fabric of space-time.
446
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:36,920
To travel between galaxies faster than the
speed of light.
447
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:42,581
Maybe they would create whole new universes
as artistic or scientific experiments.
448
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:48,500
Of course, no one, or at least nobody on
Earth, knows what the immortals might do.
449
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,520
If one allows the imagination free
reign...
450
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:54,780
But what about us?
451
00:35:57,980 --> 00:35:59,860
What is our own future?
452
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:05,480
What would the cosmic calendar of the next
14 billion years look like?
453
00:36:19,270 --> 00:36:23,890
If the original cosmic calendar includes
all of the time from the birth of the
454
00:36:23,891 --> 00:36:26,920
universe until this very
moment, what would the cosmic
455
00:36:26,921 --> 00:36:30,690
calendar look like for
the next 14 billion years?
456
00:36:31,870 --> 00:36:35,107
Just as with the cosmic
calendar of the past, every month
457
00:36:35,108 --> 00:36:38,450
on the future calendar
equals about a billion years.
458
00:36:38,650 --> 00:36:41,210
Every day, some 40 million.
459
00:36:42,850 --> 00:36:46,441
Science makes it possible
for us to foretell certain
460
00:36:46,442 --> 00:36:49,530
astronomical events in the
unimaginably distant future.
461
00:36:50,290 --> 00:36:52,250
The death of the sun, for example.
462
00:36:52,550 --> 00:36:57,132
In some 5 billion years, our
star will have exhausted its
463
00:36:57,133 --> 00:37:01,930
hydrogen, the nuclear fuel that
powers it, becoming a red giant.
464
00:37:02,370 --> 00:37:05,710
I know that sounds depressing,
but if we apply our intelligence,
465
00:37:06,410 --> 00:37:09,093
our descendants of that
distant future will have
466
00:37:09,094 --> 00:37:11,611
long departed from the
lost worlds of the sun.
467
00:37:12,570 --> 00:37:13,570
Who knows?
468
00:37:14,070 --> 00:37:17,024
Human events entail too
many variables, too many
469
00:37:17,025 --> 00:37:20,010
uncertainties to make scientific
statements about our future.
470
00:37:20,570 --> 00:37:21,870
But we can still dream.
471
00:37:22,590 --> 00:37:26,850
The next golden age of human achievement
begins here and now.
472
00:37:27,750 --> 00:37:30,410
New Year's Day of the next cosmic year.
473
00:37:30,630 --> 00:37:35,390
In the first tenth of a second,
we take the vision of the pale blue dot to
474
00:37:35,391 --> 00:37:39,210
heart and learn how to share this tiny
world with each other.
475
00:37:39,430 --> 00:37:43,077
The last internal combustion
engine is placed in a museum
476
00:37:43,078 --> 00:37:45,790
as the effects of climate
change reverse and diminish.
477
00:37:47,030 --> 00:37:50,090
A fifth of a second
into this future, people
478
00:37:50,091 --> 00:37:52,830
will stop dying from
the effects of poverty.
479
00:37:53,330 --> 00:37:54,923
The planet is now a completely
480
00:37:54,935 --> 00:37:57,450
self-sustaining,
intercommunicating organism.
481
00:37:57,950 --> 00:38:00,661
A half second from now,
the polar ice caps are
482
00:38:00,662 --> 00:38:03,430
restored to the way they
were in the 19th century.
483
00:38:03,730 --> 00:38:08,250
And the forecast is mild and pleasant for
the next cosmic minute and a half,
484
00:38:08,490 --> 00:38:10,190
40,000 years.
485
00:38:11,890 --> 00:38:15,950
By the time we are ready to settle even
the nearest other planetary systems,
486
00:38:16,250 --> 00:38:17,510
we will have changed.
487
00:38:19,190 --> 00:38:23,130
The simple passage of so many generations
will have changed us.
488
00:38:24,110 --> 00:38:26,050
Necessity will have changed us.
489
00:38:26,710 --> 00:38:29,070
We are an adaptable species.
490
00:38:31,290 --> 00:38:34,184
It will not be we who reach
Alpha Centauri and the
491
00:38:34,185 --> 00:38:37,490
other nearby star systems
on our interstellar arcs.
492
00:38:37,650 --> 00:38:41,142
It will be a species very
like us, but with more
493
00:38:41,143 --> 00:38:43,730
of our strengths and
fewer of our weaknesses.
494
00:38:43,890 --> 00:38:48,030
More confident, far-seeing, capable and
wise.
495
00:38:48,430 --> 00:38:51,641
For all our failings,
despite our flaws and
496
00:38:51,642 --> 00:38:55,551
limitations, we humans
are capable of greatness.
497
00:38:56,810 --> 00:38:59,367
What new wonders
undreamt of in our time will
498
00:38:59,368 --> 00:39:02,331
we have accomplished
in another generation?
499
00:39:05,670 --> 00:39:08,878
How far will our nomadic
species have wandered by
500
00:39:08,879 --> 00:39:12,630
the end of the next century
and the next millennium?
501
00:39:14,170 --> 00:39:19,890
Our remote descendants, safely arrayed on
many worlds throughout the solar system
502
00:39:19,891 --> 00:39:26,470
and beyond, will be unified by their
common heritage, by their regard for their
503
00:39:26,471 --> 00:39:30,850
home planet, and by the knowledge that
whatever other life there may be,
504
00:39:31,250 --> 00:39:35,170
the only humans in all the universe came
from Earth.
505
00:39:36,330 --> 00:39:40,590
They will gaze up, and strain to find the
blue dot in their skies.
506
00:39:41,310 --> 00:39:46,570
They will marvel, at how vulnerable the
repository of all our potential once was,
507
00:39:47,650 --> 00:39:52,396
how perilous our infancy,
how humble our beginnings,
508
00:39:52,397 --> 00:40:00,397
how many rivers we had to
cross before we found our way.
47503
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